Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK) The Heat come in off a big road win over the Blazers and I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. the up-tempo and hungry Kings, who are looking to bounce back after a loss to Houston in their most recent action. The Heat average 105.2 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Kings average 113.5 PPG and they allow 115.1. From a situational stand point, this one sets up great for the Kings in my opinion. Also note that Miami is 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game, while Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Kings. | |||||||
02-07-19 | BYU v. Portland +11.5 | Top | 83-48 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Pilots come in as clearly the “hungrier” team. Portland is 0-9 in league play this year and it’ll look to take advantage of a complacent BYU side which just beat Loyola Marymount 67-49 in its most recent action. The Pilots almost pulled it off last weekend, eventually falling 69-63 to Santa Clara on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but BYU is a a disastrous 6-22 in its last 28 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Portland is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. No outright upset, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-72 BYU. | |||||||
02-07-19 | Raptors v. Hawks +9 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ATL Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Raptors look poised for a letdown here after their big 119-107 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as Toronto has taken six straight in the series, including both this year. However, the Hawks are playing some of their best ball of the season right now and I believe they carry that momentum over here (just beat Washington 137-129 on the road!) Note that Toronto is just 2-6 ATS this year following a divisional contest, while the Hawks are 6-4 ATS in the same position and 4-1 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Raptors. | |||||||
02-06-19 | Spurs +11 v. Warriors | Top | 102-141 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) I got down on this one early and the line has since gone up after the news that the Spurs will be resting both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. I’m stuck with the pick obviously, but I do think that the undermanned Spurs can keep this one interesting, against a Warriors team who will also be looking to get its starters a lot of rest after securing a lead. San Antonio had won five straight before a 127-112 loss at Sacramento, but I think it comes in “under the radar” here. The Warriors get caught looking past their opponent, complacent after winning ten of their last 11. San Antonio is still 15-8 ATS as an underdog this year, while GS is only 10-14 ATS as a home favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Warriors. | |||||||
02-06-19 | VCU v. George Washington +7.5 | Top | 60-50 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Rams have won eight of their last ten. VCU is on the bubble of making the tournament. Overall though VCU has struggled offensively by averaging 70.2 PPG, while allowing 63.5. The Colonials have been terrible over all this year, but they snapped a three-game slide with a win over Fordham last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort again here. Overall George Washington is averaging 65 PPG and allowing 70.5. I’ll point out though that VCU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a losing home record and only 2-6 ATS its last eight vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, while George Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning SU records. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 VCU. | |||||||
02-05-19 | Vanderbilt +9 v. Arkansas | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Vanderbilt comes in hungry after falling 77-67 on the road at Missouri on Saturday. Arkansas comes in complacent after its 90-89 road win over LSU. The Razorbacks took both meetings between the clubs last year, but everything looks like a much more competitive battle this time around as I think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent and off its epic victory. Vandy on the other hand comes in razor focused as it looks to snap a nine game slide. The Commodores are also 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a road loss against a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-73 Arkansas. | |||||||
02-05-19 | Lakers -3 v. Pacers | Top | 94-136 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Despite all of the turmoil that some of the players have had with head coach Luke Walton and putting aside all of the supposed trade rumours for Anthony Davis, I think that LeBron James and company will find a way to get the job done on the road here against a Pacers team which continues to soldier on without its best player, Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. LA comes in focused after a 115-101 road loss to the Warriors, while the Pacers come in complacent after their big road in New Orleans just last night. Note that the Lakers beat the Pacers 104-96 back on November 29th and I think an even bigger blowout is in store this evening. Additionally note that the Pacers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning SU records, while LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 LA. | |||||||
02-04-19 | Penn State +4 v. Northwestern | Top | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* GAME OF WEEK) After losing eight straight, clearly the Nittany Lions are going to be desperate to break the slide. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last. Penn State comes in off a competitive 99-90 OT loss to Purdue: “I know our record isn’t what we expect or where we want it to be but the kids are competing and playing hard,” head coach Patrick Chambers noted. “The ultimate goal down the stretch here in February is that they continue to progress.” Northwestern comes in off back-to-back losses to ranked teams and I think it gets caught “flat footed” here. Note that Penn State is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 80 points or more, while Northwestern is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Penn State. | |||||||
02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | Top | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* GAME OF WEEK) Denver’s won six straight, but I think it’ll have its hands full vs. the desperate Pistons team which enters off a poor setback at home to the Clippers. Detroit fell 111-101, but had the lead in that game for most of it. The Pistons now sit three games back for the eighth spot in the East. With much more “high profile” games upcoming against the Nets and Philadelphia during this Eastern swing, I also believe that this sets up as a look ahead spot for the visitors. Note as well that Denver is still only 5-8 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Detroit is 3-1 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 109-100 Pistons. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +2.5 | 13-3 | Loss | -115 | 324 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* GAME OF MONTH) I could write a an award winning article, breaking down each team and every single statistic, but I don’t think that’s necessary. If you’re wagering on this game, then the history of each side and how they got to this point is well known. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think it’s pretty much a “coin flip.” I could easily post strong ATS stats to support either side, so those are pointless at this point in my professional opinion. I think LA’s improved defensive play from the Conference round carries over though and I think the Pats’ defense is a fraud. Look for Todd Gurley and Jared Goff to possibly share “co-MVP’s” here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 LA. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Thunder v. Celtics -3 | Top | 129-134 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the correct call here is on the home side. After seven straight victories, I believe the Thunder finally have a letdown in this difficult road arena. OKC comes in off a 118-102 road win over Miami, while Boston rolled to a 113-99 win over the Knicks on the road in their most recent action. Boston posted a 101-95 road victory in the first matchup this year and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards here. The Thunder have difficulty against the better defensive clubs, and the C’s have been strong at the end of the floor, allowing just 105.5 PPG (ranked fifth). The numbers support us here as well, as note that OKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Boston is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 vs. teams with a winning road record. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 C’s. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Wright State +1 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wright State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Wright State won this game at home 72-64 just before the New Year and I’m expecting a similar final combined outcome here as well. IUPUI looks poised for a classic letdown here though after its big upset win over conference leading NKU on Friday. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? I think the Raiders, who snapped a four-game winning streak by falling 67-53 at Illinois Chicago on Friday, come in focused on the task at hand and take full advantage of this matchup. Additionally note that Wright State is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this year when playing one or less days rest, while IUPUI is just 3-7 ATS in it last ten as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Wright State. | |||||||
02-02-19 | 76ers v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The 76ers are just 13-13 on the road. Note that Philadelphia is resting both Wilson Chandler and JJ Reddick in this contest, two of the team’s best shooters. Off a huge road win over the defending champs, can anyone say “letdown spot” here?! The Kings have been better than expected this season and they’ve been at their best at home (15-10). In fact Sacramento has won five straight at home, winning by at least seven points each time. Note as well that the Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last six at home, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. Clearly I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Kings. | |||||||
02-02-19 | New Mexico +11.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think that New Mexico will keep this one competitive until the final moments. The Lobos enter off a tough 68-66 home loss to Utah State last weekend, while Fresno State got the better of Wyoming 75-62 on the road on Wednesday. New Mexico comes in as the “hungrier” team, having lost two straight and five of its last six. The Lobos average 76.7 PG and they allow 76.3. The Bulldogs come in complacent after winning three of their last four. Fresno State averages 76.2 PPG and it allows 66.1. Note though that New Mexico 6-3 ATS in its last nine when playing with five or six days rest, while Fresno State is just 4-6 ATS at home and only 3-5 ATS vs. the conference. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 Bulldogs. | |||||||
02-01-19 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* GAME OF MONTH) The Grizzlies enter off a deflating 99-97 OT road loss in Minnesota on Friday and think they’ll have their hands full here against a Hornets team also coming off a terrible road loss, falling 126-94 in Boston on Wednesday. But if recent history is any precedence, then for sure Charlotte has to be feeling confident here, because the first time these teams met in Memphis on January 23rd, the Hornets left with a convincing 118-107 road victory. The Grizz are just 10-16 ATS on the road overall this year. Memphis averages only 100.5 PPG, while allowing 103.8. Charlotte is 14-10 ATS at home and it averages 111.5 PPG, while allowing 111.4. Note as well that the Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. the West, while Memphis is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 vs. the East. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 108-98 Hornets. | |||||||
02-01-19 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU-Indianapolis +3 | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: IUPUI (10* GAME OF MONTH) After winning eight of its last nine and six conference games in a row, I think the Norse finally let the foot off the gas here vs. the hungry Jaguars. Most recently NKU defeated Milwaukee 73-60 this past Saturday. The Norse average 108.9 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 100.1 points per 100. The Jags average 99.8 points per 100 possessions, but make up for it on the other end by allowing 101.3 per 100. IUPUI though has been improving dramatically/quickly, most recently destroying Detroit 80-65 on Saturday to bump them to 5-4 in league play. I think the oddsmaker are slow in recognizing this improvement. The outright is possible, but in the end I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 IUPUI. | |||||||
01-31-19 | Pacers v. Magic -2 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* TRADE MARK) No need to over think this one. The Magic have lost four straight, but they were competitive in a loss to the Thunder last time out. Orlando plays with revenge here though and it catches a Pacers team which was demolished in Washington just last night and which has lost three in a row itself. Indiana is tired and it’s playing out the rest of its season without its superstar Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. This one sets up beautifully for the home side, note as well that it’s 7-4 ATS in its last 11 in revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Magic. | |||||||
01-31-19 | Delaware v. Elon +1 | Top | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s an “in season” revenge game for Elon. Delaware is 6-3 in CAA action and the Blue Hens took the first meeting between the schools 77-65 on January 5th. The Blue Hens average 72.5 PPG and they allow 70.9. After a four-game losing streak, Elon will now look to avenge the earlier setback to Delaware and to build off its 89-82 win over UNCW on January 26th. Elon average 70.4 PPG and it allows 76.6. I’ll point out though that the Blue Hens are just 6-8 ATS in their last 14 after playing two consecutive home games, while Elon is already 3-1 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
01-30-19 | Nuggets -8 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Pelicans posted an improbable 121-116 road victory in Houston last night without Anthony Davis in the line-up and I believe they’ll suffer a letdown here vs. the deep and talented Nuggets. Davis announced he won’t resign with New Orleans, but the Pelicans still managed to gut out a victory on the road in a difficult road venue. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Denver is tough on both ends of the floor and just held Memphis to 92 points in its most recent victory. After their big offensive outburst last night, I do indeed expect the Pelicans to take a predictable step back this evening. Note as well that Denver is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Everything points to a lop-sided destruction, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Nuggets. | |||||||
01-30-19 | Northern Iowa +11.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think the hungry 9-12 Northern Iowa Panthers will keep this one competitive until the final moments vs. the 13-8 Loyola Chicago Ramblers. Northern Iowa broke a two-game slide with a win over Evansville last time out, while Loyola Chicago has won four of its last five after smashing Southern Illinois this past weekend. The Ramblers come in complacent after six straight home wins. Additionally note that the home side is just 5-6 ATS at home this year, while Northern Iowa is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 63-60 Loyola Chicago. | |||||||
01-29-19 | Wizards v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wizards look ripe for a letdown here in my estimation after their 132-119 loss in San Antonio on Sunday. Cleveland on the other hand looks poised to build off its confidence building 104-101 road win in Chicago over the weekend. These clubs have split two meetings and the Cavs won at home, 116-101 back on December 8th. The Wizards are a poor 7-18 ATS on the road. The Cavs are only 9-15 ATS at home, but note that they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after a division game and 2-0 ATS in its last two off a road victory, while Washington is a disastrous 4-13 ATS this year after a non-conference contest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Cavs. | |||||||
01-29-19 | Eastern Michigan +2.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Chips opened the season by going 14-3, but CMU comes in having lost three straight. EMU won’t be taking anything for granted here, as it just broke a three-game slide of its own by knocking off WMU 93-67 on the road last time out. Elijah Minnie was a beast in that one with 29 points. These are two evenly matched teams (as evidenced by this spread), but I think the overall conditions favor the visitors. Also note that EMU is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS victory, while CMU is just 2-5 ATS in it last seven following an ATS victory and only 1-4 ATS in its last five at home. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 EMU. | |||||||
01-28-19 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5 | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Nuggets have emerged as one of the best teams in the league. When healthy the Nuggets are going to be able to compete with any team. They come into this one having won five of their last six. Denver averages 112 PPG and it allows 106.2. The Grizzlies broke an eight-game slide vs. the Pacers last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort with another decent performance here. Memphis has struggled offensively this year averaging only 100.8 PPG, but it’s been sharp defensively in allowing only 104. Note that Denver is still just 9-13 ATS on the road this season (and only 2-7 ATS vs. the Southwest division), while Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing four consecutive home games. I’m banking on a competitive affair, so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 105-104 Grizzlies. | |||||||
01-28-19 | Southern Utah v. Northern Arizona -1 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Arizona (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Southern Utah is 9-8 and after its four game win streak was snapped last time out vs. Northern Colorado, I think the Thunderbirds are ripe for a letdown here as well. Brandon Better was a bright spot in a losing cause last time out for SU with 22 points. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks won’t be taking anything for granted and they won’t be lacking for motivation after staring the year 5-13. Most recently the Lumberjacks fell to Northern Colorado, led by 15 points and five boards from Carlos Hines. But the home floor advantage is significant in this early afternoon contest in my opinion. Further note that the Thunderbirds are a poor 15-33-1 ATS in their last 49 following an ATS loss and just 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road. Northern Arizona on the other hand is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Northern Arizona. | |||||||
01-27-19 | Washington State +14 v. Oregon | Top | 58-78 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State (10* BLACK-LABEL) I’m not at all suggesting that the lowly Cougars are going to win this one outright, but I do think that the stage is set for a competitive battle. WSU is off a 90-77 loss at Oregon State and it’s now just 1-5 in league play. Oregon enters off a 61-56 home loss to Washington, dropping the Ducks to just 2-4 in Pac 12 action. The Cougars average 78.5 PPG, while allow 77.9. Oregon averages only 71.2 PPG, while allowing 64.7. I believe the Ducks are the better team, but a “two TD favorite?” I don’t see it. Note that Oregon is just 1-4 ATS in its last five at home,. while WSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a 13 points or more road conference underdog after allowing 90 points or more in a loss in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-69 Oregon. | |||||||
01-27-19 | Raptors -4 v. Mavs | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto comes in off back-to-back losses. The Mavericks come in off back-to-back wins. When these teams played North of the border back on October 26th, it was the Raptors though who came out on top 116-107. I believe that the 36-15 Raptors enter this one as the “hungrier” team vs. the 22-26 Mavericks. This is simply a bad match-up for Dallas, as Toronto comes to town healthy for the first time in a long time. Toronto averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 108.5. Dallas averages 109.4 PPG and it allows 109.3. Clearly the margin for error is pretty slim most nights for the Mavs. Additionally note that Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive road losses, while Dallas is a poor 4-8 ATS this season trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 Toronto. | |||||||
01-26-19 | Hawks +10.5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I like the improving visiting side to sneak in under the radar and through the back door down the stretch. ATL enters off a confidence building 121-101 road win in Chicago on Wednesday, while Portland comes in off a 120-106 road win over the Suns. The Hawks average 109.9 PPG and they allow 117.5. The Blazers average 112.6 PPG and they allow 110.1. I think Atlanta will have its chances here to match pace offensively. Note as well that the Hawks are already 10-4 ATS in their last 14 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Portland. | |||||||
01-26-19 | George Washington +14 v. George Mason | Top | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK). The 6-13 George Washington Colonials won’t be lacking for motivation today. George Mason on the other hand comes in complacent in my opinion after winning four straight. GW averages 64.7 PPG, led by DJ Williams with 13.1 points and 4.9 boards per game. The Colonials allow 71.4 PPG overall. George Mason averages 72.1 PPG and it allows 68. Justin Kier averages 15.4 points and 6.7 boards for the Patriots. Note though that GW is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in its first six road games, while GM is just 12-13 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 George Mason. | |||||||
01-26-19 | William & Mary +10.5 v. College of Charleston | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (9* MONEY-MAKER) William & Mary is desperate to break a four game slide. COC on the other hand comes in complacent after smoking Elon 72-53 on Thursday. W&M though looked very competitive in a 93-88 setback at UNCW on Saturday. Nathan Knight leads the Tribe with 19.6 points per game. Overall W&M averages 75 PPG and it allows 78.8. COC had lost four of five previous to the win over Elon. The Cougars average 72.6 PPG and they allow 67.2. On paper this one favors COC, but the Cougars have started to scuffle of late, despite earning a win last time out. Note that Charleston is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU win, while W&M is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a “nail biter.” T.M. Prediction: 72-70 COC. | |||||||
01-26-19 | Detroit +6 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Detroit had a difficult go of it in non-conference action to open the year, opening 3-9. The Titans though have been firing on all cylinders since league play though by winning five of their first six. Detroit though will now be eager to return to that form as it has in fact lost two straight to fall to 5-3 in conference action. IUPUI is 4-4 through eight league games. The Titans average 104.3 points per 100 possessions and they allow 108.1 points per 100 possessions. IUPUI averages only 99.4 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 102.1 points per 100 possessions. Note as well that the Jaguars are just 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while the Titans are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten on the road. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 Detroit. | |||||||
01-25-19 | Kings v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* TRADE-MARK) The Kings come in off a 120-105 road loss in Toronto on Tuesday. The Grizzlies enter off a 118-107 home loss to Charlotte. The Grizzlies though play with revenge here as Sacramento has taken two of three in the series already between the clubs, including a 102-99 victory in the most recent at home on December 21st. The Kings though are now just 1-3 on their current road trip. Overall Sacramento is just 11-13 ATS on the road. The Kings average 113.4 PPG, and they allow 115.3. The Grizz are only 10-13 ATS at home and while Marc Gasol and Mike Conley could be on the move shortly, I still think this one favors the hungry home side. Note that Memphis is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Play on the Grizz. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
01-25-19 | Rider v. Iona +1 | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iona (10* MONEY-MAKER) After five straight wins, I think the Rider Broncs get caught complacent here. most recently Rider topped Manhattan 60-47. Overall the Broncos average 77.6 PPG. The Iona Gaels have split their last eight games, and they’ll be eager to return to the winners circle after a tight 83-81 loss to Monmouth last time out. Asante Giste was a bright spot in the losing cause with 21 points. As a team Iona verges 80.9 PPG. Note that the Broncs are also just 4-6 ATS on the road this year, while the Gaels are 3-1 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
01-24-19 | Wolves v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* TRADE-MARK) This is the fourth time these teams will have met this year and the Wolves own the 2-1 advantage thus far. I think the home side evens that record tonight though. Note that the Lakers won the only game at the Staples Center so far 114-110. Minnesota has been hit or miss all year, but more miss than hit on the road, going 7-16 SU and 10-13 ATS. The Lakers are only 10-14-1 ATS at home, but they’re a solid 15-10 SU. I think the home side finds a way to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Lakers. | |||||||
01-24-19 | Warriors -9 v. Wizards | 126-118 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors. (8* MONEY-MAKER) I think the defending champs keep the foot on the gas in the Nation’s capital on Thursday night. The Warriors enter having won seven straight. They won’t be “looking past” their lowly non-conference opponent tonight either, as the Wizards have won two in a row. But the Warriors are at full health right now and over their last five games they’ve averaged 130 points. Washington’s been playing a lot better of late, but it’s averaged just 115 points over its last five games. Note as well that Golden State is 9-4 ATS this year off a road win, while Washington is 0-6 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Warriors. | |||||||
01-24-19 | Charlotte v. Texas-San Antonio -9 | Top | 43-88 | Win | 100 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas San Antonio (10* MONEY-MAKER) The UTSA Roadrunners come in hungry to stop a two-game slide. After winning seven straight, UTSA has dropped two in a row. The 49ers almost pulled off a huge upset over ODU last time out, but after coming up just short and getting outscored 52-36 in the second half, I think Charlotte comes out flat here. Additionally note that the 49ers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Roadrunners are 4-1 ATS In their last five vs. teams with a losing SU record. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
01-24-19 | Oakland +5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oakland (8* BLACK-LABEL) Oakland comes in with a ton of momentum after two straight conference wins, most recently a 79-73 victory over Detroit on Saturday. Jaevin Cumberland was a stand out with 24 points. The IUPUI Jaguars look poised for an upset here in my opinion after losing two of their last three. Most recently the Jags fell 64-57 to Milwaukee this past weekend. The numbers/trends support the visiting side as well today, as note that Oakland is already 3-1 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less or pick, while IUPUI is 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. Grab the points, expect a battle. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
01-23-19 | East Carolina +20.5 v. Houston | Top | 50-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (10* TRADE-MARK) Am I suggesting that the 8-9 East Carolina Pirates are going to take down the 18-1 Houston Cougars on their home court?! Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight, leaving the back door open for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. ECU has struggled all season, but it does have a signature win at home over Cincinnati, which is significant in my opinion. Most recently ECU lost its third straight in an 85-74 setback at home to Temple. The Pirates won’t be lacking for motivation today anyways. Houston comes in off the 69-60 win over South Florida in its latest action, but note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. I’m grabbing all the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-62 Houston. | |||||||
01-23-19 | Cavs +16.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-123 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Of course I’m not predicting an outright upset, but I do definitely expect the Celtics come out flat here and even rest some of their starters vs. the lowly Cavs. Cleveland won’t be lacking for motivation today as it’s lost four straight and 16 of its last 17. Not surprisingly this is a “revenge” game as well for Cleveland after it fell 128-95 in the first meeting between the clubs back on November 30th. The Cavs are 12-10-1 ATS in their last 23 on the road. The C’s have had a lot of success at home this season, but note that they’re just 33-34 ATS in their last 77 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. Note that the Cavs have already dominated in this spot for bettors this year as well, going 10-3 ATS after failing to cover three of their last four vs. the spread. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-106 C’s. | |||||||
01-22-19 | Wolves -6 v. Suns | Top | 118-91 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) These teams played in Minnesota on Sunday night and the Wolves escaped with the 116-114 win. I believe that Minnesota will put the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one though. These clubs have now split two games this season. The Wolves average 111.6 PPG and they allow 112. The Suns come in reeling after four straight losses. Phoenix is just 11-13 ATS at home and it averages 106.3 PPG, while allowing 115. Additionally note that Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. teams with a losing home record, while Phoenix is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight when playing on one days rest. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Wolves. | |||||||
01-22-19 | Western Michigan +6.5 v. Ohio | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m expecting a battle until the end here. WMU comes in hungry at 6-12 overall, including 0-5 in league play. The Broncos have lost five straight, most recently getting rolled 79-48 by Bowling Green. Overall though WMU is averaging 71.5 PPG, led by Michael Flowers with 15.6 points, 4.7 boards and 3.6 assists per game. Defense has been the issue for the Broncos, allowing 74.2 PPG. But a date vs. Ohio is just what WMU needs to get back on track, as the Bobcats come in scuffling as well having lost two straight (75-52 setback to Toledo on Friday most recently.) Overall Ohio is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 71.9. I believe these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Ohio. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +8 | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Nebraska may win this game, but I’m expecting an all out war. The Huskers only losses have come on the road (plus against MSU at home). Rutgers comes in as the “hungrier” team here after three straight setbacks, most recently to Northwestern. The Huskers had their 20 game home win streak snapped last time out and I think they’re still collectively “caught up” on that one. Check out what head coach Tim Miles said recently: “There are no moral victories and I’m utterly mad and disappointed,” Miles admitted. “We can’t stick around and be too disappointed because we have Rutgers, who just beat a ranked team at home so we need to be ready to go.” Since beating Ohio State 64-61 on Jan. 9th the Scarlet Knights have lost three straight, but I expect them to put up a fight here in this favorable situation. Note as well that Nebraska is just 2-4 ATS already this year following a conference game, while Rutgers is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this season off a home loss vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Nebraska. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Kings +3 v. Nets | 94-123 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (8*) In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. After three straight wins, I think the Nets get caught looking past their non-conference opponent tonight. And that’s a mistake, as Sacramento comes to town having won four of its last five. Overall the Kings average 114 PPG, while allowing 115.1. Brooklyn is averaging 111.6 PPG and it’s allowing 112. Note though that the Kings are 11-4 ATS this year in non-conference games, while the Nets are only 3-7 ATS this year after covering three of their last four vs. the spread. I’m grabbing the points, but won’t be shocked if the visitors win outright. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Kings. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Mavs v. Bucks -11.5 | 106-116 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks (8*) I like the Bucks to control the pace of this one and to pull away for the comfortable ATS cover. Dallas enters off a deflating 111-99 loss in Indiana on Saturday, while Milwaukee comes in off a 118-108 road win over Orlando in its latest action. Dallas comes in having lost three straight. Overall it’s just 11-12 ATS on the road. The Mavs average 109.6 PPG and they allow 109.6 as well. The Bucks have won four straight and six of seven. Milwaukee averages 117.6 PPG and it allows 107.6. The Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, while Dallas is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. Additionally note that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in ten of 14 non-conference games this year, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last six off a road win of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 111-95 Bucks. | |||||||
01-21-19 | Bulls v. Cavs +2 | 104-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers. (8*) Two poor teams collide on MLK Day. The Bulls fell 117-103 at home to the Heat on Saturday, while the Cavs enter off a 124-102 road loss in Denver. Note though that this is a “double revenge” game for the Cavs as Chicago has taken both so far in the season series, including a 112-92 road victory in the latest on December 23rd. Chicago averages 101 pints per game and it allows 111.6. Cleveland averages 102.8 PPG and it allows 113.9. The double revenge factor comes into play here though for Cleveland and note that Chicago is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite, while the Cavs are 3-0 ATS this year revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Cavs. | |||||||
01-20-19 | Suns v. Wolves -10 | Top | 114-116 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* ATS BLOOD-BATH) No need to delve too deeply into this one, as I think the Suns will suffer a letdown here after their loss in Charlotte yesterday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Wolves after they fell 116-113 at home to the Spurs. Note as well that this is a “revenge” game for Minnesota after it fell 107-99 in Phoenix back on December 15th. The Suns average 106 PPG and they allow 114.5. The Wolves average 111.5 PPG and they allow 112. Minnesota though is 14-9 ATS at home and I fully expect it to make the most of this opportunity. Additionally note that the Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest. I’m laying the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Wolves. | |||||||
01-20-19 | Duquesne v. George Washington +2.5 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK) Duquesne comes in off a 74-68 road win over Richmond, but I think it’ll stumble here. George Washington managed a 59-56 road win over La Salle in its latest action and I believe it carries that momentum over here in front of the home town crowd. The Dukes though are just 1-2 on the road. Overall Duquesne averages 73.9 PPG and it allows 70.8. The Colonials are averaging only 63.7 points, while allowing 70.2, but I’ll point out that they’ve been “money in the bank” for bettors in this spot for quite some time, going 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a home underdog or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 GW. | |||||||
01-20-19 | Rams +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 150 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* PLAYOFF GAME OF YEAR) Both teams come in at 14-3. With a chance to avenge a 45-35 Week 9 matchup, I look for the Rams to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door. LA comes to town off a 30-22 win over a dangerous Cowboys team in the divisional round. Todd Gurley had 115 yards and a TD, while CJ Anderson had 123 rushing yards and two TD’s. The Rams’ offense has to be respected both on the ground and in the air (note that the Cowboys gave up 273 rushing yards after finishing with the No. 5 rushing defense.) The Saints on the other hand looked pretty shaky in their win over the Eagles last weekend, one which saw them come back from a 14-point first quarter deficit. Drew Brees was sharp with 301 yards and two TD’s. I think the “revenge” factor is real. LA shot itself in the foot with turnovers in that one, but with a chance to redeem itself and to punch it’s ticket to the “big game,” I do indeed fancy the visitors to pull of the upset here (that said, grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Rams. | |||||||
01-19-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State -4 | Top | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona State (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m expecting the home side to put the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for a convincing SU/ATS victory. Oregon enters off a 59-54 win on the road over Arizona and I believe it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. ASU enters off a 70-67 home win over Oregon State last time out. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well as the Ducks have won seven straight in the series, including a 76-68 home win in the most recent back on February 22nd. Oregon averages 72.5 PPG and it allows 64.2. ASU is averaging 79.2 PPG and it’s allowing 72.9. Oregon though is only 1-7 ATS in its last eight after allowing 60 points or less in two straight games, while ASU is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing a game as a home favorite. Lay the points and expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 ASU. | |||||||
01-19-19 | Lakers +7 v. Rockets | Top | 134-138 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Rockets come in off a loss to the lowly Nets and I think the improving Lakers will push the pace and keep this one interesting late. LeBron James remains out of the line-up, but LA has started to figure things out without The King, with four wins out of its last six. LA has won two straight and it comes in averaging 111.9 PPG and allowing 110.8. Houston averages 112 PPG and it allows 110. LA has done well in this spot for bettors of late though, going 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road underdog. Conversely note that the Rockets have struggled by going just 6-9 ATS after a non-conference game this year. Grab the points and don’t be shocked by the outright. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Rockets. | |||||||
01-19-19 | Rhode Island v. La Salle +5 | 78-67 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: La Salle (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) The La Salle Explorers come in hungry here as they look to break a three-game slide. Rhode Island has alternated wins and losses over its last nine games, but after defeating St. Bonaventure on Wednesday, I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. this hungry home side. La Salle almost broke through with a win last time out, but it eventually succumbed 59-56 to George Washington on Wednesday. Note though that the Explorers have posted at least ten steals in six games, which ranks second in the league. Note as well that Rhode Island is already just 5-6 ATS this year as a favorite and only 1-5 ATS in true road games, while La Salle is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close loss by three points or less to a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-70 La Salle. | |||||||
01-19-19 | NC-Wilmington +13 v. Northeastern | 71-88 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (9* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s revenge time for the 7-12 UNCW Seahawks, who would lose all three head-to-head match ups with the Huskies last year. The Seahawks come in with plenty of momentum as well after dispatching Drexel 97-83 at home, shooting 50 percent from the floor collectively. Overall the Seahawks average 77.0 PPG, while allowing 80.4. The Huskies come in complacent after two straight wins. Northeastern averages 75.2 PPG and it concedes 73.6. Note though that the Seahawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games after scoring 95 points or more in a victory in their last outing, while Northeastern is just 2-4 ATS in its last six home games following a three games or more SU unbeaten streak. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a war. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
01-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +6 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Warriors are starting to “hit their stride,” and the Clippers are starting to scuffle. LA enters off a 129-109 defeat at home to Utah, while the Warriors enter off a 147-140 win over New Orleans. The Clippers are the “hungrier” team though and they also play with the added incentive of “revenge” after falling 129-127 to the Warriors in Golden State back on December 23rd. DeMarcus Cousins makes his season debut tonight for the Warriors and it’s reported that he’ll be moved immediately into the starting the line-up. What will this do to the chemistry the defending champs are enjoying right now? Overall I think from a situational stand point that this one sets up fantastically for the home side. Note as well that GS is already just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite of six points or less, while LA is 7-1 ATS vs. the division and 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 point or more in. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 122-120 LA | |||||||
01-17-19 | 76ers v. Pacers -3 | Top | 120-96 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Pacers. | |||||||
01-17-19 | NC-Wilmington +12.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (10* MONEY-MAKER) Outright victory? Very doubtful. However, I think the hungry 7-11 UNCW Seahawks will keep this one interesting vs. the 15-3 Pride. Could anyone blame Hofstra coming in even a tiny bit complacent here after 12 straight wins? The Seahawks lost six straight, but since then they’ve won three of their last four and I think they can catch the home side a tiny bit complacent. The Seahawks average 77 PPG, while allow 80.4. The Pride average 81.9 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Clearly Hofstra is the better team, but the Seahawks won’t be rolling over and they come in looking much improved after a slow start as well. Additionally note that the Seahawks are already 4-1 ATS this year vs. conference opponents, while the Pride are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after two straight wins vs. conference rivals. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 83-75 Pride. | |||||||
01-16-19 | Jazz +2 v. Clippers | Top | 129-109 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Jazz enter off a solid 100-94 win at home over Detroit on Monday, while the Clippers look poised for another letdown here in my opinion after their 121-117 loss at home to the Pelicans on Monday. This is the first meeting between the clubs this season. Utah enters having won four straight and they’ll be eager to avoid a letdown here as they hit the road. The Jazz average 107.8 PPG and they allow 105. LA got out to an unpredictably fantastic start to the 2018/19 campaign, but I think clearly it’s now predictably starting to fall apart. The Clippers have lost three straight after the crummy loss to the Pelicans. LA averages 115.3 PPG, but it allows 114.3. Note as well that LA is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 100 points in its previous game, while the Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Jazz. | |||||||
01-16-19 | Utah State v. San Jose State +18.5 | Top | 81-63 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m clearly not calling for an outright victory, but I think that the lowly Spartans come in “under the radar” here. The Utah State Aggies have been alternating wins and losses in each of their last seven games after a 71-55 win over Wyoming last time out. Utah State averages 78.5 PPG an fit allows 65.3 San Jose State will be desperate to break a six game slide after falling 87-64 to Boise State last time out. The Spartans average 67 PPG and they allow 73. However take note that Utah State is just 4-5 ATS this year after a win by 15 points or more. Also note that SJ State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home underdog of 15.5 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-66 Utah State. | |||||||
01-15-19 | Warriors -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 142-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The 29-14 Warriors are on the road to face the 29-13 Nuggets and I believe that the defending champs will be out to send a message here. Both teams come in hot and on win streaks. Golden State averages 117.4 PPG and it allows 111.7. Denver averages just 110.4 PPG, while allowing only 105.5. Golden State plays with revenge here after losing to the Nuggets earlier in the year though (that was without Steph Curry in the line-up) and note that it’s 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less. Clearly Denver has exceeded all expectations to this point this year, but note that it’s a poor 4-10 ATS in its last 14 off a home no covers where the team won straight up as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Warriors. | |||||||
01-15-19 | Davidson v. St. Joe's +3.5 | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Joseph’s (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s desperation time for St. Joe’s, which is looking to break a four-game slide. Davidson though looks primed for a letdown after three straight wins in my opinion. St. Joe’s returns home focused and hungry after consecutive road losses to Duquesne and St. Bonaventure. Davidson has the three game win streak, but after going into the half with a lead vs. VSU last time out, the Wildcats nearly stumbled in the second. The Hawks fought tooth and nail on the road vs. the Dukes, but came up short in the 85-84 setback. Charlie Brown was a bright spot in a losing cause with 28 points, four boards, two assists and two blocks. I’ll point out as well that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS in true road games this year, while St. Joe’s is still 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of six points or less or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-69 St. Joes. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Oklahoma State has lost six straight in this series, but I expect that streak to end tonight. Baylor comes in off a 73-68 loss to Kansas. It was the first time the Bears played without forward Tristan Clark, who was lost to the season to injury. I think Baylor struggles again here without Clark in the line-up. The Cowboys though are moving in the opposite direction. After starting the conference schedule with two straight loss, OKS has won two straight. Note that OKS is 7-3 ATS in its last 12 vs. the conference, while Baylor is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six away from friendly confines. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Oklahoma State. | |||||||
01-14-19 | Celtics v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER) While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. The Celtics come off a 105-103 road loss in Orlando and I think it’ll stumble here as well against this vastly improved Nets side. And to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as Boston has won ten straight in the dries, including a 116-95 home rout in the most recent on January 7th. Boston averages 111.9 PPG and it allows 105.6. Brooklyn averages 110.7 PPG and it allows 111.5. Note though that Boston is already a poor 3-7 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less, while Brooklyn is already 17-10 ATS this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Nets. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Cavs +9.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Cavaliers have struggled without LeBron James in their line-up. No big surprise there though. Kevin Love played a few games and he’s been out with injury every since. There’s some talent left on the Cavs and while they won’t have to face James here, the remaining teammates will still want to try and send some sort of feeble message here. The Lakers though have also struggled without James in the line-up for the most part, as The King remains out with injury. The Cavs have struggled to put points on the board this year, but the Lakers have struggled to keep teams from scoring. Cleveland is 3-1 ATS this season off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, while LA is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-107 Lakers. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Drake v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Drake opened its non-conference schedule by going 12-2. The Bulldogs opened conference play with two straight losses, but they come in off an 82-70 win over Southern Illinois. Drake enters scoring 107.8 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 103.9 points per 100 possessions. However note that since conference play has started the defensive adjustments goes to 108.1 per 100 possessions. NIU has dropped two straight conference contests, so it clearly won’t be lacking motivation tonight in front of the home town crowd. Overall the Panthers are averaging 98.2 points per 100 possessions, while allowing just 102.3 points per 100 possessions. However, the offensive numbers are skewed as the Panthers play at one of the slowest paces in the nation, averaging just 65.6 possessions per game, utilizing a half court offense most of the time. Note that Drake is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road dog of six points or less or pick, while NIU is 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close road loss of three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 72-66 Northern Iowa. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Cowboys v. Rams -7 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 127 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* TRADE-MARK) The Rams stumbled a bit down the stretch, but their form throughout the rest of the season was more than enough to earn them a first round bye. With a week off to heal up and prepare, Rams’ RB Todd Gurley will be given the green light here. And that’s great news for Rams’ QB Jared Goff and the rest of the high-flying LA offense. Dallas improved dramatically on both sides of the ball as the season wore on, but after last week’s gruelling home win over the Seahawks, I believe that the Cowboys finally run out of gas here. The Cowboys were in risk of missing the playoffs in Week 10, but a few key trades, combined with an improved run game from Ezekiel Elliot, allowed Dallas’ QB Dak Prescott to recover after a rough start to the 2018/19 campaign. The Cowboys have been playing at an extremely high level for weeks now, but I have a hard time seeing them keeping pace with the Rams down the stretch. Note that Dallas is still just 3-4 ATS on the road this year, while LA is 2-0 ATS in its last two when playing with two weeks of rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Rams. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Hofstra v. Elon +12 | Top | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m not predicting that the 5-13 Elon Phoenix will take this one outright over the 14-3 Hofstra Pride, but I do think that the hungry home side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Hofstra’s won 11 games in a row and complacency has to be setting in at this point. The Pride were pushed to the breaking point in their last game as well, needing triple OT to knock off William & Mary on Thursday. The Phoenix on the other hand enter off three straight losses, most recently to Northeastern. I think Elon is clearly the “hungrier” team in this matchup. Hofstra comes in exhausted. Note as well that the Pride are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by six points or less, while Elon is 12-5 ATS in is last 17 after allowing 80 points or more in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-70 Hofstra. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the Heat will find a way to protect home court and I look for them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Memphis enters off a highly satisfying 96-86 home win over San Antonio and I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in this difficult non-conference road venue. Miami on the other hand broke a slide with a convincing 115-99 home win over the Celtics and I think the home side keeps the foot on the gas here. Miami beat Memphis 100-97 on the road back in early December, but I’m expecting a much bigger blowout here. The Grizz average only 100.9 PPG, while allowing 102.5. The Heat average 106.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Grizz are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. the East, while Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS victory. T.M. Prediction: 106-90 Heat. | |||||||
01-11-19 | Hornets +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 96-127 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER). After losing six of their last nine, we don’t have to question the resolve or focus of the Hornets tonight. Overall Charlotte is averaging 112.9 PPG and allowing 112.4. Portland comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having won seven of its last ten. The Blazers are averaging 111.5 PPG and they’re allowing 110. Suffice it to say, despite their overall recent form, I think these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. And their season long numbers support that. I’ll also argue that the the Hornets are the much “hungrier” team between the two considering their recent form. Additionally note that Charlotte is already 3-1 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games, while Portland is just 2-3 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I think the home side leaves the back door open. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-111 Blazers. | |||||||
01-11-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m banking on a minor upset here. This one features two of the best players in the country in Wisconsin’s Ethan Happ and Purdue’s Carsen Edwards. But Purdue won’t be lacking motivation and focus tonight after starting the conference part of its portion with a fourth straight road loss, most recently falling 77-59 at sixth-ranked MSU on Tuesday. The Badgers broke a two-game slide with a 71-52 win over Penn State on Sunday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. Additionally note that Purdue is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 after having won two of its last three games, while Wisconsin is just 1-9 ATS in its last ten after playing a game as a road favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Boilermakers. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat +1 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) There’s no need to over think this one in my opinion. The Celtics have been playing a lot better, but after a big home win over the Pacers (who were playing the second game of a back to back after a big win in the first), I believe the visitors will suffer a classic “letdown” here. Miami won’t be lacking for motivation here either after a lacklustre 103-99 home loss to the Nuggets. Note that the C’s are just 2-4 in the second game of a back-to-back scenario already this year, averaging just 105 points in those contests. Boston also allows 109.5 PPG in those games (normally they average 111.9 on the season and allow 105.3). Additionally note that Boston is just 3-6 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Miami is 4-2 ATS this season as a home dog of six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Heat. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Charlotte +9 v. Florida International | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte (8*) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely think its the perfect spot to pull the trigger on this hungry 3-10 49ers team. Charlotte’s been poor offensively to this point, averaging only 59.4 PPG. The 49ers though have been decent defensively, allowing 69.4. Clearly that’s not a recipe of long-term success, but after five straight losses, we don’t have to question Charlotte’s focus tonight. FIU is 10-5, but a letdown here looks inevitable to me after a blowout loss to UAB last time out. The Golden Panthers have been fantastic offensively, averaging 90.7 PPG, but they’ve had to be, as they’ve been atrocious defensively in allowing 81.9 PPG. Charlotte benefits here and note that it’s already 2-0 ATS this season following a home loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-75 FIU. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Drexel +14 v. College of Charleston | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Drexel (8*) Drexel is 7-10 and College of Charleston is 13-3. I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think the Cougars get caught looking past the lowly, but hungry Dragons. COC looks susceptible here after a loss to James Madison last time out. Drexel averages 78.6 PPG and it allows 79. Clearly the margin of error is thing most nights for the Dragons. Charleston averages 73.3 PPG and it allows 66.6. Note though that COC is just 0-3-1 ATS in its last four at home and only 1-3-1 ATS in its last five home games following three or more straight road contests, while Drexel is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. This spread is too large. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-73 COC. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Delaware v. NC-Wilmington -3.5 | 82-69 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (8*) The UNC Wilmington Seahawks have won two straight and I think they carry that momentum over here. Delaware has been playing well also, as it comes in having won three straight. The Blue Hens average 73 PPG and they allow 71.2. The Seahawks average 76.3 PPG and they allow 80.1. But those numbers are skewed for UNC Wilmington after a tough non-conference start in my opinion. Note as well that Delaware is 0-5 ATS in its last five after successfully covering the spread in three or more straight games, while UNC Wilmington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after playing a game as the underdog. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UNC Wilmington. | |||||||
01-09-19 | Rhode Island v. Richmond +1 | Top | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Rhode Island looks primed for another letdown here in my opinion after it’s 60-53 road loss to Saint Louis in its previous action. Richmond is looking to bounce back as well after a poor 72-48 loss to Dayton on Sunday. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Spiders after the Rams posted the 85-67 home win in the lone meeting last year. Rhode Island is just 1-3 on the road. The Rams average 70.1 PPG and they allow 65.2. Richmond returns home after two straight on the road and I think it’ll make the most of friendly confines. The Spiders are 4-4 at home and they average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.1. Note though that the Rams are already just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this season and 0-5 ATS on the road, while Richmond is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Richmond. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Hawks +14.5 v. Raptors | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER) I’m not predicting an outright victory, but I think that the hungry visiting side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. ATL has been playing better of late, snapping a three-game slide with a convincing 106-82 destruction of the Heat. I think the Hawks carry that momentum over here. Toronto comes in off a satisfying 121-105 home win over Indiana on Sunday. Not surprisingly this is a “revenge” game for the Hawks, who have lost five straight in the series, including the first one this year 124-108 on November 21st. Overall ATL averages 109.1 PPG, while allowing 117.6. Toronto though is just 9-11 ATS at home. The Raptors average 113.4 PPG and they allow 108. The Hawks though are already 6-2 ATS this season trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Toronto. | |||||||
01-08-19 | Brown v. Canisius +1.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) After four straight wins, I think that the Brown Bears suffer a predictable letdown here. The Golden Griffins come in on top form as well though, having won back to back games, most recently a come from behind 70-66 victory over Siena on Saturday. Clearly these teams are evenly matched, a sentiment shared by the bookmakers. But the difference comes in the trends/numbers today, as note that Canisius is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off an upset win as a road dog, while Brown is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after four or more SU wins. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Canisius. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Magic v. Kings -5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) This is a tough spot for Orlando and I think it’ll predictably stumble here. After falling at Minnesota, the Magic collapsed and lost last night to the Clippers as well. Sacramento on the other hand was competitive in a 127-123 home loss to Golden State on Saturday. If recent history is any precedence, then the Kings have to be loving their chances today as they easily handled the Magic in Orlando 107-99 earlier in the year. Overall the Magic average 103.6 PPG, while allowing 107.2. The Kings are averaging 115.2 PPG, and they’re allowing 117. Sacramento though is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records, while Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. T.M. Prediction: 117-105 Sacramento. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 132 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* TRADE-MARK) The two best teams in the country meet for a fourth straight year in the National Championship Game. Alabama leads the all time series 14-4 and it’s taken 14 of the last 15 in the series. That includes a 24-6 win in last year’s Sugar Bowl. To say the Tigers play with revenge would be an understatement obviously. But now Clemson has both the offense and defense to steal this one outright. The Tigers only allow 12.6 PPG (which is good because the Tide are second in the country in scoring with 47.7 PPG). The Tide defense looked pretty average in its 45-35 win over Oklahoma last week and I think that Tigers’ freshman QB Trevor Lawrence, who had 327 passing yards with three TD’s and no INT’s will have his opportunities today as well. Note as well that the Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine bowl games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-29 Clemson. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Nets v. Bulls +2 | Top | 117-100 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nets have been better than advertised this year, but I think they stumble here after their satisfying 109-100 road win over memphis. Chicago on the other hand will be out to avenge a 96-93 loss to the Nets here on December 19th, while also looking to build off its quality 119-116 OT home loss to Indiana on Friday. Brooklyn is playing over its head, as it averages 111 PPG, while allowing 111.7. Those are a lot better than Chicago’s numbers, but I think the overall situation favors the improving and revenge minded home side. Note as well that Brooklyn is already just 1-5 ATS this year after two consecutive non-conference contests, while Chicago is already 4-1 ATS this season after a closs home loss by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 108-100 Bulls. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -108 | 146 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens (10* MONEY-MAKER) I firmly believe that “home field” will prove to be the difference maker for dynamic rookie QB LaMar Jackson and the surging Ravens. The injury to Melvin Gordon III is serious for LA. He’s expected to suit up now in this one, but clearly his health has to be called into question. With the Ravens being able to focus more on Philip Rivers himself, I think the home side’s league leading defense is poised for a massive day. Jackson is the “X-Factor” on this selection, but I’ll point out as well that the Ravens are already 4-1 ATS this season following a home win. I’m banking on a blowout, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Ravens. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Illinois v. Northwestern -8 | Top | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Illini have lost three straight and I think they’ll have difficulty here as well. Northwestern has split its last four games and it’ll be eager to return to form after falling at MSU last time out. Both teams are searching for their first conference victory, which makes home floor advantage this evening even that much more important. The Wildcats three conference losses though come against teams which still all have perfect conference records. Illinois’ offense simply won’t be able to keep pace here, especially considering that the Wildcats allow just 63.0 PPG, which ranks 28th in the country. Additionally note that NW is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with losing records, while Illinois is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Northwestern. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -2.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -105 | 129 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys (10* GAME OF MONTH) Homefield advantage will prove crucial here in my estimation. The Hawks closed out their regular season with a harder than expected 27-24 hoe win over the Cardinals on Sunday, while Dallas rallied for an impressive 36-35 road win over New York last weekend. Note though that this is an “in season revenge game” for the Cowboys after they fell 24-13 in the Pacific Northwest back on September 23rd. Both teams feature dynamic play-making QB’s. The Hawks have Russell Wilson, who has benefited from the league’s No. 1 run game and a better than expected defense, while Dallas has Dak Prescott, who has gotten progressively better as the season has worn on and who also has plenty of weapons and talent helping on both sides of the ball. I think the revenge factor though, combined with the home field advantage in this crucial early wildcard scenario will be the difference for Dallas. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Cowboys. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Hornets +9.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-123 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver has won four in a row. The Hornets come in off perhaps their worst loss ever in a 122-84 setback at home to the Mavs. There’s no question in my mind which of these two teams is the more motivated. Charlotte’s had plenty of success in this matchup as well, having won four of the last five inlacing the first matchup at home 113-107 back on December 7th. Overall thought these teams are evenly matched, as the Hornets average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4, while Denver averages 110.3 PPG, while allowing 105.1. Additionally note that Charlotte is 9-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Denver is already just 4-6 ATS this season after having won four out of its last five games. I’m expecting a “nail biter,” so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Hornets. | |||||||
01-05-19 | College of Charleston v. James Madison +8.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: James Madison (10* TRADE-MARK) After nine straight wins, I think College of Charleston comes in complacent. And after four straight losses, I expect James Madison to come in focused and desperate. The outright upset isn’t out of the question, but in the end I’m going to grab the points. The Cougars average 74.3 PPG and they allow 66.5, while the Dukes average 70.1 points, while allowing 71.6. COC though is just 1-2 ATS this year as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range and just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off a win by ten points or more vs. a conference rival, while JM is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 COC. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit +4.5 | 95-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Northern Kentucky enters off a 76-74 road loss to Oakland, while Detroit posted a 79-58 home win over Wright State on Thursday. The Titans play with double revenge here after the Norse took both meetings last year. Northern Kentucky is just 3-3 on the road and it averages 78.3 points, while allowing 66.1. Detroit is averaging 70 points per game, while allowing 74.9. Clearly that’s not a recipe for long-term success, but a date for the Norse, who are just 1-5 ATS on the road and 2-3 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite off the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Additionally note that Detroit is already 5-0 ATS home this year and 3-0 ATS vs. conference opponents. T.M. Prediction: 72-70 Detroit. | |||||||
01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think home court advantage will prove to be the difference maker in this one. This is the first time these teams have played this season, but last year the Blazers won all four match ups. OKC enters off a 107-100 road win over a LeBron James-less Lakers team. Russell Westbrook and Paul George had big games, but I think they’ll struggle in this difficult road venue vs. this vastly deeper and more skilled opponent. Portland comes in on top form as well, as it enters having won two straight and seven of its last ten overall. Additionally note that OKC is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600, while Portland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 vs. teams with a win percentage above .600. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Blazers. | |||||||
01-04-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Illinois-Chicago -4 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The IUPUI Jaguars come in off a 72-64 loss vs. Wright State on Sunday, while the Illinois Chicago Flames fell 73-58 vs. Northern Kentucky in their most recent action. Two teams hungry for a bounce back performance collide, but I think the home floor advantage will prove pivotal in this particular matchup. UIC has to be feeling confident here, as it took both meetings over IUPUI last year. The Jags have lost four straight and they’re 0-2 in conference play. Overall IUPUI averages 78.3 PPG and it allows 73.7. The Flames average 76.3 PPG and they allow 77.9. They have however won six of their last seven at home. Additionally note that IUPUI is just 22-50-1 ATS in its last 73 vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 Illinois Chicago. | |||||||
01-03-19 | Western Kentucky v. Charlotte +9 | Top | 68-50 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte (10* TRADE-MARK) WKU comes in complacent herein my opinion after back-to-back victories, including an upset 83-76 victory over Wisconsin last time out. Overall WKU averages 73.5 PPG . Charlotte only averages 58 PPG, but it’ll be desperate here to break a three-game slide after a 68-53 loss to Colorado last time out. Jon Davis was a bright spot in the setback with 25 points. Note that WKU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records, while the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six in this series. I like the “hungry” home side to keep it competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-65 ‘Toppers. | |||||||
01-03-19 | Penn State +12 v. Michigan | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (8* MONEY-MAKER) I think the 7-6 Penn State Nittany Lions can comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I believe to be an ample amount of points afforded to them here. The Wolverines are 13-0 and I think they’ll get caught a tiny bit complacent here. Note that according to the KemPom NCAAB rankings, Michigan’s non-conference schedule was ranked as one of the weakest in the country, No. 308 in terms of strength of schedule. The Nittany Lions only average 105.9 PPG per 100 possessions, but they more than make up for in the defensive end, allowing only 92.7 points per 100 possessions. Michigan is scoring 112.8 points per 100 possessions, and they’re also one of the best on the defensive end. But note that Penn State is 4-0 ATS in its last four as a road underdog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while Michigan is already only 2-6 ATS at home this year. I’m banking on a competitive affair. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 Wolverines. | |||||||
01-02-19 | Thunder -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers are without LeBron James tonight and I think that Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC comes in off a blowout win over the Mavericks, as Westbrook went off for 32 points, 11 boards, 11 assists and four steals. George had 22 points, four boards and four steals. The Lakers come in off a spirited win at home over the Kings, but with the “step up” in competition, I expect a “step back” for the “rudder-less” home side. Note as well that LA is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five when playing on two days rest, while OKC is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after a SU win of more than ten points. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Thunder. | |||||||
01-02-19 | Tulane +20.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 61-93 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulane (10 BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT). Outright upset? Of course not. I just think that the 11-2 Bearcats will leave the door open just wide enough for the hungry 4-8 Green Wave to sneak in through down the stretch. Tulane enters off a 67-59 loss to Alabama A&M, while Cincinnati posted a 77-56 home win over South Carolina in its latest victory. But with conference play up next, I think the Bearcats will indeed get caught looking past the Green Wave today. Overall Tulane averages 68.8 PPG and it allows 73.2, while the Bearcats average 74 PPG, while allowing only 58. Tulane though is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more and 5-2 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite, while Cincinnati is already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 18.5 to 24 points range. T.M. Prediction: 70-62 Bearcats. | |||||||
01-01-19 | CS-Fullerton +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cal State Fullerton (10* NON-CONF DOG OF YEAR) I think the Cal State Fullerton Titans sneak comfortably in through the back door down the stretch. Cal State broke a four-game slide with a win over Portland last time out. Washington is 8-4 on the year, but the Huskies have been off since December 21st, so I believe that “rest” will in fact lead to be a bit of “rust” here. Clearly on paper the Huskies are the better team, but I think the situation favors the visitors here as the home side gets caught looking ahead to conference play. Additionally note that Cal State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a home win by ten points or more, while Washington is already only 3-5 ATS as a favorite this year. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 Washington. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Texas +13.5 v. Georgia | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas (10* GAME OF MONTH) Texas is 9-4 and it’s thrilled to be back in a New Years Day 6 game for the first time since 2014. The Bulldogs though are once again devastated after their loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship game. The Longhorns fell 39-27 to Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game, but QB Sam Ehlinger was a bright spot with 349 passing yards and two TD’s, along with two more rushing scores as well. Georgia is led by QB Jake room, who had 2,537 passing yards and a 27/5 TD:INT, but note that the Bulldogs are still just 2-3 ATS in their last five non-conference games. The Longhorns on the other hand a 4-0 ATS in their last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Georgia. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* GAME OF WEEK) Utah enters off a 129-97 win over the Knicks on Saturday, while the Raptors held on for a 95-89 win at home over the Bulls on Sunday. Note that Toronto has won five of the last six in this series, including a 124-111 road victory in the first meeting this year in early November. The Jazz are great at home, but they’re just 9-11-1 ATS on the road. Overall the Jazz average 107.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Raptors are 11-7 ATS at home and they average 112.9 PPG and they allow 107.2. Additionally note that Utah is just 1-5 ATS already this year after covering four or five out of its last six games, while Toronto is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this season after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Despite Kyle Lowry sitting, I think the Raptors come in as the more motivated team here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Toronto. | |||||||
12-31-18 | NC State +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -129 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC State (10* TRADE-MARK) In a game which I think’ll be decided by whichever of these talented schools has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend to grab the points. NC State comes in on top form with three straight wins. Texas A&M also won its final three games of the year. Both teams will be missing a few players due to the draft. NC State will be leaning on QB Ryan Finley, who had 3,789 passing yards and 24 passing TD’s. The A&M secondary was terrible, allowing 262.7 YPG through the air. The Aggies will in fact be down some key players on the defensive side of the ball, including LB Otaro Alaka and safety Donovan Wilson. Note as well that the Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range. As mentioned off the top, this one has “war” written all over it. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Aggies. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Northern Colorado v. Portland State +3.5 | Top | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I smell a minor upset on Monday night. Northern Colorado comes in at 7-5, but it also enters having lost four of its last five games. The Bears are averaging 74.9 PPG and they’re allowing 76.9. Portland State is just 5-6 and it comes in as the hungrier side after losing three straight. Overall the Vikings are averaging 68.2 points and allowing 78.4. Northern Colorado though is a horrible 1-3 ATS this year already after playing a game as a road favorite, while Portland State is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog or pick. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Portland State. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) In all honesty, I think the 6-6 Hokies would admit themselves that they shouldn’t be in this bowl vs. the 10-2 Bearcats. Cincinnati got smashed by UCF on November 17th, but it would close its season with a resounding 56-6 thumping of East Carolina. Bearcats’ QB Desmond Ridder has 2,359 passing yards and a 19/5 TD:INT. Cincinnati is especially potent in the run game, averaging 238.1 YPG. But the Bearcats are best on the defensive side of the ball, ranked seventh in the nation by allowing only 16.1 PPG. VT has Ryan Willis under center and he finished with 2,497 yards with a 22/8 TD:INT. But note that the Bearcats are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, while VT is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on field turf. BLOWOUT! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-19 Cincinnati. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Raiders v. Chiefs -13.5 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 78 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs (10* BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR) I think the Raiders simply go through the motions today after posting an emotional 27-14 home win over the Broncos on Monday Night Football. It was likely the team’s final game in Oakland and clearly the Raiders were riding a wave of emotion. The Chiefs on the other hand will be eager to get back into the winners circle after their 38-31 loss to the Hawks last week. The Raiders average 18.9 PPG and they allow 28.8. The Chiefs average 35.3 PPG and they allow 27.9. KC has in fact lost two straight and I think Patrick Mahomes and company will be risking life and limb tonight to try and reverse that slide before the Playoffs. Note as well that the Raiders are just 5-8 ATS this year as an underdog, while KC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 43-10 Chiefs. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Eagles v. Redskins +7 | 24-0 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Redskins (8* UNDERDOG SUPER ROCKER) The Eagles have defied the odds to this point and pushed their luck to the brink. But now Philadelphia must win this game and have Minnesota lose at home to the Bears to get a wild card invitation. Philadelphia has looked great with backup QB Nick Foles under center, but Washington won’t be going down without a fight despite losing 25-16 in Tennessee last weekend. The Redskins were hit by the injury bug early this year and they were never able to recover. But note that the Eagles are a terrible 1-3 ATS already this season off a home victory, while Washington is already 4-1 ATS this season as a home underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Eagles. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Oakland v. Youngstown State +4 | Top | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Youngstown State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Grizzlies come to town off a satisfying 89-77 road win over Cleveland State, while the Penguins come in off a disappointing 78-66 loss to Detroit on Friday. Note that home floor advantage was crucial between these teams last year, with each winning on its own floor. Oakland averages 78.1 PPG and it allows 80.4. Youngstown State is averaging 75.6 PPG and it’s allowing 81.4. Oakland though is just 14-24 ATS in its last 38 following a conference game, while Youngstown State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after having lost eight or more of its last ten games. I think the “hungrier” team gets it done. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Penguins. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants -6 | Top | 36-35 | Loss | -105 | 75 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Giants (10* SHOCKER OF THE YEAR) Odell Beckham Jr. won’t be playing in this final Giants home game, but he wasn’t in the line-up either in last week’s 28-27 loss in Indianapolis. Eli Manning was competitive and he plays with revenge here as well after the Cowboys posted the 20-13 home win back in Week 2. But Dallas has already clinched its playoff spot and a win or a loss means nothing. And that means that Manning has one last chance to impress the New York faithful before perhaps calling it a career (or the team parts ways.) Dallas is expected to rest both QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliot and with nothing to play for whatsoever this week, I look for the visitors to simply “go through the motions.” Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-13 Giants. | |||||||
12-30-18 | Panthers v. Saints -8 | 33-14 | Loss | -104 | 75 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Saints (8* MONEY-MAKER). Carolina lost 24-10 to Atlanta last week, while New Orleans posted a 31-28 home win over Pittsburgh. Last month the Saints posted a 12-9 road win in Carolina, but I’m expecting a much bigger beatdown this time around. The Panthers have lost seven straight and they’ve been eliminated from playoff contention. Carolina shutdown QB Cam Newton. The Saints have a bye and home field advantage throughout the playoffs, but they won’t want to take the foot off the gas quite yet. While Drew Brees and many of the offensive starters will be sitting, the home side will still be out to finish up strong. I’m banking on this happening. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-14 Saints. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |