Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-13-22 | Seahawks v. Bucs -145 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 42 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. As bad as the Bucs have been so far, they come into this international game against Seattle sitting first in the NFC South. They are finally healthy on both sides of the ball, with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Julio Jones all expected to start. It's likely that Brady will pass Patrick Mahomes as the NFL passing leader during this game. Seattle is off to a surprising 6-3 start, but they look as though they are due for a let down. The Seahawks have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Bucs, and this looks like a tough spot for Geno and company. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Boise State v. Nevada UNDER 47.5 | 41-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. Did you know it snows in Nevada? Maybe not in Las Vegas but snow is actually pretty common in Reno. The forecast is calling for snow and -5 temps in a late game in Reno here on Saturday night. Boise State doesn't have much of a passing game with QB Taylen Green (6 TD, 4 INT). We've seen the total go under in six of Nevada's last eight home games in the month of November, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings. Not surprising considering Nevada ranks 119th nationally in passing (176 yards per game). GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Jets v. Flames -140 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CAL. After winning five of their first six games, the Flames have lost seven straight. They should be playing desperate hockey here tonight at home versus Winnipeg. The Jets are 3-7 in their last 10 road games, and they are in a bit of a let down spot coming off three straight home wins. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -5 | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Blazers are overachieving, coming into Dallas as winners of four of five on this current road trip. Playing a sixth straight road game could be a let down spot for Portland. Dallas is coming off back to back losses on the road after winning four in a row at home. Luka Doncic is averaging an NBA best 33.6 points per game, and he's been even better at home (35.2 ppg). The Blazers are 0-4 straight up in the last four versus Dallas, and they failed to cover in all four of those losses. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | TCU v. Texas -7 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Horned Frogs are 9-0 and currently eyeing a spot in the College Football Playoffs. I've been waiting for a spot to go against them for weeks now, as they have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors. Wins over Oklahoma, Kansas, Kansas State and Oklahoma State all came against opponents with an injured starting quarterback. They overcame double digit deficits versus the Cowboys and the Wildcats, and they figure to be down early here in Texas. I guess all the sharps are seeing the same thing here, and TCU is shaping up to be one of this season's biggest "square dogs". The line of -7 has 70% of the public backing TCU, but the big money is on Texas. This is reminiscent of UCLA vs Oregon, Penn State vs Michigan and Tennessee vs Georgia. I like Texas to win in a rout here, but taking the Horns for the first half might be the best way to attack this line. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Leafs have given up eight goals in back to back home losses, and they face Vancouver on Hockey Night in Canada (the Canadian equivalent of MNF) on Saturday night. Vancouver is coming off a 5-2 loss at Montreal. The Canucks have one of the league's best power plays, and one of the worst penalty killing units. This often leads to high scoring games. The over is 34-15-2 in the Canucks last 51 overall, and they have gone over in six straight on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Devils | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona +1.5. The Coyotes come into this game as winners of four of their last five, and they are riding a hot goaltender. Karel Vejmelka is coming off a 24 save shutout win over the Islanders. Arizona has lost three of their last five at New Jersey, but they are 4-1 ATS in those games. The Devils are 11-3 straight up, but they are just 5-8 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Georgia v. Mississippi State +16.5 | 45-19 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Bulldogs could be due for a let down after their huge win over Tennesssee, and they are asked to cover a big number on the road at Mississippi State. The (MISST) Bulldogs are 5-0 at home this season, and the home team is 5-0 SU in the last five head to head meetings. Georgia is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a ATS win. The (MISST) Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane UNDER 53 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Tulane. It's 2022, and in this season the Tulane Green Wave have been the better team. That's not really debatable. Despite coming in with an 8-1 overall record and a 5-0 conference record, they are close to a pickem here at home versus UCF. The Knights have name recognition, and the bigger brand. Starting QB John Rhys Plumlee was sidelined by a concussion last week, and Mikey Keene was solid throwing for 219 yards, three TDs and an INT of 22-of-28 passing in a 35-28 win over Memphis. We expect Plumlee back this week, but he runs into the #11 ranked Tulane defense that is allowing under 17 points per game. The Knights are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, while the Green Wave are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane -120 | 38-31 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Tulane. It's 2022, and in this season the Tulane Green Wave have been the better team. That's not really debatable. Despite coming in with an 8-1 overall record and a 5-0 conference record, they are close to a pickem here at home versus UCF. The Knights have name recognition, and the bigger brand. Starting QB John Rhys Plumlee was sidelined by a concussion last week, and Mikey Keene was solid throwing for 219 yards, three TDs and an INT of 22-of-28 passing in a 35-28 win over Memphis. We expect Plumlee back this week, but he runs into the #11 ranked Tulane defense that is allowing under 17 points per game. The Knights are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, while the Green Wave are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss OVER 64.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Alabama is in uncharted territory, with two regular season losses and presumably eliminated from the college football playoff. A lot of people talk about Alabama being 5-0 ATS coming off a loss, but I am not sure those trends are relevant here in a "dream crusher" scenario. They have been terrible on the road all year, including a 52-49 loss at Tennessee. The Vols had 567 total yards in that game, and it's interesting that Ole Miss presents a similar challenge when it comes to pace of play. When these teams met last year the total was set at 80, and the bookmakers set the total over 70 in three of the last four meetings. The Rebels have gone over the number in four straight games, and I expect both teams to score their fair share here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Louisville v. Clemson UNDER 52.5 | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on under. Clemson was exposed by Notre Dame last week, but they return home to face a Louisville team that they have owned in recent years. The Tigers are 7-0 straight up in seven meetings since 2014. They will have their hands full with this Cardinals defense, that ranks 4th nationally in sacks per game. DJ Uiagalelei has been sacked 10 times in his last four starts, and he's looked pretty bad when under pressure. Clemson has failed to cover in nine of their last 12 home games. You look back to their most recent home game and they were quite lucky to sneak past Syracuse, scoring 17 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to win 27-21. Don't be surprised if the Cardinals give them a similar challenge. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on LOU. Clemson was exposed by Notre Dame last week, but they return home to face a Louisville team that they have owned in recent years. The Tigers are 7-0 straight up in seven meetings since 2014. They will have their hands full with this Cardinals defense, that ranks 4th nationally in sacks per game. DJ Uiagalelei has been sacked 10 times in his last four starts, and he's looked pretty bad when under pressure. Clemson has failed to cover in nine of their last 12 home games. You look back to their most recent home game and they were quite lucky to sneak past Syracuse, scoring 17 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to win 27-21. Don't be surprised if the Cardinals give them a similar challenge. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Maryland v. Penn State UNDER 57 | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Maryland couldn't get anything going offensively in a bad weather game at Wisconsin last week. Taulia Tagovailoa threw for just 77 yards with a TD and an INT on 10-of-23 passing in a 23-10 loss. It's expected to be another cold and windy winter day at Beaver Stadium Saturday. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the under is 4-0 in the last four at University Park. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +1.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are not the sexiest team in the BIG10, and because of that it's difficult to get anyone to want to bet on them. Perhaps that explains why they are a dog here in a game that they should be a 2-3 point favorite. The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. The home team is 4-1 straight up in the last five head to head meetings, and the Badgers lost by 21 in their last visit to Iowa (2020). GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Purdue v. Illinois -6.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Illinois Illinois inexplicably lost to Michigan State last week, despite a 441-294 edge in total yards, and a 25-17 edge in first downs. They are in a good spot here at home against Purdue, a team that is reeling after back to back losses to Iowa and Wisconsin. Aidan O'Connell threw five INTs and just one TD pass in those games. He faces the nation's #1 ranked scoring defense in bad weather on the road this week. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, and the Fighting Illini are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Purdue v. Illinois UNDER 45 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Illinois inexplicably lost to Michigan State last week, despite a 441-294 edge in total yards, and a 25-17 edge in first downs. They are in a good spot here at home against Purdue, a team that is reeling after back to back losses to Iowa and Wisconsin. Aidan O'Connell threw five INTs and just one TD pass in those games. He faces the nation's #1 ranked scoring defense in bad weather on the road this week. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, and the Fighting Illini are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | SMU v. South Florida OVER 72.5 | 41-23 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The South Florida Bulls fired their head coach after a drubbing at Temple last week. They gave up 54 points to the 119th ranked offense in the country (after scoring 54). On the bright side, Katravis Marsh threw for 176 yards and three TDs. He's thrown for 649 yards, 6 TDs and just one INT since taking over at QB. SMU comes in ranked Top 5 in the nation in passing, and Top 10 in scoring. The over is 12-1 in the Bulls last 13 home games, and they have gone over in 11 of their last 13 coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | BYU v. San Diego State -9.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SDSU. The BYU Cougars finished in the middle of the pack in the WCC (5th) last season, and they lost their top two scorers from last year. Expectations are much higher for the #19 ranked Aztecs, who have four seniors in the starting lineup. Leading scorer Matt Bradley is back in 2022, and Senior Darrion Trammell transferred from Seattle. He led all scorers with 18 points in a 80-57 win in the season opener. The Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and these programs appear to be trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 228.5 | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Over. The Warriors snapped a five game losing streak with a home win over the Sacramento Kings, but there remains plenty of reason for concern in Golden State. Only the San Antonio Spurs are allowing more points per game than the Warriors, who's opponents are averaging more than 120 points per game. The good news is that Steph Curry scored 47 points and shot 7-of-12 from beyond the arc in the win over the Kings. We could see another shootout here against the Cavs. The over is 18-7-1 in the Cavaliers last 26 road games, and the Warriors have gone over in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | Wild v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Kraken bring a five game winning streak into tonight's home game against Minnesota. Seattle has one of the league's best power play units, and they are scoring over 3.5 goals per game. The Wild will look to avenge a 4-0 home loss to Seattle last week. We should see more scoring here tonight. The over is 17-8 in the Wild last 25 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 220.5 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. The Raptors haven't missed Pascal Siakam, coming off a 116-109 win over Houston. Fred Van Flleet scored 32 points and shot 7-of-16 from beyond the arc. Toronto has gone over in five of their last six in Oklahoma City, and the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Thunder have gone over in four straight home games. We should both teams run and gun here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Bucks are coming off a 136-132 double overtime win over Oklahoma State. They are banged up with Giannis, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton all out of the lineup. The backups played well, shooting over 47 percent from the field, and 47 percent from beyond the arc against the Thunder. They have a history of playing high scoring games against the Spurs. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings, and the total for this game is lower than it was in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-22 | Predators v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Predators pulled starting goaltender Juuse Saros in a 5-1 loss at Seattle a few days ago. Saros is 3-6-1 with a 3.46 GAA this season. The Preds are in Colorado to face the defending champs, and their league best power play. Colorado is converting on an incredible 38 percent of their power play chances. Their penalty killing unit though has struggled, giving up a goal on over 30 percent of their opponent's chances. Of course the result is often a high score. These teams have gone over in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-22 | Falcons -148 v. Panthers | 15-25 | Loss | -148 | 62 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on ATL. The Falcons have statistically the worst pass defense in the NFL, allowing opponents to average over 300 yards per game. That might not matter against a Carolina team that doesn't have a starting QB. PJ Walker is expected to get the start, despite going 3-of-10 for nine yards and two INTs in a loss to the Bengals last week. The Panthers are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 home games, and they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 coming off a loss. The Falcons have really had the Panthers number, covering in 10 of the last 14 meetings. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Atlanta has covered in four straight at Carolina. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-22 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Nebraska OVER 153.5 | 61-75 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OVER. Nebraska Omaha lost their season opener at Kansas by 25 points, but despite shooting just 38 percent from the field and 23 percent from beyond the arc they still scored 64 points. They play rivals Nebraska in their second game, and the Cornhuskers defense isn't quite the same as the Jayhawks. This game should be a bit of a track meet, with both teams running and gunning. The over is 19-7 in the Mavericks last 26 overall, and the over is 14-4 in the Cornhuskers last 18 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
11-09-22 | Florida Gulf Coast v. San Diego UNDER 145.5 | 73-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Coming off a 74-61 win over USC, it's not entirely clear if that win was a result of poor shooting from the Trojans or solid defense from the Eagles. USC shot just 3-of-19 from beyond the arc, but the Eagles only shot 37.5 percent from the field. San Diego is hardly an offensive juggernaut, only averaging 63.6 points per game in their last five dating back to last season. The under is 10-4 in the Toreros last 14 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-22 | Ohio -123 v. Miami-OH | 37-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ohio. The Bobcats have won four straight, and Kurtis Rourke threw five TD passes in a home win over Buffalo last week. Miami Ohio is coming off a win over Akron, despite a 316-184 edge in total yards for the Zips. Akron handed the game to the Redhawks with three turnovers. This game features the best offense in the MAC versus the last place offense in the MAC. The RedHawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win, while Ohio has covered in five straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-22 | George Mason +12.5 v. Auburn | 52-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on GMU. The Patriots were giant killers in non-conference play last year, winning outright against #20 ranked Maryland, beating Georgia and losing by just nine points at #6 ranked Kansas. They get most of their starters back, including leading scorer senior Josh Oduro. Auburn lost their two best players to the NBA draft (Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler). They come into their season opener with five players listed as questionable, most notable of those is starting center Johni Broome. This game has upset written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-22 | Bulls v. Raptors -130 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TOR. The Bulls lost in Boston last night, and they are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Raptors are coming off a 111-110 loss to at Dallas, and they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-22 | Hamilton v. Montreal -125 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 48 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL. The Allouettes are the hottest team in the CFL heading into the Eastern Conference Semi Final, and they host Hamilton. The Ticats have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Eastern Conference teams. The home team has won four straight head to head meetings. William Stanback has recently returned to the lineup, and he should play a big role here versus Hamilton. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-22 | Raiders -140 v. Jaguars | 20-27 | Loss | -140 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LV. It's not easy to bet on the Raiders after they lost 24-0 at New Orleans, they might be catching the Jags in a good spot. Jacksonville has lost five straight, and it might be tine to start packing it in. The Raiders have won three of the last four meetings, and the Jaguars are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Jaguars are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Predators v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Canucks have won three of their last four, and they are scoring plenty of goals. They are coming off an 8-5 win over the Ducks, and we should expect another barn burner here against Nashville. These teams have gone over in five of the last six in Vancouver, and the over is 10-3 in the last 13 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Astros | 1-4 | Loss | -175 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Phillies need to win Game 6 to force a Game 7, but they do have a favorable pitching matchup. Zack Wheeler was tagged for five runs on six hits over five innings in Game 2, but he should bounce back here. His previous road start in San Diego was a gem, tossing seven scoreless innings, striking out eight and allowing one hit. Framber Valdez is suspected to have been using a foreign substance in Game 2, and after getting rocked for 10 runs on 4 2/3 innings in two starts in the World Series last year I can see why. The whole world will be watching, so it would be shocking to see him try anything here in Game 6. Philly is 7-0 coming off an off day, and 4-1 coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Phillies need to win Game 6 to force a Game 7, but they do have a favorable pitching matchup. Zack Wheeler was tagged for five runs on six hits over five innings in Game 2, but he should bounce back here. His previous road start in San Diego was a gem, tossing seven scoreless innings, striking out eight and allowing one hit. Framber Valdez is suspected to have been using a foreign substance in Game 2, and after getting rocked for 10 runs on 4 2/3 innings in two starts in the World Series last year I can see why. The whole world will be watching, so it would be shocking to see him try anything here in Game 6. The under is 8-3 in the Phillies last 11 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Clemson -170 v. Notre Dame | 14-35 | Loss | -170 | 77 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Clemson. All Clemson has done is beat everybody in front of them. A far closer game than expected against Syracuse has some doubting Dabo and company. DJ Uigalelei was not sharp against the Orange, and he was yanked for Cade Klubnik in the win over Syracuse. The Tigers have had plenty of time to get their house in order during a bye week, and they might not need their QB to be great in a game played in bad weather. The matchup favors Clemson, with the #1 ranked run defense in the ACC allowing just 87 rushing yards per game. No luck for the Irish this week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Alabama v. LSU +13.5 | 31-32 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LSU. If you're betting Alabama as a double digit road favorite, you must have missed their three road games this season. You know, the game they should have and would have lost at Texas if not for a phantom targeting penalty that negated a safety. Or when they won and covered at Arkansas but were leading by less than a TD in the fourth quarter. Or how about giving up 52 points at Tennessee? This is Death Valley at night, against a team that you beat at home last year by a score of 20-14. The Tigers will need a big game from Jayden Daniels if they are gonna hang with Alabama, but he's coming off three straight games completing over 70% of his passes, with six TDs and just one pick in those contests. He also ran for 165 yards and six TDs in his last two starts. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Houston +3.5 v. SMU | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. Say what you want about Houston. I would be the first to admit that they have been disappointing this season. Yeah their defense has been bad, really effing bad. That said they come into this game riding a three game winning streak, and they are still in play for the conference title. The Mustangs defense ranks even worse than Houston, allowing 424 yards per game. Clayton Tune is starting to heat up, throwing for over 1,000 yards with 12 TDs and just one INT in his last three starts. I'll take the points in a game that I expect to be a shootout, and give me the better QB, better program and more high end talent up and down the lineup. ALL DAY! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Tennessee +9.5 v. Georgia | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. Maybe the Vols are a square dog, but isn't that what they said before they dropped 52 on Nick Saban and Alabama. We haven't seen UGA really tested this year, but Tennessee presents a unique challenge. It's going to be tough to stop for a Georgia defense that ranks 120th nationally in quarterback sacks, and even tougher without their best pass rusher. I like the Vols to start fast in the first half, and even if they can't hang on for the outright win, they look good to cover this number. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Penn State v. Indiana UNDER 51 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Indiana ranks dead last in the BIG10 in rushing, so if the weather prevents them from having success in the passing game they are going to be in big trouble. They lost 24-0 at Penn State last year, and another low score seems likely here. The under is 8-2 in the Nittany Lions last 10 games in November, and the Hoosiers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in the BIG10. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh UNDER 48 | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | West Virginia v. Iowa State UNDER 50 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | South Florida -2 v. Temple | 28-54 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on USF. South Florida must suck, I mean look at their record. They are 1-7 overall, sitting dead last in the American. Well take a look at their schedule. Three of their losses came against teams ranked in the Top 25, and the other four all came against teams with a winning record. They lost by a FG on the road at Florida, and lost by four at home versus the Cincinnati Bearcats. Temple can't use their schedule as an excuse, they simply are bad, very bad! EJ Warner (Kurts' boy) has thrown twice as many picks (8) as TDs (4) in his last five starts. He doesn't get a lot of help from his offensive line. Since coming in at QB for USF, Katravius March has thrown for 473 yards, 3 TDs and NO PICKS! I like the Bulls to get a feel good win here against an inferior opponent. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Maryland v. Wisconsin UNDER 49.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-04-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +7 | 112-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Cavs lost their season opener on the road at Toronto, but they have since won six straight. They will be a big favorite here in the Motor City, but Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are both a little banged up. This looks like a natural let down spot for the visitors. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Pistons are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall. The home team is 6-0 straight up in the last six head to head meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-22 | Predators v. Flames -180 | 4-1 | Loss | -180 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Flames. Calgary is coming off back to back losses, but a home game against Nashville looks like a good spot to get back on track. The Predators have lost seven of their last eight overall, and they have lost seven in a row when playing on 1 days rest. The Flames are 29-14 in their last 43 home games, and they have won six straight versus teams with a winning percentage of .400 or worse. The Predators are 0-6 in their last six games following a loss of 3 or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-22 | Eagles -13 v. Texans | 29-17 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Eagles. The Texans have just one win in their first seven games, despite being perhaps more competitive than expected. The trade deadline is a turning point for teams like Houston though, and we can expect them to fold like a cheap suit in the second half of the season. Disgruntled WR Brandin Cooks is listed as questionable, after he made comments about "covering up lies" when he wasn't traded at the deadline. Houston has by far the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing over 186 rush yards per game. The Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-22 | Astros v. Phillies +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. After being no-hit in Game 4, look for the Phillies to bounce back in Game 5. The Phillies had averaged seven runs per game at home in the playoffs prior to last night, and they roughed up Justin Verlander in Game 1. Verlander was torched for five runs on six hits in five innings, and he's now 0-6 with a 6.07 ERA in his career in the World Series. The Phillies have won four straight coming off a loss, and they are 10-3 in their last 13 home games versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 221 | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Jazz were supposed to be in contention for a lottery pick this season, but after winning six of their first eight games the betting markets are slow to react. Utah comes into Dallas averaging 118 points per game, while the Mavs are scoring roughly the same. Utah is allowing opponents to average 114 points per game, and the Mavs are allowing opponents to average over 110 points per game. Historical trends for the Jazz point to the under, but the Rudy Gobert Era is over in Utah. These Jazz have gone over (221) in six of eight games, while the Mavs have gone over in five straight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-02-22 | Astros v. Phillies OVER 7 | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. I had the over in Game 3, and somehow despite five home runs the total stayed below the number. I am not very optimistic that Aaron Nola can shutout the Astros here in Game 4, after he was rocked for five runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings in Game 1. The Astros turn to the back end of their rotation, and the Phillies lineup has been dialed in this entire post-season. In fact the seven runs scored last night is exactly their average at home in the playoffs in six games. The over is 7-2 in the Phillies last nine home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-02-22 | Sevilla +2 v. Manchester City | 1-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Sevilla. While Manchester City is the superior team playing at home, the line here is grossly inflated when you factor in the motivation for the two clubs. Pep Guardiola will rest his starters, and let the youngsters take the reigns here as City has already clinched top spot in the group. Sevilla needs a win to qualify, and should field their best squad. The last time they played at the Etihad they lost 2-1, and I wouldn't be surprised if that is the final score in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames OVER 6 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Flames are coming off a loss to Edmonton in the Battle of Alberta, but they draw a favorable matchup with a home game against Seattle tonight. Both these teams have top ranked power play units, but the Kraken are pathetic on the penalty kill (66%). Seattle is coming off a home win over Pittsburgh, and the over is 5-0 in their last five games coming off a win. The Flames have gone over in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-22 | Astros v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 0-7 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. After a rainout on Monday, Game 3 is scheduled to go Tuesday night with Lance McCullers and Rangers Suarez as listed pitchers. Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA) faced Houston once this year, and he got rocked for six runs on seven hits in just three innings. He was 4-4 with a 4.27 ERA in 13 home starts. McCullers (4-2, 2.27 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings in the Bronx his last time out. The over is 7-1 in the Phillies last the home games, and the Phillies have gone over in four of their last five home games against Houston. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-22 | Buffalo v. Ohio UNDER 59 | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Everybody knows that midweek games in the MAC can often be high scoring, and because of that the total for this game is almost at 60. In fact it's six points higher than the last time Buffalo Played in Athens. Only once in the last six head to head meetings has the listed total been higher than 55 points. Even given the much lower totals, only one of the last five head to head meetings reached the number. Buffalo ranks second in the MAC in scoring defense allowing 24 points per game. The under is 4-1 in the Bobcats last five conference games, and the under is 7-2 in the Bulls last nine games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-22 | Ajax Amsterdam v. Rangers +0.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Rangers. In a meaningless game at the end of the group stages, I expect a better effort from the Rangers in front of a home crowd. Rangers are winless in the group stages so far, and neither of these teams has any opportunity to advance. A win at home on their way out of the competition would offer some consolation for the fans. Rangers are 6-0-1 at home in their domestic league, with a +18 goal differential. In Champions League qualifiers they were 1-0-1 with a +3 goal differential. Ajax has nothing to gain here in Scotland, and it would be surprising if they didn't rest some key players. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +3.5 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Utah. I said this prior to the Jazz winning outright as a home dog versus Memphis on Saturday: "I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game." Not enough has changed to justify the Grizz laying points here two days later. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-22 | Bengals -170 v. Browns | 13-32 | Loss | -170 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CINCI. The Bengals are a favorite on the road in Cleveland despite losing both meetings versus the Browns last year. Throw out a meaningless game with backup quarterbacks starting at the end of last season, and these teams have gone over in each of the previous five meetings. The Browns won 41-16 in Cincinnati last November, and both Nick Chubb and Joe Mixon scored two TDs each. The over is 4-0 in the Browns last four home games, and the over is 7-1-1 in the last nine head to head meetings. This is a revenge spot for Cinci, and the Browns might not be up to the task coming off four straight losses. The Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games, while the Browns are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-22 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 223 | 94-112 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in four of their five games. The over is 5-0 in the Celtics last five versus a team with a winning straight up record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-22 | 49ers -110 v. Rams | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on San Francisco. The 49ers are in a must win situation as they look to avoid a three game losing streak here in LA. The Rams are still trying to shake off a Super Bowl hangover, and Mathew Stafford has struggled all year. Stafford has thrown for more picks (8) than touchdowns (6). He threw for 254 yards and an INT on 32-of-48 passing, and he was sacked seven times in a loss to San Francisco at the beginning of October. The Rams have lost seven of their last eight head to head meetings versus San Francisco, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games. The 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. The addition of Christian McCaffrey should pay dividends this week, and I like the visitors to secure a W. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-22 | West Ham United v. Manchester United -136 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MUTD. Erik Ten Hag has Manchester United trending in the right direction. They are undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have posted clean sheets in all but one of those games. The only exception being a 1-1 draw versus Chelsea, with the Blues scoring on a late penalty at Stamford Bridge. They welcome West Ham United to Old Trafford, and the Hammers are 1-1-4 in away matches this season. West Ham has lost three of their last four visits to Old Trafford. The home side should get maximum points here in this contest. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Oilers v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Battle of Alberta is one of the NHL's best rivalries, and historically these games have been high scoring. The over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings, and 8-2 in the last 10. These two teams are each ranked in the Top 5 in the NHL in power play percentage, both scoring on over 30 percent of their opportunities with the man advantage. The over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings in Calgary. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +5.5 | Top | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Astros | 2-5 | Loss | -175 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Astros are a favorite for a reason, as Houston was unfeated in this post-season prior to Game 1. They may have won all seven games, but four of those seven wins came in games decided by one run. They face the Phillies ace in Game 2, and Zach Wheeler is 1-1 with a 1.78 ERA in four starts in the playoffs. Maybe the Phillies are playing over their heads, but they have been hot at the plate, and I don't want to step in front of them here as the big underdog. The Phillies are 15-6 in their last 21 games versus a left-handed starter, and they face lefty Framber Valdez here on Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | Top | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Kentucky. The Wildcats are 5-2 and the average margin of defeat in their two losses was 6.5 points. The will be a double digit dog here at Tennesse, after last season's meeting went down to the wire with the Vols winning 45-42. Will Levis threw for 372 yards and three TDs on 31-of-49 passing in that game, and Chris Rodriguez ran for 109 yards on 22 carries. Levis didn't play in the loss to the Gamecocks, but coming off a bye week the Wildcats should be ready to go to battle with their rivals Tennessee. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams, and the road team has covered in six of the last seven. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Temple v. Navy -13 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Navy. The Midshipmen struggle to defend the pass, and that has cost them against the likes of Houston and SMU. This week they are at home against a Temple offense that ranks 104th nationally in passing. Kurt Warner's boy (E.J.) has completed roughly 50 percent of his passes, and has as many picks (7) as he does TDs. Making matters worse for Temple, they have given up a combined 603 rushing yards in their last two games. Navy can still run the ball, and facing a team with low level talent that struggles to stop the run should be an ideal situation here. Navy won 38-14 at Temple last year, and the Owls might expect a similar result here in Annapolis. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Wake Forest -175 v. Louisville | 21-48 | Loss | -175 | 74 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Wake. Louisville is coming off back to back wins, and they are 3-1 in their last four games. So have they turned their season around, or have they simply benefited from playing inferior opposition? I think it's the latter. They beat Pitt 24-10 last week, despite fewer total yards, first downs and time of possession. Pitt QB Kedon Slovis threw for 158 yards and a pair of INTs on 16-of-29 passing. Sam Hartman is in town, and he's thrown for 1,755 yards 21 TDs and just three INTs so far this season. There is a huge gap in talent between the two teams, and that should be evident here on Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Northwestern v. Iowa UNDER 38 | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Northwestern comes into Iowa on a six game losing streak, scoring an average of just 16.5 points per game in those losses. This Iowa defense is better than any they have faced this season, and you really have to wonder how the Wildcats could possibly score a TD here. It's likely more likely that their defense record a pick-six than it is for their offense to punch one in. Iowa's offense is historically bad, so it could be a busy day for kickers. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, and they combined for an average of less than 30 points in those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Leeds United v. Liverpool -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. It was a poor start to the season for Liverpool, but Jorgen Klopp and the boys appear to have found their stride. They are coming off a 3-0 win over Ajax in the Champions League, and they are undefeated at Anfield with a +12 goal differential in six matches. Leeds on the other hand are ready to sack their manager. They are facing relegation, and they are winless in away matches this season. Their last game at Anfield was a 6-0 loss in February. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-28-22 | Penguins -150 v. Canucks | 1-5 | Loss | -150 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PIT. The Canucks got their first win of the season last night in Seattle, but put the Stanley Cup Parade on hold. They still rank near the bottom of the league in goals against, and they are brutal on special teams. They face a Penguins team Friday that boasts a Top 10 power play unit, and ranks 1st in the league in scoring averaging 4.29 goals per game. The Penguins lost back to back road games in Calgary and Edmonton, but have had a few days off to get ready for the Canucks. Vancouver is playing the second game of a back to back, and they are 13-43 in their last 56 games playing on 0 days rest. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-28-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Astros | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 60 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Astros are a favorite for a reason, as Houston is still unfeated in this post-season. They may have won all seven games, but four of those seven wins came in games decided by one run. They face the Phillies ace in Game 1, and Zach Wheeler is 1-1 with a 1.78 ERA in four starts in the playoffs. Justin Verlander on the other hand has allowed seven runs on 13 hits over 10 innings in two starts. Maybe the Phillies are playing over their heads, but they have been hot at the plate, and I don't want to step in front of them here as the big underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-28-22 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218.5 | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in three of their four games. The over is 15-5-1 in Cavaliers last 21 road games, and they have gone over in 13 of their last 19 overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-27-22 | Ravens v. Bucs +105 | 27-22 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on TB. Fournette has scored four TDs in his last four games played, and the Ravens have allowed eight rushing TDs in their last five games. With the Ravens struggling secondary taking so many pass interference penalties, the chance that Fournette gets to run one in from a 1st and goal at the 1-yard line seems high. This looks like a get right spot for the Bucs, and they might get some help from the officials here at home. The Ravens are 1-6 ATS versus a team with a losing record, and they have failed to cover in four straight overall. They were lucky last week against the Browns, with Cleveland missing a late potential game tying FG. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-26-22 | Liverpool v. Ajax Amsterdam +0.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ajax. Liverpool is coming off a loss to Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, and they are destined to finish second in their group in the Champions League. There won't be anything to gain here for either team in an away match at Ajax. The Dutch side is unbeaten in five home matches in the Dutch league, with a goal differential of +20 (yes in five matches). When Ajax played at Anfield. Liverpool was fortunate to escape with a 2-1 win after scoring the game winner in the 89th minute. They have since added more players to their injury list. A draw should suit Jurgen Klopp just fine here, as he won't have his best squad available. GL, Jesse | |||||||
10-25-22 | Mavs -4.5 v. Pelicans | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Mavs will be a favorite here in New Orleans, with Ingram out and Zion questionable. Herbert Jones also suffered a knee injury late in the Pelicans loss to Utah over the weekend. With the status of three starters in question, the Mavs depth should be enough to power them to a comfortable win here. History is on their side, having won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, including a pair of wins at New Orleans last season. The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and the Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in New Orleans. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-22 | Manchester City v. Borussia Dortmund +1 | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dortmund. Manchester City sits 1st in Group G, and they will travel to Germany to play 2nd place Dortmund on Tuesday. Manchester City won the first leg by a score of 2-1, on a late goal from Erling Haaland. Man City is 3-1-1 in five matches versus Dortmund dating back to 2016, and all three wins came by the exact same score (2-1). A win here would clinch the group for City, but a draw would likely also do the trick. Dortmund is 4-1-1 in six home matches in the Bundelsiga, which includes a 2-2 draw versus Bayern Munich. Don't be surprised if this game ends in a draw. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-22 | Nuggets -160 v. Blazers | 110-135 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. After losing the season opener on the road at Utah, Denver has won back to back games. They are on the road in Portland tonight, and the Blazers are playing their second game of a back to back. Damian Lillard scored 41 points in 34 minutes in a 106-104 win over the Lakers in LA last night. The Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last seve games playing on 0 days rest, and 4-10 ATS overall in their last 14 games. The Nuggets are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots UNDER 40.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Patriots welcome back Mac Jones on Monday night at home against the Bears, despite the fact that their offense looked a lot better with Bailey Zappe under center. Jones has thrown for 786 yards, 2 TDs and 5 INTs on 66 percent passing this season. This isn't exactly a favorable matchup as the Bears rank among the best in the NFL against the pass allowing just over 170 yards per game. The good news for New England is that Chicago can't stop the run, allowing over 160 yards per game on the ground. This should prompt Belicheck to pound the rock, burning the clock and slowing the game down. History favors the under, as the Patriots have gone under in six of their last seven MNF games, while the Bears have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight on Monday night. The under is 11-2 in the Bears last 13 games in October. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-22 | Kings v. Warriors -8.5 | 125-130 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Dubs are coming off a 128-123 home loss to Denver, but they should be able to bounce back Sunday against the Sacramento Kings. The Kings ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game last season. They are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to the Clippers last night. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing on one day's rest. Golden State has won the last four head to head meetings by 10+ points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-22 | Astros +120 v. Yankees | 6-5 | Win | 120 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on HOU. Already down 3-0 in the series, the Yankees are the favorite here in Game 4 in the Bronx. I can't see any reason to expect this series to be extended. Nestor Cortes will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and he's struggled against Houston. The Astros are batting a combined .315 over 54 at bats versus Cortes. The Astros hand the ball to Lance McCullers, who tossed six scoreless innings in a series clinching win over Seattle his last time out. The Yankees are 6-18 in their last 24 League Championship games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | 10-16 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIA. The Dolphins were on a roll before Tua got hurt, and they get their QB back this week. A home game against the Steelers looks like a favorable spot for Tua and the Dolphins. The Steelers are due for a let down after a home upset win over Tom Brady and the Bucs. The Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in six of their last eight road games. The Dolphins are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-22 | Texans v. Raiders -7 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 87 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Raiders. The Texans are coming off a win over Jacksonville, their only win this season. A closer look at that game reveals that they were quite fortunate. They were out-gained 422-248 in total yards, and they benefited from a pair of Trevor Lawrence interceptions. The Raiders have struggled early in the season, but Derek Carr and Davante Adams are starting to click. Adams has a dozen catches for 225 yards and a pair of TDs in his last two starts. Josh Jacobs has run for 298 yards and three TDs in his last two starts. Coming off a bye week, and facing a Texans team that ranks near the bottom of the league allowing over 160 rushing yards per game should bode well for Jacobs and the Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-22 | Browns v. Ravens -6 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Baltimore. The Ravens are coming off an ugly loss on the road at New York, but they've been alternating wins and losses all year. They have a favorable matchup this week, hosting a banged up Cleveland Browns team. Both these teams struggle on defense, but the Ravens struggle against the pass while the Browns struggle against the run. That's bad news for a one-dimensional Cleveland offense that is heavily dependent on the running game. The Ravens on the other hand should be able to take advantage of the Browns poor run defense. The Browns are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games in October, and they have failed to cover in five straight against the Ravens. TheRavens are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Clippers -2 v. Kings | 111-109 | Push | 0 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Clippers. The Kings lost their home opener by a score of 115-108, and they might struggle here against the Clippers on Saturday. The Kings were 16-25 at home last year, and only Houston and Oklahoma City had fewer home wins in the Western Conference. The Clippers finished with a dozen more wins than Sacramento last season, and they are in far better shape now with a healthy Paul George, Norman Powell and Marcus Morris. Of course Kawhi is back as well, but after we learned he will sit out for load management, this line has dropped. Kawhi only scored 14 points in 21 minutes off the bench in a 103-97 win over the Lakers in the season opener. The Clippers should be in good shape without him here in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Horned Frogs upset Oklahoma, dropping 55 points on the Sooners three weeks ago. They have climbed into the Top 10 in the polls after winning back to back games since. Wins over Oklahoma State and Kansas were close, and they came back after trailing by a double digit margin at home last week against the Cowboys. It looks like just a matter of time before the bubble bursts for this undefeated TCU team, and this week's game against K-State looks like a challenging spot. The Wildcats are coming off a bye, and they have all the tools required to cause problems for the Horned Frogs. Weather could be a factor with high winds expected, and that favors the Wildcats with the power running game of Deuce Vaughn and Adrian Martinez. I'll take the points with a K-State team that has won three straight head to head, and has covered in six of their last seven versus TCU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Astros +1.5 v. Yankees | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on HOU +1.5. The Astros are undefeated in the playoffs so far, while the Yankees are hanging on by a thread. After a five game series versus Cleveland, they find themselves down 0-2 in the ALCS. This really should come as no surprise, given their second half collapse during the regular season. The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 versus Houston, and one of the two wins during that span came in a one run game. The Yankees are the favorite with their ace on the mound, but Christian Javier has a lower ERA and WHIP than Cole. He was also 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Manchester United +0.5 v. Chelsea | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MUTD +0.5. Things are starting to take shape for Erik Ten Hag at Manchester United, the Red Devils are 4-0-1 in their last five matches in all competitions. They face a tough test here at Stamford Bridge, as Chelsea is also 4-0-1 in their last five matches. History tells us that this game is likely to be close. These teams have played to a draw in each of the last four meetings. Don't be surprised if we see a fifth straight draw in this series. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Syracuse +14 v. Clemson | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 142 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Orange are undefeated, with quality wins over NC State (last week), Purdue and Louisville. They will be a double digit dog on the road at Clemson, and I think the Tigers have become overrated. As good as Clemson is, they have dealt with a tough schedule heading into this game, and the bubble could be about to burst. Wins over NC State, Wake Forest and Florida State all came by 10 points or fewer. This is the best Syracuse team we have see for decades, but in recent years the Orange have played Clemson really tough. The Tigers won by just a field goal at the Carrier Dome last year, and Syracuse is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. They won outright 27-24 back in 2017. Roberta Anae has the offense firing on all cylinders, Sean Tucker is a beast in the backfield. The Orange aren't getting enough respect in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Houston -145 v. Navy | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 70 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Houston. The Cougars have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this season, coming out of their bye week with a 3-3 record. Losing to Kansas and Tulane might not be as bad is it looked at the time, as both teams managed to make it into the AP Top 25. This team has the talent and experience to rally after the bye week and turn their season around. Playing at Navy looks like a favorable matchup for the Cougars, especially when they had extra time to prepare for the Triple-Option. The Midsphipmen have been lit up by opposing QBs, and Clayton Tune and Nathaniel Dell should have their way here in Annapolis. Tune threw for 366 yards and three TDs on 35-of-57 passing in the win over Memphis two weeks ago. Dell caught 10 passes for 81 yards and a TD. Navy doesn't have an answer for that kind of talent. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Cincinnati -145 v. SMU | 29-27 | Win | 100 | 70 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Cincinnati. The bye week came at a good time for the Bearcats. Senior QB Ben Bryant suffered a concussion in the win over South Florida, but he should be good to go after having plenty of time to recover. SMU is coming off a win over Navy, crushing bettors by allowing the Midshipmen to march down the field and score a TD in the final seconds to get the back door cover. A week after John Rhys Plumlee threw for 316 yards and a pair of TDs, Navy's Tai Lavatai threw a pair of TD passes against this Mustangs defense. The Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall, they have failed to cover in four straight conference games and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. It looks like a tough matchup for the Mustangs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-21-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 217 | 111-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. They went well over the number in their season opener versus Philly, and this number looks a little low all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-19-22 | Blazers v. Kings OVER 226 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Blazers lost 124-121 to the Sacramento Kings in their season opener last year, and they play the Kings in their first game of the 2022 season. The Kings finished dead last in the NBA in opponent's scoring average last year, and Portland wasn't far behind. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings, and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Sacramento was 4-0 in the pre-season averaging 117 points per game. We should expect a lot more offense than defense here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-22 | Kings v. Predators -147 | 4-3 | Loss | -147 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NASH. This looks like a potential let down spot for the LA Kings, coming off an overtime win over Detroit last night. You would think the Kings would turn to their backup netminder here in the second game of a back to back. Cal Peterson allowed six goals on 35 shots against Minnesota in his only start this season. The Kings have lost eight of their last 10 versus Nashville, and four straight at Bridgestone Arena. The Predators are 24-9 in their last 33 games playing on 2 days rest. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-22 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. Joel Embiid should feast here in the season opener, and both teams should do plenty of scoring. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Yankees | 1-5 | Loss | -147 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CLE +1.5. It's tough to give an analysis before the pitching matchup has been confirmed. The price has gone way up overnight after a rainout last night. Nestor Cortes will take over instead of Jameson Taillon, but he was already on the wrong side of a loss in this series. It would seem likely that Shane Beiber could go on three days rest, but Civale might get the start on a short leash. Whoever is on the mound, I think the price is too high for a Yankees team that is in danger of joining the Dodgers and the Braves on the golf course. GL, Jesse | |||||||
10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. This matchup features two of the most controversial head coaches in the NFL, but Brandon Staley has more talent to work with. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,478 yards with 10 TDs and just two picks, and he's likely due for a strong performance three weeks after suffering a rib injury. Russell Wilson is still banged up with a sore shoulder, and he's struggled all season long. The Broncos have failed to cover in five straight road games, and they were lit up by the Raiders in their most recent road game. The home team has covered in five straight head to head meetings, give me LA all day! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-22 | Ducks v. Rangers -185 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
2* | |||||||
10-17-22 | Penguins -1.5 v. Canadiens | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Penguins. Sidney Crosby has taken a back seat to the likes of Connor McDavid, Auston Matthews and Nathan McKinnon in recent seasons. At the age of 35, he may still be one of the best in the game. He comes into Montreal leading the NHL in scoring after playing just two games. This is always a big game for Crosby and teammate Kris Letang who was born in Montreal. Crosby has scored 21 goals and has 37 assists in 43 career games versus Montreal in his career. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, the Habs rebuilding while the Pens appear to be a contender. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Eagles | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DAL. I had the Cowboys as the underdog last week, and bet against the Eagles as a favorite. That worked out well, and I am going right back with the same strategy again this week. Here is what I said over a week ago: "The Eagles are flying high, but they will come crashing back down to earth at some point. They are asked to cover a big number here.." "The betting public might well view this week's home game against the Cowboys as a good bounce back spot for the champs. It's not really a great matchup for a struggling QB (Stafford) who has two more INTs than he does TDs. He faces a Cowboys defense that ranks Top 5 in the NFL against the pass, allowing 171 yards per game." The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CLE +1.5. The Yankees won Game 1 of this series by a score of 4-1, but they come into Game 4 trailing 2-1. Aside from the fact that Cleveland has all the momentum, there are reasons to expect a better result here with the same pitching matchup as the series opener. Cal Quantrill was 9-0 with a 3.28 ERA at home during the regular season. He was also 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his last six starts of the season. The way the Yankees lost Game 3, it puts them in a tough spot mentally to overcome. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-22 | Bills -130 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 157 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BUF. So ever since the Chiefs won the coin flip and marched down the field to score a walk off TD in last year's playoff win over the Bills, we've all been waiting for this rematch. Tyreek Hill had 11 catches for 150 yards and a TD in that game, and he's not going to be there for Patrick Mahomes this time around. The Bills are 4-1, and in their only loss (versus Miami) they had a 497-212 edge in total yards, 31-15 edge in first downs. Buffalo comes in with the league's #1 ranked offense, and the #1 ranked defense. Josh Allen leads the league in passing yards, and QBR. I don't bet on games just because revenge is a factor, but I truly believe that the Bills have improved and the Chiefs have regressed. The added motivation certainly doesn't hurt. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,395 |
Joey Tron | $617 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Ross Benjamin | $583 |
Big Al McMordie | $401 |
Matt Fargo | $327 |
Ricky Tran | $297 |
Sean Higgs | $140 |
Jesse Schule | $98 |
Kyle Hunter | $66 |