Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-01-22 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 232 | 115-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Both these sides are off big run and gun DD wins vs top tier sides , as Minnesota flattened Utah and Denver smashed the defending champion Bucks and now Im betting on a regression on offense in a natural letdown situation. This will effect the combined score which favors the under. Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA /DENVER) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 22-3 UNDER L/5 seasons last 26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
02-01-22 | Boston College v. Virginia UNDER 119.5 | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-31-22 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 229 | 122-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Houston as this season has progressed has turned into a run and gun type team that plays little or no defense ranking 1st in pace and 30th in ppg allowed . Tonight against a top tier opponent Im betting they leave everything on the floor as they are expected to lose anyway vs Golden State. This Im betting sees a very uptempo game and alot of offensive fireworks and a combined score that eclipses this total. HOUSTON is 13-3 OVER versus below average foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Over is 12-2 in Rockets last 14 games as a home underdog. Over is 13-3 in Rockets last 16 home games NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 240.3 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 55 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 40 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Championship The KC Chiefs exploded offensively in a a back in forth game against the Buffalo Bills last week pulling off the over time win. Now Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown spot vs the visiting Bengals and their offense could easily be a little more muted this Saturday which Im betting will directly effect this total to the under. CINCINNATI is 24-8 L/32 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season with a combined average of 36.2 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 15-1 L/16 UNDER in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 39.9 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 38-20 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992 with the average ppg with a combined average of 40.2 ppg scored. NFL eam where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 31-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
01-30-22 | Cleveland State v. Northern Kentucky OVER 133.5 | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-29-22 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Devils have lost six of their last seven games, with the one win coming in a back forth tilt last Saturday in a 7-4 home victory against Carolina and Im betting on a repeat type of output this week but most probably not a win. I expect the Canes with revenge on their minds to really be aggressive on offense which will help this game edge over the total as the Devils will be forced into opening up with an attempt of some offensive fireworks of their own. Over is 11-2 in Devils last 13 road games.Over is 10-2 in Devils last 12 games as a road underdog. NEW JERSEY is 7-1 OVER in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. Over is 7-3 in Hurricanes last 10 home games. Over is 9-4 in Hurricanes last 13 games as a favorite.CAROLINA is 7-1 OVER vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored.' NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game are 67-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
01-28-22 | Canisius v. Monmouth OVER 141.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-27-22 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Golden State ranks 1st in the NBA in defensive rating and 1st in ppg allowed and rank 12th in pace. At home they are almost always able to dictate the tempo of a game and nothing will change tonight against a offensively aggressive Minnesota side that is ranked 18th in offensive rating and 10th in overall defensive rating. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. GOLDEN STATE home games this season have seen a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 16-3 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 205.4 ppg scored this season.GOLDEN STATE is 17-6 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with the combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. MINNESOTA L/155 road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) has seen a combined average of 201.4 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 45-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-25-22 | Nuggets v. Pistons OVER 218 | 110-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 overall and Im betting on another fairly high scoring affair here today based on my projections which estimate a combined score in the low 220s. Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons are 5-1 OVER in the Pistons last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-3-1 in Pistons last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. DENVER is 15-2 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 233.3 ppg scored. Malone is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or less as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. DETROIT is 14-6 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored, NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 29-6 L/5 over for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the OVER | |||||||
01-24-22 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 222 | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Utah played last night in a very physical grinding game against the Warriors losing 94-92 and will be on tired legs tonight and not prepared to run and will once again formulate a tough defensive transitional game plan vs a dangerous opponent. Meanwhile, the Suns behind the 1st ranked defensive rating in the league, will once again be prepared to grind their opponents down, in what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games as a favorite. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/ PHOENIX) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 25-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 44-17UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 75%) are 43-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Phoenix. Under is 17-7 in Suns last 24 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-23-22 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 222 | 92-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams in their previous few meetings have combined for some very high scores, but the Jazz and their hosts current form suggests a ,ore conservative transitional affair . When considering the type of defensive hoops the Warriors (No 1 ppg allowed) have embraced this totals offering give us value on an under wager tonight as my projections estimate a combined score that fails to eclipse the number . GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE 18 games this season when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average of 215.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE in 23 games as a home favorite this season have seen a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. Golden State ranks 11th in pace and Utah ranks 15th in pace. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 24-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-23-22 | Nets v. Wolves UNDER 236.5 | 125-136 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Im not expecting this combined score to eclipse the total. Under is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games as a road underdog and are 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 games as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Under is 23-9 in Timberwolves last 32 games as a home favorite and when they are well rested with 3 or more days rest like they have tonight are 7-3 UNDER. NBA BROOKLYN is 13-0 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Sunday games are 38-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-21-22 | Nets v. Spurs OVER 233 | 117-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter this tilt with a 3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games overall and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as well as 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Celtics have also been negative output bets in their L/6 at home vs below .500 opposition failing to cover 5 of their L/6 attempts. Meanwhile, the Blazers have won and covered 4 of their L/6 and are playing mostly competitive hoops. and must not be underestimated as underdogs. Key : Center Jusuf Nurkic, who has recorded three successive double-doubles will be key to the Blazers ability to compete here in revenge mode for a loss to the Celtics earlier this season. NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - a struggling offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 54-92 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover | |||||||
01-20-22 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 217.5 | 121-117 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers rank 18th in offensive ppg output in the league and 23rd in pace are on tired legs after playing last night in LA and will be curtailed as well by a staunch Golden State D that ranks 1st in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive rating behind 12 ranked pace. Im betting on the Pacers playing a conservative type of transitional ball and for the Warriors in their usual manner to control tempo the other way which Im projecting results in a fairly low scoring affair. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. Carlisle is 17-6 UNDER as an underdog as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 211.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 202.8 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-20-22 | Georgetown v. Providence UNDER 144 | 75-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-19-22 | Xavier v. DePaul UNDER 151.5 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-19-22 | Mississippi State v. Florida UNDER 140 | 72-80 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-17-22 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston OVER 147 | 86-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
For the most part Ben Rothlisberger had a great career but now father time has caught up with him, and their does not look to be much left in the tank . With that said, Im betting he and the Steelers have problems today on offense against a under rated KC defense. The Steelers because of their obvious offensive short comings will be prepared to play a grinding game that will concentrate on short passes and their running game which will eat clock time. On the flipsdie the Steelers D, after some ugly efforts pulled themselves together lately allowing 3 of their L/4 opponents no more than 13 points, and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the Chiefs , especially on what is expected to be a windy cold night in KC this Sunday. PITTSBURGH is 29-12 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 14-3 UNDER L/17 as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points with the average combined score clicking in at 34.4 ppg. NFL Road teams against the total (PITTSBURGH) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 53-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (KANSAS CITY/PITTSBURGH) - in the Wild Card round of the playoffs are 52-22 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-16-22 | Suns v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | 135-108 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Im betting the Pistons will score above the linesmakers projections today and that the Suns will be forced to open up in a game that eclipses the offered total. Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 3-0-1 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. DETROIT is 7-0 OVER in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 32-18 OVER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.1 ppg scored in this 50 games. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 71-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
01-15-22 | Utah v. Arizona OVER 157.5 | 64-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-15-22 | Raiders v. Bengals UNDER 49 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Wild Card Entering this game the Vegas D has allowed 20 points or less 4 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. In their season finale the Raiders did have a defensive breakdown, allowing 32 points in a 35-32 slugfest victory, but from a historical perspective the Raiders have clamped down in their following game especially if was a shootout, as is evident by the following trends. Note:Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games following a straight up win.LAS VEGAS is 36-20 UNDER in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game with a combined score of 42.4 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS in their L/13 off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog have seen a combined average 42.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Joe Burrows and company are a virgin group with no big league play off experience, and this will be detrimental to them and their offensive cohesiveness. Despite of the accolades that Burrows gets there have been obvious interruptions their flow on offense and Im betting that will once again be an issue. Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 Wildcard games.Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 playoff games.Under is 8-1 in Bengals last 9 games in January. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CINCINNATI) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 42-14 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (VEGAS /CINCINNATI) - in the Wild Card round of the playoffs are 55-22 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-14-22 | Fresno State v. UNLV OVER 127 | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-14-22 | Buffalo v. Ball State UNDER 162 | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-13-22 | Clippers v. Pelicans OVER 214 | 89-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans took a 123-104 win vs the Clippers back in late November and Im betting a similar type of pace and a combined score that eclipses this offered total. New Orleans has scored more than 100 points in 12 straight games in 14 of their L/15 and Im betting that constant will once again come to fruition, and the Clippers in revenge mode, will have to up their pace or be blown off the court once again which will result in faster game than expected by the pundits . NEW ORLEANS is 14-2 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-4 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 OVER (+10.0 Units) versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.2 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 52-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. ( New Orleans won 128-125 last time out). Play OVER | |||||||
01-11-22 | Thunder v. Wizards UNDER 216.5 | 118-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that both these sides will not breach the 108 point plateau on offense. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg going on the board. WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg scored. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of those 24 games ringing in at 209.1 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games as an underdog. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 34-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 37-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less ), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 46-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-11-22 | Delaware v. Drexel UNDER 141.5 | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | 51-26 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 34 m | Show | |
With so many players injured and the additional woes of covid protocols and the possibility of both teams resting starters at some point during this game, I dont feel their will be enough positive flow for a big offensive output here tonight between these foes. I honestly believe that no matter what these coaches say staying healthy for the play offs is the main goal, which to me relates to an affair with very little cohesiveness. Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games in January. Philadelphia is 0-6 UNDER off a division road game victory. Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games as a road favorite.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 vs. NFC. Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dallas road games have seen a combined average of 42.9 ppg this season. Note: The Cowboys are 0-6 L/6 division road tilts. DALLAS is 9-0 UNDER in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 32.3 ppg scored. McCarthy is 8-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 38.2 ppg scored.McCarthy is 9-2 UNDER in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 39.2 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia with the average combined score in those tilts clicking in at 30.2 ppg. NFL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - good rushing team (4.5 or more YPR) against an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPR) after 8+ games, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 85-54 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-08-22 | Maple Leafs v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Two of the top offenses in the NHL go head to head tonight and Im betting we see they're explosiveness in full display. Over is 4-0 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. Central. Over is 5-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 vs. Western Conference. COLORADO is 18-4 OVER against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg. COLORADO is 11-1 OVER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg . COLORADO is 7-0 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (TORONTO) - in non-conference games, off 2 consecutive home wins by 2 goals or more with a combined average of 7.5 gog scored. Over is 10-0 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado. Play OVER | |||||||
01-08-22 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest UNDER 155 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 218.5 | 100-119 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Sixers are ranked 27th in pace and 21st in offensive ppg output and are ranked 8th in ppg allowed which translates into a what must be considered a defensive style of play. Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 home games. Meanwhile, San Antonio has seen just 4 of their L/17 games eclipse the total as a road underdog. Im expecting the home side to dictate the pace here and for this game to end up in a lower scoring affair. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored in those tilts .SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
01-06-22 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 89-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers beat the Suns 111-95 at home back in December and now Im betting the Suns will be wide awake here today and push the action into a higher paced affair, in a game that Im betting will see these teams open up for a bigger than expected combined offensive output. Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games as a road underdog. Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 home games. PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 31-17 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. . NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 100-47 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 227.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 90-40 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. Play on OVER | |||||||
01-05-22 | Furman v. NC-Greensboro OVER 129.5 | 58-54 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-04-22 | LSU v. Kansas State OVER 47 | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Texas Bowl - NRG Stadium - Houston, TX LSU is decimated by injuries, especially on defense and the secondary and Im betting the Cats open up a little more than their MO usually dictates and this will relate to a faster pace than usual and more scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, LSU despite of their offensive problems down the stretch are still a SEC side with explosive output capabilities behind 4 star recruits who would love to show case their talents for next seasons opportunity to start . With that said, Im betting on a higher scoring affair than many of the pundits estimate. Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. Big 12.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 neutral site games.Over is 9-3-1 in Tigers last 13 non-conference games. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (KANSAS ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in January games are 31-6 L/29 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
01-03-22 | Wisconsin v. Purdue UNDER 140.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WISCONSIN is 7-0 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1997 with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored. WISCONSIN is 18-7 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 128.4 ppg .WISCONSIN is 10-2 UNDER L/12 after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more with a combined average of 124.6 ppg scored. | |||||||
01-02-22 | Richmond v. St. Louis UNDER 144 | 69-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
01-01-22 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 221.5 | 113-136 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Milwaukee in their L/5 trips to the hardwood have averaged 121.6 ppg and Im betting their explosive offense continues to produce a boatload full of points vs a inconsistent Pelicans D. Meanwhile, New Orleans has recently shown some good chemistry on offense and have recorded, 105 or more points in 14 of their L/15 games. Im betting both sides take part in a high tempo tilt as Milwaukee will force the issue and the Pelicans will have no choice but to open up which Im betting will result in a higher scoring affair that eclipses this Total. NEW ORLEANS is 12-1 OVER in January games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 232 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 14-3 OVER after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 235 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-2 OVER after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 48-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 230.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 44-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
01-01-22 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Appalachian State UNDER 136 | 69-77 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame OVER 45.5 | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ Both these sides have strong defenses, but the offenses are being under rated in a game that could easily be a back and forth affair. My own projections estimate a combined score of closer to 50 giving us value with an over wager. Over is 4-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games on grass. Gundy is 22-11 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST with a combined average of 69 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (OKLAHOMA ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in January games are 30-5 OVER L/29 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 56.5 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (NOTRE DAME) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), in non-conference games are 50-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
01-01-22 | West Virginia v. Texas UNDER 121.5 | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-31-21 | Rutgers v. Wake Forest OVER 61.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
Gator Bowl - TIAA Bank Field - Jacksonville, FL Wake forest is one of the most explosive offensive teams in the nation averaging 41.2 ppg while on defense in road games allowed an average of 38.7 ppg. Meanwhile, Rutgers despite of their overall numbers have shown some offensive flashes of brilliance scoring 38 points on Indiana a month ago and are capable of putting points on the board in this type of non conference game. You cannot properly prepare for a team like Wake Forest on short notice especially from a defensive standpoint, which has me believing that the Demon Deacons will bring down the hammer here in a big way, while Rutgers will have no choice but to open up offensively against a D that is pedestrian to say the least. WAKE FOREST is 6-0 OVER after a bye week over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 86.1 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
12-30-21 | Tarleton St v. Dixie State UNDER 133 | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma OVER 60.5 | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
These two teams are explosive offensively and not so strong from a defensive standpoint. Oregon has averaged 31.4 ppg on offense this season while allowing 30.3 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has averaged 38.4 ppg on offense while allowing a average of 33.2 ppg on the road. With that said Im expecting a back and forth affair that should be highly entertaining and high scoring. Im projecting both sides score above the 28 point level - Note: OKLAHOMA is 9-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 77.8 ppg scored. OREGON is 9-1 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 69.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. Over is 5-1 in Sooners last 6 vs. Pac-12. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OKLAHOMA OREGON) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 32-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
12-29-21 | Iowa State v. Clemson UNDER 44.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Cheez-It Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL Iowa States main mode of moving the ball has been through their super star RB Breece Hall who is out as he opts to skip this bowl game as he prepares for the NFL draft. The Cyclones will replace their RB but wont have nearly the success rate needed to get into position for scores which Im betting will mute their offensive output. Meanwhile, Clemson has had problems scoring all season long, but have shown that their D is of the top tier variety. Considering the above mentioned facts and scenarios a lower scoring affair should be expected. CLEMSON is 10-0 UNDER on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992. .Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 non-conference games.Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. Big 12. Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 games in December. Under is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 Bowl games. IOWA ST is 10-2 UNDER in a bowl game since 1992. Campbell is 10-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of IOWA ST. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (IOWA ST) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (IOWA ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 35-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-29-21 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 139.5 | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-28-21 | Yale v. St. Mary's UNDER 130 | 60-87 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-28-21 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 210.5 | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Raptors have gone over in 4 straight games, as they are playing a more wide open type of hoops at the moment, and as a result the defensive efforts have looked ugly as was the case last time out as they allowed 144 points in a loss. The Raptors now rank 20th overall in defensive rating at (110.3) and Im betting that wont get much better tonight. Meanwhile, the Sixers despite of their lower offensive output averages, matchup well here vs the Dinos D that is in a down mode at the moment and Im expecting they hit above their season averages. With that said Im expecting a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 5-0-2 in 76ers last 7 games as a road favorite.Over is 4-1-1 in 76ers last 6 road games. Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. Play OVER | |||||||
12-28-21 | Houston v. Auburn UNDER 51.5 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
Birmingham Bowl - Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL Houston was explosive this season offensively , but here against a SEC defense Im betting their offense will be muted. Remember this is a Tigers side that held Alabama to just 24 points. On the flip-side, the Auburn offense since Bo Nix went down, has been inconsistent and will have some issues here vs a Houston D that is allowing just 18.7 ppg in 9 games played on turf this season. AUBURN is 7-0 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 45.9 ppg. AUBURN is 6-0 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.1 ppg scored. Harsin is 18-2 UNDER (vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 45.4 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (HOUSTON) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 45-19 UNDER L/29 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
12-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 220.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Memphis is on back to back games here tonight and Im betting they will be on tired legs and not ready to play hardcore defense against a Suns side that did not play well on Christmas day and will come out here spitting bullets in redemption mode. With that said, look for the Suns 4th best league offense, to explode in run and and gun style behind the 6th fastest pace. This will force the Grizzlies 5th ranked offense into having to open up or be blown off the court which will result in a combined score that eclipses this offered total. Over is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in road games off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 243.6 ppg scored. ( they smashed Sacramento last night by a 127-102 count) PHOENIX is 28-14 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
12-26-21 | Pacers v. Bulls OVER 217.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Indiana is banged up with key players not playing or less than 100%, but still have enough bench strength to be aggressive offensively tonight vs a Chicago side that is also short handed because of covid protocols and a key injury to Zach Lavine. The Bulls are also still capable of attacking but what seems missing of late from the Bulls is their ability to defend as they have allowed 107 or more points in 8 of their L/9 games, including 115, 118, 110, 118 points in their L/4 overall. With that said my projections estimate this line should be closer to 220 giving us a full possession of value to the OVER. Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games.Over is 10-4 in Pacers last 14 overall. CHICAGO is 26-13 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 113-79 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached with a combined average of 218.7 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 57-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 70-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play OVER | |||||||
12-26-21 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs offense has been highly inconsistent this season, and have scored 20 or less points in 5 of their L/8 trips to the gridiron. Here today vs a KC side that is playing at a very high level behind a strong D, Im expecting another muted offensive effort from the Steelers. It must be noted that before their last outing where they allowed 28 points, the Chiefs had given up 17, 7,14, 9, 9, 9 points respectively. On the flip-side, the Steelers achilles heal has been their rush defense, and today I expect Reid and company to pound the ball in anticipation of an expected success rate, which in turn will eat plenty of clock time and help the combined score stay on the low side of the total. Steelers have gone UNDER in 19 of their L/ 21 non-division away Tilts when the Total is set at 53 or less points. Under is 6-0-1 in Steelers last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. KANSAS CITY is 38-18 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points with a combined average of 39.7 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play this season with a combined average of 31.7 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (PITTSBURGH) - after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game are 90-44 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City. Play the UNDER | |||||||
12-25-21 | Nets v. Lakers UNDER 238 | 122-115 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
Covid protocols and injuries will effect this game greatly especially from a offensive standpoint, which Im betting results in a much lower scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. Regardless of GLeague signings Im betting cohesiv-ness will be an issue. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 44-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-25-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 215 | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Im betting on a hard fought play off type defensive affair tonight between two top tier opponents. The Suns are ranked 4th in ppg allowed defense, and the Warriors rank 1st in ppg defense in the league. Golden states road games have seen a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored while the Suns home tilts have seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg go on the board. Considering where this Totals line offering is at and basic math, a combined average score of 212 might be expected , which is what my projections have estimated. Of course its never easy estimating shooting efficiency and vise versa defensive efficiency , but usual average can be considered as well as the importance of the game from a one or more angles (seeding) and the types of systems both sides use. Both have been highly proficient at controlling offenses, and in a tilt that you can bet will be physical to an extent. Note: Matchups with early start times (6 p.m. ET or before) for teams in the Pacific Division have gone 151-107-1 under dating back to the 2005-2006 season for a 58% conversion rate. These teams have gone under in 8 of their L/9 meetings with the two most recent clashes seeing a combined average of 200 and 214 ppg go on the score board. PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in home games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 10-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 12-0 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 209.5 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PP are 168-94 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
12-22-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Chattanooga OVER 139 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-22-21 | Clemson v. Virginia UNDER 120 | 67-50 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 46 | 10-20 | Win | 101 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
These divisional rivals have a recent history of fairly low scoring affairs as is evident by a 37.8 ppg combined score in their L/4 meetings overall. History does not always necessarily repeat itself but it does have a tendency to mimic it. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.9 ppg scored. SEATTLE is 7-1 UNDER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 37.6 ppg scored. Carroll is 16-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 41.1 ppg scored. Arizona has gone under in 13 of their L/14 in games in the 2nd of back to back road games. Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 after a MNF affair. Division games have a tendency of generally being hard fought conservative affairs late in the season usually from game 11 onward into the play offs ( line of 44.5 to 60) as is evident by a 225-143-5 UNDER run for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (SEATTLE) - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 39-14 L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing teams are 33-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-21-21 | Fresno State v. Utah UNDER 135 | 50-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FRESNO ST is 9-2 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 125.5 ppg scored.FRESNO ST is 16-6 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored. UTAH is 61-37 L/98 UNDER versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game with a combined average of 123.8 ppg scored. | |||||||
12-21-21 | Davidson v. Alabama UNDER 149 | 79-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. DAVIDSON is 32-13 UNDER versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 142.5 ppg scored. | |||||||
12-19-21 | Texans v. Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 30-16 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 47 m | Show | |
The Jags average 13.8 ppg on offense this season and Houston average 13.6 ppg. These teams have problems moving the ball and nothing changes here today in sunny humid Florida. JACKSONVILLE is 10-0 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest this season with a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored. JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread this season with a combined average of 35.9 ppg scored. Meyer is 6-0 UNDER (after scoring 14 points or less last game as the coach of JACKSONVILLE with the combined score clicking in at 33 ppg. Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 vs. AFC.Under is 6-0 in Jaguars last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 home games. . NFL home favorites that off a division road shutout defeat like the Jaguars have gone a perfect 0-12 UNDER since 1996 when the Totals line is 38 points or more. Houston has gone under in 3 straight divisional road games . Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 vs. AFC. NFL Home teams against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season are 31-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-18-21 | Cavs v. Bucks UNDER 214.5 | 119-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Bucks are expected to play without Rick Middleton (knee) and star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight vs Cleveland because of covid protocol. The Bucks usually play top tier teams differently than lower tier sides, as they pay special attention to defense out of transition. With these star athletes out of the lineup tonight for the Bucks, their emphasis on a strong defensive game will become even more paramount. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers calling card all season long has been a strong brand of defensive hoops, ranking 2nd in ppg allowed and 3rd in overall defensive rating. **(If Middleton does play Im betting he will see limited action)** The Bucks took out the Cavs a week ago by a 112-104 score. Note: Bickerstaff is 21-9 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of CLEVELAND with a combined average of 209.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 games as a favorite. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. MILWAUKEE is 19-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a home underdog. CLEVELAND is 14-3 UNDER after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 38-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-18-21 | Kings v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 1-5 | Win | 119 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
NBA team against the total (LOS ANGELES) - after 6 or more consecutive unders, average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a good defensive team (allow 2.5 or less goals/G) are 54-28 OVER L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. | |||||||
12-18-21 | UAB v. BYU UNDER 55 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 12 m | Show | |
BYU is 7-0 UNDER as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less with a combined average of 43.7 ppg scored. Sitake is 9-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of BYU with a combined average of 48.9 ppg scored. Clark is 20-6 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of UAB with a combined average of 47.8 ppg scored. UAB is 7-0 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UAB/BYU ) - in a game involving two excellent passing teams (8.3 or more PYA) after 7+ games are 24-2 UNDER L/29 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UAB) - in a game involving two excellent passing teams (8.3 or more PYA) after 7+ games are 34-8 UNDER L/29 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-17-21 | San Jose State v. Portland UNDER 144 | 90-78 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 213 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Celtics have struggled defensively of late, allowing an average of 112.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, via a opposition 47% FG conversion rate. Thats not good from to be in vs a Golden State side that averages 111.8 ppg this season on offense while ranking 3rd overall in the league and 9th in pace. If Boston has any chance of victory here tonight, they will have to be aggressive offensively against a strong defensive side, which Im betting sees alot of action in transition and speedier pace than expected. Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 34-9 OVER L/ 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
12-16-21 | Dartmouth v. Stanford OVER 131 | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-13-21 | Cal Poly v. Portland UNDER 131.5 | 77-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL POLY-SLO is 12-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 122 ppg scored. | |||||||
12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 52 | 30-23 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
This divisional game Im betting will be a hard fourth grinding affair. I know anything involving QB Murray of Arizona is looked at as a point fest. However, because of the importance of this game for these teams, and the usual inter divisional biases, taking the under here looks to be a viable betting option in what Im betting will be a chess like lower scoring affair. Arizona is 0-7 UNDER L7 as divisional Home Favorites and from a historical perspective Arizona is 0-8 UNDER in their L/8 Monday night appearances. ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 38.1 ppg. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.7 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 9-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LA RAMS) - versus division opponents, off a home win are 104-58 UNDER L/37 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-12-21 | California Baptist v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 135 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-11-21 | Warriors v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Philadelphia usually plays their best hoops at home, and tonight is an opportunity to up their game, and take down Western Conference power house Golden State. By pushing on their visiting opponents Im betting on a more aggressive game out of transition by both sides that will then see the combined score pushing upward past this offered totals number. PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 OVER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. - NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 135.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-11-21 | UL - Lafayette v. Louisiana Tech OVER 148.5 | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-10-21 | Red Wings v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -116 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | DePaul v. Louisville UNDER 147 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-09-21 | Bruins v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 222.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Lakers enter this road game against Memphis with the 4th best ppg offense the 28th ranked ppg defense behind the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA. Meanwhile, Memphis ranks 8th in ppg offense and 24th in ppg defense behind the 13th fast pace in the league. Tonight Im betting on an all out offensive slugfest behind two sides who attack and rarely play defensively well in transition which will result in a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are expecting. Note: Im expecting a fast pace and alot of shots here tonight by both sides: MEMPHIS is 32-19 OVER in up-tempo games where they attempt 93 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, first half of the season are 55-21 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
12-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Detroit v. Kent State UNDER 139.5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
12-07-21 | Celtics v. Lakers OVER 219.5 | 102-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Lakers offense is very cohesive at the moment as they rank 4th in ppg offense and they have been pressing with the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA, but on the flip-side are ranked 28th in D ppg allowed. Im betting the Lakers continue to run and gun and for the Celtics to have to reciprocate or be blown off the court. This Im betting results in a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. BOSTON is 25-14 OVER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228 ppg scored in those 39 games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 41-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 67-31 OVER L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
12-06-21 | Magic v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 95-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors after defeating and ending the Suns huge winning streak, came out the next time out, and looked asleep at the wheel especially on defense as they suffered a upset loss to the Spurs. Tonight Im betting on a bounce back effort behind the leagues No.1 ppg allowed defense and defensive rating. Meanwhile, their opponents the visiting Magic own the leagues 25th ranked offense, and Im betting they continue struggle enough to help keep this combined score on the low side of the this offered total. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 7-0 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS loss.Under is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 games as a home favorite. GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 14-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 209.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 41-15 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 206.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-06-21 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 218 | 104-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
The Suns had an extensive winning streak end last time out vs Golden State, and did not eclipse the century mark in points for just the 2nd time in their L/20 games. Im now expecting a bounce back behind the 4th fastest pace in the league and a offense that ranks 5th in the NBA Meanwhile, San Antonio has been in a rhythm lately on offense scoring 116, 114, 112 points in their L/3 trips to the hardwood, and will once again have to be aggressive offensively or be blown of the court. Im betting the Suns come out here and explode offensively even without Booker in the lineup and for the Spurs to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own in speedy fashion behind the 5th fastest pace in a tilt that I have pegged to eclipse this total. Over is 7-2-1 in Spurs last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Spurs last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as a favorite.Over is 6-2 in Suns last 8 home games.Over is 19-7 in Suns last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a ATS loss Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 224.9 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, with a losing record are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 232.2 ppg. Play OVER | |||||||
12-06-21 | New Mexico State v. New Mexico OVER 150 | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-06-21 | Cavs v. Bucks OVER 215 | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Bucks rank 8th in pace and 8th in offensive output in the NBA, while, Cleveland runs at a slower pace and ranks 2nd in ppg allowed. However, from a head to head perspective Im expecting the Bucks to dictate the pace and to force the slower but capable Cavs offense to have to speed their game up and produce above their averages offensively. My projections are estimating a score in the high 218-220 range giving us more than full possession value on this totals offering according to my thesis which is based on various head to head matchup probabilities. Bickerstaff is 12-2 OVER in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 220.5 ppg scored. Budenholzer in his L/44 i n home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average score of 216.4 ppg scored.Budenholzer in his L/86) versus sub par offensive teams - scoring 108 points/game or less as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average of 220.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games as a favorite. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 41-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Milwaukee. Play OVER | |||||||
12-06-21 | Ducks v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -118 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
The Ducks offense is up more than a goal per game from last year (3.32 to 2.21), but Im betting on series regression soon, and have improved on D by almost a third of a goal per game off their scoring defense. Meanwhile, the Capitals: D is allowing just 2.4 goals per game with a .919 save percentage and knowing their opponents are up-trending will pay special attention to D. Im betting on grinding hard hitting defensive type game. played mostly in transition. Under is 6-0 in Ducks last 6 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 6-2 in Capitals last 8 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (ANAHEIM) - off a home loss against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season are 92-48 L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - off a home win by 2 goals or more, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 538-368 L/25 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-05-21 | Flames v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: CALGARY - JACOB MARKSTROM, VEGAS - ROBIN LEHNER The Flames don't seem to like the flashy lights of the Vegas strip a place where they have been shut out on three of their L/6 trips here , scoring a grand total of six goals while allowing 27 goals. Im betting on a similar out put here for both sides in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game. CALGARY is 7-1 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. VEGAS is 31-11 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game for a combined average of 4.7 gpg. VEGAS is 13-3 UNDER in home games after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders UNDER 49.5 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 79 h 36 m | Show | |
Washingtons D is something special in its current form, despite of mostly sub standard numbers overall. This group is as tough as nails and allowing 17, 19, 21 and 15 points respectively in their L/4 tilts and will not easily be pushed around at the line of scrimmage again this week. On the road the Football team are averaging just a little over 20 ppg in offense Meanwhile, Las Vegas has mostly struggled on both sides of the ball, and finally got their first win 4 tries on the 25th of Nov vs the Cowboys. After that exhausting 36-33 offensive slugfest vs Dallas last time out Im betting on an immediate reversion to the mean offensively for the Raiders this week with the added rust of an extended lay off to hamper their output and this help keep this game stay on the low side of the number. .Dating back to the 2015 season all teams like Washington off 3 straight underdogs wins with a line of 43 or more have gone under 8 straight times. Washington is 5-0 UNDER L/5 vs NDC West sides. WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37 ppg scored,
Tilts involving non conference conflicts (AFC vs NFC) have only seen 8 of the 32 games eclipse the offered total. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-05-21 | Jazz v. Cavs OVER 212.5 | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
I know Cleveland is playing very good defense art the moment, but the Jazz have shot 40% or better from 3-point range in five games this season and are going to bomb from downtown again, because of Cavs go interior D. On the flips die Utah is recently gave up 30 or more points each of the final three quarters against Boston -- including 41 in the third quarter and Cleveland as this game goes on should have success in this sport according to my head to head offense vs defense matchup algorithms. Advantage over. UTAH is 15-4 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 26-13 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-6 OVER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
12-04-21 | Celtics v. Blazers OVER 211 | 145-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
According to my head to head matchup stats this line is on a low side, and my projections estimate a combined score of 215 or more. Note: Portland is ranked 28th in overall defensive rating in the NBA and 7th in offensive rating and the average score of their home games comes in at 217.1 ppg. The blazers are off a sleepy home effort last time out, but Im betting they will be ready to bounce back here with a more aggressive effort vs a Boston team off putting 130 points on the board last time out. Advantage over. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games as an underdog. These teams have gone over in 4 straight meetings including last two here in Portland .Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Portland. PORTLAND is 20-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. BOSTON is 27-14 OVER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
12-04-21 | Maple Leafs v. Wild UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams have taken part in some fairly high scoring games of late, but from a matchup perspective my projections estimate a lower scoring affair. The UNDER has gone 13-4 in the Leafs last 17 road games after scoring five goals or more in their previous contest, with a combined average of 5.3 gpg. TORONTO is 23-8 UNDER in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. The Wild, have gone under 10 of their last 12 games as hosts when coming off two or more victories by three goals or more, with a combined average of 4 gpg going on the board.TORONTO is 10-3 UNDER (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 53-22 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. NHL team against the total (MINNESOTA) - after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 201-127 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
12-04-21 | Miami-OH v. Indiana State OVER 148.5 | 68-69 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 58 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
Pac-12 Championship Game - Allegiant Stadium - Paradise, NV When these teams played earlier this season, Utah owned the Ducks winning 38-7 and completely shut them down offensively and Im betting they will put their offense on mute again, in a tilt I project to have an output in the lower to mid 50s giving us value on this offered number. OREGON is 20-8 L/28 UNDER revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more . Under is 10-2 in Ducks last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games as an underdog. UTAH is 12-2 UNDER in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Whittingham is 7-0 UNDER after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 47.1 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (UTAH) - outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 30-9 UNDER. L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (OREGON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 60-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
12-03-21 | St. Peter's v. Quinnipiac UNDER 136 | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-01-21 | Utah v. USC UNDER 137.5 | 73-93 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 | 114-110 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston has had a good run of late, winning 3 straight, and last time out showed a strong defensive posture allowing just 89 points and Im expecting more of the same here vs a Thunder side, that has not scored above the 99 point plateau in 10 of their L/19 with only 1 of the other 9 games seeing more than 105 point scored and own the 30th ranked offensive output in the league. Advantage under. HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER against Northwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 199.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 46-12 UNDER for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-30-21 | South Dakota v. San Jose State UNDER 138.5 | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
11-30-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Nebraska-Omaha UNDER 136.5 | 75-65 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
11-30-21 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 216.5 | 110-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
The Knicks run a slow pace ranking 22nd in the NBA and tonight against a Brooklyn side with far more offensive weapons I expect the Knicks to turn this in to a slow grinding affair. This Im betting has a direct effect on the combined score staying on the low side of the offered number. Note: Brooklyn ranks 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Under is 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 home games.Under is 7-3 in Nets last 10 games as a home favorite. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 33-16 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 season for a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 10-1 UNDER after scoring 105 points or less this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 road games.Under is 9-1 in Knicks last 10 overall.Under is 9-1 in Knicks last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 games as an underdog. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 64-28 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-30-21 | Sharks v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sharks offense is not in good form as is evident by having scored just 12 goals in their last six games with six of those goals coming in one game vs Ottawa in a 6-3 victory. With that in mind the Sharks will play conservatively and in transition in front of G Reimer who ranks ninth in the NHL in Save Percentage (.933). Meanwhile, the host Devils, have been scoring with consistency of late, but once again the Sharks knowing this will be ready to make this in to a physical defensive affair that Im betting ends a lower combined score than the offered Totals number. Under is 6-0 in Sharks last 6 games as an underdog.Under is 5-0 in Sharks last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1 in Sharks last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in Sharks last 7 games as a road underdog. SAN JOSE is 7-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.SAN JOSE is 9-1 UNDER against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances this season.SAN JOSE is 14-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 31-10 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Jersey. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-29-21 | Tarleton St v. Gonzaga OVER 137.5 | 55-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
11-29-21 | Texas-Arlington v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 137.5 | 70-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
11-29-21 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 216.5 | 89-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston is off a back forth offensive slugfest last time out and Im betting on a precipitous letdown here from an offensive standpoint. This in itself will make this a lower scoring affair , much like when they teams played last , where the Thunder took a 101-89 victory. HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder rank 29th in ppg scored and 12 in ppg allowed. Under is 8-0 in Thunder last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 14-3-1 in Rockets last 18 games as a home favorite. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY/HOUSTON ) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 44-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. Play UNDER |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |