Nick Parsons Premium Picks

This is a MID-MAJOR MAULING on UMass Lowell.

The River Hawks are 1-2 SU, but they've played some decent teams, including UConn, a game they lost 110-47.

They beat Columbia 89-62 here back in 2022. The Lions are 1-1, most recently falling 89-62 to UConn.

The Lions are big favs at home here, and while I'm not predicting an outright win or anything, I do think the River Hawks matchup well here.

With Boston coming to town this weekend, I think the home side also gets caught looking ahead and takes the foot off the gas in the second half.

Look for, at the very least, a very solid ATS cover for UMASS LOWELL on Thursday night.

Good luck, NP

This is a TOTAL BK on the UNDER Hawks/Jazz.

Both teams are coming off high-scoring games, but I think this Thursday night matchup sets up to be much more defensive.

The Jazz are coming off a blowout win over Indiana by a score of 152-128, and I think Atlanta will be very aware of that.

The Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season right now, off three straight wins, with 102 points being the most points allowed over those three games.

Expect a slower overall pace to also contribute to this being a lower-scoring UNDER once it's all said and done.

Good luck, NP

This is a FREE PLAY on the Florida Panthers.

I think the defending champs are well worth the price of admission on Thursday night in this matchup.

Washington is 8-7-1 overall, including 6-2 on the road, while Florida is 8-7-1 overall as well, including 5-1-1 at home.

The Panthers return home from a difficult West Coast road trip by going 2-2 and finishing with a 3-2 victory at Vegas on Tuesday.

Washington is playing the final game of a four-game road trip, losing at Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay, before managing a 4-1 victory at Carolina as a +140 underdog last time out. But with a night off, before three straight at home, I think the visitors have another letdown here in this difficult road venue.

Logan Thompson is expected in net for the visitors, and he's 7-4 with a 1.56 goals against average, while the home side counters with Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 8-4 with a 2.68 GAA.

It's the first game of the year between the clubs, but one that I feel definitely favors the home side. Florida returns home after a win and is looking to kick off its home stand with a win, while Washington comes in flat on the final game of a four-game trip, but with a favorable home stretch to look forward to.

Consider the PANTHERS on Thursday night.

Good luck, NP

This is a 5% AFC EAST TOY on the UNDER Jets/Patriots.

Both teams have been playing several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect Thursday's contest to be much more defensive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

This is a really low number, but not nearly low enough in my estimation.

The Jets are 2-7 overall, including just 1-2 on the road, while New England is 8-2 overall, including 3-2 at home.

New England comes in having won seven straight, most recently pulling away for a 28-23 win at Tampa Bay as a 2.5-point favorite last week.

With an extremely favorable schedule to finish the season, Drake Maye and the Patriots are back in the driver's seat right now in the AFC East.

The 6-3 Buffalo Bills may have something to say about it before the season ends, but right now, things are looking extremely bright for New England's future.

The Jets are playing their best football of the season after back-to-back wins over the lowly Bengals and Browns. After beating Cincinnati 39-38 in a crazy come-from-behind performance, the Jets' defense looked a lot better in last week's 27-20 win over Cleveland.

But in their last two victories here, the Patriots have allowed a total of just 36 points.

I think it's interesting to note as well that the Patriots come into Week 11 as the biggest favorite on the board.

So, clearly, New England is the better team in this fight, and because they're at home, I believe they'll dictate the tempo. No need to run up the score on this putrid "on again, off again" Jets offense, though, as the game plan will be to escape this favorable game without any major injuries on the short week.

Perhaps surprisingly, though, the Jets are ahead of the Patriots this year as far as yards per play allowed and in red-zone defense.

The Jets are also a lot better against the pass, which works against Maye here.

But the Patriots' secondary also catches a break here, facing Justin Fields and his inept passing attack.

New England's weakness this year has surprisingly been on the defensive side, but I feel this is a great opportunity to "pad their stats" and get back on track on that side of the ball.

I look for field position and the men in the trenches to decide this one on Thursday night, and because of that, I'm on the UNDER.

Good luck, NP