Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-28-22 | Steelers v. Colts OVER 39 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Steelers/Colts (ASSASSIN) Neither team has officially been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, but each is on the ropes. Each has struggled offensively, and done decently on the defensive side. That's why we have such a low total here again tonight on Prime Time. But I just can't see either of these teams sitting back and playing conservatively this evening. They need a win. They need a spark. And I expect this to translate into a very wide-open contest between these non-conference opponents. With their backs against the proverbial wall this evening, expect a hard-fought competitive affair, but one the flied well "over" this low number! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-28-22 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
10* Jackets PUCKLINE (NON-CONF GOW) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on Columbus on the puckline option here. Las Vegas is 9-1-1 on the road and 16-6 overall. It's been great, but it comes in with zero momentum, having lost two straight. Columbus is 7-12-1 overlal. It's coming off a tight 3-2 home loss here to the Islanders. The Jackets have been competitive even in defeat lately and I believe the underachieving home side will, at the very least, take Las Vegas right down to the wire here. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm going to grab Columbus on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-22 | Dartmouth +4 v. Texas-San Antonio | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Dartmouth (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The Dartmouth Big Green are 1-4 and the UTSA Roadrunners are 4-2. Dartmouth is off a tight 69-64 loss to Incarnate Word. Dusan Neskovic leads the nightly charge with 13.4 points and 4.2 rebounds per game for the Big Green. Dartmouth has no issues scoring, entering averaging 77.4 PPG. UTSA averages 65.5. The Roadrunners are coming off a humbling 75-55 loss to Grambling State. Japhet Medor leads the team with 12.7 points and four assists per game. Dartmouth though is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six after an ATS loss, while UTSA is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage below .400. Dartmouth's defense catches a break this week. I say the outright is possible, but grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-22 | Jets v. Blackhawks +1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
10* Blackhawks PUCKLINE (Central Division GOM) Betting the regular season in the NBA and NHL is about betting "siutations." Clearly Winnipeg is the better team, but I think this is a great spot for the hungry Hawks to make a very competitive game of this one here, making the "puckline" option the savvy call in the end in my opinion. Winnipeg is off an emotional 5-4 OT win at Dallas on Friday night, and after this game vs. the lowly Hawks, it returns home to face the defending Stanley Cup Champion Avalanche. Chicago has lost six straight, but it hasn't been for a lack of trying. It lost 6-4 at Dallas most recently, before then falling 3-2 in a shootout at home to the Canadiens. This is a revenge game as well for the Hawks, who fell 4-0 to Winnipeg at the start of the month. As stated off the top, a great situational play with a ton of overall value; the play is Chicago on the puckline! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-22 | Wizards +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 121-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* Wizards (NON-DIV GOM) I think this is a great spot for the Wizards. Washington plays with revenge after losing to Boston 112-94 on October 30th. With a game at home against the Wolves tomorrow, the Wizards can't look past the mighty Celtics tonight. Boston is off a 122-104 win over Sacramento, but it could come in complacent here with a game at home tomorrow against Charlotte. The Wizards have lost five straight against-the-spread, but note that Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-22 | Chargers v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (ASSASSIN) Both teams NEED a win here. This is a crucial week for both the Chargers and the Cardinals, but I can't overstate how important I believe that the home field factor will be for Arizona this week. That hasn't been the case so far to this point, as the Chargers are 5-0 ATS on the road, and the Cards are just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS at home. Look for these lop-sided numbers to normalize over the second half of the season though. LA enters having lost three of its last four and despite probably having the better QB in Justin Herbert on the field, I just don't trust this LA team on the road. Cards' coach Kliff Kingsbury is on the hot seat, likely needing a win here to keep his job. Kyler Murray has missed the last two weeks, but he returns now this weekend. I think the pivot will be a difference-maker this weekend. The majority of the money is on LA here, but I look for this underachieving Cardinals team to dip deep and deliver at home; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-27-22 | Broncos v. Panthers OVER 36 | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER (GRAND-DADDY) For a number of different reasons I am expecting this total to eclipse this lower numer as the game comes down the stretch. Yes, there's no question that both the Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers come into this contest with more questions than answers. Especially on the offensive end. It would be really easy to point at these team's offensive and defensive numbers and just assume that this will be a lower-scoring game, but each team will be opening up the playbook as they desperately seek a spark and a victory. The Panthers have a new QB under center this week. The Broncos keep trying to figure new things out on offense. I say the pendulum finally swings the other way as far as the total is concerned for these two teams; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-22 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 234 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER OKC/Houston. Here's a great situational "spot bet." I don't know what else to call it but exactly that. OKC is coming off a 123-119 OT home win over the Bulls as a 3-point underdog just last night (I had the Thunder in that one.) I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for the visiting side in the second game of the back-to-back. Starters could even be rested. Houston is off a rare win just last night as well, holding on for the 128-122 victory at home over the Hawks. Despite that win though, note that the Rockets are still only averaging 109.7 PPG, which is ranked 22nd. Everything points to a much lower-scoring defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-22 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 63.5 | Top | 48-51 | Win | 100 | 58 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Oklahoma/Texas Tech (BIG 12 TOY) For a number of different reasons, I expect each team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here, and because of that, I look for this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later. Oklahoma is off a big win over Oklahoma State by a score of 28-13, making the Sooners eligible. I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas here though with the chance for a better bowl on th eline. The Sooners average 31.5 PPG, and last year they won this game by a score of 55-21. The Red Raiders moved to 6-5 as well in a tough 14-10 win at Iowa State as a 3.5-point underdog. It was a gritty win and I look for Texas Tech, which averages 32 PPG, to lay it all on the line here in the final game of the year at home; it's a great situational play, as I'm expecting each team to push the pace until the final whistle; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-22 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +14 | Top | 56-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (SEC GOW) Tennessee can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at 9-2 on the final game of the year, but I do expect the Vols to do just that in the second half. Will 5-6 Vanderbilt pull off the epic upset and win this game outright? Highly unlikely, but I do absolutely believe that the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Vols come in off a crippling 63-38 loss at South Carolina. The Commodores actually pulled off a similar upset last week, beating Florida 31-24 at home as a 13.5-point underdog. Now here on Senior Night and the final game of the season, I'm expecting Vanderbilt to put up another fight until the end here as well; grab the points, the play is the Commodores! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-22 | Capitals v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Capitals/Devils OVER (METROPLITAN TOY) For a couple of different reasons, I'm expecting a wide-open shootout here between these Divisional foes, instead of a "lock-down" defensive battle. New Jersey is now 17-4 after rebounding from its first loss in a while to defeat Buffalo by a score of 3-1 yesterday. New Jersey owns the No. 1 defense in the league, but I think it'll have its hands full with this hungry 9-10-1-2 Capitals team, that is coming off back-to-back wins, including a 3-0 home victory over the Flames last night. Fatigue will be a factor for both teams, but I believe it'll be detrimental on the defensive end. Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a shutout home victory as well. When they played on October 24th in the Nation's capital, the Caps won by a score of 6-3. So this is a revenge spot as well for the Devils. In what I anticipate to be a wide-open "goal-fest," look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-26-22 | Iowa v. TCU +6 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* TCU (TOURNEY GOW) This is part of the Emerald Coast Classic in Niceville, Florida. Iowa is 5-0 thi syear after beating Clemson 74-71 last time out. So far the Hawkeyes are averaging 96 PPG, while conceding 65. Kris Murray leads the nightly charge with 23.8 points and eight rebounds per game. TCU is 4-1 after beating Cal 59-48 last time out. The Horned Frogs went on to force 19 turnovers in the victory. So far they're averaging 77 PPG, while allowing 65.5. Mike Miles Jr. leads TCU with 20.5 PPG on average. Iowa let a big lead slip away late against Clemson, and almost stumbled last time out. Look for the Horned Frogs aggressive defensive play to be the difference maker here; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-22 | North Dakota State v. Northern Colorado +2.5 | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (MAULING) We have a couple of 1-4 teams going head-to-head here, but I believe this is a contest that favors the visiting side. North Dakota State is coming off its first win of the year, albeit over Crown College. UNC lost to CO Christian in its last outing. Northern Colorado matches up well with North Dakota State. Also, the Bears have hit 69 or or more points in three of their last four games. UNC is the more motivated side and I expect it to pull away for a comfortable win/cover; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-22 | Idaho +13.5 v. Pacific | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
8* Idaho (SPECIAL) Idaho ia only 1-5 SU, including 0-3 ATS on the road. It's also just 1-4 ATS. The Vandals have many issues, but I still think that 2-3 Pacific is overvalued here. The Tigers are 0-2 SU/ATS at home, so the home floor advantage is not a factor whatsoever in this particular matchup. Idaho is off a high-scoring 82-71 loss to Cal Poly Slo. The Vandals can score, averaging 73.7 PPG. Pacific averages 83.6. These defenses are both pretty terrible, so let's call that area a "wash." Look for the hungrier Vandals to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-22 | Bulls v. Thunder +2 | Top | 119-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma City. Chicago is coming off a 118-113 win over the Bucks on Wednesday. I had the Bulls in that one. However, I expect the visiting side to come out flat here vs. this determined OKC team, that's off a 131-126 OT loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday. Chicago's room for error is very slim most nights, averaging 111.5 PPG, and conceding 111.4 (note that the Bulls will be without Lonzo Ball while Goran Dragic and Kostas Antetokounmpo are listed as day-to-day.) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped a double-double with 31 points and 11 assists in a losing cause for the Thunder last time out. OKC averages 115.9 PPG, while allowing 118.3. Chicago has tough upcoming games at the Suns and the Warriors to look ahead to here. Neither team has shown a lot of consistency from game-to-game, but I love the way this one sets up for the home side; the play is the Thunder! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-22 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
10* Blue Jackets PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Islanders are off a 3-0 home win over Edmonton on Wednesday, but they're just 6-5 on the road this year. With a home game against Philly tomorrow night, I say New York gets caught "looking ahead." Columbus has been trading good efforts with poor ones of late. The Blue Jackets are off a 3-1 home loss to Montrral, two nights after beating Florida by a score of 5-3 on the road. The Jackets play with revenge here as well after falling 4-3 at New York earlier in the season; a great price for the extra 1.5 goals, the play is the Jackets on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-25-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +4 | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
10* MISSOURI (SEC GOM) At this time of year, we have to be cerebral with our wagers. This is a great "situational" wager, and that, along with a couple of strong trends that support my position, is what I'm basing this selection on. Arkansas just became bowl eligible in last week's 42-27 win over Ole Miss as a one-point underdog. After that emotional win on "Seniors Night," I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. The Razorbacks average 31 PPG, while the 5-6 Missouri Tigers average 25.2 Missouri kept its bowl hopes alive in last week's 45-14 destruction of New Mexico State. The Tigers have an opportunity to become bowl eligibleon Senior Night themselves, while at the same time avenging a 34-17 loss to Arkansas last season; the outright is clearly possible, but grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-22 | Fresno State +4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Fresno State is 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS. Vanderbilt is 2-3 SU/ATS. The Bulldogs are averaging 58.4 PPG, while allowing 61.4 Isaih Moore is averaging 12.8 points and 6.8 boards for Fresno State. The Commodores are averaging 70 PPG, while allowing 66.5. Jordan Wright leads the nightly charge for Vanderbilt by averaging 11.3 points and 3.8 assists per game. This is the consolation game in the Wooden Legacy tournament and I think the Bulldogs are primed for a breakout performance here. On the flip-side, I think this has been a big disappointment for Jerry Stackhouse and the Commodores. Both teams are coming off tight losses. I'll caution reading too much into their respective offensive and defensive numbers so early. I think the Bulldogs superior defense though will "win the day" here; that said, grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 51 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Pats/Vikes (TOP TOTAL) Here are two teams that I think will go toe to toe on the national stage, and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of the night, I'm expecting this total to eclipse what I believe to be a very low number. The Patriots have won three straight and they've allowed just six points total over their last two. That was against the Colts and Jets though, two QB's that both really struggled. I like Cousins here at home to boune back after the Vikes' 40-3 home loss to the Cowboys (note though that Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to six or less points in.) Minnesota will absolutely be opening up the playbook on Thanksgiving, and I expect this more wide-open affair to produce a higher-scoring result; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN) The big news surrounding this game is that Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin has been rumoured about taking the job at Auburn as early as this Friday. He's denied those rumors, but this is just a big circus now for Mississippi, a distraction that I think Mississippi State can take advantage of. Ole Miss is 8-3, but it's not playing its best football of the season right now either having lost three of its last four. That includes a 42-27 loss at Arkansas as a 1-point favorite last week. I think Mike Leach and the Bulldogs can take advantage. Mississippi State is 7-4. It's off a 56-7 win over East Tennessee State as a 39-point favorite. It averages 33.5 points per game. Will Rogers is having another solid year, and that doesn't bode well for a Rebels secondary that allows a lot underneath stuff and which is actually ranked 111th in the country in opponent completion percentage and 95th in opponent QB passer rating. The Bulldogs on the other hand have steadily improved defensively throughout the season, as they now rank 14th in the country in takeaways. I think the outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points; the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -9 | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 34 m | Show | |
9* Cowboys (BLOWOUT) The Giants looked great to open the season, but New York is already starting to regress. This is an important divisional matchup for both teams, but I think it definitely favors the defense of the Cowboys. Giants' QB Daniel Jones is terrible againts good pass rushing teams. That's going to make Saquon Barkley and the visiting side really one-dimensional. Dallas averages 25.1 PPG, while New York averages 20.5. The difference though as I mentioned comes on the defensive end. I expect Jones to be running for his life throughout this one; lay the points, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-24-22 | Bills -9.5 v. Lions | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Buffalo (ROUT) Detroit's rattled off three straight wins, but I expect "the wheels to fall off the bus" this weekend. The Bills are 7-3 and second in the AFC East after defeating the Browns 31-23 at home last week. Buffalo has the second ranked offense averaging 28.1 PPG. Detroit averages 25 PPG. Defensively though the Bills are light years ahead of their counterpart, allowing 17.4 PPG, compared the Lions' 28.2. Look for the short week to benefit the better offensive team; lay the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-23-22 | Bulls +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
10* Bulls (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great situational wager on the Bulls here. They'd lost four straight, but then they dug deep and posted a quality 121-107 home win over Boston as a 5.5-point favorite in their most recent outing. That was crucial, because it set the tone for this now six-game road trip starting here in Milwaukee to face the Bucks for the first time this season. But this is another important game, to set the tone in the first outing on this trip. Milwaukee is great, it's 12-4 and off a 119-111 home win over Portland. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I think this one means so much more to the Bulls. They're off the solid win and need to set the tone for the rest of this roadtrip right here and now agains the No. 1 team in the East; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-23-22 | Louisville +7 v. Cincinnati | 62-81 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
8* Louisville (SPECIAL) Louisville is 0-5 SU/ATS, but I believe it can, at the very least, keep tonight's contest close enough to cover with what I feel to be a generous spread. Cincinnati is 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS. The winner will take seventh spot in the Maui Jim Invitational. The Cardinals are coming off a 70-38 loss to Texas Tech. Jae'lyn Withers led the way in a losing cause with seven points and five boards. Cincinnati is coming off an 81-53 blwout loss to Ohio State as a 3-point underdog. The early numbers for both teams have been terrible. I think these teams are definitely evenly matched. In a contest that I see being decided late though, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-23-22 | Bruins v. Panthers -102 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* PANTHERS (EXPRESS) Boston is 17-2. That's ridiculous. The Bruins are going to get hit hard by regression, and that decline starts here and now in my opinion. They're off the 5-3 win at Tampa on Monday, but after this they return home for five straight tough games vs. Carolina, Tampa Bay, Colorado and Vegas. I think Boston finally gets caught looking ahead. The Panthers play with revenge as well after a 5-3 loss to the Bruins back in mid-October (note that Florida is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss to an opponent.) In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Florida! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-22 | Rangers v. Kings -103 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
10* LA Kings (ASSASSIN) I think the Rangers are getting too much respect on the road here. They're off the 2-1 win at San Jose, but with a game at Anaheim tomorrow, they'll have to be careful to not look ahead. The Kings are 11-8-2, but they've lost three of their last four. They'll be desperate to get back into the winner's circle here after a 3-2 OT loss at Seattle last time out. The Kings are 6-3-1 at home and I think the offer tremendous value in this spot; the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-22 | Lakers +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* Lakers (PACIFIC GAME OF MONTH) The Lakers have been playing a lot better of late, winners of three straight. This is the first game of the year they've played against the Suns. I think LA is still being undervalued here. The Lakers have two straight in San Antonio after this, but I expect the visiting side to take this game very seriously. A quality victory here, with a chance to sweep in San Antonio would then see the Lakers as one of the hottest teams in the league. But one game at a time. The Suns are 10-6. They're coming off a 116-95 win over the Knicks. If we just look at these team's seasonal averages to this point, then the obvious choice here would be to grab the Suns. But the season is a dynamic/fluid one, and things change. The Lakers are a better team now than at the start of the year and I expect them to come out swinging with their best shot tonight; grab the points the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-22 | Bowling Green +6.5 v. Ohio | Top | 14-38 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (MAC GOW) Ohio has its sights set on the Conference title game, and I think could stumble here with the finish line in sight. Bowling Green became eligible last week at 6-5 after beating Toledo 42-35 as a 15-point underdog. The Green Falcons did it on the road as well. Ohio is off the 32-18 win at Ball State. Ohio is the better team, but Bowling Green comes in with a lot of momentum. I think this is a factor that the oddsmakers often have a hard time properly quantifying into a line, and that's the case here in this one tonight. While the outright is possible, I'm going to suggest to grab as many points as you can; the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-22 | Tenn-Martin +4 v. Arkansas State | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
8* Tennessee Martin (SPECIAL) The Tennessee Martin Skyhawks are 3-3, and the Arkansas State Red Wolves are 2-2. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TN-Martin is coming off a win over Prairie View, while Arkansas State is off a loss to UC Davis. The Skyhawks had 43 second-half points in their last win, I think they can keep that offensive momentum rolling here against a Red Wolves side that just lost 75-60 to UC Davis. The Skyhawks have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright, but as stated off the top, grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-22-22 | Australia +1.5 v. France | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
8* Australia +1.5 goals (TOP PLAY) The way this Tournament has started, I wouldn't be completely shocked if the Australians pulled out the outright upset here. That said, I think in a game that could be a lot tighter than most are expecting, the best value here is to grab the underdog on the +1.5 ATS line for the game. France is looking to defend its World title, but it comes into the Tournament injured. The Socceroos are looking to end three straight opening round losses. France has looked absolutely terrible over the last year. That's been in part to off-field distractionss and injuries. These teams met in the group stage four years ago, and France won 4-1. Australia is a better team since then, while the French are worse; the play is the Socceroos ATS! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-22 | Golden Knights v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vegas/Vancouver (WEST-CONF TOW) For a couple of different reasons, I believe this late West Coast contest will be a very defensive affair, rather than a wide-open shootout. Vegas is 14-4-1, but it's lost three of its last four. That includes a 4-3 OT setback at Edmonton on Saturday night. The Knights return home after this for three straight. Vancouver is just 6-9-2-1, but it's now won two straight. Most recently it was a 4-1 victory at home over LA on Friday night (note that Vancouver has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five when playing with two or more days of rest.) This is an important game for each side, and I expect this intensity to result in a classic hard-hitting, lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* 49ers/Cardinals UNDER (ASSASSIN) Here's a game being played in Mexico City. The 49ers are a big favorite here, but it's not because of QB Jimmy Garopolo. The 49ers have a great defense and run game, and I expect to see a heavy dose of that from the 49ers this evening as they try to contain Kyler Murray and turn this Cards' offense one-dimensional. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I say the value has now swung the other way. The NFC West is wide open. This is in fact a really important game on many levels. San Fran has also seen the total go under in six of its last seven after a SU win, while Arizona has interestingly seen the total go under the number in nine of its last ten Monday Night contests. These QB's are not dynamic. They're mediocre. Look for special teams and field position to prove to be critical for the winner of this contest; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* BULLS (GOW) Here's a perfect spot for Chicago to avenge an earlier loss to the Celtics. Chicago is off a 108-107 home loss to Orlando as an 8.5-point favorite. The Bulls will be risking life and limb to try and snap a four-game slide tonight, especially with a very tough six-game road trip that starts on Wednesday in Milwaukee. Boston is 13-3. It's off a 117-109 road win at New Orleans. But with a night off after this, followed by a very favorable six-game home-stand, this sets up as a classic "trap" game for the visiting side in my opinion; the outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points with the Bulls! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-22 | Rhode Island +10 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (NON-CONF GOW) These teams are closing out the first round of the Cayman Islands Classic on Monday night. Rhode Island is 1-2, and it's coming off its first win of the season in 74-64 victory over Stonehill. K-State is 3-0, most recently handling Kansas City by a score of 69-53. Rhode Island has some talent in players like Abdou Samb, averaging over ten points per game in the early going. The Cougars are only allowing 55.3 PPG, which is the lowest in the country so far, but that's been in part due to the level of competition it's faced. Markquis Nowell averages 3.3 steals per game for the Wildcats. Rhode Island isn't going to win this game, but I expect the Rams to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-21-22 | Wales v. United States UNDER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (Wales/USA) Wales makes its first appearance at a World Cup in 64 years. The USA is back in the World Cup after missing out in 2018. Both teams squeaked into the Tournament. The USA has failed to beat a European team in nine straight tries in the World Cup, and they could have a difficult time here vs. Wales. Wales hasn't won a friendly or any match at all since qualifying with a 1-0 win over Ukraine. England is favored to win this group. Everything points to the being a "war of attrition," and I expect that to result in a very defensive, lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-22 | Spurs v. Lakers -7 | Top | 92-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) I think this is a good spot for LA. The Lakers are just 4-10, which includes going 4-5 at home. They're off back-to-back home victories, taking down the Nets 116-103 and the Pistons 128-121. San Antonio is just 6-11 and it's coming off a 119-97 loss here just last night to the Clipper. Fatigue's an issue for the Spurs at this point of the season. They'll get caught looking ahead here to two nights off before a home game against the Pelicans. The Lakers can take advantage and I believe they will; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 103 h 53 m | Show |
10* OVER Chiefs/Chargers. For a number of different reasons, I'm expecting a wide-open "shootout," instead of a lower-scoring defensive "battle." Kansas City is 7-2 and LA is 5-4. The Chiefs are off a 27-17 win over Jacksonville at home last weekend. KC has seen the total go "under" the number in two straight, but it's still the highest scoring team in the league in averaging 30 PPG. This is a rematch, as KC won the first game at home between the division rivals by a score of 27-24 as a four-point favorite. That one actually went "under" the number of 54 set in that contest. Tonight's total is significantly lower, but now it's a bit too low in my opinion. My UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR came last weekend in the Chargers 22-16 loss/cover against the 49ers as 6.5-point underdogs. LA is still second in the division and it's seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. The national stage is set for a "shootout," not a defensive battle; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 48.5 | Top | 40-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
10* under Cowboys/Vikings (ASSASSIN) This is an interesting game. The Cowboys are favored for a second straight week as the visiting side. Last week Dallas fell 31-28 in OT at Green Bay as a four-point favorite. Suspect play calling down the stretch cost the Cowboys the victory. Now they head to Minnesota as a slight 1.5-point favorite to face an 8-1 Vikings team that comes home after an emotional 33-30 OT win at Buffalo as a 6.5-point underdog. We saw some high-scoring games last weekend, but I'm anticpating a much more defensive affair this time around in Minnesota, with each side committed to establishing the run while on offense; it's a great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Nebraska -20 | Top | 58-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BLOWOUT BOB) For a number of different reasons I expect Nebraska to blowout Arkansas-Pine Bluff this afternoon. The Golden Lions are 1-5. They average 65 PPG. They're off a 67-58 loss at Cleveland State. Nebraska is now 2-1 after a 70-50 loss at St. John's as a 9.5-point underdog. The Huskers average 68 PPG. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS win. Nebraska on the other hand is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 home games vs. teams with losing road records. Look for the Huskers to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as I expect the Golden Lions offense to struggle here; lay the points, the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-20-22 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 31-18 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
8* Lions (LATE INFO) Detroit's played well lately, and I expect it to keep the momentum rolling here. The Lions have won two straight, beating the Packers 15-9 at home as four-point underdogs, and then last week they held on for the 31-30 OT win at Chicago as three-point underdogs. Scoring hasn't been an issues for the Lions, as they average 24.3 PPG, ranked ninth. The Giants average just 20.8 PPG. They're coming off a 24-16 home win over Houston as 4.5-point favorites. Both teams have tough upcoming games on Thanksgiving Thursday, with Detroit playing Buffalo and New York facing the Cowboys. This is a contrarian selection, but I say the value has indeed swung in favor of this suring Lions' offense; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-22 | Jazz v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) As primarily a situational handicapper, this is type of "situation" that I am constantly looking out for. Here's a great play against Utah, which moved to 11-6 after last night's tight 134-133 home win over the Suns. Utah opened as a 2.5-point dog, and closed as a 1-point favorite. The Jazz though had lost three straight coming into that one, and they also played with revenge after an earlier setback to Phoenix. But now Utah comes to Portland fatigued on the second game of the back-to-back. Portland is 10-5 after a 109-107 home loss to Brooklyn as a 2.5-point favorite. With a tough four-game Eastern swing starting at Milwaukee on Monday, the Blazers will be looking to take advantage of familiar surroundings tonight. Look for the Blazers to bounce back and to take advantage of this "tired" Jazz side; lay the short points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-22 | San Jose State v. Utah State +2.5 | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 105 h 2 m | Show |
10* Utah State (MW GOY) San Jose State is 6-3. It's eligible. It's coming off a 43-27 lss at SDSU. The Spartans average 27.1 PPG. They have a much "easier" game at home to end the season against Hawaii next weekend. Utah State is 5-5. It averages 22.1 PPG. It's coming off a much-needed 41-34 win at Hawaii last weekend. With a game at conference leading Boise State to end the season, this becomes a "must win" for Utah State if it hopes to go "Bowling." It's a great situational play here. Utah State will carry over its offensive momentum from last week and while I clearly believe the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Utah State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-22 | UAB +15.5 v. LSU | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
8* UAB (SITUATIONAL ROUT) Outright win? I'm not calling for that. But everything point to a solid cover for the non-conference visiting side in my opinion. The Blazers are now 5-5 and in need of one more victory to become bowl eligible after last week's 41-21 rout of UNT as a 6.5-point favorite. The Blazers average 32 PPG, and they'll have one last shot to reach the six-win plateau next week at 3-7 Louisiana Tech. LSU is 8-2, and 5-1 at home. It'll be cautious to overlook its potentially dangerous opponent. The Tigers average 32.6 PPG, but with back-to-back tough road games at Texas A&M and Georgia in the SEC Championship, there's no doubt that this also sets up as a "letdown/lookahead" position for the home side. It's a trap! Grab the points, the play is UAB! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-22 | Bryant v. Florida International +3 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
10* FIU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are 2-1. Bryant is averaging 77.5 PPG and allowing 44.5. The Bulldogs competition to this point has to be called into question though. FIU has so far averaged 82 PPG, while allowing 82.3. The Bulldogs just got crushed by FAU on the road though. One of their two wins was against a division 2 opponent. FIU is definitely not as good as FAU, but the Golden Panthers are shooting the ball well right now, and I expect that to be a difference-maker here at home; grab the points, the play is Florida International! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-19-22 | Georgia Tech +21 v. North Carolina | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
8* Georgia Tech (SPECIAL) At this time of the year, it's all about betting "situations." This is a great situational play in my opinion. The Yellow Jackets are 4-6 with two games remaining. After playing at UNC, they finish the year at Georgia. The Yellow Jackets' bowl hopes end tonight, but I believe they go down fighthing. Ultimately though I expect UNC to take the foot off the gas in the second half. The Tar Heels are ranked 13th at 9-1 and they're off a tighter than expected 36-34 road win at Wake Forest as a 4.5-point underdog. UNC though has two more games left to go, including at home against NC State next week, followed by the AAC Championship game against Clemson. UNC takes the foot off the gas in the second half here, and the Yellow Jackets comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is GT! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-22 | South Florida v. Tulsa OVER 57.5 | Top | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
10* OVER USF/Tulsa. What does either team have to lose here, except another game?! With nothing on the line, even the chance to play spoiler, I look for a wide-open offensive affair, rather than an intense defensive one. Teh Bulls have lost eight in a row. Last time out they fell 41-23 to SMU. I'm envisioning a similar final combined score here as well. The Golden Hurricane enter on a three-game losing streak, most recently falling 26-10 at Memphis. Tulsa is a huge favorite here in its final home game of the season. It'll be an underdog next week in Houston. Both teams can score. USF averages 25.5 PPG, while Tulsa averages 28.2. I expect each to exceed their season offensive averages tonight; this total is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-22 | Heat v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | Top | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Heat/Wizards. For a number of different reasons I'm expecting a lower-scoring battle in this one. Miami is 7-8 and Washington is 8-7. The Heat are just 1-4 on the road, and the Wizards are 5-4 at home. Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in five straight now after a 112-104 loss at Toronto in its last outing. It had won three-straight at home previous. Regardless, it's still significant to note here for us as the Heat have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Wizards look to regroup after falling 121-120 at home to OKC as five-point favs. Despite the higher-scoring game, note that the Wizards still only average 108.9 PPG, ranked 25th. I anticipate a very defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-18-22 | Lafayette v. Maryland-Baltimore County -1 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
10* UMBC (LATE INFO PLAY) These are two bad teams, but this is a matchup that I believe favors UMBC. Lafayette is 0-3 and UMBC is 1-2. The Leopards are off a 63-59 loss to Saint Joseph's. CJ Fulton is the leading scorer with an average of 13.3 PPG. Overall Lafeyette averages 60.3 PPG. The Retreivers are off a 94-64 loss to Princeton. Colton Lawrence leads the nightly charge for UMBC by averaging 14.7 points per game. UMBC is averaging 74.3 PPG. The Retreivers are also 5-1 ATS their last six at home. The Leopards are overvalued here on the road and getting too much respect from bettors after starting the season 3-0 ATS. Look for UMBC to take care of business here; lay the short points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -3 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
10* PACKERS (GOW) I think Aaron Rodgers and the Packers turned a corner in last week's 31-28 OT win at home over Dallas. Now 4-6 and in second in the NFC North, I believe Rodgers is the correct call here on the short wek at home. The Titans are off the 17-10 home win over Denver, but after eight straight ATS covers, I say Tennessee is getting too much respect here now on the road vs. the desperate home side. Green Bay's defense is underrated as well, allwoing 21.6 points and 320.3 YPG. I think Green Bay is the correct call here; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-17-22 | SMU v. Tulane -3.5 | Top | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
10* Tulane (ASSASSIN) SMU is 6-4 and Tulane is now 8-2 after falling 38-31 to UCF last week. Tulane does still have a shot at a New Year's Six bowl, so there's still lots on the line for Tulane this weekend as well. SMU has reeled off three straight wins. Its offense has looked great in the victories, scoring 163 points, which included a 77-63 win over Houston two weeks ago. And then last week's 41-23 victory at home over USF as well. But this would appear to be a classic trap or letdown spot after becoming bowl eligible last weekend. The SMU offense has been great, but the defense has been terrible. Tulane is tied with Cincinnati for second in the AAC ahead of their meeting next weekend. The Wave simply can't afford to look past their opponent today. The big question here is if this normally stout Tulane defense can bounce back after last weekend's atypical performance. This hasn't been a great spot for SMU bettors, as the Mustangs are just 1-3 against the spread as an underdog this season (in fact SMU has lost all four games outright as an underdog as well this year.) UCF's defense is a lot better than SMU's. The Green Wave have a balanced offense, which includes a top 40 red zone touchdown percentage. This is a much better matchup for Tulane's defense this week. It's also a better matchup for its offense. SMU's defense is just downright terrible, it simply can't stop anyone. And yes, SMU's offense has looked great over the last three games, but the three defenses it's faced in those victories are all outside the top 100 on the defensive side of the ball; I expect the Green Wave to get back on track in this favorable matchup, so lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-17-22 | Flames v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Flames/Lightning (SPECIAL) Neither team has been great this year. Each is need of a win. Calgary is 7-6-2, while Tampa is 9-6-0-1. While they're off a high-scoring 6-5 home win over LA, I expect a much more defensive game from the Flames here on the road. Calgary averages 3.13 GPG, while allowing 3.33. Tampa is off a 5-4 OT home win over Dallas in its last outing. Tampa averages just 3.38 GPG, while allowing 3.25. This is the opener of six straight on the road for the Flames, all tough games as well, facing Florida, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Washington and Carolina. Calgary will look to double down defensively here in the opener. I expect a very defensive affair; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-16-22 | Warriors +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) The defending champs have so far struggled with consistency, as they're 6-8 overall. They're coming off a much-needed 132-95 home win over the Spurs as nine-point favorites. I like to go against lop-sided trends and numbers, and so that's the case here for sure in this pick. I like the Warriors in this game for a couple reasons. The first being that if the Warriors have any hopes of repeating as champions this season, they're going to have to actually win a game on the road. This is now just ridiculous, as Golden State is actually 0-7 on the road. I say that string of futility comes to an end today. Suns' fans can empathize though, as Phoenix is 2-4 at home 6-1 at home this season. The Suns are off a tight 113-112 loss at Miami. Clearly they won't be looking past the Warriors today, but Golden State plays with the added incentive of "REVENGE" here today, as it lost 134-105 to the Suns in their most recent matchup on October 25th. The Warriors are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine when trying to avenge a straight-up and against the spread loss of 20 or more points. Phoenix averages 112.5 PPG. The Warriors are averaging 117.4; I'm grabbing the points and GOLDEN STATE in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-16-22 | Southern Indiana v. Notre Dame -14.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Notre Dame (BLOOD-BATH) Southern Indiana is 1-1 and Notre Dame is 2-0. The Screaming Eagles are off an upset 71-53 home win over Southern Illinois as a ten-point underdog. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? It was a greart victory, but let's not get ahead of ourselves here. The Screaming Eagels are still ranked fourth in the weak Ohio Valley Conference. The Irish are off an 88-81 win over Youngstown State. ND has yet to cover a spread this season, but that's only helped in driving today's line a few points lower that it normally would/should be. I'm taking advantage. this is a total mismatch. Look for the Irish to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Notre Dame! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State OVER 59 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL ANNIHILATION) For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fly "over" the number. EMU is now 6-4 and bowl eligible after its 34-28 road win at Akron last week. The Eagles though still have an outside shot at the league championship, so they won't be taking the foot off the gas here. Overall EMU averages 27.7 PPG. Kent State averages 28.7. The Flashes needed a big performance last week and they delivered in their 40-6 road win at Bowling Green. Now 4-6, Kent will have tonight, as well as next week vs. Buffalo to become eligible. One game at a time though. I don't see a lot of defense being played here. Each team is going to be aggressive and I expect this faster-paced affair to fly "over" the number before the final whistle sounds! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-22 | Dayton v. UNLV +5 | Top | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNLV (BOB) Both teams are 2-0. Dayton beat SMU on Friday by a score of 74-62, while UNLV got the better of Incarnate Word by a score of 88-63. The Flyers didn't have their best outing, but still managed to win last time out: ''The thing that impressed me most was that they stayed poised,'' Dayton coach Anthony Grant said. ''This was a back-and-forth, highly contested game. I think we had at one point a 13-point lead in the second half that they erased. I think our guys understood what they needed to do. They didn't get rattled.” They only shot 30.8 percent from range in the victory. UNLV shot 55.4 percent overall in its latest win. But UNLV head coach Kevin Kruger was more impressed with the defensive effort: "I thought it was a really great effort defensively. Again, forcing 25 turnovers is what gets things going for us. I'm really proud and happy for them. We shot it well, shared the ball, got it in the paint, kicked it out, swung it, drove it - a lot of good plays for each other. We were able to get downhill and get to the free throw line, so that's going to have to be our M.O. offensively, just sharing it, driving and kicking, relocating, but all-in-all I thought it was a pretty good night for us." I think these teams are evenly matched for the most part and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points; the play is UNLV! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-22 | Clippers v. Mavs -7 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are 8-6 and the Mavericks are 7-5. LA is off a 122-106 win at Houston just last night, but I expect the Clippers to come in fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. LA only averages 105.2 PPG. Dallas averages 110.5. The Mavericks are coming off a 117-112 home win over Portland. Dallas has failed to cover the spread in nine straight games, but I expect this lop-sided trend to end here in this favorable matchup. Look for LA to pack up its tents and throw in the white flag early in this one; lay the points, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-15-22 | Ohio v. Ball State +4 | Top | 32-18 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Ball State (MAC GOW) This is a big game for both teams. Ohio is 8-3, while Ball State needs one more win to become bowl eligible at 5-5. The Bobcats are 2-3 on the road and the Cardinals are 3-2 at home. Ball State fell 28-21 at Toledo last weekend, going on to cover with the large 13.5-point spread. Ohio earned the 27-21 win at Miami Ohio as a 2-point favorite. The Bobcats are tied with Toledo now for the conference lead, so they have their "eyes on the prize" as far as the conference championship is concerned. That said, this is Ball State's final home game of the year, before a tough final game at Miami Ohio next week to finish things off. This one sets up great for Ball State from a situtional stand-point. I do think the outright win is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is indeed on Ball State! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-22 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | Top | 95-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Spurs/Warriors (WEST-CONF TOW) This one sets up as a classic "shootout" in my opinion. San Antonio is 6-7 this year, while the defending champs are just 5-8. The Spurs are off a 11-93 win at home over Milwaukee, which is significant to note here in our case, as San Antonio has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 95 or fewer points in. This is the opener of a really tough road trip for San Antonio, with a game Portland tomorrow night, followed by the Kings, the Clippers and Lakers. The Warriors have clearly been "out of sync" this season. They're off a 122-115 loss at Sacramento. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight, but I expect the Warriors to bounce back offensively against this suspect San Antonio defense. This one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-22 | Monmouth +27.5 v. Illinois | Top | 65-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Monmounth-NJ (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Outright victory? Of course not. I just think the Illini will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the Hawks the opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that they've been afforded in this one. Illinois is off an 86 to 48 win over Kansas City as a 25.5-point favorite. But with a game at Maryland up next, followed by Texas, I say this is a bit of a look-ahead spot as well for the home side. Monmouth is 0-2. It fell 89-42 at Virginia last time out as a a 24.5-point underdog, but it matches up much better with Illinois. But as I said, no outright here, but the conditions are definitely right for a much tighter battle than what this spread would initially indicate; that flips the value to the undervalued underdog, so grab the points with Monmouth! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-14-22 | Commanders v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Philly (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles are 8-0 and the last thing they'll want to do is to lose focus in this home divisional contest. Divisional contests are always the most important, and they're almost always more important to the home side. The Eagles are 5-3 ATS this year. They're averaging 28.1 PPG, which ranks second overall. They've had a week off since a trap-avoiding 29-17 win at Houston two weeks ago. The Commanders on the other hand are 4-5 and they're coming off a heart-breaking 20-17 loss at home to Minnesota last weekend. Washington averages 17.7 PPG, which ranks 27th. The road ahead has become a favorable one for the Eagles. There won't be too many though where they're favored by this much. Philadelphia doesn't need to run up the score here to win this game. I can't see the Commanders mustering up much offense here, but I'm still nervous about laying a double-digit spread as well. That makes the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-22 | Eastern Washington +6.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* Eastern Washington (ASSASSIN) While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. Eastern Washington is 0-2 to open the season, so the Eagles will be super motivated here to try and snap the slide. THey lost 74-60 to a better Yale team last time out. Steele Venters led the way with 15 points for Eastern Washington. Hawaii is coming off a 72-54 home win over Mississippi Valley State, unable to cover the large 25.5-point spread. I think the Warriors are overvauled here again today vs. the Eagles as well, despite the much smaller point spread. Eastern Washington is 37-15-1 ATS in its last 53 road games and 23-3 ATS in its last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. In a contest that I seeing coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Eastern Washington! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-22 | Chargers +7 v. 49ers | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 104 h 57 m | Show |
10* Chargers (UNDERDOG GOY) Everyone and their dog will be on San Francisco this weekend. The Chargers are 5-3 this year, including 3-1 on the road. The 49ers are 4-4, including 2-1 at home. LA is injured, but it managed to rally and hold on for a big win over an improved Falcons team. Winning in the NFL is hard. No matter who you play against. ATL has come a long way this season and so the fact that Justin Herbert was able to rally his team for the victory, with a depleted receiving corps is impressive to me. The Chargers are right behind KC at 6-2 for the division lead. Yes, San Francisco comes out of its bye week healthier now than it's been in a long time, but chemistry is still an issue on offense, despite the talent it has. The Chargers have a tough game at home against Kansas City next week. Theyll be an underdog at home in that one. This is a game that the Chargers can't look past. San Fran though? It has a divisional game as well next weekend, but it's across the pond in England against the Cardinals. I say this one comes down to whichever team has it hands on the ball last; grab the points, the play is the Chargers! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-22 | Jazz v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/76ers. For a number of different reasons, I expect a defensive affair here between these non-conference opponents. The bottom line is I just don't think the 76ers can get into a shoot-out with the red hot Jazz and win this game. Their offense is going to have to be run through Embiid. Also note that each team played just last night. Utah fell 121-112 in the nation's capital, while Philadelphia held on for a 121-109 win over the Hawks here at home. Despite that win though, note that the 76ers are only averaging 108.8 PPG, ranked 25th. Expect fatigue to be a factor here; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers +4.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
8* Packers (SPECIAL) This is a "must win" game for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers on a whole bunch of different levels. Green Bay is now 3-6 after a 15-9 loss at Detroit last weekend as a 4-point favorite. Dallas has been off for two weeks, last hammering Chicago 49-29 as a 10.5-point favorite at home. With a divisional contest at Minnesota next weekend, this one sets up as a look-ahead spot in a small way for the visitors. I'm banking on Rodgers stepping up here and willing his team to a victory here though. He's in unchartered territory here, but he's a winner. The outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points; the play is the Packers! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-13-22 | Broncos v. Titans OVER 39 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
10* Broncos/Titans OVER (NON-CONF TOM) Denver has struggled with offensive consistency all year, but I still think this total is much too low. The Broncos are only averaging 15.1 PPG, but they're off a crucial 21-17 win over the Jaguars in England two weeks ago and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas offensively here against the Titans. The Titans won't be lacking for motivation here either after their 20-17 OT loss at Kansasa City last weekend. Despite only averaging 18.6 PPG this year, note that Tennessee has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/trends/numbers, all points to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -5 | Top | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (ASSASSIN) The Blazers are 9-3, while the Mavericks are 6-5. The Blazers are off a 106-95 outright road win at New Orleans as nine-point underdogs, but I think they'll finally stumble here on Saturday in this difficult road venue. After this the Blazers have two nights off, followed by two home games vs. the Spurs and Nets, so this sets up as a natural "look ahead" position for the visiting side. Dallas is off a disappointing 113-105 road loss in the nation's capital as a 6-point favorite, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was favored. This is a stretch of five straight home games for the Mavericks, and I expect an "all hands on deck" performance here to open it up; lay the points, the play is indeed on Dallas! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-22 | Illinois State -5.5 v. Northwestern State | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (BLOOD-BATH) The Redbirds are 1-1, including 1-0 on the road. They're 0-2 ATS, but I expect them to not only win today, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Overall Illinois State is averaging 61 PPG, while allowing 60. Luke Kasuble is the man to keep your eyes on tonight, he's so far averaging 16 points. Nortwestern State is 1-1, and 1-0 at home. The Demons are averaging 64 points and allowing 63. Isaac Haney leads the way with 17.5 opints and seven boards. The Redbirds are better defensively in the early going, and I think they matchup well here. Look for Illinois State to pull away for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 65 | Top | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 73 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Alabama/Ole Miss (SEC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much more defensive affair here this weekend finally. Alabama is now 7-3, while Ole Miss is 8-1. Bama lost a heart-breaking OT game in LSU last weekend by a score of 32-31 as a 13.5-point favorite. Ole Miss is off a tight 31-28 win at Texas A&M. Georgia's now in control of the SEC at 9-0. Ole Miss is actually coming off its bye week, so it's fully prepared here. Also remember, the last time the Tide lost this year, the following week they came out and destroyed Mississippi State by a score of 30-6. I think Alabama will double down here defensively as it looks to control all facets in this bounce back opportunity. LSU will also be looking to hold onto the ball as much as possible while on offense. When you add it all up, I definitely believe this Over/Under line is a few points higher than it normally would/should be; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-22 | North Texas v. UAB -5.5 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
10* UAB (ASSASSIN) UNT is now bowl eligible after crushing FIU by a score of 52-14 at home last weekend. While 4-1 at home though, the Mean Green are just 2-3 on the road. UAB is 4-5 and it needs two more wins to become eligible, with three games remaining. Last weekend it lost 44-38 at home to UTSA in OT. The Blazers though are 4-1 at home and I'm expecting them to bounce back here. Note that UNT is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after a SU/ATS home win of 30 or more points. Look for UNT to suffer a classic mental "letdown" here after last week's bowl-eligibility clinching victory, and expect UAB to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-22 | Arizona State +10 v. Washington State | 18-28 | Push | 0 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Arizona State (ANNIHILATION) Here's a great situational play, with Arizona State at 3-6 and needing to run the table to try and become eligible. WSU on the other hand is 5-4 and needing one more win to become eligible. And with two much tougher games against Washington and Arizona upcoming, this is a crtical game for both sides. But I think the pressure is more on the Cougars here and I believe they're going to struggle to cover this larger spread. ASU is off a 50-36 home loss to UCLA. The Sun Devils can score, averaging 28.1 PPG. WSU is off the big 52-14 win at Stanford, but it still is averaging just 26.8 PPG. WSU's defense is superior, but ASU's unit catches a break this weekend. I expect a much tighter game than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is ASU! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-22 | Rice +13.5 v. Western Kentucky | 10-45 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
8* Rice (SPECIAL) Here's a great situational play. Rice is a big underdog here, but at 5-4 it needs one more victory to become eligible. The Owls are coing off a solid 37-30 win and cover at home over UTEP. The Owls average 30 PPG, which is ranked 59th. WKU is now eligible at 6-4 after its big 59-7 win over Charlotte last weekend. Next week is the Hilltoppers' bye week, followed by a game at FAU to end the regular season. I say this sets up as a look-ahead/letdown spot for the home side, and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game!" WKU averages 37.2 PPG, but I expect a small mental letdown here after last week's victory. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Rice! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-12-22 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia OVER 41 | 37-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
8* OVER Pitt/UVA (BLOWOUT) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Pittsburgh is 5-4, while UVA is 3-6. The Panthers are favored here and are on the cusp of eligibility. They're off a 19-9 home win over Syracuse, but they've seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS victory in which they held their opponent to ten or less points in. UVA is 3-6 after last week's tight 31-28 setback to UNC. The Cavs are now not going to be able to make a bowl, but they can play spoiler. Look for the home side to open up the playbook here and for the Panthers to match pace; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-22 | Wolves +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 103-114 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* Wolves (ASSASSIN) I think an outright victory is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Minnesota is now just 5-7 after its 129-117 home loss to Phoenix. This is the opener of a difficult four-game road trip for the Wolves, so it's all hands on deck for Minnesota tonight. The Grizzlies are 8-4 after their 124-122 OT win at San Antonio on Wednesday. The Grizz hit the road for a two-game road trip starting on Sunday. I think the road is a good place for the underachieving Wolves right now after they just went 1-3 at home. Look for Minnesota to fight and scrap and claw its way to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover; grab the play, the play is the Wolves! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati OVER 51.5 | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER ECU/Cincinnati. Both teams are eligible, but each is looking for more victories. ECU is off a 27-24 win over BYU as a three-point underdog. The Pirates average 32.6 PPG. They're coming off B2B wins, but each game has gone "under" the number. I expect those lower-scoring trends to end here this evening though against a Cincinnati team that's coming off a tougher than expected 20-10 home win over Navy last week. The Bearcats though average 33.2 PPG. Cincinnati has now seen the total go UNDER in five straight, which is significant to note here, as the Bearcats have in fact seen the total go OVER in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight UINDERS in a row. I think this number is now a bit too low, so the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-11-22 | Houston v. St. Joe's +22.5 | Top | 81-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
10* Saint Joseph's (BEST OF BEST) The Houston Cougars are 1-0 oafter an 83-36 win over Northern Colorado. While that was a "cake walk," I expect the Hawks to put up more of a fight here. This is Saint Joseph's first game of the season, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up. Houston utterly blew out UNC, with Marcus Sasser leading the way with 21 points. Last year Houston finished with a 26-5 regular season record and it averaged 75.8 PPG. The Hawks finished 11-19 overall last year. They averaged 67.6 PPG. Ejike Obinna is 6 foot 10 and he averaged 12.1 points and 7.9 boards per game last season. He'll play a bigger role this year. The Cougars are going to move to 2-0 after this game, but this is WAY too many points to be giving up to what I predict will be a slightly improved Saint Joseph's team this season; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-22 | Predators +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Nashville puckline (BLOOD-BATH) I base my picks on many different things. I think the hungry Predators offer up great value here on the puckline from a situational stand-point. The Predators were coming off B2B road wins, before falling 5-1 at Seattle on Tuesday. They catch the defending champs at a good time though, as Colorado returns home after a stint in Europe. The Avs beat Columbus in two games, but they've been off since November 5th. I expect this extra time off to throw a "monkey wrench" into the chemistry. Rest will lead to "rust" and Nashville will, at the very least, earn a solid ATS pucklne cover! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* Panthers (ASSASSIN) In a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has it hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Carolina is just 2-7, while Atlanta is slightly better at 4-5. ATL is just 1-3 on the road, most recently falling 20-17 to the Chargers on Sunday. The Panthers are off a 42-21 loss to a now red hot Bengals team. Atlanta comes in disappointed, as it had the lead going into the fourth-quarter in its last game, and now it has a quick turnaround here. ATL narrowly edged the Panthers in the first matchup less than two weeks ago, so the immediate revenge factor comes into play here for Carolina. The Falcons are 32nd against the pass, so that'll give PJ Walker some opportunties on his home field today. These teams are indeed evenly matched, but with the majority of the money on ATL, I'm going contrarian here today as well; grab the points, the play is Carolina! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-22 | Blazers v. Pelicans -6.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (EXPRESS) Portland is off a satisfying 105-95 win at Charlotte just last night, so I'm predicting a letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. New Orleans is off a game last night as well, winning 115-111 at Chicago. This Pelicans team averages 118.2 PPG, while the Blazers average just 109.4. Note as well the the Blazers are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight off a SU/ATS road victory and then playing the second game of a B2B scenario. Look for New Orleans to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-22 | Tulsa +6.5 v. Memphis | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (GOW) The Tigers are 4-5, and the Golden Hurricanes are 3-6. Tulsa will have to run the table to become eligible, while Memphis is now running out of time. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Tulsa has lost two in a row, most recently fall 27-13 to Tulane. Braylon Braxton had 146 passing yards and a TD. Last year Tulsa was in the same position, needing three wins to become eligible, and it did just that. Memphis comes in with zero momentum after four straight losses. Most recently it was a heart-breaking 35-28 loss to UCF. Seth Henigan had 284 passing yards and a TD. But with a defense that is allowing 412 yards per game, I just don't trust the home side to cover this spread; grab thep points, the play is Tulsa! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-10-22 | UMass Lowell v. Columbia +7 | Top | 89-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Columbia (NON-CONF GOM) UMass is 1-0 after its 108-43 destruction of Fisher College. Obviously, we have to take the victory with a "grain of salt." Columbia is 0-1 after a 75-35 loss to Rutgers as a 19-point underdog. It's difficult to get a firm read on either team at this point, but I'd say the best plan of action is not to "overreact" to either team's results after the first game. These team's offensive and defensive schemes are similar and in a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Columbia! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-22 | Florida A&M +22 v. Portland | 54-91 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
8* FAMU (SPECIAL) Florida A&M is 0-1, while Portland is 1-0. The Rattlers are off an 80-45 loss to Oregon in their season-opener, but the Pilots are definitely not on the same level as the Ducks. Jordan Chatman and Jordan Tillman combined for 16 points in that one. Portland is off an 89-62 blowout win over Louis and Clark. Vasilije Vucinic and Mike Meadows each had a team-high 18 points. But FAMU is a much better team than Louis & Clark. FAMU is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine on the road and a whopping 10-2 ATS in its last 12 following a SU loss of 20 or more points. I like the Pilots this season, but I expect them to take the proverbial foot off the gas pedal down the stretch; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-22 | Lakers +5 v. Clippers | Top | 101-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ATS BLOWOUT) I really like the way this one sets up for the much hungrier underdog here. Both teams have more questions than answers, but the Lakers have a lot of ground to make up. They're just 2-8. After two straight wins, they're off three straight losses, including twice to Utah and once to Cleveland. The "revenge factor" does come into play here though, as the Lakers lost here at "HOME" to the Clippers in the second game of the season by a score of 103-97. The Clippers have actually won three of their last four. They look a bit better of late, but they're still only averaging 103.8 points per game, which ranks 30th. I'm expecting another really tight game between these two teams. In fact, I think this is a game that the Lakers can win outright. The Clippers aren't scaring anyone these days. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-09-22 | Kent State -2.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
10* KENT STATE (MAC GOY) Kent State is 3-6. It's 0-5 on the road. It's favored here, but will need to "run the table" to become eligible. One game at a time. Bowling Green is off a tight 13-9 win over Western Michigan last week, unable to cover the 5-point spread. The Falcons are now 5-4 with three games remaining. Bowling Green averages 24.9 PPG, while Kent State averages 27.4. The Golden Flashes are off a 27-20 home loss to Ball State. Marquez Coper has 1,013 rushing yards and and nine rushing TD's. Bowling Green was "lucky" to win last time out after turning the ball over three times. Kent State's offense will prove to be the difference-maker here; lay the points, the play is the Golden Flashes! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-08-22 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs -117 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* Leafs (NON-CONF GOW) The Knights are 11-2. They're 6-1 on the road. They're off a 6-4 win at Montreal on Saturday and they have a game at Buffalo on Thursday. Toronto is 7-4-2, including 5-1 at home. The Leafs offense has to get going. They had one of the top offenses in the league last year. This season they're averaging 2.85 GPG, while allowing just 2.62. The Knights are averaging 3.54 GPG, while allowing 2.08. That's No. 1 in the league. Despite how well Las Vegas has played to this point, I still think it's getting too much respect here on the road in this difficult road venue, vs. this really good team. As I mentioned above, the Toronto offense has yet to find its footing this year, but I expect to step up here and to avenge a 3-1 loss in Las Vegas in late October; great value here on Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-08-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron OVER 55.5 | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER EMU/Akron (MAC TOW) For a number of different reasons, I believe this O/U line is a bit too low. Eastern Michigan is 5-4. It's 3-1 on the road. It needs one more win to become bowl eligible. It's coming off a 27-24 loss at home to Toledo, but it averages 27 PPG. Akron is just 1-8. It's off a 27-9 loss to Miami Ohio. It averages just 18.6 PPG. So why the super high total here? Akron is brutal defensively, and the Eagles also give up yards. The Zips will try to play the role of spoiler here for at least one more week. This is in fact Akron's final home game, so expect the team to open up the playbook offensively as it tries to pull off the unlikely upset. And after last week's home loss, look for EMU to keep the foot on the gas from start to finigh. The numbers/trends and the overall situation ALL point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue -26 | Top | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) In the story of David vs. Goliath, David somehow manages to kill the giant. In today's story though, Purdue (the Giant), will take no mercy in my estimation on lowly David (Milwaukee.) This is a talent discrepancy of epic proportions, and because of that I'll suggest a play on Purdue to cover the large spread. 7-foot-4 center Zach Edey will be a difficult matchup issue for the Panthers. Edey averaged 14.4 points and 7.7 boards in just 19 minutes last year. He'll be the focal point this season though. Milwaukee has a new coach in Bart Lundy and 13 new players. The Panthers are picked to finish No. 9 in the Horizon League. Milwaukee is off a satisfying win over the Milwaukee School of Engineering just last night, so expect a complete letdown here today vs. "Goliath." Lay the points, the play is Purdue! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-07-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 116-139 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I think the overachieving Jazz have a classic letdown here. The Lakers come in desperate at 2-7, while the Jazz come in complacent at 8-3. Winning can lead to complacency, and losing leads to desperation. LA is off a 114-100 loss at home to the red hot Cavaliers just last night. Fatigue at this point of the season isn't really a concern. The Lakers do play with the immediate revenge factor though after Utah beat them 130-116 in LA last week. Utah is off a 110-102 win at the Clippers last night, and I believe this younger team will finally have a small letdown here. Especially considering that they hit the road for a tough three-game Eastern swing starting in Atlanta on Wednesday. It's a letdown/look-ahead spot which invariably = "trap game!" The outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Lakers! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams in need of a win collide here on Monday night. A non-conference matchup, but it's one that I think favors the hungrier home side. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Ravens are 5-3, and the Saints are 3-5. New Orleans can move into a three-way tie with Atlanta and Tampa Bay with a win today. Baltimore if off a 27-22 win over Tampa Bay as an underdog, but with its bye week after this, followed by several favorable games to end the season, including at home against Carolina, at Jacksonvillle and at home to Denver on the immediate horizon, I say this sets up as a natural "look ahead" spot. As I said earlier, clearly the outright is in the cards, but let's grab the points; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-07-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* PFW (NON-CONF GOW) I just think this is too many points for Juwan Howard's new team to cover. Yes, leading scorer and rebounder Hunter Dickinson is back again this season, but four of the other five starters are gone. The Wolverines are still ranked No. 22, but I expect some chemistry issues in the early going. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but the Mastadons return an experienced line-up which I think will do some damage here on the National stage. The Mastadons tied for the Horizon League regular season championship last year. They're the co-favorites this year with UNK. Jarred Godfrey was their top player last year, and he returns along with three other starters. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is PFW! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-22 | Panthers v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Ducks (TOTAL EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much tighter defensive battle here on Sunday. Florida is off a 5-4 loss at LA just last night, while Anaheim is off a 5-4 shootout win at San Jose just last night. The Ducks have now seen the total go "over" in four straight, while the Panthers have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five. Fatigue plays a major factor here for both sides in the second game of the B2B scenario. Look for each side to double down defensively and then expect this total to stay well "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 57 h 39 m | Show |
10* Bucs (NFC GOY) Clearly, neither team can be happy with where it's at at the moment. The Rams are 3-4 and the Bucs are 3-5. LA lost a crucial game last week in a 31-14 setback to the Rams and I believe it'll have its hands full here now on the road against this desperate Bucs team. The Rams are in a competitive division, with Seattle leading the way at 5-3. Despite Tampa's recent struggles, it's fortunate to be in second place right now, behind 4-4 Atlanta for the NFC South lead. Injuries since training camp have been the main reason behind Tom Brady and the Bucs' issues this year. Both teams have struggled offensively, and been decent on the defensive end. Tampa's offensive line issues are for sure a problem, but the unit catches a break here facing this inconsistent rams defense. I say this one means so much more to Brady and the home side on so many different levels; it may not be pretty, but I look for Tampa to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (ASSASSIN) We've reached the point of the season where we can look at what teams have done over recent weeks, to help predict what we think will happen in the future. I base my picks on many different things. One factor that I always take into consideration is the "revenge" factor, especially when it comes to divisional matchups. Divisional matchups are always the most important, and they almost always mean more to the home side. And that's the case here in both cases for the Cardinals. Arizona is now 3-5 after its 34-26 loss at Minnesota last weekend. Seattle is 5-3 after its 27-13 win over the Giants at home last weekend. Arizona does indeed play with revenge here after a 19-9 Week 6 loss in Seattle as a 2.5-point favorite. Seattle's been great, but it's overachieving. With a game against Tampa Bay in London next week, this sets up as an unfortunate look ahead spot for the Hawks' organization. I like Murray to settle down here at home and find a way to deliver; the play is Arizona! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-22 | Cavs v. Lakers UNDER 223.5 | Top | 114-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cavs/Lakers (TOTAL EXPRESS) It's pretty crazy to think that the Cleveland Cavaliers are favored on the road in LA against LeBron James and the Lakers, but here we are. The Cavs are 7-1 and the Lakers are 2-6. From a situational stand-point, I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Any time that James plays the Cavaliers, he takes it personally. The fact that they're favored here, won't be sitting well with The King. The Lakers are 2-3 at home, and they'll need to run their offense through their big man AD to win this game in my estimation. That means a lot of half court sets when you're on offense. The Cavs are off a 112-88 destruction of the Pistons. Their defense has been solid. With a game against the Clippers here tomorrow, they'll have to save some gas in the tank. For a number of different reasons, I love the way this one sets up to be a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-06-22 | Colts +6 v. Patriots | 3-26 | Loss | -116 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
8* COLTS (SPECIAL) Both teams desperately need a win. I expect a battle until the final whistle, so because of that, I'm going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Indianapolis is 3-4 after its 17-16 home loss to Washington last week. The Colts are now 3-4-1 and in second place in the AFC South behind 5-2 Tennessee. New England is 4-4 after its 22-17 win and cover at the Jets last weekend. I believe this ultimately sets up as a "trap" for the Patriots though, and we can take advantage. After that big and crucial road win vs. the division leader, they now shift back home (where they're 1-2 this season) to play a non-conference game, before their bye week, followed by the rematch with the Jets at Foxborough. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game. While I do think the outright upset is a possibility, let's grab the points with the Colts! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros. Streaks and records come to an end at some point. Both of these starters has been exceptional up to this point, but now on the biggest stage, I'm expecting some minor regression from both. Zach Wheeler is 1-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.73 WHIP for the Phillies so far in the Playoffs, while his counterpart Framber Valdez has been even better at 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. I just think we're going to see a lot of aggressive offensive tactics from both sides here today, especially obviously from the Phillies. I say this O/U line is now just a bit TOO low. Look for these unbelievable offenses to finally crack these starters and look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-22 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt OVER 48 | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
8* OVER South Carolina/Vandy (SPECIAL) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games, but I expect those trends to end this evening. South Carolina is 5-3 and on the cusp of eligibility. Vanderbilt is 3-5 and in desperate need of victories with four games left in its season. This is the most winnable game for the Commodores, with games upcoming at Kentucky, vs Florida and vs Tennessee. Vanderbilt averages 26.6 PPG, while South Carolina averages 30.2, despite last week's 23-10 home loss to Missouri as a 3.5-point favorite. Off that upset, look for the Gamecocks to push the pace from the outset here. The overall situation points to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-22 | Nets v. Hornets +5.5 | Top | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
10* Hornets (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams comes in off of having played just last night. The Nets destoryed the Wizards by a score of 128-86, while the Hornets got crushed 130-99 at Memphis. It was a great bounce back win for Brooklyn, which really needed something positive at all to lean on with all of the off-court issues, but I'm still not convinced that KD and company have suddenly turned the corner here for good. This one smells of immediate return to the norm for this on again, off again Nets team, that will have to adjust without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. I like Gordon Hayward at home. The Nets are a terrible 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 when playing the second game of a B2B. Both teams are dealing with injuries, and the Hornets will get a lot better when Lonzo Ball and Terry Rozier return. Until then though, I'm expecting this one to come down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-22 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern OVER 60.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER USA/Georgia Southern (CONF. USA TOY) both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting more of an offensive affair in this one finally. USA is now 6-2 after its 31-3 win over Arkansas State last weekend. The Jaguars though average 31.6 PPG, which ranks 54th in the league. USA has a legitimate shot at the Sun Belt title, tied with Troy at 6-2 and CCU just ahead at 7-1. The Jaguars won't be taking the foot off the gas here against 5-3 Georgia Southern, which is off a 28-23 win at Old Dominion. Now just one win away from eligibility, this is a fantastic situational play here this weekend. Georgia Southern averages 36.9 PPG, which ranks 21st in the league and I'm expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish. Look for this contest to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-05-22 | Texas Tech +8.5 v. TCU | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
9* Texas Tech (ASSASSIN) The 4-4 Texas Tech Red Raiders will be looking to pull off the upset here against 8-0 TCU. Do I actually think that'll happen? Well, I do think there's a distinct possibility that the Red Raiders could do just that. Off a 45-17 loss to Baylor, I like Texas Tech to bounce back here. So far the Red Raiders are allowing 29.3 PPG. The fortunate part for Texas Tech is that it's averaging 33.9 PPG, led by QB Donovan Smith, who has 1,505 passing yards and 12 TD's. TCU is averaging 44.3 PPG, led by QB Max Duggan with a 2,212 passing yards, 22 TD's and two INT's. The Horned Frogs are poor defensively though, allowing 27.3 PPG. The pressure here is on the Frogs and now they have to contend with a hungry SEC team that's bigger in the trenches. While I do think an outright is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Texas Tech! AAA Sports | |||||||
11-04-22 | Oregon State v. Washington -4.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* WASHINGTON (PAC 12 GOM) Both teams are 6-2. Oregon State is 2-1 on the road, while Washington is 5-0 at home. I don't think you can underestimate how important home-field advantage is going to be in this contest though. This is an important game, as each team is 3-2 in conference play, so the loser almost assuredly will be out of the running for a PAC 12 title spot. The Beavers come in with momentum after three straight victories, but note that Oregon State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after three or more straight victories ina row. Oregon State is led by Damien Martinez and a ground attack that averages 195 YPG. The defense is decent as well, conceding 22.8 PPG. Washington is off its bye as well. It beat Cal 28-21 last time out. Michael Penix Jr. had 374 yards passing and two TD's. Oregon State stumbled against USC and Utah and I expect the same thing to happen here on the road; lay the points, the play is the Huskies! AAA Sports |
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