Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-04-14 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -9.5 | Top | 22-27 | Loss | -110 | 134 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-14 | LSU v. Auburn UNDER 58.5 | Top | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LSU@AUB to go UNDER the total. LSU defeated Auburn by a score 35-21 at Baton Rouge last year, and it’s won six of the last seven meetings outright. The lone loss came by a score of 24-17 at Auburn in 2010, and the bookmakers are giving LSU more than a TD to work with here on the road this week. Auburn’s offense has sputtered the last two weeks, sneaking away with a victory in a close game at Kansas State, and failing to cover at home against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs last Saturday. It took a whole lot of luck for Auburn to make it to the SEC Championship Game last year. Along the way there were home wins over Washington State, Mississippi State, Georgia and Alabama, and all of those games were decided by seven points or less. Three of the last five head to head meetings between these two teams have gone under the total. Tonight's number is much higher that it was in those previous contests, in fact it's higher than the combined total in all five of those games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-14 | Alabama v. Ole Miss OVER 51 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ALA@MISS to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-14 | Stanford v. Notre Dame UNDER 47.5 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STAN@ND to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
10-04-14 | Stanford -140 v. Notre Dame | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Stanford Cardinal.
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10-03-14 | San Diego State v. Fresno State | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Diego State Aztecs. | |||||||
10-03-14 | Louisville -165 v. Syracuse | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 109 h 55 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals. | |||||||
10-03-14 | Louisville v. Syracuse UNDER 46.5 | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LOU@SYR to go UNDER the total. Louisville already suffered a tough loss on the road at Virginia, but I don't think they're going to have quite as much trouble with Syracuse. The Orange haven't impressed so far at home, losing to Maryland and needing overtime to beat Villanova. Quarterback Terrel Hunt completed just 50% of his pass attempts for 219 yards with no TDs and an INT in the loss to the Terrapins. | |||||||
10-02-14 | Arizona +23.5 v. Oregon | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 30 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on the Arizona Wildcats. | |||||||
09-27-14 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse UNDER 51.5 | Top | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SYR@ND to go UNDER the total. The Irish played in an NFL stadium in their last game, a 30-14 win over Purdue. They will take on the Syracuse Orange at the Meadowlands tonight, and I expect to see another low scoring tilt. The Irish defense has been dominant so far, pitching a shutout against Michigan, and they rank 3rd nationally allowing just 10 points per game. Syracuse QB Terrel Hunt has been a dual threat, and he ran for 156 yards and two TDs against Maryland last week. Notre Dame isn't likely to let Hunt run freely here tonight, and he hasn't been quite so efficient as a passer. He's completed just 58% of his passes for 488 yards with only 1 TD so far this season. He'll be without his top target, Ashton Broyld is sidelined by a leg injury. He leads the team with 11 catches for 125 yards. Notre Dame's ability to run up the score may be hampered by poor pass protection. The Boilermakers managed to get to Everett Golson, sacking him four times. The Irish are also missing one of their top receivers, as Amir Carlisle is out with a knee injury. The Irish have seen the total go under in 15 of their last 18 against teams from the ACC. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-14 | Duke +7 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 10-22 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. The Duke Blue Devils will be at Miami this week, looking to remain undefeated. The Blue Devils upset the Hurricanes at home last year, and finished the season as ACC Coastal Division champs. They haven't shown any signs of letting up this year, while the Hurricanes have already suffered a pair of losses to Louisville and Nebraska. I'll take the points, but I really think Duke should win this game outright. | |||||||
09-27-14 | Missouri v. South Carolina -205 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -205 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the South Carolina Gamecocks. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-14 | Stanford -6.5 v. Washington | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 123 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-25-14 | UCLA -4 v. Arizona State | Top | 62-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the UCLA Bruins. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-25-14 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -13.5 | Top | 35-45 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. | |||||||
09-20-14 | Northern Illinois v. Arkansas -14 | Top | 14-52 | Win | 100 | 108 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-14 | North Carolina v. East Carolina -2 | Top | 41-70 | Win | 100 | 79 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the East Carolina Pirates. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-14 | Florida v. Alabama OVER 50 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FLA@ALA to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-14 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech UNDER 52.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GT@VT to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
09-18-14 | Auburn v. Kansas State +9 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 60 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas State Wildcats. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-13-14 | Penn State -175 v. Rutgers | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 113 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions. | |||||||
09-13-14 | UCLA -7.5 v. Texas | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UCLA Bruins. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-13-14 | Purdue v. Notre Dame UNDER 59 | Top | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PUR@ND to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-13-14 | Georgia -5.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -112 | 108 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-13-14 | Arkansas +100 v. Texas Tech | Top | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Razorbacks have shown signs of being far better in 2014 than they were last season. In Week 1 they lost 45-21 at Auburn, but that game was a lot closer than the score would indicate. After going to the locker room tied 21-21 at halftime, Arkansas let the game get away from them in the second half. The Razorbacks bounced right back last week, blowing out Nichol State by a score of 73-7. They will take on Texas Tech in Lubbock this week, and the Red Raiders have looked terrible so far. QB Davis Webb was picked off twice in Week 1, and he completed less than 55% of his passes against UTEP last week. Both of their first two games have been too close comfort, despite playing inferior opposition. UTEP ran all over the Red Raiders defense last week, picking up 277 yards and three rushing TDs. Arkansas came very close to running for 500 yards last week, punching in six TDs on the ground. The Razorbacks should be able to punish Texas Tech with their running attack here on Saturday. My Prediction: Arkansas wins 41-33 Take ARK GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-12-14 | Toledo +10 v. Cincinnati | Top | 34-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Toledo Rockets. | |||||||
09-11-14 | Houston v. BYU UNDER 57 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@BYU to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
09-11-14 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas -165 | Top | 42-21 | Loss | -165 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on the North Texas Mean Green. | |||||||
09-06-14 | Colorado State v. Boise State UNDER 57.5 | Top | 24-37 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CSU@BSU to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
09-06-14 | Michigan v. Notre Dame UNDER 56 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MICH@ND to go Under the total. The Michigan Wolverines will travel to South Bend for the final scheduled meeting against rivals Notre Dame. Both these teams are coming off blowout wins over cupcakes in Week 1, but we should see a spirited battle here this week, and I expect points to be few and far between. | |||||||
09-06-14 | BYU -115 v. Texas | Top | 41-7 | Win | 100 | 40 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars. | |||||||
09-06-14 | Northern Illinois v. Northwestern -7 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Northwestern Wildcats. | |||||||
09-06-14 | USC v. Stanford -140 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -140 | 68 h 55 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Stanford Cardinal. The USC Trojans are a sexy pick in the Pac-12 this year, and everyone is expecting them to be greatly improved under new coach Steve Sarkisian. I think it's asking a little too much of the Trojans to come into Palo Alto and upset the Cardinal this week though. Stanford has been dominant at home during the David Shaw era, going undefeated since a 53-30 loss to Oregon back in 2011. Of course they executed revenge for that loss by defeating the Ducks at home last year by a score of 26-20. GL, | |||||||
09-05-14 | Washington State -175 v. Nevada | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -175 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington State Cougars. | |||||||
09-01-14 | Miami (Florida) +3.5 v. Louisville | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the Miami Hurricanes. "He's protected the ball really well, he can articulate the offense, he's very poised. At the end of the day, as I told him, he's our quarterback. He's not a freshman quarterback, he's the University of Miami quarterback." Miami linebacker Denzel Perryman said: "I can't rattle him for nothing." "I think nobody can" | |||||||
08-31-14 | SMU v. Baylor UNDER 75 | Top | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SMU@BAY to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-14 | Utah State v. Tennessee OVER 51 | Top | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USU@TENN to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-30-14 | Oklahoma State v. Florida State UNDER 63 | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
This is 10* play on FSU@OKST to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
08-30-14 | Clemson v. Georgia OVER 54 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play CLEM@UGA to go OVER the total. | |||||||
08-30-14 | Clemson v. Georgia -7.5 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. | |||||||
08-30-14 | Arkansas +21.5 v. Auburn | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -100 | 679 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks. | |||||||
08-30-14 | Ohio State v. Navy OVER 53 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OSU@NAVY to go OVER the total (10*) | |||||||
08-30-14 | Penn State +2.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions. The money has been coming in on Central Florida, and I can only assume that the thinking is that the Knights have several starters returning on both sides of the ball. The two players that they won't have returning, are starting quarterback Blake Bortles and running back Storm Johnson. The Knights upset Penn State at Happy Valley last year, but it was a close game (34-31), and Bortles and Johnson accounted for all four of their TDs in that game. The win also ended a six game losing skid against Big Ten opponents. Critics will point out that Penn State will have to adapt to a new head coach, but when you consider what James Franklyn was able to acheive at Vanderbilt, I would look at that as more of positive than a negative. Christian Hackenberg returns at quarterback, and he'll be joined by star running back Zack Zwinak. The offensive line is predicted to be a bit of a weak spot for the Nittany Lions, but I'm banking on Franklyn to find a way to make due with the talent he has to work with. Take PSU GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-14 | Rutgers v. Washington State -9 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 630 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington State Cougars. Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-14 | Ole Miss v. Boise State OVER 52.5 | Top | 35-13 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MISS@BSU to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-14 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 58 | Top | 52-28 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TAM@SOCAR to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
01-06-14 | Auburn v. Florida State -7.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 693 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles. I didn't just win with Alabama in last year's BCS game, I swept the board with plays on the side, total and first half. I see a lot of similarities in the two teams that will battle for the National Championship this year. Here is what I said prior to last season's game: "We have all heard of "The Luck Of The Irish".. well Notre Dame certainly needed a lot of luck to finish this season with an undefeated record. The Irish were fortunate to defeat Stanford at home after the Cardinal appeared to have scored the go-ahead touchdown in overtime. Officials ruled that despite the fact that Stepfan Taylor reached the ball across the goal line before his knee was down, the play had been blown dead. Notre Dame went on to win by a score of 20-13. The following week they found themselves trailing in the fourth quarter to BYU, but again luck was on their side, and they scored late to win 17-14. Two weeks later, it looked like their luck had run out as they went into the fourth quarter trailing Pittsburgh by 14 points. They rallied to force overtime, eventually winning in the extra period by a score of 29-26. Now I can't tell you that the Irish don't deserve to be here, or that they just got lucky. After all, they do have the #1 ranked defense in the country allowing just over 10 points per game. It's probably appropriate to say "you gotta be good to get lucky". Now Alabama is good, in fact they are so good, they don't need to get lucky. They own the #2 defense in the nation, just behind the Irish, but when you consider strength of schedule, you could say that Bama is the better team defensively. When it comes to offense, there is no question, Alabama is the better team hands down! Led by quarterback A.J. McCarron, who completed 66% of his passes for 2669 yards and 26 touchdowns with just three interceptions. McCarron's biggest asset is that he just doesn't make mistakes, and that will be important against a strong defense like Notre Dame's." This time around, it's Auburn that needed a hail mary pass in the final minute against Georgia to come from behind and win at home. Then a week later they were the beneficiary of a comedy of errors by Alabama's special teams unit. The Tide missed all three field goal attempts in that game, and it was a missed field goal returned for a 109 yard touchdown that won the game on the final play for the Tigers. Florida State didn't need any luck to get here, they annihilated the opposition, out-scoring opponents 280-34 in their final five games. It's not like they have been padding their stats against weak teams either, beating then #3 Clemson on the road 51-14, #7 Miami 41-14 at home, and Florida 37-7 in Gainesville. I expect to see the Seminoles steamroll Auburn here, much like Alabama did to Notre Dame last year. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-06-14 | Auburn v. Florida State UNDER 68 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 66 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FSU@AUB to go UNDER the total. Last year I played the over in the first half of the BCS game between Alabama and Notre Dame. I had this to say: "With the #1 & #2 defenses facing off against each other, this is expected to be a low scoring game with the total hovering around 40. Alabama has only played one game all season with fewer than 40 points scored, and that was a 35-0 shutout of Western Kentucky. I think it's a little naive to think the Notre Dame's defense is going to stop Alabama from scoring, keep in mind this is the same team that piled on 41 points against Michigan in their season opener, and the fewest points they scored all year was a total of 21, in a victory over LSU in the swamp." I will use similar logic here this time around, only this time it is a play on two high scoring offenses, that are being asked to reach an astronomical total. The public loves betting overs, and it's tough to blame them, as it is exciting watching teams put points on the board. Let's not forget that FSU actually has more impressive stats defensively than they do offensively. The Auburn offense relies heavily on a running game that will be up against the Noles defense that allowed an average of just 3.1 yards per carry this season. While FSU scored a lot of points, they were not quite as prolific when up against quality opponents like Florida, Miami and Duke, as none of those games combined for 60 points. We saw the total open at a very high number, in the mid 60s, an public money has driven that up 3-4 points. This creates quite some value on a play against the money. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-03-14 | Clemson +3 v. Ohio State | Top | 40-35 | Win | 100 | 445 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. In the Sugar Bowl, we saw what can happen to a team that had it's dreams crushed just a few weeks earlier. Alabama appeared to bring a halfhearted effort against Oklahoma, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Buckeyes put in a similar showing here tonight. Ohio State didn't look that sharp at the end of the season anyway, struggling mightily in big games versus Michigan and Michigan State. Connor Cook and Devin Gardner picked apart the Buckeyes secondary, as Ohio State surrendered over 1000 yards of total offense in it's last two games. Now they try to shore up their secondary against Tajh Boyd and the Clemson offense, that averaged over 40 points per game - 9th in the country. Losing their best pass rusher isn't going to help matters, as Noah Spence will miss this game serving a suspension for an unspecified rules violation. He led the team with eight sacks and 14.5 tackles for a loss during the season. Clemson lost just two games this season, to Florida State and South Carolina. The Seminoles are in a league of their own, and I don't think the Buckeyes defense is comparable to that of the Gamecocks. Clemson knocked off #5 ranked Georgia on the road in their season opener, while the Buckeyes highest ranked opponent was #10 Michigan State, and they lost that game 34-24. Take the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-03-14 | Oklahoma State -1 v. Missouri | Top | 31-41 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. In the Sugar Bowl, we saw what can happen to a team that had it's dreams crushed just a few weeks earlier. Alabama appeared to bring a halfhearted effort against Oklahoma, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Tigers put in a similar showing here tonight. It was a crushing loss in a close game at Auburn that killed their national title aspirations, and now Missouri will play in the Cotton Bowl while Auburn place for the BCS championship against Florida State. Win or lose, this Missouri team has to be left thinking that they were one win away from something much bigger. That isn't necessarily the case for the Cowboys, who should be quite pleased by a victory in the Cotton Bowl. Clint Chelf has ignited the Cowboys offense since taking over at quarterback, and he's thrown nine TDs and just two picks in his last four starts. "Any time you can play an SEC team, you want to do it. They're obviously regarded as the top conference," Chelf said. "Getting a shot at a team that was in the conference championship is a good challenge for us." Take the Cowboys. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-01-14 | Central Florida v. Baylor -16 | Top | 52-42 | Loss | -110 | 397 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. UCF won the ACC Title when Cincinnati came up short at home versus Louisville. They won 11-of-12 during the season, and even the one loss was pretty impressive, losing by just three points to the Gamecocks. The final score in that game is a little deceiving though, as South Carolina was driving deep in the red zone in the fourth quarter, about to go up by 17 points, when an interception eventually led to a UCF touchdown. The Knights seemed to fade at the end of the season, despite winning all their remaining games after losing to the Gamecocks. They needed a miracle comeback with 10 points in the final 1:06 to sneak past Temple 39-36 on November 16. Their final two games of the season came against unranked opponents, and they won those by a combined seven points. Baylor was in a league of it's own this year, leading the nation averaging 53.3 points per game. It wasn't just the Bears offense that was impressive, they also got it done defensively, allowing just over 20 points per game. Of their 11 victories, nine of those came by a margin of 20 or more points. They beat the Texas Longhorns by a score of 30-10 in their final game of the season, and they did it without Tevin Reese, and a banged up Lache Seastrunk. Both players come in healthy and ready to go in the Fiesta Bowl. I'm expecting the Bears to put on a show tonight. Take Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-01-14 | Michigan State v. Stanford -225 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -225 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Stanford Cardinal. When I bet against Michigan in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, I cautioned not to put too much stock in an impressive showing against Ohio State. I believe the same holds true here with the Spartans. I backed Michigan State when they upset the Buckeyes in the Big-10 championship game, but I have been telling people all year that Ohio State is one of the most overrated teams in the nation. The Cardinal on the other hand are a team that plays with the big boys. While Sparty has been dominating the Big-10, all the Cardinal have been doing is playing the likes of Oregon, UCLA, Arizona State .. and the list goes on. They beat the Ducks again this year, and they dominated the Pac-12 championship game on the road against a very good Arizona State team. Kevin Hogan comes into this game at quarterback for the Cardinal with the experience of playing in last year's Rose Bowl, while Connor Cook is playing in a bowl game for the first time. I have a lot of respect for this tough Spartans team, but I think they are biting off more than they can chew here against Stanford. Take the Cardinal. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-01-14 | Iowa v. LSU -7 | Top | 14-21 | Push | 0 | 510 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LSU Tigers. After losing three games this season, the Tigers have fallen out of favor with pollsters, and much of the public. Still, you have to put those losses in perspective. They lost on the road to Georgia and Ole Miss, and both those games were decided by just three points. They were tied 17-17 in the third quarter at Alabama, but went on to lose 38-17, after the Tide scored three unanswered touchdowns. LSU will play Iowa in the Outback Bowl on New Years Day, without starting quarterback Zack Mettenberger. With freshman Anthony Jennings getting his first career start for the Tigers, their offensive game plan could be quite conservative. That might not be a bad thing against a Hawkeyes team that boasts the nation's 10th ranked defense. Admittedly, I don't know a lot about Jennings, but I do know that he won't have to do much to be better than Jake Ruddock. I haven't been impressed with the Hawkeyes quarterback, and some might remember that he was just 12-of-24 for 109 yards with no touchdowns and an interception at home against Wisconsin back in Week 9. If he thought the Badgers defense was tough, he's in for a real nightmare against the Tigers. LSU should be able to win handily, leaning on it's running game and an mismatch with an elite defense going up against a terrible Iowa offense. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-13 | Duke v. Texas A&M -11.5 | Top | 48-52 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. Duke shocked the nation by winning 10 games this season, and punching a ticket to the ACC championship game. The Blue Devils got a rude awakening though, losing to Florida State by a score of 45-7. When you look at how Duke got here, you can see that they won a lot of close games against poor teams. They overcame a 14-0 deficit to come back and beat Wake Forest 28-21 in Week 11. They kicked a late field goal to come from behind to beat the Tar Heels, and rallied in the fourth quarter to come from behind and beat the N.C. State Wolfpack. The Aggies lost their last two games of the season to LSU and Missouri on the road, but I don't think this Duke team is at all comparable to those SEC powerhouses. I like the Aggies and Johnny Manziel to make a statement here against a Duke team that isn't as good as it's cracked up to be. The Nation's #5 ranked scoring offense should have a field day against Duke's suspect defense. In their three losses to Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh and Florida State, they allowed an average of 47 points. The average margin of defeat in those games was more than 21 points. Manziel's swan song should be a one-sided affair. Take A&M GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-13 | Mississippi State v. Rice UNDER 51 | Top | 44-7 | Push | 0 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-30-13 | Texas v. Oregon -14 | Top | 7-30 | Win | 105 | 348 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. Oregon wasn`t supposed to be here. This was supposed to be Oregon`s year to play for the national title, but an injury to star quarterback Marcus Mariota sent the Ducks into a downward spiral, losing to Stanford and Arizona in the final four weeks of the season, and narrowly escaping a loss to the Beavers in the Civil War Game in their final game of the season. Mariota has had over a month to recover, and he says he's ready to go against Texas: | |||||||
12-28-13 | Michigan v. Kansas State -205 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 41 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the Kansas State Wildcats. I see a lot of people out there backing Michigan in this game, and I can see why. On the surface, it looks pretty impressive pushing Ohio State to the brink in their final game of the season, losing by a single point (42-41). When you closely examine that game though, there are quite a few things I find alarming. I really don't think much of coach Brady Hoke's decision to go for the two-point conversion on the final play, instead of taking his chances in overtime. Another scary prospect for Michigan backers is the fact that the Buckeyes racked up almost 400 rushing yards in that game. They face a Kansas State team that relies almost exclusively on running the football, and it's going to be a long day if they are unable to stop the run in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl. Devin Gardner threw for 451 yards and four touchdowns, having a hell of game versus the Buckeyes, but he's not expected to start. Highly touted rookie Shane Morris will get the nod, and he'll face a tough Wildcats defense that many believe is much better than their numbers indicate. Despite all the love for Michigan after their loss to Ohio State, the reality is that they have lost four of their last five overall, and needed overtime to get past a pretty poor Northwestern team. Take the Wildcats. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-13 | Miami (Florida) v. Louisville -160 | Top | 9-36 | Win | 100 | 37 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals. Louisville took advantage of a soft schedule, winning all but one of it's 12 games during the season. I was impressed with the Cardinal in their final victory on the road versus Cincinnati in the Keg of Nails, especially the play of quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. He completed 23-of-37 attempts for 255 yards and three touchdowns against the nation's 12th ranked defense. He should be in for a big night against a poor Hurricanes defense in the Russell Athletic Bowl. Miami looked awful losing three straight games to Florida State, Virginia Tech and Duke in the second half of the season. They allowed more than 40 points, and 500 yards in each of those games. You can hardly fault them for those numbers against the Seminoles, but there is no excuse for allowing the Hokies and Blue Devils to blow them out. The Hurricanes have really struggled since losing star running back Duke Johnson, converting on fewer than 1/3 of their third down tries. The Cardinals rank #2 in the nation allowing opponents to convert on third down at a rate of 28.6%. Take L'Ville. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-13 | Cincinnati +3 v. North Carolina | Top | 17-39 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. I bet on the Bearcats in the Keg of Nails game versus Louisville, and it turned out to be an epic bad beat. Cincinnati blew a golden opportunity in the fourth quarter to win the game outright as a home underdog, and went on to lose by seven points in overtime, when a three point loss would have still covered. The Cardinals are a quality football team though, and Teddy Bridgewater is one of the nation's best quarterbacks. Cincy will play North Carolina in the Belk Bowl, and the Tar Heels will be without their starting quarterback Bryn Renner. Marquise Williams has been impressive since taking over for the injured Renner, throwing for more than 1500 yards and 14 TDs in eight appearances. He struggled in the season finale versus Duke though, completing 17-of-36 attempts for 223 yards with a TD and a pair of INTs. He's facing a tough Cincy defense that ranks 12th in the nation, allowing fewer than 20 points per game. Brandon Kay had an impressive season for the Bearcats, but he was playing through nagging ailments in his final few appearances of the season. The three weeks off should be a huge benefit to the Cincinnati quarterback. North Carolina will not have their offensive coordinator calling the plays on offense in the Belk Bowl, as Blake Anderson has moved on to coach Arkansas State. They might struggle to put points on the board versus this stingy Cincy defense. Take Cincy. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-13 | Cincinnati v. North Carolina UNDER 61.5 | Top | 17-39 | Win | 100 | 1 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN@UNC to go UNDER the total. I bet on the Bearcats in the Keg of Nails game versus Louisville, and it turned out to be an epic bad beat. Cincinnati blew a golden opportunity in the fourth quarter to win the game outright as a home underdog, and went on to lose by seven points in overtime, when a three point loss would have still covered. The Cardinals are a quality football team though, and Teddy Bridgewater is one of the nation's best quarterbacks. Cincy will play North Carolina in the Belk Bowl, and the Tar Heels will be without their starting quarterback Bryn Renner. Marquise Williams has been impressive since taking over for the injured Renner, throwing for more than 1500 yards and 14 TDs in eight appearances. He struggled in the season finale versus Duke though, completing 17-of-36 attempts for 223 yards with a TD and a pair of INTs. He's facing a tough Cincy defense that ranks 12th in the nation, allowing fewer than 20 points per game. Brandon Kay had an impressive season for the Bearcats, but he was playing through nagging ailments in his final few appearances of the season. The three weeks off should be a huge benefit to the Cincinnati quarterback. North Carolina will not have their offensive coordinator calling the plays on offense in the Belk Bowl, as Blake Anderson has moved on to coach Arkansas State. They might struggle to put points on the board versus this stingy Cincy defense. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-13 | Washington v. BYU UNDER 61.5 | Top | 31-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-27-13 | Washington v. BYU +3.5 | Top | 31-16 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-26-13 | Utah State v. Northern Illinois UNDER 58.5 | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 46 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NIU@USU to go UNDER the total. The Aggies came up short in their season finale against Fresno State, losing by a score of 24-17. They did hold the Bulldogs to a season-low points total, which is a fairly impressive result against the nation's #1 passing offense. Utah State will face another high scoring team in the Poinsettia Bowl, when they take on Northern Illinois. The Huskies were blown out in the Mac Championship Game, losing 47-27. The Huskies won their first 12 games of the season, and quarterback Jordan Lynch put up some pretty impressive numbers during that span. For the most part, those wins came against the minnows in the MAC, and when confronted with a solid defensive team like Bowling Green, Lynch and the Huskies failed to rise to the occasion. The Aggies aren't that much different than the Falcons, another team that relies heavily on a Top 10 defense that has allowed an average of just 17.3 points per game. Utah State won five straight before losing to Fresno State, and they haven't seen the total go higher than 57 in any of their past 10 games. The Aggies picked off Derek Carr twice in their last game, and Jordan Lynch threw a pair of interceptions against Bowling Green. I am expecting the Aggies to grind out a win here in another low scoring game, against an overrated Huskies team. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-13 | Utah State +1 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah State Aggies. The Aggies came up short in their season finale against Fresno State, losing by a score of 24-17. They did hold the Bulldogs to a season-low points total, which is a fairly impressive result against the nation's #1 passing offense. Utah State will face another high scoring team in the Poinsettia Bowl, when they take on Northern Illinois. The Huskies were blown out in the Mac Championship Game, losing 47-27. The Huskies won their first 12 games of the season, and quarterback Jordan Lynch put up some pretty impressive numbers during that span. For the most part, those wins came against the minnows in the MAC, and when confronted with a solid defensive team like Bowling Green, Lynch and the Huskies failed to rise to the occasion. The Aggies aren't that much different than the Falcons, another team that relies heavily on a Top 10 defense that has allowed an average of just 17.3 points per game. Utah State won five straight before losing to Fresno State, and they haven't seen the total go higher than 57 in any of their past 10 games. The Aggies picked off Derek Carr twice in their last game, and Jordan Lynch threw a pair of interceptions against Bowling Green. I am expecting the Aggies to grind out a win here in another low scoring game, against an overrated Huskies team. Take USU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-13 | Pittsburgh v. Bowling Green -4 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Bowling Green Falcons. It was just three weeks ago that the Falcons steamrolled the previously unbeaten Northern Illinois Huskies in the MAC Championship game, and they will step foot on the very same field to play Pittsburgh in the Little Caesars Bowl. The Falcons come into this game without head coach Dave Clawson, who has moved on to Wake Forest. Traditional wisdom tells us to be wary of betting on teams with a new coach in bowl games, but there are plenty of examples where teams don't miss a beat. Look at the Trojans in their win over Fresno State, with interim coach Clay Helton calling the plays. The Trojans fired Lane Kiffin half way through the season, then went on to win five their next six under Ed Orgeron. Despite their immediate turnaround, they chose to let Orgeron go, hiring Steve Sarkasian their former assistant. This didn't stop them from blowing out the Bulldogs in the Las Vegas Bowl. I'm expecting a similar effort here from the Falcons, who finished 5th in opponent scoring, allowing an average of just 14.8 points per game. Bowling Green lost just three games all season, and one of those was a 21-20 defeat on the road against an SEC team, Mississippi State. Pittsburgh was wildly inconsistent, defeating teams like Notre Dame and Duke, but losing to the likes of Navy and North Carolina. They closed the season losing 4-of-6, and I just can't see them bringing much here in this contest. Take the Falcons. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-13 | Oregon State -2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 325 h 57 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-21-13 | Colorado State v. Washington State -4 | Top | 48-45 | Loss | -108 | 128 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington State Cougars. Auburn will play Florida State in the national championship game, but the Tigers had their fair sure of luck in getting there. Some might forget that they just narrowly avoided defeat in their opener versus the Cougars. Washington State did well to finish the season with a 6-6 record, with a very tough schedule that USA Today called the toughest in the country. Washington State also has one of the top quarterbacks in the country in Connor Halliday, who finished fourth with 4,187 yards and 28 touchdowns. The Rams managed to finish the season with a winning record (7-6), but against some of the weakest teams in the country. When the Cougars were playing Oregon, Stanford and USC, the Rams were playing the likes of Hawaii, Nevada and Air Force. In the final three weeks of the season, the Cougars upset the Wildcats in Arizona, blew out the Utes at home, and lost a close game on the road to rivals Washington. Take WAZZU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-13 | Army v. Navy UNDER 55 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 126 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARMY@NAVY to go UNDER the total. The annual Army/Navy game has some overwhelming trends, most notably the fact that Navy beats Army every year, or at least going back the last decade. The margin of victory though has been quite slim the last two year, as Army lost 17-13 last year, and 27-21 in 2011. With two teams that focus almost exclusively on running the football, it's not surprising that the trend has been low scoring games. The total has gone under in every game between these two teams since 2005. It seems odd that the listed total for this year's game is no lower than it had been in any of the previous five meetings. In fact, we have seen the total as low as 41 in 2009, and still they failed to reach that number. Weather certainly could be a factor, as the venue of Lincoln Field can be a frozen tundra in mid December. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-13 | Army +400 v. Navy | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARMY ML. The annual Army/Navy game has some overwhelming trends, most notably the fact that Navy beats Army every year, or at least going back the last decade. The margin of victory though has been quite slim the last two year, as Army lost 17-13 last year, and 27-21 in 2011. With two teams that focus almost exclusively on running the football, it's not surprising that the trend has been low scoring games. The total has gone under in every game between these two teams since 2005. It seems odd that the listed total for this year's game is no lower than it had been in any of the previous five meetings. In fact, we have seen the total as low as 41 in 2009, and still they failed to reach that number. Weather certainly could be a factor, as the venue of Lincoln Field can be a frozen tundra in mid December. Sure enough, just hrs from kickoff and the weather looks pretty bad, which should favor the underdog. Take ARMY ML. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-13 | Utah State +3 v. Fresno State | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -101 | 130 h 21 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-07-13 | Ohio State v. Michigan State +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 129 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans. The Buckeyes and their perfect 12-0 record are all the rage heading into the Big-10 Championship Game, but I'm not buying the hype. Only a failed two-point conversion by the Wolverines prevented them from losing last Saturday, and their defense had no answer for Michigan. The Wolverines weren't able to stop the Buckeyes either, but it's likely to be a different story against the Spartans. Michigan State's defense ranks #3 in the nation, allowing an average of just 11.8 points per game. The Spartans have held opponents to fewer than seven points in five of their last six games. Ohio State's bread and butter has been it's running game, but the Buckeyes are facing a brick wall that is Michigan States #1 ranked run defense, allowing fewer rushing yards than any other team in the country. If the Buckeyes can't run, they will be in trouble in Indianapolis. I'm expecting this game to be a lot like last week's game in Michigan, but this time I think the Buckeyes will be on the wrong side of a close game. Take the Spartans. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-13 | Stanford +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 128 h 10 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-06-13 | Bowling Green +5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 47-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Bowling Green Falcons. The Northern Illinois Huskies might be the most overrated team in the country. NIU is ranked #14, and they come into the MAC Championship with a perfect 12-0 record. While that sounds pretty impressive, the reality is that they have been padding their stats, beating up on the weaker teams in the MAC. The Huskies did beat Ball State and Toledo by double digits, but the final score in both those games was a little misleading. At home against Ball State, it was a tie game in the fourth quarter, but NIU scored 21 unanswered points in the final 10 minutes, and 14 of those points came after the two-minute warning. It was a similar story in the game at Toledo, scoring three unanswered touchdowns after trailing 17-14 in the third quarter. There is no doubt that the Huskies are a dangerous team offensively with Jordan Lynch at quarterback. They can put points on the board in a hurry, but their defense is still a little suspect. NIU has given up an awful lot of points to below average teams. Bowling Green owns the nation's #5 ranked defense, allowing just 13.8 points per game. Last week the Falcons went into Buffalo and held the Bulls to just 7 points, and only 15 yards rushing. Surely this is the best defense NUI will have seen so far, and another late rally might not be so easy to come by. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-13 | Louisville v. Cincinnati +3.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. The mighty Louisville Cardinals are 10-1, and they rank 3rd in the nation in defense, allowing an average of just 11.4 points per game. As impressive as that sounds though, they've only played one team currently ranked in the top 25, and they lost that game on their home turf - 38-35 to UCF. Cincinnati has won six straight, and they are undefeated at home (5-0). Both teams have played much of the same opponents, and it's quite obvious that Cincinnati has come away with more impressive results in recent weeks. The Bearcats have won decisively on the road against Rutgers and Houston the last two weeks, two teams that gave Louisville a tough time at home. Teddy Bridgewater was considered a Heisman candidate earlier in the season, and the Cardinals quarterback has thrown 25 touchdowns and just three interceptions. He's been rather lackluster the past three weeks though, with just two TDs and an INT. Bridgewater will face a Top 10 defense for the first time this season, and he could be in for a rough game on the road. Louisville defeated the Bearcats by just a field goal at home last year, yet they are giving up more than three points on the road this time around? I expect the home team to win this game outright, and getting points is just a bonus. Take Cincy. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-13 | Arizona +12 v. Arizona State | Top | 21-58 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona is coming off an upset victory over Oregon, and the Wildcats certainly won't be lacking confidence as they get set to face Arizona State in Temple. The Wildcats have won their last two visits to Temple, including an upset as a 10 point underdog in 2011. The Sun Devils have won six in a row, but two of their last three wins have come in games decided by less than a touchdown. Arizona's defense forced three turnovers against Oregon last week, including a pair of interceptions on Marcus Mariota. It was the first time this season that Mariota had thrown an INT. Ka'Deem Carey ran for over 200 yards, and he's got seven touchdowns in his last three games. The Sun Devils are going to have their hands full trying to stop Carey. The Wildcats have lost a total of four games this season, but only one of those games was decided by more than 10 points. They held their own against USC and UCLA, and there is every reason to expect them to come to play in Temple. B.J. Denker doesn't have dazzling stats, but the one that stands out: he's thrown just four interceptions. He's done a great job holding on to the football, and that's a comforting thought when backing double digit dog. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-13 | Texas A&M v. Missouri -4 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 151 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. Johnny Manziel will be remembered as one of the greatest quarterbacks in college football history, but he's coming off one of the worst games of his career. He completed less than 40% of his attempts for just 224 yards, a TD and a pair of INTs on the road in Baton Rouge last week. The Aggies are on the road again this week, and it won't be any easier in Missouri. The Tigers rank among the nation's best, with 35 sacks and 18 interceptions on opposing quarterbacks this season. The Tigers are coming off a win on the road at Ole Miss, and they kept Bo Wallace out of the endzone, throwing for 244 yards with an INT. The Aggies have only played three games on the road so far, and they were fortunate to engineer a late rally to come from behind in Mississippi. Johnny Manziel didn't throw a single touchdown pass in that game, but did throw an INT. He was picked off three times two weeks ago at Mississippi State. The Aggies defense has really looked suspect at times this season, and allowing the bulldogs to score 41 points should sound some alarms heading into Missouri this week. There is every reason to expect Manziel to struggle, and the Aggies are likely looking at another blowout loss on the road. Take Missouri. GL Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-13 | Alabama -10.5 v. Auburn | Top | 28-34 | Loss | -106 | 145 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Alabama Crimson Tide. Auburn has had a terrific season, and they find themselves with a chance to play for the SEC championship with a win at home in their final home game. They host the undefeated Crimson Tide though, and I don't like their chances of success. Auburn relies heavily on it's running game to generate offense, and they will be hard pressed to run the ball on the nation's #1 defense. Alabama played on the road at Mississippi State two weeks ago, and they held the Bulldogs to just 53 yards on 29 carries. It's worth noting that Mississippi State is one of the few teams that Auburn struggled with, needing a late TD to come from behind and win by a score of 24-20 at home. The Tigers played their final game of last season in Alabama, losing 49-0. Now there is no doubt that this year's team is better, but they have yet to prove that they can compete with true elite teams. They didn't look good against LSU on September 21, losing 35-21 in Louisiana. They needed a last minute touchdown on a Hail Mary pass to get past Georgia at home in their last game, and their defense really had no answer for Aaron Murray in that game. I've been betting on Auburn all year, but I think success has resulted in the Tigers becoming overvalued, and it's asking too much for them to compete with the best team in the country, even at home. Take Alabama. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-13 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia +13.5 | Top | 16-6 | Win | 100 | 145 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Cavaliers. There is no denying that the Hokies have one of the most impressive defenses in college football, but their offense is well below average. Virginia Tech is being asked to cover a double digit spread on the road in this rivalry game versus Virginia. The Cavs have lost eight straight, but I don't expect to see them lay down here in their final home game. Virginia played a spirited game in Blacksburg last year, losing by a score of 17-14. It's hard for Virginia Tech to win big with a quarterback like Logan Thomas, who has a tendency to throw interceptions. He was picked off four time in 13-10 loss to Duke a few weeks back, and he's thrown 12 picks total this season. The Hokies are nowhere near 100% with several key injuries on both sides of the ball. Both Kyle fuller and Antone Exum are likely to miss this game, leaving Virginia Tech without two starting corners. The Cavs were able to shut down Miami's running game last week, as the Hurricanes had just 90 yards on 25 carries. They've been a lot better at defending the run than the pass, and that works to their favor here today. If they can hold their own against the Hokies running game, forcing Logan Thomas to throw the ball, it could be a disaster for the Hokies. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-13 | Ohio State v. Michigan +13 | Top | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 142 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan Wolverines. Michigan has lost four games this season, and all but one of those games were decided by just three points. The only exception is a 29-6 loss at Michigan State, at the beginning of this month. The Buckeyes will be a big road favorite in Ann Arbor, and I think the Wolverines can hang with OSU here. Last year these teams payed in Columbus, and it was a very close game, with the Buckeyes winning 26-21. The Public loves Ohio State, but the reality is that they have been padding their stats against weak teams. They've played close games against Iowa, Northwestern and Wisconsin, and two of those three games were at home. I don't think it's at all realistic to expect the Buckeyes to come into Michigan, and blowout the Wolverines in this rivalry game. I wouldn't be surprised to see Michigan win this game outright, but at the very least they should be able to keep it close. Take Michigan. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-13 | Iowa v. Nebraska -3 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Nebraska isn't a popular pick lately, and for good reason.. The Cornhuskers simply aren't a great football team. I'm going to back them in their final home game against Iowa though, because .. how good do you have to be to beat Iowa at home? Sure the Hawkeyes play solid defense, and admittedly they run the ball well, but their quarterback is a disaster waiting to happen. Jake Ruddock has been picked off 12 times this season, three of those interceptions came at home against Michigan last week. Nebraska will likely go with backup quarterback Ron Kellogg III, (I imagine soon to be known as RK3). The senior completed 20-of-34 attempts for 221 yards and a touchdown in last week's win over Penn State. He's done a good job protecting the football, with five touchdowns and just a single interception this season. As well as Iowa defends the run, Ameer Abdullah has seen elite defenses before, and he hasn't been slowed yet. He's run for at least 100 yards in 10 of his 11 games this season, with the only exception against UCLA, when he was just two yards shy with 98. The Spartans and the Wolverines couldn't stop him, and in what might be his final game in Nebraska, he should be in for another big day. Take the Cornhuskers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-13 | Texas Tech v. Texas -4 | Top | 16-41 | Win | 100 | 103 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Longhorns. Two weeks ago, I made one of me biggest bets of the season on Oklahoma State to beat Texas in Texas. They Cowboys won handily, putting an end to the Longhorns six game winning streak. The Red Raiders are a far cry from Oklahoma State though, and I think the Longhorns should be able to take advantage of this weak defense on their home turf. Texas Tech opened the season with seven straight wins, but when the schedule got tougher, they folded like a cheap suit. The Red Raiders have lost four in a row to Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas State and Baylor. Their defense has allowed an average of over 50 points in those four losses. Opponents have averaged almost 300 yards rushing in their last four games, and such an inability to stop the run is going to be tough to overcome. Texas has some injury concerns, most notably missing starting quarterback David Ash and top running back Jonathan Gray. Malcolm Brown is a capable replacement for Gray, he's scored eight touchdowns in his last four games, and should be in for a big night Thursday. Case McCoy won't be under pressure to throw the ball if the Red Raiders are unable to stop the Texas running game. I think the Longhorns will prove to be in a different class than their opponent in this game, even without a few key starters. Take the Longhorns. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-13 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 52 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 53 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MISS@MISST to go UNDER the total. The Bulldogs have played great defense in recent games, and they've seen the total go under in five of their last six overall. They limited the #1 ranked Crimson Tide to just 20 points in a 20-7 loss in their last home game, and I think we can expect to see a spirited defensive effort against rivals Ole Miss in their final home game. The Rebels have also played solid defense, and they held the #8 Missouri Tigers to just 24 points last week. Both teams have struggled offensively however, and Mississippi State could be forced to start a third string quarterback. Last week Arkansas quarterback Brandon Allen was just 10-of-17 for 114 yards, no TDs and an INT against the Bulldogs. Bo Wallace was 26-of-42 for 244 yards against Missouri last week, but failed to get in the endzone, and he was picked off by Randy Ponder. I expect these two defenses to steal the show Thursday night, and we should see a low scoring game in Mississippi. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-13 | Baylor -9.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 17-49 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. My highest rated play last week was on Oklahoma State, and it wasn't the first time I have backed the Cowboys this season. It's difficult for me to bet against them as a big home dog here, but I just don't see anyone keeping up with Baylor. The Bears boast the league's top scoring offense, along with a Top 10 defense. They've won all nine games by double-digits, including a road win over the Kansas State Wildcats. They are coming off back to back wins over previously ranked teams, both of those decided by a whopping 29 point margin. Oklahoma State only has one loss on the season, and it was an ugly one against the West Virginia Mountaineers, who the Bears beat by a score of 73-42. I do believe the Cowboys will make a game of it, but with Baylor's ability to get the quick score, it's not asking too much to expect them to win by double digits. Take Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-13 | Missouri -130 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. The Tigers come in to Mississippi with a 9-1 record, including an upset win over the Bulldogs in Georgia, and a big win at home over the Florida Gators. Their last three wins have come with their backup quarterback under center, as Maty Mauk stepped up, throwing for almost 1000 yards, 10 touchdowns and just two INTs. James Franklin is ready to make his return as the starter, coming back from a shoulder injury he picked up in the win over Georgia. The Rebels have won four straight since losing at home to Texas A&M, but they didn't look all that sharp in a home win over Arkansas two weeks ago. Bo Wallace threw for over 400 yards against the Razorbacks weak defense, but he also threw a pair of INTs. He could be in for a rough ride versus the Tigers, who lead the SEC with 34 sacks and 17 interceptions. I think the Tigers are a team on a mission, while the Rebels are vulnerable, as they've shown in previous meetings with SEC teams. Take Missouri. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
11-23-13 | Vanderbilt +3 v. Tennessee | Top | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 78 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Tennessee is coming off three straight blowout losses, while the Commodores are heating up, coming off back to back wins over Florida and Kentucky. Josh Dobbs has struggled at quarterback for the Vols, and he hasn't thrown a single touchdown pass in the three games he's played this season. He was just 16-of-25 passing for 128 yards and an INT in the loss at home to Auburn two weeks ago. Tennessee had now answer for the Tigers running game, as they were shredded for 444 yards rushing in a 55-23 home loss. Vanderbilt's defense was very impressive in a road win at Florida two weeks ago, limiting the Gators to just 39 yards rushing on 34 attempts. They also picked off quarterback Tyler Murphy three times in the victory. The Vols are banged up, and they've been prone to turnovers and costly mistakes, and I think the Commodores should be able to take advantage of that tonight. Take Vanderbilt. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-13 | Connecticut v. Temple -7.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Temple Owls. At first glance, it might look like the 0-9 Huskies, and the 1-9 Owls would be evenly matched. I don't think that's the case though, as we've see two very different stories from these two teams. The Owls have lost back to back games by just a three point margin, losing to UCF 39-36, and Rutgers 23-20. The Huskies haven't come anywhere close to competing in any of their last four losses. Some might be encouraged by the fact that their pathetic offense managed to score a season high 21 points last week, but that came against an SMU team with one of the weakest defenses in the nation. Owls QB P.J. Walker is coming off his best game of the season, throwing for 382 yards and four TDs. I expect to see the Owls win by double digits at home tonight. Take Temple. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-13 | Arizona State v. UCLA +3 | Top | 38-33 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UCLA Bruins. The Bruins are getting points at home? Are you sure? Maybe we need to double check that? UCLA is undefeated at home, and their only losses have come at the hands of Oregon and Stanford on the road. Arizona State comes in red hot, but they have struggled away from home, with a 20-19 win at Utah, and a loss to Notre Dame in Texas. The Sun Devils defense looked great at home against the Beavers last week, but the same can't be said about their offense. Taylor Kelly completed 22-of-37 passes for just 183 yards and a pair of INTs against a pretty average defense. It isn't going to get any easier on the road, against an elite pass rusher like Anthony Barr. The Bruins have been given a big boost since bringing linebacker Myles Jack into the offense at running back. He scored four touchdowns last week, after running for 120 yards in his debut the previous week. Take UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-13 | Texas A&M v. LSU -3.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 124 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LSU Tigers. LSU is coming off it's third loss of the season on the road in Alabama on November 9th. The Tigers have had plenty of time to prepare for this week's game against the Aggies, and they will be looking to remain undefeated at home. The loss to Alabama wasn't as one-sided as the score indicates, as the Tigers trailed by just three points at the half, and seven points after three quarters, before Alabama scored the final 14 points. The Aggies have only played two games on the road so far, and they were fortunate to engineer a late rally to come from behind in Mississippi. Johnny Manziel didn't throw a single touchdown pass in that game, but did throw an INT. He was picked off three times last week by Mississippi State. The Aggies defense has really looked suspect at times this season, and allowing the bulldogs to score 41 points last week should sound some alarms heading into this week. The Aggies lost at home to LSU last year by a score of 24-19, and Manziel was 29-of-56 passing for 276 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions. I think it would be foolish to expect a better result on the road this time around. Take the TIGERS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-13 | Mississippi State -1.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 120 h 57 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-23-13 | Duke -5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 119 h 25 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-20-13 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo +3 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toledo Rockets. The Northern Illinois Huskies take their undefeated record on the road Wednesday to face the Rockets in Toledo. The Huskies have benefited from a very light schedule, while Toledo had to start the season with road games against SEC teams: Florida and Missouri. The Rockets have since won 7-of-8, and all five of their home games. Last week they blew out the Buffalo Bulls in the first half by a score of 31-0, and hung on to win 51-41. The Huskies boast one of the Top 10 rushing attacks in the nation, averaging over 300 yards per game. They fell well below that in last year's meeting, when they hosted the Rockets in Illinois. Toledo took a 14-7 lead to the locker room at the half, but went on to lose 31-24 at Huskie Stadium last year. The Huskies won at home by 21 points last week, but it would be a mistake to put too much stock in that final score. It was a tie game halfway through the fourth quarter, until Ball State imploded, with a turnover on downs, and a pick-6 that helped the Huskies score 21 unanswered points in the final minutes. It's not the first time we've seen the Huskies come from behind to win, they were trailing at the half in both their first two games of the season, on the road at Iowa and Idaho. If Toledo comes out like they did last week against Buffalo, they might just build a lead that is to great to overcome, even for Jordan Lynch. I still think Northern Illinois is the most overrated team in the country. Take Toledo. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-13 | Oregon State +14 v. Arizona State | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 128 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon State Beavers. The Beavers high powered passing attack has been held in check in recent weeks, losing to USC and Stanford at home. It's not going to be easy tonight, going into Sun Devil Stadium to take on Arizona State. The Sun Devils though aren't quite the defensive juggernaut that Stanford is though. The Beavers have won four of the last five head to head meetings with ASU, including a 36-26 win last year in Oregon. Oregon State is a double digit underdog here, but I think these two teams aren't that far apart. The Sun Devils narrowly escaped from Utah with a 20-19 win last week, and this is the same Utah team that Oregon State defeated in a 51-48 shootout earlier in the season. This Arizona State defense has allowed an average of 27 points in it's last four home games, and they might just struggled to keep the Beavers and Sean Mannion from making this a competitive game. Take Oregon State. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-13 | TCU v. Kansas State -11 | 31-33 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a Free NCAAF play on the Kansas State Wildcats. My strongest play last Saturday was on the Wildcats, and they dominated in a 49-26 victory over Texas Tech in Lubbock. The Wildcats have won three straight, and their defense has been quite impressive in those games, allowing an average of fewer than 12 points to Texas Tech, Iowa State and West Virginia. K-State will host the TCU Horned Frogs this Saturday, and TCU has really struggled against top tier defenses this season. They weren't overly impressive last week, scoring just 21 points in a close game on the road against the Cyclones (21-17). Prior to that they were blown out by Texas and Oklahoma State, and upset in overtime by West Virginia. Casey Pachall has been picked off five times in three starts since taking over for Trevone Boykin at quarterback, and he's tossed just three touchdown passes during that span. The K-State defense has five picks on opposing quarterbacks the last two weeks, and they should make life difficult for Pachall today. The Wildcats are a double digit favorite, but I expect to see them win by a minimum of two TDs. Take K-State. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-13 | Oklahoma State -2.5 v. Texas | Top | 38-13 | Win | 100 | 122 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Longhorns have overcome the loss of key players, including starting quarterback David Ash, winning six straight. Last week's win over the West Virginia Mountaineers saw them lose two more star players though, with running back Jonathan Gray and defensive tackle Chris Whaley both done for the season. Texas hosts a very good Oklahoma State team this week, and with two more skilled players missing from an already banged up lineup, it's going to be tough for Texas to stay in this game. The Longhorns have really struggled to defend the run, ranking eight in the conference, allowing an average of 186 yards per game. The Cowboys have had no shortage of success with their running game, averaging 236 yards rushing over their last three games. Backup quarterback Case McCoy had his best game of the season versus West Virginia, still he's thrown more picks (5) than touchdowns (4) over the last three weeks, and the Cowboy's defense is stronger than any of those teams he faced. I like Oklahoma State to take advantage of a banged up Texas team in Austin. Take the Cowboys. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-13 | West Virginia -235 v. Kansas | Top | 19-31 | Loss | -235 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers. The Mountaineers lost in overtime at home against Texas last week, after winning in OT on the road over TCU the previous week. While they come into this week's game at Kansas with a 4-6 record, the Mountaineers have turned in several impressive performances, playing close games against tough competition. Don't expect the Jayhawks to be tough competition here this week, Kansas is 0-6 in the Big-12, and all of those losses have come by double digits. An injury may keep West Virginia's starting quarterback Clint Trickett on the sidelines this week, but that's also likely keeping the line lower than it should be. Paul Millard filled in admirably last week, and the Mountaineers came very close to upsetting Texas in overtime. Millard is still likely better than both Cozart and Heaps, who have split snaps for KU. The big edge for the Mountaineers will be their potent running game versus one of the worst defenses in the conference. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-13 | Cincinnati +1.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 52-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. Cincinnati comes into this week's game at Rutgers riding a four game win streak, one of those coming on the road against Memphis. The Scarlet Knights have really struggled, losing 2-of-3 the last three weeks, with the lone win coming at home in a close game against Temple. The biggest concern for Rutgers is quarterback Gary Nova, who threw seven INTs in losses to Louisville and Houston. You might remember that Rutgers fell apart at the tail end of last season, and it was much the same story. After throwing just three interceptions through the first seven games (all wins), he was picked off 13 times in the final six games, losing four of the six. He's facing Cincy's #14 ranked defense, that has allowed opponents an average of just 18 points per game, and I expect him to struggle. I'm not reading much into his 371 yards and three TDs against Temple, because the Owls are 1-9 and their defense is one of the worst in the nation. Still the Knights won by just three points. I expect Cincy to win big here on the road this week. Take the Bearcats. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-13 | Washington v. UCLA UNDER 62.5 | Top | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH@UCLA to go UNDER the total. The Bruins have gotten creative with their offense, replacing their star running back Jordon James with linebacker Myles Jack. The move paid dividends last week at Arizona, with Jack running for 120 yards and a TD on just six carries. The Huskies might prove to be a little tougher defensively than Arizona was though. This Huskies team pushed Stanford to the brink in Palo Alto, limiting the Cardinals to less than 300 yards of total offense. The Huskies will be looking to give UCLA a healthy dose of Bishop Sankey, who ranks third in the nation averaging 145 yards per game. UCLA is also very strong defensively, with one of top linebacking corps in the country. Brett Hundley has had some big games this year, but those have come against weaker teams. He's really struggled against the likes of Utah, Oregon and Stanford. I don't think this Huskies team is going to give him a lot of room, and he could be in for another rough night. The Bruins have taken 4-of-6 meetings versus Washington since 2004, and five of those games saw the total go under. Tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-13 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -10 | Top | 31-55 | Win | 100 | 84 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. When Clemson lost to Florida State, there was an air of doubt surrounding the team, but the Tigers have since won back to back road games by a combined 62 points. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will be in town tonight, and they are riding a three game win streak. The home team has taken each of the last three in this series, and last year Clemson won by a score of 47-31 at Memorial Stadium. Georgia Tech has only faced one ranked opponent this year, losing to Miami by a score of 45-30. They also lost to BYU, and Virginia Tech when they were not ranked, but both have spent time in the Top 25 at some point. Those losses came by a combined 25 points. So it's clear that the Yellow Jackets have not played well against upper echelon teams, and this Clemson team is in a class much higher than any of those previous opponents. Take the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-13 | Marshall v. Tulsa UNDER 61.5 | Top | 45-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MRSH@TLSA to go UNDER the total. The Hurricane have been a big disappointment this season, coming off such a successful campaign last year. They will host Marshall tonight, and the Thundering Herd have been putting a lot of points on the board in recent weeks. In fact they've scored over 150 points the last three weeks, but two of those three games were against inferior opponents at home. Marshall has struggled on the road, losing three of four, and three of those games saw the total go below 60 points. Tulsa on the other had has played far better at home, and all four of it's home games have failed to go over 60 points. With a total above 60 here tonight, I think there's a good chance we see the under pay out. The Golden Hurricanes also have quarterback issues, with freshman Dane Evans completing just 45% of his passes with three TDs and six INTs, they might not be inclined to air it out. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-13 | Ball State +7.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 27-48 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ball State Cardinals. The Northern Illinois Huskies are still undefeated at 9-0, but they haven't played a ranked opponent, and for the most part they have been beating up on the weaker teams in the Mac. The Huskies should be tested tonight, hosting a Ball State team that comes in with a 9-1 record (6-0 MAC). Cardinals quarterback Keith Wenning is one of the best in college football, ranking 4th in passing yards just behind Johnny Manziel. Ball State can score in a hurry, averaging 40 points per game (15th in the nation). They've scored 40+ in back to back weeks, and one of those games was a 42-24 victory at Akron, a team that just barely lost in a 27-20 game against the Huskies two weeks earlier. The Huskies won all three of their home games, but two of those were decided by seven points or less. The Huskies won last years meeting, coming from behind after trailing 23-14 in the third quarter, to score 21 unanswered points. Wenning was picked off twice in that game, but he's done a better job of protecting the football this year. He's thrown just five picks through 10 games, after throwing 10 last season. He's thrown 12 touchdown passes without any INTs over his last three starts. Take the Cardinal. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $759 |
Joey Tron | $580 |
William Burns | $483 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
Tom Macrina | $468 |
Jesse Schule | $466 |
Matt Fargo | $398 |
Big Al McMordie | $324 |
Ricky Tran | $258 |
AAA Sports | $229 |