Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-03-24 | Blue Jays v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 3-9 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Nats starter Corbin ss 43-25 UNDER in home games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. KIKUCHI L/13 vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. WASHINGTON L/54 in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg. Blue Jays hitters have been in a season-long drought and Im betting nothing changes today. Blue Jays are averaging 3.47 runs per game and have scored three runs or less in 18 of their 32 games this season. I know Corbin has not pitched well for the Nats this season, but the way the Jays have faltered Ill continue fading their offensive production at least for now. Toronto is scheduled to start left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (2-2, 2.94 ERA) in the opener of this series vs Washington and according to my power rankings matches up very well here. TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. TORONTO is 24-5 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. TORONTO is 10-1 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg. TORONTO is 12-3 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg. TORONTO is 11-1 UNDER after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a horrible NL starting pitcher (ERA 5.50 or more , WHIP 1.650 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. Play under | |||||||
05-02-24 | Bucks v. Pacers OVER 212 | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
In the two games in this play off series played in Indiana the pace and combined scoring outputs have produced exactly 239 points both times. Im now betting on a similar all out output, as the Bucks are on the verge of illumination and will have to be aggressive offensively against the NBAs No 1 offense that will be ready to run and gun their way to the next series. The Bucks upset the Pacers by a 115-92 count at home last time out as the the visitors looked lethargic , but Im betting on a huge rebound here from the Pacers and an all out performance especially on offense where they usually thrive. Note:INDIANA is 20-7 OVER after scoring 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242.9 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 41 games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average 232.8 ppg scored. .INDIANA in 33 in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season have seen a combined average of 244..3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 65 games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 236.1 ppg scored. ***There are reports Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard will return for this game, but still not verified. Play or not Im still expecting offensive fireworks. Play on the over | |||||||
05-02-24 | Giants v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Boston turns to right-hander Josh Winckowski (1-1, 3.50 ERA), who is scheduled to make his third straight start after seven relief appearances to start the season. He is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in two appearances (no starts) against San Francisco.The righty has allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings since joining the rotation April 2 and projects to have another strong effort here. Meanwhile, San Francisco,, will send Kyle Harrison (2-1, 4.09) who threw six scoreless innings last Friday against Pittsburgh, striking out seven and allowing only five hits. He also projects to last into the mid innings of this game. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 26-13 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 45-19 UNDER (after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. SF has gone under in 5 straight games. Bosox have gone under in 3 straight. Play on the under | |||||||
05-02-24 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Orioles were shutout yesterday by a 2-0 count and I am now expecting another low scoring tilt in the finale of this 4 game set . It must be noted that the Yankees have scored a total of only four runs in the first three games of the series. The Yanks starter Rodon has pitched well this season, garnering a (2-1, 2.48 ERA) record. In his last two games combined, he has pitched in 13 innings while allowing only one run. He struck out a season-high eight in six innings Saturday at Milwaukee and has momentum entering this game and is back with a viable bullpen that owns a stingy 1.87 ERA on the road this season. On the flip-side right-hander Kyle Bradish is expected to come off the injured list for his season debut. He is a viable hurler, and deserves respect here as hr is fresh and far from tired , and is backed by a quality Os bullpen that has garnered 3.66 ERA at home this season. Im betting on a lower scoring game as my projections estimate both offenses will struggle today. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpgs clicking in at 7.3. Play under | |||||||
05-01-24 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 198 | 84-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
The Heat Im betting will be far more aggressive than they have been in their L/2 games vs the Celtics . Their defensive minded game plan utterly failed vs the Celtics and now they have to open up or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to combined score that eclipses this total. BOSTON L/35 as a favorite of 10 or more points this season has seen a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. BOSTON 16 games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half this season have seen a combined average of 231 ppg scored. MIAMI in 20 games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. MIAMI in 29 road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. MIAMIs L/33 road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA team (MIAMI) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 66-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 224.4 ppg. Play on the OVER | |||||||
04-29-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 217.5 | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
Denver knows how to slow down run and gun teams like the Lakers, here in the Mile High City behind the 6th ranked defense and 27th ranked pace. The Nuggets held the Lakers to 99 and 103 points in the first two games of this series here in Denver, behind a strong grinding D. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here and a combined score that stays on the low side of the offered total DENVER is 9-0 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 214.7 ppg scored. DENVER is 16-3 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 216.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season for 215.2 ppg. NBAl teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER/LA LAKERS) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-29-24 | Pirates v. A's OVER 8 | 1-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The Pirates are off a low scoring weekend series vs the Giants, and their overall offense has been muted recently, but Im betting on a break out offensive performance here against the As, and their starter Boyle who has garnered a ugly 1-4 record so far this season along with a hefty 7.06 ERA that includes a 0-2 record at home along with a 9.39 ERA. Note: The As have allowed an average 4.8 rpg at home this season and in night games have allowed 4.9 rpg . Meanwhile, on the flip-side I know Falter the Pirates starter has looked decent this season, but on the road , owns a 5.79 ERA in 2 starts, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the As struggling offense actually matches up well and should provide us with enough support to get us over the offered totals number. PITTSBURGH is 10-1 OVER after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH in their L/31 road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. ( lost 3-2 in SF yesterday)PITTSBURGH is 23-11 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - terrible AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 30-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Play over | |||||||
04-28-24 | Guardians v. Braves UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Braves starter Elder (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Guardians starter Lively (0-1, 2.38), are a viable pair of right-handers who according to my projections matchup well here vs these batting orders. CLEVELAND is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 27-14 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Atlanta ha allowed a total of 5 runs in their L/4 games as the D, and pitching staff look to be in top form. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA/ CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER /L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play under | |||||||
04-26-24 | Oilers v. Kings OVER 6.5 | 6-1 | Win | 105 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
. Both offenses are playing extremely well ,while both goaltenders are struggling vs explosive tick tack toe play with 11 goals scored in game 1 and 9 goals scored in game 2. Note:Kings goalie Cam Talbot, has now allowed three or more goals in eight of his last 10 starts dating back to the regular season. Talbot has garnered a ugly .883 SV% and 3.36 GAA over that time Oilers golatender Skinner Dating back to the regular season owns a 1-2 record and nasty looking .829 SV% and 5.49 GAA. Hes backed by a D, that looks in disarray at times which is reflected in thier 12th ranled Expected Goals Against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. ( EDMONTON is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. Play over | |||||||
04-26-24 | Diamondbacks v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.73 runs per game and according to my early season pitcher vs batting order power rankings have an edge for a stellar outing vs Hancock (6.10 ERA) here today and could easily eclipse this totals offering on their own. Meanwhile, Seattle despite of their struggling offense matchup well vs Gallen, who owns a 7.20 ERA in two road starts this season, and is backed by a bullpen that owns 4.83 ERA on the road this season. LOVULLO is 30-13 OVER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of ARIZONA with a average of 10 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - sub standard AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% converison rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
04-26-24 | Bucks v. Pacers OVER 220.5 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Pacers were in true run and gun form in game 2 of this series winning by a 125-108 count. The Bucks will have to ramp up their attack here in game two or be blown of the court as Im betting the Pacers on their own home floor will feed off the energy of the crowd and be in full flight. This will lead to a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. INDIANA is 8-0 OVER in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 263.3 ppg scored. Carlisle is 15-3 OVER in April games as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. INDIANA is 40-21 OVER \ when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. INDIANA in their L/43 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 236 ppg go on the board. MILWAUKEE in 39 road games this season has seen a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE iin 20 games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season have seen a combined average of 247.7 ppg scored. These teams have gone over in 5 of the L/6 meetings here in Indiana. Play on the over | |||||||
04-25-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 214.5 | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
My. projections estimate that both these teams will produce +114 points in what the linesmakers expect to be a very close game .LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored..DENVER is 16-2 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 244.5 ppg scored. LA LAKERS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined score of 227.3 ppg scored.LA LAKERS L/173 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS in 48 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 235.5 ppg scored. DENVER 45 games this season when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average 221.2 ppg scored. DENVERs 65 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season has seen a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
04-24-24 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 202.5 | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
In game 1 of this series the Celtics outscored the Heat 31-14 in the third quarter and led 91-59 entering the fourth. Needless to say, the Heats defense first game plan did not work, and they now need to be more aggressive offensively or be blown off the court again. Tonight look for the Heat to try to speed their game up, and for more shots to drop and for a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.Mazzulla is 18-7 OVER after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MIAMI in 26 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.8 ppg scored.MIAMI is 5-13 ATS in 18 games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
04-22-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Denver ranks 6h in-defense ppg allowed , and 14th in offensive production and 27th in pace.Slow and and easy is the defending campions modus operandi, and nothing will chan ge today in the high altitudes of Rockies. Im betting the Nuggets play gridning physcial game as they look to slow down the Lakers and make them work hard for every point, which will lead to a lower socring game than the linesmakers number suggests. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored.DENVER is 16-6 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.DENVER is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 8-0 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. Five of the last eight games here in Denver have stayed under. Play on the under | |||||||
04-22-24 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Pitching Trends:KCs expected starter SINGER is 17-6 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. Blue Jays expected starter KIKUCHI is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.483. KIKUCHIin his L/11 starts vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. Jays bullpen owns a sub par 5.24 ERA so far this season. KC has averaged 5.9 rpg at home this season. QUATRARO in his L/ 32 in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. QUATRARO is 14-3 OVER in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more as the manager of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ( Lost to Baltimore 5-0 yesterday) MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less ) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 start are 36-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with an average of 11.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY/TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-30 OVER for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at 10.6 rpg . Play over | |||||||
04-22-24 | Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Game one saw the Isles lose 3-1 with one of the goals they gave up being an empty netter. With Carolina goaltender Frederik Andersen making 33 saves in game one he looks like he is in a groove .Meanwhile, Isles Im betting will struggle to score once again, while Carolina Im betting will find the sledding tough against a veteran Isles team that knows how to grind it out in play off hockey. Also the goaltending tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are also considered to be a top tier pair of puck stoppers. CAROLINA is 21-4 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI) Play under | |||||||
04-22-24 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 208 | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing very physical defensive games in the recent past and Im betting on nothing changing here tonight in game two of this series. Three of the L/4 meetings have failed to eclipse this Totals offering. NEW YORK in 26 games when leading in a playoff series since 1996 have seen a combined average of 174 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 28-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under | |||||||
04-21-24 | Orioles v. Royals UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Baltimore evened up the series with the Royals Saturday night with a 9-7 victory but Im now betting on immediate limited offensive production here today, mostly based on the output projections expected by the Royals . Note:The Orioles will start Lugo (3-0, 1.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings and has not allowed more than 2 ERS in any start and is off a shut out performance last time out. KCs starter IRVIN in 6 career outings when starting against KANSAS CITY has garnered a ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.172 with all six games staying on the low side of the totals offering. Kansas City went gone under the total in 4 previous games before the Baltimore series began. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KC/ BALTIMORE) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play under | |||||||
04-20-24 | White Sox v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Phillies offense is finally starting to roll and have scored 5, 7, 7 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on more production today vs expected starting Right-hander Michael Soroka (0-2, 6.98 ERA) . Im also betting the Phillies will be primed to support right-hander Zack Wheeler (0-3, 3.00 ERA), who hasn't received much run support this season. QUOTE: "It's frustrating," Manager Thomson said. "We haven't really swung the bats in his starts. That'll change." PHILADELPHIA is 72-43 UNDER in home games after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 8.7 rpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored .PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - struggling AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 34-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11 rpg. Play over | |||||||
04-19-24 | Kings v. Pelicans OVER 210 | 98-105 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a conclusive victory last time out, vs Golden State by a 118-94 count. Note: SACRAMENTO L/16 after allowing 105 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Pelicans lost a 110-106 battle to the experienced Lakers last time out, but Im betting on them being more aggressive here tonight offensively which in turn will help us see the combined score eclipse this offering. Brown L/42 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of SACRAMENTO has seen a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. The nine most recent meetings in this series have all eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. NEW ORLEANS L/72 games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. SACRAMENTOs L/41 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons haver seen a combined average of 232.8 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/24 in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/12 in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 65-37 OVER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over | |||||||
04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 207 | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate a combined score in the 211-to 214 range giving us a 2 possession edge to the over. I know Miami is a defense first team, but when pushed- which they will be- can light up the scoreboard with some offensive fireworks of their own. Note: The Heat have gone over in 9 of their L/10 overall. MIAMI L/77 games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. MIAMI in 7 road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 219 ppg scored ( Lost 109-105 to Phil on April 4th) MIAMI in L/ 44 games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. ( lost last two meetings) MIAMI is 17-4 OVER in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.3 ppg scored. Nurse in 27 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored. NBA team (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half have seen a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored during a current 65 game sample size over the L/5 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more have seen a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored over a 233 sample size going back 27 seasons. Play over | |||||||
04-16-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans OVER 225 | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 49 m | Show | |
My projections place this game total in the high 220s to low 230s, giving us at least one possession plus edge on this current totals offering. My estimates also suggest both sides will score +114 points- Note:LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-1 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 250.4 ppg scored. The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in offensive production and a lowly 23rd in defensive ppg allowed and a speedy 4th in pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans rank 13th in offensive production, and 8th in ppg allowed, behind the 17th ranked pace, but those numbers are a little deceiving as they have allowed a 46.7 % FG conversion rate from opponents at home and in their L/5 overall games entering this game have allowed a 49.7 % FG conversion rate. Pelicans have gone over in 3 straight games and 7 of their L/9 , while the Lakers have gone over in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7. LA LAKERS L/8 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.8 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 23-13 OVER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 9-1 OVER in road games against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 240.8 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 22-7 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored. Ham in 134 games vs sides like the Pelicans allowing a 46% or more defensive FG conversion rate as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a combined average of 236 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or of their shots over a 143 game sample size have seen a combined average of 228 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 62-31 OVER L/27 seasons with a average combined score of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games have seen a combined average of 233.3 ppg over a 245 game sample size. Play over | |||||||
04-14-24 | Hurricanes v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Chicago has allowed 4, 5,5 goals in their L/3 trips to the ice and Im betting nothing changes today vs the Carolina Canes. With nothing left to play for Im betting the Blackhawks being very loose and aggressive offensively vs the Canes, with little tp no forechecking , and for the Canes to very likely over looking their opponents which could lead to a bigger output by the home side than the linesmakers anticipate. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER in home games after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7.2 gog scored. ( Lost to Nashville last time out by a 5-2 count) CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. (Carolinas just beat Boston 4-1 and St.Louis 5-2) Carolina beat Chicago 6-3 earlier this season, and a rinse repeat combined score is not out of the question) NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play over Play over | |||||||
04-14-24 | Rockets v. Clippers OVER 219.5 | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the mid 220s giving us a substantial edge on this totals offering to the over. In a recent meeting these teams combined for 238 points, and even though both teams may rest starters tonight Im betting on a loose game with very little physical defensive action which will help propel this score to higher limits than the linesmkaers expect. HOUSTON L/33 games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. HOUSTON L/29 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS L/22 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season have seen a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 2219.5 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
04-12-24 | Nets v. Knicks OVER 210.5 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Im betting these NY NBA rivals play a fairly wide open game tonight that I project will be higher scoring than the lines-makers are expecting . I know Brooklyn will be short handed overall but their replacements will be playing loose and looking for extended contracts, so I expect aggressive action. Meanwhile, the Knicks offense has been hitting on all cylinders, and according to my numbers will exceed the 120 point plateau in this event , even though they played last night in a win vs the Celtics. (. NYK has put 122, 128, and 118 points on the board in their L/3 tilts) Even in a letdown situation, and with the Nets playing short handed we should get over this exaggerated totals offering. NEW YORK is 13-4 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored. NEW YORK in 44 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 37-18 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. BROOKLYN iin 43 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season have seen a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.BROOKLYN i n 36 road games this season has seen a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored.BROOKLYN in 43 games revenging a loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.NEW YORK in 39 home games this season has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BROOKLYN) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 53-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
04-11-24 | Jets v. Stars UNDER 6 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Winnipeg has won 4 straight games, and are very offensively productive during this run! However, the Stars goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage during that span and is obviously in top form and hard to score on. Winnipeg puck stopper Hellebuyck is also starting to gear up in top form as the play offs approach, going 3-0-0 over his past three starts with a 2.31 GAA and a .935 save percentage. WINNIPEG is 8-1 L/9 UNDER after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 goals per game scored. Dallas is 5-1 UNDER in their L/6 games. The L/3 most recent meetings in this series have not seen more than 5 goals scored. Play under | |||||||
04-11-24 | Bulls v. Pistons OVER 217.5 | 127-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
My. projections estimate a total closer to 224 which give us a more than 2 possession value on this offering to the over. The Bulls know they will play the Atlanta Hawks as the Nos. 9 and 10 seeds in the Eastern Conference play-in tournament. Meanwhile, the Pistons have lost five straight and 13 of their last 14 games and have nothing left to play for so they will play loose here tonight. With that said, Im betting there will be a lack of physical intensity defensively tonight and a more wide open game most likely will be on the agenda which signifies a higher scoring output than expected by the linesmakers. NBA team (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 63-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a combined average of 224 ppg going on the board. Play on the over | |||||||
04-11-24 | Mets v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 16-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) to the mound on Thursday. He allowed one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday and Im betting he continues his strong work vs a lineup he matches up well against according to my own early season pitcher vs offense power rankings. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYM +1.5 runline | |||||||
04-09-24 | Magic v. Rockets OVER 214 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
We all know that the Magic thrive in defensive type games, but Im betting tonight the run and gun Rockets who rank 11th in pace in the league will force them into a faster paced game, which will result in a combined score that eclispes this offering. Houston allows an average of 113 plus points per game on the season, and Im betting the Magic hitting that plateau while the Rockets chase that same output here at home tonight . ORLANDO is 16-6 OVER in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored. ORLANDO iL/59 games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. HOUSTONs L/25 games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 239 ppg go on the board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 222.1 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 55-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 29-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut UNDER 145.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CONNECTICUT is 9-2 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 141.3 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 UNDER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg going on the score board. CONNECTICUT is 8-2 UNDER in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored. UConn has gone under in 9 of their L/10 games, and their defense has held 10 of their 11 opponents under their season offensive average. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games are 47-27 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. Play on the under | |||||||
04-08-24 | Mariners v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Mariners starter CASTILLO in 6 road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 6.6 rpg going on the board. Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 21-9 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.BERRIOS is 11-2 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. Play on the under | |||||||
04-07-24 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Two explosive offenses go head to head here against two average looking pitchers Sale and Nelson. The first two games of this series went over the Total, and Im betting on more offensive fireworks today. Nelson current form lends credence to a a short outing which is not a good omen for the a Arizona bullpen that is currently overworked. ARIZONA is 28-12 OVER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 17-6 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 25-12 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER in home games in April games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. Play on the over | |||||||
04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue UNDER 146.5 | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 120 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PURDUE is 8-0 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored. NC STATE is 6-0 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 138.9 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NC STATE) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 104-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored. Play under | |||||||
04-04-24 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 209.5 | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
According to my projections the current totals offering is of by close to 2 possession which favors an over bet between the visiting 76ers and their hosts the Heat. Even the slightest edge will end up being a long term profitable approach to betting the NBA . I know both sides run at a slower pace, but in what the linesmakers are expecting a close competitive game eclipsing the total is a viable opportunity as my projections estimate both sides will score +107 points. The 76ers defensive rating registers at 115.2 (12th of 30) Net Rtg: +2.3 (14th of 30) The Heats defensive rating registers at :112.8 (6th of 30) Net Rtg: +1.5 (16th of 30) PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 82-59 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-27 OVER L/5 seasons with the combined average of 233.8 ppg scored over the 87 game sample. Play over | |||||||
04-04-24 | Kings v. Knicks OVER 215 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 47-26 OVER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. | |||||||
04-04-24 | Indiana State v. Seton Hall UNDER 160 | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall UNDER 145.5 | 67-84 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall Im betting will be ready to make this into a grinding defensive affair. Also after the big offensive output last tine out Im betting on regression from the Pirates. SETON HALL is 21-8 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better . GEORGIA is 10-3 UNDER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. GEORGIA is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 155 points or more this season SETON HALL is 25-13 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - off an upset win as a road underdog are 165-108 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate . CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 110-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play under | |||||||
04-02-24 | Utah v. Indiana State UNDER 163.5 | 90-100 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. "Undoubtedly, Coach [Vadal] Peterson has instructed his group to slow down the pace and stress possession at all times vs a run and gun Sycamores side. The Utah game plan of defense first disciplined slow down hoops Im betting wont deviate today as they will have to deal with a raucous environment at the Hinkle Filed House in Indiana this Tuesday night . This gives us an edge towards a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers expect. UTAH is 36-19 UNDER L/54 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 130.0 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (INDIANA ST) - in a tournament game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 107-60 L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. (Scored 85 in a 85-81 vs Cincinnati last time out). Play under | |||||||
04-01-24 | Blue Jays v. Astros UNDER 9 | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
. The Astros stranded 34 baserunners and finished 8-for-41 with runners in scoring position in their season opening four game sweep at the hands of the Yankees and Im betting based on my projections they continue to have issues today vs the Jays pitching staff. HOUSTON is 23-9 UNDER in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. TORONTO is 27-13 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined averag of 7.7 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TORONTO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams who had good records (54% to 62%) from last season are 29-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under | |||||||
03-30-24 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Stroman/Brown probable pitching matchup projects a strong pitcher advantage vs opposing offensive production . Same holds true with active bullpen probables Edge to the under NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. NY YANKEE L/8 games as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. NY YANKEES L/102 night games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined aerage of 8 rpg scored. . MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NYY/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 63-24 UNDER with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Play to the under | |||||||
03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Connecticut has held 9 of their L/10 opponents to their season low point production average and Im betting nothing changes today. Illinois shoots strong downtown trey action, and defends the trey well, and so does UConn. What Im betting here is that alot of this game is played on the inside, and will be brutally physical and also lower scoring than the linesmkaers are expecting. CONNECTICUT is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT in 9 games when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons have held their opponents to an average of 57.4 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win as an underdog are 91-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CONNECTICUT) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80%or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 190-126 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. Play on UNDER | |||||||
03-30-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The first two games of this series saw 10 runs per games scored (both tilts) and Im projecting on the magic of 3 to hit for us today, based on the pitcher/bullpen/batting lineup projections. TAMPA BAY is 16-5 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 21-7 OVER (+13.0 Units) in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. MLB team (TORONTO) - off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival, first 12 games of the season, playoff team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 41-13 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Play over | |||||||
03-30-24 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 4-13 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Los Angeles, their first three pitchers gave up a combined nine earned runs in the Thursday game but my projections estimate a much better all around effort here today from the pitching staff (starter/bullpen). Meanwhile, on offense the Angels could only squeeze out couple of hits and three walks, and my early season projections estimate more production problems against the Orioles starters/bullpen. Edge to the under. BALTIMORE is 31-18 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. MLB eam (BALTIMORE) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversin rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in 7.5 rpg. Play under | |||||||
03-29-24 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Rodon/Javier expected starters- my projections estimate we have value with an under wager between two stop tier sides. NY YANKEES are 49-30 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 24-8 UNDER when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. BOONE is 36-22 UNDER ( as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (/HOUSTON/NY YANKEES) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 61-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Play under | |||||||
03-28-24 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 225.5 | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Boston was upset last time out by a 120-118 score by this same Atlanta squad, and now redemption is at hand. Im betting on a merciless effort here from the Celtics and for the Hawks to have to open up with some offensive foireworsk of their own in chase mode which Im projecting will help easily eclipse this total. BOSTON L/28 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons has een a combined average of 233.4 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 253.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 252.5 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 67-29 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
03-28-24 | Clemson v. Arizona UNDER 152.5 | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 74 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on under | |||||||
03-28-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Dodgers took part in a high scoring affair last time out ( week ago) where 26 combined runs were scored and now Im betting on immediate regression. This Cards first game of the regular season, and facing a top tier pitcher in Glasnow projects to be average at best production event. Dodgers starter GLASNOW iin his last 18 appearances as a favorite of -175 to -250 . (Team's Record) has seen a combined score of 6.1 rpg scored. Cards expected starter MIKOLAS is 9-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under | |||||||
03-24-24 | Boston College v. UNLV OVER 143.5 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
03-24-24 | Grand Canyon v. Alabama UNDER 169 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-24-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana State UNDER 163.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-23-24 | Texas v. Tennessee UNDER 146.5 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-21-24 | Akron v. Creighton OVER 140.5 | 60-77 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149 | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-17-24 | Temple v. UAB UNDER 138 | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-17-24 | Florida v. Auburn UNDER 156 | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina UNDER 147.5 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-15-24 | Wichita State v. UAB UNDER 146.5 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the under | |||||||
03-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder OVER 235.5 | 119-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The last time these teams met the Mavs smashed the Thunder by a 146-111 count as hosts and now with revenge on board Im betting the home side will be primed for pay back and even if they have a substantial lead will not take their foot off proverbial pedal. In response the explosive Mavs will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which will lead to a fairly high scoring game. I know Mavs super star Doncic may. not play , but the Mavs still have a enough firepower to be fairly competitive and put points on the board in sufficient amounts to get us over the total. Yes, I am also aware the Mavs played last night, but it must be noted that the Thunder has gone 8-0 OVER L/8 at home vs unrested conference opposition . Dallas has also gone over in 8 of their L/9 as road dogs with no rest. DALLAS is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. sub par rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 246.6 ppg scored.
Play over | |||||||
03-14-24 | Florida State v. North Carolina UNDER 154.5 | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings OVER 236 | 94-129 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukee scored more than 120 points in their L/2 games and my projections estimate another top tier offensive effort tonight in Sacramento. The Bucks rank 6th in the league in pace and 2nd in offensive output and rank 19th in ppg allowed. Meanwhile, Sacramento, ranks 8th in ppg scored and 12rh in pace and 23rd in ppg allowed SACRAMENTO is 11-2 OVER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 19-9 OVER in home games this season with a combined average of 241.5 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 8-1 OVER against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 248.8 ppg scored. Bucks are 22-0 OVER L22 vs Sac! Kings 12-1 OVER at home vs a .500 or better non-conf opponent and 19-3 OVER at home in 1/1 rest situation. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 101-71 L/27 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. My projections estimate both teams will score in the 118 plus range. Note:MILWAUKEE is 27-5 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 252.5 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 26-3 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 251 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
03-12-24 | Miami-FL v. Boston College UNDER 147.5 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-12-24 | Louisville v. NC State UNDER 148.5 | 85-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-11-24 | Islanders v. Kings OVER 6 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
The Isles offense is full spectrum effect right now as they have averaged 5.4 gpg in their L/5 overall and Im betting that momentum will continue here tonight vs a LA team that has scored 4 or more goals in 3 of their L/5 trips to the ice. NY ISLANDERS are 14-6 OVER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 5-0 OVER after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 OVER in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gog scored. .NY ISLANDERS are 11-1 OVER after a 2 game unbeaten streak this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NY ISLANDERS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. The last two meetings in this series in LA have eclipsed the total. Play over | |||||||
03-11-24 | Hornets v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | 97-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Im betting this Total is has been exaggerated past a threshold of being accurate according to my own projections. I know Charlotte is dealing with a boatload full of injuries and lack flow, but Im betting these two bottom feeders with no post season expectations will play a loose game, that will be higher scoring than the public, sharps and linesmakers expect. Note: The Pistons have allowed an average of 120 ppg at home this season, with the combined average of 232 ppg scored. Charlotte has allowed 118.2 ppg on the road, while scoring 106.1 ppg for a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. When these teams played back on Jan 24th they saw a combined average of 219 points scored and Im expecting a similar output tonight. Clifford in his L/9 versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 120+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of CHARLOTTE has seen a combined average pf 218.4 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE L/12 against Central division opponents this season have seen a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. CHARLOTTE L/30 when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored. Motwon is off allowing 142 points vs Dallas last time out in a wide open affair- it must be noted that the DETROIT Pistons in their L/14 after allowing 135 points or more over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 239.3 ppg go on the scoreboard.DETROIT in their L/7 at home games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 daysPlay on the over are 83-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor are 44-22 L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
03-11-24 | New Orleans v. Lamar UNDER 155 | 57-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Nebraska-Omaha v. North Dakota UNDER 146.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Islanders v. Ducks OVER 6 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
New York has scored 24 goals the past five games with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored by both them and their opponents and Im betting they keep the productive offensive momentum going tonight vs a Ducks side that has allowed an average of 3.5 gpg on the season. NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 OVER after a 2 game unbeaten streak this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 32-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of +7.8 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
03-10-24 | Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 173.5 | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Michigan State v. Indiana OVER 138.5 | 64-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Idaho State v. Northern Arizona UNDER 139 | 68-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Utah v. Oregon UNDER 152 | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Colorado v. Oregon State OVER 144.5 | 73-57 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Bulls v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Clippers Im betting will pace themselves here and be a fairly conservative in transition with another early start on board tomorrow vs the Bucks.This Im betting directly projects to a failrly low scoring game that fails to eclipse this offered number. Add to that the Bulls propensity to play top tier teams with added defensive fervor as is evident by the following trends. CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 23-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season with a combined average of 216 ppg scored which was the case last time out vs Houston on the road. The Clippers have also gone under in 18 of 20 in 2/1 rest situation. Play on the under | |||||||
03-08-24 | VMI v. East Tennessee State UNDER 147.5 | 66-98 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-08-24 | Hampton v. Elon UNDER 148.5 | 56-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-07-24 | Holy Cross v. Colgate OVER 142 | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
03-07-24 | Lehigh v. Lafayette OVER 137 | 76-61 | Push | 0 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on UCLA to cover | |||||||
03-07-24 | Texas State v. Southern Miss OVER 134.5 | 75-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-06-24 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | 90-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
As the post season comes closer the Bucks have toughened up on D, and are playing a more conservative style of hoops in transition. This has resulted in 10 straight unders with non of those combined scores eclipsing this totals offering. It must also be noted that the Bucks have seen their L/10 non -conference road games stay on the low side of the number. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have seen their L/7 games stay low, and 12 of their L/14 stay under the linesmakers total projections. Considering both teams current form and game plan tendencies a under wager he is a viable wagering opportunity. NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 136-92 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under | |||||||
03-06-24 | BYU v. Iowa State UNDER 147 | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-05-24 | Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 216.5 | 116-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Floor General and All-Star guard Jalen Brunson is questionable tonight and if he does play will be less than 100% which will effect the Knicks effectiveness on offense. Meanwhile, the Hawks, will be without their top scorer Trey Young and this will effect their output as well. It must be noted that the Knicks rank 30th in pace and 3rd ranked D ppg, in the league and will be even more focused on ball control and clock management in transition with Julius Randle also out for the Knicks. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta. NYK has gone under in 11 of their L/12 vs .500 or less opposition. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road. Play under | |||||||
03-05-24 | Harvard v. Dartmouth OVER 133.5 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-04-24 | Bulls v. Kings OVER 227.5 | 113-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the low 230s giving us at least a 2 possession edge. The Bulls are 8-0-1 L9 vs Pacific Division opposition and are 11-3 OVER L14 non-conf road games..T he total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road. Sacramento ranks 22nd in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 8th in ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 8-0 OVER against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 252.1 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 12-4 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season. SACRAMENTO is 16-6 OVER as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 243.4 ppg scored. Sacramento is 10-0 OVER as favs 4 or more pts playing with 2 days rest and 12-2 OVER L14 non-conference home tilts. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 176-108 OVER L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games are 310-124 OVER L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate. Play over | |||||||
03-04-24 | Idaho State v. Montana OVER 141 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
03-04-24 | Texas v. Baylor UNDER 145.5 | 85-93 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-04-24 | Blazers v. Wolves OVER 211.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Minnesota played in a low scoring grinding affair against the Clippers last night and will be ready to run and gun tonight in redemption mode after a 1 point loss. The Blazers will have no choice but to try to produce some offensive fiore works of their own or be blown of the court. This scenario Im betting favors a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MINNESOTA) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days against opponent extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.\ Play over | |||||||
03-03-24 | Evansville v. Belmont OVER 154.5 | 66-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
03-03-24 | East Carolina v. North Texas OVER 123.5 | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-03-24 | Iona v. Marist OVER 131.5 | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
03-02-24 | South Carolina State v. Morgan State UNDER 147.5 | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-02-24 | Mississippi State v. Auburn OVER 145.5 | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
03-01-24 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 156 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-01-24 | Kennesaw State v. Queens NC UNDER 172 | 82-91 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
03-01-24 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Jacksonville OVER 130 | 59-57 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
02-29-24 | Montana State v. Idaho OVER 141.5 | 62-48 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. \ Play over | |||||||
02-29-24 | Sacred Heart v. Stonehill OVER 144 | 79-51 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
02-29-24 | New Hampshire v. Albany UNDER 165 | 67-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
02-29-24 | Maine v. Binghamton OVER 133 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
02-28-24 | Mavs v. Raptors UNDER 239 | 136-125 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My projected Total projects a combined score in the mid 230s giving us at least a 1 to 2 possession edge on this offering. After playing last night in a grueling and disappointing 121-119 loss to Cleveland Im betting on the Mavs being more conservative in their approach to this game and will focus on good technical play in transition especially on defense. Dallas has gone under in 4 straight tilts, entering last nights game in Cleveland , while the Raptors have gone under in 5 of their L/7 overall, and 18 of their 28 games at home this season.The last two meetings here in Toronto have gone under the total. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. DALLAS is 20-7 UNDER after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. TORONTO is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored. TORONTO is 16-5 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. TORONTO is 8-1 UNDER in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (TORONTO) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play under | |||||||
02-28-24 | Mercer v. Chattanooga OVER 145.5 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |