Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-17-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots +3 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -123 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOY) Divisional matchups are always the most important and they almost always mean the most to the home side. And that's definitely the case here in our opinion, as we expect New England to win this game outright. That said, our official call is to grab as many points as you can. Miami fought tooth and nail with the Chargers on the road in Week 1 and it escaped with a thrilling 36-34 victory as a 3-point underdog. Now they face a New England team that comes off a tough 25-20 home loss to the high-powered Eagles. Lots of good things for Mac Jones and company though. The defense looked great and Jones finished with 315 passing yards. While the outright win is possible, the play is to grab the points with NEW ENGLAND. AAA Sports | |||||||
09-17-23 | Commanders v. Broncos -3 | 35-33 | Loss | -125 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
8* Broncos (DESTRUCTION) Washington managed to hold on for a 20-16 home win over Arizona as a seven-point favorite in Week 1, but all signs point to a letdown here in the Commanders first road game. Denver fell 17-16 here at home to Las Vegas as a three-point favorite, but Russell Wilson looked decent with two TD passes. There were lots of positives to take out of Denver's performance in Week 1 despite the loss, and we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb to get off the schneid here and now, especially with two straight tough road games at Miami and Chicago on deck; a great situational play here on Denver! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-17-23 | Seahawks v. Lions -4.5 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
10* Lions (SUPER BLOWOUT) The Seahawks surprised everyone last year, but in Week 1, they fell at home to division rival LA as a favorite. Now they're facing a confident and well-rested Lions team at home and all signs point to a big time blowout in our opinion. Hawks' QB Geno Smith was just 16 of 26 for 112 passing yads and a TD. The defense looked terrible, and we have a hard time seeing it slowing down Jared Goff and company in what will be a sold out Ford Field. Goff had 225 yards and a TD in their upset win on Opening night over the Chiefs. We're expecting a completely lop-sided blowout, so lay the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-17-23 | Colts +1.5 v. Texans | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
10* Colts (ASSASSIN) What do you base your picks on? We use many different methodologies and approaches. Sometimes we break a game wide open, looking at every player matchup and every statistic we can get. Other times though we like to "keep it simple." This week and for this game we're "keeping it simple" and giving this particular matchup the "eye test." We really liked what we saw out of the Colts in Week 1, as their young QB looks legit. The Texans looked inept in their 25-9 loss at Baltimore. Look for the Colts' progression to continue here and grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-17-23 | Chiefs v. Jaguars UNDER 51 | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Jags (AFC NON-DIV TOW) The Chiefs looked shaky in Week 1 without Jason Kelce, and whether he's in the line-up or not, we feel KC will once again have difficulties moving the ball. Trevor Lawrence and company will look to win this game in the trenches and with field position. Weather could be an issue here as well, with Hurricane Lee ripping off the coast right now. We see this one being a really gritty, lower-scoring battle that indeed stays well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports | |||||||
09-16-23 | Kansas v. Nevada +28.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Nevada (NON-CONF GOW) Kansas is 2-0, and Nevada is 0-2. In no way shape or form are we suggesting that the Wolfpack are going to steal an outright win here or anything, but we do think that there's every reason to believe that the Jayhawks'll take the foot off the gas as they get caught looking ahead to a bye week next week, followed by games at Texas and Oklahoma State. No such luck obviously for Nevada, who despite being a massive underdog here, won't simply be rolling over. This is too many points to be giving up considering all of these strong situational circumstances listed above; grab the points, the play is Nevada! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-16-23 | Cubs -112 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Cubs (BLOWOUT) These teams are battling it out for one of the final NL wildcards. Chicago has now lost three in a row though after dropping last night's contest 6-4 here, and note that the Cubs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here though is that this one definitely favors the Cubs in the starting pitching matchup, with veteran Kyle Hendricks (6-7, 3.71 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), getting the nod here over the volatile Zach Davies (2-5, 6.81, 1.61 WHIP.) Lay the price, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-16-23 | FC Cincinnati v. Philadelphia -120 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* Union (MLS GOW) Both teams are among the top in the East, but the "home field" advantage can't be overlooked as a deciding factor in this one. In fact, we feel the Union should be a bigger favorite in this matchup here at home. The Union have won six straight at home, and we don't see FC Cincinnati stopping that streak today. Their last victory was a 4-1 thrashing of the Red Bulls. Cincinnati on the other hand lost its final game before the international break, falling 1-0 to Orlando City. All things considered, we feel this is a great price; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-16-23 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Rutgers | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN) This game means more to UVA after suffering a 24-17 defeat to Purdue last weekend as a 1-point favorite. With a tough game at Marshall after this, the Hokies will be risking life and limb here to avoid another loss. The Scarlet Knights are 2-0 SU/ATS, but their early numbers are skewed do the level of the competition. WIth a game at Michigan on deck next, not only does this set up as a possible "letdown," but it also sets up as a possible "look-ahead" spot. When you add those two things together you get "trap game." No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is on the Hokies! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-16-23 | Florida State v. Boston College +24.5 | Top | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOY) Do we think that Boston College will win this game outright?! We do not. Do we think the Seminoles will take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half of this game as they caught looking ahead to their game at Clemson next Saturday? Absolutely. This is a great situational play, one so strong that this pick will qualify as our 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR. BC lost this game 44-14 last year, but all signs point to a much more competitive game this time around; grab the points, the play is BOSTON COLLEGE. AAA Sports | |||||||
09-15-23 | Phillies -140 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Phillies (NL BLOWOUT) We like the Phillies to bounce back here after dropping four of their last five. That includes two straight at home to the Braves earlier in the week. Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.64 ERA) gets the nod here over his counterpart Zach Thompson (5-5, 4.06.) Look for Philadelphia to come in focussed and to deliver in the opener of this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-15-23 | Rays v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Orioles RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) A big divisional series here, and after yesterday's 4-3 loss in Game 1, we expect Baltimore to respond on Friday. The Orioles have now lost three straight, and note that Baltimore if 4-1 in its last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Zach Eflin (14-8, 3.53 ERA) is just in the wrong place at the wrong time here for the Rays. Jack Flaherty (8-8, 4.98) will finally get a chance to bounce back here for his new team. We expect the veteran to match his counterpart. Great overall value here in getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance - the play is Baltimore on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-15-23 | Virginia +14.5 v. Maryland | Top | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
10* Virginia (BLOOD-BATH) UVA is 0-2, while Maryland is 2-0. UVA though is coming off a 36-35 loss to James Madison as a 6-point dog and we believe it'll be able to carry that positive progression over here in Week 3 here as well. Maryland beat Charlotte 38-20, but was unable to cover the 24.5-point spread. We feel this Friday night spread is too large as well for the home side to cover, especially with a big televised game at Michigan State the following weekend, setting this up as a classic "letdown + look-ahead" spot! Virginia's backup QB was great, as Athony Colandrea had 377 passing yards and two TD's. Maryland's game was 17-14 going into the fourth quarter, as the Terps struggled in many facets. This is too many points, so grab them; the play is indeed on Virginia! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-14-23 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | Top | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show |
10* OVER Vikes/Eagles. The bottom line here is that Mac Jones threw for 315 yards on the Eagles' secondary, and we just feel that Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson will also be able to take advantage here. Clearly the Eagles won't be rolling over here after that somewhat uninspiring performance at New England, which saw them go up early, and then for some reason take the foot off the gas. Perhaps they were caught looking ahead to this game?! Either way, we can expect Jalen Hurts and company to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in their home opener. This number is low, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
09-14-23 | Navy +14 v. Memphis | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (AAC GOM) Navy is 1-1, while Memphis is 2-0. The Midshipmen beat Wagner 24-0 last week, unable to cover the 43.5-point spread. Memphis crushed Arkansas 37-3. Memphis won this game at Navy last year by a score of 37-13, but all signs point to a much tighter battle this time around in our opinion. With a game vs. Missouri on a neutral field next week, will Memphis get caught "looking ahead?!" The possibility is there of course. Navy on the other hand has a bye next week, which works in our favor here this week as the team puts its entire focus onto this game. Navy runs the option attack, but QB Tai Lavatai had 161 yards passing, including a 45 yard pass to RB Anton Hall Jr. Let's not read too much into the Tigers' early numbers, also facing off against FCS Bethune-Cookman. We see the home side leaving the back door open just enough for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Navy! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-14-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -146 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* Jays (ASSASSIN) Enough is enough for Toronto here, as it's lost the first three games of this four-game series by score of 10-4, 6-3 and 10-0. Note though that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. After five straight wins, we're expecting the Rangers to finally have a small letdown here. Nathan Eovaldi (11-4, 2.90 ERA) has been great for the Rangers, but we still give Kevin Gausman (11-8, 3.28) the slight nod here at home. Look for the desperate home side to deliver finally here on Thursday! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-13-23 | Royals v. White Sox -148 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* White Sox (AL BOB) The White Sox won the opener, and the Royals clawed back to win 11-10 in last night's Game 2. Now here in the finale with a chance for a rare series win, we like Mike Clevinger to seal the deal here vs. his incompetent counterpart. Clevinger (7-7, 3.64 ERA) is 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA. The Royals' Steven Cruz (0-0, 7.20) is being thrown to the wolves here in this matchup. Look for Chicago to take advantage and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-12-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays +100 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Jays (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Two really good teams in the hunt for a playoff berth collide here in the second game of this three-game series North of the border, and in my opinion, I think the revenge-minded home side offers great value at this price to find a way to deliver on Tuesday. Texas won yesterday's opener by a score of 10-4. Toronto is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. If the Rangers have had one weakness as well, it's been their inconsistent play on the road, where they're still a just a pedestrian 34-34 this year. The Jaysa re now 38-31 at home, but we like TO to bounce back here with its ace on the mound in Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-2, 2.65 ERA), who will square off against Max Scherzer (3-2, 3.63.) Scherzer is just in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Great price and value overall on Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 47 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 172 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bills/Jets (ASSASSIN) It's going to take some time for Aaron Rodgers to develop chemistry with his new team. They'll be looking to run the ball heavily to open things up, to alleviate as much pressure off him as possible. The Jets will be better served keeping Josh Allen off the field of play as much as possible anyways. New York actually had one of the best defenses in the league last year, allowing the fourth least amount of PPG. THe last thing NY wants to do is turn this into a "shootout;" this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
09-11-23 | Marlins v. Brewers -144 | Top | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Brewers (NL GOW) Both pitchers have been great here, but we give the big nod to Brandon Woodruff (4-1, 2.30 ERA, 0.79 WHIP) here at home. Woodruff will be going up against Jesus Luzardo (9-8, 3.89.) The Fish are off a 5-4 comeback win at Philly, but we say they're now primed for a classic letdown here in Milwaukee. Dating to last season Woodruff is 14-3 with a 2.36 ERA and he's 2-0 wtih a 3.00 ERA in two career outings vs. the Fish. Luzardo is just 1-3 with a poor 4.89 ERA over his las seven starts. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-11-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -141 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -141 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (AL GOW) Texas just two two of three at home over the A's, but the Rangers haven't been traveling well of late, and here they face a red hot home side that's won eight of its last ten, including sweeping the Royals here over the weekend in three straight. As good as Dane Dunning (9-6, 3.88 ERA) has been for the Rangers, we're still giving the nod to Chris Bassitt (14-7, 3.69) here at home. Look for Toronto to ride the wave of emotion and to post the convincing victory here in Game 1 of this series! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 36 m | Show |
10* Giants (SUPER BLOWOUT) Both teams advanced to the second round of the playoffs last year before then falling. Dallas has some talent to replace on offense this season though, and we've never been a big fan of Dak Prescott's. Dallas looks poised for a big step back this year after flailing once again last season. The Giants exceeded expectations by finishing 9-8 and in a contest that we see being decided late, or by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points (but note, we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset or anything either); the play is New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-10-23 | St. Louis City v. LA Galaxy | 2-2 | Win | 310 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
8* DRAW St. Louis/LA (ASSASSIN) LA will be looking to further its playoff chances with a win today, but St. Louis City won't be rolling over here. This one has "war of attrition" written all over it in our opinion, and that makes the DRAW option the savvy call here. LA is on a three match unbeaten streak after a 0-0 draw with Houston last time out. St. Louis is on top of the Western Conference despite losing 2-1 to Sporting KC last time out. Lots on stake for both clubs, but everything points to a very evenly matched affair. The play is the DRAW! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-10-23 | Eagles -3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 145 h 55 m | Show |
10* Eagles FIRST HALF (NON-CONF FH GOW) NOTE: If you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines, then we still like this game as well for the entire game. Philadelphia was 14-3 last year and it then lost in the Super Bowl to the Chiefs by the slimmest of margins. The Pats were 8-9. Mac Jones and the Pats should do a lot better in his third year and with a new OC, but the Eagles are primed to hit the ground running in our estimation. What's the best way to take the crowd out of this game, which will be hyped becuase of a Tom Brady ceremony? Burying them in the first half. And that's exactly what we're expecting the dynamic Jalen Hurts and company to do; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Cubs. The first three games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here this afternoon. Arizona has won four straight and the first three of this series. All three games have gone "under" the number, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Brandon Pfaddt (1-8, 6.27 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, countered by Kyle Hendricks (5-7, 3.73) for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-10-23 | Texans v. Ravens -10 | Top | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
10* RAVENS FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) NOTE: We also like Baltimore for the entire game, so if you don't have half time lines available, we're also suggesting a play on Baltimore for the ENTIRE game. The Ravens have had a busy off-season, including locking up Lamar Jackson, signing Odell Beckham Jr. among other moves. Houston has CJ Stroud, who could go on to become the next John Elway, but he's going to be in over his head here on the road in this difficult road venue; the play is BALTIMORE. AAA Sports | |||||||
09-10-23 | Bucs v. Vikings -5.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -113 | 142 h 11 m | Show |
10* Vikings (NON-DIV. NFC GOY) Baker Mayfield's career is on the line here. It's now or never for Mayfield, and he'll likely be without his top receiver in Mike Evans. There's plenty of off-field drama going on in Tampa and we expect Minnesota to take advantage of that fact here in Week 1, coming in as the more prepared team will result in a decisive and lop-sided decision. The Vikes won the NFC North last year and while they have a few question marks here and there, everything points to a comfortable win and cover here at home in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-09-23 | Los Angeles FC +135 v. Portland | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
10* LA FC (GOW) LA FC can move back into second place in the West with a win today. Despite outshooting Miami by a score of 22-9 at home last week, LAFC fell 3-1. Portland drew 2-2 with Seattle. LAFC has't lost in four straight in this series and we're not expecting that streak to end here. LA has only beaten Portland twice at Providence Park, the last one came in this exact matchup a season ago (2-1.) We're expecting a similar final outcome here; the play is LAFC! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-09-23 | SMU +16 v. Oklahoma | Top | 11-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
10* SMU (UNDERDOG BOB) This is a non-conference matchup and we feel that SMU will be able to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. SMU is off a 38-14 win over Louisiana Tech, while Oklahoma annihilated Arkansas State by a score of 73-0. SMU though was up 31-0 at halftime in its game before taking the foot off the gas in the second half as it was caught looking ahead to this much more difficult game. Oklahoma though is the one going to be get caught "looking ahead" to its game at Cincinnati next week. A great situational play, grab as many points as you can with SMU! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-09-23 | Kent State +38 v. Arkansas | 6-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
8* Kent State (DESTRUCTION) Outright win?! Obviously not. We're just fully expecting Arkansas to go up early, and then to completley take the foot off the gas in the second half as it prepares of its game vs. BYU next week, and LSU the following week. Kent State was routed 56-6 by UCF, but let's not overreact. Michael Alaimo will be better this time around in our estimatoin after finishing with 145 passing yards, no TD's and an INT. Arknsas routed FCS Western Carolina 56-13, but for all the situational circumstances listed above, all signs point to Kent State comfortably sneaking in through the backdoor down the stretch! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-09-23 | Notre Dame v. NC State +7.5 | Top | 45-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
10* NC State (ANNIHILATION) The Irish are 2-0, but now they finally get tested this weekend. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion. The Wolfpack won't be rolling over here at home after their 24-14 win over UConn last Thursday and with the advantage of a couple of extra days rest. Notre Dame had no problem with Tennessee State last week, and with a week off before a game at home vs. Ohio State on September 23rd, this for sure sets up as not only a "letdown" spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." This is a great "situational" play on NC State! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-09-23 | Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 57.5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vanderbilt/Wake (EARLY) A couple of non-conference opponents battle here and in our opinion, this total is a little high. Vanderbilt is off a 47-13 win over Alabama A&M, while Wake Forest smashed Elon 37-17. Both failed to cover the spread. Let's not overreact to last week's results offensively though is the moral of this story in our opinion. Wake Forest did win 45-25 last year, but with considerable turnover for each side, we're anticipating a much tighter game this time around. This one is going to be decided in the trenches and by field position; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-08-23 | Illinois +3.5 v. Kansas | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) Both teams enter at 1-0. Illinois is coming off a 30-28 win over Toledo, while Kansas beat Missouri State 48-17. Last year the Fighting Illini had the best defense in the country, but after the team lost its entire secondary to the NFL in the offseason, there's going to be a transition period obviously. QB Luke Altmyer had 211 yards passing and two TDs. Jalon Daniels could very well make his debut for the Jayhawks today, but if he does, we're expecting some "growing pains" for himself here as well as he gets "up to speed." Daniels had an 18:4 TD:INT last year before getting injured. Jason Bean looked good last week vs. Missouri State, but clearly this Illinois defense, despite being a shadow of its former self, is a huge step up in difficulty. An outright is possible, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-08-23 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pirates/Braves (ART OF WAR) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the opener of this series in ATL on Friday night. The Braves lost two of three to the Cards, and all three games went "over" the number. But note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really good starters going head-to-head and all signs point to a "duel" as we eluded to above, with Mitch Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) going for the Pirates, and Bryce Elder (11-4, 3.42) countering for the home side. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
09-07-23 | Lions +6.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 104 h 47 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOCKBUSTER) The Lions finished 9-8 last year, while the Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl, their second in the last four years. The Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes is always an X-Factor despite who is on his line-up, but with six key starters from last year's record-breaking offense gone, there's going to be a small amount of transition time here for the KC offense to find the same chemistry as it clearly had last season. The Lions' defense was their weak-point all year, but the unit made big strides in the second half of the season, allowing just 20.2 PPG. Detroit is ready to hit the ground running and won't at all be intimidated here. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-07-23 | Tigers v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Tigers/Yanks. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting finally a "slug-fest" here on Thursday night in the Bronx. NY has won 8 of its last 9 and both games to open this series. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Eduardo Rodriguez (10-7, 3.11 ERA) gets the call for the Tigers, and he's definitely in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. Carlos Rodon (2-4, 5.70) has struggled for New York. Everything in our opinion points to this total flying well "over" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-06-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to a "duel" here in our opinion. The Astros have won both of these games to open this series, and both have flown well "over" the number, including in their 14-1 win last night. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We have two former teammates going head-to-head here, with Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.79 ERA) getting the call for Houston, and Max Scherzer (3-1, 2.64) countering for Texas. Look for these ex-teammates to battle deep, and for this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-05-23 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/A's (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally predicting more of a "duel" here finally on Tuesday night. The Jays came from behind, and then had to hold on for the 6-5 win last night. Toronto has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. Note though that despite yesterday's high-scoring outcome, Toronto has still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.81 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Toronto all year. Ken Waldichuk (2-7, 5.92 ERA) less so for the A's, but the overall situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call for sure here today as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 178 h 8 m | Show |
10* Duke (MONEY) Clemson comes to Duke here to open the season on Monday night off an 11 win campaign. Duke though really turned things around in 2022 under Mike Elko’s first season, finishing with nine wins. Clemson will feel that the 11 win season was a step back, while Duke's nine win campaign was one of its best of all time. The bottom line here is, Clemson is not the National power that it once was. The public is always quick to back the Tigers, but this matchup is more evenly matched than it appears in our opinion. Four of the Blue Devils losses last year were of the one-score variety. WB Riley Leonard is back, and we think he'll keep his team competitive late; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Duke! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-04-23 | Twins -133 v. Guardians | Top | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Twins (ASSASSIN) With a chance to really distance themselves from the Guardians for the division lead, and with the superior starter on the hill fr them, we like the Twins to find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this one. Pablo Lopez (9-7, 3.72 ERA) is definitely the "correct call" here as far as the starting pitching matchup is concerned in our opinion, as he'll face off against the struggling Lucas Giolito (1-5, 6.89.) We see Minnesota going up early and then we expect the bullpen to deliver the goods in the end; lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-03-23 | Inter Miami v. Los Angeles FC UNDER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER Inter Miami/LAFC. With Messi on Inter Miami, the general betting public is is quick to back the team from South Beach now. LA though is still clinging to second spot in the West despite a 2-1 setback at Charlotte last Saturday. Now back at home and ready for a bounce-back, we think the last thing LAFC will do is to turn this into a "track meet." Instead, we expect the "better team on paper" to sit back and wait for the visiting side to make the first mistake. In this "war of attrition," expect the total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (ASSASSIN) No need to overanalyze this one. After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Astros to not only win the finale here on Sunday night MLB, but to do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the correct call in our opinion. Michael King (3-5, 2.96 ERA) has been solid for New York, but we feel he's for sure in the "wrong place at the wrong time" tonight. His counterpart Christian Javier (9-2, 4.66 ERA) is the correct call; lay the 1.5 runs and expect a blowout! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-03-23 | Orioles v. Diamondbacks -138 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BOB) Arizona took the opener, and Baltimore bounced back on Saturday. Now with the suprerior starting pitcher on the hill for them here, we like the Diamondbacks to respond in the finale of this three-game series and to find a way to get the job done. And for us, it just boils down to the starting pitching, as Baltimore's Jack Flaherty (1-2, 6.41 ERA) continues to look shaky for his new team, while Zac Gallen (14-6, 3.32) here at home at this price and in this situation seems like a gift; so lay the price with confidence, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-03-23 | Northwestern +7 v. Rutgers | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -111 | 146 h 15 m | Show |
10* Northwestern (ROUT) Outright upset? Maybe, but after going 1-11 last year, Northwestern won't be lacking motivation today. Ben Bryant came over from Cincinnati to be the man under center and to refresh this offense. What better opponent to go up against to open the season than Rutgers, which went 4-8 last year? The Scarlet Knights once again have more questions than answers coming into this season. The Rutgers defense is its strength, but we're expecting this to be a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Northwestern! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-03-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Crystal Palace -101 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
10* Crystal Palace (ASSASSIN) Crystal Palace is the "better" team on paper in this matchup, and I think that'll also translate into a decisive victory on the field of play this weekend as well in this favorable matchup. Wolverhampton is in complete disarray after a 5-0 loss to Blackpool last week. Crystal Palace on the other hand comes in off an encouraging 4-2 win over Plymouth Argyle. Crystal Palace has won three straight at home in this series and at this price, we LOVE that streak to continue; the play is indeed on Crystal Palace! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-02-23 | South Alabama +7 v. Tulane | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 51 m | Show |
10* South Alabama (ASSASSIN) South Alabama was an amazing 12-1 ATS last year, and we're expecting it to get out to a quick start in 2023/24 as well. Tulane finished 13th in rushing a year ago, but the Jaguars finished 8th in rushing defense. South Alabama was 10-3 overall, but it fell to WKU in the New Orleans Bowl. Overall the Jaguars allowed just 21.3 PPG. The Green Wave conceded 22.2. In a contest that we believe will "come down to the wire," we're grabbing the points; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-02-23 | Toledo +9.5 v. Illinois | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 148 h 46 m | Show |
10* Toledo (SITUATIONAL BLOODBATH) Toledo has a stout offensive line and we think it'll be a difference-maker in being able to push around Illinois and hang and be competitive late. This was the MAC's best defense last year and that's going to be enough against this Illinois team on Saturday in our estimation. Toledo has the talen to run as well. Illinois is a great defense as well, so points will be at a premium. No matter which way you look at it though, this is a few too many points; grab the points, the play is Toledo! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-02-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (DOMINATION) We not only expect Houston to win today, but we believe it'll do so in "blowout fashion," meaning that the runline option is definitely the savvy call in our estimation. Houston's five game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 6-2 loss, but note that the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here as well is that this is a starting pitching matchup that we definitely believe favors the home side, with the Yanks going with the erratic Luis Severino (4-8, 6.64 ERA), and the Astros countering with Hunter Brown (10-9, 4.47.) Lay the 1.5 runs and expect a decisive blowout! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-02-23 | UTSA -115 v. Houston | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 16 m | Show |
10* UTSA (NON-CONF GOY) These teams are evenly matched, but I like the Roadrunners to find a way to get the job done in the end. With eight offensive and eight defensive starters returning from an 11-win squad in 2022, we believe UTSA will be one of the best Group of Five schools in the country. Last year these teams played at UTSA, and the Roadrunners fell 37-35 in OT as a 3.5-point dog. Look for UTSA to exact some revenge here in the Week 1 of the 2023/24 season this time around; the play is UTSA! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-02-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. New York City FC +105 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
10* NYCFC (BOB) NYCFC is off a commanding 2-0 win over Montreal FC on Wednesday, and we're expecting the home side to carry over that momentum here at home on Saturday. The White Caps are already off back-to-back wins, including a 1-0 win over Chicago last time out, but like Montreal, Vancouver does not travel well. NYCFC has three clean sheets at Yankee Stadium in its last seven games there and we feel it offers tremendous value to keep the streak going here; the play is NYCFC! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-02-23 | Bowling Green +10 v. Liberty | Top | 24-34 | Push | 0 | 141 h 59 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (UNDERDOG SHOCKER) Liberty is a huge favorite here, but note that it was just 6-7 ATS. When favored by ten or more points, the Flames did not cover the spread once out of six times last season. Bowling Green was just 4-8-1 ATS, but with a low turnover in personel, the Falcons are expected to take a small step forward this year. Bowling Green was an underdog of 10 or more points in four different games last year and the Falcons went 2-2 ATS. We're not predicting an outright, but we definitely feel this is a few too many points for Liberty to cover here in Week 1; grab the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-02-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Brentford -135 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -135 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
10* Brentford (GOW) Dating back to 2020, Brentford has won four in this series, lost one and drawn one. The last time they clashed was last season and the Bees left with the 2-0 victory. Brentford had 50 percent possession , but 12 shots on goa, compared to Bournemouth's 7. Bournemouth will be competitive early, but the Bees momentum carries over here as they continue their recent domination of this series; lay the price, the play is Brentford! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-01-23 | Stanford v. Hawaii +7 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -120 | 130 h 22 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (NON-CONF GOW) Stanford has a ton of potential with new head coach Troy Taylor, whose Sacramento State team averaged around 500 yards per game. However, it's going to take time to build that chemistry, and that's where we ultimately see the door being open for the Warriors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. The Warriors lost at Vanderbilt last weekend, but covered the spread. Stanford is a total rebuild and there are so many question marks, that we expect the home side to be able to move the ball and be competitive. We'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much more competitive battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Hawaii! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-01-23 | Louisville -7.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 39-34 | Loss | -108 | 127 h 12 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOM) It would be difficult for Georgia Tech to be any worse than it was last year, so it will for sure be improved this season. However, that improvement is relative of course. Louisville does have plenty of new faces, including at head coach (Jeff Brohm) and defensive coordinator (Ron English), but the defense finished No. 1 in the nation in sacks last year, and this unit will have its way with the ACC's worst offensive line in tackles allowed for a loss. QB Jack Plummer has plenty of talent around him as well. These are the types of games that Louisville needs to run up the score on early, to allow its backups and wannabe's quality playing time in the fourth quarter; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports | |||||||
09-01-23 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Reds (NL CENTRAL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here. Chicago just went 2-1 vs. Milwaukee at home as it keeps its playoff hopes alive. All three games went "under" the number, but note that the Cubs have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Cincinnati hasn't thrown in the white towel yet on its season either. The Reds lost two of three at San Francisco, but did win the finale 4-1. All three games also went "under" the number. That's four straight "unders" for the Reds, but note that despite their low-scoring victory last time out, they've still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Chicago goes with still unproven Jordan Wicks (1-0, 1.80 ERA) who looks primed for a dose of reality in our opinion after a decent debut vs. the Pirates last time out. He'll be opposed by Graham Ashcraft (7-8, 4.73) who is 1-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. We're expecting these guys to "get the hook" early; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-31-23 | Nebraska v. Minnesota -7.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 106 h 2 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota was 9-4 last season, and it won the Pinstripe Bowl. The Gophers averaged 28.2 points per game, while allowing 13.8. Nebraska went 4-8 and failed to make a bowl appearance. It gave up 27.6 points per game, while averaging only 22.6 per contest. The Gophers are interestingly 5-3 ATS in their last eight as a 7.5-point favorite. Nebraska will be a lot better under Matt Rhule, and tranfer Jeff Simms is a dangerous play-maker. Defense is an issue again this year though. This game will once again be decided in the trenches (Minnesota won this game 20-13 last year, unable to cover the large 14.5-point spread.) Nebraska's lines on both sides of the ball will need some work to get up to speed. Look for Minnesota's tough defense to be the difference-maker; lay the points on the Gophers! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-31-23 | Florida v. Utah UNDER 46.5 | Top | 11-24 | Win | 100 | 106 h 15 m | Show |
10* Florida/Utah UNDER (TOM) The Utes finished 10-4 last year and they lost in the Rose Bowl. Utah averaged 38.6 points per game while conceding 21.4. The Gators were 6-7 in 2022, and they lost the Las Vegas Bowl. They averaged 29.5 points, while allowing 28.8 per contest. Utah has question marks at QB though, as Cam Rising is still nursing a sore knee suffered in the Rose Bowl, while backup Brandon Rose was hurt in the preseason and he's up in the air as well. Florida's offense will be shaky to start this year as well, but it'll make up for it on the defensive side, which will be tough in the pass rush in this one. A great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-31-23 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Nationals (NL EAST TOY) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks here in the Nation's capital in the opener of this series. Miami has lost five of its last six. It lost both games to Tampa Bay over the weekend, including falling 3-0 yesterday. Note though that the Fish have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss. These teams played just last week and the Nats took two of three, so the Marlins won't be taking anything for granted here obviously. Washington has lost three of four, includuing a 7-0 loss at Toronto last night. Note though that the Nats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a shutout road loss. Neither starter has been terrible, and neither has been great. Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for Miami, while Washington counters with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25.) The situation and trends/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* D-Backs/Dodgers UINDER (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end this evening. Arizona has seen the total go "over" in both games to open this series, both have been losses. That's significant to note however, as the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Dodgers have now seen the total "over" the number in six straight. All of these "overs" have pushed the O/U line in this finale a little bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Brandon Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 2.00) counters for the home side. The overall situation combined with the above listed trends finally points to a bit of a duel here on Wednesday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some really high-scoring games of late, including in the Astros 13-5 series-opening victory here yesterday. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Astros have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston though has now seen the total go "over" in 12 straight games. That fact though has for sure only helped in driving tonight's total a bit higher than it normally would/should be. Two really good starters here in JP France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) and Brayan Bellow (10-7, 3.56) for the home side. The overall situation and the numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call finally! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* Brewers/Cubs UNDER. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here in the opener of this important series. Milwaukee has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that the Brewers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Cubs have won seven of their last nine and they've seen the total fly "over the number in six of their last seven. Milwaukee goes with Wade Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA), while the home side counters with Jameson Taillon (7-8, 5.60.) The overall situation, combined with the above-listed O/U ATS stat makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Seattle continues to surge, after taking two of three from the White Sox, it's also taken the first two games of this series vs. the Royals, winning 7-5 and 15-2. Note though that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Alec Marsh (0-6, 5.56 ERA) gets the call for the Royals, while Luis Castillo (10-7, 3.15) counters for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above listed ATS O/U trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. AAA Sports | |||||||
08-27-23 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
10* Liverpool/ Newcastle United DRAW (ASSASSIN) Newcastle is 1-1, hammering Aston Villa 5-1 in the opening week, and then calling 1-0 last weekend to high-powered Manchester City. All signs point to bounceback here though in our opinion. Liverpool is off a 3-1 win over lowly Bournemouth, but we believe it'll have its hands full finally here in Week 3. Liverpool is unbeaten in its last 13 matches in the EPL, so the home side will have it hands full for sure as well. Each team is filled with impressive talent, and we believe we're going to witness a "stale-mate," meaning that the DRAW option offers the best overall value. AAA Sports | |||||||
08-26-23 | Austin v. FC Dallas +100 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 55 h 6 m | Show |
10* FC Dallas (MLS GOW) This is the third time these teams have played this year, and each has one victory. FC Dallas though will look to Ausin FC is in seventh the Western Conference. FC Dallas though has won two of its last three matches. In its last six home matches FC Dallas has won three, drawn one and lost two, scoring eight goals and conceding five. Austin FC comes in on terrible form by going 1-3 in their last four matches. In Austin FC's last six away matches, it's won once, drawn once and lost four, scoring 11 goals, while conceding 16. Look for FC Dallas to take advantage and lay this price with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-26-23 | San Jose State v. USC -30 | Top | 28-56 | Loss | -108 | 558 h 23 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT) If USC is going to take the next step as a program, it has to take advantage of these early season games, and hammer their lesser competition over the first three quarters, to give the backups and younger kids some real game time in the fourth, including Malachi Nelson and Miller Moss, among various other high-profile back-ups. It would be a massive wasted opportunity if the Trojans don't approach this game seriously and absolutely lay the hammer down over the first three quarters. SJSU finished 7-4 overall and 4-7 ATS last year. With plenty of new faces, we expect the Spartans to struggle in this difficult road venue; lay the points, the play is the Trojans! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-26-23 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/White Sox. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 12-4, but note that the White Sox have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Two decent starters here in JP Sears (2-10, 4.61 ERA) for the A's and Touki Toussaint (0-1, 4.91) for the home side. The overall situation points to this finally being more of a "duel," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-26-23 | Ohio +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 558 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio (NON-CONF GOM) SDSU finished 7-6 overall last year and 5-3 vs. the Mountain West. In the end the Aztecs fell 25-23 to MTSU in the Hawaii Bowl last year. Ohio finished 2022 with a 10-4 record, and was 7-1 vs. the MAC. The Bobcats then went on to win the Barstool Arizona Bowl by a score of 30-27 in OT over Wyoming. Tim Albin won the MAC Coach of the year and quarterback Kurtis Rourke earned MAC Offensive Play of the year as well. With another tough game at home vs. LIU next week, we're expecting the Bobcats to be on top of their Game in Week 0. With a "cream puff" vs. Idaho State next, we're expecting the home side to get caught "looking ahead." While we feel the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Ohio! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays -162 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Jays (ROUT) Despite last night's win, the Guardians are still just 28-35 on the road, while Toronto is still 32-28 at home. Note though that the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 3-1 in their last four in trying t avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We like Logan Allen (6-6, 3.31 ERA) of Cleveland, but we think he's overmatched here facing Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 1.89) at home; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-26-23 | Navy v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 554 h 59 m | Show |
10* Navy/ND UNDER (NON-CONF TOW) This is the third time these teams have played each other in Ireland. Notre Dame is 2-0. The Irish are heavy favorites here, but we're steering clear of the side and instead focussing on the total. The last time was back in 2012 where the Irish won 50-10. Notre Dame finished 9-4 overall last year and 7-6 ATS. Sam Hartman transferred over from Wake Forest and he had 38 TD's and 12 INT's last year. He now steps behind one of the best offensive lines in the nation. Navy finihed 4-8 overall and 7-5 ATS. The Midshipmen came out on the wrong side of more than a couple close calls last week. Navy's offense is centered around the run and that's what we're expecting to see a lot of today. Also note that the Midshipment finished first in their conference in third down stops last year. They also ranked second in stopping the run in the nation and the defense returns most of the starters. Look for this "across the pond" contest to be decided by field position and special teams and expect it to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports | |||||||
08-26-23 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion -188 | 3-1 | Loss | -188 | 48 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Brighton and Hove Albion (ROUT) Brighton and Hove Albion will get tripped up and lose at some point shortly, but it won't be this weekend in our opinion. The Seagulls hammered the Hammer 4-0 on the South Coast in March, and we're expecting a similar style beatdown here as well. So far Brighton has scored eight goals and conceded two. The Hammers are in over their heads here and have struggled in this matchup for a while now, going 0-3 in the last three in this series, falling by an aggregate score of 9-1. These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue here; lay the price with confidence, the play is Brighton and Hove Albion! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-25-23 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Tigers. Both teams enter this series have been playing to higher-scoring "overs" of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The visitors hand the ball to Framber Valdez (9-9, 3.55 ERA), while the home side counters with Matt Manning (5-4, 4.31.) Despite having played to several high-scoring affairs entering this one, all signs finally point to more of a "duel" here between these super competent starters; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Orioles (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toronto has gone 3-1 in its last four, including going 2-1 in this series. The first two games both flew "over" the posted total, while yesterday's game went "under" in the Orioles 7-0 victory. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 following a shutout road loss. We have two really competent veteran starters going head-to-head, and we're expecting a classic "duel" into the latter frames, with Jose Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) getting the nod for the Jays, and Kyle Gibson (12-7, 4.97) countering for the Orioles. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports | |||||||
08-23-23 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Astros (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have now seen the total go "over" in five straight after losing the first two games of this series. Note though that Boston has seen the total "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. Two hungry starters collide, and we're expecting a "duel," with Chris Sale getting the nod for the Red Sox, and Jose Urquidy countering for the home side. This number is a little high in our estimation now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-22-23 | Dodgers v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Guardians (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA just went 2-1 at home to Miami this weekend, and the final two games both went "under" the number. Cleveland enters the series having played to six straight "unders." Despite that though, note that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in arow. Cleveland is desperate to snap a horrible stretch, having lost four of its last five. LA goes with Bobby Miller (7-2, 3.70 ERA) who we feel is just in the wrong place at the wrong time, as we expect the home side to finally plate some runs tonight. Miller though will still be feeling confident here going up against confirmed "gas can" Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 5.06.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-21-23 | Rangers -150 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* Rangers (IL GOW) This will be a public play, but we like Texas to stop the bleeding here after four straight losses. Arizona looks primed for a letdown here in the opener after going 5-1 in its last six, including taking two of three at rival San Diego this weekend. Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 2.50 ERA) gets the call for the Rangers, while Slade Cecconi (0-0, 3.48) counters for the home side. The sample size is still too small to draw any firm conclusions on Cecconi, but we feel he's definitely overmatched here. Montgomery is the correct call here to snap the slide; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-21-23 | Arsenal -165 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
10* Arsenal (ASSASSIN) Crystal Palace managed to hold on for the 1-0 win over Sheffield United last week, but we expect it to now have its hands full with much deeper Arsenal coming to town. Arsenal held on for a 2-1 win over Nottingham Forest last week. If recent history is any precedence, then Arsenal has to be feeling confident here, as Crystal Palace has won only one of its eight matches against it in the EPL. Overall Arsenal has the superior squad here, a team that can really give Manchester City a run for its money. Look for the "better" team to grind out a solid win here; the play is Arsenal! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-20-23 | DC United v. New York Red Bulls -122 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 124 h 16 m | Show |
10* New York Red Bulls (MLS GOM) No big upsets here in our estimation as the MLS returns to action this weekend. New York gets ready to host DC at the Red Bull Arena on Saturday. DC United is just 8-10 and it's terrible on the road, most recently falling 4-0 at New England on July 15th. New York lost two straight vs. Cincinnati and Real Salt Lake to close out before the break, but we like it to easily bounce back here now in this favorable matchup; lay the price, the play is the Red Bulls! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Nationals. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Sunday. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after last night's 12-3 win here. Note though that the Phillies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight overs in a row. Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in interestingly three of its last four after a loss of 8 or more runs as well. Zach Wheeler (9-5, 3.63 ERA) of the Phillies faces off against Trevor Williams (5-7, 5.20) of the Nationals in the starting pitching matchup, and we're expecting these guys to battle into the latter frames; when you add it all up, the "under" is indeed the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-20-23 | Saints v. Chargers UNDER 38 | Top | 22-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saints/Chargers (NFLX TOY) Both teams come in at 1-0, and each of their games flew well "over" the posted number, but all signs point to a much more defensive affair this time around. One of the biggest things to constantly remember when betting the preseason, is not to "read" too much into the results from one week to the next. We believe we'll see a much more defensive affair this time around, with each team's defensive starters seeing plenty of time here in Week 2. While the majority all go one way, we're going the other on this total; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-19-23 | Patriots +2.5 v. Packers | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
10* Patriots (ASSASSIN) The Pats lost 20-9 at home to Houston, but we'll caution in reading too much into that result, or any of the Week 1 results for any team, either good or bad. Green Bay got by Cincinnati 36-19, but we're expeting the Packers to have a much harder time moving the ball here against the Pats' tough defense. New England actually forced two turnovers on defense, including an INT that set up a field goal on their opening drive. The Pats signed Ezekiel Elliot to back up Rhamondre Stevenson. New England will use a vareity of QB's in this one. The Packers got 46 yards and a nine yard TD pass to Romeo Doubs from Jordan Love in last week's blowout victory, but we shouldn't expect a repeat performance here in this meaningless game. The majority of this contest will still be played by the backups and wannabe's, and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is New England! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/Braves (NL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a more explosive "slug-fest" here finally on Saturday, despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head. San Fran has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's 4-0 setback here. Note though that the Giants have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Braves have now won four straight, while also seeing the total go "under" in three straight (but note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb (9-9, 3.26 ERA), while the home side counters with Yonny Chirinos, who is 1-1 with a ballooned 9.33 ERA for his new team. Expect these guys to get "the hook" early and then look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-19-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion -105 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 90 h 20 m | Show |
10* Brighton & Hove Albion (ASSASSIN) We like Brighton & Hove Albion to find a way to get the job done here in regulation. Brighton & Hove Albion most recently hammered Luton Town 4-1 and I believe a similar final outcome will be expected here. Wolverhampton hung around in its opener, but eventually fell 1-0 to Manchester United. But competing again like that vs. another difficult opponent will prove to be too difficult this week in our opinion. This line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is Brighton & Hove Albion! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-18-23 | Marlins +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
10* Marlins runline (ASSASSIN) If the Marlins are going to make the playoffs, they'll have to win on the road, and they'll have to compete with the top teams in the league. Both of those factors will be on the line here in their trip to LA, and in a competitive opening contest that we foresee being decided late, or even in extra innings, we're going to grab the hungry Fish on the runline option. Sandy Alcantara (5-10, 4.09 ERA) is coming off his strongest outing of the year, giving up one run and striking out ten in a complete-game victory over the Yanks. It would appear that Alcantara has plenty left in the tank here now for a final push to the season (he owns a 1.69 ERA over his last four trips to the hill.) He hasn't fared well against LA in the past, but this is a case of that being then, and this being now. Tony Gonsolin (8-4, 4.24) counters for the home side, and he's coming off a strong outing against the Rockies, allowing one run over six innings. After 11 straight wins, we think LA is now complacent. No such luxury for the hungry Marlins though; the play is Miami on the runline. AAA Sports | |||||||
08-18-23 | Bengals +6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 13-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals lost 36-19 to Green Bay last week, but we expect the Cincinnati offense to improve a lot this time around. The Falcons beat the Dolphins 19-3. The moral of the story here, is not to "overreact." Don't over-react to good or poor results from one week to the next in the preseason. Joe Burrow once again won't be playing for Cincinnati, but Jake Browning and Trevor Siemian were decent enough, despite the loss. The Falcons got a 79-yard punt return from Dee Alford last week. Logan Woodside was decent with 146 yards passing. But we just can't lay this many points with the Falcons, as we do expect Cincinnati to be a lot sharper all around here; play on Cincinnati! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-18-23 | Sheffield United v. Nottingham Forest -112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 71 h 49 m | Show |
10* Nottingham Forest GAME OF MONTH. Sheffield United had a poor time against Crystal Palace, and playing at the City Ground will only make it more difficult here going up against Nottingham Forest. Off a 2-1 loss in its opener to Arsenal, we're predicting Nottingham Forest to bounce-back here in this favorable matchup. We expect the Reds to come in focused on the task at hand; lay the price for Nottingham Forest to win in regulation! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-17-23 | Browns v. Eagles -172 | Top | 18-18 | Push | 0 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
10* Eagles MONEYLINE (GOW) The Browns are 1-1 so far in the preseason, while the Eagles are 0-1. Now the starters for both sides should see more time, but that benefits the home side here in our opinion. Jalen Hurts will see his first action of the year, and we don't see this vanilla Browns offense slowing down his drive. After dropping the game in Week 1, look for Philadelphia to come out on top here at home! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-17-23 | Red Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Nats (ULTIMATE TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Boston has now seen the total go "under" in seven straight after yesterday's 6-2 loss. Note though that the Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chris Sale is 5-2 with a 4.52 ERA for Boston, while Patrick Corbin is 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA for the Nationals. Two veterans who have each seen better days collide here and this is just a case of each being in the wrong place at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-17-23 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* Mariners/Royals UNDER (ASSASSIN) The first three games of this series have all flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale (note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Seattle hands the ball to George Kirby (10-8, 3.11 ERA), while the home side counters with Angel Zerpa (1-1, 7.71.) This pick is based mainly upon the form of Kirby, who is 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA and a 38:3 K/W over his last five starts. Zerpa hasn't made a start since July 26th last year, so he's a bit of an unknown, but note that he's 1-2 with a 1.29 ERA in three previous career starts. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-16-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) After dropping three straight, including the first game of this series, we like the Phillies to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire, meaning that the runline option is the savvy call for sure here as far as making a play on the side. We don't trust the Jays to pull off the sweep. We think these starters are very evenly matched, with Philly going with Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.49 ERA), and the Jays countering with Kevin Gausman (9-6, 3.04.) Philadelphia comes in desperate to snap the three-game slide, and while we do believe the outright win is possible, the runline option at this price is the correct call in our opinion; the play is Philadelphia on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-15-23 | Angels v. Rangers -159 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* Rangers (BLOOD-BATH) We don't expect any upsets here today in Texas. There sure wasn't yesterday in the Rangers' 12-0 victory. "They're all doing something to help contribute," Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said after yesterday's blowout victory. "They're all involved. If you look at the bench, they're all getting playing time right now, so it's good to have depth." Lucas Giolito (7-8, 4.37 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, and he's been pretty inconsistent since coming over from the ChiSox. He'll be opposed by Jordan Montgomery (7-10, 3.38), who is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts for his new team. This line could/should be a lot larger in our opinion, so lay the price with confidence; the play is TEXAS! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-14-23 | Yankees v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Braves runline (BLOOD-BATH) The Yanks are just 60-58, including only 25-30 on the road and I believe that New York will not only lose this game, but it'll lost in blowout fashion. ATL is 75-42 overall, including 37-20 at home. NY just lost two of three to the Marlins over the weekend, including a late collapse in last night's 8-7 setback. With the thought of that crushing defeat fresh on the front of their collective mind, I say NY is ripe for the picking here. And I expect ATL to have no mercy. The Braves took three of four from the Mets, but dropped yesterday's contest by a score of 7-6. Clarke Schmidt (8-6, 4.23 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Max Fried (3-1, 2.50) counters for the Braves. We give Fried the big nod here in this matchup; lay the 1.5 runs on Atlanta! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-13-23 | Mercury +1.5 v. Storm | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
10* Mercury (BLOOD-BATH) We base our picks on many different factors. Line movement, injuries, scheduling, trends. Many different things. For this particular one, we're keeping it "simple." Both these teams are terrible. Phoenix is 9-20, while Seattle is 8-21. Phoenix though has won two in a row and it also plays with revenge after losing 97-91 at home to the Storm as 4-point favorites back on August 5th, which is very significant to note here, as the Mercury are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -132 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
10* Giants (IL GOW) After four straight losses, including the first two games in this series, we like the Giants to bounce back and deliver here in the finale of this three game set (note that SF is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Texas has been great, but we expect it to get caught "looking ahead" to its upcoming home series with the Angels next. Two really good starting pitchers going head-to-head here, as Dane Dunning is 9-4 with a 3.21 ERA for the visitors, while Logan Webb is battle-tested at 9-9 witha 3.38 ERA for the home side. The revenge-factor and urgency in which the home side plays with today turn out to be the difference-makers; lay the price, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-13-23 | Chiefs v. Saints UNDER 38.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Saints. The Chiefs are the defending champs, but they have plenty to work on in the preseason, with new faces in the line-up on both sides of the field. Andy Reid won't be playing his starters here today, but the Saints will. But starters won't be playing for long on either side. The Chiefs won't be taking the preseason too seriously. We say this Week 1 NFLX contest will be more of a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-12-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -129 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BLOOD-BATH) We think Arizona will end its nine-game slide. The D-Backs may not be in the postseason, but they won't lose every game from now until the end of the season. The streak of futility ends here and now. Rich Hill (0-1, 18.00 ERA) can't be relied upon from one start to the next, and we feel he's completely overmatched on the road here in this starting pitching matchup throwing opposite D-Backs "ace" Zac Gallen (11-5, 3.37) who is 9-1 with a 1.97 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season; this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, so the value swings to Arizona! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-12-23 | Sun v. Wings -1.5 | Top | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Wings (BOB) This one sets up well for the revenge-minded Wings in our opinion. Dallas has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's significant to note in this case, as the Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They also indeed do play with the "revenge factor" after falling 88-83 to the Sun as 3.5-point favs here back in July. With an upcoming game at Connecticut, it puts added importance onto this contest as well. The Sun just had their three-game win streak snapped in a lackluster 90-84 loss at Phoenix as 7.5-point favorites and we feel they're "ripe for the picking" here as well. And with the majority of the public money on the visiting side, that'll "seal the deal" for us in pulling the trigger and laying the short points with Dallas! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-12-23 | Colts v. Bills UNDER 38 | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER Colts/Bills (BLOCKBUSTER) The Colts have a new QB under center, as well as a new head coach, and chemistry will clearly be an issue for them to open the season. The Bills on the other hand have continuity in both of those spots once again this season. The Colts will have plenty of competition in the preseason, while the Bills will be looking to fill in some gaps in their already stacked line-up. Each will have different motivations going into each contest, and while most of the starters won't even see playing time in this one, we're absolutely expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle once it's all said and done. This one has "under" written all OVER it; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
08-12-23 | Titans v. Bears -165 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
10* Bears (GOW) Instead of playing the spread option, we're going to pay the price and play the Bears on the moneyline to just win this game straight up. Both teams missed the playoffs last year. Each has a lot to work on. Tennessee though has a lot more to work on, as Chicago made some savvy moves in the offseason. On paper, Chicago looks like the better team in this matchup, and I expect that to carry true in Chicago's home opener. The Bears understand the importance of a positive start, even if its in the preseason after last year's disappointing result; lay the price, the play is Chicago on the moneyline! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-12-23 | Fulham v. Everton +125 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
10* Everton (EPL GOW) Everton is taking on Marco Silva's Fulham side, but we like the home side to prevail in this one. Fulham is overmatched here. It finished tenth in last year's table. It managed a 2-1 win over TSG Hoffenheim, but we feel they're completely overmatched here on the road in the season opener. Everton will be eager to get out to a decent start this year after finishing 17th-place in the table. Everton won the first 14 games in this series against Fulham at Goodison Park, but the Cottagers have taken the last two. Here's an opportunity get back on track; the play is Everton! AAA Sports | |||||||
08-11-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* Padres/D-Backs OVER (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. These division foes' wildcard hopes continue to dwindle by each passing day. San Diego enters having lost five of its last six and four in a row, while Arizona comes into this series having dropped eight in a row. Arizona's fall from grace over the second half has been spectacular to say the least. Either way, these are two overhyped teams for sure. They've each played to several lower-scoring games. Arizona has played to three straight "unders," but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Blake Snell is 8-8 with a 2.61 ERA for the Padres, but Ryne Nelson is just 6-6 with a 5.16 ERA for the D-Backs. Snell is just in the wrong place, at the wrong time today, as all signs point to this total flying well "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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