Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-10-19 | Pacific +25 v. Gonzaga | Top | 36-67 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
THis is a 10* play on Pacific As per usual, when Gonzaga faces a "lesser" team from the West Coast Conference, the spread is going to be quite high. But this one against Pacific Thursday night is simply too high. It's not hard to understand what the oddsmakers are thinking here. The Zags are coming off a 91-48 massacre of Santa Clara on Saturday. That marked the #5 team in the country's fifth straight cover, all of which have come as a favorite of 26.5 points or more! So this line is actually right in line with recent results, but don't think for a second that Gonzaga doesn't have an eye on this weekend's showdown in San Francisco where they'll be taking on the WCC's 2nd best team. Pacific obviously isn't going to win this game, but the back door will always be open. Play on PACIFIC AAA | |||||||
01-09-19 | TCU v. Kansas -6 | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Kansas. I actually had to do a double take when I first saw this line. This is way too small of a number for Kansas to be laying at home, especially coming off a loss. Perhaps the oddsmakers have forgotten just how good the Jayhawks really are? More likely, it has to do with the loss of Udoka Azubuike (hand injury) for the rest of the season. But still, Azubuike is just one player. Sure, he is one of the better players on the team, but he wasn't the leader in either points or rebounds (that's Dedrick Lawson). Yes, KU's first game without Azubuike did not go well at all as they were blown out by 17 at Iowa State. But that was a road game and Iowa State is really good. Better than tonight's opponent, TCU, that's for sure. Plus the Horned Frogs have to come to Lawrence where the Jayhawks have lost only four times in the last 40 tries. It's a bad time for TCU to visit as well. Over the last three seasons, Kansas is 8-0 straight up and 6-1-1 ATS when off a conference loss. They have plenty of experience playing without Azubuike last year and should get the job done tonight. TCU has won nine straight, but this is their most difficult game all season. Play on KANSAS AAA | |||||||
01-09-19 | Marquette v. Creighton -3.5 | Top | 106-104 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Creighton Marquette (12-3) is ranked 21st in the country coming into this game and has some really nice wins this year. They're the only team to beat Buffalo (did so 103-85) and have also beaten the likes of Kansas State, Louisville and Wisconsin. Sunday saw the Golden Eagles blow out Xavier 70-52. But the common theme of most of their big wins this year is that they came at home. They have played only two true road games and both times they were blown out. It was a 23-point loss to Indiana and a 20-point loss to St. John's. The team they face tonight is Creighton and the Blue Jays should be happy to be back home after opening Big East play with a pair of road games. They split the pair, winning at Providence, but losing at Butler. This is a situation where the home team has major revenge as Creighton is 0-4 straight up and against the spread vs. Marquette the previous two seasons. But both games last year were decided by just four points. Creighton is a strong offensive team, averaging 83.7 points per game, and they shoot the ball exceptionally well (51.6%). All offensive numbers are even better at home as well. Play on CREIGHTON AAA | |||||||
01-08-19 | St. John's v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Villanova. St. John's is 14-1 and now ranked in the latest poll (#24 AP/#23 Coaches), but I happen to view the Red Storm as one of the more overrated teams in the country right now. You'll note that despite their record and ranking, they come is as more than just a slight underdog tonight against Villanova, despite the defending National Champions having had their struggles the first two months of the season. Nova is not ranked, but they're on the cusp and clearly a better team that St. John's. The Wildcats went 2-0 last week, winning a couple close ones over DePaul and Providence. Neither win was pretty, but they still won and that's what counts. While 'Nova is viewed as an underachiever, you'll want to note that two of their losses were by just three points on the road. St. John's is off an overtime win at Georgetown over the weekend, so I wonder how much they'll have left in the tank here. The Johnnies have not faced the stiffest competition to this points (only been a dog once) and I think it's fair to say Villanova is their toughest opponent yet. Play on VILLANOVA. AAA | |||||||
01-07-19 | Niagara v. Fairfield -3.5 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Fairfield In deference to the College Football National Championship Game, it's a limited College Basketball card on Monday. But there's value to be had here on Fairfield, who hosts Niagara in a MAAC matchup. The Stags (3-11) haven't had a lot go right for them this year, but should have a far better win-loss record. I'm saying that because they've suffered an interminable number of close losses. Eight of the 11 losses have been by seven points or less with six coming by three points or fewer. Not sure if I've ever seen a team play so many close games over the first two months of a season. Bottom line is that Fairfield is due to prevail and they're favored for a reason tonight. Niagara (7-7) has lost its last two games, both as favorites, to Albany and Manhattan. The Purple Eagles will be playing on the road for a second time in three days, right after allowing Manhattan to shoot 63% for the game on Saturday. Fairfield has yet to win at home this season (0-4), so you know they're coming out highly motivated. Play on FAIRFIELD AAA | |||||||
01-06-19 | Nebraska v. Iowa +2.5 | Top | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Iowa Considering how competitive the Big 10 is this year (7 teams currently ranked), neither 11-3 Nebraska nor 11-3 Iowa can really afford what would be a second straight defeat in conference play. But, by rule, somebody has to fall and I think it's going to be the visiting Cornhuskers, who just lost a tough one, by two at Maryland Wednesday night. Iowa had a far tougher time in its last game, losing by 16, but they were also at Purdue. The Hawkeyes are still 8-1 here in Iowa City while all three Nebraska losses this season have taken place outside of Lincoln. The Cornhuskers are 0-2 SU on the Big 10 road so far with another loss occurring at Minnesota last month. Iowa likely remembers losing by double digits last year in Lincoln, so this is a revenge game for them. They're also off to an 0-3 start in Big 10 play, but considering they had to play Purdue, Michigan State and Wisconsin (two of them on the road), the record really isn't that shocking. But the record also puts them in full on "desperation mode" Sunday. All things considered, not sure Nebraska should be favored on the road in this spot. Play on IOWA. AAA | |||||||
01-06-19 | Xavier +9 v. Marquette | Top | 52-70 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Xavier. While yesterday's early "ASSASSIN" was on a favorite from the Big East (Butler over Creighton), today we're going to be looking at an underdog as 9-6 Xavier travels to 11-3 Marquette. The host Golden Eagles come in ranked #16 in the country and have some nice wins this year. They've beaten the likes of Louisville, Kansas State and Wisconsin, plus they ended the unbeaten run of Buffalo to start the year in emphatic fashion (won that game 103-85). But playing just their 2nd true road game this season, they failed again mightily on New Year's Day, losing by 20 at St. John's. Their only other true road game was a 23 point loss at Indiana. They're back at home tonight, but Xavier won't be lacking for any motivation here as they just lost outright as a favorite to Seton Hall on Wednesday. The Musketeers are 1-3 ATS the L4 games, failing to cover all three times they were favored. But they won outright the one time they were a dog, at DePaul. Xavier won both meetings with Marquette last season. Expect a close battle today in the Big East. Play on XAVIER. AAA | |||||||
01-05-19 | San Francisco v. Pepperdine +7.5 | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PEPPERDINE Normally, when a team just pulled an upset (like Pepperdine did Thursday), they are the ones prone for a letdown in their next game. But I don't think that will be the case here. Because their opponent (San Francisco) is off a win that was perhaps the program's biggest in some time. The Dons downed St. Mary's Thursday for the right to be called the WCC's 2nd best team (behind Gonzaga obviously), at least temporarily. While they did lead that game most of the time, it took a couple of key defensive stops in the final minute to preserve what ended up being just a four-point win at home. Pepperdine had no problems handling Loyola Marymount (probably the 4th best WCC team) two nights ago in this gym, winning 77-62 as a slight home dog. As I wrote two days ago, the Waves are a significantly better team at home. They average 86.1 points here. No wonder why they are 4-0 ATS in home games this season. Averaging as many points as they do, Pepperdine is once again a live dog Saturday night. Play on PEPPERDINE. AAA | |||||||
01-05-19 | Creighton v. Butler -3 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BUTLER. I'm gonna side with Butler in this early Saturday tip as the situation sets up quite well for them. The Bulldogs (9-5) lost their Big East opener, right here at home, earlier this week. It was to Georgetown, 84-76, and considering Butler was a 9.5-point choice at the betting window, it's fair to call that a "bad" loss. They get a second chance at home today though against a Creighton team playing its second straight game on the road. The Bluejays were victorious in their first conference game, 79-68 at Providence, as 2.5-point dogs. But I can't see them opening Big East play with two straight road wins, not with the way they play defense (or rather DON'T play defense). Creighton has played six games this year off-campus. They've allowed an average of 79.5 points per game in them. Last year, they surrendered 93 points in this building and lost by 23. Sure they come into Saturday riding a three-game win streak, but two of those were against cupcakes. Butler had not lost a home game before running into Georgetown on Wednesday. Will they shoot only 41% at home again here? Probably not. Creighton is only 7-18 ATS the last 25 times it has been listed as the underdog. Play on BUTLER. AAA | |||||||
01-04-19 | Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan +11 | Top | 74-58 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
This is a *10* play on Eastern Michigan Buffalo has been a really nice story so far, starting the year 12-1. Their only loss came on the road to a very good Marquette team and that result came on the heels of the Bulls winning at Syracuse. Well, they're still on the road here for the Mid-American Conference opener. This will be UB's 4th straight road game, a tough ask for any team, but particularly when it's around the New Year. The Bulls only played two home games in December, the last one coming on the 15th. They did just win at Canisius Saturday, barely covering the spread as well. But I think they're going to find things a lot tougher here tonight in Ypsilanti where Eastern Michigan will be ready for its biggest home game of the conference schedule. The Eagles just played Kansas last weekend, so they won't be intimidated by the Bulls. I realize that EMU has failed to cover in all six of its chances as an underdog, but this is the most points they've gotten at home where they're 6-2 straight up. This is a team that played not only Kansas, but Duke as well. Play on EASTERN MICHIGAN AAA | |||||||
01-03-19 | Loyola Marymount v. Pepperdine +2.5 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Pepperdine At 12-2 straight up, Loyola Marymount has been a real surprise team so far. But the Lions didn't exactly play the most challenging of non-conference schedules. UCLA, who just had to fire Steve Alford because things got so dire in Westwood, even beat LMU 82-58 back on December 2nd. The Lions other loss came in their last road game, as nine-point favorites, at UC Riverside. They got back into the win column with a home win over UC Davis last Saturday, but I still think they're a pretty shaky favorite tonight at Pepperdine (7-7 SU) who just hit triple digits in its last game. The Waves were coming off a winless road trip before crushing Alabama A&M Monday, but are now 5-1 at home. They average 87.7 points per game here. Loyola Marymount, in its seven games away from home this year, has averaged just 63.7 points per game. So you can see why I'm skeptical of them. The Lions do play good defense, but they are 1-7 ATS their last eight times as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Play on PEPPERDINE AAA | |||||||
01-02-19 | Colorado State v. UNLV -8.5 | Top | 76-78 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNLV. UNLV is treading water at .500 (6-6 SU) to start the season, but I don't anticipate the Runnin' Rebels having much trouble in their conference opener tonight. They'll welcome Colorado State to Sin City and the 5-8 Rams are having a lot of trouble winning games recently. They've lost three in a row including a 20-point setback at the hands of New Mexico State on Sunday. That was also CSU's seventh loss in its last eight tries. They've covered only 3 of 10 lined games so far and have dropped both true road games, at Colorado and at Long Beach State. UNLV has been off since Christmas, which unfortunately wasn't very merry for them as they went 1-2 out in Hawaii, including a 25-point loss at the hands of Bucknell. Tonight will actually be the first time the Rebels have gotten to play at the Thomas & Mack Center since hanging tough with a good Cincinnati squad back on December 1st. They should be rested and ready to go and I look for a big win to start the New Year! Play on UNLV AAA | |||||||
12-28-18 | Detroit v. Youngstown State -1 | Top | 78-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Youngstown State. This is each team’s Horizon League Opener. Detroit enters off a 69-55 road loss to Xavier, while the Penguins fell 75-56 at Ohio State. Detroit has lost six straight. It’s 1-7 on the road. The Titans are averaging 68.3 PPG and allowing 78.2. Youngstown State hasn’t played since December 18th. Overall Youngstown State averages 76.4 PPG, while allowing 81.6. Note that the Penguins are 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing with ten or more days rest, while Detroit is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. Look for the rested PENGUINS to pull away down the stretch. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-25-18 | Colorado -15 v. Charlotte | Top | 68-53 | Push | 0 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Colorado. We’re banking on a blowout from start to finish. This is the consolation game at the Stan Sherrif Center in Honolulu. Colorado went to Hawaii on six-game win streak, but it’s lost two straight in this tournament. Charlotte has lost five of its last six after falling to Rhode Island most recently. Note though that Colorado is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite. This one has blowout written all over it; play on COLORADO. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-22-18 | UC-Davis +17 v. Arizona | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on UC Davis. The UC Davis Aggies are 3-7 and the Arizona Wildcats are 8-4. We’re not predicting an outright upset, but we think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent. The Aggies come in off an 83-65 home win over NAIA program William Jessup last weekend, wile Arizona smashed Montana 61-42 in its most recent action. UC Davis struggles offensively, averaging only 60.8 PPG, but it’s “decent” defensively in allowing 68.2. The Wildcats average 74.3 PPG and they allow 65.3. Note though that CAL DAVIS is still 18-10 ATS in its last 28 after failing to cover the spread in its previous outing, while Arizona is only 1-7 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite in the 15.5 to 18 points range. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-21-18 | Ole Miss v. Middle Tennessee +12.5 | Top | 74-56 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on MTSU. Ole Miss comes in complacent here after five straight wins in our opinion. The Blue Raiders are by far the “hungrier” side, because after starting 3-1, MTSU has lost seven straight. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but the conditions are certainly right for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Blue Raiders have issues, but one has been their difficult non-conference schedule. This one is no different, but at least the Blue Raiders are in friendly confines. Note as well that Ole Miss is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two straight victories by ten points or more, while MTSU is still 4-2 ATS in its last six vs. the SEC; grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-20-18 | Pepperdine v. Long Beach State -4.5 | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT on LBSU. Pepperdine comes in off an 82-67 loss to Oregon State, while LBSU lost 74-68 to Pacific in its latest contest. Last year LBSU won this game on the road 78-71. The Waves though have already dropped all four of their true road games this year and we think they’re going to struggle here against this equally as hungry/desperate home side. Overall Pepperdine averages 79.2 PPG, while allowing an average of 76.8. LBSU has averaged 71.1 PPG in the early going, while allowing 79.2. We’d argue though that the 49ers have played the stiffer competition to this point. Additionally note that LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six following a SU loss and interestingly 22-8 ATS in its last 30 vs. the West Coast Conference, while Pepperdine is just 5-15-1 TS in its last 21 vs. teams with a losing record. Play on LBSU. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-19-18 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Belmont | Top | 74-80 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Western Kentucky. WKU comes in as the “hungrier” team at 5-5. Belmont enters complacent at 8-1. The Hilltoppers are out to atone for a terrible 87-81 loss to Troy as a ten point fav in their last outing. Overall WKU averages 72.8 PPG. Belmont is averaging 90.6 PPG and overall the Bruins have looked good on both ends of the floor. But we’ll caution in reading too much into their early numbers, which are skewed in our opinion due to the level of competition to this point. Note as well that WKU is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after a loss by six points or less, while Belmont is already 0-2 ATS this season following a road victory. Grab the points; play on WESTERN KENTUCKY. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-18-18 | East Carolina v. Charlotte | Top | 49-55 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on Charlotte. East Carolina is 6-4 and Charlotte is 2-5. We think that the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done here. ECU went into its exam break with two straight wins, but we think the extra time off ruins that chemistry. Charlotte is only averaging 58.9 PPG in the early going, but a lot of that has to do with the level of competition it’s faced so far. Most recently the 49ers enter off an 80-56 defeat to Wake Forest. Note that ECU is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after playing a game as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in its last five after two or more straight home wins, while Charlotte is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more. Play on the 49ERS. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-18 | Western Illinois +9 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Western Illinois. It’s the 4-7 Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. the 5-4 NIU Huskies and we think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Overall the Leathernecks average 69.3 points and allow 72.9. The Huskies are averaging 80 points and allowing 78. Note that four of Western Illinois’ seven losses has been decided by single digits. NIU has been horrible defensively and we think the hungry visitors will keep this one competitive late. Note as well that Western Illinois is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five after falling to cover three of the last four against the spread. Play on WESTERN ILLINOIS. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-16-18 | CS-Fullerton +14.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on CS Fullerton. We think the 9-1 San Francisco Dons get caught looking past the lowly 3-7 Cal State Fullerton Titans. The Titans come in off an 81-66 loss to Saint Mary’s on Monday. Austen Awosika had 19 points, four boards, five assists, one block and a steal in the setback. Overall the Titans average 76.5 PPG, while allowing 71.9. San Fran averages 80.7 PPG and it’s allowing 58.6. Now, we think the Dons numbers are skewed slightly due to the level of its early competition. Note as well that the Titans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after having lost four or five of their last six games, while the Dons are still just 13-16 ATS in their last 29 as a home favorite. Grab the points, play on CS FULLERTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-10-18 | Long Beach State +5.5 v. Pacific | Top | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on LBSU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that LBSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a two games or more losing streak and in which it’s an underdog of five points or higher, while Pacific is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games as a favorite in the +5 to +8 points range. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-09-18 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon +13.5 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Grand Canyon. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Nevada is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 after covering in three of its last four against the spread, while Grand Canyon is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four following a win by six points or more. The bottom line: Grab the points and expect a more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest; play on GRAND CANYON. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-08-18 | San Diego State v. California +5 | 83-89 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on California. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that SDSU is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as a road favorite or pick and only 7-14 ATS in its last 21 on the road, while Cal is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a home loss of ten points or more. We like CAL to bounce back here and take this one down to the wire; grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-08-18 | Green Bay v. Bowling Green -2.5 | 68-97 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Bowling Green. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Green Bay is interestingly just 3-4 ATS in its last seven vs. the MAC and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine off a home win scoring 85 or more points, while Bowling Green is a staggering 9-1 ATS in its last ten after falling to cover in three of its last four ATS. Play on Bowling Green. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-07-18 | NC-Greensboro v. Elon +11.5 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Elon. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Elon is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after dropping five of its last six SU, while NC Greensboro is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games after scoring 62 points or less in its previous contest (the Spartans had their eight game win streak snapped last time out in a 78-61 loss to Kentucky in their latest action. Grab the points. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Charlotte +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 56-80 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Charlotte. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last five after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while Wake Forest is just 1-3 ATS already this year after a game in which it failed to cover the spread. The bottom line: Look for the “hungrier” team to take this one down to the wire; play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-05-18 | Washington +15 v. Gonzaga | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games, while Gonzaga is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine following a road win in which it scored 85 points or more. The bottom line: The Bulldogs have won four straight in the series, but Washington has a tough defense which allows only 66.4 PPG. Gonzaga has struggled with consistency in these spots and we look for that trend to continue. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-18 | Evansville v. Arkansas State +2 | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Evansville is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a road favorite or pick, while Arkansas State is a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two as home dog of three points or less or pick. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-18 | Texas-Arlington +12 v. Missouri | 45-65 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UT Arlington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that UT Arlington is 12-7 ATS in its last 19 as an underdog and 4-2 ATS in its last six off an upset loss by ten points or more as a favorite, while Missouri is just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 as a favorite. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-18 | Central Michigan v. Youngstown State +6.5 | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Youngstown State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that CMU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a blowout loss of 20 points or more, while Youngstown State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog or pick. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-18 | North Dakota State +21 v. Iowa State | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on North Dakota State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that NDSU is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in two straight games and 6-2 ATS in its last eight after two or more SU losses, while Iowa State is already just 1-2 ATS this year as a home fav of 12.5 points or more and only 6-8 ATS in its last 14 off a home win by ten points or more. A few too many points to be giving up in our opinion; play on NORTH DAKOTA STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-18 | Stanford v. Kansas -18.5 | Top | 84-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Kansas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Stanford already 0-2 ATS as an underdog this year and it’s also only 11-13 ATS in its last 24 after covering in two of its last three against the spread, while Kansas is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a favorite and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 80 points or more. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-28-18 | Virginia v. Maryland +4 | Top | 76-71 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Maryland. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Virginia is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite in the 3.5 to six points range, while Maryland is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 as an underdog. Grab the points; play on MARYLAND. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-18 | Eastern Washington v. Washington -17 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Eastern Washington is a poor 13-17 ATS in its last 30 as an underdog and just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 after allowing 80 points or more, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: Lay the points and expect a big time blowout. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-18 | Idaho State +7 v. Pepperdine | Top | 82-97 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Idaho State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Idaho State is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest and 4-2 ATS in is last six as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Pepperdine is interestingly just 1-6 ATS in its last seven vs. poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest. The bottom line: We think Pepperdine looks past its lowly non-conference opponent, leaving the back door open just enough for a comfortable cover. Play on IDAHO STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Cleveland State +1.5 | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Cleveland State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that IPFW is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven non-conference road games as a favorite in the -1 to -7 points range, while Cleveland State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference games as an underdog in the +1 to +4.5 points range. The bottom line: Grab the points and expect an outright victory. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-23-18 | Cleveland State +26 v. Ohio State | Top | 62-89 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Cleveland State. We think the 5-0 Buckeyes come in complacent and get caught looking past the lowly 2-3 Cleveland State Vikings. The Vikings enter off a 73-60 loss to Samford. Overall Cleveland State is averaging 76 PPG. The Buckeyes are only averaging 79.4 though. Also note that Cleveland State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six following a SU loss, while Ohio State is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 non-conference contest. The bottom line: No outright, but everything points to a competitive battle. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-18 | Texas State v. Cal Poly +7 | Top | 54-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Cal Poly Slo. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Texas State is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 non-conference games and interestingly only 2-3 ATS in its last five vs. poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Cal Ply Slo is 6-2 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest and 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a neutral court underdog in the 6.5 to 9 points range. The bottom line: Look for this one to come down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on CAL POLY SLO. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-18 | Pacific +4 v. UNLV | 70-96 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Pacific. Pacific enters off a confidence building 83-76 road win over Idaho State, while UNLV posted a 74-61 home win over Oakland on Friday. Note that this is a revenge game for Pacific after it fell 81-76 in this game last year. Pacific averages 77.2 PPG and it allows 72.5. UNLV averages only 65.3 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end by allowing only 57.7. But we think the Rebels numbers are “skewed” due to the level of opening season competition. Note that PACIFIC is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS in its last seven against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while UNLV is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a home favorite in the 3.5 to six points range. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-18 | Loyola Maryland v. Detroit -1.5 | Top | 63-91 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Loyola Maryland is just 2-3 ATS in its last five vs. teams with losing records, while Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last six after playing three straight road games and already 2-0 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more. We believe the MERCY’s depth and strength on the offensive side wears down Loyola Maryland tonight. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-16-18 | Oakland +9 v. UNLV | Top | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* UPSET BLOWOUT on Oakland. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Oakland is still 12-8 ATS in its last 20 following a non-conference game and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog, while UNLV is just 6-12 ATS in its last 18 vs. teams with losing records. We think the Runnin Rebels get caught looking past the GOLDEN GRIZZLIES tonight. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-18 | Niagara v. Loyola-Chicago -16 | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on the Loyola Chicago. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Niagara is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine non conference road games as an underdog in the -12 to -15 points range, while Loyola Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a non conference favorite in the -12.5 to -15.5 points range. Look for LOYOLA CHICAGO’s depth to prove to be the difference here; lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-18 | UC Riverside +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 51-72 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Cal Riverside. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Cal Riverside is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while UNLV is just 14-18 ATS in its last 32 as a favorite and 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home fav in the 9.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points, play on CAL RIVERSIDE. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-18 | Monmouth +14.5 v. St. Joe's | 63-78 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Monmouth. We think this one favors the underdog. Both teams are 1-0 to open the year, but with a big game against Wake Forest up next, we think the Hawks get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Note that MONMOUTH is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference games as an underdog of ten points or more. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-18 | Cal Poly +22.5 v. Arizona | Top | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT BLOWOUT on Cal Poly Slo. We think the Wildcats get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent today. The Wildcats enters off a convincing 90-60 win over Houston Baptist, but we think the Mustangs will present more of a challenge for the Pac 12 team. Cal Poly comes in off an 82-75 season opening win and we expect it to carry that momentum over here. Also note that CAL PLY SLO is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road non-conference games in which it scored 80 or more points in its previous outing. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-18 | Wyoming v. Oregon State -9.5 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Oregon State. The Beavers enter off a 72-59 win over UC Irvine, unable to cover the spread. Oregon State though will look to build off that performance and note that it actually plays with revenge here after falling to the Cowboys 75-66 last year. Wyoming fell to Cal Santa Barbara in its opener, but with a game against Grambling up next, we expect the Cowboys to get caught looking ahead. Play on OREGON STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-18 | Detroit +21 v. Temple | Top | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Detroit. Detroit enters off an 89-76 loss to WMU, but we think it’ll be able to catch a complacent Owls team a little flat-footed here, after they posted a much tougher than expected 75-67 home win over La Salle. Clearly Temple is the better team, but Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 non-conference road games in which it comes in off a loss in which it allowed 88 points or more. Grab the points, play on the MERCY. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-08-18 | Siena v. George Washington -6 | Top | 69-61 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on George Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that the Saints are 0-3 ATS in their last three as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range and only 5-7 ATS in its last 12 following a non-conference contest, while George Washington is 10-7 ATS in its last 17 against teams with losing records. The bottom line: We think that the depth/experience that GEORGE WASHINGTON brings to the table turns out to be the difference maker. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-07-18 | Marshall -8 v. Eastern Kentucky | Top | 105-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Marshall. Marshall is expected to compete for a top spot in the conference. Marshall returns plenty of talent from last years team and we think that experience proves to be too much for Eastern Kentucky to handle. The Colonel are predicted to finish near the bottom of their conference and 11 wins may be a stretch. Look for MARSHALL to kick it into high gear in the second half and to pull away for the comfortable cover. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-18 | Towson v. Virginia -25 | 42-73 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Towson is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog and 0-2 ATS in its last two against the ACC, wile Virginia is 33-22 ATS the last two years as a favourite and 14-8 ATS in its last 22 non-conference games. Play on VIRGINIA. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee +17 v. Boston College | 53-73 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wisconsin Milwaukee. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Wisconsin Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog of 12.5 points or more and and 17-12 ATS in its last 29 on the road overall, while BC is 0-4 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more and only 6-10 ATS in its last 16 non-conference games. Play on WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-18 | Youngstown State v. Pittsburgh -13.5 | 53-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Pittsburgh. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Youngstown State is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten as a road dog of 12.5 points or more and only 12-16 ATS on the road overall, while Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-18 | Detroit +12.5 v. Western Michigan | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Detroit. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Detroit is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 12.5 to 15 points range, while WMU is just 12-15 ATS in its last 17 as a favorite and only 9-10 ATS in its last 19 non-conference games. Play on DETROIT. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-18 | Illinois-Chicago +14 v. Notre Dame | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Illinois Chicago. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Illinois Chicago is 22-18 ATS in its last 40 as an underdog and 20-10 ATS in its last 30 on the road, while Notre Dame is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 non-conference games. Play on ILLINOIS CHICAGO. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan. The Wolverines looked flat to open their come from behind 69-57 win over Loyola Chicago in the Final Four, but they’d score 47 points on 57 percent shooting in the second half against a tough Ramblers defense and we absolutely believe that Michigan is going to bring that same second half intensity to the start of this one. The Wildcats own the league’s No. 1 offense and they haven’t really been tested yet, but Michigan’s defense is playing at an elite level right now and combined with its depth and size, we believe it has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. That said, grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Colorado -9 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* CIT CHAMPIONSHIP RED DRAGON on Northern Colorado. Illinois-Chicago advanced to the CIT Championship Game by beating Liberty 67-51, while Northern Colorado pulled away for a 99-80 win over Sam Houston State. The Flames average 75.4 PPG and they allow 72. The Bears average 81.2 PPG and they allow 73.1. Note that Norther Colorado has averaged 88.7 PPG through three tournament games though and can’t see the under-manned Flames keeping pace down the stretch. Note as well that Illinois-Chicago is just 8-10 ATS as theunferdog this year and only 4-5 ATS when playing with one days rest, while Northern Colorado is 9-3 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest and 15-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite. We expect UNC to enter the final five minutes with a sizeable lead and we look for it to keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer. Lay the points, play on NORTHERN COLORADO. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-18 | Sam Houston State v. Northern Colorado -10.5 | Top | 80-99 | Win | 100 | 35 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* CIT GAME OF THE YEAR on Northern Colorado. Sam Houston State beat UTSA 76-69 to advance. The Bearkats were “lucky” though as they hit only 37.5 percent of their shots. John Dewey III was a bright spot with 18 points. Northern Colorado though looked impressive in its latest win over the Toreros of San Diego, pulling away for the 86-75 final. Note that UNC has hit 80 points or more in five straight games. Three players scored in double figures for the Bears in the latest victory, led by Andre Spight with 26. Note that Sam Houston State is just 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 against teams with a winning percentage over 60, while Northern Colorado is 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 non-conference contests. We think that the Bears have such big advantages on both ends of the court, that laying this sizeable spread is completely justifiable. All signs point to a blowout, play on NORTHERN COLORADO. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-18 | Western Kentucky v. Utah | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Western Kentucky. WKU made it to this point off a 92-84 win over Oklahoma State, while Utah upset No. 1 seed Saint Mary’s 67-58 in OT. WKU averages 78.8 PPG and it allows 70.4. Utah averages 73.8 PPG and it allows 68.2. Note that WKU is 7-0 ATS in its last seven after scoring 90 or more points in its previous game, while Utah is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven neutral site affairs. Utah pulled out the OT upset last time out, but note it was out rebounded in that game by 14 and it was further fortunate with the Gaels going an uncharacteristic 5 of 14 from the free throw line. The HILLTOPPERS aren’t the deepest team, but they have five players that score in double digits and we believe that’ll be enough to carry them into the Final. Play on WKU. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-18 | Texas Tech +6.5 v. Villanova | 59-71 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 9* BIG TIGER on Texas Tech. Texas Tech advanced with a 78-65 upset of Purdue, while Villanova advanced with a 90-78 victory over West Virginia. The Red Raiders average 75 PPG and they allow just 64.6. Texas Tech forced Purdue into 17 turnovers, while committing only ten of its own. Overall Texas Tech hit 47.5 percent from the floor in its latest victory (note that the Red Raiders have given up just 63.7 points during the tournament to this point.) Villanova averages 87 PPG and it allows 70.5. The Wildcats looked sharp on both ends of the floor in their Sweet 16, but note that they have in fact struggled in this spot by going just 1-3 ATS in their last four after scoring 90 points or more in they previous contest. And note that Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory. The oddsmakers are clearly giving the Aggies a shot at winning this one outright with this modest spread. We’re going to stop short in calling for the outright upset, bug all signs do indeed point to a competitive battle. Grab the points, play on TEXAS TECH. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-18 | Texas Tech v. Purdue -1 | Top | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Purdue (10:05 EST). Purdue got by CS Fullerton and Butler to reach this point, while Texas Tech got the better of Stephen F Austin and Florida. The Red Raiders average 74.9 points and they allow 64.6. Purdue averages 80.8 PPG and it allows just 65.4. Isaac Haas is out for the Boilermakers, but the team is deep and it made the necessary adjustments against a tough Butler side. The Red Raiders have been a nice story to this point, but we think they stumble down the stretch against the high-flying BOILERMAKERS. Play on Purdue. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-18 | Syracuse +11.5 v. Duke | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 105 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Syracuse. Syracuse played in the First Four and it’s advanced to this point having won three straight by five points or less. Duke’s advanced with blowout wins over Iona and Rhode Island. The Orange most recently beat Michigan State 55-53, holding the Spartans to just 25.8 percent shooting. The Orange though were 24 of 31 from the free throw line. The Blue Devils held the Rams to just 39.7 percent shooting in their latest win, while also going 19 of 24 from the charity stripe. Note though that the Orange are 7-1 ATS in their last eight NCAA tournament games and 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with a win percentage above 60, while Duke is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after back-to-back ATS covers. The Orange know they likely won’t survive this round, but they won’t be going down without a fight. In this grind it out battle, we’re going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the ORANGE. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-22-18 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -5 | Top | 75-60 | Loss | -115 | 84 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Gonzaga. Florida State advanced by knocking off Xavier 75-70 as an underdog in the second round, while Gonzaga got the better of Ohio State 90-84. The Seminoles average 81.1 PPG and they allow 73.7. Gonzaga averages 84.2 PPG and it allows just 67.5. The Bulldogs had an 11 point half time lead in their win over the Buckeyes, but they were actually down 67-62 with six minutes to play, before then buckling down with an impressive 16-2 run to seal the deal. We like the Bulldogs to carry that momentum over here and we look for FSU to suffer a letdown here off its second round upset. Lay the points, play on GONZAGA. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-22-18 | Kansas State v. Kentucky -6 | 61-58 | Loss | -102 | 84 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kentucky. Kentucky can smell the Elite 8 after both Arizona and Virginia were ousted in the second round. Kentucky advanced by smashing Buffalo 95-75 behind 27 points, six boards and six assists from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Wildcats enter the Sweet 16 playing their best basketball of the season in riding a five-game win streak, averaging 116.6 points per 100 possessions and allowing 95.6. Kentucky gets it done across the board, leading the nation in many of the “intangibles,” including a 13.8 percent block rate (18th), offensive rebounding rate of 35.6 percent (8th) and free throw rate of 43.1 percent (7th.) K-State averages 110.7 points per 100 possessions and it allows 95.5 per 100 possessions. The Wildcats advanced with a 50-43 win over UMBC, despite shooting just 38.3 percent. I have a hard time seeing the Wildcats keeping pace with the much more athletic Kentucky Wildcats who come in firing on all cylinders. We’re expecting a blowout, lay the points, play on KENTUCKY. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-18 | Utah v. St. Mary's -6 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -106 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Saint Mary’s. Utah advanced by beating Cal Davis and LSU, while Saint Mary’s got here by getting the better of Washington and SE Louisiana. Utah averages 74 PPG and it allows 68.5. Saint Mary’s averages 77.5 PPG and it allows just 64.4. Note that Utah is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Saint Mary’s is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 6.5 to nine points. The GAELS are 18-1 at home and they enjoy one of the nation’s most favorable “home court advantages.” We expect that to play a big factor at this point of the year, so lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-18 | Western Kentucky +4 v. USC | Top | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 36 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Western Kentucky. WKU is 25-10 and USC is 24-11. The Hilltoppers got the better of Boston College 79-62 in the first round. WKU averages 78.4 PPG. The Trojans come in tired here in our estimation as they’d have to hold on for dear life in a 103-98 double OT opening round win over UNC-Asheville in its opening round. USC averages 77.8 PPG. Note though that WKU is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games and 4-1 in their last five on the road, while USC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 102 points or more in its previous contest. USC is without top scorer and rebounder Metu, and while the Trojans rallied against UNC Asheville, the HILLTOPPERS present an entirely different challenge. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on WKU. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-18 | Marshall +12 v. West Virginia | 71-94 | Loss | -104 | 35 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Marshall. Marshall comes in off the first round upset of Wichita State and we look for it to continue that momentum over here. WVU had no issues knocking off Murray State in its opener, but it’s going to face a much stiffer task this time around. Note that Marshall is a perfect 10-0 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while WVU is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. Grab the points, play on MARSHALL. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-18 | Maryland-Baltimore County +10 v. Kansas State | 43-50 | Win | 100 | 33 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD Baltimore County. MD Baltimore County has shown it deserves to be here after the Retrievers upset No. 1 seed Virginia in the first round 74-54. They are the only team to score 70 points on the Cavs this year. K-State pulled off the upset over Creighton in the first round, but it could absolutely be set up for an outright upset here. Note that MD BALTIMORE COUNTY is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog, while Kansas State is just 7-8 ATS as a favorite this season. Grab the points, play on the Retrievers. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-18 | Texas A&M +6 v. North Carolina | 86-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. Texas A&M’s defense isn’t getting enough credit here. The Aggies’ defense will have to be at its best here to slow down the high-flying Tar Heels, but the numbers/trends support that position as note that Texas A&M is already a perfect 3-0 ATS this year when playing on one or less days rest, while UNC is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing on one or less days rest. This one has the makings of an all out battle to the end. Grab the points, play on TEXAS A&M. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-18 | Syracuse +8 v. Michigan State | 55-53 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Syracuse. We feel that the Orange defense continues to get underestimated. The Spartans would love to slow this one down and we think this will lead to a much closer than expected affair here. Note that Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in its last seven NCAA Tournament games, while Michigan State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four NCAA tourney contests. We’re not predicting an outright upset, but everything points to a battle. Grab the points, play on SYRACUSE. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-18 | Butler +3.5 v. Purdue | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Butler. Purdue suffered a major injury to 7’2” center Haas in its blowout win in the first round and we think the revenge minded Bulldogs can step up and take advantage. The Bulldogs play with revenge after Purdue beat them at home in late December. Note tha tButler is 4-2 ATS this year when playing on one days rest, while Purdue is just 2-4 ATS when playing on one days rest. All signs point to a nail-biter, grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-18 | Houston +3 v. Michigan | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 34 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Houston. Houston advanced to the second round of the NCAA Tournament by holding on for a 67-65 win over SDSU, led by 39 points from senior Rob Gray. The Cougars average 115.2 points per 100 possessions and the allow 94.7 points per 100 possessions. Note that the Cougars have shot 38.7 percent from 3-point land, which ranks 34th in the country, while also owning an offensive rebounding rate of 34.1 percent, which ranks 30th in the country. Michigan averages 115.2 points per 100 possessions and it allows 91.7 points per 1005 possessions. Michigan has posted 43 percent of its total field goal attempts from three-point range, which we think doesn’t bode well facing the Cougars. We’re banking on this one being decided on whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on HOUSTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-18 | Rhode Island +9.5 v. Duke | 62-87 | Loss | -101 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 9* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Rhode Island. Rhode Island comes in off an 83-78 OT win over Oklahoma on Thursday and we think that it’ll give Duke a run for its money here as well. The Blue Devils smashed Iona 89-67 in their opener. The Rams average 76.4 PPG and they allow just 68.2. In the upset win over the Sooners they’d go on to hit 11 three-pointers. Duke averages 85.1 PPG and it allows 69.6. The Blue Devils rely heavily on the three-ball and they now face a Rams team which held Oklahoma to just 4 for 20 from range. Note that Rhode Island is 9-5 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more, while Duke is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. We like the “under the radar” RAMS to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-18 | Florida State -1.5 v. Missouri | 67-54 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Florida State. The Seminoles lost to Louisville 82-74 in the ACC Tournament, while Missouri fell 62-60 to Georgia in the SEC. FSU averages 82 PPG and it allows 74.5 PPG. FSU plays quickly and it utilizes ten different players. Missouri averages 73.5 PPG and it allows 68.3. Missouri suffered a blow by losing forward Jordan Barnett for the opener due to a DUI arrest (14.1 points and six boards per game average.) Note that FSU is 8-2 ATS in its last ten non-conference games, while Missouri is just 1-5 ATS in its last six non-conference contests. Missouri is injured and we look for the SEMINOLES to step up and take advantage. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-18 | Syracuse v. TCU -4.5 | 57-52 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on TCU. Syracuse beat Arizona State 60-56 in the First Four on Wednesday and we’re expecting an immediate letdown here on the quick turn-around. TCU has been off since last Thursday’s 66-64 OT loss to K-State in the Big 12 Tournament. The Orange average 67.5 PPG and they allow 64.5. The Horned Frogs average 83 PPG and they allow 75.9. Note that Syracuse is just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 following an ATS win, while TCU is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss. We think the Orange come in “gassed” after their Wednesday night win and we expect the HORNED FROGS to step up and take advantage. Lay the points. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-18 | Georgia State v. Cincinnati -15.5 | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati. It’s No. 2 Cincinnati against No. 15 Georgia State in the opening round of the South region and we think the rested and focused Bearcats are going to easily pull away for a comfortable SU/ATS win/cover once it’s all said and done. Cincinnati was 30-4 this year overall, including 19-2 in the AAC and also going on to win the conference tournament. While the Bearcats had success in the “straight up” win column through the tournament, they’d go 0-3 ATS. We think that trend changes this afternoon though. Note that the Bearcats actually lead the nation in scoring margin, beating their opponents by an average of 17.8 points. Note that the Panthers allow 67.8 PPG, while Cincinnati allows 57.1. Georgia State faces its stiffest test of the year and we expect it to fail miserably on the national stage. Lay the points, play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-18 | San Diego State +4 v. Houston | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 95 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on San Diego State. Brian Dutcher is going to The Big Dance in his first year as head coach as SDSU. The Aztecs enter The Tournament on fire with nine straight wins and they earned an automatic bid by beating New Mexico 82-75 in the conference title game. SDSU averages 111.3 points per 100 possessions and it allows 97.1 points per 100 possessions. Houston lost to Cincinnati 56-55 in the AAC title game and we think its suffers another letdown here. The Cougars average 115.8 points per 100 possessions and they allow 95.2. Note though that the Aztecs are a brilliant 7-0 ATS in their last seven against schools with a winning straight up record, while the Cougars a poor 1-4 ATS in their last five against the Mountain West. While an outright upset clearly isn’t out of the question, we’re grabbing the point. Play on SAN DIEGO STATE. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-18 | NC State +2.5 v. Seton Hall | 83-94 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NC State. NC State was upset by Boston College in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament 91-87. The Wolfpack made a furious rally as they were down by 21 points at one point, but their come back bid would ultimately fall short in the end. NC State averages 116.4 points per 100 possessions and it allows 101.3 points per 100 possessions. Note that the Wolfpack guard the 3-point line well, holding opponents to only 31.6 percent from range, which ranks 14th in the nation. Seton Hall averages 116.3 points per 100 possessions, but note that it’s just 5-7 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest, while NC State is 7-4 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77 points a night. This one has “nail biter” written all over it. Grab the points, play on the WOLFPACK. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-18 | Iona +21 v. Duke | 67-89 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iona. Iona was 11-7 in MAAC action and it would beat Fairfield in the title game of the conference tournament to earn the automatic bid. Duke was 13-5 in the ACC and it would lose to UNC in the semifinals of the conference tournament. The Gaels average 79.8 PPG and they allow 76.2. In the win over Fairfield they limited it to just 39 percent shooting. Duke averages 84.7 PPG and it allows 69.6. The Blue Devils were 6 of 23 from range in the loss to UNC in the conference tournament game. Note that Iona is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an 18 points or more underdog, while Duke is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the same points range. While we’re obviously not calling for the outright upset, we do feel that IONA has enough on both ends of the floor to keep this one competitive late. Lay the points, play on IONA. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Miami-FL -2.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami Florida. Miami lost to UNC in the first round of the ACC, but we think it’ll bounce back in the opener of the tournament. Loyola Chicago won the regular season and conference Missouri Valley titles to reach this point. Loyola Chicago smashed Illinois State 65-49 in the MVC Title game, but clearly it now faces its stiffest test of the year. Ja’Quan Newton had 17 points and six boards in a losing cause for the Hurricanes against UNC. The Hurricanes lost Bruce Brown to injury in late January and the team has for the most part struggled since, but note that Loyola Chicago is a terrible 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on seven or more days rest, while Miami Florida is already 3-1 ATS this year when playing on five or six days rest. Lay the points, play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 87 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rhode Island. The Sooners were 8-10 in Big 12 play this year and they were taken out of the conference tournament by Oklahoma State. The Rams were 15-3 in A-10 action this season and they’ll be eager to take out their frustrations on someone after coming up short to Davidson 58-57 in an upset loss in the A-10 Title game. Oklahoma averages 85.2 PPG and it allows 81.6. Rhode Island averages 76.2 PPG and it allows just 67.9. Note that the Sooners are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, while Rhode Island is 7-3 ATS in its last ten neutral site affairs. We think the Rams are being vastly underrated here and we look for their top notched defense to be too much for the Sooners to handle down the stretch. Play on RHODE ISLAND. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-18 | BYU v. Stanford -2.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Stanford. BYU was 24-10 overall and 11-7 in the WCC. The Cougars would beat St. Mary’s in the semi finals of the conference tournament, before getting crushed 74-54 by Gonzaga in the championship game. Stanford had a poor non-conference start and it finished 18-15 overall. The Cardinal picked up the pace though once conference action started, finishing 11-7. Note that BYU is 8-17-2 ATS in its last 27 against teams with winning records, while the Cardinal are 8-1 ATS in their last nine in front of the home town crowd. We do indeed feel that “home floor” will be the difference maker in the end here. Lay the short points, play on STANFORD. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse +1 | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 73 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Syracuse. It’s the Pac 12 against the ACC in the First Four from Dayton Ohio and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Orange. Arizona State lost to Colorado 97-85 in its conference tournament, while Syracuse fell 78-59 to UNC in the second round of the ACC Tournament. Arizona State averages 83.5 PPG and it allows 75.3. Syracuse averages 67.5 PPG and it allows just 64.5. Both teams come in struggling, but note that the Orange are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when playing with five or six days rest, while the Sun Devils are just 3-5 ATS in the same position. With time off to prepare, we think the ORANGES’ tough defensive plays proves to be too much for ASU to handle down the stretch. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-18 | Nebraska +4 v. Mississippi State | 59-66 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Nebraska. Nebraska was 13-5 in Big Ten action and it fell 77-58 to Michigan in the first round of the Conference tournament. Mississippi State would lose three of its final four games, including a 62-59 setback to Tennessee in the SEC Conference Tournament. The Bulldogs were 22-11 overall and 9-9 in league play. The Cornhuskers average 72.7 PPG and they allow 68.7. Mississippi State averages 73.7 PPG and it allows 67.9. Note though that Nebraska is 7-0 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss, while Mississippi State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five non-conference games. Just because you’re playing at home in the NIT doesn’t necessarily mean you’re going to be more motivated. And that’s the case here, as we think that coach Tim Miles will have his troops prepared. Grab the points, play on the CORNHUSKERS. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-18 | UL-Lafayette +4.5 v. LSU | 76-84 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Louisiana Lafayette. Louisiana Lafayette finished 27-6 overall and 16-2 in the Sun Belt, but it inexplicably fell apart in the semifinals of the conference tournament and was upset by UT Arlington. With some extra time off to prepare and absorb that difficult setback, we think the Ragin’ Cajuns are going to give the Tigers everything they can handle tonight. LSU was 17-14 overall and 8-11 in SEC action. The Tigers would go on to lose 80-77 to Mississippi State in the first round of the tournament. Note that UL Lafayette is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games and 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss, while LSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. This one has upset written all over it, but in the end we’ll still grab the points. Play on the RAGIN’ CAJUNS. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-13-18 | St Bonaventure v. UCLA -3.5 | Top | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on UCLA. The Bonnies enter the tournament at 25-7, while the Bruins are 21-11. UCLA fell to Arizona in OT in the semi-finals of the Pac 12 Tournament to make it to the First Four, while St. Bonaventure was upset by Davidson in the A-10 semis. These teams had some big victories this year and each also had some epic collapses. These teams are very evenly matched. UCLA though is a potent 9-5 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest, while St. Bonaventure is 1-3 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. We think the Bruins’ depth proves to be too much for the Bonnies to handle down the stretch. Lay the points, play on UCLA. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-13-18 | Boston College v. Western Kentucky -4.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Western Kentucky. Boston College upset NC State in the ACC Tournament opener, but then it fell 90-82 to Clemson on the quarterfinals. WKU lost 67-66 to Marshall in the Conference USA Tournament Final to lose out on the auto NCAA Tourney bid. The Eagles average 76.8 PPG and they allow 74.4. The Hilltoppers average 78.4 PPG and they allow 70.1. Note that BC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five non-conference games, while WKU is 8-2 ATS in its last ten non-conference games. Boston College won 14 games at home, but it was just 2-10 as the visitor this year. WKU is 13-3 at home and despite playing at the mid major level, we expect it to continue its top level play in friendly confines. All signs point to a blowout, play on WESTERN KENTUCKY. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Cincinnati. We have played on the Bearcats twice to open the AAC Tournament and we’ve come up short each time, as slow starts have sunk Cincinnati bettors to this point. These teams split a pair of games in the regular season, with each winning on its own floor. Houston has looked great to this point obviously, smashing UCF and upsetting Wichita State yesterday, but we think the Cougars are going to struggle against this very focused Bearcats team. Cincinnati dominated the second half of its 70-60 victory over Memphis, outscoring the Tigers 41-18 and suffice it to say we’re expecting the Bearcats to bring that same intensity from the “get go” this evening. All signs point to a blowout, play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-18 | USC v. Arizona -3 | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on Arizona. Arizona defeated USC 81-67 in January and we believe a repeat performance is in store here. The Wildcats have advanced off two straight wins/covers, most recently getting the better of UCLA 78-67 in OT last night. USC has advanced by beating Oregon State and Oregon. Note though that USC is a poor 3-4 ATS in its last seven against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last seven conference tournament games. These teams are evenly matched offensively, but Arizona has the advantage on the defensive end and we expect that to once again be the difference maker here. Play on the WILDCATS. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia -4 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOOD BATH on Virginia. Two of the best in the country go head-to-head in this one. Virginia smashed UNC 61-49 in January and we’re expecting a similar final result here as well. The Tar Heels got their epic revenge against the Blue Devils last night and all signs point to a letdown here. This is a bad matchup for UNC, which does struggle against the better defensive teams. Note that UNC is just 1-3 ATS this year against good defensive clubs which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Virginia is 8-5 ATS against good offensive clubs which average 77 plus points a night. Defense wins championships. Play on VIRGINIA. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-18 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -16.5 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati. We had a play on the Bearcats yesterday morning and they came up short in their 61-51 win over SMU. Memphis enters off an upset 67-64 victory over Tulsa yesterday and suffice it to say, I think it’s tournament run comes to an end here. Memphis averages only 71.2 PPG and it allows 71.2. Clearly the margin of error is pretty slim for the Tigers each night. The Bearcats average 75.2 PPG, but they allow only 57.1 (ranked second only behind Virginia.) Cincinnati did not have the type of performance it was hoping for to open the Conference Tournament, but the quick turnaround here offers them a golden opportunity to get untracked against this weary/contented SMU side. All signs point to a blowout, play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-18 | Oregon +3.5 v. USC | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Oregon (11:30 EST). USC moved onto this stage of the PAC 12 Tournament with a 61-48 win over Oregon State, before Oregon held on for a 68-66 win over Utah. The Ducks last eight games have been decided by single digits and all sign once again point to a nail-biter this evening. Oregon lost to USC 72-70 in mid February and suffice it to say, we think its now “payback” time this evening. The Trojans looked stout against the lowly Beavers, but note that they’re still just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 when allowing 50 points or less in their previous contest. Conversely, note that the Ducks are a solid 3-0-1 ATS in their last four against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Oregon is battle tested and won’t be going down without a fight. Play on the DUCKS. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-18 | SMU v. Cincinnati -13 | Top | 51-61 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Cincinnati. We had a play on SMU yesterday afternoon in its 80-73 win over UConn, but we think the Mustangs will come up short here in on the short turnaround. The Bearcats won’t be taking anything for granted here, as they’d end the regular season with a tough 62-61 road win over Wichita State. Note that these teams met twice in the regular season and the Bearcats smashed the Mustangs in both contests (by 20 and 25 points respectively.) SMU averages 70.1 PPG and it allows 64.2. Cincinnati averages 75.6 PPG and it allows just 57.3, ranked second in the country. Despite the win and cover yesterday, note that SMU is still just 17-37-1 ATS in its last 55 neutral site games, while Cincinnati is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records. It’s difficult to beat a team three times in one season, unless you yourself are a “great” team. The Bearcats probably don’t classify as “great,” but we feel that they’re going to benefit tremendously from the extra time off against the winded Mustangs. All signs point to a comfortable cover, lay on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-18 | SMU -2 v. Connecticut | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on SMU. UConn comes in off an 81-71 loss at Houston to finish 7-11 in league play, whole SMU also backed its way into the Conference Tournament with a 6-12 league record and a 65-54 setback on the road at USF. Note that this is a revenge game for SMU after the Huskies won the lone meeting of the year 62-53. UConn averages 68 PPG and it allows 72.9. The Huskies defense has been terrible down the stretch though, conceding 79.3 points over their last seven. SMU averages 69.7 PPG and it allows just 63.9. SMU’s offense has stalled in league play, but we look for it to avenge the earlier loss and to ride its top ranked defense to a solid win and cover. Lay the points, play on SMU. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-07-18 | Fordham +6.5 v. George Washington | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Fordham. George Washington smashed Fordham 72-56 last week and suffice it to say, we think its “payback time.” The Rams fell 83-58 to VCU in their finale. Fordham averages 62 PPG and it’s given up over 70 points in all six recent setbacks. Fortunately the Colonials simply aren’t that much better, despite what the lop-sided result from last week suggests. After beating Fordham, George Washington quickly reverted to form in an 88-78 loss at Dayton on Saturday. Note that Fordham is already 3-1 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while George Washington is just 4-6 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-07-18 | Louisville +1 v. Florida State | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Louisville. Louisville finished 19-12 overall, while Florida State finished 20-10. Louisville plays with revenge after FSU got the 80-76 road win. Note that the Cardinals were 12-6 ATS against the conference this year, while Florida State was just 6-10 ATS. Louisville averages 76.6 points and it allows 70.3. FSU averages 82 PPG and it allows 74.2. Both teams disappointed this year, but the conditions favor the revenge-minded CARDINALS on Wednesday afternoon. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-05-18 | Bowling Green +7 v. Central Michigan | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Bowling Green. Bowling Green is 16-15 overall and CMU is 18-13. Note that this is an in-season revenge game for the Falcons after they fell 84-75 to the Chippewas on the road in January in the lone meeting in the regular season between the schools. Bowling Green averages 75.9 PPG and it allows 77.7. Central Michigan averages 78 PPG and it allows 71.9. Note though that Bowling Green is 10-6 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-4 ATS on the road, 11-7 against the conference and a perfect 5-0 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while CMU is just 2-3 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on BOWLING GREEN. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-03-18 | Pacific +2.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* WCC CONF-TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Pacific. The victor of this will advance to the semifinals to take on Gonzaga or the winner from Loyola Marymount and Portland. San Francisco finished 17-14 and Pacific was 14-17. The Dons’ three-game win streak was snapped in loss to San Diego last time out. San Francisco averages 68.9 PPG and it allows 67.8. Pacific averages 71.3 PPG and it allows 72.4. The Tigers have lost three straight and come in razor focused in our opinion. Note that Pacific is 9-5 ATS as an underdog this year, while San Francisco is just 6-10 ATS as a favorite. Grab the points, play on PACIFIC. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-03-18 | Xavier v. DePaul +7 | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* UPSET SPECIAL on DePaul. Xavier is 26-4, while DePaul is 11-18. Xavier pulled away for an 84-74 home win over Providence on Wednesday, while DePaul comes in off a humbling 82-57 loss to Creighton. Not surprisingly, this is a revenge game for the home side after it fell 77-52 on the road in the first matchup. The Musketeers average 85.2 PPG and they allow 75.4. The Blue Demons average 72.4 PPG and they concede 74.2. DePaul has plenty of motivation as it tries to avenge the earlier loss and to try and play spoiler, as a victory today will seal the No. 1 seed outright for Xavier throughout the upcoming conference tournament. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a closer than expected battle. Grab the points, play on DEPAUL. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-02-18 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -10.5 | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RND 3 BIG TEN CONF TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State. Wisconsin upset Maryland 59-54 on Thursday to advance to the quarterfinals of the Big 10 Conference Tournament and it now faces No. 1 seed Michigan State. The Spartans have to be liking their chances today as they’d take both regular season meetings between the schools. Wisconsin averages 67.1 PPG and it concedes 66.1. Michigan State averages 82.1 PPG and it concedes 64.6. We like MSU to take advantage of this favorable matchup against this satisfied and fatigued Badgers team. Lay the points with confidence, play on MSU. AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |