Super Bowl 51 – The Numbers Just Don’t Add Up
The projected total for Super Bowl 51 is currently sitting at 58.5 (a record high). This comes after the NFC Championship game between the Packers and the Falcons closed with a playoff record high total of 59.5 (one point higher). That game lived up to expectations, with Atlanta winning by a score of 44-21. Eight different players scored touchdowns in that game, and plenty of money was made by bettors who play the prop market.
Despite expectations of record scoring, the bookmakers failed to adjust the prices for individual players to score touchdowns, and offered low totals on receptions and total yards for receivers. I wrote a couple of articles, detailing what I felt was a “Big Mistake” by bookmakers. In one of those articles I listed my top nine players to score touchdowns, and seven of those players ended up finding “pay dirt”, which would have been quite profitable considering five of those players were paying out as underdogs.
It doesn’t look like the books have made any adjustments for the Super Bowl, certainly not when it comes to individual players to score touchdowns. Lets have a look at the top players from each team:
1: Julio Jones -$134 (4 TDs last 4 games)
Jones had nine catches for 180 yards and two TDs in the NFC Championship game. He’s been unstoppable when healthy, no matter who’s covering him. He did get the better of Seattle’s Richard Sherman twice this year.
2: Devonta Freeman -$134 (6 TDs last 5 games)
Freeman is not your typical running back, and he does have to split the workload with Coleman. He scored eight rushing TDs in his final eight games of the regular season.
3: LeGarrette Blount -$125 (18 TDs this season)
Blount had an NFL best 18 rushing TDs during the regular season.
4: Julian Edelman -$105 (2 TDs last 3 games)
Edelman is coming off three straight 100+ yard games.
5: Tevin Coleman +$137 (6 TDs last 6 games)
Coleman has been getting almost as many carries as Freeman the last few weeks, and he’s been just as productive.
6: Dion Lewis +$137 (3 TDs last 2 games)
He scored three TDs in the win over the Texans a few weeks ago, including a kick return for a TD.
7: Mohamed Sanu +$175 (3 TDs last 3 games)
If the Patriots decide to double Jones, Sanu could have a big game. He would also be the top WR if Jones gets injured (as he often does).
8: Chris Hogan +$175 (2 TDs last game)
Hogan doesn’t get as many targets as most guys, but he’s often involved in big plays. He had four catches for 95 yards against the Texans. Then he broke out with nine catches for 180 yards and two TDs in the win over Pittsburgh.
While the odds are better than they should be for all of these players, I have narrowed it down to just five. If you want to get more detailed information on my player prop bets, you can signup for my newsletter @ www.JesseSchule.com (100% FREE).
Check out the Iceman's Premium Picks
Jesse Schule
HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF... +$36,190 All Top Rated Premium Picks Since 1/1/17. +$62,690 All Top Rated Premium Picks Since 1/1/16. +$67,330 All Top Rated Premium Picks Since 1/1/15.
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Top NCAA-B Sides (+4610) 279-205 L484 58%
Top Basketball Picks (+4188) 435-351 L786 55%
Top All Sports Picks (+4014) 900-728 L1628 55%
Football Picks (+3970) 752-597 L1349 56%
NBA Totals (+3769) 232-180 L412 56%
NCAA-F Picks (+3619) 366-280 L646 57%
MLB Run Lines (+3286) 330-211 L541 61%
Soccer Sides (+2057) 79-46 L125 63%
NFL Sides (+1717) 89-58 L147 61%
CFL Picks (+1394) 63-42 L105 60%
Top NHL Money Lines (+1096) 80-53 L133 60%
Top NFLX Picks (+533) 19-11 L30 63%
Top Tennis Sides (+100) 1-0 L1 100%
Short-Term Subscription Options
Get All The Iceman's plays with All Sports for one day - Only $88.
SPECIAL OFFER THIS WEEKEND ONLY!
From Now Until Midnight, Get ALL The Iceman's Premium Picks For The Entire Weekend (Fri-Mon) For ONLY $99. Exclusively
HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF...
+$29,340 with All 10* Premium Picks since 1/1/17.
+$55,840 with All 10* Premium Picks since 1/1/16.
+$60,480 with All 10* Premium Picks since 1/1/15.
*This subscription currently includes 6 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
ALL SPORTS FOR 2 WEEKS FOR ALMOST HALF PRICE!
*This subscription currently includes 7 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Long-Term Subscription Options
If you're serious about making money in this business, then there is no doubt that a LONG TERM subscription is the way to go. With a monthly ALL SPORTS package you will get EVERY SINGLE play for the entire month, at a cost of just over $16 per day. There's no better time to climb aboard Schule's GRAVY TRAIN than right now! He's ranked in the Top 3 on this site with college basketball ALL TIME!
*This subscription currently includes 7 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
THIS OFFER IS AVAILABLE ONLY UPON THE ICEMAN'S WRITTEN APPROVAL.
*This subscription currently includes 7 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
You'll learn how the pros make a living via sports betting with EVERY PLAY released over the next 365 days. We are so sure we'll profit that we GUARANTEE it!
*This subscription currently includes 7 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
PULVERIZING THE PIGSKIN ~ 80% WINNERS CFL 2015!
He's recognized as one of the sharpest football handicappers on the planet, and his abilities were on full display last season (11-3 OVERALL). Subscribe to all his 2018 season plays RIGHT NOW ... and you too could start PULVERIZING THE PIGSKIN!
**Top 10 CFB handicapper in 2013**
This subscription includes EVERY CFB PREMIUM PICK I release through the College Football Playoff! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
This subscription includes EVERY MLB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the World Series! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 9* play on Cleveland to win.
The Browns offense struggled in Week 1 at home against the Titans, but part of the problem was that they were penalized 18 times for 182 yards. The pressure is on as they get set to take on the Jets on Monday Night Football, and this looks like a get right game for Cleveland. Sam Darnold is out and Le'Veon Bell is questionable, but the Jets injuries on defense might be even more significant. C.J. Mosely and Quinnen Williams will both be out for tonight's game, and the Bills really moved the ball in the second half last week after Mosely left. This should be good news for Nick Chubb, who ran for 75 yards on 17 carries in Week 1. I expect this game to be over at halftime, and that should mean a healthy workload for Chubb in the second half.
Take CLE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.
The last time these two teams played, West Ham won by a score of 3-1. The Hammers are coming off three consecutive wins, scoring seven goals in those matches. Aston Villa scored twice in a home win over Everton in their last match at Villa Park, and given the history between these two teams I think it's unlikely that either side will post a clean sheet.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Dave Price | $870 |
| Sean Higgs | $783 |
| Doc's Sports | $638 |
| Big Al McMordie | $604 |
| Rocky Atkinson | $581 |
| Sean Murphy | $533 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $528 |
| Mike Lundin | $442 |
| Stephen Nover | $415 |
| Jim Feist | $272 |
FireFan
Recent Articles
