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FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR MONDAY, 12/8:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Monday is with the New Orleans Pelicans plus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs. New Orleans (3-21) has lost six games in a row after their 119-101 loss at Brooklyn as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. Since James Barrego took over as head coach, the Pelicans have covered the point spread in 8 of their 12 games. They have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games against teams who are winning 60-70% of their games. San Antonio (15-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in a 130-117 loss at Cleveland as a 5-point underdog on Friday. The Spurs have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road when favored. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams who are not winning 25% or more of their games. Take New Orleans plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* AFC Total of the Month with the Houston-Kansas City Under last night to continue their 89 of 144 (62%) All-Sports mark with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after a 1-1 NFL split last night! Now Frank furthers his 14 of 20 (70%) NFL TOTALS TEAR with his 25* NFL Non-Conference Total of the Month for tonight’s Philadelphia-LA Chargers O/U winner on ABC-TV/ESPN at 8:15 PM ET! DO NOT MISS OUT!

Frank, featured here at Sportscapping.com since 2016, is on a 263 of 453 (58%) NFL Prime-Time run and he has NINE NFL PRIME-TIME SWEEPS this season and 29 NFL PRIME-TIME SWEEPS since the start of the 2024 season — and his Hollywood Sports has 51 PRIME-TIME SWEEPS since the 2023 season and 71 NFL PRIME-TIME SWEEPS since the ’22 season! Now Frank furthers his 38 of 65 (58%) NFL sides run with featured plays with tonight’s Philadelphia-LA Chargers’ ATS winner! CA$H-IN Frank’s Monday Night Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL! 

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Chargers (146) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (145). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (8-4) has won four of their last five games after their 31-14 win against Las Vegas as a 10-point favorite last Sunday. Philadelphia (8-4) had won four games in a row before their 24-15 upset loss at home against Chicago as a 7.5-point favorite two Fridays ago. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE CHARGERS PLUS THE POINTS: Justin Herbert is expected to take the field tonight despite fracturing his left hand in last week’s game. He had surgery on Monday after playing through the injury against the Raiders. Los Angeles did activate rookie running back Omarian Hampton for tonight’s game -- so the running back room gets back their first-round draft pick. The Chargers held the Raiders to just 156 total yards last week. Their defense has not allowed more than 20 points in four of their last five games — and they have held three of those opponents to 14 or fewer points. At home, they are surrendering 266.0 total Yards-Per-Game which is resulting in just 19.8 Points-Per-Game. They are outgaining their opponents by +45.8 net YPG game at home, which is resulting in them outscoring their opponents by +5.2 PPG. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. They have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home. They have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5-42 point range, including all five of those games played at home. Los Angeles has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in December since head coach Jim Harbaugh arrived. Philadelphia only gained 317 total yards last week against the Bears in what has become an existential crisis about the state of their offense. I admit I don’t know what exactly is going on yet. It has been rumored for years that head coach Nick Sirianni and quarterback Jalen Hurts have a chilly relationship. Things went south two years ago when offensive coordinator Shane Steichen left to take the Indianapolis Colts head coaching position. Sirianni tapped quarterbacks coach Brian Johnson to be the OC — but that was a disaster. Hurts had thrived in RPO formations where he could audible out of the play based on the look of the defense. But the Baltimore Ravens' defensive revolution of changing formation post-snap foils these pre-snap reads. The Chargers’ defensive coordinator Jesse Minter comes from that school of thought, circa replacing Seattle head coach Mike MacDonald as the defensive coordinator at Michigan after years as an assistant coach with the Ravens. Sirianni brought in Kellen Moore as the offensive coordinator last year — and he was able to design an offense that Hurts was successful in, albeit while asking less of him and more of newly acquired running back Saquon Barkley in free agency. Barkley had 46 rushes of more than 10 yards last year — and that home run threat compelled opposing defenses to stack the box. Hurts then found success in the passing game against the single high safety looks he would then face, especially in the Super Bowl. But this year is different. Hurts has his fourth offensive coordinator in four years, and Kevin Patulla appears too similar to Johnson from two years ago. Sirianni and Patulla may not be offensive geniuses — and they appear not to trust Hurts with decision-making. The game tape experts who know more about studying the all-22 tape than I have been vocal in decrying the Eagles’ schematic concepts are basic. They certainly seem predictable. They still don’t use motion — and I think that is because Sirianni does not trust Hurts to interpret the defense after the movement. Barkley has not been the same this season — and it is hard to argue with the fantasy football folks who were concerned that his 485 touches last season triggered some concerning regression trends following historically great seasons. After averaging 5.8 Yards-Per-Carry last season, he is down to 3.7 YPC this year. Compounding the problem is that the offensive line is not nearly as dominant this season after losing Mekhi Bechton in free agency. Now their elite right tackle, Lane Johnson, is out with a foot injury for this game. So while Barkley is not as fresh as he was last year, the offensive line is not as stout, the braintrust is not as good in scheming and calling plays, there is something deeper rotting in Denmark regarding the chemistry of the main characters in this story, including wide receiver A.J. Brown. They have not scored more than 21 points in four straight games — and they are averaging just 15.5 PPG during that stretch. On the other side of the ball, the Eagles will not have defensive tackle Jalen Carter — and he has emerged as one of the best players for defensive coordinator Vic Fangio. This Philadelphia team has similar vibes to the one that imploded two years ago in that embarrassing loss at Tampa Bay in the playoffs. Do the players even respect Sirianni? Under his leadership, they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their 23 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after an upset loss as a home favorite. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after losing two games in a row — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after failing to cover the point spread in two or more games in a row. 

FINAL TAKE: The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on Monday Night Football — and their lone win during that stretch was a game where they only scored 10 points. Philly is also just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Chargers. And in the Eagles’ last five games played in the Mountain or Pacific time zones, they have not given up more than 20 points. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted Deal with the Los Angeles Chargers (146) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (145). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (145) and the Los Angeles Chargers (146). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (8-4) had won four games in a row before their 24-15 upset loss at home against Chicago as a 7.5-point favorite two Fridays ago. Los Angeles (8-4) has won four of their last five games after their 31-14 win against Las Vegas as a 10-point favorite last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach Jim Harbaugh is willing to zig with his offense when the expectation is that he will jag. After establishing a firm reputation as a run-first team in his final two seasons at Michigan, his A-Plan against Ohio State in both those final two years (and against TCU and Alabama in both college football semifinal games) was to pass early and often behind J.J. McCarthy (trust me, the proof is on YouTube). And after establishing a run-first approach even with Justin Herbert at quarterback last season, Harbaugh had Herbert firing early this season with 33 or more pass attempts in six of their first seven games, including 41 or more passes in three of those games. But after season-ending injury to left tackle Rashawn Slater was followed up by the season-ending injury to second-year tackle (and former first round draft pick) Joe Alt in early November, the offense has not passed for more than 212 yards and not asked their quarterbacks to throw more than 33 times in their last five contests. Herbert is questionable after fracturing his left hand in last week’s game. He had surgery on Monday and is expected to play. If he does not play, then it will be Trey Lance making his sixth start in the NFL — and he has only engineered five touchdown drives in his career. So, not good, Bob. Assuming Herbert does play after just a week removed from surgery, look for another conservative game plan from Harbaugh to protect his quarterback from this banged up offensive line. The Chargers are finding success grinding out low-scoring games. They held the Raiders to just 156 total yards last week. They have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total. Their defense has not allowed more than 20 points in four of their last five games — and they have held three of those opponents to 14 or fewer points. At home, they are surrendering 266.0 total Yards-Per-Game which is resulting in just 19.8 Points-Per-Game. Los Angeles has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last contest. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow AFC West rival. Additionally, they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams from the NFC. Philadelphia only gained 317 total yards last week against the Bears in what has become an existential crisis about the state of their offense. I admit I don’t know what exactly is going on yet. It has been rumored for years that head coach Nick Sirianni and quarterback Jalen Hurts have a chilly relationship. Things went south two years ago offensive coordinator Shane Steichen left to take the Indianapolis Colts head coaching position. Sirianni tapped quarterbacks coach Brian Johnson to be the OC — but that was a disaster. Hurts had thrived in RPO formations where he could audible out of the play based on the look of the defense. But the Baltimore Ravens' defensive revolution of changing formation post-snap foils these pre-snap reads. The Chargers’ defensive coordinator Jesse Minter comes from that school of thought, circa replacing Seattle head coach Mike MacDonald as the defensive coordinator at Michigan after years as an assistant coach with the Ravens. Sirianni brought in Kellen Moore as the offensive coordinator last year — and he was able to design an offense that Hurts was successful in, albeit while asking less of him and more of newly acquired running back Saquon Barkley in free agency. Barkley had 46 rushes of more than 10 yards last year — and that home run threat compelled opposing defenses to stack the box. Hurts then found success in the passing game against the single high safety looks he would then face, especially in the Super Bowl. But this year is different. Hurts has his fourth offensive coordinator in four years, and Kevin Patulla appears too similar to Johnson from two years ago. Sirianni and Patulla may not be offensive geniuses — and they appear not to trust Hurts with decision-making. The game tape experts who know more about studying the all-22 tape than I have been vocal in decrying the Eagles’ schematic concepts are basic. They certainly seem predictable. They still don’t use motion — and I think that is because Sirianni does not trust Hurts to interpret the defense after the movement. Barkley has not been the same this season — and it is hard to argue with the fantasy football folks who were concerned that his 485 touches last season triggered some concerning regression trends following historically great seasons. After averaging 5.8 Yards-Per-Carry last season, he is down to 3.7 YPC this year. Compounding the problem is that the offensive line is not nearly as dominant this season after losing Mekhi Bechton in free agency. Now their elite right tackle, Lane Johnson, is out with a foot injury for this game. So while Barkley is not as fresh as he was last year, the offensive line is not as stout, the braintrust is not as good in scheming and calling plays, there is something deeper rotting in Denmark regarding the chemistry of the main characters in this story, including wide receiver A.J. Brown. They have not scored more than 21 points in four straight games — and they are averaging just 15.5 PPG during that stretch. They are generating only 291.5 total YPG on the road. But the defense is keeping this team competitive — and that group got even better after acquiring linebacker Jaelan Phillips and cornerback Michael Carter II at the trade deadline. They have held their last six opponents to 17.5 PPG, with none of those opponents scoring more than 24 points. In the Eagles’ last five games played in the Mountain or Pacific time zones, they have not given up more than 20 points. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. They have also played 12 of their 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss since Sirianni took over as their head coach, including five of those seven games played on the road. With Hurts under center, the Eagles have played 22 of their last 34 games on the road Under the Total. The Chargers control time of possession for almost 33 minutes per game — and Philadelphia has played all 6 of their games Under the Total under Sirianni against teams who average 32 or more minutes per game. And while Los Angeles 5.7 Yards-Per-Play, the Eagles have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total against teams who are generating 5.65 YPP. 

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 13-3-1 in Philadelphia’s last 17 games on Monday Night Football, including five straight unders when playing on the road. The Chargers have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football, including four of their last five contests. 25* NFL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (145) and the Los Angeles Chargers (146). Best of luck for us — Frank.