Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-05-17 | UC Riverside +4 v. Pepperdine | Top | 59-70 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Cal Riverside. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Cal Riverside is 2-1 ATS in its last three as an underdog, while Pepperdine is just 1-4 ATS this year against teams with losing records and just 10-19 ATS in its last 29 when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched, but Cal Riverside has the depth to match pace with the home side. While an outright victory isn’t out of the question, we’ll grab the points. Play on CAL RIVERSIDE. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-02-17 | Yale +15 v. TCU | Top | 66-92 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on Yale. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Yale is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while TCU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four in the same position. The bottom line: We think that 7-0 TCU “looks past” its “lowly” opponent today to its upcoming game against 6-2 SMU. Grab the points, play on YALE. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-17 | Purdue v. Maryland +2.5 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Maryland. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Purdue is still just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 on the road, while Maryland is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog and 16-9 ATS in its last 25 against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: Maryland comes in off a tough 72-70 loss to Syracuse and plays with revenge after losing 73-72 to Purdue late last season. That’s enough motivational factors workign in Maryland’s favor for us to pull the trigger on a 10* selection. Play on MARLAND. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-30-17 | San Diego State v. San Diego +3.5 | Top | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on San Diego. SDSU is 5-2, while San Diego is 5-0. A major blow to the Aztecs is the injury to Malik Pope, who sat out the second half of his team’s latest loss to Washington State with a foot injury. Pope’s status is uncertain and if he does happen to find a way to suit up, clearly he’s not going to be at 100%. Note that through seven games the Aztecs are outscoring the opposition by 109 points with Pope on the floor and only by seven when he’s out. The Toreros are dominating defensively ranked second in the country in three-point shooting defense and 12th in points allowed with just 58.6 per contest allowed. Note that SDSU is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games against teams with winning records, while San Diego is 6-0 ATS in its last six non-conference games. Play on SAN DIEGO. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-29-17 | Wofford v. Coastal Carolina -6.5 | Top | 87-81 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Coastal Carolina. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: AAA Sports will have their full analysis for this selection posted shortly. No later than 6 hours before game time. | |||||||
11-28-17 | Davidson -7 v. Charlotte | 85-70 | Win | 100 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Davidson. Davidson comes in off a 78-62 loss to App State on Saturday, while the 49ers held on for a tougher than expected 70-67 win over High Point on Firday. When these teams played last year, Davidson came out on top 79-57. We’re expecting a similar final score here as well. The Wildcats have dropped two in a row and will be desperate here. Davidson averages 87 PPG, ranked 33rd in the country. Charlotte averages 81.2 PPG. Note as well that Davidson is 4-1 ATS in its last four against the C-USA, while Charlotte is 0-6 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. We think DAVIDSON’S depth on the offense end is the difference today, lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-17 | Oregon State -10.5 v. Marist | Top | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This ia a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Oregon State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Oregon State is 6-4 ATS in its last ten neutral site affairs and 2-1 ATS in its last three off an upset loss as a favorite, while Marist is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a neutral site dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. The bottom line: The Beavers lost to LBSU 74-69 as 9.5 point favorites to open this tournament. We like Oregon State to bounce back here though against the lowly Red Foxes, who were smashed 84-59 by Nebraska in their opener. The BEAVERS are deeper and have more experience and we’re banking on a big bounce back performance. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-17 | Ball State +2.5 v. Indiana State | 93-85 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Ball State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Ball State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a road dog of three points or less or pick, while Indiana State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home fav of three points or less or pick. The bottom line: These teams are clearly very evenly matched, but the numbers point to BALL STATE as the correct call today. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-17 | Eastern Michigan +8 v. Indiana | 67-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL SHOCKER on Eastern Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that EMU is 2-0 ATS in its last two when playing with five or six days rest and a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Indiana is just 1-2 ATS at home this year and only 3-6 ATS in its last nine when playing with one or less days of rest. The bottom line: Indiana hammered Arkansas State 87-70 on Wednesday, but with a date against Duke up next, followed by Michigan, Iowa and Louisville, we fully expect the Hoosiers to get caught “looking ahead” this afternoon. EMU crushed Arkansas State 76-59 and it has the depth and experience to keep this one interesting. Grab the points, play on EASTERN MICHIGAN. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-17 | Miami-OH v. Tulane -11 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Tulane. The Green Wave are 2-0 at the Devlin Fieldhouse and we expect that trend to continue here with another convincing effort. The Redhawks come to town off a loss against Hartford last weekend in the Jamaica Classic at Montego Bay. Miami Ohio shot just 38.3 percent in the 68-58 setback, including only 5 of 30 from three-point land. The Green Wave beat Fordham 63-55 in the Jamaica Classic to claim their fourth victory of the young season. I think the Redhawks were exposed by Hartford in Jamaica and we have a hard time seeing them matching pace with the deeper and more confident home side. Lay the points, play on TULANE. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-17 | Furman +22 v. Duke | Top | 63-92 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Furman. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Furman is 17-11 ATS in its last 28 against teams with winning records and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 in non-conference contests, while Duke is just 27-31 ATS in its last 58 as a favorite and only 27-33 ATS in its last 60 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Duke has so far steamrolled its competition in non-conference action, but Furman has talent and we expect it to keep this one interesting down the stretch. Grab the points, play on FURMAN. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-17 | Utah State v. Gonzaga -16.5 | Top | 66-79 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Gonzaga. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Utah State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 82 points or more in its previous contest (is 2-1 to open the year, coming off back-to-back wins, including an 83-47 victory over Mississippi Valley State), while Gonzaga is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 105 points or more in its previous contest (just hammered Howard 106-69.) The bottom line: Utah State does not have the depth to hang with Gonzaga. With a tough game at Ohio State up next, we look for the BULLDOGS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-17-17 | Long Island v. Miami-OH -2.5 | Top | 74-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Miami Ohio. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Long Island is just 1-3 ATS in its last four tournament games, while Miami Ohio is already 2-0 ATS this year in non-conference contests. The bottom line: This is part of the Jamaican Classic, being played in Montego Bay. The Redhawks are off to their first 2-0 start since 2007. The Blackbirds are 1-2 on the season after dropping consecutive games to Tulane and Fordham. We think Miami Ohio will present matchup issues for Long Island and we look for that to also play a contributing role in the final outcome. Lay the points, play on the REDHAWKS. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-17 | CS-Fullerton +28 v. St. Mary's | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL SHOCKER on CS Fullerton. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that CS Fullerton is 2-1 ATS in its last three as a road dog of 27 points or more, while Saint Mary’s is just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 home games as a favorite of 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: We’re of course not calling for an outright upset here, but we do that Cal State Fullerton will looked markedly improved after its humbling 84-42 loss to USC in its Opener. The Gaels jump out to an early lead and then take the foot off the gas in the second half as they prepare for a three game road trip starting on Friday. Grab as many points as you can, play on CS FULLERTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-17 | Elon +4.5 v. Furman | 67-76 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Elon. So far Elon is 1-1, averaging 68 PPG and allowing 97. Not a recipie for success obviously, but the competition figures to be much more manageable tonight. Dmitri Thompson has been a standout for the Phoenix with 13.5 points and seven boars per game, while Tyler Seibring averages 13 points and three asissts. Furman is 1-0, beating Bob Jones 101-48. Devin Sibley had 23 points and two assits. Elon has already played Duke and is an experienced team. The Phoenix won’t be intimidated by Furman’s home success and we look for them to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on ELON. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-17 | Troy State v. Hawaii | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Hawaii. The Trojans are 1-1, coming off their first win of the year in an 81-57 victory over Arkansas-Pine Bluff on Sunday. In that game Wesley Person Jr. would go six of ten from the floor, including canning four from range., while Javan Johnson added 13 points off the bench. The Warriors are 2-0 to open the season, most recently pull away for an 81-78 win at home over North Dakota last night (we had the UNDER in that one unfortunately.) Michael Thomas led the way with 29 points and 11 boards. Troy is 1-3 ATS in its last four after holding an opponent to under 60 points in its previous game, while Hawaii is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest. We like the WARRIORS to push the pace of this one from start to finish and to once again take advantage of home floor. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-17 | La Salle v. Pennsylvania -1.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Pennsylvania. La Salle is 1-0, while Pennsylvania is 0-1. This is the Quakers home opener and we’re expecting them to risk life and limb today and to find a way to get back to .500. The Explorers come to town off a 61-40 victory over Saint Peters. Pookie Powell was six of nine from the floor, including hitting four from range, while BJ Johnson added 15 points and 11 boards. Penn looked good early against Fairfield, but then faded in the second half and eventually lost 80-72. Ryan Betley had 20 points, ten boards and two blocks in the setback, while Darnell Foreman added 17 points. Note though that La Salle is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven after allowing 60 points or less, while Pennsylvania is 10-8 ATS in its last 18 non-conference game and 3-0 ATS in its last three as a hoem fav of three points or less or pick. The Ivy League is extremely competitive and filled with talent. Play on PENNSYLVANIA. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-17 | Eastern Illinois v. Nebraska -10.5 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Nebraska. We think surprisingly, Nebraska is the only power-conference school without a single NCAA Tournament victory in its entire history. The Cornhuskers are coming off a terrible year, but fifth year coach Tim Miles has a strong incoming group which should be able to start turning things around. College Basketball is not like the NBA, in that there are no “long-term” plans with your line-up. College hoops comes down to recruiting in the end. Nebraska is welcoming three transfers with NCAA Tourney experience in Duby Okeke (Winthrop), James Palmer Jr. (Miami) and Isaac Copeland (Georgetown.) These three have been brought in to play with star Glynn Watson Jr.. Eastern Illinois defeated one power conference school last year (Missouri) and is predicted to finish fifth out of six schools in the OVC. The Panthers do return four senior starters, led by Montell Goodwin, who had 14.3 PPG last season. Nebaska has size this year and we think that’s going to play a big part in the final outcome this evening (note that Okeke rejected 165 shots in three season with Winthrop.) Eastern Illinois would love to score an upset here, but reality is the team lacks overall talent and now faces an extremely focused and determined Nebraska side which is coming out of the gates with something to prove. We’re expecting the CORNHUSKERS to push the tempo from start to fnish and to comfortably pull away down the stretch. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-17 | Long Beach State +13.5 v. San Francisco | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Long Beach State. LBSU was 15-19 last year, while San Francisco was 20-13. The Dons return four starters from last year’s team, while LBSU returns two. The 49ers had a tough non-conference schedule last year and they lost nine in a row before mid-December and lost Gabe Levin to injury. Levin is back and with two prior seasons with the tam he averaged 12.2 points and 6.2 boards. San Francisco will be leaning heavily on Chase Foster this year after hitting 40 percent from range last season. LBSU will need its transfers to step up this season if it hopes to improve, but on opening night we like the 49ERS to catch San Francisco a little flat footed. Play on LONG BEACH STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-17 | Georgia Tech +8 v. UCLA | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Georgia Tech. Note that this game is being played in China. Georgia Tech was 21-16 last year, falling to TCU in the NIT title game, while UCLA was 31-5, finally succumbing in the Sweet 16 to Kentucky. The Yellow Jackets got on a roll to open the NIT, winning four straight before then getting blown out in the championship game. With a couple of key players out because of suspension, Ben Lammers (14.2 PPG, 9.2 RPG) will be leaned upon heavily. UCLA lost four of its starters, so coach Steve Alford pretty much has a new team on his hands. Aaron Holiday averaged 12.3 points and he returns now as the Bruins’ top scorer. UCLA has had to deal with some off-court issues though, as LiAngelo Ball, Chris Smith and Jaylen Hands were all caught shop-lifting, meaning that they’ll be sitting this one out. We like GEORIGA TECH to keep this one competitive down the stretch. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-17 | CS-Fullerton +23.5 v. USC | 42-84 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CS Fullerton. Despite finishing 17-15, the CS Fullerton Titans made a post season tournament last year. USC won 26 games and it beat Providence and SMU in the NCAA Tournament before getting bounced 82-77 by Baylor. With Tre Coggins gone, the Titans will be leaning heavily on guard Khalil Ahmad, who put up 11.2 points and four boards last year. The Trojans lost many key pieces as well from their dominant teams last year, so the pressure falls mostly on to Bennie Boatwright’s shoulders to keep the momentum going this season. Last year Boatright had 15.1 PPG. USC clearly has more talent and depth and is better coached. But CS Fullerton also has talent and we think it’ll catch USC sleeping a big on Opening night. Grab the points, play on the TITANS. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-17 | North Carolina -1.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 37 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on North Carolina. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that UNC is 6-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and 4-2 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Gonzaga is just 4-6 ATS in all tournament games this season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest after fifteen-plus games. The bottom line: Gonzaga has faced South Dakota State, Northwestern, WVU, Xavier and South Carolina to make it to this point. That’s not exactly “murder’s row.” Nigel Williams-Goss (16.7 PPG) will create some matchup issues for the Tar Heels, but we think that UNC is battle tested and simply too talented offensively to be denied tonight. The Tar Heels beat Texas Southern, Arkansas, Butler, Kentucky and Oregon to make it to this point. They say “defense wins championships,” but we’ve always thought that addage pertains more to the gridiron than to the hardwood. We’re going with the better offensive club, play on the TAR HEELS. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on North Carolina. Oregon wasn’t supposed to get by Kansas, but the Ducks played their best game of the tournament and prevailed 74-60. So can Oregon duplicate that performance against No. 1 seed UNC? We think that “neutral site” stats tell the real story between the teams today. As note that Oregon has averaged 76 PPG and allowed 67.6 in all neutral court affairs this year, while North Carolina has averaged a whopping 87.6 PPG, while allowing 73.7. The bottom line: They say defense wins championships, but that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We can’t see Oregon keeping pace with the high-flying Tar Heels down the stretch, lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-17 | South Carolina v. Florida -3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that South Carolina is 0-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and just 4-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while Florida is 4-1 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest and 19-8 ATS when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: These teams split a pair of games this season with each winning on its home floor (Gamecocks won 57-53 at home in the first meeting and the Gators responded with an 81-66 home victory in the second). South Carolina has broken 99 percent of any remaining brackets, but we think the Cindarella story ends tonight. The Gamecocks played outstanding defense against the Bears and allow just 64.8 PPG, while averaging 73.1 per contest. The Gators hit a running three-pointer in OT to win by one over Wisconsin in the Sweet 16 and we’re expecting Florida to carry that momentum over here. Florida is dominant on both ends of the floor, averaging 78.1 PPG and allowing just 66.2. The Gators held the Gamecocks to 29 percent shooting in their first matchup this year and 39 percent in the second. All signs point to a comfortable win and cover, lay the points, play on FLORIDA. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky +1 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 105 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* SWEET 16 SIDE OF THE YEAR on Kentucky. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that UCLA is just 10-12 ATS against teams with winning records this season and only 11-23 ATS in its last 34 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while Kentucky is 9-7 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: UCLA surged past Cincinnati 79-67 on Sunday, while Kentucky edged by Wichita State 65-62. It was the Wildcats 13th straight victory. Note that the Wildcats play with revenge today though after falling 97-92 at home to the Bruins back on December 3rd. UCLA averages 90.2 PPG and allows 75.2. Kentucky averages 85.3 PPG and allows 71.5. UCLA has been inconsistent at times this year and I think its lack of defensive play comes back to hurt it here finally. The Wildcats are battle tested and play with revenge, play on KENTUCKY. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on FSU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Xavier is just 13-16 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while FSU is 7-5 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. The bottom line: Xavier advanced by beating Maryland 76-65 in the first round. The Musketeers have won four of their last five. Florida State would get into the second round with an 86-80 win over Florida Gulf Coast. Xavier actually struggled down the stretch of the regular season, going just 4-7 over its final 11 games. Defense was a major issue, but it looked pretty good against the Terps. Before that victory though, the Musketeers had given up an average of 77.4 PPG over their previous nine games. And that doesn’t bode well in facing the Seminoles who average 77.3 PPG and who allow just 70 PPG in all neutral site affairs this season. FLORIDA STATE has failed to cover in three straight, but that ends tonight, lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-17 | Texas Southern +27 v. North Carolina | Top | 64-103 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Texas Southern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Texas Southern is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games and 2-0 ATS in its last two as a neutral court dog of 24 points or more, while UNC is just 3-4 ATS in neutral court games this season and already 0-1 ATS as a neutral court fav or 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: Are we suggesting for you to “sprinkle a little on the moneyline” tonight? Of course not. We simply feel that UNC is going to get caught flat-footed and come into the opening round a bit complacent against its lowly opponent. Texas Southern won the SWAC and it clearly has its hands full trying to contend with the No. 1 seed. Note that the Tigers are in fact 0-6 all time in the Tournament. Texas Southern averages 74.4 PPG and allows 71.8. UNC averages 84.9 PPG and allows 70.6. We think there is plenty of “wiggle” room for a comfortable back door cover for the underdog tonight. Play on TEXAS SOUTHERN. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-17 | USC v. SMU -6 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* ASSASSIN on SMU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that USC is just 2-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and only 1-4 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while SMU is 16-3 ATS this year after a conference game, 3-2 ATS in neutral court affairs and 17-2 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: We had a play on USC in the FIRST FOUR and it would need an epic come from behind victory to beat Providence. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a predictable letdown here. We also had SMU in the AAC Tournament title game and suffice it to say once again, we believe the team builds off its impressive tournament victory. The Mustangs finished with a 17-1 conference record and are battle tested. USC averages 78.6 PPG and allows 73.1. But as mentioned off the top, we think the Trojans come in “gassed” here. SMU averages 74.5 PPG and allows just 59.8, ranked third in the country. For all the reasons listed above, we’re riding SMU and its suffocating defense on Friday afternoon. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-17 | Oklahoma State v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
My 10 SUPER BLOWOUT is on Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Oklahoma State is just 4-5 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and 0-3 ATS in its last three when playing with seven or more days rest, while Michigan is 9-4 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and 6-0 in all tournament games this season. The bottom line: We had Michigan in the Big Ten Conference Tournament title game and we’re expecting the Wolverines to carry that momentum over here. OKS comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost three straight. League play began with six straight losses for the Pokes, but they’d then rebound to win ten of their next 11, before then dropping their final three, including a 92-83 setback to eventual Champion Iowa State in the first round of the Big 12 event. Michigan has played in 27 NCAA Tournaments, including in six of the last seven years. We think that experience pays off here. Lay the points, play on the WOLVERINES. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-17 | Nevada +6.5 v. Iowa State | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Nevada. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Nevada is 4-2 in all tournament games already this year and a near-perfect 3-1 ATS against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Iowa State is just 4-5 ATS in non-conference contests this season and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: Nevada comes in with nothing to lose. In fact, the Wolfpack haven’t lost in nine straight games, taking down the MWC tournament last week. Nevada has four players that average between 14 and 20 PPG. Marcus Marshall averages 19.8 PPG on 42.5 percent shooting. Iowa State is one of the top three-ball shooting teams in the nation, hitting 40.2 percent, ranked 14th overall, but we think this is a matchup that favors the underdog today. Nevada has an offense that’s capable of holding its own and while we’re not going to call for the outright victory, all signs point to this one coming down to the wire. Grab the points, play on NEVADA. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-17 | Virginia Tech v. Wisconsin -4.5 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 98 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wisconsin. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. The bottom line: VT won six of its last nine, losing 74-68 to FSU in the ACC quarterfinals last Thursday. The Badgers had a three-game win streak broken in their 71-56 loss to the Wolverines in the Big Ten Tournament final on Sunday. The Hokies average 79.3 PPG and allow 74.4. Zach LeDay leads the team with 16.3 poitns and 7.4 boards per game. The Badgers average 72.4 PPG and allows just 61.1. Bronson Koenig leads the way with 14.1 PPG, while Ethan Happ contributes 13.9. Buzz Williams did a great job in leading the Hokies back to the NCAA tournament, but we think the the Badgers’ elite defensive play proves to be just too much for VT to handle. Lay the points, play on WISCONSIN. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-17 | Xavier v. Maryland -2 | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Maryland. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Xavier is just 2-7 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-3 ATS in its last four non-conference games, while Maryland is 3-1 ATS in its last four non-conference contests and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. The bottom line: Xavier struggled down the stretch, winning just three of its last ten games. Maryland can empathize, it’s lost six of its last ten. The Musketeers average 73.7 PPG and allowed 69 PPG in neutral court affairs this season. Overall though Xavier allowed 77.1 over its last eight games and averaged just 68.4 in the same span. The Terrapins have averaged 77.2 PPG and allowed 73.5 on neutral court contests this year. Overall Maryland averages 74.2 PPG and allows just 67.8. Xavier has struggled after some late injuries and while Maryland has been far from perfect, we think the TERRAPINS’ superior defensive play will turn out to be the difference in the end. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-17 | USC -1 v. Providence | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on USC. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that USC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after giving up 76 points or more, while Providence is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 60 points or less. The bottom line: Both teams went 10-8 in league play. USC went toe to toe with No. 3 UCLA in the Pac-12 Quarterfinals and fell 76-74. The Trojans defense looked awesome, holding the top scoring team in the country to just 41 pecent shooting. We’re expecting USC to carry over that defensive intensity into this one. Note that the Trojans average 78.7 PPG and allow 73.2. Providence averages just 70.2 PPG, but makes up for it by allowing only 66.6. They say “defense wins championships,” but we’ve always thought that that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We’re going to take the superior offense in this one and as we pointed out, the Trojans also looked spectacular on the defensive side of the ball in the conference tournament. Play on USC. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-17 | Kansas State v. Wake Forest | Top | 95-88 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Kansas State is just 4-6 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Wake Forest is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing with five or six days rest and already 3-2 ATS in all tournament games this year. The bottom line: Wake Forest enters off a 99-90 loss to Virginia Tech, while K-State fell 51-50 to West Virginia in its conference tournament. On neutral courts this year the Demon Deacons have averaged a whopping 88.0 PPG on 52.3 percent shooting, while allowing 83 PPG. K-State is averaging just 69.8 PPG and allowing 60.7 in tournament contests. They say “defense” wins championships, but we’ve always thought that that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We’ll take the stronger offense and better coached team and expect a rout. Play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -1.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SMU. These two teams will both be playing in the NCAA tournament whether they win or lose today. Of course, both want to win though. SMU was 17-1 in the AAC, while Cincinnati finished 16-2. SMU’s only loss this season was to these very Bearcats, one which they’d revenge at home a bit later in the season. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a winning SU record, while SMU is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 in the same position. SMU is one of the hottest teams in the nation right now and we expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on SMU. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-12-17 | Michigan +1.5 v. Wisconsin | 71-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan. Michigan is steam-rolling its way through the tournament and we’re expecting another thrilling, nail-biting victory in the championship game as well. The Wolverines come in off an 84-77 win over Minnesota yesterday, while Wisconsin comes in off a 28 point win over Northwestern. These teams split a pair of games this year, with each winning on its home floor. Michigan averages 74.9 PPG and allows 65.8. Wisconsin is centered around its defense, which allows just 61.1 PPG. It’s interesting to note though that the Badgers allow 37.5 percent from behind the arc, which we think is going to spell disaster today in facing this red hot Michigan side. Note that Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral court games and 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS win. Also note that the dog is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 in this series. Play on MICHIGAN. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-12-17 | Arkansas v. Kentucky -8.5 | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kentucky. Arkansas comes in off a relatively simple 76-62 win over Vanderbilt, while Kentucky beat Alabama 79-74. Kentucky won the lone meeting 97-71 this year. Arkansas averages 78.7 PPG and allowed 75.1. The Wildcats average 82.5 PPG and allow 71.4. Kentucky is the cream of the crop and will earn a No. 1 seed in the tournament with a win today. Arkansas is making the NCAA tournament whether it wins or loses. Arkansas has played much better of late, but its defense isn’t that great (despite playing well against Vandy) and we’re expecting the Wildcats to once again win big. Lay the points, play on KENTUCKY. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -2 | Top | 83-80 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Oregon. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Arizona is just 2-5 ATS this year when playign on one or less days rest and only 3-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Oregon is 7-3 ATS when playing on one days rest and 11-3 ATS after scoring 80 poinrs or more. The bottom line: Oregon averages 79.6 PPG and allows just 64.5. Arizona averages 77.7 PPG and allow 67.7. The Ducks are the best team in the league and have a big advantage on the defensive end. They also beat Arizona by 27 points earlier in the year. We’re expecting the DUCKS to do more than enough to secure the victory tonight. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-17 | Troy State v. Georgia Southern +1 | Top | 90-70 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Georgia Southern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Troy is just 4-6 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and just 7-16 ATS in its last 23 when playing the role of favorite, wihle Georgia Southern is 4-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and 9-5 ATS in its last 14 when trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We think this is great from a scheduling stand point for the Eagles as well, as they enjoyed a first round bye in the Sun Belt conference tournament opening round. Troy comes in off an 84-64 win over App State on Wednesday and we think it will have a predictable letdown here. Georgia Southern would split the season series with the Trojans, taking the first meeting at home 86-82 and we think the rested EAGLES can duplicate that perfomance in this one as well. Play on Georgia Southern. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas-Arlington -8 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UT Arlington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Coastal Carolina is just 8-10 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-5 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while UT Arlington is a perfect 6-0 ATS in revenging a road loss against an opponent this season and 8-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. The bottom line: This is indeed a “revenge” game for the No. 1 team in the Sun Belt, somehow managing to lose 72-70 to the 16-16 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers on January 30th. And for us, it’s as simple as that. The Chanticleers advanced off a 80-67 win over South Alabama on Wednesday, but all signs point to a letdown here. Play on UT ARLINGTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-17 | Oregon State v. California -15 | 62-67 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on California. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Oregon State is 0-4 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more against an opponent and just 3-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while California is 3-1 ATS in its last four after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. The bottom line: The Beavers are horrible, just 1-17 in conference play. The Golden Bears weren’t perfect, as they’d finish 10-8 in league action. But Cal is certainly a whole lot better that OSU and we’re expecting it to notch a third straight victory over the Beavers this season. OSU averages 60.1 PPG and allows 76.6 in conference play. Cal averages 66.2 PPG and allows 64.2. We have a hard time seeing Oregon State mustering any sort of offensive attack against what should be a very hungry CAL team looking to make some noise in the Pac 12 tournament. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-17 | Stanford -3 v. Arizona State | 88-98 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Stanford. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that that the Cardinal are already a perfect 3-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses and 5-3 ATS in their last eight against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while ASU is already 0-5 ATS in all tournament games this year. The bottom line: Stanford plays with double revenge after ASU took both regular season meetings. Both teams are bad, but we think this one favors the revenge minded Cardinal. Stanford averages 69.6 PPG and allows 73.7 in conference action. ASU average 75.9 PPG and allow 81.4 in league play. STANFORD is already 3-1 in neutral site games this year. It’s hard for even great teams to beat another team three times in one year. Arizona State is not a good team at all. In fact it’s terrible. Play on the CARDINAL. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-17 | Miami-FL -1.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE DESTRUCTION on Miami Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while Syracuse is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a win by 20 points or more. The bottom line: This is a revenge game for the Hurricanes after they fell 70-55 in Syracuse in the lone meeting in early January. The Canes average 72 PPG and allow just 63.4. The Orange average 76.4 PPG and allow 70.7. But Miami’s defense is the difference maker in the end for us, as it’s given up an average of just 59 points over their last six games. In comparison, Syracuse has allowed an average of 76 points over its last ten games. Play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-03-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -7.5 | Top | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* ASSASSIN is on West Virginia. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and only 2-4 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while WVU is 7-4 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest and 2-1 ATS in its last three against schools with a winning record. The bottom line: WVU beat Iowa State earlier in the year, but the Mountaineers come into their final home game (senior night) having lost three straight ATS and also losing outright 71-62 to Baylor in their last outing. Iowa State looks poised for a letdown here after six straight wins. The home side will be much more “hungry” in this one, play on WEST VIRGINIA. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-28-17 | Georgetown +4 v. Seton Hall | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on Georgetown. REASONING: Both teams are still trying to improve their position in the conference standings. The Hoyas are going to be desperate to break a three-game slide after falling 86-80 on the road to St. John’s on Saturday. Conversely, the Pirates could be caught a little complacent after beating DePaul 82-79 on Saturday. Note that this also sets up as a revenge game for the visitors, as Seton Hall has won three straight and six of the last ten in the series, including a 68-66 OT road victory in the first matchup between the teams back on February 4th. The Hoyas average 75.2 PPG and allow 72.1. The Pirates average 74.8 PPG and allow 71.1. Note though that Georgetown is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Seton Hall is just 3-7 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more and 2-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. We’re expecting the HOYAS to come in desperate and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-27-17 | West Virginia v. Baylor -2 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Baylor. REASONING: We think that WVU has a letdown here after winning its fourth in a row, most recently over TCU. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Bears as they’ve dropped three of their last four, most recently at Iowa State on Saturday. Also note that the Mountaineers have injury concerns right now, as forward Esa Ahmad isn’t in the lineup today with back spasms, he’s the team’s second leading scorer. It’s also not too hard to imagine WVU getting caught looking ahead to its game on Friday against the Cyclones. Baylor needs to sweep its remaining two games to avoid potentially slipping all the way back to fifth seed in next week’s conference tournament. But not only that, this also does indeed set up as a revenge game for Baylor after it was smashed 89-68 at WVU on January 10th. Note that the Mountaineers are just 1-2 ATS in their last three against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Baylor is already 3-1 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Play on the BEARS. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-23-17 | USC +9 v. Arizona | 77-90 | Loss | -118 | 26 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on USC. REASONING: We think USC comes in focused after dropping two straight, most recenlty a humbling 102-70 setback to UCLA on Saturday. Arizona comes in complacent, it’s won four straight, most recently a 76-68 road win over Washington on Saturday. And to say this is a revenge game would be a big understatement, as the Wildcats have won eight of the last ten in the series, including a 73-66 road victory in the first matchup on January 19th. USC averages 78.7 PPG and allows 73 per night. Arizona averages just 74.9 PPG and allow 63.5 per night. With a game against UCLA over the weekend, we think that home side gets caught looking ahead to that huge matchup. While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, in our professional opinion, all signs point to this one coming down to the wire. Grab the points, play on USC. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-22-17 | St. Louis +21 v. VCU | Top | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Saint Louis. REASONING: Are we going to suggest to you to “sprinkle a little on the money line” tonight? Of course not. Clearly VCU is the better team, we simply feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side and we look for the hungry Billikens to keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Saint Louis has lost three of four, most recently a 54-40 setback to Fordham on Saturday. VCU has won eight in a row, most recenlty an 84-73 victory over Richmond on Friday. Saint Louis averages only 61.7 PPG, one of the worst in the nation. The Billikens aren’t too shabby defensively though, allowing 70.9 PPG. The Rams average an average 76 PPG, while allowing 66.4. As we stated off the top, clearly VCU is the better overall team, but if ever it was to have a letdown, we think it’s tonight as the Rams are unable to help themselves getting caught “looking ahead” to their game at Rhode Island on Friday, the team currently sitting right behind them in the standings. Also note that Saint Louis is 4-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more this year and 7-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival, while VCU is already 0-3 ATS this year as a home fav of 12.5 points or more and 0-3 ATS against teams with losing records. Grab as many points as you can, play on SAINT LOUIS. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-22-17 | TCU +12 v. Kansas | Top | 68-87 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on TCU. REASONING: Are we going to suggest to you to “sprinkle a little on the money line” tonight? Of course not. We simply feel this is a bad spot for Kansas and we are expecting the hungry visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Horned Frogs enter off an 84-71 loss to Iowa State last weekend, while the Jayhawks come in off a big 65-63 road win over Baylor. We think this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the home side. Also note that this is a revenge game for TCU, which fell 86-80 at home earlier in the season. In that game Kansas was led by 22 points from Frank Mason, while Valadimir Brodziansky had 32 for TCU. Note that the Horned Frogs average 74.5 PPG and allow 69.1, while Kansas averages 82.9 PPG and allows 72.1. The differentials are not that drastic. Also note that TCU is 4-2 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more, while Kansas is just 1-6 ATS this season as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. We think the stage is set for a highly competitive affair, play on TCU. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-17 | Kent State +7 v. Buffalo | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kent State. REASONING: These teams are similar in many ways. They both own identical 15-12 records. Buffalo though is 9-5 in MAC play, while Kent State has some work to do sitting at 7-7. The Golden Flashes come in with a ton of momentum, coming off their second straight victory, this time taking out Arkon 70-67 on the road. The victory snapped the Zips 30-game home win streak. Keep your eyes on Deon Edwin, who led all scorers in that one with 21 points. Kent State would go on to shoot 43 percent from the floor and 37 percent from range. Buffalo has won six straight, most recently a 78-60 victory over Miami Ohio. Blake Hamilton led the way with 23 points. Note that Buffalo has struggled from range this year though, making only 32.8 percent from behind the arc. Also note that Kent State is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year, 7-5 ATS against teams with winning records and 2-1 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Buffalo is just 1-4 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. This is a big time revenge game for the visitors, who have dropped seven straight in the series. While we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for this one to come down to the wire. Play on KENT STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-17 | Eastern Michigan +3.5 v. Ball State | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Eastern Michigan. REASONING: EMU will be eager to bounce back here after falling 88-80 at Western Michigan last time out, while Ball State looks primed for a letdown after its 109-100 OT win over Central Michigan. In fact, will go so far to say that EMU will be desperate today after losing six straight. Note that the Eagles average 78.2 PPG and allow 73.1. Ray Lee led the way in the last game with 24 points for EMU. The Cardinals average 79.9 PPG and allow 75.3. Tayler Persons had 32 points in the big win over CMU last time out. We think these teams are evenly matched and clearly the oddsmakers agree with us. Note though that Eastern Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Ball State is just 2-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more and only 3-8 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Grab as many points as you can, play on EASTERN MICHIGAN. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 82-80 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas Tech. REASONING: Iowa State has won three straight, most recently an 84-71 home victory over TCU on Saturday. The Red Raiders enter on the other end of the spectrum, losers of three of their last four, most recently falling 83-74 in double OT to WVU on Saturday. We believe the the Cyclones come in a tiny bit complacent and expect the much hungrier home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Also note that this is a revenge game for Texas Tech after it fell 63-56 in the first matchup of the year in Iowa State on December 30th. Note that Iowa State averages 80.7 PPG and allows 70.7. Texas Tech averages 75.4 PPG and allows just 66.9. Also note that Iowa State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more, while Texas Tech is 6-2 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival, 3-0 ATS when playing with one or less days rest and 4-2 ATS in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Play on the RED RAIDERS. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-17 | Georgetown v. Creighton -7 | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Creighton. REASONING: The Blue Jays are 21-5 on the season and are 8-5 in conference play. The Hoyas are just 14-12 on the year and only 5-8 in Big East action. We think the Hoyas are primed for a letdown here though after upsetting Marquette 80-62 on the road last Saturday. Creighton is the hungrier team tonight as it comes in off an 87-81 loss to Seton Hall. The Blue Jays have gone just 3-4 in their last seven and play with revenge after falling to Georgetown in the first meeting this year, but note that Creighton has responded well in this spot for bettors going 4-2 ATS when trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and 4-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while the Hoyas have struggled in this position, going just 1-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and only 5-7 ATS as an underdog overall. The numbers and the situation do indeed point to CREIGHTON as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-17 | Maryland v. Wisconsin -7 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Wisconsin. REASONING: Three teams sit tied atop the Big Ten at 10-3, including these two. Maryland enters off a 74-64 road win over Northwestern and has won two straight. Wisconsin though comes in off two straight losses, most recently falling 64-58 at Michigan. These teams are evenly matched as far as their offensive and defensive numbers are concerned (Maryland averages 75.5 PPG and allows 66.8, while Wisconsin averages 73.2 PPG and allows 60.5.) and each is dealing with injury issues. The Badgers more so with senior guard Bronson Koenig still listed as questionable for this one. But whether Koenig plays or not, we think this one still favors much hungrier home side. Note that Maryland has struggled against really good defensive teams in the past and is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 against opponents who allow 64 points or less per contest. Wisconsin is 7-4 ATS at home overall this year and 3-1 ATS in its last four as the favorite. Desperation breeds motivation, play on the BADGERS. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-17 | San Diego +10 v. Santa Clara | 60-58 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on San Diego. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that San Diego is 3-1 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, 11-1 ATS on the road, 13-6 ATS as an underdog and a perfect 3-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while Santa Clara is just 3-7 ATS when playing on one days rest and only 6-7 ATS in front of the home town crowd. The bottom line: We look for these strong trends to continue, play on SAN DIEGO. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-17 | St. Mary's v. BYU +3 | 70-57 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Saint Mary’s is just 5-7 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and only 4-8 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while BYU is 6-4 ATS in its last ten against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. The bottom line: The Cougars have a big opportunity to avenge an earlier road loss to Saint Mary’s and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset obviously, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on BYU. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-17 | USC v. UCLA -11 | 70-102 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that USC is just 3-6 ATS against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest this season and only 3-4 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while UCLA is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 after allowing 60 points or less and 2-1 ATS in its last thre against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: The Bruins have a big opportunity to avenge an earlier road loss here and we’re expecting a blowout. Lay the points, play on UCLA. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-17 | Arizona v. Washington +11 | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Arizona is just 2-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and only 1-2 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while Washington is 2-1 ATS this season against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per game. The bottom line: With a home game against USC early next week, all signs point to the No. 5 Wildcats coming in a bit complacent today. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-17 | Oklahoma +11 v. Oklahoma State | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Oklahoma is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points and 4-2 ATS in its last six in revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Oklahoma State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a favorite. The bottom line: We think the Cowboys come in a bit complacent and take the foot off the gas and the revenge-minded Sooners keep this one a lot more competitive than what the bookmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points, play on OKLAHOMA. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-17-17 | California v. Stanford +3 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Stanford. REASONING: Momentum is difficult to attain and once lost, it can be even harder to get it back. Cal had its five-game win streak snapped in a 57-52 setback to No. 9 Arizona last Saturday and we think the team has another letdown here. The Golden Bears now sit 3.5 games behind the Wildcats in the Pac-12 conference. Stanford will look to take advantage of a Cal team which is going to still be thinking about “what could have been,” while also trying to avenge a 66-55 setback to the Bears just a couple of weeks ago. It’s a good situational foundation to base a pick on. Cal’s big win streak is over, losing to the No. 1 team in the conference. Stanford may not even play in a postseason tournament, but clearly it won’t just be rolling over tonight. And with a game at home against Oregon early next week, the No. 2 team in the conference, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors also getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more “important” contest. And note that Cal is just 7-12 ATS as a favorite this year and just 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Stanford is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of 3.5 points or less or pick. Cal is the better team, but all of the external situational factors working in favor of the home side tonight supercedes that factor. Grab the points, play on STANFORD. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-15-17 | Fordham +14.5 v. Rhode Island | 53-43 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Fordham. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong ATS statistics: As note that Fordham is alrady 4-2 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 12.5 to 15 points range, while Rhode Island is just 1-2 ATS this seaosn off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-2 ATS in its last three at home. The bottom line: While we’re not going to be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do think that the visitors can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-14-17 | Rutgers +18.5 v. Purdue | Top | 55-74 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Rutgers. REASONING: While we won’t be predicting an epic outright upset, we do definitely feel this one sets up nicely for the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what Vegas is leading us to believe. Purdue does look poised for a bit of a natural letdown here after four straight wins. The Scarlet Knights on the other hand will be desperate here after two straight setbacks, most recently to Minnesota. Rutgers’ head coach Steve Pikiell is determined to finish the season strong despite sitting in last place in the 14-team Big Ten: “It doesn’t get any easier; we’re off to Purdue next,” Pikiell assessed. “Everyone knows how good Purdue is. We’re going to go out there and fight too. I’m proud of the team’s development in that way. We have gotten better. I know what our record is, but we’re playing much better teams obviously and we’re getting better.” Note that seven of Rutgers last ten outings have been decided by single-digits. And that’s significant for the Scarlet Knights (and us!), because 15 of last season’s 17 conference defeats came by double-figures. And note that Purdue has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors going just 1-2 ATS in its last three off a win against a conference rival. With a game at home against Michigan State next weekend, we think the home side gets caught looking ahead and leaves the back door open just enough for the hungry SCARLET KNIGHTS to sneak in through. Play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-13-17 | West Virginia v. Kansas -5 | Top | 80-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Kansas. REASONING: We think WVU has a letdown here after winning five of its last six, most recently beating K-State 85-66. Kansas also comes in with momentum, winning four of its last five, most recently downing Texas Tech. For us though, this one comes down to the “revenge” factor. The Mountaineers spanked the Jayhawks 85-69 on January 24th and we’re expecting the home side to respond in a big way tonight. Note that WVU is just 2-5 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Kansas is already 3-1 ATS this year when playing on one days rest. Lay the points with confidence, play on KANSAS. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +7.5 | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia Tech. REASONING: “Revenge” is a powerful motivating factor and it’s one that we find that the books often have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. And that’s the case here, as we expect the hungry Hokies to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. VT lost 74-68 to Miami in its latest action, while Virginia thumped Louisville in a satisfying 71-55 win. Note that these teams played on February 1st and Virginia embarrassed Virginia Tech 71-48. The Cavaliers average 69 PPG and allow just 54. The Hokies average 79.2 PPG and allow 73.3. Note though that Virginia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road fav of 6.5 to nine points, while Virginia Tech is already 3-2 ATS this year in revenging a road loss against an opponent and 1-0 ATS in revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more. With a game at home against Duke next week, we think the Cavs come out a tiny bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead to that much more important matchup. Grab the points, play on the HOKIES. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-11-17 | Gonzaga -3 v. St. Mary's | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS *BLOOD-BATH* on Gonzaga. REASONING: The Gonzaga Bulldogs are the No. 1 team in the nation. They’re 25-0. Saint Mary’s is No. 2 in the coference and sits at 22-2. One of the Gales two losses came against the Bulldogs, a 79-56 setback at Spokane. The Bulldogs are a perfect 13-0 in conference play and have yet to be tested. The Gaels took both regular season contests against the Bulldogs last year, but fell in the WCC Championship game. This year though the Bulldogs seem unstoppable, not one team in the conference has come within single digits thus far. Gonzaga is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 against St. Mary’s and 5-0 ATS in its last five on its home floor. All signs point to these strong trends continuing tonight. Lay the points, play on GONZAGA. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-11-17 | Clemson +11 v. Duke | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* HIGH-NON TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between NC State and Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: As note that NC State has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of three this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and in its last two as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Wake Forest has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three as a home fav of 6.5 to nine points. The bottom line: Both teams have been playing to some higer-scoring affairs of late, but all of the numbers now point to the value going the other way finally. We look for this early afternoon contest to fall UNDER this sky-high number once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-10-17 | Oakland -7 v. Detroit | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Oakland. REASONING: Oakland comes in with a ton of momentum and we think the Grizzlies keep the foot on the gas against the lowly Titans tonight. The Golden Grizzlies have won three straight, most recently a 53-51 win over Cleveland State. 6-18 Detroit comes in off a rare win, besting Youngstown State 90-80 in its latest action and there’s no doubt in our minds that the Titans are primed to for an immediate return to mediocrity. Also note that Oakland is out to atone for a shocking 93-88 home loss to Detroit just last month. Oakland sits just 1.5 games behind Valparaiso for the No. 1 spot in the league. The Grizzlies average 77.3 PPG and allow just 69.5. Detroit averages 77.6 PPG, but is one of the worst in the entire country on the defensive end in allowing a deplorable 85.5 PPG. Note that Oakland is 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 on the road, while Detroit is just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 against the conference. The Titans have in fact conceded an average of 90 points over their last six games. Clearly that doesn’t bode well against the high-flying and revenge-minded GOLDEN GRIZZLIES. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-09-17 | Northeastern +8 v. College of Charleston | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Northeastern. REASONING: The Huskies are going to be desperate here, they’ve lost six of their last seven. However, all signs point to the Cougars having a letdown after winning three in a row. Northeastern enters off a tough 73-69 road loss to JMU. Bolden Brace had 20 points in the setback. Northeastern looked shaky defensively, but its offense was firing on all cylinders, going 50.9 percent from the floor, including 40.7 percent from range. Note that Northeastern has averaged 71.9 PPG and allowed 68.2 in conference action. Charleston is 19-6 overall and 10-2 in the CAA, tied for first place with NC Wilmington. Most recently the Cougars beat Elon 71-58 at home. Note though that they didn’t shoot very well in that one, going only 41.8 percent from the floor, including just 33.3 percent from range. The Cougars were led by Joey Chealey, who had 20 points. So far Charleston averages 69.8 PPG and concedes 63.7 in conference action this season. Note though that Northeastern is 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records this year, while Charleston is just 4-5 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less. We think the Huskies can keep up with the Cougars today and while we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, all signs do indeed point to NORTHEASTERN as the correct call in this one. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-09-17 | Elon v. Delaware +6.5 | Top | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Delaware. REASONING: Momentum can be a very real, tangible factor at times. It’s difficult to build momentum and once lost, it can be even harder to get back. Elon had won five games in a row before falling at College of Charleston this past Saturday. Delaware nas nothing to lose here, other than another game. The Fightin’ Blue Hens have dropped four of their last five games and come in off a setback against UNC-Wilmington last time out. The Phoenix have beaten Delaware in all five previous meetings. Last February Elon won 77-59 in Delaware. We think that it’s finally payback time though tonight. Elon has gone 2-0, most recently handing Northeastern its first home loss of the year in a 51-49 victory, before then defeating Hostra 84-70 this past Saturday. The Blue Hens will be especially motivated here after falling 108-80 at UNC-Wilmington last weekend. Eric Carger was a bright spot for Delaware in the setback, scoring 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting. I’ll point out though that Elon is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 82 points or more, while Delaware is already 4-2 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and 5-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd overall. Grab the points, play on DELAWARE. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-09-17 | Rice v. Florida International +7 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Florida International. REASONING: We simply feel that this is a bad spot for Rice as we think the 15-8 Owls will get caught “looking past” their lowly competition today. FIU enters with an 8-13 overall record, which includes going just 1-9 in C-USA action. Rice is 15-8 overall, but note that it’s batting just .500 with a 5-5 record in league play. The Owls most recently beat North Texas 95-80. Note though that the Owls had two more turnovers than assists in that one. In fact, they’re averaging 15.7 turnovers a game, which is the most in the conference. The Golden Panthers come in off a 95-80 loss to Charlotte. Donte McGill had 27 points on 67 percent shooting. Note that Rice is in fact just 4-6 ATS against the conference this season and only 1-3 ATS after a win against a conference rival, while FIU is 5-1 ATS against teams with winning records and 4-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. Grab as many points as you can, play on FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-07-17 | Michigan State v. Michigan -4 | Top | 57-86 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Michigan. REASONING: We’re primarily a situationally based handicapping service. We also take into account strong/relevant ATS trends. For the most part, the actual contestants on the field of play rarely enters into our equation, unless it’s a top player like a LeBron James or Tom Brady etc. And from a situational and trend based stand point, this one sets up beautifully for the home side in our opinion. Michigan State comes in slightly contented after two straight wins, including a victory at home over Michigan just ten days ago. The Wolverines on the other hand have now lost two straight, also going on to fall 70-66 at home to Ohio State on Sunday. In our opinion, there’s no question which of these two teams is the “hungier” one. And note that MSU is in fact just 3-5 ATS as an underdog this year, while Michigan is already 4-2 ATS this season in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Desperation breeds motivation, all signs point to a comfortable cover. Play on MICHIGAN. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-06-17 | Quinnipiac +6 v. Fairfield | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Quinnipiac. REASONING: The Quinnipiac Bobcats are 6-7 in MAAC play so far this year. Most recently Quinnipiac snapped a three-game slide in an 89-81 win over Niagara on Saturday. Chaise Daniels and Peter Kiss scored 24 and 23 points respectively and combined for 23 boards. The Fairfield Stags are 7-7 in MAAC action. We think that Fairfield comes in a bit complacent here though after three straight wins, most recently an 81-61 victory over Niagara as well. Jerry Johnson Jr. had 18 points and five boards in the win. From an ATS trend based stand point though, they simply don’t get much better than this as the Bobcats are 8-5 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-3 ATS agains the conference, 3-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival and 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records, while Fairfield is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a favorite. The BOBCATS fight and keep this one competitive until the final moments, grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-05-17 | Colorado +6.5 v. California | Top | 66-77 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Colorado. REASONING: After starting Pac-12 play with an 0-7 record, the Colorado Buffs have now won three straight. Cal has won six of its last seven and sits just 2.5 games back of the top spot. After beating Oregon State, the Buffaloes followed it up with a nine-point upset over then No. 10 Oregon and a seven-point surprise over Stanford. Derrick White had 19 points, eight boards, eight assists, four blocked shots and two steals in the win over the Cardinal. We think Cal though could come in a bit complacent here after three straight wins over Oregon State, Stanford and Utah. Note that the last two wins came by a combined three points! In fact, Cal comes in off an exhausting 77-75 double OT win over the Utes on Thursday. Note that Colorado is 2-0 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Cal is just 2-4 ATS in the same position. The BUFFS won’t be rolling over today and we think can keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-17 | Santa Clara +23.5 v. Gonzaga | 55-90 | Loss | -116 | 29 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Santa Clara. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Santa Clara is already 4-2 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest and 4-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while Gonzaga is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing with one or less days rest. The bottom line: We think the No. 1 team in the nation takes the foot off the gas just enough for the hungry visitors to sneak through down the stretch. Play on SANTA CLARA. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-17 | Kentucky +1.5 v. Florida | 66-88 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kentucky. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Kentucky is already 1-0 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 40-31 ATS in its last 71 against teams with winning records, while Florida is just 9-15 ATS in its last 24 off a win against a conference rival and just 7-15 ATS in its last 22 after allowing 60 points or less. The bottom line: The Wildcats have been floundering of late, having lost two in a row before then gutting out a 90-81 OT win over Georgia last time out. Kentucky though has failed to cover the spread in three straight and in six of its last seven. We think that changes today though as we believe Florida is poised for a letdown here after three straight wins. Play on KENTUCKY. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-17 | Pacific v. Pepperdine -1 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Pepperdine. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Pacific is just 3-7 ATS on the road this year, just 1-8 ATS when playing with one or less days rest and only 5-10 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Pepperdine is already 4-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and 11-6 ATS in its last 17 after scoring 60 points or less. The bottom line: The Tigers come in off a rare win and we think will have a predictable letdown here. Look for the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Playon PEPPERDINE. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-17 | Oklahoma +7 v. Texas Tech | 69-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Oklahoma is already 6-3 ATS against the conference this year, 4-1 ATS on the road, 7-4 ATS as an underdog and 5-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival (also 4-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses), while Texas Tech is just 3-6 ATS against the conference, only 1-2 ATS in revenging a road loss against an opponent and 2-4 ATS against teams with losing records. The bottom line: We’re expecting all of these extremely strong trends to carry over here. Grab as many points as you can, play on OKLAHOMA. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-17 | Ohio State +7 v. Michigan | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that Ohio State is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 off a loss against a conference rival, while Michigan is just 4-10 ATS as a favorit this year, just 1-3 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and just 4-7 ATS at home. The bottom line: Michigan comes in off a poor performance against in-state rival Michigan State. Ohio State has lost two straight, unable to hang with Maryland at home last night. We think the desperate Buckeyes take advantage of a Wolverines team which continues to get too much respect. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-03-17 | Princeton v. Dartmouth +13.5 | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Dartmouth. REASONING: It’s a classic matchup of David vs. Goliath. Clearly Princeton is the much better team, but we think the situation favors the under home side. The Tigers are 3-0 in Ivy League play so far, while Dartmouth is 0-4 in conference action. Dartmouth has struggled both on the road and at home. Note that Princeton has been poor on the road for bettors, going just 3-6 ATS away from friendly confines. Princeton has won six straight, but with a game tomorrow night at Harvard, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine the Tigers getting caught looking past Dartmouth today. Note that Princeton is 0-3 ATS in true road games this season and 0-3 ATS in its last three when playing with seven or more days rest, while Dartmouth is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This is an “easy” game right? We think the stage is set for a much more competitive affair than what Las Vegas has predicted. Play on DARTMOUTH. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-02-17 | Gonzaga v. BYU +8.5 | 85-75 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on BYU. REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of games which we’re constantly on the look out for. Gonzaga is an awesome team. In fact, it’s No. 1 in the nation sitting at 22-0. BYU is a good team, it comes into this one sitting at 16-7. When these two team’s played last, the Zags scored an 88-84 win in the WCC Tourney semifinals last year. Suffice it to say, we think we’ll see a similar competitive affair tonight. Clearly the Bulldogs are the better team, but the Cougars won’t be simply rolling over today, they’re 12-1 their last nine in Provo. The stage is set for the Bulldogs to have a slight letdown here. Grab the points, play on BYU. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-02-17 | Missouri +22.5 v. Florida | Top | 54-93 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Missouri. REASONING: The Tigers are a poor team. The No. 24 Gators are a good team. While we’re not going to suggest that you “sprinkle a little” on money line for the visitors, we do think that Missouri can catch Florida a bit complacent here and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Tigers have lost 12 in a row, most recently a 63-53 setback to South Carolina on Saturday. The Gators come in having won two straight, most recently an 84-52 beatdown of Oklahoma in the SEC/Big 12 Challenge on Saturday. Missouri averages 69.3 PPG and allows 70.8. Florida averages 78.7 PPG and allows 66.1. Note though that the Tigers are already 3-1 ATS this year as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Florida is is just 6-15 ATS in its last 21 after allowing 60 points or less and just 2-3 ATS in all home games. With a game at home against conference leading Kentucky on Saturday, all signs point to a letdown for the Gators tonight. Grab the points, play on MISSOURI. AAA Sports | |||||||
02-01-17 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -9.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Clemson. REASONING: There’s no need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, as Georgia Tech is set up perfectly for a letdown here after back to back home upsets of ranked foes, most recently a 62-60 victory over Notre Dame. Conversely, the Tigers come in hungry, they’ll look to keep the momentum rolling after snapping a six-game skid with a 67-60 win on the road over Pitt on Saturday. Also note that this sets up as a revenge game for Clemson as it’s now lost three straight in this series, including a 75-63 road loss on January 12th in the first matchup this year. Note that Georgia Tech averages 67.1 PPG and allows 66.5. The Tigers average 75.5 PPG and allow 69.3. Also note that Georgia Tech is just 7-12 ATS in its last 19 after allowing 60 points or less, while Clemson is 3-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less and 12-9 ATS in its last 21 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. We like the TIGERS to avenge the earlier loss and take advantage of this suddenly contented Georgia Tech team. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-31-17 | Maryland v. Ohio State -1.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Ohio State. REASONING: At 19-2, Maryland is one of the best in the country. The Terps though aren’t a super high-scoring team, averaging 75.7 PPG. Maryland is pretty good defensively in allowing only 65.8 PPG. But after their best start through the first 21 games since 1998, we think the Terrapins are poised for a predictable letdown tonight. OSU averages 73.4 PPG and allows just 68.3. These two teams are in fact very evenly matched. Maryland has gotten a few extra bounces and come up clutch, but as far as the offense/defense is concerned, neither of these teams has any real advantage over the other. A great situational play, we’re backing the hungy home side. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-30-17 | Texas-Arlington v. Coastal Carolina +6 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUN-BELT SIDE OF THE YEAR on Coastal Carolina. REASONING: The Mavericks are 16-5, while the Chanticleers are 9-12. UT-Arlington is the better overall team, but the home side won’t be simply rolling over tonight. It’s going to be a battle and as such, we think the savvy move in this one is to grab the points. Texas-Arlington enters off an 83-67 road win over Appalachian State, while Coastal Carolina comes in off a tough 52-50 home setback to Texas State. The Mavericks have averaged 83.6 PPG and allowed 73.5 in conference action this year, but take note that in true road games, they’ve averaged just 72.2 PPG and allowed 71.4. The Chanticleers have lost three in a row, mainly due to offensive inconsistency. So far Coastal Carolina averages 71.8 PPG and allows 72.7. Note though that UT-Arlington is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road fav of 3.5 to six points, while the Chanticleers are 4-1 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and 3-1 ATS in its last four after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Coastal Carolina has been at its best at home, as evidenced by its 7-5 record there so far this season. All signs point to a comfortable cover, play on COASTAL CAROLINA. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-29-17 | South Florida +25.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 53-94 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on South Florida. REASONING: We simply feel that the high-flying Bearcats will come in a bit complacent today against the lowly Bulls. Cincinnati is 18-2, while South Florida is 6-13. USF is in fact 0-8 in conference play after losing 81-60 to UConn in its last outing. Cincinnati is 7-0 in league action and has won 11 straight overall, most recently an extremely satisfying 86-78 victory over rival Xavier at home on Thursday. One player that continues to be a bright spot for the Bulls is guard Geno Thorpe, who leads the team with 13.4 PPG. USF averages 65.9 PPG and allows 71.9. Cincinnati averages 77.8 PPG and allows just 62.2. Note though that the Bulls are in fact 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after a double digit loss at home, while the favorite is just 1-6 ATS the last seven in this series. Of course the Bearcats are going to win this game, but by more than 20 points? With a game at Tulsa next week, the team directly behind them in the standings, it’s not too hard to imagine the contended home side getting caught looking ahead to that one as well. Grab as many points as you can, play on SOUTH FLORIDA. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-28-17 | Georgetown +10 v. Butler | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Georgetown. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Georgetown is 2-1 ATS in its last three as an underdog, while Butler is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight after allowing 60 points or less. The bottom line: This is a revenge game for the ever improving Hoyas and while we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we do think that the numbers point to a comfortable cover, play on GEORGETOWN. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-28-17 | Towson v. Northeastern -2.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northeastern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Towson is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven when playign with one or less days rest and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road dog of three points or less or pick, while Northeastern is already 4-2 ATS at home and a perfect 4-0 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less. The bottom line: We expect these strong trends to and don’t think that home court advantage can be overlooked in this matchup. Play on NORTHEASTERN. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-28-17 | La Salle +2.5 v. St. Joe's | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 23 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on La Salle. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that La Salle is already 3-1 ATS this year against teams with losing records and 4-3 ATS against the conference, while St. Joe’s is just 2-4 ATS at home, 4-5 ATS as a favorite and interestingly, 0-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: St. Joseph’s continues to play down to the level of its competition. Grab the points, play on LA SALLE. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-28-17 | San Francisco v. Pacific +5 | 81-60 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Pacific. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that San Francisco is already a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less and just 13-15 ATS in its last 28 when playing with one or less days rest, while Pacific is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog in the 3.5 to six points range. The bottom line: Home court advantage can’t be overlooked here. We think PACIFIC is in a good spot for a potential upset. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-27-17 | Harvard v. Cornell +6 | Top | 77-71 | Push | 0 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR on Cornell. REASONING: We think this sets up as a prime letdown spot/trap game for the surging Harvard Crimson, who have won nine of their last ten. The high-flying Crimson come to town to take on the lowly 5-12 Big Red, who come in with momentum of their own having won two of their last three, including a victory over Columbia last weekend. Harvard comes in off consecutive wins over Dartmouth, but note that it’s just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 when playing with five or six days of rest. Cornell has capable players, as sophomore Matt Morgan leads the conference in scoring with 18.3 PPG and three-pointers made (55). He had 17 points, seven assists, six boards, two blocked shot and two steals in last weekend’s 67-62 win at Columbia. Beyond the balanced scoring in the victory, it was the Big Red’s defense which was the most impressive, holding Columbia to just 31 percent shooting. Note that Cornell is 2-1 ATS in its last three as an underdog. We think the BIG RED will at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-26-17 | Oregon State v. Colorado -16 | Top | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Colorado. REASONING: Both teams are hungry for a victory, as each is winless so far in Pac 12 play. Oregon State wasn’t expected to do much this year and so far it hasn’t going 0-7 in league play and 4-16 overall. Colorado played in the NCAA tournament last year, so the fact that it’s 0-7 in conference action is a big concern. It’s all hands on deck today for the home side as it finally looks to get off the schneid with a big performance in the favorable matchup. And here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against as the Beavers have yet to score over 63 points in a single conference game. Colorado has been a bit unfortunate as it last two league losses have come in OT, most recently a 91-89 setback to Washington State. Note that Oregon State has a -128 point differential in its 0-7 start, while Colorado is 48, losing four of its seven games by three points or less. Also note that Oregon State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU loss and just 16-33-2 ATS in its last 51 road games, while Colorado is 2-1 ATS in its last three against teams with losing records. All signs point to the BUFFS putting the foot on the gas from start to finish, lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-26-17 | Elon v. Northeastern -6 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Northeastern. REASONING: Elon has won two in a row, while Northeastern has dropped three straight. The Huskies look to get back into the winners circle and are still sitting at 5-3 in conference play. The Phoenix are 4-1 at home in league play, but note that they’re 0-3 in road conference contests. And that doesn’t bode well in facing a determined Huskies team which hasn’t lost at home this year. So far Elon averages 76.7 PPG and allows 72.0. Despite the three game skid, Northeastern still has a winning league record. Note that the Huskies average 81.7 PPG and have allowed 65.7 at home this year. Overall the team averages 75.6 PPG and allows 67.2. Note that Elon is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 off a win against a conference rival, while Northeastern is already 4-1 ATS at home this season and 5-3 ATS when playing the role of favorite. The Huskies have won their conference home games by an average of 20.8 PPG and we’re expecting a similar final differential tonight as well. Play on NORTHEASTERN. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-26-17 | NC-Wilmington v. James Madison +10 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on James Madison. REASONING: While we’ll stop short in predicting an outright upset, we think the high-flying Seahawks will come in a bit complacent here and get caught “looking past’ the lowly Dukes this evening. UNCW is poised for a letdown after opening CAA play at 8-0. James Madison is on the other end of the spectrum, desperate for a victory after two straight setbacks, most recently a 73-60 road defeat at Charleston on Saturday. Note that this is a double revenge scenario for the home side as well after dropping both games last year, including a 78-73 home defeat on January 28th. The Seahawks average 86.3 PPG and allow 73.8, while the Dukes average just 64.5 and allow 67.9. Note though that this is a spot in which the Seahawks have struggled in mightily for bettors this year, going just 4-5 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-3 ATS against teams with losing records. And note, this is a spot in which the Dukes have dominated in, going 5-3 ATS against the conference and 2-1 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. We think the desperate home side sneaks in through the back door down the stretch, play on JAMES MADISON AAA Sports | |||||||
01-25-17 | St. John's +8.5 v. Providence | Top | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG EAST ATS BLOWOUT on St. John’s. REASONING: St. John’s will be desperate here as it’s lost five of its last six, most recently falling to Seton Hall on Sunday. Providence had won two in a row, but comes into this one off a loss at Villanova last weekend. The Red Storm have struggled defensively, but continue to get good play from guard Marcus Lovett, who finished with 22 points against Seton Hall. The Friars play six of their next nine at home and we think come in a bit complacent here, note that Providence has already struggled in this spot for bettors this year, going just 5-6 ATS as a favorite and only 1-3 ATS against teams with losing records. And note, this is a position in which the Red Storm have excelled, going 4-3 ATS on the road and 6-5 ATS against teams with winning records. We think the desperate visiting side keep this a lot closer than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. Play on ST. JOHN’S. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-24-17 | Villanova v. Marquette +5.5 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Marquette. REASONING: While we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do definitely feel that revenge minded home side can take this one down to the wire. Villanova comes in off a fifth straight win in a 78-68 win over Providence on Saturday, while Marquette won for a third time in four games in a 102-94 upset over No. 7 Creighton on the road. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the Golden Eagles to carry over that momentum here. In fact, Marquette has dropped nine straight in this series, including the 93-81 road loss back on January 7th. The Wildcats are ranked 68th in the nation in scoring with 78.6 PPG, while ranked 13th in scoring defense in allowing 62 PPG. The Golden Eagles are ranked 18th in the country in scoring with 84.6 PPG, while not nearly as good on the defensive end in allowing 74.1 per contest. Note that Villanova is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after holding its opponent to 68 points or less, while Marquette is 2-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season. Grab the points, play on MARQUETTE. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-23-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia Southern -7 | Top | 80-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUN-BELT SIDE OF THE WEEK on Georgia Southern. REASONING: The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers had their four game win streak snapped with a 76-56 loss to Georgia State last time out and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another letdown here. Georgia Southern is 13-6 overall and 6-0 in conference action. The Chanticleers looked horrible in the second half of their last game, scoring only 17 points in the second half and give up 15 three pointers on 33 attempts overall. And that doesn’t bode well in facing the conference’s top offense which shot 53 percent from the floor in its latest victory. Keep your eyes on Tookie Brown, who had 32 points, four boards and two assists in that one. And note that Coastal Carolina is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while Georgia Southern is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss. Coastal Carolina just loss by 20 points to Georgia State. All signs point to an even bigger blowout tonight. Lay the points, play on GEORGIA SOUTHERN. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-17 | LSU v. Arkansas -12.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that LSU is just 4-8 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 4-5 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Arkansas is 6-4 ATS against teams with winning records and 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a home fav in the 12.5 to 15 points range. The bottom line: Arkansas averages almost 82 PPG and we have a hard time seeing the Tigers matching pace down the stretch. Lay the points, play on ARKANSAS. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Duke -9 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Duke. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is just 1-2 ATS in true road game thisyear and only 3-8 ATS against teams with winning records, while Duke is 6-4 ATS in its last ten after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 20-8 ATS in its last 28 against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. The bottom line: The Blue Devils won’t be taking the Hurricanes lightly today, who are 7-0-1 the L8 as the road team in this series. We think the above trends continue, play on DUKE. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-17 | Portland +28.5 v. Gonzaga | 52-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Portland is 5-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and 4-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Gonzaga is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the 24.5 to 30 points range. The bottom line: The Bulldogs are 13-2 ATS overall this year and have yet to lose a game SU. We think the numbers are working against Gonzaga today though. Grab the points, play on PORTLAND. AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-17 | Troy State v. Arkansas State -5.5 | 80-82 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Troy is just 12-19 ATS in its last 31 off a loss against a conference rival, while Arkansas State is already a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this year, 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records and 2-1 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. The bottom line: We think home court advantage also can’t be overlooked in this particular matchup. All signs point to these strong trends continuing, play on ARKANSAS STATE. AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |