Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-31-21 | Yankees v. Marlins +130 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Domingo German is expected to get the ball on Saturday after nearly tossing a no-hitter last weekend against the Boston Red Sox, finishing with one run on one hit and one walk over seven plus innings while racking up 10 strikeouts. The 28-year-old is having an up-and-down season overall, going 4-5 with a 4.45 ERA across 20 appearances. I think a down will follow his up. | |||||||
07-31-21 | Orioles v. Tigers -101 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
The Orioles are having a season to forget and have struggled in every facet of the game this season. The Tigers are having a resurgence this season and are only a few games below .500 with two months remaining in the season. Matt Manning is one of the team's top prospects, allowing just 22 runs in seven starts this season. | |||||||
07-31-21 | Red Sox +101 v. Rays | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Nathan Eovaldi was sharp in his last start. He went seven innings and gave up seven hits, zero walks, two earned runs, and struck out eight in a no-decision against the New York Yankees. On the season, he has a record of 9-5 with a 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and a 114/21 K/BB ratio in 18 games started. Opposing batters are hitting .221 off Eovaldi. He has gone six innings or more in 20 starts. In his only start against the Rays this season, Eovaldi went seven innings and gave up three hits, three walks, one earned run, and struck out seven in a win. | |||||||
07-30-21 | Red Sox +125 v. Rays | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox are doing some damage at the plate. Boston is fourth in team batting average at .257, second in slugging percentage at .443, and have produced the third-most runs with 519. I'm more than happy to take the plus price here. | |||||||
07-30-21 | Yankees v. Marlins +139 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
Some hard-hitting lefties were desperately needed in the Yankees batting order, and the Yankees front office delivered by signing Anthony Rizzo from the Cubs, and Joey Gallo from the Rangers. These two new additions will make an immediate impact on this struggling New York lineup. It is about time they bring in some left-handed sluggers to take advantage of that short right-field porch at Yankee Stadium. Gallo and Rizzo will look to spark an offense that is 25th in runs scored per game (4.15) and 23rd in hits per game (7.71). Despite the recent moves, it usually takes a game or so for teams to gel and this number is begging you to take the Yankees. | |||||||
07-29-21 | Blue Jays +105 v. Red Sox | Top | 13-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
The Blue Jays own one of baseball's best offenses at an average of 5.10 runs per game while slugging a combined 150 homers, most in the AL. Toronto pitching isn't on that same level, but remains solidly above average with a 4.04 ERA with the bullpen and rotation posting nearly identical marks. | |||||||
07-29-21 | Brewers v. Pirates +171 | Top | 12-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Chad Kuhl will toe the slab for the Pirates here against the Milwaukee Brewers. Kuhl is 3-5 over 13 starts this season for the last-place Pirates. He performed extremely well in his last three starts, allowing just four combined earned runs in those outings. The Pirates have won in five of his last six starts and cashed as +170 dogs against the Giants in his most recent start. | |||||||
07-28-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +123 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Los Angeles has some huge names on the IL, including star outfielder Mookie Betts, who is dealing with hip inflammation. Second baseman Gavin Lux (strained hamstring) also recently went down, while shortstop Corey Seager (fractured hand) isn't ready to start a rehab assignment. Starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw just threw a bullpen session as he recovers from forearm inflammation, while Dustin May underwent Tommy John surgery earlier in the year. Six Dodgers relievers are currently out, including Scott Alexander (shoulder inflammation), Tommy Kanhle (Tommy John surgery) and Corey Knebel (strained lat). Too many injuries to not take the plus money again in this series. | |||||||
07-28-21 | White Sox v. Royals +160 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 160 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Kris Bubic delivered a strong start in Friday's victory over the Tigers, allowing just one run on six hits over six innings of work. The left-hander walked two and struck out four on the night. The only run against him came on a solo shot off the bat of Willi Castro in the third inning. According to baseballsavant.com, Bubic generated 10 swinging strikes in the game -- eight on his changeup -- and registered a CSW of 26 percent. | |||||||
07-28-21 | Reds v. Cubs +104 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Cincinnati’s pitching hasn’t been as good as their offense. Opponents have a .244 batting average against the Reds, which is 18th in the league. Their 4.60 ERA is 22nd, while their 1.40 WHIP is 27th. We crushed books with the Reds on Tuesday, come back with the Cubs today. | |||||||
07-28-21 | Brewers v. Pirates +136 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
The world will be on the Milwaukee Brewers in this one as the Pirates yearly garage sale is underway. I think the moves light a fire under the Buc's for a game or so, they look like the live dog play with a number that is begging you to take the Brewers. | |||||||
07-28-21 | Tigers +125 v. Twins | Top | 17-14 | Win | 125 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Veteran Wily Peralta will take the mound on Wednesday, looking to continue a surprise run that has seen him go 3-2 with a 2.56 ERA in eight appearances since being picked up off waivers. | |||||||
07-27-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +111 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 111 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
The Los Angeles Dodgers will be going with Julio Urias as the starter for this game following a fantastic start to the 2021 campaign. So far this season, he has a 12-3 record along with a 3.63 ERA. However, he owns a 4.50 ERA against San Francisco, making this an easy plus money play. | |||||||
07-27-21 | Tigers +190 v. Twins | 6-5 | Win | 190 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Detroit has been kind to gamblers this season with a mark of 55-46 against the spread, and is up a good amount on the money line as it was expected to be one of the worst teams in baseball. It's a bullpen day for the Tigers on Tuesday, with Tyler Alexander likely to get the start after tossing 3.2 innings of one-run ball last week against the Texas Rangers, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out four | |||||||
07-27-21 | Reds +168 v. Cubs | Top | 7-4 | Win | 168 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds are right in the hunt for the division crown, pretty good considering how bad their pitching has been. They're second in a tight NL Central and have a 51-48 record because their offense has been able to overcome their pitching, scoring 4.8 runs per game which is tied for 8th in the league. They also have 8.4 hits per game which is tied for 5th. This number is inflated. | |||||||
07-27-21 | Cardinals v. Indians +103 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals are trying to remain in the hunt for a postseason berth but must receive more production at the plate. St Louis is 23rd in team batting average at .233, 23rd in slugging percentage at .388 and the Cardinals have scored the 26th most runs with 403. | |||||||
07-27-21 | Marlins v. Orioles +116 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
The Baltimore Orioles are on a little bit of a winning streak recently but are still last in the AL East with a 34-64 record. Righty rookie Spenser Watkins will be pitching here as he is coming off a victory over the Tampa Bay Rays where he allowed a run on four hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in a career-high six innings. | |||||||
07-26-21 | Tigers +145 v. Twins | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
During Detroit's seven-game winning streak prior to the two losses, the Tigers posted three shutouts and allowed two runs or fewer in five of the seven victories. The Minnesota pitching staff is giving up far too much on the mound as the Twins are 26th in baseball in team ERA at 4.89, 19th in WHIP at 1.33 and opposing hitters average .258 at the plate against Minnesota pitching which is 26th and baseball. | |||||||
07-25-21 | Blue Jays v. Mets +105 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Ross Stripling has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 10th percentile in barrel percentage, 24th percentile in xERA, 31st percentile in hard-hit percentage, and 22nd percentile in average exit velocity. He has a four-pitch arsenal (fastball, curveball, slider, changeup) and his changeup has a .135 batting average with a .212 slugging percentage | |||||||
07-24-21 | A's v. Mariners +108 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 108 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Logan Gilbert will step up to the mound for the Mariners on Saturday. He is 4-2 this season with an ERA of 3.50, 62 strikeouts and a WHIP of 0.98. I'll take the plus money with the scrappy Mariners. | |||||||
07-24-21 | Blue Jays v. Mets +110 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
The New York Mets will be going with Taijuan Walker as the starter for this game following a fantastic start to the 2021 campaign. So far this season, he has a 7-3 record along with a 2.99 ERA. In addition, he has a 1.75 ERA at home as he has been virtually unhittable at Citi Field. | |||||||
07-23-21 | A's v. Mariners +115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 115 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
The Oakland A's are one of the best teams in the MLB and the main reason for their success has been their pitching staff. Frankie Montas however, has struggled this season, allowing 56 runs in only 19 starts which is the most among the team's starters. Additionally, Montas is allowing a .244 expected Batting Average, a .427 expected Slugging Percentage, and a 4.27 expected ERA. | |||||||
07-23-21 | Angels +100 v. Twins | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Angels have been doing pretty well offensively in 2021 as they are seventh in the majors with a .758 OPS. They're scoring 4.36 runs per game during the month of July. The Angels are hitting for extra-bases as they are only behind Toronto and Boston as Los Angeles has a .439 slugging percentage so far this year. | |||||||
07-23-21 | Padres v. Marlins +145 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Miami wins games thanks to its pitching staff. The Marlins have Baseball’s sixth-best team ERA 3.58, the tenth best WHIP at 1.21 and are holding opposing hitters to .232 at the plate, which is 11th. Getting the nod on the mound Friday for Miami will be Zach Thompson, who is 2-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 33 strikeouts in six starts this season. | |||||||
07-23-21 | Rays v. Indians +108 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
The 25-year-old Fleming has appeared in 15 games thus far this season, including seven starts, and has sported a serviceable 3.93 ERA over 73.1 innings of work. He’d certainly like to forget his most recent start in which he got hammered for seven runs and eight hits in 4.1 innings against Atlanta. He has struggled quite a bit on the road, however, putting up a 6.34 ERA and allowing a .299 OBA away from Tropicana Field. | |||||||
07-22-21 | Giants +158 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 158 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
The Dodgers were cruising to a much-needed victory that would have tied the division standings. With just three outs separating them, the Dodgers collapsed and lost to the Giants in game 3. The Dodgers are now 59-38 for the season. According to Alden Gonzalez of ESPN, The Giants and Dodgers have played 12 games against one another this year. Nine have been decided by three runs or less. The Dodgers have won seven but have also dropped two of the last three, the last one on a blown save from Kenley Jansen, and remain two games out of first place. | |||||||
07-22-21 | Braves v. Phillies +128 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Atlanta has only been average on the mound this season with the 15th best team ERA at 4.21, the 17th best WHIP at 1.31 and are allowing opposing hitters to average .242 at the plate, which is 15th. | |||||||
07-21-21 | Giants +144 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 144 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
The Giants are a team that usually bounces back after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. In that situation, the Giants are an incredible 25-8 over their last 33 games, and 17-5 the game after they score five or more runs. The Giants are worth the plus money in this one. | |||||||
07-20-21 | Rangers +110 v. Tigers | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Dane Dunning has been a decent pitcher this season according to his Baseball Savant page. He is in the 51st percentile in average exit velocity, 49th percentile in xERA, 55th percentile in walk percentage, and 42nd percentile in whiff percentage. Dunning has a six-pitch mix (sinker, slider, changeup, cutter, curveball, fastball) and his slider has been above-average as it has a .250 batting average with 33 strikeouts. | |||||||
07-20-21 | Marlins -104 v. Nationals | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Miami’s pitching is one of the best in the league. Opponents have a .228 batting average against the Marlins, which is ninth in the league. Their 3.41 ERA is fourth, while their 1.20 WHIP is ninth. | |||||||
07-19-21 | Giants +124 v. Dodgers | Top | 7-2 | Win | 124 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Kevin Gausman will start in this game for the Giants. He has a 9-3 record this season with an ERA of 1.73, 133 strikeouts and 30 walks with a stellar on-base percentage of just .218. | |||||||
07-19-21 | Angels +102 v. A's | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
The Shohei Show will continue in Oakland Monday night when he takes the mound for the Angels in the series opener. Ohtani is 4-1 on the season, as he prepares for his first start of the 2nd half of the season. In his most recent action, he allowed just two runs over seven innings against the Boston Red Sox at home. Shohei grabbed his fourth win of the campaign in the 5-3 victory. | |||||||
07-19-21 | Cubs -105 v. Cardinals | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Alec Mills (4-2 4.84 ERA) takes the mound for the opening game of this division series and in his last start gave up three runs on five hits in 5 2/3 innings in an 8-3 win over the Philadelphia Phillies. Jake Woodford (2-1 5.05 ERA) gets the call for Game 1 of this series and he will be making his first start of the season after spending all of it in the bullpen. The Cardinals have not had much luck with him on the hill, as in his 17 appearances the team only has a grand total of one win. Woodford has pitched two games in relief against the Cubs giving up one run in each outing where he totaled 2 1/3 innings. | |||||||
07-19-21 | Red Sox +120 v. Blue Jays | Top | 13-4 | Win | 120 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The Red Sox are top five in the league in runs, hits, RBI’s, batting average, SLG, and OPS. The Red Sox are top 10 in home runs. The Sox are worth the TOP selection label. | |||||||
07-18-21 | Cubs -114 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Arizona is averaging 4.11 runs per game. Their .231 batting average is 23rd in the league. Their .306 on base percentage is 24th, while their .371 slugging percentage is 28th. Arizona’s pitching is one of the worst in the league. Opponents have a .273 batting average against the Diamondbacks, which is 30th in the league. Their 5.39 ERA is 29th, as is their 1.47 WHIP. In his last start, Smith gave up six hits and nine runs in one inning, leading to a 22-1 loss to Los Angeles. | |||||||
07-18-21 | Giants -117 v. Cardinals | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Despite the win last night, the Cardinals have not fared well against teams playing over .600 ball, losing 17 of their last 25. The Giants are scoring an astonishing 5 runs per game while allowing just 3.6. In addition, they are the best defensive team in the league. The Giants bounce back today. | |||||||
07-17-21 | Giants -120 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Giants have been the best team in baseball for gamblers this season, as they are also 58-32 against the spread and are up a massive amount on the money line. Overs are 43-45-2 for the Giants, with two of their last three games going over the betting total. A veteran-laden Giants offense has put up huge numbers at the plate with an average of 4.95 runs per game and an NL-best 0.764 OPS. San Francisco pitching also ranks second with a 3.26 combined ERA, trailing only the rival Los Angeles Dodgers, with an elite rotation putting up a mark of 3.18. | |||||||
07-17-21 | Cubs -128 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
The Chicago Cubs are two games below .500 but would be far worse if not for a solid pitching staff. Chicago is 15th in baseball in team ERA at 4.13 and 17th in WHIP at 1.32. Cubs pitching holds opposing hitters to an average of .234 at the plate which is 12th best in baseball. | |||||||
07-16-21 | Giants v. Cardinals +117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
The Cardinals have been hovering around the .500 mark the entire season and the next two weeks will be telling with the team needing to know whether they will buy or sell at the trade deadline. Adam Wainwright is going to be the likely starter for the Cardinals, and he has pitched great in his last four starts, allowing only seven runs, indicating that he has turned around the season. Wainwright has allowed 43 runs while tossing 99 strikeouts in 17 starts | |||||||
07-16-21 | Brewers +114 v. Reds | 11-6 | Win | 114 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Milwaukee’s pitching is one of the best in the league. Opponents have a .213 batting average against the Brewers, which is second in the league. Their 3.44 ERA is sixth, as is their 1.18 WHIP. | |||||||
07-13-21 | American League +105 v. National League | 5-2 | Win | 105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The NL’s offense isn’t as flashy on paper though it does feature one of the flashiest and best young players in baseball in Fernando Tatis Jr. Tatis has been a boost to the game, bringing passion and, more importantly, fun back into the sport. A matchup of him against Ohtani is a baseball fan’s dream and one that will be lived out in the first inning of today’s game. Beyond Tatis, the NL features a tom of for-average hitters in guys like Nolan Arenado, Nick Castellanos, and Adam Frazier. | |||||||
07-11-21 | Angels +101 v. Mariners | Top | 7-1 | Win | 101 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
The Mariners are last in team batting average .217, 25th in slugging percentage at .381 and last in on-base percentage at .293. The Mariners hitters have produced the 19th most runs with 368. I'll take the plus money here. | |||||||
07-10-21 | Royals +115 v. Indians | 6-14 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Cal Quantrill surrendered three runs over 5 1/3 innings on Sunday in a no-decision against the Astros in his last appearance. Quantrill served up six hits, including a two-run homer to Chas McCormick in the sixth inning. He's put together a pedestrian 4.20 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, and 42/19 K/BB ratio across 55 2/3 innings (25 appearances, seven starts) this season. Opposing batters are hitting a whopping .278 against the righty, with a .412 slugging percentage. | |||||||
07-10-21 | A's v. Rangers +118 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
Allard has still been a positive sight for the Rangers this year. He comes into the first half finale with the Athletics carrying a 3.45 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, with 58 strikeouts over 57 innings. Opposing batters are hitting .226 against the rookie, with a .367 slugging percentage over seven starts. | |||||||
07-08-21 | Tigers +113 v. Twins | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Detroit has won five of the last seven and much of that is thanks to strong production at the plate. The Tigers have scored an average of 5.22 runs per game over the last seven. Overall this season Detroit is 20th in runs scored with 355. The Tigers team batting average has improved to 18th at .235 | |||||||
07-08-21 | Reds +100 v. Brewers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Mahle has been one of Cincy’s better starters on the year as he’s gone 7-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 17 starts and 89.1 innings. In his last outing against the Brewers on June 16, Mahle had a great game, tossing six innings and striking out 12 while only allowing one run. It’s a good thing the Reds will be on the road for this start because Mahle has not pitched well at home where he has a 6.06 ERA in seven starts. However, he’s compiled a 5-1 record with a 2.01 ERA in 10 starts on the road. | |||||||
07-06-21 | Dodgers -126 v. Marlins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
The Dodgers are first in team ERA at 3.13, second in WHIP at 1.11, first in Quality Starts with 49, and are allowing opposing hitters to an average only .211 at the plate which is also first in baseball. The Miami Marlins are 28th in runs scored with 325. Over the last six games played Miami is 2-4 and has scored an average of 4.00 runs per game, but 18 of the 24 runs during that period were in two games. Miami is batting only .232 as a team, which is 21st in baseball and has the next to last slugging percentage at .371. | |||||||
07-05-21 | Phillies v. Cubs -139 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Matt Moore has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 33rd percentile in average exit velocity, 12th percentile in strikeout percentage, second percentile in whiff percentage, and 18th percentile in barrel percentage. His 10.4 barrel percentage against him this season is the highest of any season of his career. Moore has four pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup, cutter) and the cutter has been his best pitch as it has a .200 batting average and a .400 slugging percentage. | |||||||
07-05-21 | White Sox -108 v. Twins | 5-8 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Despite dealing with key injuries from the start of the season, the White Sox have been a strong offense with an average of 4.92 runs per game and a 0.745 OPS. Chicago pitching has been excellent with a 3.58 collective ERA while striking out an MLB-high 10.35 opposing batters per nine innings. Dylan Cease will take the ball on Monday looking to continue a strong season that has seen him post a 7-3 record, 3.75 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 81.2 innings. The 25-year-old picked up the win over these Twins last Wednesday with six innings of two-run ball, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out seven. | |||||||
07-04-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Texas is at least much improved offensively from last season's miserable showing with an average of 3.98 runs per game and a 0.686 OPS. The Rangers pitching staff is inside the bottom 10 in baseball with a 4.50 collective ERA, with the bullpen and rotation posting nearly identical marks. | |||||||
07-04-21 | Padres -128 v. Phillies | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Blake Snell (3-3 5.29 ERA 1.55 WHIP) gets the call in Game 3 and in his last start he did not give up any runs and allowed four hits in five innings in a 3-2 win over the L.A. Dodgers. | |||||||
07-03-21 | White Sox -128 v. Tigers | Top | 5-11 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Dallas Keuchel allowed two runs over five innings on Sunday in a relief appearance against the Mariners. It will go down as a relief appearance for Keuchel since Lance Lynn tossed three shutout frames before Saturday's contest was suspended due to inclement weather, but it felt like a normal starting assignment as he was handed the ball to start the top of the fourth inning. The 33-year-old left-hander had four strikeouts and issued only one walk. Solo homers by Taylor Trammell and Ty France accounted for the lone runs against him. He'll carry a 3.96 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and 53/27 K/BB ratio across 86 1/3 innings into this road tilt against the Tigers. Opposing batters are hitting .239 against the veteran lefty. | |||||||
07-02-21 | Giants -139 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Arizona continues to have a dismal season. Arizona has lost four straight and the Diamondbacks are 28 games under .500 at 22-60. Arizona was defeated by the St Louis Cardinals 7-4 on Wednesday and was swept in the 3-game series by St. Louis. Arizona has lost 7 of the last 8. It is no surprise that Arizona sits in the basement of the National League West an incredible 29 ½ games behind the front-running San Francisco Giants. Injuries have caused some of Arizona's problems this season and on Friday the Diamondbacks will be without Madison Bumgarner, Kole Calhoun, Taylor Clark, Tyler Clippard, Carson Kelly, Ketel Marte, Luke Weaver, and Taylor Widener. | |||||||
07-02-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies -104 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals have struggled the last month and the problems start at the plate. St Louis is averaging .226 at the plate which is 27th in baseball and the Cardinals have the 26th best slugging percentage at .376. The St.Louis on base percentage is .299 which is 28th and those statistics have resulted in the Cardinals scoring the 26th most runs with 319. | |||||||
07-02-21 | White Sox -145 v. Tigers | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn’s previous start was cut short due to rain and caused the game to be suspended. He went three innings and gave up zero hits, two walks, zero earned runs, and struck out four in a no decision against the Seattle Mariners. On the season, Lynn has a record of 7-3 in 14 starts with a 2.06 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and a 90/23 K/BB ratio. Opposing batters are hitting .190 against Lynn this season. He has gone six innings or more in seven starts this season. | |||||||
07-02-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -118 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Tampa Bay’s strength has been its pitching staff but starting this season the Rays lineup was producing at the plate. However, of late Tampa Bay's hitters have lacked punch. Tampa Bay is now 23rd in the majors in team batting average at .230. The power has been out in Tampa as the Rays are 19th in slugging percentage at .393. The Rays have been able to manufacture runs as Tampa Bay is 5th (397) in the majors in runs scored. | |||||||
07-01-21 | Twins v. White Sox -135 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
The White Sox have the seventh-best team ERA in baseball and are equally strong at the plate with the 5th best team batting average. If Minnesota has any hope of reaching the postseason with a strong run in the second half, the Twins pitching staff must improve. Minnesota has a 4.89 team ERA, which is 26 in baseball, a 1.35 WHIP which is 20th and opposing hitters are averaging .259 at the plate against Twins pitching. | |||||||
06-30-21 | Twins +111 v. White Sox | Top | 3-13 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Cease (6-3, 3.81 ERA) is 0-2 with a 9.18 ERA in four career starts against Minnesota. He'll be opposed by 6-foot-9 right-hander Bailey Ober (0-0, 4.64), who will make just his sixth career major-league start but his second against the White Sox. Ober allowed four runs on five hits in four innings while walking one and striking four in his big-league debut on May 18 vs. Chicago at Target Field in Minneapolis, a game the Twins won 5-4. | |||||||
06-30-21 | Mets +135 v. Braves | Top | 2-20 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
The Braves hope that last season's National League Cy Young runner-up Max Fried can stay on the field as he missed his last start with an injury and has been dealing with injuries throughout the season. In his last start, Fried seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six Cardinals but has struggled throughout this season, allowing 29 runs in 11 starts with a .258 expected Batting Average and a 4.45 expected ERA. | |||||||
06-29-21 | Twins +118 v. White Sox | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Minnesota is 10 games below .500, but things would be much worse if not for the Twins' production at the plate. Minnesota is 8th in baseball in team batting average at 246, 4th in slugging percentage at .433 and the Twins have scored the 12th most runs with 354. This line is telling me to take the Twins. Expect a less than stellar performance from Giolito. | |||||||
06-29-21 | Rays v. Nationals -109 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Nationals are heating up offensively of late, bringing their season numbers to an average of 3.89 runs per game with a slightly above average 0.713 OPS. Washington pitching is also mid-pack with a 3.91 collective ERA, with the bullpen and rotation posting nearly identical stats. Joe Ross will take the mound on Tuesday night looking to continue his recent hot streak after firing seven scoreless frames against the Miami Marlins last time out, allowing four hits and two walks while striking out eight. The 28-year-old has had an up-and-down season, posting a 4-7 record and 4.12 ERA across 14 starts. Schwarber has lead the offense during this recent hot streak, bringing his season numbers to an 0.877 OPS, 24 homers and 52 RBI. | |||||||
06-28-21 | Tigers v. Indians -135 | Top | 5-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers are one of the lesser offenses in MLB as they are tied for 23rd in the sport with .679 team OPS. They aren’t scoring enough runs to support their pitching staff as they are scoring 3.88 runs per game so far this season. | |||||||
06-27-21 | Nationals v. Marlins +116 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Sandy Alcantara yielded just one run over eight innings but took a no-decision in the Marlins' loss to the Blue Jays on Tuesday in his last appearance. After taking an 8 1/3-inning complete-game loss in his last start, Alcantara had to settle for a no-decision following eight superb innings. The hard-throwing right-hander needed just 86 pitches to navigate through his eight innings, permitting five hits, a walk, and a hit by pitch. He carries a 2.93 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, with a 90/26 K/BB ratio over 101 innings into this tilt with the hot-hitting Nationals. Opposing batters are hitting .214 against Alcantara, with a .332 slugging percentage over 16 starts this season. | |||||||
06-27-21 | Phillies +113 v. Mets | 4-2 | Win | 113 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
New York is averaging 3.61 runs per game. Their .228 batting average is 25th in the league. Their .308 on-base percentage is 18th, while their .368 slugging percentage is 28th. This is not a team I'll rely on for consistent offensive performances. | |||||||
06-27-21 | Angels +128 v. Rays | Top | 6-4 | Win | 128 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Even though Los Angeles has several position players on the injury list, the Angels are receiving strong production at the plate. Los Angeles is fourth in baseball in team batting average at .254, 6th in slugging percentage at .431 and has scored the eighth-most runs with 363. | |||||||
06-27-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox +135 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 135 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
The month of June has not been one of Cole’s best, however, as his ERA for the month (3.81) is more than a run and a half higher than in May (2.14) and more than two runs higher than in April (1.43). | |||||||
06-23-21 | Blue Jays v. Marlins +107 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Although Alcantara is considered Miami’s ace, Rogers has been the Marlin's best pitcher on the season, going 7-3 with an impressive 1.87 ERA over 14 starts and 81.2 innings. So far in June, Rogers has tossed 19 innings and only given up four runs, good for a 1.89 ERA. Where he’s been even better is at home where Rogers has recorded five starts and put up a 1.61 ERA while only allowing batters to hit .160 at loanDepot Park. He’s slightly better in nighttime games where he sports a 1.54 ERA and a 5-1 record over eight starts. | |||||||
06-23-21 | Braves v. Mets -121 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
Kyle Wright will be called up from the taxi squad to make his second start of the season tonight against the Mets. He last pitched against the Cubs on April 16, lasting 4.1 innings. He allowed two earned runs and three hits while walking two and recording five strikeouts. At Triple-A Gwinnett, Wright is 1-2 with a 3.76 ERA in eight starts. He has allowed 16 earned runs, three home runs, and 45 hits in 38.1 innings. Wright has walked 17 and recorded 38 strikeouts. | |||||||
06-22-21 | Indians +186 v. Cubs | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Kyle Hendricks has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the sixth percentile in xBA, ninth percentile in xSLG, 20th percentile in barrel percentage, and 13th percentile in whiff percentage. His 88.1 MPH exit velocity is the highest against him since the Statcast era. Hendricks throws four pitches (sinker, changeup, fastball, curveball) and needs to work on his heater as it has a .386 batting average against with six homers. | |||||||
06-22-21 | Blue Jays v. Marlins -119 | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Stripling has been mediocre at best this season for the Blue Jays, posting a 2-4 record with a 4.64 ERA across 10 starts and 54.1 innings. In two starts against the NL this season, both against the Atlanta Braves, Stripling has only gone 9.1 innings and giving up four runs for a 3.95 ERA, a bit better than his season ERA. Of concern is Stripling’s performance on the road, where he has a 5.16 ERA, and especially in nighttime games where he’s really struggled with a 6.93 ERA. | |||||||
06-21-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -123 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Yu Darvish has been pitching incredibly well this season according to his Baseball Savant page. He is in the 85th percentile in average exit velocity, 89th percentile in xERA, 80th percentile in barrel percentage, and 79th percentile in walk percentage. His 86.6 MPH exit velocity is the lowest for him since 2017. Darvish has seven different pitches (cutter, slider, fastball, curveball, sinker, splitter, changeup) and the slider has been incredible as it has a .088 batting average against with 24 strikeouts. | |||||||
06-21-21 | Reds v. Twins +106 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 106 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Cincy’s pitching staff has not helped, giving up 5.17 runs per nine innings, 25th in the Majors. I think we're going to see a Reds team not inspired after getting swept by the Padres, a series that had to be a measuring stick. | |||||||
06-21-21 | Indians v. Cubs -147 | 4-0 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Aaron Civale has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page. He is in the 14th percentile in whiff percentage, 21st percentile in strikeout percentage, 25th percentile in xSLG, and 33rd percentile in xERA. | |||||||
06-19-21 | Brewers +105 v. Rockies | Top | 6-5 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Adrian Houser will get the start on Saturday looking to continue his recent hot streak after tossing 5.2 innings of two-run ball against the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing seven hits and no walks while fanning two. The 28-year-old groundball specialist has been excellent over his last four starts, bringing his season numbers to a 3.62 ERA over 13 outings. | |||||||
06-19-21 | White Sox v. Astros -120 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Over 19 innings in June, Lynn’s ERA is 2.37, above his season ERA but still very good. However, his most recent start was one of the poorest of the year, giving up three runs in six innings. In his two starts against Houston last year, he struggled mightily, posting a frightening 12.05 ERA in 11.2 innings of work. | |||||||
06-19-21 | Reds v. Padres -150 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Dinelson Lamet will get the start on Saturday for the Padres looking to follow up one of his better outings of the season against the Colorado Rockies last time out, when he allowed one run on four hits and two walks with three strikeouts in four innings. The 28-year-old's workload has been heavily limited as he rehabs an elbow injury, but Lamet's stuff looks good as he's got a 3.33 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 27 innings. | |||||||
06-18-21 | Mets +114 v. Nationals | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
We've seen this before. The Mets are 17-4 the night after allowing two or less runs, while the Nationals have lost six straight games after day off. | |||||||
06-17-21 | Reds +164 v. Padres | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds have won 5 straight and 10 of the last 12 thanks in a big part to their production at the plate. Cincinnati is batting .249 as a team, which is 6th in baseball and has the fifth best slugging percentage at .429. This has helped Cincinnati score the sixth most runs in baseball with 331. | |||||||
06-17-21 | White Sox +117 v. Astros | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Dylan Cease tossed five innings while allowing two runs on Saturday in a win over the Tigers in his last start. The 25-year-old came into his start with a 7-0 record with a 1.91 ERA over seven career starts vs. the Tigers and their lowly lineup. Cease continued that strong streak, striking out seven and issuing one free pass. He did a good job limiting hard contact and using his curveball effectively against both lefties and righties. He comes into this matchup with the hot-hitting Astros sporting a 3.38 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, with an impressive 85/29 KK/B ratio over 66.2 innings. Opposing batters are hitting a microscopic .227 against the righty, with a .324 slugging percentage over 13 starts. | |||||||
06-17-21 | Cardinals +175 v. Braves | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
The Braves will turn to Charlie Morton in the upcoming start, who has allowed eight runs in the last nine innings pitched. Morton isn't going to give the Braves a long start, pitching more than six innings in only one start this season. | |||||||
06-17-21 | Cubs +113 v. Mets | Top | 2-0 | Win | 113 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
The Cubs have had the Mets number for some time now, winning 17 of their last 23 meetings, including 7 of 10 in New York. | |||||||
06-17-21 | Yankees -105 v. Blue Jays | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
This is when the Yankees turn their season around. Toronto is just 4-10 in their last 14 games against the AL East, and 3-9 in their last 12 home games. Aaron judge is heating up and I think this is the series that really catapults New York to the top of the AL East. | |||||||
06-16-21 | Twins v. Mariners +126 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Bailey Ober will likely get his fourth career start on Wednesday for the Twins. He has an ERA of 4.85 with just 15 strikeouts this season. He also allowed just two runs in five innings in his last start. | |||||||
06-16-21 | Rays +125 v. White Sox | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
The Rays won't be intimidated just because Giolito is on the mound. They've won 4 of their last 5 in Chicago, and 5 of 7 overall in this series. Tampa is on a small 5-1 streak after a loss. I'm more than willing to take the plus money here. | |||||||
06-16-21 | Reds +127 v. Brewers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 127 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Tyler Mahle has been on fire lately with a 4-0 record and 2.31 ERA over his last four starts. In 23.1 innings during that stretch, he's issued just four walks compared to 24 strikeouts. Opposing hitters are batting .167 off Mahle in that stretch. He has been much better on the road than at home this season. Mahle has a record of 4-1 with a 1.65 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and a 47/14 K/BB ratio in eight starts on the road. He’s 2-1 with a 6.93 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and a 31/7 K/BB ratio in five starts at home. Opposing batters are hitting .181 when Mahle pitches on the road but at home, opposing batters are hitting .273 this season. | |||||||
06-16-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals -108 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 36 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals will be going with Johan Oviedo as the starter for this game following an underwhelming beginning to the 2021 campaign. So far this season, he has a 0-2 record along with a 5.72 ERA. On the bright side, he also has a 4.58 ERA at home as he has looked slightly better at Busch Stadium. The Marlins continue to be overvalued in this series. We cashed with the Cardinals last night and we're going to do the same this morning. | |||||||
06-15-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals -117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
The Marlins are dealing with a shorthanded infield, as third baseman Brian Anderson (shoulder subluxation), shortstop Miguel Rojas (dislocated finger) and first baseman Garrett Cooper (strained back) are all out. Starting pitcher Elieser Hernandez has missed most of the season with multiple injuries, and is currently on the 60-day IL with a strained quad. Young pitchers Cody Poteet (sprained knee) and Nick Neidert (biceps inflammation) are also out. | |||||||
06-15-21 | Red Sox +102 v. Braves | 10-8 | Win | 102 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Red Sox are top 10 in the league in runs, hits, home runs, RBI’s, batting average, OBP, SLG, and OPS. Runs should be plenty against an average Braves staff. | |||||||
06-14-21 | Rays -107 v. White Sox | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the hottest team in baseball recently as they are leading the AL East with a 42-24 record. They will be sending their ace Tyler Glasnow to the mound as he is coming off a win against the Washington Nationals in his last start. In that game, he pitched seven innings and allowed a run on six hits with a walk and 11 strikeouts. | |||||||
06-14-21 | Reds +139 v. Brewers | Top | 10-2 | Win | 139 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
While the Reds' defense and pitching have struggled this season, they have one of the best offenses in the game with their lineup scoring 5.05 runs per game, 4th highest in the MLB. The lineup is led by Jesse Winker and Nick Castellanos with the two in the heart of the order. Winker has a .339 AVG, .412 OBP, and .628 SLG, in addition to a team-leading 17 home runs while Castellanos has an incredible .362 AVG, .418 OBP, and .638 SLG in addition to a 173 OPS+ which is 3rd highest in the MLB. With four of the Reds' batter hitting 10 home runs or more this season, the lineup has the depth and power to give any pitching staff trouble. | |||||||
06-14-21 | Blue Jays +117 v. Red Sox | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
Alek Manoah is considered the sixth-ranked prospect in Toronto’s farm system. He has thrown enough to qualify in some of Baseball Savant’s percentile rankings as he is in the 73rd percentile in max exit velocity, 61st percentile in fastball velocity, and 59th percentile in fastball spin. He throws four pitches (fastball, slider, sinker, changeup) and his heater has been a great pitch as it has a .150 batting average against with 10 of his 16 strikeouts this season. | |||||||
06-13-21 | Pirates +162 v. Brewers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
Adrian Houser has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the sixth percentile in hard hit percentage, 10th percentile in whiff percentage, 30th percentile in strikeout percentage, and 35th percentile in average exit velocity. His 8.3 barrel percentage is the highest of any season of his career. Houser also throws five different pitches (sinker, curveball, fastball, changeup, slider) and his sinker has been the putaway pitch as it has a .225 batting average with three homers and 27 strikeouts. He has faced the Pirates once this season and he lost going 4.1 innings and giving up three runs on five hits with a walk and three strikeouts against them. | |||||||
06-13-21 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox +116 | Top | 18-4 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
I'm more than happy to take the Red Sox as a home dog here. As an organization, the Jays have always had troubles against left-handed starters and have dropped six straight game 3's of a series. Boston is on a 16-5 run against the American League East. | |||||||
06-10-21 | Blue Jays -113 v. White Sox | 2-5 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
After last nights win, the Blue Jays are 8-3 in their last 11 road games, while the Sox have dropped five of their last six-game three's of a series. | |||||||
06-10-21 | Brewers v. Reds +110 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Cincinnati has had success through the first third of the season at the plate as the Reds have the fifth-best team batting average and slugging percentage in baseball. Look for the Reds to outslug the Brewers this afternoon. | |||||||
06-09-21 | Mets -125 v. Orioles | Top | 14-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Free agent acquisition Taijuan Walker has proven to be a savvy pickup with a 2.17 ERA so far, and will make his 11th start of the season on Wednesday to close out the series in Baltimore. The 28-year-old had one of his worst outings of the season last Thursday against the San Diego Padres, allowing three earned runs on seven hits and four walks in five innings while striking out just two. Alonso came off the IL last week and should continue to provide a boost to the Mets offense, as he's got a 0.770 OPS, nine homers and 28 RBI in 45 games. | |||||||
06-08-21 | Blue Jays +130 v. White Sox | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Toronto is enjoying one of the most prolific offenses in the Majors with an average of 4.94 runs per game and a 0.763 team OPS, which only trails the Astros. The Blue Jays pitching staff is slightly above average with a 4.07 combined ERA, including a strong mark of 3.59 from a deep bullpen. Robbie Ray will take the mound for the series opener in Chicago after beating the Miami Marlins last Tuesday, allowing one run on six hits and two walks while racking up nine strikeouts across six innings. The 29-year-old is having a nice bounce-back season with a 3-2 record, 3.57 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 58 innings. | |||||||
06-08-21 | Yankees v. Twins -103 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
The Yankees lineup has slashed .217/.299/.362 with eight homers, 20 RBI, 27 walks, and 74 strikeouts over the past seven games. This season against right-handers, the Yankees have slashed .224/.319/.353 with 41 home runs and 138 RBI over 40 games. On the road, New York has hit .233/.314/.384 with 33 home runs and 88 RBI over 27 games. | |||||||
06-07-21 | Cubs +108 v. Padres | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Chicago's offense was one of the worst in the Majors through two weeks but has since performed well, bringing its season average to 4.49 runs per game and a 0.723 OPS. The Cubs pitching staff is inside the top 10 with a 3.77 ERA, including a mark of 2.72 from the bullpen to rank second in baseball behind the Padres. Adbert Alzolay will get the start on Monday for Chicago after beating these Padres last time out, allowing one run on three hits and one walk while racking up seven strikeouts in five innings. The 26-year-old is on a strong run of late, bringing his season numbers to a 3.62 ERA with 58 strikeouts in 54.2 innings. | |||||||
06-07-21 | Marlins +133 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
The Red Sox are coming off a sweep of the New York Yankees to play this one-game make-up date. Expect the Sox to be more focused on the series against Houston than this one against the lowly Marlins. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $529 |
Jim Feist | $502 |
Matt Fargo | $451 |
Rocky Atkinson | $438 |
ProSportsPicks | $435 |
Marc Lawrence | $368 |
Tim Michael | $206 |
Dan Kaiser | $205 |
William Burns | $175 |
Kyle Hunter | $70 |