Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-14-19 | Pelicans v. Clippers -2.5 | 121-117 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This New Orleans team should be much better. They look better on paper. They have one of the NBA’s best players. But there are some internal problems with this team, Anthony Davis is probably on his way out of town soon and everyone knows it, and this team is underachieving big time. That is almost the opposite of the Clips, who have put together a blue-collar effort that has them right in the playoff mix despite very low expectations. We think the number is right here and we think the Clips have a great chance for a comfortable win. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Blazers +3 v. Kings | 107-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Blazers had their four-game winning streak halted last night in Denver but we think this is a great spot for them to bounce back and get a win tonight. Portland is both 4-2 SU and ATS this season, so we don’t think the back-to-back will bother them. The Kings are much improved this season, but the Blazers are still the much better team and we think they have a great chance for the outright win here. Portland has won four straight in this series outright, and the Kings have not covered in the last four meetings (one push). | |||||||
01-14-19 | Sabres v. Oilers -121 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #084. Take Edmonton over Buffalo (Monday, January 14 at 9:05p.m.) As per this selection on Edmonton, we simply cannot believe this team is this bad. They have the best player in the game wearing their colors and are still getting outworked on a nightly basis - last time to the Arizona Coyotes who are ravaged with injuries. Tonight it's time to put up or shut up for this team. They take on a Sabres team who is in free-fall mode, as they are 3-6-1 in their last 10 and have been outscored 9-6 in their last two losses. Their defensive side has struggled mightily of late, and their goaltending is not doing them any favors. Buffalo is also in a great play against spot tonight as they are just 0-5 int heir last 5 games playing on 1-day rest and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall. Edmonton, on the other hand, is 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 or more goals in their previous game. Look, we have a future on Edmonton over their season points total, and as of right now, it's up in the air. It's time for the Oilers to string together some wins, and it starts tonight against a fading Buffalo team. If they can't win on home ice against the Sabres, it's time to stick a fork in them. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Pistons v. Jazz -8.5 | 94-100 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah has a strong history in this series as they have won and covered in five straight meetings in this series. This game is the last of a four-game road trip for the Pistons, and things mostly haven’t gone well. But they had their best game in awhile last time out in an emotional win in Blake Griffin’s first game back to play his old Clippers team. We think because of that big game and this being the last game of the road trip that this is a bad spot for the road team. Utah has won three straight and five of six and they are in fine form right now. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Northern Colorado -2 v. Montana State | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #879 Northern Colorado over Montana State (9p.m., Monday, January 14) Two of the top teams in the Big Sky are set to do battle in Boseman. The Bears are coming off a blowout loss at home to Montana and expect them to take out their frustration on the Bobcats. Northern Colorado is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Montana State is 22-48 ATS (1 push) in their last 71 games following an ATS win in their previous game. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Wisconsin +150 v. Maryland | 60-64 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #871 Wisconsin over Maryland (8:30, Monday, January 14 FS1) Just do not see a blowout in this game and we will grab the points in this game. Wisconsin is undefeated on the road this year in conference play including wins at Penn State and Iowa. Maryland has played an easy schedule in conference and will be tested much more in the next three games. Wisconsin is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games. Maryland is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the 8 last meetings. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Cavs v. Lakers OVER 220.5 | 101-95 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
This series has a strong history to the over as that has cashed in 10 of the last 11 meetings and five straight in Los Angeles. These teams don’t play often, so that trend stretched back a long time. We expect another shootout tonight. Sharp money has driven this total up since release, but we think there is still nice value here as we had this number handicapped at 226-227. There won’t be a lot of defense played in this one, and we think this game might be competitive as both teams should get enough points to push this one over the number. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Denver is also one of the best teams in the NBA at home this season, where they are 17-3. Portland is good at home, too, but worse than mediocre on the road at 8-10 on the season. They are coming off a home-heavy schedule where they had a lot of success and they are a bit overrated by the oddsmakers coming into this game. Portland has failed to cover in any of the last four meetings (one push), and we see the Nuggets getting a comfortable 7+-point win here tonight. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #067. Take Under - Tampa Bay vs New York Islanders (Sunday, January 13 at 7:05p.m.). As per this selection on the under here, this is a bit of a contrarian play given the recent run of both teams. Tampa has played to the over in 8 of the last 12 games, but we feel that playing in their second game of a back-to-back after traveling will catch up with them tonight. This is also their third game in four nights, and the fourth game in six nights. I've watched enough NHL in my day to know that heading to the Island for a Sunday matchup is a tough spot. The Islanders, on the other hand, have are one of the best defensive teams in the league (weird, I know) giving up just 2.64 goals per game which are ranked third. They also don't generate too many chances, as they rank 28th in shots on goal with 28.3. The Islanders have stayed under the number 4 times in their last 7 games, and they are in a great under spot here, as the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games while playing on 0 days rest. The under is also 8-2-1 in their last 11 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game, and 15-5-1 in their last 21 Sunday games. We know that Tampa is the better team in this matchup, but we simply think two good goalies will shut the door and it will be a very boring matchup. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Warriors v. Mavs +6.5 | Top | 119-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Dallas is one of the best home teams in the league at 16-4 on the season, and the Warriors have been just a little better than mediocre on the road at 11-8. We had Golden State listed as a slight favorite here but we think this line is inflated. Dallas is 6-2 ATS at home this season against above-.500 clubs, and they should give their best effort tonight against the defending champs. Dallas is one of the best ATS teams in the league this season, and we trust them again tonight. | |||||||
01-13-19 | IUPU Ft Wayne -1.5 v. South Dakota | 73-87 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #861 IPFW over South Dakota (2p.m., Sunday, January 13 ESPN 3) The Mastodons sit atop the standing in the Summit League and they have stay there for the whole year. They have covered the spread in 5 straight games. South Dakota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -3.5 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 121 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #306 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 13 CBS) The Chargers have been on a roll but playing their third straight road games against a rested team will doom them in. The Patriots are a much better team at home and they are the only team that did not lose a home game this season. Los Angeles still seems to be banged up at the skill positions and I am not sure that their wide receivers can stretch the field against New England. QB Rivers is 1-5 in his career against New England and is 0-2 in the playoffs. New England is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against New England. Everyone is doubting the Patriots at this moment, but they still are the Patriots with the best coach/quarterback combo of all time. New England dominates for 60 minutes and wins this game by double digits. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Hornets +5.5 v. Kings | 97-104 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Charlotte is in the midst of a tough road trip and the Kings are much improved this season, but this spread has us scratching our heads as the Kings are getting too much respect here from the oddsmakers. Sacramento has lost five of their last seven. We think the Hornets are the better team in this matchup and we think they have a very good chance to win outright. They close this road trip at San Antonio, so this game is crucial to salvage the road trip as if they lose this one and lose in SA, this trip will be deemed a total disaster. Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in the last five trips to Sacramento. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Cal-Irvine -2.5 v. CS-Fullerton | 63-46 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #753 UC Irvine -2.5 over Cal State Fullerton (9p.m., Saturday, January 12) The Anteaters are always a top team in the Big West and they have gotten back on track winning two straight games. The road team is 7-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 10 meetings. Irvine is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 road games. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Nevada -3.5 v. Fresno State | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #739 Nevada -3.5 over Fresno State (8p.m., Saturday, January 12 ESPN U) Getting some value with Nevada after they got blown out last week in New Mexico. Nevada is still loaded and far and away the best team in the league. Getting them at this low of a number is too good to pass up. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Celtics -7 v. Magic | 103-105 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
We just really like the form Boston is in right now. We give them a mulligan last time out in a bad loss at Miami as that was a quick back-to-back and their third game in four nights. They took the night off there. They have had a day of rest now and should get back on track here in Orlando. This team has now covered in 19 straight games where they won SU, and the point spread doesn’t come into play a lot in the games as long as they win. This has been one of the most trustworthy teams to bet on in the NBA the last couple seasons. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Grizzlies +5 v. Heat | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
There is a reason why this is one of the lowest posted totals of the season. The bookies barely ever post a total under 200 this season, and this one was posted just under and bet down by sharps, but there is still value left at this number with two teams that have trouble scoring and play strong defense. Memphis has hit the century mark just one time in their last five games, and that was when they scored 100 against Brooklyn. These are two Top 5 defenses and both offenses are in the Bottom 6 of the NBA in scoring. This should be an old-school defensive battle, and you have to like the underdog in what should be a low-scoring game, making the points more valuable. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat UNDER 195 | 108-112 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
There is a reason why this is one of the lowest posted totals of the season. The bookies barely ever post a total under 200 this season, and this one was posted just under and bet down by sharps, but there is still value left at this number with two teams that have trouble scoring and play strong defense. Memphis has hit the century mark just one time in their last five games, and that was when they scored 100 against Brooklyn. These are two Top 5 defenses and both offenses are in the Bottom 6 of the NBA in scoring. This should be an old-school defensive battle, and you have to like the underdog in what should be a low-scoring game, making the points more valuable. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 100 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts over Kansas City Chiefs (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 12 NBC) The Colts are the offense to tear apart this Chiefs defense and I see them winning this game straight-up on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City has lost 6 straight home playoff games and if they hit adversity early in this game expect their crowd and players to panic. Indianapolis put forth a dominating performance last week on defense and shutdown Houston for much of that game. Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Kansas -3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #689 Kansas over Baylor (4p.m., Saturday, January 12 ESPN) Kansas lost their last road game but losing is something they just do not do that often in Big 12 play. The Jayhawks lost Udoka Azubuike and thus I believe the odds makers have over adjusted the spread in both of there games this week. They controlled the game with TCU from the start and I expect them to be ahead most of this game as well. Kansas is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Baylor. The road team is 20-7 ATS (1 push) in the last 28 meetings. Baylor already lost to SFA at home this year and they are not as strong as they have been in year’s past. Kansas gets back on track today in Waco. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Western Illinois v. North Dakota -4.5 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #778 North Dakota -5 over Western Illinois (12p.m., Saturday, January 12 ESPN+) We went against Western Illinois earlier this week playing North Dakota State and will do the same on Saturday playing North Dakota. The Leathernecks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Fighting Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Saturday. 78% of the money is on North Dakota and we fully agree. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
01-11-19 | Purdue v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 84-80 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. #806 Wisconsin over Purdue (9p.m., Friday, January 11 FS1) Just do not believe Purdue is that game this season. Carson Edwards has been terrible during conference play and Wisconsin has the size to easily match-up with Purdue in the paint. This is a brutal stretch for Purdue having played Michigan State on the road earlier this week and now must play a second straight road game in Madison tonight. Purdue has gotten pounded in both of their conference road games this season. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Wisconsin is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Big 10 games. | |||||||
01-11-19 | Sabres +108 v. Hurricanes | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #025. Take Buffalo vs Carolina (Friday, January 11 at 7:35p.m.) As per this selection on Buffalo, we like how the club has responded after losing their Captain, Jack Eichel for a short period of time. His absence has meant that Jeff Skinner is now the focal point of the attack and he has delivered in a big way so far. Now Skinner makes his return to Carolina where he spent his first 8 years, and you know when a player returns to his former stomping ground, that team plays extremely hard for him to get the win. We like the fact that Buffalo is rested and is going off a good win against New Jersey. The Sabres have played just four games in January and have had two days off between their last two games. We believe they will have the fresher legs tonight and that'll make the world of difference. Carolina, on the other hand, is going off a 3-1 loss last night to Tampa and will be playing in back-to-back situations tonight, after traveling. That's tough to do. Not to mention, this is Carolina's third game in four nights, a spot in which they've won only 5 times in their last 20 games in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. The Sabres come in with some great trends to bank on, as they are 4-1 int heir last 5 after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game and are 6-2 in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. We believe Buffalo is trending in the right direction and they will be the better team tonight and secure the two points and cash our ticket. | |||||||
01-11-19 | Nets +9.5 v. Raptors | Top | 105-122 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Not a lot of people realize it, but if the season ended right now the Nets would be in the postseason. That’s not a major accomplishment in the East and they are just 21-22, but the perception of the public is that this is a lottery team, but the truth is that they are playing some decent basketball. This team has covered in four of their last five games, and they have won straight up in all those covers. The Raptors have won three straight, but this team is not in the same fine form they were when they set the NBA ablaze early in the season. They have covered just 3 of their last 13 games overall, a clear sign that their play on the court is not matching the oddsmaker expectations. This team has had lots of trouble covering big lines this season as they are 4-11 ATS when laying nine or more points this season. They are 4-7 ATS at home against Sub-.500 clubs. Brooklyn has also covered in three of the last four meetings, two of which went to overtime (the Nets won the last meetings between these clubs, in December). | |||||||
01-10-19 | Clippers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 100-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
We have been making a lot of money with the Clippers lately, but we think it’s time to go the other way tonight. Denver is one of the best home teams in the NBA at 16-3 while the Clippers are mediocre on the road at 10-10. LA has won three straight, but those all came against flawed opponents. They take a hefty step up in competition tonight. Denver has won six of their last seven, and they are in fine form right now. This team is 13-6 ATS at home this season, so when they win they normally cover the line as well. They are also 8-2 ATS at home against teams above .500, so they get up when the best of the best competition comes to Denver. The Nuggets have covered in seven of the last 10 meetings in this series, and they have revenge for a beatdown in LA last month that was a bad spot for them. They should get their revenge tonight in what we see as a comfortable 7+-point win. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Jets +109 v. Wild | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #013. Take Winnipeg +105 vs Minnesota (Thursday, January 10, 8:05 pm) As per your selection on Winnipeg, we like the fact that Winnipeg is rolling right now and finally scoring goals again. Over their last two wins they've found the back of the net 12 times, against two very good teams. Now they roll into Minnesota, and have a bit of revenge on their plate as the last time they played the Wild they were on the wrong end of a 3-1 game. The Wild on the other hand got shut out to end their four game road trip and now have a quick turn around at home against a fast skating, high scoring team. That's not exactly a recipe for success, so at this underdog price for one of the best teams in the league, the Jets are definitely worth a shot. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Western Illinois v. North Dakota State -7 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #688 North Dakota State -7 over Western Illinois (8p.m., Thursday, January 10 ESPN3) The Bison are traditionally a top team in the Summit League but have fallen off a little this year. Expect them to be one of the top teams in the league and they should be able to win this game by double digits. When the Leathernecks lose, they tend to get blown out evident by the fact their last 4 losses have come over tonight’s posted number. Western Illinois is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. 78% of the money is coming in on the Bison and we will follow suit as well. | |||||||
01-09-19 | San Jose State +27.5 v. Nevada | 53-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #841 San Jose State over Nevada (11p.m., Wednesday, January 9 CBSSN) This is a get-well game for Nevada, a team that is coming off their first loss of the season at New Mexico in blowout fashion. Nothing good can be said about the Spartans, but they can play zone in this game and force Nevada to shoot it well from long range. This is something Nevada has not done well all season long. Nevada may win this game by 40 points, but we will grab the points since this is a conference game. | |||||||
01-09-19 | Arizona -2.5 v. Stanford | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #843 Arizona over Stanford (11p.m., Wednesday, January 9 PAC12N) Arizona will be one of the top 4 teams in the conference and they are off to an impressive 2-0 start in conference play. Stanford lost both conference games by double digits and they are in a major rebuild without Redi Travis, who left them for Kentucky. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Palo Alto. Stanford is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. | |||||||
01-09-19 | Pacers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 108-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Despite the records, the Pacers are on the second tier of Eastern Conference contenders while the Celtics are the top tier. Boston just got off to a slow start this season while the Pacers have overachieved. But Boston is rounding into playoff form right now, and they are clearly the stronger team in this matchup. They have won and covered in three straight games. Once this team gets rolling they can cover a lot as they have been one of the best betting teams the last couple years. This team has now covered in 17 straight games where they have won, so when they win the spread normally doesn’t even come into play. The Pacers have actually won the last three meetings in this series, so we think the Celtics will give max effort here at home. This is the first meeting in Boston this season. | |||||||
01-09-19 | Dayton -9 v. George Washington | 72-66 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #805 Dayton over George Washington (7p.m., Wednesday, January 9 ESPN+) The Flyers are the best team in the A-10 this season and expect them to stay atop the standing for the entire year. Dayton has covered the spread against George Washington in 8 of the last 9 meetings. The Flyers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Hornets v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Charlotte is a really bad road team at 5-12 this season. They face a Clippers team tonight that has been playing well and will continue to provide betting value all season long because of the lack of big names on the roster. Preseason perception of this team was that this squad was a lottery team, and many think they will still fall short of the postseason, but we think, barring major injuries, that this will be a solid playoff team. They play unselfish basketball and the depth is great. They are the No. 3 earner in the NBA for betting, and we like this number again tonight on the south side of the NBA key betting number of 7. Both teams were off yesterday but the Hornets played the second of a back-to-back on Sunday, so this will be their third game in four nights, and this team is in the midst of a long road trip that can possibly sink their season unless they start to play better on the road. The Clippers have covered in seven of their last nine overall, and we think they are undervalued again here on Tuesday. | |||||||
01-08-19 | North Carolina v. NC State -1 | 90-82 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #640 NC State over North Carolina (9p.m., Tuesday, January 8 ESPN) Just not a fan of this Tar Heel team whatsoever. They will win a bunch of games, but I am not sure Luke Maye and company can lead you to the promise land. NC State will be up for this game and this is one of the few times they are on equal footing with regards to talent. The Wolfpack have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Southern Illinois -1.5 v. Drake | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #629 Southern Illinois over Drake (8p.m., Tuesday, January 8 ESPN+) The Bulldogs have gotten off to a bad start in MVC play losing two straight games to open up conference play. Southern Illinois is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Southern Illinois wins this game by 6-8 points. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Hurricanes +112 v. Islanders | 4-3 | Win | 112 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #045. Take Carolina vs New York Islanders (Monday, January 8 at 7:05p.m.) As per this selection on Carolina, we are starting to see Carolina capitalizing on their chances. They lead the league in shots on goal per game but are still dead last in shooting percentage and 28th in goals for. Over their last four games, all wins, the Hurricanes have scored 17 goals total, which is good enough for four goals per game. We like the spot Carolina is in tonight as they are in a great play on spot. The Canes are 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. As I already mentioned, the Canes are finally scoring goals and goal scoring is streaky in the NHL. We will ride them tonight to get another win and extend this good trend. Furthermore, the Canes are 16-7 in their last 23 meetings when playing on the Island. We understand the fact that the Islanders are also rolling right along, winning six straight. But they are still among the worst teams in generating shots on net and they have one of the worst Corsi For percentages in the league. If you don't have the puck, chances are you're not going to score a lot of goals. This is a great spot for Carolina to get a win and we believe the Islanders will come out a little complacent after a comeback road win vs St.Louis on the road. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -11 | 84-82 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #620 Ball State over Eastern Michigan (7p.m., Tuesday, January 8 ESPN+) The Cardinals have won 9 of their last 10 games and should have no problem taking down one of the worst teams in the league. The Eagles have played a brutal schedule of late and gotten blown out against ranked teams in their last 2 games. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Jazz v. Bucks -5.5 | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is one of the best home teams in the NBA at 18-4, and they cover here at home more often than not. Utah is just not the same team this season. As soon as you think they have started to turn the corner they come back with a lousy game. Milwaukee is rolling right now and they have covered five of their last six games. We think they come out strong here and win this one comfortably. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS at home against .500 or under teams this season, and we think they will give max effort tonight. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets -1 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Houston has won eight straight in this series, and they have covered in six of those games. Denver has a great team this year and their depth is amazing compared to the Rockets, who are top heavy, but Houston is playing lights out right now and we think this line is short. Houston had their win streak broken last time out against the Blazers, so they will be anxious to get back on the winning track here tonight. Despite the records this is the better team, and the Nuggets have been mediocre on the road so far this season. No upset here tonight. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama -5.5 v. Clemson | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #152 Alabama Crimson Tide over Clemson Tigers (8p.m., Monday, January 7 ESPN) For the first time in the playoff era an undefeated team will emerge victorious for this game. Both teams were impressive in their semi-final game, but I just cannot go against Alabama especially when the line is under a touchdown. Alabama has a quarterback that can move the ball at will in the passing game and I am just not sure a freshman quarterback will be able to match Tua Tagovailoa blow for blow. Alabama beat Clemson 24-6 last year and I see them winning this game by double digits as well. Just cannot go against Nick Saban in this type of a game. The Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against ACC teams. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Nets v. Celtics -9.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Boston has scored double-digit wins in their last two games, and we think they make it three straight tonight. Brooklyn has won three straight, but one of those wins was against the Bulls, and that was yesterday, which means they are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights tonight. This team hasn’t been good with no rest at 2-7 ATS. Boston has had two nights off heading into this game, and rest is becoming very crucial at this point of the season. The Celts should have Irving and Morris back tonight. We expect a strong performance. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Hornets v. Suns +2 | Top | 119-113 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Love the Suns in this spot. Phoenix has one more win at home than the Hornets do on the road! We think the wrong team is favored here. Charlotte is terrible on the road. They are coming in on a back-to-back after playing in the high altitude of Denver last night, and that is always tough as it takes a toll on the bodies of these players. The Suns have lost five straight, but they have played five strong playoff teams, and they have had one of the toughest schedules in the NBA lately. This is their most winnable game recently, and we think they put their best foot forward. This team is actually 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games and this young team is quietly playing a lot better and has a bright future ahead if these players continue to develop. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Wisconsin +1 v. Penn State | 71-52 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #825 Wisconsin over Penn State (7:30p.m., Sunday, January 6 BTN) Expect Wisconsin to bounce back on Sunday against a team that will be without their head coach. The Badgers shot the ball poorly last time out against Minnesota, especially from the free throw line. That will correct that and have had success against Penn State, a team that beat last year in Happy Valley. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. Penn State is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Rangers +115 v. Coyotes | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #045. Take New York Rangers +115 vs Arizona (Sunday, January 6 at 4:05p.m.) **Note the Early Start time** As per this selection on the New York Rangers, we've been tracking Arizona over the last few weeks and we simply don't believe they are good enough to win a game against a good team like the Rangers. Sure, the Rangers are coming off a 6-1 drubbing vs Colorado, but in that game, they took 10 penalties, something their coach was none too pleased about. He was actually furious, and we expect the team to clean that part of their game up and get back to playing the kind of hockey we know the Rangers are capable of playing. The Rangers are also in a great spot to do well in this game as they are 46-20 vs the Pacific division, 19-7-1 in their last 27 games vs Arizona and that includes 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in the desert. The Yotes, on the other hand, are just 1-7 in their last 8 home games, 2-12 in their last 14 vs the East and 2-7 in their last 9 when playing on 1 days rest. This game is simply about bouncing back in a big way and the Rangers are a good team when they are coming off a loss. Also, we like the goalie matchup in this one, with Lundqvist going against Kuemper. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Nets -2.5 v. Bulls | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Many reasons to like the Nets in this spot, and mainly we feel this line is too short. Brooklyn has covered in four straight meetings and in six of the last seven. They have been pretty good on the road at 9-10, a winning percentage that some of the better teams in the league can’t achieve. They enter on a two-game winning streak, so they are in nice form and have momentum. And they are 4-1 ATS as a small favorite this season, in the spot they find themselves in today. We see a pretty good chance for a comfortable win on Sunday. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Magic v. Clippers -6.5 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
This current road trip isn’t going well for the Magic, who were blown out by the two good teams they played. And they are playing the best team so far on the current road trip. The Clippers keep getting underestimated by the oddsmakers because of the lack of stars. But this team is a legit playoff team this year. They have great chemistry, above-average coaching, and nice offensive weapons. Orlando hasn’t beaten the Clippers in many years, and we don’t see it happening tonight as the Clips cruise to an easy win. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Rockets v. Blazers +1 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
We think this is a massive letdown spot for the Rockets after their OT win over the Warriors on Thursday. They expended a lot of energy in that one, and they could be sluggish here. Even if they play well, Portland is very good at home, and they have a strong history against the Rockets, covering in five of the last seven matchups. Portland comes in on a back-to-back after a close home loss to OKC, but we think they were looking ahead to this game, and we expect them to give full effort here. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 203.5 | 88-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The Spurs are coming off their big game against Toronto on Thursday and we think the offense may be sluggish in this one. The Grizzlies have been one of the better under teams in the NBA this season and their offense is nothing to write home about. We don’t see either offense going off tonight, and we think both teams will be solid on the defensive end. This one could be a blowout and the Grizzlies often have trouble reaching the century mark and we think that could be the case tonight. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -1 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 80 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 Dallas Cowboys over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 5 FOX) The Seahawks closed out the regular season with back-to-back home games, but they are just not the same team on the road. Seattle beat Dallas earlier this season, but this game will be in the State of Texas. Dallas has they pass rushers to sack QB Wilson, something that happened 51 times this season. Dallas has won 7 of their last 8 games. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Nevada v. New Mexico +15 | 58-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #722 New Mexico over Nevada (8p.m., Saturday, January 5 ESPN U) These teams do not like each other, and these coaches do not like each other. Playing at the Pit is always a tough task and thus we do not see a blowout in this game. New Mexico has talent they just do not play up to it that often. The Lobos will be up for this game and thus expect to keep it around a 9-11 point deficit. The Underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Clemson v. Duke -15 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #604 Duke over Clemson (8p.m., Saturday, January 5 ESPN) Duke has a chance to go 17-1 in the ACC and they will certainly not be the game they lose. Duke is the best team in the country talent wise and Clemson just will not be able to keep pace in this game. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. Clemson is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Jazz v. Pistons +4 | 110-105 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The Pistons have been strong at home, and we like them to win here in their first game back home after a four-game road trip. We had this game handicapped at pickem and these teams are both having disappointing seasons so far. We think this game is a tossup, so taking the points is the only way to go here. We expect a close game throughout and think that the Pistons will pull away late in the fourth. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans | 21-7 | Loss | -125 | 76 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 5 ABC) Everyone is one the Colts bandwagon, but I just do not believe that can beat the Texans twice in one season in Houston. The Texans are 11-2 in their last 13 games and they have the pass rushers to get to QB Luck early and often. Beating Blaine Gabbert is not the same as beating DeShaun Watson on the road and Houston will advance to play New England. Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road playoff games. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. | |||||||
01-05-19 | St. John's -1.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 97-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #617 St Johns over Georgetown (1p.m., Saturday, January 5 CBS) The Red Storm are for real and they continue to be undervalued by the odds makers. Both teams have played an easy schedule thus far in nonconference play. I just feel St Johns is farther along in year 4 of Chris Mullen compared to year 2 of Patrick Ewing. St Johns is still made from the officiating they received in New Jersey last Saturday and expect a similar performance to what we saw from them against Marquette during the week. St. Johns is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Big East games. Georgetown is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Big East games. The favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings. | |||||||
01-04-19 | Devils v. Coyotes UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #069. Take Under 6 - New Jersey vs Arizona (Friday, January 4 at 9:05p.m.) As per this selection on the under, we just don't see where the goals are going to come from. The Devils are missing their best player in Taylor Hall and despite going over the total two nights ago against Dallas, they've played to the under 4 of their last 6 games prior to that. We like the fact that the Devils rank 18th in PP% and will be going up against the first ranked PK in the league. We doubt they find a way to score a PP goal in this one. Not to mention, the Devils own PK is ranked third in the league, and that will be going up against the 22nd ranked PP in the league, so special teams won't be so special in this one. Arizona has played to the under in three of their last four games and in those three games, they've managed just one goal. We can fully see that happening again tonight as they are still without several key pieces throughout the lineup. The Yotes are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 vs the East and 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning % below .400. We just don't see where goals will come from in this spot, and we like the fact that the total sits at an even 6 instead of 5.5. Take a shot with the under here. | |||||||
01-04-19 | Wizards v. Heat -7.5 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Miami has been a covering machine lately as they are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games. We think they are undervalued here again tonight. Miami is the kind of team that can hold betting value all year long because of their lack of star power, and we think there’s a good chance for a double-digit win tonight. Washington has covered only one of five meetings in this series. Of course, they are without John Wall, their best player, who has been lost for the season. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS as a dog of 6 or more points this season, meaning they have failed every chance in a situation like they are in tonight. They are only 4-16 on the road this season, and that was with Wall leading the way most of the season. This team just doesn’t have any identity this season, and we don’t expect them to show up in this one tonight. | |||||||
01-03-19 | Rockets +8.5 v. Warriors | Top | 135-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
We just think that this is too many points. The Warriors are playing well, but when that happens the numbers get too high and this team has been one of the worst bets in the NBA the last couple seasons because of that fact. They are 16-22 ATS on the season, and they have covered only two of their last seven. Houston is the hotter team right now. They have won 10 of 11 and are playing well without Chris Paul. We expect them to put their best foot forward tonight in what should be a very competitive game. | |||||||
01-03-19 | Minnesota +9.5 v. Wisconsin | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #655 Minnesota over Wisconsin (9p.m., Thursday, January 3 BTN) We will grab the points in this game, as Minnesota has just as much talent as Wisconsin. Playing at the Kohl Center is worth some points but not this many. Wisconsin continues to be over valued evident by the spread over the weekend against WKU, a game they lost straight-up. The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Expect a 5-6 point hard fought victory for Wisconsin. | |||||||
01-03-19 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco -2 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #660 San Francisco over Saint Mary’s (9p.m., Thursday, January 3 ESPN 2) This is the years teams from the WCC can get revenge on the Gaels. Saint Mary’s has already lost 6 times this year and USF is hanging around the bubble watch with regards to the NCAA Tournament. This is the type of game they must win in order to stay on the bubble. Saint Mary’s is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 WCC games. The home team has covered the spread in the last 4 meetings. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
01-03-19 | Panthers -108 v. Sabres | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #051. Take Florida vs Buffalo (Thursday, January 3 at 7:05p.m.). As per this selection on Florida, we simply like the fact that they are the better team at this stage of the season, and after allowing three first period goals to Detroit in their last game, they should be focused and come out with a purpose in this one. Look, Florida needs to string together some wins in order to get back into the postseason race and one of the teams they need to catch is Buffalo. Florida has been playing well lately, winning two straight games and six of their last eight games and they've been decent enough on the road - posting a .500 record. Buffalo, on the other hand, are slumping. They were the hottest team in November as they won 10 straight, but they are currently riding a three-game losing streak, and have lost 5 of their last 6. They may also be without their Captain and best player, Jack Eichel, who suffered an upper-body injury in their last game. Without Eichel, the Sabres will struggle to score goals even more than they already do (they rank 22nd with 2.8 goals per game). This is also a great spot to play against the Sabres as they are just 0-4 in their last 4 vs the East, 1-5 in their last 5 vs the Atlantic division, and just 3-10 in their last 13 meetings while hosting Florida. The Panthers are 5-1 int heir last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Take the Panthers. | |||||||
01-02-19 | 76ers v. Suns +5 | Top | 132-127 | Push | 0 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
The Suns got smoked last time out against the Warriors, but this team has been playing hard lately and their young nucleus is starting to come together. They have covered in eight of their last 10 games, so they are playing above oddsmakers expectations. Philly comes in on a back-to-back and this is their third game in four nights, and they go home after this game, so this may be a letdown spot for them. This team has not been very good on the road this season, where they are 7-12 ATS on the season. | |||||||
01-02-19 | Indiana State +7.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 44-79 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #819 Indiana State over Loyola Chicago (9p.m., Wednesday, January 2 ESPN+) The Ramblers are still getting too much respect from the odds makers after making the Final Four last year. This team is nowhere near that level and they are just 7-6 on the season and have yet to record a quality win. Loyola is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take the points in this game that should go down to the wire. | |||||||
01-02-19 | New Mexico v. Air Force | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #823 New Mexico over Air Force (9p.m., Wednesday, January 2 ATTSN) New Mexico underachieved during the nonconference portion of the season but they still have talent. The No. 2 seed in the MWC is up for grabs and the Lobos have a chance to get it but they must win these type of games. The Falcons have not recorded any quality wins this season. The Lobos have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 MWC games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics -5.5 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The Celtics could be without Kyrie Irving tonight, but we don’t think that will matter and we expect them to win this one by 7+ even without him on the court. Boston has covered in five straight meetings between these teams, and we think they have the upper hand tonight over the inconsistent Wolves, who play much better at home than on the road. The Celtics are coming off a tough road trip but now have a homestand, and we think this team is trending up in betting markets. | |||||||
01-02-19 | Mavs +1.5 v. Hornets | 122-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas hasn’t been able to win on the road this season, but this looks like a good spot where they can secure win No. 3 away from home. They are a better team in this matchup and we had them as a slight favorite in our handicapping of the game. Dallas has covered in five of their last six games overall, and this team continues to play well while under the radar. | |||||||
01-02-19 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -3.5 | 80-70 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #786 Xavier over Seton Hal (6:30p.m., Wednesday, January 2 FS1) Much like our play with St. Johns yesterday, we will fade Seton Hall tonight. The Pirates got a gift over the weekend from the refs and karma will set in for them tonight in Cincinnati. Both teams lost a ton of talent from last season, but Xavier is always a tough team to beat at home. The Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Musketeers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on Wednesday. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Marquette v. St. John's +1 | Top | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #606 St Johns over Marquette (7p.m., Tuesday, January 1 FS1) This game can go 1 of 2 ways for the Red Storm. They entered last Saturday undefeated and dominated for most of the game against Seton Hall. Missed some free throws and got hosed by the refs and they ended up losing at the buzzer but still covered the spread. Now this must regroup and make sure the conference season does not go down the drain. I think they will since they have the best player and Marquette has done most of their damage at home. The Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. St. Johns is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with Marquette. This is a game the Red Storm need to save their season and they get it by 6-8 points. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -6.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 149 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Ohio State Buckeyes over Washington Huskies (5p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ESPN Rose Bowl) Urban Meyer may not be popular with the national media but he is loved in Columbus especially by his staff and he will get the proper sendoff in this game. Ohio State has a huge edge on offense and their defense has been playing much better of late. Washington got pounded by Penn State last year in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game, as the final score was not indicative of how Penn State dominated. Beating Washington State is not that same as beating Ohio State and I just do not believe they can keep this game in single digits. Dwayne Haskins will likely be heading to the NFL after this game and he will want to put on a show in a standalone game in Pasadena. Washington is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State -6.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -106 | 145 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Penn State Nittany Lions over Kentucky Wildcats (1p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ABC Citrus Bowl) Kentucky was overanked for most of the season and they are just not a good team whatsoever. Penn State is well coached, and they will be able to score points in this game and I just do not believe Kentucky will be able to keep up. The Wildcats are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 nonconference games. Penn State is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 nonconference games. Sometimes it is best not to overthink these things. Kentucky is a basketball school and Penn State is a football school. Expect Penn State to win this game by double-digits. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Panthers -125 v. Red Wings | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #023. Take Florida -125 vs Detroit (Monday, December 31 at 9:05 p.m.). As per this selection on Florida, we like the fact that they are coming off a solid come from behind win against Philadelphia in their latest game. We also like the fact that the Panthers own a 9-2 record in their last 11 games in Detroit against these very Red Wings. We like the fact that Detroit has been absolutely brutal of late, losing four straight and giving up 5 goals in three of four including the last three games. Florida should be able to light the lamp more than a few times tonight as the Panthers manage the 10th most goals per game (3.22) and the fourth most shots per game (34.3). They also have the third-best power play in the league, connecting at a 28.5 percent clip. Defensively, the Wings are 25th in goals allowed, 29th in shots allowed and 24th in PK percentage. If Florida comes prepared to play like we believe they will, this game will be no contest. The Panthers are in a great play on spot tonight as they are 5-0 in their last 5 Monday games, 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game, 7-2 in their last 9 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and 8-3 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. The Wings trends are as bad as you would think they would be. They are 1-5 in their last 5 home games, 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games and 6-20 in their last 26 after a loss of 3 goals or more. I'm not saying this game is going to be pretty to watch, but when it's all said and done, Florida will cash our tickets. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Michigan State +3 v. Oregon | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 123 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #262 Michigan State Spartans over Oregon Ducks (3p.m., Monday, December 31 FOX Redbox Bowl) COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR. Never been a fan of Mario Cristobal as a head coach. He was a very uninspired hire and his recruiting greatness never seems to match his coaching ability. The same cannot be said about Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio, as he gets the most out of his talent and this year is no exception. Oregon may have the edge on offense, but Michigan State has the best defense they have seen all season long and Sparty also had a huge edge in special teams. QB Herbert will play in this game but I believe he is already thinking about the NFL draft and is not that concerned about winning this game. Oregon has been the favorite in their last 3 bowl games and they have lost all of them straight-up (2 of them by double-digits). Michigan State dominated Washington State in their bowl game last year and expect a similar performance this year in a California bowl game. Oregon is 5-15 ATS ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game. Michigan State is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 neutral site games. | |||||||
12-30-18 | 76ers +1 v. Blazers | Top | 95-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
The Sixers have been bad on the road this season, but they are getting better as they played well in their last two road games in Utah and Boston, winning against the Jazz and falling to the Celtics in OT. The main reason we like this play is because the Sixers are well rested. They have had two days off coming into this one. The Blazers are on a back-to-back, and they will be playing their third game in four nights, with both of the previous games coming against the Warriors. Those were very important games for the Blazers, and now they face a rested out-of-conference foe. We just don’t see them giving that maximum effort that would be required in a game like this. Philly has covered in five of the last six meetings. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., December 30 NBC) This is a winner take all game on Sunday Night Football. Not much needs to be said about this game except for this one stat: QB Andrew Luck is 10-0 lifetime against the Titans. Tennessee has QB issues but regardless we are taking Indianapolis. | |||||||
12-30-18 | 49ers +10.5 v. Rams | 32-48 | Loss | -130 | 101 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #331 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., December 30 FOX) The 49ers appear to be on a carbon copy of their performance last season. They started off terrible only to play much better down the stretch. Most people are off of the Rams bandwagon and I do not see this game being a blowout. LA is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in Week 17 over the last 5 years. The 49ers are pesky and that will be the case again on Sunday. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #320 Buffalo Bills over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 30 CBS) Miami is not the same team on the road especially playing in the cold. Miami may have major changes come Monday and I just do not see their motivation for winning this game. The Dolphins have been outgained 9 consecutive games. Buffalo has a good defense and if they can take care of the football, they should win the game by at least a touchdown. Miami is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Week 17 games. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Spurs v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 122-111 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
The Clippers are definitely out of their slump, and they have won four of five and covered in five straight. Both teams are playing in a back-to-back here and both are on their third game in four nights. But the Clippers have been home the whole time (last night they were the “road” team against the Lakers but in their own arena). The Spurs had to play in the high altitude in Denver, and that can really wear a team down. We think revenge is an overrated handicapping angle, but we do think the Clippers remember their absolute beatdown at the hands of the Spurs in San Antonio a couple weeks ago. We think this will be a perfect spot to get some payback tonight. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Warriors -4 v. Blazers | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is the second end of a home-and-home for the Warriors and Blazers. Golden State is playing some of their worst regular-season basketball we have seen in awhile, but the motivation is not there every night. But we think it will be here as the Blazers won a close one on Thursday, and this sets up a great revenge spot for the better team here, which should put their best foot forward in this matchup. | |||||||
12-29-18 | St. John's +3.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #649 St Johns over Seton Hall (8:30p.m., Saturday, December 29 FSN) Top College Basketball Play of the Day We are not going into this game blindly. St Johns is undefeated, but they are not ranked and have not played a very good nonconference schedule. That being said they are much more talented than the Pirates who lost 4 straights off of last year’s team that reached the round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. The Red Storm have the best player on the floor and I expect them to win this game straight-up in a game that goes down to the wire. The Pirates claim to fame is beating Kentucky, but the Wildcats have had an up and down season thus far. The Underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. St Johns is an NCAA Tournament team and they will start off Big East play with a road win to keep their undefeated streak in-tact. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Nets v. Bucks -9.5 | Top | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
We expect a big game from the Bucks, who were off on Friday, while the Nets played the second game of a grueling home-and-home with Charlotte, the first of which went to OT. So they are on a back-to-back here and playing their third game in four nights. We don’t see things going well for them. The Bucks are 23-8-1 ATS in this series, so they always seem to get up for this matchup. The early start time goes against the Nets here as well as the back-to-back. This looks like it could be a massive blowout as the Nets should be running on fumes here. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Notre Dame +14 v. Clemson | 3-30 | Loss | -126 | 76 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #255 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Clemson Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, December 29 ESPN Cotton Bowl) Clemson is getting Alabama like respect with this spread and they just do not warrant it. They have played a very easy schedule this season and outside of their defensive line I believe the Irish match-up well with them. Notre Dame has been playing in big games all season long and they will not be intimidated by this match-up. Brian Kelly is a great offensive mind and they will be able to move the football and score points on Clemson. This is the type of team Clemson just does not see often in the ACC. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #247 Iowa State Cyclones over Washington State Cougars (9p.m., Friday, December 28 ESPN Alamo Bowl) The line has come down since it was posted in early December and I expect Iowa State to win this game straight-up. Mike Leach has not done well in bowl games since being the coach in Pullman winning just 1 of his 3 games (1-3 ATS). Iowa State is very familiar with this type of offense in the pass happy Big 12 and they have a defense that can slow down Washington State. The Cougars are -5 ATS in their last 5 Big 12 games. The Cyclones is 15-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Mavs v. Pelicans -4 | 112-114 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is another revenge situation as these teams met two nights ago in Dallas, and the Mavs won a close one and covered by only one point. That loss made it five in a row for the Pelicans. They will be desperate to get back on the winning track tonight, and we think they put their best foot forward in this one. The Mavs are an ugly 2-14 away from home this season, and we think the Pelicans will end the losing streak tonight on their home court. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Maple Leafs -125 v. Blue Jackets | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #031. Take Toronto -130 vs Columbus (Friday, December 28 at 7:05p.m.). As per your selection on the Maple Leafs, we like the fact that they had the extra day of rest coming out of the break. This will give them an extra day of preparation for the Blue Jackets, and more importantly, an extra practice day for Nylander to find his footing. Not saying he's played poorly, but he's been just a half step behind. That's what happens when you miss all of training camp and about 20 something games to start the season. Anyways, the Jackets played last night and had a hard-fought 4-3 comeback win in OT. Now they travel home to face a Leaf team who is rolling right now, winners of 4 straight and the team with the one of the best away record in the NHL at 13-5-1. The Leafs are in a great bet on spot tonight as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest and are 4-0 in their last 4 vs the Metro division. The Jackets meanwhile, are a terrible bet when playing back-to-backs. They are just 1-4 in their last 5 games when playing on 0 days rest and are just 3-7 in their last 10 Friday games. We believe the Leafs will come out skating tonight and will take advantage of a leg-weary Columbus team, and finally get a much-needed win in Columbus. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Nets v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Brooklyn has the better record but we think the Hornets are the better team. Like many lousy teams, the Hornets are much better at home (12-7) than they are on the road (4-10). These teams played last time out in Brooklyn and the Hornets played well enough to win in a OT loss. We think revenge is way overrated in the NBA as a handicapping angle but it does come into play when the teams met recently, and that is certainly the case here. We think the Hornets will get a comfortable win here at home. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Bulls +5.5 v. Wizards | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Chicago is a very bad team, but we don’t think that this Wizards squad should be favored by this many over any team in the NBA. This team has stunk as a favorite this season, especially when the line is in this range. The Bulls have had some success in this series as they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Washington. This game should be close, and the Bulls have a chance for a rare road win here tonight. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Delaware v. Hofstra -10 | 46-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #810 Hofstra over Delaware (7p.m., Friday, December 28) CAA play gets underway Friday and we will side with the home team tonight in Hempstead. The Pride return a ton of talent from last season including Justin Wright-Foreman who is averaging around 25 points per game this season. Hofstra is 19-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Celtics -127 v. Rockets | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Boston has covered in four straight meetings and in six of the last seven. We like them to win this one tonight. The Celtics had a long winning streak busted with a three-game losing streak, but since they have played very well and won and covered in two straight. When this team gets rolling they can keep it going for a long time, and we think they have the edge here. Houston is not a deep ballclub. Chris Paul is out. James Harden was on the injury report with a calf injury but has been upgraded to probable. We think they will need a “Superman” effort from Harden tonight in order to win this game, and with him injured that is very unlikely. Many of the good teams in the NBA are bad on the road, but the Celtics play well away from home and they have a winning record in road games this season. This is the best coached team in the NBA and they have been one of the most reliable bets in the league for the last couple years. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Blue Jackets -120 v. Rangers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #007. Take Columbus -140 vs New York Rangers (Thursday, December 27 at 7:05p.m.). As per your selection on the Blue Jackets, we like the way they've been playing over their last handful of games. The Blue Jackets are currently riding a four-game winning streak and are doing so on the heels of great goaltending and timely scoring. We like the goaltending matchup in this game as Bobrovsky is back in Vezina form and is going up against Lundqvist, who hasn't really had a great season to date. Not to mention, the Blue Jackets have been a great bet away from home, going 11-5-1 on the road, which is among the top road records in the entire NHL. The Rangers, on the other hand, are not exactly a good team. They rank in the bottom third of the league in almost all major offensive and defensive categories, including Goals per game, shots on goal, goals against, shots on goal allowed, penalty kill % and penalty minutes per game. Safe to say, if the Rangers continue playing the way they are playing, the Jackets should have no problems in this matchup putting up a handful of goals. We like the fact that the Jackets are 4-1 in their last 5 vs the Metro division, and 16-5 int heir last 21 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Rangers are just 2-10 in their last 12 Thursday games and 3-13 in their last 16 vs the Metro division. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +4 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 220 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #238 Wisconsin Badgers over Miami Hurricanes (5:15p.m., Thursday, December 27 ESPN Pinstripe Bowl) Just do not see why Miami is favored in this no buzz rematch from a bowl game last year. Wisconsin picked apart Miami last year and their quarterback had a career game against them. I just get the feeling that they will rekindle some of that magic in this game against a warm weather team playing a late December game in New York City. Wisconsin has won 4 straight bowl games. Miami has lost three straight games and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams. Grab the points and expect Wisconsin to win this game straight-up. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Suns +5 v. Magic | Top | 122-120 | Win | 101 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
The Suns have now covered six straight games and this team is playing their best basketball of the season. They have won four out of their last six games, and they could have won another but fell at Washington in OT. On a back-to-back the next night they played their only lousy game recently, but that was to be expected after that barnburner of a game that was multiple overtimes in the nation’s capital. This team is completely healthy right now and they are really coming together as a team. Rookie Ayton is starting to show why he was the No. 1 pick in the draft, and Booker is a star. Orlando is 3-5 ATS this season as a favorite and this is tied with the biggest number they have laid all season. Just don’t think this team is good enough to be giving up a number like this, especially against a surging team like the Suns. Phoenix has covered in all of the last five meetings in Orlando. | |||||||
12-25-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Boston has a strong history in this series and they are the better ballclub. And the number is right here for a big win on Christmas. The Sixers haven’t covered a line in their last four trips to Boston and they are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings. Philly is great at home but they have struggled on the road, and they have very few quality wins away from home. They lost to Boston on the road in the season opener by almost 20 points. They were blown out in Milwaukee. Toronto (twice). San Antonio. Those were their toughest road games, and they lost by double digits in each. We think they have a very good chance to lose here by double digits. Boston has been a bit streaky and they followed up a long winning streak by losing three straight. But they got back on track last time out in a 16-point home win vs. Charlotte and they led that game by as many as 33 before taking their foot off the gas. They shot 50 percent from the field, and we think that hot shooting will carry over here. Philly has won two straight, but they were both at home. They are just 6-9 on the road, however, and they have covered just 5 of 15 away from home this season. Boston has been one of the best and most stable betting teams the last couple years, and we think they have a great chance to win this one by 10+ on Tuesday. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Clippers +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
When the Clippers had Blake Griffin and Chris Paul, the Warriors seemed to take pleasure in running up the score on the Clippers. They liked to get into these guys heads, and it always worked. But this is a different Clippers team and they are mentally tougher than previous editions. They also play better team basketball, and the team has great depth. The Clips already won the first meeting between these teams, at home in overtime. LA is coming off one of their best games of the season yesterday in their win over Denver. That was an early game so eliminated some of the brunt of the back-to-back here. We see this being a competitive game. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 127 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #130 Seattle Seahawks over Kansas City Chiefs (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 23 NBC) Seattle let one get away last week in Santa Clara and still need to win 1 of their final 2 games to ensure a wild card berth. Kansas City has a terrible defense QB Mahomes will struggle to pick apart this defense especially in a night game on the road. Seattle is 23-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 games played during December. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Hornets v. Celtics -6.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
The Celtics have a strong recent history in this series as they are 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Charlotte has had a home-heavy schedule lately, but this squad is just 4-8 on the road this season, and they face a real tough matchup on Sunday. Boston hasn’t been playing well with three straight losses, but before that they were on a long winning streak and we think they will be primed for a big bounce back here and we don’t see them overlooking this squad tonight after losing three straight. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Pelicans v. Kings +1 | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
The Kings are a pretty good team this season and one of the best ATS teams in the NBA. But they keep getting disrespected by the oddsmakers, and that is the case again here tonight as we had Sacramento as a small favorite in this matchup. The Pelicans are 4-13 on the road this season. They are 7-10 ATS away from home and 1-4 ATS as a small favorite. The Kings are 5-1 ATS as a small dog like they are here tonight, and we think they will get another win in a close one on their home court. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles -1 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 119 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Philadelphia Eagles over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) The Eagles rekindled the magic last week with Nick Foles that they had in 2017 and we will use them again in a must win situation playing at home. Houston has a lot to play for as well, as they can claim the No. 2 seed in the AFC if they win out. But the Texans just cannot be trusted, and they never seem to handle prosperity well under Coach Bill O’Brien. Houston has running back issues and I just cannot see them closing out the season winning 12 of their last 13 games. The line has already moved a lot since the Sunday Night Football game and I just feel that Philadelphia is going to make the playoffs as a wild card team. Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning road record. Houston is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games played in December. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Bills v. Patriots -12.5 | 12-24 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) This is a get-well game for the Patriots. If they win their final two games against two terrible teams, they will likely earn the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. New England already beat Buffalo by 19 points this season in upstate New York and they are on a 4-0 ATS run in this matchup. Buffalo will not be able to score enough points to keep this deficit under double-digits. New England is 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Just too much on the line for the Patriots to take this game lightly. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Kansas v. Arizona State +5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #670 Arizona State over Kansas (9p.m., Saturday, December 22 ESPN 2) The PAC-12 Conference as a whole needs this win. They may be lucky to get two teams into the NCAA Tournament come March and they have not recorded many quality wins on the season. Kansas is ranked No. 1 in the country but they are nowhere near the best team especially without Udoka Azubuike. That is a major void for them to fill in the paint and they are not as good on either side of the court without him. They have struggled in Lawrence against them suspect teams and this will be their first true road game of the season. Arizona State won in Lawrence last season and they need this win to ensure their at large status into the NCAA Tournament come March. This team has the size and strength to match-up with Kansas and I believe they have the edge in rebounding missed shots off the glass. Kansas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against PAC-12 teams. Arizona State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 12 teams. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Ravens +5 v. Chargers | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #123 Baltimore Ravens over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 22 FOX) The Chargers may be the best team in the NFL at the moment, but in order to avoid the No. 5 seed they must win their final two games. Injuries are still a major factor for them on offense and they are facing the best defense in the AFC tonight. Baltimore just has a spark since Lamar Jackson took over as the starting quarterback and I see them taking this game down to the wire. The Chargers do not have a home field edge and they are coming off an emotional win last week against Kansas City. Expect a slight letdown in this game. LA has failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 home games (lost to Denver straight-up). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 match-ups. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Spurs +6 v. Rockets | 101-108 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
The Rockets are a thin team, so the loss of Chris Paul really hurts right now. This team will figure out what to do in his absence, but it might be a rough go of it to start off with in these first few games. The Spurs are getting punished too much for their back-to-back here. We see them getting up to play their Texas rival as a lot of pride is normally involved in these games. San Antonio has been playing well lately for the most part, and we think this will be a close game. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Suns v. Wizards OVER 231.5 | 146-149 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
The Suns had struggled offensively for much of the month, but things are a lot better now. Devin Booker is back in the lineup and this team is in a good rhythm offensively. They have actually won four straight, and three of those were very tough matchups. The Wizards have been excellent on offense but they have a trash defense, and we see both teams lighting up the scoreboard here tonight. Four of the last five games for Washington have gone over despite some very high totals. We see this as a competitive game and don’t see any blowout that would affect the total. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |