Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-22-18 | Penguins +104 v. Hurricanes | 3-0 | Win | 104 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #045. Take Pittsburgh +105 vs Carolina (Saturday, December 22 at 7:05 p.m.). As per your selection on Pittsburgh, we are simply going to ride the hot hand tonight and we believe Pittsburgh is about to go on an extended winning run to give themselves some breathing room in the playoff race. The Penguins come into this game, winners of 2 straight and 7 of their last 10 games. We like the way they've clamped down in the defensive zone and we like the fact that they are getting secondary production behind Crosby and Malkin. The Hurrican, s on the other hand, have lost four of their last 5 games and they've given up far too many goals for an NHL team to win games. They are also likely starting Petr Mrazek tonight which gives me all the confidence in the world that Pittsburgh will be able to secure these two points. Pittsburgh is in a great spot to bet on as they are 4-1 in their last 5 vs the Metro division, 10-3 in their last 13 in the court game of a 4-in-6- situation and 9-2 in their last 11 games vs Carolina including 4-1 in Raleigh. The Hurricanes are just 1-4 in their last 5 vs the Metro, 1-4 in their last 5 home games and 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games. We like the way Pittsburgh is playing and they will simply be the better team tonight. | |||||||
12-22-18 | North Carolina v. Kentucky +4.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #690 Kentucky over North Carolina (5:30p.m., Saturday, December 22 CBS) Like using Kentucky in the role of an underdog. The Wildcats have not looked impressive this season, but talent is not their issues. Remember that this team was favored over Duke to open up the season. Just not a fan of North Carolina’s talent this season. They are experienced but not sure Luke Maye can lead them to the promise land. Kentucky will have an edge in the stands and they need this game more. North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Kentucky is 17-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 neutral site games. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Nuggets v. Clippers -1 | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
The Clippers hit the skids recently after a hot start, but they got back on the winning track last time out and they have actually played pretty good their last three games since that blowout loss in San Antonio. They were competitive against the Thunder, Blazers and in a win over the Mavs. They have seemed to play better in all three of those games, so we think the momentum will carry over here. The Clippers are very strong at home, while the Nuggets are average on the road. We think that Los Angeles has a very good chance to win this one. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Air Force v. Michigan OVER 130.5 | 50-71 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #638 Take Over in Air Force @ Michigan (4p.m., Saturday, December 22 BTN) Just do not believe Michigan can cover this huge number without the game going over. Michigan is third in the country in points allowed but they have not been as dominating of late giving up an average of 70 points per game in their last two contests. Air Force will shoot a lot of three-point shots and if they can score 60 points this game should go over the posted total. Michigan has gone over the posted total in 3 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record (1 push). | |||||||
12-21-18 | Jazz +2 v. Blazers | 120-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Utah has a better record on the road than at home, for whatever reason, and we think this is a very winnable game for them tonight. They have gone under in four straight and six of seven, and when this team starts playing defense they are a force to be reckoned with. Once this team gets it’s act together, and the defense is part of that, they are a much better team than the Blazers, and we think they will show it tonight with another outstanding defensive effort. And the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings, and we think that’s where this one is headed as well. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Jazz v. Blazers UNDER 214 | Top | 120-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Utah has a better record on the road than at home, for whatever reason, and we think this is a very winnable game for them tonight. They have gone under in four straight and six of seven, and when this team starts playing defense they are a force to be reckoned with. Once this team gets it’s act together, and the defense is part of that, they are a much better team than the Blazers, and we think they will show it tonight with another outstanding defensive effort. And the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings, and we think that’s where this one is headed as well. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings -2 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Love the Kings in this spot. They have been one of the best betting teams in the league this year and they will hold value all season long because of their lack of big names on the roster as well as their lousy reputation. But they face a Memphis team tonight that is not playing well. The Grizzlies have lost four straight and six of their last seven. They will not be very confident in this game and we think the Kings will be the squad with more swagger tonight. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Cal-Irvine v. Butler OVER 132 | 54-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #806 Over in UC Irvine @ Butler (6:30p.m., Friday, December 21 FS1) Butler is coming off a tough loss against Indiana over the weekend but expect them to regroup after a tune up game during the week to get healthy. They are averaging 75 points per game and if they hit that number tonight this game should go over the posted total. Butler has gone over the posted total 4 straight games against teams with a winning road record. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Mavs v. Clippers -3 | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Neither of these teams is in top form right now after both started off the season defying expectations to become two of the best ATS teams in the NBA. But this looks like a great spot for the Clippers to get back on the winning track. They played well enough to win in their last two matchups vs. Portland and at OKC, but the opponent played a bit better. They have had two days off to focus here. The Mavs have been horrible on the road at 2-10 on the season, and they are in the midst of one of the toughest road trips any NBA team will see this season. They had been one of the best bets in the NBA but have lost their last three ATS as of this writing. The Clippers have had more time to regroup, and they have been able to do it at home, while the Nuggets have only one day off and should be road weary. We expect the number to be right here and we think this is a great spot for the home team to get a comfortable win. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Utah State v. Houston -4 | 50-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #610 Houston over Utah State (8p.m., Thursday, December 20 ESPN 3) The Aggies may be the second-best team in the MWC but they have played a very easy schedule in the nonconference portion of the season and they have yet to record a quality win on the season. Houston will be an upper team in the AAC and should be able to win this game at home by 8-10 points. The Cougars are 18-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Wild v. Penguins -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #012. Take Pittsburgh vs Minnesota (Thursday, December 20 at 7:05p.m.) As per your selection on Pittsburgh, you have a Penguins team that is coming off a huge win last night against their rival in Washington. Considering how good Washington had been playing and how inconsistent Pittsburgh is, the Pens held their own and showed me something that I believe will carry into tonight's game. They showed me character and they showed me heart. We know it's been a very up and down season for the Penguins, but tonight they head home after a huge win and we believe that momentum carries into tonight's game and they dominate a mediocre Wild team from start to finish. The Penguins are in a great spot as they have the trends to back them up. Pittsburgh is 4-1 in their last 5 while hosting Minnesota and they are 5-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 12-4 in their last 16 games playing on 0 days’ rest. That's a very important trend to make note of. The wild, on the other hand, were just blanked on home ice by the Sharks and have lost two in a row, and four of their last 6 games. The offense has gone dry (except for their two wins against two very bad defensive teams 7 and 5 goals scored). Against Pittsburgh, we don't see them getting anywhere close to that and the way Crosby has put the team on his back, we believe Pittsburgh is the right play tonight. The Wild are just 1-4 in their last 5 road games, and 1-5 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days’ rest. Take Pittsburgh. | |||||||
12-19-18 | Montana v. Arizona -8 | 42-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #746 Arizona over Montana (8:30p.m., Wednesday, December 19 PAC-12 Network) The Wildcats do not have as much talent as they have had in past years but they are always a tough team to beat at home. They are coming off two straight losses and it is important that they right the ship before conference play starts in two weeks. The Grizzles are 0-2 this season in true road games and they have not been competitive in either of those games. Montana is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Wednesday. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Lightning v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #079. Take Under in Tampa Bay vs Vancouver (Tuesday, December 18 at 10:05p.m.). As per your selection on the Under 6.5 goals, you have two teams that have been playing to the over in their most recent games. However, this high line and the fact that we will see two excellent goalies between the pipes tonight tells me that this line is extremely inflated and the under is the play. Look, Tampa is known for scoring goals. But they are also known for their excellent defensive work and their ability to minimize the opposing team's chances. Now that they have their No.1 goalie back between the pipes in Vasilevsky, the Lightning will have the goaltending advantage on most nights. The Canucks, however, will counter with Markstrom and he is no joke either. He has a GAA of just 3, with a save percentage of just over .900. Over his last 4 games, Markstrom has given up just 6 goals against, which tells me that the team s playing well infant of him and he is started to round into form. These two teams are in great spots to play to the under tonight as the Lightning are 7-2-2 to the Under in their last 11 after allowing 5 or more goals in their previous game, and they are 5-2 to the under in their last 7 vs the Pacific. The Canucks are 5-1 to the Under in their last 6 Tuesday games, and 4-1 to the under in their last 5 vs the East. Two good goalies, with a high line - give me the under. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Blues v. Oilers -155 | 4-1 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #076. Take Edmonton vs St. Louis (Tuesday, December 18 at 9:05p.m.). As per your selection on the Oilers, you have an Oilers team that has played 100X better since Hitchcock took over as their new coach. They are buying into this his style of play and that has complemented and upped the games of everyone on the top - top to bottom. The Oilers are 5-2 in their last seven Ames and will now return home to kick off a five-game road trip against a Blues team who is struggling extremely bad right now and who the Oilers have already beat once this month. St Louis is having a major down year, and despite a coaching shakeup, they still haven't figured it out. They are among the bottom third of the NHL in all offensive production and among the bottom, five teams in goals allow and penalty minutes which should show you how undisciplined they are. The Blues got taken to the woodshed in their last game - a 7-2 loss to Calgary - in front of their home fans. Normally I would back that team to bounce back, but when you have to go on the road after that kind of loss, it's tough on a team, especially one that's already struggling. Not to mention, the Blues are in a terrible spot, going 0-6 in their last 6 vs the Pacific, 4-9 in their last 13 road games, and 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Oilers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games, 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game 7-3 in their last 10 games while playing on 1 days rest. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Missouri State v. Arkansas State UNDER 154 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #620 Under 154 in Missouri State @ Arkansas State (8p.m., Tuesday, December 18) Expect this game to stay under the posted total tonight in Jonesboro. The Red Wolves have gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games. This line is inflated since the Bears have been going over the posted total a bunch of late, but the value lies with the under in this game. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
12-18-18 | Wizards -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
The Wizards haven’t been very good on the road, where they have won only four games all season. But the Hawks have been just as bad at home, where they have won only four. One of those road wins was less than two weeks ago in Atlanta against these same Hawks. That was a 14-point win but only because the Wizards took their foot off the gas when up by as much as 25 at one point. The Wizards went on to lose four straight after that, but this team looks like it might be on the way back up after one of the best wins of the season last time out in an 18-point home win over the Lakers. This Wizards team has not had enough success this season to overlook a team like the Hawks, and the talent discrepancy between these two clubs is large. We see the Wizards getting another comfortable win here in a game that sure looks like a mismatch. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | Top | 131-127 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
The Clippers haven’t been playing well, having dropped five of their last six, and this team has lost the confidence of bettors. But we think this is a great spot for them to get back on track tonight. This team has played seven of the last nine on the road, and overall their strength of schedule has been very tough. But this team is still 9-3 SU at home and 8-4 ATS. We have bet against the Clippers in their last two games, and they failed to cover both. But they barely missed the cover last time out at OKC, and we liked what we saw from them down the stretch in that tough matchup. But we think they can continue that momentum here at home against a Portland team that is lousy on the road. They are 5-9 SU and 4-10 ATS on the season in road contests. Damian Lillard also missed practice yesterday and is attending to a personal matter to which we are not sure of the nature, but he might not have his head in the game 100%, and we think the Clippers will be very focused to get a win here and put an end to their current losing streak. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Pepperdine +14 v. Oregon State | 67-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #767 Pepperdine over Oregon State (10p.m., Monday, December 17) The Beavers have not found the same magic that they once had from making the NCAA Tournament a couple of years ago. They are back to being a bottom feeder team in the conference and should not be giving this many points against anyone in the country. Pepperdine is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Oregon State is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against WCC teams. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Predators -168 v. Senators | 3-4 | Loss | -168 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #055. Take Nashville vs Ottawa (Saturday, December 15 at 7:35 p.m.). As per your selection on Nashville, this is one of those games where overthinking it will cause you to screw this one up. Nashville is simply the better team and has been in better form over the course of the last few weeks and they will get the job done tonight against an Ottawa team that is littered with injuries and that has lost 3 of their last 4 and five of their last seven. Nashville is a good road team and as they start this four-game road trip, we expect Nashville to come out fully focused and ready to get this road trip started on the right foot. Nashville is one of the best defensive teams in the NHL, while Ottawa is mediocre when it comes to producing goals. We like the fact that Rinne is getting the start tonight instead of the backup, so that tells me that the coach is trying to send a message to his team that he wants to win this game. The Preds are also in a great spot in this game as well as they are 5-0 in their last 5 vs the Atlantic and 20-7 in their last 27 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. They've also beaten the Sens 6 of the last 7 times, while the Sens are just 0-4 in their last 4 vs the Central and 2-5 in their last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4-situation. Take the Preds tonight and enjoy a nice winner. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Kings v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
These are two of the best ATS teams in the league facing off in Dallas tonight, but we think the Mavs are the better ballclub and we like them laying fewer than seven here on Sunday Night. The Mavs are coming off a somewhat embarrassing loss to the Suns, and they should bounce back well here. We think they will put their best foot forward here after playing lousy last time out. This is also their last home game before they go on a four-game road trip against WC playoff contenders, and that makes a win here imperative. They should be heavy dogs in all those road games. The Kings are coming off a home loss to Golden State where they played well and covered. This is probably a letdown spot after that strong effort. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Patriots -2 v. Steelers | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #327 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Both teams need to turn the page quickly after bad losses last Sunday. The Patriots seldom lose two games in a row and they are playing a team in disarray at the moment. Pittsburgh has not beaten New England since 2011 and the Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss in their previous game. Over this winning streak, the Patriots average margin of victory is 11 points against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of December. New England is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in December. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #326 San Francisco 49ers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) The 49ers are coming off an impressive win against the Broncos and we will use them again this week against Seattle. Their game last month was closer than what the score would indicate, and Seattle was not that impressive last week on offense against Minnesota especially in the passing game. San Francisco took the foot of the gas last week and thus the final score was not reflected in how they dominated (led 20-0 at half). Seattle does not need to win this game to make the playoffs and I just do not see a blowout by the visitor. The 49ers performed well down the stretch last season after a terrible start and it would not surprise me if history repeats itself in 2018 as well. | |||||||
12-16-18 | St. Louis v. Houston OVER 129.5 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #728 Over 129.5 in Saint Louis @ Houston (3p.m., Sunday, December 16 ESPNU) Expect both teams to reach the mid-sixties in scoring and we will not worry if Houston can cover this spread and just focus on the over. Houston has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games against Atlantic 10 teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) A see a lot of comparisons to how Green Bay performed last week. Miami is coming off an unthinkable win last week against New England, but they now must travel north to take on a team desperate for a win. Minnesota played well on defense last week against Seattle and they just fired their offensive coordinator and expect to see a spark on the offensive side of the football this week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are an underdog. Remember last year when Minnesota had a remarkable win against New Orleans and then laid an egg the next week against Philadelphia? Expect that to happen to Miami this week, as they will lose by double digits. Minnesota is 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games following a loss in their previous game. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Packers +6 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #317 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) The Packers played much better last Sunday after firing their head coach. Do not see them getting blown out in this game and thus expect them to take it down to the wire decided by only a field goal. QB Rodgers is 17-4 against Chicago and had a remarkable comeback on one leg to beat them in the first game of the season. The Bears have all but clinched the NFC North (need 1 win or 1 Minnesota lost) and thus they have a margin of error in this game. Green Bay is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Chicago. The Bears are 14-40 ATS (1 push) in their last 55 games after accumulating over 150 yards rushing in their previous game. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 73 h 16 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #312 Baltimore Ravens over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) Both of these plays feature a shady home favorite against a terrible team. This is the time of year teams tend to mail it in and I expect Tampa Bay to fire their coach and Arizona just does not have enough weapons to hurt Atlanta. Expect double digit wins by each of these home teams. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Raiders v. Bengals -2.5 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #310 Cincinnati Bengals over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Somebody must win this game between two terrible teams. It has been 17 games since the Raiders have won two games on the road. Both teams have bad defenses but look for the Bengals to score some points and I just do not believe the Raiders can keep pace with them. Oakland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Bengals are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games played in December. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Wolves v. Suns UNDER 213 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
Minnesota is one of the best under teams for betting this season, and the Suns are trending in that direction lately as well. And the oddsmakers have once again posted too high of a total for this game. The Suns offense is really struggling without Booker, and they have failed to reach the century mark in seven of their last nine games. Minnesota has been hit or miss on offense, and we don’t see them putting up a massive number tonight. The under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Phoenix, and we see this one going in that direction on Saturday as well. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Clippers v. Thunder -6 | 104-110 | Push | 0 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
We believe in this Clippers team and think they are a playoff-caliber squad. But they at one point held down the No. 1 spot in the west. Now they are No. 4 and will probably drop further after Saturday. This team is just not on good form right now. They have failed to cover in five straight games and four of those were double-digit blowout losses. The Thunder are coming in on a back-to-back here, but we think the oddsmakers are punishing them too much. The Thunder have been good in limited B2B’s this season. Los Angeles hasn’t covered here in five trips, and we expect another rough outing on Saturday. | |||||||
12-15-18 | USC +8 v. Oklahoma | 70-81 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #649 USC +8.5 over Oklahoma (9p.m., Saturday, December 15 ESPNU) Oklahoma is not good enough to be laying this many points against a similar teams in talent. This game is not in Norman and thus some of the home court advantage is minimized. USC is 5-4 but they do not have a bad loss on the season and I just do not see them getting blown out in this game. USC is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Big 12 teams. Oklahoma is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played on Saturday. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -3 | 17-16 | Loss | -103 | 103 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Denver Broncos over Cleveland Browns (5:20p.m., Saturday, December 15 NFLN) The Broncos laid an egg last week against San Francisco but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against Cleveland. The Browns dominated the NFC South covering every game against those 4 teams, but they are playing a team desperate for a win on Sunday. Denver now has a week to adjust to key injuries on both sides of the football and expect them to be much better on Saturday. Cleveland is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cleveland. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Rockets -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 105-97 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
If the Rockets were a stock, we would be buying right now. We knew this team would start to turn it on, and now it seems like that is taking place after wins and covers in their last two games, against the Blazers and Lakers. The Grizzlies had a very strong start to the season, but they are trailing off now. Their offense has failed to reach the century mark in five of their last six games. The Houston offense has really got in rhythm and we don’t think the Grizzlies will be able to slow them down. Houston has won and covered the last two meetings by double digits, and they have covered in four of the last six meetings. Those trends hold firm tonight. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Devils v. Predators UNDER 6 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #032. Take Under in New Jersey vs Nashville (Saturday, December 15 at 8:05 p.m.). As per your selection on the Under, it almost feels like Christmas came a week early. You have two teams that generally play to the ?over?, which is they the line is 6.5, but it almost feels like the line hasn't accounted for the Devils playing on back-to-back nights or the fact that the Predators are still banged up offensively, and are among the best teams in the league defensively. Look, I get the fact that these two teams are coming off 5-4 and 4-3 games respectively, but the situation tonight makes me believe this will be more like a 3-1 style of game. The Under has hit in the Preds last 5 games vs the Eastern Conference, and it has also hit in 8 of the Preds last 10 games when their opponent scores 5 or more goals in their previous game. The Predators know what it takes to shut down the opposing team's top line and we believe Taylor Hall is still out again through illness, so it'll make their job a hell of a lot easier, not having to contain the reigning Hart Trophy winner. Take the Under in this spot and enjoy a nice winner. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Washington v. Virginia Tech OVER 140 | 61-73 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #664 Over 140.5 in Washington vs Virginia Tech (7p.m., Saturday, December 15 ESPNU) Virginia Tech should be able to dictate the style of play in this game and expect both teams to reach the 70s in scoring. The Hokies have gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 neutral site games. The Huskies have gone over the posted total in 5 straight games against ACC teams. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Indiana -1.5 v. Butler | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #667 Indiana over Butler (3:45p.m., Saturday, December 15 CBS) This 4 team tournament always seems to feature competitive games and upsets but I just do not believe Butler has the same magic under this coaching staff. The Bulldogs are 7-2 on the season but both of their losses have come against teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. Indiana is 8-2 and both of their losses are against quality teams with one of them (Duke) possessing the most talent in the country. Indiana can score points and they are shooting over 51% on the season. Butler will have to be on fire from long range to make a game of this and I do not expect that to happen. The Hoosiers are in year two under Archie Miller and they have already shown flashes of brilliance this year and I expect them to make the NCAA Tournament come March. They pick up another quality win today at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State -4 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #206 Fresno State Bulldogs over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 15 ABC Las Vegas Bowl) We have had good success using the MWC team in this game over the years. This is the only bowl game that the MWC gets to play against a Power 5 conference and unlike previous years the MWC team is the favorite in this game. Arizona State got a gift last time out against Arizona who self-destructed and costs them a chance to become bowl eligible. Fresno State is better on both sides of the football and should be able to control this game for 60 minutes. Over the last 2 years under Coach Tedford, the Bulldogs are 18-6 ATS (2 pushes). Arizona State will not have N’Keal Harry for this game and that is a big loss that will be tough to overcome. Arizona State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against MWC teams. | |||||||
12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #201 North Texas Mean Green over Utah State Aggies (2p.m., Saturday, December 15 ESPN New Mexico Bowl) We will grab the points in this game since both teams have stud quarterbacks and this should be a high scoring game. Utah State lost their coach and I just do not see them blowing out the Mean Green since their new coach is not on the current staff. | |||||||
12-14-18 | Jets v. Blackhawks +125 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play. #014. Take Chicago +125 vs Winnipeg (Friday, December 14 8:35 p.m.). As per this selection on Chicago, this is one of those ?trap games? for Winnipeg. The Jets come off a hard fought win last night against Edmonton, a game where they blew a 3-1 lead and then came back from a 4-3 deficit to force OT and win. Now they must travel to Chicago to face a Chicago team that finally snapped their losing streak by beating the Penguins but are still just 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Jets are the better team, but with a game against Tampa on deck, the Jets are bound to look past this game and come out flat. We believe the price is right to take a shot with the home dog in this spot, and we do like the goaltending matchup, as Corey Crawford (been better of late) will go up against Laurent Brossoit - who is playing far too good for a backup goalie. At some point, this goalie will regress back to the standards of an OK backup and we think it'll be tonight. Look, the home team has won the last 6 meetings in this series and the Jets are just 30-61 in their last 91 games playing on back-to-back nights. We just feel like the price is right to take a shot with the home team in this spot. | |||||||
12-14-18 | Pacers +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
We will go with the hot team here as the Pacers come in riding a five-game winning streak. This team is healthy now, while the Sixers have some injury issues, and Butler is questionable here for this one tonight. The Pacers always get up to play the Sixers, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in Philly and 9-4 ATS overall in the last 13 meetings. We see this as a very competitive team and the Pacers have been a much better betting team than has the Sixers thus far this season. An outright win is not out of the question here. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Mavs v. Suns UNDER 211 | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Suns are really struggling offensively right now. They have failed to reach the century mark in six of their last eight games, which is tough to do in today’s NBA where most teams put up 110 on a nightly basis. Because scoring is up, bookies have to post high totals. But six of the last nine games for the Suns have gone under. Dallas is playing a back-to-back and their third game in four nights, so we think there’s a good chance their offense could be flat as well and they probably won’t go crazy on the offensive end even against this lousy Suns defense. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Clippers v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 87-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
The Clippers are trending down right now with four straight ATS losses and five of their last six. They won only one of those ATS loss games, at Phoenix, and the feeble Suns took them to overtime where LA squeaked out the win. Every NBA team goes through these downturns, and you can’t fault the Clips after the way they started the season. But San Antonio is trending up, and they have won and covered three straight, all at home. We thought that this line should be about 4.5 and we would lean Spurs at that number but this small number offers up a lot of value tonight. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Lakers v. Rockets -5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
We really liked the way the Rockets played last time out in a big home win over Portland. This squad is a much better team than the Lakers, despite the records, and once they get their act together they have a much higher ceiling than does LA. We think maybe they turned a corner in that last game, and they will not have a lack of motivation here tonight against LeBron and Co. on national TV. The Lakers are always overrated by the oddsmakers and they are a bit overvalued tonight. The Rockets seem to get up to play the Lakers historically as they are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. We think they win by 7+ tonight. | |||||||
12-12-18 | Hawks v. Mavs -9 | 107-114 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
We expected a double-digit spread here but the Mavs are still being underestimated by the oddsmakers. This is the best ATS team in the league at this point, and Atlanta is the third-worst. Dallas is so good ATS by winning games like this, and they don’t often take a night off or overlook an opponent. We expect another workman-like effort from this blue collar Mavs team tonight. | |||||||
12-12-18 | Jacksonville State v. Wichita State -8 | 65-69 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #714 Wichita State over Jacksonville State (8p.m., Wednesday, December 12 ESPN 3) The Shockers have taken a step back in talent this year and likely will not make the NCAA Tournament come March, but they do have enough talent to win this game by double digits. The Shockers beat the Baylor Bears in their last home game and should be determined to play better after getting blown out at Oklahoma in their last game. Jacksonville State’s wins have come against terrible teams. Wichita State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Jacksonville State is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games. | |||||||
12-12-18 | Celtics -3 v. Wizards | 130-125 | Win | 102 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
We love the way the Celtics are playing right now. This team has been one of the safest bets in the NBA the last couple seasons since Coach Stevens took over, and they are a much stronger team than the Wizards when both squads are playing their best. Kyrie Irving is listed as probable in this one, but as we saw last time out against the Pelicans, this team can get the job done even if he doesn’t play. | |||||||
12-12-18 | Knicks +1 v. Cavs | 106-113 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
These are two bad teams but the Knicks are the lesser of two evils and they can put together a complete game on a more regular basis than the Cavs can. New York has covered in three of the last four meetings and they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Cleveland. Great chance the Cavs show up uninterested to this one, and we think the road team should win outright here. | |||||||
12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers +5 | 123-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Clippers are being punished too much for this back-to-back situation. They are 3-1 ATS and SU in back-to-backs this season, and they probably overlooked the Suns last night as they focused on this marquee matchup. They have won and covered two straight in this series, and we like their chances to keep this one close tonight. The Raptors are not in the best form right now as they have lost three of four. They have been overrated by the oddsmakers as they have covered just one of their last six. The Clippers are one of the better ATS teams in the league, and they seem they are getting disrespected again. We see this game as a coin flip as to who wins outright, so getting this many points provides good value. | |||||||
12-11-18 | Colorado v. New Mexico +5 | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #606 New Mexico over Colorado (9p.m., Tuesday, December 11 ESPN 2) The Lobos are a much better team at home and I feel they have a good chance to win this game straight-up. The line keeps coming down on this game since Colorado is nothing special for a conference that is way down this season. Colorado is 3-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 games against MWC teams. | |||||||
12-11-18 | Suns v. Spurs UNDER 219 | Top | 86-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone under the posted total, and this is the highest total we have seen during that stretch. The Suns have really struggled on offense lately. Five of their last seven games have seen them finish under the century mark for scoring. They played, and lost, in OT to the Clippers last night and this looks like a spot where their offense comes out flat again. Booker is out again for the Suns and Crawford is questionable here. We see this as a likely blowout here the Suns once again fail to reach the century mark, and we think the Spurs will get their points but they won’t go crazy on offense. | |||||||
12-11-18 | Maple Leafs -118 v. Hurricanes | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #043. Take Toronto vs Carolina (Tuesday, December 11, 7:05 p.m.) As per this selection on Toronto, it's time for the Leafs to nip this current losing streak in the bud and get back to their winning ways. And there is no better way to do that than to extract some revenge on Carolina - a team they lost 5-2 against last time out, and a team who put up a franchise record 29 shots in the opening period of that game. Look, the Leafs were criticized for their lack of toughness, and while they may have shown some fight back against the Bruins, they got out of their comfort zone and the game was lost. Carolina isn't a physical team like Boston, so the Leafs' skilled players should be able to generate enough scoring chances and capitalize on those chances against a bad goalie in Petr Mrazek. The Canes are a bit banged up, missing their veteran presences in Jordan Staal with a concussion and are playing in their first home game after a lengthy Western road trip. The Canes won't have enough juice in their tank to keep up with the high flying Leafs in this spot and I believe the line is a complete overreaction to the Leafs losing two straight games for just the third time this year. The Leafs are 6-0 in their last 6 while playing on 2 days rest and are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games, 11-4 in their last 15 road games and 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more. The Canes are just 18-38 while playing on 3 days rest and 1-4 in their last 5 games while hosting Toronto. | |||||||
12-10-18 | Pelicans v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
After a slow start to the season, the Celtics have come on strong lately and this team has now won and covered in five straight. Most of those games were blowouts, including a matchup at New Orleans to start the streak, a 124-107 Celtics win. We think revenge is an overrated NBA handicapping angle, and the Pelicans have been inconsistent lately and they are just trying to get on the same page as a team. If they are hunting for revenge then they will have a lot of teams in their target as they have been racking up too many losses lately. We have to go with the hot hand here as the Celtics are now playing to their potential, and that potential has them as a Top 2 team in the Eastern Conference. | |||||||
12-10-18 | Kings +107 v. Red Wings | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #039. Take Los Angeles vs Detroit (Monday, December 10, 7:35 p.m.) As per this selection on Los Angeles, you have a Kings team that has vastly underperformed this season, which led their star defensemen Doughty to call out the entire team, claiming the season was embarrassing and pathetic so far. The team responded in a big way, with a 5-1 win over Vegas. Now they travel to Detroit who is just as bad as them, and we believe the Kings will be able to keep the momentum rolling in this game. Look, they've been hit by the injury bug hard early on, but now they have their No.1 goalie back in the mix and a handful of young talented players throughout the lineup. Detroit isn't the greater defensive team in the league, ranking 23rd in goals allowed and 29th in shots allowed. The Kings should be able to generate enough quality scoring chances to secure two road points. The Wings may have beat the Leafs in OT two games ago, but last time out blew a 2-0 lead to the Islanders in a 3-2 loss. The Wings shouldn't be favorited over very many teams and with the Kings being called out and responding the way they did, we believe the Kings are the right play in this spot. The Kings are 7-1 in their last 8 Monday games and are 16-7 in their last 23 road games vs at a team with a losing home record. The Wings are just 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games and 4-14 vs the Western Conference. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Hornets -6 v. Knicks | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
We were on New York last night as it looked like a good spot at home against Brooklyn, but the Knicks played an absolutely dreadful game and now they face a much tougher matchup on the second end of a back-to-back. Things will not go well for them, and this looks like a possible blowout. The Hornets are one of the better ATS teams out there at 15-10 ATS, and they are very under the radar so as long as they don’t get their win total up too high but keep covering numbers, they can keep their betting value all season long barring major injuries. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors -5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
The Bucks have been just average on the road this season at 4-5 on the year. We thought that this line should be above 7, so we think there is some great value with what looks like the best team in the NBA during the first part of the season. The Bucks won the last matchup very early in the season, but they are not in the best form right now as they have covered in only one of their last seven games. This one looks like a real mismatch and we expect the home team to win comfortably. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon +10.5 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #862 Grand Canyon over Nevada (5:30p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN U) This is a short turnaround for the Wolf Pack and a defacto home game for Grand Canyon. The line is been coming down and we will follow that trend after going against Nevada on Friday. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Eagles +4 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-29 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #129 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) Everyone has just given the Cowboys the NFC East and disregarded the defending Super Bowl Champions. We will gladly take the points in this game and look for Philadelphia to come out strong in this must win game for them. The Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road divisional games when they are an underdog. The Cowboys are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home divisional games when they are a favorite. The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 match-ups. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #124 San Francisco 49ers +4 over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The Broncos have made a rally of late winning three straight games to take some pressure off of Head Coach Vance Joseph. But I just do not trust them to win four straight games with three of those four games coming on the road. Losing Chris Harris Jr and Emmanuel Sanders will be too much for this team to overcome within a week. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. Denver does not have an explosive offense that can attack this San Francisco defense and if Nick Mullens can take care of the football, they should win this game straight-up. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Tennessee v. Gonzaga -3.5 | 76-73 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #860 Gonzaga over Tennessee (3p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN) Just do not trust Tennessee as much as I trust Gonzaga. This will not be a blowout but expect Gonzaga to pull away late and win this game by 7-9 points. Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory in their previous game. Gonzaga is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Giants -3.5 v. Redskins | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 120 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #121 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) The Giants get to face a back-up quarterback for the second straight week but this time it will be Mark Sanchez who was just signed a couple of weeks ago after Alex Smith went down. New York dominated Chicago for most of the game last Sunday before the Bears made a late rally to send it into overtime. If the Giants can stop the run, they should win this game by double digits. Washington is 6-6 and that is truly amazing consider their 52-man roster is terrible. I could see them not winning another game all season. New York is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games. The will be a big public play but I still see the Giants winning this game easily. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Patriots -7.5 v. Dolphins | 33-34 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Patriots are a tough team to beat come November – December. Miami has played well at home this year, but New England cannot afford to take them lightly if they hope to secure a first round bye this season. The Patriots have been playing much better on defense and if their offense can repeat their past performances from years past this will be the team to beat in the AFC come January. New England has covered the spread in 5 straight divisional games. Miami is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #105 Baltimore Ravens over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Chiefs were not that impressive against the Raiders last Sunday and now they play a much better team in the Ravens with another big spread. QB Lamar Jackson has not put up great stats but he has inspired this team with three straight wins and we will jump on the bandwagon. The road team has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings. Kansas City will have their explosive moments, but I believe Baltimore will be able to take this down to the wire and easily cover the spread. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Arizona +3 v. Alabama | 73-76 | Push | 0 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #841 Arizona over Alabama (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN) This line keeps going up and I do not believe it is warranted. Arizona is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against SEC teams. 67% of the money is coming in on the underdog and it would not surprise me if Arizona wins this game straight-up. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Heat v. Clippers -9 | 121-98 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Miami is in a real bad spot here, missing players from injury and for personal matters. They face an angry Clippers team that played a very uncharacteristic bad game last time out in Memphis. This is a very professional team and we feel they will shake that performance off and come out here with a workmanlike effort and get a big win over a bad team. The Clippers are playing like every game counts this season, and we don’t think they will overlook this game, especially with their bad effort last time out. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Predators v. Flames UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #019. Take Under 6 - Nashville vs Calgary (Saturday, December 8, 10:05 p.m.) As per this selection on the ?Under?, now is a great time to ride the hot hand of Calgary goalie Mike Smith. Smith has won his last 5 starts after being just brutal in the opening month and a bit of the season, and he's going to need to be great again tonight to give Calgary a real chance at two points. However, Calgary is missing three key cogs of their lineup and after an emotional win last time out against Minny (2-0), it'll be tough for them to replicate that emotion and give it their all here in this spot. They will be without their Captain Giordano and one of their offensive stars in Backlund. But Nashville will not feel sorry for them. They too are without four stars in their lineup, with Forsberg, Turris, Subban, and Arvidsson all out for lengthy periods of time. Nashville gave up 5 goals last time out to Vancouver, and we expect a team as battle-tested as the Preds to bounce back in a big way and focus all their efforts on the defensive side of the puck. If we take away that 5 goal outburst by Vancouver, Pekka Rinne had given up just 3 goals in his previous two starts. We believe Rinne and Smith will steal the show tonight and this will be another low scoring, slug it out type matchup. The Under is 14-3-1 in the Preds last 18 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game, while the Under is also 12-5 in the Flames last 15 when their opponent allows 5 or more goals. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Wolves +2.5 v. Blazers | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Wolves have covered six of their last seven games and this team is really under the radar right now but playing well. Portland looked good last time out against a hapless Phoenix squad but they had lost three straight before that and they have struggled with six losses in their last eight games. They got off to a hot start, but alas it seems like this team doesn’t live up to the hype. Minnesota has all the betting value here in a game that looks like a coin flip. In those cases, getting more than two points offers some great value as we think the Wolves could, and should, win outright. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2 | 112-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
New York has been dominating in this series, cashing six straight tickets. We think they get No. 7 tonight. New York hasn’t played well lately but they have had one of the most brutal recent schedules in the NBA. They have actually covered in six of their last nine, however, and this looks like a great spot for a win against a Brooklyn team that had possibly their game of the year last night in an OT win at Toronto. They had lost eight straight before that, and this seems like the perfect spot for them to come back down to earth tonight. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Florida State v. Connecticut +9 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #804 Connecticut +9 over Florida State (6:30p.m., Saturday, December 7 ESPN 2) Just never like Florida State as a big favorite. This team has always been poorly coached and they are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games. UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 4 games. I expect this to be closer that what the experts think. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Wisconsin v. Marquette | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #777 Wisconsin over Marquette (5p.m., Saturday, December 7 FOX) This battle of Wisconsin takes place at the new Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI. We used Marquette last week as our big play and won easily but I do not expect the kind of officiating in this game that we saw in that game. The road team has dominated this series having covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Wisconsin is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. Marquette is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams. Wisconsin is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. The Badgers have the best player in the floor in Ethan Happ and they will not let Markus Howard go off like he did last Saturday. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Tennessee-Martin v. East Tennessee State OVER 150.5 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #810 Over 150.5 in UT Martin @ East Tennessee State (4p.m., Saturday, December 7) The total keeps going up and it is with good reason. UT Martin has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games. ETSU has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 games. | |||||||
12-07-18 | Nevada v. Arizona State +7.5 | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #530 Arizona State over Nevada (11:59p.m., Friday, December 7 ESPN 2) We will grab the points in this battle of undefeated teams tonight at the Staples Center. Nevada lost here to a similar team in TCU and this will likely be the highest rated team the Wolf Pack face all season long. Arizona State should be healthier for this game and expect them to take it down to the wire. The Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against MWC teams. 57% of the money is coming in on ASU despite being an underdog and I believe they can win this game straight-up. | |||||||
12-07-18 | 76ers v. Pistons -120 | Top | 117-111 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
In the NBA home-court advantage is everything. And that could not be more evident when looking at the Sixers home/road splits. This team is 13-1 at home but just 4-8 on the road this season. The Pistons are in the same boat at 9-4 at home and 4-5 on the road. This Pistons team is underrated and they are coming off two straight losses in tough matchups, and they will be anxious to get back on the winning track here tonight in front of a national TV audience. Before those two losses they had won five straight, all here at home. The Sixers will be without Embiid tonight, and that hurts their chances here. The Sixers are perpetually overrated by oddsmakers this season, and they have been a money burner at 11-15 ATS, mostly because of their road woes. They are 2-5 ATS on the road against winning teams this season. Detroit is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit, and we feel they will get the win here tonight. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Suns v. Blazers UNDER 216.5 | Top | 86-108 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
The Suns are really struggling on offense lately, and they have averaged just 96 PPG in their last four contests, three of which saw them finish the game under the century mark, which is becoming very rare in this day’s NBA. And because scoring is up league wide, the bookies have to post high totals every night. This looks like one where they got it wrong. Devin Booker is the best offensive weapon for the Suns, and he has been banged up lately and will be out here, and their offense will suffer as a result. The Blazers have been better on defense at home than on the road, but they have been road warriors for awhile and haven’t played much at home in the last couple weeks. We think they put up a big defensive effort against a struggling Suns offense and we don’t see the Suns getting over 100 here tonight. The Blazers offense has been hit or miss, and we just don’t see them exploding for a 120+ type game in this one. They should do enough to win handily and will probably dribble the shot clock out at the end of the game. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Drake -2 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 75-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #711 Drake over Milwaukee (8p.m., Thursday, December 6 ESPN+) The Panthers will struggle for wins this season and we will fade them tonight at the Cell. Drake has won 4 straight games and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Horizon League teams. This will not be a blowout but look Drake to pull away over the last 5 minutes and win this game by 7-9 points. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers +100 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play. #006. Take Philadelphia vs Columbus (Thursday, December 6, 7:05 p.m.) As per this selection on the Flyers, you have a team that will be eager to impress the new regime in charge of hockey operations and a team that is well rested after beating their in-state rival, Pittsburgh, 4-2 on December 1. While it hasn't been all sunshine and rainbows for the Flyers, they know it's put up or shut up? time before the coach loses his job or a trade is made to shake up the entire roster. We believe the Flyers have received the message loud and clear and will come out tonight in from of their home fans and put in a dominant performance. Their opponent, Columbus, well, they have issues, to say the least. They blew a 4-1 lead in the second period of their last game and ended up losing 9-6. Not sure, I've seen a game like that before, but the problem I have with it is that their coach let their Vezina caliber goalie, Bobrovsky, in net for 8 of those goals. He refused to pull him and I think that's a huge mistake. Goalies are fragile beings and once you mess with the psyche of a goalie, you are likely in for a world of hurt. The Jackets won't score 6 goals against, and will likely suffer the consequences of emotional fatigue after that wild game just two nights ago. The Jackets are just 3-8 in their last 11 vs the Metro division and 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent gives up 5 more goals in their previous game and the home team has won 20 of 27 meetings in this series. The Flyers are the more desperate team and they will get the job done tonight. | |||||||
12-05-18 | Oilers +100 v. Blues | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #051. Take Edmonton vs St. Louis (Wednesday, December 5, 8:05 p.m.) As per this selection on Edmonton, you gotta believe they bounce back from their latest 4-1 loss to the Stars in a big way. For what it's worth, McDavid was scratched an hour before game time with an illness, but he will be in the lineup tonight to torture a Blues team that is just absolutely riddled with injuries up and down the lineup. If we throw out last game, the Oilers have played much better of late and that's thanks in large part to the players trusting their new coach and buying into what he's preaching. Before last game, they had given up just three goals during a three-game winning streak, and we like that kind of defensive prowess in this spot, as the Blues simply can't score, so we believe the Oilers will keep them in check. The Blues are decimated with injury and with the start they've had, it will be easy for them to mentally mail it in and prepare for next year already. Remember, this is a team that has been one of the better teams in the West for the last handful of years. Now they are facing adversity and have already fired their coach, so this is new ground for them. They have subpar goaltending and playing in their first home game in a week, likely won't help either considering they are under .500 at home. The Blues are 0-5 in their last 5 Wednesday games, 0-4 in their last 4 vs a team with a losing record and just 4-11 in their last 11 when their opponent is held to under 2 goals in their previous game. The Oilers bounce back well, going 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. With McDavid back in the lineup, the Blues don't have a chance. | |||||||
12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -2 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
The Grizzlies have lost four of five but they faced a real tough slate during that stretch that saw them lose to Toronto, at Philly, and at these same Clippers. The Grizzlies had that game in hand until some late Clipper heroics and then they lost in overtime and missed the cover by ½ point. They will put their best foot forward tonight against a traditional rival and with the venue now at home. Memphis has had two nights off and they are 6-0 ATS with this much rest. We think they will be very focused to get back on track in this one. The Clippers are one of the biggest surprises in the league this year and they are a very good team. But they are starting to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we think that is the case here tonight. We think this will be a high-scoring game and that the posted total is about four points too low. | |||||||
12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 210 | 86-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have lost four of five but they faced a real tough slate during that stretch that saw them lose to Toronto, at Philly, and at these same Clippers. The Grizzlies had that game in hand until some late Clipper heroics and then they lost in overtime and missed the cover by ½ point. They will put their best foot forward tonight against a traditional rival and with the venue now at home. Memphis has had two nights off and they are 6-0 ATS with this much rest. We think they will be very focused to get back on track in this one. The Clippers are one of the biggest surprises in the league this year and they are a very good team. But they are starting to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we think that is the case here tonight. We think this will be a high-scoring game and that the posted total is about four points too low. | |||||||
12-05-18 | St. Joe's -3 v. Princeton | 92-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #537 St Joes over Princeton (7p.m., Wednesday, December 5 ESPN+) The Hawks have played a difficult schedule and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Tigers have played a very light schedule thus far and will not be battle tested for this game. St Joes is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against Ivy League teams. Princeton is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
12-05-18 | Marshall -1.5 v. Duquesne | 82-93 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #525 Marshall over Duquesne (7p.m., Wednesday, December 5 ESPN+) The Thundering Herd put up a dud last time out, but we expect a much better performance tonight in Pittsburgh, PA. The Dukes have yet to record a quality win on the season and they were also blown out last time as well. Marshall will get hot from the three-point line at some point in this game and that will be the difference. Marshall is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Atlantic 10 teams. Duquesne is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Coyotes v. Kings -117 | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #020. Take Los Angeles vs Arizona (Tuesday, December 4, 10:35 p.m.) As per this selection on Los Angeles, you have a Kings team who was hit pretty hard by the injury bug early on in the season. They were without their two top goalies and we all know in today's NHL that if you don't have a legitimate goalie in net for you every single game, the chances of winning are slim. But now the Kings have their star goalie back in Jonathan Quick and he just posted his 50th career shutout in his most recent appearance. I believe the Kings can build off of that and off of their 2-0 win against Carolina. The Kings are still a team that has struggled to score goals but we like them to get the job done tonight at home against an Arizona team that has won three straight but now will be without arguably their best player in Michael Grabner. The Kings are starting to win on home ice, which is key in the NHL and they have won two straight at the Staples Centre. They've also picked up a few offensive minded players off waivers and we think that boost to the lineup will help the overall cause. The Yotes, on the other hand, are in a bad spot coming into this game as they are just 2-5 in their last 7 vs the Pacific and just 16-25 in their last 51 games playing on two days rest. As I mentioned, the Notes have won three straight, but are still not a good hockey team. They consistently get outshot and we believe they will be overmatched by the Kings tonight. The Kings are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game and the home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in the matchup. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Bradley v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4 | 68-62 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #726 Little Rock over Bradley (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 4) The Braves continue to be overvalued and we will go against them for a second straight game. New Mexico pounded them on Saturday despite being a touchdown underdog and I think Little Rock has a chance to win this game straight-up as well. The Trojans have yet to play a close game thus far this season, but this will finally be the one that goes down to the wire and getting this many points is too good to pass up. Little Rock is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against MVC teams. Bradley is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Bulls +9.5 v. Pacers | Top | 90-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
The Bulls are a terrible team, but they have covered just as many games this season as the Pacers have. We simply think that this line is too large on Tuesday. The Bulls fired Fred Hoiberg on Monday, and sometimes this gives the team some extra motivation as sometimes the coach’s message has stopped getting through to the players. We think they will play hard here. The Pacers are the much better team, but they are missing their superstar and best player in Oladipo and this squad has lost four out of its last six. They are also on the dreaded first game back home after a long road trip, not to mention they play on the road for one game after this home contest, and sometimes players don’t give full effort in these spots since they have off-the-court life dealings to consider. This is too many points on Tuesday. | |||||||
12-03-18 | Wizards -2 v. Knicks | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Most times it would be tough to trust a 2-9 road team laying points away from home. But this team not only got off to a slow start, but they have had just a brutal road schedule this season and this is arguably their easiest road game of the year (they also played at Orlando). This team is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are playing much better basketball after a slow start. They seem to be taking nearly every game more seriously and we think they give it their all tonight in this very winnable contest. Washington is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in New York and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall, and we think there’s a good chance for a 7+-point win here. | |||||||
12-03-18 | Lightning -130 v. Devils | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. #051. Take Tampa Bay vs New Jersey (Monday, December 3, 7:05 p.m.) As per this selection on Tampa Bay - this is one of those games where overthinking it is bad. The Devils are one of the worst teams in the league as they are in last place in the Eastern Conference. They have lost five straight games and have given up 23 goals in the span. They rank near the bottom of the league in goals allowed per game at 3.44 and own a minus-12 goal differential which is tied for last in the East. They also have just two power plays goals in their last 12 games. And that's just the tip of the iceberg. The Lightning come into this game on a roll, having won five of their last six and seven of their last nine. They know how to beat NJ as they've already beat them twice this season, outscoring them 13-5. The Lightning simply has too much firepower for the Devils to contain and if the Lightning come out focused for this game like we believe they should - and not give up 4 goals again - the Lightning will skate the Devils right out of the rink. The Devils are a terrible bet when it comes to facing Atlantic division teams as they are just 1-7 in their last 8. Furthermore, the Devils are just 18-41 in their last 59 games in the third game of a 3-in-4 night situation. The Devils are not a good team and the Lightning, who are 6-1 in their last 7 vs a team with a losing record and 8-3 int heir last 11 road games, should be able to take advantage of them. | |||||||
12-03-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +2 | Top | 110-83 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Two teams that are playing very well, but the Pistons have won five straight and seven of their last eight. They are in amazing form right now and clicking on all facets of the game when this team has underwhelmed so many times over the years. They are 9-3 at home this season while the Thunder are just average on the road at 5-4. Both teams have been winning against an easy schedule lately, but we have just been more impressed by what the Pistons have done, and they are the team catching points at home. Very live home dog here on Monday that should be able to get the outright win. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers OVER 51 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 126 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Over in Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20p.m, Sunday, December 2 NBC) Both teams have dynamic offenses and thus we expect the scoreboard to be lighten up Sunday night in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 home games. This match-up has gone over the posted total in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 110-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The wrong team is favored here. The Clippers have been one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this season and they sit No. 1 in the Western Conference. They have had a decently easy schedule lately and this team is just average on the road where they sit at 6-5 on the season (The Mavs are 8-2 at home). Dallas has won seven of their last nine so they are in fine form as well. DeAndre Jordan will be hyped to play against his old team, and the rest of his teammates will rally around him against what is becoming a bit of an overrated Clippers team. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 122 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #376 New England Patriots over Minnesota Vikings (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 2 FOX) These back to back road games on the docket for Minnesota will likely doom them in. Going to New England this week and Seattle the next week is as tough to travel as there is in the league. Minnesota just does not have the same defense that they had last year. New England will be able to score in the thirties in this game and I just do not believe Minnesota will be able to keep pace. The Patriots are starting to get healthy and they are always tough to beat in December (8-1 ATS last 9 December games). Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Patriots have just been going through the motions of late, but this is a game that they will get up for and win it by double-digits. | |||||||
12-02-18 | UCF v. Missouri +2.5 | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #720 Take Missouri over UCF (3p.m., Sunday, November 2 ESPN U) We will go against the grain in this game as Missouri is desperate for a win. The Tigers have played a brutal schedule thus far, but they have talent and they will get better as the season progresses. UCF is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Missouri is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on Sunday. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State -2.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #318 Boise State Broncos over Fresno State Bulldogs (7:45p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN) The Broncos are the best team in the MWC and playing the championship on the blue turf is a big advantage that the Bulldogs will not be able to overcome. Boise State has won 7 straight games and they have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games against Fresno State. This will not be a blowout, but Boise State just has a knack for pulling out close games especially at home. Usually the Broncos are double digits favorites at home, but we have used them the last two times the spread was low. QB Rypien will go out a winner and we will collect in the process as well. | |||||||
12-01-18 | New Mexico +7.5 v. Bradley | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #552 New Mexico over Bradley (8p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN+) We will grab the points in this game with the team from the better conference and I truly believe the talent level is equal as well. New Mexico had an outstanding MWC season and I do not believe they warrant to be a touchdown underdog. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Maple Leafs +114 v. Wild | 5-3 | Win | 114 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #067. Take Toronto vs Minnesota (Saturday, December 1, 7:05 p.m.) We finished the month of November strong and we will start the month of December the exact same way! As per this selection. Sometimes Vegas gifts you with a line that you simply have to take advantage of. The Leafs are one of the best teams in the NHL, are fully healthy, have won three straight and have outscored their opposition 15-5 in that span. Now they get to travel to Minnesota to take on a Wild team that has been struggling mightily of late. The Leafs last played on Wednesday, so we have the benefit of backing them with an extra days rest - a spot in which they are 4-0 in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest. The Leafs are also starting their No.1 goalie in this spot, so we definitely have the goaltending advantage with Andersen over Dubynk. I told you guys with my last selection as we faded Minnesota, Dubynk is a hot or cold goalie. He's either on, or he's off, and right now he is struggling hard. He won't be able to flip the switch and stand on his head against a team as potent as the Leafs. In regard to the rest of the Wild team, they are simply not competing. I watched the entire game against Columbus and they looked sluggish for extended periods to time. Travel isn't on their side in this one as they've been traveling the last 6 days and will be playing in three different time zones. The Wild are just 2-5 in their last 7 vs the East and 3-9 in their last 12 vs a team with a winning % above .600. The Leafs are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 goals in their previous game and 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Take the better team and enjoy plus money. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Nevada -5.5 v. USC | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #563 Nevada over USC (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 1 FOX) The Wolf Pack are a legit top 5 team and we will ride them again after easily collecting with them against Loyola earlier this week. USC has talent, but they do not have a home court edge and a couple of their key players are questionable for this game. Need to keep riding Nevada with these short numbers until we are proven wrong. Nevada is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. USC is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a victory last time out. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Memphis +3.5 v. Central Florida | 41-56 | Loss | -113 | 98 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #309 Memphis Tigers over UCF Golden Knights (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 1 ABC) It ends tonight! The winning streak for the Golden Knights will come to an end on Saturday against a team that nearly beat them in the regular season. It will be imperative for the Tigers to stop the Golden Knights rushing attack and make Darriel Mack beat them through the air. Memphis is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 AAC games. UCF just does not have a path to the College Football Playoff and that will show up in this game, as Memphis wins it straight-up. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. California | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #333 Stanford Cardinal over California Golden Bears (3p.m., Saturday, December 1 PAC-12 Network) Stanford has won 8 straight in this series by an average of 20 points per game (6-2 ATS). Stanford has had a brutal schedule this year, but they have regrouped of late having won their last two games. This game comes down to Stanford being efficient on offense and if they can score in the twenties, they will likely win this game. Stanford plays better on the road going 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 7 Big Games! | |||||||
12-01-18 | Kansas State v. Marquette -2 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #534 Marquette over Kansas State (2p.m., Saturday, December 1 FS1) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR Both teams return a ton of experience, but Marquette needs this game more to bolster their hopes of an NCAA Tournament bid. Always like a game that features an unranked team that is favored against a ranked team. The Golden Eagles are a much better team at home and this will be the first two road game for Kansas State and their Milwaukee native coach. Marquette has two losses on the season, but they have played a much more difficult schedule, but they have yet to record a quality win. This will be the day that it happens. Generally, to win on the road against good teams you must shoot the ball well from long range and that is just not something this Wildcat team does well. This will be a contrast in styles with Marquette having the edge on the perimeter compared to K-State having the edge in the pant. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big East teams. Marquette has yet to hit their stride and play a complete 40 minute game but I expect that to happen on Saturday. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Chattanooga -4.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #628 Chattanooga over Tennessee Tech (2p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN+) No play against Tennessee Tech is a bad play. They are 1-6 on the season and are coming off a home loss to Winthrop by double digits. 80% of the money is coming in on Chattanooga and the line is jumping with good reason. This will be an 8-10 point win by the visitor and we will collect big in the process as well. | |||||||
11-30-18 | Oklahoma State v. Minnesota -3.5 | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #738 Minnesota over Oklahoma State (10p.m., Friday, November 30 BTN) Would go higher on this game if it were at the Barn but it is still in Minneapolis and feel Minnesota will bounce back in a big way tonight. The Pokes are coming off their best win of the season last time out against LSU. That being said they already lost to Charlotte this season in their only true road game thus far. Oklahoma State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played on Friday. The line is trending up and look for Minnesota to win this game by 6-8 points. | |||||||
11-30-18 | Wisconsin -1.5 v. Iowa | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #735 Wisconsin over Iowa (8p.m., Friday, November 30 BTN) Iowa is undefeated, higher ranked, and playing at home yet Wisconsin enter as the favorite. That tells me that the Badgers are the right side in this game. The road team is 6-2 in the last 8 match-ups. Wisconsin is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games. | |||||||
11-30-18 | Central Michigan v. TCU OVER 150 | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #734 Over in Central Michigan @ TCU (7:30p.m., Friday, November 30) The Chippewas only know how to play one way and that is up and down the court with lots of shots and very little defense. Central Michigan has gone over the posted total in 19 of their last 27 games (2 pushes). TCU has gone over the posted total in 13 of their last 18 games following a victory in their previous game. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |