Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-15-21 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
Jose Urquidy was not involved in the decision on Wednesday during the Astros loss to the Mariners after allowing two runs over just three innings. The 26-year-old has failed to reach the fifth inning in each of his starts since returning from the injured list and it cost his team on Wednesday. Urquidy was pulled after reaching 70 pitches and allowed the Mariners to score six runs off the Astros' bullpen, including three off All-Star closer Ryan Pressly. | |||||||
09-14-21 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Arizona has won just 47 of its 143 games and has been out of playoff contention for quite some time. However, the Diamondbacks have put on their spoiler caps. Arizona defeated Seattle in two out of three games and hurt the Mariners chances of reaching the postseason in the American League. I'm betting that the Dodgers are caught sleeping in this one. | |||||||
09-13-21 | Wings +10.5 v. Aces | Top | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
The Dallas Wings have clinched the playoffs and will not play All-Star Satou Sabally in their game against the Las Vegas Aces on Sunday at 3 p.m. (NBA TV). Sabally returned from an Achilles injury in the Wings’ last game, but the team likely doesn’t want to push her any harder and wants to rest her for the playoffs. However, Dallas, currently the seventh seed is still playing for the No. 6 seed. If it wins both of its remaining games and the Chicago Sky lose both of theirs, the two teams will be tied for sixth at 15-17 and Dallas has the head-to-head tiebreaker. So expect Arike Ogunbowale, Marina Mabrey and company to go full speed in an attempt to take down A’ja Wilson, Chelsea Gray and the Aces, who have yet to clinch a double-bye. | |||||||
09-12-21 | Rays v. Tigers +1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Luis Patino has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 25th percentile in average exit velocity, 34th percentile in walk percentage, 35th percentile in xSLG, and 37th percentile in barrel percentage. He throws five different pitches (fastball, slider, curveball, changeup, sinker) and his slider has been his best pitch as it has a .176 batting average with a .338 slugging percentage. | |||||||
09-11-21 | Hawaii +11 v. Oregon State | Top | 27-45 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
The Oregon State Beavers scored 21 points in their opening game of the season but did not score 14 of those points until the final quarter. Quarterback Chance Nolan threw for just 157 yards, while the leading rusher through one game is Trey Lowe with only 27 yards, as Oregon State has gained only 78 yards rushing while passing for 285 yards. Trevon Bradford leads all Oregon State receivers with 75 yards. | |||||||
09-06-21 | Louisville v. Ole Miss -9 | Top | 24-43 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
The Cardinals do have to replace quite a bit of production on both sides of the ball, as top two receivers Tutu Atwell and Dez Fitzpatrick both went to the NFL. Leading rusher Javian Hawkins (133 carries for 822 yards and seven touchdowns) is also gone, while Louisville also lost key linebacker Dorian Etheridge (50 tackles, 9.5 tackles for loss, four sacks). | |||||||
09-05-21 | A's +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
The Athletics furious comeback fell just a little short, Saturday, but I think they'll have enough momentum to carry them through this one. Oakland is 6-1 in game three in a series where they dropped the first two games and have tremendous success against left-handed starters. | |||||||
09-04-21 | New Mexico State +31.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
The San Diego State Aztecs are a run-heavy offense and senior running back Greg Bell is back for the 2021 season The world will be on the Aztecs in this one but I think SDSU will keep this on the ground, eating up enough time to keep the Aggies within the number. There is a slight advantage to a team who has already played. They should make just enough improvement. | |||||||
09-04-21 | Bethune-Cookman +21 v. UTEP | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
It’s not like UTEP is Alabama quite yet. The Miners are coming off a dominant 30-3 win over New Mexico State, but they still have to prove they can crank up a consistent offense and New Mexico State is really, really bad at college football. Bethune-Cookman hasn’t played since 2019, but it’s had time to build back the parts, the offense isn’t going to have too many problems with turnovers, and it’s a fast attack that likes to keep things moving. | |||||||
09-04-21 | Northwestern State +20 v. North Texas | 14-44 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
It was a tough 2021 spring FCS run for the Demons, going 1-5 without a lick of luck. However, they beat a ranked Incarnate Word team, and the five losses were all in close fights including a 24-16 defeat to eventual national champion Sam Houston State. There’s a little work to be done with the passing game, but Scooter Adams and the ground attack should have a whole lot of fun against a North Texas defense that’s starting over. | |||||||
09-04-21 | Campbell +35 v. Liberty | 7-48 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
The Fighting Camels are loaded with veterans. 20 starters are back from a team that struggled through a four-game all-FBS schedule but went 6-5 in 2019. The team struggled defensively last year – to be kind – but the offense was able to move the chains doing a great job on third downs. The passing game can crank the ball down the field, and it should be dangerous enough to push the Flames. TE Julian Hill and top wideouts Jalen Kelsey and Julian Hill can make big plays. | |||||||
09-04-21 | Louisiana Tech v. Mississippi State -21.5 | 34-35 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
This season, the Bulldogs seem to have an improved offensive line with starting left tackle and projected first-rounder Charles Cross highlighting the unit. MSU also has a well-rounded group of receivers with names like Austin Williams, Jaden Walley and Makai Polk standing out. The ball will be well-distributed across the group as a whole, presumably by sophomore quarterback Will Rogers (though he is listed with an "OR" between himself and South Alabama transfer Chance Lovertich on the depth chart). The Bulldogs feature versatile running backs in Jo'quavious Marks and Dillon Johnson, both of whom impressed as freshmen last year and were nominated for the Doak Walker Award this year. | |||||||
09-04-21 | Miami-OH +23 v. Cincinnati | Top | 14-49 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
The Miami Redhawks did not play much during the 2020 season as three games isn’t a great sample size but this could be the season that sophomore quarterback Brett Gabbert can take that next step. During his limited 2020 action, he went 23-of-35 for 384 yards with four touchdowns and did not throw an interception. They were able to return seven of their starters from last season so that means they have a chance to evolve as an offense with some extra chemistry. | |||||||
09-03-21 | South Dakota State +3 v. Colorado State | 42-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
The Jackrabbits came really, really close to winning the FCS spring session national title. The defense was phenomenal, the offense was great up front, and the ground attack averaged 232 yards per game as it rolled through FCS team after FCS team. 220-pound RB Isaiah Davis pounded away for 8.5 yards per carry and ten scores, the passing game was efficient, and the defense took care of the rest. Colorado State might have a veteran offensive line, but it was miserable in 2020 at keeping defenses out of the backfield. South Dakota State’s defense spent the spring living behind the line. | |||||||
09-03-21 | Michigan State v. Northwestern -3 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
Reed and Nailor make up a dynamic duo at wide receiver for Michigan State, no matter who is playing quarterback. However, Northwestern was a very good pass defense last year, allowing just 195.3 passing yards per game (19th in FBS) and just 5.2 yards per pass attempt (first in the FBS). The Wildcats also return star safety Brandon Joseph, who was tied for the lead the nation with six interceptions in 2020. The MSU wide receivers going against the NU defensive backs should be a heavyweight battle, and might be the most fun matchup to watch. | |||||||
09-03-21 | Northern Colorado +38.5 v. Colorado | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Bears opted out of the 2020 season, but they should come up with a far stronger offense despite losing a few key parts from 2019. Michigan QB transfer Dylan McCaffrey comes in to try cranking up the passing game even more. Jaren Mitchell and the receiving corps should be good enough to hit a few big plays here and there. The Northern Colorado secondary is in place to pick off a few passes if Colorado isn’t sharp – the Buffs were wildly inefficient through the air last season, and Tennessee transfer QB JT Shrout hurt his knee. | |||||||
09-03-21 | Saint Francis +33 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 15-35 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Is anyone except me going to be on the Red Flash, not like;y, but I'm not going to lay big numbers early on against teams who are treating these games like their national championship. The offense got a big, efficient passing season two years ago, and while the main men are done, there are just enough dangerous playmakers – like WRs Brandan Lisenby and Kahtero Summers – to potentially be a problem. Eastern Michigan has to prove it can generate a steady pass rush, and the secondary has to be able to make more plays after a rocky 2020 | |||||||
09-02-21 | Sky v. Aces -3.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The Aces come into this contest at the top of the pack in scoring offense, ranking first with 88.8 points per game. Las Vegas is 1st in the league in rebounding (38.9 boards a game) and stand third in the league in assists by handing out 21 dimes per contest. The Aces have been average on the defensive end of the floor as they are 5th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 80.1 points Liz Cambage will not play for the Aces causing the public to react but the Aces will still cash tonight's ticket. | |||||||
09-02-21 | Sam Houston State v. Northern Arizona +11.5 | Top | 42-16 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Northern Arizona returns much of its defensive core. The defense will be tested against the Bearkats, who return such star players as quarterback Eric Schmid. Schmid threw for 2,808 yards and 20 touchdowns last year, and added another eight scores on the ground. The Lumberjacks had a solid pass defense in the spring, and hope their efforts can limit their opponent’s potent offense. | |||||||
09-02-21 | Tennessee-Martin +22 v. Western Kentucky | 21-59 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
The Hilltoppers are not a program that has typically been an early wager option after failing to cover 11 of their last 16 games in September. They are also just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games. This number is too big to cover in game one. | |||||||
09-02-21 | South Florida +19 v. NC State | Top | 0-45 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
The Bulls finished the season on an eight-game losing streak, although two of those losses were by fewer than three points. The Wolfpack are led by fourth-year sophomore quarterback Devin Leary, who started just three games last year due to a broken left foot suffered on Oct. 17 against Duke. Leary, who also missed 20 days of 2020 fall camp due to COVID-19, had won three straight games prior to the injury. In his four games last season, he passed for 890 yards, eight TDs, and just two interceptions | |||||||
09-02-21 | UC Davis +23 v. Tulsa | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
The Aggies know how to run the ball. They don’t necessarily dominate the time of possession battle, but they’re great at keeping the chains moving with manageable third-down opportunities, and they’re able to bust off runs in chunks. 3-2 in the FCS spring session, they averaged 226 rushing yards per game and balance it all out with an efficient passing attack. The running back combination of Lan Larison and Ulonzo Gilliam will average over five yards per carry this season, the defense has a strong pass rush, and it’s an experienced enough team to not beat itself with a whole slew of mistakes. | |||||||
09-02-21 | Austin Peay State +5 v. Chattanooga | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
The saying is that "if you have two quarterbacks, you don't have one." Well, the Mocs actually have three receiving serious consideration to be the starter, which may or may not be better. But one of the three — senior Drayton Arnold and juniors Cole Copeland and Robert Riddle — will be asked to take over the controls of the offense. Riddle, who transferred from Mercer, is the most accomplished despite an injury-plagued career, but the McCallie graduate is also new at UTC and slightly behind the other two, who both played in the spring and had quality moments. | |||||||
09-02-21 | Tennessee Tech v. Samford -11 | 14-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs, like most FCS programs, are having a quick turnaround after just finishing an unprecedented spring season in April. Samford head coach Chris Hatcher said he has not seen any negative effect in the team's performance so far, heading into the season. Samford returns 10 starters on offense and 10 starters on defense from the spring season in which the team posted a 4-3 record, all in Southern Conference play. Hatcher said having all of that talent returning excites him about the potential of this year's team. We're getting a good number here with the better team. | |||||||
09-01-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer will have the start on Wednesday. He has been in astounding form this season, with an ERA of 2.51, fifth in the league, with an MLB-leading WHIP of 0.88. | |||||||
09-01-21 | A's -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Oakland's pitching has been its strength this season as the Athletics are seventh in team ERA at 3.72, 9th in WHIP at 1.21 are holding opposing hitters to an average of .239, which is 14th best. The starting rotation has been Oakland's ace in the hole as the Athletics are first in baseball in Quality Starts with 65 | |||||||
08-31-21 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
Lance McCullers was charged with four runs over 6 2/3 innings Wednesday as the Astros beat the Royals in extra innings 6-5. It looked like McCullers was going to cruise through seven frames when he retired the first two batters in the top of the inning. However, he then gave up a single before issuing back-to-back walks to the 8-9 hitters in the Royals' lineup. | |||||||
08-31-21 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -114 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
In his last start, Gallen gave up three hits and two runs in five innings, leading to an 8-7 win over Philadelphia. I'm anticipating a similar effort tonight. | |||||||
08-30-21 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | 3-5 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
While Smyly has struggled this season, the offense has been one of the best in the MLB, scoring 4.86 runs per game. Austin Riley has 28 home runs, a .304 Batting Average, a .377 On-Base Percentage, and a .535 Slugging Percentage while Freddie Freeman and Dansby Swanson have combined for 52 home runs but the rest of the order has stepped up this season as well. Ozzie Albies is adding 23 home runs and 241 total bases while trade deadline acquisitions Jorge Soler, Joc Pederson, and Adam Duvall have combined for 17 home runs since joining the team, giving the batting order depth and power in the back half of the lineup. | |||||||
08-30-21 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Tyler Gilbert pitched five innings and allowed two runs Wednesday in a no-decision against the Pirates in his last appearance for Zona. Of course, he threw a no-hitter in his first career start, and he followed that up by allowing nine hits in five innings at Coors last week in his second start. Bryce Wilson outperformed him, but the Diamondbacks came back off the Pirates pen and won 5-2. He has a 2.38 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 22 innings of work. He’ll get another chance against the Padres on Monday, the same team he no-hit three weeks ago. | |||||||
08-30-21 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-4 | Win | 101 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Washington’s pitching isn’t as good as the team’s offense. Opponents have a .248 batting average against the Nationals, which is 18th in the league. Their 4.55 ERA is 21st, while their 1.31 WHIP is 17th. | |||||||
08-29-21 | Reds v. Marlins +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
The Marlins are in a position where they're just trying to crash the party, which they did last night after a 6-1 beatdown of the Reds last night. I think we're going to catch the Reds napping again today but we'll need the RL to cash this ticket. | |||||||
08-29-21 | Cardinals v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
The St Louis Cardinals have been a below-average offense this season as they are 23rd in baseball with a .703 OPS. Unfortunately, they are not “hitting into luck” as their .282 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is 26th in the majors and no team behind them is currently in a playoff spot if the season ended today. | |||||||
08-28-21 | Southern Utah +24.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
While San Jose State suffered only one loss, one win was all that Southern Utah managed in its condensed spring 2021 campaign, a 34-24 road victory against Cal Poly. One encouraging takeaway from the Thunderbirds' 1-5 record, however, is that no single loss was by more than eight points. In fact, four of them were decided by three points or fewer. They’ll look to extract some confidence out of having so many close endings and aim to finish games on a better note, especially with both of their road losses coming by just a single point. | |||||||
08-28-21 | Nationals +1.5 v. Mets | 3-5 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
New York is averaging 3.74 runs per game. Their .234 batting average is 26th in the league. Their .312 on base percentage is 20th, while their .377 slugging percentage is 27th. I'm not laying -200 with a team whose offense is unreliable. | |||||||
08-27-21 | Cubs +1.5 v. White Sox | 13-17 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel has been struggling this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the second percentile in strikeout percentage, third percentile in xBA, sixth percentile in xERA, and 10th percentile in xSLG. His 9.6 barrel percentage is the highest of his career. Keuchel has a five-pitch arsenal (sinker, changeup, cutter, slider, fastball) and his changeup has been his best pitch as it has a .196 batting average and a .315 slugging percentage. | |||||||
08-27-21 | Vikings +4 v. Chiefs | Top | 25-28 | Win | 103 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
Kansas City's offense will be led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes who looked okay in the second preseason game. In that game, he completed 10 of his 18 pass attempts for 78 passing yards and zero touchdowns. However, he also threw one interception and this number smells like a trap. | |||||||
08-26-21 | Cardinals v. Pirates +1.5 | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals on Thursday. Mikolas is 0-1 on the season in just two starts with a 1.00 ERA. In his first start since being activated off the 60-day injured list last week, Mikolas lost to the Pirates 4-0. The right-hander pitched pretty well, allowing just 2 runs on 2 hits in 5 innings with 5 strikeouts and 2 walks. The Cardinals rank 14th in team ERA and 17th in team WHIP. They rank 25th in runs scored, 24th in home runs, and 17th in team batting average. | |||||||
08-26-21 | Aces v. Dream +12.5 | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
The Dream is 6th in the league in scoring offense coming into this contest as they average 81 points a game this season. Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounding (33.7 boards a night) and stands 9th in assists with an average of 17.9 per game. The Dream are 12th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 87.1 points a contest this season. Atlanta has enough to staty within double digits at home. | |||||||
08-25-21 | Royals +1.5 v. Astros | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Royals may be out of the playoff picture, but they have not thrown in the towel. They are playing well and hope to continue their winning ways against the Houston Astros on Wednesday. I'm betting that we're going to catch the Astros sleeping in this one. | |||||||
08-24-21 | Tigers +1.5 v. Cardinals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
The Tigers have been one of the biggest surprises in the MLB this season as they have greatly overachieved this season. One of the reasons for the team's success has been their pitching staff with Casey Mize leading the group, allowing only 53 runs in 23 starts while tossing 98 strikeouts with a 7.1 walk rate. | |||||||
08-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -1.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
The Dbacks have been on an epic free fall over the last four months of the year after a promising start to the season. They came into this series with the Rockies a staggering 40 games below .500 over 122 games played. They have been horrid in the pitching department. Coming into play Saturday afternoon, they rank bottom five in staff ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, runs allowed, and home runs allowed. They’ve endured a slew of injuries to their rotation, being forced to send unproven arms day in and day out. It’s been a season to forget. | |||||||
08-22-21 | Nationals v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Washington’s pitching isn’t as good as the team’s offense. Opponents have a .247 batting average against the Nationals, which is 20th in the league. Their 4.56 ERA is 21st, while their 1.31 WHIP is 16th. In his last start, Nolin gave up eight hits and four runs in three innings, leading to a 4-1 loss to New York. | |||||||
08-22-21 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
This game is backed by two trends that are a combined 84-33 (72%). The Mariners are just 18-48 in their last 66 games against the Astros, and just 15-36 in Houston. The Astros are having yet another good season as they are one of the best teams in the league currently. They have a 72-50 record and are currently 1st in the AL West. The team is scoring a league-high 5.4 runs per game and allowing a top 5 league-low 3.9 runs per game. | |||||||
08-22-21 | Braves -1.5 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves have been heating up as they are riding an eight-game winning streak and are leading the NL East with a 67-56 record. They will be sending righty Touki Toussaint to pitch here and he is coming off a win over the Miami Marlins where he went 6.1 innings and allowed two runs on three hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the worst teams in MLB history as they are in last place in the AL East with a 38-64 record, including a 17-game losing streak. They will have southpaw John Means pitching here as he is coming off a losing effort against the Tampa Bay Rays where he lasted four innings and gave seven runs (four earned) on eight hits with no walks and seven strikeouts. | |||||||
08-21-21 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
Gerrit Cole has been incredible this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 95th percentile in strikeout percentage, 91st percentile in chase rate, 88th percentile in walk percentage, and 87th percentile in whiff percentage. His 9.7 barrel percentage is the highest of his career. Cole also throws five different pitches (fastball, slider, curveball, changeup, sinker) and hitters are struggling against the slider as it has a .136 batting average and a .216 slugging percentage. He faced the Twins once this season and he won by throwing six innings and allowed two runs on five hits with no walks and nine strikeouts. | |||||||
08-20-21 | Phillies v. Padres -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Matt Moore will get the start on Friday night. He is 2-3 for the season, in terms of win-loss record, with an ERA of 6.07, a WHIP of 1.49 and a K tally of just 51. | |||||||
08-20-21 | Montreal -4 v. Calgary | Top | 22-28 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
After a Week 1 bye, Montreal looks to make it two wins in a row. Alouettes’ quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. owns a 3-0 record against the Stampeders. Meanwhile, Calgary is looking to avoid a 0-3 start and will have to do so with out two-time MOP winner, Bo Levi Mitchell, who broke his fibula | |||||||
08-20-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The pitching has continued to struggle throughout the season with Mitch Keller being one of the many disappointing starters, allowing 47 runs in 15 starts while only tossing 60 strikeouts. Moreover, Keller is allowing a 2.88 expected opponent Batting Average, which is among the worst in the MLB, along with a .461 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, and a 6.00 expected ERA. | |||||||
08-20-21 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 3-12 | Win | 110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
McCullers Jr. has given the Astros a lot of innings this year as he’s made 20 starts, compiling a 9-4 record with a 3.22 ERA over 114.2 frames. If anything can be said about McCullers Jr. it’s that he’s been incredibly consistent this season as his highest monthly ERA was at 3.86 in July and his lowest was 2.52 in May. So far this month, he’s gone 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA over three starts and 17 innings. While McCullers Jr. earned a win in his only start against the M’s this season, he allowed four runs in six innings against them back on July 27. | |||||||
08-20-21 | Marlins v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 115 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
The offense has really let the fish down this season, ranking bottom five in runs, on-base percentage, home runs, and slugging percentage. They have a stable of solid starters in their rotation, but they need a handful of bats heading into next year as they have been lacking in the batter’s box. | |||||||
08-13-21 | Bills v. Lions -1 | Top | 16-15 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
While the preseason will always be an exhibition and nothing more, it seems notable looking back that Patricia lost his first game 16-10 against the Las Vegas Raiders back in 2018. During that game, the Lions started slow, looked disorganized at times, and struggled on both sides of the ball all around. Two years later, many of those same problems were still dogging Patricia’s team, leading to his eventual dismissal. While the first preseason game shouldn’t mean everything in terms of judgment, it can certainly help get things off on the right foot for the franchise at a critical time on the field. For Campbell, the hope is things go smoother than the 2018 preseason and regular-season opener. From the start, the old coaching staff seemed to be behind the eight-ball. Campbell cannot watch that play out for his tenure. Win or lose, there has to be a feeling of organization that Patricia never achieved. | |||||||
08-12-21 | BC +7 v. Calgary | Top | 15-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The Lions, on the other hand, were done in by a massive early deficit in their 33-29 loss at Saskatchewan last Friday. BC fell behind 31-0 in the first half in its first outing under new coach Rick Campbell, though the Lions fought back to make it a one-score game before a failed onside kick and a late Roughriders interception ultimately thwarted the comeback effort. The Lions will make the biggest jump from week one. | |||||||
08-12-21 | Sun -1.5 v. Storm | Top | 57-79 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Seattle has been impressive all season, but does have a weakness on the defensive side in the paint, an area of strength for Connecticut on offense. The Sun, on the other hand, have been able to rest up more over the Olympic break while a handful of Storm players were playing for Team USA or other countries in the Tokyo Olympics. That could also play into the favor of Connecticut in Thursday’s game. | |||||||
08-09-21 | Yankees -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
New York’s pitching has been better than the team’s offense. Opponents have a .226 batting average against the Yankees, which is fifth in the league. Their 3.72 ERA is 11th, while their 1.17 WHIP is fifth. In his last start, Taillon gave up four hits and three runs in 6.1 innings, leading to a 10-3 win over Baltimore. | |||||||
08-05-21 | Hamilton -3.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 6-19 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
The Bombers, who defeated Hamilton 33-12 to win the '19 Grey Cup, will be without stalwart running back Andrew Harris. The Winnipeg native was a pivotal figure in the club's first CFL championship since 1990, rushing for 134 yards and scoring two TDs to become the first player to be named the game's outstanding player and top Canadian. But after missing much of training camp due to injury, the 34-year-old Harris will miss the 2021 season opener. Joining him on the sidelines will be receiver Darvin Adams (47 catches, 549 yards, five TDs in 2019) and linebacker Kyrie Wilson (63 tackles, three sacks). | |||||||
08-05-21 | Cowboys v. Steelers -1.5 | Top | 3-16 | Win | 100 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
There isn't one team that Dana Lane follows closer than the Dallas Cowboys. The concern for me starts with the Cowboy quarterbacks. We're aren't going to see Dak Prescott in this one with his back-ups presenting a significant drop in talent. Mike McCarthy wants to see Garrett Gilbert for the first half with Cooper Rush and Ben DiNucci cleaning up. Rush could be the one that will end up on the waiver wire to end camp. Regardless of who plays, I can't envision the Boys putting up enough points to cash a ticket in this one. Every one of these signal-callers has had average camps at best. | |||||||
07-20-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
The Suns were a top-10 defense this season, but they allowed Milwaukee to shoot 57% and 14-of-28 from beyond the arc on their home floor. If they allow the Bucks to shoot over 50% from the floor and the three-point line again, the Suns will be heading to the golf course (and Tokyo). Expect them to be much better tonight. | |||||||
07-19-21 | Twins +1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Despite the poor overall record, Minnesota's offense has continued to put up strong stats with an average of 4.67 runs per game while slugging 130 home runs to rank third in baseball. | |||||||
07-18-21 | Orioles v. Royals -1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 29 m | Show |
Matt Harvey will take the mound for the Orioles Sunday afternoon in Kansas City. In 18 starts this season, Harvey is 3-10 and has a horrid ERA of 7.10. Harvey was run out of the building in his most recent outing. He gave up six earned runs over 3.2 innings of work in a 10-2 loss to the Blue Jays earlier this month. With a WHIP of 1.76 and a +7 ERA, Harvey has been a complete auto-fade this season. | |||||||
07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -3.5 | Top | 123-119 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Is a rugged, physical team that crashes the glass and forces mistakes just the wrong matchup for Phoenix? Or was this a case of some uncharacteristic Suns performances in the last two matchups? It’s hard to believe it’s not the latter given what the Suns have made their identity under head coach Monty Williams and general manager James Jones. Jones assembled an intelligent, hard-working group of guys that would be perfect for Williams to mold into the culture they wanted to establish for the organization. Seventeen turnovers marked only the second time the Suns reached that number in the postseason, the first occurrence since Game 3 of the first round. In the regular season, the Suns were seventh-best in the league in the number of possessions they turned over. | |||||||
07-16-21 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
The Chicago Cubs continue to struggle at the plate with a team batting average of .227, which is 28th in baseball. The Cubs are slightly better in slugging percentage at 18th best with .394 and have produced the 19th most runs with 378. Javier Baez, is the leader in home runs for Chicago with 21 and RBIs with 56, is questionable for tonight's game. | |||||||
07-16-21 | Padres -1.5 v. Nationals | 24-8 | Win | 118 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Erick Fedde has not pitched well so far this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 27th percentile in average exit velocity, seventh percentile in whiff percentage, 32nd percentile in barrel percentage, and 41st percentile in hard-hit percentage. His 90 MPH exit velocity is the highest against him in his career. Fedde has a five-pitch arsenal (sinker, cutter, curveball, changeup, fastball) and the changeup is his best pitch as it has a .103 batting average with zero homers. He lost his only other time pitching against the Padres as he threw 4.1 innings and allowed six runs on eight hits with a walk and two strikeouts. | |||||||
07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4.5 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Antetokounmpo dominated in Games 2 and as he recorded at least 40 points and 10 rebounds in each game He needs to stay aggressive despite any struggles from the foul line, limit his jump shot attempts, and put pressure on the rim as much as possible. If he can get Deandre Ayton in foul trouble again like he did in Game 3, the Bucks will be in a great spot. | |||||||
07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 100-120 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Obviously, you're going to get the Bucks best effort in this game. Antetokounmpo dominated in Game 2 as he scored a game-high 42 points, and he must have another big night in Game 3. He needs to stay aggressive despite any struggles from the foul line, limit his jumpshot attempts, and put pressure on the rim as much as possible. If he can get Deandre Ayton in foul trouble (easier said than done - he has yet to pick up five fouls in any postseason game), the Bucks will be in a great spot. | |||||||
07-11-21 | Mercury +8.5 v. Storm | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
History will tellyou that Phoenix hasnot fared well against Seattle, but of late, the Mercury have been ticket cashing machines on the road with winners in 10 of their last 12 and 6 of 7 as a dog. The Storm are ice cold, failing to cover seven straight and six straight as a favorite. | |||||||
07-11-21 | Fever +5.5 v. Dream | Top | 79-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
The Fever have covered 5 of their last six games, indicating that they're about to break out of their ATS slump. Atlanta is just 3-9 ATS as a favorite. | |||||||
07-10-21 | Mystics v. Sky -9 | Top | 89-85 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
The Sky are 14-4 ATS when playing on three or more days rest, while coverin 15 of their last 19 Saturday games. The Mystocs have played well against the better teams in the league but this feels like a blowout to me. | |||||||
07-09-21 | Lynx +7 v. Aces | Top | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
The Lynx have had success against Vegas, covering five of their last seven meetings and four of five in Las Vegas. I'll take the generous points in this one. | |||||||
07-09-21 | Angels -1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Alex Cobb will be on the mound to open the series in Seattle after beating the Baltimore Orioles last Saturday, allowing one run on four hits and one walk while striking out six across 7.2 strong innings. The 33-year old is 6-3 with a 4.60 ERA in his first season with the Angels while striking out 69 batters in 60.2 innings. | |||||||
07-09-21 | Storm -6.5 v. Mercury | 77-85 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The Storm are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings and 5-1 in Phoenix. The Mercury have failed to cover six of their last eight. | |||||||
07-09-21 | A's v. Rangers +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
The Rangers are playing well at home at the moment and they’ve won four of their last six home games. They will try to keep the momentum going with a win over the Athletics, which will give them their fifth win in their last seven home games. In his last start, Lyles gave up five hits and two runs in six innings, leading to a 7-3 win over Seattle. | |||||||
07-09-21 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals are a below-average offense, ranked 20th in MLB with a .695 OPS. A big reason they are struggling offensively this year is that they aren’t doing well away from Kauffman Stadium as they are posting a .228/.289/.359 slash line on the road while scoring 3.5 runs per game. | |||||||
07-09-21 | Liberty v. Fever +3.5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
The Liberty have failed to cover 7 of their last 10 meetings and are just 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Fever have covered four straight against the East and 4 of 5 overall. | |||||||
07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns -4.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
If the Suns’ offense hopes to continue its success from Game 1, they need to continue staying a step ahead of the Bucks’ defense with excellent execution. The Suns consistently were ready for the Bucks’ defensive coverages and had counters ready to attack them. Expect Paul and Monty Williams to have the Suns prepared and continue making the right adjustments as they have all postseason long. | |||||||
07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -6 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Bucks allowed the most long midrange shots in the NBA this season, and the Suns took the fourth-most of these shots. Overall in the midrange, the Bucks allowed the fourth-most shot attempts while the Suns took the sixth-most midrange shots (per Cleaning The Glass). The Bucks allowed the 11th-highest shooting percentage in both the long midrange and total midrange while the Suns shot the highest percentage in both the long midrange (46.6%) and all midrange shots (49.1% - via Cleaning The Glass). | |||||||
07-05-21 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Wily Peralta allowed one unearned run on three hits and no walks with five strikeouts over five innings in a 7-1 win against Cleveland on Wednesday in his last start for the Tigers. The 32-year-old right-hander tossed three more scoreless innings, throwing 50-of-80 pitches for strikes and generating 13 whiffs to strike out five batters according to baseballsavant.com. The solid performance earned him another start in this matchup on Monday. He carries a 3.21 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and eight strikeouts over 14 innings into this game against the Rangers. | |||||||
07-05-21 | Wings v. Liberty +5 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
The Wings are just 2-5 in their last seven ATS as a road favorite. This number suggest that the books would like you to take Dallas but word is that this is not a good spot for them. | |||||||
07-03-21 | Lynx +3 v. Mercury | Top | 99-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Lynx have owned Connectuct over the years, covering 34 of their last 50 meetings, including 10 of 11 in Phoenix. The Mercury are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. | |||||||
07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks -2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
While the Bucks are preparing for life without Giannis, the Hawks are hopeful that their young star, Trae Young, will be back in the lineup. He remains questionable, which is better than the doubtful designation for Giannis and will surely at least give it a go in warmups with the season on the line. Thursday's game saw Bogdan Bogdanovic lead the way with 28 points, but with two other starts only scoring in single digits in 59 combined minutes, there was little the Hawks could do to replicate Young's scoring. While the Hawks need a better scoring output from the team as a whole, what they really need is the return of their most electric player in Young to test spread the floor and really test the Bucks' defensive resolve in game six. | |||||||
07-01-21 | Hawks +2 v. Bucks | Top | 112-123 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
The Bucks open as two-point favorites with the status of Young and Capela up in the air, while that number will probably be higher if the Hawks starting point guard or center is ruled out for Game 5. If Young and Capela are ruled in, the Hawks might honestly wind up being the favorite for the first time all series, assuming Antetokounmpo ends up being ruled out. Take the bucket now but anticipate the stars playing for both. | |||||||
07-01-21 | Sun v. Fever +15 | Top | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 36 m | Show |
There is not much to like about betting Indiana on the surface but late information has compelled me to put side and total up on this game. | |||||||
06-30-21 | Lynx +3 v. Mercury | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Lynx have had the Mercury number for a long time, covering 33 of their last 49 decisions, including 9 straight in Phoenix. | |||||||
06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | Top | 130-103 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The Clippers have covered five of their last six home games in the postseason, and are 6-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. | |||||||
06-30-21 | Sky -1.5 v. Wings | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The Sky are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. | |||||||
06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | Top | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Trae Young set the tone for the Bucks vs Hawks series as he scored 48 points in Game 1 to lead his team to victory. His brilliant performance in Game 3 gave the Hawks hopes to take a 2-1 lead, but they were left unfulfilled after he rolled his ankles in the 3rd quarter, which took the game away from them. His availability for this game is reported as questionable, but the fighter that Trae is, you can expect him to make an appearance in Game 4. Don't fall in the trap that Young isn't 100% so I'll lay a huge number with the Bucks. Take the Hawks and the generous number. | |||||||
06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
It’s tough to look at Game 5 odds between the Clippers and Suns and feel confident in the Clippers to win. Paul George did a great job leading the team past the Jazz in the last round without Kawhi Leonard, but he looks to have lost some steam in the conference semifinals. They need an answer for the tight defense they’ve gotten from Phoenix lately, but I worry that the team is kind of at the end of its road. Reggie Jackson was incredibly inefficient in Game 4, despite scoring 20 points. Terance Mann has been awesome this postseason, but he and Paul George aren’t going to be enough to hang with the Suns by themselves. The Suns are playing better basketball than any team in the world right now (I know there are only four left playing). Chris Paul probably should have gotten more consideration for MVP because you can see the impact he’s had on this team. | |||||||
06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +5 | Top | 113-102 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
You can bet that the Hawks won't shoot just over 41% from the field and 25% from beyond the arc. I'm more than happy to take the generous overreaction from the oddsmakers. | |||||||
06-26-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
Merrill Kelly will start for the Diamondbacks on Saturday. He has a 3-7 record, with an ERA of 5.06, 77 strikeouts (49th in the MLB) with a WHIP of 1.32, 56th in the league. | |||||||
06-26-21 | A's v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Frankie Montas will get the ball on Saturday looking to bounce back from a miserable outing last time out against Texas, as he allowed eight runs on nine hits and two walks in 5.2 innings while striking out six. The 28-year-old has not been at his best all season, posting a 7-7 record and 4.79 ERA across 82.2 innings. | |||||||
06-26-21 | Liberty v. Dream -4 | Top | 99-78 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
The Liberty have been one of the worst teams to bet in the WNBA with a 15-35-2 ATS record over their last 52 games, while the Dream have covered 5 of 7 against teams under .500. | |||||||
06-26-21 | Phillies v. Mets -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Zach Eflin will make his 15th start of the year and holds a 2-6 record with a 4.39 ERA so far this season. Eflin has yet to face the Mets this season, but was shellacked by the San Francisco Giants for nine hits, six earned runs, and four home runs his last time out. Eflin has a 2.13 ERA at home, but a miserable 6.26 ERA on the road which doesn't bode well when you are facing deGrom in the opposite dugout. | |||||||
06-26-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles haven't done well this season offensively as they have a .688 OPS this season and are scoring 3.9 runs per game, which isn’t keeping up with their subpar pitching. In the last 15 days, their .596 OPS is the worst in the American League and only ahead of the St Louis Cardinals in the majors. I can't back a team that I can't rely on to score runs. | |||||||
06-26-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -129 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
They were once the "lastros", followed by the Champions, then the "Cheatstros" and now they are back to being big "Orange Wagon". Baker has the Houston Astros playing top-notch baseball as they lead the American League West by two games after winning 11 straight games. Houston won the opener, 12-3, in this series on Thursday led by Yordan Alvarez, who hit his 12th homer and knocked in five runs. | |||||||
06-26-21 | Mystics +6.5 v. Wings | Top | 74-85 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
The Mystics have been a decent wager in Dallas, covering 7 of their last 10 visits and 8 of the last 11 road games overall. Dallas has failed to cover five of their last six against the Eastern Conferene. | |||||||
06-25-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | Top | 91-125 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
If it isn’t broken, don’t fix it. That should be the mantra heading into Game 2 on Friday night. The Hawks need to continue to put Young in the pick-and-roll and let him go to work. Milwaukee looked sluggish on the floor as the burgeoning superstar point guard put defenders on “Dancing with the Stars: The Trae Young Edition.” His handles and ability to create openings off the dribble had the Bucks on their heels from start to finish. | |||||||
06-25-21 | Royals +1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -191 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Friday's starting pitcher for Kansas City Mike Minor leads the Royals in strikeouts with 62 and wins with 6 ( 6-4, 4.48 ERA). Kansas City has won two of the left-hander’s last three starts. At the plate, Kansas City is 10th in baseball in team batting average at .243 I'll take the insurance in this one. | |||||||
06-24-21 | Nationals v. Marlins +1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -161 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Miami is projected to send right-handed rookie Cody Poteet to start the game. The 26-year-old has a 3.90 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, with a 26/12 K/BB ratio over six prior starts for the Marlins this season. While their bats have been in a slumber most of the year, their rotation as a whole has been excellent. They rank top five in staff ERA (3.38), runs against, and home runs allowed. | |||||||
06-24-21 | Wings v. Fever +8.5 | Top | 89-64 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
The Wings have failed to cover 5 of their last 6 meetings in Indiana, and 7 of 10 overall. In addition, they've failed to cover five straight games against the East. | |||||||
06-24-21 | Sky v. Liberty +7 | Top | 91-68 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
This looks like a classic oversight game for the Sky. They have handled New York in the past and have a bigger match-up with Connecticut this weekend. |
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Ricky Tran | $868 |
Will Rogers | $491 |
William Burns | $415 |
Nick Parsons | $345 |
Joseph D'Amico | $282 |
Ross Benjamin | $255 |
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Tom Macrina | $149 |
Joey Tron | $113 |
ProSportsPicks | $107 |