Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +3 | 38-10 | Loss | -120 | 172 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Cowboys are the first place team in the NFC East, despite a 2-3 record. The Cardinals are 3-2, and all three of their wins came against teams with a losing record. Kyler Murray has been great at times, but he's thrown almost as many picks (6) as touchdowns (8). Dallas has won two of three at home, and the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. With Dak Prescott sidelined by a gruesome ankle injury, the Cowboys hand the ball to The Red Rifle. Andy Dalton stepped up and threw for 111 yards on 9-of-11 passing in a come from behind win over the Giants last Sunday. I don't expect a big drop off offensively with Dalton at QB, and I don't think the Cardinals are good enough to be a road favorite in Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-20 | Washington Football Team v. Giants -148 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 141 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the NYG. The Giants looked pretty good in a loss at Dallas last week, and a home game against rivals Washington might be a good spot for them to get their first win. Washington has lost four straight since upsetting the Eagles in Week 1, and they have since benched QB Dwayne Haskins. We saw both Kyle Allen and Alex Smith last week, and while it was nice to see Smith back in the NFL, it looks like Washington is going to roll with Allen as the starter. Allen got off to a good as a starter in Carolina last year, winning his first four starts. He went on to lose eight of his last nine starts, and he was picked off a whopping 16 times in those games. He's not exactly stepping into a good situation, and I expect him to struggle on the road in NY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -180 | 40-23 | Loss | -180 | 137 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Vikings. Minnesota is coming off a disappointing defeat at Seattle, in a game that they really should have won. This week they host a Falcons team that knows a thing or two about blowing big leads. After an 0-5 start the Falcons have fired their coach, and they might just be gearing up for a rebuild. The Falcons are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games in October, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss. The Vikings are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games in October, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus the Falcons. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-20 | Texans v. Titans -2 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 136 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Titans. The 4-0 Titans host the 1-4 Texans and there is really no reason to expect this game to be close. The Titans have picked up where they left off last year when they went all the way to the AFC Championship Game. Derrick Henry is still a beast, and he should be in for a big day at home against this Houston defense. The last time these teams met, Henry ran for 211 yards and three TDs in a 35-14 win at Houston. I expect a similar score here today. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | 2-4 | Loss | -184 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Houston. Tampa has blown a 3-0 series lead, and the Astros bats look to power them to another World Series. Lance McCullers will toe the slab for Houston in Game 7, and he allowed four runs on four hits with 11 strikeouts in Game 2. The Rays hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who tossed five scoreless innings allowing five hits in the second game of this series. Two of the last three games, and three of the six games in this series have been decided by one run. I'll take the defending champs plus the runs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 56 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on over. The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total. GL Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -180 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. I don't give the Dawgs much of a shot of pulling out an upset in Tuscaloosa, especially if Nick Saban is on the sidelines after consecutive negative Covid-19 tests. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +13.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
7* | |||||||
10-17-20 | Texas A&M -190 v. Mississippi State | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. The Mike Leach Era started off with an upset win at LSU, and expectations were through the roof. The Bulldogs have since come crashing back down to earth, suffering blowout losses to Arkansas and Kentucky. The offense put up a goose egg in a 28-2 loss to the Wildcats last Saturday. Quarterback K.J. Costello has been picked off seven times with just a single TD in his last two starts. The Aggies are 2-1 with their only loss coming in Tuscaloosa, and last week the upset the #4 ranked Florida Gators. This Aggies offense can hold their own against anyone, and I like their defense to get more stops than the Bulldogs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State OVER 59.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 55 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State -180 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NC State. Duke has been a huge disappointment in 2020, losing it's first four games before they earned their first win on the road at Syracuse. That win wasn't really all that impressive, turning the ball over four times. Chase Brice threw for 270 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 22-of-38 passing. Brice has thrown for more INTs (8) than he has TDs (5) this season. The Wolfpack are 3-1, and they have scored a ton of points in those wins. Their only loss came on the road against a #20 ranked Virginia Tech team. While NC State has leaned heavily on their running game, they are in good hands with Devin Leary at QB. He's thrown for just 685 yards on 60 percent passing, but with seven TDs and just one pick. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-20 | Liverpool v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Merseyside Derby has been very one-sided for decades, but this Saturday's match between Liverpool and Everton is a little different. So far it's Everton sitting top of the table in the Premier League, and they have scored 12 goals in just four matches. The defending champions have struggled on defense so far, allowing 11 goals in four matches. They haven't had any trouble scoring goals, with 11 in four matches. I am going to go out on a limb and predict an exact score of 2-2. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-20 | BYU -152 v. Houston | 43-26 | Win | 100 | 101 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU. The BYU Cougars are 4-0, but their last game was by far the least impressive. They barely beat San Antonio, winning by a score of 27-20. This came after a long layoff, so perhaps the subpar performance was understandable. They head to Houston looking to remain undefeated, and they are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. Houston scored plenty of points in their only game so far, but it was far from a flawless performance. Quarterback Clayton Tune threw for 319 yards and 2 TDs with a pair of INTs on 20-of-33 passing. His counterpart Zach Wilson comes in with over 1200 passing yards with 8 TDs and just one INT and a completion percentage over 81%. BYU ranks 6th nationally in scoring, and I don't see Houston keeping up on offense. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-20 | Dodgers v. Braves +1.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are on the ropes, trailing Atlanta 3-1 in the NLCS. Each of the last three games have gone over the total, and the ball is really carrying in this ballpark. The Braves bats have been carrying them, while their pitching staff has been taxed. They turn to another young relief pitcher tonight, sending 27 year old A.J. Minter to the mound. Minter made a brief appearance in Game 3, giving up a home run and recording just two outs. We should see another high scoring game here in Texas tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston +1.5. Game 1 of this series was a pitcher's duel with Tampa winning by a score of 2-1. The same starters are schedule to go in Game 6, and Houston has all the momentum. The Rays haven't gotten the clutch hits in the last few games, while the Astros have. The Astros are 10-3 in their last 13 playoff games as an underdog.The under is 18-6-2 in the last 26 meetings, and the game script calls for a close, low scoring contest. I'll take the runs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-15-20 | Rays -138 v. Astros | 3-4 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tampa. Both teams are turning to their bullpens today, and that has to favor the Rays who are the architects of this bold new strategy. Tampa's bullpen has been dominant. and the Rays are 34-1 when leading after six innings. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-14-20 | Rays -140 v. Astros | 3-4 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tampa. The Rays can clinch the ALCS with a win in Game 4, and they have a favorable matchup on the mound tonight. Tyler Glasnow will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he was dominant in the division series versus the Yankees. He struck out a dozen batters over 7 1/3 innings in two starts versus New York. The Astros hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who might be losing his battle with father time. The 36 year old allowed four runs on five hits over 4 2/3 innings in his last start. He's allowed five or more hits in four of his last five starts, with the lone exception when he went four innings against the Twins and walked three. Tampa's bullpen has been dominant. and the Rays are 34-1 when leading after six innings. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-13-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Astros | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tampa. The Astros are down 0-2 in the ALCS, and it doesn't get any easier in Game 3 on Tuesday. Jose Urquidy will toe the slab for Houston, and he got roughed up in a loss to Oakland his last time out. The 25 year old allowed four runs on five hits over 4 1/3 innings in that game. All the damage came on four solo home runs. The Rays hand the ball to Ryan Yarbrough, who allowed a pair of runs on six hits over five innings in Game 4 against the Yankees. Tampa's bullpen has been dominant. and the Rays are 33-1 when leading after six innings. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-13-20 | Bills -175 v. Titans | 16-42 | Loss | -175 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bills 1st Half. The Titans are lucky they didn't have to forfeit this game after a serious virus outbreak that has sidelined several players and team staff. They haven't been able to practice for weeks, and a handful of players are facing punishment for breaking protocol by meeting for practice at a local Nashville highschool. Buffalo will have a huge advantage with the ability to practice and prepare, as well as a healthy roster of players at full strength. My money is on the Bills to have a better first half, and they should win this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-13-20 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Game 1 of this series was a pitcher's duel between Walker Buehler and Max Fried, but Game 2 features a pair of average starters in a hitter's park, and the total looks a little low. Tony Gonsolin will fill in for scheduled starter Clayton Kershaw, and the 26 year old will be making his first appearance of the post-season. He allowed six runs on 10 hits over 11 innings in his last two starts. The Braves hand the ball to Ian Anderson who hasn't allowed a run in the post-season. He did allow six runs on 11 hits over 10 1/3 innings in his last two regular season starts. The over is 12-5-1 in Braves last 18 playoff games as an underdog. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-13-20 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on New Orleans. The 1-3 Chargers will visit the 2-2 Saints, but the home team is a significant favorite. New Orleans will miss star wide receiver Michael Thomas, but the Chargers are thin on the offensive line and in the backfield. While I expect the Saints to lean heavily on Alvin Kamara, the Chargers are likely going to come out throwing. Justin Herbert has averaged over 300 passing yards per game so far, and with a lack of talent at the running back position they might be forced lean even more on their passing game. The Saints also boast one of the league's top run defenses. With a heavy workload for Kamara in the absence of Thomas, Latavius Murray should get his share of carries when Kamara needs a breather. Murray has had 12 or more carries in three of the Saints four games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-12-20 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves. The Dodgers will be a big favorite in Game 1 of the NLCS, but they face an Atlanta pitching staff that has posted four shutouts in five games this post-season. Max Fried will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he hasn't lost in 13 starts this season. He was 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA in five starts on the road during the regular season. The Dodgers hand the ball to Walker Buehler, who has struggled with his command in recent appearances. He's walked six batters in eight innings in two post-season starts. Buehler hasn't gone more than four innings in any of his last four starts since September 3rd. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Seahawks | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 1 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-11-20 | Lakers -200 v. Heat | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lakers. Jimmy Butler played as well as he can possibly play, and everything went right for the Heat in Game 5. They still just barely won and got the benefit of some bad calls in the final minutes. It's going to be tough to duplicate that performance here in Game 6. What I said prior to Game 2 is still valid: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-11-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston +1.5. The defending champions have thrived in the role of underdogs, and I'll take them in Game 1 of the ALCS as the underdog versus Tampa. Framber Valdez will to the slab for Houston, and he's on quite a roll. He's allowed just four runs in his last four starts, and the Astros are 5-0 in his last five starts. The Rays hand the ball to Bake Snell, who has lost two of his last three starts. He's surrendered five home runs in his last three starts. The Astros are batting a combined .282 over 77 at bats versus Snell. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +114 | Top | 23-32 | Win | 114 | 116 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Cleveland. There is a lot of talk about how good the Colts are on defense, and we will find out just how good they really are this week. Their stats are skewed afte playing teams with a combined record of 5-11. I don't think Indy has any business being a road favorite at a 3-1 Cleveland team that is 2-0 at home and has averaged 31 points per game this season. The Browns running game has been dominant, unlike any team that the Colts have faced this season. Baker Mayfield takes a lot of flack for throwing a lot of picks, but let me tell you he has a long way to go to catch up to Phillip Rivers. Rivers has thrown three INTs in four games so far, and he's struggled to protect the football his entire career. In fact, he's thrown 201 INTs in 232 career starts. He's averaged an INT per game over the last three seasons. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons -130 | 23-16 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The 2-2 Panthers head to Atlanta to face the 0-4 Falcons, and I like Atlanta to win their first game of the season. Atlanta would be 2-2 if they didn't blow a pair of big leads, and it's also worth noting that their opponents have a combined record of 12-4. One of the Panthers two wins was a little fraudulent. They were out-gained 436-302 versus the Chargers, and they were 3-of-12 on third down in that game. The Chargers turned the ball over four times, handing the game to Carolina. The Panthers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings in Atlanta. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-10-20 | Miami-FL +15.5 v. Clemson | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. The Clemson Tigers are ranked #1 in the polls, and the heavy favorite to win the College Football Playoff. They will be a double digit favorite against a Top 10 ranked Miami Hurricanes team. The last time Clemson faced a Top 10 team, was in last year's loss to LSU in the Championship Game. The Tigers are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games against Top 10 ranked teams, but only two of those wins came by double digits. Clemson hasn't covered in any of their three games so far, and they have scored fewer points per game against far weaker opponents than the Hurricanes have. This doesn't look like an easy game for Clemson, they might even be on uspet alert. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-10-20 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky UNDER 58 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M OVER 57.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-09-20 | Heat v. Lakers -5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 31 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-09-20 | Yankees -154 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYY. The Yankees come into a deciding Game 5 with all the momentum, and a significant advantage with their ace starting opposite a pitcher going on short rest. Tyler Glasnow will get the call for the Rays, just two days after pitching five innings in Game 2. It was far from a flawless performance, allowing four runs on three hits and three walks, and surrendering a pair of home runs. The Yankees hand the ball to Gerrit Cole, who allowed three runs on six hits, striking out eight in six innings in Game 1. Giancarlo Stanton has hit four home runs through the first four games of this series. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-08-20 | Bucs -185 v. Bears | 19-20 | Loss | -185 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucs. Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-08-20 | Tulane +7 v. Houston | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tulane. The Green Wave scored 66 points in a win over Southern Mississippi in their last game, and freshman Michael Pratt stepped up at QB throwing for a pair of TDs and running in another. Cameron Carroll ran for 163 yards and three TDs on just 15 carries. Tulane beat Houston last year, and these teams are 3-3 in the last six head to head meetings. The Cougars haven't played a game yet this season, and it will be interesting to see what they can do on offense without D'eriq King who transferred to Miami. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a bye week, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a favorite. Take TUL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-08-20 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 9 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Yankees are a team designed to win games with their bats, and they haven't disappointed. The bats have scored 18 runs in the first three games, but the pitching staff hasn't been doing it's job. They turn to the back of the rotation tonight, and we have every reason to expect the same result. The last time Jordan Montgomery faced the Rays he failed to complete an inning, allowing four runs on five hits. The Rays look like they will use an opener and lean on their bullpen. The Yankees have gone over in six straight playoff games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-08-20 | A's v. Astros OVER 9 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. To say that the ball has been carrying well at Dodgers Stadium would be an understatement. Neither pitcher today inspires much confidence that they can reverse the trend of home runs in this series. Greinke allowed five runs on eight hits including a pair of home runs in five innings in his last start in this ballpark. Frankie Montas allowed five runs on seven hits including three home runs in four innings in his last start at Chavez Ravine. We saw five home runs in the first five innings in LA yesterday. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-07-20 | Rays v. Yankees -110 | 8-4 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYY. Aaron Boone tried to get cute with his pitching staff in Game 2, and the result was a 7-5 loss. The Yankees should be in a lot better shape with Masahiro Tanaka starting in Game 3. Tanaka was 3-2 with a 3.62 ERA in his last five starts, and he has had success against the Rays. Tampa is batting a combined .210 with more strikeouts than hits over 189 bats against him. The Rays hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA in his last five starts. Giancarlo Stanton is batting .346 lifetime versus Morton. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-07-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Braves | 0-2 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami +1.5. The Atlanta Braves didn't allow a run in a two game sweep of Cincinnati, but they didn't exactly light it up with their bats. They face a Miami team that is perhaps better than they get credit for. Pablo Lopez will toe the slab for the Fish, and he's been solid of late. He has appeared in three straight wins, most recently tossing five scoreless innings against the Braves. The Braves hand the ball to Ian Anderson, who has allowed five runs on nine hits over 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts versus Miami. The Braves lost both those games. The Marlins are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-06-20 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-5 | Loss | -160 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SD +1.5. The Padres bats powered them past the Cardinals, and they look like a formidable opponent for the Dodgers in the NLDS. Walker Buehler will toe the slab for LA, and he hasn't been as sharp this season as he was a year ago. He was just 0-0 with a 6.19 ERA in four appearances outside LA this season. He's allowed seven runs on eight hits over 10 2/3 innings in his last three appearances. The Padres did not announce a starter for Game 1, after using nine pitchers in Game 3 against St. Louis. The Padres are 15-5 in their last 20 during game 1 of a series. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-06-20 | Lakers -7 v. Heat | 102-96 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over (Lakers Team Total). Anthony Davis was in foul trouble early in Game 3, and he only attempted nine shots in the game. He's gotta be better tonight, and the Lakers are still the overwhelming favorite. What I said prior to Game 2 is still valid: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over." GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-06-20 | Astros +1.5 v. A's | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Houston +1.5. The Astros continue to silence the critics, with three straight playoff victories. They look good again this afternoon as an underdog versus Oakland. Sean Manaea will toe the slab for Oakland, and he has far better numbers at home than he does on the road. He was just 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in six starts outside of Oakland. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, and he's allowed just two runs on a dozen hits with 24 strikeouts in his last three appearances. Oakland had won three of four head to head meetings prior to Game 1 of this series, but three of those games were decided by a single run. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-06-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Braves | 5-9 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIAMI +1.5. The Atlanta Braves didn't allow a run in a two game sweep of Cincinnati, but they didn't exactly light it up with their bats. They face a Miami team that is perhaps better than they get credit for. Sandy Alcantara will toe the slab for the Fish, and he's been solid of late. He has allowed a single run in three of of his last four starts. He's 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA in his last three starts. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried, who allowed a pair of runs on three hits in one inning the last time he faced Miami. He has an ERA of 4.50 in his last four starts. The Marlins are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56.5 | 16-30 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The 3-0 Packers and the 0-3 Falcons might be more similar than they are different. They are both averaging 30 or more points per game, and they have both allowed opponents to score more than 28 points per game. The bookmakers are expecting to see another high scoring affair here in Green Bay on Monday night, but the Packers are going to be shorthanded without their two top wide receivers. This presents an opportunity for Marquez Vadles-Scantling and Aaron Jones to play a bigger role in the passing game. I am expecting both teams to get their share of points, and Valdes-Scantling and Jones to fill the stat sheet. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-20 | Yankees -141 v. Rays | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYY. Usually the first thing you look at when betting baseball is the starting pitchers, and here in this game we have a pair of aces. Gerrit Cole will toe the slab for New York, and he's delivered for the Yankees lately. Cole has allowed four runs while striking out 37 batters in his last four starts, and the Yankees won all four of those games. Blake Snell will get the nod for the Rays, and he's been just as impressive as Cole. The problem for Snell is, he's facing a loaded Yankees lineup that just lit up the AL Cy Young favorite Shane Bieber. Judge, Stanton and LeMahieu all missed games in the regular season series, but Snell will face all three tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-20 | Patriots +11 v. Chiefs | 10-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New England. The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs OVER 49 | 10-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-20 | Astros +1.5 v. A's | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston +1.5. Say what you want about the Houston Astros, but they are still the defending champs and they know what it takes to win in the post-season. They proved that against the Twins, and I'll take them as the underdog in Game 1 here versus Oakland. Lance McCullers will toe the slab for the Astros, and he has a 1.53 ERA in his last four starts. He was 3-1 with a 3.91 ERA in four starts against the A's in 2019. The A's hand the ball to Chris Bassit, and he's been very solid as well. He was 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA in three starts versus Houston this season, and he was 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA against the Astros last year. Oakland is 3-1 in the last four head to head meetings, but three of those games were decided by one run. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-20 | Lakers -4.5 v. Heat | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Lakers (team total). My analysis for Game 2 still plays: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over." GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears +3 | 19-11 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago. The 3-0 Bears are a home dog against the Colts, and it's easy to see why people don't believe in the Bears. They did get extremely lucky in wins over Detroit and Atlanta, and they barely beat a very bad Giants team. The Bears are definitely on my list of overvalued teams, but sitting right next to them are the 2-1 Colts. Reading the ESPN preview for this game the author talks about how the Colts defense ranks near the top in most defensive categories. I consider such analysis laughable when you consider they beat the Jets and Vikings and lost to the 1-2 Jags. The Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite, and the Bears are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog. As much as I don't like the Bears, I am gonna get on the right side of the line here. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-20 | Giants v. Rams -13 | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rams. The Giants are 0-3, and at this point their plan for the season should involve a heavy military vehicle on tracks. Yes it's time for the Giants to start tanking for Trevor. The Rams on the other hand looked pretty good in their first loss of the season on the road against a very good Buffalo team. They come back to California with a 2-1 record, and they are a heavy favorite in this matchup versus New York. They have been looking for a replacement for Todd Gurley, if last week was any indication they might have found their man. Darrell Henderson ran for 114 yards and a TD on just 20 carries at Buffalo. He could have a big day here against the Giants. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-20 | Cardinals -185 v. Panthers | 21-31 | Loss | -185 | 286 h 9 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
10-03-20 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -16.5 | 21-14 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi State. The Bulldogs pulled off the most shocking upset in the SEC last week, beating the defending champions by double digits. This has situational handicappers salivating at the opportunity to take advantage of what looks like the classic "let down spot". This might make sense if you feel that the Bulldogs got incredibly lucky against the Tigers, but when you consider that KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs, it begs the question: "how is Arkansas going to stop that?" Arkansas has lost three straight to the Bulldogs, and both of the last two losses came by 20+ points. The Razorbacks have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. I see no reason to count on Mississippi State suffering a let down here. Take MSST. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-03-20 | Navy -6.5 v. Air Force | 7-40 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Navy. It's fair to say that the Midshipmen were not prepared for the start of the season, losing 55-3 to BYU in their season opener. The rust was still there in their second game against Tulane, as they trailed 24-0 at halftime. They stormed back with 27 unanswered points in the second half, completing their biggest comeback in team history. Now they face an Air Force team that has a decimated roster. "We're working through that, and that probably goes for a good number of spots," Falcons coach Troy Calhoun said Tuesday about situation at the quarterback position. "We're going to have some guys in certain positions, probably more so on the defensive side of the ball ... the other thing that we're going to have to balance is just the involvement of the special teams part of it." I don't think there is any way Air Force can be properly prepared to compete with a Navy team that is already up to full speed. Take Navy. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-03-20 | North Carolina v. Boston College UNDER 54 | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-03-20 | Manchester City v. Leeds United OVER 3.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Leeds United has had no trouble scoring goals since their return to the Premier League, finding the back of the net eight times in three matches. They haven't had much success stopping opponents from scoring, allowing seven goals in those games. Manchester City has also struggled on defense, coming off an ugly 5-2 loss to Leicester City. This will be just the third Premier League match of the season for City, and they have gone over in four straight matches in all competitions. The over is also 4-1 in their last five matches versus Leeds. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-02-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 216 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BYU Over (team total). LA Tech and BYU are both undefeated, and both teams have scored plenty of points. That's where the similarities end, as BYU has held opponents to a combined 10 points. The Bulldogs have played two unranked teams and have allowed 30 or more points in both games. The over is 5-2-1 in the Cougars last eight games overall, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus Conference USA teams. Zack Wilson has completed almost 80 percent of his passes through the first two games, and the Cougars running game has averaged almost 250 yards per game. This game has blowout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-02-20 | Cardinals v. Padres OVER 9 | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. | |||||||
10-01-20 | Broncos -101 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Broncos. Both these teams are 0-3, and both these teams have been hit hard by injuries. The Broncos though have been competitive, and they appear to have more talent left on the roster despite their injuries. Third string QB Brett Rypien is set to start for Denver, but that might not be a bad thing. The Broncos might be better off playing conservative and allowing the Jets to hurt themselves. Sam Darnold has thrown more picks (4) than TDs (3) so far this season, averaging less than 200 passing yards per game. The Jets also rank 28th in the league in rushing averaging just 88 yards per game. The Denver defense has played pretty well all things considered, allowing an average of 23 points in losses to Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay and Tennessee. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-01-20 | Reds v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OVER. After a pitcher's duel in Game 1 in Atlanta, I expect more scoring here in Game 2. This is a hitter's park, and five of the final seven games of the regular season in Atlanta saw nine or more runs scored. Ian Anderson will toe the slab for the Braves, and he allowed five runs on nine hits in 8 2/3 innings in his last two appearances at home. The Reds hand the ball to Louis Castillo, who has pitched better at home than he has on the road. He was just 2-5 with a 4.12 ERA in seven starts on the road. Atlanta has hit him hard, batting a combined .388 over 47 at bats in previous meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers -189 | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 47 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lakers. So I had the Toronto Raptors winning outright as a big underdog in last year's NBA Finals. If you expected me to come back with the underdog here this season, you will be disappointed. I don't see a lot of similarities between this Heat team, and the 2019 Raptors. Toronto was already a first place team in the East when the acquired NBA Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard. Coming into the Finals Kawhi had been the best player in the playoffs, and the Warriors had been banged up. The Lakers on the other hand are healthy, and LeBron James and Anthony Davis have both been dominant. The Lakers have won six of the last seven head to head meetings, and four of those six wins came by double digits. I have the Lakers winning Game 1, winning the Series in five games, and LeBron winning Finals MVP. While it's likely Anthony Davis will outscore LeBron, I don't see James being snubbed in the Finals after getting snubbed in the regular season. James is also capable of taking over games with his defense, like he did in the Western Conference Finals when he switched to guard Jamal Murray. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-20 | Yankees -120 v. Indians | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYY. The Bronx Bombers crushed the presumptive AL Cy Young winner in Game 1, and they have all the momentum heading into Game 2. Masahiro Tanaka will toe the slab for New York, and he's had a solid September. Tanaka is 3-2 with a 3,62 ERA in his last five starts. The Indians hand the ball to Carolos Carrasco, who had a losing record at home during the regular season. He was 2-3 with a 3.03 ERA in seven starts. Perhaps Carrasco was hurt by a lack of run support, but that has been a theme all year for the Indians. Cleveland's team batting average of .228 is the worst of any team in the playoffs. The Yankees are 11-3 in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-20 | Reds +1.5 v. Braves | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Cincinnati +1.5. The Reds are a big underdog in Game 1 at Atlanta, but they have a chance with ace Trevor Bauer on the mound. Bauer (5-4, 1.73 ERA) has allowed three runs and struck out 39 batters in his last four starts. He was 4-1 with a 1.32 ERA in five starts on the road this season. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried, who has a 7-0 record but has been far from perfect. He's allowed eight runs on 16 hits in his last 16 innings of work. Atlanta has lost seven of their last 10 playoff games at home, and they are 8-20 in their last 28 playoff games. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-20 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto +1.5. The Rays finished first in the AL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 against the Jays. Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Jays, and the Rays haven't had much success against him. Tampa is batting a combined .157 over 86 at bats in previous meetings. The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who is still one of the best in the business. He's just 2-2 with a 3,42 ERA in his last five starts. Tampa has won six of the last 10 head to head meetings, but only two of those six wins came by more than one run. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-20 | White Sox v. A's +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -150 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Oakland A's. +1.5. Both Chicago and Oakland have been impressive this season, but I think home field will be key in Game 1 of this series. Jesus Luzardo will toe the slab for the A's, and he's been brilliant at home. The 22 year old was 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in eight appearances at home this season. The White Sox hand the ball to their ace, and Lucas Giolito has had a fine season. The A's are batting a combined .338 over 48 bats against Giolito in previous meetings. The Athletics are 8-1 in their last nine games as a home underdog. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Twins | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Astros +1.5. It's easy to cheer against Houston, branded cheaters after the sign stealing fiasco. The Astros are the underdog in Game 1 at Minnesota with Zack Greinke on the mound, and I just can't count them out. The Astros are 57-20 in their last 77 during game 1 of a series, and they are 40-11 in their last 51 games following an off day. The Twins are 3-23 in their last 26 playoff games, and they have lost 11 straight playoff games at home. "Greinke is as tough as they come," Minnesota manager Rocco Baldelli said. "Tremendously talented guy. Can do some really funny things with the baseball and play tricks on people in ways you normally don't see on a major league baseball field." Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-28-20 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
09-28-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -178 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
09-28-20 | Lightning v. Stars OVER 5 | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 5. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Packers +3.5 v. Saints | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Packers. Green Bay has been lighting it up on offense during a 2-0 start, scoring 43 in Week 1 at Minnesota, and 42 at home against the Lions last Sunday. They are getting points on the road at New Orleans, and the Saints look like they may have lost a step. Drew Brees has struggled without top target Michael Thomas. He threw for 312 yards with a TD and an INT in last week's loss to the Raiders. Alvin Kamara isn't exactly picking up the slack, running for less than 100 yards so far this season. The Saints are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and with the line on the wrong side of a field goal, they look overvalued in this spot. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. I had Miami in Game 4, and I don't have much to add to what I already said prior to that game: "trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings." Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -190 | 26-23 | Loss | -190 | 162 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cardinals. Have you heard of the sophomore jinx? Kyler Murray wouldn't know much about that, he's lighting it up in his second year in Arizona. The former Oklahoma Sooner has thrown for 515 yards and a pair of TDs and he's run for 158 yards and three more. He's facing a struggling Lions offense at home this week, and Detroit has allowed an average of 34.5 points in back to back losses to start the season. With all the injuries, and a poor start, it might be just a matter of time before the Lions are tanking for Trevor. The Lions are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road. The home team is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 head to head meetings. Take ARZ. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-20 | Cowboys v. Seahawks -170 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 155 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks. After two weeks Russel Wilson is the odds on favorite to win the MVP award. The 31 year old has thrown for 610 yards with nine TDs and just one INT. The Cowboys needed a lot of luck to rally to win last week at home versus Atlanta. A late score followed by an onside kick recovery set up a game winning field goal. This could set them up for a let down here on the road in Seattle. Dallas hasn't been a good bet against Seattle, failing to cover in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Seahawks have covered in five of their last six when asked to cover points. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-20 | Bears v. Falcons -160 | 30-26 | Loss | -160 | 158 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Chicago Bears are 2-0, but they will be an underdog heading into a road game at Atlanta this week. Their 2-0 start hasn't been all the convincing, beating Detroit with a fourth quarter comeback, and winning a home game against the Giants by a score of 17-14. Atlanta is 0-2, but they should be 1-1. Last week they suffered a complete meltdown in the fourth quarter versus Dallas, blowing a 15 point lead. The good news for the Falcons is that Matt Ryan has thrown for over 700 yards with six TDs and just one INT in two games so far. Mitch Trubisky isn't likely to match serves with Matty Ice. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-20 | Paulo Costa v. Israel Adesanya OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 45 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5 rounds. This historic fight features two undefeated fighters that have never been knocked out. Isreal Adesanya is a technical fighter, that isn't known to be the best finisher. He's seen three of his last four fights go the distance, including three rounds against a 45 year old Anderson Silva. Adensanya is the favorite, but Costa isn't going to be an easy opponent. He's won 13 fights, 11 of those by knockout. His last fight though was a unanimous decision against Yoel Romero. I would be suprised to see either fighter end this fight early. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-26-20 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | 107-117 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 ATS in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers won Game 4 at the free throw line, and that didn't go unnoticed. We should see the Nuggets get an opportunity to extend this series in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-26-20 | West Virginia +8.5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WVU. Oklahoma State didn't look sharp in a home win over Tulsa last week. They scored just three points in the first three quarters, and they needed to rally to score 13 in the fourth to win 16-7. Chubba Hubbard ran for a rather pedestrian 93 yards on 27 carries in the victory. The Cowboys might still be dealing with off the field distractions, after players called out head coach Mike Gundy in the off-season. Gundy managed to keep his job but was forced to take a pay cut after a photo surfaced showing him wearing a t-shirt that some people thought was offensive. The Mountaineers aren't expected to be a contender in the BIG12 this season, but they looked pretty good in a 56-10 win over Eastern Kentucky in their opener. The Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in September, and the underdog has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-26-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5 | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-26-20 | Florida -14.5 v. Ole Miss | 51-35 | Win | 100 | 95 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Florida. The Rebels are excited about the future since bringing in Lane Kiffin this off season. I don't expect Kiffin to have it all figured out in Week 1 though, and he draws a tough matchup against #5 ranked Florida. The Gators are in their third year under Dan Mullen, coming off an 11-2 season last year. They have senior QB Kyle Trask running the offense. A new coach, a new offense and uncertainty at the quarterback position isn't going to make it easy for the Rebels to hang around against a more talented Florida team. The Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, and the Rebels are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-25-20 | Heat +143 v. Celtics | 108-121 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
09-25-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
09-25-20 | Tigers v. Royals -147 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have already proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers are lucky they aren't losing this series. I'll take the points in Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-20 | Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -123 | 55 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jaguars. The Jags were supposed to be the worst team in the NFL this season, but don't tell that to Gardner Minshew. The man with the moustache has been impressive during a 1-1 start, throwing for 512 yards, six TDs and a pair of INTs on 49-of-65 passing. The Dolphins have been as advertised, going 0-2 and ranking 29th in the league in total defense through the first two weeks. Ryan Fitzpatrick put up big numbers in a loss to the Bills last week, but a last minute touchdown made the game appear to be a lot closer than it actually was. Both these teams have been airing it out in their first two games, but the Jags might take advantage of a soft Miami run defense. Rookie running back James Robinson ran for 102 yards and a TD on just 16 carries last week. He's averaging over five yards per carry, and his workload might increase this week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-20 | Tigers v. Royals -146 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on KC. The Royals are on a bit of a roll lately, winning five of their last six home games. The bats came alive in a 12-3 win over the Cardinals last night, and they draw a favorable matchup against the Tigers here on Thursday. Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he hasn't gone deeper than three innings in any of his starts this season. He's been really bad on the road, going 0-2 with an ERA over 11.00 in four appearances. The Royals hand the ball to Kris Bubic, who has been so much better than his 1-6 record would lead you to believe. He's gone 5+ innings, allowing two or fewer runs with 6+ strikeouts in three of his last four appearances. Fulmer is 2-5 with a 4.55 ERA in 10 career starts against the Royals. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +139 | 109-112 | Win | 139 | 34 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Miami Heat. The Celtics came into this series as the better team on paper, and the favorite to advance to the NBA Finals. They come into Game 4 trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -190 | 33 h 30 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
09-23-20 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the CWS +1.5. | |||||||
09-22-20 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. | |||||||
09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Raiders offense was firing on all cylinders in Week 1, totaling 34 points on 372 total yards. Josh Jacobs scored three TDs, running for 93 yards on 25 carries. Derek Carr had a clean game, throwing for 239 yards and a TD without turning the ball over. The Raiders won seven games last season, and five of those seven wins came at home. They were not very good defensively, and based on their performance in Week 1 their defense is still a big concern. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog, and the over is 16-7 in the Saints last 23 games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-20 | Stars +1.5 v. Lightning | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Dallas Stars. The Stars will be the underdog in the Stanley Cup Finals, despite the fact that they were far more impressive in their Conference Finals series versus Vegas than Tampa was against the Islanders. The Lightning defeated the Isles in overtime in Game 6, and the 2-1 final was the same score as Game 5, and Game 2. The Stars have seen five of their last six games decided by a single goal, and these two teams have gone to overtime in three of the last five head to head meetings. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-20 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. | |||||||
09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New England Patriots. The Seahawks won 11 games last year, and all but one of those were decided by a single score. Four of their first five wins came by four points or less. They are asked to cover a handful of points in this home game against New England, and the Patriots defense should be ready for the challenge. New England ranked second in the NFL in passing defense last year, and in Week 1 they terrorized Ryan Fitzpatrick. I expect both these teams to look to run the ball, and a close low scoring game is expected. The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the under is 15-7 in their last 22 road games. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 145 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Arizona. Which Washington Football Team should we expect to see in Week 2? The team that trailed 17-0 at home early against the Eagles, or the team that rallied to beat Philly scoring 27 unanswered points. Last week Washington was lucky to win the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin, something that they can't count on moving forward. Their offense totaled just 239 yards on 70 plays against Philly, and that is unlikely to cut it here in Arizona. The Cardinals offense looks sharp with Kyler Murray hooking up with DeAndre Hopkins. This should be a double digit win for the home team. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-20 | Bills -190 v. Dolphins | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 157 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins spent all of last season "tanking for Tua", and now Tua is sitting on the bench while Ryan Fitzpatrick is running the offense. He completed 20-of-30 passes for 191 yards and three picks in a 21-11 loss to New England in Week 1. Next up are the Buffalo Bills, who impressed in a win over the Jets in Week 1. The experts predicted that Josh Allen would struggle, but he threw for 312 yards and two TDs on 33-of-46 passing against New York. The Bills fancy themselves as favorites to win the AFC East, and it might be a bad idea to bet against them. Take BUFF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers -5.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 142 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Green Bay. Last week's win over Minnesota was vintage Aaron Rodgers, as he threw for 364 yards and four TDs on 32-of-44 passing. The Vikings had no answer for Davante Adams who had 14 catches and two TDs for 156 yards. The Lions come limping into Lambeau off a crushing home loss to the Bears, blowing a lead in the fourth quarter. Detroit was hit with several injuries to the secondary late in last week's game against the Bears, and with the backups in the game Mitch Tribisky looked like Aaron Rodgers. Facing the real Aaron Rodgers this Sunday, this game could turn into a blowout in a hurry. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-20 | Vikings +3.5 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the Vikings. The Colts first game with Philip Rivers at quarterback was a complete disaster. The veteran was picked off twice, allowing the Jaguars to rally to win 27-20 in a game where Indy had almost twice as many yards. They come back home to face a far tougher Vikings team, and I just don't see why they are asked to cover more than a FG. While Aaron Rodgers torched the Vikings last week, Philip Rivers at this point in his career isn't in the same class. The Minnesota offense did it's job last week, scoring 34 points. Kirk Cousins might not be MVP material, but I'll take him over old man Rivers all day long. Gotta grab the points here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-20 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 3 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5 goals. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,395 |
Joey Tron | $617 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Ross Benjamin | $583 |
Big Al McMordie | $401 |
Matt Fargo | $327 |
Ricky Tran | $297 |
Sean Higgs | $140 |
Jesse Schule | $98 |
Kyle Hunter | $66 |