Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BEST OF BEST) We've played on the Lakers several times in the Playoffs, but we haven't had any success so far in this series. But with the threat of elimination, we like the Lakers to dig deep here in Game 4 and to deliver a solid win and cover. There's no way LBJ is getting swept. LA isn't going to go on to win this series, but note that the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -106 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* Panthers (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida has the Hurricanes number in this series. The Panthers have been unbelievable in the Playoffs and now back at home, we think they're going to win Game 3 as well here. Carolina had its chance at home in Game 2 and came up short, and everything points to it running out of steam here on the road. Note as well that Florida is 7-2 in its last nine as a home favorite in the -105 to -120 range. Great value on a great team; the play is Florida! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-21-23 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | Top | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 58 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Clearly, the Heat have been a very surprising team in the Playoffs. They're duplicating their success from the "Bubble" run. A letdown does finally seem imminent here though against a Boston team that is essentially playing its biggest game of the entire year. This one is all about which is the "hungrier" and more "desperate" team in this fight for us; lay the short points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-21-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -122 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
10* Knights (WCF GOY) We think that home ice advantage will prove to be crucial in this series. Dallas jumped out to an early lead in Game 1, but Las Vegas eventually wore down the Stars and then pulled away for the comfortable 4-2 victory. Las Vegas was 30-17 at home this year. The Knights enjoy one of the best "home ice advantages" in the entire league, and at this price, we feel the best VALUE play for sure in Game 2 is on the Knights to take a commanding lead in this series; lay the price, the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Pirates runline (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) While we do feel an outright win is possible, our official call will be to grab the home side on the "runline" option. Great value here paying a mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time. Pittsburgh won the opener 13-3, but then fell 4-3 yesterday. Note thought that the Pirates are 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs an opponent. Merril Kelly is 4-3 with a 2.92 ERA for the D-Backs, but we're calling him a "wash" on the road here with Pirates' starer Roansy Contreras, who is 3-4 with a 4.40 ERA. Each has had success against his opponent in the past, but all signs point to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is Pittsburgh on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Lakers were competitive in Game's 1 and 2. With their backs against the wall, we think that LeBron James and company will dig deep here and not only deliver a victory, but do so in blowout fashion. If the Nuggets have had one clear weak point this season, it's been their play on the road where they're just 21-25 SU and ATS. The Lakers are 30-18 SU and 27-19-1 ATS at home. They're also 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. With essentially their season on the line, we like LA in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Hurricanes (ECF TOY) We had a play on the "over" in Game 1, and while that came up short, we're now finally expecting a much more wide-open affair here in Game 2. Carolina will be pushing the pace here now to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole before heading over to Florida. Also note that the Hurricanes have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in six straight games. Carolina has seen it go "under" in two straight. But now the value has finally swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in our opinion, as the overall situation, combined with the above trends and stats all point to the "over" as the correct call in our opinon! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-20-23 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -142 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -142 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
10* Jays (BLOOD-BATH) We like Alek Manoah to settle down here finally after a shaky start to the 2023 season and to take full advantage of this favorable starting pitching opponent. Manoah was unbelievable last year, but he's been inconsisent so far to this point, going 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA. Last year he was 7-4 with a 2.43 ERA at home and he's had plenty of success vs. the Orioles in the past. Look for the Jays' ace to finally put together a solid effort here. The Orioles counter with the erratic Grayson Rodriguez, who is 2-1 with a 6.57 ERA after allowing eight runs off nine hits over three innings in a loss to the Angels in his last outing. We're giving a big nod to Manoah, who we feel could/should in fact be a much larger fav; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-19-23 | Red Sox v. Padres -135 | 6-1 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
8* Padres (PITCHING MISMATCH) We like Blake Snell and the home side to dig deep here in the opener of this interleague series. San Diego looks to snap a string of poor play which has seen it go just 3-7 in its last ten. That includes two straight one-run losses to the lowly Royals here most recently. Note though that SD is 7-2 in its last nine off a home loss as a -200 favorite or greater. After losing six of its previous seven, the Red Sox come to town off a 2-1 series win at Seattle. James Paxton is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA for the Red Sox, while Blake Snell is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA for the Friars. This is just Paxton's second start since TJ surgery and we think he'll struggle here. Despite the Padres being just 1-7 in Snell's stars, he has a very respectable 3.54 ERA over his past five starts and he's 7-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 12 career outings vs. Boston. Both teams are dealing with injuries, but we like Snell here in this matchup; the play is San Diego! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-19-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Stars/Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) These were two really good defensive teams during the regular season, but they've played to many high-scoring games here in the Playoffs. Dallas saw six of its seven games with the Kraken go "over" the number, while Las Vegas saw three of its six games go "over" with the Oilers, including the final two. With a few extra days off to heal up, we're expecting these "fresh legs" on each side to help with the overall pace of this contest, which in turn we expect will drive this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later (note as well that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten when playing with three or more days of rest.) This Game 1 total is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
10* Celtics (EAST-CONF FINALS GOY) We had a play on the "over" in Game 1, and that easily cashed in the Heat's blowout victory. We target the Celtics here though in Game 2, as this is a spot they've done well in for bettors, going 8-2 (80%) ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. An 0-2 hole would be unbelievably difficult for the C's to climb out of with the series shifting to Miami after this. This is Boston's biggest game of the entire year, for all intents and purposes, it's "do or die." The Heat have already accomplished what they set out to do, and that's to earn a "split" over these first two games, as to steal away the home floor advantage. Expect Miami to take a step back here all around, and for the now desperate Celtics to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Lakers in Game 1 and we came up short, because we took the line right when it came out. Some pushed in Game 1 on the spread, while others won as well against the closing line. Game 2 then we're skipping the spread and instead we're going to hammer the "under" here, as we expect another competitive battle, but a much more defensive one this time around. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent. Look for LA to double-down defensively here and fr the pace of Game 2 to be much more methodical all around; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams very familiar with each other collide in this one. All of Canada won't be tuning in for this series, but it should be a good one none-the-less. Florida's path to this point has been impressive. Carolina's less so, but each has been really good on both ends of the ice to advance. Each has had a few days off between series, and we feel this will help in contributing to a much higher-scoring game than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe (in fact note, FLA has seen the ottal go "over" the number in four of its last five when playing with three or more days of rest.) This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-18-23 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Mets (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here this afternoon. The Mets have now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight after yesterday's 8-7 victory, while the Rays have now seen the total go "over" the posted number in six straight games. Note though that Tampa has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Taj Bradley is 3-0 with a 3.52 ERA for the Rays, while Tyler Megill is 4-2 with a 4.02 ERA for the Mets. Look for these two capable starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-17-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 209.5 | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams that are very familiar with each other collide here in Game 1. The Heat have been the surprise team so far in the Playoffs, and they're once again huge underdogs here in this series. Of the four remaining teams left, they are ranked fourth in terms of their odds to win the entire thing. Miami though has gotten out to a quick start in each series by "stealing" the first game, and we're expecting the visiting side to really push the pace here to try and take advantage of a potentially tired Celtics team that needed seven games to get past the 76ers. All signs point to defense taking a back seat here in Game 1; this number is low, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
05-17-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (ULTIMATE BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on the Jays yesterday and while that big pick unfortunatley came up short, we're confident that Toronto can bounce back here and avenge the opening two losses of this four-game series. Two really good starters here. Is almost impossible to say anything negative about Yanks' starter Gerritt Cole, who is 5-0 with a 2.22 ERA. We just feel he's finally in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. He'll be opposed by Chris Bassitt, who is 5-2 with a 3.49 ERA. These guys are a "wash," but note that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We're laying the price here though and grabbing the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-17-23 | Pirates +1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
10* Pirates RUNLINE (BLOWOUT) The Pirates were the talk of the league over the first month, but they've come back down to Earth over the last three weeks. Pittsburgh is now just 2-14 in its last 15 after yesterday's 4-0 series opening loss. Note though that Pittsburgh is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent. Detroit is 19-21, but we expect Eduardo Rodriguez to have his hands full today. The Detroit starter is 4-2 with a 1.57 ERA, while Rich Hill is 3-3 with a 4.35 ERA for Pittsburgh. We don't trust Detroit as such a large favorite, despite it being at home. Look for Hil to match Rodriguez inning for inning and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're grabbing the desperate visiting side on the "runline" option! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-16-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (ASSASSIN) We had a play on the "over" yesterday, and that unfortunately came up short in the Padres 4-0 victory. The Friars have now seen the total go "under" the number in 12 straight games. That fact though has only helped in driving today's O/U line lower than it normally would be though in our opinion. Note as well that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent. Brady Singer is just 2-4 with a ballooned 7.71 ERA for the Royals. He'll be opposed by Seth Lugo, who is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA for the Padres. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stat finally make the "over" the correct call here in this Padres game! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-16-23 | Lakers +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 11 m | Show |
10* Lakers (WEST-CONF FINALS GOY) The NBA will have some "new" faces in the Finals this year after the Lakers got rid of the defending champs in six games. The Nuggets needed six games as well to get past the Suns. The Lakers are a lot deeper than Phoenix, and Athony Davis is playing almost on par with Nikola Jokic right now. The bottom line here is, if Jokic doesn't ball out every single game, then Denver will struggle. Now, Jokic has the ability to dominate in every game, but it's easier said than done. The Lakers looked great defending the Warriors, and we think they have a legitimate shot at winning Game 1 outright. While that my in fact happen, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-16-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -162 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -162 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
10* Blue Jays (AL EAST GOY) This is the second game of a four-game series North of the border, and it's definitely one that favors the home side in our opinion. The Yankees come into this series 23-19 overall, but a sub-par 7-9 on the road. The Jays are 24-16 overall, and 12-3 at home. Domingo German is 2-3 with a 4.00 ERA after allowing two runs over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Rays in his last outing. German is only 1-3 at home, but he sports a 3.19 ERA in friendly confines. He's 1-0 on the road, but with a ballooned 5.79 ERA. Kevin Gausman is 2-3 with a 3.38 ERA after scattering three hits over six scoreless innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Phillies in his last outing. Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.09 ERA on the road, but 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA in two games at home this year. Look for Gausman to be the difference-maker in this one; lay the price, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-15-23 | Phillies v. Giants -109 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* Giants (BLOOD-BATH) The Phillies had won five in a rw to move to 20-20 and second in the NL East before yesterday's 4-0 loss at Colorado. Now I think Philadelphia will suffer another letdown in the opener of this series in San Fran, vs. a Giants team now desperate for a victory. The Giants have lost three in a row and six of their last eight. San Fran though is 3-1 in its last four after three or more straight losses in a row. The Giants are just 17-23, but we're giving a big nod to Alex Wood (0-0, 2.45 ERA) over his counterpart Bailey Falter (0-6, 5.75.) Look for the "hungrier" home side to deliver and as Bob Barker used to say: "The Price Is Right" for sure as well; the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-15-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (IL TOY) The Padres have played to 11 straight "unders", but we're expecting that trend to finally end here in the opener of this IL series. KC has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. The Royals are coming off a three-game sweep at Milwaukee, but note that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row. San Diego comes in desperate as well after five straight losses, but note that SD has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after five or more straight losses in a row. Brad Keller is 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA for the Royals, while Michael Wacha is 3-1 with a 4.82 ERA. Both have benefitted from run support in the early going, as their ERA's are pedestrian at best. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats all add up to make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 35 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kraken/Stars (TOW) So far all six games in this series has flown "over" the posted number, but we're finally expecting that trend to end here in Game 7. Note that the Stars have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 13 of their last 19 in trying to avenge a three goals or greater road loss vs. an opponent. Also note that Seattle has still also seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. With everything on the line, we're expecting both teams to tighten up and as a result, all signs do indeed finally point to a highly-defensive affair here in Game 7; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-14-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 37 h 56 m | Show |
10* Knights PUCKLINE (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been a very back-and-forth series, but with a chance to close it out here, we do feel that Las Vegas has much more than just a "punchers chance" to "steal" Game 6. This is a game that we see coming right "down to the wire," or which could also see extra time. The bottom line here is that despite having the home ice advantage here, we feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this line is suggesting, and because of that, the value in our opinion swings to the undervalued underdog. Lay the price, the play is LV on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-14-23 | 76ers +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
10* 76ers (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series, and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset here in Game 7, we do expect the hungry visiting side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that Philly has responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. There's no clear-cut favorite to win the title anymore. Anyone that can put together some sort of run based around chemistry and health will have a big opportunity to take it all. In this pressure-packed situation, we feel it's a lot more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-14-23 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Orioles (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has gone just 1-11 in its last 12 games. It's coming off the 2-0 loss yesterday. Note though that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent (and also in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent.) Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in six straight after taking the first two in this series. That fact though has only helped in driving today's total a point or so lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Mitch Kller is 4-1 with a 2.72 ERA and has been a lone bright spot for the Bucs during their slide back into mediocrity over the last couple of weeks. But we expect regression here finally. The home side counters with Kyle Gibson, who is 4-2 despite a pedestrian 4.40 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U stats make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-13-23 | Astros v. White Sox -113 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* White Sox (BLOOD-BATH) Neither team has gotten out to a great start. The Astros are 19-18, while the White Sox are just 13-26. After three straight losses though, including yesterday's series opening 5-1 loss here to Houston last night. we're expecting Dylan Cease and the home side to dig deep here and find a way to post a victory (note that the CWS are 7-2 in their last nine after three or more straight losses in a row.) This is a pitching matchup that favors the home side. Brando Bielak is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA. The sample size is still just too small to drawn any firm conclusions. Cease is 2-2 with a 5.58 ERA. Look for Cease to settle down here at home and for Chicago to avenge yesterday's setback; lay the price, the play is the ChiSox! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all five games in this series have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a very defensive contest here in Game 6. Note that the Kraken have seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. And note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-13-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 8-9 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Rays/Yanks (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. New York has now seen the total go "over" the number in five staright after yesterday's 6-5 win. Note though that the Yanks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rays won the first game by a score of 8-2, but they've seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Shane McClanahan is 7-0 with a 1.76 ERA for the Rays, while Nestor Cortes Jr. is 3-2 with a 4.74 ERA for the Yanks. Look for these two quality starters to battle deep, as all signs point to this total staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports | |||||||
05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -135 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show |
10* Lakers moneyline (BLOCKBUSTER) Yes, the NBA would love this series to go to a Game 7, but we're expecting LeBron James and company to dig deep here at home in Game 6 and find a way to end it here and now. Note as well that the Lakers have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Achilles heel of the Warriors has been their play on the road all year, and that is, unfortunately, going to come back to bite them in the end here once again when they need a decent performance the most; home-court advantage is the difference-maker for LA in its straight-up win in Game 6! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-12-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Oilers/Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) We are all tied up at two games apiece as we head back to Las Vegas. Game 1 flew "over" the total, but the last three have gone "under." Suffice it to say, we're expecting a much more wide-open, and ultimately higher-scoring affair here in this pivotal Game 5 matchup. Note that Las Vegas has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Edmonton has also seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row; this number is now low, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-12-23 | Knicks +5 v. Heat | Top | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on New York in Game 5, and we like the Knicks to, at the very least, take Game 6 right down to the wire as well. Momentum swings back-and-forth in the playoffs. The Heat looked unbeatable up until Game 5, and now that they've had a letdown, New York is the one that comes in confident here. With the majority of the public money on Miami, we're going to "go the other way" and make a big time contrarian wager here on the Knicks in Game 6! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-12-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Leafs in Game 4, as they finally managed to score some goals and hold on for the victory. How will Florida respond here now on the road and off its first loss in a while? If Toronto has any hopes of extending this series for at least one more game, it'll have to keep the foot on the gas offensively obviously. Note, Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six straight games now, which is significant to note, as the Leafs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. With the home side pushing the pace of this one like we expect, and with the Panthers forced to match, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-12-23 | Pirates v. Orioles -144 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) The Pirates are a terrible team. They somehow jumped out to an early great start, but that momentum is FAR in the rear-view mirror, as Pittsburgh comes to Baltimore with its tail between its legs after going just 1-9 in its last ten. The Orioles are 24-13 overall and 11-5 at home. They're in the toughest division in MLB. Or at the least the most competitive. Neither Johan Oviedo (2-3, 5.59 ERA) of the Pirates, not Kyle Bradish (1-1, 5.95) of the Orioles has gotten out to a great start, but the home field advantage is definitely working in Bradish's favor here. Recent form plays a big part here, as in his last start Oviedo was shelled for seven runs off ten hits over five innings in a loss to the Jays, while Bradish allowed three runs over five innings in a tough loss to the Braves. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our opinion; la the price, the play is Baltimore! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (BLOWOUT) Success in the Playoffs is about many different factors all coming together to work out for the lucky team that prevails in the end. That includes timing, chemistry, injuries, and even "momentum." Denver now firmly has the "momentum" back in this series, and while it wasn't able to get the job done here in Phoenix in Game's 3 and 4, we're expecting a bounce-back on the road here finally. The Suns' starters are exhausted at this point as well. The outright win is obviously possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Denver! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kraken/Stars (BLOCKBUSTER) All four games in this series have flown "over" the number, but we're now finally expecting a very defensive affiar here in Game 5. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a home loss as an undredog vs. an opponent. Also note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or mroe straight "overs" in a row; this number is now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) While four of the five games have gone "over" the number in thius series, including in three straight, we're finally expecting a very defensive affair here in this pivotal Game 6. The Celtics are on the ropes, but note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Boston is hampered with injuries right now, and that's had a major effect on its offense. Philadelphia has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or mroe straight "overs" in a row as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 109 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Canes (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all four games in this series have gone "over" the posted number of 5.5. Once again here in Game 5 we have an O/U line of 5.5 as well. This time however, finally, we're expecting a super defensive affair. And that's because for the first time in this series there's a possibility of elimination. The Devils though have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. Look for each side to "tighten-up" here in Game 5; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-11-23 | White Sox +102 v. Royals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* White Sox (WINNER) The White Sox have been trading wins and losses for eight straight games after yesterday's 9-1 defeat here, and we're expecting this strong patten to continue here in the finale of this four-game set. Note that Chicago is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Despite only being 2-3 with a 4.84 ERA, I give Chicago starter Mike Clevinger a big nod over counterpart Brady Singer, who enters a terrible 2-4 with a ballooned 8.82 ERA. We like Clevinger and the White Sox in this revenge/rebound situation; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-10-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
10* Vegas PUCKLINE (BLOCKBUSTER) Wed had a play on the "under" in Game 3, but in Game 4 we feel the value has now swung in favor of the visiting side again. Las Vegas smashed Edmonton 5-1 in Game 3 and we believe it has a very legitimate shot at winning this Game 4 outright as well. With the majority of the public money on Edmonton, we like the Knights even more here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra periods, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 226 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been a great series so far. The Lakers are on the cusp of knocking off the defending champs, but clearly, the NBA would love nothing more than to see this series go the full seven games. Game 7 would land on a Sunday primetime as well. To do that though, the Warriors will have to do what they do best on the offensive side of the ball, and that's push the pace and stretch this LA defense. Finally, note that GS has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two more straight ATS/SU losses in a row vs. an opponent; this number is indeed low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -165 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) We like the Knicks to respond here in Game 5. It's do or die. Note that New York is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent. The Heat have won seven straight ATS. They're overachieving and we believe they'll finally have a small mental letdown here. We say the Knicks aren't done quite yet; lay the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-10-23 | Maple Leafs -115 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We've pretty much been on the Leafs throughout this series, and we obviously haven't done very well. But, with their backs against the wall, we expect them to find a way to extend this second round series at least one more game. Toronto is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Panthers have overachieved and primed for the letdown here. Hey Florida, no sweep for you! Lay the price, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-10-23 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Rangers/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH) These two starters have been great to open the season, and the first two games of this series have gone "under" the number. But those facts have only helped in driving this particular total now a couple runs lower than it normally would be in our opinion. As previously stated, these starters have been great, but perhaps a little TOO great. Dane Dunning is an unrealistic 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA for the Rangers, while Luis Castillo is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA for the Mariners. However, note that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in a near-perfect five of its last six in trying to avenge a road shutout loss vs. an opponent; his number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 228.5 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) After going up 2-0, the Nuggets then lost the next two games in Phoenix. This series shifts back to Denver now all tied up at 2-2. Three of the four games in this series have gone "over" the number, but that fact we feel has only helped in driving this pivotal Game 5 total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Note as well that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row vs. an opponent. With the shift in venue, expect Game 5 to be a defensive one here in Denver; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-09-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) All three games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs finally point to a very defensive affair here in this pivotal Game 4 here in Seattle. Note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a five goals or greater loss against an opponent. Also note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER 76ers/Celtics (EAST-CONF RND 2 TOY) We're all tied up at 2-2 as the series once again shifts to Boston. With so much on the line, we're expecting nerves to be frayed, and for each side to really tighten up defensively. Note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number as well in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. This has been a competitive back-and-forth series, but Game 5 has defensive battle written all over it; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hurricanes/Devils (EAST-CONF RND 2 TOY) These were two of the best defensive teams in the league, but so far all three games in this series have flown well "over" the number. Suffice it to say, we're expecting this pivotal Game 4 here in New Jersey to a be a very hard-hitting, classic lower-scoring defensive-battle. Note that Carolina has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, hile New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in the same position; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies -124 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* Phillies (IL GOW) The Jays are playing a lot better these days, but off a 3-0 sweep at Pittsburgh, we think they'll stumble here in the opener of their second straight IL series. The Phillies just broke a six-game slide with a 6-1 win over Boston in their last game, so they won't be lacking motivation here as they start to try and make up ground now after a slow start to the season. Toronto's "ace" Alek Manoah is just 1-2 with a 4.71 ERA, while Aaron Nola is 2-2 with a 4.64 ERA for the Phillies. Look for the hungry home side to keep the foot on the gas here and for Toronto to finally take a small step back; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-08-23 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -111 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Warriors/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOW) Our 10* Western Conference Round 2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR was on the "under" in the Warriors/Lakers Game 3. Congrats to everyone that tailed us on that one. Now however here in Game 4, we're expecting a much faster-paced affair, and ultimately we expect that to help in driving this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Additionally note as well that the Warriors have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they where held to 99 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-08-23 | Rangers v. Mariners -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
8* Mariners (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) We like the surging Mariners to keep surging here on Monday night. Texas just took two of three from the Angels, but we expect the visiting side to have its hands full tonight. The Mariners enter having won six of their last seven, including just taking two of three here at home over the Astros over the weekend. Jon Gray is 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA for the Rangers, while Logan Gilbert is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA for the Mariners. Note that Gray though is just 1-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts vs. Seattle, while Gilbert is 2-0 with a 2.85 ERA in seven lifetime starts vs. the Rangers; lay the price, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knights/Oilers (WEST-CONF TOW) We had a play on the "under" in Game 2 and we're expecting another lower-scoring, tighter defensive-affair here in Game 3 as well. It's interesting to note as well that Las Vegas has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. As this series progresses, we're expecting these teams to tighten up things on the defensive end; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-08-23 | Knicks +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
10* Knicks (EAST-CONF GOW) This has been a back-and-forth series and we're expecting that pattern to continue here. New York bounced back after the Game 1 loss with a win and while the outright is possible again here in our opinion in Game 4, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Knicks have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Grab as many points as you can, the play is the Knicks! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-08-23 | Rockies +1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* Rockies RUNLINE (NL GOY) At 20-15, Pittsburgh is still No. 1 in the NL Central. The Pirates "quick start" was the talk of the league, but the Pirates are now dealing with injuries to a few key players and they enter the new week and this new series having lost seven in a row. We think this slide of futility is going to continue, at least for another night. The Rockies are just 14-21 and only fifth in the NL West, but they enter playing their best ball of the season thus far, having won six of their last seven, including two of three at the Mets over the week (13-6 win on Sunday.) We feel these starting pitchers are a "wash." Kyle Freeland is 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA for the Rockies, while Mitch Keller is 3-1 with a 3.32 ERA for the Pirates. Momentum swings in favor of the Rockies here. Outright win is obviously possible, but the value here lies in laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Colorado on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-07-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
10* play on the UNDER Stars/Kraken. We had a play on the Kraken on the puckline in Game 1 and 2. We're 1-1 in this series. This series is all tied up at 1-1 nw. Both of these games in Dallas went "over" the number, but we expect a more defensive affair here. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss vs. an opponent; we're steering clear of the side here in Game 3, but feel the value in this series has now shifted to the "under" in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-07-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 228 | Top | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nuggets/Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Suns in Game 3. Congrats to everyone that tailed us. For Game 4 though we're steering clear of a side and instead focusing in on the total. Two of three have gone "over" the number in this series, but note that Denver has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. It's a really big game for both teams. A win here for the Suns and they're right back in this series with a best of three to go. A win here for the Nuggets and they're heading home with the 3-1 strangle-hold. We expect everything to "tighten up" here in Game 4; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Padres (NL WEST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA has seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, falling 5-2 in the opener, before yesterday's 2-1 bounce back. SD has now seen the total go "under" in four straight. The Padres though have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or fewer runs in. Julio Urias is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA for the Dodgers, while Joe Musgrove is 1-0 with a 10.80 ERA. Two decent starting pitchers here, both of who are in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. The overall situation, coupled with the strong O/U trend listed above make the "over" the correct call and it represents our NL WEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-07-23 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
8* play on the Leafs. We've played on the favored Leafs in each of the first two games of this series, and we're obviously 0-2. With their backs against the wall though, we like them to respond here in Game 3. Note that Toronto is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Leafs are also still 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or fewer goals in. Lay the price, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* 76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Philadelphia managed a win in Game 1 without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, but the Celtics have bounced back to take Game's 2 and 3, both SU an ATS. But now we feel that the value has swung to the desperate home side, which will be risking life and limb today to avoid going down 3-1 and heading back to Boston. Note as well that Philly is 7-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Clearly the outright win is a possibility, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the 76ers! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
8* play on the under. We had a play on Carolina in Game 1, and then a play on the "over" in Game 2. We're expecting a much tighter affair here in Game 3 though as the series shifts to New Jersey. The first two games of this series have both flown "over" the number, but note that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Devils went down 2-0 to New York as well last round and then advanced in seven games. All signs point to a very defensive affair here in New Jersey; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-07-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in six straight. Boston has also won eight straight games. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" in five straight and the Phillies enter having lost six in a row. Note though that Philly has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tanner Houck is 3-1 with a 5.34 ERA for Boston, while Taijuan Walker is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA for the Phillies. Neither will be lacking motivation today. Look for these teams to play to a lower-scoring outcome here today; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOY) We're all tied up at 1-1 here after two games. The first two games of this series have flown "over" the posted number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive affair here with the shift in venue. Note as well that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent as well. We just expect the Lakers to really double-down with their perimeter defense in Game 3, while at the same time we're looking for them to run the majority of their offense through big man Anthony Davis. This Game 3 total is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 123 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Knights (WEST-CONF TOY) Las Vegas has so far seen the total go "over" the number in all five of its playoff games this year, including in Game 1 here vs. Edmonton in its 6-4 victory. Note though that the Golden Knights have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Also note that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed six or more goals in. This Game 2 total is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-06-23 | Blue Jays -128 v. Pirates | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
10* Jays (BLOOD-BATH) Toronto broke a five-game slide with a 4-0 win yesterday and we expect the Jays now build off that victory with another one here. The Pirates got off to an unbelievable start to the season, but perhaps a little TOO unbelievable. Expect their transition back down to mediocrity to be a swift one. Toronto hands the ball to Jose Berrios, who is 2-3 with a 5.29 ERA, while the home side counters with Johan Oviedo, who is 2-2 with a 4.78 ERA. Pittsburgh has a few key players on the injured list as well now. Berrios is 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA in two career starts vs. Pittsburgh. Oviedo has faced the Jays once and he held them scoreless over three innings last year, but the Pirates still lost the game 4-0. We think Berrios is the correct call here; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOWOUT) New York took advantage in Game 2 without Jimmy Butler in the line-up, and we expect the Knicks to take the overachieving Heat off-guard here as well. Despite the loss, Miami has now covered the spread in five straight games, but note that the Heat are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five or more ATS victories in a row. Grab the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-06-23 | Marlins v. Cubs -167 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
8* Cubs (ROUT) I had a FREE PLAY on Chicago yesterday and I believe that the Cubs can keep the foot on the gas here on Saturday and find a way to deliver in what is another great situational starting pitcher matchup for it. The Marlins go with Brian Hoeing, who is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA, while the Cubs counter with Drew Smyly, who is 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA. Smyly has now gone five straight starts allowing two or fewer earned runs and he owns a 2.37 ERA in six lifetime appearances vs. the Fish. This is a big starting pitching mismatch, one SO big, that it makes this a price in which we have no worries in laying; so lay the price, the play is indeed on Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
10* Suns (2ND RND WEST-CONF GOY) This is it, it's do or die for the Suns. Can KD and Devin Booker win a single game in this series? We say they can, and this is the game they do it! Dating back to Game 5 vs. the Clippers, the Suns have now lost three straight ATS, and that's definitely significant to note here, as Phoenix is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS losses in a row. The Suns are also 6-3 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Denver's weakness this year? It's just 20-23 SU/ATS on the road. Look for Booker and KD to push hard and find a way to deliver here in Game 3; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 121 | 31 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Devils/Hurricanes (BLOCKBUSTER) Carolina skated away with the 5-1 victory in Game 1 and the total flew "over" the posted number of 5.5, and we're expecting these teams to AT LEAST hit that combined number of goals here again in Game 2. Note that the Devils have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a three goals or greater loss against an opponent. All signs point to a similar wide-open offensive affair here in Game 2; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-05-23 | A's v. Royals -142 | 12-8 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Royals (MISMATCH) Two of the absolute worst teams in the league go head to head here, but this is one that the Royals are going to win in our estimation. The A's have been downright terrible in every facet. Their starting pitcher today Kirk Muller is 0-2 with a 6.28 ERA. The A's have allowed 244 runs, by far the most in baseball. The Royals have only been slightly better, but we're giving a big nod to their starter Brad Keller, who is 2-2 with a 3.56 ERA. Note that the A's bullpen has blown nine of 12 save chances while posting a 6.78 ERA in the process. Look for Keller to take advantage here; lay the price, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) The first game in this series flew "over" the number in the 76ers' 119-115 upset victory as 10.5-point dogs. Game 2 went "under" the number in the Celtics' 121-87 win. Now with the shift in venue and all tied up, we're expecting a wide-open offensive affair here in Game 3, similar to what we saw in Game 1. Also note that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-05-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have won six straight and they've seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six, including four straight. Note though that Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Phillies have lost four straight and they'll be eager to stop the slide obviously. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. We have plenty of experience on the hill here as Boston hands the ball to Chris Sale, who is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA, while the Phillies counter with Zach Wheeler, who is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA. Wheeler is coming off a gem, going six scoreless and striking out seven in a win over Houston. Sale also turned the corner with his last performance, allowing one run over seven innings in a win over Cleveland. Look for these two to battle deep and as such, look for this total to indeed stay "under" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (2ND RND. WEST-CONF GOY) We had a play on Seattle in Game 1 on the puckline, and we're getting even better value on the Kraken here in Game 2. Seattle controlled the pace and almost every aspect of Game 1 and we don't see anything changing here in Game 2. Jake Oettinger looked shaky against this aggressive Seattle attack and we think he's in trouble here in Game 2 as well. In another contest that we see being decided late or even in extras, our official 2nd Rnd. WEST-CONF GOY is indeed the Kraken on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-04-23 | Lakers +6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-127 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) Can you imagine a World where the Lakers are up 2-0 over the Warriors in the second round of the NBA Playoffs? Because we can! LA looked like the better overall team despite some big performances from Stephen Curry and other key players being super efficient from the outside. The Warriors struggled to put away the Kings in seven games and that fatigue was evident down the stretch in Game 1. We don't see it getting any better for the defending champs here in Game 2. The Lakers have just as much talent and experience and we just feel that this game will very likely be decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Toronto in Game 1 and while we like the Leafs in Game 2 as well, we can't lay this larger juice and we're not interested in laying the 1.5 goals on the puckline, but instead we feel the best value here is on the total in Game 2. And after Game 1 stayed "under" the number of 6.5, we're expecting another really tight and lower-scoring game here in Game 2 as well. Toronto will be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to avoid the 0-2 hole and we expect that style of contest to help in pushing this one "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-04-23 | Brewers -143 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
8* Brewers (BLOOD-BATH) At this price, despite being on the road, Wade Miley and the Brewers will be a popular wager today. Typically we are a contrarian service, but enough is enough for the Brewers here today who have lost three straight, including the first two here at Coors. Note though that Milwaukee is 8-2 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. I think the Rockies take a step back here today facing Brewers' ace Wade Miley, who is 3-1 with a 1.86 ERA. He'll be opposed b Connor Seabold, who is 0-0 with a 5.27 ERA. Better hurry to get down on this one before the line moves any higher; the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-04-23 | Mets v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Tigers (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon with two solid starting pitchers going head-to-head in Detroit. The Mets have lost four of their last five, including the first two in this series, as they dropped both games of yesterday's double-header. Both games went "over" the number. Note that the Mets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Detroit is 3-2 in its last five, and it's seen the total go "over" in four of those contests. Justin Verlander makes his season debut for the Mets after sitting out the first month with a minor injury. He tossed five innings of no-run ball in Double A on Friday as a tune-up. He's ready to go. He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA. Look for these starter to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-03-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 37 m | Show |
10* Oilers/Knights UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams that were expected to move onto the second round, have in this Western Conference second round series. Both the Oilers and the Knights were great on both ends of the ice this season, but we expect Game 1 to have a "feeling out" period, and because of that, we're ultimately expecting this total to sneak "under" the posted number. Note as well that the Knights have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 when playing with three or more days of rest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Boston in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're now very confident that the Celtics will respond with a resounding victory here in Game 2. James Harden had a huge game with Joel Embiid injured, but we can expect the home side to be keyed in on the Philly star moving forward. Whether Embiid plays or not, we like the Celtics to bounce back here in fine fashion, as note that Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Having accomplished what it set out to do (earn a "split" in Boston over the first two games), look for Philadelphia to take a step back here in Game 2; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -113 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (BLOWOUT) We based our picks on many different things. We've always felt that being flexible with our approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. This particular play comes down to "common sense." Carolina has the upper hand here because the Hurricanes finished off the Islanders in six games and have had a couple extra days off. The Devils had to come from behind and hang on for dear life to move past the Rangers in an exhausting seven-game opening series. Can anyone say "letdown" spot for the Devils here?! All things considered, a really good price here on Carolina in Game 1! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-03-23 | Cubs -182 v. Nationals | 1-2 | Loss | -182 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
8* Cubs (SPECIAL) Jake Irvin will be making his major league debut tonight for the Nationals: "He's stretched out to about 90 pitches," Nationals manager Davey Martinez said. "So we're going to give him an opportunity to come out here and start for us and see what he does and see where he goes." We say this one favors Marcus Stroman (2-2, 2.29 ERA) and the hungry visiting side. Chicago has lost three of his last four starts, so he's a golden opportunity for the Cubs to provide their "ace" with some support finally. Considering the starting pitching talent discrepancy, this line could/should in fact be larger in our opinion; the value here does indeed swing to Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-03-23 | Mets -152 v. Tigers | 5-6 | Loss | -152 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
8* Mets (BLOWOUT) Just a complete mismatch on the mound here between these starters in the first game of the double-header. The Mets have had a day off, while the Tigers have had two days off. New York is 16-13 overall and 10-7 on the road, while Detroit is 10-17 overall, including just 5-7 at home. The Mets hand the bal to Joey Lucchesi, who is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA, while the home side counters with Joey Wentz, who is 0-3 with a ballooned 6.45 ERA. Look for New York and Lucchesi to take advantage and set the early tone in this first game; lay the price, the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) The NBA got what it wanted, a matchup between LeBron James and Stephen Curry in the second round. The Warriors look more vulnerable than ever, and King James and company will be throwing their "best shots" at the defending champs here in Game 1. Whoever gets out of this series will likely have to face Denver in the Western Conference Final. Regardless, we're anticipating a really wide-open affair in Game 1, rather than an intense, lock-down defensive one. Both teams took a big step back defensively this year and all signs point to a classic "shootout;" this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 1 m | Show |
10* Kraken PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) The Kraken are coming off a thrilling upset Game 7 win over Colorado and we think they can sneak in under the radar here and give the Stars a run for their money here in Game 1 of this series. Will rest lead to rust for the Stars? It very well could in our opinions! The Kraken were at their best on the road all year, and that's once again the case here in Game 1 of this series. The pressure is all on Dallas here, and that is also working in favor of the Kraken; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab the visitors on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-02-23 | Orioles -145 v. Royals | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) We don't mind laying chalk on a road favorite when we believe our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger one. And that's the case here for sure. The visitors hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA, and he'll be going up against Ryan Yarbrough, who is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA. At 19-9, the Orioles are out to their best start since 1997. Wells does actually lead the league with a minuscule 0.724 WHIP. He's made two career starts vs. the Royals and won both. The Royals' 7-22 record matches a franchise-worst start of all time. Yarbrough has had success vs. the Orioles in the past, but that was then and this is now. The current form of these starters plays a huge role in the outcome of this contest; the play is on Baltimore! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 36 m | Show |
10* Knicks (2ND RND GOY) We had a play on New York in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're expecting a big bounce-back for the Knicks here in Game 2, and a predictable letdown from the Heat here in Game 2. Miami did the exact same thing in its series vs. the Bucks, winning outright in Game 1, and then both losing SU and ATS in Game 2, satisfied with knowing that it had already "earned the split." Jimmy Butler has been balling out, but we think that the Knicks will make adjustments as well here. The Knicks were in control of Game 1 up until half-time, and then they uncharacteristically fell apart. Note though that NY is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Everthing points to a bounce-back blowout here in Game 2 for the home side; lay the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -147 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We've been enjoying the NHL Playoffs and we're ready to sink our teeth into the second round and really get a huge run going on the ice. In fact, so far we've played every single NHL and NBA Playoff game. This is a common sense play for us. There's plenty of talent on both sides. We could easily write a convincing argument for either team to come out on top here in Game 1. But situationally we feel it sets up great for the Leafs, who eliminated the Lightning in six games. The Panthers however had to go to OT in Game 7 to earn their unlikely series victory over the mighty Bruins. The Leafs got a monkey off their backs, winning their first playoff series since 2004. But now they have a clear advantage, and one which we feel should/could be a lot larger than what this line is suggesting; great value here on Toronto in Game 1! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-01-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Dodgers (NL TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Phillies come to town having their four-game win streak come to an end last night in a 4-3 setback at Houston. The Phillies are starting to play a lot better, despite having some key sluggers out still. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight though. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Dodgers lost two of three to the Pirates, before then bouncing back with a three-game home sweep of the Cardinals over the weekend. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. Tony Gonsolin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Dodgers. He sprained his ankle in spring training. He worked his first 3 1/3 innings, holding the Pirates scoreless last week. Clearly a much tougher task here today though. Taijuan Walker is a big dog here on the road, he's 2-1 with a 4.97 ERA so far for the Phillies. Overall he's 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 11 career starts vs. LA. Regardless, we don't trust either starter to go deep. Everything finally points to a higher-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Nuggets. The first game in this second round Western Conference series went "over" the number, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. The Nuggets did a good job on both ends of the floor in Game 1, especially defensively. We expect a duplicate game-plan here from Denver in Game 2. Note though that Phoenix has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Expect fatigue to be an issue here for each side in the second straight here in Denver; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils -117 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 37 m | Show |
10* Devils (ASSASSIN) It's all come down to this. So far, home ice advantage hasn't really mattered in this series between these two evenly matched sides, but I expect that to indeed be the differnece-maker here in Game 7. It's been a magical season for New Jersey, with the biggest turnaround in terms of wins from one season to the next. The Rangers expended a ton of energy to stay in this series last time out, and we're expecting a letdown here finally on the road; look for the Devils to find a way to deliver (and note, a great price on the home side here in Game 71!) AAA Sports | |||||||
05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show |
10* Celtics (GOW) During the regular season, the Celtics enjoyed beating up on the 76ers regularly, posting a 3-1 record. We're expecting a similar sort of outcome in this series as well. And we're definitely expecting the Celtics to set the early tone with a blowout victory. Philly star Joel Embiid is also dealing with a nagging knee injury. Look for that to have a big effect in this series as well. Either way, all signs point to a home side blowout in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-30-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (DESTRUCTION) Colorado salvaged its season with a 4-1 win in Game 6 in Seattle, but who could have predicted that series would have ever gone to a Game 7? The Kraken have defied the odds, and we love their chances to continue to make history here. Note that Seattle was fantastic on the road this year, finishing 28-12-1-3 away from friendly confines. The pressure here is on the Avs, and we think Seattle can take advantage. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're grabbing Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros (INTERLEAGUE TOW) Both teams have played to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Philly has seen teh total go "under" in three straight. The Phillies have now won four in a row. Note though that Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after the back-to-back losses to open this series. However, note that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses vs. an opponent. Bailey Falter is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA for the Phillies, while Jose Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA for the Astros. Pretty pedestrian numbers so far. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-30-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
10* Panthers PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) This has been an interesting series. Boston was hands down the best team in the regular season, on both ends of the ice, but the Bruins have stumbled and bumbled their way here to this Game 7 at home. The Panthers have defied the odds and are on the brink of one of the biggest playoff upsets in recent memory. "Momentum" is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports and Florida comes in with a ton of it. The pressure is on Boston, and we think that works in the Panthers favor as well; the play here is Florida on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
10* Warriors MONEYLINE (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series. Golden State was terrible on the road this year, but the NBA would love nothing more than to have Stephen Curry going up against LeBron James in the Playoffs. For us, this one comes down to experience in this position. The Kings are in unchartered territory, where these are the moments that Stephen Curry lives for. Sacramento had a great season, but we expect it to finally come to and end here on Sunday night; forget the spread option, instead this play is on Golden State on the moneyline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) Both of these teams were underdogs in their opening round series. The Heat got a huge series from Jimmy Butler, but we feel an imminent letdown is, well, imminent now for Butler and the Heat! The Knicks dominated their series over the Cavs from the get-go. We feel New York is better equiped to deal with Miami's outside shooting as well. Miami is thin after its starters, and the Knicks take advantage of that in Game 1; the play is New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (BLOCKBUSTER) Three of the five games in this series have flown "over" the number, including the last two, but we're finally expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 6. Note that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last nine in trying to avenge two or more losses against an opponent. With the home side setting the pace like we anticipate, all signs point do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cards/Dodgers (NL TOY) We're expecting a lower-scoring "duel" here in the second game of this three-game series. Last night the Dodgers won the opener by a score of 7-3. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight. Despite still having several key injuries, LA is starting to resemble the team that won 111 games last year finally. That said, note that the Dodgers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two experienced starters going head-to-head here, and all signs point to a classic "duel" as we eluded to off the top, as the Cardinals' Jordan Montgomery is 2-3 with a 3.81 ERA, while the DOdgers' Clayton Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA. Everything points to this total now staying well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 107-125 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* Suns/Nuggets UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) The bottom line here is we think that the longer lay off between series here will lead to each offense coming out a bit "rusty." It's the whole "rest" leading to "rust" angle. Phoenix doesn't play wide-open transition basketball anymore. The Nuggets prefer to run their offense through Nikola Jokic. For sure the home side will be looking to control the tempo, rather than push the pace in our opinions, as that'll just play into the strength of the Suns' offensive attack. Regardless, we look for Game 1 to indeed go "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers -119 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rangers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Rangers won the first two games of this series by identical 5-1 scores, but the Devils have battled back to win three straight. Now facing elimination, we're expecting the Rangers to risk life and limb here to push it to a Game 7. Note that the Rangers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a shutout loss to an opponent. New York is also 8-4 in its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Great value here on the desperate home side; the play is New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-29-23 | Maple Leafs -101 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm expecting Toronto to end this series here and now. The Lightning have had zero "home ice advantage" in this series, losing both games 3 and 4 here in Tampa. The Leafs answered the Game 1 7-3 loss, with a 7-2 win in Game 2. Toronto is also 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With the majority of the public money going one way, we're going to go the other; play on Toronto! AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ricky Tran | $868 |
Will Rogers | $491 |
William Burns | $415 |
Nick Parsons | $345 |
Joseph D'Amico | $282 |
Ross Benjamin | $255 |
Sean Murphy | $226 |
Tom Macrina | $149 |
Joey Tron | $113 |
ProSportsPicks | $107 |