Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke UNDER 146.5 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 82 h 37 m | Show | |
Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. | |||||||
03-16-23 | Avalanche v. Senators OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Senators D, has collapsed recently as is evident by having allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/ 5 trips to the ice. The Sens have also seen at least one team score 5 goals in each of their L/10 games, and this trend Im betting stays intact tonight. OTTAWA is 6-0 OVER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.9 gog scored. Meanwhile, the Avs offense has been mostly proficient recently scoring 4 or more goals in 7 of their L/13 overall and have averaged 4.2 gpg in their L/5 games. Colorado has really ratchet up their shots on goal to, which sets up this strong trend.COLORADO is 15-5 OVER after 3 straight games with 8+ more shots on goal than opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. Mhy projections estimate both sides will in the worst case scenario score 3+ goals.COLORADO is 20-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season.OTTAWA is 19-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (OTTAWA) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 73-45 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235.5 | 126-134 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Clippers are deliberate side, that ranks 24th in pace, and Im betting they will be even more conservative here in transition tonight against an explosive offensive opponent which will result in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers estimate. Kerr is 21-8 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.( Golden State took a 123-112 event vs the Suns last time out). LA CLIPPERS are 25-8 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 21-6 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78 Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
After playing a physical wide open game vs the Bucks last time out Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here tonight in Chicago for Sacramento. I also expect a more concerted defensive effort from the Kings after imploding defensively in the 2nd half of the above mentioned game vs the Bucks . Meanwhile the Bulls who rank 20th in offense and 10th and defense behind the 17th ranked pace will be especially careful in transition tonight vs an explosive side which will help us keep the combined score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored.
Brown is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Donovan is 33-11 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with acombined average of 213.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 232, giving us tremendous value on this public totals offering. MILWAUKEE is 26-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
The Dallas offense is rolling having scored 4 goals or more in 7 straight games. Their style of hockey as morphed from a defensive mind set into a more wide open brand of hockey which has resulted in some high scoring affairs. Note: Over is 6-0-1 in Stars last 7 overall. Now Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a sub par defensive/goal tending side the Seattle Kraken, that has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/10 while also scoring 4 or more in 6 of their L/10 overall trips to the ice. Over is 5-1-1 in Kraken last 7 home games. DALLAS is 5-0 OVER in March games this season with a combined average of 8.9 gog scored. SEATTLE is 7-1 OVER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. DALLAS is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 33-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over | |||||||
03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have averaged just 107 ppg on offense in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and depend on being conservative on transition which results in slow placed games. The current 5 game run has see a combined average of just 218.8 ppg scored. The Pelicans currently rank 8th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland has also had problems being consistent on offense of late , and despite of a big output last time out in a 120-119 loss to the 76ers have seen 5 of their L/7 overall remain on the low side of the offered total. Im expecting offensive regression here especially with this being the Blazers 6th straight rad game. Im betting their tired legs will have them not willing to take part in a run and gun affair, which the Pelicans dont want any part of anyway. Under is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.NEW ORLEANS is 23-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 UNDER \ when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 31-17 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 18-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-5 in Trail Blazers last 17 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 70-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Play under | |||||||
03-12-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams in the recent past have take part in High-scoring tilts as is evident by the fact that six or more total goals have been scored in 12 of their last 16 meetings. Recently Vegas has scored 4 or more goals in in four of their L/5 wins and Im betting they get on the scoreboard in a big way here tonight against a Blues side that has seen six or more total goals scored in each of their L/6 games, thanks in part to their struggling goal tending that has seen Bennington procure a ugly .894 save percentage (SV%) and 3.31 goals against average (GAA). Add to that the Kngihts are expected to start a inexperienced goalie tonight ( Jiri Patera ) we could see a much higher score than the the linesmakers offering suggests.
ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 58-24 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue has defeated the Nittany Lions twice this year (76-63 at The Palestra on Jan. 8; 80-60 in Mackey Arena on Feb. 1). Im betting on a output somewhere in the same range which gives us an edge with a over bet.Painter is 15-3 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 as the coach of PURDUE.Shrewsberry in his L/23 games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better as the coach of PENN ST has seen a combined average score of 139.7 ppg scored. Play on the over | |||||||
03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us at least a two full possession value to the under. Bostons well rested and with the play offs approaching quickly will continue to hone their key defensive skills . Boston operates at the 20th ranked pace in the NBA and owns the 4th best defensive rating on the league. Note: Boston has gone under in 8 of their L/9 with 2 days rest and have gone under in 14 of their L/16 as 8 point or less road chalk. Atlanta has gone under in 8 of their L/9 as conference home dogs and are 0-5 under L/5 in this series vs Boston with the average combined score clicking in at 208.2 ppg. Snyder is 44-22 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored.BOSTON is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 15-7 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a win against a division rival are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-09-23 | Stars v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Dallas has been playing some high scoring games of late, with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Buffalo has allowed 3 or more goals in 7 of their L/8 games, thanks to shoddy goaltending at times and to conservative of a stance as they push for a wild card spot. Their lack of aggressiveness has cost them, as was the case last time out in a 3-2 loss to the Isles and now Im betting with their play off hopes fading they will play more wide open hockey which should lead to higher scoring affairs. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. BUFFALO is 15-6 OVER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over | |||||||
03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves OVER 229 | 117-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Philly has really been ratcheting up their offense of late scoring an average of 124.8 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court, and Im betting their aggressive offensive posture will continue here tonight against the Wolves who have allowed +115 ppg at home this season. Note: The 76ers have allowed more than 113 ppg on the road this season and my projections estimate a number closer to 114 for the Wolves offensive output. PHILADELPHIA is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with the combined average of 254.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 250.8 ppg scored. (Philly took a 147-143 win vs Pacers last time out) MINNESOTA is 25-7 OVER after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored.( Minnesota took out Sacramento last time out by a 138-134 count) NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 ( MINNESOTA/ PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over | |||||||
03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 160.5 | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
West Coast Tournament - Semifinals - Orleans Arena - Paradise, NV My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons. GONZAGA is 12-4 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 160 points (GONZAGA /SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-06-23 | Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 237.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Sacramento is off a exhausting back and forth game vs Minnesota last time out losing a 138-134 dog fight and will be in a natural letdown state here and an obvious regressionary offensive output result could easily be the result . That Im betting directly effects this combined score to the under. Note: The Pelicans are banged up and their offensive flow is off, as is evident by averaging 105.4 ppg in their L/5 overall and have failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in 2 of thier L/3. The Pelicans have also gone under the total in 6 of their L/7 and 20-5 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg. I know the Kings have revenge on board for a DD loss to the Pelicans back on Feb 5th but it must also be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 77-39 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 30-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 60-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-05-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers OVER 126.5 | 65-53 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 131 which gives us a full two plus possession value on this totals offering. NORTHWESTERN in their L/34 games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 137.1 ppg scored. Pikiell L/34 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game as the coach of RUTGERS have seen a combined average of 129.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (RUTGERS /NORTHWESTERN) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 49-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
03-04-23 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 231.5 | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Houstons 10 division games this season have seen a combined average of. 224.2 ppg scored. The Rockets rank 29th in ppg offense and rank 15th in pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio is banged up and has scored an average of just over 108 ppg in their L/5 as they have slowed down their pace perspicaciously and focused alot more on on paying attention defensively in transition. Everything points to this being lower scoring than the lines-makers offered number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG are 70-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play under | |||||||
03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Memphis ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season, while Denver ranks 12th in ppg allowed along with a pace that ranks 19th in the league. My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 230 giving us a 2 possession advantage to the under on this offering. Under is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (Denver poured down 133 points in a win vs Houston last time out and now a regression from a offensive standpoint is expected) Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 13-3-1 in Grizzlies last 17 overall. MEMPHIS in 10 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 27-14 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 26-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 24-10 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-10 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-03-23 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 234 | 103-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Both the Jazz and Thunder have been short-handed since the All-Star break and its interrupted their offensive flow. Utah has seen all 3 game they have played since the all star game stay under the total, and Im betting this contest will also fall below the lines-makers projections. OKLAHOMA CITY in their L/13 home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season have seen a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-03-23 | Campbell v. Longwood OVER 131 | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score closer to 136 which gives us plenty of value to cash an over ticket . CAMPBELL is 10-3 OVER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. Aldrich is 22-12 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of LONGWOOD with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (LONGWOOD) - off a home loss against a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 150.2 ppg. Play over | |||||||
03-03-23 | Gardner-Webb v. USC Upstate UNDER 135 | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored.GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 114.8 ppg. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-02-23 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Both Calgary goalies are struggling- Flames Vladar owns a ugly .820 save percentage over his last five appearances while Markstrom is also exhibiting swiss cheese tendencies with a .846 SV% in his last five trips to the ice. The explosive Leafs offense is the type of team that can really rack up some goals against sides likes this in merciless fashion.TORONTO is 20-9 OVER against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Toronto lost last night, so Im betting they will be much more aggressive here tonight, in a bounce back situation.TORONTO is 6-0 OVER in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more this season. Meanwhile, Calgary is off a OT loss last time out.CALGARY is 7-0 OVER after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
03-02-23 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
San Antonio is banged up with a boatload full of injures and that in itself is effecting their offensive flow. as is evident by averaging just over 107 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and currently rank 28th in ppg offense in the NBA. The kind of hoops they are playing because of their short handed status must be framed as "survival mode" . So their pace has slowed down precipitously, as well as their aggressiveness in transition. Tonight against Indiana side that ranks just 21st in offensive efficiency, Im expecting a much slower and lower scoring game than the lines-makers expect . INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.2 ppg. scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDERafter playing a road game this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off a road win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 80-42 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 68-30 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-02-23 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama OVER 129 | 61-68 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
03-01-23 | Rangers v. Flyers OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The Flyers have allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/7 trips to the ice and Im betting the newly improved and well rested offense of the Rangers will be prepared to light the Flyers up again much like they did back in December of this season by a 6-3 count. On the flipside look for the Flyers to have to open up or being blown off the ice which will help the combined score eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. ( Rangers beat the Kings 5-2 last time out)Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Metropolitan. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER in March games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. Over is 5-2 in Flyers last 7 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 10-4 in Flyers last 14 home games NHL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 22-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-28-23 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
These two sides are separated by one loss in the tight Western Conference standings and tonight as both jostle for play off positioning you can bet that a close physical game could easily be on the agenda. I know they played a wide open game last time they met in early Feb, but that was then and this is now and the situation has changed. GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-1-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 Tuesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND/ GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under | |||||||
02-28-23 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 236.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Spurs enter on. a-horrendous losing run and are now in full tank mode as they play with little or no ambition or energy , as is evident by only 108.6 ppg on average in their L/5 most recent games. Im betting they play survival hoops here tonight against a side that outguns them whihc Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.6 ppg scored. UTAH is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. UTAH is 32-17 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 17-7-1 in Jazz last 25 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 home game. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 48-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 66-27 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 237 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us a full three possession edge to the under. Dallas is ranked 29th in pace in the league and 12th in ppg allowed and 18th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Pacers rank 21st in offensive efficiency . DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average 212.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 32-18 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA t where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-27-23 | Bruins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Edmonton on most nights especially at home play a one way style of hockey, that features probably the most explosive offense in the league led by super star McDavid. Unfortunately for them their weakest links come on defense and in goal and teams like the Bruins will make them pay dearly for their Swiss cheese D and poor transitional play . Because of the above scenario Im betting this game ends up being one that eclipses this total. EDMONTON is 20-8 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg . EDMONTON is 11-1 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 76-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the total (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 52-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 223 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks offense is hitting on all cylinders of late and their D, is also standing tall. The Celtics who rank 20th in pace and 7th in ppg allowed are well aware of the Knicks current form, and will be primed to buckle down in transition, which Im betting limits the Knicks offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Knicks who rank 28th in pace in the league and 9th in ppg allowed will also be formidable defenders in a game that Im betting will be physical /grinding and lower scoring. BOSTON is 11-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 53-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 81-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-27-23 | Norfolk State v. North Carolina Central OVER 140.5 | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC CENTRAL is 7-1 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 147.7 ppg scored. NORFOLK ST is 20-7 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. NORFOLK ST is 6-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined 151.5 ppg scored. Road teams against the total (NORFOLK ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-27-23 | Bellarmine v. North Florida OVER 140.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
02-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Take no prisoners all out one way hoops is what Minnesota has implemented in last season games for a while, now is as is evident by the following trends. MINNESOTA is 10-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored. Finch is 13-0 OVER in road games in February games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 249.8 ppg scored. Minnesota is 5-0 OVER L5 conf games and are 5-0 L/5 OVER awa . Golden State is banged up but there is still enough talent to soldier forward and put points on the board, especially against. side that will come out firing bullets and force them into a wide open affair. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. (Beat Golden State 116-100 last time out) Golden State is 8-0-2 OVER L/10 playing on Sundays and 15-1 OVER after a day off Series These teams have combined for a (236.5 ) in their L/9 meetings. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Play on the over | |||||||
02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 225 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is 3rd in ppg allowed this season behind a slow pace that ranks them 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace. Today in a elite NBA eastern conference tilt Im expecting a physical battle that helps keep this score on the low side of the Total. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in their L/44 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 212.4 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 45-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
My projections place this total closer to 231 giving us a full two possession value to the under on this totals offering. Memphis owns the No.1 ranked defensive efficiency rating in the league. Denver ranks 19th in pace. MEMPHIS is 25-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 MEMPHIS/(DENVER) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-24-23 | Fairfield v. Niagara OVER 124.5 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the over | |||||||
02-23-23 | San Diego v. Gonzaga UNDER 165.5 | 72-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 161 which gives us a two possesion edge on this totals offering. GONZAGA is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored.GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149 ppg scored. Lavin is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 147.8 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (GONZAGA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-23-23 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 233.5 | 142-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Indiana beat the Celtics as road dogs earlier this season, and now the Celtics will have redemption in mind and which usually centers on them playing their best form of defensive basketball. BOSTON in 12 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored..BOSTON in 8 games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season have allowed that opponent in the rematch to score an average of 108.3 ppg while themselves have also average roughly 108.1 points for a combined average of 216.4 ppg. BOSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.with the average combined score clicking in at 223.4 ppg. BOSTON is 12-4 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with the combined average score of 226.5 ppg scored.
Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-23-23 | Ducks v. Capitals OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Ducks are in the midst of a six-game losing streak in which they've been outscored 36-15 allowing 6.00 GAA during that span in wide open hockey. Im betting on another all out affair as the team knows its not a play off team. I know Washington is banged up, but there is still enough talent here to do some offensive damage against a defensively regressing side. ANAHEIM is 24-8 OVER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. ANAHEIM is 7-1 OVER in road games after playing 4 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. ANAHEIM is 10-1 OVER against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 90-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play over | |||||||
02-21-23 | Ducks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Anaheim has allowed a whopping 30 goals in their L/5 games for a 6.00 GAA while allowing an average of 47.6 shots on goal per game. With that said, Im betting on them being peppered with a giant shot count tonight against a Tampa Bay side that I have pegged for a 4 plus goal output in this spot play. ANAHEIM is 13-5 OVER when they allow 4 goals over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 7 gpg. Over is 5-0-1 in Ducks last 6 vs. Atlantic.Over is 10-1-1 in Ducks last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 8-1 in Ducks last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0-2 in Lightning last 6 vs. Pacific.Over is 38-15-5 in Lightning last 58 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. (TB is off a 4 game road trip) ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gog scored. ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg going on the board. ANAHEIM is 9-1 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 44-19 OVER L5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors are 16-4 OVER this season for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over | |||||||
02-20-23 | Flyers v. Flames OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Over the L/7 days both the Philadelphia Flyers and Calgary Flames have looked defensively The Flyers have procured the worst team save percentage in the NHL over the last week with an extremely weak .774 SV %. having allowed four goals or more in three straight tilts for. a 5.33 goals against average. Meanwhile the Flames. They own the second-lowest team save percentage in the league across the last seven days garnering a .841 SV %. Over is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 vs. Pacific. Over is 6-2 in Flames last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. PHILADELPHIA is 11-4 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. (Calgary beat Philly 5-2 earlier this season) NHL team against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 87-39 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
02-18-23 | Red Wings v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Detroit is running hot right now and have scored 5 or more goals in 4 straight games. Im betting that aggressive rampage will continue and the Seattle Kraken will have to reciprocate with some fire power of their own or be blown off the ice. SEATTLE is 9-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored DETROIT is 6-0 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 gpg scored. DETROIT is 6-0 OVER in road games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-16-23 | Weber State v. CS Sacramento OVER 126 | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WEBER ST is 44-14 OVER at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. Weber has gone over in 6 straight games. Sacramento state has gone over in 4 of their L/5 overall. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WEBER ST) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-16-23 | Jacksonville v. Austin Peay OVER 125 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a total in low 130s giving us a substantial edge on this Totals offering. AUSTIN PEAY is 33-18 OVER L/51 when the total is 120 to 129.5 with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (JACKSONVILLE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (AUSTIN PEAY) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 43-23 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the over | |||||||
02-16-23 | St Francis PA v. St Francis NY UNDER 136 | 72-64 | Push | 0 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
02-15-23 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 228.5 | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
The Celtics played last night, which sets up a trend that shows them going over the set total in their L/6 home games with no rest and overall they are 6-0 over vs sides with a .300 win percentage or less like visiting Motown. With this.being both sides, last game before the all star game, Im betting this will be a wide open affair as both sides will see no reason to pace themselves. The Pistons have gone over in 4 straight before extended rest. BOSTON iin thier L/23 games as a favorite of 10 or more points on the opening line over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 73-36 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. Last 5 meetings in Boston have eclipsed the total. Play over | |||||||
02-14-23 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 thus giving us an almost 2 full possession advantage to the under. The Suns are in a jet lag situation after a 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to home cooking . Note: The Suns are ranked 5th in ppg allowed and 22nd ranked pace and will primed to try to slow down their run and gun opponents. SACRAMENTO is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 7-0 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO in 27 road games this season have seen a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better- 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-7 UNDER as a home favorite this season NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-14-23 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 221 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Playing on tired legs will have Orlando at a disadvantage from a transitional standpoint and that Im betting will lead to them giving up some extra points beyond what the lines-makers are projecting. Over is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 17-8 in Magic last 25 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day TORONTO is 19-7 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in February games are 43-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 49-24 L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto Play on the over | |||||||
02-14-23 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Caps are on tired legs and in no condition to play a wide open game. Under is 8-0-1 in Capitals last 9 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Under is 5-0-1 in Capitals last 6 home games. Meanwhile, Carolina has played their best defensive hockey on he road this season and nothing will change tonight. Carolina has allowed just 2.6 gpg in road tilts this season. CAROLINA is 15-7 UNDER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 5.4 gog scored. WASHINGTON L/29 games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season have seen a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 32-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-13-23 | Magic v. Bulls UNDER 226.5 | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 overall The Magic and Bulls are both off losses, in what were low scoring affairs. Both are playing solid d, and with the Bulls looking especially tired Im betting on a slower grinding type game here as well. The Bulls rank 9th in defensive efficiency on the league, behind a 14th ranked pace, and have gone under in 10 of their L/12 overall while, the Magic rank 19th in pace and own the 27th ranked offensive output and have gone under in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 overall. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in road games off a home loss this season.with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 13-5 UNDER off a road loss this season with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 34-19 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 219.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 35-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 115-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago Play on the UNDER | |||||||
02-13-23 | Hartford v. South Alabama UNDER 134.5 | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
02-13-23 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 225 | 104-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Rockets' defense was in good form last time out against the Heat in a 97-95 loss. However, that has not been the case in four previous losses -- 117-111 to the Toronto Raptors, 153-121 to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 140-120 to the Sacramento Kings and 130-128 to the Kings. Im betting they regress here into their former state and also progress offensively after that last outing, which will produce a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers are expecting. These teams took part in a 132-123 Houston win back on dec 5th of the season. Im sure the Sixers will ramp up their energy here in revenge mode and will be prepared to bring down the hammer and merciless fashion which will also aid our quest for cashing an over ticket. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 9-2 in 76ers last 11 home games. PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 20-7 OVER (after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 26-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. | |||||||
02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 41 m | Show | |
Im betting the Eagles have no intention of turning this into a shootout, but rather a war of attrition and that means they will stubbornly stick to their vaunted ground attack which in turn will eat up alot of clock time. Meanwhile, the Chiefs under rated D, will not be easily be run over and points for the Eagles will Im betting be muted . These two key projections have me taking an under wager here this Sunday for the Super Bowl. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play in the second half of the season this season.KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER after a win by 3 or less points over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 UNDER L/20 after allowing 250 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall.Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games on grass.Under is 16-5-1 in Eagles last 22 playoff games.Under is 60-27 in Eagles last 87 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-12-23 | Pistons v. Raptors UNDER 228.5 | 118-119 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and the early start time which play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall. MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-12-23 | Grizzlies v. Celtics UNDER 227.5 | 109-119 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and the early start time which play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall. MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-12-23 | Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 136.5 | 62-41 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 12-4 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-18 OVER l/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 149.3 ppg. Play on the OVER | |||||||
02-11-23 | Heat v. Magic OVER 215 | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Heat recorded 110-105 decision against the Magic on Jan. 27 and the offered total is now mimicking that score. However, tonight Im betting on that number being eclipsed as the Heat play on tired legs after being in action last night. Note: Miami is 14-2 OVER away when playing with no rest. Last night the Heat also played a grinding affair that was low scoring squeaking out a 97-95 victory and now will be ready to get their offense rolling against instate rivals Orlando, a side that is on one days rest and 8-1 OVER facing unrested opposition.Over is 16-7-1 in the last 24 meetings in Orlando.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out. Play over | |||||||
02-11-23 | Connecticut v. Creighton UNDER 142.5 | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn defeated Creighton, 69-60, at Gampel Pavilion on Jan. 7 and Im betting on another grinding affair here this Saturday. CREIGHTON is 8-0 UNDER in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. CREIGHTON is 10-3 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-10-23 | Robert Morris v. Cleveland State OVER 134.5 | 55-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CLEVELAND ST is 24-12 OVER against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147 ppg scored.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. CLEVELAND ST is 12-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 149.5 ppg scored. Toole is 8-1 OVER off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of ROBERT MORRIS with a combined average of 138,8 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more are 87-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
02-08-23 | Hofstra v. Northeastern OVER 142 | 72-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
02-07-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | 112-146 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 giving us a two possession edge on this current offering. Denver runs at a slow 20th ranked pace while Minnesota ranks 20th in ppg offense and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 . MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 45-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 91-57 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-07-23 | Ducks v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
The Ducks have gone over in 8 of their L/9 overall and Im betting on one more over tonight vs a defensively deficient opponent that has gone over in 6 of their L/8 games overall. Over is 6-1 in Ducks last 7 road games. After playing last night in OT Im betting the Ducks will be on tired legs and could easily suffer defensively. Over is 21-6 in Ducks last 27 games following OT on the previous day. ANAHEIM is 15-6 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. (Chicago defeated them 3-2 in an earlier meeting) ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 7-1 OVER against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season. ANAHEIM is 11-4 OVER in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season. CHICAGO is 13-6 OVER in home games against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. Over is 25-12-2 in Blackhawks last 39 games playing on 3 or more days rest. NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 32-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-07-23 | Cincinnati v. Tulane UNDER 153.5 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a total closer to 148 giving us a full two possession plus advantage to the under on this offering. TULANE is 36-20 UNDER in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game with a combined average of 133.5 ppg in that 56 game sampling size.
CINCINNATI in their L/149 road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) have seen a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.
CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TULANE) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 45-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 60-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under | |||||||
02-06-23 | Weber State v. Northern Colorado OVER 141.5 | 54-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WEBER ST is 23-7 OVER L/30 versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse after 15+ games with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored. N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored. N COLORADO is 21-8 OVER l/29 as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick with a combined average of 150.8 ppg scored. Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WEBER ST) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 74-25 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.9 ppg. Play over | |||||||
02-06-23 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 236 | 114-141 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Without the injured Curry in the lineup Im betting the Warriors offensively flow will be negatively effected which will also effect this totals offering to the low side . The Thunder have seen 6 of their L/9 games stay on the low side of the Total. Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 road games.Under is 7-2 in Thunder last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER ( in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 62-23 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings. Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Golden State. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-06-23 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 222.5 | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Nine of the L/10 meetings in this series have not seen todays offered number eclipsed and Im betting nothing changes today. The L/4 most recent matchups have seen a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored. Note: Dallas ranks 29th in pace in the NBA and 8th in ppg allowed, and will look to slow down a Jazz side that ranks 14th in pace, and that has gone over the offered total only twice in their L/7 games overall. Im betting on the Mavs putting us to sleep here and for this to be a slow grinding affair. Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 home games. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-05-23 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 224 | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day which was the case in the OT loss to the Clippers last night. Over is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Philly is 6-0 over a division road fav last two seasons. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out in a 137-125 win vs the Spurs. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record like the Knicks. . Knicks have gone over in 7 straight division tilts. PHILADELPHIA is 29-11 OVER as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW YORK) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 32-9 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBAl teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game. are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-05-23 | California v. Utah OVER 127.5 | 46-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After losing two straight games Im betting Utah will out of frustration play a start to finish game here today and really bring the heat in a more wide open tilt that the pundits might expect. These teams played a very low scoring sleeper the last time they met earlier this season with Utah winning by a 58-43 count. Note: CALIFORNIA is 9-1 OVER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. CALIFORNIA is 9-2 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 133.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.CALIFORNIA is 7-0 OVER after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average off 144.2 ppg scored. UTAH is 25-12 OVER L/37 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-04-23 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | 113-119 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas behind the 29th ranked pace in the league and 7th best ppg D, will be primed to slow down the run and gun Golden State Warriors tonight as road underdogs. This results in a lower scoring game than many of the pundits might expect. On the flipside the Warriors viable 3 point D, will also highlight this lower than expected combined score. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-04-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 221.5 | 115-123 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami has defeated the Bucks twice already this season in physical lower scoring altercations, and Im betting nothing changes today. Miami won 108-102 and 111- 95 and a rinse and repeat type of score is being projected by me for this spot play. MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE is 8-1 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 8-1 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-04-23 | Miami-OH v. Ohio OVER 151.5 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 155 points giving us a almost full 2 possession edge on this number. MIAMI OHIO is 9-2 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 164.9 ppg scored. OHIO U is 7-0 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 30-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
02-03-23 | 76ers v. Spurs UNDER 237 | 137-125 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spurs offense is struggling mightily of late averaging just 107 .4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court. This team as a whole looks winded and Im betting things wont get much better tonight vs a 76ers side that ranks 4th in ppg allowed in the league behind a deliberate 23red ranked pace. Note: The Spurs upset the 76ers way back in Oct of this season, but now with redemption at hand Im betting Philly will be wide awake here and ready to play a top tier brand of hoops tonight. Rivers is 35-19 UNDER ( in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 201.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the board. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER | |||||||
02-03-23 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 241.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
These two struggling teams see this as an opportunity for a rare win, so Im betting on this being a very physical hard fought affair that stays on the low side of the number. Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games. DETROIT is 28-14 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 56-31 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two struggling defensive teams ( 118 or more PPG) are 50-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-02-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 224 | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
New Orleans has lost 9 straight behind a struggling offense that has averaged just 105 ppg in their L/5 overall trips to the court.On the flipside the Mavs have picked up their defensive game of late and allowed just 102.7 ppg in their L/3 tilts overall. today Im betting the Pelicans offensive struggles to persist and for the Mavs to continue to ramp up defensively. Kidd is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 206 ppg scored. DALLAS is 40-25 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 season with a combined average of 198.5 ppg scored. DALLAS is 23-8 UNDER in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.3 ppg. ORLEANS is 25-13 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
02-02-23 | Lamar v. McNeese State OVER 139 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mcneese has averaged over 77 points in offensive production at home this season while LaMars D has allowed over 81 ppg in offense while on the road (11 games)/ and their most recent 5 road games have allowed more than that average . Im betting on McNeese eclipsing their season average at home in offense while Lamar doing enough damage offensively to get us over this offered total. MCneese has won the two most recent meetings- Note: LAMAR is 9-1 OVERwhen playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.7 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LAMAR/ MCNEESE ST) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 32-4 OVER with a combined average of 161.3 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
02-02-23 | Kennesaw State v. Bellarmine OVER 132.5 | 90-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two different types of hoops systems are employed by these sides. Kenn state is very aggressive and efficient offensively as is evident by eclipsing the 81 plus point offensive plateau in 7 of their L/9 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Bellermaine is a D, first team. However, tonight against a very efficient offense , their slow down tactics could see them have to open up or handily lose. HC Davenport in 6 home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts as the coach of BELLARMINE has seen a combined average of 138 ppg go on the board. My projections also estimate a combined score of 137 points giving us a full 2 possession edge to the over on the current total offering. KENNESAW ST is 6-0 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 155.4 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST is 12-1 OVER in February games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.8 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST in their L/28 games when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored. BELLARMINE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 135.7 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (KENNESAW ST) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-19 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
02-01-23 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Sixers let a 21-point lead disappear as they lost 119-109 to the Magic on Monday. Now in the rematch game, Im betting the Sixers D, will be ready to rebound after the lazy effort they put forward in their last game . note: The Sixers ranks 23rd in pace and 4th in ppg defense. ORLANDO is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 33-19 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
02-01-23 | Georgia v. Auburn OVER 140.5 | 73-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My totals projection comes in at 146 giving us a full two possession edge to the over on this totals offering. AUBURN is 8-0 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.9 ppg scored.AUBURN is 20-8 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored.Pearl is 17-7 OVER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of AUBURN with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored. GEORGIA is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg going on the board.GEORGIA is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 156.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Road teams against the total (GEORGIA) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 149.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play over | |||||||
01-31-23 | Clippers v. Bulls OVER 225.5 | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers enter this game playing alot of fairly high scoring affairs as their usually staunch defense fails them. Only 1 of their L/8 games has stayed on the low side of the total and they have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The clippers have gone over the set total in 18 of their 27 road games this season. The Clippers are coming off Sunday's 122-99 loss at Cleveland, which snapped a season-best five-game winning streak, but now Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack will highlight their bounce back effort, forcing Chicago into opening up in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this offered totals number. My. projections estimate both sides will at least hit 114 points in production. Note: CHICAGO is 13-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 251.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 232.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 OVER in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 235.7 ppg scored. CHICAGO L/ 43 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored with their L/5 non conference home games eclipsing the offered total. Play over | |||||||
01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Atlanta continues to play one way run and gun basketball with a combined average 243.2 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the court. My projections estimate both Portland and Atlanta will eclipse a 114 team scoring plateau which gives credence to a over bet here as ATLANTA is 17-2 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 249 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 51-21 OVER L/26 seasons for 70% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
01-30-23 | Alabama State v. Florida A&M UNDER 127 | 58-69 | Push | 0 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama State has the fourth-best scoring defense in the SWAC, allowing 66.4 PPG. The Rattlers have one of the best defenses in the SWAC, allowing 64.5 PPG (2nd best). CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (ALABAMA STATE/FLORIDA A&M) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 32-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 58 h 29 m | Show | |
I know Joe Burrows and Patrick Mahomes keep the spot light on a possible shootout, but according to my projections that is unlikely in a do or die championship play off game. The Chiefs have allowed an average of just 19.4 ppg at home this season while the Bengals have allowed just 20.6 ppg in away tilts. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 10-1 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 39 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.5 ppg scored. Six of the L/7 meetings here in KC between these teams has stayed on the low side of the offered Total. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (KANSAS CITY) - off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 49-21 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-29-23 | Oakland v. Robert Morris OVER 140 | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 145 giving us a full 2 plus possession cushion to the over on the offered number. ROBERT MORRIS is 7-0 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155 ppg scored. OAKLAND is 32-18 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored.Kampe is 21-8 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of OAKLAND. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ROBERT MORRIS) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 93-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
01-28-23 | Suns v. Spurs UNDER 232.5 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Suns have played teams like the wreck-less Spurs with a tough defensive mind set and nothing will change tonight as the home side continues to try to play a more physical type of game which is bucking the new wide open trend in the league. the suns have held their L/2 opponents to under 100 points and have gone under in 4 straight tilts. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. PHOENIX is 11-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-3 in Suns last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-2 in Suns last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Suns last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 37-18-1 in Suns last 56 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-28-23 | Rockets v. Pistons UNDER 236.5 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Pistons got involved in a consecutive high scoring games while scoring an astounding 130 points in both tilts and are now on tired legs and ready for immediate regression on offense. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 120 points or more are 36-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Play under | |||||||
01-28-23 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 224.5 | 115-122 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Im betting on a hard fought affair between big apple rivals today in a game my projections estimate to go under the set total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. BROOKLYN is 9-0 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-28-23 | Stetson v. Queens NC OVER 154.5 | 65-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projection's make this total closer to 158 giving a 2 possession edge to the over. Queens is averaging just under 90 points per game on offense at home this season, and will attack again with wreck-less abandon at a fast pace, and force Stetson into opening up. This Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. QUEENS U - CHAR is 6-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 169.2 ppg scored. STETSON is 6-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (STETSON) - in a game involving two sub standard defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 44-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored. Play on the over | |||||||
01-27-23 | North Dakota v. North Dakota State OVER 140 | 75-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these teams have eclipsed the offered total in their L/4 games and Im betting on another higher scoring affair than the Totals number being offered. North Dakota State has allowed just under 77 points on the road this season while N.Dakota has averaged 77 points on offense in their home games, and Im betting that this aggregate average continues with the visitors doing more than enough damage offensively to get us over this number. Sather is 12-4 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 149.6 ppg scored. Sather is 6-0 OVER in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 151.3 ppg scored. N DAKOTA ST in their L/7 home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 32-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
01-27-23 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 239 | 141-131 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Bucks rank 18th in offense in the NBA and 6th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating behind a 15th ranked pace. The Bucks Bobby Portis is expected to be out tonight and their offensive flow could easily be off here without his chemistry in the lineup, thus limiting the Bucks explosiveness .After a successful defensive display by the Bucks against Denver in a 107-99 win last time out, a similar defensive formula Im betting will used to slow down the run and gun Pacers who despite of decent offensive output rank just 24th in offensive efficiency. Advantage under. Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Bucks last 30 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 111-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-26-23 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 100-138 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Spurs will be on tired legs tonight after suffering a loss last night to the LA Lakers and their 3rd road game in 5 nights. With that said, Im betting on a muted offensive output against a viable D that ranks 3rd in the league in ppg allowed as well as 25th in pace , and that will contribute to a score that does not eclipse this total. Note: Clippers in their L14 conference games as hosts have seen only one game eclipse the total. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-3 UNDER ) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-4 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER in home games after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-26-23 | Blackhawks v. Flames OVER 6 | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Flames offense has scored 10 goals in their L/2 games, and Im betting they have another stellar output here tonight vs a Blackhawks side, that has allowed 3.7 gpg this season on average. That output will contribute to this tilt going over even with minimal response from the Hawks. CALGARY is 11-1 OVER against poor offensive teams - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Over is 4-1 in Flames last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 4-1 in Blackhawks last 5 vs. Pacific. CHICAGO is 20-8 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in Calgary. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play over | |||||||
01-26-23 | Tennessee State v. SE Missouri State OVER 153.5 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My totals projections come in at 157 which gives us a two possession edge on this total being eclipsed. SE MISSOURI ST is 9-2 OVER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 159.1 ppg going on the board. TENNESSEE ST is 8-0 OVER after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 29-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 164.1 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
01-25-23 | Indiana v. Minnesota OVER 136.5 | 61-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 141 giving us a full 2 possession value to the over on the current offering. Ben is 8-1 OVER in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored.Ben is 8-1 OVER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 51-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic OVER 232.5 | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play over | |||||||
01-25-23 | Houston v. UCF OVER 127 | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Temple upset Houston last time out, and now Im expecting Houston to be in full blown redemption mode , and to open up their offense in more aggressive fashion after a grinding 56-55 defeat. This will force a capable UCF offense into opening up or be blown off the court. When these teams met back in the end of the December the Cougars took a 71-65 victory and a rinse and repeat type of offensive output by both sides is expected Sampson is 12-4 OVER in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored. CFB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UCF) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 39-13 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
01-24-23 | Air Force v. San Jose State OVER 126 | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. AIR FORCE is 8-2 OVER after playing a game as an underdog this season with a combined average score of 139 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (AIR FORCE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SAN JOSE ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 41-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
01-24-23 | Sharks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Goaltending and defense is an issue with both San Jose and Detroit. The Sharks rank 28th and 29th, respectively, in save % during the current campaign . The Sharks have recorded a lowly .876 SV percentage while the Red Wings own a .875 SV % . The Wings allow 3.47 goals per 60 ranking 25th in the league, while the Sharks give up 3.86 G/60 ranking 30th overall. DETROIT is 8-0 OVER against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 17-4 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg. Play OVER | |||||||
01-23-23 | Delaware State v. South Carolina State UNDER 147 | 88-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned DELAWARE ST is 13-4 UNDER L/17 vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents with a combined average of 130.7 ppg scored. S CAROLINA ST is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DELAWARE ST) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two struggling teams (20% or worse ) are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-23-23 | Chicago State v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 144.5 | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections suggest a combined score of 140 points which gives us a two possession advantage to the under. CHICAGO ST is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 11-3 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 138.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 135.3 ppg scored. Ellis is 22-11 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA with a combined average of 138.6 ppg going on the scoreboard in that 33 game sample size. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 25-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
01-22-23 | Golden Knights v. Coyotes OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Arizona after being shutout in back to back games 4-0 counts will be primed to open up so that they can get on the scoreboard, and that will Im betting see a more wide open game, making the total being eclipsed a strong proposition. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER after 2 straight blowout losses by 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Considering the Knights are on tired legs playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, it will be hard for them to be defensively physical and aware. Over is 7-3-1 in Golden Knights last 11 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a sub par team (30% to 40%) in the 2nd half of the season are 24-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 7.6 gpg going on the board. Play over | |||||||
01-22-23 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 223 | 116-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |