Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-03-22 | Austin v. Nashville SC OVER 2.75 | 0-3 | Win | 50 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Austin F.C. is the second highest scoring team in MLS behind LAFC. After upsetting LAFC they suffered a let down in their next game losing 2-1 at home to Portland. They look to get back on track here in Nashville, and I like both teams to score in a high scoring match here. Nashville has one of the worst home records in MLS, despite scoring 25 goals in 15 matches. Austin F.C. has the second best away record in MLS, scoring 23 goals in 14 matches. The over is a combined 10-0 in these teams last 10 matches combined. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-22 | Nationals v. Mets -1.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -165 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYM. The Mets won Game 1 by a score of 7-3, and Game 2 should be another blowout. Mad Max will toe the slab for New York, and he's 4-2 with a 1.66 ERA in nine home starts. He's 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA in two starts versus Washington. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who hasn't missed many bats this season. He's 1-10 with an 8.83 ERA in a dozen road starts. He's also 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA in four starts versus the Mets. Pete Alonso is batting .382 with five home runs in 34 career at bats versus Corbin. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-22 | Utah -135 v. Florida | 26-29 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Utah. The PAC12 is weak and the SEC is strong. That's the narrative we have heard for the better part of the last decade, and while there is plenty of truth to that sentiment I don't think it applies here. I think if we are being honest with ourselves, we have to come to the conclusion that Utah has superior coaching, a better quarterback, more returning talent on both sides of the ball and all the continuity and stability that goes along with that. Florida on the other hand has a first year head coach with a quarterback that has been inconsistent. The Gators are 0-7 ATS in their last seven non-conference games and they have failed to cover in seven straight overall and four straight at home. This is just a bad matchup for the Gators in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-22 | Houston -180 v. UTSA | Top | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 157 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. UTSA won 11 straight games to start last season, and they beat Western Kentucky 49-41 in the C-USA Championship Game. They didn't face a ranked team until they played #24 ranked San Diego State in the Frisco Bowl. They open the season at home versus #24 ranked Houston, and this Cougars team appears to be undervalued. Clayton Tune is back for his senior year after throwing for 3,546 yards, 30 TDs and 10 INTs last year. His top target WR Nathaniel Dell is also coming back in 2022. The Cougars opened as a -6.5 point favorite, and this line has come down a few points. This allows us to make a play on the favorite to win straight up, and I can't see UTSA stopping a legit Heisman contender QB with an experienced offensive line and a stud WR. Dana Holgorsen's team has a real shot at being this season's version of the Cincinnati Bearcats, and I don't think they will allow their season to be derailed in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-22 | Cincinnati v. Arkansas -6 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arkansas. After winning 13 games and becoming the first Group of Five team to make the College Football Playoffs last season, you have to think it’s inevitable that Cincinnati takes a step back in 2022. They lost nine starters to the NFL draft, including their starting quarterback and six defensive starters. They lost 27-6 in the Cotton Bowl versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide ran for 301 yards on 47 carries in the victory. Playing on the road against an Arkansas team that was #1 in the SEC in rushing last year isn't ideal for the Bearcats. The Razorbacks were 6-1 at home last season, and 5-0 in non conference play. Oh BTW, that Alabama team that held Cincinnati to six points at a neutral site, just barely escaped with a 42-35 home win over Arkansas last year. I just don't think these teams are in the same class, Arkansas is BIGGER, FASTER, STRONGER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-02-22 | Illinois +3 v. Indiana | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 69 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Illinois. Bret Beliema had everything going in the season opener against Wyoming. Illinois won 38-6, and many pundits have said that this says more about Wyoming than it does about Illinois. I am not sure I agree. Tommy Devito was accurate, throwing for 194 yards and two TDs on 27-of-37 passing. Illinois ran for 260 yards and three TDs, and they didn't turn the ball over. They executed on every level, and that should give them confidence heading into Indiana. It remains to be seen if the Hoosiers have improved after closing last season with eight straight losses. They may well be better, but I can't see it justifying them as a three-point favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-02-22 | Rangers v. Red Sox -170 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Boston. The Red Sox have struggled, but they have a really favorable matchup here in Game 2 versus Texas at Fenway. Dallas Keuchel will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he really doesn't belong in the majors at this point. He's had a terrible season bouncing around, and he's 1-4 with a 13.75 ERA in five starts on the road. Boston will hand the ball to Nick Pivetta, who is 1-2 with a 4.08 ERA in his last five starts. He hasn't got much run support, but that shouldn't be an issue here today. The Rangers are 8-27 in their last 35 versus the American League East, and they have lost five of their last six at Fenway. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-01-22 | Penn State -165 v. Purdue | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 70 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Penn State. At first glance, a Purdue team that won nine games in 2021 looks pretty good as a home underdog versus a Penn State team that was just 7-6 overall last season. Of course the Boilermakers lost star wide receiver David Bell, but that didn't prevent them from beating Tennessee in the Music City Bowl. What's even more concerning for Purdue is the way they played against the bigger more physical teams in the BIG10 last year. They lost at home to Minnesota and Wisconsin, and in both of those losses they scored just 13 points. Adrian O'Connell was sacked a total of eight times in those losses. With the Nittany Lions coming off a down year, and Purdue coming off a breakout season, it's easy to see how recency bias would effect this line. Penn State is 8-0 straight up versus Purdue dating back to 2006, and all of those wins came by more than 3.5 points. Sean Clifford played poorly after getting injured last year, but he's going to be a lot better if he's healthy. The Nittany Lions likely have the better athletes on both sides of the ball. Under James Franklin they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in September, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 BIG10 games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-01-22 | Mariners v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Mariners have won back to back games in Detroit, and they go for the sweep Thursday afternoon. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 6-1 with a 3.15 ERA in 15 road starts. The Tigers hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-0 with an 0.82 ERA in his last five starts. The under is 8-1-1 in the Tigers last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-22 | Storm +6 v. Aces | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. The Zig Zag Theory is a popular strategy for basketball bettors, especially in the playoffs. I've never been a fan of this angle, especially when bookmakers adjust the lines accordingly. The Seattle Storm just won Game 1 outright, and now they are getting six points in Game 2. While the Aces are the #1 ranked team in the WNBA, they haven't been kind to bettors. Las Vegas is just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five coming off a loss. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-22 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool -1.75 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. After a lackluster start to the season Liverpool scored nine times in a 9-0 win over Bournemouth over the weekend. They host Newcastle here on Wednesday, and this looks like a tough spot for the Magpies. Newcastle could be without six starting players for this match, and that includes stars Allan Saint-Maximin and Callum Wilson. The last visit to Anfield was a 3-1 loss for Newcastle, and a similar score should be expected here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-22 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -143 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Texas. The Rangers look good with their ace on the mound here in Game 2 of a home series versus Houston. Martin Perez (10-4, 2.69 ERA) is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA in a dozen home starts, and he's 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA in two starts versus Houston. The Astros hand the ball to Christian Javier, who is 5th on the depth chart. He's perhaps been unlucky, but the Astros have lost seven of his last nine starts. The Rangers are 18-8 in Perez 26 starts overall, but they are 22-4 on the runline in those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-30-22 | Rockies v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ATL. The Braves are just three games back of the Mets in the NL East, and they have a favorable matchup in Game 1 of a home series versus Colorado Tuesday. Jose Urena will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been just terrible all year. He's 1-2 with a 7.88 ERA in his last five starts. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried, who is 2-1 with a 1.61 ERA in his last four starts. The Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 games following an off day, and they are 15-41 in their last 56 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-29-22 | Red Sox v. Twins -127 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIN. After sweeping the Giants over the Weekend, the Twins are just two games out of first in the Central. They are a small favorite versus a Boston team that is just 3-7 in their last 10 overall. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for the Twins, and this looks like a good spot for him. He's 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA at home, and he's 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA against Boston this year. The Red Sox hand the ball to Brayan Bello, who is 0-0 with a 9.64 ERA in two road starts. The Red Sox are 1-5 in their last six games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-22 | Sun +4 v. Sky | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Connecticut. Lets keep this simple, the Sun have simply been playing better ball down the stretch. They are 11-3 straight up in their last 14 overall, and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 overall. They are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games. Three of their last four head to head matchups versus Chicago have been decided by four points or less. Chicago came out flat in Game 1 of their first round series versus the Liberty, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last nine home games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-22 | Guardians v. Mariners -141 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. After blowing a two run lead in the 8th inning last night, I expect the Mariners to get revenge here in Game 4. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been great at Safeco. He's 5-3 with a 2.69 ERA in 14 home starts, and he's 2-1 with a 3.14 ERA in his last five starts overall. The Guardians hand the ball to Aaron Civale, who is just 0-2 with a 6.56 ERA in eight road starts. The Mariners are 5-1 in their last six home games versus Cleveland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-22 | Giants v. Jets OVER 38 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 85 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We wrap up the pre-season on Sunday with the Giants vs Jets. Two undefeated teams, each with solid depth at the QB position. Mike White and Chris Streveler have been great for the Jets, while Tyrod Taylor and Davis Webb have been solid for the GMEN. Last season the Jets final pre-season game was a 31-31 tie, and the Giants also played their highest scoring pre-season game in Week 3. The Giants have averaged 24 points per game in the first two weeks, while the Jets have scored exactly 24 points in both of their games so far. The total here should likely be a few points higher. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-27-22 | Guardians v. Mariners -170 | 4-3 | Loss | -170 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. The Mariners have won the first two game of this home series versus Cleveland, and they have a favorable matchup in Game 3. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been dealing since arriving in The Emerald City. He tossed eight scoreless innings in a win over the Yankees in his only previous start at Safeco. The Guardians hand the ball to Zach Plesac, who hasn't missed many bats lately. He's 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in his last four starts, and he's 1-7 with a 4.93 ERA in a dozen road starts. The Guardians are 0-5 in the last five meetings in Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-27-22 | San Jose v. Sporting KC -112 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 68 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC. Kansas City sits dead last in the MLS standings, but after picking up William Agada and Erick Thommy in the mid season transfer market, they are not the same squad. They have scored 11 goals in their last three matches, winning two of those games. They host San Jose Saturday, and this appears to be a let down spot for the Earthquakes. San Jose is coming off a 2-1 home win over LAFC, but the Earthquakes have just one win in 13 away matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-27-22 | Giants v. Twins -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Minnesota. The Twins snapped a six game losing skid with a 9-0 win in Game 1 of this home series versus San Francisco, and I expect some momentum to carry over into Game 2. Sonny Gray will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been solid at home. He's 2-1 with a 2.03 ERA in his last five starts overall. The Giants hand the ball to Alex Cobb, who owns a 5.65 ERA in eight starts on the road. The Twins are 4-1 in their last five interleague home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-27-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rangers | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Detroit. The Tigers lost Game 1 in Texas by a score of 7-6. They have won five of their last nine outright, and they are 7-2 on the runline in those games. Dallas Keuchel will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's bounced around all year. No matter where he goes, he's struggles. He's 0-2 with a 10.05 ERA in his last three major league starts. The Tigers hand the ball to Eduardo Rodrgiuez, who is not a Cy Young candidate either. He has held opponents to one run or less in three of his last four appearances. The Rangers are 6-13 in their last 19 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-27-22 | Northwestern +13.5 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NW. The Huskers were 3-9 straight up last season, and somehow Scott Frost kept his job. He was aggressive in the transfer portal bringing in a whopping 22 new players. Nebraska has a new quarterback and a new offensive coordinator, but expectations are high heading into 2022. They opened as a 10-point favorite for this Week 0 matchup versus Northwestern, but this line has been bet up several points. I don't think Pat Fitzgerald is getting enough respect in this spot, especially given that this is a huge revenge spot after losing 56-7 at Nebraska last year. While the Wildcats didn't bring in as many high profile transfers as Nebraska, they do bring back a strong offensive line and a deep stable of running backs. Quarterback Ryan Hilinski is back, and if nothing else he has experience. Prior to Nebraska winning big last season, the previous six meetings were all close, decided by an average margin of 5.6 points. Bettors must have short memories to be backing Nebraska as a double digit favorite in their season opener. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-26-22 | Saskatchewan v. BC -175 | 23-16 | Loss | -175 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on the BC Lions. So Nathan Rourke is sidelined with an injury, and the Lions quarterback leads the CFL in passing yards as well as TDs. So how will the Lions fare without him? I personally think they will do just fine. In fact I think Michael O'Connor is stepping into an ideal situation. It wouldn't surprise me at all if this moment is remembered similar to Cardale Jones stepping in for JT Barrett at Ohio State and winning a National Championship. Or Kurt Warner stepping in at quarterback for the Rams and winning a Super Bowl. The Lions are stacked with talent, studs on the offensive line, a talented receiving corpse and a dynamic running back in James Butler. Last year O'Connor beat out Dakota Prukop for a roster spot in Calgary, and he had a solid training camp with the Lions this summer. Meanwhile they face a Saskatchewan team that benched their starting QB in a 28-10 home loss to BC last week. Cody Fajardo has been playing with a knee injury, and his ineffective play can likely be blamed on his injury. The Lions don't have to reinvent the wheel here, and they should be able to beat a banged up Saskatchewan team at home Friday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-25-22 | Blue Jays -162 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on TOR. The Jays are 5-1 on this current road trip, and they have a favorable matchup here in Game 3 at Fenway. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's 6-3 with a 1.56 ERA in 11 road starts. He's also 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA in four starts against Boston. The Sox hand the ball to Kutter Crawford who is 1-2 with a 6.15 ERA in his last five starts. The Red Sox are 5-13 in their last 18 versus the American League East, and injuries to Pham, Bogaerts, Hosmer, Story and Arroyo are going to make it difficult to dig out of this hole. The Blue Jays are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-24-22 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TB. The Rays scored 11 runs in a blowout win in Game 2 versus the Angels, and we expect more of the same in Game 3. Shane McLannahan will toe the slab for Tampa, and he's 9-3 with a 2.38 ERA in 15 home starts. The Angels hand the ball to Austin Powers (Mike Mayers) who has allowed seven runs on 11 hits and four home runs in 12 innings in his last three appearances. The Angels are 6-21 in their last 27 versus the American League East. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-24-22 | White Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -159 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles are just 6-6 in their last 12 games overall, but they are 9-3 ATS in those games. They host Chicago in Game 2 at Camden Yards and they are an underdog after winning Game 1. Spenser Watkins will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he allowed one unearned run in five innings in a win over the White Sox earlier this year. The Sox hand the ball to Lucas Giolito, who owns a 6.12 ERA in his last five starts. The White Sox have lost five of their last six overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-24-22 | Rangers -126 v. Rockies | 16-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. After losing Game 1 by a score of 7-6, I like the Rangers to level the series with a win in Game 2. Jose Urena will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he hasn't missed many bats this season. He's 1-2 with a 6.66 ERA in his last five starts, and he's allowed six home runs in his last three starts. The Rangers hand the ball to Martin Perez, who is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA in 12 starts on the road. The Rangers are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-23-22 | Sky v. Liberty +7 | 90-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on New York. This series heads to New York tied 1-1, but the Chicago Sky blew the doors off in a 100-62 home win in Game 2 after losing outright in Game 1. These two teams played twice in New York this season, splitting those games. The game Chicago won was close, ending with a score of 88-86. Chicago has failed to cover in four straight coming off a win, and the Sky are 8-18-2 ATS in their last 28 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Chicago has failed to cover in four of the last five in New York. I am gonna take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-22-22 | Falcons v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the J E T S .. JETS! JETS! JETS! Robert Saleh can't make up his mind if he's going to play his starters, but I am not bothered either way. Mike White got the majority of the snaps in the Jets win over Philly, and if it's him and Chris Streveler at QB that's plenty good enough in a home game with a head coach who has never lost a pre-season game. All Streveler did is toss a pair of TD passes on 6-of-9 passing for 69 yards against the Eagles. Oh, by the way he's Grey Cup champion, which puts him in good company with the likes of Doug Flutie, Jeff Garcia and Warren Moon. Desmond Ridder and Feleipe Franks have never experienced a real NFL game. I am gonna take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-22-22 | Liverpool -155 v. Manchester United | 1-2 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. Neither of these two clubs have started the season the way they have hoped, but the situation at Old Trafford is a real dumpster fire. There have even been rumors that this match could be postponed due to protests from fans calling for the American owners of the club to be ousted. Erik Ten Hag has made a move to sign defensive midfielder Casemiro, but he's not going to play in this match. It will be the same squad that allowed four goals to Brentford, and lost 2-1 at home to Brighton. Liverpool has won three straight Premier League matches versus United by a combined score of 13-2. Two of those wins came at Old Trafford. It goes from bad to worse for the Red Devils. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-22-22 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Chicago White Sox have lost three of their last four overall, and they have failed to score more than two runs in three of those games. The total looks a little high here for Game 1 in Kansas City. Daniel Lynch will toe the rubber for the Royals, and this looks like a good spot for him. He's 1-1 with a 2.82 ERA in his last four starts, and he's 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts versus Chicago. The White Sox hand the ball to Michael Kopech, who just never seems to get any run support. He's kept his ERA under 3.00 in his last five starts, but has a record of 1-3 to show for it. The under is 9-3 in the White Sox last 12 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-22 | Portland v. Sporting KC OVER 2.75 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Sporting KC sits dead last in the Western Conference standings, and they have scored an MLS worst 26 goals in 26 matches. The good news is that they have scored seven of those goals in their last two matches. Their mid season signings (Erik Thommy and William Agada) have made an immediate impact, combining to score four goals in four matches since joining the club. History tells us we should expect a high score in a home game against the Portland Timber, as Kansas City looks to avenge a 7-2 loss to at Portland earlier this season. These teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings, and both teams have scored in all five of those matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-22 | Red Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 120 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a free play on BAL. The Orioles have not only been better than Boston in recent weeks, they have been the best team in the AL East since mid May. Getting them as a home dog here seems incredible. Nick Pivetta will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA in his last five starts. The Orioles hand the ball to Dean Kremer, who is 2-2 with a 3.41 ERA in six home starts. The Red Sox are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus Baltimore. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-22 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Padres look to salvage a split here in Game 4 of this home series versus Washington, and they couldn't ask for a better matchup. Patrick Corbin will toe the slab for the Nationals, and he probably should have been yanked from the rotation a couple weeks ago. He's 0-4 with a 13.50 ERA in his last five starts, and he's 1-9 with a 9.44 ERA in 11 road starts. The Friars hand the ball to Sean Manaea, who hasn't been that sharp either recently. He's 1-2 with an 8.06 ERA in his last five starts. Then there is Josh Hader who has given up six runs on five hits and five walks over 2 1/3 innings in his last four appearances. The over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings, and these teams have gone over in five of the last six in San Diego. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-22 | Mystics v. Storm OVER 160 | Top | 84-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Storm won Game 1 by a score of 86-83, but the total for Game 2 sits at 160. That's nine points fewer than these teams combined to score in the series opener. Why such a low number? Perhaps because both of these teams held opponents under 80PPG in the regular season? But scoring is up for both these teams lately. Seattle has score an average of 95 points per game in their last five overall, while Washington has averaged 84 points per game during that span. These teams have gone over in four straight in Seattle, and the over is 4-1 in the last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-22 | Eagles -150 v. Browns | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Philly. So Kevin Stefanski has never lost a game in the pre-season, and Nick Sirianni has never won a game in the pre-season. The Browns host the Eagles on Sunday, and given the head coach pre-season records you would expect Cleveland to be a big favorite. It's actually the Eagles that are favored, and a lot of that has to do with the different situations these teams find themselves in. This is a game that Philly should look at to give their starters a good look, and then when the backups come in they still look solid with Gardiner Minshew at quarterback. The Browns have lost a couple of off centers already this pre-season, and they will want to be cautious moving forward. I like Philly to take an early lead and finally get a pre-season win for Sirianni. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-20-22 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Real Salt Lake -156 | 1-1 | Loss | -156 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Real Salt Lake. Salt Lake is one of the best home sides in all of MLS. They are 7-3-2 in a dozen home matches, with a +8 goal differential. Only two teams in the Western Conference have a better home record than Salt Lake. They host Vancouver on Saturday night, and the Whitecaps have just two wins in 13 away matches. The home team has won four of the last five meetings between these clubs, with the one exception being a 4-0 win for Salt Lake in Vancouver. The Whitecaps have conceded 45 goals this season, and only two teams in MLS have conceded more. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-20-22 | Mariners -172 v. A's | 3-4 | Loss | -172 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. The Mariners crushed Oakland in Game 1 of this series, and they look to extend a four game winning streak in Game 2. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 6-1 with a 3.12 ERA in 14 starts on the road. The A's hand the ball to James Karpriellian, who is 0-4 with a 4.70 ERA in eight home starts. The Mariners are 12-1 in the last 13 meetings in Oakland, and they are 20-6 in their last 26 overall versus Oakland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-20-22 | Calgary -130 v. Toronto | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Calgary. The Stamps are coming off a 41-40 shootout loss to the mighty BC Lions. They are on the road in Toronto Saturday night, and it's unlikely that the Argos can keep up with that kind of offense. Toronto quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has been inconsistent, and losing leading rusher Andrew Harris will put more pressure on him. The Stampeders are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings, and they have won eight of the last 10 outright. They are 15-0 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 11, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-19-22 | Seattle Sounders FC v. LA Galaxy OVER 3 | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. | |||||||
08-19-22 | Mariners -127 v. A's | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. The Mariners come into Oakland as winners of six of their last eight overall. They are currently holding down a Wild Card spot, but there are four teams within 2.5 games of them. Marco Gonalez will toe the slab for Seattle, and the southpaw has slipped all the way to 5th on the depth chart. He's 2-1 with a 4.42 ERA in three starts versus Oakland this season, winning his only start at Oakland. The A's hand the ball to Cole Irving, who is 0-3 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts. The Mariners are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Oakland, and they are 20-6 in their last 26 overall versus Oakland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-19-22 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11 | 4-7 | Push | 0 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Rockies lost 13-0 at St. Louis yesterday, and they are in a tough spot in Game 1 versus the Giants tonight. Jose Urena will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been downright terrible. He's been rocked for 14 runs on 15 hits over nine innings in his last two home starts. The Rockies are 1-7 in his eight starts for the team. The Giants hand the ball to Alex Wood, and the southpaw has struggled versus Colorado. Wood has a career ERA of 5.07 in 22 appearances versus the Rockies. The Giants have gone over in six of their last seven road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-19-22 | White Sox v. Guardians -130 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. After winning nine of their last 12 games overall, the Guardians have moved into first place in the AL Central, 2.5 games up on the White Sox. Chicago will hand the ball to Lance Lynn in Game 1, and he's 0-3 with a 7.46 ERA on the road this season. He's also 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in two starts versus Cleveland. The Guardians hand the ball to Triston McKenzie, who is 4-2 with a 2.89 ERA at home, and boasts a 1.80 ERA in two starts versus Chicago this year. The White Sox are 2-5 in the last seven meetings in Cleveland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-19-22 | Panthers v. Patriots -150 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Patriots. Bill Belichick, A.K.A "The Hoodie" doesn't like losing! Not even in the pre-season. You know what else he doesn't like? He doesn't like answering stupid questions from the media. He's sharp enough to know that if the Patriots go 0-3 in the pre-season, he will have to answer more stupid questions that usual. Matt Rhule on the other hand already has a win under his belt this year, tying his total in last year's pre-season. The Panthers have already named Baker Mayfield as the starter, so they might be looking to get out of New England without suffering any injury setbacks. I'll ride with "The Hoodie" at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-18-22 | Mystics v. Storm -165 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Seattle. With a record of 13-5, the Seattle Storm are tied for the second best home record in the WNBA. They face the Washington Mystics in this 1st round playoff game at Climate Pledge Arena on Thursday, and Seattle has won four of the last five head to head meetings. The Mystics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 0-4 ATS in their last four versus the Storm. Seattle lost 109-100 at Las Vegas on the final day of the regular season, and the Storm are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-18-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -135 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NYY. The Bronx Bombers ended a three game skid with an emotional come from behind win over Tampa in the series finale Wednesday. As much as the Yankees have struggled, the Blue Jays haven't been able to gain much ground. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto, and this looks like a tough spot for him. He's 2-4 with a 7.50 ERA in 11 road starts, and he's 0-1 with a 6.97 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees. The Bronx Bombers will hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has been solid. The Yankees have only won three of their last 14 games, and one of those came in Frankie Montas last start. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits in five innings in a 3-2 win over Boston. The Yankees are 38-14 in their last 52 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-17-22 | Mercury v. Aces -14 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Las Vegas. The Aces wrapped up the season with a 109-100 win over Seattle, clinching the #1 seed. They face a Phoenix team in the first round that is trending in the opposite direction. Their leading scorer left the team before the end of the regular season, and veteran Diana Taurasi is sidelined by injury. The Mercury have lost five of their last seven, and they appear to have no interest in competing. The Mercury are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Vegas. The Aces are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-17-22 | New England v. Toronto FC OVER 3 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Toronto FC is 3-0-1 in their last four matches, and since acquiring Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi they are a different team. Both players found the net in a 3-1 win over Portland in their last match, and Toronto has only lost once in 13 home matches. They have scored 23 goals in those games. New England comes in as one of the more competitive teams in away matches, and they are one of just six teams to score 20 or more goals on the road. We should expect at least three goals here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-17-22 | Royals v. Twins -178 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Twins. Minnesota is just a game back of Cleveland in the AL Central, and they look to take advantage of a favorable matchup in Game 3 of this home series versus Kansas City. Tyler Mahle will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA in his last four starts. The Royals hand the ball to Daniel Lynch who is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts versus the Twins. Once a strength, the Royals bullpen has become a liability. Only Colorado and Cincinnati have a higher ERA among relievers than KC. The Royals are 2-9 in their last 11 road games, and they are 11-24 in the last 35 meetings in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-16-22 | DC United v. Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 1* play on LAFC. While the home team is an enormous favorite here, this just seems like too great a mismatch for the visitors to overcome. LAFC (the best team in MLS) has a +20 goal differential at home, while the visitors (DC United) have a -18 goal differential on the road. Only Charlotte has a worse goal differential in away matches (-19), and they just lost 5-0 at Banc of California Stadium. LAFC won the last meeting 4-0 in Washington, and a similar score is expected here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-16-22 | Cubs -155 v. Nationals | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Cubs. Chicago won two of three in a home series versus Washington last week, but lost Game 1 in Washington last night. I like the Cubs in Game 2 facing a struggling pitcher. Patrick Corbin has failed to get out of the first inning in two of his last three starts. He's 0-4 with a 17.74 ERA in his last four starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who is trending in the opposite direction. He's 1-1 with a 1.40 ERA in his last four starts. The Nationals are 16-44 in their last 60 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-16-22 | Phillies -175 v. Reds | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Phillies won Game 1 in Cincinnati, and they are now 14-4 in their last 18 overall. Game 2 looks like another favorable matchup for the visitors. Kyle Gibson will toe the slab for Philly, and he's 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in two starts in August. The Reds hand the ball to T.J. Zeuch, who allowed six runs on six hits and two walks in four innings in his season debut. He was 0-2 with a 6.60 ERA in five appearances last year. The Phillies are 10-3 in their last 13 road games, and the Reds are 1-6 in their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-15-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. After taking two of three in a home series versus the Yankees, the Mariners cooled off losing two of three in Texas. They look good to bounce back in Game 1 of this series in LA. Shohei Ohtani will toe the slab for LA, and the Angels have lost three of his last four starts. He's 1-3 with a 3.75 ERA in those games. The Mariners hand the ball to Luis Castillo, who is coming off back to back brilliant starts in wins over the Yankees. He's 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA in three starts over the last 30 days. The Angels are 3-2 straight up in their last five versus Seattle, but they are just 1-4 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-15-22 | Crystal Palace v. Liverpool -1.75 | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. I am not concerned by a 2-2 draw at Fulham in their season opener. Liverpool was coming off a 3-1 win over Manchester City in the Community Shield. They were entitled to suffer a bit of a let down on the road. This is a whole different kettle of fish (and chips). Playing at home at Anfield where they were undefeated last season. The Reds were 15-4-0 with a +40 goal differential in 19 home matches a year ago. They are facing a Crystal Palace team that they have beaten in five straight meetings. All five of those games were decided by 2+ goals, with a combined score of 17-1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-14-22 | Wings -180 v. Sparks | 116-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. In a meaningless game at the end of the season, I'll take a Dallas team that has won five of their last seven. LA has suffered an epic meltdown, losing eight of their last nine games. Since the departure of Liz Cambage, the Sparks have had no answers for opposing bigs. The Wings are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-14-22 | Vikings v. Raiders -195 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Raiders. We have no data for Minnesota's new head coach Kevin O'Connell, and Josh McDaniels has a losing record as a head coach in the pre-season. That said, the Raiders have the advantage of already playing in the Hall of Fame Game. Derek Carr didn't play, but Jarrett Stidham and Nick Mullens both played well. The quarterback depth should be a huge advantage for the Raiders. Kirk Cousins is out with Covid and I am not a big fan of Kellen Mond or Sean Mannion. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-14-22 | Pirates v. Giants -225 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SF. The Giants have won the first two games of this home series versus Pittsburgh, and they look good in Game 3 on Sunday. Alex Wood will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's coming off a solid outing. He tossed six scoreless innings, allowing just three hits in a 1-0 win at San Diego his last time out. The Pirates hand the ball to Zach Thompson, who is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in his last five starts. The Pirates are 16-41 in their last 57 road games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-14-22 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Chelsea | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Spurs. While Chelsea has won the last four meetings between these two teams, holding Tottenham scoreless in all four matches, Spurs appear to be vastly improved since last season. They got off to a convincing start with a 4-1 win over Southamton in their season opener, while Chelsea just barely beat Everton in a 1-0 win decided by a penalty. Last season Chelsea played to a draw in seven of their 19 home matches, winning just nine of those contests. Tottenham suffered just six losses in 19 away matches last season. I like the Spurs chances of at least earning a draw here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-13-22 | Saskatchewan -5 v. Edmonton Elks | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Sask. The Riders are coming off a bye week, which should benefit banged up starting quarterback Cody Fajardo. They are on the road in Edmonton, and the Elks are coming off a 46-14 loss to B.C. last weekend. While Edmonton doesn't have the league's worst record, they have scored the fewest points of any team in the CFL this season. They have also allowed a CFL worst 290 points in eight games. The Roughriders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in August, and they have covered in five of their last seven at Edmonton. The Elks are 0-10 straight up in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-13-22 | Diamondbacks -137 v. Rockies | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. The D'Backs won two of three in a home series versus Colorado last week, but they lost Game 1 at Coors last night. Game 2 will feature a favorable pitching matchup for the visitors. Zac Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 3-0 with a 1.72 ERA in his last five starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Jose Urena, who has been far worse than his numbers indicate. He's been rocked for 21 runs over 18 1/3 innings in his last four starts. Not surprisingly Colorado lost all four of those games. Gallen is 1-0 with a 3.50 ERA in three starts versus Colorado in 2022. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-13-22 | Portland v. Toronto FC OVER 3 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 35 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Toronto FC looks like a different team since acquiring Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardesch. Both players scored in a 4-3 win over Nashville in their last match. They have struggled defensively all season long, conceding 42 goals in 24 matches. They host the Portland Timbers on Saturday, and these two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings. Portland has conceded 22 goals in a dozen away matches, and Toronto has scored 20 goals in a dozen home matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-13-22 | Seahawks v. Steelers -165 | 25-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Steelers. Both Pete Carroll and Mike Tomlin have a reputation for winning games in the pre-season, but recent history paints a different picture. The Seahawks are just 4-7 over the last three seasons under Pete Carroll, while Mike Tomlin has gone 12-4 (four consecutive 3-1 finishes) in the pre-season over the last four seasons. We should see plenty of Mitch Trubisky and Mason Rudolph tonight, and that should bode well for Pittsburgh. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-12-22 | Mariners -145 v. Rangers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. The Mariners come into Texas after winning two of three in a home series versus the Yankees. They appear to have a favorable matchup on the mound in Game 1. George Kirby will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA in six starts on the road this season. He's also 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts versus Texas. The Rangers hand the ball to Josh Sborz, who has an ERA of 5.87 in 13 appearances out of the bullpen. The Rangers are 2-5 in their last seven home games, and they have a better record on the road than they do at home for the entire season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-12-22 | Browns +125 v. Jaguars | 24-13 | Win | 125 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Cleveland. Kevin Stefanski is 3-0 straight up in pre-season games, while Doug Pederson is 2-7 straight up in his last nine pre-season games. The Browns have to sort out their quarterback situation, with Deshaun Watson expected to miss the first half of the season. In order to give Jacoby Brissett a chance to get comfortable in the offense, he's going to have to play with the starters. We expect Cleveland to play their first team for a lot longer here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-12-22 | Falcons v. Lions +120 | 27-23 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DET. Neither Dan Campbell or Arthur Smith won a game in the pre-season last year. I like Campbell's chances here in this game against Atlanta in Week 1 of the 2022 pre-season. Backup quarterbacks will carry the offense for both teams, and that should be an adavtage for the Lions. David Blough and Tim Boyle are both experienced, each playing in the regular season over the last two years. The same can not be said for Atlanta's Desmond Ridder and Phillipe Franks. The Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-11-22 | Titans v. Ravens -185 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Baltimore. John Harbaugh is a legend in the pre-season, with a career record of 40-12. He's even better in the first game of the pre-season, going 13-1 in Week 1. With a career record of 4-7 it's fair to say that Mike Vrabel doesn't put a lot of emphasis in winning pre-season games. We expect both teams to rest the starters, but looking at the Ravens backup quarterbacks, and Tyler Huntley and Brett Hundley have plenty of experience. Logan Woodside has some experience playing in pre-season games for the Titans, but Malik Willis is completely green. It's hard not to like a Ravens team that is 20-0 straight up in pre-season games over the last five years. GL. Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-11-22 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -171 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The D'Backs host the Pirates in a matinee on Thursday, and this looks like a favorable spot for the home team. Merrill Kelly will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been on a roll. Kelly is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last five starts. The Pirates hand the ball to JT Brubraker, who is 0-7 with a 3.90 ERA in 13 road starts. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-11-22 | White Sox -170 v. Royals | 3-5 | Loss | -170 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CWS. At first glance this might look like a potential pitcher's duel, but at the age of 38 we aren't likely to see the best version of Zack Greinke. The veteran right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA in his last four starts. He's faced the White Sox twice this season, allowing five runs on 12 hits over 11 2/3 innings. Chicago will hand the ball to Dylan Cease, who is 5-0 with a 0.59 ERA in his last five starts. The White Sox are 7-2 in their last nine games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-10-22 | Lynx v. Mercury +4.5 | 86-77 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Phoenix. The Mercury overcame injuries to win 76-62 at home versus the New York Liberty last week, and they are now 10-5 at home. They host the Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday, and the Lynx are 6-10 on the road. While Leading scorer Skyler Diggins-Smith missed the last game with an illness, she is set to return here against the Lynx. This really does look like a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-10-22 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Rockies returned home to crush St. Louis by a score of 16-5 in Game 1, and we can expect another slugfest tonight. Jose Quintana will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he could be in trouble against a Rockies team that crushes lefties. He allowed six runs on seven hits and two walks in five innings in a loss at Coors field earlier this year. The Rockies hand the ball to Kyle Freeland, and he's 4-3 with a 5.55 ERA in 11 home starts. The Cardinals are batting a combined .351 over 59 at bats versus Freeland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-10-22 | Nationals v. Cubs -165 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Cubs. Chicago has split the first two games of this home series versus Washington, but the Cubs have a favorable matchup in the rubber match. Justin Steele will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's been solid at home. He's posted an ERA of 1.84 over his last four starts. The Nats hand the ball to Josiah Gray, who is 0-3 with an 8.53 ERA in his last four starts. The Nationals are 16-42 in their last 58 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-09-22 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11 | 5-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Rockies have lost six of their last eight overall, but all those games were on the road. They are back at Coors where they have a 30-27 record. Miles Mikolas is having a fine season for the Cardinals, but he's not great on the road (4-6, 3.41 ERA). The Rockies hand the ball to Ryan Feltner, who has been rocked home and away. He's allowed 13 runs on 25 hits over his last 14 2/3 innings pitched. The over is 5-1-1 in the Rockies last seven games following an off day. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-09-22 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Astros are coming off a 1-0 loss at Cleveland, and we should expect another pitcher's duel in Game 1 of this home series versus Texas. Martin Perez will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's 5-0 with a 2.26 ERA in 10 road starts this season. The Astros hand the ball to Jose Urquidy, who is 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his last four starts. The under is 21-5-1 in the Astros last 27 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-09-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -220 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. All of a sudden the Phillies are on fire, winning 10 of their last 11. They host Miami in Game 1 of a new series Tuesday, in what appears to be a mismatch. Zack Wheeler will toe the slab for the home team, and he's 5-2 with a 1.58 ERA in 10 home starts. The Fish hand the ball to Braxton Garrett, who is 0-2 with a 5.91 ERA in his last two starts. The Phillies are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 1 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-08-22 | Nationals v. Cubs -171 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs will be a big favorite in Game 1, hosting a Nationals team that traded away all their stars at the deadline. Washington is just 2-9 in the last 11 games overall, and the Nats hand the ball to Anibal Sanchez who is winless on the season. Keegan Thompson will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's been great at home. He's 5-2 with a 2.50 ERA in 13 appearances at Wrigley. The Cubs are 5-1 in their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-07-22 | Angels v. Mariners -151 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Mariners. Seattle looks to earn a split in this home series versus LA on Sunday, and they send Marco Gonzalez to the mound in Game 4. Gonzales 6-11, 3.95 ERA has been better than his record indicates, and the Mariners record when he pitches at home is actually pretty good. The Angels hand the ball to Tucker Davidson who is 1-2 with a 6.46 ERA. He's only had three starts this year. The Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-07-22 | Reds v. Brewers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Milwaukee. The Brewers have lost five of six and now sit second in the NL Central. The good news is that their ace is on the hill Sunday. Corbin Burnes will toe the slab for the Brew Crew, and he's 6th in MLB with a WHIP of 0.95. The Reds hand the ball to Graham Ashcraft, who was rocked for six runs on eight hits in five innings versus the Brewers the last time he faced them. The Reds are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-07-22 | Pirates v. Orioles -160 | 8-1 | Loss | -160 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Orioles. While experts have predicted that the Orioles would cool off in the second half of the season, they have not slowed much since the All Star break. Baltimore is riding a five game win streak heading into Sunday. Spenser Watkins will toe the slab for the Orioles, and he's 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA in his last three starts. The Pirates hand the ball to Bryse Wilson who is 1-6 with a 6.20 ERA this season. The Pirates are 6-21 in their last 27 interleague road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-06-22 | San Jose v. Austin -160 | 3-3 | Loss | -160 | 44 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Austin FC. Sitting second in the Western Conference, and just four points back of league leaders LAFC, the bookmakers appear to be late to the party with Austin FC. They are just a small favorite in a home game against a San Jose team that is winless in it's last five matches. The Earthquakes have won just once in 11 away matches, and their goal differential is -10 in those games. Austin FC has scored an MLS best 47 goals in 23 matches. It's asking a lot for SJ to keep up here in Austin. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Toronto | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hamilton. The Argos are coming off a home loss to the worst team in the CFL. They will host a scrappy Hamilton Tigercats team that is coming off a home win over Montreal. The Ticats are just 2-5, but keep in mind they have played a tough schedule facing five Western Division teams in their first six games. Dane Evans ranks 3rd in the CFL in passing, and while his TD/INT ratio appears concerning, he's thrown three TD passes and no INTs in two games against East Division opponents. The Tiger-Cats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Toronto, and they are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 meetings. The Argonauts are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus East Division teams. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Philly. The Phillies have won eight of nine, and they look to take advantage of a shorthanded Nationals team in Game 3 at Citizen's Bank Park on Saturday. Ranger Suarez will toe the slab for Philly, and he hasn't surrendered an earned run in his last three starts. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is 0-5 with a 10.29 ERA in his last five starts. The Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-05-22 | Angels v. Mariners -187 | 4-3 | Loss | -187 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Seattle. After taking two of three from the Yankees in New York, the Mariners are back home to face the Angels. LA is just 8-23 in their last 31 road games, and they send Patrick Sandoval to the mound. He's 0-4 with a 5.49 ERA in his last four starts. The Mariners hand the ball to Robbie Ray, who has been pretty solid at home. He's 4-3 with a 2.96 ERA in 11 starts at home. The Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-05-22 | Calgary -4.5 v. Ottawa | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Calgary. The Ottawa Redblacks are 1-6 overall, and 0-3 at home this season. They are coming off their first win of the season on the road at Toronto, but I don't like their chances of making it two in a row. The Stampeders are the second best team in the CFL, coming off a loss to defending champions Winnipeg. The Stampeders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss, and they are 7-1 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-05-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Phillies won a rain shortened game against the Nats yesterday by a score of 5-4, and we expect another slugfest on Friday. Kyle Gibson will toe the slab for Philly, and the over is 6-2 in his last eight home starts. The Nats hand the ball to Josiah Gray, who is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last four starts. The over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-04-22 | Raiders v. Jaguars +2.5 | 27-11 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 1* play on the Jags. The purpose of this small bet on the HOF Game is simply to get our feet wet. These games are typically meaningless low scoring games with neither team trying all that hard to win. We lean toward the Jags here simply because they have a lot more to prove. This team needs to get it's fan base excited enough to put buts in seats this season. Doug Pederson has a career pre-season record of 8-8, but he was 4-0 in his first year with the Eagles. Josh McDaniels has a career pre-season record of 2-6. This will be a pizza money type of bet. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins +1.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -157 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIN +1.5. The Twins will be a home dog in Game 1 versus Toronto, despite the fact that the Twins have a far better home record than Toronto has on the road. Alek Manoah will toe the slab for Toronto, and while he's had a great season he's been pretty pedestrian lately. He's 2-3 with a 3.45 ERA in his last five starts. The Twins hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who has been hot of late. He's allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out a dozen over 11 innings in back to back wins over San Diego and Detroit in his last two starts. The Twins are 10-15 straight up in Gray's 15 starts, but they are 13-2 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-03-22 | Nashville SC v. Portland OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Portland Timbers are coming off a 4-4 draw versus Minnesota, and high scoring games have been the norm for this team in recent weeks. They have gone over the number in four of their last five matches, scoring a dozen goals during that span. Tonight they host a Nashville team that has the 5th best away record in MLS, and I fancy Nashville to score here in Portland. The last time these teams played it ended in a 2-2 draw. I expect a similar result here this time around. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-03-22 | Lynx v. Storm -6.5 | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Seattle Storm. No team in the WNBA has won more home games than the Seattle Storm. The Storm host Minnesota tonight, and the Lynx are sitting second to last in the league standings. Seattle is coming off a road loss at Washington, and the Storm are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The Lynx are 10-25 ATS in the last 35 meetings in Seattle, and they have failed to cover in 11 of the last 14 head to head meetings. Seattle is 5-0 straight up in their last five home games versus Minnesota, and four of those five wins came by a double digit margin. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-03-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the NYM. The Nats dealt Josh Bell and Juan Soto on deadline day, leaving them with what might as well be a Triple A roster. Speaking of Triple-A, starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez might find himself there soon. He's 0-3 with a 7.47 ERA in three starts. The Mets hand the ball to Chris Bassitt, who is a solid 4-1 with a 3.13 ERA in six starts in day games. The Nats beat the Mets yesterday, but the Mets are 28-8 in their last 36 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-02-22 | Cubs v. Cardinals -155 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL. The Cubs lost three of four in San Francisco, and they face a tough matchup in Game 1 in St. Louis. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been great at home. He's 3-3 with a 2.01 ERA in nine home starts. Chicago will hand the ball to Keegan Thompson, who struggles on the road. The Cubs are 18-37 in their last 55 games following a loss, and they are 1-6 in their last seven games following an off day. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-02-22 | Colorado Rapids v. New York Red Bulls -155 | 5-4 | Loss | -155 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the NYRB. The Red Bulls don't have a great home record overall, but they have won three of their last four at home. Tuesday they face a Colorado Rapids team that has the worst away record of any team in MLS. Colorado is 0-3-7 with a -13 goal differential in 10 away matches so far this season. The Rapids have scored nine fewer goals and conceded five more than New York. Two teams trending in opposite directions, and it appear the home side is undervalued. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-02-22 | Sparks v. Liberty -175 | 73-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NY Liberty. LA has looked lost in two games without center Liz Cambage. They lost 90-80 to the Phoenix Mercury, and then losing 84-77 at home versus Minnesota. They were out-rebounded in both of those losses. They take a 6-9 road record into the Big Apple, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 versus the Eastern Conference. They have failed to cover in five straight coming off a loss, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-01-22 | Rockies v. Padres -195 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SD. The Padres won 2-of-3 in a home series versus the Twins this weekend, and they are big favorite in Game 1 versus Colorado Monday. Mike Clevinger will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's been plagued by a lack of run support this season. The Rockies hand the ball to Antonio Senzatela, who hasn't missed many bats lately. He's 0-3 with a 6.57 ERA in five starts on the road. The Padres lineup is batting over .300 in more than 100 combined at bats versus Senzatela. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-01-22 | Diamondbacks v. Guardians -140 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Guardians are just one game out of first place in the Central, and they won 2-of-3 in a home series versus Tampa over the Weekend. Cal Quantrill will toe the slab for Cleveland in Game 1 versus Arizona, and he's 5-0 with a 3.19 ERA in 10 home starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zach Davies, who is 1-3 with a 4.26 ERA in seven road starts. The Guardians are 13-4 in their last 17 home games versus a team with a losing record, and they have won six of their last seven versus the National League. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYM. The Mets are just three games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 in Washington Monday. Max Scherzer will toe the slab for New York, and he's 1-1 with a 1.39 ERA in his last five starts. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is 0-4 with a 7.99 ERA in his last five starts. Pete Alonso is hitting .364 with four home runs over 33 career at bats versus Corbin. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto -4.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Argos are in first place in the East, the only team with a winning record. They are coming off back to back wins over Saskatchewan, and this week they host the last place Ottawa Redblacks. Ottawa has lost all six of their games, and their starting quarterback is out until late September. The RedBlacks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Toronto. I like the Argos to win big at home here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the CWS. The Sox have split the first two games of this home series versus Oakland, but they have a favorable matchup in the rubber match Sunday. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 4-1 with an 0.61 ERA in his last five starts. Oakland will hand the ball to Adam Oller, who has struggled all season long. He's only pitched 32 innings, but he's put a whopping 60 men on base during that span. The Athletics are 4-9 in their last 13 Sunday games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-31-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Jays have won nine of their last 11 overall, and eight of those nine wins came by more than one run. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto in Game 4 versus Detroit, and he's 2-0 with a 3.41 ERA in his last four starts, and he's 5-0 with a 3.47 ERA in 10 home starts. The Tigers hand the ball to Garrett Hill, who has lost three straight starts. He's allowed 12 runs on 16 hits and eight walks over 15 innings in those games. The Tigers are 2-11 in their last 13 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-31-22 | Julianna Pena v. Amanda Nunes UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under 2.5. Watching the first fight, you notice that Pena came in with an aggressive game plan. She executed exactly what she wanted to do, and it caught Nunes by surprise. Amanda is a huge favorite in the rematch, and I doubt she wants to let Pena hang around and repeat what she did in the first fight. She's lost five fights as a professional, and she's followed up every one of those losses with a first round finish in her next fight. In her 26 career fights, she's left it to the judges just five times. This fight should end in the first two rounds. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-30-22 | Austin v. Sporting KC | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Austin. Only four teams have a positive goal differential on the road, and one of those teams is Austin FC. There are only three teams in Major League Soccer with a negative goal differential at home, and one of those is Sporting KC. Ranked dead last in the Western Conference, Sporting KC also has the worst home record in the league. Austin FC leads MLS in scoring with 45 goals in 22 matches, while Sporting KC ranks dead last in the league with just 19 goals in 23 matches. Home field may not make a difference here in tonight's match. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,395 |
Joey Tron | $617 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Ross Benjamin | $583 |
Big Al McMordie | $401 |
Matt Fargo | $327 |
Ricky Tran | $297 |
Sean Higgs | $140 |
Jesse Schule | $98 |
Kyle Hunter | $66 |