Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-21 | UTSA v. Western Kentucky UNDER 72 | 52-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky one way offensive pass crazy attack will have problems penetrating the red zone here this week against terrific UTSA pass defense and Im expecting UTSA to pound away on the ground here in methodical fashion and eat up alot of clock time , which will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect . UTSA is 11-1 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons UTSA is 12-4 UNDER in all games over the last 2 seasons. UTSA is 7-0 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (/UTSA W KENTUCKY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (W KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 turnovers/game committed) are 40-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-09-21 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 71.5 | 17-66 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Both these starting pitchers have alot of postseason experience, with Lynn having pitched in 26 times (seven starts), with a 5-4 record and 4.80 ERA, while McCullers has gone 1-2 with a 3.28 ERA in 14 playoff games (seven starts). They go against two explosive offenses and my pitcher vs batting orders rankings suggest a score of 8+ runs giving us value with an over wager according to my projections. HOUSTON is 14-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.HOUSTON is 30-17 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Over is 11-3-1 in Astros last 15 Divisional Playoff home games. Over is 11-3 in Astros last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Play OVER | |||||||
10-03-21 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 54.5 | 42-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
KC has played some back and forth affairs this season, scoring and allowing more than 24 points in all 3 games. In the past this has resulted in NFL teams going 0-7-1 UNDER in the last 4 season in the following tilt when the following perimeters have been met- NFL road favorites of 3 or more pts after scoring and allowing 24 pts or more in EACH of their last three tilts. With the Eagles on short rest off a Monday night game Im expecting a more subdued conservative effort vs a more rested team. Also I doubt highly the Eagles will be willing to take part in a shootout here and this Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 34.5 ppg . PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 29.5 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.1 ppg scored. . PHILADELPHIA has gone an UNDER- 13-31 UNDER for a 70% conversion rate in all home games over the last 5 seasons including having gone under in 9 of 10 games as home pups of 7 or less points . Play UNDER | |||||||
09-24-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter T. Gonsolin 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA in six appearances and five starts at Chase Field. Meanwhile, Dbacks starter HUMBERTO CASTELLANOS has seen his L/3 starts feature a combined 10 runs or more all of which went over, while garnering a 7.07 ERA. LA DODGERS are 15-4 OVER in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38%) or less in the second half of the season.
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ARIZONA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -109 | 85 h 37 m | Show | |
After the disaster of week 1 , for Green Bay which resulted in a lopsided 38-3 loss to New Orleans I expect a disciplined effort from the Packers in what will be a conservative mind set vs their long time division rivals the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the gridiron crew from Motown will also be ready to be more defensive minded after a 41-33 shootout in week 1 that resulted in a loss. Note: DETROIT is 37-20 UNDER L/57 in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 31-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 22-2 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-20-21 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Pirates starter Peters (1-2, 2.66 ERA) was in top form against the Reds on Tuesday, throwing five shutout innings for his first MLB win since Sept. 24, 2019, when he played for the Los Angeles Angels. Im betting he and the Reds Guiterrez matchup well against both batting orders and that their bullpens should do enough to keep the combined score here on the low side of the total. PITTSBURGH is 15-5 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. Under is 6-1-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 10-4-3 in Pirates last 17 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 games as a favorite. Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 overall.Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 on grass.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 46-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-18-21 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Red Sox starter PIVETTA is 8-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)PIVETTA is 12-2 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Pivetta is 6-0 with a 2.95 ERA in six career starts against the Orioles and Im betting his ability to limit the Orioles offensive output today will have a direct effect on keeping the combined score on the low side of the offered total. I know Orioles rookie starter Lowther may not inspire under bettors, but his numbers are a bit tainted thanks to facing the Red Sox in his first career start and then taking on the explosive Blue Jays in his 2nd start. After those firestorms I expect this talented hurler to show some more poise and keep the Red sox under at least minimal control. BOSTON is 22-11 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League East. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-15-21 | Angels v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Keuchel has been dominant against the Angels in his career, going 12-2 with a 3.55 ERA in 19 appearances, including 18 starts and Im betting that continues here tonight. Meanwhile, Angels will answer with Rookie right-hander Janson Junk (0-1, 2.45 ERA) . Under is 5-1-3 in White Sox last 9 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-1 in White Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 10-4 in Angels last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 17-7 in Angels last 24 games as a road underdog. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-15-21 | Liberty v. Sun UNDER 148.5 | 69-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 145 giving us a full possession edge on this number. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or better of their attempts this season. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER when playing with 3 or more days rest this season. NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-13-21 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8 | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SAN DIEGO) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 53-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-13-21 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Alcantara is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA this season vs the Nationals. The Marlins starter allowed five runs (four earned) including 2 HRs. In seven career starts versus the Nats, Alcantara is 1-6 with a 6.50 ERA and according to my power rankings and Im betting he gets lit up again. Meanwhile, the Nationals fire back with struggling starter Espino who is 1-1 with a 6.08 ERA in his L/ 23 ⅔ innings of sub par work where he , surrendered 16 earned runs including six home runs. Im also betting on him giving up enough runs to help this combined score easily eclipse this total offering. Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. WASHINGTON is 38-24 OVER in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MARTINEZ is 52-24 OVER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of WASHINGTON. Play OVER | |||||||
09-11-21 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 41 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
Military Academies are on a 39-8-1 UNDER run! Play UNDER | |||||||
09-11-21 | Middle Tennessee State v. Virginia Tech OVER 54 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State cranked it up offensively FCS opponent Monmouth, 50-15 and will come in there ready to keep an aggressive offensive mind set alive. Virginia Tech Im betting will also take advantage of Middle Tennessee State team that allowed 35.4 points and 446 yards per game last season. Last year, Virginia Tech averaged 31.1 points per game. Play OVER | |||||||
09-07-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
NYY starter Cole and Blue Jays expected starter today Matz have both been in top form during the last month of this campaign. Since the start of August, these stud hurlers have combined for a 1.57 ERA in 57 1/3 innings of top tier work with a total of 8 runs crossing the plate . Cole has garnered a minuscule 0.73 ERA in his L/4 trips to the hill, Meanwhile, Matz has garnered 1.65 ERA and allowed just two runs or less in his L/6 starts. I know both these sides can realy rev up their offences but today Im betting on the a pitchers duel and enough bullpen support to keep this tilt on the low side of the total. NY YANKEES are 9-1 UNDER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season this season. TORONTO is 24-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasonsTORONTO is 19-9 UNDER in road games against division opponents this season.TORONTO is 26-16 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Under is 10-2 in Blue Jays last 12 games as an underdog. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
09-06-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 43 | 32-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Both Calgary and Edmonton have proved to have pedestrian offenses so far this season, and for their defenses to be of the top tier variety. The Elks have gone under 3 straight times and Calgary 3 out of 4 games. Non of the Edmonton games have seen a combined average above 43 points and only 1 of the Stamps games have eclipsed this offered total. Calgary has seen an average of 37.2 ppg scored in their 4 trips to the gridiron and Edmonton an average of 38.8 combined ppg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Stampeders last 4 games in Week 5.Under is 6-1 in Stampeders last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 12-4 in Stampeders last 16 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Elks last 4 games overall.Under is 5-1 in Elks last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. .Under is 13-4-1 in Elks last 18 road games.Under is 8-3 in Elks last 11 games as a road underdog.Under is 7-3 in Elks last 10 vs. West EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored. EDMONTON is 7-0 UNDER allowing 275 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
09-06-21 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-5 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Colorado starter FREELAND is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 11-1 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) SF starter GAUSMAN is 56-33 UNDER against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 31-16 UNDER at home when the total is 11 or higher this season. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 8-1 in Rockies last 9 games as a home underdog.Under is 14-3 in Rockies last 17 games as an underdog.Under is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. National League West. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-5 UNDER in road games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) are 44-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-05-21 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9 | 8-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Veteran right-hander Zach Davies (6-10, 4.91 ERA)goes to the hill for the Cubs today vs the Pirates. Davies is winless in his past seven starts, going 0-4 along with a bloated 6.82 ERA during that span and Im betting his lopsided ERA stays the same or continues to inflate.In 17 career starts against the Pirates, Davies owns a 4.64 ERA. He has faced Pittsburgh three times this season, and garnered a 5.65 ERA. Meanwhile, the Pirates will fire back with right-hander Wil Crowe (3-7, 5.46). Crowe has gone five starts without a victory and is seeking his first win since July 30 against Philadelphia. My projections and pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest that he will get lit up by the Cubs in this spot and help this score eclipse the total. Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games as a home favorite. Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. | |||||||
09-03-21 | Northern Colorado v. Colorado OVER 56 | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Im betting Colorado smashes Northern Colorado with offensive punch after offensive punch here tonight . The Buffs averaged 4.6 yards per attempt and ranked 22nd in the nation in rushing yards per game vs top tier College Football opposition and here versus a defense that gave up a whopping 5.8 yards per carry and nearly 250 rushing yards per game against FCS competition some big time output is my bet. Im also expecting Colorados incoming QB Lewis to highlight a strong arm and aerial phenomenons against a suspect Northern Colorado secondary. On the flip side Im also betting on Northern Colorados spread offense to do more damage than the lines-makers expect vs a Buffs pass D that can be extorted and a D that allowed more than 32 points four times last season, and run D that was ranked 114th in the nation last season. Over is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 games overall. Play OVER . | |||||||
09-02-21 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Giants will put , right-hander Logan Webb (8-3, 2.65 ERA), on the hill to face Brewers lefty Eric Lauer (4-5, 3.61).Webb owns a 1.47 ERA in his L/13 starts. Brewers starter Lauer formerly with the Padres knows the Giants well and has never lost to them going 3-0 with a viable 4.08 ERA in seven games, including six starts and is capable of slowing down a suddenly struggling SF offence that is averaging just 2.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. WEBB is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 8-0 UNDER in home games this season. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 55-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
09-01-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Since being acquired from the Washington Nationals at the trade deadline, Dodgers starter tonight Scherzer is 4-0 with the Dodgers along with garnering a 1.55 ERA. SCHERZER is 14-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 31-19 UNDER in road games against right-handed starters this season. The Braves starting left hander Max Fried (11-7, 3.54), is 4-0 along with a 1.36 ERA in five August starts. In two outings against the Dodgers in last year's National League Championship Series, Fried was 0-1 in two starts with a 2.84 ERA in 12 2/3 innings of top tier work. I am betting on more of the same here this evening. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (ATLANTA) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 54-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-29-21 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | 2-13 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Astros: Zack Greinke (11-4, 3.41 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 109 strikeouts) Rangers: Taylor Hearn (3-4, 3.82 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 71 strikeouts) Astros starting hurler GREINKE is 18-2 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros pitching staff has been solid this season garnering a 3.61 team ERA, fifth overall. Grienke owns a 1.42 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, southpaw Taylor Hearn the Rangers starter has recorded a 3.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is in good form in the moment and a viable pitcher to slow down the bats of the Astros. The last series between these side saw the Rangers held to only five runs in the three-game sweep against Houston late last month and in two games in this series now the Rangers have mustered only 6 total runs and Im expecting more futility today. TEXAS is 30-19 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.TEXAS is 16-5 UNDER in home games in day games this season. Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-28-21 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
NYMets starter STROMAN is 19-4 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 10-1 UNDER in home games this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) The Nationals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road after their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. Under is 37-16-3 in Nationals last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. NY Mets have gone under in 9 of the L/10 seasons . Play UNDER | |||||||
08-27-21 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Rockies are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when Kyle Freeland starts as a road dog of at least +140 after throwing a quality start last outing. FREELAND is 14-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) in his career. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) On the flip side, LAs pitching and defence are in top form and have allowed more than 3 runs just once in 10 games. Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-27-21 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 33.5 | 31-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 53 m | Show | |
The Eagles were shut out last week and it looks very much they will have issues with point production at least for the early part of this season. Hurts and company did score in a scrimmage drill against the Jets , but they faced lower tier bench opposition in one successful drive. Meanwhile first year NYJ head coach, Saleh is “leaning towards” playing quarterback Zach Wilson, the starting offensive line and the entire starting defense for possibly as much as the first two quarters Friday against the Eagles. Wilson and the offense are pedestrian and my opinion, but the D, looks solid according to my very early season rankings. This all points to a lower scoring pre season tilt. Note: During a joint scrimmage between these two teams, this week the Jets’ first- and second-teamers did not score, with Wilson’s one turn ending on a fourth-down sack. Jets have gone under in 9 straight preseason home games. These teams have combined to average 22.6 ppg in their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-23-21 | Royals v. Astros OVER 9 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Astros starter Greinke has pitched well lately but he Astros are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Zack Greinke starts at home after he gave up no walks in his last start with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. (This was the case last time out) GREINKE is 23-11 OVER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 24-11 OVER in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Daniel Lynch goes for the Royals. This is his 2nd straight vs the Astros and their vaunted offense knows him well. Lynch as a road starter this season has garnered a sub par 4.61 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season and night tilts during this current campaign he has register a ugly 6.10 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in six trips to the hill. He will be backed by a Royals bullpen that has accumulated 4.92 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Houston. Play OVER | |||||||
08-22-21 | Braves v. Orioles OVER 10 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Atlanta will start right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-2, 4.01 ERA) Sunday against Baltimore left-hander John Means (5-5, 3.44).Means will be making his first start against Atlanta. Toussaint lost his only career start against Baltimore last Sept. 14, when he allowed eight runs (five earned) on seven hits in 2 2/3 innings of a 14-1 loss and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he will get lit up again vs the Orioles offence. Meanwhile, the red hotBraves who are on a 12 game road win streak will also have a big output of production vs Means and the Orioles sub par bullpen, which will help us see a combined score that eclipses this total. BALTIMORE is 13-2 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. BALTIMORE is 12-3 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play OVER | |||||||
08-20-21 | Mets v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY METS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. (Todays starting pitchers Carrasco/Buehler fit these parameters and my projections also signal a 9 or more combined score . ROBERTS is 33-17 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average score of 9.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Play over | |||||||
08-20-21 | Mariners v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
According to my projections based on my pitcher vs batting order power rankings a total combined score of 9+ runs scored. The Mariners are 14-0 OVER L/14 on the road when they are off two straight wins in which they never trailed. Over is 16-7 in Astros last 23 vs. American League West. Over is 39-17 in Astros last 56 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs, playing on Friday are 57-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
08-19-21 | Patriots v. Eagles OVER 38 | 35-0 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
In week 2 of the NFLX I look for vulnerable totals and my projections based on starters and depth players has me projecting a higher combined score than the lines-makers here in this tilt featuring the Eagles and the Pats. Im expecting rookie head coach Nick Sirianni to be motivated and for his players under an aggressive offensive system to back him here against Future HOF super bowl HC Belichick and company . The L/ 6 meetings in this series are 6-0 OVER with a combined average of (54.5 ppg) going on the board. Play OVER | |||||||
08-19-21 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Dbacks veteran starter Bumgarner (6-7, 4.30 ERA) has pitched well in six starts since returning from a shoulder injury that sidelined him for six-plus weeksHe allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of the starts while going 2-2 with a 2.09 ERA.Phillies BUMGARNER is 12-1 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 or more in his career (Team's Record) Phillies starter Wheeler, leads the majors in strikeouts (187) and innings pitched (162) while making 24 starts.The All-Star has struck out 10 or more batters six times. He fanned 11 on Aug. 8 when he tossed a two-hit shutout against the Mets. That was his second shutout and third complete game of the season, tying him for the major league lead in both categories.NYM WHEELER is 13-5 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) Im betting on a pitchers duel here this afternoon. Under is 9-1-1 in Phillies last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 L/10 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-19-21 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 10-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MINOR is 11-1 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MINOR is 31-13 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-3 in Astros last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. My projections estimate no more than 8 runs here giving us value with a under wager. Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 games following a loss.(Astros lost last time out) Under is 9-3-1 in Astros last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. KANSAS CITY is 23-9 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. MATHENY is 16-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-18-21 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 17-2 UNDER ) as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 when Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-18-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | 6-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
On Wednesday, the Brewers will start right-hander Freddy Peralta (9-3, 2.26 ERA), who has a 1.85 ERA in his past 15 starts. St.Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (9-1, 2.65) in his second start since he missed 2 1/2 months will go to the hill for the Cards. Flaherty scattered two hits over six innings in a 6-0 victory over the Kansas City Royals on Friday. Im betting both thee hurlers go ling and strong here today and along with bullpen support help keep this tilt on the low side of the totals number being offered. Cards starter FLAHERTY is 11-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season . (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 22-8 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons ST LOUIS is 12-1 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons like Peralata. SHILDT is 21-8 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (MILWAUKEE) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 40-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
08-18-21 | Storm v. Liberty UNDER 156.5 | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low to mid 150s. Giving us value on anything above 155. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - after one or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 144-86 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate! Play UNDER | |||||||
08-14-21 | Yankees v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Yankees will send right-hander Jameson Taillon (7-4, 3.82 ERA). to the hill He is coming off back-to-back quality starts, including his last outing when he allowed one unearned run on four hits in six innings against the Kansas City Royals. In two career starts against the White Sox, Taillon is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA and Im betting on him coming uo big again and limiting the potent White Sox attack here. Meanwhile, Chicago will counter with right-hander Dylan Cease (9-6, 3.99 ERA) who is in top form recently a nd off striking out 10 batters in 5 innings last time out, and overall On the season, Cease has punched out 159 strikeouts in 119 2/3 innings. Im betting for both to long anf strong and to provide us with a top tier effort that sees this combined score stay on the low side of the offered number. The Yankees are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. NY YANKEES are 19-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 50-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-13-21 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
WASHINGTON is 20-8 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Washington is 10-2 OVER L/12 games overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Atlanta has gone over in 6 of their L/8 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 20-5-2 in Braves last 27 Friday games. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits against opponent after 2 straight games with no home runs are 27-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the OVER | |||||||
08-13-21 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 9 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 23-11 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 35-18 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 16-2 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros are 0-10-1 UNDER l/11 Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130. Meanwhile, angels starer PATRICK SANDOVAL owns a 1.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and matches up well here vs the Astros batting order according to my pitcher vs offence power rankings. Pitchers duel is my call. Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-2-1 in Angels last 9 games as a home underdog. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-13-21 | Cardinals v. Royals UNDER 9 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 30-13 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) St.Louis has scored more than 4 runs just once in their L/9 games. Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. ST LOUIS is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 15-3 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons (Flaherty qualifies) Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-12-21 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 17-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Brewers are 0-8 UNDER L/8 when Brandon Woodruff starts on the road in an afternoon game.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 8-1 UNDER in road games this season. (Team's Record) Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 37-18 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) CHICAGO CUBS are 31-18 UNDER in day games this season. Under is 27-7-2 in the last 36 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-12-21 | Dodgers v. Phillies UNDER 11 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
The Phillies are 0-16-1 UNDER L/17 in the last game of a series as a dog after they allowed at least 12 hits last game. LA DODGERS are 20-8 UNDER after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 9-2-1 in Dodgers last 12 games following a win. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 64-35 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-11-21 | Brewers v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Arrieta is 0-6 with a 9.00 ERA in his L/6 starts. He has given up 43 runs (35 earned) in his last 35 innings, and he has walked 21. Needless to say he looks like cannon fodder here and could easily get lit up for enough runs to help us over this total. Meanwhile, Brewers right-hander Corbin Burnes (6-4, 2.39) will oppose Arrieta and the Cubs and according to my projections does not matchup all that well vs the Cubs offense. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-1 OVER revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season. MILWAUKEE is 17-8 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-2 in Brewers last 9 games as a road favorite. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rare for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
08-10-21 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Phillies starter NOLA is 20-9 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 12-3 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Dodgers are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a home game in which they allowed 5+ walks.ROBERTS is 20-8 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of LA DODGERS. PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 OVER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER | |||||||
08-09-21 | Reds v. Indians OVER 9.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Indians are expected to have a bullpen game with left-hander Sam Hentges (1-4, 7.86 ERA) serving as the opener and Im betting the Reds do some damage here against him. Despite of Reds Castillo being in top form my projections estimate the Indians can and will get enough production from him and his bulllpen to help see this number eclipsed. Over is 8-1-2 in Reds last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-3-1 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 34-16-2 in Reds last 52 vs. a team with a losing record. The Indians are 8-0 OVER L/8 as a dog of at least +140 off a comeback win as a favorite which was the case yesterday.Over is 12-5 in Indians last 17 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Play OVER | |||||||
08-08-21 | White Sox v. Cubs UNDER 10 | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Cubs DAVIES is 18-7 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Cease (8-6, 3.92 ERA) is scheduled to face the Cubs. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague home games. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 vs. American League Central. CHI WHITE SOX are 19-8 UNDER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 7-1-1 in White Sox last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-2 in White Sox last 9 road games.Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record. 15 mph breezes are expected at Wrigley Field in Chicago for White Sox vs. Cubs tonight and that Im betting effects scoring. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-08-21 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 9-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
Orioles starter LOPEZ is 8-1 UNDER (+7.0 Units) as an underdog of +150 or more this season. (Team's Record) Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. (Lopez qualifies) Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like the Rays Wacha. Windy weather today in Baltimore dictates a lower scoring game according to my projections. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-06-21 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 10-6 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Means Baltimores starter looked good in his most recent trip to the hill this past Saturday, allowing one ER in six innings of a 5-2 win at Detroit. He started this season very strongly also going 4-0 along with a 1.37 ERA before being side lined by an injury. After the injury he started out looking rusty but now looks to have come back to life, and viable pitching option for the Orioles to slow the offence of the Rays here today. Meanwhile, Yarbrough the Rays starter is 4-2 with a 3.94 ERA in 11 career appearances (six starts) against Baltimore and matches up well here according to my projections along with a bullpen that must be considered elite. The Orioles are 0-9 UNDER L/9 when John Means starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in as win last start. Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-3 in Rays last 10 games as a favorite.Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TAMPA BAY) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 53-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-04-21 | Braves v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Cards starter Happ is 4-0 with a 2.72 ERA in nine career outings against the Braves, including eight starts and Im betting on another strong effort here. Meanwhile, St. Louis will start Drew Smyly (7-3, 4.40 ERA), who has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his past 10 starts. Smyly is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinal. Both hurlers form Im betting will contribute to a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. The Braves are 0-10 L/10 2020 on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs which was the case last time out. Play UNDER | |||||||
08-04-21 | Twins v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Right-hander Luis Castillo (5-10, 4.22 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 16.20 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota gets the start today. Meanwhile, the Twins will return fire with left-hander Charlie Barnes (0-1, 1.93 ERA), who will be making just his second major league appearance and very inexperienced and could easily get lit up here vs a Reds team that averages 5.4 rpg at home. Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-2 in Reds last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 21-8-1 in Twins last 30 games as an underdog. MINNESOTA is 10-1 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 20-6 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the OVER | |||||||
07-31-21 | Phillies v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.37 ERA) is slated to start opposite Pittsburgh right-hander JT Brubaker (4-10, 4.67). Phillies starter NOLA is 19-7 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SHELTON is 11-2 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The Phillies are 9-0 OVER L/9 on the road after their starter pitched less than 3 innings.Over is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games. Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Pirates last 6 games a home underdog. Play OVER | |||||||
07-31-21 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Mariners starter ANDERSON is 8-0 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ANDERSON is 20-7 OVER in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) Seattle starter HEARN is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 109.09 and a WHIP of 21.212. SEATTLE is 15-5 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the OVER | |||||||
07-31-21 | Astros v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, as is evident by a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting on more top tier pitching action today as Im betting he greatly limits the Giants offence here today. GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Giants counter with left-hander Alex Wood (9-3, 3.65), who has gone 4-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last eight starts.Like Greinke, he has been brilliant vs the the Astros allowing just one run and eight hits in 14 career innings over three games, including two starts. He's gone 1-1 with a 0.64 ERA in those games. Im betting on a pitching duel in this spot play. MLB - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO/HOUSTON) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 284-190 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-30-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Arizona righty starter GALLEN is 12-0 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 0.943 and has seen his last three starts vs the Dodgers remain on the low side of the total. In a September start last year at Dodger Stadium, he held the eventual champs scoreless over seven innings on one hit. Under is 14-6-3 in Dodgers last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Los Angeles will start Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 2.38 ERA) in the series opener at Arizona and he is more than capable of keeping this inconsistent Arizona offence at bay and helping this combined score to stay on the low side of the. number. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or less over his last 3 starts, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 62-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-30-21 | A's v. Angels OVER 8 | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Bassitt (10-3, 3.46 ERA) will be making his second try at setting a career-high win total for a season. He won 10 consecutive decisions after starting 0-2 this year, but he has struggled in three of his four starts in July and in his current form very susceptible to being lit up by a Twins offense that can show alot of explosiveness. LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MADDON is 23-7 OVER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the manager of LA ANGELS. The Angels are 14-0-2 OVER L/16 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.LA ANGELS are 11-2 OVER in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. Over is 57-25-3 in Angels last 85 home games. Over is 9-4 in Angels last 13 vs. American League West. Over is 20-7-1 in Angels last 28 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play OVER | |||||||
07-30-21 | Twins v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Cardinals will start Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.58 ERA) in the series opener. LeBlanc, who pitched for the Baltimore Orioles earlier this season, is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in six career appearances against the Twins, including three starts. Meanwhile, Berrios (7-5, 3.48 ERA) is in line to counter LeBlanc if he isn't traded. Both hurlers and bullpens are according to my power rankings middle of the pack and could easily get slapped around a little bit today, which will see this combined score eclipsed. ST LOUIS is 10-0 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 10-1 OVER in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-1-1 in Cardinals last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. MINNESOTA is 21-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP of 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 30-7 OVER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
07-28-21 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections suggest a combined score of 8 or less making this a viable under wagering opportunity. The Yankees are 0-11 UNDER as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games.Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 vs. American League East. Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 vs. American League East.Under is 6-2 in Rays last 8 on astroturf. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-27-21 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Twins are 0-8L/8 when Kenta Maeda starts after a quality start in his last outing which is the case. Under is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
07-26-21 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Nats starter Joe Ross goes on Monday. The Under is 12-3 in his 15 starts this year and Im betting on more of the same action here today. The Nationals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Joe Ross starts as a dog after they scored less than 3 runs in his last start. ROSS is 8-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Spencer Howard, owns a 1.072 WHIP in his last three starts, and is in viable form. Today along with his bullpen against a Nats team that is suddenly struggling to score another lower scoring output should be expected. Under is 23-9-2 in Nationals last 34 vs. National League East. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
07-25-21 | Angels v. Twins OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
07-23-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
NYY starter COLE is 29-13 OVER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game. Over is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter like BoSox starter Rodriguez. BOSTON is 27-14 OVER in home games vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-3 OVER in home games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 season.The Red Sox are 10-0 OVER L/10 in the second game of a series after they played extra inning in game one. Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 games as a road underdog.NY YANKEES are 36-19 OVER in road games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER | |||||||
07-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs UNDER 11 | 3-8 | Push | 0 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Cubs Davies since May 1, has made 15 starts and has garnered a 3.10 ERA. He has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his last 15 starts and against a inconsistent Arizona offence Im betting he holds the fort again. Meanwhile, the Cubs offence has really struggled for a while now, and here against the Diamondbacks Zac Gallen (1-4, 3.86), Im betting will provide support . He allowed a run, three hits and struck out seven with a walk over 5 2/3 innings against the Cubs on Saturday.Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 9-4 in Diamondbacks last 13 vs. National League Central. Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League West. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-22-21 | Angels v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Angels are 10-0 OVER L/10 when Andrew Heaney starts as a road dog of less than +200. LA ANGELS are 24-8 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season. HEANEY is 7-0 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Over is 7-2 in Angels last 9 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 22-3-1 in Twins last 26 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game which was the case in a 7-2 win vs the White sox yesterday. Over is 21-9-1 in Twins last 31 during game 1 of a series. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
07-22-21 | Rays v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Cleveland right-hander Cal Quantrill (2-2, 4.05) will make his 28th appearance -- and 10th start -- on Thursday. Quantrill is currently in to form after, winning his second straight start on Saturday after permitting one run on four hits in five innings against the Oakland Athletics. Hes finally getting acclimated to being a starter and its showing as his confidence and work continue to uptrend. Meanwhile, right-hander Luis Patino (1-2, 4.87 ERA) despite of some less than stellar starts, is a capable hurler that the Rays have big plans for. Both sides have quality bullpens who Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. CASH is 104-67 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of TAMPA BAY. CLEVELAND is 16-5 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 55-36 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons.
Play on the UNDER | |||||||
07-20-21 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Dunning's road ERA is 6.55, compared to 2.54 at home so Im not fooled by his recent quality performances, and Im expecting the hot hitting Tigers light him up and easily help this combined score go over the set total. The Rangers are 8-0 OVER as a favorite after they were shutout last game with the average combined score of those tilts coming in at 14.5 rpg. DETROIT is 15-3 OVER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 40-15 OVER l/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
07-18-21 | Orioles v. Royals OVER 10 | 5-0 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The Orioles will send Matt Harvey (3-10, 7.70 ERA) to the mound, while fellow right-hander Carlos Hernandez (1-0, 4.98) will start for the Royals and my projections based on the starters and substandard bullpens has me projecting a higher scoring affair that eclipses this total.KANSAS CITY is 11-2 OVER in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 9-1 OVER in the second half of the season this season with an average of 11.4 rpg scored. Over is 26-7 in Orioles last 33 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Play OVER | |||||||
07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 218.5 | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bucks have seen their offence get into a flow and their scoring output increase after Game 1 and are now averaging 110.5 points per game and will be prepared to run here vs what Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 143-87 L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate! Play OVER | |||||||
07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 220 | 103-109 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 14 m | Show | |
My Pace projections have been accurate to this point in the NBA Finals series, and now Im expecting a score in the mid 220s much like the first two tilts. Advantage over. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. PHOENIX is 20-7 OVER versus defenses - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 49-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
07-09-21 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Yankees were shutout last night by the Mariners, but today Im betting the offense bounces back. The Yankees are 8-0 OVER L/8 after they were shutout averaging 9.25 rpg in those tilts with a combined average of 12.75 runs per game scored by both sides. Over is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 games as a road underdog.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 11-4 in Yankees last 15 games following a loss.Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 road games. Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 vs. American League East.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 games as a home favorite.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 home games. Over is 21-8 in Astros last 29 during game 1 of a series Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
07-09-21 | Liberty v. Fever OVER 159.5 | 69-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
WNBA Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play OVER | |||||||
07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 219 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This Totals open was closer to what I project the true number should , which I estimated to be in the low 220s which makes this over wager a viable investment opportunity. Im betting the Suns with plenty of energy after an extended rest at home here in Phoenix will continue to press the action, on fresh legs as they did in game one and for the Bucks now more rested and adjusted to this time zone will come out here with all guns blazing in an attempt to steal a game before going home. This will culminate in a higher scoring tilt than might be expected by both the pundits and lines-makers. Note: The Bucks were consistently open from 3-point range in game 1 , and had a +44% conversion rate and Im betting that continues and aids our over cause. MILWAUKEE in 31 non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 237.7 ppg go on the board. PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 20-9 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average 226.9 ppg go on the board. ( Suns took game 1- 118 to 105) NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
07-07-21 | Canadiens v. Lightning OVER 5 | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
The Habs did everything possible to get a win last time out in game 4 and extend this series. Now exhausted and facing at a team that will come out firing on all cylinders so that they can end this series, Im betting this game escalates into a higher scoring tilt than many might think possible. Over is 3-1-3 in Lightning last 7 Stanley Cup Finals games. TAMPA BAY is 14-7 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (TAMPA BAY) - after one or more consecutive overs, good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period are 40-20 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
07-07-21 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 25-8 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 10-1-2 in White Sox last 13 games following a win. Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 overall. | |||||||
07-07-21 | Indians v. Rays OVER 7 | 1-8 | Win | 106 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
The Rays are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they had at least 12 hits. Now with momentum behind them it will not matter who the Indians send to the hill, Im expecting the Rays to do some damage and help propel this total to be eclipsed. Play OVER | |||||||
07-06-21 | Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Cardinals Adam Wainwright (6-5, 3.49 ERA), has allowed just four runs over 21 innings in his last three starts and Im betting on that momentum to continue into this tilt vs the Giants. Meanwhile, the Giants counter with Cueto i who owns a 3.92 ERA in 24 career starts against the Cardinals. Im betting the Giants righty will offer stability here in a game Im betting stays under the total. The Cardinals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings.Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 games following a win.ST LOUIS is 20-8 UNDER after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-06-21 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Red sox starter EOVALDI is 13-3 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)LA ANGELS are 10-0 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 14,2 rpg scored. Boston has been on fire offensively of late, and have averaged 6.1 rpg and Im betting on them lighting up whoever the the Angels send to the hill. The Halos bats have also been ignited, and they have been winning, and it must be noted that they are 17-4 OVER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Yes, I know the Angels have shortened bench, but they should do enough damage here to get us over the finish line and allow us to cash a over bet. Play on the OVER | |||||||
07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 217 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 38 h 58 m | Show | |
The Suns are well rested and will be ready to bring alot of energy to game 1 of the NBA finals. They popped 130 points on the board in their final game vs a very good Clippers D, and more of the same explosive offensive fireworks are on tonights agenda, which will force the Bucks to open up as well or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. PHOENIX is 7-0 OVER after scoring 130 points or more this season with a combined average of 241.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. PHOENIX is 21-9 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. Williams is 16-5 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of PHOENIX with the combined average score of 231.3 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 67 games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of MILWAUKEE the average combined score has rung in at 231.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points 29-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 52-22 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
07-06-21 | Spain v. Italy OVER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Im not impressed by Spains defensive play, but we know they can be explosive and we need be attack in transition. Meanwhile, and considering Italy plays one way under manager Roberto Mancini it obvious to me the best option here and most probable profitable outcome is to take an over stance. Play OVER | |||||||
07-05-21 | Dodgers v. Marlins OVER 7 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Dodgers top tier starter BUEHLER is 13-3 OVER in road games after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)The Dodgers are 10-0-2 OVER L/12 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start. LA DODGERS are 10-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with an average of 11.3 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when total is 6.5 or lower which coordinates with a total they may get lowered as game draws closer. Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. These teams have gone over in 4 of L/5 meetings. Play over | |||||||
07-03-21 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 9 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Seattles starter GONZALES is 11-2 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. SEATTLE is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. (Lyles the Rangers starter fits these parameters) Under is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mariners are 0-10-1 UNDER L/11 as a home favorite. Under is 12-3-2 in Mariners last 17 games as a favorite. WOODWARD is 28-15 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings in Seattle. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
07-01-21 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 5-8 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Twins starter Berrios recorded his third consecutive quality outing on June 24, allowing one run on four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Indians.The 27-year-old right-hander has allowed four earned runs or fewer in 15 consecutive starts to open the season. Berrios, owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 career starts against the White Sox, Meanwhile, the Pale hose will fire back with Carlos Rodon (6-3, 2.06 ERA), who is looking to bounce back after giving up three runs over five innings Friday during a 9-3 loss to the Seattle Mariners. The left-hander has notched eight-plus strikeouts in each of his last seven starts, one short of the longest such streak in White Sox history. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 in the last game of a series after a game as a home favorite in which they won by 5+ runs. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 UNDER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the board. CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg.Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-29-21 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
White Sox - L. Giolito-R vs Twins - K. Maeda-R- Considering these pitching matchups and overall offensive output performance charts Im betting on a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 19-4-4 in Twins last 27 vs. American League Central.Over is 13-3 in Twins last 16 games as a road underdog. The Twins are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.MINNESOTA is 25-9 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less this season.MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Over is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 overall. Play OVER | |||||||
06-27-21 | Angels v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Rays lefty starter YARBROUGH is 9-1 OVER in all games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. MADDON is 31-12 OVER against left-handed starters as the manager of LA ANGELS with a combined 11.8 rpg scored. MADDON is 30-16 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of LA ANGELS with an average of 10.5 rpg scored. Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as an underdog. Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a road underdog. Over is 9-2 in Angels last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.LA ANGELS are 20-6 OVER after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Rays are 15-0 OVER L/15 in the last game of a series after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win with the least amount of combined runs scored ringing in at 8 . Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers successes are almost always based on top tier defensive play as is evident by their 7th ranked ppg defense, and precise shooting behind a deliberate 26th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Suns also rank 26th in pace and are tied with the Clippers for the 7th best ppg defense. More of the same type of hoops Im betting will once again be on display here this evening which will result in a score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 25-12 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 217.5 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-6 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. Lue is 21-6 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of 206.2 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
06-25-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 5-11 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
The Padres defense and pitching and particular the bullpen have been tremendous this season, and in their L/6 games have allowed 2 runs or less 4 times and Im betting an Arizona side that averages just 3.6 rpg on the road this season goes below their season average in offensive out put here tonight . Note: Padres starter PADDACK in 7 starts in his career against ARIZONA has garnered an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.062 and has seen 6 of those 7 games stay on the low side of the total. Also despite of being a top tier team with some strong hitters in their lineup the Padres only average 4.3 rpg via a lowly .236 BA at home. With that said, ,my projections make the combined average score to be closer to 7.5 rpg giving us a full 1 run edge here for a under wager to cash. The Padres are 0-9 UNDER L/9 off a home game where they were tied at the end of 6 innings with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg. ARIZONA is 20-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in San Diego. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical and defensive, which will result in a lower scoring affair with less flow. Under is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 games following a straight up loss. ATLANTA is 10-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 25-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series since 1996 with average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 29-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-25-21 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 2-11 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Marlins starter LOPEZ is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Washington stater Lester has been on an impressive run with two or fewer earned in each of his last five outings. WASHINGTON is 19-3 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.Under is 42-17-3 in Nationals last 62 overall.Under is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Nationals last 14 road games.Under is 11-5 in Nationals last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 13-6-3 in Nationals last 22 games as a road underdog MIAMI is 22-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Since the play offs began the Atlanta Hawks successes have been based on precise high opportunity shooting chances, and tough physical defensive hoops and nothing will change today vs their host the Milwaukee Bucks. This Im betting helps keep the flow of this game at a slower pace than the lines-makers are expecting. Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 home games Budenholzer is 23-9 UNDER in home games in all playoff games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 195.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 35-19 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-23-21 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 168 | 87-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Reeve is 25-12 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival as the coach of MINNESOTA. ( HC complained that the team had lost focus). Back to D and basics here in this tilt. ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 64-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-23-21 | White Sox v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Considering how both pitching staffs and bullpens are operating of late, my projections see a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 32-15-4 in Pirates last 51 during game 2 of a series. Over is 11-4 in White Sox last 15 games as a road favorite.Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. LARUSSA is 10-0 OVER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games in all games he has managed - dating back to 1996 with the average combined score of 11.6 rpg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-22-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has allowed 29 runs in their L/4 gamers, after losing to the lowly Arizona Dbacks last night. Im betting that Arizona does more damage tonight, and for the Brewers to also do some of their own in a tilt I have projected to go over this total. Note: The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Freddy Peralta starts on the road after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 13.7 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. COUNSELL is 36-22 OVER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 as the manager of MILWAUKEE with an average of 10.4 rpg scored. Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 games following a win. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 during game 2 of a series. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER | |||||||
06-22-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The recipe for Montreals success vs Vegas has been their ability to play very physical defensive hockey that is backed up by top tier goalie Price. More of this trap style of hockey Im betting will once again give an edge to a low scoring affair.
MONTREAL is 10-3 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5 or less (MONTREAL) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 69-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Todays starting pitchers Anderson and Kelley according to projections are good for a combined 9 + runs. Which makes this a high probability over investment option. Over is 15-5-3 in Brewers last 23 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Arizona is allowing 8.3 rpg in their L/7 overall with a combined average score of 12.7 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 9-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games a home underdog.The Diamondbacks are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games are 31-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER | |||||||
06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Clippers are off a exhausting 7 game series vs the Jazz last time out, and the Suns may be a little rusty after an extended lay off after disposing of the defending champion LA Lakers . Considering these parameters Im betting on a fairly grinding lack of flow from game 1 in afternoon action. Under is 8-2 in Suns last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 30-14 in Clippers last 44 games as a road underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 105-44 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/PHOENIX) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-19-21 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Astros hurler Valdez has been in top form of late, but the White Sox generally dominate southpaw pitchers as is evident by a 6.5 rpg offensive output . Meanwhile, Lance Lyn in his L/2 starts vs the Astros have seen the Pale Hose score 8 and 12 runs respectively . HOUSTON is 8-1 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season. HOUSTON is 24-9 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. HOUSTON is 15-4 OVER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. The White Sox are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Over is 18-7-3 in White Sox last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-19-21 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP-7-2, 3.43 ERA, 91 SO) has allowed four runs or fewer in each of his past 25 starts over the past two years and Im betting on the run continuing today vs the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-7 UNDER L/7 when Domingo German starts in an afternoon game. NY YANKEES are 18-9 UNDER in day games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 10-4-1 in Yankees last 15 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 11-5 in Yankees last 16 home games OAKLAND is 19-7 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Under is 18-7-3 in Athletics last 28 vs. American League East.Under is 4-1-1 in Athletics last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-18-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 as a favorite after they won by 5+ runs last game. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-1 OVER off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons Giants starter CUETO is 11-1 OVER in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board. CUETO is 1-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.284 in 13 games. SAN FRANCISCO is 23-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Phillies starter Velasquez. with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the score board. ( Velasquez owns a 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts) MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 Atlanta took game 5 by a 109-106 score in Philadelphia thanks to being able to slow the Sixers down defensively after going down early. Playing some physical hardcore D will continue to be the Hawks recipe for success vs a Sixers side that is streaky offensively. With that said, D, will also be the focus of the visitors in this big game, and Im betting will result in a tight lower scoring affair. Rivers is 38-21 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 197.8 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ATLANTA is 15-1 UNDER L/16 when attempting to close out a playoff series with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 24-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 185.6 ppg scored. Under is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 42-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-17-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | 2-10 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R) Both these starters have been reliable of late, and Im betting on them to continue their strong efforts and when needed these strong bullpens will be there to bail them out. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent. CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3 UNDER vs. struggling speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (HOUSTON) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 42-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 and the clippers offense hitting on all cylinders entering game 5 Im now expecting the explosive Jazz to take an aggressive stance tonight, and come out firing on all cylinders on their own home floor, which Im betting will see the Clippers have to open up as well in a tilt that I have projected to eclipse this total. Utah in 7 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season have seen a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. LA Clippers in their L/76 road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg go on the board. Play OVER | |||||||
06-16-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas is running hot offensively scoring 18 goals in their L/4 play off games. If the Habs have any chance of making this a series they are going to have to open up a bit . Hey I know Price and Fleury are top tier goalies, but when the action gets quicker and more aggressive even the best of goaltenders in this league look very mortal. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Vegas. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 playoff games as a favorite NHL team against the total (VEGAS /MONTREAL) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |