Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-06-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The weather is supposed to pretty nice here tonight in Boston with a light breeze at Fenway. This sets up for a perfect environment for these two powerful offences to tee off and put some big digits on the board. David Price the BoSox hurler today is 0-8 in nine career postseason starts along with a bloated 5.54 ERA and has garnered a ugly 0 -3 record with a nasty looking 10.34 ERA in four starts against the Yankees this season. Meanwhile, Tanaka the Yankees starter has struggled over his final two regular-season starts, giving up eight earned runs in eight innings (9.00 ERA). In four starts against the Red Sox during the regular season, he had a 7.58 ERA..Over is 8-2-1 in Tanakas last 11 starts vs. American League East. I like the OVER odds the books are offering and suggest we take it. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.Over is 3-0-1 in Prices last 4 starts vs. Yankees.Over is 3-0-1 in Tanakas last 4 starts vs. Red Sox. Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 overall.Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 vs. American League East.Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 2 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0-2 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0-2 in Red Sox last 7 home games.Over is 7-0-1 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League East.Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 2 of a series.Over is 9-1-1 in Red Sox last 11 overall.Over is 9-1-1 in Red Sox last 11 on grass.Over is 8-1-2 in Red Sox last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play OVER | |||||||
10-06-18 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State OVER 54 | 48-42 | Win | 100 | 47 h 15 m | Show | |
Iowa State has not done a lot of scoring this season, but against this kind of team they will have to open, up as Im expecting the Cowboys to really do some damage today against a decent defence. Oklahoma State has already proven they can score against the best of defences, putting 44 points up against Boise State. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State's D, is not of the grade 1 variety, and I look for Iowa State to do enough damage to get this game into over territory in a score similar to the 37-27 (64 pts) loss they suffered to Oklahoma back on Sept 15. OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 81.8 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 OVER in home games after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 76.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA ST is 33-8 OVER in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992 2ith a combined average of 72.6 ppg scored. Oklahoma State is 13-0-1 OVER at home coming off a game where they gained at least 24 first downs. Play OVER | |||||||
10-06-18 | LSU v. Florida UNDER 43.5 | 19-27 | Loss | -108 | 47 h 47 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a 17-16 snoozefest last season with the Tigers winning , and Im expecting another low scoring sleeper this time round in the swamp. The year before that the Florida won 16-10. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE. | |||||||
10-05-18 | Sharks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
These teams have a history of playing very hard fought physical gruelling low scoring defensive play off style affairs, even during the regular season. Yes, these teams have plenty of offensive firepower but Im still expecting a lower scoring tilt. San Jose started their season allowing 5 goals in just 14 shots and in a loss to Anaheim, and Im betting their goaltending and D, will be even more diligent here, as they look for redemption. This will also be the Kings first game of their year so getting into cohesive high gear might take some time even with former 50 goal scorer Illya Kovolchuk in the lineup. These teams have only gone over 1 time in their L/13 meetings and another low scoring tilt is on tonights agenda. SJ goalies Jones was 3-1-0 with a 1.69 GAA and .950 SVP including a shutout. Jones in 14 career games vs LA owns a 2.06 GAA and .931 save percentage. The Kings' Jonathan Quick was 1-2-0 with a 1.70 GAA and .944 save percentage against the Sharks last season. In 31 career games vs the Sharks he has garnered a 2.52 GAA and .910 save percentage. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-05-18 | Middle Tennessee State v. Marshall OVER 49.5 | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
I waited on this Total to make a move downward and it did, and now Im suggesting we take an over stance, as both teams boast to strong QBs who can air it out in a big way. I know these two teams find themselves in the bottom 15 of the FBS in first downs gained on offense but this trend Im betting irons itself out in a hurry, most probably starting tonight. Both sides have had problems running the ball, and I expect both to look downfield quite a bit tonight and a game I have pegged to go over the total . Both are off big wins , with Middle Tennessee State taking out Flordia Atlantic25-24 and Marshall defeating Western Kentucky 20-17 . Both will now be primed to keep their engines revving and a lot of energy should be on tonights agenda. Note: Middle Tennesses offensive road numbers and overall offensive averages have been tainted by playing super power Georgia and a decent SEC side Vanderbilt. In their game against lower tier Tenn Martin they put 61 points on the board. Holliday is 6-0 OVER after a win by 3 or less points as the coach of MARSHALL with a combined average of 84 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
10-05-18 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 6.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
Houston’s Justin Verlander (16-9, 2.52 ERA) has allowed one run or fewer in four of his past five outings.In his postseason starts his ERA was 2.21 last season. Verlander also loves to pitch during the day where his career ERA is 3.15 as compared to 3.53 at night time ERA. Cleveland batters are slugging only .357 against him and Im betting they have a heck of a time getting across the plate today. Meanwhile. Cleveland starter Kluber owns a stellar (20-7, 2.89 ERA) and has him in the hunt for a third career AL Cy Young Award, Kluber will take the ball for the Tribe in the opener against Houston. The ace is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA in eight career playoff starts but that ERA rose because of having a bad post season last year, the season before that he garnered one run or less in 4 of his 6 starts. Only three Astros batters are batting above .250 against hime. Houston is slumping at the worst possible time and have manufactured just 12 runs in its last five games. Because of a lack of hitting and quality pitching the Astros have seen 7 straight games stay under and Im betting on another miserly output here in a tilt Im betting stays under the total. CLEVELAND is 16-4 UNDER in October games over the last 3 seasons. with combined average of 6 rpg.HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-04-18 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 0-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L) Both these pitchers have been decent this season, but Foltynewicz has struggled a bit of late and garnered a fairly hefty 4.76 ERA in his L/3 starts. When the Braves hurler pitched here back in late July 9 totals runs were scored in a Braves victory. Actually all 3 games in that series eclipsed the number, and Im betting on more of same here today. The home plate umpire , Adrian Johnson, has seen a lot of over bets cash, as he went 20-8-2 OVER this season. Braves starter FOLTYNEWICZ I in his L/6 starts in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 15-2 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 16-4 OVER in road games in the division series since 1997 with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (LA DODGERS) - with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 57-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (ATLANTA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 39-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER | |||||||
10-03-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Oakland manager Bob Melvin has a top tier bullpen and may use it from the outset of this Wild card tilt. But no matter what the Yanks offence enters this Wild card game on fire having won 9 of their L/13 games behind an attack that has exploded for 33 runs in their L/4 games overall. In three games vs the As the Yanks also scored 18 runs and must not be underestimated here. Add to that the Yankees are slugging .526 against L.Hendriks the As starter and you have a good situation for Yankees run production. Giancarlo Stanton is slugging 1.000 and Andujar, is slugging .654 this past week with Aaron Judge looking forward to facing a Athletics side that has seen him slugging .846 .The Yankees are the first MLB team ever with 20+ home runs from every spot in the order. Their dangerous and able to produce here which will help the over cause. Meanwhile, NYY starter . Severino according to my numbers does not matchup well vs the As current lineup and in last years wild-card game he was smashed by the Twins and gave up three runs in 0.1 innings of nervous looking work. The As are one of the ALs most explosive offensive teams, and not matter what Im betting they do enough damage here to get us over the total and into the promised land of profits. SEVERINO is 10-2 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals this season with a. combined average of 13 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 7-1 against the money line in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average f 13.8 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games are 32-9 OVER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-02-18 | Rockies v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Lester (18-6, 3.32) the Cubbies starter is a solid experienced pitcher who is a reliable hurler in this kind of sudden death situation. In 22 playoff starts he owns a brilliant 2.55 ERA over 148 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, the Rockies go with Kyle Freeland (17-7 2.85) a pitcher with a live arm who deserves our respect here vs a Chicago team that has been highly inconsistent offensively this season. Im betting on a Low scoring tilt that fails to eclipse the total. Under is 11-3 in Cubs last 14 home games.Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 playoff games.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 23-9 in Cubs last 32 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 playoff home games.Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a loss.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 10-4 in Rockies last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Freelands last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Freelands last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-7-2 in Freelands last 30 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 21-7-1 in Freelands last 29 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 42-16-3 in Freelands last 61 starts on grass.Under is 42-16-3 in Freelands last 61 starts overall. Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.Under is 13-4 in Rockies last 17 games following a loss.Under is 9-3 in Rockies last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 home starts vs. Rockies.Under is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-01-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
L.A won a 15-0 laugher vs the Giants yesterday day and could easly experince a wide regression offensively in this sudden death playoff tilt as they face Rockies right-hander German Marquez (14-10, 3.76) who enters this game off a briliant seven shutout innings vs. the Phillies allowing just three hits while striking out 11. Marquez’s 221 strikeouts are a franchise record. He’s 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts this year vs. the Dodgers and will be a handfull for them again today. Meanwile, the Rockies alos mashed their opponent the Washington Nationals yesterday by a 12-0 count and Im betting they also regress greatly offensively in this matchup, as they face quality hurler Walker Buehler (7-5, 2.76). who in five starts vs. the Rockies owns a solid 2.61 ERA. Buehler has also been his best at home this season garnering a 2.12 ERA. Everything points to a low scoring pitchers duel.Under is 5-1 in Marquezs last 6 road starts.Under is 10-1 in Buehlers last 11 home starts.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts vs. National League West.Under is 6-0 in Buehlers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Buehlers last 5 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles | |||||||
09-30-18 | Ravens v. Steelers OVER 51 | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 14 m | Show | |
The Ravens and the Steelers are two teams with explosive offences, as is evident by Baltimores 32.3 ppg and Pittsburghs 29.3 ppg. Both also play a quick pace and are ranked number 1 and 2 in pace. Both teams showcase top tier QBs Flacco and Rothlisberger and both are averaging over 290 passing yards per game, and we should get a big time aerial display here this Sunday night, as both secondaries look weaker than expected. This game has all the makings of a high scoring affair. Note:The two most recent meetings in this series in Pittsburgh has seen 58 and 77 points go on the board. Week 4 games since 2012 when the Total is 49 points or more have gone over 7 straight times. BALTIMORE is 8-0 OVER after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 54.6 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (BALTIMORE) - a very good team ( 7 PPG ormolu differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 14 points or less last game are 35-9 OVER L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play OVER Play OVER | |||||||
09-30-18 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 15-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Buehler the Dodgers pitcher is in top form as is evident by allowing two runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 outings. He yielded two earned runs and only nine hits while striking out 26 over 20 innings in his last three trips to the hill, and threw five innings of quality two-run ball at San Francisco on April 28. Meanwhile, Suarez the Giants stater has been a viable hurler despite of not getting a lot of wins of late . His one start against the Dodgers was a quality effort in LA a month and half ago when he went out and pitched six scoreless innings in a 2-1 Giants win. Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts vs. National League West. Under is 20-5-2 in Giants last 27 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-5-1 in Giants last 26 home games.Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-6-1 in Giants last 27 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7-1 in Giants last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 29-11-2 in Giants last 42 vs. National League West.Under is 21-8-1 in Giants last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 18-7-1 in Giants last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-8-2 in Giants last 30 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games following a loss.Under is 21-9-1 in Giants last 31 overall.Under is 21-9-1 in Giants last 31 on grass.Under is 7-3 in Giants last 10 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-1-1 in Suarezs last 9 starts vs. National League West.Under is 4-1-1 in Suarezs last 6 starts on grass.Over is 4-1 in Suarezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1-1 in Suarezs last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Suarezs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings.Play UNDER | |||||||
09-30-18 | Jets v. Jaguars OVER 38.5 | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 14 m | Show | |
After being sky high for their game against New England which they won, the Jags followed that up with a emotional letdown performance last week vs the Titans and lost 9-6 in the ugliest way. But now after that down effort I expect the Jags will be ready toilet it all hang out this week offensively. Note. Jaguars are 7-0 OU L/7 at home coming off a home game where they scored less than 14 points. Meanwhile, the Jets , were corralled by Cleveland staunch defence last week, scoring just 17 points, and top tier secondary and were half to just 161 passing yards. The Jets in the recent past have however gone over 8 strong times when going on the road off a game as a road dog where they threw for less than 200 yards. I look for Jacksonville to do some damage here and for the Jets to have to open up in order to keep up which will result in what I'm betting will be a high scoring affair. JACKSONVILLE in their L/12 in home games after scoring 9 points or less last game since 1992 have seen a average combined score coming in at 49.1 ppg. NFL team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record. are 39-15 OVER L/35 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Road teams against the total (NY JETS) - good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 114-66 OVER L/10 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Injury update that should help this score jump over the number.RB] 09/26/2018 - Leonard Fournette is upgraded to probable Sunday vs NY Jets ( Hamstring ) Play on the OVER | |||||||
09-29-18 | USC v. Arizona UNDER 60.5 | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
USC are 0-12-1 UNDER on the road when they scored at least 28 points last game. Which happened in a shootout with Washington State 39-36. This is not the kind of football, HC Helton wants this team to play, and Im betting a more conservative type of game will be implemented here on the road. It must be note USC have scored an average of 8.5 ppg in their two road games. Arizonas HC Sumlin is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game in all games he has coached since 1992 which happened in a 35-14 win vs Oregon State last time out. The average combined score of these tilts rings in at 41.4 ppg. These teams have gone under in 8 of their L/11 meetings. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (USC) - off a home win against a conference rival, in the first half of the season 50-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-29-18 | Toledo v. Fresno State OVER 60 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
The Rockets in their previous two games vs Fresno State scored 52 and 54 points on the Bulldogs and are currently showing more explosive firepower by already putting 60+ points on the board on two occasions this season. Fresno State has a fine team, but if they want to take out Toledo here this week they are going to have to score in bunches to get the job done. With that said, Im betting on this tilt going over the Total. Play OVER | |||||||
09-29-18 | Rice v. Wake Forest OVER 65.5 | 24-56 | Win | 100 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
Wakes offence has looked explosive this season, but their defence remains and issue and Rice should be able to do some damage here today in what could be an easy over situation. Wake Forest has gone over in 10 straight by an average of 18 ppg coming off a home game that went over the total by double digits. OVER | |||||||
09-29-18 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7 | 10-6 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Kershaw (9-5, 2.53 ERA) hang pitched some of his best back here at AT&T Park as is evident by owning a 1.30 ERA in 22 games, including 21 starts here. The Giants have been a target of the former Cy Young winner in the past as he has garnered a stingy 1.58 ERA in 44 career meetings (43 starts).The last time Kershaw faced them n Aug 13 he gave up just one run in his eight innings in that game. Kershaw has dominated many of the Giants regulars over his career, including Hunter Pence (.186), Evan Longoria (.154) and Brandon Crawford (.125).Im betting the southpaw hurler will continue his dominance here vs a Giants team that has been held to two runs or fewer in 10 of its last 12 home games. Meanwhile, the Giants will respond, with Dereck Rodriguez who has a chance to become the first rookie since Jose Fernandez (2.19) in 2013 to record an ERA of 2.50 or lower with 15 or more starts. Im betting this being his last start of the season he will be primed to perform. Everything points to this being a low scoring game. SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 3.7 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1 UNDER in home games in September games this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 UNDER as an underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER | |||||||
09-29-18 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut UNDER 60 | 49-7 | Win | 100 | 58 h 40 m | Show | |
My projections make this a low scoring game. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 UNDER L/9 in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season with an average combined score of 44.1 ppg scored. Cincinnati HC Fickell in his L/12 off 1 or more straight overs in all games he has coached since 1992 has seen a combined average score of 41.8 ppg scored. ( Cincinnati went over and allowed 30 points last time out, in a hard-fought come from behind victory. This dedicated defensive minded Bearcats team will be ready to make amends here this week, in a more muted conservative effort) CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (CONNECTICUT) - poor team - outgained by their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 38-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-27-18 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Vargas (6-9 6.25 ERA) the Mets starter is not as bad as his numbers might suggest , as a few ugly starts have contributed to horrendous looking ERA.In six of his last seven starts, Vargas allowed two runs or less. When he is at home like he is tonight, a lot of unders have gone on the board, as 6 of his 7 starts have stayed below the Total. He has also pitched well agains the Braves in his L/2 starts procuring a 3.00 ERA with both staying under the total. Meanwhile, Julio Teheran (9-6 4.03 ERA) the Braves starter has struggled in his L/couple of trips to the hill, but he's a inconsistent pitcher with a lot of talent, that when he is focused is a hard hurler to deal with. Also from a matchup perspective he matches up well vs the Mets as is evident by delivering solid outing in 3 of 4 starts against them this season ,allowing either two runs or NO runs in seven solid innings of quality work. In the other game he allowed 3 runs. His lifetime ERA vs the Mets is 2.42 with with active batters averaging a lowly .196 BA vs the righty. He goes against aMets team that has averaged just 3.5 rpg at home this season, via lowly .216 BA. Everything points to this being a lower scoring game. Under is 17-4 in Braves last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-0 in Vargas' last 6 home starts.Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in New York.VARGAS is 14-3 UNDER in his career in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse of 6.3 rpg scored.. (Team's Record) Teheran is 20-6 UNDER in his career when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-23-18 | Bears v. Cardinals OVER 38 | 16-14 | Loss | -108 | 77 h 20 m | Show | |
Thanks the Cards being shutout last week, and scoring only 6 points in their opener this game has been listed at the ridiculously low asking price of 38 on the total. I know the Cards offence has looked anemic, but they desperately need to get things going and Im betting they take some more chances and open things up a bit, which Im betting will get them a few more points the lineskaers might expect. Meanwhile, Chicago behind an improved offence should be ready to jell behind QB Trubinsky in do some damage of their own. Note: hey allowed their opponent to score ten-plus points more than their season-to-date average. NFL Game 3 teams who scored 14 points or less in each of their first two games have gone OVER 10 straight times, over the last 3 seasons. Everything points to a higher scoring game than many might expect. The Cards have gone over 13 straight times on a natural surface vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a road game in which they allowed their opponent to score ten-plus points more than their season-to-date average. Last season using their perimeters it must be noted that the Cards scored 38 and 27 points on the two occasions this was in play. Meanwhile,Chicago is 18-0 OVER as a favorite on a natural surface off a victory when they are going against a team that is averaging less than 5.3 yards per play and has allowed at least 1.5 sacks per game. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, in the first month of the season are78-42 OVER L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. These teams have gone over in 4 straight meetings with a combined average of 55.6 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
09-23-18 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 56 | 27-38 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 26 m | Show | |
KC has put up some big offensive numbers so far this season, well above what their season average will be going forward in my humble opinion. Their anomaly output on offence and horrendous defensive performance have now tainted this Total. In two games they have scored 80 points and allowed 65. They scored against perceived good teams, and took a lot of blows, but everything eventually reverts back to the mean, and todays opponent does not set up to end looking for shootout especially on the road. SF despite of having a quality QB at the helm of their offence just does not inspire me to be an explosive offensive team and their defence is capable as well. With that said, his total is beatable on the under. The Chiefs were listed as 4.5 dogs last week vs Pittsburgh but have gone under 11 straight times when the line is at least five points lower than in their last game, and have not eclipsed the Total in 14 tries at home coming off a game where they covered.The Chiefs are 0-12-1 OU since 1996 as a favorite coming off a road win that went over the total by at least 14 points . KANSAS CITY is 10-1 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. HC Reid is 11-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached in his career with a total combined average 30 ppg going on the board. NFL Any team against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a win by 6 or less points against opponent after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were score are 22-3 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NFL games with a Total of 56 or more pts have gone under 5 of the L/6 times in Week 15 or less. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-23-18 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 39.5 | 9-6 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
The Jaguars put 31 points up against a solid New England defence last week, and are now running into this tilt vs Tennessee with a boatload full of confidence and feeling ready to dominate opponents with some swagger. Both teams have some injuries on offence with RB Fourette less than 100% and Titans QB Mariota also nursing a nagging injury. But both should play and even if they do not I'm expecting their replacements to help facilitate a fairly high scoring affair as compared to what the lines makers expect as per my power rankings output estimates suggest. The L/5 meetings in this series have all been listed with fairly low opening totals attached to them, but those meetings combined for an average combined scoring output of 54.4 ppg . It must be noted that Week Three undefeated home chalk of 3 pts or more are 17-4 OVER L/21 and 6-0 L/6 overall. : All game 2 NFL games with a Total of less than 41 points 32-9-1 OVER L/12 seasons. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (JACKSONVILLE) - good offensive team from last season - scored 24 or more points/game are 32-9 OVER L/10seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER | |||||||
09-23-18 | Duquesne v. Hawaii OVER 66 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
The Dukes behind transfer quarterback from Florida Atlantic Daniel Parr enter this game against Hawaii having scored an average of 33 points in their last three games , all of which were victories. Last season they averaged 32.3 ppg , so this is not an anomaly. Meanwhile, Hawaii plays a one way game, that features an explosive offence and a defence that is pourous to say the least. I expect Hawaii to pile up points here vs a lower tier team, but for Duquesne to fire right back in a tilt that promises to be high scoring and very entertaining. Play OVER | |||||||
09-22-18 | Stanford v. Oregon OVER 56 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 20 m | Show | |
A lot of top tier defensive numbers might sway a weekend warrior to bet this tilt under. But Im betting these two capable attacks will knock down each others top tier stopping numbers this week and leave them temporarily shattered. I know both teams have quality defences or so it seems thus far, but they will be tested by the likes of RB Bryce Love of Stanford and QB Justin Herbert for Oregon . Stanford hung 49 points on the Ducks last season and are capable of a big output again, and the Ducks now with added fire power should be up to the task of doing some scoring of their own. STANFORD in their L/6 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 65.5 ppg scored. OREGON in their L/10 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 68.1 ppg scored. Oregon is 11-0 OVER at home coming off a game that went under the total by at least 10 points. Play on the OVER | |||||||
09-22-18 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 55 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 14 m | Show | |
After getting beaten up on by Alabama in their first game the Cards have tightened up their D, and have allowed a total of 24 points in their last two games both wins ( 14 ppg) .That formula for success looks to remain in place this week vs a Virginia team that scored 45 points in a win vs Ohio last week. HC Mendenhall was not completely happy with the Cavs efforts because of sloppy play and turnovers, and will have his side primed to play a more staunch brand of defensive ball in this tilt. Im betting on both these scenarios to help keep this tilt on the low side of the Total. VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. Virginia has gone under 12 straight times coming off a home game where they scored at least 42 points which happened vs Ohio U last time out. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC OVER 52.5 | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 37 h 47 m | Show | |
Washington State plays a one way aerial attack offensive game and nothing will change today. Washington State is ranked 3rd in the country with 421 yards passing per game. Meanwhile, USC will be prepared to air out as well , as it seems that they can't get they're running game going. Since putting 41 points on the board in game 1 of the season USC has struggled to score , and need desperately to get their offence rolling and will be primed to put points on the board here. Washington State will answer back. Im recommending an over bet. WASHINGTON ST is 20-6 OVER as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992 with a combined average score of 59.3 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (WASHINGTON ST) - with a defense - allowing 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 43-16 OVER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER | |||||||
09-21-18 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) The Brewers are keeping Chacin on a five-day schedule to keep him in line to start a potential NL Wild Card Game. He’s allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last eight starts.Chacin will be making his team-leading and career-high 33rd start of the season, sixth against the Pirates. He owns a 2.51 ERA in his first five 2018 starts against Pittsburgh. Meanwhile,Nova the Pirates starter cruised through six strong innings on 76 pitches and led the Pirates to a 3-1 win on Saturday at Miller Park, his second straight quality start. Since coming off the disabled list on June 10, Nova owns a stable 3.46 ERA in 16 starts and looks to be getting stronger as the season winds down. Overall, Nova has garnered a solid 2.81 ERA in seven career starts against the Brewers. With both teams showing solid bullpens both starting pitchers have the backup needed to keep this tilt on the low side of the Total. NOVA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. NOVA is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg going on the scoreboard. Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 on grass.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games following a win.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 38-17 in Brewers last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 41-20-1 in Brewers last 62 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Chacins last 4 road starts.Under is 4-1 in Chacins last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-0 in Pirates last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 19-6-1 in Pirates last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 19-7 in Pirates last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 24-9-1 in Pirates last 34 overall.Under is 24-9-1 in Pirates last 34 on grass.Under is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-3-1 in Pirates last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-5-1 in Pirates last 17 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-0-1 in Novas last 4 Friday starts.Under is 4-0-1 in Novas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts overall.Under is 13-2-1 in Novas last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Novas last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-6-1 in Novas last 28 home starts.Under is 6-2 in Novas last 8 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 19-7-1 in Novas last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 18-7-2 in Novas last 27 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-1 in Pirates last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 13-2-1 in Pirates last 16 home games. Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts vs. Brewers.Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in Pittsburgh. The Pirates have gone under 21 straight times off a home victory in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is post All-Star break with the average combined score of 4.76 rpg scored with no game seeing more than 8 total runs scored. The L/15 games have not seen more than 6 combined runs scored. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 57-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-20-18 | Jets v. Browns OVER 39 | 17-21 | Loss | -114 | 50 h 37 m | Show | |
I was mildly surprised to Cleveland favoured by a FG or more when I looked at the early lines. They were -1 favs last year, vs the Colts, their only game as chalk , and that game flew over the total with 59 combined points going on the scoreboard. Despite of my initial observations I did concede that they have improved since last season, and the offence when given enough time should jell behind some improved parts and if they don't shoot themselves in the foot should have a chance to cover here tonight. However with this being the bad news/luck Browns Ill sit and wait this one on out for a side perspective. With that said, I am betting the Browns score in excess of 24 points here tonight while the Jets a team that scored 48 points in their opener should be good for around 21 points based on my varied power rankings in this spot. It must be noted that the L/6 times the Jets saw a less than 41 point total posted in their road games , that they have stayed OVER each time. NFL non-division home chalk like the Browns in Thursday night NFL tilts have gone OVER 11 of the L/12 times when the Total is in the range of 39 to 50 points. NFL Game Threes are 32-9-1 OVER since 2012 when the Total is listed at less than 41 points and have Gove OVER 18 of the L/22 times when the home team is favoured. NFL team against the total (CLEVELAND) - off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the first half of the season are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate on the blind. NFL Road teams against the total (NY JETS) - off a loss against a division rival, in the first half of the season are 45-17 OVERL/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER | |||||||
09-17-18 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 11-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Mikolas the Cards starter is currently in top form and has held opponents to fewer than three runs 11 times in his last 15 starts . That not good news for a Braves offence that has really struggled vs the righty starter ,recording no extra base hits in 32 at-bats against him. Meanwhile, Atlanta’s Mike Foltynewicz (11-9, 2.66 ERA) is currently in top form, and has allowed 1 run or less in 6 of his L/7 trips to the hill. Foltynewicz last start against St. Louis, saw him allow just one hit and record nine strikeouts over five scoreless innings on July 1 and Im betting in his current form will be a hard target to score against again tonight. ATLANTA is 13-3 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 23-11 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Cardinals last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 17-8-2 in Cardinals last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-16-18 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 45.5 | 0-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 39 m | Show | |
The Cards have its of new key offensive weapons that need to time to get acclimated and gain chemistry, and I expect they will play this game conservatively behind a strong D, that despite of giving up 26 totals points in a loss last week allowed only 3 points in the 2nd half. I expect their D to once again stand tall vs the explosive Rams here today, while their own offense does a lot of field goal damage but very limited TD production. This Im betting will see this contest stay on the low side of the number. This series has gone under 6 straight times . More of the same here. NFL Division chalk of 11 points or more like the Rams have gone UNDER 8 straight times when the Total is 48 or less points. All Week Two underdogs who scored 10 pts roles as hosts In their first game are 9-1 UNDER dating back 5 seasons. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game, in conference games are 24-5 UNDER L/35 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-16-18 | Colts v. Redskins UNDER 47 | 21-9 | Win | 100 | 74 h 49 m | Show | |
Alex Smith is type of QB that plays a short conservative style of football, and is well complemented by a quality consistent running game. The Skins coaching staff have implemented this type of game plan into their schemes as was evident in the Arizona win last week by a 24-6 count. Nothing changes this week vs Indianapolis.Smiths teams are have not gone above the Total in 10 straight tilts when coming off a victory where the QB threw for at least two touchdowns. On the defensive side of the ball, the skins also shined, allowing just 145 passing yards and 213 total yards.The Redskins have gone under 11 straight times as a favorite after a game where they allowed less than 200 yards through the air. Im betting the Redksins succeed in slowing this game down to a crawl vs Colts side that has seen their L/7 as dogs stay under the total. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-16-18 | Browns v. Saints UNDER 50 | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 73 h 26 m | Show | |
I think their has been an over reaction to New Orleans ugly outing in game 1 , when they lost in a 48-40 shootout vs Tampa Bay. Now after that PTSD type experience, I expect the Saints to be concentrated on taking care of the ball, vs a tough physical looking Cleveland defense that is very under rated. Meanwhile, Cleveland despite of having some new offensive weapons in their tool box will take time to get those key pieces hitting on all cylinders, and for now will a lot quieter than some the pundits expect. With that said, Im betting on this combined score staying on the low side of the Total.All Week Two NFL home favorites of 8 points or more Totals line of 38 pts or more have gone under in 12 of the L/14 tilts dating back 8 seasons. Note: New Orleans has gone under in 9 straight games as chalk off a loss when they are facing a non-divisional opponent that has a third down conversion percentage less than 35.3%. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-16-18 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 44 | 21-27 | Loss | -107 | 73 h 52 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay took part in a crazy shootout out last week in New Orleans winning 48 -40 for a 88 totals points explosion . Now everyone and his dog is looking at the OVER. The linesmakers however, know better as they have key stats right in front of them, while the squares don't. This is a bait Total in my opinion, and offers up value to the under wagerer. It must be noted that NFL teams who allowed 40 or more points as visitors last week went under in 14 of their next 17 games. Also all NFL teams after away tilt vs the New Orleans Saints when the Total is 46 or less points have gone under 15 of the L/18 times. With the Eagles short handed on offence with QB Wentz and some key cogs out, they are playing a lot more conservatively , as was the case in their opener In holding decent Atlanta offence to just 12 points. Im betting on more of the same action here, in what will be a lower scoring affair. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game, in conference games are 24-5 UNDER L/35 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-15-18 | Diamondbacks v. Astros UNDER 8 | 4-10 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zack Godley (14-9, 4.67 ERA) goes against the Astros on Saturday. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six of his last nine road starts since June 10 and more than capable of another top tier effort. Meanwhile,Astros right-hander Charlie Morton (14-3, 3.15 ERA) will start on Saturday against Arizona.In his first start off the 10-day disabled list, he limited the BoSox explosive offence to two runs on seven hits and two walks with three strikeouts over five innings in a 5-3 win on Sept. 8. He allowed three runs on three hits and four walks with three strikeouts over five innings in a 4-3 loss at Arizona on May 5 and owns. a stable 3.77 ERA over eight starts against the Diamondbacks In his career. MORTON is 14-5 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 2-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague road games.Under is 8-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 2 of a series.Under is 11-2 in Diamondbacks last 13 road games.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 11-3-2 in Diamondbacks last 16 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Godleys last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 12-3-2 in Godleys last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.Under is 19-5-2 in Astros last 26 vs. National League West.Under is 19-6-2 in Astros last 27 interleague games.Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 interleague home games.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 games following a loss.Under is 8-3 in Astros last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-1 in Astros last 26 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 17-7-1 in Astros last 25 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 33-15-3 in Astros last 51 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 13-6-2 in Astros last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-0 in Mortons last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 interleague starts.Under is 6-0 in Mortons last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. National League West.Under is 7-1 in Mortons last 8 starts on grass.Under is 7-1 in Mortons last 8 starts overall.Under is 7-1 in Mortons last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Mortons last 6 Saturday starts.Under is 13-5 in Mortons last 18 home starts.Under is 7-3 in Mortons last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. ARIZONA is 11-1 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with combined average of 5.6rpg going on the board.HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with. combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-15-18 | Houston v. Texas Tech UNDER 70.5 | 49-63 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 46 m | Show | |
When first looking at these teams its obvious a causal observer would expect a shoot out here today considering recent stats. But from a mathematical perspective which includes power ranking strengths and weaknesses it very much looks like the Total is getting a little bloated via mostly one way over action from the public. So in my usual contrarian fashion, Ill attack the number to the under. Houston is balanced on both sides of the ball, but defence is key their successes and failures. The Cougars have Outland Trophy-winning DT and future NFL draft pick Ed Oliver playing like his hairs on fire ,and have the best defensive line in the conference. . Houston also owns a talented secondary that are jelling and Im betting they will give Texas Tech passing game that has an unsettled quarterback situation some grief here today. Last year these teams took part in a closely contests 27-24 tilt, and I'm betting it will be a much lower scoring affair than the lines makers and public are expecting today. [QB] 09/09/2018 - McLane Carter is "?" Saturday vs Houston ( Ankle ) if he plays he will not be 100%. Look for Texas Tech to pound the ball on the ground more often which will also slow the game down and eat up a lot of clock time. Houston has gone under 10 straight. times by an average of 9.1 ppg coming off a home where they allowed at least 400 total yards. These teams have stayed under in 3 straight meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-15-18 | LSU v. Auburn UNDER 45 | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
LSU put some points up against Miami Florida in their first game of the season and got the win, but here today on the road with inexperienced group and their scoring output vs Auburn 's staunch D, will be muted. Meanwhile, LSU as has almost always been the case continues to recruit strong defensive players, and are loaded again this season, as was evident when they shutout South Eastern Louisiana 31-0, which will be their strength here today vs Auburn side that has only once put 24 points on the board since 2000 in this series averaging just 18.2 ppg overall. Im betting this game will be a war in the trenches that stays on the low side side of the number. LSU is 9-1 UNDERoff a home win over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 UNDER after allowing less than 17 points . CFB Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (AUBURN) - after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CFB Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (LSU) - after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 32-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-15-18 | SMU v. Michigan OVER 53 | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 55 h 40 m | Show | |
SMU has allowed 46 and 42 points in their first two games being an atrocious defence. Michigan is also capable of putting this many points on the board, if not more , behind Quarterback Shea Patterson who threw three touchdown passes in his home debut and has completed 32 of 47 passes to start the season. Sonny Dykes SMU are offensively orientated and will make Michigan staunch defence work hard to stop them, but should still have enough success especially against the 2nd stringers to help this tilt combine to see a score that eclipses the number.SMU has gone over in 11 straight games as a dog coming off a home game where they allowed at least 35 points eclipsing the total by ana average of more than 2 TDs, Play OVER | |||||||
09-14-18 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R) The game and series has play off implications attached to it, and will be played like a post season affair, which means no one will be rested especially out of the bullpen. Both these rookie hurlers showed their top tier abilities when they went head to head almost three weeks ago with the Cards taking a closely contested low scoring 3-1 victory . Dodgers hurler Buehler went seven scoreless innings with nine strikeouts and Cards starter Flaherty struck out 10 in six innings of quality work.Flaherty is 4-0 over his last seven starts and has allowed fewer than two runs in five of those outings.Im expecting another sleeper here, and a continuation of a trend that has seen three straight meetings at Dodger Stadium stayed ‘under’ totals with similar posted totals attached to those tilts. Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 12-2 in Dodgers last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-2 in Dodgers last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-2 in Dodgers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Buehlers last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-0 in Flahertys last 5 starts overall.Under is 12-3-1 in Flahertys last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Flahertys last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 10-3-1 in Flahertys last 14 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3-1 in Flahertys last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Flahertys last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in Flahertys last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Flahertys last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Flahertys last 7 home starts. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-13-18 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Anderson owns a stingy 2.15 ERA and did not allow a run in three of his five appearances in the month of August. I'm betting he shuts down this struggling Baltimore offence that is averaging just 2.7 rpg in their L/7 and shutout last night again tonight. I know Bundy his Os pitching opponent has not faired well of late, and their bullpen is tired, but it must be noted that Baltimore in their L/17 with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined score of just 6.7 rpg scored. Look for the As to do a majority of the damage and for Baltimore to do very little scoring in a game that remains on the low side of the total. The Athletics have also gone under in 10 straight games in franchise history with Brett Anderson as chalk when he gave up no walks in his last start. The average combined score was 5.5 rpg. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-12-18 | Indians v. Rays UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Tropicana Field is not a hitters park despite of being in a dome, and has seen a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored with visiting teams averaging just .215 BA as team. With two top tier hurlers on the hill, Im expecting an even more stingy score to go on the board. | |||||||
09-10-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Williams the Pirates starter (12-9, 3.15 ERA) continued a top tier run on Labor Day, pitching 6 2/3 scoreless innings in a 5-1 win over Cincinnati at PNC Park. In his last nine starts, Williams has allowed only four runs in 54 2/3 innings, pitching scoreless ball six times and post an absurd 0.66 ERA.One of those six scoreless trips to the hill happened two weeks ago, when he snatched a 2-0 victory over the Cardinals at Busch allowing just 3 hits. Im betting Williams hot arm to continue to mow down batters in this spot. Meanwhile, Adam Wainwright, the Cards starter for St. Louis will start . The righty is now healthy and fresh since being out since May 13, when he suffered right elbow inflammation during the third inning of a 5-3 defeat in San Diego. Wainwright in his return has pitched 17 scoreless innings in six rehab outings and in his current form will be a hand full for inconsistent Pirates offence. WILLIAMS is 14-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored.WILLIAMS is 10-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more /game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored.WILLIAMS is 11-0 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.2 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 Monday games.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 3-0-1 in Wainwrights last 4 starts overall.The L/4 meetings in St.Louis went under. Williams is 4-1-1 UNDER L/6 in this series.Play on the UNDER | |||||||
09-09-18 | Bears v. Packers OVER 47 | 23-24 | Push | 0 | 80 h 19 m | Show | |
The combination of a new coach with offensive tendencies at the helm of the Chicago Bears gives me confidence they can do some damage here tonight. Also as is almost always the case an Aaron Rodgers led offence should as well be more capable of making some noise here tonight in Cheeseville. My projections have both Green Bay and Chicago putting up more than 20 points. GREEN BAY is 7-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 54.5 ppg. The Packers have gone over 16 straight times as a favorite of more than six points vs a team with the same record with no game seeing less than 50 points go on the board.Week One DIVISION home favorites of 1 or more points with an OU line of 42 or more pts and 53 or less pts have gone under 8 of the L/9 times. Play OVER | |||||||
09-09-18 | Seahawks v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -119 | 80 h 4 m | Show | |
The lines makers expect this to be a closely contested game with one mistake possibly costing the other side to lose. Expect both to play conservatively and for defence to be at the forefront. In preseason play Denver allowed less points each time out, and the defence looks stable and on a upward trajectory heading into their home opener. Seattle has ben a defence first team for a long time and nothing changes today Both have trouble scoring at the best of times, and this tilt will be no different. Defence , Defence and more Defence. Under is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 road games . Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games overall. SEATTLE is 31-13 L/44 UNDER in road games in September games with the average combined score with a combined average of 33.7 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DENVER) - good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game are 62-29 UNDER L/34 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-09-18 | Rangers v. A's UNDER 9 | 3-7 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
OAKLAND is 13-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. TEXAS is 17-7 UNDERin road games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored and have gone under in 13 of 18 day games this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. | |||||||
09-09-18 | Mystics v. Storm UNDER 168.5 | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 2 - SEA leads 1-0 The Mystics offence is just not as efficient with star forward Delle Donne suffering through a knee injury and less than 100%. This in itself will have the Mystics employing a more defensive mind set in an attempt to stay competitive vs an explosive offensive opponent. I'm betting on this combined score to stay on the low side of the Total. WASHINGTON is 14-2 UNDER after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combined average score of 159.6 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 156 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons with the total combined average score clicking in at 158.7 ppg. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 45-18 UNDER L21 seasons with a combined average score of 157 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-09-18 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 44.5 | 21-21 | Win | 100 | 77 h 23 m | Show | |
The Steelers enter this game against the Cleveland Browns with recent history of playing more conservatively on the road than at home especially when favoured. The Steelers have not gone OVER in 13 straight games (0-12-1 O/U) over the L/ 2seasons as -3 or more road chalk . Today they do go against a Cleveland team that should be more cohesive offensively as the season progresses and the new pieces jell thanks to some of the top tier talent they have added, but for now their a work and progress and recently the Browns have seen only 1 of their L/12 home games eclipse the total with a combined average of just 35.6 ppg scored. Here in week 1 I expect a defensive type North division affair that stays on the low side of the number. PITTSBURGH is 6-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 11-2 UNDER in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored.CLEVELAND is 6-0 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 32 ppg scored. Injury updates that Im betting effect this total score.[WR] 08/03/2018 - Antonio Brown is probable Sunday vs Cleveland ( Quad) Not 100% [RB] 09/03/2018 - Le'Veon Bell is doubtful Sunday vs Cleveland. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants UNDER 43.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 65 h 13 m | Show | |
Last season the Giants struggled to score putting up just 16 ppg , going against a tough Jacksonville D that allowed 18 points a game last season, Im betting the Gmens offence begins this season struggling again. With that said, look for a low scoring affair that stays on the low side of the Total. All Week One teams who won 4 or less games last year vs an AFC opponent when the OU line is in the range of 42-49 points are 4-17-1 UNDER since the 2006 campaign. ( Giants qualify)All Week One NFC home dogs like the Giants are 4-17 L/21 UNDER dating back to the 2014 season. Week One non division road chalk like the Jags are 8-27-1 UNDER L/19 seasons. NY GIANTS are 22-11 UNDER in all lined games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 38.7 ppg going on the board.NY GIANTS are 16-6 UNDER as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 37.7 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-08-18 | Holy Cross v. Boston College UNDER 51.5 | 14-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
In their first game of the season Boston College surprisingly opening up their schemes and put on a ferocious aerial assault instead of concentrating on their vaunted ground attack. The coaching staff did however, look concerned about the Defensive lapses vs UMass, and now want to slow the game down and control pace which hopefully gets their stoppers focused again. But I expect their ground game to be the key for them this week against Holy Cross as the coaching staff will want QB Anthony Brown who suffered a knee injury last season to take less punishment this week before the conference schedule begins as they also know that 3 of their next 4 games will be taking place on the road. These are two old regional rivals so I won't be surprised if this is a physical game that stays on the low side of the number. Note Holy Cross shut out Colgate in the 2nd half of last weeks 24-17 loss to Colgate. Boston College have under 15 straight times by an average 11.7 ppg, 2008 com-ing off a game as a home favorite where they forced at least three turnovers which happened in your opener . the average combined score of these games clicking at 34.7 ppg with non of the games eclipsing this 51 point plateau. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-05-18 | Orioles v. Mariners OVER 8 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Leake the Mariners starter does not have a decision with a 7.36 ERA in two career starts against the Orioles while Cashner is 2-4 with a 4.09 ERA in 10 appearances (nine starts) against Seattle. Both pitchers are in sub par form and very hittable in their current form. Leake owns a 5.40 ERA in his L/3 starts, while Cashner has recorded a 5.89 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. With the Mariners trying to make up 5 1/2 runs on the Athletics you can bet they will be focused and ready to show very little mercy here even if their up at some point by a wide margin. Meanwhile, Baltimore with nothing to play for other than padding stats Willalso be primed to light up their opponents. This I'm betting leads to a high scoring affair. CASHNER is 11-1 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.CASHNER is 11-2 OVER in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored. The Mariners have gone over 10 straight times 140+ favorite off a home game in which Robinson Cano hit a home run with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
09-05-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Left-hander Jose Quintana (11-9, 4.21 ERA), owns a 2.63 ERA in four starts against the Brewers this season but was knocked around the last time he faced Milwaukee, allowing five runs on six hits in five innings of a 7-0 loss at Wrigley Field last month. I am expecting him to bounce back as he is currently in top form as is evident by having allowed four total runs since tha tilt, spanning three starts, including only one over six innings of three-hit ball his last time out against Philadelphia. Quintana has garner a 1.67 ERA in eight career starts versus Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Chacin the Cubs starter went head to head with Quintana in that meeting last month and produced a gem by striking out a season-high 10 over seven scoreless innings -- his second shutout effort against the Cubs this season.The Cubs righty owns a solid 2.84 in nine games (eight starts) versus Chicago. With that said, Im expecting both pitchers to long and strong tonight and for this final score to stay on the low side of the Total. Under is 11-2 in Cubs last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League Central.Under is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 road games.Under is 19-7 in Cubs last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Quintanas last 5 road starts.Over is 8-1 in Quintanas last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.Under is 34-15-2 in the last 51 meetings in Milwaukee.Under is 5-1 in Quintanas last 6 starts vs. Brewers QUINTANA is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 12-3 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 combined runs scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 55-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-05-18 | Mets v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Dodgers bats woke up last night and put 11 runs on the board, and Im betting their momentum will continue tonight vs Zach Wheeler a hurler who has pitched well of late, but who has never shown long term consistency. Wheeler is 0-2 vs the Dodgers along with a ugly looking 11.00 ERA in 2 starts. The Mets as a team have allowed an an average of 5.1 rpg on the road this season behind a bullpen that has garnered a bloated 5.56 road ERA. Meanwhile, HJ Ryu, the Dodgers starter has also been stable, but the Mets offence have not been easy to deal with lately, and have averaged 5 rpg on the road this season. Considering the matchup data options I'm betting on this total being eclipsed. Over is 5-2-1 in Wheelers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 11-5-1 in Wheelers last 17 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-1-1 in Dodgers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing.NY Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.METS are 16-1 OVER as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons. WHEELER is 23-9 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the OVER | |||||||
09-03-18 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) The Tigers enter this game having allowed 6 or more runs in 7 of their L/8 games (8.64 RPG). Yesterday their offence also came to life winning by an 11-7 count. Meanwhile. the White Sox their opponents today scored 8 runs in a shutout win vs BoSox yesterday. Both teams offence have momentum entering this game, and as mentioned above the Tigers are allowing runs by the boatload. Thus an over wager here considering the starting pitcher and bullpen options is according to my projections a high probability event. LOPEZ the White Sox starter is 16-4 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.LOPEZ is 11-2 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 11-2 OVER when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored.RENTERIA is 25-9 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Over is 9-3 in White Sox last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Lopezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-3 in Lopezs last 13 starts on grass.Over is 10-3 in Lopezs last 13 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lopezs last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Lopezs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 9-2-2 in Tigers last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 9-2-2 in Tigers last 13 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 games following a win.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 1 of a series.Over is 9-3-2 in Tigers last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The White Sox have gone over 11 straight times after the All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent with a. combined average of 13.46 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 runs scored. Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
09-02-18 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 9 | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Hernandez (8-12, 5.49 ERA) 14-year veteran has pitched well vs Oakland in his career and despite of losing 3 of 4 games against them this season, he continues to keep his team competitive, as the 3 losses were all low scoring affairs, 2-1, 4-3, 3-2. Hernandez has faced the A's 50 times in his career, starting on 49 of those occasions and garner a very stable 2.71 ERA in this tilts. In Oakland he owns a a 2.89 ERA in 26 games, including 25 as a starter. Under is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. Athletics. Meanwhile, Jackson the As starter has started four games in his career against the Mariners compiling a stingy 1.26 ERA in the process and should once again be dominating vs a team he matches up well against. JACKSON is 10-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average combined score clicking in at 7.8 rpg. average.JACKSON is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg. JACKSON is 15-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).JACKSON is 15-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Under is 9-1-2 in Jacksons last 12 starts overall. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (OAKLAND) - after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals, playing on Sunday 86-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-30-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Dodgers will have left-hander Rich Hill on the mound while the Diamondbacks will counter with a southpaw of their own in Robbie Ray. Hill looked good last Time out, but it must be noted that going against Arizona has been a nightmare for him in the recent past as is evident, via his 0-5 record in seven starts against Arizona as a member of the Dodgers. The veteran has a 1.29 WHIP in those seven trips to the hill. Hill is just 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA in two starts against the Diamondbacks this season. Note: The Dodgers have gone over 11 straight times with Rich Hill as a favorite when he went 6+ innings and allowed fewer than six hits in his last start. The average combined score of those games was 11.46 RPG with none of the games seeing less than 9 runs scored. Meanwhile Ray, the Backs starter despite of being an adequate hurler of late, is far from over powering, and has garnered a 3.66 ERA, but all of those ended in no-decisions. The Diamondbacks are just 1-7 in Ray's last eight starts and he hasn't picked up a victory since June 27. Needless to say he is susceptible to being lit up as is Hill. HILL is 11-1 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 10.3 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA DODGERS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after allowing 1 run or less are 88-44 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER | |||||||
08-30-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 0-5 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R) Musgrove looked a little tired last Friday at Milwaukee, when he allowed four runs in four innings of sub par work.Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Gant despite of some strong efforts recently, does not matchup well vs the Pirates batting order, according to my power rankings , and asa matter of fact his worst outing was vs the Bucks on Aug. 3, when t he was pounded for six runs and eight hits in four innings of ugly work. My estimates today project both teams to score 4 runs or more and for this tilt to eclipse the total. The Pirates have gone over 15 straight times as a road dog after a win in which they scored 3 runs or fewer, with no game seeing less than 8 combined runs scored, and the average combined score clicking in at 10.75 rpg.( Pirates won 2-0 yesterday vs Cards) MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team, playing on Thursday are 47-17 OVER L5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
08-30-18 | Central Florida v. Connecticut UNDER 74.5 | 56-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 30 m | Show | |
A lot of times certain matchups seem obvious based on expectations . However, the obvious is not always as straight forward as many might think. Central Florida blew through opposing football programs last season, via an explosive offensive attack , and should once again field a up tempo style assault behind new head coach and former Missouri HC Heupel who is all about tempo. This right out of the gate has everyone giddy about the Knights offensive abilities and their chances for a big night against a young rebuilding UConn football program that stunk onnD last season. While UCF despite of some key roster losses are still very talented ,putting up more than 48 points will be difficult, as I expect the Huskies will play a very conservative game plan, that will try to grind clock time down quickly in an attempt to stay competitive. With that said, it must be noted that Uconns HC Eudsall teams play their best ball, when the running game is in a groove as he consistently preaches clock and tempo control something he employs to get an edge on the talent gap he has experienced in the past as was evident when he was a coach at Maryland. Last season, The Huskies failed to score more than 24 points in any of the last six games last season a continuation is expected here. UCF won a 49-23 decision at home vs UConn last season with a 72 combined points scored and I'm bettong both were more cohesive last season then they will this season, thus a combined score in the mid to higher 60s would me a much closer correlated event than more than 72+ point out put. These two opposing game plans.... one fast and one slow, have my scoring projections consistently staying on the low side of this total. I have the Knights putting up between 41 and 47 points, while Connecticut should be able to put up no more than 20-24 points which co ordinated closely to the point spread differentials. Play on on the UNDER | |||||||
08-28-18 | Rays v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
TB has allowed a total of 12 runs in their L/8 games all victories. Atlanta has allowed a total of 6 runs including 3 shutouts wins in their L/6 trips to the diamonds. Needless to say both teams defences and pitching are clicking on all cylinders, and Im betting nothing changes today. Since the beginning of June, Ryan Stanke the Rays starter has been in top form and garnered a solid 2.06 ERA and .182 opponents' average in 35 appearances (19 starts), lowering his ERA from 4.66 to 2.53. His average fastball velocity is 98 mph with a max velocity of 100.5 mph, according to Statcast. He is in very good from and deserves my backing here. Meanwhile, Teheran has been in great form of late, allowing two runs or less in each of his last three starts. This past Wednesday against the Pirates, Teheran permitted just two hits and one run over seven brilliant innings of top tier work. TEHERAN is 12-3 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record)with a. combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 17-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 12-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games.Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on grass.Under is 20-5-1 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 games following an off day Under is 19-7 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 21-8-1 in Rays last 30 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 during game 1 of a series.Under is 35-15-4 in Rays last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 16-7 in Rays last 23 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 13-6 in Rays last 19 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games following a win.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 on grass.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 overall.Over is 11-1 in Braves last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter Under is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-1-1 in Teherans last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Teherans last 7 interleague starts.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 8-2 in Teherans last 10 starts on grass.Under is 8-2 in Teherans last 10 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts vs. American League East.Under is 15-5-1 in Teherans last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2 in Teherans last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7-1 in Teherans last 27 home starts.Under is 39-19-2 in Teherans last 60 starts during game 1 of a series. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.MLBRoad teams (TAMPA BAY) - after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 36-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-26-18 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Luis Severino the Yankees starter is 2-4 with a 7.26 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.Bundy Baltimore's starter will look to snap a three-game stretch in which he’s allowed seven earned runs in each of his past three outings. He’s recorded just two quality starts and posted a 9.08 ERA since the start of July. More down efforts by both hurlers today are expected, as is a combined score that eclipses this Total. Over is 8-1 in Severinos last 9 starts overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Bundys last 7 starts overall.Over is 12-3-2 in Bundys last 17 starts vs. American League East. Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. Orioles. SEVERINO is 16-3 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average with a combined average of 10.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. SEVERINO is 7-0 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average 13 rpg on the board. SEVERINO is 9-1 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored.SEVERINO is 8-1 OVER in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 21.1 rpg scored. BOONE is 21-9 OVER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less) as the manager of NY YANKEES with the combined average score clicking in at 10.9 rpg. The Yankees are 15-1 on the OVER in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break None of the games in this set has seen less than a combined 9 runs go on the board with the average combined score clicking in at 13.68 rpg. Play OVER | |||||||
08-26-18 | Bengals v. Bills UNDER 41.5 | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
Buffalo took out Cleveland last time out 19-17 in week 2 exhibition play, going under the total. BUFFALO is 15-5 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points since 1993 with a combined average of 34.2 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Cincinnati won 21-13 at Dallas,and went under the total, as the D, looked strong, and I'm betting on this tilt being another defensive full dress rehearsal football affair that also stays on the low side of the Total. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 35-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those games clicking at 35 ppg. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 31-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 33.8 ppg. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-26-18 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L) Snell the TB starting hurler today is on fire having allowed a total of just 2 runs in his L/3 starting spanning 23.5 innings of work, garnering a minuscule 0.56 ERA. Im betting on him once again providing the Rays with quality work. Meanwhile, his Boston Red Sox pitching opponent Eovaldi After a spectacular first two starts for the Red Sox (no runs in 15 innings), he hasn’t been as sharp the last three times, But I'm betting he will very motivated to get his mojo back against the team that traded him in July to the BoSox, and show them what they have lost. Eovaldi went 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts at Tropicana Field prior to the trade. Under is 7-0 in Snells last 7 starts overall.Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. SNELL is 12-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored.SNELL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.7 rpg scored.SNELL is 11-3 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record) for a combined average 6.6 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 23-8 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. The Rays have gone under 14 straight times as a home favorite in the last game of a series vs a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings with none of the games seeing more than 6 runs score with the combined average score clicking in at 3.67 rpg. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State OVER 56 | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Offences usually start slow, and defences usually are more stable early on in the season, but Im betting the offences take centre stage here in this NCAAF opener. Colorado's offense was humming last season, pilling up a yards by the ton, averaging a school-record 492.5 yards per game. I know they have to replace some key ingredients, at quarterback, running back their top receiver and top tight end from a year ago and three new starters on the offensive line, but the replacements despite of being inexperienced to an extent are just as talented according to my scouting reports and in some cases maybe better. Meanwhile Colorado States D, remains a issue, and now need to replace five starters from a unit that permitted 431.6 yards and 27.8 points per game a year ago. These guys are not as experienced or talented in my opinion as the ones that left. Add to that I'm also not impressed by the Rams by the arrival of former Tennessee defensive coordinator John Jancek's Colorado Springs . He has hands full, and a recruiting class on D, far less talented then he had in Tennessee. On the flipside,Hawaii will incorporate the run-and-shoot in an attempt to get the Warriors back to what makes them entertaining . Look for sophomore QB Cole McDonald and freshman Chevan Cordeiro who have been named as co-starters at quarterback, to surprise some folks here this week and do a lot more damage than the pundits and lines makers expect. Meanwhile, Hawaii's D, that struggled last season, now has to replace their best linemen and defensive backs and could easily get run over here today, in what Im betting will be a high scoring affair that eclipses the number. My projections estimate both teams will score at 28 points or more.HAWAII is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 79.8 ppg going on the board.COLORADO ST is 8-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 88.6 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
08-25-18 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. RYAN YARBROUGH (L) TBs home games have seen an average of 7.5 rpg scored entering Fridays action. They did take a 10-3 win last time out, but that offensive output from the Rays was an anomaly, and I'm betting they revert back to the norm here in tilt. Yarbrough a quality young hurler goes to the hill for TB .Last time out he did not allow a run in 5 1/3 innings out of the bullpen against Kansas City in his last start, retiring 12 of his final 13 batters. His 12 victories are the most among Major League rookies and are the best by a Rays rookie hurler since in 2011. He is more than capable of slowing down the BoSox offence here today. He is also backed by a solid bullpen that owns a 2.89 ERA at home this season. Meanwhile, Bstons starter Porcello was steaming after three mistake pitches led to his downfall last time out and will be primed for a big time comeback. He gave up three homers in a 5-4 loss to the Indians. However, in his career at Tropicana Field, Porcello is 8-4 with a 2.72 ERA in 14 starts. I expect we will see these two hurlers go long and strong today in a score that remains on the low side of the number. Note: TB will be without leading hitter Mallex Smith (.307 batting average) after he was placed on the 10-day disabled list Friday . Under is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-1-1 in Rays last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2-1 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Saturday games.Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 vs. American League East.Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 10-3-1 in Rays last 14 overall.Under is 20-6 in Rays last 26 during game 2 of a series.Under is 3-1-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 25-9-1 in Rays last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-2-1 in Rays last 8 on astroturf. Under is 4-1-2 in Porcellos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Rays has gone UNDER in 17 in a row off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. Whcih happened last night The L/12 games have not seen more than 6 runs scored in total and none of the 17 have seen more than 8 combined runs scored. The average score of all games rings in at 4.89 runs per game. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-25-18 | Texans v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
The Rams lack of experience at the edge. Depth along the OL and at QB remain big time concerns. I still think this team can score in bunches as long as they can curtail injuries. Here in the preseason despite of this being a full dress rehearsal game , I'm betting on a more concerted effort towards staying healthy and analyzing the defense which will be key here in game 3 of the preseason for the Rams . The Rams second string defense held the Raiders to 50 yards at halftime last time out and with mostly starters in the lineup tonight, Im expecting a similar effort vs a Texas side that had problems scoring last season. The Texans saving grace will once again be a solid D, that held the Chiefs running game to minimal yards in game 1 of their preseason and last week held SF QB Jimmy G, to limited yards for most of that tilt. I expect they stand tall here again this week at home. With that said, I recommend we take and under stance here this exhibition contest. Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 road games. Under is 5-2 in Rams last 7 home games..Play Under - Any team against the total (LA RAMS) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 38-5 UNDER L5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with a combined average of 34.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-24-18 | Patriots v. Panthers UNDER 46 | 14-25 | Win | 100 | 49 h 47 m | Show | |
New Englands offence does not concern the Pats coaching staff but the defence seems to still need some adjustments, and has a lot to prove after some of last seasons debacles including the Super Bowl loss. Carolina remains a defence first team with a conservative and sometime impotent offence, which I'm betting will help keep this game on the low side of the Total. Belichick is 16-7 UNDER in road games after playing a non-conference game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND. with the average combined score clicking in at 36.4 ppg. Play Under - Any team against the total (CAROLINA/NEW ENGLAND) - with a winning record in the preseason playing another winning team are 27-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 34.8 ppg getting scored. NFL team against the total (CAROLINA) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 33-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 34.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-23-18 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 177 | 96-86 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
For this being play off basketball game Im betting the total reflects more of a confrontation that would coincide with the regular season. The Mercury can be very physical at home and defense minded as well, we need be especially against a run and gun team like the Sun. With that said, I'm expecting a gruelling affair that stays under the total. | |||||||
08-23-18 | Sparks v. Mystics UNDER 156 | 64-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Sparks top tier defence stood tall, and held 3 of their L/4 regular season opponents to 68 points or less. The Sparks were sending a signal, that their defensive schemes and grueling inside action will be on full display during this first round action vs the Mystics. With that said, I'm betting that defensive mind set will be on their agenda today. Look for the Sparks to be able to slow the explosive Mystics down, and for this contest to remain on the low side of the number. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 roles turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games where they committed 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152 ppg scored. Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 43-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-22-18 | Braves v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 101 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) Teheran has been inconsistent this season, but he has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his past four starts. He credits his recent success to improved fastball command and more comfort with his slider. He goes against a team that has been shutout in 3 of its L/6games. Meanwhile, the Pirate starter Williams continued his dominant run on Friday night at PNC Park, holding the Cubs to one run over seven innings, but lost as the Bucs were shut out. Williams has allowed three runs in 36 innings over his past six starts, for an amazing 0.75 ERA. I'mbetting on a pitcher duel here this evening as both teams offences stall. WILLIAMS is 8-0 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season with a combined average of 4.4 rpg scored.. (Team's Record) and is 11-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. WILLIAMS is 19-4 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. TEHERAN is 15-3 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. (Team's Record)TEHERAN is 11-3 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record) Under is 5-0-1 in Teherans last 6 Wednesday starts.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Teherans last 9 starts on grass.Under is 7-2 in Teherans last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Teherans last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 11-5-1 in Teherans last 17 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 10-4 in Braves last 14 Wednesday games. Under is 11-0 in Williams' last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 home starts.Under is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1-1 in Williams' last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Williams' last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 16-4-1 in Williams' last 21 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Williams' last 5 starts vs. National League East.Under is 11-3 in Williams' last 14 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-5-1 in Williams' last 24 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 16-5 in Williams' last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 30-10-1 in Williams' last 41 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Williams' last 12 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 29-10-1 in Williams' last 40 starts on grass.Under is 19-7 in Williams' last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Williams' last 7 Wednesday starts. Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 on grass.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games following a loss.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-1-1 in Pirates last 11 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-22-18 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
ROBERT STEPHENSON (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R) The first inning remained a problem for Peralta in his most recent start against the Cardinals, when he allowed two runs to bump his ERA to 9.00 in 12 opening innings this season. The rookie allowed three runs in five innings on July 1 vs. the Reds. I'm betting on more of same down action in here in this statrt. Meanwhile, Stephenson has room to improve from his first two starts of 2018. He’s issued nine walks over a combined 5 2/3 innings and has had trouble commanding his fastball, especially in the 1 2/3 innings he lasted in Wednesday’s no-decision vs. Cleveland. He is showing very little advancement as he learns to pitch on the job in the big leagues. MILWAUKEE I in 18 games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 19-6 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with a combine average of 10.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 19-7 OVER as an underdog of +200 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 Wednesday games..Over is 12-3 in Reds last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 20-6 in Reds last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 15-5-1 in Reds last 21 vs. National League Central.Over is 20-7 in Reds last 27 during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-3 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 18-7-1 in Reds last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 22-10-3 in Reds last 35 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 24-11-1 in Reds last 36 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-6 in Reds last 19 road games.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 road starts.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-2 in Stephensons last 11 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 6-2 in Stephensons last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 6-2 in Stephensons last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Stephensons last 10 starts on grass.Over is 7-3 in Stephensons last 10 starts overall. Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 Wednesday games.Over is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 3 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 16-6-1 in Brewers last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 6-1 in Peraltas last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Peraltas last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Peraltas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 4-1 in Peraltas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Peraltas last 8 starts on grass.Over is 6-2 in Peraltas last 8 starts overall. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Reds are 21-1OVER as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers with a combined average of 13.22 rpg going on the scoreboard with only one game seeing less than 9 runs scored. Play OVER | |||||||
08-21-18 | Wings v. Mercury UNDER 175.5 | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - First Round Both these teams can light up the scoreboard quickly, but Im betting on a physical play off affair that favours this contest staying on the low side of the number. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 154.3 ppg. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.3 ppg. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games after a game where a team made 45% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 147.3 ppg going on the board. DALLAS is 8-2 UNDER after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combined average of 170.3 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or less of their shots are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-20-18 | Royals v. Rays UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-2-1 in Royals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 overall. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The Rays have gone UNDER 16 straight times off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 5.12 rpg scored, with the L/11 not seeing more than 7 combined runs scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-20-18 | Braves v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R) Archer the Pirates starter since coming over in a trade from the Rays is taking his time getting acclimated the NL, but he is a quality hurler when he can get in a groove, andI'm betting today vs a struggling Pittsburgh offence that is averaging just 2.3 rpg in their L/7 overall, he will start to get back into top form. ARCHER I in his L/12 games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall. Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a right-handed starte The Pirates have gone UNDER 19 straight times off a home win in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is post All-Star break with an average of 6.05 rpg scored during that span , with no contest seeing more than 8 runs scored. The L/13 have not seen more than 7 rpg scored, with a combined average of just 3.76 rpg scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-19-18 | Wings v. Storm UNDER 175 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Storm (25-8) will play host to the Dallas Wings (15-18) on Sunday afternoon in what is now a meaningless regular-season finale.I expect the Storm will be concentrating on defensive checks/systems and staying healthy, which I'm betting will have this game played at a lot slower pace then the pundits might expect which will effect this total score to the under. SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER in home games in August or September games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.3 ppg scored.DALLAS is 12-5 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combine average of 170.6 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-19-18 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R) The banged up Mets pitching rotation will force Jason Vargas (2-8, 8.10 ERA). on to the hill to face a capable Philadelphia batting order. Vargas has seen his opponents smash him for a .329 batting average and .397 OBP, and Im betting on him getting lit up here again tonight. When Vargas exits , the Phillies will also be able to tee off on the NL 13th ranked bullpen. Meanwhile, Nick Pivetta (7-9, 4.37)despite of being a good looking hurler, has shown inconsistencies and concentration issues as games have progressed, this season. He goes against a sometimes explosive Mets offence that put up 46 runs earlier this week during a 3 game explosion. Im betting both these teams do some damage in this prime time game this Sunday night in a tilt that eclipses the total. NY METS are 23-8 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 8-3 in Pivettas last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a bad team (38% to 46%) are 71-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
08-19-18 | Astros v. A's UNDER 7.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L) Oakland’s Sean Manaea (11-8, 3.44 ERA) will make his fourth consecutive home start this Sunday afternoon in Oakland . He has permitted two runs or less in his last four home outings and gone deep in each one. Opponents are batting just .206 vs the lefty. Im betting he does well here this afternoon, vs a Houston mired in a offensive slump scoring three runs or less in 5 of their L/6 games as they play without injured BA leader Jose Altuve . Meanwhile,Houston’s Justin Verlander (11-8, 2.52 ERA) will go to the hill for the Astros. Recently Verlander has pitched better on the road than at home in Minute Maid park , as is evident by allowing one run or less in his last two road starts Verlander has seen 70% of his away appearances stay under and 75% of his day games do the same. Verlander likes the scenery in Oakland like his pitching opponent Manaea, where he has garnered a stingy 2.52 ERA in 11 starts . The As as a team have a BA of .210 vs the veteran in his career. Everything points to a pitching duel here this afternoon. HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average score of 6.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 16-6 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Under is 9-3 in Verlanders last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Verlanders last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-3-1 in Verlanders last 12 road starts.Under is 5-2-1 in Verlanders last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous gameUnder is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 overall.Under is 15-3-3 in Astros last 21 road games.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 15-5-3 in Astros last 23 games following a loss.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 Sunday games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2-1 in Athletics last 10 games following a win.Under is 15-5-1 in Athletics last 21 overall. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-19-18 | Sparks v. Sun UNDER 160.5 | 86-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these teams visiting LA and their hosts Connecticut have secured play off spots and will both want to remain rested and healthy and practice solid defensive sets before the play offs begin, which will help this score stay on the low side of the number. LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average 150.3 ppg and is 6-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) after 15+ games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 147.5 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 18-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.2 ppg . WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-18-18 | Dodgers v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
RICH HILL (L) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (R) LA’s Rich Hill (5-4, 3.57 ERA) Is currently in top form as is evident by allowing two runs or less in his last five starts. Hill is 8-1-1UNDER in its last 10 trips to the hill.HILL is 15-4 UNDER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 6.4 dog scored. HILL in 4 career starts against SEATTLE has garnered an ERA of 1.30 and a WHIP of 1.012 with all 4 tilts staying under the total. Meanwhile, the Mariners starter Erasmo Ramirez (0-2, 6.75 ERA) started his season off with ugly start this season and then mores bad luck as he went on the DL, until he started on August 12 vs the defending World Series Champs allowing just three hits, and no runs allowed , and no walks issued in five impressive innings of work. The Mariners righty looks fresh and strong , and I'm betting on him holding down the fort here vs a struggling Dodgers offense that has scored just 16 runs in their L/6 hames overall. Dodgers offensive star All Star Matt Kemp Is currently in a.big time slump going 3-for-19 (.158) the last week of action. Ramirez is 12-1 UNDER in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest in his career.(Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 20-9 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 interleague road games.Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 interleague games.Under is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 vs. American League West.Under is 9-3 in Dodgers last 12 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Dodgers last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 during game 2 of a series.Under is 18-7-1 in Mariners last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 on grass.Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 overall.Under is 7-3-1 in Mariners last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0-1 in Ramirezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in Ramirezs last 4 home starts.Under is 7-1-1 in Ramirezs last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 3-1-1 in Ramirezs last 5 Saturday starts.Under is 5-2 in Ramirezs last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-18-18 | Orioles v. Indians UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 103 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
ALEX COBB (R) vs. ADAM PLUTKO (R) The Orioles starter today Alex Cobb is a much better hurler than his record might indicate, and the right-hander has been a viable pitcher for most of his career and under rated . He has not allowed more than three earned in any of his last six trips to the hill while garnering a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts . Unfortunately for Cobb he is backed by a very inconsistent of offense, that has supported Cobb with an average of just 3.5 rpg this season. He will also have the luxury of facing a Indians line up that will not have DH Edwin Enarnacion (Injury) in the lineup. Meanwhile, the Tribe will respond with a rookie hurler Plutko that replaces , possible Cy Young candidate Trevor Bauer. Plutko is still learning on the job and has made nine big-league appearances this season the last one a couple of weeks ago. The right-hander is 4-2 with a 4.67 ERA in his six starts for the Indians, and since he has never faced the Orioles, should keep their hitters off balance because of the Os lack of experience against him. COBB is 17-4 UNDER in August games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 dog scored. CLEVELAND is 14-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Under is 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 starts overall.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 38-18-5 in Indians last 61 Saturday games. Under is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-17-18 | Liberty v. Storm UNDER 163.5 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball and a more physical brand of defensive ball. Im betting instead of running and gunning that the Storm will prep for the play offs by playing a concerted defensive style game vs a NY team that enters this tilt on tired legs as they now play their 3rd game of this western road trip. In the first two games they scored 66,72 points and will hard pressed to surpass those offensive numbers here in their current exhausted state. NEW YORK is 12-4 UNDER in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Seattle has seen 8. of 14 home games stay under the total. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-17-18 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R) Scherzer the Nationals starter is a top quality hurler, but from a totals perspective here vs the Marlins today it must be noted that in three starts against them this season, he has had tremendous run support, with his team scoring 37 runs . With Straily the Marlins starter struggling of late, with walks being his main issue, with nine free passes in 10 innings through his first two starts this month more explosive offensive backing looks to be on this agenda fro Scherzer. The Marlins righty has also garnered a bloated 6.58 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and could easily get lit up the Nats in his current form, which bodes well for Washington being able to eclipse this total all by themselves. Over is 8-1 in Strailys last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. National League East. SCHERZER is 10-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. STRAILY is 19-7 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average combined score clicking in at 10.7 rpg. WASHINGTON is 16-4 OVER vs. lower tier power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. MIAMI is 9-0 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) this season with a combine average of 13 rgg scored.MIAMI is 16-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10 rpg going on the board. The Nationals have gone OVER 14 straight times in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a road game in which they had at least five more team-left-on-base than their opponent. The average combined score of these tilts rings in at 10.6 rpg , with not game seeing less than 8 runs scored. MLB team (MIAMI) - team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL are 111-69 OVER L/21 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER | |||||||
08-17-18 | Sparks v. Mystics UNDER 158.5 | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball and a more physical brand of defensive ball.Los Angeles allows a league-low 76.9 points per game and reigning defensive player of the year Alana Beard remains the ringleader on defense. Needless to say the Sparks failures and successes hinge on playing quality D. Today this will be of the utmost importance vs a strong Mystics team hitting on all cylinders at the moment. This Im betting results in a fairly low scoring affair. LOS ANGELES is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons wiTh a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored.LOS ANGELES is 17-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 154 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-17-18 | Lynx v. Sun UNDER 164 | 79-96 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
As the play offs get closer and closer, teams are pacing themselves and also playing a dissecting offensive style of basketball and a more physical brand of defensive ball. The Sun have been rolling offensively of late , and the Lynx will be prepared to slow them down, especially after losing their last meeting in this series, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number. MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER in road games after one or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 148.8 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 8-0 UNDER revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons 154.4 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season ,with a combined average of 152.7 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 9-0 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored.CONNECTICUT is 15-4 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 44%or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 162.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-16-18 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 8 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Nix the Padres starter is coming off an top tier effort in his major-league debut as he permitted just four hits in six scoreless innings in a victory vs Philadelphia on Friday. I was impressedd by this kids 95 mph fastball, and his robot like perfect delivery. Nix went 2-3 with a 2.05 ERA in nine starts for Double-A San Antonio this season and pitched six scoreless innings in an impressive win in his lone outing with Triple-A El Paso before being recalled to the Big leagues. This kid has what it takes to succeed in the big leagues, and expect he will be in good form here again tonight vs a inconsistent D backs offence. Note:In 58.2 innings of Double-A and Triple-A in 2018, he garnered a 1.84 ERA. . Meanwhile,Buchholz has been a key pickup for the D-backs after being signed to a Minor League deal on May 5. Over his last six starts, he is 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA. The right hurler has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts. He faced the Padres at Petco last month and allowed three runs over 5 2/3 innings of work, and I'm betting on another quality start here today. Im also betting on this being a pitchers duel with each teams bullpens doing enough late to keep this game from climbing over the total. SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 6-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 overall.Under is 5-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Buchholzs last 7 road starts.Under is 17-7-1 in Padres last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-16-18 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
JON GRAY (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R) | |||||||
08-15-18 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 9 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Mike Leake (8-7, 4.11 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Brett Anderson (2-3, 4.53) Leake has a 2.84 ERA in two starts this year vs. Oakland. Anderson’s one start at Seattle this year was his season debut May 2 was on the road where he allowed just two earned over 6+ innings of solid work. Both these pitchers have been strong in day games this season, Anderson garnering a 3.60 ERA in two day time starts and Leake recording a 3.63 ERA in his afternoon trips to the hill. ANDERSON in 16 games starting against SEATTLE has an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 1.130. LEAKE in 5 career starts against OAKLAND has garnered an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.295. Im betting these hurlers go far and long today and that the final score fails o eclipse the total. Under is 4-0 in Leakes last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 starts on natural surface.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 road starts.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Mariners last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Andersons last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1 in Andersons last 8 starts overall.Under is 6-1 in Andersons last 7 starts on grass. OAKLAND is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 21-12 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season with a combined average of 7.1 rgg scored. Under is 7-1 in Athletics last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 home games.Under is 12-2 in Athletics last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 overall.Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 on grass. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE/OAKLAND ) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), in August games are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-14-18 | Liberty v. Sparks UNDER 157 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
LA successes and failures are based on their ability to play top tier defense, and later they have gotten away from that Thats what Im betting they concentrate on today vs a struggling NY Liberty just playing out the season. This type of physical defensive game plan, will help these teams combine to play a lower scoring game than the lines makers anticipate. LOS ANGELES is 14-2 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 148.3 ppg scored.LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21or less free throws/game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 142.2 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 147.1 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 9-0 UNDER in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in a 146.9 ppg.LOS ANGELES is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 144.9 ppg.Agler is 10-1 UNDER in home games off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of LOS ANGELES with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (LOS ANGELES) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or more ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 155.2 ppg Play UNDER | |||||||
08-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers OVER 10 | 6-4 | Push | 0 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Rangers have won 11 of their last 17 and scored 11 or more runs six times during that positive span. I know Corbin the Backs starter is in top form, but Texas in their current form can light up the best of pitching staffs and today I'm betting on them doing exactly that. It must also be noted that Rangers starter Yovani Gallardo is getting a whopping 9.78 per game in run support. Meanwhile, Arizona has not always been able to get runs on the board easily this season, but with an extra hitter in the lineup in an AL park, Im expecting they do some damage here today, against a pitcher in Gallardo , who despite of notching wins behind amazing run support still owns a 4.97 ERA in 9 starts. Gollardos last 3 wins have been by 11-7, 17-8 and 11-2, with each easily eclipsing the number. GALLARDO is 16-4 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored. GALLARDO is 13-4 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. Over is 13-5-2 in Rangers last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 during game 2 of a series.Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a left-handed starterOver is 5-0 in Gallardos last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-0-1 in Gallardos last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Gallardos last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-1 in Gallardos last 9 starts on grass.Over is 8-1-1 in Gallardos last 10 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Gallardos last 5 home starts. Over is 25-6-1 in Corbins last 32 road starts vs. a team with a losing recordOver is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CORBIN is 17-6 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
08-14-18 | Indians v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Indians RH Corey Kluber (14-6, 2.74 ERA) vs. Reds RH Sal Romano (7-9, 4.94) Kluber the Tribes starter has put up some great numbers this season, but has also gotten good run support, which has added the OVER on the Totals scoreboard.Meanwhile, Romano the Reds starter despite of some decent efforts of late, still showed his inconsistencies by posting a 6.23 ERA through to early and middle part of June and according to my matchup stats, and power rankings does not matchup well vs the Indians 9. Im betting he is in trouble vs a Tribes offence that has produced 19 runs and 32 hits the last two contests. Over is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-0-1 in Klubers last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in Klubers last 5 road starts.Over is 5-0-1 in Klubers last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1 in Klubers last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-1-1 in Klubers last 7 starts during game 2 of a series KLUBER is 8-0 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. KLUBER is 10-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.4 rpg going on the score board. ROMANO is 7-0 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored.CINCINNATI in 31 games when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season have seen a combined average of 10.3 rpg go on the board.CINCINNATI is 20-9 OVER (+9.8 Units) as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with a combine average of 11.2 rpg going on the board.CINCINNATI is 8-0 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 12-1 OVER vs. a team with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.9 rpg scored. Over is 16-7-1 in Reds last 24 home games.Over is 13-6-1 in Reds last 20 games following a loss.Over is 69-33-8 in Reds last 110 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 5-0 in Romanos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 3-0-2 in Romanos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Romanos last 4 interleague starts.Over is 4-0-2 in Romanos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0-2 in Romanos last 7 home starts.Over is 4-0 in Romanos last 4 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 6-1-1 in Romanos last 8 starts on grass.Over is 6-1-1 in Romanos last 8 starts overall.Over is 4-1-2 in Romanos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-2 in Romanos last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-0 in Reds last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 interleague games.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. American League Central.Over is 10-2-1 in Reds last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 on grass.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati. The Reds are 21-1 OVER as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers with a combined average of 13.41 RPG scored , with just one game seeing less than 9 total runs scored. ( they got shellacked yesterday by a 10-3 count and used a lot of arms in the process) Play OVER | |||||||
08-13-18 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (4-4, 2.69 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (5-5, 2.58) This will be the 11th matchup all time between the top tier left-handers Bumgarner and Kershaw. The Dodgers Kershaw has a 2.00 ERA with an 0.81 WHIP. Bumgarner has a 2.56 ERA, with a 1.14 WHIP 71 strikeouts. All time, Bumgarner is 15-20 with a 2.60 ERA against the Dodgers, and Kershaw is 22-10 with a 1.60 ERA against the Giants. Kershaw enters Monday's game with a stingy 2.58 ERA this season and Bumgarner a solid 2.69 ERA. In both starters most recent outing they have come close to averaging around 7 innings a game. With that said, Im betting on a pitchers duel here tonight and a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. BUMGARNER last 6 games when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 4.3 rpg scored.BUMGARNER is 12-3 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bumgarners last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Bumgarners last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 12-3-1 in Bumgarners last 16 starts vs. National League West.Under is 19-7-1 in Bumgarners last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 18-7-3 in Bumgarners last 28 starts on grass.Under is 18-7-3 in Bumgarners last 28 starts overall.Under is 5-2-1 in Bumgarners last 8 road starts. Under is 4-0 in Bumgarners last 4 road starts vs. Dodgers. LA DODGERS are 29-12 UNDER against left-handed starters this season. Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts overall. Under is 25-7-2 in Kershaws last 34 starts vs. Giants.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 11-4-1 in Kershaws last 16 home starts vs. Giants. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN FRANCISCO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), in the second half of the season are 74-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-12-18 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 3.17 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (4-8, 5.48) Syndergaard the NY Mets starter gave up four runs over 6 1/3 innings of a rare victory against Cincinnati on Monday, ending a amazing run of 13 straight starts in where he allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting on him bouncing back here and holding the light hitting Marlins to limited run production in this spot.The hard throwing righty owns a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins. Meanwhile, Chen his pitching opponent from the Marlins , permitted just one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a victory vs St. Louis in his last trip to the hill, and is 2-2 along with a stingy 1.52 ERA over his last five home starts. Chen has pitched his best ball at home this season and owns a stingy 1.94 ERA in 9 starts. I expect both hurlers to once again provide us with a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. SYNDERGAARD is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. The Marlins have gone under 12 straight times as a home 140+ dog off a home game in which their starter went less than eight innings and their bullpen did not allow a run and it is post All-Star break. the average score of these tilts was 4.33 rpg, with no game seeing more than 7 runs scored ( 1 game). The other 11 games had no more 5 combined runs scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-12-18 | Rangers v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Martín Pérez (2-4, 6.15 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (6-4, 3.49) New York has scored at least five runs in 13 straight home games and I'm betting they equal or eclipse that number here today, vs a hurler in Perez that they matchup well against. Perez owns a bloated 5.68 ERA on the road this season, and in three starts versus the Yankees as garnered a bloated 8.53 ERA. Meanwhile, the Yankees starter Sabathia, despite of pitching decently has not been able to make it past the 6th inning of late, ( 5 straight starts) and maybe starting to show some late season fatigue, which makes his susceptible to being lit up by what has been a fairly hot hitting Texas team of late scoring an average 8 rpg in their L/10 trips to the diamonds. In 23 career starts vs the Rangers he owns a less than impressive 5.46 ERA . I'm betting we see this total eclipsed today, by two viable offences. Over is 10-1-2 in Perezs last 13 starts vs. American League East.Over is 12-2-2 in Perezs last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Sabathias last 5 home starts vs. Rangers.Over is 9-1-1 in Sabathias last 11 starts vs. Rangers.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.TEXAS is 21-10 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season with the combined average score of those games clicking in at 11.2 rpg. The Yankees have gone OVER 12 straight times in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. The average combined score clicked in at 14.4 rpg. Play on the OVER | |||||||
08-11-18 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (11-6, 2.25 ERA) vs. White Sox RH James Shields (4-13, 4.50) The Cleveland Indians offence has been streaky this season and are off their sixth shutout loss of the season yesterday to the White Sox. Im betting that they will once again exhibit problems getting runs across the plate and for their own pitching to keep a White Sox offence that averages 4 rpg vs a batting average below the Mendoza line to be equally inept. Clevelands starting pitcher Bauer is 10-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.BAUER is also on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 40-9-6 in Bauers last 55 road starts.Under is 11-1-1 in Bauers last 13 starts during game 2 of a series.CLEVELAND is 15-4 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Bauer has started two games against the White Sox this season and is 1-1 with a 1.84 ERA in those games. Meanwhile Shields the White Sox starter in his only start against the Indians this season, allowed just one run in seven innings and picked up the win in Chicago's 5-1 victory on June 12. My power rankings suggest me matches up well vs the Tribes 9. Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 6-1-1 in Shields' last 8 starts vs. American League Central.Under is 9-2 in Shields' last 11 home starts.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts vs. Indians.Under is 5-1 in Bauers last 6 road starts vs. White Sox.MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 148-85 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-11-18 | Wings v. Dream UNDER 167.5 | 82-92 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Early afternoon starts can sometimes see teams get out go the gates slowly, which can easily effect offensive output. Where getting close to play off time and playing top tier defense is of paramount importance. Last time out Atlanta held a pretty good Sparks team to 73 points in a win, which produced their 9th under in their L/11 trips to the hardwood. Defense has been a mainstay of the Dream this season, which has helped them garner 12 wins in their L/13 games, and they have rarely gotten away from this grinding type of basketball, and Im betting nothing changes today as they dictate the pace of this tilt vs a Dallas that has scored 78 points or less in 3 of their L/5 games. ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins this season with the combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 154.3 ppg. Dallas came into Atlanta in May and beat the /dream 78-70. ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 153.8 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 154.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-11-18 | Rangers v. Yankees OVER 10 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Drew Hutchison (1-2, 6.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.58) After getting clobbered yesterday by the Rangers, 12-7 Im betting the Yankees respond with some offensive fireworks of their own and could come close to eclipsing the this Total all by themselves . The Rangers bats have been hot for a while, and I'm betting they also do some damage, and for this combined score to eclipse the Total. It must be noted that the Yankees have averaged 5.6 rpg at home this season. HUTCHISON the Rangers starter is 21-6 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record). HUTCHISON is 21-6 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career (Team's Record) with the combined average scores averaging out above 11 rpg and just under 12 rpg. Note:The Rangers have gone OVER 8 straight times when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2 on the season with a combined average of 15.9 rpg scored. Lance Lynn the Yankees starter qualifies. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.Play OVER | |||||||
08-10-18 | Phillies v. Padres OVER 8 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Zach Eflin (8-3, 3.61 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jacob Nix (NR) Nix the Padres 22 year old starter looked good in the minors this season with 10 starts split between Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso, but now he's in the big leagues, and the learning curve is steep, and can be dangerous to a young hurlers mind set. With that said Im expecting he learns a few lessons here today vs a sometimes explosive Philadelphia batting order. Meanwhile, the Padres bats are on fire of late, scoring 33 runs in theirL/4 titsl overall and Eflin despite of looking viable on the hill, has given up some long balls, and is susceptible to being lit up in this spot. Eflin owns a 5.62 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and has allowed 6 HRs. EFLIN is 11-0 OVER against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 27-17 OVER in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 Friday games.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games following a win.Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 home games.Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-3 in Padres last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 8-2-2 in Padres last 12 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-2 in Padres last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 overall.Over is 6-2-1 in Padres last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 on grass. Over is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings in San Diego. Play OVER | |||||||
08-10-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 19-12 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.38 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (7-10, 4.38) Nathan Eovaldi the BoSox starter is in top form and was dominant in his first two starts, throwing 15 shutout innings while walking one and Striking out nine.He's the first Boston starter since the late Vaughn Eshelman in '95 to have turn in consecutive scoreless starts to begin his Sox career. QUOTE: "His stuff is probably some of the best in the big leagues. The fact that he can use his stuff on the edges of the strike zone is impressive," manager Alex Cora :END QUOTE. Meanwhile, Bundy the Orioles starter tonight vs the Red Sox loves to pitch against them, as is evident by posting a 2.29 ERA in three starts against Boston this season. He enters this game in good form and off a quality start last time out, holding a formidable Rangers offence to two runs (one earned) over six innings this past Saturday. Under is 5-1-1 in Bundys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 7-1-2 in Bundys last 10 starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 4-1 in Bundys last 5 home starts vs. Red Sox. BALTIMORE is 19-4 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 59-29 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-08-18 | Yankees v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (14-5, 3.08 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (7-8, 5.97) Severino the Yankees starter hit a season-high pitch count vs. the Red Sox lsat time out , with a high pitch count of 115 while allowing four runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings. Severino has looked ragged of late as is evident by a 8.28 ERA his last five starts. Meanwhile White Sox Giolito despite of pitching decently of late , has had problems at home where he owns a ugly 7.76 ERA. Today I expect both hurlers problems will continue and the total combined score of this tilt will be eclipsed. SEVERINO is 14-3 OVER L/17 vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average or 11.1 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-4 OVER in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 89-41 OVER L/5 seasons and 6-0 OVER this season. Play OVER | |||||||
08-07-18 | Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 11 | 4-11 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (8-9, 5.49 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-10, 5.18) Hernandez has struggled a bit of late, and their are rumours the former ace of the staff could be put into the bullpen and pulled from the starting rotation. With that said, I'm betting the former Cy Young award winner will be primed to prove his detractors wrong and come out here on fire. Meanwhile,Colon the Rangers starter despite of looked a little ragged of late himself, has pitched well against the Mariners this season and matches up well against them as is evident by his 1-0 record and very stable 2.70 ERA in two outings this year. I'm betting both these maligned pitcher do just enough to help keep this game on the low side of the number. SEATTLE is 12-4 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Under is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 games following a win.Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 Tuesday games.Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 35-16-1 in umpire Hamaris last 52 games behind home plate. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-07-18 | Twins v. Indians OVER 8.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (1-0, 2.60 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (13-5, 3.66) Mejia the Twins starter will be pitching for the third time in the last 10 days, the last of which resulted in five scoreless innings against Cleveland on Wednesday. But be warned with this much work, and the revenge minded Tribes ability to adjust to opposing hurlers Im betting he won't have the same success in the rematch . Meanwhile, Carrasco the Indians starter despite of a solid record has not performed all that well at home despite of a positive W/L record as is evident by garnering a 5.10 ERA. It must be noted that despite of Carrasco pitching well vs Minnesota last week, he was was lit up by Twins for 10 runs in five combined innings back in June. These starters are backed with sub par bullpens, and both have sometimes explosive offences. The above combinations I'm betting result in a fairly big scoring affair that eclipses this Total. Over is 3-1-1 in Mejias last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 3-1-1 in Mejias last 5 road starts.Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Carrascos last 6 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-2-1 in Carrascos last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 6-2 in Carrascos last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 36-14-1 in Carrascos last 51 home starts. CARRASCO is 8-0 OVER in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.5 rpg scored. CARRASCO is 9-1 OVER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 12.5 rpg going on the board. CLEVELAND is 13-3 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season with a combined average of 116 rpg going on the board. Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 9-2-1 in Indians last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 19-6-1 in Indians last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 8-3 in umpire Gibson IIIs last 11 games behind home plate.Play OVER | |||||||
08-07-18 | Aces v. Dream UNDER 166.5 | 100-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Atlanta plays a physical grinding game that bases its successes on its defensive game,. Because of the Dream's ability to dictate the pace of games they have done well and also have stayed under the posted total in 8 consecutive games. Meanwhile, Bill Lambeer's young Aces chalk full of offensive talent, have gotten away from disciplined basketball, and instead have played a reckless one way game of late, something that has culminated in them allowing 104, and 109 points in back to back games (losses), something the coaching staff wants to address down the stretch drive to the playoffs. With that said, I expect the Aces will try to be a little more defensively responsible, while Atlanta will continue to play their usual brand of hard nosed hoops. This I'm betting leads to a much lower scoring affair than the lines makers expect. LAS VEGAS is 9-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.2 ppg scored.LAS VEGAS is 8-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.2 ppg scored.LAS VEGAS is 8-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.9 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 155.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread this season with a combined average of 157.7 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 12-2 UNDER in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season with a combined average of 155.4 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game this season with a combined average of 156.6 ppg scored. Atlanta has gone 2-12 UNDER at home this season, while Vegas has gone under in 8 of their 13 road games. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 34-6 UNDERL/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 153.5 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 39-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 155.5 ppg. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-06-18 | Astros v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Astros RH Charlie Morton (12-2, 2.90 ERA) vs. Giants RH Dereck Rodriguez (5-1, 2.59) Rodriguez has entered the National League Rookie of the Year discussion after going 3-0 with a 1.49 ERA over his last seven games (six starts) Houston can be intimidating for most pitcher in this league, but this kid looks stoic and not easily intimidated. I'm betting he continues his fine work here in this spot. Meanwhile,Morton the Astros starter is 5-1 with a 3.02 ERA in his past eight starts, allowing 37 hits and striking out 63 batters in 47 2/3 innings. Since joining the Astros prior to last season, he’s 26-9 with a 3.29 ERA in 46 regular-season starts. Needless to say this hurler is consistent and should once again provide quality work here on the road in AT& T Park. Under is 10-1-1 in Astros last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1-1 in Astros last 10 interleague road games.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 road games. Under is 8-2-1 in Astros last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 15-4-2 in Astros last 21 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 28-10-1 in Astros last 39 Monday games.Under is 18-7-2 in Astros last 27 interleague games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 on grass.Under is 25-10-3 in Astros last 38 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4-2 in Astros last 16 games following a loss.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 overall.Under is 25-10-2 in Astros last 37 vs. National League West.Over is 14-6-2 in Astros last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 35-16-2 in Astros last 53 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mortons last 4 interleague starts.Under is 4-0 in Mortons last 4 starts vs. National League West.Under is 6-1 in Mortons last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Mortons last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Mortons last 5 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Mortons last 7 Monday starts.Under is 5-2 in Mortons last 7 starts overall.Under is 9-4 in Mortons last 13 starts with 5 days of rest. HOUSTON is 8-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season with a combined score of 6.5 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER against NL West opponents this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2-2 in Giants last 12 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |