03-09-10 |
Duquesne v. St Bonaventure OVER 151 | Top | 71-83 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Take a look at Duquesne's recent games and you will say that no one in Division One basketball is running and gunning anymore than the Dukes are of late. Their recent game with St. Bonnie hit 172 and their game with Fordham last week hit 211 points. I think the shots will come early and often in this one. Even without a great shooting night I think this over hits fairly easily. Take the over! |
03-08-10 |
Atlanta Hawks v. New York Knicks OVER 209.5 | | 98-99 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The New York Knicks have sunk to all new low in the past few days by getting crushed at home by the Nets. The Knicks have never played much defense, and they are doing even less of it in the last few days. The Hawks offense seems to be getting back on track, and a date with the Knicks should help them a whole lot. Expect some very easy shots for both teams here. Take the over. |
03-08-10 |
Fairfield v. Siena OVER 138 | | 65-72 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Siena Saints are looking to get into the big tournament again this year, but they'll have to beat Fairfield to do so. Both teams like to play uptempo, so I don't think this will be a very slow game. Siena hasn't been playing its best basketball lately, so this may be closer than many people assume. I think a game in the low 140's is pretty likely, so I like the value on the over. |
03-08-10 |
William & Mary v. Old Dominion UNDER 117.5 | | 53-60 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* These two met twice during the regular season and both times they finished below this total. William and Mary isn't very strong offensively and ODU is a great defensive team. I think this has the feeling of a game that crawls along and ODU just wears down the Tribe. Gerald Lee will be a big playmaker, both on offense and defense for the Monarchs. I like the under in this one. |
03-08-10 |
IPFW v. Oakland OVER 146 | | 58-71 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Oakland plays a very fast paced game. IPFW typically adjusts to their opponents tempo and that is exactly what happened in both of their regular season meetings, which both went over the posted total. Expect trips to the free throw line to be frequent and the shooting percentages to be pretty good in this one. I think they score more than 150 points in this one. |
03-07-10 |
UL Monroe v. North Texas OVER 140.5 | | 66-69 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* North Texas and Monroe met just a few days ago and the total was 145 points. I see this game playing out in a very similar fashion, except this one is in the Sun Belt tournament, which means it is win or go home. Typically teams foul for a longer period of time at the end if the game is close at all, so I expect a lot of free throws to help put this one over the posted total. |
03-07-10 |
Coll Charleston v. Appalachian State OVER 149 | | 54-77 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* I am a big fan of Charleston overs because of the way they like to push the basketball and Appalachian State is much the same. Earlier this year when they met the total was 145, but the shooting wasn't that great and there weren't many trips to the foul line. This should be a very hotly contested game and I expect trips to the line at the end to run this total up to 155 or more. I like the over here. |
03-07-10 |
Boston U. v. Stony Brook OVER 133.5 | Top | 70-63 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Boston U likes to push the tempo and they know that is their best chance to win. Stony Brook tends to play to the tempo of their opponent, so the pace here should be a quick one. The two games between them finished at 126 and 159. Neither game featured shooting that was even average, so if the shooting improves at all this should be a high scoring game. Take the over in this one. |
03-07-10 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 195 | | 94-96 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The trends are absolutely screaming to take an under here, so that is what I am going to do. The under is 21-7 in Orlando's last 28 games overall and 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 9-3 in the Lakers last 12 overall and 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Also, two interesting stats, the under is 20-5-2 in the Lakers last 27 Sunday games and 20-8 in Orlando's last 28 Sunday games. This should be a tight game and I think both teams will play solid defense. Take the under here. |
03-07-10 |
Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 137.5 | Top | 59-65 |
Loss | -110 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* These two teams met twice this year and one went over while the second stayed under. Take a close look at that second game and you'll see, it should have gone over as well. The teams shot 31% and 35% from the floor and shot under 50% from the free throw line. The pace has been high when these two play and I'm guessing the shooting won't be THAT bad again. It's tourny time now and both teams won't want their season to end. Take the over. |
03-07-10 |
Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 122 | | 72-57 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* This is a very important game for Illinois. Illinois is right on the bubble right now and this would go a long ways toward helping their cause. This feels like a game where the defenses will rule and the game will be a totally half court style. The under is 25-10 in Wisconsin's last 35 and the under is 5-1 in Illinois' last 6 games. With a lot on the line I think this game becomes a Big 10 grind it out type of game and it stays under the posted total. |
03-06-10 |
Tenn Chattanooga v. Coll Charleston OVER 149 | | 69-96 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The SoCon Tourney is in full swing and these two are meeting for the third time this season. Both of the first two meetings went well over as both teams pushed the tempo and Charleston was victorious both times. Chattanooga looked great offensively last night and Charleston has the most firepower of any team in this tournament. I like the over here. |
03-06-10 |
Houston v. Tulane OVER 143 | | 76-79 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* For a while it seemed like the Houston Cougars decided to quit running, but now they have picked up the pace once again. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and I think this line reflects how Houston was playing a few games ago, not how they are now. If Tulane wants to stay in the game on their Senior night, they'll need to put up some points. Take the over here. |
03-06-10 |
Southern Mississippi v. East Carolina UNDER 128 | | 75-65 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* I have been riding the "under" train on Southern Miss for quite a while now, and they have been very good to me. The under is 16-5 in Southern Miss' last 21 games overall. The under is also 12-8 in East Carolina's last 20 games. When these two met earlier this year the final total was 121 and the shooting was actually pretty good (48% for both teams.) I think Southern Miss slows the tempo down here and the under hits unless the three pointers are flying in from everywhere. I like the under here. |
03-06-10 |
Seton Hall v. Providence OVER 171 | | 92-80 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* I realize that betting on an over at 171 points is a pretty frightening move, but in a game with these two teams it really looks like a value. I think 180 points is very possible in this match up. Providence has scored 180 or more a few times already this year and Seton Hall loves to run and gun, so there will be no pace war in this one. I expect an action packed game and one that should probably go down to the wire. I like the over here. |
03-06-10 |
Iowa State v. Kansas State OVER 144 | | 85-82 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Earlier this year this teams met and the total was 154 points, despite the teams shooting 41% and 36% respectively. Kansas State was beaten by Kansas last game and they are going to be looking to prove a point in this one. It is senior day and they have some great seniors who will have a chip on their shoulder here. I think the shooting percentages go up quite a bit in this one and the over hits. Take the over here. |
03-06-10 |
La Salle v. St. Joseph's OVER 146 | | 59-74 |
Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Both LaSalle and St. Joe's have been been pushing the tempo of late. The over is 5-3 in LaSalle's last 8 and 3-0 in St. Joe's last 3 games. Both teams have absolutely atrocious defense, so easy shots will not be hard to come by in this one. Unless the easy shots just won't fall, I don't see why this one wouldn't go over the posted total. Take the over here. |
03-06-10 |
Va Commonwealth v. George Mason OVER 132.5 | | 75-60 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* This is one of the CAA quarterfinal games being played today. I think this one is a nice value on the over since VCU likes to push the tempo so much. When they played earlier this year it went into overtime and finished at 159. The game should be a close one, and close games in tournaments usual equal a lot of fouls. I think this one goes into the upper 130's. Take the over here. |
03-06-10 |
Notre Dame v. Marquette UNDER 139 | Top | 63-60 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Notre Dame has been a completely different team since Luke Harangoady went down with an injury. Notre Dame has been winning by slowing the game down and getting good shots and taking care of the basketball. Marquette only gives up 59.6 points per game at home, so this has the potential to be a low scoring game. I think this line would have been appropriate a couple months ago, but now I really like the under in this situation. |
03-05-10 |
New Orleans Hornets v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 198 | | 91-102 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The New Orleans Hornets may be without Chris Paul, but they have still been fighting hard of late. Four of their last five games have gone over the posted total and five of the Spurs last six have gone over. Tonight all three referees involved in this game lean strongly toward the over this year as well as last year, so I expect plenty of trips to the free throw line to help this one go over the posted total. Take the over. |
03-05-10 |
Georgia Southern v. Chattanooga OVER 153 | | 62-82 |
Loss | -110 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Georgia Southern isn't a good basketball team at all, but they sure can push the tempo of a game. Georgia Southern's last 8 games have all gone over the posted total because they shoot early and often and do a lot of fouling as well. 8 of Chattanooga's last 10 have gone over the posted total as well, so they are no stranger to high scoring contests. Take the over in this one! |
03-05-10 |
Jacksonville v. Mercer OVER 146 | | 63-66 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Mercer is a team that really pushes the tempo. The two of these teams seem to be a pretty even match, which I think raises the probability that at the end of the game there will be a prolonged period of fouling that could put this game well over the posted total. I think this one gets over 150. Take the over here. |
03-05-10 |
James Madison v. Drexel UNDER 130 | | 77-65 |
Loss | -110 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* James Madison has been hit badly by injuries to key players all year long. Drexel is a team that likes to slow down the tempo and play a grind it out type of game. At this point JMU doesn't have enough weapons to overpower anyone with their offense. It's tournament time, which usually means a little lower scoring. All things considered, I like this as an under. |
03-05-10 |
Samford v. The Citadel UNDER 109.5 | | 43-55 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* There should be no pace war in this game as both teams love to slow the game down and run the shot clock down. The under is 13-7 in Citadel's games this year and 14-8 in Samford's. The stakes are high now that it is conference tourny time, so expect both teams to hunker down and play tough defense. This has the makings of a tight game where the winner may have about 50 points. Take the under. |
03-05-10 |
Fordham v. Duquesne OVER 148 | | 100-111 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Duquesne has gone back to the tempo they played at a year ago. This team is running and gunning with the best of them lately. The over is 5-1 in their last six games. Fordham is a team that plays no defense and tries to run despite the fact they aren't a good team at all. I expect Duqusne to put up 85 or 90 themselves in this one and Fordham should be able to cover the rest. Take the over in this one. |
03-04-10 |
Louisiana Tech v. Fresno State UNDER 137 | Top | 59-66 |
Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Fresno State has quite obviously forgotten how to put the ball in the hoop over the last few games. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 games and they are averaging just 58 points per game in their last 5 games overall. The under is also 7-2 in Lousiana Tech's last 9 games and their leading scorer is questionable due to an ankle injury. The data and the trends are screaming to take the under here. |
03-04-10 |
Washington State v. Oregon State UNDER 123 | | 55-59 |
Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
*3 Star Big play* Washington State started the season out with a new, much faster tempo. As the year has gone along they have gone back toward their style of play from last year. In a game against Oregon State I feel like the Cougars of Washington State will end up in a very slow half court battle. The under is 9-2 in Oregon State's last 11 and 5-1 in Washington State's last 6 overall. Take the under here. |
03-04-10 |
UC Davis v. Cal State Northridge OVER 146 | Top | 66-70 |
Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Cal State Northridge has really gotten their running game going over the last few games. This team doesn't always shoot a good percentage, but they always put up a lot of shots. The last three times they have played Davis the totals have finished at 158, 171, and 165. A line set at 146 certainly looks to have some nice value on the over in this match up. |
03-04-10 |
Dayton v. Richmond UNDER 122.5 | Top | 56-60 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Dayton needs this win badly for its tournament hopes and for Richmond it is senior night. The under is 14-9 overall this year for both teams. I expect this to be a half court game in which both teams play very tough man to man defense and force some pretty ugly shots. The game should stay close and I think 60 points could easily win this game. I like the under a lot in this one. |
03-04-10 |
Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 127.5 | | 56-55 |
Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* This should be a pretty spirited game between these two directional Michigan schools. The first time these two met the total was 134 points and the shooting was about average. I think both teams will come ready to play for this rivalry game and there will be a lot of free throws taken in this one. I think this one goes above 130 again. Take the over. |
03-03-10 |
Virginia v. Boston College UNDER 129 | | 55-68 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Remember those really low scoring games that occurred in Washington State? Those are now taking place in Virginia since Tony Bennett moved to the east coast to coach the Cavs. The under is 7-2 in Virginia's last 9 overall and 11-3-1 in Boston College's last 15 home games. Landesburg, Virginia's top player, will probably not play in this one, which makes this an even stronger play. The pace should stay slow here and the shooting will likely not be impressive either. Take the under. |
03-03-10 |
BYU v. Utah OVER 139.5 | | 71-51 |
Loss | -110 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* BYU has a great offense this year and I just don't see them allowing this game to stay under this posted total. Earlier this year the two teams put up 151 points despite shooting percentages of just 42.6% and 45.5%. Utah will probably keep this rivalry game close, which would lead to more free throws at the end of this one as well. I like this one to end in the mid 140's or so. Take the over here. |
03-03-10 |
Temple v. St Louis UNDER 114 | Top | 57-51 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* I was all over this one when the line came out. The pace of this game will be about as slow as you ever see in a big time conference. St. Louis and Temple have both had several games this year below this total and now when they meet I think it will breed an even lower game. I think this has the potential to be one of those games that stays under 100 points. It should be close to end and it should be a slow half-court battle. Take the under. |
03-03-10 |
Mississippi State v. Auburn OVER 146 | | 80-89 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Mississippi State and Auburn met earlier this year and the game went over the posted total despite some very poor shooting numbers. The tempo was basically a frantic rush back and forth and a lot of missed three pointers. I think the shooting will improve a little in this one and I think the pace will stay very quick. Auburn tends to score more at home, but they can't play defense hardly at all. Take the over in this one. |
03-03-10 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. New Jersey Nets OVER 194.5 | | 111-92 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Cleveland Cavaliers seem to have changed their ways of late. The Cavs are running and scoring in bunches, especially since Antawn Jamison came over from Washington. New Jersey has no defense and Cleveland should put up 105 or more here. The Cavs defense hasn't been the same it was earlier this year, so I think the Nets will put up enough to make this an attractive over. |
03-03-10 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 199.5 | | 93-112 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Atlanta Hawks seem to have found their offense again. The Sixers play better on the road than they do at home, so they may well make this a competitive game. The three referees set to be at this game are all three pretty high scoring refs against the NBA average. I think the tempo will be pretty quick here and both teams will get plenty of chances at the free throw line. Take the over. |
03-03-10 |
Connecticut v. Notre Dame UNDER 144.5 | | 50-58 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Without Luke Harangoady Notre Dame has slowed down their tempo by a large amount. The Fighting Irish have had a lot of success doing this, so I don't expect them to change now. The under is 11-5 in UConn's last 16 road games and 9-4 in Notre Dame's last 13 games overall. This one should be a tight game, but I don't think the tempo will be nearly as quick as we are used to seeing from these teams. I like the under. |
03-02-10 |
Tennessee Tech v. Austin Peay OVER 147 | | 68-65 |
Loss | -110 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Tennessee Tech plays no defense at all and Austin Peay has proven they are able to capitalize on that. In two meetings this year the totals were 149 and 184. Austin Peay will be the home team in this first round OVC tournament match up and the over is 24-11 in their last 35 home games. Expect a lot of offense in this one. Take the over! |
03-02-10 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 131 | | 61-68 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Eastern Illinois is a nice team to play the under with in general. The under is 27-10-1 in their last 38 games overall. The two match ups between these two this year came to totals of 126 and 131, but the shooting percentages were high in both. I don't think they'll be shooting over 50% in this one, and for that reason I think the under is a nice value here. |
03-02-10 |
Colorado v. Nebraska UNDER 138 | | 81-68 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Nebraska is a tough team to get a handle on of late, but I have to think they'll slow things down in this one. It is senior night so everyone will be pumped up and they should bring their best effort. The first time these two played the total was 132 and I think that is a decent projection for this one as well. Nebraska should hold Colorado to a low shooting percentage here. Take the under. |
03-02-10 |
Detroit v. Valparaiso OVER 143.5 | | 89-82 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Last time these two met at Valpo the final was 74-70. There were 144 points scored despite the two teams shooting 35% and 44%. I have to think the shooting will improve a little bit here. I also think this game could be a close one and neither team will want their season to end, so there could be a whole lot of fouling at the end of this one. I like the over here. |
03-02-10 |
Boston Celtics v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 189.5 | | 105-100 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Celtics and the Pistons are both teams that tend to like to slow the pace down. The under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. This number is set pretty low, but I still think a total in the mid 180's is fairly likely, so the under looks like the side that has the value. Expect a half court game in this one. Take the under. |
03-02-10 |
Charleston Southern v. Radford UNDER 134.5 | Top | 61-64 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* I find that the small conferences often offer some of the best opportunities because the lines are soft. I think this is another case of just that. Radford and Charleston Southern played twice this year and the totals were 125 and 119 in overtime. This conference is tough to predict on totals, but I do think a total set at 134.5 is simply too high in this case. Neither team shoots well from the floor normally. I think the under is the play here. |
03-01-10 |
New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 213 | | 93-124 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* This number just seems too high to me. The Knicks have been scoring and allowing a ton of points of late, but Cleveland will more than likely be way too much for New York to handle in this one. I can see Cleveland getting a solid lead and then taking the foot off the gas to the point where this stays under 210. I like the under in this one. |
03-01-10 |
Georgia Southern v. NC Greensboro OVER 147.5 | | 79-81 |
Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Georgia Southern is a very bad team, but they sure do love to push the tempo. In their last 8 games the lowest total was 151 points. Greensboro is very bad as well, and both teams are horrible defensively. I think this will be a nice chance for both teams to run and gun and get a lot of trips to the free throw line. I like this one to go over 150. Take the over here. |
02-28-10 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 189.5 | | 102-106 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The match ups and the referees for this game make this over look pretty intriguing. Bill Spooner is the main ref here, and the over is 24-15 in his 39 games this year. Atlanta is a potent team offensively, especially at home. Milwaukee is playing great basketball of late so I expect it to be pretty close. Set at this low number, I like the over in this one. |
02-27-10 |
CS Northridge v. Cal Irvine UNDER 141 | Top | 74-79 |
Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Irvine is not a team that likes to run, and they do well dictating the tempo at home. In their last ten games only one has gone over 141, and that one ended at 142. Last time these two played they finished at 127, and the shooting wasn't that awful either at 43% and 47%. I think Irvine slows this one down nicely, and a game in the low to mid 130's is what I would expect. Take the under. |
02-27-10 |
Villanova v. Syracuse OVER 156 | | 77-95 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star ESPN Showcase Play of the Night* Tonight's play of the night is on the Syracuse and Villanova over. This total has dropped throughout the day, and I don't understand why. Villanova will push the ball the whole game. Syracuse shoots the ball very well from distance and I think Rautins should have plenty of open looks in this one. Last year these teams played two gams that were track meets. This one should be the same. Take the over. |
02-27-10 |
Austin Peay v. SE Missouri St. UNDER 143.5 | | 71-68 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The first time these two played they scored 147, but that was in overtime. After regulation it was just at 120 points even though the teams shot 42% and 49% from the floor. SE Missouri State just doesn't have the firepower to run and gun with these teams, so I expect them to slow this one down a pretty nice amount. I like the under in this one. |
02-27-10 |
Illinois State v. Northern Iowa UNDER 123 | Top | 55-61 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Northern Iowa is a great team to play the under with because of their defensive intensity and how well they control the tempo. Last time they played Illinois State the final was 59-44. The shooting percentages weren't very good, so I expect this one to go a little higher than that one, but 123 definitely seems too high to me. I put this one at about 115 or 116 myself, so I see a whole lot value in taking the under here. |
02-27-10 |
Ohio v. Buffalo OVER 150.5 | | 69-72 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Earlier this season these two put up 176 points in their match up. Ohio and Buffalo both like to push the tempo against their MAC conference foes, and in this one there won't be another team to try to slow down the pace. Expect a lot of trips to the free throw line and a lot of 3 point attempts. As long as the shooting percentages are decent, this one should get over the posted total. |
02-27-10 |
Charlotte U v. George Washington UNDER 146 | | 70-75 |
Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The under is 8-3 in George Washington's last 11 overall and they scored just 140 in their first meeting. This has all the makings of a game that could go right down to the wire, and I don't think the shooting percentages will be too terribly high in this one. I think another game at about 140 is pretty likely. Take the under here. |
02-27-10 |
Coll Charleston v. Furman OVER 147.5 | | 69-66 |
Loss | -110 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Charleston is a team that has a whole lot of firepower on offense and they love to push the ball and make other teams wear down. Furman tends to play at the pace of their opponent, and the first time these two got together this year the total was 172 points. Charleston shot lights out, so I don't think they'll get that high again, but I do think this number was set too low. Take the over here. |
02-27-10 |
Wisc Milwaukee v. Illinois Chicago OVER 135 | | 78-74 |
Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* UIC commits a whole lot of fouls each game, and the over is now 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. Last time these two played they scored just 109, but the shooting percentages of 29% and 35% were pathetic. I see this one staying pretty close throughout and I highly suspect that a lot of free throws at the end will put this one over the posted total. |
02-27-10 |
Vanderbilt v. Arkansas OVER 154.5 | | 89-72 |
Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Vanderbilt and Arkansas are probably the best two teams in the SEC to play the over with right now. The over is 9-2 in Vandy's last 11 and 5-1 in Arkansas' last 6 games overall. The Razorbacks have a very poor defense, but they can put points on the board, especially at home. Vandy is averaging 80 points per game in their last 5 and Arkansas is averaging 76. This should be a very high scoring game, with a lot of fouls as well. Take the over. |
02-26-10 |
Detroit Pistons v. Denver Nuggets OVER 203 | | 102-107 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Pistons have started playing a little bit better basketball of late and the Nuggets have been scoring in bunches lately. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 games, and this line of 203 is about as low as you'll see for a Nuggets game. The referees in this one lean slightly to the over and I think Denver will push the tempo here. I like this one to go over 203. |
02-26-10 |
Brown v. Harvard OVER 140 | | 71-91 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams play at a fast tempo compared to their Ivy League opponents. They got together two weeks ago and scored 148 points total. Brown actually scores more points per game on the road and Harvard more at home, so I like the over in this one. I think this one could easily get to the mid 140's. Take the over here. |
02-25-10 |
Arizona State v. Stanford UNDER 134 | Top | 68-60 |
Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* I think the game between Stanford and Arizona State earlier this year when they put up 158 was a one-time deal. Both of these teams tend to play at a slow tempo and neither shoots that well, especially Stanford. The under is 3-1 in Arizona State's last 4 and 5-0 in Stanford's last 5. I think this game will go back to being an ugly PAC 10 grind it out basketball game. |
02-25-10 |
Wisconsin v. Indiana UNDER 126.5 | | 78-46 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Wisconsin really put it to Indiana the last time they played, blowing them out 83-55. Lately Indiana hasn't played as quick as they did earlier in the year. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 home games for Indiana. The under is 14-4 in the last 18 games overall for Wisconsin and 35-16 in their last 51 road games. I think the shooting percentages stay lower here and Indiana has real trouble scoring. Take the under. |
02-25-10 |
South Carolina v. Kentucky UNDER 145 | | 61-82 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Kentucky has had a lot of trouble with South Carolina of late. The Gamecocks have actually won 3 straight games against the Wildcats. I think Kentucky will win this one, but I expect South Carolina to slow it down and try to both Kentucky with the pace of the game changing. The under is 18-7-1 in South Carolina's last 26. Take the under here. |
02-25-10 |
Middle Tenn. St. v. Florida Intl. UNDER 140 | Top | 74-71 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* MTSU is the better team of late and they like to control the tempo and play solid defense. FIU is a tough team to get a read on, but the truth is they aren't that efficient offensively. Generally in their games FIU takes a lot of shots to get to a high total. I think MTSU limits the possessions here and this one stays in the mid 130's. Take the under. |
02-25-10 |
Murray State v. Morehead St. UNDER 139 | | 65-70 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Morehead State and Murray State are the top two teams in the OVC, so this should be a great game. Morehead State would be well-suited to slow this one down and not let the Racers control the tempo here. Morehead State is solid defensively and has a great shot blocker which should slow Murray State down some. I think this one should stay in the lower 130's. Take the under here. |
02-25-10 |
UL Lafayette v. North Texas OVER 139 | | 57-65 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* North Texas is very efficient offensively at home and Lafayette struggles quite badly defensively, especially of late. The Mean Green should drive the ball to the basket and get a whole lot of trips to the line in this one. If Lafayette wants any chance to win this one, I figure they'll need to put up quite a few points. This one should see the mid 140's. Take the over. |
02-25-10 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Indiana Pacers OVER 202.5 | | 112-110 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* These two teams got together just a few weeks ago and put up just 174, which I think has made this line as good of a value as it is on the over. Indiana is back to scoring in bunches of late. They have scored more than 100 points in 7 of their last 10 games. All three of the referees for tonight's game have called more games that have gone over the total than those that stayed under, so there should be plenty of trips to the line as well. I think something like 210 is very possible. Take the over. |
02-25-10 |
Georgia v. Vanderbilt OVER 141 | | 94-96 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Commodores have adopted a new strategy, which is to run and beat teams with their athleticism. Their only bad slip up in the last several games was against Georgia last time. At home Vanderbilt is great offensively, and I simply don't think the Bulldogs will keep them away from the rim. Ogilvy will do damage down low and Taylor and Beal should do damage around the perimeter. Take the over in this one. |
02-24-10 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Utah Jazz OVER 193 | | 93-102 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Charlotte Bobcats have transformed into a much higher scoring team since Stephen Jackson came to the team. Even before Jackson came to the team the over was 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Utah can put up a lot of points at home and Deron Williams should be back and ready to play tonight. Two of the three officials in tonight's game are very high scoring officials, so that won't hurt a bit. I like the over here. |
02-24-10 |
Utah v. Air Force UNDER 117 | | 54-43 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* These teams put up 125 earlier this year, but they went to the line a combined 51 times and I just don't see that happening again. Air Force controls the tempo much better at home, where the under is 15-4-1 in their last 20 games. The pace in this one should be very slow and I think the shooting percentages will be below average as well. Take the under. |
02-24-10 |
Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 143 | | 65-67 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Northern Illinois is a team that I don't think the oddsmakers have a very good handle on right now. The team has to decided to run and gun in a big way of late and their totals haven't been adjusted enough yet. These teams met and scored 156 a month ago. I think Central Michigan should be able to score plenty on this terrible Huskies defense, but NIU will put up a lot on its home court as well. Take the over. |
02-24-10 |
Nebraska v. Iowa State UNDER 131.5 | Top | 74-78 |
Loss | -110 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* The Cornhuskers are a team that likes to slow the pace down to a crawl. Iowa State ran a lot earlier this year, but they seem to have slowed down quite a bit again of late. The two totaled just 109 earlier this year, but the shooting was poor. I expect a game in the mid 120's, which gives us a nice amount of room for the under. This should be a halfcourt game with not that many fouls. Take the under! |
02-24-10 |
Buffalo v. Akron OVER 140 | | 67-77 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Buffalo Bulls push the tempo well in almost every game they play. The over is 20-6 in their last 26 games overall. Akron tends to play to the tempo of their opponent. These teams finished at 143 earlier this year, despite their shooting percentages being less than stellar. A game in the mid 140's is pretty likely here. I'll take the over in this one! |
02-24-10 |
DePaul v. Cincinnati UNDER 122 | Top | 69-74 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Cincinnati and DePaul are both teams that prefer to play at a slower pace than most teams. Many teams in the Big East like to run and gun, which skews their averages some, but when they meet I expect a low scoring game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings and the under is 11-6 for Depaul and 12-8 for Cincinnati this year. This is a low number, but this is the type of game that could stay around 110 or 115. Take the under. |
02-24-10 |
Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 124 | | 61-41 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The under is 9-0 this year in Toledo's 9 home games. The under is 7-3 in Western Michigan's 10 games away from home. This line is likely boosted because of the high scoring in Toledo's game last Saturday. If you look at the astronomical shooting percentages in that I just don't see that continuing. These two played to a 73-41 final earlier this year and I just don't see this game getting above 120. I like the under here. |
02-23-10 |
Tennessee v. Florida UNDER 136 | | 62-75 |
Loss | -110 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams have changed the way they play of late, and both have slowed down in a big way. The under is 17-7 in Florida's last 24 and 12-4 in their last 16 home games. Bruce Pearl and the Vols don't quite have the same types of athletes they have had to create turnovers and run, so they are also playing much slower of late. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 games. A few weeks ago these two put up just 121. I think this one will stay in the lower 130's beacuse of the slower pace. Take the under. |
02-23-10 |
New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics UNDER 196.5 | | 106-110 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The New York Knicks were absolutely pathetic last night, and now TMac has apparently injured his leg again. He is questionable tonight against a very good Celtics defense. The under is 8-2 in Boston's last 10 games and the under is 6-2 in New York's last 8 road games. The Knicks don't have enough firepower to put up many points against Boston as long as the Celtics show up and play their team defense. Take the under. |
02-23-10 |
Old Dominion v. Georgia State UNDER 120.5 | | 75-62 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Someone has bet this one up in a big way, so I am going against the grain here, but I'm taking the under. I had this one pinned at about 114 points, and now there is a whole lot of value there. Earlier this year they didn't put up 100. I know they should put up more than that, but ODU should give Georgia State a whole lot of trouble with their great defense. Take the under here. |
02-22-10 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. New York Knicks OVER 206.5 | | 83-67 |
Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Knicks just acquired Tracy McGrady and I really think this will make them even more of a free offense that runs and shoots quickly. TMac won't be gun shy and he should be able to put up quite a few points as long as he in shape. Just a couple of weeks ago these teams met and scored 221, and now the Knicks are on a huge 6-0 streak to the over. I like the over here. |
02-22-10 |
Appalachian State v. Elon OVER 144 | | 58-54 |
Loss | -110 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* This one is really a play on both teams recent pace changes. Elon has sped things up and scored a whole lot more of late and 4 of their last 5 games have gone over the posted total. Appalachian State is a team that loves to run and tends to get to the free throw line very often. Elon does a lot of fouling, so that should be a nice combination. Earlier this year the total was 154. This one might not get that high, but the upper 140's are likely here. Take the over. |
02-22-10 |
South Carolina St v. Norfolk State OVER 146 | | 62-82 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 29 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The last time these two met the final was 97-82. The amount of free throws taken in that game was ridiculous so that won't occur again, but the teams combined to shoot 5-29 from 3 point range as well, which should improve today. I see this total as being too low for the two fastest paced teams in the MEAC. I like this one to go over. |
02-21-10 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Golden State Warriors OVER 213.5 | | 104-108 |
Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
*NBA Total of the Day* The Golden State Warriors tend to bring out the best in an opposing offense. The Atlanta Hawks have been very inconsistent offensively of late, but they have too many weapons to stay that way for too terribly long. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings, and some of those totals have been extremely high. I really think the Hawks will be able to run and get a lot of easy buckets against the Warriors, and the Warriors will get plenty as well. Take the over here. |
02-21-10 |
Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 121.5 | | 63-70 |
Loss | -110 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* A game between Wisconsin and Northwestern is simply an under bettors dream unless the two teams get white hot from behind the three point line. Earlier this year they combined for 110 points, and while I think this meeting may see a few more points than that I don't think they'll get above the upper 110's. Expect a whole lot of half court offense and very few transition buckets. Take the under. |
02-20-10 |
Cal Santa Barbara v. Fresno State OVER 126 | | 64-60 |
Loss | -110 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Fresno State has its star back in Paul George and since he has returned they have turned it up a notch offensively. UCSB may try to slow things down, but I don't think they can keep this one below 130 or so. This should be a close hard fought game. Take the over and expect 130 or more. |
02-20-10 |
New Mexico State v. Pacific UNDER 140.5 | | 84-78 |
Loss | -110 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* When the line gets this high on a Pacific game you have to take a good hard look at the under. Pacific has had quite a few games go over this year, but it has simply been because the line is set so low. I don't think they'll let the Aggies play to their tempo here, and at their home court they play very tough defense. I like the under here. |
02-20-10 |
Western Carolina v. Kent State OVER 143.5 | Top | 72-74 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Kent State has been very good to me this year on "overs" and Western Carolina loves to run down in the Southern Conference. The Golden Flashes are the deeper team, but Western Carolina should be able to put up enough points to make this over a very solid play. I think 150 is likely here. Take the over. |
02-20-10 |
Central Florida v. Southern Mississippi UNDER 120.5 | | 58-68 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Golden Eagles have been great to me on the "under" of late. This team has clearly decided they are better suited to slow the game down and play great defense. Central Florida typically adjusts to the pace of their opponent, so they probably won't push it here. The under is 9-0 in Southern Miss' last 9 games overall and 5-1 in UCF's last 6. |
02-20-10 |
Presbyterian v. Jacksonville State UNDER 134 | | 59-55 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Presbyterian is a team that is offensively challenged and is well-suited to slow the game down against almost everyone, especially a school from a much bigger conference. Jacksonville State isn't great, so they probably won't blow anyone away by too much. A game in the upper 120's is to be expected here. |
02-20-10 |
James Madison v. Canisius OVER 130.5 | Top | 66-70 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Cansius is a team with a solid offense and a poor defense. James Madison plays in the more difficult conference, so I expect they'll be able to put up points against a team from the MAAC. I think the pace here will be a little above average and there will be numerous trips to the stripe. Take the over. |
02-20-10 |
Tennessee St. v. Central Michigan UNDER 136 | | 73-79 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Central Michigan is one of the slowest teams pace-wise in the MAC. Tennessee State has scored a decent amount of points in recent games, but that is largely because their competition in the OVC likes to run and gun and play a very sloppy game. Central Michigan should be play tougher defense and slow this one down. I don't think the offensive firepower is there to put this one over this total. Take the under. |
02-20-10 |
Toledo v. Cleveland State UNDER 120.5 | Top | 63-87 |
Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Toledo is just a miserable team this year and the under is now 16-2 in their 18 games this year. Cleveland State should handle them, and Toledo may struggle to get to 50 in this one. I think 110 or so would have been a more accurate line. I love this under! |
02-20-10 |
California v. Oregon OVER 145.5 | Top | 64-49 |
Loss | -110 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* No doubt California is now starting to distinguish themselves from the PAC 10 and it is largely because of their offensive ability. Oregon has no defensive strength at all, but they do have some 3 point shooters that can keep them in the game at Eugene. I think this one goes over 150. |
02-20-10 |
Fordham v. Rhode Island OVER 148 | Top | 75-101 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* This is a classic case of a team, Rhode Island, who can score at will, against a lowly team that can't defend. Fordham likes to run and gun, but they are terrible at it. Rhode Island is very good at it, and they could probably name their score in this one. Earlier this year they put up 152 total despite Rhode Island having a very cold shooting game. Take the over. |
02-20-10 |
Rider v. Hofstra OVER 140.5 | | 89-92 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Rider and Hofstra both like to push the tempo against their respective conference foes, but many of their normal opponents fight it. In this game no one will be slowing down the flow of the game. Jenkins is a big scorer for Hofstra and should do some major damage. Rider has proven able to win and score points on the road. The over looks good here. |
02-20-10 |
Georgia Tech v. Maryland OVER 141 | | 74-76 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The Maryland Terrapins are a vastly improved team on the offensive end from a year ago. Greivis no longer has to do it by himself and the team is one of the higher scoring teams in the country. Georgia Tech will probably have to score quite a few points if they want to be in the contest here. I like this one to get into the mid 140's. |
02-20-10 |
Morgan State v. Murray State OVER 147 | | 66-75 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams play the fastest pace in their respective conferences, so I expect when they get together they'll run and gun. Morgan State probably can't keep up with the Racers, but they'll give it their best. I think this one gets to the mid 150's. Take the over here in this early Bracketbuster game. |
02-19-10 |
William & Mary v. Iona UNDER 122 | | 53-69 |
Push | 0 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* Iona and William & Mary will be playing on the first night of the BracketBusters Challenge. Both of these teams like to slow the game down, so I see no reason to think either will push it in this one. In fact, the under is 9-0 in William & Mary's last 9 games and the under is 9-3 in Iona's last 12 games. Open shots should be hard to come by and I think this one stays under. |
02-19-10 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 191 | | 93-110 |
Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
*NBA Play of the Day* On Friday evening the Cavaliers will be playing their first game with Antawn Jamison as part of their team. Over the long run I expect Jamison will help them, but at first I think it could be difficult for him to get into the offensive flow with the team. 5 of the last 6 match ups with Charlotte have gone under the posted total. I think this will be a half court battle that goes down to the wire and stays under the total. |
02-18-10 |
Cleveland State v. Wisc.Milwaukee UNDER 136.5 | | 59-69 |
Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The trends are strongly in our favor with the under in this one. The under is 7-2 in Cleveland State's last 9 and 13-6 in Wisconsin Milwaukee's last 19. The first time this two got together this year the over hit, but that was due to amazing shooting. The Panthers hit 55% of their 3 pointers and 93% of their free throws. The recent trends suggest this one is much more likely to stay in the low 130's. I like the under. |
02-18-10 |
Middle Tenn. St. v. Troy UNDER 142 | Top | 62-66 |
Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* I have to admit, I don't understand why this one is this high. Just a couple of weeks ago these teams finished at 137 in their first meeting and the shooting was fairly good. The under is 12-5 in MTSU's 17 lined games this season and the under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings. I expected this one to be somewhere around 135, so I'll take the value in the under here. |
02-18-10 |
Portland v. Pepperdine UNDER 139.5 | Top | 83-62 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* The Waves and Pilots met a month ago and the total was 144, but Portland shot 53% for the game. Pepperdine has lost 7 games in a row and is having a very difficult time scoring of late. The under is 7-1 in Portland's last 8 road games. I think this one could stay in the lower 130's. Look for Pepperdine to struggle shooting and Portland to slow down from last meeting. Take the under here. |
02-18-10 |
New Orleans v. UL Monroe UNDER 126.5 | | 82-73 |
Loss | -110 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* The under has been a great play for me this year in New Orleans' games. Last time these two played I picked the under and the final was 48-47. Granted I don't expect anything that low this time, but the trends are strongly in favor of the under here. The under is 10-2 in Monroe's last 12 and 6-1 in New Orleans' least 7 games overall. The winner of this game may have trouble getting above 60 or so. Take the under. |
02-18-10 |
Vanderbilt v. Mississippi OVER 154.5 | | 82-78 |
Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
*3 Star Big Play* This one is more of a gut feel from me, based on watching Vanderbilt play recently. Ole Miss likes to push the tempo, but they haven't been shooting well of late. Vanderbilt has made a concerted effort to go much faster of late, and the results have been great for them. Vandy has won 8 of their last 10 and the over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. I think a game in the upper 150's is pretty likely here. Take the over. |