Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 490 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BOWL SIDE OF YEAR) Am I calling for an outright upset? I am not. However I think that the 12-1 Sooners have the offense to put enough pressure on the Tide to keep this one more competitive than what Vegas would like us to believe. Oklahoma enters off a 39-27 win over Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game, while Alabama defeated No. 4 Georgia 34-27 in the SEC Championship. Oklahoma is the No. 1 offense in the league with 49.5 PPG, while the defense allows 32.4. Alabama averaged 47.9 PPG and it allowed only 14.8. Note that Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last six when playing on two weeks or more of rest, while Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last six non-conference games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 45-37 Bama. | |||||||
12-29-18 | George Mason +15.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Mason (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The George Mason Patriots come in under the radar here and while I’m not going to call for the outright, I think they can keep this one tight until the final moments. The Patriots have won two straight over Navy and James Madison. K-State comes in complacent vs. its lowly non-conference opponent and after three straight wins itself, most recently a 69-58 victory over Vanderbilt on December 22nd. George Mason averages 73.7 PPG and it allows 72.2, while K-State averages 68.2 points and it allows 57.8. Note though that George Mason is already 3-1 ATS this year following a home victory. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-65 K-State. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) This one has blowout written all over it in my opinion. It’s an immediate revenge game for the Nuggets, who fell 111-103 in San Antonio on Wednesday. Previous to that victory though the Spurs came in ranking in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. With the Warriors loss last night, the Nuggets can take top spot in the West with a revenge victory today. Note that they’re 13-3 on home floor. Additionally note that Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing one one days rest, while SA is just 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 vs. teams with winning home records. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Denver. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa State (10* MONEY-MAKER) It’s the No. 24 Iowa State Cyclones vs. the No. 13 Washington Huskies and I smell an upset. Iowa State started slowly, but it’s since won seven of its last eight, including two straight. WSU comes in dejected, relegated to the Alamo Bowl after a disappointing 28-15 home loss to Washington in the Apple Cup. These two teams closed their respective regular seasons on completely opposite ends of the spectrum, and I think that carries over here. The Cyclones average 26.8 PPG and they allow 22.5. “We’re as healthy as we’ve been,” Coach Matt Campbell said. “That time off that we took for us was really, really important. I really feel like we’ll be 100 percent going into this bowl game.” WSU averages 38.3 PPG and it allows 23.1. Note though that Iowa State is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 as an underdog, while WSU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 ISU. | |||||||
12-28-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary -7 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -101 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) It’s the first conference matchup of the year for both teams and I think home floor is a big factor. William & Mary will be hungry here after finishing the non-conference part of its schedule at just 4-8. Note though that the Tribes’ schedule so far ranks 43rd in the KenPom rankings, which is one of the most difficult. The Dukes closed their non-conference schedule with a disastrous 75-48 loss to Fordham and I think they’ll struggle to put points on the board here as well. Note as well that the Dukes are 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing SU record, while the Tribe are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-60 W&M. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Vanderbilt -3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* MONEY-MAKER) Baylor and Vanderbilt became bowl eligible late, but I think Vanderbilt has the momentum here. Also note that the Bears will be without star receiver Jalen Hurd, who played through a knee injury in his team’s 35-24 win over Texas Tech in its regular season finale, a victory which made it eligible. Note though that the Bears have turned in a Big 12 worst turnover margin of minus-9 and they’ve given up 37 sacks total, which is worst in the conference as well. Vandy on the other hand comes in with a lot of momentum with back-to-back wins to end the year over Ole Miss and Tennessee. The Commodores have a potent one-two punch on offense to between RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn (who had an SEC best 6.95 rushing yards per attempt) and QB Kyle Shurmur (23 passing TDs). Note as well that the Bears are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, while Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Vandy. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Knicks +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Knicks came up short at home against the Bucks on X-Mas Day, but with the home side expected to rest some players in this one, I think the visitors will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. With a shot at evening up the series for the 2018/19 campaign, I think the visitors will risk life and limb to try and pull off the upset. New York is 9-9-1 ATS on the road. The Knicks average 108.2 PPG and they allow 115.7. The Bucks average 116.6 PPG and they allow 108.1. Note though that New York is already 7-3 ATS this year in revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Milwaukee is just 1-3 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more and just 1-3 ATS in its last four after a cover as a double digit favorite. No outright, but a tight battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Bucks. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Pelicans v. Mavs -2 | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (8*) Home floor advantage will prove to be big in this matchup in my opinion. The Pelicans come in with zero momentum, having lost four straight. The Mavs have lost six straight though and they’ll be risking life and limb to try and get back into the winners circle here. This one comes down to the “numbers” for me though, as Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing on two days of rest and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 at home, while New Orleans is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 100 points or more in its last game. I’m banking on a blowout, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 Mavs. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10*) Denver enters off a 132-111 road loss to the Clippers on Saturday. The Spurs also come in off a loss, falling 108-101 in Houston in their last contest. Despite their overall success this year, note that Denver is still just 7-8 ATS on the road this year. Denver averages 110 PPG and it allows 104.3. SA averages 111.3 PPG and it allows 109.5. Note though that the Spurs are 12-6 ATS at home this year. Look for the Spurs to defend home floor. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Spurs. | |||||||
12-25-18 | Indiana State +12 v. TCU | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) TCU is 10-1, but Indiana State is no slouch at 8-3. I’m not predicting an outright upset, but I think the talented Sycamores can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. This is the title game in the Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu. Note that Indiana State leads the nation in three point shooting percentage at 45.5. This is a revenge game as well for Indiana State, who fell to TCU just ten days ago. Note that Indiana State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while TCU is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Horned Frogs. | |||||||
12-25-18 | Thunder +1.5 v. Rockets | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* TRADE-MARK) In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points. Houston’s been playing a lot better, but Chris Paul won’t be playing in this one and I think Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC now sits a half game back of the Nuggets after their loss to the Wolves most recently. OKC averages 112 PPG and it allows 105.6. Houston has won five of six, but it still comes in averaging just 109.2 PPG, while allowing 108.5. Note that the Thunder are not surprisingly already 16-9 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Houston is still only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Play on OKC. T.M. Prediction: 118-103 Thunder. | |||||||
12-24-18 | Broncos -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -116 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver head coach Vance Joseph is expected to be removed at the end of the season, but he’s gone on record in saying that he’ll be playing hard until the end. Broncos’ QB Case Keenum has a few more weapons around him than Raiders’ QB Derek Carr. This is very likely the Raiders’ final game at Oakland Coliseum and the organization has already pulled retaliatory moves on the city, withdrawing its offer to pay $7.5 million in rent to the city to cover the 2019 home schedule. The Broncos feature the stronger defense and run game. If the QB’s are a “wash,” then these two factors are definitely working big time in favor of the visitors today. Additionally note that Denver is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an extremely close home loss of three points or less. In a war of bottom feeders, Denver fans win out this time. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Broncos. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Seahawks | 31-38 | Loss | -102 | 99 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs (8* SHOWDOWN) Both teams comes in off losses, but I have a hard time seeing the Hawks keeping pace with the high-flying Chiefs down the stretch. KC lost 29-28 at home to the Chargers on Thursday, while Seattle fell 26-23 in OT at San Francisco. Kansas City has been “money in the bank” as well for bettors in this spot, going 5-1 ATS on the road and 5-1 ATS in its last six off an upset loss as a favorite. Conversely the Hawks have struggled in this position for bettors by going 0-2 ATS in their last two as a home dog of three points or less and 1-3 ATS in their last four after a loss by three points or less. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Chiefs. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Falcons -3.5 v. Panthers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 92 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Falcons (9* SUPER SHOCKER) No need to over think this one. The Panthers are still in playoff contention, but they’ve shut down starting QB Cam Newton this week due to injury. The Panthers have lost six straight and I think they’ve clearly thrown in the “white flag” to this point. The Falcons are out of playoff contention, but they still broke a five-game slide last week with a win over the Cardinals. Matt Ryan and company will now be looking to pad their stats and with a chance to put the final nail in the coffin for their hated division rival, I expect the veteran to get the job done. Note as well that Atlanta is 6-3 ATS in its last nine off a home win of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Falcons. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Giants v. Colts -9 | 27-28 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indianapolis Colts (8* SUPER ROUT) The Giants are mathematically eliminated from contention. The Colts hold the AFC Wildcard and they’ll be looking to build off a dominant 23-0 home win over the Cowboys. The Giants come in completely deflated after a 17-0 home loss to Tennessee. New York had a slim playoff chance last week, but it came out completely flat and with nothing at all to play for here in this non-conference match-up, I believe the visitors will simply “go through the motions.” The Colts are averaging 26.6 PPG and allowing only 21.4. Note as well that the Giants are a horrible 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Lay the points with Indy keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 37-10 Colts. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Texans +2.5 v. Eagles | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 92 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Houston Texans (8* TOP DOG) This is a big game for both teams. The Eagles are still inexplicably alive in the wild card race after last week’s 30-23 upset win over the Rams. The Texans posted a 29-23 win over the Jets last weekend and they remain two games ahead of the Colts for the division lead. Houston will be laying everything on the line today to maintain that lead as Indianapolis has a “cream puff” at home vs. the Giants. Houston has put up at least 29 points in three out of its last four games and it’s 5-2 SU on the road. The Eagles have been getting “fortunate,” but I like the better team to come out on top here. That said, grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Houston. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +1 v. Hawaii | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 34 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) It’s a clash of two styles. LT was 7-5 and Hawaii finished 8-5. The Warriors average over 32 PPG, while LT hold opponents to under 24. Hawaii is just 4-3 all time in the Hawaii Bowl, proving that home field doesn’t mean much in this situation. Louisiana Tech though is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games, while the Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games and just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 vs. teams with winning records. I’m grabbing the points but expecting an upset. T.M. Prediction: 33-28 Bulldogs. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Bulls finished 10-3 and the Trojans were 9-3. Buffalo will be extra angry here as it looks to atone for a 30-29 loss to NIU in the MAC title game, a contest in which it held a 29-10 lead at one point. Bulls’ QB Tyree Jackson will be given the green light after posting 2,857 passing yards and a 27/11 TD:INT. Buffalo is also strong rushing, ranked 45th in the FBS. In the end the Bulls averaged 34.8 PPG and allowed 24.7. Troy averaged just 29.8 PPG and it allowed 21.2. The Trojans are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven vs. the MAC though, while Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. With a few weeks off to prepare, I like the Bulls’ offense to win out over Troy’s tough defense. Play on Buffalo. T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Bulls. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-132 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nuggets enter off a 126-118 home win over Dallas on Tuesday, while LA comes in off a 125-121 win over the Mavericks on Thursday. Denver comes in well rested and I think it’ll score the outright upset. Denver took the first meeting between the clubs here 107-987 back on October 17th and I think the Clippers will once again struggle with this difficult matchup. Denver has won four straight and it averages 110 PPG and it allows just 103.4. LA averages 114.7 PG and it allows 114.3. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest, while the Nuggets are 4-0 ATS In their last four vs. teams with winning SU records. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Nuggets. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Colorado State v. Long Beach State -4 | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LBSU (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) These teams met last year and the Rams won 68-66 at home. The 49ers will be looking to take avenge that setback. The Rams enter off a 68-63 home loss to South Dakota, while LBUS is off a 67-66 home win over Pepperdine. Colorado State averages 77.1 PPG, but it allows 77.5. LBSU averages 77.1 PPG and it allows 79.2. Note though that the 49rs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after holding their previous opponent to 67 points or less in a victory, while Colorado State is a poor 16-37-1 ATS in its last 54 non-conference games and just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 LBSU. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Redskins v. Titans -10 | Top | 16-25 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Titans come in red hot, having won three straight. Washington got back into the winners circle with a win over the hapless Jags in Week 15, but I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. Washington is still in the playoff hunt, but it’s down to its third-string QB and it suffered a big injury on the defensive side of the ball to CB Joshua Holsey, who suffered a torn ACL in the win over the Jags. Tennessee avoided a potential trap in last week’s 17-0 win over the Giants and I think it’ll take full advantage of friendly confines on the short week. Note as well that Washington is already 3-4 ATS this year after covering in its previous game, while Tennessee is 4-2 ATS at home and already 3-0 ATS vs. the NFC East this year. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-10 Titans. | |||||||
12-22-18 | CS-Fullerton +19.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 62-86 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CS Fullerton (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Nebraska is 9-2. Cal State is 3-8. This is the Cornhuskers final non-conference game of the year and I think they’ll look past their non-conference opponent today. Nebraska comes in off a 79-56 win over Oklahoma State. Overall the Huskers are averaging 114.6 points per 100 possessions and allowing 94.3 per 100 possessions. Cal State is averaging 99.2 points per 100 possessions and allowing only 99.7. The Titans issues are clearly on the offensive side of the ball, but their defense has been superb. And now Cal State faces a disinterested home side with a chance to post a quality effort on the national stage. I think this will be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Huskers. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK). I think the Pistons have a predictable letdown here after their 129-123 OT road win in Minnesota on Wednesday. The Hornets come in off a 110-99 home win over Cleveland and they’ll be looking to keep the foot on the gas after a poor stretch themselves. So far the Pistons average 109.7 PPG and they allow 110.3. Charlotte averages 113.7 PPG and it allows 111.4. Charlotte won’t be taking anything for granted here after its recent four-game slide. Note that the Hornets are already 8-4 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after scoring 120 or more points. T.M. Prediction: 116-100 Hornets. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Oakland +25 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-99 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland (10* NON-CONF GAME OF MONTH) Outright upset? Of course not. Closer than expected? I definitely think so. Oakland is 5-8 and this is it’s final non-conference game of its schedule. And it couldn’t be a bigger one. Clearly the Grizzlies are going to be “up” for this nationally televised contest. Conversely, the 9-2 Spartans are going to get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent in my opinion. Oakland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog, while MSU is 0-3 ATS in its last three home games as a favorite in the 24.5 to 30 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-73 MSU. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Florida International v. Toledo -4.5 | Top | 35-32 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo (10* MONEY-MAKER) FIU was 8-4 and Toledo was 7-5. FIU averages 34.6 PPG and it allows 24.7. James Morgan has 2,727 yards and a 26/7 TD:INT. The Rockets averaged a whopping 41.1 PPG and they allowed 30.2. Eli Peters had 1,573 passing yards and 15/7 TD:INT. The Rockets though were money in the bank for bettors in the spot, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less then 275 total yards in their previous game, while the Golden Panthers are a poor 0-5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 37-21 Rockets. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 121-125 | Loss | -102 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams have played better than what most believed would be the case. I think LA though has farther to fall considering its hotter/quicker start and its lack of overall talent. Dallas has a deeper and more skilled team in my opinion and its major issues early have been chemistry related for the most part. Both teams come in off losses. This is going to be a war to the end and I think that grabbing the points is the savvy call. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, while Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game. The Mavs are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-109 Mavs. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Marshall -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall (10* BOWL MONEY-MAKER) What’s to like about USF here? The Bulls opened the year 7-0, but then a combination of injury and bad luck saw USF back into the bowl season on five straight losses. The Herd finished 8-4 and they’ve won their last six bowl appearances. The Bulls feature a strong run game with Johnny Ford and Jordan Cronkrite, but the uncertainty surrounding starting QB Blake Barnett is a major concern here in my opinion. If he can play, one has to wonder about his health and if he’s really at 100% capacity? The combination of Brett Kean and Chris Oladokun went for 113 passing yards in USF’s season-ending loss to UCF. Note as well that Marshall is 21-8-1 ATS in its last 30 non-conference games. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Herd. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Yale v. Monmouth +10.5 | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Monmouth (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Yale is 5-3, while Monmouth is 0-11. The Hawks come in hungry to get off the schneid and while the outright win is likely out of the question, I think the “hungrier” team keeps this one a lot more competitive that what this spread would suggest. The Bulldogs come in complacent after winning four of their last five. Monmouth will be desperate to avoid an 0-11 after an 83-63 loss at Albany last time out. Yale is just 1-3 ATS in true road games this year, while Monmouth is already 3-1 ATS this year following a road loss by ten points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulldogs. | |||||||
12-19-18 | California +12 v. Fresno State | 73-95 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: California (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Fresno State has won five straight, but the Cal State Golden Bears come in having won two straight. Most recently Cal held on for a 67-66 win over Cal Poly at home last Saturday. Justice Sueing led the way in that one with 15 points, seven boards and two steals. Fresno State hammered LBSU 92-71 in its most recent action, led by 15 points and 15 boards from Nate Grimes. The Bulldogs though have not been great at all in this spot for bettors, going just 1-3 ATS in their last four after five or more SU victories. Cal on the other hand is still 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12.5 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulldogs. | |||||||
12-19-18 | Virginia v. South Carolina +10.5 | Top | 69-52 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Carolina (10* TRADE-MARK) Virginia is 9-0 and South Carolina is 4-5. I think the Cavs get caught looking past their opponent this evening. Virginia enters off a 57-49 home win over VCU, while South Carolina comes in off a hard-fought 89-78 loss to Michigan on December 8th. Virginia averages 72.8 PPG and it allows 51.2. South Carolina averages 74.7 PPG and it allows 72.4. Clearly the Cavs are the better team on paper, I simply feel that the overall situation favors the home side. The Gamecocks are the hungrier home side, desperate for a win, while Virginia comes in content with its perfect record. Additionally note South Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last five off road loss of ten points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Cavs. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Lakers v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Lakers enter off a 128-110 road loss to Washington. The Nets won their fourth straight in a 144-127 destruction of the Hawks. LA is now just 1-2 on its four-game road trip. It’s just 6-9 ATS on the road overall this year. LA averages 113.4 PPG and it allows 111.6. The Nets average 111 PPG and they allow 111.8. Note though that LA is just 3-7 ATS this year in non-conference games, while Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a home win by ten points or more. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by the outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Nets. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Appalachian State +10 v. Georgetown | Top | 73-83 | Push | 0 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Appalachian State (10* MONEY-MAKER) App State comes in off a 76-69 loss to USF on Saturday, while the Hoyas fell 81-73 at home to SMU on the same day in their most recent action. App State averages 85.3 PPG and it allows 79.3. Georgetown averages 78.4 PPG and it allows 74.7. The Mountaineers have already faced some stiff competition this season and I don’t think they’ll be intimidated here at all. The Hoyas area only 2-8 ATS in their last ten following an ATS loss, while App State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss. I think App State’s offense keeps the visitors competitive late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-80 Hoyas. | |||||||
12-17-18 | North Dakota State +11 v. Montana | Top | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Dakota (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think this one is more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers would like us to believe. The NDSU Bison come in on top form as they’ve won two straight, most recently getting the better of Missouri State. Vinnie Shahid had 19 points and four boards. Montana is trending in the opposite direction, having lost three of its last four after a poor 60-51 setback to UC Irvine. NDSU is also 3-1 ATS in its last four following a SU home victory, while Montana is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bears. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 33 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Panthers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Carolina opened the year by going 5-1, but it’s since fallen on hard times and it enters this one at 6-7. However the Panthers are log-jammed with two other teams with the same record and each is only a 1/2 game back for the second wild card spot. This is a big game for the Saints as well as they look to keep pace for top spot in the NFC and the coveted first round bye and home field advantage that comes with that position, but a loss today would not jeopardize a playoff berth. Carolina though HAS to win this game if it has any hopes to salvage its season. And for me, that’s pretty much what I’m basing this pick on. Also note that New Orleans is just 1-3 ATS in its last four on MNF, while Carolina is 3-1 ATS in the same position. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Panthers. | |||||||
12-17-18 | Kings +8 v. Wolves | Top | 105-132 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK). The young Sacramento Kings could arguably be the biggest surprise this year. They come in off a big 120-113 road win in Dallas last night and while I do normally always take fatigue/scheduling into account, I don’t think it’s going to matter here. It’s still very early in the season and Sacramento’s youthful line-up is firing on all cylinders. Sacramento has already taken both earlier meetings this year as well, including a 141-130 home win just last week. The Wolves are moving in the opposite direction with four straight losses and simply look terrible on both ends of the floor right now. Note that the Kings are now 10-6 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is already 0-2 ATS this season revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as the favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Wolves. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Pacific v. CS-Northridge +6 | Top | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CS Northridge (10* TRADE-MARK) Despite Pacific being 8-4 and CS Northridge being 3-6, clearly the oddsmakers think this is a pretty evenly matched contest. The Pacific Tigers most recently beat LBSU, led by 31 points and five boards from Lafayette Dorsey. CS Northridge has faced some stiff competition in the early going though, most recently falling to San Diego. Lamine Diane was a bright spot in the loss with 19 points and eight boards. The Tigers have not been good in this spot at all for bettors either, going just 9-15 ATS in their last 24 after three straight non-conference games and only 7-10 ATS in their last 17 following a home victory. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-77 Pacific. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Seahawks -4 v. 49ers | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seahawks (9* TRADE-MARK) With a win today the Seahawks will punch their ticket to the NFC Wildcard spot. Seattle missed the playoffs last year, but improved defensive play and a deeper offensive unit has turned things around in a hurry, as the Hawks come in on the heels of a four-game win streak. San Fran bounced back with a very satisfying 20-14 win over the Broncos last weekend, but an imminent return to mediocrity appears imminent in my opinion. Last week the Hawks held the Vikes to just 276 total yards of offense and I have a hard time seeing the offensively challenged 49ers mustering much of an attack here either. Also note that San Fran is just 1-5 ATS in its last six in this series in front of the home town crowd. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Hawks. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Vikings | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -130 | 90 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins (10* BLOWOUT UNDERDOG OF YEAR) The Dolphins will be looking to play spoiler here against a Vikings team which enters off a disheartening 21-7 loss to the Seahawks. Miami though is trending in the opposite direction, now having won two straight after a miraculous 34-33 win over the Patriots at home last weekend. Miami is back in playoff contention now at 7-6 and the re-emergence of QB Ryan Tannehill will prove to be the difference maker here in my opinion. Minnesota is also 0-4 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records, while Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games following a two games or more unbeaten streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Fish. | |||||||
12-16-18 | Titans +3 v. Giants | 17-0 | Win | 100 | 90 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans (8* MONEY-MAKER) New York comes in off a convincing 40-16 win over division rival Washington, while Tennessee demolished the Jaguars last weekend. Titans’ RB Derrick Henry had 238 rushing yards and four TD’s. The Jags had held the high-scoring Colts scoreless the week before, so it was an impressive performance from Mariota and company obviously. I’ll caution in reading too much into the Giants win over the Redskins, who were playing without starting QB Alex Smith. Additionally note that Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Titans. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -3 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -105 | 74 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos (10* MONEY-MAKER) I don’t think this one needs to be overanalyzed? The Browns have been a lot better than they were last year, but their inconsistency on the road and on the offensive end will prove to be their undoing here in my opinion in this difficult road venue. The Broncos had won three straight before last week’s 20-14 loss at San Francisco, but a date at Mile High vs. the lowly Browns is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track here in my opinion. The Browns average only 22.5 PPG, while allowing 25.5. The Broncos average 22.3 PPG and allow 21.7. Despite the improvement, note as well that Cleveland is still only 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a road dog of seven points or less. Lay the points on the still playoff hopeful Broncos. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Denver. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Lakers +1 v. Hornets | Top | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers opened their current road trip with a disappointing 126-111 setback at Houston on Thursday, but a date against a Hornets team which comes in off a deflating 126-124 OT loss at home to the Knicks just last night is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track for the visitors in my opinion. LA averages 113.1 PPG and it allows 110.9, while Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG, while allowing 110.7. But the numbers also support LA here, as note that the Lakers are 7-2 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 7-4 ATS in their last 11 after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, while Charlotte is already just 2-4 ATS in non-conference games. T.M. Prediction: 115-112 Lakers. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Gonzaga v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) A couple of elite teams collide on Saturday night, but I think that Gonzaga suffers a predicable letdown here after its first loss of the year. The Bulldogs are now 9-1 after losing to Tennessee this past weekend. UNC is only 2-2 in its last four, however it enters off a victory over UNC Wilmington, avoiding a potential trap by getting caught looking ahead to this one. The Vols forced Gonzaga to post its lowest point total of the year in last Sunday’s 76-73 loss. The Tar Heels offense though was “firing on all cylinders” in last week’s 97-69 destruction of Wilmington. Additionally note that Gonzaga is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven when playing with five of six days rest, while UNC is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 as a home favorite. T.M. Prediction: 94-80 Tar Heels. | |||||||
12-15-18 | North Texas v. Utah State -7.5 | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah State (8*) Both teams had pretty good seasons, but I have a hard time seeing North Texas matching pace with the high-flying Aggies. North Texas was 9-3 this year, while Utah State was 10-2. The Mean Green averaged 36.4 PPG and it allowed 21.8. Utah State though averaged 47.2 PPG and it allowed only 23. The Aggies are elite on both sides of the ball and they’re also a perfect 4-0 ATS this year in non-conference games. Look for the high-powered Utah State offense to be the difference in this one. T.M. Prediction: 45-21 Aggies. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Tulane v. UL-Lafayette +3.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Lafayette (8*) Tulane features the slightly better defense, but the Green Wave were horrible offensively and I think they’ll have a hard time matching pace with the Ragin Cajuns. Tulane averages 25.7 PPG. The Green Wave also struggled defensively against the pass, allowing 265.2 YPG. The Cajuns feature a more explosive offense and they’re 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games, while Tulane is only 1-4 ATS in its last five on field turf. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Louisiana Lafayette. | |||||||
12-14-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Arkansas State -1.5 | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arkansas State (10* MONEY-MAKER) FAU is 7-2 in the early going, while Arkansas State is just 3-6. The Owls most recently held on for a 68-64 win over Mercer on Wednesday. FAU averages 77.8 PPG and it allows 68.4. The Red Wolves average 74.9 PPG and they allow 79.1. I’ll note though that both teams early numbers are skewed due to the level of the competition they’ve faced and I’ll further point out that FAU is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after playing a game as a home favorite, while Arkansas State is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. Play on Arkansas State. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Red Wolves. | |||||||
12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets -11 | Top | 126-124 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) New York enters off a 116-106 road loss in Cleveland and I have a hard time seeing it keeping pace with this hungry Charlotte team, which comes in off a momentum building 108-107 home win over Detroit. Last weekend the Hornets crushed the Knicks 119-107 and I’m expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. New York averages 108.3 PPG and it allows 114.9. Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 110.7. The Knicks are also just 4-7 ATS this year following a road loss, while the Hornets are already 3-1 ATS this season as a home fav in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The Knicks play with revenge and the Hornets come in off a win, but I’m not predicting any letdowns here. Charlotte can ill afford to take the foot off the gas after a terrible stretch and I expect it to make the most of this opportunity. T.M. Prediction: 123-100 Charlotte. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 52 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Chargers (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Chargers’ Philip Rivers hasn’t had a lot of success against the Chiefs throughout his career. The Chiefs beat LA 38-28 back in Week 1 and LA is still in a dog fight for top spot in the AFC West. Both teams come in on top form and the Chargers are going to be laying everything on the line to pull off the upset. And I think they can do it. Lots has changed since Week 1, including the Chargers improving dramatically on both sides of the ball. The Chiefs have a high-scoring offense, but they’ve been atrocious on the defensive side of the ball. This one sets up great for an outright upset. Note as well that LA is 5-1 ATS on the road this year. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Bolts. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 111-126 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers play with revenge here as Houston won the first meeting of the year 124-115 in LA on October 20. LA was trying to “find” itself then, but since then it’s come a long way, having won two straight and six of seven, most recently a 108-105 home win over the Heat. The Rockets have for the most part been terrible this season, and they looked primed for another letdown here in my opinion after their 111-104 home win over the Blazers. Before that victory the Rockets had lost three straight. LA plays with revenge and it’s 6-1 ATS in its last seven after an ATS loss. Houston has struggled with consistency and it’s only 1-5 ATS in its last six when playing on one days rest. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Rockets. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Morehead State +7 v. Samford | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Morehead State (10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR) The Morehead State Eagles comes in as the “hungrier” team sitting at just 3-6. The Samford Bulldogs are 8-2. To this point Morehead State has probably faced the stiffer competition though. Most recently the Eagles fell 76-64 at Marshall on Monday. Jordan Walker has 21 points in the loss. The Bulldogs enter off a relatively simple 77-59 win over Alabama A&M, led by 18 points from Ruben Guerrero. Morehead State won’t be going down without a fight though and it has the depth and scoring talent to match pace. Also note that the Eagles are 9-2-2 ATS in their last 13 on the road. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-77 Morehead State. | |||||||
12-12-18 | LSU +5 v. Houston | Top | 76-82 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* TRADE-MARK) LSU is 7-2, while Houston is 8-0. I’m not predicting an outright upset, but this one has the “feel” of whichever team having its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top in the end. And in a scenario like that, I’m going to grab this healthy amount of points. The Tigers would love to spoiler here and break up the perfect record and bettors will be wise to note that they’re 3-1 ATS in their last four after a blowout win by 30 points or more. Houston on the other hand is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after allowing 55 points or less. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Grizzlies have lost two straight. They’re hungry for a win and the Blazers come to town off an exhausting loss in Houston just last night. It’s a perfect “situation” for Memphis to bounce back in. Also note that Portland is just 18-28 ATS in its last 46 as a road dog of six points or less, while Memphis is already 4-1 ATS this year as a home favorite of six points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Memphis. | |||||||
12-11-18 | Denver +7.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Both teams are terrible (identical 3-6 records.) Denver though broke a four-game slide with a 93-63 win over D-2 Western Colorado State last time out and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. In that game Denver shot 50 percent from the floor and 45 percent from range. Ronnie Harrell Jr. was a stand out with 15 points, ten points and two assists. Wyoming comes in off a win as well, nudging past South Carolina 73-64. Both teams struggle defensively, but note that the Pioneers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five following a SU win. I think the Cowboys get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTION COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I look for those trends to continue here. The Blazers have won two straight and they enter averaging 112.3 PPG and allowing 110.4. Houston has lost seven of nine and three straight, averaging just 108.3 PPG while allowing 109.7. The Blazers are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off a home win vs. a division rival, while Houston is already just 3-5 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. I’m expecting this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Rockets. | |||||||
12-10-18 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Vikings (10* TRADE-MARK) This is clearly a very important game for both teams. Both teams currently hold the wild card spots in the NFC, so a victory today is paramount to keep pace to close out the regular season. The Vikes are desperate to regain their form after a 24-10 road loss to New England, while the Hawks look poised for a letdown here after their 43-16 destruction of the 49ers last weekend. The Vikes average 22.9 PPG and they allow 22.5. The Seahawks average 26.6 PPG and they allow 21.6. Minnesota has responded well in this spot for bettors though, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a road loss. The Hawks on the other hand are 0-2 ATS in their last two MNF games. In a contest which I think’ll be decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Vikes. | |||||||
12-10-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -5 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City Thunder (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Thunder have turned things around after a slow start, but their four-game win streak came to an end in a 114-112 setback at the buzzer in Chicago in their final game of their Eastern road swing. With a tough two game road trip in New Orleans and Denver on the horizon, I think the home side lays everything on the line tonight to try and make the most of this opportunity. Utah on the other hand has a tough game in San Antonio on Sunday night and clearly it’s going to be “gassed” here in the second game of a back-to-back. Note that the Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last nine following a non-conference road loss in which it lost by three points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-10-18 | Morehead State +13 v. Marshall | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Morehead State (10* GAME OF WEEK) I think Marshall gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent. The Morehead State Eagles are only 3-5 overall this year, including 0-2 SU on the road, however they’ve been competitive by posting a 2-0 ATS record on the road. The Herd have lost three straight and look ripe for the picking, especially with a tough stretch of upcoming road games at Akron, Texas A&M and Virginia. Note as well that Morehead State is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference road games as an underdog of 11.5 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-09-18 | Rams -3 v. Bears | Top | 6-15 | Loss | -112 | 103 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (NON-CONF GAME OF THE YEAR) The Bears have a tremendous defense, but the biggest question comes on the offensive side of the ball. The Rams have question marks on the defensive side of the ball, but not many can keep pace with them on the offensive side. The Bears are running out of gas as evidenced by their 30-27 OT loss to the lowly Giants last week. The Rams on the other hand seem to be getting better after each weekend, most recently coming away with an easy 30-16 road win at Detroit. Take it for what you will as well, but the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five after a win by ten or more points. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-21 LA. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Jazz v. Spurs +3 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK). The Spurs are having a difficult time adjusting to their new line-up this year. Some nights they look elite and other night’s they look horrible. They looked pretty good in a 133-120 win at home over the Lakers last time out and I think they’ll bring that same intensity here. SA has lost four of the last five in this series, including a 139-105 setback at home in the first meeting this year. The Jazz enter off a 118-91 win over the Rockets and looked primed for a letdown. Note that Utah is already only 1-5 ATS this year after having won three of its last four ATS. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Spurs. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Montana State +12 v. Washington State | Top | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana State (10* MONEY-MAKER) Am I predicting an outright upset? I am not. But I think the conditions are definitely right for a competitive battle. The Montana State Bobcats are just 2-6, but I think they catch the 5-2 Cougars complacent. Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency this season, so the Bobcats will have their chances in my opinion. Additionally note that the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six after allowing 75 points or more in five straight games, while WSU is only 2-6 ATS in its last eight after covering five or six of their last seven vs. the spread. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-09-18 | Colts v. Texans -4.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 0 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texans (8*) The Texans offense has put up 68 points over its last two games. The Colts come in off a 6-0 loss to Jacksonville. The Texans already beat the Colts 37-34 in Indianapolis and while “revenge” is always an angle I take into account, I don’t think it’s going to mean anything in this particular matchup. Indianapolis took a major step back last weekend offensively and I believe the Colts have run out of gas. The Texans hate the Colts and they’ll be eager to to deliver the “knock out blow.” Note that the Colts are just 5-9 ATS in their last 14 vs. the division, while the Texans are already 3-1 ATS this year as a home favorite of seven points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Houston. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Heat v. Clippers -5 | 121-98 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (8* MONEY-MAKER) I’m expecting a blowout. The Heat are in action at Phoenix on Friday night and with a high-profile game vs. the Lakers up next on Monday, I think this sets up as a natural trap-game for the visitors as well. The Clippers have been the talk in the early going this year, 16-8 overall, anchored by a near-perfect 9-1 SU record at home. I think home court advantage is big here. LA has two nights off before a game at Phoenix, so the home side can one in focused on the task at hand as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-08-18 | San Diego State v. California +5 | Top | 83-89 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: California (10* GAME OF WEEK) SDSU is 5-3 overall, including 1-0 in true road games. It’s been a disappointing start for the Golden Bears to this point at just 2-5, but they’re still a solid 2-1 SU in all home games. Cal beat SDSU 63-62 last year and after back-to-back losses, I think it’ll bounce back here and dip deep. SDSU looks susceptible after its 73-61 outright loss to San Diego as a six point favorite last time out and I expect the hungry Bears to take advantage. Play on Cal. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-08-18 | Nuggets v. Hawks +7.5 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK) A great situational play. Denver has been red hot during its road trip, but with a tough game at Charlotte on Friday, I think the team comes out flat in the finale of its extended Eastern swing and with upcoming home games against Memphis, OKC and Toronto. ATL plays with revenge after falling 138-93 at Denver earlier in the year. Atlanta’s been terrible and is just 3-9 ATS at home overall, but the conditions are finally right for ATL to potentially pull off the outright upset here. The Hawks have three nights off before an extended road trip and I expect them to make the most of it. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-08-18 | Illinois-Chicago +13 v. Colorado | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think Colorado will get caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Buffs are 6-1 overall and 5-0 at home, while the Illinois Chicago Flames are just 4-5 overall, including 0-4 on the road. But with a tough game at New Mexico upcoming on Tuesday, this also sets up as a look ahead spot for the Buffs. Additionally note that Illinois Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games as a ten points or more underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-08-18 | Navy +7 v. Army | Top | 10-17 | Push | 0 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Navy (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Army went into this game last year with an identical 9-2 record and after winning 14-13, it finished at 10-2. Now the Knights have a chance to do that again. Navy is only 3-9 and it’s going to suffer its first losing season since 2002. Clearly the Midshipmen aren’t happy: “It has obviously been disappointing,” lamented senior linebacker Hudson Sullivan recently. “It’s not the kind of season that any of us even remotely imagined we would have had,” continued Sullivan, who will be playing in his fourth Army-Navy game (the last two of which his team has lost.) “When the season started we were looking forward to having a winning season, beating Army, playing for the conference championship and going to a bowl game. That didn’t happen. So as big as winning the Army-Navy game usually is, it would mean more this year…. We’re going into the game to play as hard as we can and to beat Army and put a black mark on their season. As seniors, it would be a great way to end our career.” All of the pressure is now on the Knights, who are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Army. | |||||||
12-07-18 | 76ers -2 v. Pistons | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Philadelphia’s four-game win streak was snapped in a loss to the Raptors last time out, but when it faced the Pistons on November 3rd, it easily dispatched Detroit 109-99. This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams and I like Philadelphia to continue its recent dominance in the matchup. Detroit had won seven of eight, but it enters off two straight losses. I think the Pistons continue their slide back to mediocrity and I believe they’ll struggle again in this difficult matchup. Note as well that Detroit is just 2-4 ATS in its last six at home. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-105 76ers. | |||||||
12-07-18 | Oral Roberts +17 v. Missouri | Top | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oral Roberts (10* MONEY-MAKER) Missouri is 5-3 and 3-1 at home. I think the home side gets caught predictably “looking past” its lowly none-conference opponent tonight. The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are just 3-8 overall, including 0-5 on the road. Oral Roberts though is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games in which it allowed 90 points or more in a loss in its previous game (lost 96-76 to FGCU.) The Tigers on the other hand have a week off before a home game vs. Xavier, making this a “look ahead/trap” spot as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-06-18 | Suns +14 v. Blazers | Top | 86-108 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* TRADE-MARK) Portland’s big win streak to open the year is over. The Blazers come in having lost six of seven, including three straight. And with upcoming games at home against the surging Wolves, and then against Houston, Memphis and Toronto, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent today. The Suns have lost six straight and with a game at home tomorrow night against Miami, I think they’ll lay everything on the line here to try and pull off the upset against this floundering Blazers side. Phoenix is already 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Portland is just 1-3 ATS this year already after two or more SU losses. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: Blazers 110-105. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Pepperdine v. UC Riverside +5.5 | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UC Riverside (10* GAME OF MONTH) Pepperdine is 5-3 overall, including 5-1 ATS in its last six ATS, but I think the Waves get push to the test here against the hungry UC Riverside team which is only 2-7 SU, including 3-4 ATS in its seven overall. These teams played last year and this is indeed a revenge game for UC Riverside, which fell 70-59 to Pepperdine last December. The Highlanders have been competitive of late, but just haven’t been able to put it all together. However I’ll point out that UC Riverside is interestingly 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after playing five consecutive games as an underdog, while Pepperdine is just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 off a home loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
12-06-18 | Jaguars +4.5 v. Titans | Top | 9-30 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams have endured an up and down season. The Jaguars are down to their backup QB now and the only thing they have left to play for is the role of spoiler, and they did that in last week’s impressive 6-0 win over the Colts. Indianapolis came into that game on fire and the Jags’ defense posted its best performance of the year. No reason not to think the unit won’t carry that momentum over here. The Titans’ offense has been hit or miss, and last week the Titans had to rally for dear life to post a win over the lowly Jets. The Jags also play with revenge here, having dropped three straight in the series, including a 9-6 setback at home in the first one this season. Note as well that Jacksonville is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as a road underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Jacksonville. | |||||||
12-05-18 | Arkansas v. Colorado State +8 | Top | 98-74 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado State (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Rams are the “hungrier” team in this one and while I’m not calling for the outright, I’m expecting a competitive battle. The Razorbacks are 5-1 and the Rams are 4-4. The level of competition has been low for Arkansas, with a loss to Texas, followed by victories over UC Davis, Indiana, Montana State, TX-Arlington and FIU. The Rams have struggled as well, but note that they’re 8-2 ATS in their last ten following a road loss. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked if there is in fact an upset. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Colorado State. | |||||||
12-05-18 | San Diego +7 v. San Diego State | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Both teams come in on top form and I’m expecting a battle until the final whistle. The Aztecs have won two straight, while the Toreros are 3-1 in their last five after beating LBSU last time out. San Diego has done well in this spot for bettors as well, going 15-7 ATS in its last 22 non-conference games, while SDSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a road win by ten points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 San Diego. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Spurs +6 v. Jazz | Top | 105-139 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Spurs come in off a much needed 131-118 home win over the Blazers on Sunday after getting crushed in back-to-back blowout losses. I think SA carries that momentum over here. Utah comes in off a tough 102-100 road loss in Miami as a favorite and I think it’ll have a predictable letdown here in its first game back home. The Spurs average 109.4 PPG and they allow 112.3. The Jazz average 105.7 PPG and they allow 108. Note though that SA is already 3-1 ATS this year after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games, while Utah is just 3-5 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 209-206 Spurs. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern +6 | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Michigan is unbeaten, most recently posting a 76-57 home win over Purdue on Saturday. Northwestern comes in as the “hungrier” team after a 68-66 loss on the road to Indiana. The Wolverines average 73.1 PPG and they allow 51.8. The Wildcats average 73.6 PPG and they allow 61.9. Note though that Michigan is a poor 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite or pick, while Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after a loss by six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-63 Wolverines. | |||||||
12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles -6 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Eagles (10* MONEY-MAKER) For me this one comes down to the starting QB’s. Both teams are hungry for a win (the Redskins are 6-5 and the Eagles are 5-6.) Washington lost the services of starting QB Alex Smith to injury and backup Colt McCoy had 268 yards, two TD’s and three INT’s in Thanksgivings 31-23 setback to Dallas. It was the fourth straight game that the Skins allowed at least 100 rushing yards. The Eagles rallied for a 25-22 win over the Giants last weekend and I think they carry that momentum over here. Carson Wentz was 20 of 28 for 236 yards and a TD. Note as well that Washington is 0-3 ATS in its last three after playing a “Thursday” game, while Philadelphia is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three off a home win vs. a division rival. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Philly. | |||||||
12-03-18 | Troy State +21 v. Florida State | Top | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Troy (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Troy Trojans are 3-4 and the FSU Seminoles are 6-1. I’m not suggesting that you should play this one on the money line obviously, but I do think that the home side comes in a bit complacent here, leaving the back door open for the hungry visitors to sneak in through down the stretch. Four players scored in double figures in the Trojans 79-74 OT loss to Austin Peay this past week. Troy is also 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while FSU is already just 3-4 ATS this season after a non-conference contest. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 151 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Chargers (10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH) Clearly this is a big game for both of these AFC opponents. LA is 8-3 and the Steelers are 7-2-1. LA comes in off a blowout win over the Cards, while the Steelers lost some momentum in a setback to Denver last week. The Chargers inconsistencies against the pass were evident last week, which I feel spells doom against Philip Rivers and company. Note that LA is 4-1 ATS on the road, while Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Chargers. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Pelicans v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Pelicans come in off a 106-101 road loss to the Heat as the favorite and I think they’ll stumble here in this difficult road venue as the slight dog. The Hornets won’t be taking anything for granted here after they fell 119-111 at home to the Jazz, another non-conference opponents. This is a revenge game as well as the Pelicans have taken four straight in the series. The Hornets have lost four of their last five and they’re just 4-8 ATS on the road. Charlotte is 7-5 SU at home but 8-4 ATS. The Pelicans are also a terrible 1-3 ATS already this year after playing two consecutive non-conference games. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Charlotte. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Rams v. Lions +10.5 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -130 | 144 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Lions (10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR) The Rams posted a 54-51 win over Kansas City back on November 19th and they then enjoyed their bye week. So will “rest” lead to “rust?” I think the answer will in fact be “yes.” As good as LA looked offensively in that win over the Chiefs, was as horrible as the defense performed though. The Lions have been the victim of injury and some plain old “bad luck,” but they won’t be going down without a fight. QB Matt Stafford is only 159 yards shy of his eight straight 3,000 yard season. Note as well that LA is just 4-5 ATS this year as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Rams. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indianapolis Colts (8*) With a chance to put the final nail in the coffin for the Jags season, I expect Andrew Luck and the surging Colts to lay the hammer down. Luck already has 3,112 passing yards with a sharp 32:11 TD/INT. Last Sunday he had 343 passing yards and two INT’s in the come back win over the Fish. The Jags won’t even be starting Blake Bortles this week, instead going with Cody Kessler. In last Sunday’s loss to the Bills he had 127 yards passing with one TD and two INT’s. Note that Jacksonville is 0-4-2 ATS in its last six following a SU loss, while Indianapolis is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Colts. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Ravens +1.5 v. Falcons | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens (8*) The Ravens can put the Falcons season to bed with a win today. Baltimore desperately needs a win as well sitting at 6-5. The Ravens once again turn to QB Lamar Jackson, who led his team to a 34-17 win over Oakland last weekend. Note that the Ravens still lead the NFL in yards allowed per game at just 295.4 per contest. Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan has already been sacked 33 times this year. Ryan has been decent for ATL, but inconsistencies on both sides of the ball have been the Falcons undoing. Note that Baltimore is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Ravens. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Browns +7 v. Texans | 13-29 | Loss | -140 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (8*) Cleveland looks to pull of an upset here against the red hot Texans. The Browns have won two straight, most recently a 35-20 win over the Bengals. The Browns have looked a lot better defensively of late, allowing just 18 PPG over their last two. The Texans have won eight straight, but one has to wonder when the inevitable letdown will occur? I think it happens this week against a Browns team with nothing to lose. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Houston. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +28 | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (8*) Clemson is scoring 45.7 PPG and outscoring its opposition by 31.7 PPG this year. But the Tigers are starting to show signs of wearing down. Two of Clemson’s last three games by been decided by 21 points or less and last week vs. South Carolina the Tigers would go on to give up 510 yards through the air. The Panthers’ steady play on the defensive side is the difference here and keeps them competitive late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Clemson. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Missouri State +12.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 77-101 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I think the 5-1 Oregon State Beavers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Missouri State unquestionably comes in as the “hungrier” team here, as after starting the year 3-0, it comes into this one having dropped four straight. The Beavers come in off a much tougher than expected 75-72 win over LBSU last weekend and I think they struggle to contain this determined mid-major on Saturday as well. Note as well that Missouri State is still 12-6 ATS in its last 18 as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | Top | 30-29 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). Buffalo went 10-2 this year, including 7-1 in MAC actin, while the Huskies went 7-5 overall and 6-2 in conference play. Note that this is a big time revenge game for the Bulls after Northern Illinois won this game last year 14-13. Buffalo is rolling, having scored at least 30 points in all but three games this year. Overall Buffalo is averaging 35.2 PPG and allowing 24.2. NIU is averaging only 19.9 PPG and it’s allowing 20.9. The Huskies are over matched in all three phases and I’m expecting a blowout. Note as well that NIU is just 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 neutral site games, while the Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning records and 8-1 ATS in their last nine against the conference. NIU has lost two straight, managing just 28 points in those setback. I’m banking on the Bulls dominating from start to finish. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Buffalo. | |||||||
11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +3 | Top | 133-121 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Clippers have been playing great, but they hit a dangerous part of their schedule, with a game at home against Phoenix on Wednesday, followed by this game in Sacramento on Thursday. And with games at Dallas on Saturday, followed by at New Orleans and Memphis, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their lowly opponent today. The Kings have lost two straight, but they’ve been competitive and I think the stars and the planets have indeed lined up for them here. Note as well that LA is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the -1.5 to -4.5 points range in the second game of the back-to-back. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-115 Kings. | |||||||
11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys (10* TRADE-MARK) The Saints have the best record in the NFL, most recently coming off a 31-17 home win over the Falcons. The Cowboys though have turned things around, winners of three straight, including a 16-12 win on the road in Detroit on Thanksgiving. New Orleans has been on fire, but at some point the wheels are going to fall of the bus. And in my opinion, that happens this weekend. While I’m not calling for the outright upset, I’ll point out that the Cowboys are already 2-0 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after two or more consecutive wins. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Saints. | |||||||
11-28-18 | Suns +12 v. Clippers | Top | 99-115 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Off back-to-back losing games, I think the Suns offer great value to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this speed would suggest. The Clippers on the other hand look poised for a letdown after back to back victories over Portland and Memphis. LA has been a complete surprise to this point in leading the division, but note that the Clippers are poor 2-7 ATS as a home favorite of ten points or more and on the heels of a two games or more unbeaten streak. Also note that Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven following a two games unbeaten streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Clippers. | |||||||
11-28-18 | VCU +3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 52-62 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU (10* MONEY-MAKER) VCU enters off a 69-67 OT win over Hofstra on Saturday and I think it can keep this one competitive as well. ODU comes in off a 72-64 victory over Northern Iowa. VCU averages 70.3 PPG and it allows 63.3. ODU averages only 62.8 PPG and it allows 58.3. The Margin for error is very slim for the Monarchs. Note that the Rams are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four following a SU win as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 VCU. | |||||||
11-27-18 | Raptors -4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto enters off a 125-115 home win over Miami on Sunday and I think they’ll carry that momentum over into the opener of this Western swing. The Grizz on the other hand look ripe for the picking after a humbling 103-98 loss to New York. The Raptors have won five straight and they enter averaging 116.8 PPG and allowing 107.8. The Grizz have in fact lost two in a row and they come in averaging 103 PPG and allowing 100.9. Note though that Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning SU records, while Memphis is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following two straight SU/ATS setbacks. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Toronto. | |||||||
11-27-18 | Michigan State -5.5 v. Louisville | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Spartans are 5-1 and the Cardinals are 3-2. Louisville jumped out to a 3-0 start, but it comes in with zero momentum after back to back losses in the NIT Tip-Off tournament, falling to Tennessee and Marquette. MSU on the other hand comes in with plenty of momentum after winning the Las Vegas Invitational. The Spartans average 115 points per 100 possessions, while allowing only 92.2. The Cardinals are averaging 110.0 points per 1000 possessions, while allowing 98.9. Louisville though is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five against teams with winning SU records, while MSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five non-conference contests. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 MSU | |||||||
11-26-18 | Titans v. Texans -4 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Texans (10* TRADE-MARK) The Titans smoked the Patriots and then had a predictable letdown in a 38-10 loss to the Colts last weekend. Houston won its seventh straight last weekend with a tight 23-21 win over Washington. The Texans can match a franchise record today with an eighth straight win and I don’t think they blow it. Tennessee’s momentum is now gone after last week’s loss and note that it’s just 9-14 ATS on the road in its last 23 anyways. The Texans also play with revenge here after a Week 2 setback in Tennessee. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 31-10 Texans. | |||||||
11-26-18 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think the underdog offers great value to possibly even pull of the outright upset. But in a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points. The Huskers come in off a dominant 73-49 win over Western Illinois, while Clemson enters off a crushing 87-82 loss to Creighton. Nebraska is an amazing 11-3 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 60 points or less, while Clemson is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 80 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Huskers. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -4 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Off back-to-back road losses, I think the Blazers bounce back at home. LA is 12-6 overall, but just 4-5 on the road. Portland is 12-7 overall and 7-2 at home. Additionally note that LA is just 3-6 ATS as an underdog this season, while Portland is 7-2 ATS at home and 6-3 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 119-108 Blazers. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -3.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 151 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Vikings (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Green Bay comes in off a deflating loss to the Seahawks last weekend and I think it’ll struggle to find the same intensity here against this desperate and hungry home side. The Vikes also enter off a tight loss in Chicago last weekend. The difference here though is that Minnesota is still very much in the thick of the playoff hunt with a win here today. Home field is going to be a major advantage in my opinion, as note that GB is just 1-5-1 TS in its last seven away from friendly confines. Minnesota on the other hand is 26-9 ATS in its last 35 following a loss. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Vikes. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Oregon State -7 v. Long Beach State | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon State (BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Oregon State, while LBSu is just 1-3. Oregon State forward Tres Tinkle posted a double-double in all four games for the Beavers in the Virgin Islands and I think he’ll be difficult for the 49ers to slow down as well. Additionally note that LBSU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Oregon State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 90-55 Oregon State. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Giants +6 v. Eagles | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 144 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Giants (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think “momentum” in sports is a very real, almost tangible factor. “Revenge” is also an angle which I also take into account. The revenge minded Giants come into this one off back-to-back blowout wins as the offense continues to make big strides. The Eagles come in off back to back losses, including a humbling setback last Sunday. These teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue. The Giants are 4-1 ATS on the road already this year and the Eagles are just 1-4 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-25 New York. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 144 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Seahawks (8* SUPER SHOCKER) It’s a do or die game for the Panthers as they continue to lose ground the NFC South. After back-to-back losses, the Seahawks can put the nail in the coffin with another victory today. The Hawks have found their running game and it’s opened things up for Russell Wilson. Seattle comes in off a confidence building win over Green Bay last weekend and there’s no reason not to think it can’t carry that momentum over here as well. Note as well that Seattle is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records and 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Hawks. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Utah State +3 v. Boise State | 24-33 | Loss | -109 | 146 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah State (8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) Utah State has won ten straight and after a near catastrophe against lowly Colorado State, I believe the Aggies come in focused on the task at hand and continue their red hot offensive campaign. Utah State plays with revenge and note that it’s been “lights out” in this spot for bettors all season by going 2-0 ATS as an underdog, 6-2 ATS after two or more SU wins and 3-1 ATS in its last four at home. Boise State on the other hand is still only 5-12 ATS in its last 17 at home and just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 37-29 Utah State. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -5.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 140 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (8* MONEY-MAKER) Pitt comes in off a very satisfying 34-13 road win over Wake Forest last Saturday and I believe it’ll have a predictable letdown here. With that win the Panthers won the Coastal Division title. Miami enters off a 38-14 blowout win over Virginia Tech, but the Hurricanes won’t be “looking past” their opponent today after the Panthers scored the upset 24-14 win last year. Pitt comes in averaging 30.3 PPG and allowing 28.1. Miami became eligible last weekend, but clearly the team will look to keep the foot on the gas in the final regular season home game. The Hurricanes average 31.5 PPG and they allow only 19.5. Note that Miami is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 following a SU win, while Pittsburgh is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five after a SU win of more than 20 points. T.M. Prediction: 28-19 Miami. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |