Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-04-19 | Oilers +115 v. Sabres | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #017. Take Edmonton (+110) over Buffalo (Monday, March 4 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Edmonton Oilers, we like what we are hearing out of the dressing room nowadays as the Oilers continue their push for an unlikely playoff spot. The Oilers have won two straight and their latest game a 4-0 win over Columbus showed how good they can be when they play 60 minutes of hockey. Now they get to face a Buffalo team who has simply thrown in the towel on the rest of the season. Buffalo has been brutal of late, and outside of their 10 game winning streak in November, they've been one of the worst teams to watch this season. They give up a boatload of gales and just look lifeless in the attacking zone. Now they have to contain high flying McDavid and Draisaitl and we just don't see that happening. Edmonton is on a mission to make a push over the last 19 games of the season and we like them to take a step forward here against a team they've already thumped 7-2 in the last meeting. The Sabres are 0-4 in their last 4 vs a team with a losing record, 0-4 in their last 4 Monday games and 1-5 in their last 6 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Edmonton outscores them and gets the two points. | |||||||
03-03-19 | Magic v. Cavs +6 | Top | 93-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
The Cavs have actually been playing some of their best basketball of the season recently as they have won three of their last five. They didn’t beat any marquee teams or anything, but Orlando doesn’t actually fit into that category either. This seems like a huge letdown spot for the Magic after their wins over Golden State and Indiana (they are on a back-to-back here after beating the Pacers last night), and they have Philly on deck. Cleveland is on a b2b as well but playing at home is a much more desired position. Just don’t like Orlando laying this big number on the road | |||||||
03-03-19 | Michigan -1 v. Maryland | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #825 Michigan -1 over Maryland (3:45p.m., Sunday, March 3 CBS) Michigan needs to win this game in order to keep their hopes of a Big 10 Championship alive. The Terrapins are coming off a terrible performance against Penn State last time out and they also lost to Michigan by double digits last month. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Maryland is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on Sunday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
03-02-19 | Bucks v. Jazz -3.5 | Top | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
We think that this is a real tough spot on the schedule for Milwaukee. They are nearing the end of a long road trip, and they play the Suns next in the last game of a five-game trip. They are playing their third game in four nights and on a back-to-back after playing the Lakers last night. They needed to expend a lot of energy late in that game as it was closer than expected but they pulled out the win and cover. Now they face a much tougher test against a Jazz team that has won three straight and covered in five of six, and we think fatigue will set in tonight for Milwaukee. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -12.5 | 120-112 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
This Pelicans team is not even very good with Anthony Davis in the lineup, but he is out tonight for rest and this team is awful without him. The Pelicans are playing a back-to-back in this one and they are 4-7 ATS and 2-9 SU in these situations this season, so they don’t play well in back-to-backs, where Davis normally sits out. Denver suffered a rare home loss last time out vs. Utah, and they will want to take out their frustrations on this team. They should roll here and we think this one has the potential of a 20-point blowout. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Nevada -1.5 v. Utah State | Top | 76-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #735 Nevada over Utah State (8:30p.m., Saturday, March 2 CBSSN) Utah State has a chance to win the MWC with a victory this early evening but they will have their hands full with the Wolf Pack. Just do not believe the Aggies, picked 9th in the MWC, with a new coach can win this league. They are not a good match-up with the Pack, as Nevada has better size and experience and they will not be intimidated by playing at the Spectrum. The Wolf Pack won the first meeting by 23 points and they have the size to match-up with Sam Merrill and he will have to earn whatever points he gets. Nevada has covered the spread in 5 straight meetings against Utah State. Utah State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Nevada is 25-12 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 39 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Magic v. Pacers UNDER 210 | 117-112 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
A few reasons we like the under here. First, the Pacers have played under at home more than any other team in the NBA. Also, they are the No. 1 defensive team in the league. The Magic aren’t bad either as they allow only 107 PPG this season. Orlando is coming off their big win over Golden State, so this is a flat spot for them, and we think the Pacers can hold them to a real low score. And there’s a chance the Pacers won’t put up many points on the Orlando D. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Blackhawks -111 v. Kings | 3-6 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. #065. Take Chicago -115 over Los Angeles (Saturday, March 2 at 4:05 p.m.) *Note the early 4 PM puck drop for this one. We are on a solid hockey run, as we are 4-1 +$1,505 and 8-3 +2070. Let's keep the momentum rolling into the postseason. As per your selection on the Chicago Blackhawks, they are playing extremely good hockey of late and are in the thick of a playoff race as they battle for the final wild-card spot. The Hawks are 11-4 in their last 15 games and come into tonight's game against LA rested and we expected them to be hungry to get the two points tonight. They are being led by Patrick Kane ( as usual) and Alex DeBrincat who is quietly having himself a 36 goal season. Their opponent, LA, has been putrid of late, losers of 10 straight and it's safe to say they've given up on the season. LA essentially can't score any goals, outside of a pair of 4-3 losses, they've scored 1, 1, 1, 2, 2 goals in their last 7 games. Throw all stats and trends out the window for this one. We are taking a rested team who is fighting for a playoff spot over a team who can't wait for the offseason. Take Chicago. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Clippers v. Kings -3.5 | 116-109 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a very important game for both teams that are fighting for the playoffs. But judging by the moves at the trade deadline, the Kings really want to make the postseason this year while the Clippers are building towards the future. The Kings have been one of the strongest bets in the NBA this season at home, and we think they will be the more motivated club tonight. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Pelicans v. Suns +4 | Top | 130-116 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
We are going to look hard at the home team whenever they are getting points against these Pelicans. You look up the word dysfunctional in the dictionary and there is a picture of the Pelicans. This team has all sorts of issues – and is not very good as a team – and they should not be laying this many points on the road to any team, even the Suns. This game is sandwiched between bigger games for New Orleans (Lakers and Nuggets), and we don’t see them giving max effort here. The Pelicans are 3-10 ATS on the road against sub-.500 clubs. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Blazers v. Raptors -5 | 117-119 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Toronto has covered in three of the last four meetings. We expect them to take this one comfortably. Portland has covered every game on this long road trip so far. And the bookies just can’t give them too many points tonight. But the bookies are giving them a bit too much credit right now as this is the toughest game by far on the road trip. And fatigue has to set in at some point. Toronto has been excellent lately and we expect them to take care of business tonight | |||||||
03-01-19 | Bulls v. Hawks OVER 229.5 | 168-161 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two bad teams that are trying to get as many balls in the draft lottery as possible. We just don’t see much defense being played tonight and this one should be a glorified game of street ball. Both teams have been giving up 110+ on an almost nightly basis, and we think there will be plenty of open looks at the basket for both clubs. The Bulls have been trending heavily to the over in recent road games, and we think that is the way this one will go tonight as well. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Hornets +3 v. Nets | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Getting some reverse line movement overnight on this one with the line shrinking despite most of the bets on the home team. That is normally a good sign if you like the underdog. And we do tonight as we think this is a coin flip matchup, so getting the points is the only way to go here. The Nets have overachieved while the Hornets, like always, have underachieved. But on paper we think the Hornets are a bit stronger despite the records, and they should fight hard here. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Capitals -103 v. Islanders | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. #053. Take Washington -105 over New York Islanders (Friday, March 1 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Washington Capitals, I have nothing against the state of NY or the Islanders as a franchise, but after last night's emotional win over a completely unprepared Toronto team, we believe they will suffer the ill effects of a major let down tonight. And unfortunately, that let down is going to happen against the defending cup champions and a very good Washington Capitals team. Look, The Caps are rolling right now, winners of two straight while scoring 13 goals in the process and four of their last 5 games. They have had a few days off before this game to rest and get ready for this key Metro division clash and we believe they will be ready to go and blitz the Islanders right from puck drop. We like the fact that the Caps lost 2-0 to the Islanders back on Jan 18th. This just gives them extra motivation to return the favor and collect a crucial two points in the race for the playoffs. Take Washington and enjoy a nice bounce-back winner. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Arizona State v. Oregon -3 | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #660 Take Oregon over Arizona State (11p.m., Thursday, February 28 PAC12N) Just cannot trust the Sun Devils to win with any consistency, especially when playing on the road. Oregon has been playing a road heavy schedule of late and they will be ready for some home cooking tonight in Eugene. Arizona State just does not have the shooters to be able to win on the road with any regularity and they were not that impressive last time out against Cal. ASU is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games played on Thursday. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Jazz v. Nuggets -7 | 111-104 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Denver was off last night while the Jazz had to expend a lot of energy to rally to beat the Clippers in what was a very tough game for them despite the big line in that contest. Not only did they have to use a lot of energy in the comeback, but now they come in on a back-to-back and have to play in one of the toughest arenas in the NBA and at high altitude. Utah is 4-6 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back so they aren’t great in this situation anyways, and we always call back-to-backs in Denver a super back-to-back since it’s so tough to play there. We don’t see things going well for the road team tonight. | |||||||
02-28-19 | 76ers v. Thunder -7 | 108-104 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Always looking to fade the Sixers on the road. This team is very popular with bettors this season, but on the road they are just average. And there is sometimes value in going against them. We think that is the case tonight. The Thunder have covered in five of the last six meetings in OKC and in the last four meetings altogether. We think the Thunder are the more complete team, and they need to put their best foot forward after losing three of their last four against a pretty tough schedule. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Maple Leafs +106 v. Islanders | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #033. Take Toronto over New York Islanders (Thursday, February 28 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Toronto Maple Leafs, you don't think they don't want to win this game badly for their new star John Tavares? Tavares is returning home to the Island and we are expecting him to get booed like no tomorrow. However, when comparing these two teams, the Islanders simply do not stack up to the Leafs and we expect the Leafs to come out extra motivated (like JT will be) and put forth their best effort to ensure Tavares' return to the Island is a winning one. Sure, the Islanders will be jacked for this game to show JT that they don't need them, but the reality of the matter is that the Islanders have lost three of their last four games and are struggling right now. They aren't getting the scoring they were a month ago or the goaltending for that matter. The Leafs are in a very good play on and trustworthy spot tonight as they are 8-1 in their last 9 games in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and 8-0 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. They've also beaten the Islanders 4 out of the last 5 times and we expect that trend to continue tonight. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Wolves v. Pacers UNDER 222 | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
The under in Indiana home games is one of the strongest trends in the NBA this season at 22-9. Both teams played on Wednesday, and both offenses should be sluggish tonight. The oddsmakers have been slow to adjust to this Pacers home under trend, and we think this number is too high once again tonight. The Pacers have been on a road trip where their defense wasn’t up to par, but some home cooking is just what they need to get things right on defense. And we think this could be a real low scoring game tonight. The last two meetings both went under, both well under 200 points. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Bucks v. Kings +5.5 | 141-140 | Win | 102 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
We love this Bucks team but the Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games and it looks like they are underrated once again by the oddsmakers. The Bucks have bigger road games upcoming and they probably won’t give max effort here. Sacramento has one of the best ATS records in the league at home, and we thought this line should be closer to -2 and we think this will be a very competitive game. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Clippers v. Jazz -9 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
The Clippers have some talent still after the trade deadline but this team is tanking. It benefits them to make the lottery this season instead of the playoffs. LA has had a brutal schedule lately and they are playing their third game in four nights after a night off last night after their back-to-back. Now they face an underrated Utah team that has covered in five straight games. Utah had a couple recent tough losses to OKC and GSW on the road, so they will take this game very seriously and they are playing some very good basketball overall right now. Plus, they have covered in five straight meetings. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Pacers -1 v. Mavs | 101-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA. And since Oladipo went down they have been playing even better for the most part on that side of the ball. They have been playing better overall as if they have something to prove with the loss of their best player. Dallas gutted their team at the trade deadline in favor of the future and this is not the same team that was an ATS darling through most of the season. We think the Pacers take this one in a low-scoring game. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 215.5 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA. And since Oladipo went down they have been playing even better for the most part on that side of the ball. They have been playing better overall as if they have something to prove with the loss of their best player. Dallas gutted their team at the trade deadline in favor of the future and this is not the same team that was an ATS darling through most of the season. We think the Pacers take this one in a low-scoring game. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Blazers v. Celtics UNDER 226.5 | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
We were on the Celtics last night and they put forth another really bad effort in their worst loss of the season. That comes after a loss in Chicago. If they don’t play well tonight then things are really bad. We think they will bounce back here tonight. It should all start with defense. This total looks a tad high already, but with the two bad losses we think coach Stevens will have his team really give max effort on the defensive side of the ball. Boston has covered in three of the last four meetings and the under has hit in two of the last three. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Blazers v. Celtics -2.5 | 97-92 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
We were on the Celtics last night and they put forth another really bad effort in their worst loss of the season. That comes after a loss in Chicago. If they don’t play well tonight then things are really bad. We think they will bounce back here tonight. It should all start with defense. This total looks a tad high already, but with the two bad losses we think coach Stevens will have his team really give max effort on the defensive side of the ball. Boston has covered in three of the last four meetings and the under has hit in two of the last three. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Valparaiso v. Bradley -4.5 | Top | 42-67 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #808 Bradley over Valparaiso (8p.m., Wednesday, February 27 ESPN+) The steam has come off of the Crusaders of late and they will enter this game having lost 8 of their last 10 games. The Braves have been going in the opposite directions having won 5 of their last 6 games and they need to continue winning games to avoid playing on Thursday of the MVC next week. Bradley has revenge on their minds after losing by double digits to Valparaiso earlier this season, but they will be able to win this game by 8-10 points. Valparaiso is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games. Bradley is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on Wednesday. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Wolves v. Hawks +4.5 | 123-131 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Atlanta is a lousy team but they are not on the bottom tier and this team is pretty competitive compared to some of the NBA’s bottom feeders. The Timberwolves have not covered in the last three meetings in this series. Minnesota has been hot lately, but that has just made them overvalued. But the fact is that this team stinks on the road (9-21 record) and we think the Hawks could possibly pull off the upset tonight. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +2 | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #634 Indiana over Wisconsin (9p.m., Tuesday, February 26 ESPN) This line keeps going down and it is for good reason. Indiana matches up well with Wisconsin and they are hitting the Badgers at the right time, playing a second straight road game. Wisconsin was lucky to beat Northwestern over the weekend and they are playing a team desperate for wins. Ethan Happ is becoming less and less effective for the Badgers and I am not sure if they will be able to make enough jump shots to win this game. Wisconsin is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games. The line opened at -3 and keeps coming down meaning we are on the correct side with the Hoosiers. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Celtics +4 v. Raptors | Top | 95-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Toronto is the fourth-worst betting team in the NBA this season. That is because the oddsmakers post too-high lines for them on a nightly basis and they cooled down big time after their hot start to the season. We are many times looking for spots to go against them. We think that this is one of them. Boston sits No. 5 in the east as of Tuesday. This team, however, is talented, playoff tested, and well-coached. They are going to move up in the standings as we head to the postseason and in our minds are the team to beat once the playoffs get here. We like to take a good team off an embarrassing loss, and that is certainly the case with Boston after losing in Chicago last time out. They have had two nights off after that game so they should be rested and focused. The Celtics covered at the Bucks and at Philly in their last five games, and we think they will be focused tonight against another EC power. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Sharks v. Bruins -120 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #006. Take Boston over San Jose (Tuesday, February 26 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Boston Bruins, we like them in this spot tonight to get two crucial points at home against a San Jose team that is coming into this game playing their third game in four nights and their last game of a week-long road trip. Teams who have had a winning road trip tend to get complacent and slip up in their final away game before heading home. The Bruins are masterful at home, going 21-7-3 so far this season and they are playing some great hockey of late, going 8-0-2 in their last 10 games. They have had three days to rest after finishing up an extended road trip, so we don't believe fatigue will be a factor here in this spot. The Bruins have owned the season series between the Sharks, posting a 5-0 record in the last 5 meetings including 4-1 in the last 5 in Boston. We like the spot and we believe Boston gets the job done tonight and adds to their 10-1 record vs the Pacific and 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days record. | |||||||
02-25-19 | Ducks v. Canucks -135 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #78. Take Vancouver over Anaheim (Monday, February 25 at 10:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Vancouver Canucks, we are simply going to side with the team that has more talent overall. The Ducks are one of the worst teams in the league and despite a recent coaching change, their play and results have not gotten better. The Canucks are fighting tooth and nail for the final wild card spot and we believe at home, against a Ducks team that already beat them 1-0 in January, the Canucks exact a little revenge on their west coast rivals. The Canucks are in a great play the spot tonight as the home team in this series is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings while the favorite is 5-2 in the last 7. The Ducks are a brutal 3-14 in their last 17 road games, 1-8 as a road underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. We will back the desperate home team tonight as they are to be dangerous and hungry to get two points. | |||||||
02-25-19 | Kansas State v. Kansas -4.5 | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #866 Kansas over Kansas State (9p.m., Monday, February 25 ESPN) Kansas is just a much better team when playing at home and I do not see them suffering their first loss of the season in Lawrence tonight. Kansas is coming off a 29-point loss to Texas Tech on Saturday but the Red Raiders shot out of their minds in that game and I do not see the Wildcats having that much success from the 3-point line tonight. Kansas is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 20 points in their previous game. The favorite is 18-6 ATS (2 pushes) in their 26 meetings. Kansas is 17-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 26 games against Kansas State. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
02-25-19 | Warriors -8.5 v. Hornets | Top | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
10-Unit Play #565 Take Golden State -8.5 over Charlotte (7 p.m. EST, Mon. Feb 25) The Warriors are one of the worst betting teams in the NBA this season and they have been particularly bad recently. This team is always overrated by the oddsmakers and they don’t give 100% every night just because the regular season isn’t that important to this team and they don’t have to give full effort to win since this team is so talented. We have made a lot of money going against this team this season. However, there will be certain spots where this team will be motivated, and we think this will be one of them. The Warriors have lost two of three and they are coming off a loss to the Rockets. They will probably take it out on poor Charlotte tonight as losing three of four would be an official slump so we think this team will flex its muscles a little here. If this team is really motivated they can beat the Hornets by 20, even on the road. This team has covered in only one of their last nine games. This is a rare GSW game where you don’t have to lay double digits, however, and we think this motivated squad will put their best foot forward tonight. | |||||||
02-24-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan -4 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #833 Michigan over Michigan State (3:45p.m., Sunday, February 24 CBS) The Spartans are really banged up at the moment and I just do not see them going into Ann Arbor and winning this game. The Wolverines are undefeated at home and Michigan State has been playing the weaker part of the schedule recently. Michigan is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on Sunday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
02-23-19 | Kansas +6.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 62-91 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #707 Kansas over Texas Tech (8p.m., Saturday, February 23 ESPN) The loser of this game is likely out of the conference championship race. I just do not believe Kansas will get run out of the building in Lubbock, TX. The Jayhawks have won 3 straight games and already beat the Red Raiders by 16 points earlier this season. The Red Raiders have won 4 straight games but those have come against 3 of the worst teams in the league. Kansas is getting a key player back for this game and they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 4-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. | |||||||
02-23-19 | Pacers v. Wizards | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
Both teams played last night so no b-2-b advantage for either team. The Pacers are the better squad and they have been a covering machine since losing Oladipo for the season and this is still a very good team and they are underestimated by the oddsmakers. Last night the Pacers looked great in a comeback vs. New Orleans while the Wizards fell flat at Charlotte, both games we cashed on. Two teams going in different directions here tonight. | |||||||
02-23-19 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -173 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #48. Take Toronto vs Montreal (Saturday, February 23 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Toronto Maple Leafs, we simply believe they are in line for a bounce-back performance after losing int heir last game to Montreal. The Leafs started out sluggish but threw 21 shots on net in the third period and it's that effort that tells me they didn't just give up. The Leafs have owned the Habs of late, posing a 6-3-1 record in the last 10 meetings, scoring nearly 3.5 goals per game, while holding Montreal to around 2. Montreal comes into this contest riding high after winning back-to-back home games against Columbus and Philadelphia, but they should find it tough to beat a Leafs team who has gotten a lot better at home and will be eager to snap out of a three-game losing streak. Toronto is 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 or more goals in their previous game. Montreal is 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games and 0-6 in the last 6 meetings. | |||||||
02-23-19 | Utah State v. Boise State +3.5 | 78-71 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #682 Boise State +3 over Utah State (4p.m., Saturday, February 23 Stadium) Just do not believe Utah State can run the table until the game against Nevada in 7 days. Taco Bell Arena is always a tough place to play and Utah State has been playing over the head for most of the conference portion of the season. I still believe the MWC is a one bid league unless Nevada losses in the conference tournament. Utah State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Underdog has covered the spread in 4 straight meetings. | |||||||
02-23-19 | Iowa State -1.5 v. TCU | 72-75 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #645 Iowa State -1.5 over TCU (2p.m., Saturday, February 23 ESPN2) One of the most surprising results this season was Iowa State getting pounded at home by TCU. I just do not believe the Horned Frogs are good enough to beat Iowa State twice in one season. The Frogs have lost 3 straight games since beating Iowa State and two of them have come against teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament. This is a must win game for Iowa State if they have any hopes of winning the Big 12 and I expect them to dominate for 40 minutes. The Cyclones are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game. TCU is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Big 12 games. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Avalanche v. Blackhawks UNDER 7 | 5-3 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #025/026. Take Under in Colorado vs Chicago (Friday, February 22 at 7:35 p.m.) We are going to side with the Under 7 in this spot as we believe both Colorado and Chicago played to the under on December 29th. Yes, I know, since then the Blackhawks are on a tear and seemingly play no defense as evident in their last 15 or so games. However, they are coming off an emotional win over Detroit and we believe they run into a bit of a lull tonight and simply won't be sharp. Their opponent, Colorado has played better of late as well, and a big reason for that is the goaltending play of Semyon Varlamov. Aside from the 7 goals they scored against Winnipeg (fluke), the Avs have played to the under 7 four times in their last 7 games with three pushes. We also like the fact that the head-to-head trends are on our side as the Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago and 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings overall. We will gladly take the under on the inflated number and enjoy a nice winner. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Wizards v. Hornets -5 | 110-123 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
The Hornets are starting a homestand that will be very important to their playoff hopes. We think they start off with a strong win against a Wizards team that is going nowhere. The Hornets are on a three-game winning streak in this series at home. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. We think the Hornets are a much better team and they have all the motivation here on Friday. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Pelicans v. Pacers -5.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
New Orleans has been held to 90 or fewer points in two of their last three games before the break. Now they face the best defensive team in the NBA, and we just don’t see this one as being a shootout. The Pacers are really upping their defensive intensity since Oladipo went down, and of course their offense misses his scoring. But this is still a very good team in our eyes, and the oddsmakers keep punishing the Pacers too much for the loss of their best player as we think there is value in this line. And the Pacers covered five of seven before the break. The under is 22-8 in Pacers home games this season, one of the strongest betting trends in the NBA this season and one the oddsmakers haven’t adjusted to because no one is betting unders. But we have been making lots of profits off this trend! | |||||||
02-22-19 | Pelicans v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 111-126 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
New Orleans has been held to 90 or fewer points in two of their last three games before the break. Now they face the best defensive team in the NBA, and we just don’t see this one as being a shootout. The Pacers are really upping their defensive intensity since Oladipo went down, and of course their offense misses his scoring. But this is still a very good team in our eyes, and the oddsmakers keep punishing the Pacers too much for the loss of their best player as we think there is value in this line. And the Pacers covered five of seven before the break. The under is 22-8 in Pacers home games this season, one of the strongest betting trends in the NBA this season and one the oddsmakers haven’t adjusted to because no one is betting unders. But we have been making lots of profits off this trend! | |||||||
02-22-19 | Harvard v. Brown +2 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
3 unit Play. Take #854 Brown over Harvard (7p.m., Friday, February 22 ESPN+) This line tells me that Harvard may struggle in this game. This will be the third straight road game for Harvard and with Yale on deck this is a look ahead situation for them. The Bears need to sweep their home games this weekend in order to make the conference tournament next month. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Kings +12.5 v. Warriors | 123-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Some teams feel they really will need to turn it on after the break. Golden State is not one of those teams, in our opinion. This team doesn’t care about the regular season, and they can give half effort and still win. In our opinion this is a Top 3 team in NBA history, But that doesn’t mean they are a good bet. They are the fourth-worst betting team this season. They have covered only one of their last seven overall. Sacramento has covered in three straight meetings and in six of the last eight, and we see this as another inflated line on Thursday. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Celtics +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Boston has been a big underachiever this season. But for some reason we still think this team is going to be the top dog in the East when all is said and done. We think at this point after the All-Star Break is when they will come on strong and get in playoff mode. If the Celtics were a stock we would buy right now. This is a very talented roster and the best coach in the NBA, and they will find a way to have success. We loved what we saw from this team before the break, and we think they will compete with a chance to win this one tonight. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Texas State -4.5 | 63-60 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #622 Texas State over ULM (8p.m., Thursday, February 21) The Bobcats sit atop the standing in the Sun Belt Conference and will enter this game having won 4 straight conference games. ULM has lost 4 of their last 6 games and they are in the middle of a 3-game road trip. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #08. Take Florida vs Carolina (Thursday, February 21 at 7:05 p.m.) After our fourth straight win last night courtesy of Boston, I think the short write-ups might be here to stay. Let's make it five in a row tonight as we back Florida to get the job done vs Carolina. Look, Florida is playing some good hockey of late, winners of three straight more. What's more important than that is they are playing good defensive hockey and their top players like Barkov and Huberdeau are just playing out of their mind right now. They absolutely dominated in their last game and now get to face a Carolina team that is mediocre away from home. The Panthers have won 5 of the last 6 meetings in Florida and are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 1 day's rest and 7-2 in their last 9 games as an underdog. As the season gets closer to crunch time, it's imperative we ride the teams in good form and Florida fits the bill. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Heat v. 76ers -5.5 | 102-106 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
We think after the All-Star break that the best teams in the East will really start to flex their muscles. Philly is rested and even though Embiid is out here this team still has a stacked lineup. They are rested so there should be no problems with the rotation, and this Sixers team is almost unbeatable at home. We think the bookies are penalizing this team too much for Embiid with this line, and we think this one has a decent chance to be a double-digit win. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Suns v. Cavs | 98-111 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst teams in the NBA. But we think the Suns have a brighter future with some talented youngsters, and we think they are a team that will want to have a strong finish to the season and build momentum for next season while the Cavs are tanking and their future just isn’t as bright. We think the Suns are a slightly better team and we think this line is more than fair as we had them at -2.5 and we think they will get the road win here. | |||||||
02-20-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State +8 | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #842 San Diego State over Nevada (11p.m., Wednesday, February 20 CBSSN) This is likely the toughest game Nevada will face this season and we will grab the points with the home underdog. Nevada has never won in San Diego State since joining the MWC and I just do not see them blowing out the home team tonight. SDSU is 12-2 at home and have an NBA prospect in Jalen McDaniels something the Wolf Pack do not have. The home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 games between Nevada and San Diego State. The Aztecs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 MWC games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
02-20-19 | Bruins +115 v. Golden Knights | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #73. Take Boston vs Vegas (Wednesday, February 20 at 10:05 p.m.) We are back on home soil, but the short write-ups are working so well, let's just continue what's working. Look, we like the Bruins tonight in this spot because why wouldn't we? They've won six straight, they are healthy, they are scoring goals for fun and they are taking on a Vegas team who have been brutal on their home ice this lately. They've lost five of their last 6 at home, and have given up plenty of goals. Not exactly the fortress that it was last year. The Bruins are still in the middle of the road trip, but we like a veteran team to stay focused on the task at hand and not get too ahead of themselves. The line is likely trying to tell us Vegas is likely to win tonight, but we like the fact that Boston is 9-0 in their last 9 vs the Pacific and 4-0 int heir last 4 as a road underdog. Give me the hotter team with a better price. | |||||||
02-19-19 | Baylor v. Iowa State -9.5 | 73-69 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #632 Iowa State over Baylor (9p.m., Tuesday, February 19 ESPN2) The Bears are banged up and will enter this game having lost 3 of their last 4 games included two blowouts during that losing streak. I think Iowa State is the best team in the league and they will enter this game having won 5 of their last 6 games. They have revenge on their minds after a 3 point loss to Baylor earlier in the season and will win this game by double digits. The home team is 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings between the Bears and Cyclones. | |||||||
02-19-19 | Sabres v. Panthers -134 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #56. Take Florida vs Buffalo (Tuesday, February 19 at 7:05 p.m.) One more day of travel, but we've been rolling of late with the shorter write-ups. Tonight, we like the Florida Panthers to get the job done and beat the Buffalo Sabres. Look, the Sabres are lifeless right now. They have lost three of their last 4 games and have given up 14 goals in those games to just 7 goals scored. The Panthers are playing some good hockey right now and they've beaten two decent teams in Calgary and Montreal in the last two. They are in the midst of a 7-game home stand and have split the first two. We look for Florida to continue their winning ways against buffalo and add a third win in four tries against the Sabres. | |||||||
02-19-19 | Nebraska v. Penn State -3 | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #606 Penn State over Nebraska (7p.m., Tuesday, February 19 FS1) No bet against Nebraska is a bad bet especially with a low number on the road. Penn State is just 2-12 on the season but they have been competitive in most games and beat Michigan in their last home game. Being favored is a strong indication that we are on the right side for this game. Nebraska is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Big 10 games. Penn State is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games. The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. | |||||||
02-19-19 | Dayton v. Davidson -3.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #602 Davidson over Dayton (6p.m., Tuesday, February 19 CBSSN) The Flyers have been on the slide of late losing two of their last three games and now must go on the road to face the best team in the league. The Wildcats have won 7 of their last 8 games and should be able to win this game by 7-9 points. Dayton is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games. Davidson is 21-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 Atlantic 10 games. | |||||||
02-18-19 | Senators v. Blackhawks -144 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #42. Take Chicago vs Ottawa (Monday, February 18 at 8:35 p.m.) No time for a lengthy writeup today as we are still traveling over this Family Day long weekend. But we do like the Blackhawks tonight to get the job done over the lowly Seas. Look, the Blackhawks are rolling of late and they truly believe they can get into the postseason, as they are just 3 points out of the second wild-card spot. Ottawa has bigger issues to deal with like trading away their best players. They've lost seven of their last 10 games and we expect them to be in line for another loss tonight. Chicago has won four in a row over Ottawa including a 4-3 OT win in the season opener, and are 13-3-1 in their last 17 meetings dating back to 2007. | |||||||
02-17-19 | Canadiens v. Panthers -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #34. Take Florida vs Montreal (Sunday, February 17 at 7:05 p.m.) No time for a lengthy writeup today as we are traveling. But we like the Panthers to do well here with revenge after Montreal has beaten them twice over the last 4 weeks. Montreal is struggling of late and looks to be fading. We expect the Panthers to come out focus and grab two points on their home ice. | |||||||
02-17-19 | Villanova v. St. John's +3.5 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #828 St Johns over Villanova (5p.m., Sunday, February 17 FS1) The Red Storm tend to play to the level of their competition, and they will be up for this game. Villanova has overachieved during conference play and they do not warrant being this big of a favorite on the road. St Johns have a home heavy schedule to close out the regular season and they need to take advantage of that starting today. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. | |||||||
02-16-19 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -3 | Top | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #732 Kentucky over Tennessee (8p.m., Saturday, February 16 ESPN) This will be the toughest environment Tennessee plays in all year long and I just feel Kentucky needs this game more. The Wildcats are coming off a controversial loss last time out against LSU and they will be hungry to win this game. The Volunteers are going to win the SEC but I am not sold that they are the best team in the country. Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. They have more talent than does Tennessee and I do not believe the visitor can make enough shots from the arc to win this road game. Kentucky pulls away late to win by 6-8 points. | |||||||
02-16-19 | Maple Leafs -175 v. Coyotes | 0-2 | Loss | -175 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #009. Take Toronto -175 vs Arizona (Saturday, February 16, 7:05 pm) Strapped for time to do a write up today. Simply put; the Leafs have far too much fire power for Arizona to contend with. The Leafs have showed time and time again that they can in fact win on the road and tonight is no different. Take the Leafs. | |||||||
02-16-19 | Utah State v. Air Force +10 | 76-62 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #672 Air Force over Utah State (4p.m., Saturday, February 16) Utah State would have tow in out to be considered for an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament and with Nevada left on the schedule that seems unlikely. The Falcons have stayed under the radar but they are close to .500 in the MWC and we will grab the points in this game today in Colorado Springs. Utah State is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games. Air Froce is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. | |||||||
02-16-19 | Drexel +1.5 v. Towson | 77-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #627 Drexel over Towson (2p.m., Saturday, February 16) We will take a shot with the Dragons on Saturday thinking the Tigers will not have much left in the tank after a double overtime game last time out. Towson is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games played on Saturday. Drexel is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. | |||||||
02-15-19 | Rangers v. Sabres UNDER 6 | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. #73. Take Under in New York Rangers vs Buffalo (Friday, February 15 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the under in this game between the Rangers and Sabres, we like the fact that both goalies are playing hot right now. For the Rangers, you have Alexandar Georgiev who is coming off a 55 save win against the Leafs in his latest start. Prior to that, he stopped 27 of 30 in a win vs the Bruins and let in one goal in a loss vs the Flyers. He's on his game and we expect him to be able to keep it up against a Buffalo squad that is averaging not even three goals per game, and who has played in three consecutive games in which the scoreline was 3-1. The Sabres have been fading fast during the second part of the season, but one consistent has been their goaltending play and they are in a great spot to play on the under in tonight's game. The Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Buffalo and 5-1-1 in the last 7 matchups overall. The Rangers have played to the under in 5 of their last 7 games vs the East and are 7-3 to the Under in their last 10 road games as an underdog of +110 -+150. | |||||||
02-15-19 | St. Joe's v. Davidson -9.5 | 72-80 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #854 Davidson over St Joes (7p.m., Friday, February 15 ESPN 2) The Hawks cannot wait for this season to end coming off a 25-point loss at home to an average St Bonaventure team. When St Joes losses it tends to come in blowout fashion and that will be the case tonight in North Carolina. The Wildcats have won 6 of their last 7 games and they currently sit atop the standing in the Atlantic 10. St Joes is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Davisson is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. | |||||||
02-14-19 | Maple Leafs +111 v. Golden Knights | 6-3 | Win | 111 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. #67. Take Toronto over Vegas (Thursday, February 14 at 10:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Toronto Maple Leafs, we are going to ride the team in better form, and a team who has been lights out on the road, posting an 18-7-2 record away from home. The Leafs come into tonight's game after an easy 5-2 win over Colorado, so there shouldn't be much of a fatigue factor in their game for this one. The Leafs have already beaten the Golden Knights once this season, and we see no reason why they can't duplicate the feat. The Golden Knights have lost four straight home games and seeming can't figure it out at home. They just lost 5-2 to the Coyotes and now get a high-powered Leafs team to contend with - and that's not something I see them handling well. The Golden Knights are in a great play against spot tonight as they are just 1-5 in their last 6 games as a favorite and0-4 in their last four games as a home favorite. Not to mention, the Leafs are 7-0 in their last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation and 22-6 in their last 28 after scoring 5 or more goals in their previous game. We already know the crowd is going to be littered with Leaf fans, and the Leafs won't fall into the Vegas death trap that was T-Mobile arena last year. The Leafs will secure the win tonight. | |||||||
02-14-19 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | Top | 106-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
We have to admit that the Knicks offense has been putrid lately and that they haven’t been able to score points at all. Their offensive trends go against a total this high. But we see this game as a shootout on Thursday night as we head into the All-Star Break on Friday. Both of these teams are really bad defensively. Neither of these teams is going to the playoffs. There is not much to play for tonight and we think these players will have one foot out the door as they get ready to go on vacation. Any NBA team can score when there is no defense. Defense takes desire, effort and perseverance. Scoring is easy. We think this is going to be a mini version of the All-Star Game in that this will be a glorified game of street ball where no defense at all is played. The Hawks have give up 112 or more points in 10 straight games. This team plays at a fast pace and the Knicks offense should benefit. They have given up 120 or more in six of their last 10. The Knicks offense had their best game in awhile last night in a 111-point effort against Philly. They should be able to get more than that tonight, and on a back-to-back and with the break looming we don’t see them slowing down the Hawks offense or even really trying. The over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Atlanta and 13-6 in the last 19 meetings overall. | |||||||
02-14-19 | Delaware v. Towson -2 | 78-71 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #614 Towson over Delaware (7p.m., Thursday, February 14) These are two middle of the pack teams in the CAA and look for the Tigers to complete the season sweep of the Blue Hens. Towson already beat Delaware on the road and should be able to win this game by 6-8 points at home. The Tigers have won 4 of their last 6 CAA games. Delaware is 0-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games overall. Towson is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games against Delaware. | |||||||
02-13-19 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -3.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #830 Nebraska over Minnesota (9p.m., Wednesday, February 13 BTN) I think it is about time for Nebraska to cover a spread. We have been fading them all month long, but Minnesota is the type of team that cannot take advantage of Nebraska’s flaws. Minnesota was a get-well game for Michigan State over the weekend and I expect the same thing to occur for Nebraska tonight. The home team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Minnesota and Nebraska. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
02-13-19 | Georgia Tech +13 v. Virginia Tech | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #811 Georgia Tech over Virginia Tech (8p.m., Wednesday, February 13 ACCN) This play is fading Virginia Tech, as injuries have taken their toll on this team and they are not scoring enough points to cover these big spreads. Georgia Tech is awful, but they have been competitive in some of their conference games this season. The Hokies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Yellow Jackets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Tech’s. | |||||||
02-13-19 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 220 | Top | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
We went with the under with the Pacers last time out, and we are going to follow one of the strongest betting trends in the NBA this season once again on Wednesday. The under in the Pacers home games this season is 21-8. This is the No. 1 defensive team in the NBA. There aren’t a lot of good defensive teams in the league these days, but the Pacers are definitely one of them. They allow fewer than 99 points at home this season, which is quite amazing considering the point totals teams are putting up on a nightly basis. They won’t hold the Bucks to that few of points, but they do have a strong chance to slow the Bucks offense down. The Pacers have stepped up the D even more since Oladipo went out of the lineup. They have allowed an average of 91 PPG in their last four matchups. The Bucks have been putting up some big totals lately, hence the big number here, but we don’t see them scoring as effectively tonight. If this is going to be a competitive game, the Pacers will have to even the playing field with defense. Otherwise it will be a blowout. We think both potential results bode well for the under. For straight meetings in Indiana have gone under the posted total, and we think this number has been inflated too high as well. | |||||||
02-13-19 | SMU v. Temple -4.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #790 Temple over SMU (7p.m., Wednesday, February 13 ESPN3) The Owls will look to get back on track in Philadelphia after getting blown out last time out in Tulsa. The Owls are a much better team at home and gave Houston their only loss of the season. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Temple is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Jazz +9 v. Warriors | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Sometimes handicapping the NBA means looking into psychology more than numbers crunching. And we don’t think the Warriors head is in the game now. This team has been one of the worst bets in the NBA over the course of the last couple seasons. Their lines are always inflated because of public betting. They only care about the postseason because the one season they wanted the regular-season wins record is the year they lost the finals. All they care about is heading into the postseason with a good state of mind and healthy. They have streaks where they flex their muscles, and they have come off one like that, but they have now failed to cover in four of their last five. This team is one to fade until at least after the all-star break. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Celtics +7 v. 76ers | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
The Celtics have received a lot of bad press lately because they have struggled on the court and the Sixers did well at the Trade Deadline so they have gotten some good press. That has skewed the line in this game. We think this number should be around 4, and the Celtics should be very motivated here in this matchup. Boston has won and covered in six of the last seven meetings in this series, and they come in with two days rest after that very embarrassing loss to the Clippers where they blew a big lead. We think that they put their best foot forward here tonight. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Spurs -4 v. Grizzlies | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Spurs have lost four straight and they haven’t looked good doing it. But they have played all four games on the road and they have played an incredibly tough schedule, with their last three games against the Jazz, Blazers and Warriors. But this is a “get right” game for them and the Grizzlies are a bad team. They have won three of four, but those came against some pretty lousy opponents. San Antonio needs to stop the bleeding, and they have no choice but to give their best effort here tonight. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Flames +136 v. Lightning | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #33. Take Calgary +135 over Tampa Bay (Tuesday, February 12 at 7:35 p.m.) Calgary has played to clunkers in a row and they are too good to let that poor run continue. They face a Tampa team who beat them 5-4 in mid-December and they would like nothing more than to exact little revenge on them. Calgary will also be rested with three days off before puck drop tonight while Tampa will be playing their third game in four nights and fourth game in six. Take the Flames. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Hurricanes v. Senators +130 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #32. Take Ottawa +125 over Carolina (Tuesday, February 12 at 7:05 p.m.) Short and sweet - Carolina is on the last leg of their five-game road trip and will be eager to get home. This will also be their fourth game in six nights so we expect them to be a little fatigue. Ottawa has shown signs of competence over their last two wins and we believe that continues tonight. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Capitals +130 v. Blue Jackets | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #27. Take Washington +125 over Columbus (Tuesday, February 12 at 7:05 p.m.) The defending cup champions - winners of four of their last 6 games are underdogs on the road to an inconsistent Columbus team? Sign me up. The Caps are healthy and will be excited to make it back to back. They also have revenge for losing 2-1 to Columbus on Jan 21. Columbus is returning from a western road trip and we like to fade teams returning from an extended road trip. Caps get it done tonight. That's all for tonight. Check back tomorrow for more! | |||||||
02-12-19 | Michigan State -1 v. Wisconsin | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #621 Michigan State over Wisconsin (7p.m., Tuesday, February 12 ESPN 2) Michigan State has the bodies to offset Ethan Happ in the post and I am just not sure if Wisconsin can make enough perimeter shots to win this game. Wisconsin has already lost two home games this season during conference play and they have all but lost their chance to win the conference after losing over the weekend at Michigan. The line on this game is very telling, as Wisconsin opened has a 2.5 favorite only to have the Spartans favored at release time. The Spartans bounced back in a big way against Minnesota over the weekend. Michigan State is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Wisconsin is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on Tuesday. | |||||||
02-11-19 | Kansas +3 v. TCU | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #859 Kansas over TCU (9p.m., Monday, February 11 ESPN) A am not ready to write-off Kansas of not winning the Big 12 this season just yet. If they lose tonight, they will not win the conference, but I have a feeling they will pull this game out. TCU is coming off an unthinkable win over the weekend at Iowa State, but they have not performed well against the top teams in the league. Kansas already beat TCU by 9 points earlier this season. The Jayhawks have covered the spread in 3 of the last 5 meetings with the Horned Frogs (1 push). | |||||||
02-11-19 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
The Hornets have been in a couple shootouts lately, and we think as a result the oddsmakers have posted too high of a total here for this Monday night matchup. The Pacers are the No. 1 defensive team in the NBA. They have really stepped up their defensive game since Oladipo went out and they have allowed just 92 PPG in their last three matchups, and two of those games were against the Clippers and Lakers, teams that can score the basketball. We think there’s a good chance that they can hold the Hornets to a real low point total here. Anything under 105 seems very doable, and that should be enough to get this one under unless the Pacers go crazy on offense. Indiana held the Hornets to just 95 points when these teams met a few weeks ago. The Pacers scored 120 in that game, but 21 of those points came from Oladipo, and we don’t think they will put up a massive number on offense here. The under is also 20-8 in Pacers home games this season, and under-the-radar trend that is one of the strongest betting trends in the NBA this season. | |||||||
02-11-19 | Penguins v. Flyers +105 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #20. Take Philadelphia over Pittsburgh (Monday, February 11 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Philadelphia Flyers, we are not letting the line dictate which side we are going to back in this game. Pittsburgh is favored because Vegas believe that they are a good team and they will finally snap their four-game losing streak. To that, I say not so fast. Philadelphia has been among the hottest teams in the league for the last 2 weeks and has inched themselves closer to the final wildcard spot in the eastern conference. The Flyers are finally getting good goaltending from Carter Hart and the offense has ramped up and scored 38 goals in their last 10 games That's a pretty impressive run they are on. Now they get to face a Penguins team who have lost four straight and who has given up 15 goals over those four games. The Pens just simply don't look good right now. They look fatigued and we believe the Flyers are the right side in this spot. The Flyers are in a great play on spot tonight as they are 5-0 in their last 5 games an underdog, 6-0 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest, 4-0 in their last 4 vs the East and 7-1 in their last 8 home games. The Penguins, on the other hand, are just 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 vs the East. We will gladly take the team in better form in this one at an underdog price. | |||||||
02-10-19 | Maple Leafs -150 v. Rangers | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #15. Take Toronto -150 over New York Rangers (Sunday, February 10 at 7:05 p.m.) As per your selection on the Toronto Maple Leafs, we have no problem going back to the well on back-to-back nights to take Toronto in this spot. Look, Toronto is coming off a hard-fought 4-3 win over Montreal and we believe the quick turn around will be good for them given the momentum they are on and the adrenaline they will likely be playing on in this spot. They are also in a great play on spot tonight as they are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs the Metro division, 4-0 in their last 4 meetings vs New York and an impressive 5-2 in their last 7 meetings at Madison Square Garden. The Leafs have shown us their depth strength over their current four-game streak and we feel that this is something the Rangers simply cannot contend with. The Rangers are coming off a 3-0 loss to Carolina and we were on the Rangers in that game. They showed us nothing worth mentioning and couldn't even muster a goal on a night where they celebrated their 93/94 Stanley Cup Champion team. The Rangers are nearly dead last in goals for per game and shows on goal per game. They are also in the bottom third of the league in goals and shots allowed per game. If the Leafs show up to play like we believe they will, the Rangers will be in for a long night and the Leafs will push their winning streak to 5 games. The Rangers are 3-13 in their last 16 Sunday games, 1-4 in their last 5 home games and 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home underdog. | |||||||
02-10-19 | Suns v. Kings -9 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The Suns put together a competitive game every few games or so, and last time out they played well in a cover vs. the Warriors. Now they are in a letdown spot against a Kings team that won’t get the Suns too excited like the defending champs did. Despite some very generous lines from the oddsmakers, this team has covered only three of their last nine games. And despite generous numbers from the bookies all season, this team is in the Bottom 5 ATS teams this season. The Kings are playing well and have won four of five. They are proving they belong in the playoff picture when former Kings teams would have started folding by now. They have played exceptionally well at home, where they have won and covered in seven of their last eight overall, and that slate included some very solid teams. Sacramento is the third-best ATS team this season. And they are a very impressive 7-1 at home against sub-.500 clubs. They are 14-4 ATS overall against bad teams, and they normally take care of business against bad clubs, especially at home, where they have covered nine of 10 overall. | |||||||
02-10-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston -4.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #830 Houston -4 over Cincinnati (4p.m., Sunday, February 10 ESPN) The Cougars just win games and we will take them today with this low number against the Bearcats. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Cincinnati is 21-43 ATS in their last 4 games played on Sunday. Houston is 20-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games played against teams with a winning record. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Nebraska v. Purdue -10 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #750 Purdue over Nebraska (8:30p.m., Saturday, February 9 BTN) We have gone against Nebraska the last two games and see no reason for change course on Saturday night in West Lafayette. This Cornhusker team is shot and will enter this game have lost 6 straight games by over 9 points per game. This team cannot score points and the odds makers still have not caught on to how bad they are playing. Isaac Copeland was a lost they cannot overcome, and they have a lame duck coach with a veteran team that is just playing out the string. Nebraska is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game. Purdue has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games. Until proven otherwise we are going to keep fading Nebraska. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Hornets -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
We think that this line is a couple points too short tonight. Atlanta has played much better than expected this season but the Hornets are a much better ballclub, and they should be able to win this one comfortably. The Hornets come in off two straight losses, to much better teams, so they won’t take this game for granted tonight. They have covered in five of the last seven matchups in this series, so they match up well here. Atlanta is 2-8 ATS at home against teams that have a sub-.500 record, so they normally underwhelm in situations like this. The Hornets are just a game up in the Eastern Conference playoff picture and they need to win games like this to keep their playoff standing. This is the easiest game of their current four-game road trip. This team isn’t very good on the road. But they know they need to beat bad opponents like this on the road, and we think they will put their best foot forward tonight. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Maple Leafs -117 v. Canadiens | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #81. Take Toronto over Montreal (Saturday, February 9 at 7:05 p.m) This is a huge game in the NHL's Atlantic Division playoff race and we are going to side with the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs for a number of reasons. The Leafs come into this game rolling right along, winners of three straight. We like the fact that they have had the extra day of rest before heading to Montreal, whereas Montreal will be playing their 5th game in eight nights. The Leafs have shown us this year that they can, in fact, win tough road games as they are 16-6-2 away from Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs are in a great play on spot tonight as they are 5-0 in their last 5 meetings vs Montreal and the favorite in this series is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings. The Leafs are also 11-0 in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest and 9-2 in their last 11 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 21-6 in their last 27 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. The Habs, on the other hand, are just 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games and 7-20 in their last 27 home games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Habs have been one of the surprises of the season, but when the stakes are high like tonight - winner takes over the second spot in the Atlantic Division, we like the Leafs ability to score goals to trump the pesky Habs and their relentless forecheck. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Cavs v. Pacers -13.5 | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
We normally don’t like laying this many points. But we think this situation warrants it. The Pacers have been fine without Oladipo and they actually seem to be playing better. At least the offense has been on point. They have scored 136 and 116 in their last two games. They have won four straight and covered in three of four. This team seems intent to show they are still a strong team despite the loss of their best player, and they have an opponent tonight that they can easily blow out. Cleveland is coming in on a back-to-back and we just don’t think they can keep up on the scoreboard with the Pacers if they continue to score the basketball like this. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Villanova v. Marquette -1 | 65-66 | Push | 0 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #652 Marquette over Villanova (2:30p.m., Saturday, February 9 FOX) Villanova is extremely well coached but they talent level is nowhere near where it has been the last three years. They are not one of the top teams in the country and I see them losing this game today in Milwaukee. The Golden Eagles are coming off a home loss their last time out to St Johns. Some may think of that as a bad loss, but I do not since the Red Storm has the most talent in the Big East. Marquette needs this game more and I just do not see Villanova running the table in the Big East. The Favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 match-ups. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Wisconsin v. Michigan OVER 120 | 52-61 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #606 Over in Wisconsin @ Michigan (12p.m., Saturday, February 9 FOX) Both teams are good enough from the 3-point line to each hit 60 points in this game. Michigan has a great defense but they are starting to find out they cannot just win games on defense alone and need to focus some of their attention of offense. The total is way too low and expect this to be a close game and we will not worry if Michigan can cover the spread and just collect with the over. | |||||||
02-08-19 | Bucks -7.5 v. Mavs | Top | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
The Mavs have traded a bunch of starters over the trade deadline. This team will be fine in the short term and probably really good by next year. But in the very short term this team is in for some rough patches. They have to fit these new players in the lineup and tinker around with rotations. The Bucks are a bad team to try these experiments out on. The Bucks have won 11 of their last 12 games and they are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now. And this team is not only winning but also covering lines. They are 8-3-1 ATS during this current surge. They put up 148 points last time out against the Wizards, and an offense can’t be running much better than this one is right now. Dallas has been one of the best betting teams this season and they have been covering a lot of lines lately also. But the trade deadline changed the makeup of this team and it might take a few games to figure things out. And Doncic is questionable tonight for Dallas. If he is not at 100% that hurts this team a lot. We think there’s a great chance for a double-digit win here for the road team. | |||||||
02-07-19 | Washington v. Arizona +1.5 | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #644 Arizona over Washington (9p.m., Thursday, February 7 ESPN 2) Washington is not going to run the table in the conference and they will be lucky to win one of their next two games. Arizona wants this game and they played pretty well last week against Arizona State with Chase Jeter back in the line-up. Arizona is 17-6 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. | |||||||
02-07-19 | Canucks v. Blackhawks -130 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10-Unit Play. #52. Take Chicago over Vancouver (Thursday, February 7 at 8:35 p.m.) As per your selection on the Chicago Blackhawks - it took a while - a little longer than the Blackhawks would have liked, but the team is finally playing some great hockey and some hockey we've grown accustomed to watching them play over the last 10 years. The Blackhawks have won five straight games including three straight on the road to open the post-all star break slate. During the winning streak, the Hawks have found their scoring touch, scoring at 3, 4, 6, 7 and 8 goals in their respective wins. We like how that's going as now they get to face a Vancouver team who is giving up 3 goals a game, takes the third most penalty minutes and has a believe average penalty kill. The Hawks will be ready to play in this one as they have a pretty spaced out schedule since Feb 1. The extra rest should help them take advantage of a Vancouver team who is playing in their final road game of a 4-game post-all-star trip and just by watching them play you can tell they look gassed. This will be their third game in four nights and fourth in six. Something tells me they want to get back home and this game won't garner their full undivided attention. Look, the Hawks are in a good play on spot tonight as they are 5-1 in their last 6 games when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game and are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Meanwhile, the Canucks are 0-4 in their last 4 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or fewer in their previous game. This is a perfect spot to make this play an 8-Unit selection and we will cash this ticket. | |||||||
02-07-19 | Clippers v. Pacers -6 | Top | 92-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The Clippers are a team we have used plenty this season and they have been one of the better ATS teams in the league. But with the trade deadline moves this team made it’s clear they are tanking on this season now. They sent Harris, their best player, and a couple glue guys, to the Sixers for mostly draft picks. Management sent a clear message to the players that this is a lost season, and what was one of the deepest benches in the NBA has been gutted a bit. The Clips are in the midst of a long road trip and we just don’t see the players rising up to play hard in this one. They needed big comebacks to beat Detroit and Charlotte recently and they should have never been in that big of a hole to begin with. They played a real lackluster game on Sunday in Toronto. Indiana seems to be adapting well to life after Oladipo and they have won three straight entering this game. They played one of their best games of the season last time out vs. the Lakers, and we think they come into this game very confident and we see this as a potential double-digit win for the home team. | |||||||
02-06-19 | Wisconsin -3 v. Minnesota | 56-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #829 Wisconsin over Minnesota (9p.m., Wednesday, February 6 BTN) Just do not believe Minnesota is consistent enough to beat Wisconsin twice in a season. Wisconsin is playing much better since they lost to Minnesota in early January and will enter this game having won 6 straight games by at least 8 points. Minnesota will make the NCAA Tournament, but they are not one of the top teams in the league and I just do not believe they shoot the ball well enough to win these type of games consistently. Minnesota is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS win in their previous game. | |||||||
02-06-19 | Hornets v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
The Mavs are by far the best betting team this season at 32-19-1, and they don’t really move the needle with the general betting public due to the lack of big names on the roster. But this team has been easy to trust this season, and we will back them again here Wednesday. These teams played last month in Charlotte and the Mavs recorded one of the biggest blowouts on the NBA season, and we know they match up well in this contest. Dallas comes into this one with three nights rest and the Hornets played last night so they enter on a back-to-back. They looked awful in the second half in giving back a big lead to the Clippers, and we think they will have a hangover effect here. Dallas is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven and the oddsmakers just keep posting value lines with this team. We will take advantage again tonight. | |||||||
02-06-19 | Maryland +2 v. Nebraska | 60-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #787 Maryland over Nebraska (7p.m., Wednesday, February 6 BTN) We went against Nebraska on Saturday and will continue to fade them until they prove otherwise to us. Nebraska has lost 5 straight games and they have not been competitive in any of them. This team is lost without Isaac Copeland and I feel they will have a coaching change at the end of the season if they do not make the NCAA Tournament. Maryland is a young team and expect them to bounce back after a tough road game against Wisconsin last time out. Maryland is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. Nebraska is 0-6 ATS following a loss in their previous game. | |||||||
02-06-19 | George Mason -1.5 v. Richmond | 67-81 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #798 Richmond over George Mason (7p.m., Wednesday, February 6 ESPN+) NO bet against Richmond is a bad beat as they have a coach that will be replaced come March. The Spiders seem to be competitive early in games only to fade in the second half. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and most of them have not been competitive. George Mason is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Richmond is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Atlantic 10 games. George Mason is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings against Richmond. | |||||||
02-05-19 | Heat +8 v. Blazers | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Miami has been playing very strong defense lately, and we think they will slow the game down here. And with a lower-scoring game, that makes the points more valuable with the underdog. This is the first game of a long road trip for the Heat, and we think they do their best to get off to a strong start on the trip. The Heat haven’t been playing as well as they are capable of, but as they have dropped down in the playoff picture they know they need to have a solid road trip. We think they put their best foot forward tonight with a strong defensive effort. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |