Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-29-21 | Central Michigan v. Kentucky UNDER 147.5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-28-21 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Revamped Golden State has built back better, and now sport a top tier D, that compliments a strong offense. However it is their D, that shines and stands out the most, allowing just 100.9 ppg this season, ranking 1st in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers key to success has been their defense for a while now ranking 3rd in ppg allowed. The Clippers know they cannot run and gun with the Warriors thus Im expecting a slowed down game plan from them today, in a contest that will feature strong D, and a combined score that stays on the low side of this offered Totals number. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 22-8 in Warriors last 30 road games. Under is 9-4-1 in Clippers last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 28-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-28-21 | Lightning v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is anchored in net by Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 10-3-3 with a .926 save percentage and a 2.09 GAA and the Bolts D, is of the top tier variety and will not be easy to score on by the Wild. Meanwhile, Wild goalie Talbot is 11-5-0 with a .913 save percentage and a 2.75 goals-against average and must also be respected. TAMPA BAY is 20-10 UNDER n road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons. Under is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings. Under is 5-0-1 in Lightning last 6 games as an underdog.Under is 11-1-1 in Lightning last 13 games as a road underdog. NHL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 50-24 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-28-21 | Rider v. South Carolina UNDER 147.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
11-28-21 | North Texas v. Drake UNDER 127 | 57-54 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UNDER | |||||||
11-27-21 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 205.5 | 92-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections make this Total closer to 209 thus giving us more than full possession value to the over. Over is 9-4 in Magic last 13 road games. CLEVELAND is 8-0 OVER in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237 ppg. ORLANDO is 13-4 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored.Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. is 20-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 season with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 51-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 38-14 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-27-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Panthers OVER 6 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
These teams are on back to backs and on tired legs . Both are off losses. The Panthers specifically don't take well to losing and Im betting come out here like blockbusters and force the Kraken into opening up or being blown off the ice. I don't expect alot of defense here tonight and a combined score that eclipses this total. NHL Home teams against the total (FLORIDA) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games in the first half of the season are 37-12 OVER L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Over is 5-2-1 in Panthers last 8 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Over is 5-1-1 in Kraken last 7 games as a road underdog.Over is 9-2 in Kraken last 11 overall.SEATTLE is 12-0 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-26-21 | Hawks v. Grizzlies OVER 225.5 | 132-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Atlanta ranks 6th in ppg in the NBA and 21st in ppg allowed while Memphis their hosts rank 7th in ppg scored in the league and 30th in ppg allowed with 7 of their L/9 games seeing a combined core of 227 or more points going on the board. Tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat offensive performance from the Grizzlies and enough efficiency from the Hawks for this offered total to be eclipsed. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 overall. MEMPHIS is 21-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 80-37 OVER L/ 5seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 66-33 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
11-26-21 | UNLV v. Air Force UNDER 50.5 | 14-48 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Air Force took part in a 41-39 offensive slugfest last time vs Nevada. However, previous to that shootout, the Falcons had allowed 10, 14, 17, 20, 21, 21 points respectively and only twice during that span scored more than 24 points. The Falcons love to pound the ball on the ground and here in a emotional letdown spot after their previous blockbuster will now be more conservative and ready to get back to playing solid D. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might indicate. Note: UNLV has averaged just 21.6 ppg on the road this season. AIR FORCE in straight home games off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 39.2 ppg go on the board. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 34 ppg scored. AIR FORCE is 21-5 UNDER in home games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (AIR FORCE) - after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 82-39 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show | |
They both are dealing with a short week as they prepare to meet Thursday night in New Orleans which sets up well for a slower paced game. Two viable defenses go head to head in prime time football this Thanksgiving. Buffalo has allowed just 17.6 ppg and the Saints have given up an average of 21.8 ppg. Thursday home pups like the Saints have gone UNDER all 5 times this season with a combined average of 36.8 ppg going on the board. Note: From a historical perspective it must be noted that the Saints have gone UNDER in in their last 9 Thursday nighters with a combined score of 39 ppg getting registered on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Buffalo was asleep at the wheel last week and were upset by a ugly 41-17 count by Indianapolis which Im betting will have them ready for a vigilant bounce back effort especially on D. Note: BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER off a home loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 30.9 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 10-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 42.3 ppg scored. McDermott is 12-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of BUFFALO with a combined average of 39 ppg going on the board. Under is 19-7 in Bills last 26 games on fieldturf. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Thanksgiving nigh tilts have stayed lower scoring in 10 of the L/14 events staying below the offered total by an of 5.8 ppg, with the under cashing 6 straight times. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-25-21 | Fresno State v. San Jose State UNDER 52.5 | 40-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
SAN JOSE STATE ranks 112th in points per game and 114th in yards per game and Im betting will once again struggle for consistent offensive flow vs Fresno State. Meanwhile, the The Bulldogs’ secondary is one of the tops in the nation , ranking eighth in Passing Success Allowed, and 5th in opponent completion percentage. On the flipside, Fresno State is more explosive offensively behind QB Haener, but it must be noted that the Spartans D is stout, ranking 23rd in coverage rating and 34th in yards per pass allowed with the defensive line ranking registering at 40th in pass rush and 48th in Sack Rate. This is a big game for San Jose State so Im betting they play this game like a chess match knowing they are outgunned, which in turn Im betting will see a muted combined score that fails to eclipse this offered total. SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.5 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (FRESNO ST) - after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 42-14 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (SAN JOSE ST/FRESNO ST) - in conference games, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 188-122 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-24-21 | Senators v. Sharks UNDER 6 | 3-6 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a closely contested 2-1 affair back in October this season, and Im betting that we will see another close checking game that will be planned in transition and translate into a lower scoring affair that will not eclipse this offered number. Ottawa just took part in a 7-5 offensive slugfest last time out in a loss to Colorado and will be ready to play better D . Note: In nine starts Sharks Goalie Reimer is among the league leaders with a 1.87 goals-against average and a .940 save percentage. SAN JOSE is 9-0 UNDER against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances this seasonSAN JOSE is 5-0 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.SAN JOSE is 6-0 UNDER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.Under is 4-0 in Sharks last 4 overall. Under is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 9-2 in Sharks last 11 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game .OTTAWA is 5-0 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Under is 4-1 in Senators last 5 vs. Pacific. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-24-21 | Ducks v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Avalanche have won five straight games, scoring 31 goals in those wins without their top offensive players McKinnon in the lineup and Im betting that offense will continue to roll here tonight vs the Anaheim Ducks . With that said, look for the Ducks behind a well balanced offense to do some damage in return and for this total to be eclipsed. Note: The Ducks have eight players with 10 or more points this year. sCOLORADO is 7-0 OVER against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances this season..COLORADO is 15-3 OVER after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 12-1 OVER after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 6-0 OVER in November games this season.COLORADO is 13-3 OVER after a 4 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 7-0 OVER after playing a road game this season. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Colorado. Play OVER | |||||||
11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves OVER 212 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
both these sides are operating at high level and both Im betting will be pushed into action tonight in what Im betting will see the combined score push into the upper 215+ area which projects an over wager cashing. Yes, I know both defenses are playing well but an aggressive posture by these teams will push is over the offered number. MIAMI is 8-1 OVER in non-conference games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 220.7 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate wih the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg. Over is 6-0 L/6 meetings overall in this series. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-23-21 | Portland v. Portland State UNDER 147 | 69-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-23-21 | Gonzaga v. UCLA UNDER 156.5 | 83-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) are 44-17 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
| |||||||
11-23-21 | Blackhawks v. Flames OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks are 5-1-0 since Derek King replaced Jeremy Colliton on Nov. 6, after winning just once in 12 games under Colliton and Im betting they wont be an easy out here. Meanwhile, as of Sunday the Flames had played eight games in 13 days with two back-to-backs and Im sure they are still a little fatigued, and may not be prepared to play a top tier brand of defense on tired legs. I expect the Blackhawks to be aggressive and for Calgary to answer back in a tilt that will be higher scoring than anticipated. Over is 8-3-2 in Blackhawks last 13 games as a road underdog. CALGARY is 6-0 OVER in home games when playing against a lower tier win percentage team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (CALGARY) - excellent defensive team - allowing 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games are 82-51 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Calgary. Play OVER | |||||||
11-23-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 207 | 100-92 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Detroit took part in a big brawl against the Lakers last time out. They also blew a big lead for a loss and will now want some sort of redemption. Meanwhile, with Miami knowing they should not overlook this opponent, and they themselves off a loss, Im betting the Heat will come out here firing bullets, and Motown will have to respond with some fireworks fo their own or be blown off the court in classic chase action -which will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games as a road favorite.MIAMI is 18-7 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored.MIAMI is 11-1 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 18-4 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222 ppg. DETROIT is 9-0 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.Casey is 34-19 OVER in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of DETROIT. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
11-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 61.5 | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois clinched the MAC West and motivation this week maybe an issue as well as trying to stay healthy before they go to Ford Field and play for the conference title. So Im betting on a muted effort here, by N.Illinois while Western Michigan really does not have alot to play after a very inconsistent season as they are projected to get an invite to a lower level bowl. Western Michigan has one of the better running games and today I expect they will employ that in grinding fashion, as they try to keep the explosive attack of the Huskies off the field, which in turn will keep the clock churning in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game than the pundits anticipate. Note: These two sides rank 104th and 96th in tempo in the nation. N.Illinois ha clinched a N ILLINOIS is 24-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 52.9 ppg scored.N ILLINOIS is 17-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 53.5 ppg scored during that 23 game sample size. CFB team against the total (W MICHIGAN) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 85-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-22-21 | Suns v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Suns romped to a big DD win last night and are currently firing on cylinders behind the 4th best ppg offense and 5th ranked pace. Note:PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored in the 17 game sample size . Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, San Antonio has allowed 115+ ppg at home this season, and rank 24th overall in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 4th in pace which sets up for what I expect will be a speedy game that will eclipse this offered totals number. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 home games NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 31-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the combined average score of 233 ppg going board. Play OVER | |||||||
11-22-21 | Penguins v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Winnipeg is well rested and will go after the Penguins in aggressive fashion here, and Im betting the Pens will be forced to open up because of this in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. WINNIPEG is 10-2 OVER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. I know the Pens have been tough as nails on defense the last two games, posting consecutive shutouts, including a 2-0 back checking event last time out, but that will make the Jets even more aggressive right out of the gate. PITTSBURGH is 21-10 OVER after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored in those 24 tilts. Over is 9-3 in Penguins last 12 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Penguins last 8 games as a road underdog. NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team in the first half of the season are 31-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-21-21 | Capitals v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Seattles D and goal tending have been atrocious of late, allowing 31 goals in their L/5 games and things do not look to get much better tonight against the explosive Washington Capitals.The Kraken Im betting will be forced to open up here because of their inability to stop their opponents. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. Note: Kraken Goaltenders Grubauer, has the worst save percentage (.875 SVP) in the NHL among goalies who have played 10 or more games. his backup Driedger's owns a .791 SVP ( 3 games). SEATTLE is 11-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.SEATTLE is 9-0 OVER after allowing 4 goals or more this season. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER | |||||||
11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 48 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
We have a top tier West Division battle between Arizona and Seattle this Sunday afternoon, both were off losses with the Seahawks getting shutout . Seattle’s enters this game playing a top tier brand of defense football, allowing 13, 7, and 17 pts allowed in their last 3 games and come in with a having eclipsed the total just once in 9 games this season and were shutout last time out with a total of 17 points being scored . The average line of Seahawks tilts has been 48.9 with the average combined score clicking in at 40.7 ppg. Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games as an underdog. Whether QB Kyle Murray plays (ANKLE) or is less than 100% Im betting he is kept mostly at bey. It must be noted that NFL WEST DIVISION games L/37 seasons when the home team is an underdog of 6 pts or less the under has hit 75% plus of the time after game 8 or greater (15-49-1 UNDER ). Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road favorite.Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 games on fieldturf. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games ARE 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - with a struggling passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 53 m | Show | |
Green Bays defense shined last time out with a 17-0 polishing of Seattle. Im expecting their D, to stand tall again this week in this key divisional battle vs Minnesota, a side of a hard fought victory last week vs the Chargers. Note: Minnesota has allowed 20 points or less in 5 of their L/7 overall. Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 home games. Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games overall.Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 vs. NFC. GREEN BAY is 8-1 UNDER (when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER vs struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 6-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season with a combined average of 34.5 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games are 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season ere 42-14 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-21-21 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 45 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 43 m | Show | |
I know the Jets D is atrocious but the Dolphins are not a team that can take huge advantage of this situation. Meanwhile, the Jets are not trusting Mike White under center, and the play calling from the offensive coordinator is amateurish at best making futility the call here today and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. NY JETS are 12-2 UNDER L/14 in home games versus struggling rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games in November.Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. AFC.Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 vs. AFC East.MIAMI is 41-14 UNDER vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return . MIAMI is 61-39 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. NFL team against the total (NY JETS) - after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 23-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFLHome teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY JETS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 35 points or more in 2 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MIAMI) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 29-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-21-21 | Texans v. Titans UNDER 45 | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 66 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas has scored 9 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games and today if they can muster that many points Ill be surprised vs a Titans team that held KC to just 3 points a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, Tennessee after 5 straight grueling games against top tier competition could end up using this game as a de-facto bye week, and not put the pedal to the metal or even be inclined to do so as they save some juice for the play offs . This equates to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers might expect. HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. DD road dogs like Texas off their bye week have gone under in 9 of their L/10 trips to the gridiron when the total is 42 or more. Texans are 1-10 L/11 under as a road dog of 3 points or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (HOUSTON) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-13 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NFL team against the total (TENNESSEE) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 36-14 L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-20-21 | Jazz v. Kings OVER 222 | 123-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this game ranked 27th in ppg defense and rank 7th in pace. Meanwhile, Utah ranks 3rd in offense behind a mid range pace as compared to the league. Using these numbers, and head to head style of play factors Im projecting a combined score in the mid 220s giving us value with an over wager. SACRAMENTO is 18-6 OVER in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. Walton is 29-12 OVER in home games after playing a home game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 9-2 in Kings last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home which was the case last time out, which from my perspective will make the Kings more aggressive especially in an environment that has nothing to lose written all over it. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - playing on back-to-back days, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 102-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
11-20-21 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
There is plenty of offensive fire power in these lineups and Im betting we see some fireworks tonight.With Crosby back in the line for the Pens after a covid protocol they will be more aggressive and that was evident when the Penguins lit up the board Thursday night with a 6-0 victory over the host Montreal Canadiens . The Pens now bring that momentum in here against a Leafs side that has won 10 of their L/11. Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 games as an underdog. PITTSBURGH is 9-2 OVER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 16-7 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average 7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (PITTSBURGH) - after a blowout win by 4 goals or more against opponent after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 23-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on OVER | |||||||
11-20-21 | Connecticut v. Central Florida UNDER 56 | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
UConn has averaged 13.8 ppg on offense this season and my projections estimate a even lower aggregate here vs UCF that allows just 15.8 ppg at home vs better competition. This outlook leans heavy on this being a game that will not see this combined score eclipse the offered number. Note: UCF allowed 55 points in a loss to SMU last week, but prior to that they allowed 7, 7 10 points respectively and a return to strong defensive play is key here for the home side. Malzahn is 10-1 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UCF) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game.are 24-3 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 60 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis games have not eclipsed the total in 4 straight opportunities. Meanwhile, I know Houston ash really been lighting up the scoreboard but it must be noted Holgorsen is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 52.7 ppg scored. Im expecting a harder fought battle than many expect with less points than the most expect. MEMPHIS is 23-5 UNDER L/28 in road games in weeks 10 through 13 . CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (HOUSTON) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 33-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 52.3 ppg. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-19-21 | NC-Greensboro v. Massachusetts OVER 130.5 | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
11-18-21 | Raptors v. Jazz OVER 214.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
TORONTO is 24-11 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average for 225.6 ppg . Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team. are 56-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. | |||||||
11-18-21 | Louisville v. Duke OVER 60 | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Duke cant stop the run or the pass, and they have pretty well given up any kind of gritty play which is necessary when looking for strong defensive efforts.Duke has allowed and average of 45 points per game in their L/4 trips to the gridiron. Duke also ranks (104th in Success Rate Allowed via the run), (103rd in Success Rate Allowed via the pass) or the big play (124th). The Blue Devils have had success running the ball as was the case vs Virginia Tech and Im betting they have the same success again which will open play action down field for some scores vs a Louisville secondary that gets torched for big plays mostly because they open up the field because of not being able to stop opposing ground attacks. Meanwhile, Louisville really put the boots to a good Syracuse D last week, by scoring 41 points, by mostly running our side the tackles, which Im betting will be a successful formula this week, vs a side that is porous and slow at best. This game has the makings of a big ugly scoring slugfest. DUKE is 11-2 OVER in home games off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals with a combined average of 63 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (LOUISVILLE) - after a win by 21 or more points against opponent after 3 straight losses by 21 or more points are 25-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-18-21 | Pennsylvania v. Utah State UNDER 141.5 | 79-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | Bulls v. Blazers OVER 219.5 | 107-112 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
My projections make this total a little low, as my estimates says we should see a combined score into lower 220s. Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. PORTLAND is 14-4 OVER in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 233.4 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 41-19 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 on the opening line (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 36-11 OVER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-17-21 | Central Michigan v. Ball State OVER 58.5 | 37-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
This total opened around 63 on the board , but than sharp money has come in ever since and driven the number down to a bit to much according to my projections which sets my estimates in at 61 which gives us almost a FG edge to the over. I know we are expecting to see some rain in Muncie tonight, but the field turf @ Scheumann Stadium will handle it well. Note: Central Michigan has allowed 39, 30 and 30 points respectively in their L/30 while scoring 38, 42,54 points in their L/3 overall. Even if the Chippewas regress because of weather and other reasons Im betting on them putting out a +30 out offensive output here, while allowing +30 points to a Ball State offense that has shown flashes of brilliance scoring 45 on Western Michigan and 38 points on Eastern Michigan. At this offering we have value to the OVER. McElwain is 8-1 OVER (when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of C MICHIGAN with the average combined score clicking in at 69.7 ppg.C MICHIGAN in their L/9 November games over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 68.5 ppg scored. Neu is 6-0 OVER in home games off a road loss against a conference rival as the coach of BALL ST with the average combined score registering at 73 ppg. BALL ST in their L/9 games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a average team offensive output of 34.9 ppg. Play OVER Play OVER | |||||||
11-16-21 | Coyotes v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Arizona has almost no offensive flow as is evident by scoring 2 goals or less in 10 of their L/12 games and 9 of those games score 1 goal or less . Im betting nothing from a offensive perspective changes tonight as we see the downtrodden Coyotes try to keep this game within reach by playing a strong defensive game with conservative over tones. Under is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 games as a road underdog.Under is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 road games ARIZONA is 10-2 UNDER in road games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons ARIZONA is 6-0 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season. Under is 8-2 in Blues last 10 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-15-21 | Long Beach State v. UCLA UNDER 147.5 | 79-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
11-15-21 | Suns v. Wolves OVER 222 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota has allowed 4 of their L/6 opponents to breach the 123 point plateau and tonight my projections estimate the Suns will produce a +119 to +129 point offensive output which gives an edge to this offered total being eclipsed. Minnesota owns a 24th ranking in Defensive Net rating and are ranked 9th in pace. Phoenix ranks 3rd in offensive ppg and 4th in pace. MINNESOTA is 16-3 OVER after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 44-25 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg going on the board in those 69 tilts. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - after one or more consecutive overs, a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) are 24-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a road loss are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The Islanders were embarrassed last time out losing by a 4-0 count to NJ a team they should have beaten. HC Barry Trotz called the team after that ugly event and now Im expecting a bounce back performance behind top tier goalie Sorokin and a D that must be considered to of the top tier variety. Note:NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER off an embarrassing road loss where they were shut out over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 2.9 gpg going the board.NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. Meanwhile, TB has not allowed more than 2 goals in 6 straight games, and another top tier defensive effort must be expected against a Isles team that struggles on the power play and operates and generates almost all their offense out of transition in conservative fashion. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | 95-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Denver s top tier D, have not allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to breach the 98 point plateau ranking first in ppg allowed and ranking 26th in pace behind the leagues 27th worst ppg offense. Meanwhile, Portland averages 104 ppg on the road this season, but my projections estimate at least 6% drop in output here based on a analytical chart I use which equates, into a 97.76 team score , while Denver is estimated to score 107 points, giving us more than a full possession advantage on this totals offering making this a viable bet based in my projections, DENVER is 8-1 UNDER vs poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 196.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER as a favorite this season with a combined average of 196 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 55-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-14-21 | Canucks v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Canucks will enter off a 7-4 loss to the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday and are now on tired legs and in need of shoring up their defensive play, which will play a factor in what Im betting will be lower scoring affair here tonight in Anaheim vs a well rested Ducks team. VANCOUVER is 31-17 UNDER in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 25-13 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (VANCOUVER) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored are 95-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ANAHEIM) - after a blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored are 181-100 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-13-21 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
The Rangers have been off since Monday, when they held off a late comeback by the visiting Florida Panthers to earn a 4-3 win. Now well rested I expect they will have the legs to play a strong defensive game, something that coaching staff is keying on this year with the Rangers. Meanwhile, Columbus is on tired legs after playing last night and Im betting they will not be aggressive offensively as usual. NY RANGERS are 5-0 UNDER in road games off a win or tie in their previous game this season with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.Under is 7-1-1 in Rangers last 9 games following a win.Under is 7-1-1 in Rangers last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-12-21 | Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 49 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams have exhibited much better defensive efforts than offensive efforts this season, and Im betting things wont change tonight on the Blue Carpet as Boise State and Wyoming take part in a grinding game, that will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. From a historical standpoint the L/6 meetings here have gone under the total on the Blue Carpet. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (WYOMING) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (BOISE ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-10-21 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois UNDER 62 | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams when it comes to play off and possible Bowl implications and Im expecting to be hard fought. Im not sold on N.Illinois D, but tonights weather forecast in DeKalb, Ill. is predicting 13-15 mph winds throughout the game, which will hamper both air attacks which in turn will effect offensive output.N ILLINOIS is 16-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 and N ILLINOIS is 23-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored which was the case last time out. with a combined average of 52.8 ppg. CFB team against the total (N ILLINOIS) - good passing team (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.) against a poor passing defense (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 64-28 L/5 seasons for 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-10-21 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 50 | 49-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Toledo has a bad defensive game last time out vs Eastern Michigan but have been very good overall this season, and now Im expecting a bounce back effort. Im also betting we will see Toledo grind on the ground all night, against a tough Bowling Green D and their spotty offense in what will be a low scoring war in the trenches. TOLEDO is 23-8 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TOLEDO) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons . CFB team against the total (BOWLING GREEN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to have Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-09-21 | Kings v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Kings pulled off the upset last night on the road against the Leafs and now come into this game in an emotional letdown state and on tired legs. Thus Im betting on a conservative energy conserving effort here tonight vs the Habs. I expect the Kings will play most of this game in transition, and the Les Canadiens to fall into the trap system after a recent bad defensive performance , and because of their lack of current offensive production . Everything for me leans towards a lower scoring affair. Under is 3-1-1 in Canadiens last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a win.Under is 17-4 in Kings last 21 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Kings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 9-3-1 in Kings last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 8-3 in Kings last 11 overall.Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 games as an underdog. LOS ANGELES is 21-10 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Montreal. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-09-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan UNDER 62 | 40-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
These are two teams that base their offensive attacks on a run-heavy game plan and both sides also are ranked among the slowest paces in college football. I know Akrons D, is horrendous and Western Michigan will do some damage, but they have had problems finishing drives, so output Im betting will not be as extreme as the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile, Akron despite of some recent success through the air will have issues against a solid Broncos secondary. For me this equates to a more muted score than the pundits expect. Note:Under is 24-6 in Zips last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game which was the case last time out vs Central Michigan. ( A more concerted D effort is to be expected). Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-09-21 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Villanova UNDER 132.5 | 51-91 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Mount Saint Marys is a big team, and they wont be easily pushed around by Villanova.Malik Jefferson ,Mezie Offurum, Nana Opoku are all 6-foot-8 or taller and will have not problems bumping heads here in what will be a physical approach to this game to slow down their top tier opponent. the Mount ranked first in defensive efficiency in their conference last season and ranked 10th in all of College Hoops in field goal percentage, allowing a 45% conversion rate . The Mount also ranked ninth nationally in field goal percentage at the rim and must not be underestimated int heir ability to coheres Villanova into a muted offensive output . With the mount losing top offensive player Chong Qui they in turn will have problems with offensive flow. I know Villanova can light it up, especially from three point land , but they did run at slower pace than expected when adjusted to tempo ranking 334th in the nation. Im expecting a grinding affair, here today and a score that remains on the low side of the total. MOUNT ST MARYS is 22-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost 6 straight thanks to a lack off offensive flow, and Im betting nothing changes tonight as they play a Dallas team that is playing a strong brand of defense at the moment. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. DALLAS is 12-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-0-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a favorite. DALLAS is 29-12 UNDER L/41 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games as a road underdog. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS/DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 40-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. | |||||||
11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Milwaukee because of some injury issues have been less than fluid offensively lately and that has resulted in a string of unders. However, Budenholzer has been repeating a mantra of late that his team needs to be more aggressive, and after their loss to NYK at home last time out, Im betting we see exactly what the HC is calling for. With Washington getting into a offensive flow of late, Im betting on a higher scoring game than the lines-makers may anticipate. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 246.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 21-6 in Wizards last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rater for bettors. Bucks and Wizards have gone over in 8 straight meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
11-06-21 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My matchup stats suggest that despite of these teams recent overall trends that they will combine for 6 or more goals. BOSTON is 17-5 OVER in road games off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival with z combined average of 6.4 gpg scored. Over is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 4 goals or more against opponent after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 22-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-06-21 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 37.5 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
These sides slugged away on the ground against each other last year in a game that ended in a 10-7 score ( 17 total points) and the year prior to that a 17-13 final score ( 30 points) . Im betting on another grinder here and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the number again. Note : Academy Totals are 39-9-1 UNDER L/49 for a 81% win rate. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.ARMY is 7-0 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Detroit is the only team shooting below 40 percent (39.4), and is even worse behind the 3-point arc (26.7 percent, also worst in the NBA) and because of this the lines-makers have under estimated the Totals number here. This kind of ineptness is bound to recoil on the upide of the output markers. Philadelphia took a 110-102 victory vs the Pistons at home last Thursday and my estimate makes the Total closer to 212 which according to those projections makes for a viable over wager here.Over is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit and 7-0 OVER L/7 overall meetings. Rinse and repeat to the over in play here. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Isles have gone under in 5 straight games as they continue to dictate a slow pace to their games, with at present inconsistent results in offensive output bodes well for a lower scoring affair vs a struggling offensive team in the Habs . NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.5 gog scored. NY ISLANDERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5% or less of their chances over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Islanders last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 7-1-1 in Canadiens last 9 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-3 in Canadiens last 10 games as a home underdog.Under is 13-3-2 in Canadiens last 18 vs. Eastern Conference NHL team against the total (MONTREAL) - horrible offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 40-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers have not breached the 100 point plateau in 3 straight games, while the Wolves have not scored more than 98 points in 4 of their L/5 overall. Clippers also own the 6th best 'ppg defense and the 26th ranked ppg offense and 27th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wolves rank 7th in ppg allowed and 25 in ppg scored offense. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 214.7 ppg. MINNESOTA is 10-0 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or less 3 straight games are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-02-21 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Vegas has seen a total of 6 attached to just 8 of their road games since last season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored. Considering the Leafs offense seems to be in an early season funk scoring more than 3 goals just once this season, it wont be a hard decision here to take the under , especially with Vegas dealing with some nagging injuries up front. Under is 4-0 in Golden Knights last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 10-3-2 in Maple Leafs last 15 games following a win.Under is 21-7-1 in Maple Leafs last 29 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-3 in Maple Leafs last 11 overall.Under is 7-3 in Maple Leafs last 10 games as a favorite.Under is 39-18-2 in Maple Leafs last 59 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (VEGAS) - after winning 2 consecutive games in overtime against opponent after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more are 22-4 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 4.4 gpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Chicago ranks 4th in ppg allowed D, and have shown themselves to be methodical in their approach ranking 22nd in pace and Im betting . Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of some tainted numbers are also running at a slower pace ranking 14th in the league. My projections have estimated this Totals offering to be off by almost a full possession to the under at 215 giving us value on this offered number. CHICAGO is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg . CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 road games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - off a home win, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on UNDER | |||||||
10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 52 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 57 m | Show | |
Dallas is really lighting it up and look like a team possessed scoring 35, 44, 36, and 41 in their last 4 trips to the gridiron .Non-Division teams like the Cowboys who produced 35 or more points off offense in each of their last 4 contests are a perfect 6-0 L/6 opportunities OVER when the Total is 46 or higher. Dallas has gone over 9 straight times, vs the NFC north where the Vikings reside, and Im betting on rested legs and off a bye week they will light the board up against vs a inconsistent Vikings D.Over is 14-3-1 in Cowboys last 18 games following a bye week.DALLAS is 11-3 OVER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 61.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the Vikings also off a bye week will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own, which Im betting will result in a combined score to go over the offered number. Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games following a bye week.Over is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 vs. NFC.MINNESOTA is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 61.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
10-31-21 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas has started this season paying special attention to defense and that has resulted in 5 straight unders. The Mavericks are ranked 8th in ppg allowed and 24th in pace and dead last in offensive output. Meanwhile, Sacramento runs at a faster pace, but will have their flow curtailed here which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered number. Note: Afternoon NBA games also generally have a tendency of being slower events. Under is 6-0 in Kings last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-5-1 in Kings last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 home games. Under is 12-3 in Mavericks last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 72-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER NBA team (DALLAS) - an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 112-63 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 61 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State started their season with a 5-0 run and than after blowing a late lead lost to Iowa 20-18 in heart breaking fashion, and than in a letdown situation lost last time out in surprising fashion 20-18 to Illinois last time out. No matter what there has been one constant with Penn State this season, and that is a top tier D, both against the run and secondary as is evident by allowing an average of 14.7 ppg. With the opportunity to gain back some respect, Im betting the Lions really lean on the Buckeyes and make them work for points this week. This Im betting directly effects the combined score to the under as Penn State has also proven to be a conservative team on offense. Franklin is 11-2 UNDER after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 44.4 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team ( 6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 32-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pelicans played and lost last night, and are now on tired legs . Add to that their offensive flow without Zion Williamson is muted ranking 27th in ppg offensive average and you have a situation where points will be hard to come by vs a staunch defensive side that plays a good portion of their games in a slow paced environment. note: Knicks rank 26th in pace in the NBA Under is 5-0-1 in Pelicans last 6 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 195.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 20-9 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons of 210.5 ppg. Under is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 31-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 212.4 ppg. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston UNDER 62.5 | 37-44 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Houstons D, is of the top tier variety allowing just 17.3 ppg on the season and 14.3 ppg at home. I know SMU owns and explosive offense but Im betting they will be muted here. Meanwhile, SMUs D, is also under rated and despite of allowing alot of points in garbage time have still allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg . Today in this important game for these side, Im expecting more of a chess game than an all out slugfest which will result in this total not being eclipsed. HOUSTON is 20-7 UNDERoff a no-cover where the team won as a favorite with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (SMU) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 62% or better, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 57-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-30-21 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 56 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Recent history in this series: Since the first meeting in this series back in 2014 the Panthers took the next three games, winning 34-7 in 2015 in Statesboro, 30-24 in 2016 in Atlanta and 21-17 in 2017 in Statesboro. GS won the next two games, 35-14 in 2018 in Atlanta and 38-10 in 2019 in Statesboro before the Panthers won last year 30-24 in Atlanta. According to these numbers none of confrontations has seen the combined score eclipse this total. Georgia Southern remains a ground-oriented team. The Eagles rank No. 1 in the conference with 238.5 yards per game. Meanwhile, Georgia State averages 221.9 yards rushing per game, No. 3 in the Sun Belt, behind its big, experienced offensive line and will also pound the ball. With both teams leaning on their ground games alot of clock time will be eaten, and Im betting that results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. GEORGIA ST is 11-2 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (GEORGIA ST/GA Southern) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games are 40-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-30-21 | Islanders v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Barry Trotz Islanders are now in a defensive groove and that discipline will continue here again vs the Nashville Predators this afternoon. Note: Isles goalie Ilya Sorokin for KHL phenom could easily be headed to towards NHL stardom if he stays healthy. He has already recorded 2 shutouts an was less than a minute away from a third one. Note:NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41. gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 14-2 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Astros Garcia struggled down the stretch after a very good season, and his problems have continued into the play offs. Considering Astros’ relievers saw alot of action in the first two games it wont be hard for me to imagine the Braves doing some damage today. Meanwhile, Anderson the Braves starter has been good but not spectacular this season, after an amazing 2020 season and my pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he may take an early exist but before that Im betting on the Astros explosive offense to get back on track here in put enough runs on the board for us to eclipse this total. Atlanta used have a reputation for being a pitchers park but that has turned around a bit and must now be considered more of a hitters park. Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 interleague home games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff games as an underdogMLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 43-20 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205.5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 4 of their 5 games go over the total this season, thanks to a bad D (allowing 120 or more points in 3 of those tilts. They will have to open up soon, or continue to see negative results because of their defensive ineptness. Tonight Im betting the Magic become more aggressive and for the Raptors to fire back in a tilt my projections estimate at 209. ORLANDO is 19-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored in those 27 games.
NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a struggling team (25% or ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 228 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Golden State is back to running and gunning and rank 5th in offensive out put and 6th in pace in the NBA and Im betting they continue to push forward here at a high octane pace tonight vs a tired Memphis side that wont have the legs to play defense after playing last night and this being their 4th straight road game. Subsequently I expect the Grizzlies will have to open up or be blown of the court which will result in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. MEMPHIS is 27-15 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored in those 42 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE/MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER | |||||||
10-28-21 | Flyers v. Canucks OVER 6 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia’s power play is explosive as is evident by having garnered a eye popping 36.4% success rate. On the flip side I have watched portions of some Canuck games and their defense is just to shaky and inconsistent to deal with this kind of pressure from a smooth skating Flyers side that usually plays a wide open style of hockey. finally the Canucks have a strong top 6 and I expect they wont go down without all out fight here in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. Over is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 9-1-1 in Flyers last 11 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-1 in Canucks last 6 vs. Metropolitan.PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 OVER in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 8-1 OVER off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
10-28-21 | Troy v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 52 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
Defensively, Troy has been in top form this season and Im betting they keep Coastal Carolina from one of their usually explosive offense outputs. They are hard to run on and pass against, thus Im betting that this will contribute greatly to a lower scoring affair that does not see this offered total eclipsed. l. Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games on grass. Under is 9-2 in Trojans last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Chanticleers last 6 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Chanticleers last 5 games overall. COASTAL CAROLINA is 12-3 UNDER in home games after playing a conference game with a combined 47.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TROY) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 49-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-28-21 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 222.5 | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington early on this season is not running and gunning like they have in the recent past and their pace is now ranked 17th in the league and they at least for now are paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition which Im betting translates in lower offensive outputs. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks , currently rank 29th in pace while their D, has been staunch ranking 3rd in ppg allowed and 4th in the league in overall defensive rankings . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring game than the offered total. Under is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 road games. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-27-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Both these bullpens have been taxed and are vulnerable, Atlanta's stater today Fried is obviously a top tier hurler , however, the Astros have completely annihilated left-handed pitching during their current campaign and recorded the highest wRC+vs lefties in MLB this season . As of today the Astros own a .305 BA vs southpaws along with a .838 OPS against lefties while overall averaging 6.3 rpg in the post season against all hurlers. Im expecting for the Astors to bounce back from yesterdays 6-2 loss here with a big offensive output but Im also betting the Braves continue to astound the lines-makers with some offensive fireworks of their own vs J. Urquidy. The Houston hurler throws more than 55% of his pitches for fastballs, and the Braves are one of MLB best fastball hitting sides ranking 8th in the league agains these kind of hurlers. Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a loss.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Astros to win | |||||||
10-26-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Golden State won their 3rd straight game out of the gate this season, with their D, playing tough in Sacramento. Tonight against a Thunder team that look to have very little offensive flow at the moment, Im betting the Warriors once again will mute the Oklahoma City D, and aid in this tilt stay under the offered Totals number. Note: Oklahoma City is averaging just 93.3 ppg on offense so far this season. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 10 points or more are 25-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat OVER 213.5 | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two interstate rivals go head to head in a early season tilt that has to low of a totals number attached to it according to my projections. My number is closer to 216 thus giving us value with an over wager. Note: MIAMI is 11-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Heat last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 10-2 in Heat last 12 games as a favorite. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 Monday games.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 road games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games. Play OVER | |||||||
10-24-21 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Celtics looked tired in flat last time out in a 115-83 loss to the Raptors. Im now expecting a much more focused effort that will see Boston playing alot more basketball in transition while paying attention to this defensive play which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. BOSTON in their L/18 games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have seen a combined average of 202.6 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Rockets last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 34-16-1 in Rockets last 51 home games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a losing record last season are 24-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. 16 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996 here in Houston. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-24-21 | Texans v. Cardinals UNDER 47.5 | 5-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
The Texans have scored a total of 35 points in 4 games (8.75 ppg). Arizona has allowed an average of 18 ppg, and Im betting both these means to averages will continue. I know the Texans D, is atrocious and the Cards are putting up points in bunches, but Im betting Texas does everything possible to turn this into a grinding slow motion affair. On the flip-side Arizona is off a road underdog win last time out, and be in a letdown state here vs a side that Im sure they are not taking very seriously no matter what they say. Also after playing 3 of their L/4 games and at break neck speed this will be a spot where the Cardinals energy levels will be lower than usual which will relate to a slower event that may might expect. These are my expectations, and right or wrong Im betting this game with confidence to the under. HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. Note: undefeated non-division home teams like the Arizona Cardinal from GAME 5 and beyond have gone a 0-11-1UNDER L/5 seasons when the Totals offering is 45 or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog, after the first month of the season are 46-18 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-24-21 | Lions v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 51 m | Show | |
Detroit is ranked 28th in scoring in the NFL averaging 18.3 ppg and here against a solid Rams D, that output average will be further muted and have scored 17 or less points in 5 straight. That lack of productivity Im betting will help keep this combined score under the offered number. It must be noted that the LA Rams play at the rate in the NFL averaging just 59 plays per game. I expect a slower more deliberate game from the Rams after playing 2 consecutive road games. Its takes time to use to home cooking so I dont expect them to be as explosive as usual.
NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LA RAMS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-23-21 | Islanders v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
HC Barry Trotz Islanders after a rough start are back playing the type of disciplined hockey they have become famous for and Im betting here on the road in Arizona I expect another one of those top defensive efforts. NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored.
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 223 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the high 220s here giving us ultimate value with an over wager in this spot. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games. These teams have gone over in 7 straight meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
10-23-21 | BYU v. Washington State OVER 55.5 | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections estimate both these sides will score+28 points which gives value to this over wager. Over is 9-2 in WStates last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in BYU Cougars last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 3-1-1 in CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BYU/WASH ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 30-2 OVER L/10 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 72.6 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
10-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 54.5 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections on total offensive output is based on trending stats , but also how both these coach's perform under certain situations and perimeters. Add to that a overall college football trend that denotes a lower scoring affair and I am solidly on the under here today. This is an important MAC game so it will see some chess master moves by both coaches that will keep the game more conservative than might usually be the case , which will Im betting keep this tilt under the total. Candle is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of TOLEDO with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. Lester is 7-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored.Lester is 8-1 UNDER after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W MICHIGAN) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-8 L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-23-21 | Flames v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 4-3 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Washingtons goalie Vanecek, the 2014 second-round draft pick, has looked like the real deal while garnering 1.30 goals-against average and .946 save percentage in three games as he makes a case to be the team's No. 1 netminder in his second pro season. Im betting he holds down the fort here tonight vs struggling Calgary offense. Im betting on Calgary struggling to score in a conservative game plan out of transition and for Washington to do minimal damage vs a Flames side that will not be taking many chances. CALGARY is 18-8 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. CALGARY is 17-7 UNDER ( in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. Under is 4-0-2 in Flames last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Flames last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Flames last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 10-2-1 in Flames last 13 road games.Under is 12-3-1 in Flames last 16 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0-1 in Capitals last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Capitals last 6 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Capitals last 4 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Capitals last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 vs. Pacific. NHL team against the total (CALGARY) - struggling offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-22-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
These numbers is bit high according to my projections and should be closer to 220 so we have a full possession value to the under. PHOENIX is 17-5 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more since 1996 with a combined average of 201 ppg going on scoreboard. Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as a road underdog. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 17-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-22-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State UNDER 59 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Colorado States D, is up-trending in my power rankings, and have allowed a total of 51 points in their L/4 trips to the gridiron ( 12.75 ppg average) and their ability to slow down Utah States attack will help directly keep this game from going over the number. Meanwhile, Utah State after an explosive start offensively have settled down and have 24,28, and 3 points in their L/3 with all those tilts staying under the total. Tonight Im expecting a grinding game between two Mountain west squads and a total that will not be eclipsed. Note: CSU is 4-1 under L/5 overall. COLORADO ST is 37-19 UNDER L/56 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with a combined average of 51.6 ppg going on the board. UTAH ST is 39-21 UNDER L/60 when the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 56 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-22-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 9 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Astros offense has averaged 6.9 runs per game this postseason, ranked No. 1 in the MLB play offs and and have scored at least five runs in eight of their nine games. Here against BoSox starter Eovaldi a rinse and repeat situation is expected. especially considering how shaky Red sox bullpen support has been Note: From the 49 runs allowed by Boston in the post season 27 have been allowed by the bullpen Meanwhile, Astros starter Luis Garcia has had issues in his first two starts this postseason, not going past the third inning while giving up five earned runs in each outing and has garnered a ugly 24.55 ERA this postseason. He is not 100% with a knee injury and could easily get bounced around here from a Red Sox batting order that despite of being inconsistent can light up the best of hurlers in this league.HOUSTON is 11-1 OVER in October games this season with an average of 12.4 rpg going on the board. Play OVER | |||||||
10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 225.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these teams took part in wide open back forth high scoring hoops affairs in their first games of the season. Both now Im betting are on slightly tired legs and will now play a more conservative brand of hoops here in their 2nd game of the season. My projections estimate both sides will score no more than +108 points which sets in play key trends. CHARLOTTE is 17-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.1 ppg going on the board .CLEVELAND is 18-1 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 192.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as a favorite.Under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHARLOTTE) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-21-21 | San Jose State v. UNLV OVER 43.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
When these teams played last season San Jose State won by a 34-17 count. Now despite of the Spartans offensive numbers showing. a distinct drop from last season, my own projections estimate they matchup well here vs D allowing 35 ppg on average and should easily go above their offensive season averages. Meanwhile, UNLV winless on the season, are desperate for a win and will not be conservative in their approach here today and will come at the Spartans in aggressive fashion which increases the probability of an output that goes over this offered total. UNLV is 21-9 OVER L/30 vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.UNLV is 20-4 OVERoff a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival with a combined average of 65.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 Thursday games. Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (UNLV) - off a home loss against a conference rival, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 69-35 OVER L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
10-20-21 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 218.5 | 134-138 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Knicks had success last year playing a grinding systematic brand of hoops and nothing will change this season. Meanwhile, Boston is a little banged up, with Horford is Out (COVID-19), Jaylen Brown is questionable (COVID-19) and Payton Pritchard is probable (nose) and their flow could easily be off here in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the offered totals number. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a home favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The Braves turn to veteran right-hander Charlie Morton, who went 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA in the regular season and this season and 8-4 on the road along with a 2.96 ERA. He was 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA vs. Los Angeles this season and is more than capable of slowing down a suddenly struggling Dodgers offense. Note: The Dodgers are just 2-for-18 with runners in scoring position in the series. Meanwhile, the dodgers will respond with Walker Buelher who owns. a2.05 ERA at home this season, and is 3-0 when starting against Atlanta in his career along with a 3.06 ERA. Im betting on both these pitchers and two viable bullpens to help keep this game on the low side of the offered number. BUEHLER is 18-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored in those 24 games. Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 League Championship home games.Under is 7-3 in Dodgers last 10 playoff games. Under is 23-10-5 in Dodgers last 38 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Dodgers last 27 vs. National League East. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games following an off day.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 playoff road games.Under is 18-6-2 in Braves last 26 games as an underdog.Under is 13-6-2 in Braves last 21 vs. National League West. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-18-21 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LCS - Best Of 7 - Game 3 Astros starter URQUIDY is 13-5 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored in those 18 games. URQUIDY is 12-4 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. BoSox Starter RODRIGUEZ in 63 games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined score of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 16 games. Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 playoff games. BOSTON is 32-16 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons with an average of 11 rpg scored in this 48 games. Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall. Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 playoff games.Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.Over is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League West.Over is 10-1-1 in Red Sox last 12 League Championship home games. Over is 7-1-2 in Red Sox last 10 League Championship games. Play OVER | |||||||
10-18-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Flyers OVER 6 | 1-6 | Win | 101 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Flyers continue to run and gun in explosive back forth action. They started their season much like how they played most of their tilts last season with a tilt that featured 9 total goals while losing to Vancouver by a 5-4 count. PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 OVER after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. the Kraken did play a strong defensive game last time out, losing to Columbus 2-1, but here tonight Im betting they will be pressed into action or be blown off the ice by a team only playing their 2nd game of the season. This is the Krakens 4th game already all on the road and Im sure tired legs are starting to set in making them defensive vulnerable. Over is 3-0-1 in Flyers last 4 vs. Western Conference.Over is 3-0-1 in Flyers last 4 home games.Over is 8-1-1 in Flyers last 10 games as a home favorite.Over is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 vs. Pacific.Over is 19-6-1 in Flyers last 26 games as a favorite. Play OVER | |||||||
10-17-21 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 49 | 38-11 | Push | 0 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
Giants offense is banged up with Barkely Jones expected out and a few more keys guys expected to miss or be less than 100% if they do play. The giants struggle at the best times to score so now this week against a tough D, Im betting their output problems continue . This is a contributional factor I have used to recommend we take the under here today. The Gmen have seen their L/6 home games stay under the total with a combined average of 36 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.5 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER vs. inconsistent defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.6 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.2 ppg going on the board. Under is 5-1 in Rams last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 16-5 in Rams last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 21-7 in Rams last 28 games as a favorite.Under is 11-4 in Rams last 15 games as a road favorite. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (NY GIANTS) - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a division rival, with a losing record are 31-9 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-16-21 | Iowa State v. Kansas State UNDER 51 | 33-20 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
Iowa State plays a grinding type of football and in 3 diff games allowed 10-7-3 points. the last two meetings in this series have stayed under the total. rinse and repeat. IOWA ST is 6-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. IOWA ST is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return with a combined average of 41.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. CFB team against the total (KANSAS ST) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 25-2 UNDER for a 93% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.8 ppg scored. CFBeam against the total (IOWA ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 48.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-16-21 | Stars v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Stars took a 3-2 win vs the Rangers in the first game of the season, and continued to show a disciplined defensive style of play that attacks usually only out of transition. With my projections expecting a lower scoring affair because of the Bruins expected style of play and under wager here is a viable money making opportunity for under bettors. Under is 6-1-1 in Bruins last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 12-4-5 in Stars last 21 games as a road underdog. DALLAS is 22-9 UNDER on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-16-21 | Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 43 | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
IOWA is 15-3 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.8 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (PURDUE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-2 with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-15-21 | California v. Oregon UNDER 54 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Oregon and California have a long history of low scoring affairs with 9 of the L/10 meetings staying under the total. The two most recent meetings have seen 24 and 38 combined points go on the board. Rinse and repeat this Friday night. Wilcox is 12-4 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 47.7 ppg scored.Wilcox is 9-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 42 ppg going on the scoreboard.Wilcox is 22-11 UNDER against conference opponents as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 46.7 ppg scored.Wilcox in 6 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of CALIFORNIA has seen a combined average of 46 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3 in Golden Bears last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-3 in Ducks last 12 games in October.O record.Under is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games following a bye week. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-11-21 | Rays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Two tired pitching staffs/bullpens has me taking an over stance here today behind two explosive offenses. TAMPA BAY is 20-8 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 30-18 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. BOSTON is 16-6 OVER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings this season MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TAMPA BAY) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 110-49 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 36 m | Show | |
This game is a one way street to an over in my betting opinion. Chiefs rank 30th in overall defense allowing. a whopping 438 ypg)and rank 30th in scoring defense at 31.3 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bills average 33.5 ppg and more than 400 ypd on offense. I know the Bills D is strong, but KC can score and explode offensively against any side, and put 40 points on the board last week. This is a pretty high total but Ill take a square stance here and take the over in what should be a prime time shootout. KANSAS CITY is 9-1 OVER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.1 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER ( in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 57.3 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 73-36 OVER L/38 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
10-10-21 | Browns v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | 42-47 | Loss | -112 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two very solid defensive sides going head to head today. Cleveland has allowed 16.8 ppg this season, and LAC 18.5 ppg. More of the same looks to be on tap this Sunday. LA CHARGERS are 29-11 UNDER L/40 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 70 or less rushing yards/game with a combined average of 30.7 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.4 ppg going on the board. Cleveland in wins in which they allowed only 6 and 7 points which was the case against the Bears in Vikings have seen All non-division road teams off back-to-back wins in which they allowed 7 or less points EACH go under 7 straight times dating back 10 seasons. NFL Road teams against the total (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight game are 56-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA CHARGERS) - good passing team - averaging 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |