Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3 | 35-38 | Push | 0 | 1282 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-30-19 | Tulsa +21.5 v. Michigan State | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 1281 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (8*) Tulsa doesn’t have a great history of success, having posted more than six victories in a season just once in the past six years. MSU was just 7-6 last year, but it’s predicted to do much better this season. That said, I think the stage is set for a bit of a mental lapse on opening night. Definitely no outright upset, but I think the improved Golden Hurricane can make this much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Note that the Spartans actually dropped three of their last four games last year, scoring only six points in each of those setbacks. Tulsa has a powerful weapon in RB Shamari Brooks, who ranked second in the AAC last year in rushing attempts and play from scrimmage. MSU allowed the fewest yards per game on the ground last year, but I think they’ll have their hands full with Brooks. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a solid back door cover. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +6.5 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -110 | 1260 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The outright win is of course not out of the question, but in this Holy War, I’m going to ultimately recommend to grab the points. 15 returning starters are back for Utah, and it’s been picked by many to win the Pac 12 this year. The defense is stout and the offense should only be better with QB Tyler Huntley back, along with RB Zack Moss. BYU actually had a 20 point lead over the Utes in the third quarter in last year’s instalment between the schools, but it wound up falling 35-27. The “revenge” factor also definitely comes into play here for the home side. BYU has a powerful new RB in Ty-Son Williams, who came over from South Carolina after posting 799 yards and five major scores on 165 carries. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | Florida International +3 v. Tulane | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 1258 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida International (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly an outright upset isn’t out of the question here. FIU is led by veteran coach Butch Davis, who has come in and won 17 games over his last two years. The Panthers weren’t over ally dominant on the offensive end, but they limited teams to just 194.1 YPG game through the air (just 25.2 points per game allowed.) Tulane was 7-6 and they averaged 218.2 rushing YPG. But FIU looks good to me with QB James Morgan back, as he had 26 TD passes last year, including completing 65% of his passes overall. The Green Wave have a strong defense, but the offense is once again expected to underwhelm. Justin McMillian is back under center for the Green Wave and he completed only 51.3 percent of his passes in 2018. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -100 | 1257 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UCLA (8* UPSET SPECIAL) UCLA opens up its second season under head coach Chip Kelly and I think the Bruins have a prime opportunity at the outright upset here (that said, I will be ultimately advising everyone to grab as many points as you can.) Luke Fickell and the Cincinnati Bearcats had a breakout 11-win season last year, which started with a victory over these very Bruins. UCLA only managed 17 points in that one, but the Bruins finished up the year strong and they return many key players. But a big difference between last year’s team and this one is the emergence of RB Joshua Kelley, who racked up 1,243 yards and nine TD’s over the final stretch. UCLA’s defense should improve significantly this season as well. The Bearcats have plenty of weapons as well (RB Michael Warren II and QB Desmond Ridder), but after last year’s letdown, I think UCLA will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | Falcons v. Jaguars -4 | Top | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Atlanta doesn’t put much stock into the preseason, as it has rested its starting players throughout for the last few seasons. Nothing will change here. Jacksonville is also 0-3 SU/ATS so far in the preseason, so that makes home field advantage the difference maker in this one in my opinion. Atlanta is already looking ahead to Week 1 of the regular season. ATL is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road and while Jacksonville has struggled with production in the preseason, I think it’ll have more than enough in Week 4 to deliver the goods in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: Jags. | |||||||
08-25-19 | Steelers v. Titans -1 | Top | 18-6 | Loss | -130 | 151 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans (10* BLOOD-BATH) Pittsburgh will Ben Roethlisberger under center for the first time in the preseason and I believe he’ll struggle a bit in this difficult road venue. Practice is one, but going at full speed for the first time all year can be a bit disconcerting (even for veterans like Big Ben), so Marcus Mariota and backup Ryan Tannehill have the advantage in this Week 3 contest in my opinion. Note that Tennessee plays with some added incentive of “revenge” as well, as last year in Week 3 the Steelers beat the Titans 16-6. I think the overall situation definitely favors the home side. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-24-19 | Arizona -11.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -100 | 1140 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think Arizona comes in focused on the task at hand and I look for it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Khalil Tate is back to 100% health for the Wildcats and after finishing 5-7 in Kevin Sumiln’s first year as head coach, I’m expecting a dramatic reverse of fortunes this season. Conversely, after finishing 8-6 last year, I believe regression is imminent for the Warriors. True Cole McDonald is back under center for Hawaii, but I believe he’ll have difficult vs. this re-vamped Arizona defensive unit. The last time these teams faced off against each other, the Wildcats won 47-28 in 2016 and I believe a similar lop-sided blowout is in the card this time around as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-24-19 | Broncos v. Rams | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* TRADE-MARK) No need to overthink this one. Denver has already said that it plans to rest almost all of its starters, while LA has stated that it plans to play most of its star players. Denver comes in with zero momentum after last week’s 24-15 loss to San Francisco. Note though that the Broncos played in the Hall of Fame Game, which is the reasoning behind resting his starters today. But with the high-powered Rams finally unleashing their full offensive arsenal in Week 3, I look for this to be a blowout of epic proportions. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-24-19 | Florida -7 v. Miami-FL | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. | |||||||
08-23-19 | Browns -1 v. Bucs | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -130 | 102 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (10* GAME OF WEEK) So far Cleveland has looked like the real deal. It’s allowed only 14 PPG so far in the preseason and the offense, including the backups are already performing at an extremely high level. The Bucs have looked decent in one game, but last week they allowed three passing TD’s to the Steelers. The uncertainty at QB and with the offense as a whole make Tampa a risky call in Week 3. I’m banking on Cleveland’s momentum rolling for another week. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-22-19 | Packers v. Raiders +2 | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oakland Raiders (8*) Yes Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers is expected to see a few snaps in this game that’s being played in Winnipeg Manitoba on Thursday, but I think that Jon Gruden and the Raiders, who are already 2-0 so far this preseason, keep the foot on the gas in Week 3 as well. Last week the Packers fell 26-13 to the Ravens. Last week the Packers’ defense looked shaky after ranking 22nd overall last year. The Oakland backup QB’s looked sharp last week, with Mike Glennon going 11 of 14 for 175 yards and two TD’s, while Nathan Peterman was 8 of 8 for 41 yards. Look for Oakland’s strong start to the preseason to carry over in Week 3. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-22-19 | Jaguars +2.5 v. Dolphins | 7-22 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (8*) Last year Jacksonville finished fifth on the defensive end. It has a new QB in Nick Foles and a RB that’s looking for a rebound season. After starting 0-2, I think Jacksonville’s starters take advantage of a Dolphins’ team that goes to veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick under center. Josh Rosen is also expected to see plenty of time today. The uncertainty for the Dolphins at the QB position swings the odds in favor of the Jags here in my opinion. Obviously the outright is possible, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-22-19 | Redskins v. Falcons +2.5 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Falcons (10*) Both of these teams are winless so far in the preseason. The Redskins’ Jay Gruden and the Falcons’ Dan Quinn are both on the hot seat. Both teams have plenty of issues heading into this one. Atlanta likely won’t even start veteran QB Matt Ryan here. Washington though has major issues at the QB position, as it now looks like Case Keenum is going to have the starters job come Week 1. Keenum will see little time here, with Dwayne Haskins once again expected to get the bulk of action for the visitors. Matt Schaub will see most of the time for the Falcons under center. I like ATL to finally get off the schneid with a win at home in this favorable matchup. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-22-19 | Giants v. Bengals -1 | 25-23 | Loss | -120 | 78 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bengals (8*) Both teams had poor campaigns last year and each is expected to once again struggle this season. Giants coach Pat Shurmur is 7-7 SU all time in the preseason, which includes a 1-3 in mark in Week 3. New York has won and covered each of the first two games of the preseason, but I think a letdown is imminent here. New York continues to play without top WR’s Sterling Shepard and Golden Tate to injury. The Bengals are 1-1 after two weeks of the preseason, but the team benefits greatly in playing its first home game in Week 3. The Bengals prevailed 23-13 in Washington last weekend and I believe they carry that momentum over here. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-19-19 | 49ers v. Broncos | Top | 24-15 | Loss | -130 | 176 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos (10* ULTIMATE BEST OF THE BEST) San Francisco has position battles going on for the No. 2 QB spot and for top RB spot. I don’t think this venue is a very conducive atmosphere for positive production though. Denver looked sloppy in its 22-14 loss in Seattle in Week 1, but I think it gets back on track here in its first home opportunity of the season. The Broncos are 7-3 SU and 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten preseason games and after dropping their first one, I believe they pull out all the stops in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-18-19 | Saints +3 v. Chargers | Top | 19-17 | Win | 104 | 148 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Saints (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams come in off losses. The Saints fell 34-25 at home to the Vikings and while the defense played poorly, overall the offense was firing on all cylinders, even without Drew Brees on the field. With several defensive starters expected to see much more time this week, I believe New Orleans will look a lot better on that end of the field today. But as mentioned above, New Orleans got great QB play from Taysom Hill and Teddy Bridgewater and I believe they’ll both be difference makers in this one as well. LA had ten penalties for 85 yards in last week’s loss in Arizona. With QB Philip Rivers once again sitting this one out, Tyrod Taylor will once again take center stage for the Bolts. Taylor was 6 of 6 for 72 yards last week, but also as mentioned above, I think he’ll have a difficult time today vs. this Saints defense that’ll be playing with a chip on its shoulder. Outright victory?! Of course, but in the end let’s grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-17-19 | Browns v. Colts | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 124 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Browns steamrolled the Redskins 30-10 in Week 1 and I believe the visitors come in and find a way to get the job done here as well. Cleveland’s new head coach Freddie Kitchens has set an early precedent and I expect that trend to continue in Week 2. The Colts come in off a loss to the Bills, as Jacoby Brissett was just 2 of 5 for 21 yards. Look for the Browns to continue to put the pressure on team’s early. Play on Cleveland. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-15-19 | Raiders v. Cardinals -3.5 | 33-26 | Loss | -105 | 80 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals (8*) Cards’ QB Kyler Murray looked good in his first start in last week’s victory and I believe the rookie and his team carry that momentum over here. The Raiders enter off a satisfying 14-3 win at home over the Rams in Week 1 and I believe that Jon Gruden and company just go through the motions here today. Raiders’ backup QB Mike Glennon threw two picks last week. LA’s defense looked OK last week, but note that none of LA’s starting offense was even on the field. I expect Arizona to take this game seriously and I will therefore lay the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-15-19 | Jets +1.5 v. Falcons | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Jets (8*) Matt Ryan is expected to play less than a quarter for the Falcons on Thursday night, his first action of the preseason (the Falcons third game after also playing in the Hall of Fame Game.) New York has to be feeling pretty confident here though as note that the Falcons are a terrible 0-10 ATS in their last ten preseason games. Last week New York starting QB Sam Darnold played one series and he went 4 of 5 for 68 yards and a TD. The Falcons’ starters see limited time during the preseason and I believe that trend continues here. Clearly the outright isn’t out of the question, but in the end I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-15-19 | Bengals +3 v. Redskins | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals (8*) Dwayne Haskins will once again see the majority of snaps for Washington today. Last week he threw two INT’s in his team’s 30-10 beatdown loss to the Browns. Keep your eyes on the Bengals’ Tyler Boyd, who had three catches for 25 yards last week and who will the No. 1 receiver after the injury to AJ Green. I think Haskins continues to struggle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-15-19 | Packers v. Ravens -3.5 | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens (8*) Aaron Rodgers and the starters will see limited time here, but the Ravens come in off a 29-0 beatdown win over the Jaguars and I believe they’ll carry that momentum over here. Baltimore takes the pre-season seriously though, as the Ravens come in having won 15 straight preseason contests. Matt LaFleur got his first win as head coach with the Packers in last week’s thrilling 28-26 come from behind effort over the Texans and I think the visitors suffer a predictable letdown here. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great for a home side rout. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-15-19 | Eagles v. Jaguars -3 | 24-10 | Loss | -103 | 79 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (8*) 2018 Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles signed a four-year 88 million dollar deal with the Jaguars and he’ll see a bit of time today vs. his former team. Both teams come in off difficult/awkward losses in Week 1, which swings the value in favor of the home side in my opinion here with the advantage of playing on its own field. Note though that the Jags sat out 30 players in their 29-0 loss in Baltimore. The Eagles’ are trying to figure out who will play behind Carson Wentz, so expect to see a bunch of Nate Sudfield this evening. Expect a rejuvenated home side to bounce back big after last week’s vanilla effort. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-10-19 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 245 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Francisco 49ers (10* GAME OF MONTH) The Cowboys once again come into the season embroiled in controversy, with No. 1 RB Ezekiel Elliot holding out in a contract dispute. That turns the spotlight onto other hopeful backups before his issue is settled, but it certainly also is a major distraction for the team once again. San Francisco comes in as the much more prepared team. The Cowboys are interestingly 0-6 in their last six Week 1 preseason games under head coach Jason Garrett. And that includes a 24-21 loss to these very 49ers a year ago. Both team’s stars will see limited (or no) playing time at all here, but the home field advantage is the difference maker for me. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-08-19 | Texans v. Packers -1 | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 197 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay Packers (8*) Both teams have big expectations coming into the season. Every team always has big expectations coming into the year, but a successful campaign has just as much to do with timing and chemistry as it does with the talent on the field and in Week 1 of the preseason, none of any of that matters anyways. The offensive and defensive stars for both sides will see limited to no time tonight. But Green Bay has a new head-coach in Matt LaFleur and I think he coaches to win his debut. And it’s as simple as that for me on this one. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-08-19 | Redskins v. Browns -1 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 196 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Browns (10*) Both teams have big expectations this year, but clearly the spot light is on the Browns to perform an this season. With big free agent acquisition OBJ and with QB Baker Mayfield with a year of experience under his belt, along with what is expected to be one of the best defenses in the league, Cleveland will absolutely want to be starting things off on the “right foot” right out of the gate. The offensive stars for both teams will see limited to no time, The Redskins used three QB’s over their final six games last year, Josh Johnson, Colt McCoy and Mark Sanchez and they’d go 0-5. The Browns were in playoff contention until Week 16 last season. Look for the home side to take advantage of familiar surroundings and lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-08-19 | Titans +3.5 v. Eagles | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 196 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Titans (8*) Tennessee was 9-7 last year under then first year coach Mike Vrabel. But after going 0-4 SU/ATS in the preseason last year, I think that Vrabel takes it more seriously this time around. Philadelphia welcomes back Carson Wentz to the mix, but there’s still plenty of question marks surrounding the Eagles. In Game 1 of the preseason, the starters won’t see much (if any) time on the field of play anyways. The Titans have an extremely capable back up QB in Ryan Tannehill, who comes over from Miami with a chip on his shoulder. I think he’ll be a difference maker in this one. Outright win is possible of course, but grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-08-19 | Jets v. Giants +2 | 22-31 | Win | 100 | 196 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Giants (8*) Instead of facing off in Week 3 of the preseason like these team’s normally do, the Jets and Giants are meeting in Week 1. Normally the starters play in Week 3, but in this one it’ll be the backups and wannabe’s. Last year the Giants defeated the Jets 22-16 and I’m expecting a similar final outcome here as well (note that Eli Manning completed four of seven passes for 26 yards in Week 1 of the 2018 preseason.) Sam Darnold isn’t expected to see any time here for the Jets under center, but Davis Webb, who played for the Giants last year in the preseason, is now the backup. The Giants selected Daniel Jones No. 6 in the draft and he’ll be seeing considerable time under center. I believe Jones comes to play today as this one has upset written all over it. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
07-19-19 | Ottawa +10 v. Winnipeg | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: RedBlacks (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) All good things must come to an end. Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last five at home dating back to last year and while I’m not in fact calling for an outright SU upset, I do indeed believe that the stage is set for a much closer than expected battle than what this spread would suggest. This in fact sets up as an immediate revenge game for the RedBlacks as well, as they lost 29-14 to the Bombers just two weeks ago. It’s definitely interesting to note though that Ottawa has won three of the last four played at Winnipeg dating back to 2015. The RedBlacks won’t be lacking for motivation here as they look to break their two-game slide. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Winnipeg. | |||||||
07-12-19 | Toronto +15 v. Winnipeg | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Argonauts (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) The Blue Bombers have a great team, but after starting 3-0, I think they come out flat here and get caught “looking past” their lowly non-conference opponent. QB Matt Nichols was injured last week and while he’s expected to be back in the line-up today, I still believe it’ll make Winnipeg come out cautious here. Toronto enters 0-2 and it certainly won’t be lacking for motivation after dropping a close one at home to BC last weekend. Toronto also plays with “double revenge” after losing both games in this series last year. No outright, but the stage is set for a tighter than expected battle in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-23 Bombers. | |||||||
07-08-19 | G Pella +5 v. Milos Raonic | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Guido Pella +2 1/2 SETS -138 vs. Milos Raonic (Pinnacle) Guido Pella comes in fresh and I think he’ll push Milos Raonic to the brink. Pella enters off a straight sets win over Keving Anderson, which took 32 games to decide. Pella would go on to connect on 76 percent of his first serves. He enters with three straight victories overall and he’s won three of his last five matches on grass. Raonic advanced in straight sets over Reilly Opelka, which took 28 games to decide and in which he hit a remarkable 93 percent of his first serves. He’s now won five of his last six on grass. Raonic is arguably playing his best tennis of his career, but Pella won’t be rolling over and I expect him to give the hard-serving Canadian everything he can handle. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Raonic. | |||||||
07-06-19 | BC v. Toronto +7 | Top | 18-17 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Argonauts (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) BC is 0-3 and Toronto is 0-2. The Lions have allowed a league-worst 108 points through three games. Toronto’s issues have been on the offensive side of the ball, it’s been outscored by 75 points over its two setbacks. Something has to give here and while I’m not going to call for an outright victory, I think that these two desperate clubs are going to fight tooth and nail until the final whistle. Note though that BC is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten vs. clubs with losing records. I just think that after last week’s emotional 36-32 loss in Calgary, that BC is going to have difficulty finding the same energy on the road for a second straight contest. Toronto turns to McLeod Bethel Thompson as their undisputed No. 1 QB now and I think he keeps his team in this one late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-28 Argos. | |||||||
06-29-19 | BC +10.5 v. Calgary | Top | 32-36 | Win | 100 | 122 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BC Lions (10* GAME OF WEEK) BC is 0-2 and Calgary is 0-1. Both teams are equally as “hungry” for a victory here and each has more questions than answers as the 2019 season gets going. Lions’ QB Mike Reilly is the difference here in my opinion, as he keeps his team competitive; so far he has 473 passing yards through tow games. Calgary had a Week 2 “bye” and I think that rest will lead to rust. In Week 1 the Stamps were upset 32-28 by the Ottawa RedBlacks as ten-point favorites. There’s no way that BC goes down without a fight as it looks to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. Outright upset? Probably not, but I think this will be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 28-25 Stamps | |||||||
06-24-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks (10* GAME OF WEEK) Ex team-mates collide in the opener of this series. The Dodgers just swept the Rockies at home, all three games decided in the late innings by home runs off the bats of rookie sluggers. Arizona broke a six-game slide with a 4-3 win over the Giants on Sunday. The Diamondbacks clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here. LA is 29 games over .500. Would anyone fault the Dodgers for taking the foot off the gas here? Zack Greinke has struggled in the past vs. the Dodgers, but he’s 8-3 with a 2.91 ERA overall this season. LA’s Clayton Kershaw is 7-1 with a 2.85 ERA. With Greinke enjoying the home field advantage, I classify these starters as a “wash” tonight. The difference comes in Arizona’s desperation levels. I’m banking on it mattering in the opener of this series. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 D-Backs. | |||||||
06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC -2 | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -105 | 108 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BC Lions (10* GAME OF MONTH) The Lions finished 9-9 last year, made it into the playoffs, only to then get destroyed by Hamilton 48-8 in the cross-over game. BC made the biggest off-season splash though in signing QB Mike Reilly to a four 2.9 million dollar deal. Note that these teams are both projected to finish near the top of the standings and in two games last year, each won on its own field. The Bombers have QB Matt Nichols under center after a ho-nom 2018 in which he posted just one three-hundred yard game. The strength of Winnipeg will be at RB, with Andrew Harris leading the charge. BC though also got an upgrade to its offensive line with Sukh Chungh. I think Reilly fits in quickly with his new/former team and I expect the Lions to ride the wave of emotion to a solid home victory on Opening night. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Lions. | |||||||
06-14-19 | Montreal v. Edmonton -10 | Top | 25-32 | Loss | -105 | 83 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton Eskimos (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Al’s are in complete disarray after firing their head coach Mike Sherman over the weekend. Khari Jones has now had to jump into the head coaching role in an interim basis. Last year the Als only won five games. Montreal starts Antonio Pipkin, who completed only 59.5 percent of his passes for 1,120 passing yards, three TD’s and eight INT’s last year. Trevor Harris is the new QB in Edmonton and he has a familiar face in WR Greg Ellingson with him from the Grey Cup-Champion Redblacks as well. The the ATS stats out the window in Week 1. Based up on the the unrest in Montreal, I’m expecting a completely lop-sided rout from start to finish in this one. T.M. Prediction: 42-10 Edmonton. | |||||||
06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 63 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto had its chance to put this series away and after taking the first two games of this series in Golden State, I think there’s zero chance that Kawhi Leonard and company can take all three there. Kevin Durant went down with injury and is out for the rest of the series, but Golden State is still loaded with talent and experience and I believe it’s these two things which will “win the day” in Game 6. Leonard is likely going to win MVP if the Raptors win, but Stephen Curry now has the same opportunity if he can pull off the impossible as well. And while sweeping two games in a row is a tall task, I absolutely expect Curry and company to defend home floor at all costs in Game 6. With the comforting knowledge that they can return to the friendly confines of Jurassic Park, I look for the Raptors to have a letdown here. T.M. Prediction: 109-102 Warriors. | |||||||
06-10-19 | Warriors +4 v. Raptors | Top | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 62 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BLOOD-BATH). I had a play on the “under” in Game 4, but for Game 5 I’m going to concentrate on the side. Possibly again without their best player in Kevin Durant on the floor, I believe the Warriors are still going to find a way to get the job done here and send this one back to Oakland. Serge Ibaka had a big game for the Raptors in Game 4, but it’s hard to imagine the big man duplicating that performance in back-to-back contests. I think this one has outright “upset” written all over it (that said though, grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Warriors. | |||||||
06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 123-109 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State (10* GAME OF WEEK) Golden State looked dominant in the second half of Game 2, especially on the defensive end and with this series now shifting to the West Coast, I’m expecting the veteran laden defending champions to keep the foot on the gas in front of the home town crowd. The biggest difference though between Game’s 1 and 2? Golden State’s role players stepped up big in Game 2 and outplayed their counterparts. It’s not going to get any easier for Toronto’s bench either in this hostile environment. The pressure is now definitely on the Raptors, who I believe are now in over their heads an in unchartered territory. Additionally note that Toronto is only 3-11 ATS in its last 14 at Golden State, while the Warriors are a sharp 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing on two or more days rest. T.M. Prediction: 108-99 Warriors. | |||||||
06-02-19 | Warriors +2 v. Raptors | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF MONTH) If you’re watching this game, then the story lines are well known for each team. The Warriors are trying to three-peat and they’re playing without Kevin Durant. The Raptors have been on a role all season long and have been riding the fantastic play of Kawhi Leonard. With or without Durant though, I think the Warriors are going to find a way to win Game 2 outright. The playoffs, much like handicapping, is all about making adjustments and the Warriors are filled with so much talent and experience, that I look for them to do just that. I expect Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry to once again have big games, but I also expect the Warriors bench and role players to finally “show up.” Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Golden State. | |||||||
05-30-19 | Warriors +1.5 v. Raptors | 109-118 | Loss | -113 | 85 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Warriors (8*) For all the same reasons that I like the Warriors in the FIRST HALF, I also like them for the entire game. Clearly the outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’ll grab the points. Note as well that Golden State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog and 7-3 ATS in its last then when playing with three or more days rest, while the Raptors are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine in the same position. Also note that the favorite is 0-4 ATS the last four in this series. Toronto may have taken both regular season meetings, but now that “the real thing,” is here, expect the champs to deliver. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Warriors. | |||||||
05-23-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (8*) Kawhi Leonard got the Raptors to the ECF’s for the first time in franchise history and if he’s going to take them to the Finals, he’s going to have to figure out a way to win on the road in Milwaukee. So far “home floor” has meant everything in this series, but I think that trend is about to end tonight. The difference between Game’s 1 and 2 and Game 5? The Raptors’ bench. Toronto’s bench players were a “no show” in Milwaukee in the first two games, but the entire unit came back to life in Toronto and I think they’re going to now carry that momentum/confidence over here. Toronto big man Marc Gasol has also looked a lot better and that’s opened things up for Leonard to operate offensively, as well as dominate Bucks’ star Giannis defensively. I’m not buying into the “home floor” advantage this time around. Look for Leonard to continue to redefine Raptors basketball with a signature road victory. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Raptors. | |||||||
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto has looked decent in the first half of both games so far in the ECF’s, but the second half it’s been non-existent. The Raptors are better at home than on the road though, as they enjoy one of the league’s “best” home court advantages. It’s difficult to play North of the border and I believe the surging Bucks finally have a letdown here. Milwaukee has been playing at an extremely high level with only one loss so far in the playoffs, but it’s about to have its hands full in this difficult venue in my opinion. The Raptors are fantastic defensively on their own floor and I believe that trend carries over here. The numbers/trends support our theory as well, as note that the Bucks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Toronto is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Raptors. | |||||||
05-17-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto controlled Game 1 up until about mid-way through the fourth quarter. That’s when the Bucks were finally able to get over the hump, pulling away for a very tight cover in the closing moments. But I’m expecting the Raptors to come back even harder here. There’s no reason at all not to expect another battle here, as these two evenly matched sides aren’t going to give an inch. Note that Toronto is already 2-0 ATS this year when trailing in a playoff series and 20-12 ATS in its last 22 after failing to cover five or six of its last seven ATS, while Milwaukee is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after five or more consecutive victories. While I do believe the outright is a possibility, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Toronto. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Raptors. | |||||||
05-16-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Golden State. | |||||||
05-14-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 94-116 | Loss | -108 | 39 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers (10* GAME OF WEEK) Golden State got by the Rockets in Game 6 without the services of All Star Kevin Durant, but I think the defending champs will struggle in Game 1 of the WCF. These teams split four regular season meetings and in my opinion, everything points to another competitive affair here. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum are going to be a matchup issue for the undermanned Warriors, and while I’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I think the conditions are definitely right for a war until the end. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Portland is 50-32 ATS in its last 82 vs. teams which allow 106 plus points or more, while Golden State is just 18-27 ATS as a home favorite this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. | |||||||
05-10-19 | Warriors +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF WEEK) I had a play on the Rockets in their tight Game 5 loss, but for Game 6 I’m going the other way as I expect the defending champs, despite playing without the services of Kevin Durant, to battle tight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. If ever there was a time for Klay Thompson to step up and show the basketball World that he’s worth a max contract, now is the time. With Durant available for the next round, the Warriors don’t need to panic at this point. If Golden State gets a decent game out of Curry and a good one from Thompson, they have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. So far home court advantage has meant everything in this series, but the veteran leadership which the Warriors bring to the table in this instance is the difference maker in my opinion. Note as well that Golden State is 17-11 ATS in its last 28 when trying to close out a playoff series, while Houston is 0-2 ATS in its last two when facing elimination in a playoff series. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Rockets. | |||||||
05-08-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets (10*) So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series. But other than Kevin Durant, the Warriors have looked very “off” over the last two games and I think that Houston has a legitimate shot at stealing Game 5 outright. The Clippers won two games at Oracle Arena remember in the opening series. The Rockets made the necessary defensive adjustments and both Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are struggling with consistency right now. James Harden and company though have definitely improved dramatically on both ends of the court and I see no reason that that momentum won’t be carried over here. Consider as well that Houston is 4-0 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Golden State is only 9-18 ATS this year as a home favorite in the same points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. | |||||||
05-08-19 | Celtics +9.5 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -104 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (8*) I played on the Bucks and the under in Game 4, but in Game 5 I’m back on the hungry underdog Celtics. Milwaukee has played with better chemistry all season and it’s bench has severely outplayed Boston’s so far. The Celtics have gotten an atrocious shooting performance from guard Kyrie Irving over the last three games, but I have a very hard time seeing the All Star being held down for a fourth straight contest. The Celtics are loaded with talent and experience and I simply can’t see them going down without a fight here. The Bucks are in unchartered territory and it’s yet to be seen if they can step up in a situation like this and deliver a decisive knock out blow. I think the stage is now set for a very competitive battle. Note as well that Boston is 4-1 ATS this year still as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while the Bucks are just 6-11 ATS in their last 17 after two or more straight road victories. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Bucks. | |||||||
05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 89-125 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) This has been a very competitive series and I expect nothing different in Game 5. Toronto earned the 101-96 win last time out behind 39 points from Kawhi Leonard. In Game 3 Philadelphia star Joel Embiid had 30 points, ten boards and five blocks in the 76ers 116-95 victory. Leonard has been incredible so far, but one has to wonder how much gas he has left in the tank? The rest of the Raptors have been poor and it’s the opening that Philadelphia needs to once again take control of this series. Philadelphia’s role players have also struggled at times, but I still think that Philadelphia features the deeper and more skilled scoring talent. Additionally note that Philadelphia already 4-1 ATS this year off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, while Toronto is only 20-22 ATS this season after a game where it covered the spread. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors. | |||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks +1.5 v. Celtics | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks (8*) Milwaukee came out flat in Game 1, but since then it’s made the necessary adjustments and now it’s the Celtics who are on the ropes. Boston is having difficulty with offensive consistency and think the Bucks can smell the blood in the water. With a chance to take a strangle hold on this series before heading back home for Game 5, I think the visitors lay everything on the line here. Note as we’ll that Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS this year as a road underdog of six points or less, while Boston is 8-11 ATS this year in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Bucks. | |||||||
05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8*) I got down early on this one, before the Raptors got the news about the Pascal Sikiam injury, but regardless, I think Philadelphia will look to deliver the (near) knock out blow here. Despite losing Game 1, the 76ers have been dominant defensively in this series, holding the Raptors to just 98 PPG. Toronto was the sixth highest scoring team in the league in the regular season, but it’s had difficulties with consistency on the offensive end of the floor since the playoffs started. Philadelphia is healthy, its firing on all cylinders on both ends and it has the home floor advantage. Perhaps Kawhi Leonard is the best player on the floor, but Toronto’s lack of talent is clear in this series. I’m banking on a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 119-113 Philadelphia | |||||||
05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* GAME OF MONTH) After getting blown out in Game 1 the under 76ers earned the split with a dominant performance in Game 2 and I believe they’ll carry that confidence and momentum over into another small upset in Game 3 in friendly confines. Toronto shot only 36.3 percent from the floor and 27 percent from range in Monday’s loss. Philadelphia is deep and it earned the Game 2 win despite big man Joel Embiid pretty much being ineffective. With the shift in venue, I think Embiid has his biggest performance yet. Note that Toronto is just 4-8 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less and just 7-8 ATS when playing with two days rest, while Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS this year off a road win vs. a division rival. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 76ers. | |||||||
04-30-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 102-123 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and I think it has a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright upset in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read my Game 1 analysis, do so now as the logic behind that play for the most part also directly applies to this one: I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Boston. | |||||||
04-29-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* 76ers) The 76ers got in an early hole in Game 1 and were never able to recover, but I think the visitors will at the very least take this one right down to the wire. The 76ers averaged 122 points in their series win over the Nets, while allowing 110.8. Toronto has been getting the job done defensively so far in the playoffs, allowing only 92.5 PPG. Overall though the Raptors are averaging just 106.7 PPG. The playoffs are all about making adjustments. This has been a matchup problem for Philadelphia, but I think the 76ers’ depth keeps this one competitive late. Note as well that Philly is 8-1 ATS this year off a loss vs. a division rival, while the Raptors are only 21-23 as a home favorite this season. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors. | |||||||
04-28-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 121 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* TRADE-MARK) I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Bucks. | |||||||
04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -5.5 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (8* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams did well in the first round. Each lost their respective first games, but then recover to sweep the next four. The 76ers averaged 122.4 points and allowed 111.4 vs. the Nets and they are led by Joel Embiid with 24.8 points and 13.5 boards per game. Embiid is going to have his hands full with veteran Raptors big men Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. Toronto has to be feeling confident here as well as it took three of four in the regular season series. Toronto averaged 106.4 PPG in the win over the Nets, while allowing only 92. Additionally note that Philadelphia is just 19-24 ATS on the road this year and only 8-16 ATS after a win by ten points or more, while Toronto is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after a covers as a double digit favorite. This is a bad matchup for Embiid and company. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Raptors. | |||||||
04-23-19 | Nets +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 100-122 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* GAME OF WEEK) I had a play on the Nets in Game 4 and I lost that play, the only NBA play of the four that I released on the weekend that lost. After winning Game 1 the Nets have faltered as the 76ers have taken three straight. However, with its back against the wall, I like Brooklyn to step up here and get the job done. I also don’t think that the outright win is out of the question. Consistency from game to game has plagued the 76ers all year and while they’ve seemingly gotten it together over the last week, I’m not fully convinced quite yet until I do indeed see them finish the deal. The Nets have admittedly disappointed over the last couple of games, but we don’t have to question their drive in this one. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to deliver the goods. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Nets. | |||||||
04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 53 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Clippers keep this crucial Game 4 competitive. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’ll recommend grabbing the points. After rolling to a 132-105 win in Game 3, I think the Warriors come out flat here. The Clippers know they can’t go back to Golden State down 3-1 and expect to win this series, so with the home side laying everything on the line, I do indeed expect a “nail biter” until the end. The Clippers have the offensive firepower to keep pace with Golden State and they won’t be lacking for motivation tonight. Additionally note that Golden State is still a horrible 16-20 ATS as a road favorite this season, while LA is a solid 16-8 ATS in its last 24 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Warriors. | |||||||
04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets +3 | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Nets came out and took Game 1 quite easily, but since then it’s been all Philadelphia, coming off back-to-back blowout victories, including Game 3 in Brooklyn. It’s now time for the Nets to respond in this crucial situation, as 3-1 hole heading back to Philadelphia is clearly not ideal. Brooklyn does have the depth to hang with the 76ers, but the Nets have struggled with consistency at times over the last two games. But I think that changes in Game 4, and the numbers support that, as note that Philadelphia is just 4-10 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less this year and only 1-6 ATS off a road win by ten points or more, while Brooklyn is 15-7 ATS this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Nets. | |||||||
04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +4.5 | Top | 98-93 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* SHOCKER OF THE YEAR) Orlando dominated the second half of the regular season and it came out and accomplished exactly what it wanted to in Toronto to open this series, earning a “split” by handily taking Game 1. The Raptors bounced back in Game 2, but I smell another slight upset in Game 3 as I look for the home side to ride the wave of emotion. Of course the Magic would have loved to have taken both games from the Raptors, but that’s not realistic. A split was the goal and with that goal having already been accomplished after the first game, the Magic took the foot off the gas in Game 2. It’ll be full speed ahead though in Game 3. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the home floor advantage is significant here. Note as well that Toronto is a terrible 11-14 ATS this season as a road favorite, while Orlando is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Magic. | |||||||
04-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9 | 132-105 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (9* BANKROLL BUILDER). With DeMarcus Cousins sidelined with injury for the rest of the year and coming off one of the biggest upset losses in NBA playoff history, I think the Warriors are more susceptible than ever right now. Clearly the Clippers have the firepower and heart to hand with Golden State, so the big question is, will LA have a predictable letdown here after that epic win? In my opinion, the answer is no. It was a big victory, but in the end the series is only tied 1-1. Now the Clippers can smell the blood in the water with the injury to Cousins. Outright win? Possible. But in a contest which i see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-114 Warriors. | |||||||
04-16-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 57 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* GAME OF WEEK) After three straight wins, I think the Spurs have a letdown here. San Antonio scored the major upset in Game 1 and with the “split” accomplished, I think that the Spurs predictably come up short here (just like the Nets did last night in their blowout loss to the 76ers!) It’s an identical situation. The 76ers had a great overall year, yet it would have basically all gone to waste if it didn’t buckle down and take care of business in Game 2. And now that’s exactly the same situation that the Nuggets find themselves in. San Antonio is still just 11-12 ATS as a road dog this year, while Denver is still 23-16 ATS as a home favorite (also 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two days rest.) Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 112-98 Nuggets. | |||||||
04-16-19 | Magic +9.5 v. Raptors | 82-111 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (8* BLOWOUT) I had a play on Orlando in its Game 1 upset and while I didn’t call for the outright straight win in Game 1, I’m also not calling for an outright win here either. Rather, in a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time tonight, I’m going to grab the ample points as I once again expect another tight battle until the end. Note that Orlando won Game 1 despite star big man Nikola Vucevic going only 3 of 11 from the floor. Note that Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning SU records, while Orlando is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU win. Is there any better scenario for Kawhi Leonard to leave in if the Raptors go out in the first round? Leonard had a great regular season and he won’t have any attachment to this team if a first round exit occurs. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Raptors. | |||||||
04-15-19 | Clippers +14 v. Warriors | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 35 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Clippers (8*) The Warriors pretty much had their way with the Clippers in Game 1. But the playoffs are all about adjustments from game to game and I think the talented Clippers can keep Game 2 much closer than what this spread would suggest. They gave up 121 points in Game 1, but during the regular season they averaged 115.1 PPG themselves. LA has the firepower to match pace today and while the Warriors clearly won’t be taking the foot off the gas either, everything points to a competitive battle in my opinion. LA is 3-1 ATS this season revenging four or more loss vs. an opponent in the last two years. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-115 Warriors | |||||||
04-15-19 | Nets +7.5 v. 76ers | 123-145 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: 76ers (8*) I had a play on the “under” in the Nets’ 103-92 Game 1 victory. In Game 2 I like the home side to bounce back with a resounding victory. The main goal of any visiting team in the first round of the playoffs is to simply earn a “split,” so as to gain control of the “home court advantage” moving forward. With that task accomplished, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here from Brooklyn. The Nets are a deep team, but their inconsistency on the road (just 7-8 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range) will be their downfall tonight in my opinion. Philly on the other hand is still 12-7 ATS this year as a home favorite in the same points range. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 118-107 76ers. WRONG TEAM CHOSEN: This is a play on the 76ers..not the Nets. Sorry for the confusion...play entering mistake! | |||||||
04-14-19 | Pistons v. Bucks -12 | Top | 86-121 | Win | 100 | 58 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Bucks (10* BEST OF BEST) I’m expecting a decisive blowout here. Detroit won its final two regular season games to qualify for the eight spot. The Pistons reward? A date vs. Milwaukee, a team it went 0-4 against in the regular season. The Pistons average 107 PPG and they allow 107.3. The Bucks average 118.1 PPG and they allow 109.3. Milwaukee is 12-3 ATS vs. the division this year, while Detroit is just 6-9 ATS in the same position. Like the Warriors did last night, look for the No. 1 seed in the East to deliver a message here as well. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Bucks. | |||||||
04-13-19 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 37 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) These are two hard-nosed defensive minded clubs, but I believe they’ll engage in an up-tempo “shootout” to open this series. I think these teams are evenly matched. The Spurs averaged 111.7 PPG and they allowed 110, while Denver averaged 110.7 PPG, while allowing 106.7. Note though that the Spurs are a perfect 5-0 ATS this year trying to revenge a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Denver is interestingly only 33-34 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Denver. | |||||||
04-10-19 | A's v. Orioles +1.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Orioles (8*) I like the Orioles to bounce back here after last night’s 13-2 loss to the A’s. Oakland had lost four straight previous to that and I think that an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. Before yesterday’s outburst Oakland was hitting just .237 as a team. Dan Straily makes a spot start for the O’s and he has a 1-0, 1.29 ERA career record vs. Oakland. Frankie Montas (1-1, 2.45) gets the nod for the visitors and this is the first time he’s ever faced Baltimore. Baltimore scored 12 runs in the Game 1 victory and all signs point to another victory of the “rocking chair” variety. Great value. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Orioles. | |||||||
04-09-19 | Hornets v. Cavs +7 | Top | 124-97 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* TRADE-MARK) The Cavaliers are looking to snap a nine-game slide, while also looking to play spoiler here to the Hornets, who are in a dog fight until the end for one of the final spots in the East. Overall the Hornets average 110.5 PPG, while allowing 111.9. The Cavs average 104.6 PPG, while conceding 114. I’ll point out though that the Hornets are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Cleveland is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. Expect the home side to push this one to the brink. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Hornets. | |||||||
04-07-19 | Clippers +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 104-131 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) The Clippers are in a dog fight for one of the final spot in the West. They’ll be eager to get back on track here and to try and score the upset win after a 135-103 home loss to Houston and a 122-117 setback to the Lakers. “(If) we lose a couple more, we’ll be in the eight seed,” head coach Doc Rivers admitted, preceding that comment with some sarcasm. “That would be really smart on our part. (The seeding) matters. It absolutely matters. I don’t think anybody wants to go play Golden State. If we have to, we’ll be ready. But my guess is the other seven teams aren’t volunteering. That’s all I’m going to say.” Golden State is on the verge of clinching the Western Conference, but after four straight wins, I think the home side comes in a bit complacent here. Outright upset? Nah! But grab the points and expect a battle until the final moments. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 61-51 | Loss | -109 | 106 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are very evenly matched. And they are. Both have used smothering defensive play to reach this point, but MSU’s offense is better and in this situation, I think that’ll be enough to put the Spartans over the top. Tom Izzo has an advantage over his counterpart Chris Beard as well. Michigan State’s experience and superior offensive numbers make it the correct call in my opinion. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 MSU. | |||||||
04-06-19 | Auburn +5.5 v. Virginia | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 103 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Auburn (9* TRADE-MARK) Both teams come in on top form. The one knock against the Tigers heading into the game vs. No. 2 Kentucky (a game it won 77-71 in OT on Sunday), was that it was playing without key player Chuma Okeke, who was injured in the previous round. But the Tigers’ depth once again proved to be the difference in the upset victory and I like their chances here as well to pull off an outright. Virginia was taken to the brink last time out, needing OT beat Purdue 80-75. Auburn has won 12 straight and I expect it to push this Cavaliers defense to the edge once again. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 66-64 Auburn. | |||||||
04-05-19 | South Florida +2.5 v. DePaul | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* WINNER). I had the Bulls in Game 1, the Blue Demons in Game 2 and for Game 3 I’m coming back with USF (each game has been razor sharp, some may have won, pushed or lost depending on when you got down. I was admittedly fortunate both times so far). Game 2 was a 100-96 OT DePaul win, but I think the Game 3 pace, which I predict will be “slow” due to the high-scoring extra-frame shootout on Wednesday, absolutely favors the defensive minded Bulls here. DePaul has not looked like the better team and home court was not really an advantage at all in Game 2. Note that DePaul is still just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while USF is still 12-3 ATS in its last 15 on the road. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulls. | |||||||
04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10*) I had Lipscomb in their victory over Wichita State last time out and I think they’re not getting nearly enough respect here as well. The Longhorns looked impressive in their 58-44 win over TCU, but I think they’ll have their hands full with this deep and experienced “Cinderella” side. The Bison average 83.6 PPG and they allow 69.9. Texas averages only 70.8 PPG, while allowing 66.4. The numbers don’t add up to me here. I think the Bison get out to an early lead and I don’t think the offensively challenged Longhorns are going to be able to keep up. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bison. | |||||||
04-03-19 | Spurs +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Spurs are trying desperately to avoid eighth spot in the West, which would almost assuredly mean a matchup with the Warriors. San Antonio handled the Hawks 117-111 at home last night and I think they carry that momentum over into the first game of their final road trip of the year. Denver on the other hand was busy losing 116-102 to the Warriors last night and I think it comes in still collectively caught up on that setback. Note that the Spurs are 32-22 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest, while Denver is just 6-9 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This one comes down to the wire, so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Spurs. | |||||||
04-03-19 | South Florida v. DePaul -4 | Top | 96-100 | Push | 0 | 33 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DePaul (10* BLOWOUT) I had a play on USF and it would hold on for the 63-61 home victory in Game 1 of the CBI Tournament Championship on Monday. With a chance to take the title here, the defensive minded Bulls are going to be out to duplicate their performance, holding the Blue Demons to just 38.5 percent from the floor in the victory. In Game 2 though I’m expecting the high-flying Blue Demons to push the pace from start to finish and to ride the wave of emotion in front of the home town crowd to solid SU/ATS victory here. USF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, but at nearly 79 PPG average offensively for the Blue Demons, I think the Bulls’ unit gets pushed to the brink in Game 2. From a situational stand point I think this one sets up great for DePaul to bounce back in. USF is also just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while DePaul is 5-2 ATS in its last seven off a road loss. T.M. Prediction: 85-67 Blue Demons. | |||||||
04-02-19 | Hampton +5.5 v. Marshall | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hampton (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is one of the semi-finals of the CIT. The Hampton Pirates have won eight of their last nine games. Overall the Pirates average 81.4 PPG, while allowing 76.1. The Thundering Herd have won eight of nine as well. Overall Marshall averages 80.2 PPG, while allowing 80.9. These number don’t matchup. Hampton has experience as well. Additionally note that the Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, while the Herd are only 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games and just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. I think the outright upset is very possible obviously, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 88-86 Hampton. | |||||||
04-01-19 | Hornets v. Jazz -11.5 | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah has won four straight over some pretty mediocre competition, but it finds itself in another favorable situation here, facing a Hornets team that comes in off a blowout loss in Golden State just last night. The Hornets would need to sweep the board and get outside help to make the playoffs at this point, while Utah is looking to gain ground. From a situational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for the home side. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Jazz. | |||||||
04-01-19 | DePaul v. South Florida -1 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: USF (10* CBB GAME OF WEEK) This is Game 1 of the best of three for the CBI title. DePaul enters off win over CMU, Longwood, Coastal Carolina, while USF beat Stony Brook, Utah Valley and Loyola Marymount. DePaul has looked good so far in this tournament having scored at least 90 points in all three victories, but note that it’s still just 3-8 on the road this year. Overall the Blue Demons average 78.6 PPG, while allowing 76.2. USF has gotten this far because of its unreal defense and I believe it’ll be the difference maker in Game 1 as well (most recently beating Loyola Marymount 56-47 at home.) USF is 17-5 on its home floor and it averages 71.9 PPG, while allowing 66.5. I’m banking on home floor mattering here. T.M. Prediction: 80-71 Bulls. | |||||||
03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke -1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke (10* TRADE-MARK) After back-to-back near upsets, I look for the Blue Devils to come out and play their finest game to this point of the Tournament. These are two of the most storied College Basketball schools in history, so a re-cap of their Hall of Fame coaches or the programs themselves is unnecessary obviously. What doesn’t break you, makes you stronger. The Blue Devils have survived and I believe they’ll come in confident here vs. a Spartans team which has rolled through its competition to this point. But now MSU is in for a fight and I think it’s one that it’s not matched up well for. I like the big stars (Barrett, Williamson) of Duke to be the difference once again. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Blue Devils. | |||||||
03-30-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 75-80 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10*) Virginia has an unrelenting defense. The Cavs are the No. 1 defense in the country, but Purdue comes in on top form and I believe the Boilermakers will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Purdue had a 14 point lead over the Vols in the Sweet 16, but eventually the Boilermakers pulled away for the 99-94 OT victory. Virginia got the better of Oregon 53-49. As stated off the top, clearly the Cavs are a power-house on the defense side. However, clearly their lack of offensive consistency has been their weak point as well and it’s one which I think the Boilermakers can exploit today as they look to pull off another SU upset. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Purdue. | |||||||
03-30-19 | Blazers v. Pistons -3 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers come in off a big win on the road over Atlanta just last night. Detroit plays with the immediate revenge factor here after falling 117-112 in Portland just last week. The Pistons are in sixth spot in the East, but only 1.5 games ahead of ninth place Orlando, who they picked up a win over in their last outing. Note that Portland is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing the second game of a back-to-back, while Detroit is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. Detroit is in a dog fight as it looks to maintain positioning and I expect it to make the most of this situation. T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Detroit. | |||||||
03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga -4 | 75-69 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (8*) Texas Tech has the Nation’s No. 3 ranked defense and it comes in off a commanding 63-44 win over Michigan on Thursday. Gonzaga is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. averaging 88.2 PPG. The Bulldogs will be out to push the pace from the outset in this one and not let TT dictate the action. Gonzaga was upset in the conference tournament game to Saint Mary’s but the Bulldogs enter having won three straight quite easily and after dispatching the Seminoles in such grand fashion, I expect another beatdown here as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 Gonzaga. | |||||||
03-29-19 | Wizards +12.5 v. Jazz | Top | 124-128 | Win | 100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wizards have essentially been eliminated from the playoffs, s they’d need to sweep their remaining six games, while also getting a lot of outside help. The odds are against Washington tremendously, but after breaking a five-game slide with a win over Phoenix last time out, clearly it hasn’t quite thrown in the towel yet. The Jazz come in on the other end of the spectrum having won four straight. Will they “get caught looking past” their lowly non-conference opponent tonight? I think the answer to that is: “very possibly!” Note that Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Utah is just 10-16 ATS this season after having won three of its last four games. I’m grabbing all these points. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Utah. | |||||||
03-29-19 | LSU +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -109 | 128 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) LSU has had its difficulties over the last month and a half. The Tigers faded down the stretch of the regular season and then faltered in the SEC Tournament. LSU has gotten past Yale and Maryland though and I think it won’t go down without a fight here either vs. Michigan State, which has beaten Bradley and Minnesota. LSU averages 80.9 PPG and it allows 72.9. MSU averages 78.5 PPG and it ranks third in the country in field goal percentage defense. These numbers are comparable. I look for this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 MSU. | |||||||
03-28-19 | Oregon +8.5 v. Virginia | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 61 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (8* MONEY-MAKER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 61-59 Cavs. | |||||||
03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (10* SWEET 16 BEST OF THE BEST) It’s a big time revenge game for the Bulldogs as Florida State laid a 75-60 beatdown on them in the Sweet 16 last year. Both teams have advanced relatively easily to this point. The Noles average only 44.4 percent form the floor, including 33.7 percent from range, making up for it on the other end by conceding only 67 PPG. Gonzaga comes in on top form as well though, most recently destroying Baylor 83-71 on Saturday. “They’re a really good team,” Gonzaga forward Corey Kispert said of the ‘Noles. “They’re going to demand our best. But it’s exactly what we wanted. We wouldn’t want it any other way.” Note that the Bulldogs have been even better on the defensive side this year, allowing just 64.8 PPG. I think the revenge angle works and is the difference. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Zags. | |||||||
03-26-19 | Magic v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Magic torched the 76ers at home just last night, but I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back to back vs. a Heat team fighting for one of the final playoff spots in the East. Also note that Miami plays with “revenge” here after losing two of three in the season series. Note that the Magic are just 5-8 in the second game of back-to-backs this year, averaging 110.8 PPG and allowing 112.2 in those situations. The Heat return home rested after demolishing the Wizards on the road Saturday. Now tied with Orlando for the final spot, clearly the home side will be looking to push the pace from start to finish. Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games. vs. a team with a losing road record, while Orlando is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road. T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Heat. | |||||||
03-25-19 | Nets +6 v. Blazers | Top | 144-148 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Nets come in with some momentum here after back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Kings. Portland comes in having won three straight vs. Detroit, Dallas and Indiana. Two teams hungry for more wins to bolster their playoff positioning from difference conferences collide and I’m expecting a battle until the end. The Nets just held the Lakers offense to 38.5 percent shooting. The Nets are 61-44 ATS in their last 10 as a road underdog (including a money-making 17-14 this season), while Portland is just 12-21 ATS in its last 33 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including only 4-6 this year.) Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Nets. | |||||||
03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount -4 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Marymount (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is the quarterfinals of the CBI Tournament. Brown posted an 83-78 win over UAB to advance to face the Lions. Overall the Bears averaged 73.9 PPG, while allowing 68.5. Loyola Marymount lost to Pepperdine in the WCC Tournament, but it bounced back with a victory over California Baptist to reach this point. The Lions averaged only 67.2 PPG, but they made up for it on the end of the court by allowing only 62.7. Note that Brown is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a road underdog of 3.5 to six points, while Loyola Marymount is 9-4 ATS this season after failing to cover in two of its last three vs. the spread. I think the Lions aggressive defensive play proves to be too much for the Bears tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Loyola Marymount. | |||||||
03-24-19 | Ohio State +6 v. Houston | Top | 59-74 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) Ohio State enters off a 62-59 win over Iowa State, while Houston rolled to an 84-55 win over Georgia State to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Buckeyes had a poor shooting game last time out, but their tough defensive play was the difference. Ohio State also collected 38 boards, compared to just 31 for Iowa State. Houston rolled to victory in Round 1, but I think the Cougars, who only average 75.6 PPG, will have a much more difficult time today vs. the buzz saw of an Ohio State defense right now. Additionally note that Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral site affairs. Outright is possible, but I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Houston. | |||||||
03-24-19 | Oklahoma v. Virginia -11 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) Oklahoma backed its way into the NCAA Tournament with two straight losses, but it came out in the first round and rebounded with an upset win over Ole Miss. The Sooners would go on to post a season high 95 points in the victory. However, I think a predictable letdown here is imminent facing the nation’s No. 1 defense. Overall Oklahoma averages 71.2 PPG, while allowing 68.2. The Cavs average only 71.8 PPG, but as mentioned above, they enter with the No. 1 defense in the country, conceding just 55.1 PPG. Oklahoma is only 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU/ATS win, while Virginia is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 following an ATS loss. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 75-53 UVA. | |||||||
03-24-19 | UCF v. Duke -12.5 | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Duke (8* MONEY-MAKER) After upsetting VCU, I think that the Knights take a step back here vs. the No. 1 seed. UCF averages 72.1 PPG an fit allows 64.3. The Golden Knights held the Rams to 58 points, but I believe they’ll have their hands full with the Blue Devils, who average 83.5 PPG. Duke is also stout at the other end of the floor, conceding only 67.6 PPG. UCF is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. the ACC, while Duke is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss and 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a SU win of more than 20 points. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-63 Blue Devils. | |||||||
03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers +1.5 | Top | 88-124 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BLACK-LABEL) Denver smashed the Knicks 111-93 on the road on Friday, while the Pacers return home to friendly confines off a humbling 0-4 Western Conference road trip, including a 112-89 setback to Golden State on Thursday. Part of their losing road trip included a 102-100 loss in Denver on March 16th. With a chance to avenge that loss and to break the four-game slide, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here as it tries to get back into the playoff hunt. Denver comes in complacent at the end of its trip and note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four after six or more SU wins. Additionally note that the Pacers are already 4-1 ATS this year as a home dog of six points or less. T.M. Prediction: 108-103 Pacers. | |||||||
03-23-19 | Suns +10 v. Kings | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Kings are desperately trying to post some wins to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Suns won’t be in the playoffs, but they’ll be trying to play spoiler here. The Kings come in off a win over the Mavericks, but after three straight losses, including a blowout setback at home to the Pistons, I think the Suns will give Sacramento everything it can handle tonight. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 after two straight blowout losses of 15 points or more, while Sacramento is still only 6-8 ATS vs. the division. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Kings. | |||||||
03-23-19 | Villanova +4 v. Purdue | 61-87 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Villanova (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Villanova. | |||||||
03-23-19 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -9.5 | Top | 50-70 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10*) These teams are familiar with each other, both hailing from the Big Ten. This is a matchup which does not bode well for the Gophers. These teams played once this season and the Spartans administered a severe 79-5 beatdown on February 9th. Richard Pitino got some sort of mild revenge for his father in yesterday’s upset win over Louisville, but MSU is an entirely different animal. Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while Michigan State is 3-0 ATS in the same position. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 MSU. | |||||||
03-23-19 | Murray State v. Florida State -4.5 | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (8*) Ja Morant and Murray State rolled to an 83-64 win over Marquette on Thursday, but I think they’ll have their hands full today with FSU, who advanced with a 76-69 victory over Vermont. Morant had 17 points and 16 assists in the Racers win on Thursday. Murray State averages 83.3 PPG and it allow 67.7. FSU is a huge team though, with players like Chris Koumadje, who is 7-4, 270 lbs. FSU averages only 74.9 PPG, but it allows only 67.2. Murray State though is just 1-2 ATS off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, while FSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. I think FSU’s size does play a difference here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-66 FSU. | |||||||
03-22-19 | UCF v. VCU -1 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -105 | 109 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU (10* GAME OF WEEK) UCF is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2005. The Knights lost their final two games of the year. UCF averages only 72.1 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by allowing only 64.3. VCU returns after a one-year absence. The Rams had a 12 game win streak snapped by Rhode Island in the A-10 Tournament. The Rams average only 71.4 PPG, but like their counterparts today, they make up for it on the other end by conceding only 61.6 PPG. Note as well that VCU is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 tournament games and 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while UCF is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Rams. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |