Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings UNDER 153.5 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago had a huge offensive output last game out for a win but today I expect a more muted effort that will see them regress offensively. However, I also like the way their defence matches up against Dallas, as was evident when they held them to 66 points in last week 78-66 home win vs the Wings. With that said, Im expecting this combined score to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1 in Sky last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Sky last 4 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-0 in Wings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Wings last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 7-1 in Wings last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Wings last 7 Sunday games.Under is 17-5 in Wings last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 10-3 in Wings last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Wings last 26 overall. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-14-19 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 10 | 8-3 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
SF Giants starter Beede is coming off the best start of his nascent career after firing seven innings of one-run ball against the Padres on July 2 and Im betting he holds down the Brewers to limited production this afternoon. CHACIN the Brewers starter is 31-19 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 24-12 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored during that 50 game sample size. Under is 7-0 in Chacins last 7 starts vs. National League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER | |||||||
07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Calgary is a defence first team and has gone below the total in each of its last four road games, including last week’s 37-10 beatdown of the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Against this explosive run and shoot Hamilton offence Im expecting they drag out their offensive plays, and slow the game down, and on defence show their formidable presence by limiting the Ti Cats production in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: HAMILTON is 12-2 L/14 UNDER in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 6.0 or less yards/play with a combined average of 46.4 ppg going on the board. CALGARY is 13-4 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 28-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | 36-19 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing low scoring games with 5 of the L/6 staying on the low side of the number, and 3 straight here in Montreal. None of the L/6 meetings have seen more than 46 points scored and the average combined score of those tilts has clicked in at 38.8 ppg and Im expecting another low scoring tilt this week. The Alouettes hav gone under in 10 of their previous 13 games away from Montreal, and are 41-17-1 to the under in their past 59 games against divisional rivals. Meanwhile, the the RedBlacks are 4-13 to the UNDER in their previous 17 outings against the East. OTTAWA is 10-2 UNDER versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.8 ppg. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER in July games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.2 ppg going on board. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-13-19 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starting hurler Lyles surrendered season highs of seven runs, 10 hits and three homers against the Cubs in his final start before the break on July 4 in Pittsburgh. That ballooned his ERA from 3.71 to 4.36 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs.LYLES is 18-7 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored in those 25 games. Meanwhile, Lester lasted only two innings vs. the Pirates on April 8 due to injury and in my power rankings also suggest the Pirates matchup well against him.LESTER is 17-7 OVER when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.LESTER is 24-11 OVER (+12.0 Units) in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored in those 35 games. Over is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 21-5 in Pirates last 26 games following a loss. Over is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 overall.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 on grass.Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 during game 2 of a series. Over is 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Over is 12-3-1 in Lesters last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts on grass.Over is 18-6-2 in Lesters last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts.Over is 20-7 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 2 of a series. Play OVER | |||||||
07-12-19 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 51.5 | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Getting up for the 0-3 Argos will be difficult for the 3-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, and Im betting they're offence start slow as motivation becomes a key factor. This will effect the the total combined score to the under. WINNIPEG is 16-3 UNDER L/19 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread with the average combined score clicking in at 44.1 ppg. TORONTO is 22-8 UNDER L/30 versus excellent rushing defenses -allowing 4.25 or less rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 home games.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-12-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 153.5 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
After starting their season on fire and failing to pace themselves the Connecticut Sun now look to be exhausted as is evident by a 5 game losing streak that has seen them score an average of just 70.6 ppg. Meanwhile, Phoenix is off an explosive two way performance last time out beating Washington by a 91-68 count. Im betting on an offensive regression here today by the Mercury even if super star Diana Taurasi plays , and for a D that has held 5 of their L/7 opponents to 70 point or less to continue their top tier stopping modus operandi. This combination of expected projections makes for a score that will be lower than the linesmakers and public expect. Both teams have gone under in 3 of their last 4 trips to the court. Under is 6-1-1 in Mercury last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 road games. Under is 11-3 in Sun last 14 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sun last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western ConferenceUnder is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up loss.Play UNDER | |||||||
07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 11.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn ,11-4, 3.91 ERA, 123 SOLynn is 9-2 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in his last 13 starts. He is averaging 4.73 strikeouts per walk, which ranks eighth best in the American League. He lost his only start against the Astros this season, but he is 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA in seven career starts against them and Im betting will limit the Astros offensive output here tonight. LYNN is 26-6 UNDER in July games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Lynns last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. American League West.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts on grass.Under is 5-2 in Lynns last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Meanwhile, Framber Valdez goes to the hill for the Astros. He has been less than effecient this season, but Texas has had issues with LHP as is evident by their .226 BA vs southpaws, and could easily find the sledding tough , which Im also betting limits their output vs projection estimates. HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 65-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-09-19 | National League v. American League UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The public is all over the over here , which is not a surprise, considering last years all star game saw 14 runs go on the board. However, my projections estimate a much lower score than many might anticipate as these top tier hurlers from both the AL/NL matchup up very well vs each other star batting orders. The so called juiced ball myth goes down in flames here this Tuesday night.(At least for now) Nine of the last 11 MLB all star games have gone under 8.5 runs. The L/11 all star games have seen an average of 6.8 rpg scored. Pitchers: AL: Astros' Justin Verlander (10-3, 2.86 ERA) and Gerrit Cole (AL No.1- 161 strikeouts), Chicago's Lucas Giolito (11-2, 2.72 ERA) Rangers' Mike Minor (8-4, 2.40 ERA). NL:major-league ERA leader Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-2, 1.83), . Clayton Kershaw (eighth All-Star appearance), Walker Buehler (8-1, 104 strikeouts) and 2018 Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom most probably coming out of the bullpen. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
07-07-19 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Nola the Phillies starter has been on a roll as of late. He has allowed just one earned run in 23 innings in his last three starts, striking out 28 and walking five and Im betting on the more of the same here today vs the NY Mets. Meanwhile, Wheeler the Mets starter has been his team’s most significant hurler of late as he owns a 1.86 ERA his last three starts. Im betting on both these throwers going long and strong and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. (Wheeler owns a 2.95 ERA in 13 career starts against the Phillies. Nola has garnered a 3.48 ERA in 11 starts against the Mets.) Under is 4-0-1 in Wheelers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. NOLA is 21-9 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. )NOLA is 16-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.NOLA is 13-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. NY METS are 31-14 UNDER in home games after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in umpire Gucciones last 4 games behind home plate. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-06-19 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51 | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections based on both these teams style of play estimates a total of closer to 48.5 to 49 thus giving us an edge on a under wager here this evening. Under is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 games overall.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. West. CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (SASKATCHEWAN) - after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 70 or more total yards 2 consecutive games are 28-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-05-19 | Dream v. Storm UNDER 147 | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My line for this game was set around 144, so we have value to the under here at this number. The Seattle Storm are averaging 74.2 points on 41.4 percent shooting and allowing 72.7 points on 42.6 percent shooting and are deliberate team with a conservative defensive mindset. Meanwhile, The Atlanta Dream are averaging 69.9 points on 37.4 percent shooting and once again depend on a slower pace to try to stay close here, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails toe eclipse this total. Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference. Under is 8-1 in Storm last 9 Friday games.Under is 12-3-1 in Storm last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-05-19 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa UNDER 53.5 | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Im betting the Redblacks offence rusty and off a bye week will have a tough challenge, as Winnipeg has allowed just one offensive touchdown in two games this season. Im also expecting Ottawa to be punting alot today, but are in good hands in that department, behind Richie Leone who is averaging 53.6 yards to lead the CFL in punting average, putting him on a record pace thus far. With that said, field position should help the Red Black out defensively as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER after a playing a game where 63 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons which was the case in a 44-41win vs Sask last time out. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 26-5 L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-05-19 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The NY Yankees explosive offence is averaging 6.3 rpg on the road this season, with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored in those 40 games and Im betting on them unloading here vs a rookie hurler in McKay. Meanwhile, Yankees hurler Tanaka lasted just two-thirds of an inning in his start in London, allowing six runs and has not been consistent this season, and Im betting he looks vulnerable entering game and susceptible to being lit up. Note: The Yankees are 9-0 L/9 OVER when Masahiro Tanaka starts as a road favorite when they scored first in his last start in a Yankees victory, going over by an average of 6.05 runs per game. NY YANKEES are 22-5 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 13-2 OVER in road games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 11-3 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 9-1 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. All 3 games in TB have gone over this season, and thats what Im betting on here tonight. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League East.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning recordOver is 3-0-2 in Rays last 5 home games.Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.Over is 8-1-2 in Rays last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1-1 in umpire Lentzs last 7 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER | |||||||
07-03-19 | Twins v. A's OVER 9.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Kyle Gibson RHP8-4, 4.21 ERA, 88 SOGibson was scheduled to start Sunday's series finale against the White Sox but was pushed back because he was needed for an inning of relief in Thursday's 18-inning game against the Rays. He allowed four runs in seven frames in his last start and does not matchup well vs this AS batting order according to my advanced data power ranking listings. Oakland has scored 7 or more runs in 3 of their L/4 and look to be heating up offensively and could do some series damage today. Meanwhile, Minnesota remains a dangerous offensive team averaging 6.3 rpg and no matter who goes to the hill today will be able to rspond in game with some fireworks of their own .With that said Im recommending we take the over. GIBSON is 40-19 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 21-10 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER | |||||||
07-03-19 | Indians v. Royals OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) Clevinger the Tribes starter knows he has to play catch-up after missing two months of the season with an upper back strain. In his last start (his first since being reactivated off the IL from a left ankle sprain), he allowed a career-high seven runs in 1 2/3 innings and im betting he is still not 100% and susceptible to being lit up.Over is 6-0 in Clevingers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Meanwhile, Danny Duffy gave up three runs over 6 2/3 innings in a loss to the Blue Jays on Friday. He allowed a game-tying two-run shot to Lourdes Gurriel in the sixth before Eric Sogard slugged a go-ahead solo blast in the seventh. It was obviously a disappointing way to end it. Duffy fanned eight and walked just one in taking the loss. He remains winless since way back on May 19 and does matchup well vs the Tribe according to my pitcher vs batting order power rnakings. Over is 11-3 in Duffys last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2-1 in Duffys last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-2 in Duffys last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 11-4 in Duffys last 15 Wednesday starts.Over is 10-4-1 in Duffys last 15 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 7-3-1 in Duffys last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-4 in Duffys last 13 home starts. . CLEVELAND is 25-12 OVER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 21-11 OVER with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. Play OVER | |||||||
07-03-19 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 10 | 0-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.60 ERA) vs. Reds RH Sonny Gray (4-5, 3.94) Gray the Reds starter continued to uptrend by improving to 4-1 in his last seven starts after yielding two runs on four hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-3 win versus the Chicago Cubs last time out. The Cinncy tighty owns a 1-0 record along with a very stable 2.76 ERA in three career starts against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Chacin the Brewer starter is also pitching better, and getting more out of his slider, and poses a matchup issue for the Reds batting oder. CHACIN is 16-6 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 12-2 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 33-13 UNDER)vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League Central. Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 22-8-1 in Brewers last 31 during game 3 of a series.Under is 21-9-1 in Brewers last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-1 in Chacins last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3 in Chacins last 16 road starts.Under is 8-2 in Chacins last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Chacins last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Chacins last 7 Wednesday starts.Under is 20-8 in Chacins last 28 starts on grass.Under is 20-8 in Chacins last 28 starts overall. Under is 12-3-1 in Reds last 16 Wednesday games.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 games following a win.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 home games.Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 14-5 in Reds last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-5-1 in Reds last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 42-19-3 in Reds last 64 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 66-31-3 in Reds last 100 overall.Under is 66-31-3 in Reds last 100 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Grays last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-2-1 in Grays last 8 starts vs. National League Central. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati. Under is 6-0-1 in Estabrooks last 7 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.Under is 7-1 in Estabrooks last 8 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.Under is 43-21-4 in Estabrooks last 68 games behind home plate. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-02-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The Giants had their biggest offensive output in 9 games yesterday putting 10 runs on the board, but today I expect the light hitting Giants revert back to their usual ways, and come closer to their 3.4 rpg game out vs LHP which the Fathers starter Strahm just so happens to be. Meanwhile, the Padres despite of playing decently this season are still only averaging 3.9 rpg at home , with their saving grace being that they also only allow 4 runs per game which makes for a 7.9 rpg average here at Petco. Im betting on more of the same low scoring action today. Four of the 5 meetings in this series here in Petco have all stayed under the total. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) -NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 36-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-02-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 10-6 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
For the second straight start, Price will be on six days of rest. It worked for Price last time, as he held the White Sox to two earned runs in six innings in a win. Lifetime against the Blue Jays, Price has dazzled, going 22-3 with a 2.37 ERA. I know the Blue Jays have been hammering these juice balls around of late, but today Im betting their offensive output will be curtailed against a top tier hurler who has a recent record of success against them. Meanwhile,Thornton the Jay starter will open Toronto’s three-game series against the Red Sox after holding Boston to two runs over 6 1/3 innings when he last faced the reigning World Series champions on June 21 and should also help limit the Red sox in what I project is a favorable lineup for him to face. With that said Im betting on a total score that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated total that is based on recency bias. TORONTO is 30-13 UNDER in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. PRICE is 12-3 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-02-19 | Sky v. Aces UNDER 160 | 82-90 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
The recency of Chicago allowing 94 points last time out, and the Aces taking part in a back and forth high scoring affair in their last game, have put this total in the beatable category to the under. Tonight Im betting on the Sky playing more conservatively and paying strict attention to D, while the Aces regression on tired legs after that last scoring fest they took part in is to be expected. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-01-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 13-2 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (4-7, 4.52 ERA) vs. Padres LH Logan Allen (2-0, 1.38) Samardzija has struggled of late but owns a 2.44 ERA in nine career games (eight starts) at Petco Park . Meanwhile, Padres starter Allen threw seven scoreless innings while allowing just three hits in his debut in the majors June 18 against Milwaukee and followed that up with six innings of two-run ball in a win at Baltimore on Tuesday vs the Orioles and is a strong conadidate again to limit the light hitting Giants here tonight. SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan UNDER 52.5 | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 34 h 38 m | Show | |
The Argos allowed 64 points in week one , and now Im betting they will be very focused on slowing Saskatchewan down, and playing a much better defensive game which wont be hard. Meanwhile, the Argos offence has absolutely no flow, and I expect nothing will change here on Canada Day vs the Saskatchewan Roughriders who are looking to bounce back after giving up 44 points in a 44-41 loss to the Ottawa Redblacks on June 20. In 2018, the Riders’ defence gave up 40 points only once — a Week 2, 40-17 loss to Ottawa. It looks like the linesmakers are not being swayed by the recency of these teams total points outputs and are sticking to a lower total, and now Im betting their number is not low enough. TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival with a combined average of 44 ppg scored.TORONTO is 28-6 UNDER when playing with 8 days rest with a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (TORONTO) - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 107-64 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-30-19 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 153 | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The reigning WNBA champs have shown alot of grit despite being without stars Breanna Stewart (Achilles), Sue Bird (knee), coach and Dan Hughes. Hardcore D has been their signature style of play and has resulted in 10 of 12 games staying under the total. Nothing changes tonight against a visiting Mercury team that has averaged just 69.4 ppg on the road this season. DEFENSE, DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENCE. Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games. Under is 5-0 in Storm last 5 Sunday games.Under is 9-1-2 in Storm last 12 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 overall.Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-30-19 | Sky v. Sparks UNDER 157 | 69-94 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Chicagos D continues to improve and LA has been a defence first team at home for quite a while now and tonight Im betting on combined score that fails to eclipse this total. The last three times these teams have played in LA the scores have all stayed below the total, and nothing changes here today. LA ranks 8th out of 12 teams in offence this season. Under is 3-1-1 in Sky last 5 vs. Western Conference Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
06-30-19 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Chavez the Rangers starter is in top form and has allowed one earned run over 14 1/3 innings in his past three appearances. During that stretch, he's struck out 14 batters without a walk.He's 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA in nine career appearances (one start) against the Rays and is more than capable of slowing the Rays struggling offence here today. Meanwhile, Snell the Rays starter despite of being a quality hurler, has slumped of late, but going against the Rangers may help Snell regain his form. He's 2-0 with a 0.79 ERA in two career starts versus Texas, both coming last year. With that said, Im betting on this combined score staying on the low side of the total. SNELL is 17-3 UNDER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 15-3 UNDER in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 7-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season.CASH is 26-13 UNDER after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span as the manager of TAMPA BAY. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-37 UNDER L/22 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-29-19 | Fever v. Aces UNDER 158.5 | 97-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score that combines to stay on the low side of this total. LAS VEGAS is 12-3 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite which was the case last time out at LA vs the Sparks. Under is 6-1-1 in Aces last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Las Vegas. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-29-19 | BC v. Calgary UNDER 53.5 | 32-36 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams are going to have viable defences this season, according to my early assessments. In the past both these teams have taken part in lower scoring defensive affairs as is evident by the under cashing 5 straight times with the average combined score clicking in at 41 points per game with no score going past the 47 point plateau. Im betting for a conservative rinse and repeat type game here. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 22-8 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored.CALGARY is 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 48.5 ppg. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after playing a game at home, when playing on a Saturday are 41-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-29-19 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 10.5 | 0-13 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The market has moved enough on this total to make it a value under situation. The Orioles believe their starter today Cashner is over the blister problems he dealt with during the middle weeks of June, after the right-hander completed six innings last time out without issue. Meanwhile, Tribe starter Plesac will look to win his third consecutive start on Saturday in Baltimore and has momentum on his side . Th right-hander got off to a slow start Sunday vs. the Tigers, but settled in to toss seven solid frames, allowing one run (a solo HR) on just five hits. Today Im expecting and betting both these hurlers to go long and strong and to help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 21-8-1 in Indians last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in Cashners last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.Under is 9-2-1 in Orioles last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. CLEVELAND in 39 games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season have seen a combined average score of 8.2 rpg go on the board.CLEVELAND is 21-10 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season of 7.6 rpg scored. BALTIMORE in their L/187 games when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score 9.4 rpg scored. Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Baltimore. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-28-19 | Fever v. Mercury UNDER 155 | 69-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
According to my projections and the lack of efficiency we have in the WNBA market Im betting we have a value you total to bet into here in Phoenix tonight favoring and under wager on what is a bloated line in my estimations. Note: Key offensive Threat for the Mercury future HOF Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Back ). Under is 7-3 in Fever last 10 games playing on 2 days restUnder is 4-0-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS winUnder is 9-4 in Mercury last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-28-19 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 58.5 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Im betting we have a slightly bloated total here because of the recency bias attached to the Ti Cats 64 point offensive explosion vs the hapless defence of the Toronto Argos. This week I expect the Ti Cats to have a natural regression in their output, while Montreal with a back up QB at the helm (Adams Jr) will struggle to score. With that said Im expecting this total score to fail to eclipse this number. HAMILTON is 10-1 UNDER after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game since 1996.HAMILTON is 16-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 since 1996 with the average combined score clicking in at 50.7 ppg. MONTREAL is 19-4 UNDER in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 44.6 ppg scored. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER in road games off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.9 ppg scored.MONTREAL is 12-3 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996wth a combined average of 42.9 ppg scored. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 25-5 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-28-19 | Phillies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Elieser Hernandez of the Marlins is making his fourth start since joining the rotation, He's pitched better than the results show, striking out 19 and walking four with a 1.18 WHIP in 18 2/3 innings this season. Meanwhile,Vince Velasquez the Phillies starter allowed one run and one hit in five innings Saturday against the Marlins, and his performance secured another shot to remain in the rotation. Velasquez is 4-2 with 2.90 ERA in 12 career starts against the Marlins. This year he is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts against Miami. Current Marlins are just 19-for-125 (.164) with three homers and 34 strikeouts against Velasquez. VELASQUEZ is 11-2 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) .Im betting on both these starting pitchers going long and strong tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 12-2 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 Under is 12-2 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in Hernandezs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 starts vs. National League East. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 58.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Eskimos offence has been rolling, but their defence has been very efficient as well, as was evident when the unit got to BC Lions quarterback Mike Reilly seven times last week. On the other side of the ball, Winnipeg is well rested and off a bye, and will be ready to have their revamped D, do some work in the trenches this week and cool off the Eskimos attack. My projections make this total a little bloated and with that said, Im recommending we take and under stance here. EDMONTON is 9-1 L/10 UNDER in road games in June games with the combined average of 45.9 ppg scored. EDMONTON is 27-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a combined average of 49 ppg going on the board. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (WINNIPEG) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 48-22 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-26-19 | Sun v. Wings UNDER 149 | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Connecticut (9-2) had its seven-game winning streak suddenly snapped Sunday in a 93-75 loss at Chicago, as they looked exhausted. This team has had problems in the recent past controlling their run and gun ways, and exhaustion has caught with them. The Sun now playing their 2nd straight road game and 3rd game over in the L/5 days Im betting their tired legs wont allow them to run with wreck-less abandon against a Dallas team that is both offensively challenged and defensively aware of making sure they don't get involved in a shoot out. This combination Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers estimations might indicate. I know Dallas looked defensively hapless and helpless last time out allowing 86 points in a 86-68 loss. However it must be noted that Agler is 21-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997 with a . combined average score of 144.5 ppg.Agler is 24-8 UNDER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-26-19 | Mystics v. Sky UNDER 164.5 | 81-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
I think there are alot of numbers here that might scream over to the public but as usual the public over reacts to recency trends which is gives us value on what my own projections estimate to be a slightly bloated total giving us value with an under wager. WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 games are 71-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) are 42-17 . UNDER 22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-24-19 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Matz struggled against the Braves in his last outing, allowing five or more runs for the third time this season. He failed to reach the sixth inning for the first time in his last six outings and my projections today suggest the the Phillies will score 6+ runs which makes this total vulnerable based on the Phillies output alone. Matz is 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA in seven starts against the Phillies. Meanwhile, Eflin the Phillies starter is 2-4 with a 5.40 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets, and I look for the Mets to enough damage to help us breach this number to the upside . Mets are 10-2-1 OVER L/13. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-2 in Mets last 8 games following a loss.Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.Over is 5-1-2 in Mets last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 overall.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 road games.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 on grass.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 18-7-4 in Mets last 29 during game 1 of a series. Play OVER | |||||||
06-23-19 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a low scoring 2-0 affair yesterday, but Im betting on a much higher scoring game here this afternoon with Plesac and Norris on the hill for the Tribe and Tigers respectively. Both of these hurlers according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well , which Im betting results in a higher scoring affair. Over is 8-2 in Norris' last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 3-1-2 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 11-3-1 in Norris' last 15 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 20-9-4 in Indians last 33 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.Over is 4-0 in Norris' last 4 starts with Johnson behind home plate. Over is 13-3 in Johnsons last 16 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland. The Tigers are 8-0 OVER in franchise history as a road dog with Daniel Norris when he went six-plus innings in his last start, going over by an average of 5.45 runs per game. Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-23-19 | Mystics v. Dream UNDER 157.5 | 89-73 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Afternoon games have a tendency of being a little slower paced and Im betting that will be the case here this afternoon. WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games off an road win where they scored 85 or more points over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-3 UNDER in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-21-19 | BC v. Edmonton UNDER 56 | 23-39 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
CJ Gable had a big game in debut in Week 1 for the Edmonton Eskimos, putting up the second highest total rushing yards in his time in Edmonton. He amassed 20 carries and Im betting after that success the Eskimos will look to the ground game consistently in effort to set up their aerial attack. However, Im estimating BCs top tier secondary will clamp down here and hold the Eskies offence to limited production. Also from my perspective I believe the Eskimos secondary will be ready for their former QB Reilly and will formulate some strong defensive schemes that will slow him down. Overall I expect a hard fought battle between long time rivals and a score that stays on the low side of the total. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-14 UNDER in road games after allowing 200 or less passing yards in their last game with a combined average score in those 46 games clicking in at 46.6 ppg. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (EDMONTON) - after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse and are 39-14 UNDER L/22 seasons fora 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-21-19 | Fever v. Sky UNDER 164 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
When these two teams played last week, the total was set at 166 and the under cashed with only 134 total points going on the board. Im betting the same kind of pace, and shooting is once again going to play out in a total score that once again fails to eclipse the number. I know the The Sky's three-guard combo of Courtney Vandersloot, Allie Quigley, and Diamond DeShields looked explosive and combined for 50 points in their 91-83 win at New York on Wednesday night, but the Fever, know this will be primed to play a tough brand of D, and Im also betting on a regression shooting out put by the Sky here in a game that will be much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. INDIANA is 14-5 UNDER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 156 ppg. INDIANA is 10-2 UNDER after a game attempting 80 or more shots with a combined average of 153.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 26-13 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 149.9 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 51-24 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-21-19 | Mets v. Cubs OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
The NYM send left-handed Vargas (3-3, 3.74 ERA) to the hill against the right-handed Cubs pitcher Darvish (2-3, 4.65 ERA) in the second game of a four-game series. Both these pitchers have been inconsistent, but what makes this total vulnerable, is the Mets bullpen and the Cubs sometimes explosive offence. Note: Entering Thursday the Mets owned the 11th-worst ERA in the majors (4.67) and the third-worst bullpen ERA (5.38). Over is 7-2-1 in Vargas' last 10 road starts.Over is 6-2-3 in Vargas' last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Chicago. Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a loss.Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.Over is 8-1-1 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-2 in Mets last 10 overall.Over is 8-2 in Mets last 10 on grass.Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 Friday games.Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. National League Central.Over is 7-2 in Mets last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Play OVER | |||||||
06-20-19 | Mercury v. Wings UNDER 145 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Mercury have struggled mightily out of the gate this season without all star Diana Taurasi who is also expected to miss this game. The Mercury's flow is way off and Dallas also has offensive issues. These are two slowest paced teams in the league and low total is not low enough according to my projections. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in all games this season.Agler has gone under in 19 of his L/25 in home games after 4 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached . Play UNDER | |||||||
06-19-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Jon Gray (6-5, 4.38 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (8-2, 2.65) The Colorado Rockies were part of the highest-scoring four-game series in modern history over the weekend, but because of this we have a total that is inflated considering the pitching matchup. DBacks ace Zack Greinke (8-2, 2.65 ERA) had a no-hitter through six innings in his last start against the Nats. He ended up allowing two hits in 7 2/3 innings. Greinke was only removed because of a one-hour, three-minute rain delay.Note: GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average combined score clicking in at 5 rpg.For his career, Greinke is 12-6 with a 3.71 ERA in 32 appearances (31 starts) against Colorado and Im betting is in top form here again today. Meanwhile, Jon Gray according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well s the DBacks offence, and should limit their offence in this tilt, helping us stay on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. National League West.Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games following a loss.Under is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 96-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-19-19 | Sky v. Liberty UNDER 165 | 91-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The Liberty after being in a game with a combined score of 190 points has the linemakers tweaking this line upwards, thus giving us value on a regression type score here vs the Chicago Sky. These teams have combined to go under in 7 of their L/10 combined games, and Im betting on another under here. Under is 4-1-1 in Sky last 6 overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Sky last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 4-1 in Liberty last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 8-2 in Liberty last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-4-1 in Liberty last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-2 in Liberty last 7 Wednesday games. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New York. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-19-19 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Left-hander Matt Strahm (2-6, 4.66 ERA) will start for the Padres against Milwaukee right-hander Zach Davies (7-1, 2.60).Davies has allowed 28 runs (23 earned) on 78 hits and 22 walks with 50 strikeouts in 79 2/3 innings this year. He has a 1.26 WHIP and a .262 opponents' batting average. Under is 4-0 in Davies' last 4 starts vs. Padres. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter after a fast start has struggled with sore ribs, but is now close to 100% and has a high probability of returning to quality work, which Im helping keep this score on the low side of the total. DAVIES is 10-1 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.DAVIES is 10-1 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. Under is 15-5-1 in Brewers last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 16-7-3 in Brewers last 26 vs. National League West.Under is 3-0-1 in Davies' last 4 starts vs. National League West.Under is 8-1-1 in Davies' last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Davies' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Davies' last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Davies' last 5 Wednesday starts.Under is 16-5-1 in Davies' last 22 road starts.Under is 15-5-1 in Davies' last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-3 in Davies' last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 34-15-3 in Davies' last 52 starts overall.Under is 33-15-3 in Davies' last 51 starts on grass.Under is 20-6-1 in Brewers last 27 during game 3 of a series.Under is 8-2-1 in Brewers last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Play UNDER | |||||||
06-18-19 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 8 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (8-1, 3.87 ERA) vs. Padres LH Logan Allen (NR) Brandon Woodruff the Brewers starter owns a 8-1 record along with a stable, 3.87 ERA, 96 SO. The up trending righty has quality starts in six of his last seven outings, including a duel with Astros ace Justin Verlander last time out in Houston. Woodruff has a 2.95 ERA over his last nine starts. Im betting he once again shows his metal by holding the Padres offence to limited production and helps us keep this total on the low side of the number. His pitching opponent, LHP Allen struggled a bit at the beginning of his minor league outing has improved of late, and gives the Brewers a look they have not seen which will equate to them getting limited offensive production as well. Note: Under is 14-3-1 in Brewers last 18 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home gamesUnder is 13-5-2 in Padres last 20 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 15-6-4 in Padres last 25 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 vs. National League Central.Play UNDER | |||||||
06-18-19 | Marlins v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 103 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Yamamoto pitched seven scoreless innings in his Major League debut against the Cardinals on Wednesday. After being called up from Double-A Jacksonville, the 23-year-old scattered three hits and struck out five in the 9-0 win. Im betting this kid is on his game again and holds the Cardinals to limited offensive production in this spot. MeanwhileYamamoto (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be opposed by Cardinals right-hander Jack Flaherty (4-3, 4.28 ERA) who finished 5th in national league rookie of the year voting last season. The kid has not been in top form, but according to my pitching vs batting order power rankings does matchup well vs this Marlins batting order. ( Miami has averaged just 3.3 rpg vs RHP this season) Under is 5-1 in Flahertys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-4 in Marlins last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Cardinals are 11-1 in their last 12 games with umpire Tichenor behind home plate.Under is 7-2 in Tichenors last 9 games behind home plate. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-17-19 | Orioles v. A's UNDER 9 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Andrew Cashner (6-2, 4.73 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Mike Fiers (6-3, 4.63) Fiers has garnered a 3.02 ERA over his past nine starts. He's 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in four career starts against Baltimore. Meanwhile, , the Orioles are confident Cashner can pitch through a blister on his right middle finger that has bothered him for more than a week and forced the right-hander to miss his scheduled start on Thursday. Cashner is 6-2 with a 4.73 ERA this season. Im betting on both these under rated hurlers going long and strong and helping this combined score stay on the low side of the total. Oakland is averaging 4.1 rpg at home this season, while Baltimore is averaging 4 rpg home and away overall this season. The average score of Oakland games at home this season click in at 8.2 rpg. BALTIMORE is 25-9 UNDER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games 74-34 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 52 | 33-23 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
Both BC and Winnipeg should have viable offences this season, and some pundits expect a shootout. However, both should also be defensively staunch. The Bombers will have defensive stalwart Adam Bighill back and he is joined by the best defensive free agent signing of any team this offseason in Willie Jefferson. Meanwhile, Claybrooks the former Grey Cup champion defensive coordinator in Calgary takes over here in BC, and Im betting will have this stopping group humming with energy. Under is 5-1 in Blue Bombers last 6 vs. West.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Lions last 5 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in Week 1.Under is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games in June.Under is 5-1-2 in Lions last 8 vs. West.Under is 6-2-1 in Lions last 9 home games. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-15-19 | Dream v. Wings OVER 145 | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Despite of both these teams shooting horribly of late, it still must be noted that Atlanta is allowing 81 ppg this season overall, and here at home despite of being banged up Im betting Dallas does some damage, and Atlanta reciprocates with some offensive fireworks of their own, which will result in a total that will be eclipsed. These teams have gone over in 11 of their L/14 meetings and 3-0 OVER here in Dallas. Play OVER | |||||||
06-15-19 | Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 52 | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 23 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Red Blacks offence were decimated via free agency in the off season and have a QB in Dominique Davis, who is talented but raw and will be learning on the job. So scoring consistently at least early on this season will be a problem for the RedBlack, and here today in Calgary. Meanwhile, the defending Grey Cup Champion have also had big turnovers on D, but brand new defensive coordinator Brent Monson has what it takes to keep this defence operating at a very high level. The Stamps offence should remain competent , but a Campbell coached team ( Ottawa) are tough as nails and wont be easily beaten up on from the line of scrimmage. With that said Im betting a total score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 games overall.Under is 21-5 in Stampeders last 26 games in June.Under is 17-5-1 in Stampeders last 23 games in Week 1.Under is 8-3 in Stampeders last 11 home games.CALGARY is 16-4 UNDER in June games since 1996. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-14-19 | Montreal v. Edmonton UNDER 51.5 | 25-32 | Loss | -108 | 38 h 34 m | Show | |
Montreals offensive line is weak, and last season they allowed 66 sacks. I dont know if they will break that record this season, but I am betting that giving their QB protection will be a problem, and thus producing consistent offence will also be an issue. Meanwhile, their hosts The Eskimos will not be totally be focused on the Alouettes in week one with a Week 2’s match-up with former Eskimo and now BC Lion Mike Reilly looming on the western horizon. With that said, Im expecting the Als to struggle to score while, Edmonton is limited just enough to keep this combined score on the low side of the total. Montreal is 19-3 UNDER in June games since 1996 with the combined average of 44.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. Under is 5-0 in Alouettes last 5 games in Week 1.Under is 24-3 in Alouettes last 27 games in June.Under is 9-2 in Alouettes last 11 road games.Under is 13-6 in Alouettes last 19 games overall. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-14-19 | Rangers v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Mahle the Reds starter was doing well during much of Friday's 4-2 loss to the Phillies. But he threw a curveball that Jay Bruce slugged for a critical two-run homer. He has been stable for a while, and could easily give us a quality start here. He has pitched is best at home at Great American Ball Park, garnering a 2-0 record and 2.25 ERA in three starts. .Mahle is also 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five Interleague starts in his career. Texas will go to their bullpen, but because of a lack of turns against this AL pitching staff could have problems generating offence. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg. CINCINNATI is 21-7 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. CINCINNATI is 25-8 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined score of 7 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be intense. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the linesmakers are estimating to be close. The Raptors are 2-9-2 UNDER L/11 on the road with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 Thursday games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-3 in Raptors last 10 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 7-3-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less ARE 78-41 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-13-19 | Yankees v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Yankees LH J.A. Happ (6-3, 4.48 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Ivan Nova (3-5, 6.28) Through two June starts,Ivan Nova the Pale Hose veteran right-hander has allowed seven earned runs on 12 hits in 12 1/3 innings. Nova is allowing opponents to hit .333 and is 0-3 with a 9.39 ERA in five home starts this season. Meanwhile, AJ Happ despite of being a solid workhorse, according to my matchup power rankings does matchup well vs the White Sox lineup. Note: When Happ faced the Southsiders on April 12, he was beaten around for six runs on nine hits - one homer - in four innings to suffer the loss.Overall Happ is 4-3 with a 4.79 ERA in seven career starts against the White Sox. Im betting both these offences do some damage vs these starters and for this combined score to be eclipsed. HAPP is 8-0 OVER against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.3 rpg . HAPP is 9-1 OVER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg. NY YANKEES are 18-4 OVER in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 9-0 OVER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season . with a combined average of 13.6 rpg going on the board.NY YANKEES are 13-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more this season with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
06-13-19 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Price the Red Sox starter, the 2012 Cy Young Award winner, is 4-1 with a 1.88 ERA over his last nine starts, and should be a stopper again tonight vs Texas. Meanwhile, Texas starter Sampson is 5-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last five outings after tossing a complete game versus Oakland on Saturday. Im betting on both these starters going long and strong here tonight and to help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. PRICE is 32-13 UNDER as a home favorite of -200 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 7.9 rpg scored. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.TEXAS is 20-7 UNDER in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 8-3-1 in Rangers last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Rangers last 14 overall.Under is 10-4 in Rangers last 14 on a natural surface. Under is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 vs. American League West.Under is 10-2 in Red Sox last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1 in Prices last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-2-2 in Prices last 14 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1-1 in Prices last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Prices last 5 home starts.Under is 8-3-1 in Prices last 12 starts on a natural surface.Under is 14-6-2 in Prices last 22 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 9-4-1 in Prices last 14 starts overall. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-12-19 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. SHAUN ANDERSON (R) Anderson allowed three runs over six innings in his last start Thursday against the Mets. He has delivered a quality start in each of his last two outings for the Giants. He has garnered a 16-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first five starts. Meanwhile, the Padres starting hurler Lucchesi finished the month of May with a 2.97 ERA and 28-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 30 1/3 innings. He did allow 4 runs last time out, early , but shut the door after that and helped his team garner a win. Im expecting these two quality hurlers to help this combined score stay on the low side of the total. Under is 11-4-2 in Giants last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record
Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 97-51 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 35 h 57 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Do or die here in game 7 tonight for both teams. Look for the officials to mostly keep their whistles on pause and for both defences and goal tenders Rask and Bennington to be at the top of their games. Im betting on a very tight affair, that bases offence on transition. The above combinations give us an edge on a under wager. Note: Only 1 goal was on the board entering the 3rd period in game 6. ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season. NHL team against the total (BOSTON/St.LOUIS) - in the Stanley Cup finals are 144-94 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-12-19 | Reds v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-3, 4.70 ERA) vs. Indians RH Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.86) Indians starter Plesac will Im betting continue his hot start to the year against the Reds. In three starts, the 24-year-old has garnrered a 1.86 ERA with a 0.88 WHIP. Last time out, he allowed two runs on six hits through seven frames, throwing a career-high 111 pitches. Meanwhile,Cincinnati has scored just 16 runs supporting DeSclafani and this trend is being factored into my under wager here today. CINCINNATI is 13-4 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 interleague games. Under is 21-6 in Reds last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 23-7 in Reds last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Reds last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 Wednesday games.Under is 20-7-1 in Reds last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 40-15-1 in Reds last 56 road games.Under is 21-8-1 in Reds last 30 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-1 in Reds last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 18-7-2 in Reds last 27 during game 2 of a series. Under is 33-15-3 in Reds last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 54-25-3 in Reds last 82 on grass.Under is 54-25-3 in Reds last 82 overall.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 games following a loss.Under is 3-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 4 Wednesday starts. Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 interleague games.Under is 19-7 in Indians last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 16-6 in Indians last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 36-14-2 in Indians last 52 Wednesday games.Under is 7-3 in Indians last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Indians last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 25-12-4 in Indians last 41 during game 2 of a series. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CINCINNATI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), in June games are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CINCINNATI) - ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 39-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-11-19 | Mystics v. Sun OVER 166 | 75-83 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Washington comfortably leads the WNBA with 89.6 points per game and is hitting a league-best 8.8 3-pointers per contest.The Sun are averaging 87 points per game at home this season. Im betting both sides to take part in a run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Over is 5-1 in Mystics last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 5-1 in Sun last 6 home games.Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-11-19 | Mets v. Yankees OVER 9 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Mets RH Zack Wheeler (5-3, 4.61 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (3-5, 3.42) Tanaka will return from a brief paternity leave to make the start against the Mets. He's given up eight earned runs in his last 12 innings and looks vulnerable in his current form. Meanwhile, Mets starter Wheeler has yet to rediscover his second-half form from 2018. He’s allowed three or four runs allowed in each of his last four starts, garnering a 4.13 ERA over that stretch. My own projections estimate he will give up at least 4 to 6+ runs today and for this total to be eclipsed.( NYY have averaged 5.6 rpg vs RHP) Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 3-0-2 in Wheelers last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Over is 6-2-3 in Wheelers last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. NY METS are 32-12 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 11-3 OVER after 4 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg. Play OVER | |||||||
06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 59 h 21 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be a up North rumble. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the lines-makers are estimating to be close . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the seasons are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 41 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 .This is once in a lifetime opportunity for many of the players on the ice tonight. With a win St.Louis can bring home the Blues first ever Stanley Cup. Meanwhile, the Bruins with a win can extend this series to a decisive game 7 back in Boston. With that said, Im betting this game will be a war, and in these circumstances the officials usually put away their whistles, unless of a flagrant infraction, which will limit power plays, which will limit key scoring opportunities. Also both teams will be ultra conservative and very physical as no one wants to make a mistake in a big game like this. Im also betting on both top tier goalies Rask and Bennington to be wide awake and hard to beat making for a total score that fails to eclipse this total. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season.ST LOUIS is 18-7 UNDER after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored this season. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-09-19 | Storm v. Sky UNDER 165 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Thanks to the Chicago Sky being the worst defensive team in the league right now, the Total has been blown up past my power ranking performance indicators would suggest. Meanwhile, Seattle, a defence first team is off shooting 59.3 percent during an 84-77 win at Minnesota also added to this number but Im betting on a natural regression here to the norm that should also help this contest stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Storm last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-1-1 in Storm last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1-2 in Storm last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 overall. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-09-19 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (3-6, 4.64 ERA) vs. Astros LH Wade Miley (5-3, 3.39) Right-hander Dylan Bundy (3-6, 4.64 ERA) takes to the hill for Baltimore on Sunday. Bundy is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA over four career appearances (three starts) against the Astros. Meanwhile,Left-hander Wade Miley (5-3, 3.39 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Astros in their series finale with Baltimore. Miley is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA over four career starts against a team he previously pitched for. Im betting on both teams do some damage offensively here this afternoon and for this total to be eclipsed. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
06-08-19 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. ADRIAN SAMPSON (R) Game #2 Double Header Sampson the Rangers starter has won four straight games, three of them in relief behind an opener, and has a 2.38 ERA in that stretch. He allowed one run in seven innings against the Royals on Sunday, allowing eight hits, no walks and striking out a career-high 11 SOs. Meanwhile, Bassitt the As starter will go in the second game of todays doubleheader. He has allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven of eight starts this season. Under is 7-2 in Bassitts last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. These hurlers Im betting go long enough here for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 overall.Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 on grass.Under is 12-2 in Rangers last 14 home games.Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 19-7 in Rangers last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 11-5 in Rangers last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. TEXAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. OAKLAND is 20-9 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (TEXAS) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, playing on Saturday are 46-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-08-19 | Sparks v. Lynx UNDER 149.5 | 89-85 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Minnesota (4-1) a defence first team under coach Cheryl Reeve allowed more than 71 points for the first time on the campaign with an 84-77 loss at Seattle on Tuesday. The Storm shot an amazing 59.3 percent from the floor. .The Lynx, regrouped with a vengeance , and applied their gritty slow down style of play this past Thursday's 58-56 win over Phoenix. Meanwhile,Los Angeles their opponents tonight ended Minnesota's 2018 season with a 75-68 victory in the first round of the WNBA playoffs, and their will be revenge on board for the Lynx, and a game that will be gritty and physical and that fails to eclipse this posted total. ( This will be LAs 3rd straight road game in 4 days so they will be on tired legs which Im betting adds to how methodical this game will be. Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sparks last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 16-7 in Sparks last 23 games following a straight up loss.Under is 37-18-1 in Sparks last 56 Saturday games.Under is 49-24 in Sparks last 73 overall. Under is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 Saturday games.Under is 6-1 in Lynx last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 overall.Under is 8-3 in Lynx last 11 home games. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
06-07-19 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Erick Fedde (1-0, 2.55 ERA) vs. Padres LH Nick Margevicius (2-6, 5.40) Margevicius the Fathers stater owns a 9.17 ERA in his last four outings, and despite of needing to get back on track, just does not have the weapons needed to so at this time. Im betting he gets banged around vs the Nationals, which will help this combined score over the total. WASHINGTON is 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 10.1 rpg. Fedde the Nationals starter has seen the Over go 5-1 in his last 6 starts on a natural surface.Over is 5-1 in Feddes last 6 starts overall. Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 overall.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-0-1 in Padres last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 on grass.Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 Friday games.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League East.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 during game 2 of a series.Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games following a win.Over is 4-0 in Margevicius' last 4 starts on grass.Over is 4-0 in Margevicius' last 4 starts overall.Over is 5-0 in Margevicius' last 5 home starts.Over is 4-1 in Margevicius' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. SAN DIEGO is 11-1 OVER when playing against a team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg. SAN DIEGO is 13-3 OVER in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg. The L/3 meetings in this series have gone over this season, with 11,9, and 13 combined runs scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1 The Warriors uncharacteristically allowed 123 points in Game 3 of this series vs the Raptors which was just the fourth time they have allowed 120 points or more in the 2019 playoffs. In the two previous play off campaigns the Warriors allowed more than 120 points just 3 times in total, so Im betting the game 3 anomaly will not be repeated as will as a mean to the regression to the norm for the Raptors offence after shooting the lights out in game 3 ( 40% from 3 point land, 30+ assists ). With Klay Thompson returning to the floor for game 4, the dynamic of the Dubs defence will return which HC Kerr will key on in a very important game . Also Durant will be out tonight as well, for the Warriors which has diminished their offensive firepower as compared to when he plays, so D will be very important element for Golden State to even this series. When Durant plays the Dubs average 116.5 ppg on offence and when he sits they average 6.1 ppg less at 110.4 ppg. In the 48 times Durant as not played because of injury or personal issues , the Total is 30-18 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors with the staying under the total by 5.6 ppg.When Durant is not playing and Curry is in the lineup, the under is 26-15 fora 64% conversion rate for bettors staying under the total by 5.3 ppg. Note:The Raptors previous to game 3 were 1-8-2 UNDER on the road in the post season with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg scored. I keep hammering the under in this series, and I could drastically change my mind based on todays results. However, keep in mind Im not being swayed by a small game 3 sample size. So lets attack the under again. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-07-19 | Rockies v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Senzatela goes for the NY Mets, my cross reference power rankings suggest he does not matchup well agains them.Left-handed hitters are batting .340 vs the Rockies righty. Meanwhile, the Mets starter deGrom was limited to 89 pitches Saturday due to a hip issue, and is not 100% entering this game which could easily put a dent in his effectiveness, which is never a good thing vs a sometimes explosive Colorado side. Note:The Mets have homered in 13 straight games at Citi Field, the most since it opened in 2009. Over is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in deGroms last 4 starts overall. NY METS are 24-13 OVER in night games this season with an average of 10.1 rpg. NY METS are 21-11 OVER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg. COLORADO is 17-8 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg. Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-06-19 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L) This series opens Thursday night with a matchup of left-handers and the Nationals' Patrick Corbin (5-3, 3.46) against the Padres' Joey Lucchesi (4-3, 3.96). These are two pretty good hurlers, but my projections estimate a total closer to 8 to 8.5 which makes this a recommended over play. Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-2-1 in Nationals last 8 road games. Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.Over is 3-0-2 in Padres last 5 games following a loss.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. National League East. SAN DIEGO is 10-1 OVER when playing against a team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 31-18 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), in June games are 87-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
06-06-19 | Mercury v. Lynx UNDER 156.5 | 56-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Lnyx shot 59% from the floor last time out and still lost to Seattle, and now Im betting on a huge regression here from a team short on fire power and big on playing solid defence. Note: MINNESOTA is 8-1 UNDER after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.7 ppg scored. Their opposition here tonight Phoenix, continues to play without injured legendary guard Diana Taurasi, and despite of still having some offensive weapons will find the sledding sloppy here in the land of Lakes. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 123-109 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 8 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Toronto Im betting will continue to play scrappy physical ball here on the road, against the run and gun Dubs. They practiced this in both series against the Bucks and the Sixers and nothing will change tonight in Oakland.The Raptors are 1-8-2 UNDER since Apr 03, 2019 on the road with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Golden State's D is very under rated and recently in these play offs held two explosive offences Portland and Houston to 99 and 94 points respectively here at home. More strong stopping capabilities Im betting will be on full display here in game 3. .Under is 8-2-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 13-6 in Warriors last 19 home games. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-04-19 | Lynx v. Storm UNDER 150 | 77-84 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Minnesota is a defence first team, that ranks No.1 in ppg allowed and 10th in pace in the league, with all 3 of their first 3 games staying under the set total. Meanwhile, Seattle ranks 2nd inppg allowed in the league, and 7th in pace. Considering the way both these teams modus operandi consistently plays out, a combined score on the low side of this total is a high probability outcome. Under is 24-4 in Lynx last 28 road games.Under is 13-3 in Lynx last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 overall.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 vs. Western Conference.Under is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Play UNDER | |||||||
06-04-19 | Marlins v. Brewers OVER 9 | 16-0 | Win | 105 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Pablo Lopez (3-5, 4.99 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Chase Anderson (3-0, 3.31) Lopez faced the Brewers once in 2018, giving up five runs in six innings at Miami on July 10. He pitched well at home this season, but on the road he has garnered a bloated 8.26 ERA with opposing batters hitting .303 along with 7 HRS. Im betting on the Brewers doing some damage today, and a for a up trending Miami offence to do enough damage vs Anderson the Brewers starter to get us over the total here today. Note: Miami has won 11 of its last 16 games after posting back-to-back 9-3 victories over San Diego. Over is 4-1 in Andersons last 5 starts vs. National League East. MIAMI is 15-4 OVER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. Over is 36-17-2 in Marlins last 55 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 games following an off day.Over is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 8-3-1 in Brewers last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Milwaukee.Over is 33-15-3 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the OVER | |||||||
06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Game 2 - NBA Finals The Raptors who have owned the best half court D in the postseason did well in game 1 by focusing their attention on Curry and Thompson and with no Durant on the floor the Raptors should continue to be effective slowing down the splash brothers again. Right now the Warriors just don't have enough outlets, and the Dubs HC Kerr know s this , and being the top tier director and game facilitator he is Im betting the ball coach will have his D prepared to play a more guarded transitional game that will help this score stay on the low side of the total. Also it is highly unlikely key Raptors players like Pascal Siakam will score anywhere near what they did in game one, and that the Dinos offensive output is also curtailed in a game that Im betting stays on the low side of the number. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 Sunday games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. Play UNDER | |||||||
06-02-19 | Sun v. Aces OVER 167 | 80-74 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
In last years three meetings these teams Conn and LV combined to average 182.33 ppg, with at least one team scoring 90 points or more each time and with two of the tilts seeing Connecticut score more than 100 points. Both teams remain offensively explosive this season, and an all out run and gun affair must be expected again. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-2-1 in Aces last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 214 | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors enter this game ranked 8th in points per game allowed in the league and 15th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors rank 13th in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams have a great deal of offensive talent, but both also have some gritty defensive players. During these play offs the Raptors have made teams like Milwaukee and Philadelphia look less than fluid thanks to their ability to break the flow of their opponents, and Im sure that same formula will be in place Thursday night.It must also be noted that Golden State despite of their reputation as gunslingers also have the ability to play a top tier brand of D, and that Im betting will also be on display. With that said, Im expecting a chippy physical affair here in Toronto and a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 25-10 in Warriors last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 12-5-1 in Warriors last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under | |||||||
05-30-19 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 8 | 3-14 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Tropicana Field is not a hitters park, being in a dome and having poor sight lines makes this a pitchers park, which sits well with the Rays/ With two uptrending hurlers(Martin Perez 7-1, 2.95 ERA vs. Charlie Morton 5-0, 2.54 ERA) in top form on the hill the under looks like a viable wager here ,as two strong teams go head to head in what should be a hard fought battle. Under is 5-1 in Perezs last 6 starts overall. Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall. Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League Central.Under is 34-15-4 in Rays last 53 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Rays last 14 Thursday games.Under is 5-1 in Mortons last 6 starts overall. MINNESOTA is 8-1 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this seaso with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. .TAMPA BAY is 12-4 UNDER against left-handed starters this season with a combined average 6 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-29-19 | Storm v. Lynx UNDER 155 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
With reigning MVP Breanna Stewart (Achilles) out for the season and league legend Sue Bird (knee) sidelined indefinitely the team will focus on playing top tier defence .With superstar Maya Moore taking the 2019 season off to focus on family and her ministry work, the Lynx will also have their attack flow interrupted which Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of total. MINNESOTA is 6-0 UNDER in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-4 UNDER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-1 in Lynx last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Lynx last 6 Wednesday games.Under is 16-5 in Lynx last 21 overall.Under is 16-5 in Lynx last 21 vs. Western Conference.Under is 9-4 in Lynx last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 6-2-1 in Storm last 9 vs. Western Conference.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 8-3-1 in Storm last 12 overall. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-28-19 | Fever v. Sun OVER 161.5 | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
The 3 most recent meetings in this series between the Fever and the Suns have all been fairly high scoring with the lowest scoring tilt clicking in at 163 combined points. Im betting that both sides with one game under their belts should be ready to run and gun here this evening in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. Over is 3-1-1 in Fever last 5 overall.Over is 6-2 in Fever last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-1 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up recordOver is 6-0 in Sun last 6 games following a ATS win. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Connecticut. Play on the OVER | |||||||
05-28-19 | Padres v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) NYY starter Tanaka will look to finish up a strong month of May on the right foot. He has a 2.15 ERA in five starts this month, including just two combined runs allowed in his last three starts, a span of 19 innings and matches up well vs the Fathers batting order. Meanwhile, Padres starter Lauer is coming off one of his best starts in the Majors as he threw seven innings of one-run ball in a win against the D-backs with seven strikeouts and zero walks. He's now reached the 100-pitch plateau in back-to-back starts .Note:Under is 5-0-1 in Lauers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons with an average of 6.8 rpg scored.BOONE is 22-10 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored in those 32 games. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Both Boston and the Blues have top tier goaltending and defences, and very physical units. This Im betting will be on full display here in game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals this Monday night. Bostons super star net minder Tuukka Rask leads playoff goalies with an NHL-best 1.84 goals-against average and .942 save percentage. Blues goalie Bennington owns NHL-best 1.89 GAA, a .927 save percentage (fourth in the NHL) and five shutouts during the reg season and enters this finals series on fire stopping 75 of 77 shots (.974 save percentage) in winning the final three games vs San Jose. UNDER is 20-7 in Blues last 27 vs. Atlantic. ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (BOSTON/ST.LOUIS) - in the Stanley Cup finals are 140-86 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
05-26-19 | Mariners v. A's OVER 9.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L) After winning his first two games, Leake the As starter is 1-5 with a 5.21 ERA over his last eight. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Anderson is dealing with a neck strain and may not be 100% here. Anderson did not look good at Seattle when he opposed Leake on May 14 and served up three homers including six hits in six innings of sub par work. Today Im betting todays starting pitcher will effect a energy surge to the over as will a home plate umpire that has taken part in alot of high scoring affairs. Note:Over is 21-8-3 in Gucciones last 32 games behind home plate. The Mariners dating back to last Sept are 43-19-3 OVER with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 20-8 in Mariners last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter. SEATTLE is 7-0 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 11-3 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season for a 12.1 rpg. SEATTLE is 15-4 OVER in day games this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Over is 7-2 in Andersons last 9 starts overall.Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 40-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have made the Bucks look bad in the last two meetings on this series. It must be noted that Milwaukee has stayed UNDER 10 straight times with rest when they are off two double-digit ATS losses and the line is -3 to a pick. Overall in this series the Bucks and the Raptors have struggled offensively .In game 5 the ugliness of this series was highlighted as Toronto went 31-of-84 from the field while the Bucks were 38-of-84. The Raptors actually made seven fewer FGs, but they came out on top because they made twelve more charity stripe conversions than the Bucks. Tonight with so much on the line, I expect this to be a very physical game that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 14-6 in Bucks last 20 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-4-1 in Raptors last 14 games following a straight up win.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-24-19 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. GRIFFIN CANNING (R) Angels starter Canning is coming off the best start of his career, throwing seven scoreless innings against the Royals. He scattered just three hits and a walk while striking out five and Im betting on him going long and strong in this outing vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my power rankings. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Smyly is in two starts and one relief appearance since returning from the injured list on May 5 has held opponents to a .191 batting average and is more than capable of having a decent start here again. TEXAS is 11-2 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 overall.Under is 18-7-1 in Angels last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 34-15-2 in Angels last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 38-18-4 in Angels last 60 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts overall. Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 during game 1 of a series Under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (LA ANGELS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play on the UNDER | |||||||
05-21-19 | Twins v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R) These two pitchers give the assumption to public bettors that this looks like and easy slam dunk for the over. Truth is the number is frothy at this number, and offers us value on the under in contrarian fashion. Angels have eclipsed the total only one time in their L/10 games. Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 Tuesday games. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 51-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Raptors looked clumsy and less than fluent offensively in their last game vs the Bucks a OT win , and have actually been less than effective offensively for large portions of these play offs. Im betting that trend will continue tonight. The Raptors over all flow has also effected their opponents like a virus, as has been evident in this series vs the Milwaukee Bucks and the previous series vs the Philadelphia 76ers . Both the Toronto and Milwaukee converted at less than 40% from the filed in game 3. Note: The Bucks have gone under 10 straight times when coming off a road loss in where they shot less than 40% from the field while the Raptors have gone under 7 straight times in post season play after a game as chalk in which they held their opponent to under 40% shooting from the field. The Raptors are also 0-7 UNDER L/7 in the playoffs with less than two days rest off a home tilt that was tied five-plus times. Im expecting a fairly low scoring game here, based on the factors I have pointed out above and on my score projection of this tilt. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 Its win or go home for the banged up Sharks tonight, so Im betting they will be very physical, and aggressive from the get go, but at the same time conscious of playing solid transitional hockey with alot more emphasis on being coherent defensively. Meanwhile, St.Louis despite of consistently finding ways to score timely goals, are a defence first team, with multitudes of patience , and when all else fails a goaltending phenom by the Bennington on their side. With so much on the line here in game 6 for both sides Im betting we see a hard fought low scoring game. SAN JOSE is 18-7 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 4.4 gpg. JOSE is 21-8 L/29 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games. NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 100-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (SAN JOSE) - after allowing 4 goals or more against opponent after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 417-283 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-20-19 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) vs. Padres RH Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99) Weaver has recorded three straight quality starts, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings and has been a road warrior for the D-backs this year, going 3-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last three starts away from Chase Field. In four career starts against the Padres, he is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter Paddack's ERA sits below 2, and opponents have a .146 batting average against him, the lowest mark in the Majors. The young hurler owns a 49-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 45 1/3 innings in his first eight starts. The linesmakers expect a pitchers duel and Im on board, with a key number 7 offering value to the under according to my projections. SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 16-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Paddacks last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Paddacks last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts overall. Play on UNDER | |||||||
05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 In my betting opinion there is only one way that Portland can possibly steal at least one game in this series, and that is going balls to the walls with all out offensive attack. They have shown their ability to run and gun with the Warriors in the first half of the last two games, before looking fatigued late and eventually capitulating . Now down 3-0 in this series and in desperation mode, Im expecting the Blazers to leave everything on the floor, and to squeeze every last bit of energy they have into this game. This projected scenario Im betting leads to a high scoring game, that eclipses this total. PORTLAND is 8-0 OVER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 237.3 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 The Bucks, in game 1 of this series showed their rust after a week off, while the Raps showed their fatigue in a 108-100 final on Wednesday. In Game 2 on Friday, the Bucks reved things up and took a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. Now Im betting on the Raptors and the Bucks coming out here with all guns blazing in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. The Bucks are 11-4 OVER L/15 on the road with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored in those 15 tilts. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
05-18-19 | Rockies v. Phillies OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (3-2, 5.35 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (3-0, 4.86) This contest today features a rematch of Philadelphia’s 8-5 victory on April 20 in Denver. Citizens Park in Philadelphia is also a hitters park like Coors is , and today Im expecting some offensive fireworks in a notorious hitters park .Nola has not pitched as well overall as he did last season, but thanks to an explosive offence is receiving superior run support to remain in the unbeaten column. Nola only has three quality starts in nine starts this season.NOLA is 8-1 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. . Meanwhile, Rockies stater Senzatela has pitched well overall but of late has produced a 7.04 ERA in his last 3 starts, and according to my cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against him and and project do adequate damage to get us over the set total this afternoon. Over is 5-0 in Senzatelas last 5 starts overall.Over is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1 in Nolas last 9 starts overall.Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Colorado is average 5.2 rpg this season and Philadelphia is averaging 5.3 rpg at home. COLORADO is 11-1 OVER in May games this season with an average of 14.7 rpg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 The Raptors starters logged a lot of minutes last time out, in game 1 of this series vs the Bucks and were previously off a 7 game series with the Sixers . So fatigue factors come into play for the Dinos as was the case in the fourth quarter of the last game where the Raptors were rolled over by a team that they had lead by DDs at different junctures of this matchup. Contrary to belief it takes more effort and stamina to play strong physical defence than to run and gun and wide open fashion and tonight Im betting the Raptors are forced to open up in transition because of the inability to defend vs a fresher side . This is the lowest total the books have offered from the 5 games these teams have played this year, and the one with the most value for an OVER wager to cash. MILWAUKEE in 49 games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. Toronto in their L/11 after failing to cover the spread in 3 game or more have seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg scored. Note: The Raptors have gone 6-0 OVER L/6 as a pup with less than two days rest after a loss in which they were ahead by double digits at some point, going over the number by an average of 23.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 7-0 OVER L/7 with less than two days rest off a win as chalk after a victory where they were behind by double digits, going over the Total by an average of 20 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 40-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 217.5 | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State rolled to a 116-94 win vs Portland in the first game of this series, and Im betting they are just getting ramped up. Portland had issues converting from the field and despite of being on tired legs did play more efficient conservative ball like they did against Denver, but the Warriors have just to much firepower, so their efforts were muted . With that said, Im expecting this Portland Blazers team to man up here and play more aggressive offensive hoops behind their splash brothers Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum vs the explosive Dubs in a game Im betting will be much higher scoring than the first game. Over is 26-8-1 in Trail Blazers last 36 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 11-4 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up loss.Over is 19-8 in Trail Blazers last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 11-5 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Warriors are 8-0 OVER L/8 in playoff games when they are off a home victory where they held their opposition under their season-to-date shooting percentage average by more than ten percentage points, going over by an average of +21 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight game are 130-89 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
05-15-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R) Right-hander Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21) will face St. Louis right-hander Michael Wacha (3-0, 5.35) in the second game of the three-game series in Atlanta.Last time out, Soroka became the first MLB pitcher since earned runs became official in both leagues in 1913 to allow one or fewer earned runs as a starter in eight of his first 10 career games. Im expecting both hurlers to hold their own here against batting orders that my projections suggest they matchup well against. Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 9-4-1 in Cardinals last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Sorokas last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. ATLANTA is 20-9 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219.5 | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Portland has really piked up its defensive intensity in these play offs. That was evident vs the Denver Nuggets in this last series. Note: Since late December of 2015, the Denver Nuggets were held to under 37.1% shooting from the field at home in only two games - both were in their playoff series vs Portland. Now the Blazers will go against an explosive Golden State team that they know they wont easily compete against in a run and gun affair, and instead Im betting will focus on a more conservative physical approach here that will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 Conference Finals games Play UNDER | |||||||
05-13-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAN Leads 1-0 San Jose won game 1 of this series by a 6-3 count, and Im betting on more high octane work here tonight by both teams in a game Im betting eclipses the total. Considering how erratic Martin Jones San Jose goalie has been all season, its an easy decision to take an over stance here. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 road games. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog. Over is 4-0 in Blues last 4 Conference Finals games. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 56-24 OVER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 209.5 | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I know that play off series when they go deep have a tendency of going under. However all games must be treated independently of each other. There is just to much offence on the floor here tonight in a game that I have pegged to be closely contested for this total not to breached . PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 53 games vs up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 As in all NBA play off games that have gone deep into a series the opposing sides are a bit fatigued and both sides are very accustomed to each others offensive schemes and all the necessary defensive adjustments have been accounted for thus a lower scoring affair is not out of the ordinary. Add that both sides do not want to make mistakes, and conservative hoops is the norm that makes a under wager here a viable investment option. The L/14 seasons have seen the under go 97-69 UNDER in game 6 and 7s of play off series. Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 14-5 in Nuggets last 19 home games. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 213 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 These teams have had alot of half court games over the last few seasons, but the two games played in Houston in this series, showed some more wide open hoops. With Houston on the verge of elimination Im betting they unload here in a big way and leave everything on the court in aggressive fashion which will force the Warriors to run and gun with their desperate opponents in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. The Rockets in their L/10 games since Mar 17, 2019 as a home favorite have seen a combined average score of 220.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-2 OVER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg going on the score board. GOLDEN STATE is 20-8 OVER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 104-52 OVER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
Service | Profit |
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Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |