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20* Iowa/Nebraska Big Ten No-Brainer on Nebraska -5.5

Nebraska wants revenge from a 57-50 road loss at Iowa on February 17th.  The Huskers shot just 20.8% from 3-point range.  They will be much better at home today, where they are 14-2 this season.

Iowa is just 3-7 SU in true road games.  The Hawkeyes are coming off a tough loss to Michigan where they had a chance to tie it at the buzzer at home.  But that's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.  Iowa's last three road games were ugly losing outright at Maryland as 10.5-point favorites, outright at Penn State as 9.5-point favorites and by 13 at Wisconsin.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Green Bay +3

Green Bay is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall and playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League.  This is just disrespectful getting the Phoenix as underdogs to Northern Kentucky today.

Green Bay won both regular season meetings with Northern Kentucky outright as underdogs.  It will be more of the same today as this team is locked in and ready to make a run in the Horizon League Tournament.  Bet Green Bay Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Line Mistake on East Carolina +10.5

Only the Top 10 teams in the AAC play in the conference tournament.  East Carolina sits in 11th place trailing 10th place Memphis by one game.  But ECU has the tiebreaker over Memphis, so a win today coupled with a loss by Memphis at Tulane would get the Pirates in the AAC Tournament.  They will be max motivated as a result.

Motivation is in question for UAB as they have already locked up the 4th seed in the AAC due to owning the tiebreaker over Charlotte.  They have nothing to play for.  UAB is 6-9 SU & 5-10 ATS at home this season and has huge home/road splits as one of the rare teams that has been much better on the road than at home.  In fact, the Blazers are 0-8 ATS in AAC home games this season. Bet East Carolina Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte +17

South Florida has already wrapped up the AAC regular season title with its 96-89 road win at Memphis on Thursday.  This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Bulls now with nothing to play for, and they shouldn't be favored by 17 over a pesky Charlotte team as a result.

Charlotte still has a shot to improve its seeding in the AAC Tournament.  The 49ers have played six straight games decided by 12 points or less.  They have a knack for playing in close games all season.  They haven't lost by more than 12 points in 19 of their last 20 games.  Bet Charlotte Sunday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado +14.5

This is the letdown spot for Arizona.  The Wildcats clinched the outright Big 12 regular season title with a home win over Iowa State last time out.  Head coach Tommy Lloyd called out the media for calling his team soft.  But I expect a very soft effort from the Wildcats today in this clear letdown spot.

Colorado is no pushover at home.  The Buffaloes are 13-4 SU at home this season.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four Big 12 home games beating K-State by 9, Oklahoma State by 14, ASU by 8 and TCU by 26.  This is their 'national championship' on Senior Day and we will get an inspired effort from the Buffaloes tonight.  Bet Colorado Saturday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Coastal Carolina -1.5

The Sun Belt Tournament is staggered this season to give the top teams the biggest advantages.  The 1 and 2 seeds get a bye all the way to the semifinals, while the 3 and 4 seeds get a bye to the quarterfinals.

Coastal Carolina earned the 3rd seed with a big finish in the regular season.  The Chanticleers went 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their final six games with their lone loss coming by 2 to James Madison.  They avenged that loss in the season finale and have been off since February 27th.

The Chanticleers have one of the best rest advantages I've ever seen heading into this quarterfinal matchup with Georgia Southern, which will be playing its 4th game in 4 days.  And all three games were absolute wars with a 88-84 win over ODU Wednesday, a 80-77 win over Arkansas State Thursday and a 94-85 win over South Alabama Friday.

The Eagles had to erase a double-digit deficit in the final 10 minutes to upset South Alabama Friday.  Four starters played at least 33 minutes.  They made a school-record 23-of-44 (52%) from 3-point range to pull off the upset.  I have to think they are due some shooting regression today, especially playing on such tired legs.  This is where their run ends, and getting the Chanticleers as basically a PK is an absolute gift tonight.  Bet Coastal Carolina Saturday.

15* Oklahoma/Texas SEC ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma +8

The Oklahoma Sooners were snake bitten by a ton of close losses to open SEC play.  They have finally started to get things to go their way and are playing their best basketball of the season here down the stretch.

The Sooners have gone 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They upset Vanderbilt and LSU on the road, while also crushing Missouri by 16, Auburn by 12 and Georgia by 16 at home.  Now they have their sights set on revenge against their biggest rivals in Texas.

Oklahoma lost 79-69 at home to Texas.  The Longhorns shot 60% from the field while the Sooners shot 41%.  They are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

They now face a Texas team that is headed in the other direction.  The Longhorns are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They only beat LSU by 3 at home, lost by 11 at Georgia, lost by 13 at home to Florida and lost by 20 at Arkansas.  They have no business being an 8-point favorite tonight.  Home-court advantage has meant very little in this rivalry.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

15* Big West PLAY OF THE DAY on CS-Fullerton +6

CS-Fullerton has gone 6-2 SU in its last eight games overall with its only two losses coming to the top two teams in the Big West in UC-Irvine and Hawaii.  The Titans now have a shot at a at a bye into the quarterfinals of the Big West Tournament.

They are tied for 4th place with four other teams, trailing CS-Northridge by one game for 3rd place.  But they won the first meeting with CS-Northridge 86-79 at home, so they would own the tiebreaker over them with a season sweep today.

CS-Northridge is 2-2 but 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall and not playing well at all.  They only won by 2 over Long Beach State and by 2 over CS-Bakersfield, which are two of the three worst teams in the Big West.  They lost by 11 to UC-Riverside, the other bottom 3 team.  They have no business being 6-point favorites here as Fullerton is clearly playing the better basketball right now.  Bet CS-Fullerton Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Providence +1.5

Providence wants revenge from a 81-78 home loss to Georgetown in their first meeting this season.  The Friars have been victims of close losses all season, but this is their chance to take out their frustration on the Hoyas.

These are two teams headed in opposite directions.  Providence is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall and fully healthy, while Georgetown is 0-7 SU & 3-4 ATS in its last seven games and far from healthy.

In fact, the Hoyas just lost leading scorer KJ Lewis (14.9 PPG) to an ankle injury and he will miss this game.  Lewis had 26 points in the first meeting with Providence, so his loss will be felt today.  Bet Providence Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Utah +13

The Utah Utes are not getting blown out of late especially on the road.  They haven't lost a single road game all season by more than 14 points, and all but one came by 13 points or fewer.  They will be competitive today, too.

Baylor has no business being a 13-point favorite here.  The Bears are 5-12 in Big 12 play and aren't blowing anyone out.  I also think it's a letdown spot for the Bears, who are coming off two big road games beating UCF by 1 and faltering late in a 13-point loss at Houston.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Utah today.  Bet Utah Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on California +6.5

The Cal Golden Bears (21-9, 9-8 ACC) are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament with some work to do.  They are currently the first time listed on Joe Lunardi's 'Next 4 Out' line and could really use this road win at Wake Forest.

Cal has done its part down the stretch to put itself in this position to strike by going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Bears have played their best basketball on the road going 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six road games to improve to 7-2 ATS in true road games this season.  That includes upset road wins at Miami and Stanford.

Wake Forest is 7-12 SU & 7-12 ATS in its last 19 games overall.  The Demon Deacons are being overvalued here as 6.5-point home favorites.  They are without senior G Nate Calmese (10.1 PPG, 4.8 APG) who is also their best 3-point shooter at 39.5% and their only true PG.  Bet California Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Joe's -9.5

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 12-3 SU & 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They have won five in a row coming in and will be motivated to keep this momentum going on Senior Day today.

La Salle is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games overall with both wins coming at home over Rhode Island and Fordham.  The Explorers are 1-12 SU & 5-8 ATS on the road this season consistently getting blown out.  They have been outscored by 14.4 points per game on the road this season.

St. Joe's beat La Salle 67-58 on the road in their first meeting this season.  They had Jaeden Marshall (12.0 PPG) and Jerome Brewer Jr. (11.2 PPG) for that game, but Marshall has missed the last four games and Brewers Jr. the last three games and both are likely out again.  That leaves the Explorers extremely short-handed without two of their top three scorers heading into this one.  Bet St. Joe's Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette +9.5

The Marquette Golden Eagles have been grossly undervalued while the UConn Huskies have been grossly overvalued due to their records this season.  UConn sits at 27-3 while Marquette site at 11-19.

The Huskies are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall with 10 wins by 12 points or fewer.  They have been fortunate in close games all season, which is the opposite of Marquette, which has 13 losses by 11 points or fewer and nine by single-digits this season.

Marquette has not quit, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall.  The Golden Eagles are coming off a 78-56 road win at Providence.  They will be motivated to wreck UConn's bit at earning a share of the Big East title, which is what they are aiming for today.  This is Marquette's national championship game and it's Senior Day to boot.  Bet Marquette Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on DePaul -2.5

Amazingly, the DePaul Blue Demons would finish in 5th place in the Big East with a win Saturday.  That's significant because the Top 5 teams in the Big East all get byes into the quarterfinals.  They would win out on the tiebreaker with Creighton due to sweeping the season series.

So the Blue Demons will be max motivated not only to clinch that bye, but to win this game for their seniors on Senior Day.  This is a senior-led team with four of their top six scorers all seniors.  We are going to get a big effort from DePaul today to say the least.

Butler is 2-8 SU & 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games overall with its lone two wins coming against the two worst teams in the Big East in Georgetown (by 4) and Xavier (by 5).  The Bulldogs are just playing out the string and coming off a 17-point home loss to Creighton.  I don't see them showing up today, either.

DePaul also wants revenge from a 87-80 road loss at Butler in their first meeting this season.  Butler shot 56.9% from the field and 47.1% from 3 while DePaul shot 41.3% from the field and 30.3% from 3.  It's safe to say the Blue Demons are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch at home this time around.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

20* Arkansas/Missouri ESPN No-Brainer on Missouri -1.5

Missouri is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament currently listed as a Last 4 byes team according to Joe Lunardi.  The Tigers could really use this signature win over Arkansas that would likely get them into the Big Dance.

Not only will the Tigers be motivated to make the tournament, they'll be motivated to send their Seniors out a winner on Senior Day.  They also want revenge from a 94-86 loss at Arkansas as 9.5-point dogs on February 21st just two weeks ago.  That was a rare loss for the Tigers here down the stretch as they have gone 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.

But the biggest reason I'm backing Missouri and fading Arkansas is the fact that the Razorbacks will be without one of the best players in the country in Darius Acuff Jr. (22.2 PPG, 6.4 APG) today due to an ankle injury.  He will be missing his first game of the season.

The loss of Acuff Jr. cannot be overstated.  He just had 28 points and 13 assists in a win over Texas last time out.  He had 20 points in that first game against Missouri.  And he recently scored 49 against Alabama.  He makes everything go for them offensively.  The Tigers should be favored by more today given Acuff's absence and the motivational advantages.  Arkansas has already clinched a double-bye in the SEC Tournament and appears to be punting this game.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia Tech +12

Virginia Tech is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Hokies are currently listed on the 'First 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi.  A win over rival Virginia would certainly put them on the right side of the bubble.

Virginia Tech already beat Virginia 95-85 (OT) at home in their first meeting this season.  So the Hokies already know they can play with them.  And they have actually been a better bet on the road than they have been at home this season.

Indeed, the Hokies are a perfect 9-0 ATS in true road games this season.  They've lost just one road game by double-digits all season.  This one will go down to the wire as well.  Bet Virginia Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on UNLV +10.5

UNLV is 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall with four outright upset victories.  None was more impressive than their 92-65 win as 7.5-point dogs to Utah State, arguably the most impressive win in the Mountain West this season.

Now the Rebels have their sights set on revenge from a 82-71 home loss to San Diego State as 3.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  SDSU shot a ridiculous 8-of-13 (61.5%) from 3-point range and 22-of-26 (84.8%) from the FT line in that game, while UNLV shot 7-of-21 (33.3%) from 3 and 12-of-22 (54.5%) from the FT line.  It's safe to say UNLV is due for some positive shooting regression in the rematch tonight.

While UNLV is closing strong, San Diego State is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  They lost by 10 at home to Grand Canyon, by 9 at Colorado State, by 9 at Boise State and by 5 at New Mexico.  

The Aztecs are already locked into a double-bye in the MWC Tournament with a Top 4 seed so they don't have a lot to play for here.  They are also battling injuries to key players including leading scorer Reese Dixon-Waters (13.0 PPG), who is questionable to play tonight.  Bet UNLV Friday.

20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on South Alabama -5

I love the spot for South Alabama tonight.  The Jaguars got a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Tournament.  They will be playing their first game tonight, while Georgia Southern will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after two wars.

Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion 88-84 on Wednesday and Arkansas State 80-77 on Thursday.  I question how much the Eagles have left in the tank tonight.  Spudd Webb (15.5 PPG) has played 73 minutes and Alden Applewhite (13.8 PPG) 75 minutes in the two games.

South Alabama crushed Georgia Southern 87-71 on the road no less in their lone meeting this season.  The Jaguars outrebounded the Eagles 43 to 30 in that win.  They will dominate the glass again and put forth better energy than the Eagles, who are running on fumes.  Bet South Alabama Friday.

15* CBB Friday Undervalued Underdog on UCF +4

UCF is 20-9 this season and 9-8 in Big 12 play.  The Knights had plenty of room to spare in terms of making the NCAA Tournament, but back-to-back home losses to Baylor (by 1) and Oklahoma State (OT) have put them on the bubble. They could really use this road win over West Virginia tonight.

The Knights were already going to be max motivated to beat the Mountaineers being on the bubble.  But they also want revenge from a 74-67 home loss to WVU on February 14th.  They went on to win their next three games with an 11-point home win over TCU, a road win at Utah and a win at BYU by 13 as 14.5-point dogs.  They have been playing their best basketball on the road.

West Virginia (17-13, 8-9 Big 12) has played its way off the bubble and out of the NCAA Tournament by going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes a home loss to Utah as 10.5-point favorites, as well as road losses to K-State, Oklahoma State and TCU.  So they have losses to the three worst teams in the Big 12 in their last five games.  That has broken their spirit, and I can't see them being all that motivated tonight as a result.  Bet UCF Friday.

15* CBB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Central Michigan +2

The Top 8 teams in the MAC make the conference tournament.  Central Michigan is still alive for a Top 8 spot.  The Chippewas need to win this game and have Buffalo lose to Toledo to get in.  Buffalo is an 8.5-point road dog to Toledo tonight.

Ball State has already been eliminated from the MAC Tournament due to going 0-2 against Buffalo this season in the head-to-head series.  I question their motivation tonight knowing they are eliminated from tournament contention.

Ball State has been very fortunate to win its last three games with two of them coming in OT.  I think the Cardinals are getting too much respect for those three wins against some bottom feeders in the MAC.  

Central Michigan beat Buffalo 75-70 on the road before a 13-point loss to Akron, arguably the best team in the MAC.  They also beat WMU by 13 and only lost by 2 to Kent State as 11.5-point dogs.  They are playing well here down the stretch to give themselves a chance at making the tournament.  They will win this game outright tonight.  Bet Central Michigan Friday.

15* MVC Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Bradley -3.5

Valparaiso was in a war last night with Indiana State.  The Beacons prevailed 63-62 as 2.5-point favorites.  That's an Indiana State team that is dreadful going 2-12 SU in its final 14 games to close out the regular season.

Now the Beacons must take a big step up in class here against an experienced Bradley team that is notorious for making deep runs in the MVC Tournament.  The Braves are rested as this will be their first game of the tournament, while the Beacons have to play the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Valparaiso lacks depth as well with an 8-man rotation.

Bradley beat Murray State by 9, Illinois State by 14, Southern Illinois by 10 and Belmont by 11 in four of its final six games this season.  Those are all the top teams in the conference, and the Braves are playing their best basketball of the season heading into this MVC Tournament.  That carries over today.  Bet Bradley Friday.

20* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Buffalo +8.5

The Buffalo Bulls are trying to lock up a spot in the MAC Tournament.  Only the Top 8 teams in the MAC play in the conference tournament.  The Bulls sit in 7th place and would be out of the tournament with a loss coupled with a win by Central Michigan tonight due to tiebreaker reasons.  They are max motivated to pull off the upset and get into the conference tournament.

The spot is terrible for Toledo.  The Rockets are already assured a spot in the MAC Tournament and actually locked into the 4th seed with nothing to play for but pride.  Worse yet, they are coming off a 74-72 loss to Miami Ohio nearly handing the Redhawks their first loss of the season.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice, and I don't expect the Rockets to show up at all tonight.  

The Bulls have played their best basketball on the highway this season going 8-5 SU & 10-3 ATS in true road games.  Bet Buffalo Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on CS-Fullerton +4

CS-Fullerton is still alive for a bye in the conference tournament.  The Titans are one game behind UC-San Diego for 3rd place in the Big West.  They are motivated to get this win on Senior Night in their final home game as their top three scorers are all seniors.

Fullerton has a chance to sweep the season series and earn the tiebreaker over UC-San Diego as well.  The Titans won 88-71 on the road over the Tritons in their first meeting this season.  They should not be 4-point home underdogs in the rematch tonight.  

UC-San Diego is getting a lot of respect due to entering this game on a 5-game winning streak.  But four of those five wins came at home against the bottom of the Big West.  They have been much less impressive on the road in Big West play with just two wins by more than 3 points on the road in conference play all season.  Bet CS-Fullerton Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Western Kentucky -1.5

Western Kentucky has been rolling since getting their best players back from injury.  The Hilltoppers are 6-0 SU in their last six games overall.  They are coming off three consecutive blowout wins over Liberty by 21 as 7.5-point road dogs. New Mexico State by 23 as 4.5-point home favorites and UTEP by 32 as 9.5-point home favorites.

Now they take on Missouri State, which is 0-7 SU in its last seven games overall and just ready for the regular season to be over.  The Bears lost 87-72 at Western Kentucky in their first meeting this season.  It will be another blowout in the Hilltoppers' favor in the rematch tonight.  Bet Western Kentucky Thursday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Rutgers +20

Rutgers has quietly gone 6-3 ATS in its last nine games overall.  This run stems back to a 88-79 (OT) home loss to Michigan State as 14.5-point dogs.  Now the Scarlet Knights want their revenge, and even if they don't get it they will stay within this inflated 20-point spread in the rematch tonight.

This looks like the letdown spot for Michigan State even though it's Senior night.  The Spartans are coming off four consecutive wins.  The last two they earned with road wins at Purdue and at Indiana.  And they have an even bigger game on deck against rival Michigan.  That makes this the sandwich spot for the Spartans, and I do not expect their best effort tonight.  Bet Rutgers Thursday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Northwestern +11.5

Purdue continues to be overvalued as a double-digit road favorite at Northwestern tonight.  The Boilermakers are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone win coming at home against Indiana.  They lost to Michigan by 11 and Michigan State by 2 at home, while also losing by 8 as 6.5-point road favorites at Ohio State.

Northwestern is playing its best basketball of the season to close. The Wildcats are 3-0 SU in their last three games and now will be motivated for an upset win on Senior Night in their final home game.  Senior F Nick Martinelli (22.5 PPG) is one of the best players in program history, and you can bet his teammates will be extra motivated to get him a win here in his final home game.

Northwestern is 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four home meetings with Purdue.  Both losses were close as they lost by just 6 and 3 points.  Getting 11.5 points with the Wildcats at home tonight is tremendous value.  Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit -1.5

Detroit is quietly playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League heading into the conference tournament.  The Titans have gone 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only losses coming on the road to Robert Morris and Green Bay, two teams that are the class of the league right now as well.

Milwaukee is not the class of the league.  The Panthers have gone 5-13 SU in their last 18 games overall.  It all fell apart for them since losing two of their top three scorers in Seth Hubbard (16.6 PPG) and Danilo Jovanovich (12.4 PPG) to season-ending injuries.

Detroit is 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in two meetings with Milwaukee this season.  The Titans won by 5 at home and by 13 on the road.  Now they will cap off the season sweep tonight at home and advance in the Horizon League Tournament.  Bet Detroit Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Joe's +4

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 11-3 SU & 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They sit in 4th place in the Atlantic 10 and are highly motivated to lock up a double-bye for the conference tournament as the top 4 teams in the conference all get one.

St. Joe's also wants revenge from a 62-56 loss to Davidson prior to this 11-3 run.  The Hawks shot just 3-of-22 (13.6%) from 3-point range in that game yet still only lost by 6.  I have to think they are due a ton of positive shooting regression in the rematch tonight.  Bet St. Joe's Wednesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati -2

Cincinnati is playing its best basketball of the season to close to put itself in position to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Bearcats are either first 4 out or next 4 out right now and needing to continue this momentum to get in.

Cincinnati has gone 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games overall with its lone loss coming at Texas Tech.  The Bearcats beat Kansas by 16 on the road, K-State by 29 on the road, UCF by 20 at home, Utah by 4 at home and Oklahoma State by 23 at home during this 6-game stretch.

Now the Bearcats are playing on Senior Night with three Senior starters.  They take on a BYU team that just hasn't been the same since losing Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) to a season-ending injury.  The Cougars are playing their worst basketball of the season to close, going 3-7 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They lost outright as 14.5-point home favorites to UCF and by 8 at WVU in their last two games.  Bet Cincinnati Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Louisiana-Monroe +11.5

Louisiana-Monroe has quietly gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  The Warhawks are consistently catching too many points here down the stretch, and this Sun Belt Tournament game against Old Dominion is no exception.

The Monarchs have no business being 11.5-point favorites tonight.  They actually lost 85-79 as 14.5-point home favorites to Louisiana-Monroe in their lone meeting this season.  And the Warhawks actually shot a woeful 3-of-20 (15%) from 3-point range in that game yet still won outright.  I have to think they are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch, making them live dogs again.  Bet Louisiana-Monroe Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on West Virginia -2.5

West Virginia is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Mountaineers came up with a big 79-71 home win over BYU last time out to keep their hopes alive.  And they will be max motivated to beat K-State tonight and finish strong to get into the big dance.

K-State has let go of the rope even before firing Jerome Tang.  The Wildcats are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games overall.  They are coming off three straight losses by 28 at Texas Tech, by 9 at Colorado and by 9 at home to TCU.  I see no reason they show up tonight, either.  Bet West Virginia Tuesday.

20* IPFW/Green Bay Horizon League No-Brainer on Green Bay -4

Green Bay is playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League to close out the season.  The Phoenix have gone 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Their two losses came by 3 and 4 points on the road, and they also upset Oakland on the road.

The Phoenix have been dominant at home of late going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home games beating Detroit by 13, IPFW by 17 and Youngstown State by 22.  They get to host this Horizon League tournament opener tonight against IPFW.

IPFW is 3-5 SU & 3-5 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Mastodons' three wins have come against the two worst teams in the Horizon League beating IU Indy twice and CLeveland State once.  All three wins came by 6 points or fewer, too.

Green Bay is 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in two meetings with IPFW this season with both being blowout wins.  The Phoenix won 72-54 on the road and 76-59 at home.  It will be more of the same in the 3rd meeting tonight.  Bet Green Bay Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Oklahoma -2

Oklahoma is playing its best basketball of the season to close.  The Sooners have gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with blowout wins over Georgia by 16 and Auburn by 12 at home, as well as LSU by 16 and Vanderbilt by 1 as 11.5-point road dogs.

Now the Sooners will be playing at home on Senior Night and are a senior-led team with Nijel Pack (16.1 PPG), Tae Davis (12.1 PPG), Mohamed Wague (6.9 PPG) and Jadon Jones (5.8 PPG) all playing their final home game.  Expect a big effort from them tonight.

Missouri has played itself on the right side of the bubble in recent weeks by going 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Tigers did lose to the two best teams they played during this stretch in Texas by 17 at home and Arkansas by 8 on the road.  They have four wins by 5 points or less during this stretch as they have been extremely fortunate in close games.  Their luck runs out tonight.  Bet Oklahoma Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT o UCF -9

The UCF Knights are in the NCAA Tournament currently but they have little room for error.  That's especially the case after a 1-point home loss to Baylor over the weekend.  That was a clear letdown spot coming off their 97-84 road win at 14.5-point dogs at BYU.

Now the Knights should be refocused and put their best foot forward on Senior Night Tuesday.  They are 14-4 SU at home this season with one of the better home-court advantages in the Big 12.  They take on a dead Oklahoma State team that is 1-7 SU in true road game this season.

The Cowboys have let go of the rope going 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone win coming in OT against WVU.  Five of the six losses have come by 9 points or more, including a 91-68 loss at Cincinnati last time out over the weekend.  The Cowboys are without their senior leader in F Parsa Fallah (14.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG) to close out the season.  Bet UCF Tuesday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on TCU +8.5

TCU is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament and needing a big finish to get in.  The Horned Frogs would cement their place in the big dance with an upset win at Texas Tech tonight.  And the Red Raiders are ripe for the picking in this perfect spot.

Texas Tech is coming off a 82-73 road win at Iowa State as 9.5-point dogs to hand the Cyclones their first home loss this season.  They shot 48.3% from 3-point range to pull off the stunner.  This is their letdown spot now when they return home.  And they are due some negative shooting regression, and for JT Toppin's (21.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG) season-ending injury to finally take its toll.

TCU is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall.  TCU is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Texas Tech.  The Horned Frogs need this game more, and getting 8.5 points with them is a tremendous value here tonight.  Bet TCU Tuesday.

15* Iowa State/Arizona ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Iowa State +7.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on Iowa State after its first home loss of the season Saturday to Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders pulled off the upset as 9.5-point dogs due to 14-of-29 (48.3%) shooting from 3-point range.  Now the Cyclones go from 9.5-point home favorites against Texas Tech to 7.5-point road dogs to Arizona, a massive adjustment.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on Arizona after a 84-61 home win as 9.5-point favorites against Kansas.  The Wildcats really wanted that game to get revenge on the Jayhawks and they got it.  They now have a 2-game lead for 1st place in the Big 12 with margin for error with two games left.  They play Colorado next, so they can afford to lose this game and still win the conference outright with a win over lowly Colorado.

Iowa State is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three games following a loss beating UCF by 30 as 14.5-point favorites, beating Kansas by 18 as 7.5-point favorites and beating Utah by 16 as 14.5-point favorites.  The Cyclones will rebound nicely tonight again and give the Wildcats a run for their money.  Bet Iowa State Monday.

20* Big Sky GAME OF THE WEEK on Eastern Washington -3.5

Eastern Washington has gone 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in its last eight games overall to pull within one game of 1st place in the Big Sky.  There's no way the Eagles are going to let down now with what's at stake, and I expect them to cap off this perfect run to end the season to give themselves a chance at a share of the Big Sky regular season title if Portland State loses tonight.

The Eagles have won by 8 or more points in seven of their last eight games with the lone exception being a 1-point road win at Montana State as 4.5-point dogs.  They are tied with Montana State in 2nd place.

Idaho has been getting way too much respect here down the stretch.  The Vandals are 4-7 SU & 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Their four wins have all come against the bottom 3 teams in the Big Sky beating Northern Arizona twice, Sacramento State and Idaho State.  

They have really struggled when they have stepped up in class with six of their last seven losses coming by 5 points or more.  They just lost their second-best player in Kolton Mitchell (13.6 PPG) to injury.  This line is simply too short tonight.  Bet Eastern Washington Monday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte +7.5

The Charlotte 49ers are actually tied for 4th in the AAC right now.  The 3rd and 4th place teams get double-byes into the quarterfinals of the conference tournament.  They have a lot to play for right now.

The Florida Atlantic Owls (8-8) are kind of in limbo right now with much less to play for.  They are struggling to the finish line going 2-7 SU in their last nine games overall with their only two wins coming against UTSA by 8 and Temple by 4.  Those are two of the worst teams in the conference.

Making matters worse for the Owls is that they have been without their best player in Devin Vanderpool (15.8 PPG, 6.3 RPG) for the past three games and he is unlikely to return today.  The Owls have no business being favored by 7.5 over the 49ers in their current state.  Bet Charlotte Sunday.

15* Purdue/Ohio State CBS ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State +6.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament.  They could really use a Quad 1 win here against Purdue at home.  I know we will get their best effort, and it should be good enough for the Buckeyes to stay within this inflated number and possibly pull off the upset.

Purdue has lost two of it last three games to Michigan and Michigan State despite playing all three games at home.  Now the Boilermakers must go on the road where they have had very little success traveling to Ohio State, which is 12-3 SU at home this season.

Ohio State has won each of its last two meetings with Purdue outright as 10 and 7.5-point dogs.  Purdue hasn't won any of its last four trips to Ohio State by more than 2 points.  Bet Ohio State Sunday.

20* Gonzaga/St. Mary's ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on St. Mary's +2.5

St. Mary's wants revenge from a 73-65 road loss to Gonzaga in their first meeting this season.  The Gaels have gone 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS since so that loss really inspired them.  Now they get their revenge at home this time around.

St. Mary's is coming off an impressive 86-67 home win over Santa Clara to improve to 16-0 SU at home this season.  They are also motivated to keep their perfect record at home, which is one of the toughest places to play in the country.  They are 11-4 ATS in all home lined games this season.  Bet St. Mary's Saturday.

15* Arkansas/Florida ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Arkansas +10

John Calipari has the Arkansas Razorbacks as one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Razorbacks are 21-7 SU & 19-9 ATS this season and consistently undervalued.  That is the case again today as double-digit underdogs to Florida.

The Gators are coming off a pair of road wins against Ole Miss and Texas.  They have actually been a much better bet on the road than they have been at home with one of the worst home-court advantages in the SEC.  They failed to cover their last two home games against Kentucky and South Carolina to fall to 5-8 ATS at home this season.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on UCF -1

UCF has gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three games overall to play itself onto the right side of the bubble.  That includes an upset win at BYU by 13 as 14.5-point dogs.  The Knights cannot afford to take their foot off the gas, so I'm not expecting a letdown here when they host Baylor.

The Bears are playing for nothing but pride sitting at 14-14 on the season including 4-11 in conference play.  They won't be playing with any sense of urgency.  They did show up for Arizona last time out but that's expected against the top team in the Big 12.  They don't have any reason to show up for UCF now, especially with Houston on deck a game they will be much more motivated for.

UCF has one of the better home-court advantages in the Big 12 going 14-3 SU at home this season.  That includes upset home wins over the likes of TCU, Texas Tech and Kansas in Big 12 play alone.  Baylor is 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in true road games this season.  Bet UCF Saturday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on West Virginia +2.5

West Virginia needs a big finish to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Mountaineers have lost three in a row to play themselves on the wrong side of the bubble.  It starts with a home win over BYU Saturday.

BYU is just much less potent without second-leading scorer Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) out for the season.  The Cougars consistently get too much respect, going 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  They have gone 3-6 SU in their last nine games with narrow wins over Baylor by 5 and Colorado in OT at home.  They were just upset as 14.5-point home favorites by UCF, too.

West Virginia quietly has one of the best home-court advantages in the Big 12.  It's a lot of travel for opponents, especially for BYU.  The Mountaineers are 13-3 SU at home this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet West Virginia Saturday.

20* Summit League GAME OF THE WEEK on North Dakota +12.5

North Dakota State has already clinched the Summit League regular season title outright.  The Bison are really lacking motivation to close out the regular season.  They were blown out by 22 at St. Thomas on Thursday, and now they have just one day off in between games to get ready for North Dakota.

Meanwhile, the Fighting Hawks last played last Saturday, so they have had an entire week to get ready for this game against their most hated rivals.  They will be out for revenge from a 83-66 loss to the Bison in their first meeting this season.  They want this game more and it will show today.  Bet North Dakota Saturday.

15* Kansas/Arizona ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Kansas +9.5

Arizona has no business being a 9.5-point favorite over Kansas today.  Asking the Wildcats to win this game by 10-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  I'll gladly take the value with the road underdog Jayhawks in this one.

Kansas beat Arizona 82-78 at home despite playing without the best scorer in the country in Darryn Peterson (19.5 PPG).  Peterson looks motivated now after all the negativity in the media, and was key in their 69-56 win over Houston on Monday.

No question Arizona wants revenge, but the urgency won't be there.  The Wildcats have a 2-game lead for first place in the Big 12 after consecutive road wins over Houston and Baylor.  Bet Kansas Saturday.

20* Horizon League GAME OF THE WEEK on Green Bay -1.5

Green Bay has gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall and is playing its best basketball of the season to close.  The Phoenix sit in a tie for 4th in the Horizon League, and a win would assure they get a home game for the first round of the conference Tournament.

The Phoenix are also motivated with this being senior day in their final home game.  They are also rested and ready to go last playing on Sunday, so they have had five days off to rest and prepare to get revenge on Youngstown State, who they lost by 7 to on the road earlier this season.

Youngstown State is a much more tired team with just two days off since a 78-65 road loss to lowly Utah.  The Penguins will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days as well.  They sit at 8-11 in the conference with nothing to play for here.  Bet Green Bay Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Clemson +2

Clemson will be highly motivated for a victory today after four straight losses that have put the Tigers on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Tigers have had an entire week off to rest and get ready to beat Louisville.

The Cardinals are coming off a 77-74 loss at short-handed UNC on Monday and will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days.  They don't have a signature road win all season, and they won't be getting on here, either.  They are just 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in true road games this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Clemson Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Joe's +4.5

St. Joe's is 10-3 SU & 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the country right now.  The Hawks are max motivated to finish strong currently sitting in 4th place in the Atlantic 10.  The top four teams get a double-bye in the conference tournament.

Rhode Island has been flat as a pancake since its upset win over Saint Louis.  The Rams are 1-4 SU in their last five games overall.  They are coming off a pair of blowout losses to La Salle by 13 and St. Bonaventure by 18, who teams ranked worse than them in the standings.  They are 6-9 in conference play with little to play for the rest of the way.  Bet St. Joe's Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall +14

This is the ultimate letdown spot for UConn after the beat down they just put on St. John's.  That was a rare blowout win for the Huskies, who are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall with nine wins by 12 points or fewer.  They aren't blowing anyone out, so it was just an off game for the Red Storm.

Now the Huskies will be flat as a pancake hosting Seton Hall, which needs a signature win to improve its tournament resume.  They nearly had it in a 69-64 loss to UConn in their first meeting this season as 6.5-point home dogs.  This is a big adjustment for the rematch at +14.  Especially since the Pirates have had a week off coming into this game to rest and prepare to beat the Huskies.  Bet Seton Hall Saturday.

15* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on South Alabama -4.5

South Alabama is in a 4-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt with tonight being the regular season finale for all teams.  The Jaguars are 11-6 in the conference, while Southern Miss is 8-9 in the conference and just playing for pride.

South Alabama is the better, more motivated team playing at home tonight.  The Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They handled Troy by 11 and ULM by 35 in their last two games coming in to improve to 10-3 SU at home this season.

Southern Miss is just 3-11 SU on the road this season.  The Eagles already lost 84-78 at home to South Alabama.  They shot well too hitting 48% from the field and 40% from 3-point range, so they aren't due any positive shooting regression in the rematch.  The Jaguars want it more and will take it at home tonight.  Bet South Alabama Friday.

15* Sun Belt PLAY OF THE DAY on Coastal Carolina +6

Coastal Carolina is 10-3 SU & 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Chanticleers' three losses during this stretch have come by 2, 4 and 5 point.  They haven't lost by more than 5 points in any game since January 3rd.

That's why getting 6 points with them is such a nice value here.  That's especially the case considering they will be out for revenge for one of those narrow losses, falling 67-65 at home to James Madison just 10 days ago on January 10th.

Coastal Carolina shot just 7-of-29 (24.1%) from 3-point range in that 2-point loss to the Dukes.  It's safe to say they will have some positive shooting regression in the rematch.  JMU is overvalued off a 6-game winning streak with three wins by exactly 2 points.  The Dukes are a tired team playing their 2nd game in 3 days as well.  Bet Coastal Carolina Friday.

20* Michigan/Illinois FOX No-Brainer on Illinois +1.5

I love the spot for Illinois tonight.  The Fighting Illini are coming off a 95-94 (OT) loss at UCLA on Saturday where they blew a 23-point lead.  They will be pissed off, and they will be rested and ready to go after having the last five days off to prepare for this huge showdown with Michigan.

The Wolverines don't have that same luxury.  They will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days with just two days off since a 77-67 home win over Minnesota as 21.5-point favorites.  That followed up a 68-63 loss as 3.5-point favorites to Duke on a neutral last weekend.

Michigan has a 3-game lead for 1st place in the Big Ten with three games remaining.  The Wolverines can afford this loss and still win the conference outright with one more victory.  Illinois is the team playing with more of a sense of urgency tonight, and it will be a raucous home crowd where the Fighting Illini are 13-2 SU at home this season.  Bet Illinois Friday.

15* CBB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Louisiana-Monroe +19.5

This will be a rematch from February 18th just over a week ago when Louisiana-Monroe nearly upset Troy in a 77-76 loss as 17.5-point home dogs.  This despite the Warhawks shooting just 20% from 3-point range.

Now they are catching 19.5 points on the road in the rematch and it's too much again.  This Troy team has been grossly overvalued limping to the finish line going 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS in its last nine games overall.  Monroe is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall and is undervalued due to its poor record, but the Warhawks keep showing up.

The Trojans have all the pressure on them trying to clinch at least a share of the Sun Belt regular season title as they are in a 4-way tie heading into this finale.  They aren't concerned with getting margin, they just know they need to win to earn a share.  Bet Louisiana-Monroe Friday.

20* Dayton/George Washington ESPN 2 No-Brainer on George Washington -2.5

This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Dayton Flyers.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with three of those wins at home.  They are coming off a 77-62 home win over the best team in the Atlantic 10 in St. Louis.  It's only human nature for them to let down here.

George Washington wants revenge from a 79-72 road loss at Dayton in their first meeting this season.  The Revolutionaries get them at home this time around where they are 11-3 SU this season, and the Flyers are just 4-5 SU on the road.

The Revolutionaries will be the fresher, more prepared team.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 10 days, while the Flyers will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days and their 5th game in 13 days.  Bet George Washington Friday.

15* CBB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Loyola-Marymount +1.5

Loyola-Marymount wants revenge from a 78-76 road loss at Washington State in their first meeting this season.  The Cougars shot 10-of-23 (43.5%) from 3-point range and 92.3% from the FT line in that game yet still only won by 2 at home.

These are two teams headed in opposite directions ahead of this rematch.  Washington State is 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS in its last five games overall.  Loyola-Marymount is 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in its last five games overall despite playing four of those five games on the road.

Washington State is just 1-9 SU on the road this season with the one win coming by 5 against Portland.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Loyola-Marymount Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado -6.5

Colorado has had one of the best home-court advantages in college basketball for decades.  That's the case again this season as the Buffaloes are 12-4 SU at home this season.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three Big 12 home games beating Oklahoma State by 14, Arizona State by 8 and TCU by 26.  I expect another blowout victory in their favor tonight.

Kansas State is a dead team walking.  The Wildcats fired head coach Jerome Tang.  They had the usual dead cat bounce game upsetting Baylor 90-74 at home in their first game without him.  They were aided by Baylor shooting 3-of-24 (12.5%) from 3 in that game.

Reality set in last time out and Kansas State played zero defense in a 100-72 road loss to Texas Tech.  That was Texas Tech's first game without one of the best players in the country in JT Toppin, yet they still won by 28 over this dead K-State team.  The Wildcats are 1-8 SU in true road games this season.  Bet Colorado Wednesday.

15* St. John's/UConn Big East ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +6.5

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 25-3 record this season.  They have 10 wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 10-2 in such games.  They are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall and one of the most overrated teams in the country.

The Huskies have no business being 6.5-point favorites over St. John's tonight.  They lost 81-72 at St. John's in their first meeting this season on February 6th.  What makes that loss even worse is the fact that the Huskies shot 9-of-19 (47.4%) from 3-point range while the Red Storm shot just 5-of-19 (26.3%) from distance, yet it was still a 9-point game in St. John's favor.

The Red Storm are 13-0 SU & 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They avoided the letdown leading into this game with an easy 81-52 win over Creighton.  That's the same Creighton team that just upset UConn 91-84 as 15.5-point road underdogs the game prior.  Bet St. John's Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Joe's +1.5

St. Joe's is 9-3 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the country right now.  One of those losses came 60-52 at George Mason, and now they get their shot at revenge at home this time around.

The Hawks are 11-3 at home this season.  They Patriots are 4-4 SU & 2-6 ATS on the road this season.  The Patriots have really come back down to reality going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall with a 12-point loss at Richmond, a 19-point loss at George Washington and a 15-point home loss to Dayton.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet St. Joe's Wednesday.

20* UCF/BYU ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on UCF +13

BYU is coming off two massive games.  The Cougars lost 75-68 at Arizona before bouncing back with a 79-69 home win over Iowa State.  They will now be playing their 3rd game in 7 days, and this looks like a letdown spot for them as they host UCF.  They lost second-leading scorer Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) to a season-ending injury, so they cannot be favored by 13 here without him.

UCF is motivated to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Knights sit at 19-7 overall and 8-6 in Big 12 play and are one of the more underrated teams in the conference.  They are coming off a 73-71 road win at Utah on Saturday and have a short drive to Provo to face BYU in this one.  I think they hang here and stay within this inflated number.  Bet UCF Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Baylor +8.5

The Arizona Wildcats are in a massive letdown spot.  They are coming off a 73-66 road win at Houston that gave them the inside track to win the Big 12.  They handed Houston its first home loss of the season.  That's a Houston team that is really faltering right now losing three straight for the first time in the Kelvin Sampson era.

Not only is Arizona coming off that massive win, the Wildcats also have another big game on deck Saturday hosting Kansas.  They will be looking for revenge on the Jayhawks after losing on the road to them in their first meeting.  Sandwiched in between is this game against lowly Baylor, which they will not be up for.

This is Baylor's last chance to get a signature win, and it could go far in terms of getting them into the NCAA Tournament.  The Bears will be 'all in' for this game, and they are fully healthy unlike Arizona.  The Wildcats will be without 2nd-leading scorer Koa Peat (13.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG) for this one.  Bet Baylor Tuesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota +22.5

The Michigan Wolverines are in the ultimate sandwich spot tonight.  They are coming off two huge games against Purdue and Duke, and they have Illinois on deck Friday.  This is the letdown game for them hosting Minnesota.

Minnesota is coming off a pair of impressive blowout wins by 17 at Oregon and by 19 at home against Rutgers.  The Golden Gophers just don't get blown out often due to their style of play, which is extremely slow to limit possessions and give themselves their best chance to be competitive.

Indeed, Minnesota hasn't lost any of its last 17 games by more than 19 points.  The Golden Gophers have just one loss by more than 12 points during this stretch.  They will stay within this inflated 22.5-point spread tonight as well.  Bet Minnesota Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State +7

NC State wants revenge from a 76-61 home loss to Virginia on January 3rd in their first meeting this season.  The Wolfpack have been a much better team since, going 7-2 SU in their last nine games overall with their only losses coming at Louisville and at home to Miami by 1.

The Wolfpack are coming off a 82-58 home win over North Carolina last Tuesday.  They have had the last week off to rest and prepare to get their revenge on Virginia.  And I don't think that rest advantage is being factored into this line enough.

Virginia was just in a war with Miami in a 86-83 win as 7.5-point home favorites on Saturday.  The Cavaliers will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days.  They are in a big lookahead spot with a showdown with top-ranked Duke on deck Saturday.  I don't think they give NC State their full attention, especially after already dominating them on the road in the first matchup.  That will prove detrimental tonight.  Bet NC State Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on UCLA +7.5

UCLA is fully healthy coming into this game which hasn't been the case for much of the season.  The Bruins have one of the biggest home/road splits in the Big Ten, too.  They are 14-1 SU at home this season with their lone loss coming by a single point to Indiana in OT.  Getting 7.5 points with the Bruins is a nice value here.

Illinois is getting too much love for its blowout win at USC on Wednesday against a very short-handed Trojans team.  The Bruins will offer much more resistance today.  They will slow this thing down to a crawl and points will be at a premium.  Bet UCLA Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Northern Iowa -6

Northern Iowa wants revenge from a 65-50 road loss at Southern Illinois on January 28th.  The Panthers shot just 4-of-17 (23.5%) from 3-point range in that game and were playing without an injured Tristan Smith (9.1 PPG, 5.2 RPG).

The Panthers have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their six games since and have gotten Smith back in the lineup for five of those six games.  They are playing their best basketball of the season with their only loss coming by 5 at Belmont, the top team in the MVC.  All five wins have come by 12 points or more, including a 29-point road win at Murray State, a 21-point road win at Indiana State, a 12-point home win over Bradley and a 24-point home win over Drake.

Northern Iowa is 11-3 at home this season while Southern Illinois is 5-8 in true road games.  The home team is 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings as home-court advantage has been huge in this series.  Bet Northern Iowa Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Villanova +3

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 24-3 record this season.  They have 10 wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 10-2 in such games.  They are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall and should not be favored at Villanova today.

The Wildcats want revenge from a 75-67 (OT) road loss at UConn in their first meeting this season.  They already proved they could play with the Huskies on the road, and I love their chances of pulling off the upset at home today.  They have won six consecutive games coming into this one and are one of the more underrated teams in the country.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* C-USA PLAY OF THE DAY on Western Kentucky +8

Liberty is overvalued due to its 23-3 record that includes a 17-game winning streak currently.  But the Flames have been ridiculously lucky in close games going 13-1 in games decided by 9 points or less.  Only 3 of their last 16 wins have come by more than 11 points, so asking them to win this game by 8-plus points to beat us is asking too much.

Western Kentucky only lost 76-69 in its first meeting with Liberty.  And the Flames shot an unsustainable 17-of-29 (58.6%) from 3-point range in that 7-point win.  That's not going to happen again.

While WKU has had the last two days off and will be playing just its 3rd game in 14 days, Liberty is coming off a 90-89 (OT) win over FIU at home on Thursday.  The Flames are a very tired team with just one day off in between games and playing their 4th game in 11 days.  Bet Western Kentucky Saturday.

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Houston -4.5

The spot really favors the Houston Cougars today.  They are coming off a 70-67 road loss to Iowa State on Monday.  They led by double-digits in the 2H and it took a minor miracle for the Cyclones to come back and beat them.  They gave Iowa State their toughest home test of the season, a place that is very difficult to play.

Now the Cougars are rested and ready to go after having the last four days off.  They will be highly motivated to bounce back, especially with the Big 12 regular season title on the line today.  And while they are fully healthy, the same cannot be said for Arizona.

The Wildcats have been exposed in their last three games going 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS.  They lost to Kansas without Dylan Peterson, lost in OT at home to Texas Tech, and barely beat BYU by 7 at home despite the Cougars missing their 2nd-best player in Richie Saunders.

The Wildcats have injury problems of their own without second-leading scorer Koa Peat (13.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG) for this one.  They also just played BYU on Wednesday, so they have just two days to get ready for Houston.  The Cougars are 13-0 at home this season outscoring opponents by 25.4 points per game.  Bet Houston Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas State +14.5

It's no surprised Kansas State had one of its best efforts of the season last time out after the firing of Jerome Tang.  The Wildcats pulled the 90-74 upset of Baylor as 3.5-point home dogs on Tuesday.  Now they will be giving Texas Tech a run for its money today.

Kansas State has shown it can play its best basketball on the road in Big 12 play this season.  In fact the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four Big 12 road games.  Four of their last five road losses came by 5 points or fewer, and the other was a 14-point loss at Houston as 22.5-point dogs.

Texas Tech cannot be a 14.5-point home favorite today without the services of its best player in Jayden Toppin (21.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG, 1.7 BPG).  Toppin was lost to a season-ending ACL injury in an upset loss to Arizona State on Tuesday.  The Red Raiders' season is basically over now without him.  Bet Kansas State Saturday.

15* WAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah Valley -7.5

I love the spot for Utah Valley tonight.  They are ineligible for the postseason, so their main goal is winning the WAC.  They trail Cal Baptist and Utah Tech both by 0.5 games heading into tonight.

This is the Wolverines' shot at revenge from a 78-71 (OT) road loss at Cal Baptist in their first meeting this season.  It's amazing they even forced OT after shooting 2-of-20 (10%) from 3-point range while the Lancers shot 6-of-14 (42.7%) from 3.  It's safe to say they are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

Utah Valley has a massive home-court advantage going 12-0 SU at home this season while outscoring opponents by 23.9 points per game.  The Wolverines also have a big rest advantage after having an entire week off coming into this game last playing last Thursday.

Cal Baptist just had its 9-game winning streak come to an end with a road loss at Utah Tech on Saturday.  Teams that have long winning streaks snapped tend to be flat in that next game.  Bet Utah Valley Thursday.

15* Sun Belt PLAY OF THE DAY on Appalachian State -3

I love the spot for Appalachian State tonight.  The Mountaineers are tied with Troy for first place in the Sun Belt with the regular season title at stake here down the stretch.  They also want revenge on Marshall after losing 88-81 on the road in their first meeting this season.

Marshall shot an unsustainable 12-of-24 (50%) from 3-point range at home in that first meeting.  App State shot 8-of-23 (34.8%) from 3 and 17-of-31 (54.8%) from the FT line in that game.  It's safe to say the Mountaineers are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

App State is 7-1 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Mountaineers are 10-3 SU at home this season.  Marshall is 5-7 SU & 5-7 ATS in true road games.  The Mountaineers have the rest advantage after having the last four days off, while the Thundering Herd have only had the last two days off and will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days.  Bet Appalachian State Thursday.

15* C-USA PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida International +11.5

Liberty is overvalued due to its 22-3 record that includes a 16-game winning streak currently.  But the Flames have been ridiculously lucky in close games going 12-1 in games decided by 9 points or less.  Only 3 of their last 15 wins have come by more than 11 points, so asking them to win this game by 12-plus points to beat us is asking too much.

That's especially the case with Florida International already proving they could play with Liberty at home.  In fact, they are the only team to force OT against Liberty during this 16-game winning streak.  They lost 97-94 (OT) at home, and they would love to get some revenge from that narrow defeat.  At the very least they will stay within this inflated number.  Bet Florida International Thursday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette +9.5

It has been a tough luck season for the Marquette Golden Eagles as they rank 356th in KenPom's luck ranking.  Close losses have been the culprit as the Golden Eagles have 10 losses by single-digits this season.  They are much better than their 9-17 record would indicate.

Marquette has especially been 'game' at home going 9-5 SU in all home games.  All five of those losses came by 9 points or fewer, so they haven't been beaten by double-digits at home all season.  They won't start today as I fully expect them to give St. John's a run for their money.  Bet Marquette Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Creighton +16

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 24-2 record this season.  They have 10 wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 10-1 in such games.  They are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall and should not be laying 16 points to Creighton today.

The Huskies won't be all that motivated to beat Creighton again.  The Bluejays shot 40.9% from the field and 23.8% from 3-point range in a 85-58 home loss to UConn in their first meeting this season.  The Huskies shot 54.1% from the field and 51.6% from 3-point range.  It's safe to say the Bluejays are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch.

Creighton goes from being a 6.5-point home dog to a 16-point road dog to UConn in the rematch.  That's an overreaction from that first meeting.  Bet Creighton Wednesday.

15* Texas Tech/Arizona State ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Arizona State +8

This is the ultimate letdown spot for Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are coming off a 78-75 (OT) road win at Arizona as 9.5-point dogs on Saturday.  They will not come out with the same intensity tonight, and they are a tired team coming off that OT game and playing their 4th game in 10 days tonight.

Arizona State has had the last week off last playing on Tuesday in a 85-76 home win over Oklahoma State.  This massive rest advantage, coupled with the massive letdown spot for the Red Raiders isn't being factored into this line enough.  The Sun Devils are live underdogs tonight going 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Bet Arizona State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on UMass +3.5

Miami Ohio is 25-0 this season as the only remaining unbeaten team in the country.  With that label comes a lot of pressure, and this looks like the spot where they will slip up on the road against a 'game' UMass team coached by the legendary Frank Martin.

UMass only lost 86-84 at Miami Ohio as 9.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  The Minutemen already proved they could play with the Redhawks on the road, and I think they get their revenge at home in the rematch tonight.

UMass just took Akron to the wire on the road on Friday in a 99-92 loss as 12.5-point road dogs.  Akron is probably the best team in the MAC despite Miami having the better record. That 7-point loss to Akron was their 2nd-largest margin of defeat all season.  The Minutemen have been a hard-lucky team with 10 of their 11 losses coming by 7 points or fewer.  In fact, 5 of their last 6 losses have come by 3 points or less.  Bet UMass Tuesday.

20* Houston/Iowa State ESPN No-Brainer on Iowa State -2.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are 14-0 at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They are outscoring opponents by 27.3 points per game at home this year.  If they want to win the regular season Big 12 title, this is a must-win for the Cyclones as they trail Houston by 2 games in the standings.

Iowa State just blasted Kansas 74-56 at home on Saturday and held arguably the best player in the country in Daryn Peterson to a season-low 10 points.  Now they get to stay at home which is a huge advantage for this quick turnaround to face Houston on Monday.

Houston doesn't have the same luxury.  The Cougars will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days and their 3rd game in 7 days with a lot of travel in between.  They failed to cover at Utah on Tuesday before failing to cover at home against Kansas State on Saturday.  They have benefited from a very soft Big 12 schedule here of late during their current 6-game winning streak.

This will be Houston's toughest road test of the season.  They also lost at Texas Tech in their previous toughest test.  Amazingly, Houston has not had to play at Hilton Coliseum since 2024, which saw Iowa State win 57-53 as 1.5-point dogs.  The home team is 4-0 SU in the last four meetings.  Bet Iowa State Monday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Campbell -2.5

I love the spot for the Campbell Camels today.  They will be out for revenge from a 87-83 road loss at Charleston as 3.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Charleston shot 55.6% from the field while Campbell shot 47% and still only won by 4.

Connor Hickman (11.6 PPG) scored 18 points for that Cougars in that first meeting.  Well, Hickman has been ruled ineligible for the rest of the season.  Campbell is a 2.5-point favorite in the rematch, so it's an adjustment of 6 points from that first meeting.  That's not enough for shifting home courts and for the loss of Hickman.

Charleston is 4-4 SU in true road games this season.  They are coming off consecutive upset home losses to UNC-Wilmington by 12 and Hofstra by 4.  They will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days and are a tired team right now without Hickman.

Campbell has the luxury of having the last seven days off last playing on February 7th.  It's safe to say they will be fresh and prepared for this rematch.  They come in playing their best basketball of the season going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  The Camels are 8-2 SU at home this season as well.  Bet Campbell Sunday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgetown +17

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 23-2 record this season.  They have nine wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 9-1 in such games.  They are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall and should not be laying 17 points to Georgetown today.

Georgetown has been a tough luck loser all season with seven losses by single-digits.  But the Hoyas are playing their best basketball of the season right now, going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming to Villanova by 7.

Now the Hoyas want revenge from a 64-62 home loss as 11.5-point dogs to UConn in their first meeting this season on January 17th just a month ago.  They already proved they could play with the Huskies at home, and getting 17 points in the rematch after nearly pulling off the upset in the first meeting is too much. 

The Hoyas have a big rest advantage here as they last played on Saturday getting a full week off in between games.  UConn just beat Butler by 10 as 11.5-point favorites on Wednesday, getting just two days off in between games.  Bet Georgetown Saturday.

20* Texas Tech/Arizona ESPN No-Brainer on Texas Tech +9.5

Arizona finally suffered its first loss of the season to Kansas.  I always like fading teams in the next game after having their unbeaten record get blemished.  There tends to be a hangover, and they just don't show up with the kind of intensity they were before trying to keep that perfect record intact.

Even if it wasn't a terrible spot for the Wildcats, they have no business being 9.5-point favorites over Texas Tech.  Asking them to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  The Red Raiders have just one loss all season by double-digits.

Texas Tech is one of the best teams in the Big 12 at 18-6 this season.  The Red Raiders rank 16th in adjusted offense and 26th in adjusted defense with really no weaknesses.  They made easy work of Colorado 78-44 last time out and will be fresh and ready to go trying to take down the No. 1 team in the country tonight.  Bet Texas Tech Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Richmond +7.5

Richmond is 14-11 this season and has been a hard luck loser.  The Spiders have six losses by 5 points or fewer.  But they showed what they were capable of with a 82-70 home win as 3.5-point dogs to George Mason last time out.

Now the Spiders will be out for revenge from a 77-69 road loss at VCU as 12.5-point dogs on January 27th just a few weeks ago.  They already showed they could play with the Rams on the road, and now they will take them to the wire at home.

VCU is overvalued due to its current 8-game winning streak.  But six of those eight wins came by single-digits, so they have been very fortunate.  Their lucky likely runs out today after going 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  Bet Richmond Saturday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Fresno State +20.5

Fresno State wants revenge from a 72-63 home loss to Utah State as 14.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  What stood out from that game is that Fresno shot just 34.5% from the floor and 22.7% from 3-point range and still only lost by 9 points.  

They can only have improved shooting in the rematch, and they are catching a whopping 20.5 points on the road this time around.  They haven't been losing by this kind of margin all season.  In fact, they have just one loss by more than 19 points, and that came against one of the best teams in the country in Arkansas.

This looks like a letdown spot for Utah State coming off a pair of road wins at New Mexico and Wyoming.  They have a big game against Boise State on deck, too.  They won't be all that motivated to beat this Fresno State team again.  Asking the Aggies to win this game by 21-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Fresno State Tuesday.

20* Arizona/Kansas ESPN No-Brainer on Kansas +3

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Xavier +16

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Michigan/Ohio State CBS No-Brainer on Ohio State +10.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas A&M +6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Northern Kentucky -6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma State +20

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Joe's +8

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Illinois-Chicago +3.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* UConn/St. John's FOX ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +2.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on North Dakota -1

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Denver +12

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Penn State +25.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Utah State/New Mexico MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on New Mexico -1.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Northwestern +15

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit +5.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on IPFW -3

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Summit League PLAY OF THE DAY on South Dakota State +1.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Horizon League GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland State +6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Xavier +17.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.