Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-27-22 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Astros/Rangers. While the first two games of this series have fallen "under" the number, all signs point to the "grudge match" being a much higher-scoring contest. Texas won 6-2 in the first game, while Houston bounced back in yesterday's 5-1 victory. Texas has now seen the total go "under" in four straight, which is significant to note in our case as the Rangers have seen the total go "over" in 9 of their last 12 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Christian Javier is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Astros (has made 3 relief appearances.) The Rangers see Glen Otto toe the slabe and he's 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA. These early sparkling numbers are unrealistic and unsustainable. Look for the regression to be swift for each. Considering all of the above information, this number is a little low in my opinion, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-27-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
8* TOTAL on the UNDER Red Sox/Jays. These teams have played to a couple higher-scoring games to open this series, but I expect a lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday. The Red Sox go with Michael Wacha, and he's 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA so far this season. He'll be opposed by the Jays' Ross Stripling, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA. Boston has also seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge B2B losses against an opponent. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-26-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) So far, this has been a competitive series. These have been fun and exciting and competitive games. I don't think anything will change for Game 5 either between these deadlocked clubs. Minnesota won the last game by a score of 119-118. Over the first three games, Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns had been shut down, but he finally exploded for 33 points and 14 boards in Game 4. I expect him to build off that performance. With even more attention being put onto the big man, the Wolves' depth comes into play here as a considerable strength. Minnesota could have won Game 3 as well, but had an epic collapse in the fourth-quarter. For all intents and purposes, the Wolves could have been up 3-1 at this point. In what I expect to be another back-and-forth affair, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-26-22 | Royals v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (BOB) Chicago has lost 7 in a row. I say that streak ends in emphatic fashion this evening. Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as KC has lost 4 in a row. The Royals just got swept by the Mariners over the weekend. They hand the ball to Daniel Lynch, and he's 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA over 2 starts. He went a disastrous 1-2 with a 16.20 ERA over three appearances vs. the White Sox last year. The bullpen has a collective 4.11 ERA and they average just 3.1 RPG. The White Sox have been swept by the Twins and Guardians. I like Dallas Keuchel here though at home in this important game. He's 1-1 with 15.00 ERA so far this year (gave up 8 runs in his last start.) I think the veteran settles down here though. Chicago is also 4-0 in its last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Look for the White Sox to not only win this game, but to do so big a significant margin; the play is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-26-22 | Padres v. Reds OVER 8 | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) Two teams in need of a victory collide on Tuesday night and I'm expecting some runs to come across the plate. The Padres are 10-7 overall and out to snap a 2-game road losing streak. The Reds are 3-13. San Diego is off a 10-2 loss to the Angels, while the Reds are off a confidence-building 4-1 win over St. Louis. Joe Musgrove has been sharp for SD in the early going by going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA, but I think regression is finally in store here. Reds' starter Reiver Sanmartin has struggled to open the season though, going 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA. The Reds are just 1-9 the L10 in this series, so they'll be motivated to snap that trend. The Reds allow 5.40 RPG at home and the Padres have averaged 5.33 RPG in their last 3 vs. Cincinnati. Expect these high-scoring trends to continue on Tuesday night; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-25-22 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
8* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Dodgers have won 3 of their last 4. The Diamondbacks have lost 2 of their last 3 games. Arizona has yet to win a series yet this year, so they'll be hoping to catch the Dodgers a bit complacent here in the opener. And with Merrill Kelly on the hill for them tonight, I say that the D-Backs have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. The Dodgers are doing great. Their stats confirm that they're among the best in almost every facet, but betting on baseball is not only about betting on strong or weak stats, it's about picking and choosing great "spots" and "situations." This is a great spot bet on the runline for a number of reasons. I think LA is primed for letdown, while clearly Arizona is desperate to get a win streak going. These pitehrs are evenly matched too. I think Kelly can match Walker Buehler inning for inning. Buehler is 1-1 with a 4.02 ERA. He gave up 3 runs and 8 hits over 5 innings in a 3-1 loss to the Braves in his last outing. Kelly is 1-0 with a 0.59 ERA for Arizona, who has given up just 1 run over 3 starts spanning 15 1/3's innings of work. I think this is a great spot and situation overall to pull the trigger on the hungry D-Back on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-25-22 | Jazz +3 v. Mavs | 77-102 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
8* PLAY on the Jazz (SPECIAL) Jordan Clarkson dropped in 25 points for the Jazz off the bench in Game 4 and he helped seal the deal for Utah in its 100-99 victory. In another contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Both teams have struggled at times in this series, but Utah's defense has held up. It ranked in the Top 10 in scoring defense during the regular season. Dallas only shot 43% in Game 4. On the season the Mavs only rank 24th in averaging 108 PPG. Luka Doncic has returned, but his health is still a bit of a question mark. As I stated earlier, this one is coming down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-25-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) I say the Nets are cooked. I say Kevin Durant won't answer here. I say Jason Tatum is underrated and overlooked. With a chance to put the final nail in the coffin of what will be considered one of the biggest busts of all time, I believe the Celtics go in for the "Death Blow" this evening. The Nets have been terrible in all facets, especially considering they turn the ball over 16 times per game. Brooklyn has also been allowing an average of 112.7 points per game to Boston. Boston has the defense to slow down Durant and I say Tatum has another huge outing as well. Clearly, the outright win is the prediction, but grab as many points as you can as well with Boston! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-24-22 | Brewers +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* BREWERS RUNLINE (RED DRAGON) Ultimately, I think we're getting great value with the Brewers on the runline option here. This is a very reasonable mid-sized price to have to lay to have an extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Milwaukee hands the ball to Eric Lauer, who is 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA, while the home side sees Aaron Nola toe the slab. If this was four years go, Nola would be a -250 favorite. Now he enters with a 1-2. 5.52 ERA record. Milwaukee has won five of six, including yesterday's contest 5-3 and while an outright victory obviously isn't out of the realm of possibility today either, the play is Milwaukee on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-24-22 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 7 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) I think these starters are great, but the overall situation will lead to this total eclipsing the posted number by the latter frames. The Dodgers see Clayton Kershaw toe the slab and he's 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA. Sean Manea gets the call for the home side and he's 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA. These teams have been struggling to score, and these starters have opened up the season well. Those facts though have the public convinced that this will once again be a "pitchers duel." This perception though has driven this O/U line a little lower than I think it normally would be, and the value has now definitely swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. A great situtaional value play on the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-24-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 225 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) This has been a high-scoring series. If the Nuggets have any hopes of salvaging at least a single game in this series, they're going to have to throw a proverbial monkey-wrench into this Golden State offensive rythym. The Nuggets have actually seen the total go "under" in 9 of their last 12 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row as well. Golden State is now favored to win the Championship, but I think a small mental lapse is in the cards. Much like the 76ers last night in Toronto. Nikola Jokic isn't going down without a fight either. And clearly the Nuggets will be running their offense through their All Star tonight. For all the reasons listed above, I say this number is now too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-23-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | Top | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (FIRST RND. GOY) This has been an interesting series. And what I personally find interesting about it is that Memphis has somehow figured out a way to slow down Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns. He's also struggled a bit at times. That said, I simply can't see this struggling trend of futility lasting much longer. Minnesota had a huge lead in Game 3 and then it inexplicably came up short. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, but as good as Memphis has looked over its last two games, it's still very inexperienced. This is uncharted territory, coming from behind in the playoffs on the road to take a series lead. I say that Towns and company bounce back here and take a page out of their "Game 1 playbook." Clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-23-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 5-4 | Win | 115 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB) I think Syndergaard is overvalued here. LA is 8-5, while Baltimore is 4-9, but I believe these starting pithers are more evenly matched than what this huge line is suggesting. Spencer Watkins is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA for the Orioles, while Noah Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA for the Angels. Yes, the Orioles have struggled to plate runs this season, but off yesterday's 5-3 victory, I say the visiting side builds momentum off that performance. Let's lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pockets; the play is Baltimore on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-23-22 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) LA is coming off a 6-1 win last night, but I expect a classic "slug-fest" on Saturday night. The Dodgers have won ten of their first 13 games. Freddie Freeman is hitting .346. Mookie Betts hit a two run shot last night. Tyler Andreson has been decent for LA, allowing 2 runs off 4 hits with 8 K's so far this season. San Diego won't be lacking for motivation obviously. It's actually seen the total go 7-2 to the over in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 run or less. Yu Darvish counters for the home side, he's put up on horrible start, and one great one. Off a gem against the Braves, will this pattern continue? I say yes. This number is now a bit TOO low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +3 | Top | 111-81 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* BULLS (RED DRAGON) What do you base your selections on? I have different ways of handicapping the regular season than I do in the Playoffs. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments from game-to-game. That's true for handicappers as well. With Khris Middleton out, the Bucks are simply not the same team. Chicago has already gotten the home floor advantage after splitting out in Milwaukee and I expect the Bulls to push the pace here from start to finish. We could break down all the stats and look at every indidivual player matchup, but for me it's as simple as Middleton being out for the Bucks. And while I obviously think the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is CHICAGO! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-22-22 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Rays | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The Cardinals are 7-4 and the Reds are 2-11. The Reds only managed 5 hits in a 6-0 loss at the Padres on Wednesday, but Cinncy has seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 10 after a shutout road loss. St. Louis is off a 5-0 road loss at Miami, after taking the first 2 games. The Cards though have seen the total go "over" the number in 6 of their last 8 off a shutout road loss. The Reds hand the ball to rookie Hunter Greene, who is 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA (allowed 3 homers in 10 1/3's innings so far), while the Cards go with Steve Matz, who is 1-1 with a 7.26 ERA after getting shelled for 7 runs over his first 8 2/3's innings of work. Considering all of the above information, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-22-22 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The Cardinals are 7-4 and the Reds are 2-11. The Reds only managed 5 hits in a 6-0 loss at the Padres on Wednesday, but Cinncy has seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 10 after a shutout road loss. St. Louis is off a 5-0 road loss at Miami, after taking the first 2 games. The Cards though have seen the total go "over" the number in 6 of their last 8 off a shutout road loss. The Reds hand the ball to rookie Hunter Greene, who is 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA (allowed 3 homers in 10 1/3's innings so far), while the Cards go with Steve Matz, who is 1-1 with a 7.26 ERA after getting shelled for 7 runs over his first 8 2/3's innings of work. Considering all of the above information, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) With their backs against the wall, I like the Nuggets to bounce back here at home. Denver plays better at home and it's also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Golden State is now favored to win the Championship over Phoenix, but we'll see how well the Warriors fare on the road in this difficult venue. During the regular season Denver was No. 8 in scoring with 113 PPG. It's been an ugly start for the Nuggets to this series, but we can expect their best effort and another huge game from Nikola Jokic in the process; while the outright is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-22 | Cardinals v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The first 2 games of this series have been low-scoring, but I'm expecting some fireworks here tonight finally. The Cardinals have taken both games, winning 5-1 and 2-0 (that's important for us to note here though, as Miami has seen the total go "over" in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a shutout home loss against an opponent.) Each starting pitcher has gotten out to a decent start to the 2022 season, but regression is in store for both in my estimation. St. Louis goes with Jordan Hicks, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, working a total of 4 innings between 2 games. Pablo Lopez is 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA. He most recently blanked the Phillies over 5.1 innings in his most recent outing. I'll not read too much into either of these pitchers' early numbers. The value has now finally swung the other way; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-22 | White Sox v. Guardians +134 | 3-6 | Win | 134 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
8* GUARDIANS (SPECIAL) Cleveland took both games of yesterday's double-header and I believe that it's going to post a series sweep here today. The Guardians are undervalued again here by the oddsmakers. Dylan Cease is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA for the White Sox, while Zach Plesac is 0-1 with a 1.64 ERA for the Guardians. For arguments sakes, let's call these starters a "wash." The Guardians have ground to make up and getting them at "plus money" in such an evenly matched game, we'll follow the value here and grab the home side in what I believe will be another convincing victory; the play is Cleveland! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-22 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 224.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL ASSASSIN) What do you base your picks on? Do you break down every single individual matchup, look at every stat possible? I do that for some games, but other times I absolutely feel that a simpler approach is the best way to handicap a contest. I thought Game 1 would be a competitive game, but not such a lower-scoring defensive one in the Bucks' 93-86 victory. Several players struggled (uncharacteristically), including Chicago's DeMar DeRozan, who went just 6-of-25 from the floor in Game 1. Expect a much more efficient game here as Chicago pushes the pace from start to finish; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-22 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (AL TOTAL BOB) New York has been trading wins and losses over its last 8 games. It'll have to plate some runs here today if it want to avoid that patten, as the Yanks took the first game of this series by a score of 4-2 yesterday. The Yanks have seen the total go "under" in 5 straight, which is important for us to note here, as they've seen the total go "over" 6 of their last 8 after playing to 5 or more straight "unders" in a row. Detroit's seen the total go "under" in 4 straight. It's lost 2 straight. Luis Severino has been great for New York, he enters with a 1-0, 2.25 ERA. Regression seems imminent at some point though. And Eduardo Rodriguez has yet to find his footing for his new team, he enters with an 0-1, 5.87 ERA and 1.83 WHIP for the Tigers. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. A's | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Orioles are hungry to snap a 2-game slide. Baltimore has played better in "day" games this year, going 2-3 with wins over the Yanks and Brewers. They're just 1-5 in night contests. The A's are 3-3 in day games. The A's hand the ball to Daulton Jeffries, who is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA, while the Orioles counter with Jordan Lyles, who is 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA. Lyles is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA in 3 road starts vs. Oakland and I think he can easily match Jeffries inning for inning today. And in a scenario like that, I believe the value swings to the undervalued underdog. In this case though, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Baltimore on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-19-22 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
8* BRAVES RUNLINE (8*) I think the defending champs are well worth the price of admission to grab the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. They've lost 2 straight, so they'll be eager to reverse their fortunes here in Chavez Ravine. Max Fried is 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA for Atlanta, while Walker Buehler is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA. Let's not read too much into either pitchers early numbers. All stats, both good and bad, have to be taken with a small grain of salt over the first month. I say Fried settles down here. The Dodgers have won 6 straight, but I think they'll have their hands full today with this determined home side; the play is ATL on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-19-22 | Pelicans +10 v. Suns | Top | 125-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (ASSASSIN) While my play on the Pels came up short in Game 1, I absolutely expect them to bounce back here and to keep this one tight up until the final moments. New Orleans fell 110-99 in Game 1, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Clearly, Phoenix is the better team in every regard, but I don't think it deserves to be a double-digit favorite in Game 2. We'll look for the Pelicans to give their best shot and while that will almost assuredly not be good enough to pull off the outright upset, it'll be more than enough to pull off the comfortable cover; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-19-22 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOP) The Yanks Gerrit Cole is vastly overrated. He's 0-0 with a 5.59 ERA. He most recently allowed 3 runs over 5 innings in a no-decision to Toronto. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 2 home runs off him. He's had plenty of success against the Tigers throughout his career, but I say that that was then, and this is now. The Yanks won't be lacking for motivation today after dropping 2 of 3 at Baltimore. They lost 5-0 on Sunday (note that New York though has seen the total go "over" the number in 9 of its last 13 after a shutout loss in its previous outing) and then had yesterday off. "We've got to find a way to get on the board and support our pitching," manager Aaron Boone assessed. The Tigers haven't played since Saturday, but Tyler Alexander is going to have his hands full as well against this determined visiting side. He most recently allowed 3 runs over 5 innings vs. Boston. Detroit slugger Miguel Cabrera needs just 5 more hits to reach the 3,000 mark, and while he may not achieve that tonight, he has a big opportunity to do that during this series. When you add it all up, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-18-22 | Nuggets +7 v. Warriors | Top | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (GOW) The Warriors got the better of Denver by a score of 123-107 in Game 1, but I think that the Nuggets will, at the very least, keep Game 2 close enough to comfortably cover with the larger spread that they've been afforded tonight. Jordan Poole had 30 points for the Warriors in Game 1, going 5 of 7 from range. Suffice it to say, I don't expect lightning to "strike twice" for Poole and the Warriors this evening. Nikola Jokic was a force in Game 1 for Denver, finishing with 25 points and I expect him to have an even bigger impact this evening. Denver shot terrible from 3-point range as well in Game 1, finishing 31.5%, well below their nomral 35% clip. Again, we can expect things to "normalize" in that department for Denver this evening as well. I say the Nuggets throw their best shot they have; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-18-22 | Rays v. Cubs +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
8* CUBS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Rays just dropped 2 of 3 games at the White Sox, and I think they'll have their hands full here today at the Cubs. Previous to that the Rays lost 3 of 4 to Oakland, getting outscored 31-16 in the process. Further regression here on the road as a favorite is imminent in my opinion. Shane McClanahan is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA for the Rays after allowing 3 runs over 4 innings in a loss to Oakland. Kyle Hendricks is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA for the Cubs. This is his 3rd start. He gave up 6 runs over 4 innings in a loss to the Pirates last time out. I say that there's major room for improvement obviously from the Cubs' ace, and there's no better opponent to get back on track than against these struggling Rays. While I feel the outright is a possibility, in the end let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Cubs on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-17-22 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Suns | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (RED DRAGON) Are the Suns the better team? Their record would sure indicate that. New Orleans advanced by winning its two Play-In games and I think it'll "sneak in under the radar" here in Game 1. Will the longer lay off help or hinder the Suns? Who knows is the answer. The Pelicans though are currently rolling and I say that momentum carries over in Game 1. New Orleans has been fantastic defensively of late, and it has the offensive punch to keep pace as well with Brandon Ingram back in the line-up. In every conceivable way the Suns are the better team, but not by double digits in this situation. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-17-22 | Giants v. Guardians +115 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
10* GUARDIANS (ASSASSIN) I think the Guardians will avoid the 3 game sweep at the hands of the visiting Giants, who have found creative ways to continue to win. They're 6-2 to start the season. The Guardians are now 4-4 after dropping the first 2 games. The Giants hand the ball to Alex Wood, who gave up 2 runs over 4 innings in his first start this year. He'll be opposed by Aaron Civale, who earned a no-decision against the Royals in his 1st outing, allowing 4 hits and 2 runs over 4 innings. Last year he was 12-5 with a 3.84 ERA. With a 4 game series starting at the Mets tomorrow, I think San Fran gets caught looking ahead here; great value on the hungry Guardians! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-16-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) I had a play on the Orioles on the runline yesterday, but did not need the extra 1.5 runs, as Baltimore ended up winning 2-1 in the bottom of the 10th inning. I expect another tight game here today as well, one that will once again be decided late or even in extra frames, so because of that, I'm once again back in the saddle and going to recommend a wager on the home side on the runline option again. Jameson Taillon and Tyler Wells are essentially a "wash" as far as the starting pitching is concerned in my opinion. Note though that the Twins are a near-perfect 6-1 in their last 7 off an extra-innings victory in which they held their opponent to 1 or less runs in. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the Orioles on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-16-22 | Twins +1.5 v. Red Sox | 0-4 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
9* TWINS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Twins managed an 8-4 win here yesterday and I think they can keep the good times rolling on Saturday afternoon. Keep your eyes on Luis Arraez for Minnesota, as he is hitting .350 for the Twins over his first 20 at-bats. Sonny Gray gets the nod for the Twins and he'll be looking to get out to a good start for his new team. Last year he was 7-9 with a 4.19 ERA. He made 1 start alrady and gave up 2 runs over 5 innings. The Red Sox have given up 15 runs over their last 2 games. Tanner Houck gave up 3 runs over 3 innings in his debut for the Red Sox this year, so the advantage on the mound today definitely lies with the visiting side in my opinion. Yes, the outright is possible, but let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Minnesota on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-16-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) This will be an interesting series. These teams are similar in many regards. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be a bit of an understatement, as Memphis 8-2 the L10 in this series. Minnesota averages 115.9 PPG, while Memphis averages 115.6. The Grizz are a bit better defensively in allowing 109.9, while the Wolves have conceded 113.2. Very small differences here. Yes, the Grizz have done well all season, but now that the playoffs are here, adjustments will be key. I think Game 1 comes right down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-22 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (BOB) The Pels easily handled the Spurs to advance to play the Clippers, and just like they were then, I think they're also undervalued and underrated by the bookmakers in this matchup as well. The Clippers lost 109-104 to Minnesota, and I believe they'll have their hands full here against this highly skilled visiting side. New Orleans looked superb defensively in its win, holding the Spurs to just 103 points. The Clippers also struggled to put points on the board against a Wolves team that finished in the bottom third on the defensive end. That doesn't bode well facing New Orleans here. I think the outright is possible, but let's grab up all these points as the official call! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-22 | Rays +1.5 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
9* RAYS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) Tampa went just 1-2 at home against Oakland, including falling 6-3 yesterday, but I say it'll give the White Sox everything they can handle this evening! Chicago went 2-1 against the Mariners, but it enters off a 5-1 loss yesterday. That snapped a 4-game win skein and I believe further regression is in order here. Tampa hands the ball to Drew Rasmussen, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA, while Chicago counters with Dylan Cease, who is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Rasmussen allowed two runs over four innings in what turned out to be a win for Tampa over Baltimore in his debut, while Cease gave up 1 run over 5 innings against Detroit. Cease is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in one career outing vs. the Rays. Rasmussen is 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA in 11 career starts. While I do think the outright is possible, the official is grab the Rays on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-22 | A's +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* ATHELTICS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) I had a play on the A's on the runline in their outright win at Tampa and I believe they have a legitimate shot at pulling off another big upset on the road today. The Jays are off a 3-0 loss at New York. Toronto went just 1-2 in the Big Apple, while Oakland went 2-1 in Tampa. Daulton Jeffries is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the A's. He's making his 2nd start of the season and 3rd of his career. He's off a 4-1 win over the Phillies, giving up two hits over 5 scoreless. I think he can easily match Jays' starter Ross Stripling, who enters 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA. He's given up 2 runs over 2 innings of relief and he went a sub-par 5-6 with a 4.69 ERA over 19 starts last season. Great price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 115 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Yankees are coming off a 3-0 win over the Jays at home yesterday, winning that series 2-1. I say a small letdown is now in order here against the lowly Orioles. Jordan Montgomery is 0-0 with an 8.10 ERA for the Yanks after allowing 3 earned runs off four hits over 3 1/3's innings of work. The Orioles go with Jordan Lyles, who is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing 5 runs over 5 innings in a 5-3 loss to Tampa on Saturday. Lyles signed a 1-year contract worth 7 million, and I say he bounces back at home. In a contest that I envision being decided late or even in extra innings, let's grab the home side on the runline option; the play is Baltimore on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-14-22 | Cubs +1.5 v. Rockies | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
8* CUBS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I think the Cubbies can keep this one close. The Rockies swept the Rangers in two games in Texas and then had a day off. They send Kyle Freeland to the hill and he's 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. Freeland struggled in his first start, allowing 5 runs off 5 hits over 3 innings in a loss to the Dodgers. Steele makes his second start of the season. Last year as a rookie he went 4-4 with a 4.26 ERA over 20 games (9 starts.) He blanked the hard-hitting Brewers over 5 innings and I say he carries that momentum over here. The outright is possible, but let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The play is the CUBS on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-14-22 | Angels v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (AL RL BOB) Dane Dunning gets the call for the Rangers here. He's 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA, giving up five hits and three runs over five innings in a loss to the hard-hitting Jays on the road in his opener. I think he'll bounce-back in friendly confines though. Look for a new pitch from Dunning today: "The slider that I normally throw is a bit more vertical," he said. "This new slider I throw is probably more like a sideways curveball. ...The numbers are actually really good on it, so it's something I wanted to incorporate into my repertoire. It's something different that hitters haven't seen." He'll go up against Shohei Ohtani, who is 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA. He looked decent as well in his first start, allowing one run off four hits over 4 innings in a loss to Houston. This one is going to come down to the latter frames, and because of that, I'm grabbing the home side on the runline option today! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-14-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
9* A'S RUNLINE (DESTROYER) The A's won 4-2 last night and I expect another competitive effort from the visiting side today as well. Wander Franco and Randy Arozarena went a combined 0 for 9 yesterday for the Rays and I think they'll struggle again here against Cole Irvin, who enters hungry after starting 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. He gave up 4 runs off 7 hits over 5 1/3's frames in a loss to the Phillies. Irvin has a big opportunity bounce back here throwing opposite Josh Flemming, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He pitched 3 1/3 scoreless innings in relief against Baltimore on Saturday. Let's not read too much into either pitchers first start. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* HORNETS (GOW) I think the Hornets have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hornets won their final 3 regular season games, including a 124-108 victory over Washington, while Atlanta won 7 of its last 9, including a 130-114 victory over Houston in its finale. Charlotte has the fourth highest-scoring offense in the league, and the Hawks just aren't known for their tough defensive play. Neither are the Hornets mind you, but that still works in the underdogs favor in my opinion. These teams are almost identical. I say it comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Tampa managed the 9-8 win yesterday, but I think that the A's bounce back here. Yes, I do think that the outright win is possible, but in the end let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Frankie Montas got rocked in his debut for Oakland, allowing five runs off six hits over five innings. Last year he was 6-3 with a 3.41 ERA on the road. I say he definitely bounces back today. The Rays go with Shane McClanahan, who gave up no runs over 4 innings in a 2-1 win over Baltimore in his opener. The A's have smashed lefties this year early, averaging .346 collectively thus far. Look for that trend to continue here; the play is Oakland on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-22 | Red Sox v. Tigers +111 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
8* TIGERS (DESTRUCTION) Detroit took the first game by a score of 3-1, while Boston bounced back with the 5-3 victory yesterday. Boston has a day off after this before four straight at home and I believe it'll get caught looking ahead. Eduardo Rodriguez gets to face his former team for his new team and I expect him to make the most of "home field." He just signed a $77 million dollar deal with Detroit, so this is a big game for him: "It's something that no matter what the results are, you just want to have a good game, pitch good and win the game," he said. "All in all, I'm going to enjoy having the opportunity to face my old teammates." Last year he was 13-8 with a 4.74 ERA. He gave up 3 runs on 4 hits over 4 innings in a no-decision to the White Sox in Detroit's opener. Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 5.40), gave up three runs off five hits over five innings to the Yanks in his season debut. I like Rodriguez to clutch up here and deliver a gem. As Bob Barker used to say, "The Price Is Right!", as well; the play is the Tigers! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-12-22 | Astros v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (BOB) The Astros go with right-hander Luis Garcia, who finished 11-8 with a 3.48 ERA last season. He was the runner-up for American League Rookie of the Year. The Diamondbacks go with Madison Bumgarner, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA after throwing 3 innings on Opening Night. The Astros come to town after going 3-1 at the Angels. It was the opposite for Arizona though, which dropped 3 of 4 games at home against the Padres. That included a 10-5 loss here Sunday in which the team made 3 unearned errors: "Three unearned runs to me is unacceptable," Arizona manager Torey Lovullo said afterward. "That game should have been a lot closer than it was. We've got to get better. We've got a day off (Monday). We can turn the page. That's all we can do. We can learn from it, move on, keep pressing and teaching. Do what we can to make something good happen on Tuesday." I like the veteran a home here and I believe the hungrier home side will, at the very least, keep this one competitive late; grab the 1.5 runs with the Diamondbacks on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-12-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -114 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
8* YANKEES (SPECIAL) Off a 3-0 loss in yesterday's series opener, I like the Yanks to respond and bounce back on Tuesday. Yusei Kikuchi was 7-9 with a 4.41 ERA in 2021 with the Mariners, while Nestor Cortes Jr. was 2-3 with a 2.90 ERA in 2021. Kikuchi is just 1-2 with a 4.75 ERA in 4 career starts against the Yanks, while Cortes Jr. is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA in 7 career outings vs. the Jays. Let's call these starters a "wash." New York though is 6-1 in its last 7 vs. lefties, while Toronto is interestingly 1-4 in its last 5 road games when the total is set between 9 and 10.5. New York plays with immediate revenge after last night's shutout loss and I believe it's well worth the price of admission this evening; the play is the Yankees! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-12-22 | Cavs v. Nets OVER 228 | Top | 108-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The Cavaliers are looking for a big outright upset today, but to do that, I believe they'll have to push the pace and match the Nets at their "own game." The Cavs closed the regular season with a 133-115 win over the Bucks, and I believe they can match that scoring output here. The Nets clearly won't be rolling over and they enter the playoffs on top form after 4 straight wins, including a 134-126 win over Indiana in its regular-season finale. The Cavs may or may not have Jarret Allen back in the line-up, but that just means that they'll have to get out and push the pace in transition a lot more. The Cavs defense allowed an average of 113.3 PPG over their final 26 games, so its offense has been forced to pick up the pace. The total has gone "over" in 5 of these team's last 7 together and all signs point to that steak continuing here; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-11-22 | Marlins v. Angels -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 141 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
8* ANGELS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I don't only like the Angels to win this game, I like them to win by a significant margin. Because of that, let's lay the 1.5 runs for the decent "plus money return." Michael Lorenzen will make his debut for his new team tonight: "I'm meant to be here," Lorenzen said. "This is my home. And when you're gone for seven years, you really realize 'I miss my home.' You go a little extreme and I guess I've gone a little extreme, but I love being here." He's 6-10 with a 4.95 ERA overall in 26 career starts, but a much sharper 1-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 14 career games (three starts) vs. the Fish. The visitors counter with Eliser Hernandez, who was 1-3 with a 4.18 ERA over 11 starts last season. It's already been noted that Hernandez will be held to just 75 pitches or 5 innings tonight as well. Look for the Angels to take advantage! The play is LA on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-11-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* ATHLETICS RUNLINE (GOW) Tampa swept Baltimore, but I think it'll have its hands full today against the Atheltics, who avoided a three-game sweep at Philadelphia with a 4-1 victory yesterday afternoon. Paul Blackburn will take the mound to start for the visitors. He owns a pedestrian 5.74 lifetime ERA. Tampa counters with Luis Patino, who owns a slightly better 4.47 lifetime ERA. Oakland proved yesterday that it still has talent in its lineup, and I say the A's hang around late and make this one interesting. While I do believe the outright victory is a possibility, let's lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-11-22 | Brewers v. Orioles +1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
9* ORIOLES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) After starting 0-3, the Orioles are desperate to break into the win column. Here's a great opponent to possibly do that against, as the Brewers struggled in their opening series loss to the Cubs. Adrian Houser gets the call for the Brewers, and he was 10-6 with a 3.22 ERA last year, while the hungry Orioles turn to Bruce Zimmerman, who was 4-5 with a 5.04 ERA. Milwaukee though is a putrid 1-11 in its last 12 on the road. The Brewers bullpen has to be called into question as well, as Milwaukee's team ERA is 7.88, while Baltimore's is 3.94. This one will be tight, so I'm laying the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Orioles on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The first game of this series flew "over" the number, the second game went "under." I expect tonight's finale to once again be a higher-scoring one. Tanner Houck toes the slab for the visitors; He was 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA over 31 innings pitched on the road last year. The home side counters with Jordan Montgomery, who was 6-7 with a 3.83 ERA last year. These two division rivals won't take it easy at the plate in this nationally televised contest. Neither team's bullpen can be trusted and I don't expect either starter to throw very deep. This all adds up to a higher-scoring "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-22 | Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Dallas will be looking to snap a string of poor play. It's lost 3 of its last 4 and 2 in a row. That includes a 3-1 home setback to the lowly Devils. The Stars though have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 after a home loss in which they were held to 1 or less goals in. Chicago plays with revenge here after a 1-0 loss to the Stars in mid-February, and note that it's seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 12 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Hawks are off 6 straight losses, including a 2-0 setback to the lowly Kraken here in their latest. I say Chicago finally rebounds here and finds the back of the net. All signs point to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-22 | A's +1.5 v. Phillies | 4-1 | Win | 102 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
8* A'S RUNLINE (SPECIAL) In what I believe will be a very competitive contest, I'm going to lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The A's always seem to start slow and then find ways to win, and that could be the case again this season after 2 straight losses to open the season in Philly. The Phillies go with Zach Eflin, who was nothing special last year, finishing 4-7 with a 4.17 ERA. The visitors go with Daulton Jeffries, who makes his third major league start here. He's 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA so far. I say these starters are equal. I also say the A's get out to an early start here as well finally. The outright is possible, but the official call is to play the A's on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-22 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 221.5 | Top | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BOB) The Warriors are still looking to clinch third spot in the West, so they need to take this game seriously, despite who is on the floor. They're coming off a 128-112 win over the Lakers. The Spurs lost 127-121 to the Wolves on Thursday. Golden State will look to control this one from the outset though, as it won't want to give the Spurs much room on the perimeter as it looks to clamp down on the tempo. I'm expecting a more methodical pace here, but one that falls well "under" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-22 | Islanders v. Blues -139 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
8* BLUES (DESTRUCTION) Only three weeks left in the regular season, and fatigue is clearly a huge issue for teams playing the 2nd game of a B2B. Each of these team's played last night, meaning that the home ice advantage simply can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor tonight. New York is off a tight 2-1 win at Carolina, and an imminent letdown is in the card in my opinion. The Blues play with revenge as well after a 2-1 loss at Long Island in March. St. Louis beat Minnesota 4-3 in OT last night and I say the Blues keep that momentum rolling strong here; lay the price, the play is St. Louis! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-22 | A's v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Philadelphia pulled away for the high-scoring 9-5 win yesterday, but I expect much more of a classic pitchers duel on Saturday afternoon. Cole Irvin finished 10-15 with a 4.24 ERA last year for the A's, while Kyle Gibson was 10-9 with a 3.71 ERA and who was traded to the Phillies last summer. He's 5-3 with a 4.47 ERA lifetime against the A's. Gibson's familiarity of this club is another strong situational factor we can use here as well. Expect these two capable starters to throw deep, and look for this total to fall under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-22 | Mariners v. Twins -132 | 4-3 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
9* TWINS (SPECIAL) No need to overthink this one. The Mariners managed a victory in yesterday's Season Opener, but I expect the home side to answer here. Logan Gilbert was 6-5 with a 4.68 ERA for the M's last year, while Sonny Gray was 7-9 with a 4.19 ERA for the Reds (now on the Twins.) Gray though is a sharp 5-3 with a 2.84 ERA in 12 career starts against Seattle. Expect Gray to outduel his counterpart and lay this price with confidence; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-08-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (GOM) The Blue Jays have made a lot of moves in the offseason which have many believe that they're now the team to beat in the American League. That may turn out to be the case, but on Opening Day, almost anythign can happen (just ask the Braves!) I see this one being decided late or even in extra innings, so I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Sonny Gray was 8-12 with a 4.59 ERA in 29 starts for the Rockies last year and in 2 career outings vs. the Jays he's 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA. Jose Berriors was 12-9 with a 3.52 ERA in 32 starts betwen Toronto and Minnesota last year. He's 2-1 with a pedestrian 5.47 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Jays; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-08-22 | Mariners +102 v. Twins | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
9* MARINERS (ASSASSIN) Here's an interesting matchup, as I give a big nod to the Mariners on the mound, but I give the Twins the advantage at the plate. It's a classic matchup, but in this case, I believe the talent discrepancy on the mound will prove to be the difference-maker for the visiting Seattle Mariners. Seattle finished second in the AL West with a 90-72 record last year. The Twins were in last place in the AL Central with a 73-89 record. Joe Ryan gets the nod for Minnesota, and he went 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA in five starts and 30 K's for Team USA in the Tokyo Olympics. It's the first rookie starter to start on Opening Day for the Twins since 1969. Ray went 13-7 with a 2.84 ERA in 32 starts in 2021 and he's the reigning Cy Young Award winner. Great value on the superior pitchers; the play is Seattle! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-08-22 | Red Sox +150 v. Yankees | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
9* RED SOX (DESTRUCTION) My analysis will be pretty succinct over the the first week of the season. The bottom line with this one is that I believe that Nathan Eovaldi and the hungry Red Sox have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. Yes, the Yankees have something to prove this year, and Gerritt Cole is a tough opponent, but he was a pedestrian 2-2 with a 4.91 ERA in four starts against Boston last year. Eovaldi was 2-2 with a 3.71 ERA in six starts against New York last year. Plenty of sluggers on each side, but the value swings to this undervalued underdog on Opening Day in my opinion; the pay is Boston! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-22 | Astros +112 v. Angels | Top | 3-1 | Win | 112 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
10* ASTROS (GOW) I think the deep and talented Astros will pull off the slight Opening Day upset. Shohei Ohtani went 9-2 with a 3.18 ERA In 23 starts last year for the Angels, while Framber Valdez was 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 starts for the Astros. The difference for me though is that Valdez was 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 2 starts against the Astros last season, while Ohtani went 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in 2 starts vs. Houston. Expect Valdez to continue his dominance over the Angels! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) Denver comes in as the "hungier" and more focussed team today. The Nuggets are off a 116-97 loss to San Antonio. They play with revenge here though after a 122-118 loss to the Grizzlies in January, and that's important for us to note, as the Nugs have are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss to an opponent. Memphis just had its 7 game win streak snapped in a tight 121-115 OT loss at Utah and I say it just "goes through the motions" this evening. Home court advantage really does matter for this one, the play is DENVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-22 | Maple Leafs v. Stars +130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* STARS (EXPRESS) Toronto has sure been hot, but so has Dallas. The Leafs are off a tight 7-6 OT loss at Florida, giving up a huge lead in the unfortunate setback, and now they face a Stars side that's won 4 of its last 5 and which plays with revenge after a 4-0 loss to Toronto in mid March (note that Dallas is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a shutout loss against an opponent.) All things considered, a great price here as I expect Toronto get caught looking ahead to its much more winnable home game against the lowly Canadiens next; lay the price, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-22 | Reds +180 v. Braves | 6-3 | Win | 180 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
8* REDS (SPECIAL) I've always felt that there's tremendous value on Opening day. Especially when betting underdogs on Openind day! I've often found that the bookmakers lines are soft on opening day, and that's the case here with Cincinnait, which I believe has much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. Tyler Mahle finished 13-6 with a sharp 3.75 ERA in 33 starts last year. The Reds let Nick Castellanos go, while the defending champs failed to sign Freddie Freeman. The Braves go with Max Fried, who was 14-7 with a 3.04 ERA in 28 starts last year. Expect the hungrier visiting side to pull off the upset on Opening day; the play is the Reds! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) Off a 121-110 win over the Lakers last night at home, we're looking for the Suns to keep the foot on the gas here and deliver another "L" for the other team in LA. Despite last night's win, the Suns have still lost 4 straight ATS. Note though that that does in fact work in our favor here, as PHO is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. The Clippers have been playing well of late, but with only two more games to go in the regular season, I don't see any drop off here from Phoenix as it looks to carry its momentum from a strong regular season, into a big playoff run. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-05-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +5.5 | 127-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* BULLS (SPECIAL) In a game that we believe will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Milwaukee has lost two straight. It won't be rolling over here obviously, but I still think its vulnerable. Especially on the road. The Bulls play with revenge here as well after a listless 126-98 loss to Milwaukee as 6.5-point dogs in mid March. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Milwaukee returns home for a date vs. the red hot Celtics on Thursday and I say it gets caught looking ahead; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-05-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Pacers | Top | 131-122 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* 76ERS (GOW) I think this one sets up well for a complete ATS blowout for the road side. Philly is off a 112-108 win at the Cavaliers, but with a much tougher game at Toronto up next, the 76ers won't want to leave anything to chance. Then Philly closes out the year with two straight winnable games at home against the Pacers again, and then the Pistons to finish things off. Clearly Philadelphia doesn't want to "back in" to the playoffs. Chemistry is crucial at this point of the season. I say the 76ers put the foot on the gas and never let up. They also play with revenge after falling 118-113 to the Pacers as 4-point dogs at the start of the season. Indiana is off a 121-117 loss at home to Detroit. It can't even play spoiler here. I think the home side just "goes through the motions" tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-05-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -159 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
8* PANTHERS (DESTROYER) I think that the Panthers are well worth the price of admission in this one. Toronto comes in off a highly-satisfying 6-2 win at Tampa just last night. We don't have to overthink this one at all. Toronto will be fatigued here for sure. Florida has won 4 straight, but it also plays with "revenge" here after falling 5-2 to the Leafs in late March. I say the revenge-minded home side digs deep here and takes advantage of this content and tired Toronto side; lay the price! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 42 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (GOW) This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-22 | Golden Knights v. Canucks -105 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
10* CANUCKS (EXPRESS) Off 4 straight wins, including 2 straight in Seattle, I say the Knights finally have a letdown here in this difficult road venue. This is a home and home set, with two days off before a matchup in Vegas. I say the Knights take the foot off the gas here and get caught "looking ahead." The Canucks can't afford that same luxury though with that game in Vegas up next. Vancouver also plays with revenge here after falling 7-4 to the Knights on November 13th. When you add it all up, I say this one means A LOT "more" to the Canucks! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-22 | 76ers v. Cavs +5 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
8* CAVALIERS (SPECIAL) Both teams are fighting for a playoff spot. I feel that this one will be decided in the closing moments. The 76ers are off a much-needed 144-114 win at home over Charlotte, snapping a 3-game slide. With a much more "winnable" game at the Pacers up next, I say the 76ers get caught "flat footed" here in this difficult road venue and off their big win. The Cavs though play with revenge after a 118-114 loss to the 76ers on March 16th. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. The Cavs hit the road for 2 straight after this and hav to face the Nets and Bucks before the end of their season as well, so I say they take this revenge-spot VERY seriously; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) Boston has been on quite the roll over the last month and it'll now look to close out the final week strong. It's off a 128-123 home win over Indiana. It's dropped 2 straight ATS, but I think it recovers here and lays the hammer down on the Wizards. Washington has nothing to play for. The C's dismantled Washington by a score of 116-87 in Janaury and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Note, this game takes on added importance for Boston as well with three straight tough road games to end the season after this, including at Chicago, Milwaukee and Memphis respectively. In their final regular season home game, I expect the Celtics to push the pace from start to finish; lay the points, the play is BOSTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | 81-77 | Loss | -116 | 134 h 48 m | Show | |
9* DUKE (SPECIAL) UNC only hit 6 of 22 3-pointers against Saint Peter's, and while that was enough to move past the No. 15 seed, that's just not going to get it done against Coach K and Duke in the Final 4. To get to this point of the tournament, you have to be playing well at both ends of the court. And that's the case here, as move UNC and Duke enter on top form. Duke is the No. 2 seed here and it plays with revenge after its 94-81 home loss to UNC as an 11-point favorite in Coach K's final regular season home game. It was a crushing defeat, but now Duke has a golden opportunity to avenge that setback. Duke does everything just as well as UNC, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for the experience of Coach K in this spot to prove to be the difference in this revenge scenario; the play is Duke! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | Jazz v. Warriors +2 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
8* WARRIORS (DESTRUCTION) We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season with just over a week left to play. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, but I simply feel that this one means a lot more to the home side. The Warriors are still without Steph Curry, but I expect the home side to step up here after 4 straight losses. The Warriors are deep and well coached. The Jazz are off a satisfying 122-109 win over the Lakers and I think they come in a bit complacent here. The Warriors play with revenge after a 111-85 slapping on Feb. 9, and note that GS is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. This one MEANS MORE to Golden State! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | Nets -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
10* NETS (ASSASSIN) Brooklyn is just 1-2 in its last 3. It's off a 120-119 OT loss at home to the Bucks. The easily handled the Hawks though back in December by a score of 113-105 and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Atlanta comes in off 4 straight wins, including a 131-107 victory over Cleveland in its last outing. I simply feel this is a really bad matchup for the Hawks. Atlanta is also still just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Look for the hungrier Nets to pull away down the stretch; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | Wild v. Hurricanes -145 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* HURRICANES (EXPRESS) I feel Carolina should in fact be a much larger favorite here. I like playing against teams that have been on an extended win streak, and then lost a tight game. I like playing AGAINST them in the following contest, and that's the exact scenario here. Minnesota's 8 game win streak was just snapped in a tight 4-3 OT home loss to the Penguins and I expect a predictable letdown here now on the road in this difficult road venue. Carolina is off a 4-0 win over Montreal and it plays with revenge after a tight 3-2 loss to the Wild in mid Feb. As I said off the top, this line should be a lot larger; the play is Carolina! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas OVER 132.5 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 131 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) Villanova is going to have to hit some three-balls today if it wants to beat the Jayhawks. Miami struggled from range in the second half of its Elite 8 matchup vs. Kansas, and the Jayhawks would then pull away for the 76-50 victory (Hurricanes finished just 3 of 21 from range.) The Wildcats can shoot threes and they're one of the best free throw shooting team's in the country as well. Villanova did lose the services of Justin Moore to a torn Achilles tendon in the win over Houston. Villanova can't afford to get into a half-court battle with this efficient Kansas team. I'm expecting this one to be a bit more "wide open" and faster-paced than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-22 | Blues v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) St. Louis is off a 4-3 win at Vancouver, but I think it'll have a more difficult time finding the back of the net in Edmonton this evening. I simply feel that the Blues will get caught "looking ahead" here and save some of their energy for tomorrow night's difficult game in Calgary. I expect St. Louis to play more of a "trap" style of game, where it sits back and waits for the Oilers to make the first mistake. Edmonton has played to 5 straight overs, but note that the Oilers have seen the total go under in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 5 or more "overs" in a row. When these teams played on December 29th, the Blues managed the 4-2 home win and that total went "under" the number. I expect an even tighter/lower-scoring affair this time around; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-22 | Kings v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 122-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (SPECIAL) Sacramento has seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight. It's been playing better for bettors of late as well, going 4-1 ATS in its last five. Off a 121-118 road win at Houston though, I believe the rematch here will be a little tighter defensively. Note as well that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston's 2 game win streak is in the rear-view mirror after 2 straight home losses. That includes the 121-118 loss to the Kings last time out. Note though that the Rockets have seen the total go "under" the number in 9 of their last 12 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This number is a little high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-22 | Suns v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Memphis has won 6 straight. It's seen the total go "under" the number in 4 straight. The Grizz are the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 115.4 PPG, but I say they have their hands full here with a Suns team playing with revenge after a tight 114-113 home loss to Memphis as 7.5 point favs on December 27th. Phoenix enters on top form after 9 straight victories. That includes a 107-103 win over GS last time out. The Suns have the No. 2 offense in the league, averaging 115.2 PPG. Phoenix has also seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent; expect this faster-paced affair to fly well "over" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-22 | Stars v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) These teams just played against each other, and Dallas held on for hte 3-2 victory. Note that the Ducks have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge road loss against an opponent. The Ducks won't be lacking for motivation here, as they've now lost 10 straight. Dallas will look to take advantage and we're expecting it to open things up and push the pace here. With the Ducks desperate to put pucks on the net and to break this slide, I expect this total to ultimately fly well "over" the number before the final horn blares; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-22 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 226 | Top | 109-122 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) The Lakers are now on the outside of the playoffs looking in. It's going to be an uphill battle the rest of the way for the Lakers this season. Is LeBron James playing tonight for LA? Who is playing for the Lakers? That changes on an almost day to day basis. Even if "The King" does suit up here, I'm expecting a very defensive affair. LA needs this win, but the last thing it can do here is try to turn this into a run and gun shootout with the Jazz. LA is off back-to-back losses, falling 116-108 to New Orleans, and then 128-110 to the Mavericks. Utah will be in the playoffs, but it can't be happy with its recent play either, as it's lost 5 in a row (note though that Utah has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 after 5 or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) This is an important game for each side, and I look for both to double down on the defensive end; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M OVER 137.5 | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER (BOB) Two really good defensive teams battle for the NIT Championship tonight, but I think that public perception has helped driving this total a few points lower than it should be. The Musketeers enter off an 84-77 win over St. Bonaventure to advance, while Texas A&M beat Washington State by a score of 72-56. Xavier is going to have to push the pace from start to finish here to try and take the Aggies out of their comfort zone. The Musketeers average 74.1 PPG. A&M averages 72.7 PPG. I believe each team will exceed its offensive seasonal average today. Yes, this is a big game, but I believe that'll translate into an efficent, wide-open contest, rather than a suffocating defensive one; this number is a little low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-22 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) After playing to 5 straight "overs," I'm expecting a more defensive battle from the Kings on the road here. They're off a humbling 6-1 home loss to the lowly Kraken, which actually works in our favor here as LA has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 9 after a home loss of 5 or more goals. LA also plays with revenge here after a 5-2 loss to the Oilers in mid-Feb. Edmonton has seen the total go "over" in 4 sraight. That includes a 6-1 win here over Arizona in its most recent. However note, the Oilers have seen the total go "under" in 14 of their last 20 off a 5 goals or greater home victory in their last outing. When you add it all up, I say this number is indeed just a tad high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 215 | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EAST-CONF TOY) Miami has seen the total go "over" 5 of its last 6, but I expect it to run a lot of half court sets tonight on the road against the red hot Celtics. The Heat finally broke a 4 game slide with a 123-100 win over the Kings at home in their last game, but they play with revenge here after falling 122-92 to the C's on January 31st (Miami has interestingly seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in.) Boston has played to 6 straight "overs." After its 115-112 OT loss at Toronto, I believe that the Celtics' are going to be fatigued here. When you add it all up, I say this O/U line is indeed just a tad high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors UNDER 230 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) The Wolves have been great this year and I'm excited to see them in the playoffs. That said, they've been slipping a bit of late, going just 1-3 in their last 4. That includes a 134-112 loss at Boston in their most recent. Note though that Minny has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it conceded 130 or more points in. Toronto has been trading high-scoring games, with lower-scoring ones over its last 4. Off a high-scoring 115-112 OT win over a red hot Boston, I expect this strong pattern to continue here. Toronto won 103-91 over the Wolves in mid February, and while we'll likely see a few points scored here, I do expect another defensive battle overall; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M OVER 132 | Top | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER (NIT SEMI-FINAL TOY) Washington State is 22-14 after beating BYU by a score of 77-58 to advance to the semi-finals of the NIT. Michael Flowers led the way in the win with 27 points, 5 assists and 3 steals. Texas A&M advanced to this point by beating Wake Forest by a score of 67-52. Wade Taylor was a standout in that victory with 12 points. Both teams enter on top form. If they had just gotten hot like this a couple of weeks earlier in the regular season, each could have been playing in The Big Dance instead of the NIT. Either way, I expect a faster pace here and I look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-22 | Pistons v. Nets OVER 229 | Top | 123-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Detroit enters off B2B losses. The Pistons have been playing better over the second half, but they won't be in the playoffs. They're coming off 3 straight "unders" in a row though, and note that they've seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row. They play with revenge here after a 116-104 loss at home to Brooklyn in mid-December as well. The Nets have been trading good efforst with bad of late, and off a 119-110 loss at home to Charlotte, I say this pattern continues here. With each team pushing the pace like I expect, we can also look for this total to fly well "over" the number as it comes down the stretch! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) The Rangers have won 2 straight, and they've seen the total go "over" in 3 straight. Note that New York has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rangers are off a 5-4 OT win over Buffalo, but I think they'll have a more difficult time moving the puck here against this revenge-minded Penguins team that fell to the Rangers 5-1 just last week. Note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in. Off their 11-2 blowout win over the Wings here 2 nights ago, we can expect this Pens' offense to come back down to Earth here vs. one of the league's top defensive clubs. Considering all of the above information, I believe this number is indeed too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* FRESNO STATE (GOW) This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-22 | Kings v. Heat -13 | Top | 100-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* HEAT (GAME OF WEEK) I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I believe it's necessary to completely dissect a pick, looking at every stat possible, breaking down individual player matchups, looking at trends and scheduling, line movement and many other factors. Other times I believe that a more common sense approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that's the case for this particular selection for sure. Miami is desperate to break out of its funk, as it comes in having lost 4 in a row SU and 7 in a row ATS. It also plays with revenge here after falling 115-113 at Sacramento as a 3.5-point fav on January 2nd. This is a big and important game for the Heat, even more so when considering their upcoming 3-game road trip after this vs. Boston, Chicago and Toronto. Sacramento is off B2B victories. It's won 3 straight ATS. Can anyone say predictable letdown spot here?! Especially with 2 straight games at lowly Houston up next?! Lay the points, expect a blowout of epic proportions! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Both teams can score. Both teams can defend. Both teams will be in the playoffs. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either the "over" or the "under" to hit in this contest? So why do I love the "under" in this contest then? Carolina is off a 7-2 win at St. Louis, but note that it's seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 11 off a road win of 5 or more goals. Washington is off B2B wins and has seen the total go "over" in 3 straight. Note though that the Caps have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington won 4-3 over Carolina on the road a couple of weeks ago, but all signs point to a much tighter defensive affair this time around; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 220 | Top | 100-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. I like betting on motivated teams when playing "overs." Utah is going to be motivated for sure after 3 straight losses. That includes a listless 107-101 setback at Charlotte in its most recent. It plays with revenge here after a 111-103 loss to Dallas as well at the start of the month (and note that the Jazz have seen the total go "over" in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) Dallas is 2-1 in its last 3, but it's seen the total go "under" in 3 straight (note that the Mavs have seen the total go "over" in 6 of their last 9 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row.) Off a poor 116-95 loss at Minnesota, we can expect the home side to push the pace from start to finish; considering all of the above info, I say the correct call is on the "over" as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | Coyotes v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOTAL U OF THE U) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The Jets have seen the total go "over" in 2 straight, but with a tough upcoming Eastern road swing on the horizon, I believe the home side will not keep the foot on the gas here vs. the lowly Coyotes. Arizona is off a 4-2 loss at Calgary. I have a hard time seeing it mustering up much of an offensive attack here, as the 'Yotes only average 2.58 GPG anyways, which ranks 30th. This number is much too high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | 76ers v. Suns UNDER 230 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Philadlephia is off back-to-back road wins over the Lakers and Clippers, but I think it'll have its hands full here in this difficult road venue. The 76ers still only average 108.9 points per game. They play with revenge here after a 114-109 loss to the Suns at home in early February (note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in 6 of their last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) The Suns average 115.3 PPG this season. They're coming off 7 straight victories. They've seen the total go OVER in 3 straight though, and note that Phoenix has seen the total go UNDER in 8 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight OVERS in a row. This total is high, the play is the "under." AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
8* NORTH CAROLINA (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Saint Peter's magical run is about to come to an end here vs. the most well-rounded team its seen yet. Yes, the Peacocks defense (67.7 PPG allowed) and overall "never say die" commitment has been impressive, but UNC looks like a wrecking ball right now. The Tar Heels are averaging 87 PPG so far during the Tournament and they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral court favorite in the -6.5 to -9.5 points range. Saint Peter's has been an "ATS covering machine" during its conference tournament and now the NCAA Tourney, but I say that streak comes to an end here finally, with the oddsmakers giving this "Cinderalla" just a little too much respect now; the play is North Carolina! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -6 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
8* DUKE (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Arkansas has been unbelievable this year, but I say that Duke's incredible offense wins over the Razorbacks tough-nosed defensive play finally. Off their now legendary 74-68 win over No. 1 seed Gonzaga, an imminent letdown is in store for the underdog tonight in my opinion. The Blue Devils got past a similar tough-nosed defensive team in Texas Tech last time out in their 78-73 win. Look for Coach K to have something new up his sleeve here as his players keep the foot on the gas on the offensive end as Duke comfortably moves on to the Final Four; lay the short points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Bulls v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | Top | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Previous to their 126-109 loss to New Orleans, the Bulls had seen the total go "under" in 3 straight. When they played the Cavs on March 12th, the total went "under" the number in their 101-91 win, and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. The Cavs have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Since that game, the Cavs have seen the total go "over" in 6 straight. Look for that streak to end here though in what I anticipate to be a very defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Kings v. Magic -3 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
8* MAGIC (SPECIAL) I am travelling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Kings are off a rare road win, coming from behind to knock off Indianapolis by a score of 110-109. Now they face a revenge-minded Magic team that fell 142-130 at the Kings on December 8th. Note that Orlando is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Magic posted two straight home wins before a 118-102 loss at Oklahoma City. Expect a return to form here in this revenge scenairo. Lay the points, the plays ORLANDO. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova! AAA Sports |
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