Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-17-19 | Georgia State v. Georgetown OVER 151.5 | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
My owns projections make this Totals closer to 155 thus giving us value with a over wager. GEORGETOWN is 12-3 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.9 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GEORGIA ST) - after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more are 174-106 OVER L/23 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-17-19 | Wizards v. Magic OVER 223 | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Washington has the 3rd best offence in the league the 28th worst D ppg allowed, and 8th fastest pace. This is almost always recipe for a high scoring back and forth tilt. Meanwhile, Orlanso has seen an uptick in their offensive outputs of late, and Im betting they will need that extra offence against a team that plays wide open run and gun ball. The Wizards are 19-0 OVER with less than two days rest off a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 232.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER off a road win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 83-49 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-17-19 | Yale v. Oklahoma State UNDER 143.5 | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State in their usual methodical ways will pound the glass with their big bodies in what Im betting they will force into a a very physical affair. OKLAHOMA ST is 18-8 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 13-2 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA ST is 23-6 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 10-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-17-19 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 29-3 | Win | 100 | 73 h 23 m | Show | |
Atlanta is off a top tier defensive effort last time out holding the Saints on the road to only 310 total yards in a surprisingly dominate 26-9 road win. Now in a divisional battle they take on a Carolina team that they have a history of playing low scoring grinding games against with 9 of the L/11 staying UNDER the total. with a combined average of 39.5 ppg game going on the board. At this time of the season, from a historical stand point it must be noted that the UNDER in NFL division games when each team has played 10 games has cashed 21 of the L/24 times since 2008 and has cashed 10 straight times overall when the total is 44 points or more. .It must also be note that the Panthers have gone under in 26 of their L/30 games dating back to 1999 as division home chalk of 10 points or less. ATLANTA is 10-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.9 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games are 36-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-16-19 | Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 223 | 101-150 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Kawhi Leonard and Amir Coffey are expected to miss tonight for the Clippers which will effect their flow. Meanwhile, Atlanta is also short handed with a boat load full of injuries, something that will also effect their flow, especially since they will be on tired legs playing their their 4th straight road game in west coast road trip in less than a week. The Clippers are 0-5 UNDER L/5 as a home favorite with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-16-19 | Florida v. Missouri OVER 50.5 | 23-6 | Loss | -112 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
The Gators smashed visiting Vanderbilt 56-0 last weekend, and come in here with revenge on their minds for losses to Missouri in each of the past two seasons. The Tigers won 45-16 at home in 2017 before prevailing 38-17 in The Swamp last season. However, this Gators team is different from those groups, as this team can put points up in bunches averaging 33.3 ppg. Today I expect very little mercy from Florida as they pile up the points, and for Missouri to finally wake up from a recent ugly 3 game road trip where their usually efficient offence went to sleep. Here at home where the Tigers thrive ( 5-0) Missouri has averaged 40.4 ppg and a rebound is expected as QB Kelly Bryant returns to the lineup. (The graduate transfer from Clemson missed last week's loss at Georgia after suffering a hamstring injury two weeks earlier at Kentucky.)Bryant has completed 140 of 225 passes (62.2 percent) for 1,845 yards, 14 touchdowns and five interceptions in eight games this season. Note: My projections estimate that Florida will score 28+ points. FLORIDA is 7-0 OVER in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 61.2 ppg going on the score board. Offensively, Florida averages 419.5 yards (ranked 56th nationally), while Missouri is at 402.9 yards per game (72nd nationally). FLORIDA is 6-0 OVER as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 59.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-15-19 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 222.5 | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Celtics won't be at full strength for the trip out west, and for at least a month after that, with the loss of high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward to a broken left hand earlier in the week. Im betting this will hamper the offensive flow of the Celtics and they will take a more defensive, stance for a while to compensate for their offensive loss. Tonight because of this Im betting this Total is slightly bloated with the value towards the under. BOSTON i in 13 road games after 6 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 216.1 ppg. These teams have gone under in the L/4 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-15-19 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 137-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game ranked 8th in pace in the league 8th in ppg(115.6) , and 28th in ppg allowed(120). Meanwhile, Minnesota is ranked 5th in pace, 4th in offensive output (117.2), and 25th in ppg allowed(116.2). Its obvious both sides run and gun with reckless abandon, while exhibiting an inability or disinterest in playing D. It is what it is. A far is this total is concerned, and how high it might seem, you have to remember this is the new NBA , and totals like this will show up more and more often as the league continues its quest to entertain the public. There can be under value with bloated totals, but this one not one of them. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Wolves average 119.2 ppg and opposition average 114.7 ppg. Based on a aggregate output system I use, 3-6 . points per team is projected above these numbers making this a viable over situation based on past performance trends and current form. Play OVER | |||||||
11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 211 | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Orlando are No.1 in ppg allowed in the NBA behind the 30th ranked pace. San Antonio is currently struggling and Im sure the Magic game plan will be to further take them out of their game with a suffocating physical effort which Im betting will contribute to a lower scoring affair. ORLANDO is 27-15 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season ARE 39-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-15-19 | Cleveland State v. South Carolina UNDER 137.5 | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
South Carolina improved to 2-0 on the young season when it posted a 66-32 victory over Wyoming at Colonial Life Arena on Sunday behind a top tier D, which Im betting will once again play a smothering style of basketball. The Gamecock defense is holding opponents to just 24.0 percent from the field thus far, which leads the SEC and ranks third nationally. Needless to say, I expect Cleveland will not do much offensive damage here and only put up 50 points vs Minnesota on the road in their opener and just 53 points on the board vs Missouri state as visitors. Clevelands output and Carolina D and pace make this an under wager. Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 non-conference games. Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Gamecocks last 6 home games.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 7-1 in Gamecocks last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 9-3 in Gamecocks last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 14-5 in Gamecocks last 19 Friday games. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Phoenix is 8th in pace in the NBA and 6th in offensive output,(116.6) and will push all comers into speeding up their game, and opening up or be blown off the court. That is exactly the situation we have here tonight as Atlanta visits in their 3rd western road game in 5 nights. Run and gun until the clock tips in at zero. The two most recent meetings between these teams last season saw 230 and 232 combined points cored. Atlanta has gone over in 3 straight games with the combined score of 237.7 ppg scored. Suns have gone over in 4 straight with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 12-2 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 249.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-14-19 | Michigan State v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5 | 76-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall will play without star guard Myles Powell and that will adversely effect their offensive flow of a team that is defensive minded in nature. Meanwhile, Michigan State is expected play without senior guard Joshua Langford which will also effect the Spartans offence as he compliments star guard Cassius Winston. With that said, Im taking the under here in a game that should be grinding and physical in nature. MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 100-47 beatdown of Binghamton last time out. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-14-19 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 50 | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at home this season has averaged just 19.1 ppg on offence with the Defense allowing just 20.8 ppg. Pittsburgh has set the pace of late, and Im betting nothing changes here this week vs North Carolina in what Im betting will be grinding affair. N CAROLINA is 22-9 UNDER vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. PITTSBURGH is 7-0 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.9 ppg scored. PITTSBURGH is 12-3 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46 ppg scored. teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game, with 5 offensive starters returning are 69-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-14-19 | Buffalo v. Kent State OVER 56 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Kent State enters this game against Buffalo showing signs of improvement on offence, and overall have averaged 34.7 ppg at home this season behind the arm of QB Duston Crumb and viable run game. Meanwhile the Flashes D, especially their run defence, has been a shambles , allowing 300+ yards to Toledo last week, and ranking 123rd in opponent rushing success rate. Buffalo’s rushing attack, which ranks 52nd in success rate Im betting has a big day , and that in turn will open up more downfield options and big plays for the Bulls. Look for both sides to light up the board tonight in MAC action. BUFFALO is 8-1 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 75.5 ppg scored.BUFFALO is 9-0 OVER after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 59.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-13-19 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | 94-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Lakers played a aggressive game vs the Suns last night in a big win, that saw the team spread the ball around . Note: The Lakers are 0-14 L/14 UNDER at home after a game as a road favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with a combined average of 193.3 ppg going on the board. Now on tired legs I look for a regression tonight, and for this contest vs the Golden State Warriors to end up on the lower side of the total. LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored and are are 11-2 UNDER in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or worse ) are 24-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-12-19 | Wild v. Kings OVER 6 | 1-3 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
The Wild are on tired legs as they will be playing their 13th road game in 18 outings to start the campaign. That will effect their defensive capabilities tonight here against a LA Kings team that plays a fairly wide open style of hockey and that takes alot of shots on net. The Wild have played 4 straight games that have gone over the total, with a combined 28 goals scored in those game for a 7 gpg combined average output. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing Minnesota.The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games LOS ANGELES is 9-1 OVER in home games against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER | |||||||
11-12-19 | Thunder v. Pacers OVER 213.5 | 85-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is thundering into top form offensively of late, and as result of their decent Fg conversion rate and uptick in pace have scored 112, 1114, and 119 respectively, with all three going over as their D gets looser allowing 121, 108 , and 121 points. Tonight Im betting on that current form to continue which will force a capable Indiana side that is in top form to push forward offensively and upping their pace and gaining on a recent output of 120, 121, 112, 109 points in their L/4 with 3 of those 4 games eclipsing the total. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Jazz are off a hard fought battle vs Milwaukee last time out(103-100), and subsequent win, and will be in a bit of an emotional letdown state here in Golden State , which Im betting sees them set an even slower pace than usual ( Utah ranks 1st in pace in the NBA). The Jazz are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 since Apr 20, 2019 going under by more than 17 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 198.1 ppg, with none of the games, eclipsing this current listed total. Also The Jazz are 0-5 L/5 UNDER on the road with a combined average of 193.4 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile Golden State prepares to play their 4th game in 6 nights, which includes 3 straight road games, and will now also be on tired legs and happy to also set a slower pace. UTAH is 16-4 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.4 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 45-19 UNDER L/5seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers UNDER 47 | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 107 h 10 m | Show | |
Im betting this divisional rivalry will be a hard fought fairly low scoring battle. I know Seattle has shown itself to have a some problems in the secondary , and that many believe that Jimmy G, can take advantage of them, but with his most dynamic offensive weapon, tight end George Kittle, banged up with a knee issue spreading the field could be an issue. On the other side of the ball, SF has shown issues stopping the run, and Seattle should be out looking to take advantage of this which will keep the clock ticking when the Seahawks have the ball. This above combination will help keep this combined score to the low side of the number. SEATTLE in their L/6 road games where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 season have seen a combined average of 44.2 ppg scored. HC Carroll in 14 road games where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of SEATTLE has seen a combined average of 42 ppg going on the score board. Under is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 Monday games. Under is 12-4 in 49ers last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. SAN FRANCISCO is 20-7 L/27 UNDER in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play with a combined average of 40.8 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 45-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a terrible defense (370 or more YPG) after 8+ games are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-11-19 | Senators v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Ottawa has allowed 2 goals or less in 6 of their L/9 games and have taken part in 3 straight low scoring affairs that have failed to eclipse the total. Meanwhile, Carolina the Senators hosts tonight have been struggling to score finding the back of the net with 2 or less goals in 7 of their 11 overall, and have also gone under in 3 straight games, all three of which were losses. Needless to say this is the kind of game that has lower scoring tilt written all over it. CAROLINA is 13-4 UNDER in home games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg going on the board. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (OTTAWA) - off a home win, a struggling team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate . Play UNDER | |||||||
11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | 113-104 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The defending champion Toronto Raptors take on the Lakers in Los Angeles on Sunday short handed with injuries. Two of their top performers went down with injuries in the club's win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday.Guard Kyle Lowry, the Raptors' second-leading scorer at 21.8 points per game, sustained a fracture in his left thumb in the first quarter, and forward Serge Ibaka went down with a severe right ankle sprain in the second quarter. Considering this , Im betting their flow will be disrupted, and knowing that they cant run and gun with the explosive Lakers tonight, a more defensive physical posture will be implemented by the coaching staff which will help keep this tilt on the lower side of this total. NBA team (LA LAKERS/TORONTO) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better), on Sunday games are 40-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-09-19 | Pelicans v. Hornets OVER 228 | 115-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
New Orleans is off a loss last night against the Toronto Raptors and will not be in any shape to play defence, tonight against the Hornets something thats been an issue for them all season long, as they allow the worst ppf average in the league ( 124 ppg) behind the 5th best offence ( 117.4 ppg) and 3rd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 23rd in ppg, allowed and 24th in defensive rating and will have to open here tonight against this type of wide open team if they hope to notch a win. Note: The Pelicans are 16-0-1 OVER L/17 with less than two days rest coming off a loss with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. Every game during this extensive trend run have all eclipsed the current high total. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 OVER in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 240 ppg scored. Over is 11-5 in Pelicans last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.ver is 4-0 in Hornets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Play OVER | |||||||
11-08-19 | Raptors v. Pelicans UNDER 234 | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors and the New Orleans Pelicans opened the season against each other nearly three weeks ago.with the Raptors taking a 130-122 victory in overtime . Since than both have taken part in some high scoring games which in some ways is skewing this total to the high side, which offers value for under bettors such as ourselves. ( It it was not for OT the above mentioned tilt would have stayed under the total) Gentry is 36-19 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW ORLEANs with a combined average of 219.1 ppg scored. The Raptors have not eclipsed the total in their L/7 as a road favorite with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 50-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-08-19 | Harvard v. Northeastern UNDER 142 | 79-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Northeastern won their opener by a 72-67 count vs Boston U while Harvard won their opening tilt by a 84-27 count vs MIT. Both teams modus operandi is based on a solid D, and a methodical pace, which Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt tonight that remains on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 overall.Under is 7-2 in Huskies last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 home games. Amaker is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of HARVARD with a combined average of 133.6 ppg going on the board.HARVARD is 24-11 UNDER in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997 with a combined average of 131.1 ppg going on the board.HARVARD iin their L/15 after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-08-19 | Central Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 69 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
There is value here on the under according to my projections which make this game total closer to 64 than the current number of 69. WE all know how explosive UCFs offence is, but Tulsa behind a much improved 3-3-5 defense that ranks 22nd in opponent passing success rate and ranks 29th in opponent red zone scoring and will not be easily stomped on. This Im betting cues the total towards the under. Note:UCF i L/15 road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) has seen a combined average of 54.9 ppg scored. Also Philip is 9-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of TULSA with a combined average score of 59.2 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-08-19 | Davidson v. Auburn OVER 145.5 | 66-76 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
VETERANS CLASSIC - Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD The Wildcats return all five starters from a 24-10 club that finished second in the Atlantic 10 with a 14-4 conference record last season. This team can really light it up in cohesive fashion, and tonight their going to play to Auburns speed and possibly beat them at their own game in a tilt I have pegged to go over the total. Davidson will be playing its season opener after running past Glenville State 102-94 in an exhibition. Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 neutral site games.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 non-conference games. Over is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 non-conference games.Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 Friday games.AUBURN is 15-5 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.2 ppg scored. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-07-19 | UAB v. Troy State UNDER 140.5 | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Early season action will have defences in better from than shooters. This is strong instate rivalry that should be hard fought, which will dictate a slower, more physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 9-1 in Blazers last 10 vs. Sun Belt.Under is 17-7-1 in Blazers last 25 Thursday games.Under is 51-25-2 in Blazers last 78 non-conference games. Under is 6-1 in Trojans last 7 overall. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. UAB is 50-30 UNDER as a road favorite or pick since 1997 with a combined average `of 137.1 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-07-19 | Capitals v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: WASHINGTON - BRADEN HOLTBY, FLORIDA - SERGEI BOBROVSKY Both the No. 1 goalies in this matchup -- Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky and Braden Holtby for Washington -- have had several days to rest and are expected to start on Thursday and despite of some sub par save percentages this season, are top tier goalies who will be fresh and ready to compete in a game between streaking teams. Bobrovsky is 6-2-3 with a 3.36 goals-against average and an .882 save percentage. Holtby is 6-1-3 with a 3.30 GAA and an .895 save percentage. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-06-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio UNDER 55 | 24-21 | Win | 102 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Miami has proven highly inconsistent of offense ranking 126th in rushing success rate and 116th in passing success rate. Meanwhile, Ohio's offence generates it most effective results when they run the ball, and today I expect that to be their main modus operandi , which in turn will keep the clock ticking . The above combination Im betting results in a score that remains on the low side of this total . MIAMI OHIO is 31-10 UNDER struggling defensive teams - allowing 425 or more yards/game with a combined average of 48.8 ppg scored. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OHIO U) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 102-55 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-06-19 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 224 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Indiana is exhausted as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights, and are off a 122-120 OT loss in Memphis last night. Tonight playing defence could easily become an issue on tired legs in a game I have pegged to be a wide open affair vs a Washington side, that is ranked 26th in ppg allowed on D, and 5th in ppg on offence and 8th in pace. Over is 6-0 in Wizards last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-1 in Wizards last 9 vs. NBA Central. Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. WASHINGTON is 30-16 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
11-05-19 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Canucks are a much-improved offensive team , but they will have to deal with a defending Stanley Cup Champion side that knows how to shut teams down and make life miserable for them in transition. Tonight Im betting on the Blues imposing their defensive will in a big way on their opponents and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.7 gpg going on the board. ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 4.3 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 6-0 UNDER in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (ST LOUIS) - after a 4 game unbeaten streak, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the first half of the season are 56-24 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate! Play UNDER | |||||||
11-05-19 | Michigan State v. Kentucky UNDER 138.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CHAMPIONS CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY Tonight’s No. 1 Michigan State vs. No. 2 Kentucky has a bit of a tainted public leaning totals number attached to it. ( The public loves to bang the over on marquee games) My number on this total is closer to 134 to 136, thus according to my projections we have value to the under. Note: Both teams have been hit with the injury bug, and because of personnel improvisations Im betting a more muted flow and pace which directly effect this total to the under. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - good rebounding team from last season - outrebounded opponents by 4+ per game, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls OVER 215.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Los Angeles has reeled off five straight victories since dropping the season opener against their intra-city rival Los Angeles Clippers behind super stars LeBron James and Anthony Davis and Im betting will have an above average output offensively today vs a struggling Chicago Bulls team allowing an average of 110.3 ppg. Meanwhile, LAL has been allowing 108 ppg on the road this season, and tonight I look for the chasing Bulls to aggressively open up to keep track on the scoreboard, which will result in combined score that eclipses this total. Play OVER | |||||||
11-04-19 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 224 | 99-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game against the Pistons having lost three straight while giving up an average of 138 points. Washington is ranked 28th in ppg allowed, and 3rd and pace and 7th in offence. The Wizards come at you in run and gun fashion, and essentially force you into opening up. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons are currently ranked 21st in ppg allowed, and 24th in defensive efficiency, and if they are going to win they have to up their17th ranked pace here tonight in a game I have pegged to fly over the total. Over is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 road games.Over is 7-1 in Pistons last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 7-3 in Pistons last 10 overall. Over is 6-0 in Wizards last 6 home games.Over is 8-0 in Wizards last 8 vs. NBA Central.Over is 8-1 in Wizards last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 21-7 in Wizards last 28 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-6 in Wizards last 23 games following a straight up loss. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-2 OVER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 213 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Utah has the best D in the league so far this season ranking No.1 in ppg allowed at 94 ppg, and rank 28th in pace and 27th in ppg scored at 101. Its obvious what their formula for success is and Im betting on nothing changing tonight . Meanwhile, we all know about the Clippers and super star Kawhi Leonard, but Utah can slow down the most potent of teams , and isolate them in transition , which Im betting will be the case again tonight. With that said, Im betting a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Utahs L/9 games dating back to last season, have gone under the total with the combined average score of 196.2 ppg going on the board. NBA team (UTAH/LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season are 102-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 84-44 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens OVER 45 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 109 h 2 m | Show | |
In the recent past when top tier teams do battle the OVER has hit 10 straight times dating back to last season when the teams involved own .700 or better record on the campaign , and the Total is is 41 or more points. The combined average combined score of these tilts has clicked in at 67.5 points per game! The Ravens have gone over in 5 straight vs NFC East and have gone over in 6 of their L/7 as 3 or more point dogs. Harbaugh is 10-1 OVER vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game in the second half of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 48.3 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BALTIMORE/NEW ENGLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG are 39-13 OVER 36 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
11-03-19 | Kings v. Knicks UNDER 215.5 | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Two teams that are struggling to start their season go head to head tonight .Both entered Saturday tied for 27th in the NBA in assists per game (19.3). The Sacramento Kings issues have predicated on their lack of scoring consistency from downtown and at the charity stripe. Meanwhile, the Knicks the Kings hosts tonight, are ranked 28th in ppg on offence, and 27th slowest in pace, and depend on a hardcore work ethic to try to stay competitive. Both teams current structural inconsistencies make for a rocky flow, and Im betting tonight that will translate into a lower scoring affair that will not eclipse this total. The Knicks have gone under in 8 of their L/9 dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 206.9 ppg scored, and have gone under 4 straight times at home, with the with a combined average of 210.7 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 15-4 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.5 ppg going on the board.NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - pathetic team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or better on the season, poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 28-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers OVER 221.5 | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Joel Embiid is expected to miss tonight game for Philadelphia because of suspension, but the way the Sixers are built that wont slow down their offense or pace here this evening. Note: The Sixers are ranked 3rd in PACE this season (107.0). Also PORTLAND in their L/41 games when the total is 210 to 222 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg go on the board. Full steam ahead here in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. NBA team (PORTLAND) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 43%or less on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 113-62 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
11-02-19 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: NEW JERSEY - CORY SCHNEIDER, CAROLINA - JAMES REIMER Both these teams have seen some upticks in offensive production, but overall they still have a long way to go to be considered offensive juggernauts. Carolina has scored 2 goals or less in 5 of their L/8 while NJ has scored 3 goals or less in 6 of their L/9 and have averaged 0.7 gpg on the road this season . ( Carolina has allowed an average of 2.1 gpg at home this season and base their successes and failures on top tier D). Tonight Im betting the Devils will continue to have issues scoring on the road and for this contest to stay on the low side of the total. The L/4 meetings here in Carolina have gone under the total. CAROLINA is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored and is 16-7 UNDER L/23 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-01-19 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: DALLAS - ANTON KHUDOBIN, COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER Only once in their L/10 games have the Dallas Stars scored more than 2 gaols. Last time out they won a by an unusual 6-3 score. Note: DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in road games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.4 gog scored. Tonight against a banged up but still explosive Colorado side, Im expecting they get back to hard forechecking and a wait game in transition vs a superior side, which will result in a lower scoring game. COLORADO is 7-1 UNDER in home games against terrible power play teams - scoring on 13%or less of their chances over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. COLORADO is 20-7 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - off a home win, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 27-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
11-01-19 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 214.5 | 95-102 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland took out the Chicago Bulls 117-111 this past Wednesday. The win marked Cleveland's third consecutive game with an uptick in its scoring, from 85 in the opener to 110 vs. Indiana then 112 in a loss at the Milwaukee Bucks. There is upward offensive momentum at play here tonight in my over call on this tilt. Meanwhile, Indiana (1-3) concluded a three-game road swing on Wednesday, scoring its first win of the 2019-20 season, 118-108 at the Brooklyn Nets. Both sides have shown slower paces so far this season, but their defensive weaknesses , and current uptrends offensively make this a solid over wager. The Cavaliers are 7-2 OVER as a road dog with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Anomaly or not its interesting to note that CLEVELAND is 9-1 OVER in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 17-4 in Cavaliers last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games.Play OVER | |||||||
10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 227.5 | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
San Antonio has been off since beating the visiting Portland Trail Blazers on Monday to improve to 3-0 and are very fresh for this tilt vs the Clippers and should be very ready to press the action vs a LA Clippers side they matchup well against. With a rested Kawhi Leonard in the Clippers lineup they will also be ready to reciprocate in a what Im betting will be a run and gun affair. The L/3 meetings here in LA have all eclipsed the total. LA CLIPPERS are 19-6 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of those 25 games clicking in at 236.6 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43 | 28-25 | Loss | -109 | 60 h 20 m | Show | |
New Orleans beat Arizona handily 31-9 last week. San Francisco had Sunday’s most lopsided victory, defeating Carolina 51-13. Tonight Im betting on SF regressing offensively, after last weeks explosive output , while their own top tier D continues to thrive. The Niners are ranked 2nd in the league in ppg allowed at 11. San Francisco has surrendered 23 total points in their last four games. Note:The last two meetings here in Arizona between these two teams have seen 33 combined points scored both times by identical 18-15 scores favoring Arizona. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 14 or more points against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game are 30-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-31-19 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 56.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
No. 12 Baylor sits on top of the Big 12 standings and will be rested and ready when it hosts struggling West Virginia on Thursday night in Waco, Texas. West Virginia has scored just 14 points in back to back games and regressing offensively. Tonight Im betting they will once again have issues getting scores behind inconsistent QB Austin Kendall against a well rested Baylor D, that is allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. Under is 10-3 in Bears last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Under is 13-4 in Bears last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 conference games. Under is 9-3 in Mountaineers last 12 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 Thursday games. W VIRGINIA is 21-8 UNDER L/29 in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 with the average combined score of 48.8 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-30-19 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
When these teams played earlier this season, LA lost a ugly 8-2 decision to the Canucks. Now in redemption mode I expect that Kings do their best to be careful in transition and actually procure some kind of forechecking tonight, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. I know Vancouvers offence has been clicking of late, but it must be noted that VANCOUVER is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 20-8 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.( Nobody in the league takes more shots on net than the Kings) the average combined score of this 28 game sample size clicks in at 5.5 gpg. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 UNDER in home games after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 3.2 gpg going on the board. VANCOUVER is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 39-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-30-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - Tied 3-3 Both teams will pull out all the stops tonight in the deciding game 7 of the World Series. Both will also be conservative in their approaches, as one mistake could be disastrous. This Im betting results in a low scoring tilt. GREINKE the Astros starter is 6-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.32 and a WHIP of 0.929. In 10 starts the under is 9-1. SCHERZER the Nats starter is 4-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.065. Under is 9-2 in Scherzers last 11 interleague starts. Under is 4-1 in umpires Wolfs last 5 interleague games behind home plate. WASHINGTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good AL starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ), playing on Wednesday are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-30-19 | Wild v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The visiting Wild fell 6-3 to the Dallas Stars on Tuesday night as they blew a 3-0 lead in the process . Minnesota has allowed 32 goals in in their seven losses away from home but the linesmakers are still projecting a fairly low scoring game, and Im betting their correct in their assessments.Goaltender Alex Stalock played last night for the tired Wild, so Dubnyk (2-5-0, 3.92 GAA, .880 save percentage) will likely start against the Blues. He was 3-0 with a 1.32 GAA and .947 save percentage against them last season. Im expecting his work between the pipes, and the exhausted Wilds need to play more conservatively on the road to be one of the keys of this being a low scoring game against a banged up St.Louis side playing without one of their top scorers Vladamir Tarasenko. MINNESOTA is 9-2 UNDER in road games after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 71-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-29-19 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 219.5 | 91-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
We have a huge talent disparity here in this game featuring Memphis and the LA Lakers and Im betting the rebuilding Grizzlies output will be muted, and their over all game plan will be a more conservative one , than they have shown so far this season, knowing what they are up against. With that said, Im betting we have a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Note : It must also be noted that there seems to be a concerted effort from the Lakers to be a all around team this season. LAL are ranked 3rd in ppg allowed this season, and 20th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace. The Lakers are 2-7 L/9 as a home favorite with the average combined score clicking in at 214.2 ppg. LA LAKERS are 21-7 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 29-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros OVER 7 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 After going down 2 games -0 the Astros, have come roaring back with 3 straight wins as the Houston offence has also suddenly come back to life, and will be a difficult assignment for Nats starter Strasburg. Houston has averaged 5.7 rpg vs RHP this season. Note: Stasburgs four career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Meanwhile, Verlander the expected Astros starter has allowed exactly four runs in three of his last four trips to the hill and comes into this game at 0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six career World Series starts and could easily get beaten around by a desperate Washington team looking to avoid elimination. Verlanders 3 career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Over is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 interleague starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 playoff games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 interleague home games. HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 10-2 OVER in home games in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 71-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-29-19 | Sharks v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
the Sharks have struggled in their first 12 games of this season. San Jose has allowed four or more goals eight times thus far while scoring two or fewer on six occasions. QUTE: "We're playing from behind in a lot of these games," San Jose coach Peter DeBoer said, "and instead of sticking with it and trusting the group and the system, everyone wants to step out and fix it themselves, but it doesn't work that way. So eventually you have to learn that lesson." END QUOTE. Im betting that the Sharks have learned their less, and will play a more disciplined game here vs a explosive Boston Bruins team. Note:The Sharks despite their over all struggle killed all four power plays they faced in their last contest, improving their league-leading penalty kill to 93.2 percent. Thats important here vs a Boston side, that had a power play conversion in 6 of their L/7 games overall. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 season ( with a combined average score of 4.8 gpg scored) SAN JOSE is 15-4 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Tuukka Rask, fresh off a shutout of the defending champion St. Louis Blues on Saturday, is expected to start between the pipes for the Bruins. In his current form hes hard to beat, and is a key component here in my under projections for this tilt. NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 36-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-28-19 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 216.5 | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah is a defence first team with a blue collar attitude, and Im betting that will be on full display here this evening in Phoenix. Its early in the season but the Jazz are ranked first in defence allowing 90.3 ppg and are ranked 27th on offence, but the tell tale tape shows them methodically operating with a 28th ranked pace, which is in part indicative of their on court conservative philosophical mindset. Meanwhile, the Suns are ranked 12th in ppg allowed and 14th in pace and should be on tired legs and in a regressionary offensive mode, after taking part in consecutive hard fought back forth affairs vs Denver and the LA Clippers.Add to that both teams are playing their 4th game in 6 nights and are certainly on tired legs which in turn will also effect the pace and output of this tilt to the low side of the totals number. Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 overall.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 Monday games.Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Jazz last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games following a straight up win. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a straight up win. .Under is 16-5 in Suns last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-2 in Suns last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Phoenix. PHOENIX is 9-1 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg going on the score board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 27-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 36-12 UNDER 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-28-19 | Dolphins v. Steelers UNDER 43.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dolphins rank last in the NFL in passer rating and Im betting things are not going to get any better tonight, as their offence will flounder against a capable D. Meanwhile, with Steelers, QB Mason Rudolph, making his first appearance at Heinz Field in 3 weeks ended when he barely made his way to the sidelines following a vicious hit to the head by Baltimore's Earl Thomas that briefly left him unconscious, may still find himself a little gun shy this week. With that said and HC Tomlin being the alert coach he is will most like and probably peg his offensive schemes on a ground heavy approach which in turn will eat clock time. The above combination of projected events will make for a low scoring affair. Note: The Steelers owns the 6th slowest pace in the league, and the Fins when they are losing a game by more than 7 points own the slowest pace in the league. PITTSBURGH is 10-2 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41 ppg. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass.Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 13-4 in Dolphins last 17 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-1 in Steelers last 7 vs. AFC.Under is 9-2 in Steelers last 11 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Steelers last 8 games on grass.Under is 20-7 in Steelers last 27 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass.Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 13-4 in Dolphins last 17 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Big chalk of 13 or more points have gone UNDER the Total in 18 of the L/23 games, when the number is 52 or less points. Miami has gone under in 10 of their L/11 as non-division dogs of 10 points or more. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers OVER 42 | 13-51 | Win | 100 | 56 h 43 m | Show | |
The Panthers are fresh off a bye week, which Im betting will see them energized and ready to rumble here this week against a viable SF offence behind top tier QB James Garoppolo . The Panthers have gone over in 5 straight off a week off, and have gone over the total in 7 of their L/8 vs a side with a .800 or better win record and eclipsed the total in 4 of their L/5 vs NFC west. Meanwhile, the 49ers have gone over in 9 of their L/11 vs a side of bye. Yes, folks I know how dominate the Niners defences has been , but because of this early season recency bias , we get a very good number to bet into from a over bettors perspective according to my projections. A reversion to the mean here for the 49ers D makes for a portion of my decision making process this Sunday. CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 59.9 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CAROLINA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 27-1 OVER L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Play on the OVER | |||||||
10-26-19 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 228 | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Suns will play host to the Clippers on Saturday in their second game without key starter Ayton, and will miss his point production, but overall, this Im betting helps their defence. Ayton has never been known for his defensive play and is also known as a defensive liability. Add to that the Suns, played last night and will be on tired legs after they lost l in OT by a 108-107 count in the high altitude of Denver which in itself is exhausting . So here in LA this evening, Im looking for a tempered effort from the Suns, against what is an explosive Clippers team. This Im betting leads to a much lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect. Note: HC Williams in 213 career games when playing against a team with a winning record in all games he has coached has seen a combined average of 192.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Washington's bats were silent last night in game 3 of this series as the club went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position and stranded 12 for the game. Now tonight Im betting on a rebound by what has become a consistent offence, and much better run production. Note: WASHINGTON is 19-7 OVER in home games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 26 tilts. MARTINEZ is 36-16 OVER in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houston after that 4-1 win last night now has momentum, and Im betting they continue upward in offensive production here today against starter Patrick Corbin who owns a 6.91 ERA and that according to my cross reference power rankings does not matchup well vs this power Astros batting order. Over is 3-0-1 in Corbins last 4 home starts. Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games.Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Washington. Play OVER | |||||||
10-26-19 | Penguins v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Since the Penguins beat the Stars 4-2 on Oct. 18 in Pittsburgh, Dallas has won three straight games, while Pittsburgh has lost three in a row. The difference maker for the Stars is their ability to implement a NYI Barry Trotz type defensive plan, that allows them to stay close and look for the right opportunities in transition. This has been evident in their consecutive victories vs Philadelphia, Ottawa and Anaheim, by 4-1, 2-1 ,and 2-1 scores, and now with momentum and success on their sides, will Im betting continue down this path, vs the Penguins here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: The Penguins have only scored a total of 4 goals in their L/3 games, thanks and part to injuries , and a new found vigor for playing a tighter brand of defensive hockey. DALLAS is 17-3 UNDER in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - after a 2 game unbeaten streak, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season are 134-68 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-26-19 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 216.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Last time out Philadelphia showed their defensive abilities when they limited Boston to 36.7 percent shooting overall and 26.9 percent from 3-point range, and are more than capable of a shut down performance here vs Detroit on the road . Meanwhile the Motown Pistons, are off dropping their home opener to Atlanta 117-100 as chalk. There was a lack of good defence, and offence in that tilt, and HC Casey was particularly unhappy with the Pistons D, and tonight Im betting he sets out to correct that. QUOTE:"Our defense (Thursday) was porous and you put that along with bad shooting in the second half, that's a bad recipe," coach Dwane Casey said. END QUOTE. DETROIT is 17-6 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 76ers- Joel Embiid is "?" Saturday vs Detroit ( Ankle ) Pistons -Blake Griffin is out indefinitely ( Hamstring ) Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-26-19 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 131-126 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Butler, Miami's biggest offseason acquisition, missed Wednesday's season-opening win for the birth of his daughter and will miss Saturday's game against the Bucks and as a result will effectively curtail the Heats offensive output. The Heats L/7 road games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 216 ppg go on the board. The Heats usual motus operandi is based on playing staunch D which will be in effect here, vs the explosive Milwaukee Bucks. Long term historical trend: MIAMI is 563-469 L/1031 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored over a very extensive period of time.MIAMI is 103-74 UNDER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-26-19 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 53.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Nebraska is scoring just over 25 ppg, and are having trouble moving the ball scoring 7, 13, 7 points respectively in their L/3 tilts, thanks to Adrian Martinez their QB being banged up with a knee issue. The Cornhuskers D, however has looked decent and on the season have allowed 21 ppg at home. Meanwhile, Indiana , QB Michael Penix Jr.is injured and less than 100% for this game and could have problems moving the ball if he plays with limited mobility and converting this Saturday vs a staunch D. The Hoosiers D, has also been strong this season allowing just over 20 ppg on the average and deserves respect. All in all I expect both sides to have issues scoring , while the defences stand tall making for a lower scoring affair. NEBRASKA is 8-0 UNDER after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games with a combined average of 47.9 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (INDIANA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 51-21 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-25-19 | USC v. Colorado OVER 64 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 4 m | Show | |
Colorados D is a shambles as was evident in back-to-back blowout road losses at No. 11 Oregon (45-3) and Washington State (41-10) the last two weekends. Im betting they will be sliced and diced again, against an explosive Trojans offence ,but this time around I look for them to muster more points here on their own home field against a USC team battling key defensive injuries to (safety Talanoa Hufanga) and sacks leader Drake Jackson. Note: Buffaloes rank last in scoring defense (34.9 points allowed per game), total defense (482.4 yards) and passing defense (316 yards). CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 34-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 69.8 ppg scored. Play OVER | |||||||
10-25-19 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs area well rested team that goes vs a Sharks side playing on back-to-back nights. The Sharks are already playing tough D, and have allowed 2 goals or less in in 3 of their L/5 overall, and will be even more conservative here vs an explosive opponent as they play on tired legs. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side of the number. SAN JOSE is 14-3 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 5.1god scored. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing San Jose. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | 141-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Both teams will take the court with revenge motivation: the Clippers on an opponent that ended their season last April; the Warriors on Leonard, who denied Golden State a three-peat while leading the Toronto Raptors to the championship in June. With that said,Im expecting a spirited back and forth game with a boatload full of points going on the board. Over is 7-2 L/9 meetings at Golden State. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 10-1 in Clippers last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 road games.Over is 12-5 in Clippers last 17 Thursday games.Over is 14-6 in Clippers last 20 overall.Over is 13-6 in Clippers last 19 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 overall.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 /WARRIORS (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-13 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-24-19 | Sabres v. Rangers OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
New York won its first two games by scoring 10 goals in wins over Winnipeg and Ottawa on Oct. 3 and 5, but since then, the Rangers are 0-4-1 and have been outscored 20-9 while being outshot by a 177-129 margin and now tonight Im betting red hot Buffalo lights them up , and then they have no choice but to open in a game that Im expecting to be a wide open back and forth affair. NY RANGERS are 16-4 lL20 OVER in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 5 straight games with an average of 6.4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off an home win scoring 4 or more goals, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games on the season are 52-24 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7 | 12-3 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Strasburg the Nats starter for Game2 of theWorld Series has been over powering with 33 strikeouts and just one walk in 22 innings in the play offs, allowing just four runs on just 18 hits and Im betting for him to long and strong here tonight. Meanwhile, Astros starterJustin Verlander, with alot to prove after getting alot of bad reviews for his previous post season failures, will Im betting be very ready to go and provide his team with a strong effort behind some strong veteran experience and tools. Note: VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) VERLANDER is 13-3 UNDER (+9.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record) with an average of 6.4 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 13-2 UNDER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after 7 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 79-52 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-23-19 | Penguins v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Both these teams have alot of offensive firepower, but these veteran filled sides also, take pride in not taking part in run and gun affairs, vs sides they respect. Instead Im betting on a more conservative tilt that will feature strong defensive and base offensive chances on transitional play. With Pittsburgh on tired legs playing tbeir 8th game in 14 days and suddenly finding it hard to score in their last two games( 2 goals total) Im betting they will be even more conservative than usual. Note:PITTSBURGH is 24-15 UNDER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6 gpg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-23-19 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 211 | 93-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Im projecting that this big man crew of Philadelphia to really push forward here this Wednesday night in attempt to assert their standing in the East. I also expect a take no prisoners type of affair with alot more points going on the board than the linesmakers and public might expect. In the past Boston has been able to slow down Joel Embiid, thanks to the work of Al Horford and Aron Baynes’ , and now that both are gone, Im expecting Embiid to explode offensively and carry his team forward with maximum momentum The revamped Celtics will have to follow suit and open up, with some offense of their own, or be blown off the court, which Im betting helps us get over the Number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA/BOSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
The public right out of the gate loves the over here in this Battle of LA game based in part to the concept that LAL super stars Davis and James will almost single hand-idly eclipse this total all by themselves.(Tongue in cheek) But Im betting the chemistry between these guys is over blown just like this total based on perceptions. Instead Im betting on Lakers sturdy D, to be key. I know the Clippers can also run and gun, but Im betting that wont be the case here tonight as they devise a game plan to slow down Davis and James and the fast break explosiveness of Alex Caruso and Kuzma, resulting in a more tempered effort by the Clippers in transition. Under is 8-3 in Lakers last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Lakers's last 19 games when playing LA Clippers. Play on the UNDER | |||||||
10-22-19 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights and will not be prepared to run and gun tonight and instead Im betting they will play more conservatively in transition. Especially after a sloppy 6-2 loss at Philadelphia last time out. Meanwhile, their hosts the Chicago Blackhawks are a team that has a renewed respect for fore checking and solid defensive play , as has been evident of late , by going under the total in 3 of their L/4 games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 31-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 22-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-20-19 | Raiders v. Packers OVER 46.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
The Raiders have back to back road underdog wins and 3 straight wins overall, and proving that they maybe better than many expected. It must be noted that both games easily eclipsed the total, and they have gone over in 3 straight games overall. Meanwhile, Green Bay is off a short week after playing a Monday night game at Lambeau and their D maybe a little tired and vulnerable forcing Aaron Rodgers to air it out more than might be expected this Sunday . Note: NFC chalk off a Monday Night division game like the Packers ... have gone 19-2-1 OVER dating back 8 seasons, including a 100% perfect 9-0 OVER when the Total is north of 45 points. Also GREEN BAY is 16-2 OVER after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.9 ppg going on the board. Im projecting for both teams to score 20+ points here tonight. OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.6 ppg. GREEN BAY is 9-2 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 57.2 ppg scored. This series has gone over 5 straight times average Total of : 44.7 and the average combined score clicking in at 51.4 ppg. Play OVER | |||||||
10-20-19 | Dolphins v. Bills OVER 41 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Neither one of these teams is as good or as a bad as they have looked so far this season. No the Fins offence is not as bad as it seemed early on , as was evident when QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was put under center last week , almost bringing his team back from a 14 point deficit. With that said, Im expecting Miami to do more offensive damage than than the linesmakers expect this week behind the arm and mind of one of the leagues most under rated QBs. Meanwhile, Buffalo in its usually methodical way will also land some blows in a game I have pegged to eclipse this artificially low total that is based almost solely on recency bias of unders by both sides. Note: Miami has allowed an average of 36 ppg this season! BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER vs. terrible ball control teams, 28 or lessminutes TOP, 16 or less FD's per game with a combined average of 46.8 ppg scored. Buffalo has gone over the L/7 times its has been made a 8 point or more favortie. Dolphins have gone over 5 straight times after a non conference home game. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the first half of the season are 33-12 OVER L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - after allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 41-13 OVER L/36 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50 | 52-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Northwestern is a team that bases its strength on defense as their offence is anemic and atrocious and tonight against an explosive Ohio State offence Im betting they limit big plays and eat up clock in methodical fashion. As I just mentioned the Cats offense is one of the worst in the nation., Northwestern ranks No. 5 overall on defense and 124th on offense and rank last in the nation in yards-per-play, points-per-play, and explosive play percentage conversion rate.Tonight Northwestern's excruciatingly slow paced offense will be taking on a over powering Ohio State defense that’s only allowing 8.8 ypg via just 3.7 yards per play and which ranks second in the nation in defensive havoc.If the Wildcats a side that is averaging just 14.4 ppg (3rd worst int he country) get shutout tonight I wont be surprised . Also Im expecting the Buckeyes to not open their playbook to much this week with Wisconsin on deck for next week, and instead use their run game quite a bit today, something that they have used more often this season than in recent years ranking 15th in the country in run play percentage plays. You don't have to be a mathematician to see the writing on the wall that this game has value for under bettors. OHIO ST is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 475 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. NORTHWESTERN is 10-1 UNDER after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons with the combined average of 40.8 ppg scored. NORTHWESTERN L/22 games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average of 45 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-18-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Yankees starter James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO)exited after just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 in Houston, even though he allowed only one run on four hits. Neither Paxton nor manager Aaron Boone believed the lefty was giving his pitches away. It was simply time to get the starter out of the game. Paxton went 7-3 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 home games this season and Im betting he has another top tier effort here tonight in desperation mode. Meanwhile,Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) looked to back in top form after his last ALCS start, allowing just two runs on an Aaron Judge homer in 6 2/3 innings as the Astros won, 3-2. In three playoff starts against the Yankees as an Astro, Verlander has a 1.19 ERA and 28 strikeouts. More of the same here today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship games. Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 playoff games.Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 vs. American League East. Under is 15-2 in umpire Danleys last 17 games behind home plate vs. Houston including 6 straight unders in Astros games.Under is 19-5-3 in Danleys last 27 games behind home plate.Under is 9-4-1 in Danleys last 14 games behind home plate vs. New York. MLB team (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 32-10 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-17-19 | Predators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Nashville has really been playing some very wide open offensive hockey and should push the Coyotes into opening up, which Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER in all games this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (NASHVILLE) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 39-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-17-19 | UCLA v. Stanford UNDER 50.5 | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Stanford has held two of its last three opponents to season low yardage, as the defence continues to improve. Im betting on more of the same action here today vs a UCLA side that has huge problems moving the ball consistently. Today Im betting on a lot of clock time getting eaten away as Stanford a run first team will pound away on a Bruins team with a smaller Defensive front, and for a lower scoring game to ensue. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (STANFORD) - off a upset win as a double digit underdog, in weeks 5 through are 37-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UCLA) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 40-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-17-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 8-3 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
It looks like two top tier hurlers will go to the hill Grienke ( Astros) vs Tanaka ( NYY) . But I once again expect some bullpen action and top tier pitching to out duel the explosive offences of both teams. Tanka owns a 1.32 ERA over 41 career postseason innings spanning seven starts, dating to the 2015 AL Wild Card Game against Houston. GREINKE is 13-4 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rog scored. Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 overall.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 on grass.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 League Championship games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 road games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 playoff games.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 League Championship games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 15-5-1 in Yankees last 21 vs. American League West. Under is 16-5-2 in umpire Bellinos last 23 games behind home plate vs. New York.Under is 14-5-3 in umpire Bellinos last 22 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-17-19 | Rangers v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
The Rangers are very fresh as they have played the fewest games in the NHL, just three, while most other squads have at least six contests in the books. Needless to say they will the have the legs to push the action here tonight, vs a Jersey team that allows 4.8 gpg and that has seen 4 of their L/5 home games eclipse the total with a combined average of 8.7 gpg scored. Tonight Im betting on more high scoring action. NEW JERSEY is 23-9 OVER against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg scored in those 32 tilts. The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Jersey's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Rangers. NHLRoad teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a losing record.102-64 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy OVER 56 | 13-37 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Troys defence especially their secondary is a mess, and Im betting on South Alabama quarterback Cephus Johnson clicking on some big plays against a susceptible Troy pass D and doing alot more damage here than the linesmakers expect. Also it must be noted that Troy is ranked last in the nation in opponent pass yards per attempt abd 91st in opponent third-down conversions and last in opponent explosive passing.Meanwhile,Troys offense has proven explosive this season ranking 49th in points per game, 52nd in explosiveness, and 54th in efficiency while averaging a 42.7 ppg at home and very fresh off a bye week. Needless to say Im betting on a tilt that exceeds this number based on my projections. Over is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 home games.Over is 8-2 in Trojans last 10 games on turf. Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games following a ATS win. Play OVER | |||||||
10-15-19 | Wild v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
The Wild have to deal with an explosive Leafs team on the road here tonight and Im betting they play conservatively here as they use the momentum of a 2-0 shutout win vs the Seans last time out as motivation. I know the Leafs are chalk loaded full of up front talent, but HC Mike Babcock after some ugly early season defensive performances, is stressing on his team to forecheck and play better D. This combination Im betting will end up seeing this combined score stay on the low side of the total. The Wild have killed 16-of-19 penalties this season after Ottawa went 0-for-5 on the power play and their current pp killing abilities will help them here against the tide of a dangerous Buds power play. Leafs G Andersen is expected to be in goal Tuesday and is 4-3-0 with a 2.61 goals-against average and .913 save percentage in seven games against Minnesota. Wild G Devan Dubnyk is 6-3-1, 2.72, .910 in 11 games (10 starts) versus Toronto. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scoed. TORONTO is 11-2 UNDER off a road win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. ( The Leafs took out Detroit 5-2 on the road last time out) Play UNDER | |||||||
10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers OVER 45.5 | 22-23 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Here we go as the Detroit Lions visit the Green Bay Packers in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. Im betting on Lions QB Mathew Stafford who has owned the Packers D in the recent past to have a big night here. Stafford has thrown for multiple touchdowns in nine consecutive battles in this series, and nothing will change tonight. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and in his usual way will return fire, despite of being without WR Davante Adams and will also use explosive RB Jones who leads the NFL with eight rushing touchdowns to rip apart of the D line as has been his MO . Jones has over powered his way into the end zone in six straight games at Lambeau Field. These teams have gone over 6 of the L/7 meetings with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 49.1 ppg. Detroit in their L/5 MNF games have seen a combined average score of 54.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Lions as a dog off a loss when they failed to score in the red zone at least 3 times, have gone over in the following game 7 straight times with at least 50 combined points scored. Im looking for the Lions to be very much more aggressive here tonight especially in the red zone, and to do a fair amount of offensive damage which will buoy this combined score over the number. Play OVER | |||||||
10-13-19 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NY Leads 1-0J James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO) In his first career postseason start, battled through 4 2/3 innings, striking out eight but allowing three runs. The Yanks left-hander allowed five runs to in Houston on April 10 but held to one run in New York on June 21 and is more than capable of holding down the fort here.Meanwhile, Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) had a rare postseason down effort last time out pitching on short rest in his last start against the Rays, lasting only 3 2/3 innings. But Verlander still has a 2.92 ERA in the playoffs as an Astro, including two dominant wins over the Yankees in 2017. Verlander (1-1, 3.38 ERA in the ALDS) has made six career postseason starts against the Yankees, producing a 4-0 record with a 2.33 ERA and 41 strikeouts over 38 2/3 innings.VERLANDER is 10-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Im betting on these two dominant hurlers to help keep this game on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship road games.Under is 12-3 in Yankees last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff road games. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 38-14 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-13-19 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 55.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 47 m | Show | |
Patrik Mahomes only has one TD in his last two games, and Andy Reids D, is play ing lazy ball. Now that its become obvious that Mahomes is not a football god just yet, and possibly experiencing a sophomore jinx, this chiefs D is going to have up their game. Meanwhile, Texas is off an explosive 52 output last week, and in a all out offensive battle vsTB in a win and now Im expecting a regression to the mean. This combination will Im betting make for a lower scoring game than public and pundits might expect. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 39.9 ppg. Reid is 18-4 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 41.3 ppg scored. Reid is 21-7 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. The Chiefs are 3-15 UNDER as +5 or more non division home chalk. HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored and have gone under 4 straight times after a win by 14 or more points. HOUSTON has gone under in 10 of their L/11 non division home games. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 7 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS leads 1-0 Scherzer is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts this season against St. Louis - his hometown team - and Im betting he gets roughed up a little bit here today. Over is 4-0-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2-1 in Scherzers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, I know Wainwright has done well at home during the regular season, registering a 2.56 ERA over 16 starts, but the Nats offence matches up well from a metrics standpoint against righty hurlers like him, and Im betting they do more damage than the linesmakers are expecting. We saw a low scoring game yesterday with the Nationals squeaking out a 2-0 win, However it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 32-17 OVER in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 49 games clicking in at 9.3 rpg. (Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game) Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a loss. Over is 3-0-1 in Conroys last 4 games behind home plate. .Play on the OVER | |||||||
10-12-19 | Georgia Tech v. Duke UNDER 48 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Duke (16th) has the second best defensive efficiency in the ACC, , behind Clemson (2nd). Today against a struggling GTEch offence averaging just 15.2 ppg and 8 points per game on the road, should once again have a stellar day. Im betting on Duke establishing the run early and to pound away all day in clock burning fashion, in a tilt I hav pegged to stay on the low side of the total. My projections power rankings suggest Duke will hold GTech to less than 4.5 ypp. GEORGIA TECH is 20-3 UNDER when they gain 4 to 4.5 total yards per play with a combined average of 31.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Anibal Sanchez (0-0, 1.80 ERA) has been named to start Game 1 for the Nats. The right-hander started Game 3 against the Dodgers and held them to one run and four hits in five innings while posting nine strikeouts. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.50) will start the first game on regular rest. Mikolas started Game 1 against the Braves, allowing one run in five innings, and also pitched an inning of scoreless relief to earn the victory in Game 4. Im betting n both these pitchers and bullpens keeping this total on the low side of the number. Both teams are off key game 5 winning situations and will now be in a bit of an emotional let down spot which Im betting has both offences starting slowly. Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 playoff road games.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 playoff home games.Under is 35-16 in Cardinals last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 13-6-1 in Cardinals last 20 League Championship home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Mikolas' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Mikolas' last 12 home starts. Under is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 44 | 9-17 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 11 m | Show | |
Miami was upset last week by Vtech by a 42-35 count, which showed off some of the Canes defensive inefficiencies and of course their ability to click on offense. It must be noted that this MIAMI football program in their L/18 tilts when off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more points have seen a combined average of 49.3 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Virginia continues to be efficient but not flashy and are capable of putting points on the board, as their 32.2 ppg offensive average would indicate. Note: MIAMI in their L/12 games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last three seasons has seen a combined average of 47.5 ppg scored. This season Miami has also averaged 38.3 ppg off offence in 3 homes games, and Im betting they do some damage here again in a game I have pegged to go over the total based on my mathematical projections. Virginia's HC Mendenhall is 30-15 OVER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average score of 58.7 ppg going on the board. Play OVER | |||||||
10-09-19 | Kings v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Vancouver Canucks were unable to get their offense untracked as they began the season with a pair of losses on the road. Note:Under is 17-5 in Canucks last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Im betting their futility to put the biscuit in the back of the net will continue here vs the visiting LA Kings. Meanwhile, the Kings are a team that needs to really get back to basics after blowing a couple of leads in their first couple of games, and a more conservative and attentive performance Im betting will be on tonights agenda. Under is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 vs. Pacific.Under is 6-1 in Canucks last 7 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Under is 5-1 in Canucks last 6 home games.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Under is 7-2-2 in Canucks last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 19-7 in Canucks last 26 vs. Western Conference. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 13-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty Flaherty the Cards starter was nearly unhittable in the second half of the season, but the explosive Braves were on him in his first postseason start, touching him up for eight hits in Game 2 and Im betting they pick up where they left off here today. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter submitted one of the best starts of his career in Game 2, despite of previous play off failures. After that last effort Im betting on a letdown situation here and a return to his previous post season inadequacies. Note: Over is 5-2 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. ST LOUIS is 16-5 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 playoff games.Over is 15-7-1 in Braves last 23 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.Over is 6-2 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts vs. Cardinals. Over is 8-3 in Hallions last 11 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER | |||||||
10-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Carolina has played some solid D so far this season, and against top tier opposition last time out allowed 0 shots on goal vs the TB Lightning in the 2nd period of their game . It was the first time in NHL history that a reigning Presidents Trophy-winner was held without a shot on goal for an entire period. Tonight Im betting on more of the same type of staunch forechecking by the Canes, and for this contest involving the Florida Panthers to also end up being low scoring enough for us to cash an under ticket. Also Carolinas tired legs, will also have a direct result of the speed of this game.CAROLINA is 22-11 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-07-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals OVER 8 | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 4 - LAD leads 2-1 This LA Dodgers team is downright offensively explosive as was the case last night when they blasted out 8 runs in one inning to break the game open and win 10-4. It does not matter who the Nats send to the hill here Im betting the Dodgers do some damage and help this contest to eclipse the total. Over is 7-3-3 in Scherzers last 13 starts vs. National League West. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.Over is 3-1-2 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. Dodgers Over is 22-9-1 in Dodgers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0-1 in Hills last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Hills last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 12-3-1 in Hills last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Hills last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.Over is 8-2-2 in Hills last 12 road starts.Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. HILL the Dodgers starter is 25-11 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored during that 36 game sample size.HILL is 24-7 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored and s 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 54-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-07-19 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 3 - HOU leads 2-0 Astros starter Zack Greinke(18-5, 2.93 ERA, 187 SO) was 8-1 with a 3.02 ERA in 10 starts after being acquired from the D-backs in a July trade, going 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA for the season. He carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning of his final regular-season start on Sept. 25 in Seattle and enters this tilt well rested and with top tier momentum. Meanwhile, TB Rays start Charlie Morton(16-6, 3.05 ERA, 240 SO)remade himself as a pitcher during his 2017-18 tenure with the Astros, and the right-hander has developed a knack for clutch October outings. The 35-year-old allowed an unearned run in five innings in the AL Wild Card Game to become the first pitcher in MLB history to win three winner-take-all postseason games (he also won Game 7 of the 2017 ALCS and World Series with Houston). With two top tier hurlers, and bull pens Im betting on this being a low scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Greinkes last 5 road starts.Under is 12-1-3 in Astros last 16 on astroturf. GREINKE is 10-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored and 11-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. GREINKE is 11-1 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. Under is 10-1 in Rays last 11 playoff home games.Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 Divisional Playoff home games. MORTON is 10-0 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 21-4-2 in the last 27 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-06-19 | Jets v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Jets aggressive free flowing offence meets the defensive minded NY Islanders this Sunday . The Isles just don't have the finishers to put alot of goals on the board, so they will once again be ultra conservative under Barry Trotz system of defensive minded hockey which Im betting translates in a lower scoring game that fails to eclipse this total.Also with this being the Jets 3rd consecutive road game their legs may not allow them to be as aggressive as they have been in their first two tilts.NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons. Under is 36-13-2 in Islanders last 51 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in Islanders last 11 vs. Central. Under is 48-20-2 in Islanders last 70 overall. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-06-19 | Falcons v. Texans OVER 50 | 32-53 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
Houston offensive line has allowed the third-most quarterback sacks so far this season, but hat wont be an issue today vs a Atlanta side that just cannot generate much of a pass rush. With said, Im expecting the sometimes explosive and talented Jamies Winston to have a big day today. Meanwhile, the Falcons stud QB Matt Ryan ranks first in pass attempts, second in passing yards as is evident by having thrown for 300 or more yards in every game this season and should once again have a huge day vs a wobbly Texans secondary that has been torched on a regular basis this season . Over is 17-4 in Falcons last 21 games on fieldturf. Over is 15-5 in Texans last 20 games in October. Road teams against the total (ATLANTA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, in the first half of the season are 63-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
10-06-19 | Bills v. Titans OVER 38.5 | 14-7 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
All these early season low scoring games by two of the leagues top defences so far has this Totals number vulnerable for over bettors to cash. My own projections estimate a combined score in the low 40s, thus from a mathematical perspective based on those estimates Im recommending we take an over stance. NFL TENNESSEE is 31-13 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 285 or less yards/game with a combined average of 42.7 ppg. TENNESSEE is 23-10 OVER in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game with a combined average of 44.1 ppg scored and in their L/21 games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game have seen a combined average of 48.8 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BUFFALO) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the first half of the season are 33-11 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER | |||||||
10-05-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Masahiro Tanaka (11-9, 4.45 ERA), the most successful postseason pitcher on New York's active roster, will start Game 2. He owns a stingy 1.50 ERA in five postseason starts. Meanwhile, the Twins will respond with Dobnak who made nine appearances in the regular season and posted a 1.86 ERA in his five starts. He last pitched on Sept. 25 in Detroit, when he allowed an unearned run on one hit in six innings. Dobnak's last three appearances were as a starting pitcher. Im betting on these solid pitchers and their respective bullpends to hold serve over the offences and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. TANAKA is 12-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. NY YANKEES in 34 games at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season the average combined score clicked in at 8.7 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, winning 62% or more of their games on the season, in October games are 36-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 88-44UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-05-19 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 44.5 | 25-34 | Loss | -109 | 92 h 38 m | Show | |
When Military academies go head to head its almost guaranteed your going to see a low scoring hard hitting battle. Run baby run, and lots of clock time getting eaten way. Is the mantra of the day. When Military academies have played against each other of late the UNDER has been predominant sinnce the 2006 campaign cashing 34 of the 42 times for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-04-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Flaherty enters the playoffs with back-to-back scoreless trips to the hill and has garnered an amazing 0.91 ERA in his last 15 starts, and Im betting he goes deep here today for the Cardinals and help limit the Braves overall offensive production in game 2. He faced the Braves twice this season, going 1-0 with 2.25 ERA. FLAHERTY is 7-0 UNDER in road games in day games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter here in game two of this series, enters this tilt in sizzling form since being recalled on Aug. 5 where over his last seven starts, he has recorded a very stingy 1.73 ERA. ATLANTA in their L/123 home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better have seen a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in October games are 77-37 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), after 4 straight games where they committed no errors. are 83-38 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, in October games are 114-55 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-04-19 | Blackhawks v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
Scoring was not Chicago's problem last season, but the Blackhawks allowed the second most goals in the NHL, but their defensive play was an issue that is being addressed . The arrival of G Lehner from the Islanders as well as a more pronounced defensive attitude should improve those numbers dramatically. Tonight Im betting that the Blackhawks will have problems penetrating the back of the net vs G Carter Hart, who posted a 2.83 goals-against average and .917 save percentage during his rookie season, and for the Flyers to not find alot of room on the ice vs a group that says its dedicated to playing much better D. The last 4 meetings in this series have stayed under the total. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-03-19 | Coyotes v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona could not consistently score last season, and despite of adding Phill Kessel still dont have alot of offensive weapons, and will once again have to lean on their solid D, and goaltending to guide them through the season. The Coyotes return G Kuemper who posting a sizzling 22-9-6 record with a 2.05 goals-against average in his last 37 decisions. The 6-foot-5,back stop is expected to share goaltending duties with Antti Raanta, who is returning from knee surgery. Meanwhile, the Ducks are a squad that struggled to score goals (2.43 per game) and is in the midst of transition and Im betting continue to have trouble putting the biscuit in the back of the net this season. Their top goalie Gibson recorded a 26-22-8 record with two shutouts, a 2.84 goals-against average and .917 save percentage in 2018-19 and is capable of better numbers. Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference. Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference.Under is 37-18-3 in Ducks last 58 vs. Pacific. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 49.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
After giving up 55 points last time out to Tampa Bay in a loss the Rams will be ready to slow things down and get back to playing hardcore defence. Meanwhile, Seattle almost always fields a tough D, as was the case when they allowed just 265 yards to New Orleans in their last home game which some how ended in a loss. Im betting they will be even more diligent and conservative here in their return home as they look to protect the ball from turnovers. This above projected combination of projected game plan scenarios, makes for a viable under wager. Carroll is 11-3 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 38 ppg going on the score board. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 51-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (SEATTLE) - with a poor passing D - allowing 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 35-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER | |||||||
10-03-19 | Temple v. East Carolina UNDER 48 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Temple's 19th ranked overall D showed how elite their defence can be last week when they stopped Georgia Tech cold in a 24-3 win and Im betting they slow East Carolinas improving but not quite ready for prime time attack here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: TEMPLE is 16-4 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 45 ppg scored. All of East Carolinas 5 games have stayed on the low side of the total this season and in their 2 home games have allowed an average of 8 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (E CAROLINA) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in conference games are 41-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |