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15* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on South Alabama -4.5

South Alabama is in a 4-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt with tonight being the regular season finale for all teams.  The Jaguars are 11-6 in the conference, while Southern Miss is 8-9 in the conference and just playing for pride.

South Alabama is the better, more motivated team playing at home tonight.  The Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They handled Troy by 11 and ULM by 35 in their last two games coming in to improve to 10-3 SU at home this season.

Southern Miss is just 3-11 SU on the road this season.  The Eagles already lost 84-78 at home to South Alabama.  They shot well too hitting 48% from the field and 40% from 3-point range, so they aren't due any positive shooting regression in the rematch.  The Jaguars want it more and will take it at home tonight.  Bet South Alabama Friday.

20* Michigan/Illinois FOX No-Brainer on Illinois +1.5

I love the spot for Illinois tonight.  The Fighting Illini are coming off a 95-94 (OT) loss at UCLA on Saturday where they blew a 23-point lead.  They will be pissed off, and they will be rested and ready to go after having the last five days off to prepare for this huge showdown with Michigan.

The Wolverines don't have that same luxury.  They will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days with just two days off since a 77-67 home win over Minnesota as 21.5-point favorites.  That followed up a 68-63 loss as 3.5-point favorites to Duke on a neutral last weekend.

Michigan has a 3-game lead for 1st place in the Big Ten with three games remaining.  The Wolverines can afford this loss and still win the conference outright with one more victory.  Illinois is the team playing with more of a sense of urgency tonight, and it will be a raucous home crowd where the Fighting Illini are 13-2 SU at home this season.  Bet Illinois Friday.

15* Sun Belt PLAY OF THE DAY on Coastal Carolina +6

Coastal Carolina is 10-3 SU & 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Chanticleers' three losses during this stretch have come by 2, 4 and 5 point.  They haven't lost by more than 5 points in any game since January 3rd.

That's why getting 6 points with them is such a nice value here.  That's especially the case considering they will be out for revenge for one of those narrow losses, falling 67-65 at home to James Madison just 10 days ago on January 10th.

Coastal Carolina shot just 7-of-29 (24.1%) from 3-point range in that 2-point loss to the Dukes.  It's safe to say they will have some positive shooting regression in the rematch.  JMU is overvalued off a 6-game winning streak with three wins by exactly 2 points.  The Dukes are a tired team playing their 2nd game in 3 days as well.  Bet Coastal Carolina Friday.

15* CBB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Louisiana-Monroe +19.5

This will be a rematch from February 18th just over a week ago when Louisiana-Monroe nearly upset Troy in a 77-76 loss as 17.5-point home dogs.  This despite the Warhawks shooting just 20% from 3-point range.

Now they are catching 19.5 points on the road in the rematch and it's too much again.  This Troy team has been grossly overvalued limping to the finish line going 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS in its last nine games overall.  Monroe is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall and is undervalued due to its poor record, but the Warhawks keep showing up.

The Trojans have all the pressure on them trying to clinch at least a share of the Sun Belt regular season title as they are in a 4-way tie heading into this finale.  They aren't concerned with getting margin, they just know they need to win to earn a share.  Bet Louisiana-Monroe Friday.

20* Dayton/George Washington ESPN 2 No-Brainer on George Washington -2.5

This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Dayton Flyers.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with three of those wins at home.  They are coming off a 77-62 home win over the best team in the Atlantic 10 in St. Louis.  It's only human nature for them to let down here.

George Washington wants revenge from a 79-72 road loss at Dayton in their first meeting this season.  The Revolutionaries get them at home this time around where they are 11-3 SU this season, and the Flyers are just 4-5 SU on the road.

The Revolutionaries will be the fresher, more prepared team.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 10 days, while the Flyers will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days and their 5th game in 13 days.  Bet George Washington Friday.

15* CBB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Loyola-Marymount +1.5

Loyola-Marymount wants revenge from a 78-76 road loss at Washington State in their first meeting this season.  The Cougars shot 10-of-23 (43.5%) from 3-point range and 92.3% from the FT line in that game yet still only won by 2 at home.

These are two teams headed in opposite directions ahead of this rematch.  Washington State is 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS in its last five games overall.  Loyola-Marymount is 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in its last five games overall despite playing four of those five games on the road.

Washington State is just 1-9 SU on the road this season with the one win coming by 5 against Portland.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Loyola-Marymount Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado -6.5

Colorado has had one of the best home-court advantages in college basketball for decades.  That's the case again this season as the Buffaloes are 12-4 SU at home this season.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three Big 12 home games beating Oklahoma State by 14, Arizona State by 8 and TCU by 26.  I expect another blowout victory in their favor tonight.

Kansas State is a dead team walking.  The Wildcats fired head coach Jerome Tang.  They had the usual dead cat bounce game upsetting Baylor 90-74 at home in their first game without him.  They were aided by Baylor shooting 3-of-24 (12.5%) from 3 in that game.

Reality set in last time out and Kansas State played zero defense in a 100-72 road loss to Texas Tech.  That was Texas Tech's first game without one of the best players in the country in JT Toppin, yet they still won by 28 over this dead K-State team.  The Wildcats are 1-8 SU in true road games this season.  Bet Colorado Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Joe's +1.5

St. Joe's is 9-3 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the country right now.  One of those losses came 60-52 at George Mason, and now they get their shot at revenge at home this time around.

The Hawks are 11-3 at home this season.  They Patriots are 4-4 SU & 2-6 ATS on the road this season.  The Patriots have really come back down to reality going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall with a 12-point loss at Richmond, a 19-point loss at George Washington and a 15-point home loss to Dayton.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet St. Joe's Wednesday.

15* St. John's/UConn Big East ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +6.5

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 25-3 record this season.  They have 10 wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 10-2 in such games.  They are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall and one of the most overrated teams in the country.

The Huskies have no business being 6.5-point favorites over St. John's tonight.  They lost 81-72 at St. John's in their first meeting this season on February 6th.  What makes that loss even worse is the fact that the Huskies shot 9-of-19 (47.4%) from 3-point range while the Red Storm shot just 5-of-19 (26.3%) from distance, yet it was still a 9-point game in St. John's favor.

The Red Storm are 13-0 SU & 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They avoided the letdown leading into this game with an easy 81-52 win over Creighton.  That's the same Creighton team that just upset UConn 91-84 as 15.5-point road underdogs the game prior.  Bet St. John's Wednesday.

20* UCF/BYU ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on UCF +13

BYU is coming off two massive games.  The Cougars lost 75-68 at Arizona before bouncing back with a 79-69 home win over Iowa State.  They will now be playing their 3rd game in 7 days, and this looks like a letdown spot for them as they host UCF.  They lost second-leading scorer Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) to a season-ending injury, so they cannot be favored by 13 here without him.

UCF is motivated to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Knights sit at 19-7 overall and 8-6 in Big 12 play and are one of the more underrated teams in the conference.  They are coming off a 73-71 road win at Utah on Saturday and have a short drive to Provo to face BYU in this one.  I think they hang here and stay within this inflated number.  Bet UCF Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Baylor +8.5

The Arizona Wildcats are in a massive letdown spot.  They are coming off a 73-66 road win at Houston that gave them the inside track to win the Big 12.  They handed Houston its first home loss of the season.  That's a Houston team that is really faltering right now losing three straight for the first time in the Kelvin Sampson era.

Not only is Arizona coming off that massive win, the Wildcats also have another big game on deck Saturday hosting Kansas.  They will be looking for revenge on the Jayhawks after losing on the road to them in their first meeting.  Sandwiched in between is this game against lowly Baylor, which they will not be up for.

This is Baylor's last chance to get a signature win, and it could go far in terms of getting them into the NCAA Tournament.  The Bears will be 'all in' for this game, and they are fully healthy unlike Arizona.  The Wildcats will be without 2nd-leading scorer Koa Peat (13.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG) for this one.  Bet Baylor Tuesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota +22.5

The Michigan Wolverines are in the ultimate sandwich spot tonight.  They are coming off two huge games against Purdue and Duke, and they have Illinois on deck Friday.  This is the letdown game for them hosting Minnesota.

Minnesota is coming off a pair of impressive blowout wins by 17 at Oregon and by 19 at home against Rutgers.  The Golden Gophers just don't get blown out often due to their style of play, which is extremely slow to limit possessions and give themselves their best chance to be competitive.

Indeed, Minnesota hasn't lost any of its last 17 games by more than 19 points.  The Golden Gophers have just one loss by more than 12 points during this stretch.  They will stay within this inflated 22.5-point spread tonight as well.  Bet Minnesota Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State +7

NC State wants revenge from a 76-61 home loss to Virginia on January 3rd in their first meeting this season.  The Wolfpack have been a much better team since, going 7-2 SU in their last nine games overall with their only losses coming at Louisville and at home to Miami by 1.

The Wolfpack are coming off a 82-58 home win over North Carolina last Tuesday.  They have had the last week off to rest and prepare to get their revenge on Virginia.  And I don't think that rest advantage is being factored into this line enough.

Virginia was just in a war with Miami in a 86-83 win as 7.5-point home favorites on Saturday.  The Cavaliers will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days.  They are in a big lookahead spot with a showdown with top-ranked Duke on deck Saturday.  I don't think they give NC State their full attention, especially after already dominating them on the road in the first matchup.  That will prove detrimental tonight.  Bet NC State Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on UCLA +7.5

UCLA is fully healthy coming into this game which hasn't been the case for much of the season.  The Bruins have one of the biggest home/road splits in the Big Ten, too.  They are 14-1 SU at home this season with their lone loss coming by a single point to Indiana in OT.  Getting 7.5 points with the Bruins is a nice value here.

Illinois is getting too much love for its blowout win at USC on Wednesday against a very short-handed Trojans team.  The Bruins will offer much more resistance today.  They will slow this thing down to a crawl and points will be at a premium.  Bet UCLA Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Northern Iowa -6

Northern Iowa wants revenge from a 65-50 road loss at Southern Illinois on January 28th.  The Panthers shot just 4-of-17 (23.5%) from 3-point range in that game and were playing without an injured Tristan Smith (9.1 PPG, 5.2 RPG).

The Panthers have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their six games since and have gotten Smith back in the lineup for five of those six games.  They are playing their best basketball of the season with their only loss coming by 5 at Belmont, the top team in the MVC.  All five wins have come by 12 points or more, including a 29-point road win at Murray State, a 21-point road win at Indiana State, a 12-point home win over Bradley and a 24-point home win over Drake.

Northern Iowa is 11-3 at home this season while Southern Illinois is 5-8 in true road games.  The home team is 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings as home-court advantage has been huge in this series.  Bet Northern Iowa Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Villanova +3

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 24-3 record this season.  They have 10 wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 10-2 in such games.  They are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall and should not be favored at Villanova today.

The Wildcats want revenge from a 75-67 (OT) road loss at UConn in their first meeting this season.  They already proved they could play with the Huskies on the road, and I love their chances of pulling off the upset at home today.  They have won six consecutive games coming into this one and are one of the more underrated teams in the country.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* C-USA PLAY OF THE DAY on Western Kentucky +8

Liberty is overvalued due to its 23-3 record that includes a 17-game winning streak currently.  But the Flames have been ridiculously lucky in close games going 13-1 in games decided by 9 points or less.  Only 3 of their last 16 wins have come by more than 11 points, so asking them to win this game by 8-plus points to beat us is asking too much.

Western Kentucky only lost 76-69 in its first meeting with Liberty.  And the Flames shot an unsustainable 17-of-29 (58.6%) from 3-point range in that 7-point win.  That's not going to happen again.

While WKU has had the last two days off and will be playing just its 3rd game in 14 days, Liberty is coming off a 90-89 (OT) win over FIU at home on Thursday.  The Flames are a very tired team with just one day off in between games and playing their 4th game in 11 days.  Bet Western Kentucky Saturday.

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Houston -4.5

The spot really favors the Houston Cougars today.  They are coming off a 70-67 road loss to Iowa State on Monday.  They led by double-digits in the 2H and it took a minor miracle for the Cyclones to come back and beat them.  They gave Iowa State their toughest home test of the season, a place that is very difficult to play.

Now the Cougars are rested and ready to go after having the last four days off.  They will be highly motivated to bounce back, especially with the Big 12 regular season title on the line today.  And while they are fully healthy, the same cannot be said for Arizona.

The Wildcats have been exposed in their last three games going 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS.  They lost to Kansas without Dylan Peterson, lost in OT at home to Texas Tech, and barely beat BYU by 7 at home despite the Cougars missing their 2nd-best player in Richie Saunders.

The Wildcats have injury problems of their own without second-leading scorer Koa Peat (13.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG) for this one.  They also just played BYU on Wednesday, so they have just two days to get ready for Houston.  The Cougars are 13-0 at home this season outscoring opponents by 25.4 points per game.  Bet Houston Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas State +14.5

It's no surprised Kansas State had one of its best efforts of the season last time out after the firing of Jerome Tang.  The Wildcats pulled the 90-74 upset of Baylor as 3.5-point home dogs on Tuesday.  Now they will be giving Texas Tech a run for its money today.

Kansas State has shown it can play its best basketball on the road in Big 12 play this season.  In fact the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four Big 12 road games.  Four of their last five road losses came by 5 points or fewer, and the other was a 14-point loss at Houston as 22.5-point dogs.

Texas Tech cannot be a 14.5-point home favorite today without the services of its best player in Jayden Toppin (21.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG, 1.7 BPG).  Toppin was lost to a season-ending ACL injury in an upset loss to Arizona State on Tuesday.  The Red Raiders' season is basically over now without him.  Bet Kansas State Saturday.

15* WAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah Valley -7.5

I love the spot for Utah Valley tonight.  They are ineligible for the postseason, so their main goal is winning the WAC.  They trail Cal Baptist and Utah Tech both by 0.5 games heading into tonight.

This is the Wolverines' shot at revenge from a 78-71 (OT) road loss at Cal Baptist in their first meeting this season.  It's amazing they even forced OT after shooting 2-of-20 (10%) from 3-point range while the Lancers shot 6-of-14 (42.7%) from 3.  It's safe to say they are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

Utah Valley has a massive home-court advantage going 12-0 SU at home this season while outscoring opponents by 23.9 points per game.  The Wolverines also have a big rest advantage after having an entire week off coming into this game last playing last Thursday.

Cal Baptist just had its 9-game winning streak come to an end with a road loss at Utah Tech on Saturday.  Teams that have long winning streaks snapped tend to be flat in that next game.  Bet Utah Valley Thursday.

15* Sun Belt PLAY OF THE DAY on Appalachian State -3

I love the spot for Appalachian State tonight.  The Mountaineers are tied with Troy for first place in the Sun Belt with the regular season title at stake here down the stretch.  They also want revenge on Marshall after losing 88-81 on the road in their first meeting this season.

Marshall shot an unsustainable 12-of-24 (50%) from 3-point range at home in that first meeting.  App State shot 8-of-23 (34.8%) from 3 and 17-of-31 (54.8%) from the FT line in that game.  It's safe to say the Mountaineers are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

App State is 7-1 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Mountaineers are 10-3 SU at home this season.  Marshall is 5-7 SU & 5-7 ATS in true road games.  The Mountaineers have the rest advantage after having the last four days off, while the Thundering Herd have only had the last two days off and will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days.  Bet Appalachian State Thursday.

15* C-USA PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida International +11.5

Liberty is overvalued due to its 22-3 record that includes a 16-game winning streak currently.  But the Flames have been ridiculously lucky in close games going 12-1 in games decided by 9 points or less.  Only 3 of their last 15 wins have come by more than 11 points, so asking them to win this game by 12-plus points to beat us is asking too much.

That's especially the case with Florida International already proving they could play with Liberty at home.  In fact, they are the only team to force OT against Liberty during this 16-game winning streak.  They lost 97-94 (OT) at home, and they would love to get some revenge from that narrow defeat.  At the very least they will stay within this inflated number.  Bet Florida International Thursday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette +9.5

It has been a tough luck season for the Marquette Golden Eagles as they rank 356th in KenPom's luck ranking.  Close losses have been the culprit as the Golden Eagles have 10 losses by single-digits this season.  They are much better than their 9-17 record would indicate.

Marquette has especially been 'game' at home going 9-5 SU in all home games.  All five of those losses came by 9 points or fewer, so they haven't been beaten by double-digits at home all season.  They won't start today as I fully expect them to give St. John's a run for their money.  Bet Marquette Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Creighton +16

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 24-2 record this season.  They have 10 wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 10-1 in such games.  They are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall and should not be laying 16 points to Creighton today.

The Huskies won't be all that motivated to beat Creighton again.  The Bluejays shot 40.9% from the field and 23.8% from 3-point range in a 85-58 home loss to UConn in their first meeting this season.  The Huskies shot 54.1% from the field and 51.6% from 3-point range.  It's safe to say the Bluejays are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch.

Creighton goes from being a 6.5-point home dog to a 16-point road dog to UConn in the rematch.  That's an overreaction from that first meeting.  Bet Creighton Wednesday.

15* Texas Tech/Arizona State ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Arizona State +8

This is the ultimate letdown spot for Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are coming off a 78-75 (OT) road win at Arizona as 9.5-point dogs on Saturday.  They will not come out with the same intensity tonight, and they are a tired team coming off that OT game and playing their 4th game in 10 days tonight.

Arizona State has had the last week off last playing on Tuesday in a 85-76 home win over Oklahoma State.  This massive rest advantage, coupled with the massive letdown spot for the Red Raiders isn't being factored into this line enough.  The Sun Devils are live underdogs tonight going 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Bet Arizona State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on UMass +3.5

Miami Ohio is 25-0 this season as the only remaining unbeaten team in the country.  With that label comes a lot of pressure, and this looks like the spot where they will slip up on the road against a 'game' UMass team coached by the legendary Frank Martin.

UMass only lost 86-84 at Miami Ohio as 9.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  The Minutemen already proved they could play with the Redhawks on the road, and I think they get their revenge at home in the rematch tonight.

UMass just took Akron to the wire on the road on Friday in a 99-92 loss as 12.5-point road dogs.  Akron is probably the best team in the MAC despite Miami having the better record. That 7-point loss to Akron was their 2nd-largest margin of defeat all season.  The Minutemen have been a hard-lucky team with 10 of their 11 losses coming by 7 points or fewer.  In fact, 5 of their last 6 losses have come by 3 points or less.  Bet UMass Tuesday.

20* Houston/Iowa State ESPN No-Brainer on Iowa State -2.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are 14-0 at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They are outscoring opponents by 27.3 points per game at home this year.  If they want to win the regular season Big 12 title, this is a must-win for the Cyclones as they trail Houston by 2 games in the standings.

Iowa State just blasted Kansas 74-56 at home on Saturday and held arguably the best player in the country in Daryn Peterson to a season-low 10 points.  Now they get to stay at home which is a huge advantage for this quick turnaround to face Houston on Monday.

Houston doesn't have the same luxury.  The Cougars will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days and their 3rd game in 7 days with a lot of travel in between.  They failed to cover at Utah on Tuesday before failing to cover at home against Kansas State on Saturday.  They have benefited from a very soft Big 12 schedule here of late during their current 6-game winning streak.

This will be Houston's toughest road test of the season.  They also lost at Texas Tech in their previous toughest test.  Amazingly, Houston has not had to play at Hilton Coliseum since 2024, which saw Iowa State win 57-53 as 1.5-point dogs.  The home team is 4-0 SU in the last four meetings.  Bet Iowa State Monday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Campbell -2.5

I love the spot for the Campbell Camels today.  They will be out for revenge from a 87-83 road loss at Charleston as 3.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Charleston shot 55.6% from the field while Campbell shot 47% and still only won by 4.

Connor Hickman (11.6 PPG) scored 18 points for that Cougars in that first meeting.  Well, Hickman has been ruled ineligible for the rest of the season.  Campbell is a 2.5-point favorite in the rematch, so it's an adjustment of 6 points from that first meeting.  That's not enough for shifting home courts and for the loss of Hickman.

Charleston is 4-4 SU in true road games this season.  They are coming off consecutive upset home losses to UNC-Wilmington by 12 and Hofstra by 4.  They will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days and are a tired team right now without Hickman.

Campbell has the luxury of having the last seven days off last playing on February 7th.  It's safe to say they will be fresh and prepared for this rematch.  They come in playing their best basketball of the season going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  The Camels are 8-2 SU at home this season as well.  Bet Campbell Sunday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgetown +17

The UConn Huskies are very fortunate to have a 23-2 record this season.  They have nine wins by 8 points or fewer and have gone 9-1 in such games.  They are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall and should not be laying 17 points to Georgetown today.

Georgetown has been a tough luck loser all season with seven losses by single-digits.  But the Hoyas are playing their best basketball of the season right now, going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming to Villanova by 7.

Now the Hoyas want revenge from a 64-62 home loss as 11.5-point dogs to UConn in their first meeting this season on January 17th just a month ago.  They already proved they could play with the Huskies at home, and getting 17 points in the rematch after nearly pulling off the upset in the first meeting is too much. 

The Hoyas have a big rest advantage here as they last played on Saturday getting a full week off in between games.  UConn just beat Butler by 10 as 11.5-point favorites on Wednesday, getting just two days off in between games.  Bet Georgetown Saturday.

20* Texas Tech/Arizona ESPN No-Brainer on Texas Tech +9.5

Arizona finally suffered its first loss of the season to Kansas.  I always like fading teams in the next game after having their unbeaten record get blemished.  There tends to be a hangover, and they just don't show up with the kind of intensity they were before trying to keep that perfect record intact.

Even if it wasn't a terrible spot for the Wildcats, they have no business being 9.5-point favorites over Texas Tech.  Asking them to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  The Red Raiders have just one loss all season by double-digits.

Texas Tech is one of the best teams in the Big 12 at 18-6 this season.  The Red Raiders rank 16th in adjusted offense and 26th in adjusted defense with really no weaknesses.  They made easy work of Colorado 78-44 last time out and will be fresh and ready to go trying to take down the No. 1 team in the country tonight.  Bet Texas Tech Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Richmond +7.5

Richmond is 14-11 this season and has been a hard luck loser.  The Spiders have six losses by 5 points or fewer.  But they showed what they were capable of with a 82-70 home win as 3.5-point dogs to George Mason last time out.

Now the Spiders will be out for revenge from a 77-69 road loss at VCU as 12.5-point dogs on January 27th just a few weeks ago.  They already showed they could play with the Rams on the road, and now they will take them to the wire at home.

VCU is overvalued due to its current 8-game winning streak.  But six of those eight wins came by single-digits, so they have been very fortunate.  Their lucky likely runs out today after going 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  Bet Richmond Saturday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Fresno State +20.5

Fresno State wants revenge from a 72-63 home loss to Utah State as 14.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  What stood out from that game is that Fresno shot just 34.5% from the floor and 22.7% from 3-point range and still only lost by 9 points.  

They can only have improved shooting in the rematch, and they are catching a whopping 20.5 points on the road this time around.  They haven't been losing by this kind of margin all season.  In fact, they have just one loss by more than 19 points, and that came against one of the best teams in the country in Arkansas.

This looks like a letdown spot for Utah State coming off a pair of road wins at New Mexico and Wyoming.  They have a big game against Boise State on deck, too.  They won't be all that motivated to beat this Fresno State team again.  Asking the Aggies to win this game by 21-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Fresno State Tuesday.

20* Arizona/Kansas ESPN No-Brainer on Kansas +3

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Xavier +16

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Michigan/Ohio State CBS No-Brainer on Ohio State +10.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas A&M +6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Northern Kentucky -6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma State +20

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Joe's +8

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Illinois-Chicago +3.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* UConn/St. John's FOX ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +2.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Denver +12

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on North Dakota -1

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Penn State +25.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Utah State/New Mexico MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on New Mexico -1.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Northwestern +15

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit +5.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on IPFW -3

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* Horizon League GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland State +6.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Summit League PLAY OF THE DAY on South Dakota State +1.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston College +26.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Xavier +17.5

No analysis. On vacation from Tuesday, February 3rd to Monday, February 9th. Will be back with analysis Tuesday, February 10th.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland State +9

Cleveland State is playing its best basketball of the season largely due to being as healthy as the Vikings have been all season.  Cleveland State is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three games overall with three outright upset victories over Youngstown State as 8.5-point home dogs, Wright State as 15.5-point road dogs and Green Bay as 7.5-point road dogs.

Now the Vikings seek revenge on Milwaukee from a 81-71 home loss in their first meeting this season.  They are a lot healthier for the rematch, while Milwaukee has been broken since losing leading scorer Seth Hubbard (16.6 PPG) to a season-ending injury.

Indeed, Milwaukee is just 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games without Hubbard.  The two wins came by 12 at home over lowly IU Indy and by 1 at Youngstown State.  The Panthers have rarely been competitive with five losses by double-digits during this stretch.  They have no business being 9-point favorites here, and asking them to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Cleveland State Sunday.

15* St. Mary's/Gonzaga ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on St. Mary's +10

Gonzaga remains without Braden Huff (17.89 PPG, 5.6 RPG) and Graham Ike (18.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG) is questionable.  I expect Ike to go, but the Bulldogs should not be favored by double-digits over St. Mary's without Huff.

St. Mary's is 19-3 this season including 5-1 in true road games.  Gonzaga was life and death in a 68-66 win as 15.5-point home favorites over San Francisco last time out.  St. Mary's is 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six meetings with Gonzaga as this rivalry has really swung in their favor in recent years.  Bet St. Mary's Saturday.

15* Big West PLAY OF THE DAY on CS-Fullerton +9.5

Fullerton has a big rest advantage over UCSB tonight that isn't being factored into this line enough.  The Titans have had the last six days off since beating Cal Poly 93-78 on the road last Saturday.

Meanwhile, the Gauchos are coming off a huge road win at UC-San Diego on Thursday and have only had one day off in between games.  They will also be playing their 4th game in 10 days.  They are overvalued off five straight victories.

Fullerton already beat UCSB 95-84 as 3.5-point home underdogs in their first meeting this season.  They won that game despite UCSB shooting 41.2% from 3 and 100% from the FT line while they shot just 29.4% from 3.  They forced 24 turnovers, and turnovers will be an issue for the Gauchos again tonight on tired legs.  Bet Fullerton Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Creighton +7.5

The UConn Huskies are one of the most overrated teams in the country.  They are 20-1 this season, but they have just barely been getting bye in Big East play.  They have gone 8-1 in games decided by 6 points or less and OT games this season.

A lot of those have come recently as the Huskies are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They needed OT to beat Providence as 9.5-point favorites, only beat DePaul by 12 as 19.5-point home favorites, only beat Seton Hall by 5 as 6.5-point road favorites and beat Georgetown by 2 as 11.5-point road favorites.  Georgetown is winless in conference play this season.  They needed OT to beat Villanova 75-67 as 11.5-point home favorites last weekend, and again struggled to get by Providence in a 87-81 home win as 15.5-point favorites on Tuesday.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Creighton Bluejays after their worst loss of the season, a 86-62 road loss to lowly Marquette where they had an off shooting night at 40.6% from the field and 20.6% from 3-point range.  They were probably lolking ahead to this game against UConn.

Creighton had gone 7-3 SU in its previous 10 games with two losses coming by 2 and 5 points.  The Bluejays will play much better at home here, where they are 8-2 SU this season.  They are 7-3 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings with UConn.  Bet Creighton Saturday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Northwestern -1.5

Northwestern has had some tough luck in close games this season with seven losses by 7 points or less.  The Wildcats are much better than their 10-11 record would indicate.  They have taken a step down in class recently and taken advantage with wins over USC on the road and Penn State by 21 at home in two of their last three games.

Now the Wildcats host another team they can handle in the Washington Huskies.  The Huskies are 2-5 SU in true road games this season with their two wins coming against Washington State and USC out on the West Coast.  They have not had success when traveling East going 0-4 SU in those Big Ten road games.  They also lost at Seattle.  Bet Northwestern Saturday.

20* Kentucky/Arkansas ESPN No-Brainer on Arkansas -6

The Arkansas Razorbacks have been a wagon at home this season.  They are 12-0 SU & 9-3 ATS in all home games outscoring opponents by 22.3 points per game.  That includes impressive home wins over Tennessee by 11, South Carolina by 34, Vanderbilt by 25 and Louisville by 9.

Now the Razorbacks will be amped up to get some revenge for John Calipari against the Kentucky Wildcats.  Kentucky is one of the most fraudulent teams in the SEC and has been exposed on the road this season.  The Wildcats lost by 25 at Vanderbilt and by 15 at Alabama.  They also lost by 8 at Louisville. Bet Arkansas Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +14.5

The Arizona State Sun Devils are playing some of their best basketball of the season.  They upset Cincinnati 82-68 as 2.5-point home dogs two games ago before giving UCF everything it wanted on the road in a 79-76 loss as 6.5-point dogs last time out.

Now the Sun Devils want revenge on their biggest rivals in the Arizona Wildcats.  They only lost 89-82 as 21.5-point dogs at Arizona in their first meeting this season.  Now they are catching a whopping 14.5 points at home in the rematch.

Arizona is 'fat and happy' off a 86-83 road win at BYU that kept their perfect 21-0 season alive.  Having already beaten ASU just a few weeks ago, the Wildcats won't be all that motivated to do it again.  Asking them to go on the road and win by 15-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Arizona State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +13.5

The Boston College Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with only one loss by more than 13 points, and that 13-point loss came at Louisville.  They lost by 8 to NC State at home, upset Syracuse by 8 at home, upset Pitt by 3 at home and only lost by 4 at Notre Dame as 7.5-point dogs.

Now the Eagles have a big rest and preparation advantage heading into this showdown with Virginia.  Boston College has had the last week off, while Virginia will be playing its 3rd game in 8 days.  The Cavaliers are off three straight wars winning by 4 at SMU, losing by 5 at home to UNC and winning by 3 in 2 OT at Notre Dame.  I question how much the Cavaliers will have left in the tank off that 2 OT game.  Bet Boston College Saturday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on IPFW -2

IPFW is 9-2 at home this season.  The Mastadons are 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming to Oakland, which may be the best team in the Horizon League.  They beat Robert Morris 79-74 on the road during this stretch.

Robert Morris played its last three games at home and now hits the road where it is 5-6 SU this season.  The Colonials are at a severe rest disadvantage playing their 4th game in 10 days, while the Mastadons will be playing just their 2nd game in 10 days.  Bet IPFW Saturday.

15* Summit League PLAY OF THE DAY on North Dakota +12.5

North Dakota is 7-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in its last nine games overall.  Both losses came by exactly 11 points.  The Fighting Hawks are 8-3 ATS in true road games this season and one of the more underrated teams in the country.  They have pulled outright upsets in each of their last three road games.

Now the Fighting Hawks want revenge from a 91-80 home loss to St. Thomas in their first meeting this season.  What really stood out to me in that game is the Tommies only won by 11 despite shooting a unsustainable 65.1% from the field and an outlandish 16-of-24 (66.7%) from 3-point range.  

It's safe to say the Tommies aren't going to come close to shooting it that well again in the rematch, which will make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 12.5-point spread.  St. Thomas hasn't won a conference game by more than 13 points all season.  Bet North Dakota Thursday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado +17.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Colorado Buffaloes after going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  All five losses came by 11 points or fewer, so they have just had some bad luck in close games.  In fact, they haven't lost a game by more than 11 points all season.

The Iowa State Cyclones have regressed going 2-2 SU in their last four games with outright upset losses at Kansas and at Cincinnati.  The Cyclones aren't blowing teams out in Big 12 play with just one win by more than 13 points in their last six contests.  Asking them to win this game by 18-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Colorado Thursday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Charlotte +4.5

Charlotte will be out for revenge from a 76-73 home loss to Temple in their first meeting this season on December 30th.  The 49ers shot just 5-of-17 (29.4%) from 3 while the Owls shot 7-of-14 (50%) from 3 in that game.  I have to think the 49ers have some shooting regression working in their favor in the rematch.

Charlotte has gone 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in its six games since that loss to Temple.  The 49ers have a big rest advantage playing just their 2nd game in 10 days tonight, so they will not only be rested but extra prepared for revenge.

Temple will be playing its 4th game in 11 days.  The Owls won't be that motivated to beat the 49ers again.  They are coming off a lackluster 70-64 win as 10.5-point favorites at UTSA, the worst team in the AAC.  Bet Charlotte Wednesday.

20* Horizon League GAME OF THE WEEK on IPFW +2

IPFW is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall and playing its best basketball of the season.  The Mastadons are 9-1 SU at home this season.  They want revenge from a 101-92 road loss at Oakland in their first meeting this season.  Oakland shot an unsustainable 53% from teh field and 44.8% from 3 in that first meeting.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Golden Grizzlies, who have gone 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games coming in.  They won't be that motivated to beat IFPW again.  The Mastadons have a huge rest advantage here with a full week off prior to this game to rest and prepare for revenge.  Oakland will be playing its 7th game in 18 days.  Bet IPFW Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Butler +13.5

Butler will be out for revenge from an 84-70 home loss to St. John's on January 6th as 4.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Now they are 13.5-point road dogs in the rematch, a 9-point adjustment that is simply too much.

Butler is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last three games overall beating Marquette by 11 and DePaul by 7 at home, while also upsetting Seton Hall 77-66 as 6.5-point road dogs.  The Bulldogs have had the last four days off to rest and prepare to beat St. John's in the rematch.

The Red Storm are coming off three straight narrow wins at Villanova by 7, at home against Seton Hall by 5 and at Xavier by 5.  They were fortunate to win all three games.  They only had three days to get ready for this game after beating Xavier over the weekend.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Red Storm off six straight victories.  Bet Butler Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Joe's -3

Loyola-Chicago is one of the worst teams in the country and oddsmakers continue to fail to adjust for just how bad they are.  The Ramblers are 5-16 SU & 5-16 ATS in all games this season.  They have lost seven straight overall coming into this one, yet here they are again getting respect as only 3-point underdogs to St. Joe's.

The St. Joe's Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  That includes four outright upset wins as underdogs as this team has been grossly undervalued.  The lone loss came by 7 at VCU as 14.5-point dogs, and VCU is one of the best teams in the conference.

The Hawks beat St. Bonaventure, Dayton and Duquesne during this stretch.  The Ramblers went 0-3 against those same three teams losing to St. Bonaventure by 14, Dayton by 27 and Duquesne by 12.  Bet St. Joe's Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Saint Louis -8.5

The Saint Louis Billikens are flying under the radar as one of the best teams in the country that nobody is talking about.  The Billikens are 19-1 SU & 12-7 ATS this season, including 13-0 SU & 9-3 ATS at home where they are outscoring opponents by 31.6 points per game.

In their three A-10 home games, Saint Louis crushed Richmond by 25, Fordham by 22 and St. Joe's by 23.  They actually rank 1st in the country in effective FG percentage on offense AND 1st in effective FG percentage defense, which is something I don't think I've ever seen before.  The Billikens will now make easy work of George Washington, which has only beaten one team all season ranked in the Top 117 at Kenpom.

The Revolutionaries are just 7-7 SU & 6-8 ATS in their last 14 games against division 1 opponents.  They even lost outright as 23.5-point favorites by 12 to Delaware during this stretch.  They only have two days to get ready for St. Louis after playing on Saturday, while the Billikens have three days off in between games.  Bet Saint Louis Tuesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Providence +15.5

The UConn Huskies are one of the most overrated teams in the country.  They are 19-1 this season, but they have just barely been getting bye in Big East play.  They have gone 7-1 in games decided by 5 points or less and OT games this season.

A lot of those have come recently as the Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.  They needed OT to beat Providence as 9.5-point favorites, only beat DePaul by 12 as 19.5-point home favorites, only beat Seton Hall by 5 as 6.5-point road favorites and beat Georgetown by 2 as 11.5-point road favorites.  Georgetown is winless in conference play this season.  And they needed OT to beat Villanova 75-67 as 11.5-point home favorites over the weekend.

Providence wants revenge from that 103-98 (OT) home loss to UConn as 9.5-point dogs in their first meeting on January 7th just three weeks ago.  The Friars are much better than their 9-11 record would indicate as they have had poor luck in close games.  They are 0-4 in OT games this season and 3-8 in games decided by single-digits this season, meaning they've only lost three times all season by double-digits, and only one of those came by more than 13 points.  Bet Providence Tuesday.

20* Nebraska/Michigan Big Ten No-Brainer on Michigan -10

It's a great time to 'buy low' on Michigan.  The Wolverines have failed to cover the spread in six consecutive games coming into this one.  I think they've just been going through the motions a little bit, but they will certainly get up for this game against unbeaten Nebraska and put their best foot forward at home tonight.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on Nebraska after a 20-0 start which has included a 5-1 ATS mark in their last six games overall.  They had huge comeback wins in the 2H in their at Indiana and at Minnesota recently.  But this will easily be their toughest test of the season.

Both Braden Frager (12.2 PPG) and Ugnius Jarusevicius (7.0 PPG) are questionable to play for Nebraska tonight after both sat out last game.  The Huskers aren't a very deep team as it is, and the Wolverines will test their tired legs.

Michigan ranks 11th in adjusted tempo, 4th in average length of offensive possession, 7th in adjusted offense and 2nd in adjusted defense.  They play at a break-neck pace and do so very efficiently.  That's why I'm willing to lay this big number with the Wolverines.  Bet Michigan Tuesday.

20* Arizona/BYU ESPN No-Brainer on BYU +1.5

Arizona (20-0) is one of three remaining unbeaten teams in the country.  With that perfect record comes expectations from oddsmakers that are very tough to live up to, and added pressure with each game to keep that unbeaten record.  It comes to an end tonight.

Arizona has only played four true road games all season.  Three of them came against Big 12 bottom feeders in UCF, TCU and Utah.  This trip to BYU will be by far their toughest test of the season.

BYU is 17-2 this season with its only losses both coming on the road at UConn by 2 and at Texas Tech.  The Cougars are 9-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 26.4 points per game.  This will be the best home atmosphere for a BYU home game all season, and their home-court advantage is not being factored into this line enough.

BYU has the rest advantage playing just their 2nd game in 9 days.  Arizona will be playing its 3rd game in 6 days and its 7th game in 20 days.  Bet BYU Monday.

15* Louisville/Duke ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Louisville +8.5

I love the spot for the Louisville Cardinals tonight.  Louisville was a 1.5-point home dog to Duke in the first meeting this season, blowing a 9-point halftime lead in a 84-73 home loss.  Now the Cardinals are 8.5-point dogs on the road in the rematch, a 7-point adjustment that is not warranted.

The biggest reason it's unwarranted is because Louisville didn't have its best player in Mikel Brown Jr. (16.9 PPG, 5.2 APG) in that first meeting.  Brown Jr. just returned last game and poured in 20 points with 6 assists in a 85-71 home win over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies shot a ridiculous 16-of-30 (53.3%) from 3-point range and still lost by 14.

Brown has meant everything to the Cardinals' success this season.  He has missed eight games, and the Cardinals are just 4-4 SU & 3-5 ATS in their eight games without Brown.  They are 10-1 SU & 8-3 ATS in the 11 games Brown has played.

Duke has some concerning performances at home in ACC play that really stand out.  They only beat SMU by 7 as 15.5-point favorites and Georgia Tech by 6 as 27.5-point favorites.  I can't see them being all that motivated to beat Louisville again, and asking them to win this game by 9-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Louisville Monday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Utah +19.5

The Utah Utes want revenge from a 89-84 home loss to BYU as 14.5-point dogs on January 10th just two weeks ago.  Now the Utes are catching a whopping 19.5 points in the rematch, and this is simply too much for this rivalry.

BYU won't be all that motivated to beat Utah again, and at the very least not to beat them by 20-plus points, which is what it's going to take for them to cover this inflated spread.  I think it's a huge sandwich spot for the Cougars coming off a loss at Texas Tech and with a home game against unbeaten Arizona on deck.  

The Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They only lost by 14 as 17.5-point dogs at Texas Tech, upset TCU as 4.5-point home dogs and only lost by 3 as 10.5-point dogs at Kansas State.  This team is flying under the radar and hasn't lost a game by more than 19 points all season.  Bet Utah Saturday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Arkansas -9.5

Arkansas is 11-0 SU & 9-2 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They beat Louisville 89-80 as 1.5-point home dogs and Tennessee 86-75 as 1.5-point home dogs before crushing Vanderbilt 93-68 as 1.5-point dogs in their last home games.  They are outscoring opponents by 24 points per game at home this season.

LSU is one of the worst teams in the SEC.  The Tigers are 1-5 in SEC play with their lone win coming at home over Missouri.  They lost by 18 at Florida, by 11 at Vanderbilt and by 3 at Texas A&M in their three SEC road games.  This has double-digit blowout written all over it for the Razorbacks tonight.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado -2

The Colorado Buffaloes have one of the best home-court advantages in the country with the altitude and the travel that comes with it.  They are 9-3 SU at home this season, and they will be highly motivated for a win today at home after losing four straight against a brutal schedule coming in.

Two of Colorado's losses came at home to Texas Tech by 2 and Kansas by 6, and those are two of the best teams in the Big 12.  They also lost on the road to Cincinnati and WVU, two tough places to play.  They finally take a big step down in class here against UCF and will handle their business.

UCF is 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS in Big 12 road games this season with their lone win coming against one of the worst teams in the conference in Kansas State.  They also lost by 11 at Oklahoma State, another poor Big 12 team.  And they were blasted by 30 at Iowa State last time out.

The home team is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Colorado beat UCF 76-63 as similar 1.5-point home favorites last season.  Bet Colorado Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +10.5

Oklahoma State wants revenge from an 83-71 road loss at Iowa State as 19.5-point dogs on January 10th just two weeks ago today.  I expect them to at the very least stay within this inflated double-digit spread at home this time around.

Oklahoma State is 12-1 at home this season.  Few teams have dominated Iowa State like Oklahoma State has.  In fact, the Cowboys are 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Cyclones with one of those losses coming in OT.  Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Texas Tech +1

I love the spot for Texas Tech today.  The Red Raiders want revenge from a 69-65 road loss at Houston on January 6th earlier this month.  They already proved they could hang with the Cougars on the highway, and now they get them in Lubbock, one of the toughest places to play in the country.

Texas Tech is 10-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 20.2 points per game.  That includes a 84-71 win over BYU in their last home games, and BYU is one of the best teams in the country.

Houston has only played two true road games all season and they came against two of the worst teams in the Big 12 in Baylor and Cincinnati.  This will be their toughest test of the season, and they should not be favored on the road here.  Bet Texas Tech Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Villanova +10.5

The UConn Huskies are one of the most overrated teams in the country.  They are 18-1 this season, but they have just barely been getting bye in Big East play.  They have gone 6-1 in games decided by 5 points or less this season.

A lot of those have come recently as the Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  They needed OT to beat Providence as 9.5-point favorites, only beat DePaul by 12 as 19.5-point home favorites, only beat Seton Hall by 5 as 6.5-point road favorites and beat Georgetown by 2 as 11.5-point road favorites.  Georgetown is winless in conference play this season.

Now they take a big step up in class against Villanova, one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Wildcats are 15-4 SU & 12-7 ATS this season.  Three of their four losses came by 7 points or fewer to BYU by 5, Creighton by 4 and St. John's by 7.  Their only blowout loss came to Michigan, which might be the best team in the country.  Asking UConn to win this game by 11-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota +6

The Nebraska Cornhuskers aren't going to win every game this season.  The Huskers have been a great story as one of three remaining unbeaten teams at 19-0 this season.  But with that 19-0 record comes expectations from oddsmakers and the betting public that are very difficult to live up to.

This looks like the letdown spot for the Huskers.  They have a huge game on deck with Michigan on Tuesday that they could be looking ahead to.  They have two key players questionable in G Frager (12.2 PPG) and F Jarusevicius (7.0 PPG).  They already go with a very short rotation.

Minnesota has been no pushover this season, especially at home.  The Golden Gophers are 9-2 SU at home this season with their two losses coming by a combined 4 points.  So they haven't lost at home by this kind of margin all season.  They upset Iowa and Indiana already at home this season.

Minnesota is highly motivated off four consecutive narrow losses by 1 to USC at home, by 3 to Wisconsin at home, by 10 at Illinois as 15.5-point dogs and by 8 at Ohio State in OT as 7.5-point dogs.  They can really help out their NCAA Tournament resume with an upset win over Nebraska here today.  Bet Minnesota Saturday.

15* CAA PLAY OF THE DAY on William & Mary -1

UNC-Wilmington is one of the most overrated teams in the country.  The Seahawks have a 17-2 record but it has come against the 358th-ranked schedule.  Only seven teams in the entire country have faced an easier slate than them.  They have also gone 5-1 in games decided by 4 points or less.

William & Mary is 12-6 against the 209th-ranked schedule.  The Tribe have only lost one game by more than 11 points all season, and that was at St. John's.  They have handled their business at home going a perfect 7-0 on their home floor while outscoring opponents by 23.0 points per game.  I'll gladly back the Tribe in this short favorite role as they are the better team and they are at home.  Bet William & Mary Thursday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati +14

Arizona is 18-0 and one of only three undefeated teams left in the country.  With their unbeaten record comes expectations from the public and oddsmakers that are very difficult to live up to.  Asking the Wildcats to win this game by 15-plus points over Cincinnati to beat us is asking too much.

The Wildcats did not live up to expectations in their last two games.  They only beat Arizona State by 7 as 21.5-point home favorites and UCF by 7 as 9.5-point road favorites.  Cincinnati is better than both of those teams.

The Bearcats have had some poor luck in close games this season with their last four losses all coming by 7 points or fewer.  They rebounded nicely with a 77-68 home win over Colorado and a 79-70 upset home win over Iowa State in their last two games coming in.  Now they are ready to give Arizona a run for its money tonight.  Bet Cincinnati Wednesday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Maryland +19

It's a great time to 'buy low' on Maryland and 'sell high' on Illinois tonight.  The Terrapins are 8-10 this season and taking some time under Buzz Williams to improve.  But I've seen enough from them in recent games to know they can stay within this inflated number at Illinois.

The Terrapins are coming off a 96-73 home win over Penn State as 1.5-point favorites.  They also were competitive in a 12-point loss at UCLA as 13.5-point dogs recently.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 8 days so they are fresh and ready to give the Fighting Illini a run for their money tonight.

The Fighting Illini have gone 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.  But they are coming off a lackluster 77-67 home win as 15.5-point favorites against Minnesota.  They have a huge game on deck against Purdue on Saturday that they could easily be looking ahead to.

The Fighting Illini are a tired team playing their 4th game in 11 days.  They are also a beat up team as they will be without 2nd-leading scorer Kylan Boswell (14.3 PPG) tonight, plus 3rd-leading scorer Andrej Stojakovic (13.5 PPG) is questionable with an ankle injury.  Asking the Fighting Illini to win by 20-plus points to beat us in their current state is asking too much.  Bet Maryland Wednesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Rutgers +18.5

Iowa ranks 344th in adjusted tempo and 343rd in average length of offensive possession.  Playing at a snail's pace allows them to be competitive with good teams, but also to allow bad teams to be competitive with them.  It's a profile that has a team like Iowa always playing to their level of competition.

Rutgers plays a similar style ranking 292nd in adjusted tempo and 209th in average length of offensive possession. The Scarlet Knights are in no hurry, either, so this game won't see very many possessions at all.  That's going to make it tough for Iowa to get margin and win this game by 19 points or more, which is what it will take to beat us.

The Scarlet Knights are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in their last five games and playing their best basketball of the season.  They upset both Northwestern and Oregon, only lost by 7 at home to Ohio State as 9.5-point dogs and by 9 at Wisconsin as 15.5-point dogs.

The Hawkeyes are in a tough spot here playing in their 3rd different city in 7 days.  After coming up short at Purdue 79-72, they came back and upset Indiana 74-57 on the road.  That's a struggling Hoosiers team that the Hawkeyes are getting too much respect for beating handily.  It sets them up for a letdown spot here at home.  Bet Rutgers Tuesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Seton Hall +11.5

Seton Hall is 14-4 SU & 11-7 ATS this season as one of the most improved teams in the Big East.  But this is a 'buy low' spot on the Pirates after a 77-66 upset home loss to Butler as 6.5-point favorites.  They shot 35.9% overall and 17.6% from 3-point range.

I think the Pirates let their 69-64 loss to UConn the game prior beat them twice.  They shot just 6.3% from 3-point range against UConn.  It's safe to say the Pirates are due some positive shooting regression after those two performances.

It's time to 'sell high' on St. John's.  The Red Storm are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They are coming off a big 86-79 road win at Villanova.  This looks like the letdown spot for the Red Storm.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this rivalry.  In fact, the Pirates have actually gone 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to St. John's.  They will take this game to the wire tonight and get the cover.  Bet Seton Hall Tuesday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on IPFW -4

I love the spot for IPFW today.  The Mastadons will be out for revenge from a 77-55 road loss at Milwaukee on December 29th.  That was a rare poor performance by them as they shot 36.2% from the field and 21.9% from 3-point range.  They have still gone 7-2 SU in their last nine games overall, and I expect them to have their revenge in the rematch here.

They have the rest advantage after having the last week off.  Milwaukee just lost 73-60 at home to Oakland on Thursday and has just two days to get ready.  The Panthers have been terrible since that win over IPFW, going 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  They are also without their best player in Seth Hubbard (16.6 PPG) due to injury.  Bet IPFW Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle +14

It was just announced this week that Gonzaga star F Braden Huff (17.8 PPG, 5.6 RPG) will miss 4-6 weeks with a knee injury.  The Bulldogs were able to overcome his loss to win and cover in a 86-65 win at Washington State on Thursday in their first game without him.  This is the game it comes crashing down on them.

Now the Bulldogs will be playing their 2nd road game in 3 days and short-handed.  They take on a underrated Seattle team that nearly upset them at home already this season.  They won 80-72 as 24.5-point home favorites against Seattle.

The Redhawks only shot 36.1% from the field while the Bulldogs shot 49.2% yet they still only lost by 8 points on the road in that first meeting.  There's room for improvement in the shooting department, and I expect it tonight from a Seattle team that is 8-2 SU at home this season.  The Redhawks will give the Bulldogs a run for their money again tonight and stay within this inflated 14-point spread in the rematch.  Bet Seattle Saturday.

15* Purdue/USC Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on USC +9.5

The USC Trojans are 6-2 SU in their last eight games overall with their only two losses both coming on the road to Michigan and Michigan State.  They upset Minnesota as 3.5-point road dogs and handled Maryland by 17 as 9.5-point home favorites in their last two games coming in.  Now they will relish this opportunity to beat Top 5 ranked Purdue.

The rest situation really favors USC.  The Trojans have had the last three days off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 8 days.  The Boilermakers are coming off a 79-72 home win over Iowa on Wednesday and have just two days off in between games, plus the long travel out to USC for their first trip out West.  They will be playing their 4th game in 11 days as well.

USC is 7-1 SU at home this season where they are scoring 93.3 points per game.  Asking Purdue to go on the road and beat the Trojans by double-digits to beat us is asking too much tonight.  Bet USC Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on UCF +9.5

We saw Michigan, Iowa State and Vanderbilt all have their unbeaten records come to an end within the last week.  Arizona is on upset alert today on the road against a UCF team that has one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the country.

It's a huge letdown spot for Arizona, which is coming off a lackluster 79-72 home win over rival Arizona State as 21.5-point favorites.  With their unbeaten record comes expectations from the public and oddsmakers that are very difficult to live up to.  Asking the Wildcats to go on the road and win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

UCF is 11-1 at home this season.  That includes 2-0 in Big 12 play with an upset win over Kansas and a win over Cincinnati.  They followed up that win over Cincinnati with a 82-73 road win at Kansas State as 2.5-point dogs.  They are licking their chops at this opportunity to take down the No. 1 ranked team in the country.  Bet UCF Saturday.

15* Nebraska/Northwestern Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern +6

We saw Michigan, Iowa State and Vanderbilt all have their unbeaten records come to an end within the last week.  Now it's Nebraska's turn this week with a road loss to Northwestern Saturday.  With their unbeaten record comes expectations from oddsmakers that are very tough to live up to.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Huskers today.

It's also time to 'buy low' on the Wildcats, who have opened 0-6 in Big Ten play with five losses by 11 points or fewer, so they have been competitive in all but one game.  They just took Illinois to the wire at home last time out, and they will take Nebraska to the wire at home today.

The Wildcats are 8-2 SU in their last 10 meetings with the Huskers with both losses coming by 6 points or fewer, making for a 10-0 system backing the Wildcats pertaining to this 6-point spread.  Bet Northwestern Saturday.

15* Kentucky/Tennessee ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on Tennessee -5.5

Tennessee is 10-0 at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  The Vols have recent home wins over Louisville by 21, Texas by 14 and Texas A&M by 5.  They will make easy work of this overrated Kentucky team, too.

Kentucky is 1-2 SU in true road games with the lone win coming at the buzzer against an LSU team that was missing their best player.  They also lost by 15 at Alabama and by 8 at Louisville, a common opponent that the Vols blasted by 21.  Bet Tennessee Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Northwestern +9.5

It's time to 'buy low' on Northwestern after a 0-5 start in Big Ten play and 'sell high' on Illinois after a 4-1 start in Big Ten play.  Asking the Fighting Illini to go on the road and win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

Northwestern could easily be 4-1 instead of 0-5 in Big Ten play.  Four of their losses have come by a combined 22 points, and none of those came by more than 10 points.  Illinois has played two true road games all season winning by 8 at Ohio State and by 6 at Iowa.

The home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Northwestern pulled off the outright upset in each of the last two meetings in Evanston.  The Wildcats haven't lost a home game by more than 6 points all season.  Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Temple +8

Temple is playing too well to be a 8-point road underdog to Memphis tonight.  The Owls are 7-0 SU in their last seven games overall including outright upset wins over Davidson and Charlotte on the road.

This is the worst Memphis team of the Penny Hardaway era.  The Tigers are 7-8 this season and have just one double-digit scorer on their roster.  They rank 148th in adjusted offense as scoring has been a real problem, which makes it difficult to get margin.  They also rank 337th in turnover percentage turning it over on 20.5% of their offensive possessions.

The Tigers are 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Their three wins came over Alabama State, North Texas and Rice.  They have had just two days to get ready for this game after a 89-78 loss at FAU on Sunday, while Temple has had the last six days off and has a big rest advantage as a result.  

The Owls are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings with Memphis not once losing by double-digits.  Bet Temple Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Kentucky -3.5

LSU is coming off three consecutive losses including the last two by double-digits with a 10-point home loss to South Carolina and a 11-point road loss at Vanderbilt.  This poor play has coincided with the loss of their best player in Dedan Thomas Jr. (16.2 PPG, 7.0 APG).  They are a very poor team without him and it's showing.

LSU will be without Thomas Jr. again tonight when they take on Kentucky, a Wildcats team that is rapidly improving.  The Wildcats are 5-2 SU in their last seven games overall with impressive wins over St. John's by 12, Indiana by 12 and Mississippi State by 24.  Their only losses came to Alabama and Missouri.  They will make easy work of the short-handed Tigers tonight.  Bet Kentucky Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Oklahoma State +1

Oklahoma State is 11-0 at home this season with a 87-76 win as 2-point favorites over UCF in their lone Big 12 home game this season.  That performance was sandwiched between a pair of road losses to Texas Tech and Iowa State, two of the best teams in the Big 12.  Now they take a big step down in class here against Baylor.

The Bears have been dreadful in their last three games going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS.  They lost by 6 as 3-point dogs at TCU, then were blown out by 10 at home by Iowa State and by 22 at home by Houston.  They are a tired team playing their 3rd game in 7 days, and their tired legs will be tested by an Oklahoma State team that ranks 4th in adjusted tempo.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Oklahoma State Tuesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall +6.5

UConn is a tired team right now which is a big reason the Huskies are 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They failed to cover in a home win over Marquette, needed OT to beat Providence as double-digit favorites on the road, and were flat in a 12-point home win over DePaul as 19.5-point favorites.

Now the Huskies will be playing their 4th game in 10 days tonight and have to hit the road again to take on a very gritty, tough Seton Hall team.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank, and this is a game they could easily lose outright.

Seton Hall is one of the most improved teams in the country this season going 14-2 SU & 10-6 ATS.  Their two losses came by 2 points to USC and by 8 to Villanova.  They have opened 4-1 in Big East play with three road wins already.  Now they are home where they are 8-1 SU this season and it will be a raucous atmosphere with Top 10 UConn coming to town.  Bet Seton Hall Tuesday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +18.5

You're paying a tax to back the Iowa State Cyclones now after opening 15-0 SU & 9-6 ATS this season.  That's especially the case after opening Big 12 play with a pair of wins and covers over West Virginia and Baylor, two of the worst teams in the conference.

Oklahoma State will offer some resistance here.  The Cowboys are coming off a 87-76 home win over UCF as 2-point favorites on Tuesday.  They have had the last three days off, while the Cyclones have only had the last two days off since winning at Baylor on Wednesday, plus the travel in between.

Few teams have dominated Iowa State like Oklahoma State has.  In fact, the Cowboys are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Cyclones with one of those losses coming in OT.  Asking the Cyclones to beat them by 19-plus points to beat us is asking too much today.  Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston -3

Houston is battle-tested having faced the 76th-ranked schedule in the country with wins over the likes of Auburn, Notre Dame, Arkansas and Texas Tech.  The Cougars rank 27th in adjusted offense and 6th in adjusted defense and are once again one of the best teams in the country at 14-1 this season with more experience than they are even accustomed to.  Going into Baylor and coming out with a win today is no big deal to them.

Baylor has struggled time and time again when stepping up in class with four losses already to St. John's, Memphis, TCU and Iowa State.  They weren't very competitive in any of the four games with all four coming by 6 points or more, including a 10-point home loss to Iowa State on Wednesday.

What kills the Bears is they are a terrible defensive team ranking 84th in adjusted defense.  Houston is 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in its last three meetings with Baylor.  This is a short number to be laying for by far the superior team in this matchup today folks.  Bet Houston Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on DePaul +19.5

This is a terrible spot for the UConn Huskies.  They are coming off a 103-98 (OT) road win at Providence on Wednesday.  They have had just two days to recover, and they will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days here as well.  I expect them to be flat as a pancake hosting DePaul today.

The Blue Demons are one of the most improved teams in the country.  They are 10-6 SU & 10-6 ATS this season, and I really like what they have done lately.  They are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with consecutive home wins over Xavier and Georgetown, as well as a 5-point road loss at Villanova as 12.5-point dogs in their last three games.

The lone non-cover during this 7-game stretch came in a 72-54 home loss to UConn on December 21st as 12.5-point dogs.  Now they get their shot at quick revenge here just three weeks later.  The Huskies won't be motivated at all to beat this team by margin again.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

15* Nebraska/Indiana Big Ten Early ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -3.5

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are overvalued now after a 15-0 start to the season.  They have played a home-heavy schedule and have played just two true road games all season.  This will be their toughest road game yet.

Indiana is 10-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 25.9 points per game.  That includes Big Ten wins over Washington by 10 and Penn State by 41.  It will be a very hostile atmosphere today with ranked, unbeaten Nebraska coming to town and there are few better home-court advantages than Assembly Hall when it's a big game.  Bet Indiana Saturday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Providence +10.5

Providence has opened Big East play with three straight nail-biting games.  After losing 113-110 (2 OT) at Butler and 72-67 at home to Seton Hall, the Friars got their first conference win in impressive fashion upsetting St. John's 77-71 as 14-point road dogs.

Now the Friars are catching double-digits again at home against the UConn Huskies tonight, and this line is too high.  They are 6-1 SU at home this season and it will be a raucous atmosphere with the Huskies coming to town.

UConn has benefited from an extremely soft Big East schedule to open with home wins over Butler and Marquette, and road wins over DePaul and Xavier.  This will be their toughest conference test yet, and I don't expect them to handle it well.  Bet Providence Wednesday.