Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-10-19 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L) Chicago left-hander Jose Quintana (4-1, 3.40 ERA) will make his second start against Milwaukee this season. Quintana is 6-2 owns a 1.62 ERA vs the Brewers. Last year alone, Quintana was 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA vs Milwaukee and Im betting on him having a quality start today. Meanwhile, Gonzalez the Brewers starter has made two starts for the Brewers each against the New York Mets and he has a 2.61 ERA with no decisions in 10 1/3 innings. He has gone at least five innings in each start and has allowed nine hits, just one walk and no homers. Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 home starts vs. Brewers.Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago.MILWAUKEE is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons with an average of 7.2 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg. MADDON is 32-13 UNDER after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS with a combined 7.4 rpg scored. The wind is blowing in from center field today at Wrigley Field. In the recent past , the under 105-72-8 L/185 record at Wrigley when the wind is blowing in , and we once again have value on the under here today. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record and are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212.5 | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 With the way the Sixers are shooting, and their flow has been for the last couple of games Im betting they wont just suddenly come out here and light things up. Add to that when the Sixers star Embiid is off the court his team has been a wreck, and with him playing they have really not been been much better, as its obvious to me hes not 100% as rumors swirl about his fitness and possible ill health at a very inopportune time. Because the Sixers chemistry looks to be a shambles entering this game I fully expect them to have a muted offensive effort in a game that has a high probability of not eclipsing the number. Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games.Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-0-1 in Raptors last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Raptors last 10 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-2-1 in Raptors last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.TORONTO is 24-7 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 190.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER (LATE STEAM) | |||||||
05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218.5 | 91-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - MIL Leads 3-1 The Celtics are now in desperation mode and must get back to what made their opening game in this series a successful one. In game 1 the Celtics held the Bucks to 90 points and got a win, and since than gotten away from the type of defensive ball that has made them successful over the last few seasons. Tonight Im betting they pay very strict attention to D, knowing that they can not out score the Bucks in a fast paced game and are a big time disadvantage. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers and public might expect. BOSTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 These teams base most of their successes and failures on playing hard nosed hockey that keys on top tier defences and goalies . Also in game 7s refs usually make sure the game is not decided on border line calls, so penalties and power plays should be limited. Add to that the Vegas Knights penalty fiasco and you can make a case for the refs being very cautious with their whistles in what will be a grinding conservative affair that will be based on each sides transition game, which Im betting aides in us cashing on with a under ticket. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-06-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAN Leads 3-2 A combined total of 6 goals have been scored in the L/2 games of this series, and Im betting on the tight play and top tier goal tending and defence continuing here tonight. Martin Jones turned aside 21 of 22 shots on Saturday, improving his save percentage to .936 over the last eight games. Colorado G Philipp Grubauer owns 3-1 mark with a 1.69 goals-against average and .945 save percentage at Pepsi Center in the 2019 playoffs. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 In game 3 of this series I expected a fairly high scoring game , and it went into OT, and we cashed on the OVER. I saw a tendency towards a faster paced set in game 2, which led me to my assessment, but now Im expecting a more conservative approach here from both teams, and a half court game which is the norm when these teams go head to head over the last few seasons. Remember both teams saw key players play an extreme amount of minutes ( Harden) and now a fatigue factor must be considered. Houston is and 0-6 UNDER by an average of more than 14 points as a favorite in the playoffs after a game with eight-plus lead changes while the Warriors are 0-8 UNDER L/8 staying below the number by more than an average 13 ppg as a road pup with less than two days rest off a road loss in which there were eight-plus lead changes. GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 215.3 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 77-37 UNDER L5 seasons for 68%conversion rate. Play on the UNDER . | |||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 221 | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 Milwaukee has imposed their offensive will on the Celtics in back to back games in this series, scoring 123 points in both tilts (wins), and now Im betting nothing changes tonight as they hit or eclipse that number, again with Boston having no choice but to open up with their own capable offence and also have a substantial output performance. The Bucks are 6-0 L/6 OVER on the road eclipsing the Total by more than 18 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 244.2 ppg.
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER in road games versus top tier offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.3 ppg. Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 road games.Over is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games following a ATS win.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 10-2 in Bucks last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 13-3 in Bucks last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-5 in Bucks last 22 games following a straight up win.Over is 24-8 in Bucks last 32 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 26-9 in Bucks last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 11-4 in Bucks last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a straight up loss.Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 11-4-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings here in Boston. Play OVER | |||||||
05-05-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210.5 | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played they went into extended OT, and now, so many in the public are expecting a muted offensive effort here today because of fatigue factor. But now with all the value sucked out of the total in downward fashion, Im now betting the OVER is a value wager and a game that should see both teams eclipse the 105+ plateau based on my own projections. Note:DENVER is 33-9 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 44-10 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 10-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 245.3 ppg scored. The Nuggets are 6-0 OVER (18.83 ppg) since Apr 07, 2019 as a road dog with a combined score of 232.5 ppg scored. DENVER is 10-1 OVER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 221 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 52 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams have a history of playing alot of half court games that have gone under the total. However, I noticed an interesting trend of faster paced basketball starting unfold in game 2 in Oakland as the combined score clicked in at 224 points. The Rockets for the most part were expected to wanted these games to be slower paced, while the Warriors want to run. Now here in Houston Im expecting the Rockets to be more aggressive and to push the action, and for the Warriors to have no problems reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GOLDEN STATE in their L/25 games as a # 1 seed in the playoffs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.6 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 215 | 137-140 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Denvers success has been predicated on their ability to play top tier defence, as is evident by their 6th overall ppg D, and their 20th ranked offensive output, which includes, a 27th ranked pace. Here on the road Im betting on a very conservative attack set of schemes from Denver, and a physical type approach that will slow down the run and gun Blazers which Im betting results in a much lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect. DENVER is 15-5 UNDER in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season which was the case in game 2 of this series ( 187 total point output in a 97-90 loss) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 37-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - STL Leads 2-1 This series between St.Louis and Dallas is turning into a real hardcore battle. Both these teams successes and failures this season, have been predicated on play top tier defensive hockey and here in this crucial game 4 tilt, nothing will change. The Blues ranked 6th in gpg allowed this season, and 15th on offence. Meanwhile, Dallas , ranked 2nd in gpg defence, and 29th in offence. DALLAS is 16-5 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season and is 16-4 UNDER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. The DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 4.1 gpg. DALLAS is 20-9 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 games as an underdog. Under is 17-8-3 in Blues last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 44-21-4 in Blues last 69 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 217 | 97-90 | Win | 103 | 35 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - DEN Leads 1-0 The Nuggets key to success this season, and what has gotten them this far is their defence. The Nuggets offensive output is ranked 20th in the league the defence ranked 6th in ppg allowed and they own the 27th ranked pace. I know Portland can light things up in a hurry, but Denver is built to slow teams like this down, and here in the thin air in the Mile High City are better suited for physical action which can be exhausting, and also directly effect the total combined score out come to the low side. Under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7 in Nuggets last 25 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 On Sunday, the Celtics opened the series by cruising to a 112-90 victory, mostly because of how they defended Antetokounmpo Im betting they wont be able to keep the Greek Freak down in two games in a row, in a game Im betting will be played faster and the Bucks chosen pace. The Bucks own the no.1 offence and the 2nd fast pace in the league and they will be ready to run and gun tonight. The Celtics will be forced into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 30-9 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
04-30-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R Washington right-hander Anibal Sanchez (0-3, 6.00 ERA), has struggled this season, and it must be noted that current St. Louis hitters are 21-for-72 (.292) with four homers against Sanchez and he could find himself struggling again today.The Cardinals have won nine of 11 and exploded Monday for six runs in the top of the fifth against Corbin and won 6-3 and could get us over the total here all by themselves or at least get us close enough for Washington to do enough offensive damage of their own to help us over the proverbial fence here. ST LOUIS in their L/33 games against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.Over is 11-3-1 in Cardinals last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-4 in Cardinals last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-2-1 in Cardinals last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1-1 in Wainwrights last 6 Tuesday starts.Over is 12-3-2 in Wainwrights last 17 starts vs. National League East.Over is 6-2-1 in Wainwrights last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-3 in Wainwrights last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 14-5-1 in Wainwrights last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 13-5-2 in Wainwrights last 20 road starts. Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 Tuesday games.Over is 12-3-1 in Nationals last 16 games following a loss.Over is 18-6 in Nationals last 24 during game 2 of a series.Over is 19-7-1 in Nationals last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 20-8-1 in Nationals last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 35-15-2 in Nationals last 52 home games.Over is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. National League Central. Over is 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 road starts vs. Nationals.Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.Over is 3-0-1 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. Nationals.Over is 15-6-5 in the last 26 meetings. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse ) (NL), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 58-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.Play OVER | |||||||
04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 220 | 94-89 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - TOR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series between the Raptors and their guests the 76ers was played at a very fast pace, but as it became obvious in the 4th quarter that the Sixers had no chance of winning the game slowed down to a crawl and both teams combined for just 30 points in the final end. In game one of this series the Raptors were in full flight with fast breaks the norm, while Philadelphia seems tentative and sat back for the most part . This time around I expect the Sixers to come out here flying , and for the Raptors to easily reciprocate in a game I have pegged to bounce over the total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 38-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate! Play OVER | |||||||
04-28-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - CAR Leads 1-0 The first game in this series featured top tier defensive work from both teams in top quality goaltending as the Canes won 1-0 in OT, and nothing will change here in game 2. Under is 5-1-3 in Hurricanes last 9 Conference Semifinals games. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-28-19 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Glasnow's breakout has been a big reason why the Rays are off to one of the best starts in baseball. He has 29 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings of work and is extremely reliable. Meanwhile, Sale the BoSoxs southpaw starter, showed some progress last time out in what was arguably his best start of the year, as he struck out 10 and allowed two runs over five innings against the Tigers. Sale's goal against Tampa Bay will be to pitch deep into a game for the first time this season and Im betting he does that. These teams took part in a 2-1 game yesterday with TB winning and similar type score is a high probability again. Note: TAMPA BAY is 20-6 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a left-handed starterUnder is 18-7-1 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 33-16-3 in Rays last 52 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 10-3-2 in Glasnows last 15 starts overall.Under is 3-1-1 in Glasnows last 5 starts on grass.Under is 3-1-1 in Glasnows last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Glasnows last 8 starts vs. American League East.Under is 5-2-1 in Glasnows last 8 road starts. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The inexperienced Nuggets must be a little nervous here as they play a game 7, and could easily start conservatively as they make sure not to make mistakes. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a big time offensive performance and conversion rate, and Im betting they naturally regress here today. That combination Im betting should help keep this game on the low side of the total. Note: DENVER is 38-17 UNDER L/55 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average of 197.2 ppg. Popovich is 33-19 UNDER in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average score 189 .4 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 223.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1 There is a huge amount of offensive talent on the court here today for both teams. The Raptors average 114.4 ppg, while the Sixers have averaged 115.2 ppg. Im betting both teams come at each other and for this game 1 to feature some offensive fireworks. Raptors: 119.0 ORtg | 58.9% eFG | 92.9 DRtg | 43.8% eFG allowed 76ers: 123.3 ORtg | 57.7% eFG | 101.1 DRtg | 46.3% eFG allowed. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 36-10 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 I betting the Clippers will be a little fatigued here tonight, as they have played extremely hard in this series , and after going off in their last game a regression is expected by me, vs an under rated Golden State defence. That equals out to what I project will be a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. In the last 14 seasons , the under is 96-66 UNDER in Game 6 and 7s , for a almost 60% conversion rate for bettors. GOLDEN STATE in their L/23 games after allowing 120 points or more this season have seen a combined average score of 223.1 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Rivers is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a above average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 68-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 207.5 | 103-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 This series is getting more physical, and both sides are figuring the other sides schemes out. Last time out we saw a lower scoring affair, and Im betting nothing changes here tonight, especially considering the Spurs have to fight for their playoff lives to force a deciding seventh game in Denver on Saturday. In the last 14 seasons , betting the under in Game 6 and 7 of a playoff series has gone 96-65 UNDER for a just under 60% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 99-57 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
04-25-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Play UNDER | |||||||
04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Game 7 , is a do or die for both teams. Neither one of these sides will be wanting to make mistakes, and will play this game in transition. After studying their game plan techniques , it makes sense for me to recommend an under wager here. SAN JOSE is 17-6 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-23-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 212 | 90-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Now that this series is tied 2-2 Im betting we start to see this series turn much more physical as a proverbial dog fight unfolds. I know Denver has shown some offensive flow in the last few games, but they have been hitting 3s at a high rate, but only converting around the rim at a 47.8% clip and a regression must be expected according to my projections. Meanwhile, San Antonio has only taken shots from beyond the arc in 18.3 % of their possessions and continually look to push the ball inside which indicates a concerted effort to dig in play physical ball and do their offensive work around the rim. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers and public might expect. Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 road games.Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 vs. Western Conference. Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. .Under is 11-3 in Nuggets last 14 home games.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-22-19 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 213 | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 3-0 James Harden shot 3-of-20 (15%) from the field in the Rockets’ Game 3 victory in Utah and now Im expecting a more efficient outing from the super star and his team as a whole. I know Utah is a defense first team, and really protect the rim well with Gobert , but because of this the Rockets will have space to shoot 3s, because when the vacuum cleaner as I like to call him, is pulled out of the paint he's out of his comfort zone. With elimination on board for the Rockets Im expecting they become aggressive, and this in turn will force the Jazz to open up which in turn will make for a higher scoring game than the public leaning linesmakers are expecting. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 79-33 OVER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
04-22-19 | Nationals v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Right-hander Jeremy Hellickson (2-0, 2.63) starts against the Rockies. He is coming off a strong effort against the San Francisco Giants in which he allowed two runs in 5 2/3 innings. Note: The Nationals are 0-13 UNDER in franchise history with Jeremy Hellickson when he averaged fewer than 4.1 pitches per batter in his last start. Meanwhile, Colorado continues to get good starting pitching, and is expected to activate Anderson for this start. He had arm inflammation , but now better should provide his team with a stable performance. He's 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three starts against the Nationals for his career. HELLICKSON is 10-2 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg.
COLORADO is 22-9 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg. Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 18-8-2 in Nationals last 28 Monday games.Under is 6-0 in Hellicksons last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Hellicksons last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 10-1 in Hellicksons last 11 road starts.Under is 8-1 in Hellicksons last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Hellicksons last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 16-5 in Hellicksons last 21 starts on grass.Under is 16-5 in Hellicksons last 21 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 overall.Under is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 19-6-2 in Rockies last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 23-8-2 in Rockies last 33 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-3-1 in Rockies last 11 during game 1 of a series. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-22-19 | Bucks v. Pistons OVER 218 | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 3-0 The Pistons haven't shown enough of a defensive presence against a Bucks team that averaged a league-high 118.1 points a game and their obviously not capable enough of stopping them again tonight. With Milwaukee on the verge of their first play off round series win in 18 seasons you can bet they will be ready to end this tonight in full beatdown mode. The Pistons will have no choice but to open up and try to keep pace which will make for a total score that eclipses this number. Budenholzer in his L/8 road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average score of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 28-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER Play OVER | |||||||
04-22-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Caps took a 6-0 win last time out, for a 3-2 lead in this series. Now with one of these teams on the verge of elimination and the other looking to extend this series both sides will be really paying attention to keeping their mistakes to a minimum via a very conservative game plan that will focus on scoring in transition. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER off a road loss against a division rival this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg going on the board. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-21-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 111-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - POR Leads 2-1 The first two games of this series stayed well below the Total, and in game 3 the total was barely eclipsed very late in the game. Im betting on another hard fought tilt between a Portland side struggling to convert consistently right now, and Oklahoma city team that has underachieved and shot below average all season long. With that said, Im recommending we hit the under again here in game 4. Under is 25-11-2 in the last 38 meetings in Oklahoma City. PORTLAND is 37-17 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 211.9 ppg. Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 35-15-1 in Thunder last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 18-7-1 in Thunder last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-5 UNDER off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-21-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - VGS Leads 3-2 Vegas in five playoff games against San Jose in Las Vegas with goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury between the pipes has garnered shutouts in two games, including a 28-save performance in a 5-0 win on Tuesday in Game 4. Im betting on Fleury standing tall again, and for San Jose to struggle burying the biscuit in their decisive game 6 showdown. Both teams will be proactive in their approach to playing mistake free hockey in this important tilt. VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER in home games after a division game this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in April games are 54-29 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-21-19 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 #1 GOALTENDERS: BOSTON - TUUKKA RASK, TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN With one of these teams on the verge of elimination and the other looking to extend this series both sides will be really paying attention to keeping their mistakes to a minimum via a very conservative game plan that will focus on scoring in transition. TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season TORONTO is 11-1 UNDER in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg. BOSTON is 9-1 UNDER in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
04-20-19 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Blues won Game 5 by a 3-2 margin Thursday in Winnipeg, overcoming a two-goal deficit in the third period and getting the winner from Jaden Schwartz with 15 seconds remaining in regulation. With this game being a do or die situation for one team and series clincher for the other Im expecting both sides to be extra careful with mistakes, which Im betting translates to total score that will remain on the low side of the total. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE sprinkled in with top tier goaltending has me recommending an under wager tonight in this tilt. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets UNDER 232 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
According to my projections tell me we have value with an under wager here in this tilt between the Sixers and Nets. This total has gotten bigger with each game, and now the linesmkaers have over adjusted . Brooklyn cant keep on just trying to run and gun and blow by the Sixers, and Im betting their coaching staff makes enough adjustments here today to thwart the Sixers flow. Afternoon games have a long term tendency of being played at a slower pace which Im betting this aids our under wager cashing. PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996.PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 15-3 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road win, in April games are 51-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion .rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-19-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 222 | 108-120 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - POR Leads 2-0 The Oklahoma City Thunder have exhibited less than stellar shooting prowess all season long,ranking 22nd in in 3 point shooting and things are not getting much better, and have now shot a combined 10-61 (16.4%) from 3-point range in the first two games of this series. Tonight Im betting the Thunders long range futility will contribute to a lower scoring game as will Portlands horrendous 2nd to last play off FG% conversion rate vs a strong rim protection Thunder group. PORTLAND is 21-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 10-1 UNDER off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 204.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0 The two first games of this series have not gone of the Pacers way thanks to in ability to keep their offensive flow going and converting on easy shots, while also allowing them selves to get up in defensive affairs , which the Celtics are looking better at implementing . So tonight Im expecting more flow to the Pacers game as they look to resurrect their chances in this series/ With that said, Im betting on a tilt that will feature more offence and a faster pace. NBA team (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 60-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
04-19-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Two Eastern Conference series ended this week in four-game sweeps, but the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs are battling it out in a series that has come down to a best two out of three. With these teams beating each other up and playing a more physical type of game plan, Im betting on more conservative efforts that base their respective attacks on transition, which will equate to less quality scoring opportunities and less goals going on the board. Last time out these teams took part in the highest scoring affair of this series with the Bruins winning by a 6-4 count, but now Im betting both sides knowing this type of hockey is not sustainable or equitable to winning a tight series will revert back to being much more defensive minded in this game and going forward in this series. TORONTO is 16-7 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season.BOSTON is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 210.5 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
These teams play contrasting styles both home nd away. The Nuggets went under in 25 of their 41 road games and were the most profitable UNDER road team in the league this season , while the Spurs were 23-18 to the under at home. With that said, after a fairly high scoring game in Denver last time out, Im betting on this one being more conservative and physcial in nature as the young inexperienced Nuggets try to find their footing in a hostile environment. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 Thursday games.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up win. Under is 14-4 in Nuggets last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 overall.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. Western Conference.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 home games.Under is 16-5 in Spurs last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 overall.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-3-1 in Spurs last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 36-16 in Spurs last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 210.5 (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 3rd game of a playoff series are 64-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
04-18-19 | Royals v. Yankees OVER 9 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Homer Bailey (1-1, 5.29 ERA) makes his fourth start for the Royals, who signed him as a free agent after he was 1-14 with a 6.09 ERA in 20 starts for the Reds last season. Im betting a hot hitting NYY team off a sweep vs the BoSox to come out here and really rack up some runs vs Bailey which will help this score get eclipsed. Note: Bailey is 1-1 with a 5.84 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees and both of those outings occurred in New York with a combined average of 11 and 14 runs scored in the two games. He is backed by a bullpen that has garnered a 6.37 ERA this season. Over is 15-7 in Yankees last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 8-0 in Royals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Play OVER | |||||||
04-17-19 | Pistons v. Bucks OVER 215 | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 Milwaukee began its pursuit of the franchise's first title since 1971 by cruising past Detroit, 121-86, in Game 1. It was the ninth-most lopsided NBA playoff game of the century and the biggest rout since the Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Boston Celtics, 130-86, in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals on May 19, 2017. I dont think it was a fluke, and Im betting the Bucks do more damage here tonight, but this time around the Motown crew open things up as well, with some offensive fireworks of their own as they try to avoid being embarrassed two games in a row, which will make for a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. DETROIT is 12-3 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 32-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
04-17-19 | Pacers v. Celtics OVER 206.5 | 91-99 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Celtics and Pacers combined to scored 158 points in Game 1, going way under the total. Both teams shot below 40% from the field. Both teams missed wide open shots on a consistent basis and now Im expecting a bounce back and a reversion to the norm and a much high scoring game then last time. BOSTON is 25-10 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. NBA team (INDIANA) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 42-17 OVER L/22 seasons for a 71 % conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
04-16-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 218 | 94-114 | Loss | -109 | 37 h 53 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - POR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series was low scoring ,but that matchup was an anomaly as compared to the 4 previous meetings between these teams this season which were all high scoring affairs with 250, 231,237, 220 combined points scored. Im betting on a return to the previous type of offensive affairs in game 2 of this series. PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus teams that are allowing - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 242.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are126-84 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play Over | |||||||
04-15-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State prevailed by blocking 14 shots, limiting the Clippers to 40.4 percent shooting , but both still still a combined 225 points went on the board in game 1 of this series in the Warriors 121-104 win. Im now expecting theClippers to come out here more aggressively as they try to keep track with the explosive Dubs in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games off a road loss this season have combined to average for 235.2 ppg. Play OVER | |||||||
04-15-19 | Flames v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 101 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Avalanche, coming off the 3-2 win in Calgary on Saturday night, to tie this series at 1 game apiece had even more good news as they announced the signing Sunday morning of 20 year old Hobey Award winning Cale Makar who is considered a generational talent.This kid is a real game changer, and will see the Avs flying here tonight on home ice, which is worth a full goal according to my estimates which makes for a solid over wager in this spot. CALGARY is 13-4 OVER revenging a home loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. Over is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Over is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on the OVER | |||||||
04-15-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Washington won 4-2 on home ice in the series opener and followed with a 4-3 overtime victory Saturday. Carolina never led in either game and now 2 games down in tjis best of 7 series and now Im betting the Canes come out here in high octane fashion and go into full attack mode and for the defending champs to answer back which will make for a game that will see 6 + combined goals go on the score board. WASHINGTON is 17-9 OVER against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season. WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER after winning their previous game in overtime this season. NHL Road teams against the total (WASHINGTON) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in April games are 33-17 over L/5 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 54 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Rockets despite of their explosiveness rank 26th in the NBA in pace and own the 10 best D in the league, and they have gone under the set total in 14 of their L/19 games entering the play offs. Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz own the 4th best ppg D in the league, and bae all their successes and failures on their ability to play D, and here on the road in Houston Im betting they turn this tilt in a slug fest as they try to take the Rockets out of their flow, which will result in a lower score play off affair. HOUSTON is 24-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 13-5 UNDER against Northwest division opponents this season. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-14-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 49 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Boston ranked 8th in ppg defence this season and 16th in pace, and 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana ranked 1st in ppg allowed, 24th in pace, and 22nd on offence and base all their successes and failures on this stopping abilities. Nothing will change today as they force an inconsistent Boston side, in operating in a defensive mode as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more of their shots this season NBA team (BOSTON/INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA/BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors are an explosive side, but their D, was key to their successes this season and ranked 4th in defensive efficiency this season. Meanwhile, Orlando, ranked 5th in ppg allowed behind the 25th ranked pace and the 24th ppg ranked offence and obviously got to the post season thanks to their methodic defensive nature and nothing will change today. ORLANDO is 21-8 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg. Clifford is 23-11 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of ORLANDO with a combine average of 211 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-6 in Raptors last 19 Conference Quarterfinals games.NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 52-23 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Play UNDER | |||||||
04-12-19 | Penguins v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Isles have slowed down most of their opponents this season, but Pittsburgh a team that bases their successes and failures on converting pp opportunities and attacking consistently in transition, the Isles will be forced to up their tempo and keep pace. With that said, Im betting a combined score here that eclipses this total. PITTSBURGH is 30-17 OVER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gog scored and 18-7 OVER against excellent defensive teams - allowing 2.4or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg. PITTSBURGH is 25-9 OVER after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 71. gpg scored. Over is 6-1-3 in Penguins last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play OVER | |||||||
04-12-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
DAVID HESS (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) Red sox Starter left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez has struggled out of the gate this season, but Im betting he will right his ship here against the Baltimore Orioles tonight a team my power ranking suggest he matches up well against. Red Sox are 0-16 under with Eduardo Rodriguez when their opponent is averaging more than 7.6 strike outs a game and they lost in his last start with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. BOSTON is 22-9 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 17-6 UNDER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 116-59 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-11-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 This is the second year in a row that the Leafs and Bruins will meet in Round 1 of the NHL Playoffs. Boston won last season 4 games to 3, despite of relinquishing a 3-1 lead. Boston’s successes and failures are based on playing a top tier brand of defence.. The boys from Beantown are near the top of the league allowing scoring chances and shot attempts and are never easy to score on. Meanwhile, Torontos key to success is their offence, but at the end of the season their ability to bury the biscuit was consistently stymied, scoring 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/11 tilts. With that said, Im betting the Bruins D, against a talented but struggling offence, will stand tall here, and to try to play shut down hockey and themselves do their scoring in transition, which will make for a chippy affair, that will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 12-5 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. BOSTON is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-11-19 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
AARON BROOKS (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R Baltimore hasn't done much on offense the past two games, scoring a total of five runs while watching Oakland's offensive fireworks. Im betting on the Orioles offense to continue to falter, but today Im expecting their pitching to hold up enough to limit the As offence as well. Bundy the Orioles starter is 2-0 with a 3.60 career ERA in four appearances (three starts) against the A's. Note:BALTIMORE is 27-12 UNDER in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-10-19 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 218.5 | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Denver can claim the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with a win over Minnesota on Wednesday night. So you can bet they will play hard shutdown basketball here. Look for the banged up Minnesota Wolves to just go through the motions here, in the high altitudes of the Mile High City in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game the public might expect. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L2 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-10-19 | Blues v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Thanks in part to great goal tending from Jordan Binnington, who posted a .927 save percentage since JN 7, the Blues are one of the hottest teams in the league. Their calling card has been their defence , especially on the road where they have allowed 2.4 gpg this season while averaging 2.7 gpg on offence. Here tonight against an explosive Winnipeg offence, Im betting the Blues will be conservative and try to make this game and series a physical one that bases its aggressiveness on offence out of transition, which should relate to a lower scoring game here. When these teams played here in Winnipeg back in December the Blues took a 1-0 shutout victory , and Im betting on a similar blue print to be implemented by the visitors again. Under is 4-0 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Under is 7-1 in Blues last 8 playoff games as an underdog ST LOUIS is 14-3 UNDER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 12-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-10-19 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 15-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
A combination of a high scoring game yesterday between these teams and a couple of struggling starting pitchers, has made this Total a just a bit bloated, with value to the under making this a viable investment opportunity. HELLICKSON the Nats starter is 16-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored and is 12-2 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.8 rg scored.HELLICKSON is 9-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-09-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 214 | 108-118 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
After suffering a ugly 113-109 loss to the host Los Angeles Lakers the Jazz were embarrassed and their coach extremely cranky. Tonight Im betting on a rebound . Im alos betting on a more focused group that will concentrate on what has made the Jazz such a potent team down the stretch and that is the ability to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. Utah ranks 3rd in ppg allowed and 2nd in in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Denver has also been playing more conservatively in transition as the season winds down, and have seen a combined average of just 210.6 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. This game has the makings of a hard fought defensive divisional affair. Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-3 in Nuggets last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 home games.Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 14-5 in Jazz last 19 Tuesday games.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Utah.Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-08-19 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 10 | 13-5 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (1-0, 1.69 ERA) vs. Royals RH Homer Bailey (0-0, 5.40) I know the Royals have been giving up alot of runs in the early part of this campaign, but Brad Keller, Jakob Junis, Jorge Lopez and Homer Bailey -- have a combined ERA of 3.86. Its the bullpen that has struggled but Im betting they will eventually jump out of this slump and tonight do well enough to hold off a Seattle team that is in top form offensively . Right now because of the Royals bullpen issues we are getting value on this line to the under. Meanwhile, the Mariners starting pitchers are 8-0 and have combined for a 3.50 ERA over 64 1/3 innings. Their staff ERA is 3.83 and Im also betting on more of the same tonight in a game I have pegged to stay UNDER the total. Under is 9-3-1 in Hernandezs last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 8-3-1 in Royals last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-3-1 in Royals last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 road starts vs. Royals.SEATTLE is 33-18 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (SEATTLE) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 46-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-07-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 217 | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
There is still alot to play for when Denver and Portland go head to head tonight as they jockey for post season seeding. The Nuggets took a 109-100 win over the Trail Blazers on Friday in Denver and now in the rematch expect another tightly contested Defensive affair that remains on the low side of the total. Quote:"He was phenomenal," HC Malone said of the 6-foot-7 Craig. "His defense, his offense -- everything he did out there."The Nuggets were aggressive with their defense and the referees let a lot of the rough stuff go."It was very physical out there," said Portland center Enes Kanter, who scored 24 points and grabbed seven rebounds. "Their big men -- Jokic, Millsap and (Mason) Plumlee -- they were hitting me extra. But it's the NBA -- no complaining." END QUOTE Rinse and repeat here . Under is 14-2 in Nuggets last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 12-2 in Nuggets last 14 games following a straight up win.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 17-4 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 21-5 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a ATS win.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-07-19 | Nets v. Pacers OVER 219 | 108-96 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets grabbed a up a huge victory on Saturday night to boost their NBA playoff chances, and grabbing another win here would be huge for them in their chase for post season play against a team that has owned them of late . Im betting they come out here shooting darts, and push a the capable offense of the Pacers into a faster paced game. I know These teams play converging styles of basketball, but when they met earlier this season, Indiana took a 132-112 win in Indianapolis on Oct. 20 and Im betting on another fairly high scoring tilt here that eclipses this total. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored, NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play OVER | |||||||
04-07-19 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 215 | 104-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons will host the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday in a matchup of teams still competing for a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference.With that said, Im betting on a hard fought physical affair that will focus on both teams trying to be mistake free which will make for muted affair . DETROIT is 22-11 UNDER after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of those 33 games clicking in at 210.6 ppg.The Pistons have gone under 12 straight times a as a favorite off a loss when Andre Drummond had negative plus/minus in each of their last three games with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.Hornets Borrego is 16-4 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games. are 34-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-06-19 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 14-8 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Cole Hamels (0-0, 9.00 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Corbin Burnes (0-0, 7.20) Hamels was really doing well last time out for the frst 3 innings, but then the wheels feel off and gave a up a grand slam. Im betting he has a better all around performance today in rebound mode. Hamels is 7-3 with a 3.60 ERA in 15 starts against the Brewers, including a 4-1 mark and a 3.67 ERA in eight outings at Miller Park. HAMELS is 20-9 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. HAMELS is 13-2 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Brewers Burnes is transitioning to a starting role after recording a 7-0 record and a 2.61 ERA in 30 appearances out of the bullpen last season. He is a very under rated hurler with alot of upside promise. I know the public likes the over here because of some obvious early seasons trends, but this particular game Im betting looks more like a sleeperfest than a slugfest. Under is 6-0 in Hamels' last 6 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 starts on grass.Under is 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Hamels' last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Hamels' last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 51-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-06-19 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 9-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Mike Leake (1-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (1-0, 2.70) Despite of both these teams bats revving up with a boatload full of runs here in the early part of the season, Im betting on their being value with an under wager here according to my projections and models.
Under is 5-2 in Leakes last 7 road starts Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 16-7 in White Sox last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 35-14-2 in Estabrooks last 51 games behind home plate.Under is 9-4-1 in Estabrooks last 14 games behind home plate vs. Seattle. WHITE SOX are 23-9 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 31-14 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 29-14 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.Play UNDER | |||||||
04-05-19 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 213 | 122-112 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Two teams with really nothing to play for go head to head tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Grizzlies own the 30th ranked pace in the league, and are ranked 30th in offence, and 9th in defensive rating and here on the road today will try to turn this into a grinding sleepfest. The Mavericks have gone under in 9 of their L/12 overall since Jan 07, 2019 as a favorite with a combined average 211 ppg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 209.6 ppg. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 UNDER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 86-46 UNDER L/22 seasons are 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-05-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Braves starter Gausman (10-11, 3.92 ERA in 2018) will against Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (1-0, 5.06) in the opener of a three-game set at SunTrust Park. Gausman was acquired at the trade deadline from Baltimore last summer when the Braves were looking for a veteran starter for the pennant drive. The righty hurler went 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 10 starts for Atlanta and garnered a solid 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.69 in five starts in August. GAUSMAN is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). Under is 5-0 in Gausmans last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.GAUSMAN is 40-17 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) Lopez had a quality spring. He threw 20 2/3 innings with a 0.90 ERA, ranking No.1 in the Grapefruit League, with a .149 average against and a 0.55 WHIP. Im expecting fairly low scoring affair that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and another under offers us solid edge on the number. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-04-19 | Cavs v. Kings OVER 228 | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Sacramento plays a one way attack orientated basketball behind the 3rd ranked pace and 10 best offensive output in the NBA and their D, remains suspect allowing an 114.9 ppg which ranks 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been playing very wide open basketball for quite a while as well, as is evident by going over in 5 straight games with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. Note: The Cavaliers rank 30th in D efficiency in the league and tonight Im betting that will be exasperated in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 114-57 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
04-04-19 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 128-122 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers took part in a run and gun affair last night in Atlanta that they lost130-122, and now tonight on tired legs with the likely hood of Joel Embiid not playing and Jimmy Butler possibly resting and not playing or seeing limited action Im betting the 76ers will not be ready to run and gun and instead try to figure out a way to play better defence against a top tier opponent the Bucks. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is also short handed from a bench perspective and banged up despite of Kris Middleton supposedly playing tonight and star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo on the court. No matter how much each plays , Im still expecting a more defensive orientated post season type affair that will feature more defensive postures than offensive onslaughts despite of both sides obvious abilities to put points on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more since 1996 with a combined average of 207 ppg on the scoreboard. PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in April games are 45-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 62-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-04-19 | Green Bay v. Marshall UNDER 169 | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show | |
This game is being projected to be high scoring, but Im betting the number is just to high despite of how the public views these teams and what kind of scoring output should be expected. It must be noted that MARSHALL is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 9-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 160 or more this season. WI-GREEN BAY is 22-9 UNDER off a home win over the last 3 seasons with combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-0 in Thundering Herd last 6 home games.Under is 7-1 in Thundering Herd last 8 non-conference games.Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0 in Phoenix last 5 Thursday games.Under is 4-0 in Phoenix last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 non-conference games. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-04-19 | Blue Jays v. Indians OVER 7 | 1-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Aaron Sanchez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (0-0, 1.29 ERA) Aaron Sanchez (1-0, 0.00 ERA), looked good in his opener versus Detroit. The 26-year-old right-hander owns a 1-0 mark with a 5.06 ERA in three career encounters with Cleveland. He soes go against a Cleveland team struggling on offence, but my pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest that the Tribe matches up well vs Sanchez and should do better than they generally have early this season. Meanwhile, Trevor Bauer (0-0, 1.29 ERA), allowed just one run and one hit while striking out nine over seven innings in a 2-1 victory at Minnesota on Saturday , but in the recent past has not faired well vs the Blue Jays as owns a 2-2 record along with a bloated 6.07 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in six career appearances (five starts) against Toronto. With the Jays starting to show some offensive upside scoring 5 runs in two of their L/3, I like them to do more damage today, and help to get this score over the set total. Over is 3-1-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.Over is 11-4-1 in Blue Jays last 16 Thursday games.Over is 17-8 in Blue Jays last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-0-1 in Sanchezs last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts on grass.Over is 6-1-1 in Sanchezs last 8 road starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Sanchezs last 8 starts overall. Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games.TORONTO is 15-4 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.TORONTO is 31-14 OVER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 34-19 OVER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg. Toronto / Cleveland, Over | |||||||
04-04-19 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (0-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (0-0, 6.00) Strasburg Nationals starter owns a 2.37 ERA in 10 outings at Citi Field, where he hasn’t lost since 2013. His Nets pitching opponent Syndergaard owns a 2.85 ERA in 16 career starts in March and April. Im betting on more of the same top tier pitching action here today and a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Under is 6-0 in Syndergaards last 6 home starts vs. Nationals.Under is 6-2 in Syndergaards last 8 starts vs. Nationals. STRASBURG is 11-2 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) STRASBURG is 11-1 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SYNDERGAARD is 12-3 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)MARTINEZ is 25-12 UNDER in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-03-19 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Giants LH Derek Holland (0-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (0-0, 0.00) Dan Bellino the home plate umpire for this tilt is the type of official thats makes taking the under a viable option here tonight as the Dodgers and Giants go head to head. The under has cashed 57.1% since 2005 with Bellino calling balls and strikes. Dodgers strter STRIPLING is 15-4 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rg scored.
Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games following a loss.Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 road games. Under is 20-6-2 in Giants last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Giants last 29 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Giants last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 22-8-1 in Giants last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-14-2 in Giants last 51 vs. National League West.Under is 34-15-2 in Giants last 51 overall.Under is 34-15-2 in Giants last 51 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Hollands last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Hollands last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Hollands last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Hollands last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Hollands last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3-1 in Hollands last 16 road starts.Under is 4-1-1 in Hollands last 6 starts vs. National League West.Under is 4-1 in Hollands last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Hollands last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 18-7-1 in Hollands last 26 starts on grass.Under is 18-7-1 in Hollands last 26 starts overall. Under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-02-19 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 221 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Denver enters this game playing at a more methodical pace of late, then was the case earlier this season, with defence being the mainstay of their successes and failures which is evident by seeing 16 of their L/19 games stay under the set total. Nothing will change tonight vs the explosive Warriors, who also are now into play off preparation mode and also paying attention to their defensive game especially in transition as is evident by seeing 12 of their L/15 games stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 18-5 in Nuggets last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 21-7 in Nuggets last 28 overall.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall.Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games following a straight up win.Under is 14-5 in Warriors last 19 vs. NBA Northwest. Under is 35-17 in Warriors last 52 Tuesday games. HC Kerr of Golden State in his L/25 home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season has seen a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. DENVER is 12-3 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203 ppg. DENVER is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-02-19 | Lakers v. Thunder OVER 224 | 103-119 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being without LeBron James are showing some offensive flow and are off scoring a 130-102 road win vs New Orleans. Im betting on that attacking mode to continue here vs Oklahoma city tonight in a game Im betting goes over the beatable total. Note:Over is 10-1-1 in Lakers last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The last time the Lakers visited Oklahoma city on Jan 17 the teams took part in a 138-128 offensive slugfest and Im betting in a similar output again. Note: James also did not play in that game. NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 78-42 OVER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER | |||||||
04-02-19 | Lightning v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Montreal (42-29-8, 92 points) enters Tuesday just a single point behind the Carolina Hurricanes for the final wild-card position, and two points back of Columbus for the top wild-card slot, and will depend heavily on goaltender Carey Price to find a way by the leagues most explosive side. Meanwhile, with a first-place seed already in the bag, the Lightning (60-15-4, 124 points) enter their final three games trying to stay healthy entering the play offs while practicing sound defensive hockey. Considering what both teams want to do here I am inclined to recommend we make an under wager. MONTREAL is 20-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored in those 31 games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - off a road win by 2 goals or more, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games on the season are 38-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long erm 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
04-01-19 | Blazers v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | 132-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are still playing hard despite of not going to play offs this season. That was evident when they rallied from a 19-point third-quarter deficit to take out the shocked Warriors. Minnesota also trailed 38-20 after one quarter and got to within three points in the fourth quarter in a 118-109 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday. So tonight, Im betting they come out here shooting darts in full attack mode, and come right at the Blazers, and in turn Portland ranked 6th in offensive output will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own or face the same upset issues as Golden State did, and what Philadelphia almost experienced. With that said, Im betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 63-34 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
04-01-19 | Bulls v. Knicks OVER 213 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks against the banged up Bulls Im betting will put up a boatload full of points on the scoreboard, with the Bulls chasing their opponents in wide open fashion . It's obvious by my previous statement that Im expecting this game to played loosely because of this meeting being of no importance in the NBA standings or to two teams headed for a golf vacations and not the post season. No where in tomorrows main stream media headlines describing this tilt- will "DEFENCE " be mentioned. The Bulls 25th ranked D, has struggled recently which is a good omen for this game being fairly high scoring.CHICAGO is 8-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
04-01-19 | Pistons v. Pacers UNDER 205 | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Indiana owns he No.1 D, in the league, and are 23rd in pace, and at this time of year as the play offs approach even more methodical than usual. Meanwhile, the Pistons are ranked 7th and ppg allowed D, and 28th in pace, and are also methodical in their approach. Both teams dont score a prolific amount of points ranking 22nd and 23 in ppg, so a defensive minded old school pro hoops game looks like a viable out come scenario. INDIANA is 32-12 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.3 ppg scored. Under is 15-7 in Pistons last 22 road games. Under is 33-15-4 in Pistons last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 24-9 in Pacers last 33 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 13-5 in Pacers last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 28-11 in Pacers last 39 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-4 in Pacers last 13 overall.Under is 35-16 in Pacers last 51 home games.Under is 17-8 in Pacers last 25 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 32-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-31-19 | Grizzlies v. Clippers OVER 221 | 96-113 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Clippers flew past the Cleveland Cavaliers in Los Angeles on Saturday while shooting a season-best 62.4 percent from the field, two days after their showdown at Milwaukee ended with a 128-118 defeat to the Bucks. Note: The Clippers have gone over in 7 of their L/8 and in the Clippers last 5 games they has seen a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored Meanwhile, the Grizzlies guard Mike Conley, who scored 33 points in Saturday's 120-115 victory the Suns and now look to be in a groove offensively and should be able to hang here tonight in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The Grizzlies have gone over in 6 of their L/7 overall with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. These teams have gone over in the L/5 meetings here and one more OVER Im betting is on tonights agenda. Play OVER | |||||||
03-31-19 | Red Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 8-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
LeBlanc easy throwing southpaw will make his season debut against a Red Sox team he held scoreless on two hits over 7 2/3 innings with a season-high nine strikeouts last June in Seattle. He was 7-3 with a 3.95 ERA at home in 2018 and kept opponents to a .246 batting average Meanwhile, Bostons right-hander Porcello had a 3.75 ERA in three spring starts. He was also 10-3 with a 3.86 ERA on the road last year and gave up six runs over 15 1/3 innings in post season play. Under is 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. Mariners. These teams took part in a fairly high scoring affair yesterday with with a 6-5 win but Im betting on a more muted game with alot less runs! Under is 10-1-1 in LeBlancs last 12 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 14-2-1 in LeBlancs last 17 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in LeBlancs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in LeBlancs last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-31-19 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 221 | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder learned Saturday night they're once again headed to the playoffs.Now today Im expecting this banged up and hobbled group to rest some of their player to extent this afternoon in a game that wont have alot of intensity attached to it. Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Oklahoma City ( Thigh ) and that will effect the Dallas offence here tonight. None of the L/L/6 meetings in this series have eclipsed the 224 point opening total and at 221 we still have value. UNDER | |||||||
03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky UNDER 142 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Elite 8 games have been historically played at a slower pace than the rest of the NCAA tourney. Auburns proven all season long that their offense is a strength but with key cog Okeke out or less than 100% their flow will be effected as well as their output. Meanwhile, Kentucky is now basing their successes and failures on a top tier brand of hoops and are playing at a distinctly slower pace than the pundits are expecting going under in 17 of their L/22 overall and 3 straight tourney games. Today against a Tigers side that shoots alot of 3s , Im betting the. Wildcats will be at their best as has been evident during the tournament holding opponents to 32.5% conversion rates from beyond the arc. Look for a much more stringent game than expected and a score that does not eclipse the total. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-31-19 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Mets RH Zack Wheeler (2018: 12-7, 3.31 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Patrick Corbin (11-7, 3.15) Zack Wheeler the Mets starter today vs the Nationals was in top form to end his season in 2018 as was evident in his final 15 games , where he went 10-1 with a 2.06 ERA. Health, throwing inside more consistently and adopting a split-fingered fastball were the three keys behind Wheeler’s success and Im betting on more of the same action in this spot. Meanwhile, Nationals starter and new off season multi million dollar acquisition Patrick Corbin is coming off the best season of his career, having posted a 3.15 ERA in 33 starts with 246 strikeouts. Im expecting the new kid on the block to keep up with Wheeler and for both to help keep this game on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Mets last 13 games following a win.Under is 3-1-2 in Mets last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 12-3 in Nationals last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-30-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 220 | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Suns Emerging star Devon Booker scored 59 points in Monday's 125-92 road loss to the Utah Jazz and Im betting him and his team come out firing darts again and force Memphis into a faster paced game than thye might prefer. It must be noted that Memphis has really picked up their pace of late, and have been taking part in some more wide open games and that will be the case again tonight. In the Grizzlies L/5 games a combined average of 228.4 ppg have gone on the board and int their L/8 overall have allowed an average of 125 ppg. Over is 3-0-1 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 overall.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games following a straight up losNBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 67-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia UNDER 126.5 | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Im betting on Virginia implementing a physical battle as they prepare to take advantage of their rebound efficiency advantage (51st-highest defensive rebounding rate) . Im also betting they will be prepared to really slow this game down behind the slowest pace in College Hoops and control the flow because as we know the Cavs prefer not to take part in run and gun affairs if possible. We all know Virginias key to success or failure is based on D, and is evident by holding their forst 3 opponents in this tourney to 56, 51 and 49 points respectively. Meanwhile, Purdues key to success has been their downtown shooting, and against the nations 2nd rank perimeter D that allows opponents to shoot 28.2% from beyond the arc, the Boilermakers offensive output would and could easily be thwarted. This above combination will result in a combined score that remains on the low side if the Total. Note: Bennett is 21-9 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 122.5 ppg scored. PURDUE is 11-2 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 22-8 UNDER on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-30-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 106 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Dakota Hudson (2018: 4-1, 2.63 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (2018: 3-0, 3.61) Hudson the Cards starter today had a very strong spring spring training, recording a 2-0 record along with a stellar 1.25 ERA in six appearances (four starts), including 12 consecutive scoreless innings. Meanwhile, Woodruff is off great September last season garnering (16 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings, 0.73 ERA in seven relief appearances) and during play offs posted (17, 9 1/3, 2.89). The righty kept rolling and spring training as is evident by a 2-0 record along with a solid 2.55 ERA while mowing down 26 batters in 17 2/3 innings of top sheld work. Today I expect these two hurlers to keep rolling here and for this combined score to stay on a low side of the total behind what at this point in the campaign looks like solid bullpens. Under is 38-18-2 in Cardinals last 58 during game 3 of a series. Under is 6-1 in Woodruffs last 7 home starts.Under is 5-2 in Woodruffs last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-4 in Woodruffs last 13 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in umpire Johnsons last 7 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.Under is 7-2-1 in umpire Johnsons last 10 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 50-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga OVER 139.5 | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show | |
TexasTech has a strong defence, but they are no slouches on offence and should be pushed a bit here by the highest scoring team in the nation Gonzaga. The Raiders when forced to score can light it up as was the case against Iowa State, Kansas , Baylor, West Virginia and TCU scoring more than 80 points in those games, and prior to their game against Michigan in the Sweet 16 averaged almost 8- points per game over a 10 game conference span. With that said, look for a much higher scoring game then the lines-makers might expect. TEXAS TECH is 6-0 OVER after a game committing 8 or less turnovers this season with a combined average for a 149.1 ppg. Play OVER | |||||||
03-29-19 | Hornets v. Lakers OVER 227 | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Charlotte has been playing run and gun basketball for most of this season behind the 22nd ranked defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers a team that is also defensively in the lower tier of the NBA ranked 24th in ppg allowed. Tonight Im betting on a Charlotte team chasing a play off spot to come out here with their hair on fire and to force the Lakers into firing away with some offensive fireworks of their own which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair. CHARLOTTE is 8-0 OVER in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. CHARLOTTE is 27-8 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 13-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 230.1 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 125-68 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), on Friday nights are 48-22 OVER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
03-29-19 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 219 | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Denver looked exhausted last night in Houston losing by DDs, and scoring only 85 points and in their previous two games scored 88 and 95 points. Im betting their scoring deficiencies on wobbly legs will manifest themselves again in what Im betting will be a much lower scoring game here in Oklahoma City than the lines- makers expect. DENVER is 9-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season iwht a combined average of 211 ppg scored.DENVER is 11-2 UNDER in March games this season with a combined average of 212.3 ppg gong on the board. Donovan is 32-18 UNDER (+12.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina OVER 162 | 97-80 | Win | 100 | 84 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA - Midwest Regional Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO We all know North Carolina runs their offence at a very fast pace, and Im betting Auburn will feed into this energy and that we will have a back forth pro style game played with plenty of points going on the board. Auburn averages just under 80 ppg on the season and N.Carolina averages 86 ppg. AUBURN is 20-7 L/27 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games . Play OVER | |||||||
03-29-19 | LSU v. Michigan State UNDER 149.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 129 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC Michigan State an extremely capable team will be prepared to play lock down defence against a explosive LSU offence here today. Im sure Tom Izzos game plan will be to take the flow away for the Tigers, which will result in much lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers expect. Michigan State in their L/4 games have allowed, 55,60, 65,50 points respectively. LSU is 9-1 UNDER when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament since 1997. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
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03-29-19 | Tigers v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 0-6 | Win | 101 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
LH Matthew Boyd (2018: 9-13, 4.39 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Matt Shoemaker (2018: 2-2, 4.94) The Motown Tigers took a 2-0 win yesterday against the Jays in both teams opener, and Im betting on a score that does not eclipse the total here today. This Fridays pitching matchup features former Blue Jay and todays starter for Detroit Matt Boyd, who was just 9-13 last season, and struggled a bit in preseason play this year. Despite of a rocky exhibition run he is still a quality hurler, and was still hard to hit against in 2018 as is evident from a 1.16 WHIP to 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings ratio. Meanwhile, injuries have limited Shoemaker his pitching opponent from the Jays, to 21 starts in the majors over the last two seasons. However, you would never know it by his performances in spring training as he allowed just 12 hits while striking out 20 in 18 innings of top tier work. In his career Shoemaker has loved pitching against this Detroit Franchise posting a 0.83 ERA in five career starts against the Tigers, allowing just 21 hits and no HRs - in 32 2/3 innings of sparking work. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays. Under is 13-6 in Tigers last 19 vs. American League East.Under is 15-7-2 in Tigers last 24 Friday games.Under is 4-0 in Boyds last 4 starts on astroturfUnder is 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. American League East. Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 home games.Under is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games following a loss.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 13-4-2 in Blue Jays last 19 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 on astroturf. Play on UNDER | |||||||
03-29-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 214 | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
The Celtics rank 8th in ppg allowed, and will go against a Indiana team that ranks 1st in ppg allowed and 23rd in pace, and 22nd in offensive output. Indiana has been struggling of late having lost 9 straight road games, which Im betting makes them even more conservative and methodical in their approach to this game, which will help keep the combined score on the low side of the total. Note: INDIANA is 7-0 UNDER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. INDIANA is 15-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-7 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 210.9 ppg going on the board. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-2 in Pacers last 11 overall.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 24-7-1 in Pacers last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 24-8 in Pacers last 32 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a ATS loss.Under is 36-15 in Pacers last 51 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 26-12 in Pacers last 38 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-5 in Celtics last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 home games.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-29-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Green Bay UNDER 156 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals My own projections make this total closer to 152 which gives us value on a least a 2 possession number. WI-GREEN BAY is 9-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 11-2 UNDER in home games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more since 1997 CS-BAKERSFIELD is 7-1 UNDER after playing a game as a road underdog this season. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - poor defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games are 211-138 UNDER L/22 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams against the total (WI-GREEN BAY) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are . 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-28-19 | Oregon v. Virginia UNDER 120 | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - KFC Yum Center - Louisville, KY These teams run two the slowest most deliberate paces in all of College Hoops, and in a game as important as this Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse the total as physical grinding action should be key. Virginia allows just 55 points per game, and Oregon just 62.5 ppg. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more defence. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 119.5 or less (OREGON/VIRGINIA) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better ) after 15+ games are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
03-28-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan UNDER 126.5 | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 62 h 5 m | Show | |
NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Honda Center - Anaheim, CA Texas TEch and Michigan both play at a methodical pace, and both base their entire success or failures on playing a top tier brand of defence. The Red Raiders have allowed an average of 59.2 ppg while Michigan has allowed 58.2 ppg. Look for this matchup to be a grinding physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. MICHIGAN is 15-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. TEXAS TECH is 8-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 50 points or less against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 75-35 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-28-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Houston hosts Denver tonight , needing a victory to clinch the season series and home-court advantage in case of these teams being tied at the end of the season. With that said,Im expecting a hard fought physical affair with both teams knowing the importance of this game. Recently the Rockets have been really been paying better attention to defence, and as a result have gone under in 11 of their L/13 games in March with a combined average score of 212.5 ppg scored. Denver their opposition has also been playing more conservatively as have gone under in 10 of their 12 games in March with a combined average score of 213.7 ppg scored. DENVER is also 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-28-19 | Raptors v. Knicks OVER 216 | 117-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
New York has an atrocious defence, especially of late as is evident by allowing 124.6 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. The explosive Raptors now come in ready to run and gun and keep their offensive flow going as the play offs approach, which will see them put a boatload full of points on the board here vs a team that could best be described as being in tank mode. I dont expect for their to be much defence on display tonight in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. TORONTO is 26-16 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. TORONTO is 14-4 OVER after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 11-2 OVER in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
03-28-19 | Mavs v. Heat OVER 210.5 | 99-105 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
The Mavericks don't have anything left to play for, while, the Heat are in a chase for a play off spot. I don't think the Mavs will give the Heat a pass here, and will try to play spoilers in this spot, while the Heat will take no chances and put the pedal to the metal and will be ready to deliver a conclusive win and I don't think there will be any coasting to the finish line , if they get up, which Im betting results in this score being eclipsed. Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 12-4 in Heat last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play OVER | |||||||
03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga UNDER 147.5 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is often looked at for their explosive offence, but they are ranked 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency and have held their opposition to 43% FG which ranks them 6th in the nation. Meanwhile athletic Florida State owns the 10th best adjusted defensive efficiency and have the ability to put alot of pressure on the Bulldogs attack . Im betting on this game staying under the total. When these teams met last year (March 22) the Seminoles took a 75-60 win, and Im betting on a similar combined output in the rematch. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GONZAGA) - red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more ) are 68-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-28-19 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 232 | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
In the frustrating 21-point loss at Orlando on Monday, the Sixers went nearly 12 minutes during one stretch without a field goal and there have been a few of those stretches lately, which could be signalling an ominous flash sign of a imminent scoring slump. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off a 148-144 OT loss, to Portland last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot that would see them revert back closer to their season offensive road average of 110 ppg or less in Philadelphia against a 76ers team that has allowed 109 ppg at home. Note: BROOKLYN is 15-5 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average score of 215.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. | |||||||
03-28-19 | Magic v. Pistons UNDER 207 | 98-115 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 12 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the total behind a 24th ranked pace and a D that ranks 5th in the league in ppg allowed and a offence that ranks 25th . Meanwhile, Detroit ranks 28th in pace and 7th in defence and a offence ranked 23rd. With that said , despite of the new NBA featuring alot of offence, we are at a juncture in the season when teams like this vying for a play off spot are very stringent with their D, especially if all their successes and failures hinge on top tier defence like these combatants. ORLANDO is 19-7 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 205.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road win are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER | |||||||
03-27-19 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 138.5 | 55-68 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
NIT - Quarterfinals Texas outside their conference in their recent NIT games have looked alot more offensively cohesive, scoring 79 and 78 points in back to back games thanks in part to the emergence of Courtney Ramey a young man that shows alot of talent and leadership abilities . Tonight the the Longhorns will go against a Colorado team, that can light it up when need be, as was evident in a recent battle with UCLA popping 93 points on the board. When I look at both teams weaknesses and strengths it becomes obvious to me that their will be alot more scoring here than the lines-makers anticipate. Boyle is 16-7 OVER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 144.5 ppg scored. Boyle is 6-0 OVER in road games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 160 ppg scored. Play OVER |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |