Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 219.5 | Top | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Clippers/Raptors (TOW) If you've followed me for any length of time, then you know that I base my picks on many different things. This particular one I'm basing on "common sense." The Clippers rallied late in Detroit last night to force OT, then they pulled away for the higher-scoring win and cover on the road. I say the Clippers come in fatigued here and I look for the Raptors to take advantage. They'll be playing a combination of full and half-court pressure throughout. Toronto won back-to-back road games, but it returns home still only averaging 111.4 PPG. I'm expecting a grindy, chippy, highly-contested game, and one that falls "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-27-22 | Utah State v. Memphis UNDER 59 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOP BOWL TOTAL) The total in this game has come down from its opening mark, and I don't think it's low enough. Utah State will be focused on running the ball today, and that means more time will be chewed off the clock with each possessions. Memphis actually posted combined scores of under 60 over two of its final three games. In fact, these teams combined offensive scores this season add up to under 60 points. I don't think either will reach its average here. Rest leads to "rust" for sure. Granted, Memphis does have a decent passing attack. But the Aggies have hit the "under" in eight of their last nine bowl games. Expect a hard-fought, but ulimtately lower-scoring affair here; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 45.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chargers/Colts Everything points to a lower-scoring "under" in this one in my opinion. The first thing that strikes me here is that the Colts simply have nothing to play for anymore. They're missing their starting QB, their starting RB and they're coming off the worst loss in the history of the league. The Chargers on the other hand have everything to play for. They've won two straight and can clinch a playoff spot with bigger aspirations moving forward with a victory. That said, I can't see LA keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Frankly, it's not going to have to. Look for LA's underrated defense to dictate the second half and expect this total to stay well "under" this posted number! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-26-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans -6.5 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (NON-CONF GOW) Here's a great revenge play. After two straight upset road wins, I think the Pacers take a step back here tonight in New Orleans, especially as they get caught "looking ahead" to their contest at home vs. the Pacers tomorrow night. The Pels are off a 128-125 OT road at OKC. They're 13-4 at home and they do indeed play with revenge here after falling 129-122 at Indiana back on November 7th. Look for the Pacers to come out flat-footed here and for the Pels to take advantage; lay the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-26-22 | New Mexico State +3.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (BOWL WINNER) While I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. New Mexico State finished 6-6, crushing Valparaiso 65-3 in its season finale. Bowling Green also finished 6-6. They lost 38-14 to Ohio in their final regular season contest. The Aggies are averaging 25.6 PPG. QB Diego Pavia had 17 total TD's this year. New Mexico State has a decent defense as well that concedes 24.3 PPG. Bowling Green averages 23.8 PPG, while allowing 33.3. The line has moved a lot in this one because of transfers etc, but in a contest that I still see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is New Mexico State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* Bucs (ASSASSIN) It's hard to imagine the Cardinals putting up much of a fight. On the flip-side though, Tom Brady and the Bucs have a golden opportunity here to start to turn things around, as they still have the division lead in the weak NFC South. If you've followed me for any length of time, then you know that I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I break it down, looking at individual player matchups, take into account every detail I can get my hands on, and other times I think the "eye test," of the "KISS" method (Keep It Simple Stupid!), is the best approach. And that's the case here. Arizona has nothing to play for here except the role of spoiler, and I just can't see its patchwork line-up being able to do anything though. Give me Brady and the hungry Bucs in their most important game of the season! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-25-22 | Iona v. Pepperdine UNDER 152.5 | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Iona/Pepperdine (SPECIAL) Both teams have been involved in some higher-scoring games coming into this one, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair here finally. The Iona Gaels are 8-4, and the Pepperdine waves are 7-6. The Gaels are coming off an 83-72 win over Seattle, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in five of their last six after a SU/ATS victory. The Pepperdine Waves are coming off an 81-70 win over George Washington. These teams have been playing well offensively, but I expect each to come out flat here on Christmas Day. This O/U line is just a few points higher than it normally should/would, be, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Eagles/Boys (NFC EAST TOM) The Eagles are 13-1, but QB Jalen Hurts is hurt and won't be playing, and because of that, I'm expecting Philly to come out today with an alternate game-plan. Dallas is off a tough OT loss to Jacksonville. Gardner Minshew is now the QB for Philadelphia and while I do think he has talent, he'll simply be a game-manager today for sure. Look for the Eagles' talented defense, which ranks sixth in allowing only 19.1 PPG. Dak Prescott had 256 yards and three TD's for Dallas last week, but it wasn't enough to beat a red hot Trevor Lawrence. This one is going to be decided by field position and special teams; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* Patriots (BLOCKBUSTER) Who does this game mean more to? As far as the playoff picture is concerned, there's no question that it means more to the home side. I think that motivation will be enough to, at the very least, secure the comfortable ATS cover. Cincinnati is off the 34-23 beatdown win over the Bucs, while New England fell to 7-7 after a 30-24 loss to the Raiders. The Bengals return home after this to finish of their season, with games against Buffalo and Baltimore. I say the visiting side gets classically caught "looking ahead," while I do expect Mac Jones and company to risk life and limb to keep their team's hopes alive; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns OVER 32 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
8* OVER Saints/Browns (SPECIAL) The Browns aren't mathematically eliminated from Playoff contention, but they will be if they lose this game. Same thing for New Orleans, who will have to win out and get some outside help to qualify. Both Andy Dalton and Taysom Hill threw a TD in New Orleans' win over Atlanta last weekend. The run defense for the Saints was smashed for 231 yards though, which doesn't bode well here facing Browns' star RB Nick Chubb. Last week Cleveland QB DeShaun Watson had a TD and 161 yards through the air, and I believe he'll have an even more efficient outing this evening. Off wins, and needing a victory to stay alive, look for these desperate teams to open up the playbook and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-23-22 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 228.5 | Top | 113-133 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Spurs/Magic (ASSASSIN) These teams have done better than most thought so far this year. With the X-Mas break looming though, I believe each will be a bit distracted, and because of that, I'm expecting these offenses to struggle. San Antonio has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six, including in its most recent 126-117 loss to New Orleans. This is first meeting of the year between the clubs. Orlando is off a 116-110 win at Houston, and while the Magic have definitely been playing better of late, they still only average 109.6 PPG. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-23-22 | Jets v. Capitals -145 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Capitals (ROUT) Both teams played last night, so that favors the home side here. Winnipeg fell 3-2 at Boston, while Washington won 3-2 in OT at Ottawa. The Capitals got off to a slow start, but they come in on fire, having won three in a row and eight of their last ten. They beat the Jets 5-2 in Winnipeg last week, and I'm expecting a similar final outcome here as well. Look for the Jets to get caught "looking ahead" to their X-Mas break; lay the price, the play is Washington! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-23-22 | Wake Forest v. Missouri UNDER 59 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOP BOWL TOTAL) Wake Forest had a great offense and a poor defense. The offense averaged 36.2 PPG, while the defense allowed 31. The Demon Deacons though see plenty of talent leaving the offense via the transfer portal, including RB Christian Turner. Look for the time off and the new faces to throw a big "monkey wrench" into the chemistry of this Deacons' offense. The Tigers won four of their last six games to qualify. The Tigers only average 24.7 PPG, while allowing 25.7; I'm expecting a very defensive affair here, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-22-22 | George Washington v. Washington State -11.5 | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Washington State (ULTIMATE BEATDOWN) George Washington is 6-4 and Washington State is 4-6. This is part of the Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic Tournament. The Colonials are coming off an 83-71 win over Coppin State, while the Cougars fell 65-59 to Baylor as ten-point dogs. Previous to their most recent win, the Colonials had lost two straight. They're averaging 75.7 PPG, while allowing 70.4. Washington State is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 63.9. WSU has played the stiffer competition and I think it'll finally take advantage of this favorable matchup and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Washington State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-22-22 | Jaguars +2 v. Jets | Top | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* Jaguars (ASSASSIN) Both teams are fighting for the playoff lives, but Jacksonville is the one that enters with a ton of momentum and I expect that to be the difference. The Jets lost at home to Detroit by a score of 29-17 in their most recent action, while the Jags rallied for a huge 40-24 OT win at home over Dallas. The Jags have gone 4-2 ATS in their last six. QB Trevor Lawrence is now unstoppable. At least he's sure been playing like that over the last month and a half. New York is just 3-3 at home. It only averages 20.1 PPG. The early magic it had at the start of the season is gone. The constant change at QB is helping things either in my opinion. Look for the Jags to continue their improbable run to the playoffs with another "shocker" on Thursday night; grab the points, the play is Jacksonville! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 226.5 | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Spurs/Pelicans. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs, but all signs point to a much more defensive one here today. San Antonio is coming off a rare road win, pulling away for a 124-105 win at Houston. San Antonio still only averages 110.3 PPG this year, which ranks 26th. The Pels will now be desperate to break a four-game slide. That includes a 128-119 setback to the Bucks in their last outing. Note though that New Orleans has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. When these teams played in early December, the total stayed well "under" the number in New Orleans 117-99 victory, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-22-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* Air Force (BLOCKBUSTER) The Baylor Bears finished 6-6, while the Air Force Falcons finished 9-3. Air Force runs the triple-option on offense, with 90% of its plays coming via the run. The Falcons won their last four games and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. Baylor started the season 6-3, but then it dropped its final three games of the season. I have a hard time seeing the Bears slowing down Brad Roberts, who was the No. 3 ranked rusher in the FBS this year with 1,612 yards for the Falcons. Baylor QB Blake Sharpen and its RB Richard Reese faded down the stretch with poor showings against K-State, TCU and Texas. The Falcons have lost three of their games by a total of 15 points. Too many changes for the Bears line-up as well right now. Look for Air Force to control the tempo of this one; the play is the Falcons! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-22-22 | Islanders +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-5 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
6* Islanders PUCK-LINE (DESTRUCTION) The Isles are 9-7-0-2 on the road this year after a tight 1-0 shootout loss at Colorado in their most recent action. They beat the Rangers 4-3 at the start of November, and I think tonight's game will also be a tight and competitive battle. The Isles average 3.15 GPG, while allowing a collective 2.73. The Rangers are just 7-6-3-1 at home this year. They're f a 3-2 loss at Pittsburgh. The Rangers average 3.24 GPG, while allowing 2.71. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is the Islanders on the puck-line option! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-21-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Stars | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Oilers PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) After falling 4-3 to the lowly Predators in OT in their last game, I think the Oilers will risk life and limb here to try and steal this game in Dallas. Edmonton plays with "revenge" as well after the Stars won 6-2 North of the border at the start of November (note that the Oilers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a three-goals or greater loss against an opponent.) Dallas is off a tight 2-1 win at Columbus, and I expect a similar close affair here as well. The outright is possible, but the official call will be to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals with the Oilers! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-21-22 | Magic v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* Rockets (ASSASSIN) Orlando had its six-game win streak snapped on Monday, falling to Atlanta, and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here vs. this hungry Rockets side. Houston won't be lacking motivation here after a 124-105 loss to the Spurs on Monday. Remember that despite their recent success, the Magic are stil just 3-12 on the road this year. Houston has in fact lost three in a row, and this is a game that it'll feel it can win outright obviously. Orlando returns home for the Holidays after this and I think it gets caught looking ahead; clearly the outright win is a possibility, but grab as many points as you can with Houston! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-21-22 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +9.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
10* BC (ACC GOM) Virginia Tech is 11-1, while Boston College is 6-6. VT is coming off a very satisfying 80-72 win over UNC to kick-off Conference play, and I think it'll have a bit of a mental letdown here in the second half against BC, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is coming off a 75-59 loss at Duke. The Hokies' numbers, including their record, are a bit skewed as well, as their non-conference strength of schedule was just 288th in the country. BC just ended a four-game slide with a 63-56 win over Stonehill. Now that the Conference schedule has arrived, we'll see these teams numbers normalize moving forward. I'm not calling for the outright or anything, but say the stage is set for a dramatic battle until the end; grab the points, the play is Boston College! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets OVER 232.5 | Top | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
10* Grizz/Nuggets OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring "unders" of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. These are two really good teams, and this is the first meeting of the year between them. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a faster-paced, wide-open "shootout." The Grizzlies are 19-10 after their 115-109 loss at OKC last time out. Despite the setback, Memphis still averages 116.2 PPG, which ranks sixth. Denver is 18-11 after its 119-115 home win over Charlotte. The Nuggets rank eighth overall in averaging 115.8 PPG this year. They've seen the total go "under" in three of their last four, but with this other Western Conference powerhouse in town, everything points to a "run-and-gun shootout;" this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-20-22 | Toledo -3.5 v. Liberty | Top | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* Toledo (BLOCKBUSTER) The Flames are 8-4, while the Rockets are 8-5. Liberty lost its last regular season game to New Mexico State by a score of 49-14. Former head coach Hugh Freeze is gone to take over at Auburn, and a few players left via the transfer portal. The Flames have a tough defense that holds its opposition to just 4.9 yards per play, but a few of their top defenders are gone. Toledo has had less issues to deal with off the field, but on the field there's still a concern for starting QB Dequan Finn. The Rockets last played in the MAC Championship and won 17-7 over Ohio. They racked up 11 penalties for 79 yards in the victory. Finn will not be at 100% health for this contest, but I still think he's the safe bet here against this Liberty team that's missing its head coach, and several key players on both sides of the ball; lay the points, the play is Toledo! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-20-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi +17 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 58-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
10* TEXAS A&M CC (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think that 7-4 Oklahoma State will get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent here to its X-Mas break and then its big matchup vs. Kansas before the New Year. Corpus Christie is now 6-5 after its 104-69 win over Schreiner. The Cowboys have been trading ATS wins/losses over their last six games, and I expect this pattern to continue. Corpus Christie is averaging 64.5 PPG, while allowing 72.5. OKS is averaging 70.8 PPG, while allowing 61.8. But as I mentioned, I do indeed feel this sets up as a "trap" for the home side; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Texas A&M! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 39.5 | Top | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rams/Packers (NFC TOM) The Rams are 4-9 after somehow managing a 17-16 win at home over Las Vegas last weekend. Despite that though, they only average 16.8 PPG. Green Bay got back in the win column as well last week with a 28-19 road win at Chicago. The Packers have now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. Green Bay though is also in the bottom third offensively, averaging only 20.2 PPG, ranked 22nd. The Packers haven't been blowing teams away when they win, it's been more of a defensive affair. The Packers have had to play from behind a lot, but I don't think that'll be the case today, as I expect the Rams to take an overall step back here on the road and in these wintery conditions; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-19-22 | Bucks v. Pelicans +1 | Top | 128-119 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (EAST-CONF GOW) After three straight up and ATS losses in a row, I love the Pelicans to bounce back here at home finally against the Bucks. The Pels most recently fell 118-114 at Phoneix. That was three straight ATS/SU road losses in a row (note though the New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS setbacks in a row.) The Pels are 12-3 at home. The Bucks are 7-5 on the road. Milwaukee is off the 123-97 home win over Utah, but I think they'll have their hands full here in the opener of this five-game road trip, which continues at Cleveland, Brooklyn, Boston and Chicago. For many reasons, I believe this game means so much more to New Orleans; grab the points, the play is the Pels! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-19-22 | South Dakota +1.5 v. UMKC | Top | 45-62 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* South Dakota (GOW) South Dakota has lost three straight, and I expect it to break that slide and find a way to deliver here on the road Monday. The Coyotes are coming off a tight 89-88 loss to Coastal Carolina. The good news was they made 50 percent of their shots from the floor, including 48.5 percent from range. Expect this deadly accuracy to be the difference-maker tonight. KC is five games under .500 following a six-point loss to Green Bay, shooting only 35.9 percent. The Coyotes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. teams with losing SU records, while the Roos are just 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss; the play is South Dakota AAA Sports | |||||||
12-18-22 | Colorado State +11.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (BEST OF BEST) Colorado State is 7-4, while Saint Mary's is 9-3. The Rams are coming off a 115-72 home win over lowly Peru State College, but I think they'll take that confidence and momentum on the road with them here and keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Saint Mary's is coming off a win over New Mexico State. Colorado State has the offense to hang with the Gaels, but so far the Rams have struggled on the defensive end. That's the difference here, but I think that the Gaels will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today towards the X-Mas break, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points the play is CSU! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-18-22 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 227 | Top | 126-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Raptors (ASSASSIN) I don't usually bet "unders" in non-conference games, as I tend to feel that they're less intense defensively. There are exceptions though of course, and this is one of those times. From a "situational" stand point, this one sets up well as a lower-scoring defensive affair. Both teams are absolutely desperate for a win. Golden State has several injuries to key players, including star Steph Curry. The Warriors have now lost three straight. Toronto is off the high-scoring 119-116 home loss to the Nets. That's now four straight losses for the Raptors. We've reached the point of the season where your record reflects the type of team that you are, and clearly neither side can be happy right now. I expect each to double down on the defensive end tonight; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs OVER 45 | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10* OVER Bengals/Bucs (NON-CONF TOM) The Bengals are 9-4. I think Joe Burrow will want to put on a show here and run up the score against Brady. That said, after last week's humbling 35-7 loss at San Francisco, I think Brady will bounce back here at home and put some points on the board. From a situational stand point, it sets up well as a more wide open affair, rathter than a crushing defensive one between these non-conference opponents. The Bengals have been hit or miss defensively this season. They have been relying on Burrow and the offense to set the tone, entering averaging 25.8 PPG, ranked sixth. Finally, note that Tampa has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 9 or less points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-18-22 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 44.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
8* OVER Pats/Raiders (BLOWOUT) It's essentially do or die for both teams. New England is going for its fifth win in its last seven games. The Pats beat Arizona 27-13 last week, while the Raiders fell 17-16 to the Rams. The Pats are a great defensive team, but I think they'll have their hands full with veteran Derek Carr. The Raiders though are allowing 24.1 PPG, so expect Pats' QB Mac Jones to have a big game as well here. I just expedct a very efficient game from each offense, and that's going to see this total eclipse the posted number as it comes down the stretch; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars UNDER 48 | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Boys/Jags (SPECIAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. The Cowboys are now 10-3 after last week's 27-23 win over Houston. They didn't even come close to covering the large 17-point spread. Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight now, which is significant to note as the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Jacksonville is 5-8. It's been playing much better behind the great play of QB Trevor Lawrence. The Jags are coming off a 36-22 road win at Tennessee. This Cowboys defense is legit though and I think the home side will have a much more difficult time moving the ball this afternoon; look for this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-22 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think the 5-5 Vanderbilt Commodores will, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the handful of points they've been afforded. NC State is 9-3, but I believe it'll have its hands full here in the Legends Of Basketball Showcase in Chicago this evening. Vanderbilt lost a tough game to Grambling 64-62 despite winning the rebounding battle 37 to 29. They're a great defensive team and I expect a rebound here. NC State's opening schedule was weak. It now enters having lost two of its last three. They're coming off a 92-73 win over Furman, but this is a huge step back up in competition. NC State's offensive numbers are a bit skewed in my opinion, as ultimately I feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Vanderbilt! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-22 | Jets v. Canucks -105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* Canucks (U OF THE U) Vancouver has been playing a lot better of late, having won four of its last five after a 4-3 shootout win at Calgary on Wednesday. Winnipeg has been playing well als, it's off a 2-1 OT home win on Thursday, but with a game at Seattle tomorrow, I believe the visiting side will get caught looking ahead. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are very comparable over the last three weeks, but Vancouver is undervalued in this spot. In my opinion, this is in fact the very definition of "great line value;" the play is the Canucks! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-22 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Bills | Top | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (ASSASSIN) The first game between these division rivals was a tightly contested affair, and I expect today's contest to be the same. The Dolphins beat the Bills 21-19 as four-point dogs at home at the start of the season, but off B2B SU/ATS losses, I look for the Fish to bounce back here in this important game. The Bill are 4-0 SU their last four, but just 1-3 ATS. They continue to get overvalued by the bookmakers in my opinion, as they've not been able to create much late seperation from their opposition late in games. I expect this trend to continue here vs. this talented divisional opponent. It's the whole "snow" thing going on here today, but I'm not buying into it. The outright is a possiblity as well, but I'm grabbing the points with the Dolphins in the end! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-22 | Rice +6.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
10* Rice (BLOCKBUSTER) Rice lost its last three games of the year, but I expect it to dig deep and to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. AJ Padjett has only started one game under center for the Owls this year, but he'll be complimented by leading runner Cameron Montgomery, and leading receiver Bradley Rozier. SMU started the season 5-3, but it closed out by going just 1-3. Southern Miss started three different QB's, and that was difficult. Trey Lowe had six TD's and seven INT's. Frank Gore Jr. had 1,053 rushing yards. Padgett is the correct call here, who will have an extra two weeks or reps before this bowl game; no outright, but a nailbiter, so grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs UNDER 223 | Top | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I believe those trends will end this evening. Miami is now 15-15 after a 111-108 road win at Houston. The Heat play with revenge after falling 115-111 to the Spurs in Mexico earlier in the season. That total went "over" the number, but note that Miami has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Spurs are off a 128-112 home loss to Portland. They only average 110.2 PPG. After three straight "overs," expect a much more defensive peformance here from the home side. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a bit high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State UNDER 53 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Florida/Oregon State (O/U BLOOD-BATH) This one sets up well for an "under." The Gators are without their starting QB, so their only hope here is to run the ball. The only problem there is, Oregon State is only allowing 114 rushing yards per game. This Oregon State defense allows just over 21 PPG, and I think they'll be on point here against this vanilla Florida offense. With each team committed to the run on offense throughout, expect this total to stay well under the posted number! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-17-22 | Colts v. Vikings UNDER 48 | 36-39 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Colts/Vikes (SUPER TOTAL) A common sense play here. The Colts are only averaging 16.1 PPG this year. They're coming off their bye week, but their strong point has been their defense. It's only allowing 16.1 PPG. Matt Ryan is 29th in the league with an 84.0 passer rating. The Vikes have been mediocre of late. They're just 2-2 in their last four. The Vikes' defense catches a break today. Justin Jefferson though is facing a Top 5 passing defense in the Colts today, so that means that Dalvin Cook will by leaned upon by the Vikes. I expect a whole lot of running from each side today; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-16-22 | Weber State +5.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 74-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* Weber State (MAULING) Weber State is just 3-7, but I think it'll give 5-4 Cal Poly Slo everything it can handle tonight. Weber State broke a five-game slide with an 82-58 win over St. Martin's last time out. The Wildcats are averaging 65.8 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Dillon Jones leads the nightly charge with 65.8 points per game. Cal Poly is 5-4 after a 74-68 loss to Washington last time out. The Mustangs average 66.8 PPG, while allowing 64.1. Alimamy Koroma averages 12.8 points and 5.2 boards per game. Both teams have been challenged early in their sechedules. The Wildcats won't roll over here. I say this one comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Weber State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-16-22 | Nets v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 119-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) I just think the more desperate team is going to dig deep here and find a way to deliver. Brooklyn is 17-12 afrer its 112-100 win over the Wizards. The Nets have played better since firing Steve Nash. They've had three nights off though and I think rest will lead to rust this evening. Toronto is now 13-15 after its disappointing 124-123 home loss to the Kings as five-point favorites on Wednesday. That's now three straight losses for the Raptors. Note though that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Finally, the Raptors also play with the added incentive of revenge here after a 114-105 loss to the Nets at the start of the month. So I think in a small way this sets up as a letdown spot for the Nets, while at the same time, this is a "gut check" for the Raptors. We've reached the point of the season where your record begins to reflect "who you are" as a team. Clearly, Toronto can not be happy where it's at at the moment. While the outright win is clearly a possibility, I'll ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is the Raptors! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-16-22 | Troy v. UTSA OVER 56.5 | Top | 18-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER UTSA/TROY (TOTAL ROUT) Both teams finished 11-2. UTSA went 8-0 in conference play and then won the Conference USA Championship over UNT by a score of 48-27. I feel like today's game will have a similar final combined score. QB Frank Harris had 341 yards and four TD's in the vicotry. The Roadrunners put the pedal to the metal all game, entering averaging 37.6 PPG. Troy is only allowing 17.6 PPG, but the Trojans are off a big Sun Belt Championship by smoking Coastal Carolina by a score of 45-26. QB Gunnar Watson had 318 yards passing and three TD's. The stage is set for a bit of a shootout here; this number is low the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-15-22 | Suns +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
10* Suns (SHOCKER) Whether Devin Booker plays or not, I like the way this one sets up for the Suns. Phoenix is still 16-12 after its 111-97 loss at Houston. That's now five straight SU/ATS losses in a row for the Suns, who are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Phoenix beat LA 112-95 at the start of the year. And after three straight SU/ATS victories for Paul George and the Clippers, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here finally (note as well that LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS victories in a row.) In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is the Suns! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-15-22 | Cal-Irvine v. Santa Clara -1.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara (BEST OF BEST) I think this one favors 9-3 Santa Clara. The Broncos lost this game last year by a score of 69-64, but I expect them to dig deep here and to snap a six-game losing slide in this series. UC Irving is 7-3 after a road win over South Dakota. The Anteaters are now averaging 80.1 PPG. The Broncos average 72.8, but their superior defensive play is the difference-maker for me in this contest. Lay the short-points, but expect a decisive win; the play is Santa Clara! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
10* Hawks (ASSASSIN) I love Seattle in this spot. Yes, the Hawks have stumbled the last couple of weeks, but I expect them to stop the bleeding here and to avenge an earlier loss to San Francisco. It's a "must win" game for the Hawks if they have any hopes of locking a division title. Brock Purdy was amazing in his first start last week for San Francisco, dismantling the Bucs, but now on his first true road game here in frigid Seattle, I'm expecting a big time letdown here. I say Geno Smith is the correct call here on the short week and on his own field. I truly believe the outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points with Seattle! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-14-22 | Georgia State +21 v. Auburn | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia State (UPSET SHOCKER) Auburn is now 8-1 after a poor loss to Memphis on Saturday, and I think it could still be mentally caught up on that setback. Ultimately I believe Georgia State will have an opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door. It's basically a TRAP game, because after this they have a game at the 7-3 Washington Huskies, so I also think the Tigers could be caught looking ahead to that much more high-profile contest. Bruce Pearl's team has been great, but they were held to just 38.1 percent shooting from the floor from Penny Hardaway's Memphis side, and that included just 25 percent from range. The Tigers were also outscored 50-24 in the paint. So far Auburn is averaging just 73 points per game, which is 173rd in the country. If the Tigers are going to repeat as SEC Champions, then they're going to have to try and find some more offense. Georgia State is just 5-4 and it's coming off a 66-46 loss to Northeastern on December 4th. The 20 point loss was the Panthers worst of the season (but note that Georgia State is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after a straight up and againast the spread loss of 20 or more points.) Clearly Auburn is the better team, but I just think this is a bad spot for the Tigers and a great one for the Panthers. I'm obviously not calling for the outright upset, but I do think the stage is set for a tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Georgia State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Wings/Wild (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring one finally for a few different reasons. Detroit has now seen the total go "under" the number in five straight after last night's loss to the Stars. It's also lost three straight. The Wings though have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row, and in five of their last six after three or more losses in a row. The Wild are coming off a 2-1 win here at home over Edmonton in their most recent matchup. They've held their last two opponents to a combined one goal, so I'm expecting some regression here finally on the defensive side vs. this hungry Wings team. When you add it all up, this O/U line is low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-14-22 | Hawks v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 124-135 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
10* Magic (EXPRESS) Yes the 14-14 Hawks could REALLY use a win here after losing four of their last five, but the problem is is that they have no chemistry and are playing terribly. That's good news for the surging Magic. Orlando is just 8-20, so after three straight SU/ATS wins in a row, it can ill afford to take the foot off the gas. These teams are moving in different directions and the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing. Orlando plays with revenge as well after a loss to ATL in late November. While the outright is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Magic! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-13-22 | Celtics v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 122-118 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Boston is 21-7, while the Lakers are 11-15. The Celtics have seemingly "run out of gas" though on this Western swing, having lost both games to the Warriors and to the Clippers just last night. I think they stumble again here as the favorite. The Lakers ended their road trip with a convincing 124-117 win at Detroit. They've been playing a lot better behind fantastic play from Anthony Davis. With a night's rest, I think LA has a legitimate shot at winning this game outright. That said, let's grab the points; the play is the Lakers! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-13-22 | Flyers v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Flyers/Avs (TOTAL EXPRESS) I'm expecting a wide-open, higher-scoring affair here today. Philadelphia is off a 5-4 OT loss at Arizona. They play with revenge here today after a 5-3 loss at home to Colorado on December 5th. Note that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater home loss against an opponent. Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight after its 3-2 OT win at St. Louis, which is important for us to note here, as the Avs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a faster-paced, higher-scoring "over" in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-13-22 | UMass Lowell v. Rhode Island +2.5 | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (MAULING) Umass Lowell River i scoming off a 68-59 win over St. Francis. It's averaging 82.2 PPG, but so far the Hawks haven't played anyone of any significance. Rhode Island is now 3-7 after a 77-67 win over Army as a 7-point favorite. The Rams average 64.9 PPG. Their strength of schedule definitely has been more difficult though. Let's not overreact to early numbers. This is a game which Rhode Island can win outright, but I think we're getting a gift here with the points; the play is the Rams! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-12-22 | Patriots -1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
10* Patriots (ASSASSIN) I just think that Kyler Murray and the Cards have thrown in the towel on the season and I expect them to simply "go through the motions" today. Arizona lost 25-24 to the Chargers in its most recent matchup, and off that terrible letdown, I expect a half-hearted effort here today. The Patriots are well-coached and the better overall team in my opinion. I expect a clinical performance from Bellichick's team today. Look for New England to grind out the win and cover on the National stage! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-12-22 | Monmouth +22 v. Syracuse | Top | 71-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (SHOCKER) Outright win? Of course not. I just think that the 1-9 Monmouth Hawks will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread they've been afforded here. Syracuse is 6-4 after its big 83-64 home win over Georgetown. It has a home game against Cornell up next. I think the home side will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas in the second half. Monmouth averages 61.5 PPG, while Syracuse averages 73.3. Expect a much tighter game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-12-22 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 228.5 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nets/Wizards (EXPRESS) When these teams played against each other on November 30th, the total went "under" the number in the Nets' 113-107 victory. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Since then Brooklyn has gone 3-1, and it's seen the total now go "over" in three straight (but that's significant to note, as the Nets have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Wizards have now lost six straight after a 114-107 home loss to the Clippers. They only average 110.8 PPG, and I think they'll struggle to reach that number this evening. Look for a much more defensive affair here; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-11-22 | St Francis PA +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 66-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* St. Francis (MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do think that the backdoor will be left wide-open for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the large amount of points that it's been afforded here. St. Francis comes into this game with a 3-7 record. So far the Red Flash average 74.2 PPG, while allowing 74.3. Hawaii is 5-3. It averages 67.5 PPG, while allowing just 59.8. The Red Flash offense will test Hawaii here and it's the difference-maker in the end. Despite how well the Warriors are playing defensively, I'm expecting a much tighter game than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is St. Francis PA! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-11-22 | Dolphins v. Chargers +3.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Chargers (AFC SIDE OF MONTH) It's a "must win" game for the Chargers, and I think they'll, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Dolphins are off the 33-17 loss at San Francisco, snapping a five-game win streak. They're still 8-4. They have a tough game at Buffalo next week, so they'll have to be cautious here to not get caught "looking ahead" to that difficult divisional matchup. The Chargers are now 6-6 after last week's 27-20 loss at Las Vegas as 2.5-point underdogs. They're still well behind the 9-3 Chiefs, but note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten as a home underdog in the +3 to +4.5 points range. While the outright win is possible, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-11-22 | Suns +3 v. Pelicans | Top | 124-129 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
10* Suns (ASSASSIN) Off a 128-117 loss here just two nights ago, I like the visiting side to bounce back and to find a way to deliver here in this revenge scenario. Note that the Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. New Orleans is in unchartered territory right now with a big target on its back with the No. 1 record in the West at 17-8. With B2B games at Utah after this, followed by another game at the Suns after that, I believe the home side gets caught looking ahead; look for the revenge-minded Suns to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 53.5 | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vikes/Lions (NFC NORTH TOY) For a number of different reasons, I expect this total to stay "under" the posted number. The Vikes are 10-2, but they're slight underdogs here on the road vs. the 5-7 Lions. Detroit has inexplicably won four of its last five, but after last week's big 40-14 home victory over Jacksonville, I think the Lions will have a much harder time moving the ball vs. their divional opponent today. The first matchup of the season resulted in a 28-24 win for the Vikes, and the total went "over" the number of 51.5 in that one. But I think the rematch, considering the implications, will be a much more methodical, slower-paced defensive affair where field position becomes paramount. Look for Minnesota to pound the football via the run game while on offense, while also delivering a lot of pressure on the defensive side; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-11-22 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
8* Jaguars (SPECIAL) As the title of this selection eludes too, this is probably the biggest contrarian play on the board today. The majority of the public money is on Tennessee here, but while most are "zigging," I'm going to be "zagging" on this one. The Titans have lost two straight. They have zero momentum. They only average 18.2 PPG. The Jaguars has won two of three before last week's 40-14 loss at Detroit. Note though that Trevor Lawrence and company average 21.5 PPG still. Tennessee continues to decline here in my opinion, and I think that Lawrence will be able to move the ball and keep his team "in this one" late; the outright is possible of course, but let's grab the points with the Jaguars! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-10-22 | Celtics v. Warriors +4.5 | Top | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) Boston is 21-5. It'll have "revenge" on its mind here, but I don't think that'll be enough to beat the defending champs in their own building tonight. Boston is off the 125-98 win at Phoenix. It plays the Lakers and Clippers after this. Golden State is the more motivated side here off a 124-123 loss at Utah three nights ago. While only 13-13, the Warriors are still a near-perfect 11-2 at home this season. Golden State and Stephen Curry won't be going down without a fight here in this important non-conference matchup. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is the Warriors! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-10-22 | Navy v. Army OVER 32 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER Navy/Army (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams have historically played to several lower-scoring games over the last decade. Both run the triple-option, and neither will throw the ball much if at all. It's going to be blustery conditions as well in Philadelphia, but with all of that said, I still think this number is low. Navy averaes 22.4 PPG, while Army averages 29.4. Tyhier Taylor has 12 rushing TD, and the Black Knights averaged over 300 rushing yards per game. Navy uses a combination of Maasai Maynor and Xavier Arline at QB, and it's been effective as well. I believe each will come close to their seasonal offensive average here, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-10-22 | Louisville +10 v. Florida State | Top | 53-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) We have a couple of really poor teams colliding here in ACC action on Saturday afternoon. Louisville is 0-8 SU/ATS, while FSU is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS. Louisville is only averaging 57.4 PPG, while Florida State is averaging 65.5. These teams are both terrible defensively. Both have more questions than answers. I have no trust whatsoever that Louisville can pull off a road upset, but at the same time, I don't trust the Seminoles either to cover such a large spread. For this selection, expect it to be a tight competitive affair throughout, but grab the points; the play is Louisville! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-09-22 | Sharks v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sharks/Ducks (EXPRESS) These teams have been playing to higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. San Jose is off the 6-5 OT loss at home to Vancouver. It only averages 2.97 GPG though. It plays with revenge here after a 5-4 loss to the Ducks at the start of November, but note that SJ has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded five or more goals in. The Ducks are off a 4-3 OT win over Carolina, but they oly average 2.48 GPG. I don't see either team reaching its offensive average here tonight though. In a game that I see being a very tight defensive-affair, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-09-22 | Washington v. Gonzaga OVER 148 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/Gonzaga (NON-CONF TOW) When these teams battled in 2019, Gonzaga walked away with the 83-76 victory. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Washington is 7-2 after a 73-63 win over Colorado in its last outing. Overall the Huskies are averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 63.9. Keion Brooks leads the nightly charge with an average of 16.6 PPG. The Huskies will have to bring their "A" game to face the 6-3 Bulldogs. Gonzaga is averaging a whopping 80.2 PPG this year, but its defense has taken a step back, as it's conceding 74.1. Finally note, the "over" is 5-1 in Washington's last six games following a straight-up win. I expect a faster-paced affair here, one that flies well "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-09-22 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | Top | 117-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
10* OVER Suns/Pelicans. For a number of different reasons, I expect this total to fly well "over" the posted number. The Suns are 16-8 after a listless 125-98 home loss to Boston. But that's important to note here, as Phoenix has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 when coming off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. New Orleans is off the 104-98 home win over Detroit. It plays with revenge here after a 124-111 road loss at Phoenix in late October. Note that the Pels have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for these two surging clubs to battle to a higher-scoring affair; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota +4.5 | Top | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Golden Gophers. This is Michigan's first true road game of the season and I think it'll struggle in this difficult road venue. The Wolverines return from their 73-69 loss to No. 19 Kentucky in London as well, so travel and the fatigue factor becomes an issue as well. UM has lost three of the last four in this series as well. This is a big game for Minnesota, playing here at Williams Arena for the first time since Nov. 17th. Last year Minnesota beat the Wolverines 75-65 in Ann Arbor for the first time since 2011. The average margin of victory between these teams over the last ten games is 3.2 points. This one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last; so grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-08-22 | Rockets v. Spurs +2.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* Spurs (ASSASSIN) Two really bad teams collide on Thursday night, and only one can come out the winner. I think that'll be the Spurs tonight on their home floor. Houston is off a rare 132-123 OT home win over Philly, and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here. After this the Rockets return home for four straight, starting with the Bucks, so I also say they get caught "looking ahead" here. "Letdown" + "look ahead" = "trap game!" The Spurs have lost ten straight. But off B2B home losses in which they've failed to reach the 100-point plateu, I expect the home side to come out fired up tonigth. They're off the 133-95 home loss to the Suns, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 95 or less points in. Look for San Antonio to finally deliver here in front of the home town crowd! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-08-22 | Kings v. Maple Leafs -165 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
8* Leafs (BIG-CHALK) I think the Leafs are worth the price of admission here today. The Kings have been good this year. They're 14-10, but off a 5-2 win at Ottawa last time out, I think they stumble here. LA is only averaging 3.43 GPG, while allowing 3.54. Toronto averages 3.07 GPG, while allowing 2.44. Toronto is off an impressive 4-0 win at Dallas and it plays with revenge here after a 4-2 loss at LA back in October. Look for Toronto to defend home ice and to avenge the earlier loss; lay the price, the play is the Leafs! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-07-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
8* RANGERS PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) In a game that I envision being very tight, decided late, or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance here today. New York is 7-4-0-1 on the road. It's coming off a 6-4 win at home over St. Louis. With a tough upcoming stretch of games, I expect the visiting side to come out fired up here tonight. Las Vegas is just 7-5 at home. It's coming off a 4-3 shootout win at Boston. After that big victory and after returning home following a 3-1 road trip, I expect a bit of a mental letdown here. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar; I feel the most comfortable laying the price for the 1.5 goals and the Rangers on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-07-22 | Connecticut v. Florida +4.5 | Top | 75-54 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* Florida (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Florida is 6-3 and UConn is 9-0. This is going to be a competitive battle, one which I see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last. The Huskies are coming off a 74-64 win over Oklahoma State. So far UConn is averaging 82.9 PPG, while allowing 58.7. The Gators come in off an 89-51 win over Stetson. Florida average 81 PPG, while conceding just 69. Yes, UConn is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine overall, but looking back finds is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine true road contests. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series head-to-head and as I stated off the top, while the outright win isn't out of the question, I'm going to grab the points in a contest that has all the makings of a competitive "nail-biter;" the play is Florida! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-07-22 | Hawks v. Knicks OVER 232 | Top | 89-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Hawks/Knicks (ASSASSIN) These are two teams in need of a win. Atlanta is 13-11. It's 5-6 on the road. New York is 11-13 and 5-7 at home. The Hawks are coming off a 121-114 loss at home to Oklahoma City. That broke a two game win streak, but over their last three games, the Hawks have still averaged 119 points per game. I think they keep that offensive momentum rolling here. Tre Young and head coach Nate McMillan got into an argument, and Young walked out of the last game, but that'll just add fuel to the fire here for the Hawks I think in this one. And then for New York, it just snapped a two-game slide with a low-scoring 92-81 win here over Cleveland on the weekend. But that's signficant to note, as the Knicks have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a straight up and against the spread home victory in which they held their opponent to 90 or fewer points in. The Knicks also play with the added incentive of "revenge" here, as they lost 112-96 to the Hawks at the start of November. That play also went "under" the number. But I say the rematch here will be a faster paced contest. This one has all the makings of a shootout in my opinion; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-06-22 | Tex A&M Commerce v. Wyoming -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (ULTIMATE BLOWOUT) For a number of different reasons, I expect Wyoming to lay a beating on Texas A&M Commerce. Wyoming is 3-5 and Texas A&M Commerce is 4-5. The Lions are coming off a 93-84 loss to Denver. They're averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.3. Their level of competition needs to be taken with a "grain of salt" though to thi s oint. Wyoming is coming off consecutive defeats to Santa Clara and Grand Canyon. The Cowboys are averaging 72.3 PPG, while conceding 69.9. Wyoming though has faced much stiffer competition. This is a great matchup for the Cowboys, and because of their difficult start, I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas at all tonight. With the home side keeping the pdeal to the metal until the final horn, all signs point to a lop-sided destruction; lay the points, the play is Wyoming! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-06-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 102-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) The Lakers have been playing great. At some point they're going to have a letdown, but they play with revenge here and I look for them to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Cleveland won 114-100 in LA a couple of weeks ago. With two whole nights off before a game vs. Sacramento here, the home side gets caught looking ahead as well. The Cavs' two game win streak was snapped with a listless 92-81 loss at New York last time out. LA smoked the Wizards 130-119 last time out. They've won eight of their last ten. They've scored 128, 133 and 130 points over their last three games. The King always "gets up" for games against the Cavs, especially in Cleveland; grab the points, the play is the Lakers! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-06-22 | Red Wings v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Lightning PUCKLINE (ANNIHILATION) Both teams have been playing well of late, but I think this is one that favors the home side. I look for Tampa to not only win this game, but to do so by a comfortable margin. Detroit comes in off the 4-2 win at Columbus. Previous to that it had lost three straight. The Wings are 12-7, but I think they get caught looking ahead here to their tough upcoming schedule at Florida and Dalls up nexts. This is the first game of the year between the clubs. The Lightning have had two days off after a 4-3 OT win over the Leafs in their last outing. Five more home games here for the Bolts, and I expect them to make the most of it; the Lightning are coming on strong the last two weeks, expect that to translate into another big win here this evening! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-05-22 | Pacers +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Pacers (NON-CONF GOW) Indiana is 12-11, and Golden State is 13-11. The Warriors aren't having any issues scoring, but they haven't been able to find any consistency on the defensive end this year. The Pacers have been better than most thought, and they've been able to take advantage of team's "looking past" them a few times already this season. And that's going to be the case here in my estimation as well with the Warriors, who hit the road for a game at Utah after this, followed by games vs. Boston and Milwaukee. Golden State is off the "rocking chair" 120-101 victory here at home over Houston, but I expect it to leave the back door wide open here for this Pacers team that's averaging 115.1 PPG, ranked in the Top 10. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-05-22 | North Dakota State +16 v. Portland | Top | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* North Dakota State (MAULING) The North Dakota State Bison come in "under the radar" here after starting 1-8 and on a four-game slide. That includes a 78-70 loss to Eastern Washington on the road in their most recent. But I think the 7-4 Pilots will come in complacent here and "look past" their lowly opponent today after a 90-69 home win over North Dakota in their most recent outing. If we looked only at these team's offensive and defensive numbers, then we'd come to the conclusion that the Pilots are the much better team. And they are. But this is a bad spot for them to cover this many points. I think the Bison keep this one close enough for sure to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; the play is North Dakota State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-05-22 | Saints +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) This division is weak. Any team that goes on a run right now still has an opportunity to take it. That includes 4-8 New Orleans. But it lost the first game to the Bucs at home by a score of 20-10, so that actually makes this a "must win" game for New Orleans to keep its playoff hopes alive. Both teams are struggling in many regards, but the Saints actually are averaging more points than the Bucks (20.8 compared to 18.2.) Their defenses are similar. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these desperate teams has it hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-22 | Stanford +5 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOY) Stanford is now 3-5 after an 80-66 home loss to UCLA in its most recent action. The Cardinal average 66.5 PPG. Arizona State is 7-1. It's coming off an upset 60-59 road win at Colorado as a 4.5-point underdog and I think a predictable letdown is in the cards here tonight for the home side. The Sun Devils are averaging a slightly better 72.2 PPG. ASU comes in a bit complacent here and also gets caught looking ahead to its neutral site game against Creighton next week. It's a "trap" for the Sun Devils. No such luxury for the Cardinal though. Stanford is struggling on offense, but makes up for it defensively in holding opponents to just 65.4 PPG. I think this is going to come down to the wire, as I said off the top, I think this is a great "spot" for the visitors; grab the points, the play is Stanford! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-22 | Bulls +3 v. Kings | Top | 101-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* Bulls (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great spot for the Bulls to bounce back in. Chicago is only 9-13, including 4-8 on the road. I think it sneaks in under the radar here though after B2B road losses, most recently a 119-111 loss at Golden State. The main reason I like the Bulls here though is that the Kings played, and won 123-96 at the Clippers just last night. Sacramento averages 120 PPG, which ranks second, but its defense is poor. The Kings are going to struggle with fatigue here in the second game of the back-to-back and while I clearly think the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Bulls! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-22 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) Two teams in dire need of a win, and which have not played to many high-scoring affairs of late, collide here on Sunday and in my opinion, everything points to a wide-open "goal-fest." Detroit is off the 4-1 loss at home to Vegas just last night. It's still 11-7-3-2 and note that the Wings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after a home loss in which they were held to one or less goals in. Columbus is only 8-12-1-1, but it'll look to keep the foot on the gas after a 4-1 win at Winnipeg last time out. The problem for the Blue Jackets this year? Defensively! They concede 3.95 GPG, which ranks 31st. Look for this faster-paced affair to result in plenty of goals; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-22 | Chiefs -1.5 v. Bengals | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 31 m | Show |
10* Chiefs (NON-DIV GOM) It's a big matchup here, but one that I believe favors Patrick Mahomes and the visiting Chiefs. KC is now 9-2 after pulling way for a 26-10 win over the Rams last week. They average 29.6 PPG, which is ranked No. 1 in the league. The Bengals aren't too far behind in averaging 25.9. Cincinnati is now 7-4 after last week's 20-16 road win at Tennessee as a 1-point favorite. This is a revenge game for the Chiefs, who fell 27-24 in OT as 7-point favorites in last year's AFC Championship Game. They say that revenge is a dish "best served cold," and I couldn't agree more. KC has once again moved to the top of the food chain in the AFC and I look for the Chiefs to go up early, and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle; the play is KC! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-04-22 | Jaguars +1 v. Lions | 14-40 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
8* Jaguars (SPECIAL) The NFC North is a difficult division. Detroit is actually in second place at 4-7, but at 9-2, the Vikings have already essentially claimed the crown. The Lions would have to run the table and get outside help likely to earn a wildcard. It's going to be very difficult, if not impossible. The Jags are just 4-7 as well, and they're also tied for second in the AFC South with the Colts. At 7-4, the Titans hold the lead, but still anything can happen. So the Jaguars still do legitimately have a shot at running down the Titans. And last week was just what the doctor ordered for Trevor Lawrence's confidence. It was for sure his best game ever as a professional as he led his team for the come from behind 29-28 win over the Ravens. He's been getting better and better with each outing this year and I expect that progression to continue to pay dividends for Jaguars backers this weekend; grab the point/s, the play is Jacksonville! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-22 | Fresno State +9 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (NON-CONF GOM) Outright win?! While anything is of course possible, my official call here will be to grab as many points as you can with the 1-5 Frenso State Bulldogs. The UC Irvine Anteaters are 6-2 and I think they come out complacent here and get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent this evening to two weeks off, before a conference matchup at 6-2 Santa Clara. Clearly, the Bulldogs don't have the luxury to look past anyone or to take the foot off the gas at any point in this game. I like betting on motivated teams. I think the Anteaters are primed for a classic letdown. I'm banking on this one being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-22 | Golden Knights v. Red Wings +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -195 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
8* WINGS PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) Detroit has had two nights off after a 5-4 shootout loss here to Buffalo. I think the Wings are worth the price of admission here to pay the larger price and get the 1.5 goals of insurance in our back pockets. Detroit is 7-3-1-2 at home and I'm expecting another battle here against Vegas. The Knights are 17-7-1 after a 3-2 loss at Pittsburgh on Thursday. With a game at league-leading Boston up next, will Vegas get caught "looking ahead?" Detroit hits the road for a four-game road trip starting tomorrow in Columbus, so I expect it to lay everything on the line to try and secure the victory here at home; lay the price and grab the Wings on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-22 | Bucks v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Hornets (ASSASSIN) For a couple of different reasons, I really expect this to be a very defensive affair on Saturday night. More than anything, this is just a common sense play. Both teams played and went "over" the total just last night! The Lakers beat the Bucks 133-129 as 8.5-point underdogs, which is signficant to note, as Milwaukee has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS home loss in which it allowed 130 or more points in. Charlotte's off the tight 117-116 home win over Washington, "lucky" as it only scored ten points total in the final quarter. I think the Hornets are "gassed" here for sure now in the second game of the B2B; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-22 | LSU v. Georgia -17 | Top | 30-50 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
10* Georgia (SEC GOM) I like No. 1 Georgia to lay the hammer down on No. 11 LSU today and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish with no mercy. Georgia is of course the defending champ and it's trying to win back-to-back SEC Championships for the first time since all the way back in 1980. Experience does count in these games, and this is the Bulldogs fifth trip to this game in the last six years. First-year head coach Brian Kelly led LSU to an unexpected SEC West division championship and I believe he and his team are in over their heads here this weekend. Georgia may only be 6-6 ATS this year, but it's 3-0 ATS when favored by 20 or less points this season. Georgia has a great run game and LSU struggles against good run teams; lay the points, the play is the Bulldogs! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-03-22 | Oral Roberts v. Tulsa +4 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Tulsa (SPECIAL) Oral Roberts is 5-3 and Tulsa is 2-4. I think that home floor can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one. Oral Roberts is coming off a loss to Utah State. It averages 84.1 PPG, but its competition to this point needs to be taken into account. Tulsa is off a loss to Oklahoma State. Overall the Golden Hurricane are averaging 70.2 PPG. Their schedule to this point has been more difficult. This is a battle for the PSO Mayor's Cup, and I think Tulsa will correct some of its issues and, at the very least, take it right down to the wire; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-02-22 | Pelicans v. Spurs +7.5 | Top | 117-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* Spurs (ASSASSIN) The Pels have been great this year, they enter at 13-8. They're just 5-5 on the road though. The Spurs are 6-16 and just 3-8 at home, but after seven straight ATS losses and nine straight SU losses, and also playing with revenge here after a 129-110 loss at New Orleans a couple of weeks ago, I love the home side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch (note that the Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a 15 points or greater SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. New Orleans is off two straight home wins. It has a night off after this before a four-game home stand, starting with red hot Denver. I say the Pels get caught "looking ahead." The outright is a possibility, but the official call will indeed to grab as many points as you can with the Spurs! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-02-22 | North Texas +9 v. UTSA | Top | 27-48 | Loss | -113 | 52 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNT (CONF-USA GOM) UNT is 7-5. It averages 34.5 PPG, which ranks 25th in the country. It beat Rice 21-17 in its finale. It faced UTSA in Week 8 and lost 31-27 on the road as a ten-point underdog. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting another really tight and close battle here today as well. UTSA is 10-2. It averages 37.9 PPG. It held on for the 34-31 win over UTEP at home as a 16.5-point favorite in its final game. UNT's aggressive defense and strong run will once again keep it competitive late. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one being MUCH closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is UNT! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-02-22 | Boston University v. Merrimack +3.5 | Top | 68-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Merrimack (MID-MAJOR MAULING) These teams are evenly matched. They always play to tight, competitive affairs, as the last two head-to-head matchups have been decided by a grand total of just three points. We can expect a similar battle until the end tonight, and that's why I'm definitely grabbing the points in this matchup. BU has now dropped three in a row, so it comes in with zero momentum. Merrimack may only average 56.4 PPG, but it's only allowing 56.3. I think Boston is completely over-priced here, so I'm grabbing the points; the play is Merrimack! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 43.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
Buffalo/Patriots OVER (AFC EAST TOTAL OF MONTH) It's clearly a big game for both teams, but more so for New England. The Patriots are 6-5 after last week's 33-26 loss at Minnesota on Thanksgiving Day. These teams play again in the very final game of the year. The Patriots have struggled with offensive consistency, but they're going to have to be the aggressor today. The Bills are coming off back-to-back road victories in Detroit, coming from behind to knock off the Lions on Thanksgiving Day for their second straight win on the same field (snow game the previous outing.) The Bills are now having to play a third-straight game on the road as a favorite. It's difficult to win in the NFL. It's even more difficult to win on the road in the NFL as a favorite week after week. I just see this being an offensive battle. Both teams moved the ball last week and I expect the same here; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-22 | Illinois State +12.5 v. Murray State | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I definitely think that this spread is a few points too large. Illinois State is 2-5. It's on a four-game SU losing streak after a 57-44 home loss to Rhode Island. The Racers are the better team, but they're just 3-3 after Saturday's 69-66 road loss to Chatanooga. So far the Redbirds are averaging 61.3 PPG, while allowing 67. Murray State is averaging 76.3 PPG, while allowing 70.5. I think Illinois State's defense will keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is the Redbirds! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-01-22 | Mavs v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 125-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mavericks/Pistons (NON-CONF. TOM). I think we'll see more of a defensive affair here, rather than a wide-open run and gun shootout. The Mavericks are 10-10, but just 1-7 on the road. They're coming off the high-scoring 116-113 home win over Golden State, but they still average only l09.4 PPG, ranked 24th. Dallas most nights gets the job done with tough defensive play. Detroit is just 5-18, and it's coming off a 140-110 home loss here to New YOrk two nights ago. The Pistons though only average 109.1 PPG, ranked 26th. I can't see either team reachign their seasonal offensive averages here tonight (note as well that Detroit has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a 25 points or greater SU/ATS home loss.) All signs point to a lower-scoring battle between these non-conference opponets. AAA Sports | |||||||
11-30-22 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 227 | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Knicks (ASSASSIN) For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done. Common sense is a great approach to use here for the Knicks, who are off a big 140-110 win at Detroit just last night. I had the Knicks in that one. But, I beliee fatigue will be a factor here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Bucks are 14-5, one of the best records in the league, but they haven't been killing teams with offense, as they average 112.5 PPG, ranked 15th in the league. Instead it's been aggressive defensive play. Both teams have seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but I believe that the value has now finally swung the other way as far as the total is concerned; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-30-22 | Purdue v. Florida State +15 | Top | 79-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* FSU (BLOOD-BATH) This of course is part of the BIG 10/ACC Challenge. Outside of the Final Four Tournament, many college basketball fans enjoy this stretch of the season more than any other. Regardless, for this one we have two teams on completely opposite ends of the spectrum. Purdue is 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread, while Florida State is 1-7 straight-up and 1-7 against the spread. The Boilermakers already have wins over Duke, Gonzaga and West Virginia. They've held three teams to under 60 points so far this season. Zach Edey is the main man, averaging 21.7 points and 12 rebounds per game. Florida State has had a miserable start to its season. Its only win was against Mercer. The Seminoles have actually failed to score 60 points in four of their seven games. One bright spot has been the play of Caleb Mills who averages 12.6 points and 3.2 assists per game. This isn't about picking a straight up winner. This is about which team can cover with the spread, and for me, I just think that the public hammering the Boilermakers left right and center. just whenever they're playing now, while at the same time they see how much Florida State has struggled, and both of those factors have combined to make this spread a few points larger than it really should be; I'm going to grab the points with FSU! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-30-22 | Sabres v. Red Wings -128 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* RED WINGS (Atlantic DIV GOY) I think we're getting really great value on the Wings here. Detroit is 11-6-3-1 this seasonl including 7-3-1-1 at home. Buffalo is 9-12-1-0 this year, including 4-5-0-0 on the road. The Sabres are off a tough 6-5 OT home loss to Tampa, while Detroit's four game win streak was just snapped in a 4-2 home loss to Toronto. Buffalo gets caught looking ahead here as well to its game at home tomorrow night vs. the defending Stanley Cup Champions. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value," and it's for this reason for the most part that the Red Wings have become my 10* Atlantic Division GAME OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-29-22 | Alcorn State v. Grand Canyon -12.5 | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Alcorn State is 3-4 SU, and Grand Canyon is 5-2. The Alcorn State Braves average 62.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. I expect them to have their hands full today. Dominic Brewton leads the nightly charge for the Braves with 13.1 points and 5.6 boards per game. The Antelopes are averaging 72.9 PPG, while conceding just 55.1. They have a deep and experienced team led by Jovan Blacksher Jr, who averages 11.3 points and 2.5 boards per game. These teams have a similar opponent this year. Alcorn State upset Wichita State, but Grand Canyon lost to it. But let's not overreact to early season results. This is a mismatch and I like the Antelopes to deliver at home; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-29-22 | Knicks -4.5 v. Pistons | Top | 140-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) The Knicks are 9-11, while the Pistons are 5-17. Off two straight home losses, and having dropped four of its last five, I like New York to finally bounce back here in this favorable spot. These teams played in New York on November 11th and the Knicks won by a score of 121-112. I expect a similar final outcome here. Detroit has covered in five straight ATS, and I expect that string to end here as well. Look for the Knicks to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-29-22 | Lightning v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lighting/Bruins (TOP TOTAL) If you've followed me for any length of time, then you've heard me say many times that I don't follow any particular single handicapping methodology, but that I instead feel that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. Some times I completely break down a pick, looking at every player, every stat, every angle I can find, but other times a more "common sense" approach is definitely the best way to approach a contest. And that's the case with this particular one. Tampa's off a tight 6-5 OT win at Buffalo just last night, and I expect the Bolts to come in with "heavy legs" here in the second game of the B2B. Look for the viistors to double down on the defensive side tonight. The Bruins are 18-3 this year. They're off a tight 3-2 OT win over Carolina here at home three nights ago and I expect a similar final combined score here as well; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-28-22 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 235 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Lakers (NON-CONF TOW) A common sense play here. The Pacers are off a 114-100 loss to the Clippers here just last night and I expect the visiting side to come into this one with "heavy legs." They continue their tough road trip at Sacramento to end the month. The Lakers have been playing a lot better of late. They're coming off back-to-back road wins at San Antonio, including a 143-138 victory in the second one. They're still only averagihg 112.2 PPG though. I think we'll see a much more subdued game here, and because of that, I'm expecting this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ricky Tran | $868 |
Will Rogers | $491 |
William Burns | $415 |
Nick Parsons | $345 |
Joseph D'Amico | $282 |
Ross Benjamin | $255 |
Sean Murphy | $226 |
Tom Macrina | $149 |
Joey Tron | $113 |
ProSportsPicks | $107 |