Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-22-19 | Gardner-Webb +23.5 v. Virginia | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 102 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Gardner Webb (8*) Gardner Webb beat Big South regular-season Champion Radford in the Big South tournament title game and it comes into this one on top form having won five straight. Gardner Webb averages 78.3 PPG and it allows just 70.5 (led by David Efianayi with 18.4 points and 3.7 boards per game.) Virginia was upset by FSU in the ACC tournament, snapping a nine-game win streak. The Cavs average only 71.8 PPG, while holding the opposition to just 55.1. Note though that Gardner Webb is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as an underdog, while Virginia is 0-2 ATS already this season when playing with five or six days rest. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-62 Cavs. | |||||||
03-22-19 | Oklahoma +2 v. Ole Miss | 95-72 | Win | 100 | 99 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (8*) The Sooners stumbled down the stretch, going just 2-3 in their final five games, but I think they’ll bounce back here after going 12-2 during the non-conference portion of their schedule. Oklahoma averages 71.2 PPG, while allowing 68.2. The Rebels are just 1-4 in their last five. Ole Miss averages 75.4 PPG and it allows 70.4. Note that Oklahoma was also 11-1 ATS this year in non-conference action, while Ole Miss is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-68 Sooners. | |||||||
03-22-19 | Iowa +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 99 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Iowa (8*) Iowa stumbled down the stretch of the regular season and it would eventually fall to Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. The Hawkeyes play in the tougher Conference and clearly they’ll have their hands full with Cincinnati, which just won the AAC Conference Tournament. These teams are very evenly matched though, as Iowa averages 78.3 PPG. The Bearcats have the advantage on the defensive end, but I think the unit will be stretched here by this Iowa team with something to prove here. Iowa is still 4-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Cincinnati is just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Iowa. | |||||||
03-21-19 | Pistons -6.5 v. Suns | Top | 118-98 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Detroit’s been playing a lot better since the All Star break. After back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Raptors, the Pistons will be out to atone for a lacklustre effort vs. the Cavs in their last game. After a three week surge about a month ago, the Suns have predictably come back down to Earth and they enter off a deflating loss at home to the lowly Bulls. Phoenix has struggled in this spot for bettors for quite some time, going just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400, while Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. I’m laying the points and expecting the Pistons to get back on track in this favorable spot. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Pistons. | |||||||
03-21-19 | Montana +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-74 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’ll stop short in calling for the outright victory, but with nothing to lose, I think that the hungry Montana Grizzlies can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I think that Michigan is still “shell shocked” after losing to rival MSU in the Big Ten Championship Game. Montana won’t be going down without a fight. It’s filled with experienced players as it just captured its second straight Big Sky tournament title. This is a revenge game of sorts as well after Montana fell to Michigan in a 3 vs. 14 matchup last year, 61-47 in Wichita. No outright, but the table is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 69-62 Michigan. | |||||||
03-21-19 | Vermont v. Florida State -10 | 69-76 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (8*) Vermont beat UMBC 66-49 in the America East tournament title game to advance here, while FSU lost 73-63 to Duke in the ACC Tournament title game this past weekend. The Catamounts closed the year with six straight wins, but I think the “step up” in competition will prove to be just too much for Vermont to overcome today. No upsets here as the Seminoles look to take out their frustrations on Vermont after the letdown in the title game. Vermont averages 73.9 PPG and it allows 62.6. The Seminoles average 74.9 PPG and they allow 67.1. FSU is 8-2-2 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games, while Vermont is just 13-27-2 ATS in its last 42 vs. teams with winning SU records. T.M. Prediction: 80-54 FSU. | |||||||
03-21-19 | Yale v. LSU -7 | 74-79 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU (8*) Yale won the Ivy League Tournament and while the Bulldogs won’t be going down without a fight, I think the “step up” in competition will prove to be too much for the 14th seed to overcome in the end. Yale defeated Harvard 95-87 in the title game. Yale averages 81.1 PPG and it allows 73.2. LSU averages 81.4 PPG and it allows 73.0. The Bulldogs though are a poor 1-4 ATS as an underdog this year, while LSU is 7-1 ATS in its last eight when playing with five or six days rest. Lay the points and expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 90-70 LSU. | |||||||
03-21-19 | Minnesota v. Louisville -4.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (8*) Richard Pitino coaches the Golden Gophers. The Louisville Cardinals will look to bury Minnesota here as it looks to exact revenge against the family that did them wrong. Note that the Gophers played one ACC opponent this year and lost 68-56 to Boston College in November. Louisville is now led by first year coach Chris Mack, who is out to make a new legacy for a storied school program. The Cardinals signature victory came over North Carolina on the road, handing Roy Williams his worst home loss in conference play since he came to the school. Louisville split two games vs. Big Ten schools, beating Michigan State in OT at home and losing at Indiana. Note that Louisville is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite in the -0.5 to -6.5 points range, while Minnesota is a poor 9-23 ATS in its last 32 as an underdog in the same points range. T.M. Prediction: 76-60 Louisville. | |||||||
03-20-19 | Arizona State v. St. John's +1.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 61 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. John’s (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are evenly matched. Both teams looked great at times this year and each struggled down the stretch of the season. Hence the reason they find themselves in The First Four. St. John’s plays with “revenge” here though after falling to the Sun Devils 82-70 in Los Angeles last year. Chris Mullin entered his fourth year as head coach of St. John’s this season and for the first time since taking over, he’d finish with a winning regular season record. Winning has come slower than expected for Mullin, but at the end of the day, he has gotten his team to this point: “The fact of the matter is it does not matter,” Mullin said about the fact the selection committee confirmed the Red Storm was the last at-large team in the field. “So it’s kind of quite factual. And so it’s a true new beginning. No. 1, No. 16, 12, there’s no advantage. You gotta go out and play good basketball. You play good basketball, you move on; if you don’t, your season’s over. “I was part of the team that was the last team in the NBA playoffs on the last day of the season. And we upset the No. 1 team with the most wins in the NBA. So it truly does not matter. You don’t have to make that up. That’s not something you have to tell stories about; that’s the fact.” Ultimately I think that ASU’s issues down the stretch can’t be ignored. Look for St. John’s to finally live up to expectations. At least for one night. T.M. Prediction: 77-75 Red Storm. | |||||||
03-20-19 | Jazz v. Knicks +12 | Top | 137-116 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Outright upset? Probably not. But I think the visitors come in complacent and get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Jazz come in off a 116-95 road win over Washington on Monday, while the Knicks were killed 128-92 on the road in Toronto on Monday. Not surprisingly the home side plays with revenge here after falling 129-97 in the first matchup of the season in Utah back on December 29th. Utah’s won four straight, but with a game tomorrow night in Atlanta, it’s not to difficult to see the visitors also getting caught “looking past” their opponent as well. Additionally note that Utah is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog in the same points range. Yes the Knicks are just counting down the minutes to the off-season, but this one sets up great from a situational stand point. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-105 Utah. | |||||||
03-19-19 | Nets v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 123-121 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Nets have lost three straight on their current road trip and I think they’ll stumble again here in this difficult road venue. Sacramento’s playoff hopes are fading, but it comes in with momentum after breaking a three-game slide by knocking off the Bulls on Sunday. I think the Nets are still mentally caught up on their last loss, giving up a ten point lead in the final minute and losing on a last second three-pointer by one point. The Kings clearly haven’t thrown in the towel yet and I think they keep the momentum rolling tonight. Not as well that Brooklyn is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a losing SU record, while the Kings are 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 121-110 Kings. | |||||||
03-18-19 | Jazz v. Wizards +4 | Top | 116-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah comes in off a satisfying 114-98 home win over the Nets on Saturday, while the Wizards got back on track in the Nation’s capital with a come from behind 135-128 home win over the Grizzlies. The Jazz got things turned around during a four-game home stand, going 3-1, including posting three straight victories. Utah averages 110.1 PPG and it allows 106.4. The Wizards average 114.6 PPG and they allow 116.9. But the Jazz find themselves in a classic “trap” game here. Winning at home is one thing, but Utah’s achilles heel has been its play on the road. The Wizards aren’t going down without a fight in the weak Eastern Conference and I believe they’ll take their complacent opponent down to the wire. Note as well that Utah is just 11-12 ATS this year off a home victory, while Washington is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog. I smell an upset. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Wizards. | |||||||
03-17-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State +1 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* MONEY MAKER) Michigan finished 15-5 in Big Ten lay, while MSU was 16-4. This is simply a bad matchup for Michigan though. These teams met twice in the regular season, and the Spartans won each time (by 12 at home on March 9th and by 7 on the road on February 24th.) It’s difficult to beat any team three times in one season. But MSU is a pretty good team. And sometimes certain “match ups” give teams issues. I had a play on Old Dominion last night and it had beaten WKU twice in the regular season (by a combined seven points.) I stated in that write-up the exact same thing, that certain “match ups” are just difficult for some teams, and that’s definitely the case here in my opinion as well. I think the Spartans’ depth on both ends of the court once again proves to be too much for the Wolverines to overcome. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 MSU. | |||||||
03-16-19 | Pacers +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10*) The Pacers have won back-to-back games. So have the Nuggets. Both teams will be in the postseason and I don’t expect either to go down without a fight tonight. Indiana comes in off a big come from behind win over OKC at home and I look for it to carry that momentum over here. Indiana is 12-7 ATS this year after playing two straight home games, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Pacers. | |||||||
03-16-19 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -1 | Top | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Old Dominion (NCAA TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR) Clearly these teams are very evenly matched as evidenced by this spread. These teams have played twice this year and ODU came out on top both times. The games were decided by a total of seven points. Both teams come in on top form, but this is a matchup which has confounded WKU this season. I think that’ll again be the case here. ODU is the top seed in the tournament for a reason. Also note that WKU is 0-4 ATS in its last four off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, while ODU is 3-0 ATS in its last three after two straight close wins by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 70-53 ODU. | |||||||
03-16-19 | Grizzlies v. Wizards -2.5 | 128-135 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (8*) The Wizards stumbled on Friday at home to Charlotte, but I think it’ll bounce back here and avenge a 107-95 loss to the Grizzlies that it suffered at the start of the season. Memphis enters off a 132-11 loss at Atlanta on Wednesday. Memphis averages only 101.8 PPG, while allowing 104.1. The Wizards are an impressive 8-4 in the second game of back to backs this season, averaging 115 points and allowing 114.4 in those contests. The Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. teams with losing SU records, while the Grizz are only 6-15 ATS in their last 21 on the road. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 118-104 Wizards. | |||||||
03-15-19 | Florida v. LSU -1.5 | Top | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think LSU lays the hammer down here. Florida played well in its 66-50 win over Arkansas on Thursday, but I believe the Gators come in tired here. Florida went just 1-8 vs. AP Top 25 teams, the lone victory coming against LSU. Now the rested Tigers, who won five straight to end the regular season, come in rested and ready to avenge that setback. LSU is 3-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 7-3 ATS in its last ten when playing with five or six days rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-60 LSU. | |||||||
03-15-19 | Ohio State +11 v. Michigan State | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) I had a play on Ohio State in its 55-52 win over Indiana on Thursday. The Hoosiers entered the Conference tournament as one of the hottest teams in the nation, but the Buckeyes jumped out to an early lead, clamped down defensively and never let up. Ohio State would hold IU to just 39.6 percent shooting and 6 of 20 from range. MSU has dealt with adversity this year (lost Joshua Langford to injury in December), but it closed the regular season winning seven of eight. Note though that MSU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight neutral site games. I like the desperate Buckeyes to keep this one competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 MSU. | |||||||
03-15-19 | Connecticut +10 v. Houston | 45-84 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UConn (8* MONEY-MAKER) The Huskies advanced with a convincing 80-73 win over South Florida yesterday afternoon and I think they’ll give the 29-2 Cougars everything they can handle here. Not surprisingly, this is a “revenge” game for UConn after it dropped the lone regular season game between the teams. Houston averaged 76.4 PPG and it allowed 61, while the Huskies averaged 74.5 points, while allowing 69.9. I think the Cougars come in flat footed after the extra time off and I look for the Huskies to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-67 Houston. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Lakers v. Raptors -9.5 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (8*) The Lakers have been hit or miss this year. They’ve been terrible against the “better” competition. They’ve struggled against “deep” teams, and that is exactly what Toronto is all about. The Raptors are one game behind the Bucks in the standings now after dropping two of three. I expect the home side to come in very focused and to take advantage here. Note that LA is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven when playing on one days rest, while the Raptors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five after a SU loss of more than ten points. T.M. Prediction: 130-115 Raptors. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Thunder v. Pacers -1 | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (8*) A family emergency has me scrambling this morning an unable to do my normal detailed analysis. This pick is based upon the fact that the Thunder played a tough game at home last night vs. the Nets, one which the were forced to play catch up in the entire night. OKC came out on top, but I think it’ll struggle here in the second game of the back-to-back. Note that the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten at home, while the Thunder are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight when playing the second game of a back-to-back. T.M. Prediction: 114-107 Pacers. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Indiana v. Ohio State +1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) The Buckeyes beat the Hoosiers 55-52 on February 10th and I expect a similar hard-fought, but final score here as well. Ohio State lost four of five down the stretch, including a 73-67 OT loss to Wisconsin at home in its finale. Ohio State is out to play spoiler here, as a loss and Indiana is clearly out of contention for The Big Dance. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Ohio State. | |||||||
03-13-19 | Washington State +10.5 v. Oregon | 51-84 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington State (8*) The Ducks have won four straight. The Cougars have lost five straight. WSU plays with “double revenge” here though and I think that’s the difference maker in this one. I’m not calling for the outright victory or anything, but let’s be realistic. It’s difficult to beat a team three times in one season, despite how horrible it is. The Ducks aren’t even an elite team this season. Note as well that Washington State is 6-3 ATS in its last nine revenging two straight losses vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Oregon is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a neutral four favorite in the 9.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Ducks. | |||||||
03-13-19 | Jazz v. Suns +7 | Top | 114-97 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10:05 EST). The Jazz have been playing terribly of late and the Suns have been playing great. I think those trends continue here. Utah enters off consecutive losses to the Thunder and Grizzlies, while the Suns come in off an epic road win at Golden State. Devin Booker had 37 points, eight boards, 11 assists and two steals in the win over the Warriors. The Suns are healthy and confident. The Jazz are in complete disarray and note that they’re a terrible 5-8 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Utah. | |||||||
03-13-19 | DePaul v. St. John's -5.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: St. John’s (8*) DePaul finished 15-14 this season, while St. John’s was 20-11. DePaul beat St. John’s in both regular season meetings this year and the “double revenge” factor is what I’m pretty much basing this particular selection on. The Blue Demons finished last in the Big East standings but they’d inexplicably get the better of the Red Storm in both games this year. Revenge is a dish best served cold and I look for the deeper and more talented Red Storm to avenge those two setbacks with a convincing victory here today. Note that DePaul is just 3-8 ATS this year after covering two of its last three ATS, while St. John’s is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 revenging a loss where the opponent score 75 points or more in. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Red Storm. | |||||||
03-13-19 | Butler -1.5 v. Providence | 57-80 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Butler (8*) Both teams finished with identical 7-11 records in conference play. The Bulldogs though play with “double in-season revenge” after dropping both games to the Friars. This is the entire basis of this selection. it’s not easy to beat a team three times in a single season. These teams are evenly matched on paper, but the Bulldogs have the overwhelming motivational factors working in their favor. Note as well that Butler is still 5-1 ATS in its last six revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Providence is just 6-8 ATS as an underdog this season. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Butler. | |||||||
03-13-19 | California +10 v. Colorado | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: California (8*) The Golden Bears finished with the worst record in the Pac 12, but they ended the season on a high note by winning their last three games. I think Cal can carry that confidence and momentum over here as it looks to avenge a regular season loss to the Buffs. Colorado comes in with considerable momentum, but this is a different looking Bears team than the one it played previously. Cal is also 9-4 ATS in its last 13 revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Colorado is only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a neutral four favorite. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 Buffs. | |||||||
03-13-19 | Arizona -2 v. USC | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (8*) Both teams have struggled down the stretch. USC has lost four straight. Arizona lost ten of 18 conference games, but it plays with revenge here after a blowout loss to the Trojans earlier in the year. Overall Arizona averages 71.1 PPG and it allows 71.1 as well. USC averages 76.3 PPG and it allows 73.1. During their recent slide though the Trojans are allowing 80.2 points. Note as well that USC is just 1-5 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in its last four vs. a team with a winning SU record, while USC is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 vs. teams with losing SU records. I like the Wildcats to bounce back and avenge the earlier loss to this atrocious USC team. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 72-66 Arizona. | |||||||
03-12-19 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Notre Dame (10* TRADE-MARK) The Irish have lost seven straight and GT may have won three of its final five, but I think the Irish have more than enough talent to get past the first round this year. ND finished 13-18 and GT ended up 14-17. These teams split a pair of games this season. The Irish put up a good fight vs. Pittsburgh last time out, eventually succumbing 56-53. The Yellow Jackets upset NC State 63-61 on the road on Wednesday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent here. I’ll point out as well that GT is just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while ND is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 after allowing 60 points or less. Despite the losing streak and the current form of each, I think ND matches up well here. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Irish. | |||||||
03-11-19 | San Diego v. St. Mary's -5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Saint Mary’s (8*) Both teams come in hot. The Gaels took both regular season meetings over the Toreros and I think that the third time will be a charm as well. San Diego has won three straight to get to the semifinal of the WCC. The Toreros average 72.6 PPG and they allow 68, while the Gaels average 73.5 PPG, while allowing 65. Over their last four games though the Gaels have allowed just 48.7 PPG average. San Diego is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine off a win vs. a conference rival, while Saint Mary’s is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive outings. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-63 Gaels. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Oakland +5.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oakland (8*) This is the semi’s of the Horizon League conference tourney. The Grizzlies advanced by beating Youngstown State 88-84, while Northern Kentucky beat Detroit 99-88. These teams are very familiar with each other and they’d go on to split a pair of games this year. The Grizzlies come in on top form having won five straight. Oakland averages 77.2 PPG and and it allows 76.6. The Norse average 79.7 PPG and they allow 69. The Grizzlies though are 5-1 ATS this year off a home win after scoring 85 points or more, while NKU is only 3-6 ATS this season off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival. Grab the points and expect an exciting game. T.M. Prediction: 75-77 Grizzlies. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Pepperdine +23.5 v. Gonzaga | 74-100 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pepperdine (8*) I think the 29-2 Gonzaga Bulldogs let the 16-17 Pepperdine Waves hang around late. Gonzaga comes in confident with a 20 game win streak in tact. The Waves had a poor overall season, finishing seventh in the WCC, but they come in “under the radar,” having won three straight and five of their last six, getting past some difficult opponents to get to this point. Gonzaga is a power house and I’n not in any predicting an outright upset. I simply feel that the Waves can catch the Bulldogs off guard and I expect them to carry their recent momentum over here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 82-75 Gonzaga. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Hornets +9 v. Rockets | Top | 106-118 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Clearly the Rockets are the better team, but I think the home side will lets its guard down enough to allow the hungry Hornets to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Charlotte has no more room for error at this point after losing three of its last four. While the outright upset is likely out of the question, we don’t have to question the visitors resolve and focus this evening. But after winning eight straight, including a tiger than expected win over the Mavericks on Sunday, I think the Rockets do come out flat here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent. Note as well that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS already this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Rockets are just 11-14 ATS in non-conference contests. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Rockets. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Miami-OH v. Akron -6 | 51-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) Miami Ohio lost its final three games of the regular season. The Redhawks average 71.5 PG and they allow 69.5. Miami Ohio though has allowed an average of 72.6 during its slide and I think it’ll have its hands full again here tonight vs. the Zips. Akron also struggled down the stretch, losing six of eight. Overall Akron averaged 69.2 PPG and it allowed 63.7 PPG. Miami Ohio though is a poor 5-6 ATS this year as a road underdog or pick, while Akron is still 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite in the 3.5 to six points range. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Zips. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Western Michigan +11 v. Central Michigan | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (8*). WMU plays with the added “double revenge” factor tonight after dropping both regular season games vs. CMU. The Broncos average 70.3 PPG and they allow 76.1. The Chips are the better team no doubt, but complacency sets in my opinion. They’ve already beaten the Broncos twice and they’ve won five of their last seven. I’m not calling for a complete collapse here, but the stage is set from a situational stand point for a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. Additionally note that WMU is still 10-6 ATS in its last 16 when playing with double revenge, while CMU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road win vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-76 CMU. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Suns +17 v. Warriors | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Suns had won four of five before a 127-117 setback in Portland last night. Phoenix won’t be resting anyone tonight though, but Golden State most likely will. After losing badly to Boston, the Warriors bounced back with a big win over the Nuggets in their last outing. The one thing that Golden State though has shown this season (especially in the second half) is inconsistency from game to game and it’s also often played down to the level of its competition. I think the Suns got caught looking ahead to this more high profile contest last night. Outright win? Nope. But closer than expected. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Golden State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after leading its previous game by 15 or points at the half. T.M. Prediction: 120-114 Warriors. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BLACK-LABEL) Houston comes in off a 90-79 win over SMU on Thursday, while Cincinnati enters off a 58-55 road loss to UCF. The Bearcats need to win this game though to earn a tie with the Cougars for first place in the AAC. Cincinnati will be the hungrier team here though after its latest loss, but also because it’s out to avenge a 65-58 setback to the Cougars on their home floor in the first meeting this season. Houston is just 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or more. Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Bearcats. | |||||||
03-09-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State -3.5 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (8*) This is a big game. Both teams come into a three way tie with Purdue for first place in the conference with 15-4 overall records. Michigan comes in off a 69-62 win over Maryland. The Wolverines average 115.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 93.2 points per 100 possessions. MSU enters having won six of its last seven. The Spartans average 121.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 97.1 points per 100 possessions. Note though that Michigan is just 3-6 ATS this year after successfully covering the spread in two more consecutive games, while MSU is already 11-4 ATS at home as a home favorite or pick. T.M. Prediction: 75-61 MSU. | |||||||
03-09-19 | DePaul v. Creighton -7.5 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (8*) Both teams have been hot of late, but Creighton can pretty much punch its ticket to the Big Dance today with a victory. DePaul comes in off back-to-back victories. But after throttling Georgetown 101-69 on Wednesday, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here. This is and has always been a matchup for DePaul, which has lost nine straight in this series (note that the Blue Demons have been outscored by an average of 16.8 points and have given up 82.8 points per game in those nine losses.) The Blue Jays are the hottest team in the Big East right now and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas. Creighton is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a sub .400 road record, while DePaul is just 11-25-3 ATS in its last 39 following a SU win. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 Creighton. | |||||||
03-09-19 | USC +6.5 v. Colorado | 67-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: USC (8*) USC comes in as the “hungrier” team here as it looks to halt a three-game skid and to pull even at 9-9 in conference play in the final regular season contest. Colorado on the other hand looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after consecutive wins over Utah and UCLA. This is a revenge game as well for the Trojans after the Buffs scored the 69-65 road win on February 9th. Many situational factors working in favor of the visitors today. Also note that USC is already 2-0 ATS this year after two or more straight road losses, while Colorado is just 1-4 ATS in its last five off a blwout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 USC. | |||||||
03-09-19 | Louisville +12.5 v. Virginia | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (8*) Louisville comes in as a sizeable underdog in the season finale for both teams. The Cardinals have looked good under new coach Chris Mack’s direction, finishing 10-7 in ACC play. The Cavs are playing for at least a share of the ACC regular season title, so the Cards are out to play spoiler here. Louisville averages 112.9 points per 100 possessions and it allows 96.0 points per 100 possessions vs. ACC opponents. The Cavs have won seven straight. The Cavs are a slow paced offense, but they make up for it on the other end by sporting the nation’s No. 1 defense. Louisville is also 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog or pick, while UVA is just 1-3 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 66-60 UVA. | |||||||
03-09-19 | UNLV +2 v. Colorado State | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UNLV (8*) The Rebels come in off a win and they also enter with confidence after taking this game vs. the Rams at home 78-76. UNLV got the better of Boise State 85-81 in OT on senior night this past Saturday and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here after the extended time off. Colorado State comes in on the other end of the spectrum, falling 100-96 to first place Utah State in OT. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Note as well that the Rebels are already 3-0 ATS this year when playing with five or six days rest, while CSU is a terrible 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-75 UNLV. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (8* FIST FIGHT) Both teams come in off victories. Utah held on for a 114-104 road win over New Orleans, while the Grizzlies got the better of the Blazers 120-111 at home on Tuesday. Memphis has taken two of three in the season series, but Utah won last time out 96-88 on the road back on November 12th. Utah averages 110.3 PPG and it allows 106.8. The Grizzlies got 40 points from Mike Conley in their latest win as the super star finally starts to round into his own after a significant injury and with the focus of the team shifting now that big man Marc Gasol is gone. Overall the Grizz have averaged 101.5 PPG and allowed just 103.8. Note that Utah is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 105 points or more in five straight games, while Memphis is 9-3 ATS this season when playing with two days of rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Utah. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Mavs +7 v. Magic | Top | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF MONTH) Both teams are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. Chances are pretty slim for either obviously. Dallas comes in off a 132-123 road loss in the nation’s capital, while Orlando lost 114-106 in Philadelphia on Tuesday. Dallas beat Orlando 101-76 at home in early December and I believe it has a legitimate shot at the outright upset here as well. The Mavericks certainly won’t be lacking for motivation after losing three straight and eight of their last nine. Dallas averages 108.2 PPG and it allows 109.8. But a date against the equally as inept Magic is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion. Orlando has now lost two straight. The Magic average 105.9 PPG and they allow 106.8. Dallas though is still a solid 17-9 ATS in non-conference games, while Orlando is just 2-8 ATS when playing with two days rest and only 12-14 ATS in non-conference games this season. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Orlando. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Minnesota v. Maryland -6.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (10* GAME OF MONTH) Maryland isn’t playing well as the season winds down, having lost two straight. The Terps will be desperate to break the slide on Seniors night in the regular season finale though. The Golden Gophers are coming on strong to end the season, having won two in a row. That includes a huge upset win over Purdue last time out. Minnesota lost in the reverse fixture at home earlier in the year and I think it’s primed for a classic “letdown” here after its emotional upset win last time out. Maryland on the other hand comes in razor focused after back-to-back “duds.” Note as well that the Gophers are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Maryland is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Maryland. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Bowling Green +14.5 v. Buffalo | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bowling Green (8* MONEY-MAKER) I’m going to stop short in calling for the outright victory, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. Buffalo’s already wrapped up the East Division of the MAC at 15-2. Bowling Green is 12-5 in conference action and tied for second with Toledo. The Falcons won’t be lacking for confidence here either after they posted the 92-88 upset over Buffalo in the first meeting on February 1st. Bowling Green has lost three straight, so it won’t be lacking for motivation here. Buffalo had to hold on for a tighter than expected 82-79 win over Ohio on Tuesday and it appears to be running out of gas (has won eight straight, but covered in just three of those.) No outright, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Bulls. | |||||||
03-07-19 | Portland v. San Diego -13 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (8*) This is the first round of the WCC Tournament. San Diego fell to BYU last time out, but I expect it to lay the hammer down here vs. the lowly Portland Pilots. Portland lost 24 of 31 regular season games. Not surprisingly the Toreros have taken two straight in this series. Portland average 65.5 PPG and it allows 74.9. San Diego struggled late in the season, losing five of its last seven. The Toreros though will look to make a run in the tournament. Overall they average 72.9 PPG and they allow 69.8. Note as well that Portland is still just 9-15 ATS as an underdog, while SD is a perfect 4-0 ATS this year off a road loss by ten points or more. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Hawaii v. UC-Davis -2 | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UC Davis (8*). These teams are tied at 7-7 in conference play in fourth place. I can’t understate how important I think that the home floor advantage will play in the outcome of this one. Hawaii is backing its way into the Conference tournament as it enters this one with zero momentum off three straight losses, most recently falling 84-73 to Cal State Northridge. Hawaii averages 103.0 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 107.4 per 100 possessions. UC Davis is suddenly moving in the opposite direction, as it broke a three-game slide with a 65-59 win over Cal State Fullerton last weekend. On offense UC Davis averages 96.5 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 102.8 per 100 possessions. Additionally note that UC Davis is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. And finally note that the home team has covered the spread in each of the last four in the series. Play on UC Davis. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Indiana +2.5 v. Illinois | 92-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8*) The Hoosiers are 15-14 and they’ll be battling to stay above the .500 mark against an inconsistent 11-18 Illinois Fighting Illini team. Indiana though comes in playing its best ball of the year with back-to-back victories over top 25 teams. This is a big games, as Indiana sits one game back of Illinois in the conference standings. Note that the Hoosiers won the reverse game at home 73-64 earlier in the year. In their win over No. 6 Michigan State last weekend they gave up just 62 points. Illinois broke a three-game slide with an 81-76 win over Northwestern (note that the Wildcats are in the cellar in the Big 10.) The Hoosiers have clear momentum and they’re 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games facing Illinois. I’m banking on a blowout, play on Indiana. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Cincinnati +2.5 v. UCF | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (8*) This is a big game for both teams. The Bearcats need to win this game and their next one at home vs. Houston to wrap up the AAC title and the No. 1 seed. Cincinnati enters on a five-game win streak and it sports one of the top defensive units in the nation. UCF is ranked for the first time in eight years and I think the Knights suffer a predictable letdown here under the weight of expectations. UCF has won three straight since a loss to the Bearcats, but Cincinnati’s defense is a major matchup issue for the Knights and I expect that trend to carry over here. Clearly the outright isn’t out of the question, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Temple +1.5 v. Connecticut | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Temple (8*) Temple comes in having won six of its last eight and I believe it’ll carry that momentum over here. Overall Temple averages 75 PPG, while allowing 71.2. The Owls have split their last six road games, but they catch a break here facing a Huskies side which has lost seven of its last nine. UConn averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Temple destroyed UConn at home last month and I believe we’ll see a similar result here once it’s all said and done. After beating USC on Sunday, I think UConn takes a step back here. Play on Temple. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-06-19 | Celtics v. Kings +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Kings have been a nice surprise in the Western Conference, but clearly the Celtics are the better team. Boston has been waffling of late, but after its big blowout win at Golden State just last night, I think the visitors will stumble here in the second game of the back to back. The Kings are desperate for a win, as they’ve gone 2-4 since the All Star break, moving them back into the ninth spot in the West. Note as well that the Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home and 7-2 ATS in their last nine vs. a team with a losing road record. Expect the hungry home side to step up and take advantage here. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Kings. | |||||||
03-06-19 | Providence v. Creighton -6 | Top | 70-76 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (10* BLACK-LABEL) Providence is in last place in the standings. Creighton clawed its way out of the cellar to improve to 7-9 in league play with an upset win over Marquette and I think it carries that momentum over into another big performance in their final home game of the regular season. The Friars are poised for a letdown after their 73-67 upset OT win over Butler on Tuesday. Creighton though has won three straight and note that it’s already 3-1 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Providence on the other hand is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with seven or more days of rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Creighton. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 107-95 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10*) It would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams. Both come in playing at a very high level. Toronto has won ten of its last 12 and Houston has won five in a row, including a convincing win in Boston last time out. Toronto though plays with revenge here after falling 121-119 in Houston earlier in the season and I think that’ll be the difference this evening. Houston stumbles finally in this difficult road arena and at the end of its lengthy Eastern trip. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Toronto. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Bulls +8.5 v. Pacers | 96-105 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (8*) The Bulls come in “under the radar” here. Chicago comes in as the highest scoring team in the league over the last ten games. The Bulls are finally healthy, led by Lauri Markanen with 25 points and 12.9 boards during the recent offensive surge. Chicago also plays with “triple in-season revenge” here. The Pacers are heading in the opposite direction now having dropped three of four, most recently an upset loss at home to the lowly Magic. Note as well that Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points, while Indiana is just 2-3 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-102 Pacers. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Rhode Island +2.5 v. St. Joe's | 86-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (8*) Rhode Island comes in off an impressive 72-70 road win over Dayton, while the Hawks enter off a 72-62 home win over la Salle. The Rams have won two straight. Overall Rhode Island is averaging 68.2 points on the season, while allowing 67.3. The Hawks average 69.9 points, while allowing an average of 71.7. Note as well that St. Joe’s is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 after an ATS win, while Rhode Island is 4-1 TS in its last five in this series. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-69 Rhode Island. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Nebraska +13 v. Michigan State | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10*) The Cornhuskers are just 5-13 in league play and they come in off an 82-53 loss to Michigan, but I think it can keep this one competitive as it looks to play spoiler vs. this suddenly reeling MSU side. The Spartans are off a 63-62 road loss to Indiana and I believe they’ll be collectively mentally caught up on that “hiccup” still. Nebraska averages 71.9 PPG and it allows 65.1. MSU averages 79.5 PPG and it allows 65.7. Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more, while MSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. T.M. Prediction: 73-68 MSU. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Xavier +4.5 v. Butler | 66-71 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Xavier (8*) These teams are moving in opposite directions as the season winds down. The Bulldogs enter off a 75-54 loss to Villanova, while Xavier posted an impressive 84-73 road win over St. John’s last time out. The Musketeers come in other the radar in the Big East as the hottest current team with a five-game win streak on the line. Xavier held on for a 70-69 home win in the reverse fixture this year and I think an outright victory isn’t out of the question here either. The Bulldogs have dropped three straight and look ripe for the picking. Grab all these points. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Xavier. | |||||||
03-04-19 | Kansas State v. TCU +1.5 | Top | 64-52 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: TCU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done here. TCU is on the bubble for The Big Dance and with a chance to cement a spot with a win today, I’m expecting the Horned Frogs to step up and make it happen. K-State is currently tied atop the Big 12 with Texas Tech. Will the visitors get caught looking past their opponent today to their weekend matchup vs. Oklahoma? The possibility is there. TCU though does not have that luxury. Note as well that K-State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 65 points or less in four straight games, while TCU is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 when playing with one or less days rest. T.M. Prediction: 67-66 TCU. | |||||||
03-04-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1 | Top | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The Nuggets come to town having lost two straight, most recently a 120-112 upset at home to New Orleans. San Antonio crushed OKC 116-102 at home on Saturday and it’s now won two straight after a poor road trip. These teams have split a pair of games this year, but I think the momentum that the Spurs have created recently gets carried over. Note as well that Denver is a terrible 2-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while San Antonio is 12-2 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs. | |||||||
03-03-19 | Marshall v. North Texas -6 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Texas (10* BLACK-LABEL) UNT won the first meeting 78-51 and I believe we’ll see a similar final combined score here as well. Marshall is 8-7 and tied for sixth, while UNT is 8-8 and tied for eighth. However, it’s now or never for the Mean Green, who enter having losing five straight. Desperation breeds motivation in this case. Note as well that the Herd are just 3-7 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-11 ATS on the road, while UNT is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 off a SU home loss. Home floor advantage is a big one here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 UNT. | |||||||
03-03-19 | Blazers v. Hornets +3 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers big post All Star run came to a crashing halt in a 119-117 road loss in Toronto on Friday and I think they’re ripe for the picking here as their marathon road trip comes to an end. The Hornets also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 127-96 on the road in the first meeting on January 11th. The Hornets broke a three-game slide with a quality road win in Brooklyn in their last game and they still hold the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. It’s a golden opportunity for the home side here and I expect it to make the most of it. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Hornets. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -13 | Top | 120-112 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) No need to overthink this one. The Pelicans’ big man Anthony Davis is sitting out after New Orleans’ 130-116 win over Phoenix, so we can expect the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish in the thin mountain air. Denver comes in off a loss to the Jazz, but previous to that it had won five straight. Denver is also 8-2 ATS in its last ten at home,. while New Orleans is just 2-7 ATS in its lats nine in the second game of a back-to-back after winning the first by ten or more points. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 128-108 Denver. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -10.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (8* BLACK-LABEL) Memphis comes in off an 81-73 home win over Temple, but I think it’ll have its hands full here with a Cincinnati team that held on for a 52-49 road win over SMU last time out. The Bearcats won’t be taking the Tigers lightly either, as they posted the slim 69-64 road win in the first matchup between the schools on February 7th. The Bearcats are tough on opposing offenses wherever they play and that’s led to a near-perfect 15-1 home record. Meanwhile Memphis comes in at just 3-6 in true road games. There’s no way that Cincinnati takes the foot off the gas this close to the finish line. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-66 Bearcats. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Kansas -7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Kansas won the first meeting between the schools this season by a score of 84-72 and I’m expecting a repeat performance here as well. Kansas comes in off a 64-49 home win over K-State to move to 10-5 in conference action, while the Cowboys are off a deflating 84-80 OT loss to Texas Tech to fall to 3-12 in Big 12 play. Kansas has everything to play for, and Oklahoma State is stumbling towards the finish line. Note that Oklahoma State is just 4-12 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, while Kansas is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Kansas. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Buffalo -8.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bulls come in off a 77-64 win over Akron on Tuesday. Buffalo enters on a six-game win streak and with a win today, it’ll cement its spot for the East Division title. With that in mind, I expect the visitors put the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup. The Bulls average 87.5 PPG and they’ve won ten of the last 13 in this series. The RedHawks enter off an 82-69 win over Bowling Green, but I think they’ll have their hands full here with the Bulls high-octane offense. Note as well that Buffalo is 14-8 ATS as a favorite this season and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 on the road, while Miami is just 7-8 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 86-65 Bulls. | |||||||
03-01-19 | Hornets +3.5 v. Nets | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams come in off losses. The Hornets fell 118-113 at home to the Rockets, while the Nets were upended 125-116 at home to Washington. The Hornets play with revenge here though after falling 117-115 at home to the Nets on February 23rd. Both teams need victories and clearly they’re very evenly matched (as evidenced by their game last week and by tonight’s spread.) The Hornets though are 5-1 ATS in their last six revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Sometimes, not always, the “revenge” angle “works.” That’s the case here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Hornets. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Warriors -6 v. Magic | Top | 96-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (7:05 EST). Orlando comes in off a deflating 108-103 road loss to the Knicks. The Warriors come to town off a 126-125 loss in Miami just last night. Golden State let the Heat back into the game late and an improbable last second 3-point shot by Dwayne Wade sealed the defending champs fate. A loss like that can be devastating for some teams, even in the middle of the regular season, but for the defending champs, it’s just another day at the office. The Warriors’ veterans quickly turn the page in my opinion and bounce back with a big effort in this favorable spot. Note that the Warriors are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after playing two consecutive road games, while the Magic are just 6-7 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 120-106 Warriors. | |||||||
02-28-19 | Northeastern v. Delaware +5 | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Delaware (10* BLACK-LABEL) If recent history is any precedence, then Delaware has to be loving it chances, as it took the first meeting between he schools 82-80 in OT from Boston back on December 30th. Normally “revenge” is a factor I take into account, but it’s a “non-factor” in this one in my opinion. And that’s because the Blue Hens come in having lost five of their last seven. The Huskies are 12-4 in league play and a game behind Hofstra. The Huskies have won two straight at home, but a difficult road challenge spells “upset” in my opinion. Note that NE is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite in the 3.5 to six points range as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-67 Delaware. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Cincinnati v. SMU +4.5 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SMU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bearcats come in complacent after their tough 64-60 road win over UConn. SMU comes in desperate to atone for a 95-48 loss on the road to UCF. The home side also plays with “revenge” here after falling 73-68 in the first matchup between the schools back on February 2nd. The Bears are also just 2-3 ATS this year off a road victory, while SMU is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a conference rival and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Cincinnati. | |||||||
02-27-19 | Clippers +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* play on the LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams come in off wins over the Mavericks. Neither side has been playing particularly well since the All Star break though. But LA has many ATS advantages working in its favor today and I think that’ll be the difference. Note that the Clippers are 5-1 ATS revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home win by ten points or more. I’m banking on the hungry visiting side taking this one down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Jazz. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Thunder +3.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* GAME OF HTE WEEK) It’s a big divisional game, but the Thunder play with double revenge here after dropping both previous meetings. Both teams have been playing well over the last two months, but I think that OKC has made bigger strides in that time. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league since the start, but its early wins over OKC are skewed. That was then and this is now. Note that the Thunder are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. And note that the Nuggets are just 1-2 ATS this season after two straight wins by ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 120-117 Thunder. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Miami-FL -4.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 75-76 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) Miami is 0-7 on the road in ACC action. The Hurricanes though come in off an 80-65 home win over Georgia Tech on Saturday and I think they’ll finally carry that momentum over here on the road. A game at impotent Wake Forest is just what Miami needs to get back into the winners circle, as the Deacons are tied for 13th in the conference. Most recently Wake was destroyed 94-74 at NC State this weekend. Note that the Demon Deacons are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 at home and just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games as an underdog, while Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. the conference. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 81-60 Hurricanes. | |||||||
02-25-19 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Oklahoma is on the bubble right now, but it comes in with considerable momentum after back-to-back wins, including a confidence building 69-67 home win over Texas on Saturday. During the two-game win skein the Sooner have gone 13 of 30 from range and 49.1 percent from the floor overall. Note that this is a revenge game as well after falling 75-74 to Iowa State on February 4th. The Cyclones enter playing their worst ball of the year as well, with back-to-back losses and three in their last four. Note as well that Iowa State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the seven to 12.5 points range, while Oklahoma is 8-1-3 ATS in its last 12 on the road and 11-5-3 ATS in its last 19 as an underdog in the seven to 12.5 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 Iowa State. | |||||||
02-24-19 | Spurs v. Knicks +8.5 | Top | 118-130 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* MONEY-MAKER) San Antonio has looked great at time this year. It’s also looked downright atrocious. Injuries have once again been an issue for Greg Popovich this season, but after their 120-117 road loss in Toronto last time out, I think that the Spurs have a mental letdown here. The Knicks have been a “work in progress” all year and that’s the case again tonight after their most recent 115-104 home loss to the Wolves. But San Antonio has been at its worst on the road and I think the hungry home side has a very real shot at an outright upset. The Spurs are just 1-5 during their current road trip. San Antonio is also only 4-6 ATS this year as a road favorite. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 San Antonio. | |||||||
02-24-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -8.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Wisconsin Milwaukee comes to town having lost eight straight. Illinois Chicago may normally get caught “looking past” such a lowly opponent, but the Flames come into this one having lost two straight themselves. With the home side razor focused on the task at hand and looking to take advantage of this favorable spot, I am indeed fully expecting a decisive victory here. Note as well that the Panthers are just 2-5 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while the Flames are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Illinois Chicago. | |||||||
02-23-19 | Utah v. Washington State | Top | 92-79 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah looks to bounce back after its 62-45 road loss to conference No. 1 Washington, while Washington State looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its slim 76-74 home win over Colorado on Wednesday. If recent history is any precedence, then Utah has to be loving its chances today as well, as note that the Utes have the 23-3 all time advantage, including an 88-70 home win in the first matchup this year. After back-to-back losses though, Utah can’t take anything for granted here, so I think the “revenge” factor doesn’t work in this case. WSU has won three of four, but I think it’ll come up short against Utah’s depth once again. Note as well that Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road favorite of six points or less or pick, while WSU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 84-73 Utah. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Indiana +7 v. Iowa | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Hoosiers are 13-13 and the Hawkeyes are 20-6. Indiana though will be looking to play spoiler here and kick this Iowa team while its down. The Hawkeyes comes in off a heart-breaking 66-65 home loss to Maryland, losing on a last second shot. Iowa now has no chance for a first round bye in the tournament, so a win or loss here doesn’t really effect it. Clearly the home side will be looking to bounce back, but Indiana is desperate for any sort of speak to hang its hat on down the stretch after a poor season (note though that the Hoosiers have won eight of the last ten between the schools and three of its last four in Iowa.) This one has all the makings of a classic. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-72 Iowa. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -113 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the time off does the Mavs good and I believe the break came at a bad time for the Nuggets. Denver scored the 120-118 home win over the Kings in its final game before the All Star festivities. Dallas lost 112-101 at home to the Heat last Wednesday. Dallas plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 126-118 in Denver back on December 18th in the first meeting between the clubs. I believe the extra time off throws a monkey wrench into the Nuggets chemistry. The Mavs though can’t take anything for granted here after losing three of their last four. Note as well that Denver is just 1-4 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Mavericks. | |||||||
02-21-19 | Heat +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think Miami comes in under the radar here and takes advantage of a Philadelphia team which will be without the services of big man Joel Embiid. Miami enters off a 112-101 road win over Dallas on Wednesday, while the 76ers knocked off the Knicks 126-111 in their final game before the break. This is a revenge game though for the visitors after Embiid and company took care of business in Miami 124-114 back on November 12th. Miami comes in motivated as its locked in a tie for the eighth spot in the East currently. The Heat come in rested as well and note that they’re a money-making 12-7 ATS as a road underdog already this season. The 76ers come in undermanned and note that they’re a money-burning 5-9 ATS already this year after a blowout win by 15 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Philadelphia. | |||||||
02-21-19 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +2 | Top | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) COC is 21-7 overall and 10-5 in conference play, but William & Mary is the “hungrier” team here. The Pride have fought their way back into respectability with a 6-8 conference record, good enough for fifth currently. The home side also plays with a big time “revenge factor” after falling 74-59 on the road in the first matchup between the schools. COC is already just 3-4 ATS this season as a road favorite or pick, while W&M is 12-8 ATS its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 W&M. | |||||||
02-20-19 | Utah +9 v. Washington | 45-62 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for an outright victory, but I think the hungry Utes come in under the radar here. Utah is 14-11 overall and 5-3 on the road. Washington is 20-5 overall and 12-0 at home. Utah had its three-game win streak snapped with a 98-87 loss to ASU last time out, but it plays with the added incentive of “revenge” this evening after falling 69-53 at home to the Huskies on January 10th. This is the opener of a tough three-game road trip of Utah, putting added emphasis on trying to get things started off on the “right foot” this evening. After its narrow 72-70 come from behind win over Washington State last time out and with a game vs. Colorado up next, I think this sets up as a classic “trap” for the home side. Note that the Huskies are just 2-7 ATS In their last nine home games following a two games or more ATS losing streak. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
02-20-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State +8.5 | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego State (10* MONEY-MAKER) Nevada is 24-1, while SDSU is 16-9. The Wolfpack are 8-1 on the road, while the Aztecs are 12-2 at home. SDSU comes in on top form, having won three straight. With back-to-back road games upcoming, I believe the home side lays everything on the line tonight. Nevada has a “tougher” game at home vs. Fresno State on Friday, so the possibility of a “look ahead” isn’t out of the question here either in my opinion. Note that SDSU is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games as an underdog in the 1.5 to 12.5 points range. I think the outright upset is possible, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
02-19-19 | Kentucky v. Missouri +11 | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think Kentucky comes in complacent. The Wildcats have won 12 of their last 13 after dropping No. 1 Tennessee in their latest action. With another game upcoming against the Vols, Kentucky also gets caught “looking ahead” here. Missouri has struggled offensively this year, but the Tigers can play defense with the best of them. Missouri is the much “hungrier” team in my estimation. Note as well that the Wildcats are just 10-14 ATS in their last 24 after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, while Missouri is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 70-64 Kentucky. | |||||||
02-19-19 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +2.5 | 56-65 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M (8* BLACK-LABEL). Alabama enters off a deflating 71-53 home loss to Florida. A&M also lost last time out, falling 84-77 to South Carolina. Alabama averages 74.4 PPG and it allows 72.5. A&M averages 71.8 PPG and it allows 72.6. Simply put, these teams are as evenly matched as the bookmakers would like us to think, but I believe that the home floor advantage will win the day for the Aggies. Note that Alabama is just 4-5 ATS on the road and only 13-18 ATS in its last 31 after playing a game as a home favorite, while A&M is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog and 5-1 ATS after playing a road game this season. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Aggies. | |||||||
02-18-19 | Kansas State v. West Virginia +7.5 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: West Virginia (10* MONEY-MAKER) WVU comes in as the “hungrier” team as it looks to break a three-game slide. K-State is starting to slide as it’s only a half game ahead in the Big 12 standings after falling to Iowa State last time out. K-State averages 65.8 PPG and it allows 60.2. The Wildcats though gave up 78 points in the loss to Iowa State and I think they’ll have their hands full here as well in this difficult road venue. WVU averages 71.4 PPG and it allows 75.4. K-State though is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with losing records, while WVU is 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog or pick and 2-1 ATS this year in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. WVU is out of contention, but I expect it to fight until the bitter end in this one. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-63 K-State. | |||||||
02-17-19 | Northern Iowa v. Evansville -1.5 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville (10* TRADE-MARK) Evansville comes in as the hungrier team after losing seven of its last eight, including three straight. A date vs. the “on again, off again” Northern Iowa Panthers is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion. Northern Iowa is primed for a letdown here after it snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Illinois State last time out. The Purple Aces are desperate to avoid last place in the conference and with a win today they’ll vault over Indiana State. Northern Iowa is just 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a SU win, while Evansville is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 74-60 Evansville. | |||||||
02-16-19 | UNLV v. San Jose State +12 | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Jose State (10* TRADE-MARK) UNLV gets caught looking past lowly 3-20 San Jose tonight in my opinion. The Rebels are only 13-11, but after taking the first matchup between the schools at home 92-60, would anyone fault the visitors for coming in a tiny bit complacent here? UNLV also comes in off a highly satisfying (and rare) 77-72 home win over Air Force. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!” San Jose State is a train wreck, but it plays with revenge and I believe it can keep this one competitive down the stretch. Note that UNLV is just 5-9 ATS as a favorite this year, while San Jose State is 2-0 ATS in its last two in trying to revenge a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-73 UNLV. | |||||||
02-16-19 | Iowa State v. Kansas State -2 | 78-64 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kansas State (9* MONEY-MAKER). Iowa State is 18-6. K-State is 19-5. This is a big game, but I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Iowa State comes in still thinking about its loss to TCU, a setback which snapped a four-game win streak. The Cyclones average 79 PPG and they allow 68.8. K-State is going to have a letdown at some point, but not here. The Wildcats have won five in a row. K-State averages only 65.9 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end by conceding just 59.5. Note as well that Iowa State is just 5-6 ATS this year after a conference game, while K-State is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 71-60 K-State. | |||||||
02-16-19 | Missouri +9 v. Ole Miss | 65-75 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Missouri (8* BLACK-LABEL) Ole Miss has won three straight and is 17-7 overall. Clearly the home side is the better team in this matchup, but I believe it’ll get caught looking past its opponent today. Missouri is only 12-11, but it enters as the “hungrier” side. The Tigers snapped a two-game losing streak by defeating Arkansas last time out and I believe they’ll carry that momentum over here. Missouri averages 68.1 PPG and it allows 68.6. The Rebels average 77.2 PPG and they allow 70. In my opinion, these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Note that Missouri is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off a home win vs. a conference rival, while Ole Miss is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road win vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Mississippi. | |||||||
02-15-19 | Marist +5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marist (10* TRADE-MARK) Marist enters playing its best ball of the year. The Red Foxes have won three of their last four aftter a 79-58 win over Niagara last time out. Quinnipiac comes in “tired” here after three straight wins, pulling away for a tough 98-88 OT win over Rider on Tuesday. Marist plays with revenge here today though and note that it’s 3-1 ATS in its last four this year revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Note that the Bobcats are still just 2-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The outright isn’t out of the question, but in the end let’s grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-70 Marist. | |||||||
02-14-19 | The Citadel +16 v. East Tennessee State | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Citadel (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Am I calling for an outright upset here? Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught by looking past its lowly opponent tonight. The Citadel Bulldogs though enter off a big 67-61 road win over Mercer as a 7.5 underdog last time out and I think they can carry that momentum over here. The Buccaneers on the other hand were upended 91-61 by Furman as 2.5 point underdogs in their last outing. The Citadel is 6-2 ATS in its last eight on the road, while East Tennessee State is just 6-7 ATS vs. the conference this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-75 East Tennessee State. | |||||||
02-13-19 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* TRADE-MARK) Houston is 4-1 in its last five, but it comes in off a loss to Dallas and I think it’ll stumble here against the hungry home side, which broke a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers in its most recent action. The Rockets have been playing fantastically overall of late, but one has to wonder how long James Harden can play at such a high level? If the diminutive shooter takes the foot off the gas for even a moment, then the Rockets are in trouble. The Wolves won the first matchup between the clubs 103-91 on December 3rd and clearly they also have a legitimate shot at taking this one outright as well. Houston is only 6-11 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 117-113 Wolves. | |||||||
02-13-19 | Richmond +12 v. VCU | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly VCU is the better team. The Rams are 17-6, while the Richmond Spiders are only 10-14. Both teams come in on top form though, as VUC has won four straight, while Richmond has won two in a row. I’m not calling for an outright victory here, but I do think that the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing who well Richmond is currently playing at this exact moment, and I think this will lead to this contest being much closer than what this spread would suggest. Richmond is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while VCU is just 9-10 ATS in its last 9 after having won four of its last five games. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 VCU. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Michigan v. Penn State +7 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Penn State comes in desperate as it’s just 1-11 in league play. The Wolverines come in complacent after winning 11 of their 13 Big Ten contests. Michigan comes to town off a 61-52 home win over Wisconsin. If the Wolverines have had one clear weakness though it’s been from 3-point land, where they shoot just 32.3 percent, ranked ninth in the conference. The Nittany Lions won their first conference game, but then fell immediately afterwards in a 74-70 loss at Ohio State last weekend. The Lions are also terrible from range, but note that they’re already 2-0 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss of ten points or more vs. an opponent. Note that Michigan on the other hand is a terrible 8-10 ATS in its last 18 as a road favorite or pick. Grab the points in a closer than expected battle. T.M. Prediction: 64-63 Wolverines. | |||||||
02-12-19 | Lakers -5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Lakers hit a buzzer beater to sink the C’s in Boston, but they came out flat in the second half of their last game vs. the 76ers and got blown away in the end. With this much more “winnable” contest up next, I fully expect “The King” to bring his A game tonight and to take full advantage. The Hawks enter off a 124-108 home loss to Orlando. The Lakers won’t be taking anything for granted here either as when these teams met in LA back on November 11th, they barely escaped with the 107-106 victory. So far LA averages 112.2 PPG, while allowing 113.4. The Hawks average 110.9 PPG and they allow 118.5. I’ll point out though that the Lakers are still 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss, while Atlanta is interestingly only 7-20 ATS in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 126-110 Lakers. | |||||||
02-10-19 | Heat +14.5 v. Warriors | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BLOOD-BATH) Miami upset the Blazers in Portland, but they’d run out of gas in a loss in Sacramento in its last outing. The Heat though come in “hungry” as they cling to the eighth spot in the East. The Warriors are off a 117-107 win at Phoenix, but I think they’ll suffer a bit of a letdown here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent today. The Warriors have big upcoming games against Western conference opponents Utah, Portland, Sacramento and Houston up next, so I think the home side also gets caught “looking ahead.” I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I do absolutely feel that the stage is set for a very competitive battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Warriors. | |||||||
02-10-19 | Northwestern +10 v. Iowa | Top | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* MONEY-MAKER) Iowa comes in complacent after huge wins over Michigan and Indiana. Northwestern comes in hungry after three straight losses to Wisconsin, Maryland and Penn State. This is a revenge game as well for the Wildcats are they lost 73-63 at home in the first matchup this season. Note that the Wildcats are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while the Hawkeyes are only 6-8 ATS at home this year and 0-2 ATS after a win by six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Iowa. | |||||||
02-09-19 | Clippers +12 v. Celtics | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) LA came out flat in a 116-92 road loss in Indiana, but I believe this talented visiting side will bounce back with a much better effort here vs. a Celtics team which enters off a deflating 125-124 home loss the Lakers. And it was the way in which the C’s lost to the Lakers, as ex-Boston star Rajon Rondo would hit the game winning jumper with time winding off the clock. I absolutely believe that Boston will be still hung up on that game mentally. LA on the other hand comes in razor focused after losing four of its last six. Note as well that LA already 9-4 ATS this year off a road loss, while Boston is a terrible 8-12 ATS in non-conference games. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-110 Boston. | |||||||
02-09-19 | DePaul v. Xavier -3.5 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Xavier (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) DePaul is now 12-9 after its 67-55 win over Providence on Saturday. Xavier comes in as the much “hungrier” team though at 11-12 and off a 76-54 setback to Creighton in its latest matchup. The Musketeers will be risking life and limb today to get off the schneid as they enter having lost five straight. DePaul is a terrible 2-9 ATS in its last 11 when playing with five or six days rest, while Xavier is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in the same position. I expect the more desperate team to pull away down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 78-68 Xavier. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |