Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-24-23 | Merrimack v. Samford -11.5 | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
10* Samford (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Samford is 3-2 and Merrimack is 3-1. Samford is known for its tough defensive play, while Samford is known for its high-scoring offensive prowess. It's a classic strength vs. strength here. The Bulldogs are balanced overall, averaging 78.8 PPG, while allowing 72.8. The Warriors average 73.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Merrimack's competition to this point though needsd to be called into question. Look for the high-scoring home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for the win and ATS cover; the play is indeed on Samford! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-23 | BYU v. Arizona State +11.5 | Top | 77-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
10* Arizona State (NON-CONF GOW) The Sun Devils are 2-1 and on a two-game win streak after a 71-69 victory over UMass Lowell River. BYU is 4-0, most recently off a commanding 93-50 victory over Morgan State. Aside from SDSU, a game the Cougars won 74-65 as two-point favorites, BYU has not played anyone of note. They've been massive double-digit favorites in every other game. This is the "Vegas Showdown" Tournament and we think that the improving underdog side offers great value in this spot to pull off a comfortable ATS cover. Look for ASU to put up a similar fight as to what the Aztecs gave; grab the points, the play is indeed on Arizona State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-23 | Cal-Riverside +4 v. Montana State | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UC Riverside (MID-MAJOR MAULING) UC Riverside is 2-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. We expect the Highlanders to, at the very least, finally get off the schneid here in the ATS department. They're actually coming off a 74-68 win over Wisconsin Green Bay and despite not covering the spread last time out, note that UC Riverside is still a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Montanta State actually lost 54-53 to Wisconsin Green Bay in OT as an 11-point favorite here at home two nights ago. These teams are in fact evenly matched and in a battle that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is UC Riverside! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Maryland -20 | Top | 68-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (ATS CURB-STOMP) Maryland is 1-3, while UMBC is 3-2. The Terps are heavily favored here to snap their three game slide and we think they'll do just that by being merciless here on the Retreivers. Note that Maryland is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. UMBC now looks primed for a letdown after winning and covering in three straight (note that the Retreivers are in fact just 2-4 ATS in their last six after three or more straight SU victories in a row.) Look for Maryland to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-23 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 65-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (TOURNEY GOW) Virginia is 4-0 and Wisconsin is 2-2. The Badgers are off a 76-68 win over Robert Morris, while UVA is off a 63-33 win over Texas Southern. This is UVA's first "real" test though and Wisconsin ultimately has the offensive fire-power to match pace. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Wisconsin! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-23 | Louisville v. Indiana -6.5 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Indiana (ATS BLOWOUT) Indiana is 3-1 SU, but 0-4 ATS. Louisville is 2-2 SU/ATS. This is the consolation game of the Saatva Empire Classic. The Hoosiers are off the 77-57 loss to UConn, but we're expecting them to bounce back here, and keep your eye on Kel'el Ware, who is averaging 16.5 points and 9.5 boards per game. Louisville lost to Texas last time out. The Cardinals are led most night by Tre White with 14.5 PPG. Clearly, Louisville is going to be better than the garbage pile it was last year, but it's still in over its head here in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-23 | St. John's +5 v. Utah | Top | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* St. John's (ASSASSIN) This is for the third-place in the Charleston Classic. The Red Storm are off an 88-81 loss at Dayton, while the Utes fell 76-66 to Houston on Friday. St. John's is now 2-2 on the year, but battle-tested. They average 74.3 PPG, while allowing 75.8. Utah is averaging 71.5 PPG, while allowing 66.3. The Utes struggled defensively last time out though and we think they'll have their hands full here too in this neutral site affair. We think the Red Storm will do more than enough to, at the very least, post the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is St. John's! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-23 | Morgan State +30 v. BYU | 50-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Morgan State (ULTIMATE SHOCKER) Outright victory?! Of course not! But we think that this is a great situational play on the underdog. Morgan State is 2-2 and BYU is 3-0. The Cougars have yet to be tested, plaing all three games at home, but with a tournament game vs. Arizona State this week, there's no doubt that BYU gets caught "looking ahead" here. We like the Bears to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Morgan State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-23 | Columbia +12.5 v. Temple | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
10* Columbia (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Temple is 3-0, and Columbia is 2-2. Columbia is averaging 78 PPG, and we think its impressive offense will keep it competitive late in this one. Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa is one of four players averaging double-figures. Temple averages only 66.3 PPG, but it has been getting the job done with its impressive defensive play, holding teams to just 38.5 percent shooting. Hysier Miller leads the way offensively for Temple. With Ole Miss coming to town next, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half as well; grab the points, the play is Columbia! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-17-23 | Butler v. Michigan State -8 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ATS BEATDOWN) The Butler Bulldogs are 3-0 SU/ATS, while Michigan State is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. The Spartans lost their last game against 9th ranked Duke, but we're expecting them to now take out their frustrations on the Bulldogs. Butler has looked great in its three straight home wins, but now they hit the road for the first time and we're predicting a predictable letdown. The bottom line here though is that Butler hasn't played anyone difficult yet, and the Spartans are already battle-tested and now a little pissed off; look for MSU to run up the score and keep the foot on the gas until the final horn! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-16-23 | Missouri -2 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-68 | Push | 0 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* MISSOURI (NON-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational contrarian-based selection. Missouri is 2-1, while Minnesota is 2-0. The Tigers are 0-3 ATS to open the season, but note that Missouri is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the Gophers, we naturally will lean to the opposite side no matter the situation. So far Missouri averaged 78.9 PPG, while allowing 74.4 last season, while Minnesota averaged 62.9 PPG, while allowing 71. The Tigers won't be as good as they were last year with plenty of new faces, but their defense will be the difference-maker in this one; lay the points, the play is Missouri! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
10* SEMO (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Evansville is 2-0, and Southeast Missouri State (SEMO), is 0-2. We think that the Purple Aces will be caught a bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead to their game at home vs. Ball State this weekend. The Redhawks have been blown out in each of their first two games, but they were huge dogs in each. They were 16 points at Grand Canyon, and lost 88-67. Then they were 20-point dogs at Butler and lost 91-56. Now back at home for the first time this year and battle-tested, we're expecting an all out effort from the home side here to "get off the schneid," the play is SEMO! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-23 | Merrimack v. Ohio State -22.5 | 52-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Ohio State (ROUT) Merrimack is 2-1 and it's on the road to take on 1-1 Ohio State. The Buckeyes held on for a 79-73 win over Oakland as 19.5-point favorites, before then falling 73-66 at home to Texas A&M as 1.5-point favs. The Warriors have won two straight and are 3-0 ATS, but the level of their competition obviously has to be called into question here, most recently a 71-65 victory over Maine. Ohio State has underperformed and because of that, we are aboslutely expecting the Buckeyes to take this game super seriously and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. A great situational play; lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Ohio State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-23 | Mercer v. Morehead State -3 | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
10* Morehead State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) 1-1 Mercer hits the road to take on 1-2 Morhead State and in our opinion, the home court advatage can not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this one. This is a "trap" game for the Bears, who are off the 66-61 SU/ATS win over Chicago State, and who have a big nationally televised game at Alabama this weekend. Morehead State lost 105-73 at Alabama to open the season, then bounced back with a 96-40 win SHAST, which was then followed by an 87-57 loss at Purdue. Morehead State has played some tough competition and catches Mercer here at the right time; lay the points with confidence, the play is Morehead State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-23 | Long Island +16.5 v. Pepperdine | Top | 53-88 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
10* LIU (BOB) Are we calling for the outright victory?! We're not obviously! But in a contest that we predict being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Pepperdine is 2-1, while LIU is 0-1. The Sharks fought hard, but eventually fell 82-67 to Air Force as ten-point dogs in their most recent matchup. The Waves are coming off a 76-53 winm over the Leopards. LIU was amazingly just 1-15 ATS on the road last year, but we think the Sharks can comfortably sneak in through the back door this time with Pepperdine caught looking ahead to a series of neutral court tournament contests, starting with UC Irvine. Regardless, no outright upset or anything, but expect a comfortably back door cover down the stretch; grab the points, the play is LIU! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-23 | Northern Arizona +19.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Northern Arizona (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Grand Canyon is 1-0, while Northern Arizona is 0-1. The Lumberjacks fell 95-52 to a tough UConn team, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS non-conference road loss. The Antelopes pulled away for the 88-67 win and cover over Southeast Missouri State, but with an upcoming neutral site tourney game vs. San Francisco, we expect the home side to get caught "looking ahead" and to take the foot off the gas in the second half; grab the points, the play is Northern Arizona! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-23 | Bucknell +10.5 v. Niagara | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* Bucknell (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Bucknell is 0-2 SU/ATS after an 80-61 loss at Penn. Niagara is off the 70-63 loss at Notre Dame. These teams played last year and Bucknell posted the 68-50 win, and while there's been plenty of turnover for both teams, we still think the Bison will be competitive here vs. what we feel is an over-rated Purple Eagles side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Bucknell! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-23 | Coppin State +15 v. Mt. St. Mary's | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
8* Coppin State (SUPER BLOWOUT) No matter the sport, at the start of the season we're always looking for great situational plays. This one falls into that category. Coppin State is 0-2 SU/ATS, while Mount Saint Mary's is 0-1 SU and 1-0 ATS. The Eagles though have played two tough opponents in Virginia Tech and Towson, both which they were huge dogs. With those two games under their belts, we're expecting this undervalued visiting side to give the Mountaineers everything they can handle. They lost 68-53 to Maryland, and while they'll almost assuredly go on to win this game outright, we just can't see them covering this large spread; so grab the points, the play is Coppin State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-23 | Clemson v. UAB +6.5 | Top | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* UAB (TOURNEY THROW-DOWN) We like the hungry underdog to, at the very least, keep this one close eough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Clemson is 1-0, and UAB is 0-1. Clemson is off the 78-56 win over Winthrop, while UAB enters off a tough 73-71 OT home loss to Bradley as a 4.5-point favorite. But note that the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss. UAB was competitive even in defeat and while the Blazers may not win this game outright, everything points to another "nail-biter" in our opinion; grab the points, the play is UAB. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-23 | Morehead State +29.5 v. Purdue | 57-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Morehead State (DESTRUCTION) Purdue is the No. 3 ranked team in the country right now after beating Samford 98-45 in its opener. Four players scored in double digits, led by 16 points and 11 board from Zach Edley. The Morehead State Eagles are 1-1, most recently destroying Shawnee State 96-40, led by Riley Minix with 18 points and 15 boards (the Eagles lost 105-73 to Alabama in their opener.) The Eagles are experienced, and I think they can comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch, with the Boilermakers looking ahead to upcoming games vs. Xavier and Gonzaga. This is too many points, so grab them; the play is indeed on Morehead State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-23 | Northern Kentucky +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Northern Kentucky (BLOOD-BATH) Are we predicting an outright upset? Don't be silly! But we do think there are enough external factors working in UNK's favor here to easily cover with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. The Norse are off a 74-57 loss to to MTSU, led by Marques Warrick with 18 points in a losing cause. Washington is 1-0 in contrast after pulling away for a comfortable 91-57 victory over Bellarmine. Koren Johnson led the charge with 25 points. Washington only averaged 69.2 PPG last year, hwile Northern Kentucky averaged 67.8. No outright here, but much closer than expected; grab the points the play is Northern Kentucky! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-08-23 | Western Illinois +16.5 v. SMU | 53-90 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
8* WESTERN ILLINOIS (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that. But we're definitely expecting much more of a tighter battle, especially as this one comes down the stretch, than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Western Illinois lost 78-68 in OT at UTSA on Monday. SMU beat Southwestern Assemblies of Cod 82-63. Western Illinois was competitive throughout though in its loss, actually tied at half time. SMU welcomes Texas A&M to town this weekend, and with that much more high-profile game on deck, we believe the home side also gets caught looking ahead to that one, leaving the back door open just enough for the Leathernecks to sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Western Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-07-23 | Cal-Irvine +1 v. San Jose State | Top | 64-72 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* UC Irvine (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. San Jose State finished 21-14 last year, including going 12-3 at home; the Spartans only averaged 67.5 PPG though. UC Irvine was 23-12 overall last year, and a highly-respectable 9-7 on the road. The Anteaters also averaged 74.8 PPG last year and were much better from range, hitting 37.7 from beyond the arc, compared to San Jose State's 32.6. As stated off the top, grab as many points as you can, the play is UC Irvine! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-23 | Long Beach State v. Portland +3 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* Portland (NON-CONF GOW) Here we go with another exciting CBB season. For the first couple of weeks, we'll take it easy as we try to get a "feel" for the teams again and how everything looks. To begin with, we're going to find a team that we feel is undervalued, and that's the case here with Portland being a home dog. These teams are very evenly matched, but the home court advantage will prove to be the difference-maker in our opinion. The clincher though is that nearly 80% of the early public money is on LBSU, which is always a very public team. The value in our eyes though swings the other way and while clearly the outright win is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Portland! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
10* SDSU (ASSASSIN) Not many would have had these two in the National Championship game, but here we are. UConn has more depth and overall talent, but SDSU won't be going down quietly. I think the Aztecs have what it takes to win this one outright in fact. UConn isn't Georgia, and SDSU isn't TCU, so this National Championship Game is going to be a lot tighther than most are anticipating in my opinion. SDSU has some height and will be able to mix it up with UConn big man Sanogo in the paint. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but everything points to a real battle again here tonight; grab the points, the play is SDSU! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 23 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think these teams are very evenly matched, and in a contest that I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hurricanes are great from the line, and UConn continues to get hammered with a lot of fouls. Miami also doesn't rely on shooting the three ball, but it's still hitting 44 percent from range. The Hurricanes are also 8-3 ATS their last 11 as an underdog, with six outright victories. While I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; grab the points, the play is Miami Florida! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. San Diego State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 97 h 51 m | Show |
10* BLOCKBUSTER on FAU. I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Not many brackets left right now. These two teams have consistently been under-rated and undervalued, both by their opponents and the bookmakers alike, and once again that's the case now for just one of those teams here tonight. And in my opinion, that's FAU. The Owls already proved that they can win this type of game over Tennessee (which I'll argue is better than SDSU). FAU dominates the glass, while the Aztecs are just mediocre in that department. Finally, note that FAU is a near-perfect 11-1 in games decided by five points or less. Clearly the outright win is possible, but grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-23 | UAB -1.5 v. North Texas | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
10* UAB (NIT WINNER) It all comes down to this. A decent offensive team, vs. a decent defensive team. The old saying that "defense wins championships" will NOT be apt in this particular contest in my opinion though. The Blazers allow 70.3 points per game, but their defense finally catches a break here facing a UNT offense that averages only 64.4 PPG. Yes the Mean Green only allow 55.7, but the Blazers' are averaging 81.3 points per game. I say that it's UNT that finally runs out of momentum and gas here. Look for UAB to pull away down the stretch and lay the short points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (ELITE 8 GOY) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams ahve been great. I'd argue though that Texas' path to this point has been the easier one, with wins over Colgate, Penn State and Xavier. Miami has had Drake, Indiana and Houston. Dylan Disu is a question mark in this one for Texas and if he does play, he'll be less than 100%. The Longhorns are deep, but it's still a concern. I feel that Miami has been undervalued and kind of overlooked throughout this tournament, and I believe that's once again the case here; while the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Hurricanes! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* FAU (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. FAU averages 79.3 PPG, while allowing only 65.7. K-State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 68.7. The Owls have consistently been overrated, and while I think that Wildcats' guard Markquis Nowell is fantastic, this defense is much tighter than MSU's and I have a hard time seeing Kansas State duplicating its previous performance; I'm grabbing the points in this one, the play is FAU! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-23 | Princeton v. Creighton -9.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 104 h 30 m | Show |
10* Creighton (SWEET 16 GOY) Princeton has exceeded expectations, but I say the Cinderella story comes to an end here today. The Tigers average 76 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Creighton though is battle-tested and more consistent on both ends of the court in my opinion, averaging 76.8 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Tigers have become a popular pick with bettors, with the majority of the early bets placed on Princeton. While most go one way though, we're going to go the other; a great contrarian Sweet 16 Game of the Year on Creighton! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Houston -7.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think No. 1 seed Houston will pull away down the stretch for a comfortable win and cover vs. No. 5 Miami. Miami has an efficient offense, but this Houston defense is on an entirely different level. Houston has a rebounding advantage over Miami as well, and the Hurricanes defense is just mediocre. Houston has the advantage in every metric and we can expect that to translate into a solid cover; the play is Houston! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
10* ALABAMA FIRST HALF (BLOWOUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. San Diego has gotten this far because of its great defense, but I have a hard time seeing it slowing down this incredibly deep Alabama offense, with four players averaging double-figures. But the thing is, Alabama's defense is even better than the Aztecs is. I look for the TIDE to go up early and keep the foot on the gas going into the break; this is a play on ALABAMA in the FIRST HALF, but if you don't have a FIRST HALF line available, I still like the TIDE against-the-spread for the entire game as well! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-23 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. With a spread like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. The Spartans are slightly better offensively, while the Wildcats are slightly better defensively. I like Tom Izzo's experience though and I also think MSU's shooting from range will be a difference-maker. The Spartans only hit 2 of 16 three-pointers in their win over Marquette, but still managed a nine-point victory. I don't expect them to shoot that poorly again here; lay the short points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State -5 | Top | 65-59 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma State (NIT) Anyone who had Oklahoma State vs. Eastern Washington can't be feeling too great after the way that last game ended for the Cowboys. OKS was an 11.5-point favorite and won by 11 after the Eagles hit a meaningless 3-pointer with time winding off the clock. But where the Cowboys failed ATS last time out, I fully expect them to pull away for a comfortable cover with this more manageable spread. OKS averages 69.5 PPG, while allowing 66.8. North Texas averages 63.7 PPG, while allowing only 55.4. The problem here for UNT though is now it runs in to perhaps an even better defense than its own. The level of competition simply can't be compared between these two; I'm expecting a blowout, so lay the points with Oklahoma State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-23 | Rice +7 v. Southern Utah | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Rice (CBI GOW) Rice may have stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, but it looked great in its 84-78 win over Duquesne to open this tournament. I say the Owls now build off that performance and, at the very least, give the Southern Utah Thunderbirds everything they can handle. Southern Utah has been playing well, having won four of its last five. They also looked impressive in their opening 72-50 win over Northern Alabama. These team's numbers are similar and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Rice! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-23 | Duke -3 v. Tennessee | Top | 52-65 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* 2ND ROUND GOY on Duke. I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. These teams are moving in opposite directions in a way right now. Duke is peaking, and Tennessee is struggling to remain elite. The Vols are still trying to adjust after star point guard Zakai Zeigler went down with a torn ACL. Santiago Vescovi is now the leading scorer at 12.6 PPG, but he struggled in the first round with just 3 points in 27 minutes. Duke's guard Jeremy Roach is playing the best basketball of his career, and so is the rest of his team; look for the Blue Devils to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
10* FAU (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the Tournament. FAU comes in "under the radar" in my opinion. The Owls average 79.3 PPG, and allow just 65.7. Memphis averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 72.6. FAU has the experience, size and athleticism to win this one outright and give Purdue a serious scare in the next round; grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-23 | Drake +2 v. Miami-FL | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* Drake (BLOCKBUSTER) Going to be really succinct with my analysis throughout the Tournament. I think many will discount Drake here, as I already see the majority of the money on Miami Florida. The Bulldogs are no push-overs, clearly a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers. The Bulldogs average 75.6 PPG, and allow just 64.8. Miami averages 79.6 PPG, while allowing 71.7. While the majority of the public goes one way with this wager, we're going to go the other; the play is Drake! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
10* Saint Mary's (BLOCKBUSTER) Saint Mary's lost in the West Coast Conference Tourney to Gonzaga, but I think the Gaels have more than enough gas left in the tank to handle VCU. The Rams beat George Washington on March 4th to take the A-10 Tourney Final. I just think the A-10 is watered down after the Top 3 teams. The Gaels have veteran leadership and a more well rounded side; lay the points, the play is Saint Mary's! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-23 | Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
10* Boise State (NCAA FIRST ROUND GOY) Boise State finished 24-9, while Northwestern was 21-11. The Broncos lost to Utah State in the Mountain Westn Conference by a score of 72-62 in the second round. Northwestern got bounced 67-65 by Penn State in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. The bottom line here is that Boise State enters the NCAA Tournament in much better overall form in my opinion. The Broncos have scored 66 or more points in eight of their last nine outings, while Northwestern lhas scored 65 points or fewer over five straight games. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many point as you can; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright win? It's not entirely out of the realm of possibility, but in a contest that I see coming "right down to the wire," I'm going to grab the points. Oral Roberts finished 30-4, while Duke was 26-8. Neither team was great agains the spread. Oral Roberts though comes in off a high and I think it can keep the momentum rolling here after annihilating North Dakota State 92-58 as a ten-point favorite in the Summit Conference Tournament Championship Game, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Duke won the ACC by taking down Virginia 59-49 as a 3.5-point favorite. Oral Roberts has flown under the radar all season, and that's the case again here as well in my opinion. While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end let's grab the points on this undervalued underdog; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-23 | Illinois +2 v. Arkansas | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) The No. 9 Fighting Illini finished 20-12, while the No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks were 27-12. Both teams backed their way into the tournament. Illinois lost three of its last four, while Arkansas dropped four of its previous five. The Illini average 74.7 PPG, while allowing 67, while Arkansas averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 72.6. If history is any precedence, then Illinois has to be loving its chances here, as the Illini have won all five meetings with Arkansas (haven't played since 2004). Either way, the Illini's superior defense will prove to be the difference-maker in my opinion; grab the points the play is Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Howard (BLOWOUT) Howard is No. 16, finishing 22l-12 in the MEAC. Kansas is the No. 1 seed, finishing 27-7. The Bison have won five straight overall, and they're 4-2 in neutral court games this year. Kansas has lost to Texas twice in the last week and gone just 2-2 in its last four (gone 5-2 in neutral court games.) Howard has consistently been undervalued by oddsmakers this year (16-12 ATS), while Kansas has been overvalued (14-17 ATS.) That's the case again here, so grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10* Nevada (FIRST FOUR GOY) Nevada finished 22-10 on the year, losing to San Jose State in the Mountain West Conference tournament. The Wolfpack did close out the regular season decently finishing 4-3 down the stretch. In their last game they had to battle back from a 31-26 first-half deficit to force overtime, but they everntually fell 81-77. Arizona State was 22-12 this year and the Sun Devils fell to Arizona in the Conference Tournament last Friday. The Sun Devils finished the regular season with two straight losses but they opened up the Conference Tournament with two straight wins, including over USC 77-72. But then they ran into a decent defense in Arizona and they lost 78-59. After looking at what each team has done coming in, I do like the Wolfpack here. Despite having lost three sraight games, Nevada has scored 67 or more points in all three. Arizona State on the other hand has scored 65 or fewer points in four of its last five. Look for Nevada's superior offense right now to be the difference-maker down the stretch; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-23 | Alcorn State v. North Texas -17 | Top | 53-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* North Texas (ASSASSIN) I like the 26-7 North Texas Mean Green to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover once it's all said and done. Alcorn State averages 68.3 PPG, while allowing 70.8, while UNT averages 63.7 PPG, while conceding just 55.4. Good news for UNT's offense today facing this porous defense. I have a hard time seeing the Braves putting up much of an offensive attack today vs. this aggressive Mean Green defense. And that's the difference for me, as Alcorn State will face its stiffest test of the season right here; lay the points, the play is North Texas! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-23 | Mississippi State -1.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 59-60 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN) Pittsburgh finished 22-11 and Mississippi State was 21-12. The Bulldogs took out Florida in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, but then fell to Alabama. I just think the SEC is a much tougher conference ultimately. Pittsburgh was 22-11 overall. It beat Georgia Tech in the second round of the ACC Tourney, before falling to Duke in the quarterfinals. Pittsburgh has the slightly better offense, while Mississippi State has the slightly better defense. I'm banking on the Bulldogs defense to get them through to the First Round; lay the points, the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-23 | Villanova v. Liberty -3 | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH) Liberty isn't getting enough respect here. The Flames finished 26-8, while the Wildcats were 17-16. Liberty finished just a couple of points away from the NCAA Tournament, falling 67-66 to Kennesaw State in the A-Sun Tournament Championship Game. Overall the Flames average 75.2 PPG, while allowing 60.6. It got bounced by Creighton by a score of 87-74 in the conference Tourney. Overall the Wildcats average 70.3 PPG, while allowing 67.8. The Flames experience and superior offense will be the difference here. Lay the points, the play is Liberty! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-23 | Cincinnati v. Houston -9.5 | Top | 48-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC TOURNEY GOY) I am keeping my writeups very succinct today, as there is a lot going on and I need to get this information out as fast as possible. The Bearcats managed the 84-54 win over Temple yesterday to advance, and they've now covered in three straight. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. Houston beat Cincinnati 75-69 on January 28th at home, but it did not cover the large 14.5-point spread. Tonight's spread is much more manageable. Houston beat ECU 60-46 to advance. It's now gone 0-4 ATS in its last four, but note that the Cougars are still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is a very manageable spread to cover; look for Houston to pull away down the stretch! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-23 | Cornell +6.5 v. Yale | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
8* Cornell (SPECIAL) Yale did finish 10-1 at home, but this is at a neutral site. THe Bulldogs come into the Tournament having won and covered in three straight, but note that Yale is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS covers in a row. Cornell finished 17-10. It went 0-3 SU/ATS over its final three. That however is also significant for us to note, as the Big Red are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Cornell went 1-1 vs. Yale this year. It won at home and lost on the road. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Cornell! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -5.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) I had a play on Rutgers in its win over Michigan yesterday, and while the Scarlet Knights pulled off the impressive outright win yesterday, I say their run in this conference tournament comes to an end here vs. the revenge-minded Boilermakers. The reason I really like this play is because Purdue plays with revenge here. It's also rested. Somehow Rutgers upset Purdue 65-64 as an 8.5-point dog on January 2nd. Note though that the Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for the rested and revenge-minded Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-23 | Rutgers +3 v. Michigan | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
10* Rutgers (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) While I do think Rutgers can win this game outright obviously, my official recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. This one sets up well for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights finished 18-13 this year, while Michigan was 17-14. Rutgers stumbled down the stretch, losing its final two games. It plays with revenge here though after a 58-45 loss to Michigan at home as a six-point favorite on February 23rd, and that's significant for us to note here, as the Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Michigan lost its final two games of the regular season as well. It did cover the spread in five straight to end the year, but that actually works in our favor, as the Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS victories in a row; grab the points, the play is Rutgers! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-23 | DePaul +6.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* DePaul (BIG EAST TOURNEY GOY) It's tenth seeded DePaul looking to pull off an upset vs. No. 7 seed Seton Hall. The Blue Demons come in under the radar on a 12-game losing streak. They fell 84-70 to Creighton on Saturday. The Pirates closed out the year with an 82-58 road win over Providence. The Blue Demons average 70.9 PPG, while allowing 77.3. That defense catches a break here today vs. a Pirates team that averages just 68.6 PPG. Overall Seton Hall allows just 65.1. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, let alone beat it both SU and ATS. Seton Hall is already 2-0 SU/ATS over DePaul during the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament spread a few points larger than it normally would be in my opinion. The Pirates may win this game, but it won't be easy; grab the points, the play is DEPAUL! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-04-23 | Idaho +4.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* Idaho (BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY) We have two really bad teams going head-to-head here in the opener of the Big Sky Tourney. Idaho finished 10-21, while Northern Arizona was 9-22. This is a neutral site affair, so neither team enjoys an advantage as far as that's concerned tonight. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but Idaho has done really well in this spot for bettors in the past, and I expect that to again be the case today, as note that the Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was a favorite vs. an opponent. And Idaho does indeed play with revenge here after falling 72-50 to Northern Arizona at home as a 2.5-point favorite in mid-February. With that loss still fresh at the front of their minds, look for the Vandals to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Idaho! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-04-23 | Troy State +3 v. James Madison | Top | 72-75 | Push | 0 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Trojans in the opener of the Sunbelt Tournament. Troy finished 20-12, while James Madison was 21-10. The Dukes did finish 11-3 at home, but note that this one is at a neutral location. Troy actually got past the first round by defeating Arkansas State by a score of 63-59, winning but not covering the 8-point spread. James Madison earned a bye, but it hasn't played since February 24th. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Most importantly here for me though on this play is that the Trojans play with revenge here after falling 89-87 i OT to the Dukes as one-point favorites at home in January, which is crucial for us here, as note that Troy is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Clearly the outright is a possibility, but the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Troy! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-04-23 | Elon +2 v. William & Mary | 51-73 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
8* Elon (TOURNEY BLOWOUT) It's the opener of the CAA Tournament and I like the way this one sets up for Elon, which plays with the immediate "revenge factor." Both teams struggled this year. Elon fiished just 8-23l while William & Mary was 12-19. While the Tribe did finish 11-5 at home, note that this is at a neutral location. Elon averages 65.9 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while William & Mary averages 67.7 PPG, while allowing 70.2. Elon won the first matchup of the year by a score of 66-55, but then the Tribe bounced back with the 73-60 win at home as a one-point dog on February 23rd. That however works in our favor here, as note that Elon is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss to a conference opponent; the play is Elon! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-03-23 | Northern Iowa +10.5 v. Bradley | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
8* NORTHERN IOWA (DESTRUCTION) I like Northern Iowa to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northern Iowa advanced to the second round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament by beating Illinois State by a score of 75-62 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Panthers play with revenge here after falling 77-69 to the Braves as three-point dogs back in earl February. Note that Northern Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponent. Bradley received a bye in the first round and while it is indeed 15-1 at home this year, note that this is in a neutral location; grab the points and expect a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-02-23 | Louisiana-Monroe +5.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UL Monroe (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) This is the first round of the Sunbelt Tournament and I really like the way this one sets up for UL Monroe. The Warhawks are just 11-20 this year, while Georgia Southern finished 16-15. UL Monroe enters having lost seven straight SU, and three straight ATS, which is significat to note, as UL Monroe is 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. UL Monroe actually upset Georgia Southern by a score of 72-59 as an 8.5-point underdog in January. Georgia Southern is 16-15 overall, and 12-4 at home, but this is being played at a neutral site. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands in the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is UL Monroe! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-02-23 | Lafayette +3 v. Lehigh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* Lafayette (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) I love the way this one sets up for Lafayette. The Leopards have lost four straight, but they play with revenge here after a 66-64 loss to Lehigh as a two-point favorite at home on February 4th. That's however crucial to note here, as Lafayette is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent (moves to 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent as well.) Lehigh was 2-1 down the stretch SU, but 3-0 ATS. Note however that the Mountain Hawks are a sub-par 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is a very evenly matched contest, a sentiment shared here by the oddsmakers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Lafayette! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-28-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Robert Morris -14 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* Robert Morris (HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNEY GOY) The IUPUI Jaguars are just 5-26, but they somehow managed an 81-75 win over Robert Morris just a few nights ago. That was as a ten-point underdog. That's good news for us her though, because Robert Morris is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Robert Morris did beat IUPUI here by a score of 77-70 back on January 9th, but while the Colonials were unable to cover the 15-point spread in that one, I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here in this revenge spot and to open up the Conference Tournament. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction here in my opinion; lay the points, the play is Robert Morris! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-27-23 | CS Sacramento v. Portland State -2.5 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
10* Portland State (BIG SKY GOW) This one really sets up well for Portland State here at home in the final game of the year for both of these teams. Sacramento State is just 13-17 this year, including only 4-10 on the road. Portland State is only 12-17 this year, but a more respectable 6-6 at home. The Vikings plays with revenge here as well after falling 74-63 at the Hornets as 2.5-point dogs back on December 31st. But that's significant to note here as Portland State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. The home floor advantage, coupled with the "revenge" factor make Portland State the correct call here on Monday! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-25-23 | Eastern Washington v. Idaho State +6.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Idaho State (BIG SKY GOM) I love the way this one sets up for the home side. Idaho State snapped a four-game slide with a 65-55 win over Idaho in its most recent action. This is its final home game of the season, so it's senior night. They play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 81-68 at EWU as ten-point dogs in January. Are the Eagles the better team? Of course! They're 22-7 overall, but with a game at home vs. No. 2 Montana State, I think this is a "trap" game for the visiting side. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Idaho State! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-25-23 | Northeastern +15.5 v. Hofstra | 52-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
8* Northeastern (MID-MAJOR MAULING) It's the final game of the regular season for both teams. I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do expect the Pride to take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the revenge-minded Huskies to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northeastern lost 72-53 at home as an eight-point dog at the start of February, and note that the Huskies have responded well for bettors in this exact spot, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for Northeastern to put a good fight here and grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-23-23 | UMKC +12 v. South Dakota State | Top | 50-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this one being a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting in my opinion. Kansas City comes in under the radar here in my opinion. It won't be lacking motivation either after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note that the Roos are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row though.) They play with revenge as well after a 67-66 home loss to South Dakota State on January 30th. The Jack Rabbits are 9-1 at home. I think they go up early and take the foot off the gas at the end of the game. And with 25-4 Oral Roberts coming to town to finish off the regular season, there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look-ahead" for SDSU as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-23-23 | Monmouth +3 v. Hampton | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (CAA GOY) Two terrible teams here, but in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Monmouth is 6-23, while Hampton is 7-22. The Hawks play with revenge here though after an 83-66 setback at home to the Pirates as 2.5-point favorites on January 21st. Note that Monmouth is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This is also Monmouth's final game of the season, and the Hawks would love nothing more tha to send out the Pirates with a loss in their final home game. Hampton has one more game after this at North Carolina A&T to look ahead to as well. Grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-22-23 | Charleston Southern +10 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Charleston Southern (BIG SOUTH GOY) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I think that Charleston Southern will play tougher than expected, and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Buccaneers come in undervalued here after six straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note though that Charleston Southern is still 9-3 in its last 12 after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) Not surprisingly the Buccaneers play with "revenge" here after falling 73-63 lto UNC Asheville at home on January 18th as 2.5-point dogs. But that works in our favor here, as they're 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Bulldogs have "look ahead" spot here as well, with their final game of the season at No. 1 Longwood on Saturday night. As I said off the top, I'm not expecting an outright win, but everything points to a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Charleston Southern! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-23 | East Carolina v. Tulsa +1.5 | Top | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (AAC GOM) I base my picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well for Tulsa from a "situational" stand point in my opinion. ECU is the better team. It's 13-13, while Tulsa is only 5-21. However, the Pirates' weakness this season has absolutely been the quality of their play on the road, where they're just 1-7 this year. Tulsa on the other hand has been at its best at home this year, despite the 4-8 record. The Golden Hurricane though have performed well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent (lost 76-66 at ECU on January 24th.) With a game vs. conference leading Houston up next for the Pirates as well, this is also a "look-ahead" spot for the visitors. As I said off the top, I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a "situational" stand-point; grab the points the play is Tulsa! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-23 | East Tennessee State +14.5 v. Furman | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* East Tennessee State (SOUTHERN GOW) This one ticks all the boxes from a "situational" stand point. No outright upset or anything, but I think that Furman will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow East Tennessee State to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. ETSU is just 10-18 and 4-8 on the road. It plays with revenge here after falling 70-56 to Furman at home at the start of January. Note though that the Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponet. We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season. Look for ETSU to keep this one close down the stretch; the play is the Buccaneers! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-17-23 | Detroit +2 v. Oakland | Top | 96-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Detroit (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) Detroit is 12-16, and 8-9 in league play after a 76-71 win over Green Bay last time out. On the season the Titans are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 76.1. Oakland is 12-16 and 10-7 in league action after an 85-81 win over IUPUI in its last outing. Overall the Grizzlies average only 73 PPG, while allowing 75.5. Note that this is a revenge game for the Titans after they lost 76-67 at home to Oakland as a four-point fav in January. But that's signficant to note here as Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Finally note that Oakland is just 1-4 ATS in it last five at home. I like Detroit here to avenge the earlier loss, but that said, let's grab the points; the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-15-23 | Missouri State +9.5 v. Bradley | Top | 54-64 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOY) I like the Missouri State Bears to sneak in under the radar here and to comfortably cover with the large spread that they've been afforded. Missouri State plays with revenge here after falling 58-40 to Bradley back in December. Note that the Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. The Bears have now lost seven straight ATS, despite going 4-3 in that span, including 2-0 in the last two. Bradley has won six straight, including four straight ATS. With a game at 20-8 Southern Illinois on Saturday, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add up those two factors, you get "trap game." I'm not calling for the outright, but everything points to a battle until the final horn; grab the points, the play is Missouri State! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-12-23 | Wofford +10.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 89-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
10* Wofford (Southern GOM) I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Wofford is just 13-13 after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. But that's important for us to note here, as the Terriers are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Wofford also plays with revenge after a 73-64 loss to UNC Greensboro on New Year's Eve. The Spartans are 17-9 and rolling along after winning eight of their last ten, including three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that UNC Greensboro is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS wins in a row. With a game vs. 18-9, No. 2 Samford on deck up next, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add those two factors together, you get "TRAP GAME." No outright, but much tighter than expected; grab the points the play is Wofford! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-09-23 | UMKC +3.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While I think an outright victory isn't out of the question obviously with a short spread like this, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Kansas City is 10-15, while Western Illinois is 15-9. KC had won three straight, but it comes to town having dropped two in a row, both SU and ATS. That includes an 85-57 loss to Oral Roberts last time out. That however is important for us to take note, as the Roos have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 59 or less points in. KC not surprisingly plays with revenge here as well after falling 60-52 at home to the Leathernecks back in January. That is also signifcant to note here, as KC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Off a 75-72 road upset over Nebraska Omaha, all signs finally point to a letdown here for the home side; grab the points, the play is KC! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-07-23 | Ohio -3 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) Ohio is 12-11, while NIU is 10-13. Ohio is off a 78-68 win over Miami Ohio and I like the Bobcats to keep the momentum rolling here. Note that Ohio though has lost three against the spread, which is important for us to note, as the Bobcats are in fact a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. Jaylin Hunter led the way for Ohio, scoring 23 points. Ohio's offense is the difference-maker for me here, as I just can't see the Huskies keeping pace, as note that the Bobcats average 110.2 points per 100 possessions (77.9 PPG.) NIU looks primed for a letdown after B2B victories, most recently beating Bowling Green 86-78. David Coit led all scorers, dropping 21 points. The Huskies though average only 71.1 PPG. Ohio's weak point is on the defensive end, but that unit catches a break today facing the Huskies; I'm riding with Ohio to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-06-23 | Weber State v. Northern Colorado +1.5 | Top | 54-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY GOY) Weber State is the better team, but it won't be in this one tonight. It's 12-11 overall, but just 5-7 on the road. Northern Colorado is 7-16 and only 2-6 at home. Weber State has won four of its last five, but off a tight 72-71 OT win at Idaho State, I expect a slight mental letdown here from the visiting side. The Bears on the other hand play with revenge after falling 81-72 at Weber State as 3.5-point underdogs on December 29th. That's signficiant to note here as UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an oppoent. UNC is off three straight road losses, which is also significant to note as the Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Weber State gets caught looking ahead to its home game vs. 17-8 Montana State on Friday, and UNC rallies to snap the slide and get revenge; the play is Northern Colorado! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-05-23 | Houston -10.5 v. Temple | Top | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC GOY) I think the "revenge" angle works for Houston here after Temple upset the Cougars 56-55 back on January 22nd as a 15.5-point underdog. Note that Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent; lay the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-04-23 | Vermont v. Albany +11 | Top | 87-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* Albany (AE GOY) Vermont is 12-10, but just 5-6 on the road. Albany is only 6-18, but it's a much more respectable 3-4 at home. Vermont is off four straight victories, but I believe this is just a few points too many to have to lay on the road here. The Catamounts only average 69.5 PPG. The Great Danes average 66.4. Albany has lost six straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important for us to note here, as note that the Great Danes are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the hungry home side to battle until the final buzzer, and in so doing, also comfortably cover this spread at the same time; the play is Albany! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-03-23 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Iona -15 | Top | 51-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* Iona (MAAC GOY) I'm expecting a lop-sided blowout here on Friday. Mount Saint Mary's is 7-15, while Iona is 14-7. Mount St. Mary's has lost two straight, most recenlty falling 73-62 to St. Peter's. Mount St. Mary's is ranked tenth offensively in the conference, and fourth on the defensive side. The Gaels are coming back from an 18-point deficit to beat Quinnipiac 78-72 and I expect Iona to keep that momentum rolling here. The Gaels are ranked first offensively in the conference, and ninth defensively. Iona catches a much needed break on the defensive end this evening though. After going 2-2 their last four in conference play, I expect the Gaels to come in focussed and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Iona! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-30-23 | South Dakota v. Oral Roberts -15.5 | Top | 53-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (SUMMIT GOY) I think that the 10-12 South Dakota Coyotes are in over their heads tonight visiting the 19-4 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles. South Dakota is coming off a win over St. Thomas MN, while Oral Roberts beat Omaha on Saturday. South Dakota though is just 2-7 on the road and it only averages 69.4 PPG. It's won three straight ATS, but that's only helped in driving down this spread in favor of the Golden Eagles. Oral Roberts has lost two of its last three ATS, but I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Note that it enters averaging 84.5 PPG, ranked fifth in the country. All signs point to a lop-sided blowout; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-28-23 | Pepperdine +10 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
10* Pepperdine (WC GOY) Here are two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that fact is in fact working in our favor here, as I believe this spread is a few points larger than it really should be. Pepperdine is 7-15, while Loyola Marymount is 15-7. The Waves are averaging 77.3 PPG, and allowing 79.4. The Lions are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.9. The Waves catch a bit of a break here on the defensive end, as the Lions don't play at the fastest pace. Pepperdine has no issues scoring. Loyola Marymount has a look-ahead matchup at BYU up next as well. Finally note that the underdog is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
10* UConn (BIG EAST GOW) Xavier has been great, but I think it's getting a little TOO much respect here now. It lost 73-72 to DePaul, and then bounced back with a 95-82 win over Georgetown. Beating the Hoyas these days is no big deal, but what is concerning is that the Musketeers allowed 80 or more points for the third time in their last five games. UConn got back on track with a dominant 86-56 home win over Butler last time out, snapping a three-game slide. The Huskies started out the season 14-0, and their first loss of the year occurred at home to Xavier, falling 83-73 as three-point favs on New Year's Eve. Look for the Musketeers to struggle defensively again, and for the revenge-minded Huskies to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; the play is UConn! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-24-23 | Georgia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 51-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
10* Georgia Tech (ACC GOY) I base my selections on many different things. I've always felt that being "flexible" with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. Sometimes I completely dissect a play, looking at every angle possible, each individual player matchup, and every stat and angle I can possibly uncover. Other times I can just give a game the "eye test" and employ the "KISS" method (Keep It Simple Stupid!) Regardless, for this particular play I think it sets up well for Georgia Tech from a situational stand point. Clemson is 11-0 at home, but I'm not calling for an outright upset. I think the Yellow Jackets comfortably sneak in through the back door in the second half. GT is off six straight SU losses, and three straight ATS, which is significant to note, as the Yellow Jackets are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They also play with revenge after falling 79-66 at home to Clemson as two-point underdogs in December. That's also significant to note, as GT is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Clemson's at FSU next. I think it takes the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Georgia Tech! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-23-23 | Grambling State -3 v. Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Grambling State (ASSASSIN) Grambling State is 11-7 and Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 9-11. If history is any precedence, then the Tigers have to be liking their chances. Grambling State's 76-65 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff on January 24th, 2022 was its fifth straight victory in the series. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is interestingly 0-5 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning record though. UAPB is unbeaten at home this year, but that just speaks volumes to the level of competition it's faced to this point. Grambling State has been tough on the road and after four straight ATS losses in a row, I believe they're in fact undervalued here finally this evening; lay the points, the play is Grambling State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-23 | Marshall v. Arkansas State +11 | Top | 87-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (ATS BLOODBATH) Marshall is coming off an 81-73 win over Texas State on Thursday. It's now 16-4 overall and 5-2 in conference action. That said, I still think this is a few too many points to be giving up on the road vs. the hungry Arkansas State side which is 9-11 overall and 1-6 in Sun Belt play. Mashall averages 81.6 PPG, while Arkansas State averages 65.7. With ten days off after this before a game vs. App State on February 2nd, I believe this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. The Red Wolves are 8-5 at home and while I'm not calling for an outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Arkansas State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
10* Texas Tech (BLOWOUT) K-State is 16-2 after its 83-82 OT win at home over Kansas. It was an epic victory, and I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Texas Tech is 10-8 and I think it comes in as clearly the much hungrier side. K-State is playing great, but from a situational stand-point, I absolutely expect a mental letdown here after the win over the Jayhawks. Texas Tech made the Tournament as a three seed last year. The Red Raiders have fallen off, but after six straight conferene setbacks to open the season, we won't have to question their effort here today. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final whistle; the play is Texas Tech! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-19-23 | CS-Fullerton v. Long Beach State -4.5 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
8* LBSU (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT) Two teams in need of a win, but I expect the home side to dig deep here and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover. The Titans are 10-9, but ust 2-6 on the road. They're coming off a 76-46 home victory over CSU Bakersfield. Fullerton has now covered in six straight, but that's important to note here, as it's in fact just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after five or more straight ATS covers in a row. LBSU is 8-10, but it's 4-3 at home. It averages 75.4 PPG, while Fullerton averages 70. Look for the motivated home side keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is LBSU! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-19-23 | UC San Diego +3.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* UC San Diego (ASSASSIN) The UC San Diego Tritons are 6-12 overall, and 1-5 in league play. They'll be eager to snap a five-game losing streak, most recently falling 78-70 at home to UC Davis (note though, the Tritons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more straight losses in a row.) Cal Poly is 7-11 overall, and just 1-5 in conference play. The Mustangs are on a five-game losing streak as well, but I think they come in here still hung up on their latest loss, a crushing 83-78 OT setback at UC Riverside. These teams are evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever one has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is indeed on UC San Diego! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-18-23 | Abilene Christian +9.5 v. Utah Valley | 54-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Abilene Christian (SPECIAL) The Abilene Christian Wildcats are 9-9, and the Utah Valley Wolverines are 14-5. The Wildcats are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Wolverines are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 67.7. The Wildcats have been sliding of late, but that's only helped in driving today's spread a few points larger than it normally would/should be. Look for the Wolverines to get caught looking ahead to their upcoming game at Grand Canyon up next. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Abilene Christian! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-16-23 | CS-Northridge +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* CS Northridge (BIG WEST GOM) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that whatsoever. I do however look for the home side to take the foot off the gas after getting a big early lead, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry 3-13 Matadors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Hawaii is 13-4. This is the first match up of the year between the teams, but CS Northridge does play with double revenge after two losses last year in the series. Hawaii's 9-2 at home, but I believe it gets caught looking ahead to a two-game road trip starting this Friday at Big West leading UC Irvine. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is CS Northridge! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-14-23 | Cal-Irvine v. CS-Northridge +11.5 | Top | 71-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
10* CSU Northridge (BIG WEST GOM) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that works to our advantage here. I say the 11-5 Anteaters come in a bit complacent. They're overvaulled here. Convesely, the 3-13 Matadors don't have the luxury to look past anyone right now. With a home game vs. Big West leading UC Santa Barbara on Monday, this is also a "look ahead" spot big time for the visitors. Look for the home side to play tough and to cover comfortably win the large spread that it's been afforded in this one; the play is CSU Northridge! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-12-23 | North Alabama +18 v. Liberty | Top | 54-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* North Alabama (MID-MAJOR MAULING) North Alabama is 9-8, and Liberty is 12-5. The Lions come in as the "hungrier" team here after three straight losses. It hasn't been for a lack of trying though, most recently falling 95-85 to Stetson in OT. North Alabama averages 74.9 PPG, while the Liberty Flames average 75.1. The Flames enter off a tight 62-59 loss to EKU last time out and I think they come out a bit flat here against their lowly opponent. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright victory, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is North Alabama! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-11-23 | Western Carolina v. Chattanooga -9 | Top | 76-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
10* Chatanooga (SOUTHERN GOY) Western Carolina is 10-7, while Chattanooga is 9-7. The Catamounts are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.1. The Mocs though are averaging 78.8 PPG, while conceding 68.9. The Mocs have played the more difficult schedule. The Catamounts can't be trusted on the road. Chattanooga will not "look past" its opponent today, instead it comes in prepared to play a full four quarters of basketball; lay the points, the play is the Mocs! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-10-23 | Temple v. Tulsa +4 | Top | 76-72 | Push | 0 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPER BLOWOUT) Last Februray Temple secured the 67-58 win over Tulsa, but I think the home side will, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Temple is coming off an 87-76 loss to Tulane. Overall the Owls are averaging 69.2 PPG, while allowing 69.1. Tulsa is only 4-10 overall SU, and just 1-13 ATS. I say this lop-sided ATS record starts to "correct" itself. Tulsa averages 68.1 PPG, while allowing 75.9. I don't trust the Owls offense on the road whatsoever, despite Tulsa's issues; grab the points, the play is the Golden Hurricane! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-09-23 | Texas Southern -10 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Texas Southern (SWAC GOY) Texas Southern is just 4-12, but here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Mississippi Valley State is just 1-16. The Tigers are averaging 68.1 PPG, while allowing 73.6. One bright spot has been the play of Davon Barnes, who is averaging 15.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. The Delta Devils are averaging just 54.6 PPG this season, while conceding 76.1. They're led by Rayquan Brown, who averages 14.7 points and 7.9 boards per game. Texas Southern will not take the foot off the gas here. It's the better team and it'll be desperate for a victry here. The Delta Devils have been losing by an average of 21.5 points, and they've lost their last five by an average of 17.8. I'm rolling with Texas Southern in this one in what I believe will be a blowout from start to finish! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-08-23 | Loyola Maryland +2.5 v. Holy Cross | Top | 55-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) Both teams are 5-11. This is a case that I feel that whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win this one, and in cases like that, I'll gladly grab the points. Both teams are 5-11 and hungry for a victory today. The Greyhounds are led by Jaylin Andrews with 11.3 PPG. They're coming off a 78-55 loss to Army and they average 65.4 PPG. Holy Cross is off a 73-69 OT loss to American. Gerrale Gates leads the Crusaders with 17.6 PPG. Overall they average 66.6 PPG. The depth that the Greyhounds bring to the table tonight gives them a very legitimate shot to win this contest outright; grab the points, the play is Loyola Maryland! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-05-23 | Texas State +12.5 v. James Madison | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* Texas State (SUN BELT GOY) These two teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum in this conference, but that's only helped in adding a few points extra onto this Texas State spread than normal. The Bobcats are 7-8 after a tight 55-52 loss to Troy on New Year's Eve. James Madison has been great, it's 11-4 after a 72-66 outright win over Marshall in its last game as 4.5-point dog. But I think the Dukes get caught complacent here now facing their lowly opponent. Texas State only averages 65.7 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end by allowing just 65.5. James Madison is averging 89.7 PPG, while allowing 65.3. But I think the Dukes take the foot off the gas here in the second half. Look for Texas State's tough defensive play to keep it in this game late. No outright upset or anything, but a comfortable cover here for Texas State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-04-23 | Villanova v. Georgetown +10 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (DESTRUCTION) I like the 5-10 Hoyas to keep this one close down the stretch vs. 7-7 Villanova. The Wildcats are off a disappointing 68-66 home loss to Marquette as 2.5-point favorites, and with a game at home vs. 12-3 Conference leading Xavier this weekend, not only does this set up as a natural letdwn sport for the visiting side, but also as a "look-ahead" position as well. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game! Georgetown averages 73.8 PPG, despite an 80-51 loss to Butler last time out. Villanova averages 70.3 PPG. Of course, the difference comes on the defensive end, but I think the Hoyas are catching the Wildcats at an opportune time. In a game that I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Boise State (MW GOY) After three straight victories, I think the SJSU comes back down to Earth here in this difficult road venue. San Jose State is coming off a 78-70 win over Colorado State to move to 11-4. Boise State is 10-4, but 0-1 in league play. The Broncos come in as the much more motivated side after B2B losses, including a 74-72 setback to Nevada last time out. Despite the Spartans recent success, they're still averaging just 69.8 PPG, while allowing 65.5. The Broncos though are on a different level in my estimation, as they average 70.7 PPG, while conceding just 59.4. Boise State's schedule has been much more difficult and off the consecutive losses, I look for the Broncos to take out their frustrations on the Spartans and keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer sounds; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-02-23 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Central Arkansas +10.5 | Top | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Central Arkansas (ASUN GOY) When these two played last February, FGCU won 95-93 in OT and I'm expecting another tighter battle here tonight as well. Florida Gulf Coast is off the 72-65 win over Jacksonville. They average 72.5 PPG, while allowing 66.4. Central Arkansas is only 5-9 after an 82-68 loss to Kennesaw State last time out. Central Arkansas has so far averaged 72.9 PPG, while allowing 80.4. The offense of Central Arkansas will keep it competitive late, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a comfortable ATS cover in my opinion; grab the points, the play is Central Arkansas! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Butler v. Georgetown +3.5 | Top | 80-51 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (BIG EAST GOM) The Bulldogs are 8-5, but they're off a 72-52 loss to Providence as 3-point favorites. I think that Butler will once again have it hands full here on the road against Hoyas team looking to rebound off a tight 83-78 loss to DePaul as a 3.5-point underdog. Butler only averages 69.9 PPG, second lowest in the conference. Georgetown is averaging 75.8 PPG, but it's conceding 77.5. That said, the Hoyas catch a break defensively tonight facing this inconsistent Butler offense. This one means more to Georgetown. After a hot start Butler is cooling off; while I do think the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgetown! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Tulsa v. SMU -7.5 | 67-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
8* SMU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Tulsa is 4-8 and SMU is 5-8. The Golden Hurricanes have lost all their bluster though, as they've lost seven of their last nine games, failing to cover in any of those matchups. Most recently it was an 89-50 defeat to Houston. On the year Tulsa is averaging 67.4 PPG. SMU is trending in the other direction. It's managed two wins in its last three games. Most recently it was an 58-57 loss to Hawaii in the Championship Game fo the Diamond Head Classic. The Mustangs are battling right now and I think they take out their frustrations here on the Mustangs. SMU is averaging 68.2 PPG and I think its much better defensively as well. Or at least, this is a great matchup for it. SMU holds an average marging of victory of nine poitns over the last ten in this series and I expect that trend to continue; lay the points, the play is SMU! AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |