Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-22-23 | Jets v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
10* Over Jets/Flyers (TOTAL BOB) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring "unders" of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening in this one. Winnipeg is off the 5-1 win at Ottawa last night and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas in the second game of the back-to-back. The Flyers are off the 2-1 road win at Detroit yesterday, and I expect the exact same thing from Philadelphia, as fatigue goes out the window for each side here on Sunday. This is the first matchup of the year between the clubs, but look for this non-conference game to be less intense defensively, and more wide-open; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 47 | Top | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cowboys/49ers (TOTAL ASSASSIN) Two really good teams here. The first thing you think about when you think about either is the offense though. Brock Purdy and the weapons around him or impressive, but it was the 49ers' defense which sustained the team early and which is the unsung here of this team. The same can be said about Dak Prescott and his offense. However, it's been the Dallas defense which has been consistently under-rated this season. This is going to be a great game, but one that's decided by field position, by which team protects the ball, and by the men in the "trenches" on both sides of the field; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 2 m | Show |
10* Bills (DIVISIONAL GOY) The Bills are the correct call this weekend in my opinion. Say what you want, these teams are almost mirror images of each other. Let's be honest, it would not be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these team's to come out on top and deliver the goods this weekend. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side. You know how each of these team's got to this point and you know what their strengths and weaknesses are. I think the Bills benefit greatly from playing at home in this divisional matchup, and ultimatley I expect this big factor to be the difference-maker in the outcome of this contest. Lay the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-22-23 | Wichita State v. SMU UNDER 136 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wichita State/SMU (AAC TOY) The bottom line here for this one, is that both teams are struggling to score right now, and their defensive metrics far outweigh their offensive numbers. Wichita State's top player only averages 12 PPG. But the Shockers like to play at a slow pace, ranked 304th in pace out of 363 teams in the country. SMU's tempo is only ranked 143rd. SMU will look to utilize its size on offense. That means running the offense through the big men, and that means setting up a lot of "half court sets" while on offense. When you add it all up, this number is indeed high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-23 | Giants v. Eagles -7.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 125 h 49 m | Show | |
8* Eagles (SPECIAL) I like Jalen Hurts and the Eagles this weekend. I like the Eagles here in this spot even if for some reason Hurts doesn't suit up. Philadelphia finished 7-2 at home this year. It averages 28.1 PPG which ranks third. And it's a balanced offense, averaging 241.5 YPG passing and 147.6 YPG rushing. The Defense allows 20.2 PPG, which ranks eighth. The Eagles are extremely opportunistic defensively as well with 27 total takeaways so far, ranked third. Everything went correctly for the Giants last weekend. I just don't see lightning striking twice Daniel Jones. New York averages only 21.5 PPG, ranked 16th. They allow 21.8 PPG, ranked 18th. The Giants are 4-4 SU on the road this year, but a disproportionate 7-1 ATS. I say New York's "bounce back" season comes to an end here behind a methodical approach from the superior Eagles; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-23 | Celtics v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 106-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) All signs point to a Toronto victory here in my opinion. That said, I'll still recommend to grab as many points as you can. Boston has won eight straight now after a 121-118 OT home win over Golden State last time out. That victory though snapped a five-game ATS winning streak, and I believe the C's will have their hands full here as well. With upcoming games at Orlando and Miami, I also think Boston gets caught looking ahead. The Raptors play with revenge here as well after a 116-110 loss to Boston as 1.5 point dogs back in December. The Raptors return home hungry after B2B SU/ATS road losses, most recently falling 128-126 at Minnesota. The Raptors welcome the Knicks to town tomorrow, so this is an opponent tonight that they can ill afford to look past. Clearly, that would never happen. The C's are the cream in the East, but all signs point to a Boston letdown/look-ahead here finally. The hungrier team finds a way at home this evening; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs UNDER 52 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jags/Chiefs (DIVISIONAL TOY) I had the Jaguars last weekend. Do I feel "lucky?!" Of course I do! That said, I don't see lightning "striking twice" for Jacksonville this weekend. Kansas City is 7-1 at home and it scores 29.2 PPG, which is ranked No. 1. I think though that the Chiefs defense is vastly underrated. Especially in the playoffs, and especially at home. I have been a big fan of what Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson have done this year, but I think the "fairy tale" ends this week. I say a big letdown is in order here. Look for the Chiefs to "control" this game and to cruise to a lower-scoring victory; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-23 | Marshall v. Arkansas State +11 | Top | 87-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (ATS BLOODBATH) Marshall is coming off an 81-73 win over Texas State on Thursday. It's now 16-4 overall and 5-2 in conference action. That said, I still think this is a few too many points to be giving up on the road vs. the hungry Arkansas State side which is 9-11 overall and 1-6 in Sun Belt play. Mashall averages 81.6 PPG, while Arkansas State averages 65.7. With ten days off after this before a game vs. App State on February 2nd, I believe this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. The Red Wolves are 8-5 at home and while I'm not calling for an outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Arkansas State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
10* Texas Tech (BLOWOUT) K-State is 16-2 after its 83-82 OT win at home over Kansas. It was an epic victory, and I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Texas Tech is 10-8 and I think it comes in as clearly the much hungrier side. K-State is playing great, but from a situational stand-point, I absolutely expect a mental letdown here after the win over the Jayhawks. Texas Tech made the Tournament as a three seed last year. The Red Raiders have fallen off, but after six straight conferene setbacks to open the season, we won't have to question their effort here today. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final whistle; the play is Texas Tech! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-20-23 | Avalanche v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 118 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Canucks (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Colorado comes in off three straight wins. It's now 23-17-2-1, but it still averages 3.07 GPG, ranked 21st. Vancouver is just 18-23-2-1 and it averages 3.36 GPG, ranked ninth. The Canucks have been struggling of late though, having lost eight of their last ten. A struggling offense can be mainly blamed. Colorado plays with revenge here after a 4-2 loss here at the start of the month, and that's significant to note in fact, as the Avs have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss against an opponent. Expect a competitive contest, but a tighter defensive one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-20-23 | Nets +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* Nets (NON-CONF GOM) After four straight SU losses in a row, and five straight ATS setbacks, I expect Brooklyn to be the "hungrier" dog in this fight, and therefore I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more ATS losses in a row. Utah has won four of its last five, including three straight ATS. But the Jazz are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is the second game of a back-to-back for Brooklyn after the 117-112 loss at Phoenix last night. The Jazz are off a 126-103 win over the Clippers. I say these teams are very evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-20-23 | Toledo v. Buffalo UNDER 168 | Top | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Toledo/Buffalo (MAC TOW) Toledo is 12-6, while Buffalo is 9-9. That includes though going a near-perfect 8-1 at home. The Rockets are coming off a 90-75 win over Ohio in their latest contest, but I believe they'll have a much more difficult time moving the ball here on the road. The Rockets weakness comes on defense where they're allowing an average of 78.6 PPG. But that defense catches a break here facing a Bulls' offense that averages 79.9 PPG. The Bulls are coming off a blowout win as well, smashing Bowling Green 100-71. Both teams play at incredibly fast paces, but the school that plays the best defense is going to be the one that comes out on top here. These are two really good offenses, and poor defenses, and this is also a really high total. I see enough things "going wrong" to keep this total well "under" the number; and that's the play! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-19-23 | Devils -125 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
10* Devils (BEST OF THE BEST) I think the Kraken are getting way too much respect here. Seattle went on an amazing run, but I believe further regression is now in order after B2B losses. Note as well that Seattle is 10-9-2-0 at home, while New Jersey is 18-2-1-0 on the road. The Devils are coming off five straight wins and I say they try to end their incredibly successful road trip with one last big effort here. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is New Jersey! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-19-23 | CS-Fullerton v. Long Beach State -4.5 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
8* LBSU (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT) Two teams in need of a win, but I expect the home side to dig deep here and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover. The Titans are 10-9, but ust 2-6 on the road. They're coming off a 76-46 home victory over CSU Bakersfield. Fullerton has now covered in six straight, but that's important to note here, as it's in fact just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after five or more straight ATS covers in a row. LBSU is 8-10, but it's 4-3 at home. It averages 75.4 PPG, while Fullerton averages 70. Look for the motivated home side keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is LBSU! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-19-23 | UC San Diego +3.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* UC San Diego (ASSASSIN) The UC San Diego Tritons are 6-12 overall, and 1-5 in league play. They'll be eager to snap a five-game losing streak, most recently falling 78-70 at home to UC Davis (note though, the Tritons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more straight losses in a row.) Cal Poly is 7-11 overall, and just 1-5 in conference play. The Mustangs are on a five-game losing streak as well, but I think they come in here still hung up on their latest loss, a crushing 83-78 OT setback at UC Riverside. These teams are evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever one has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is indeed on UC San Diego! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-19-23 | Portland State v. Weber State OVER 140.5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER Portland State/Weber State (BIG SKY TOY) For a number of different reasons, I think this total is low. Both teams enter hungry for a win here at 8-10. Portland State will be particularly eager to return to action after a tight 69-67 home loss to Northern Colorado as a five-point favorite (note though that Portland State has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was the favorite and in which it was held to 69 or fewer points in.) Portland State does average 77.7 PPG though. Weber State will have to match pace here, as it comes in averaging 66.1 PPG. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight, but that's only helped in driving today's O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. When these teams played last year, Portland State won by a score of 81-75. I predict a similar final combined score here as well; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-19-23 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 235 | Top | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Celtics (TOTAL EXPRESS) We can expect a tight, lower-scoring affair here in my opinion for a couple of different reasons. The last time these teams played was in Golden State and the Warriors won by a score of 123-107 as a 2.5-point dog, the total staying well "under" the posted number. I'm expecting a similar tight defensive affair here. Golden State has seen the total go "over" in four straight, which is signficant to note as the Warriors have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With a game at Cleveland tomorrow, I say the Warriors save some "gas" as well. The Celtics have won four straight. They're coming off the 130-118 road win at Charlotte. Note though that they've seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent of ten or more points. This total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-18-23 | Stars -155 v. Sharks | 3-5 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
8* Stars (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) I believe that Dallas is worth the price of admission in this spot. The Stars just snapped a two-game slide with a 4-0 win at Vegas last time out. They beat San Jose by a score of 5-2 in December and I'm expecting a similar sort of outcome here as well. Dallas has a much more difficult game at the Kings tomorrow night, so this is a golden opportunity that they simply can't look past. The Sharks are off a disheartening 4-3 shootout loss at home to the Devils, just another massive disappointment in a season of major letdowns. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-18-23 | Oregon v. California UNDER 132.5 | Top | 87-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oregon/Cal (PAC 12 TOM) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here this evening in what I anticipate will be a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring defensive affair. Oregon is 10-8, but just 1-2 on the road. Cla is only 3-15 and just 3-8 at home. Oregon has seen the total go "over" in two straight games, including an 87-68 home victory over Arizona as a four-point underdog. Despite that though, the Ducks still only average 69.6 PPG. After that emotional upset victory, I predict some regression here. Cal averages only 61.8 PPG. It's now lost two straight, falling 66-51 at WSU, and 81-78 in OT at Washington last time out. I have a hard time seeing either side reaching its seasonal offensive average; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-18-23 | Abilene Christian +9.5 v. Utah Valley | 54-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Abilene Christian (SPECIAL) The Abilene Christian Wildcats are 9-9, and the Utah Valley Wolverines are 14-5. The Wildcats are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Wolverines are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 67.7. The Wildcats have been sliding of late, but that's only helped in driving today's spread a few points larger than it normally would/should be. Look for the Wolverines to get caught looking ahead to their upcoming game at Grand Canyon up next. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Abilene Christian! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-18-23 | Wizards +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* Wizards (EAST-CONF GOM) Washington is 18-26 and I think it comes in under the radar here facing the 25-20 Knicks, who are interestingly 14-8 on the road, and only 11-12 at home. I base my picks on many different things, and one thing I always look at is the "REVENGE FACTOR. And the revenge fator does indeed come into play here. The Wizards have lost two straight, as they fell 112-108 at home as 3.5-point underdogs to the Knicks just last week, before then also falling 127-118 at home to Golden State on Sunday. But Washington is a wallet-expanding 7-1 against the spread in its last eight in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 110 or fewer points in. The Knicks three game win streak was just snapped in a 123-121 overtime loss at home to Toronto as two-point favorites, and with a much more difficult upcoming schedule at Atlanta, Toronto, Cleveland, Boston and Brooklyn, I think this not only sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, but also a LOOK AHEAD SPOT, and when you add letdown spot and look ahead spot together, that = TRAP GAME. I'm banking on the revenge-minded Wizards to keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-18-23 | St. Louis v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 142.5 | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Louis/Loyola Chicago (TOTAL BOB) The Saint Louis Billikens are 12-6 and the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are 6-11 and I'm expecting a very defensive affair. The Billikens come to town injured, with several key players sidelined. They'are also just 2-3 on the road. Saint Louis averages 76.6 PPG, while the the Ramblers average only 67.6. Loyola Chicago is coming off an 86-55 loss at Saint Joseph's, and I expect an even smaller final combined score in this contest. Look for a much tigher, and ultimatley lower-scoring battle here, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-17-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers -158 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
8* Edmonton (SPECIAL) I'm going to lay the larger price on the Oilers here. I think Edmonton is in fact undervalued here. Yes, the Kraken have been on an impressive run, and so far they've been even better on the road than at home, but I think this lop-sided trend will start to correct itself here. Seattle just had its eight-game win streak snapped in a 4-1 loss at home to Tampa just last night. Edmonton plays with revenge after a 5-2 loss to Seattle at the start of the month. Edmonton is playing its best hockey of the season right now after three straight wins and I believe it'll continue that hot run here; lay the price, the play is the Oilers! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-17-23 | Raptors +5 v. Bucks | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) Despite playing just last night, I like Toronto to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Raptors are playing their best basektball of the season right now, having won four of their last five, including last night's come from behind 123-120 OT win at New York. Toronto plays with the added incentive of "revenge" here as well after a 104-101 OT loss at home to the Bucks as 5.5-point favorites in early January. Milwaukee bounced back off two-straight losses in Miami to beat Indiana 132-119, but the Bucks are still averaging just 112.2 PPG, ranked 21st. Milwaukee has a road game at Cleveland up next. I think this is going to be a tight game for sure, so I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-17-23 | Houston v. Tulane UNDER 148.5 | Top | 80-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Houston/Tulane UNDER (AAC TOW) The Cougars are 17-1, but I still think they'll want to body up on Tulane here and turn it into more of a defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Most recently they're coming off an 83-77 win over USF at home. The Green Wave are 12-5, and they're off a 77-69 home win over UCF. Houston is very average offensively with 75.9 PPG, ranked 96th, but their defense is ranked No. 1 overall, conceding just 52.9 PPG. Tulane is averaging 81.9 PPG, while allowing 73.8. Suffice it to say, the Wave have yet to face a defense like Houston's. With the visiting side playing full and half court pressure throughout this contest, I'm expecting the total to say "under" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-16-23 | CS-Northridge +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* CS Northridge (BIG WEST GOM) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that whatsoever. I do however look for the home side to take the foot off the gas after getting a big early lead, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry 3-13 Matadors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Hawaii is 13-4. This is the first match up of the year between the teams, but CS Northridge does play with double revenge after two losses last year in the series. Hawaii's 9-2 at home, but I believe it gets caught looking ahead to a two-game road trip starting this Friday at Big West leading UC Irvine. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is CS Northridge! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +3 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -115 | 172 h 50 m | Show |
10* Bucs (WILDCARD GOY) I think the correct call on Monday night is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa actually closed out the regular season in better form that Dallas. The Cowboys lost their final two games. Tampa clinched vs. Carolina in Week 17 in Brady's best game of the season, and then they went into half of their Week 18 matchup vs. the Falcons with a 17-10 lead, before then sitting all their starters in the second half. Brady's been waiting all year for the playoffs and his team is healthier now that it's been all season. These teams played in Arlington in Week 1 and the Bucs won by a score of 19-3. Dallas is just 1-5 ATS the last six in this series. The Bucs have a good run defense, so it turns Prescott's offense really one-dimensional. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but let's grab the points; the play is Tampa Bay! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies UNDER 226.5 | Top | 106-136 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Grizzlies (WEST-CONF TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting a much tighter defensive affair in this one. hoenix is just 7-16 on the road. It's coming off B2B road losses at Denver and Minnesota. It beat Memphis 125-108 at home in December, but with two nights off followed by a five-game homestand, I believe the visitors could get caught "looking ahead" here. Note that Memphis has seen the total go "under" the number in ten of its last 13 in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent of 15 or more points. Memphis has also seen the total go OVER the number in six straight games, which is signficant to note as the Grizz have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 40.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOTAL ASSASSIN) With Skylar Thompson "managing" this game for the Ravens, Baltimore will look to limit his chances to make mistakes. That means adopting a run first attack while on offense. It also means a lot of over the top passes in short yardage situations. The key for the Ravens success today will be in if they can keep the ball out of Joe Burrows hands. The Bengals themselves have an underrated run game, and defense. This total opened at 43.5 and it's since dropped. I'm following that line movement here though, as I'm expecting a very low-scoring, tight defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-15-23 | Magic +10.5 v. Nuggets | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
8* Magic (SITUATIONAL SHOCKER) I like the Magic to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch in this one. The Magic have interestingly been trading wins and losses over their last seven games, and off a tight 112-108 loss at Utah as a five-point underdog last time out, Orlando will be hopeful to keep that streak alive. I'm not calling for the outright upset here though, but I do think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Magic enjoy four whole nights off after this, so I think they'll open up the playbook here. The Nuggets have won and covered in five straight, but note that Denver is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is Orlando! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-15-23 | Canucks v. Hurricanes -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes PUCKLINE (PUNISHER) I'm expecting the Hurricanes to not only win this game, but to do so by a sizeable margin. The Canucks are floundering right now off four straight losses, including a 4-3 setback at Florida just last night. The Hurricanes are off a 2-1 home win over Pittsburgh yesterday, but I look for them to take advantage of this favorable matchup. It's been a miserable road-trip for Vancouver, who will return home after this to face the Lightning next. I expect the visitors to "go through the motions," while everything points to a comfortable home victory; lay the 1.5 goals, the play is Carolina on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
8* Giants (ATS BLOOD-BATH) While the outright win is clearly in the cards, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Giants rested all of their starters in Week 17. The Vikes stumbled down the stretch a bit, losing two games over the final five weeks. These teams played once already this year and the Vikes managed the last second 27-24 win. All signs point to another battle until the closing moments. Note that on aggregate, the Vikes have allowed more points then they've scored. Defense wins playoff games. Look for the Giants defense to be a difference-maker this time around and while I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points with New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-15-23 | Warriors v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 118-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
10* BULLS (BLOCKBUSTER) This is a great "situational" play. The Warriors are now 21-21 after their big 144-113 win over the Spurs in the Alamo Dome. I think a letdown is imminent here for the Warriors though, who are still just 4-16 on the road this season. With a game at Washington tomorrow night, it's also a "look ahead" spot for this veteran club that's dealing with injuries. The Bulls though play with revenge after a 119-111 loss at Golden State earlier in the year. Chicago is off three straight SU losses and B2B ATS setbacks. I look for the Bulls to dig deep here and to respond and while I do think the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab the points with Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-15-23 | Dolphins +14 v. Bills | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
9* Dolphins (DESTROYER) The Dolphins lost five of six down the stretch, but they won in the final week to punch their ticket to the pst season in a gutty 11-5 victory over the Jets. Tua is out, and Skylar Thompson is in. He was 20 of 31 for 152 yards in the victory. Miami's defense bends, but usually doesn't break, allowing 23.5 PPG. I really like the Bills. I think they'd win this game even with Tua in. In the Dolphins' Week 3 win over Buffalo, Tua wasn't brilliant or anything though, going 13 of 18 for 186 yards. Josh Allen had two scores for 400 yards in that one. And then in Week 15 Allen got his revenge at home in the 32-29 victory. Buffalo is 2-4 ATS this year as a double-digit favorite though and while I do think the Bills will win this game, I just think this spread is a little too large; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-15-23 | Marist v. Niagara UNDER 124.5 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marist/Niagara (MAAC TOM) For a number of different reasons, I think this will be a very defensive affair. Marist is just 6-9 this year, iincluding 2-4 on the road. The Foxes are off B2B wins though, most recently winning 76-58 at Canisius as 3.5-point underdogs. I say a predictable letdown is in order here; note that they still only average 63.3 PPG. The Purple Aces average slightly more at 65 PPG. I think they'll struggle to hit that average here today though. They've lost their last two games, falling 64-59 to Manhattan and 70-64 to Siena. They failed to reach their seasonal average in either of those contests either. Look for these two hungry teams to battle tough, and expect this total to stay well "under" the number once the final horn blares! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-14-23 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 235.5 | Top | 118-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER 76ers/Jazz (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect that to change here in his one finally. The 76ers have now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight after their latest 133-114 home loss to the Thunder (note though that the 76ers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 off a SU/ATS home loss of 15 or more points.) Look for Philly to double down defensively after that humbling home setback last time out. The Jazz had seen the total go "over" the number in four straight before their last outing, as they pulled away for a 112-108 home win over the Magic, unable to cover the five-point spread though. I expect a similar sort of pace to this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | Top | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* Jaguars (ASSASSIN) I like the Jags to win this game outright, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. They won six of their last seven games overall, and four straight at home. They have a really potent and balanced offensive attack, which I think Justin Herbert and company will have difficulties keeping up to down the stretch. Jacksonville hammered the Chargers 38-10 in Week 3 as 6.5-point underdogs. The Chargers have won four of their last five, but they're just 2-2 in their last four road games. I say that home field is a big advantage today for Jacksonville! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 42.5 | Top | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 120 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Hawks/49ers (WILDCARD TOY) These teams played twice in the regular season, and San Francisco won each time. They won 27-7 in Week 2, and then 2l-13 in Week 15. Both games went "under" the number, but I'm anticipating some offense here finally. Seattle won its final two games of the regular season. If the Hawks are going to win this game, it's going to be on the arm of Gino Smith, who set the Hawks regular season record for most yards completed. He has plenty of weapons to throw too. The 49ers closed the season with eight straight wins. Their offense averages 26.5 PPG, which ranks sixth overall. While the first two games during the regular season went "under" the number, expect this faster-paced playoff affair to fly "over the posted total sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-14-23 | Cal-Irvine v. CS-Northridge +11.5 | Top | 71-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
10* CSU Northridge (BIG WEST GOM) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that works to our advantage here. I say the 11-5 Anteaters come in a bit complacent. They're overvaulled here. Convesely, the 3-13 Matadors don't have the luxury to look past anyone right now. With a home game vs. Big West leading UC Santa Barbara on Monday, this is also a "look ahead" spot big time for the visitors. Look for the home side to play tough and to cover comfortably win the large spread that it's been afforded in this one; the play is CSU Northridge! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-14-23 | Flames v. Stars -110 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
10* Stars (SUPER BLOWOUT) Calgary is getting a little too much respect here on the road in my opinion. It's 8-7-5-2 on the road, while the Stars are 12-4-1-2 at home. The Flames snapped a two-game road slide with a 4-1 win at St. Louis last time out, but I think they'll stumble again here against this focused Stars side that's out to rebound after a tight 2-1 OT loss at the Rangers in their last outing. Dallas averages 3.40 GPG, while Calgary averages 3.07. As I said, I think the Flames are overvalued in this spot; lay the short price, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-13-23 | Devils v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Ducks (TOTAL EXPRESS) For a number of different reasons, I like how this non-conference contest sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive affair. The Ducks have seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after B2B losses, most recently falling 6-2 at home to Edmonton and 7-1 at home to Boston. Note though that Anaheim has seen the total "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Devils are huge favorites here, but after playing to three straight "overs," I look for New Jersey to play a much more defensive game here. When these teams played in Jersey at the start of the year, the Devils won by a score of 4-2. I expect an even lower-scoring contest here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-13-23 | VCU v. Dayton UNDER 130 | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
VCU/Dayton UNDER (A-10 TOY) This total isn't the largest one obviously, but it's still much too high in my opinion. For a number of different reasons, I expect this one to stay well below the posted number. VCU is 12-5, but just 1-3 on the road. The Rams average 71.1 PPG, while the Flyers average 68.5. Dayton is 12-5, including 9-0 at home so far. These teams are two of the best in the conference in most defensive categories. They matchup well against each other. This is a difficult spread to get a read on, but as far as the total is concerned, I'm expecting an absolute war from start to finish, with plenty of half and full court pressures throughout. Look for this highly-competitive affair to produce a lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-13-23 | Pelicans v. Pistons +5.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Pistons (ASSASSIN) I think Detroit will, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. New Orleans is the better team for sure, entering at 25-17 overall. That said, it's just 8-12 on the road. The Pistons are terrible no matter where the play, 12-33 overall and 6-14 at home (9-10-1 ATS at home though, while the Pels are 8-12 ATS on the road as well.) Detroit just snapped a three-game slide with a convincing 135-118 blowout win over the Wolves, and they play with revenge here after a 104-98 loss at New Orleans in December. Look for the Pistons to keep the pedal to the metal and, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the handful of points they've been afforded tonight! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-12-23 | Senators v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Senators/Coyotes. For a couple of different situational reasons, I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games, but I expect a wide-open "goal-fest" finally here in Arizona. The Senators are rare huge favorites on the road here. They're coming off back-to-back losses though, ost recently falling 3-0 at home to Nashville (note though that the Sens have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a shutout home loss.) Arizona has lost six straight. It plays with revenge here after a 6-2 loss in Ottawa back in October. I expect a similar wide-open, higher-scoring games here as well; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-12-23 | Hornets +8 v. Raptors | Top | 114-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) I had a play on Toronto two nights ago here, and it pulled away for the 132-120 victory in the end. Despite the offensive outburst though, note that the Raptors only average 111.7 PPG, which ranks 25th. I like the Hornets to bounce back here and take it to the Raptors. THey average 112.1 PPG, ranked 22nd. They're also 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. I just don't trust Toronto here. The Raptors just 18-23 this year. They have a nasty habit of "playing down (or up)" to the level of their competition. I think the Raptors come out flat here, and I expect the hungry Hornets to take advantage; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-12-23 | North Alabama +18 v. Liberty | Top | 54-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* North Alabama (MID-MAJOR MAULING) North Alabama is 9-8, and Liberty is 12-5. The Lions come in as the "hungrier" team here after three straight losses. It hasn't been for a lack of trying though, most recently falling 95-85 to Stetson in OT. North Alabama averages 74.9 PPG, while the Liberty Flames average 75.1. The Flames enter off a tight 62-59 loss to EKU last time out and I think they come out a bit flat here against their lowly opponent. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright victory, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is North Alabama! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-11-23 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 239 | Top | 129-135 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Spurs/Grizzlies (SOUTHWEST DIV TOM) I think this is a great situational play on the "under." These teams played here tow nights ago and the Grizzlies won by a sore of 121-113, the total sailing "over" the number of 233.5 in that one. Now tonight's total is significantly higher than that, but now a little too high in my estimation. Memphis has now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, which is significant to note here in our case, as the Grizzlies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Spurs have seen the total go OVER the number in nine of their last ten now. That said, San Antonio still only averages 112 PPG, which ranks 23rd in the league. With an upcoming international game agianst the Warriors on Friday, I expect the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" as well. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-11-23 | Capitals v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Capitals/Flyers (ASSASSIN) From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up to a very explosive, high-scoring "shootout." Washington has been trading wins and losses over its last seven games. It's off the 1-0 win at home over Columbus. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note here in our case, as the Capitals have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Philadelphia is playing its best hockey of the season, having won five of its last six. That includes a 4-0 victory at red hot Buffalo last time out. Philly plays with revenge here after a 4-1 defeat to the Capitals in December, which is also significant for us to note, as Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. As I said off the top, from situational stand point, this one sets up great to be a high-scoring "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-11-23 | Western Carolina v. Chattanooga -9 | Top | 76-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
10* Chatanooga (SOUTHERN GOY) Western Carolina is 10-7, while Chattanooga is 9-7. The Catamounts are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.1. The Mocs though are averaging 78.8 PPG, while conceding 68.9. The Mocs have played the more difficult schedule. The Catamounts can't be trusted on the road. Chattanooga will not "look past" its opponent today, instead it comes in prepared to play a full four quarters of basketball; lay the points, the play is the Mocs! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-10-23 | Temple v. Tulsa +4 | Top | 76-72 | Push | 0 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPER BLOWOUT) Last Februray Temple secured the 67-58 win over Tulsa, but I think the home side will, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Temple is coming off an 87-76 loss to Tulane. Overall the Owls are averaging 69.2 PPG, while allowing 69.1. Tulsa is only 4-10 overall SU, and just 1-13 ATS. I say this lop-sided ATS record starts to "correct" itself. Tulsa averages 68.1 PPG, while allowing 75.9. I don't trust the Owls offense on the road whatsoever, despite Tulsa's issues; grab the points, the play is the Golden Hurricane! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-10-23 | Hornets v. Raptors -7 | Top | 120-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) This is the first of two straight games North of the border for these teams. Charlotte is coming off a 116-111 loss at Indiana. The Raptors are off a 117-105 win over Portland. I expect a similar sort of score here tonight vs. Charlotte, which is just 6-16 on the road. Overall Charlotte averages 111.9 PPG, while conceding 118.1. The Raptors are averaging 111.2 PPG, while allowing 111.2 as well. Look for Toronto to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this opening contest, so to take the "wind" out of the Hornets sails tonight, while also sending a message to them in the next one. I'm laying the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Sabres -110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* Sabres (BOB) I think this is a great spot for Buffalo, and a great overall price. The Kraken have been on fire with five straight wins, including four straight on the road, but Buffalo plays with the added incentive of revenge here after a 5-1 defeat in Seattle in October. With a game at league-leading Boston up next, I say Seattle also gets caught "looking ahead." The Sabres have won eight of their last ten, but off a rare 4-0 home loss to Philadelphia, I think Buffalo bounces back big here in this favorable spot; the play is the Sabres! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-09-23 | Texas Southern -10 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Texas Southern (SWAC GOY) Texas Southern is just 4-12, but here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Mississippi Valley State is just 1-16. The Tigers are averaging 68.1 PPG, while allowing 73.6. One bright spot has been the play of Davon Barnes, who is averaging 15.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. The Delta Devils are averaging just 54.6 PPG this season, while conceding 76.1. They're led by Rayquan Brown, who averages 14.7 points and 7.9 boards per game. Texas Southern will not take the foot off the gas here. It's the better team and it'll be desperate for a victry here. The Delta Devils have been losing by an average of 21.5 points, and they've lost their last five by an average of 17.8. I'm rolling with Texas Southern in this one in what I believe will be a blowout from start to finish! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia UNDER 64 | Top | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) The Horned Frogs were 5-7 last year, and now here they are in the National Championship Game. While the Frogs got out to a fast start vs. Michigan, I htink the Bulldogs will be ready on the defensive end from the "get go." Why is Georgia such a big favorite here? The Bulldogs have superior talent throughout all three phases. NFL level talent. And they're much bigger in the trenches. The Bulldogs will be out to impose themselves here on the Horned Frogs. I'm not expecting a shootout. The exact opposite. Look for a run-heavy, slower-paced "under" i the National Championship Game this year! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-09-23 | Bulls v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) After three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, I look for the Bulls to takea step back here. They're off the 126-118 home win over the Jazz, but I say they get caught looking ahead here to their game at Washington on Wednesday as well. The Celtics actually play with revenge here, as they fell 121-107 as 5.5-point favorites to the Bulls back on November 21st. The Celtics are off back-to-back road victories, but they're still 15-5 at home. They average 118.8 PPG, which is No. 1 in the league. They're also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which they were the favorite. Everything points to Boston going up early, and then keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-08-23 | Lions +5 v. Packers | Top | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUNDAY NIGHT SPECIAL on the Lions. The winner will move onto the playoffs, and the loser will go home. Detroit smashed the Bears 41-10 last week and now the Lions need to beat Green Bay and have the Hawks lose to the Rams to qualify, while the Packers only need to win this game to earn a spot. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Detroit will actually know its fate, as Seattle plays earlier in the day, but regardless, I expect the Lions to come out play until the final whistle in this one no matter the scenario. Look for the prideful Lions to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-08-23 | Giants v. Eagles -14 | Top | 16-22 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
10* EAGLES (NFC EAST GOM) The Giants are locked into their spot whether they win or lose. Despite that though, a majority of the wagers are on the Giants to play "spoiler" here. New York will almost assuredly rest most or all of its starters. The Eagles have everything to play for here, as they need to win, or have both the Cowboys and 49ers lose to clinch top spot in the NFC overall. Whoever gets the call under center for the Eagles (Minshew or Hurts), I love the home side to dominate through all three phases of this game. The Giants are just thrilled their in the playoffs, it's been a massive turnaround for the G-Men. Look for the Eagles to go up early and to keep the pedal to the metal until the final whistle; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 46 h 35 m | Show |
10* Falcons (NFC SOUTH GOM) Atlanta actually opened up as a 7.5-point favorite, and this one has since dropped to right around 4.5. I see a lot of public money on the Bucs here despite the fact that they'll almost assuredly rest most or all of their starters after clinching the NFC South last weekend. I'd say, let's give this one the good ole eye test this weekend. I'm going to go contrarian here. I think the public is wrong on this one. Tom Brady and Mike Evans got their act together last week to clinch, but overall this has been a really difficult year for the Bucs. And that's for many different reasons obviously, but injury was the biggest reason for the slight step back this year for Tampa Bay. The Falcons are 6-10 after beating the Cardinals 20-19 last weekend. Atlanta could have easily thrown in the towel, but its still playing hard here at the end of the year. It also plays with revenge here after a 21-15 loss to Tampa in Week 5. I think Desmond Ridder and the Falcons are the correct call. This is their SUPER BOWL, final home game of the season, there's no way they lose this one to the Buccaneers backups; lay the points, the play is the Falcons! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-08-23 | Loyola Maryland +2.5 v. Holy Cross | Top | 55-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) Both teams are 5-11. This is a case that I feel that whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win this one, and in cases like that, I'll gladly grab the points. Both teams are 5-11 and hungry for a victory today. The Greyhounds are led by Jaylin Andrews with 11.3 PPG. They're coming off a 78-55 loss to Army and they average 65.4 PPG. Holy Cross is off a 73-69 OT loss to American. Gerrale Gates leads the Crusaders with 17.6 PPG. Overall they average 66.6 PPG. The depth that the Greyhounds bring to the table tonight gives them a very legitimate shot to win this contest outright; grab the points, the play is Loyola Maryland! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-07-23 | Bruins v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Sharks (NON-CONF TOY) I base my picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well from a "situational" stand point in my opinion. The Sharks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight games. That includes in last night's 5-4 OT loss at Anaheim. I believe that fatigue will be a major factor here for the Sharks in the second game of the back-to-back. The Bruins aren't going to have to run up this score to win this game. That said, I'm not going to lay this road chalk either. The safter wager is on the total. The Bruins are at the Ducks tomorrow night as well, so they'll be saving some gas in the tank for that. As I said off the top, this one checks all the boxes from a situational stand point; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-07-23 | Lakers v. Kings -9 | Top | 136-134 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
10* Kings (ASSASSIN) Sacramento beat LA 134-120 as an 8.5-point favorite back on December 21st and I am anticipating an identical final score here as well basically. Yes, the Lakers have been playing better, but off four straight wins, including a 130-114 victory at home over the Hawks just last night, look for the visitors to come in fatigued, likely resting starters. The Kings are still in first in the Pacific division, but the revenge factor for LA goes out the window in my opinion as Sacramento is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS home loss in which it allowed 120 or more points in (lost 120-117 to the Hawks as two-point favs.) WIth Orlando coming to town next, followed by two straight at home against the Rockets, this is a PRIME spot for the Kings to start their new win streak; lay the points, the play is Sacramento! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-07-23 | Titans +6.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
10* Titans (WINNER) The AFC South all comes down to this. The winner moves on and the loser goes home. The Jaguars have won five of their last six, including four straight. Trevor Lawrence has been nearly unstoppable. Tennessee has lost six straight, but the one thing the Titans have going for them I guess is that they last played the following Thursday in a 27-13 loss at home to Dallas, so they'e had a couple extra days off. And that should help running back Derrick Henry, but it's not going to bring back quarterback Ryan Tannehill. That means that Josh Dobbs will make his second straight start for the Titans. The Titans to their credit rested a lot of their starters in last week's loss, knowing that it was do or die here in Week 18. One other thing the Titans have going for them is that they also do play with revenge here as they lost 36-22 at home as three-point favorites back in Week 14 to the Jaguars. The bottom line here though is that in my opinion Henry is such a great player for Tennessee that I think he can single-handidly keep his team in this one (he rushed for 121 yards on 7.1 yards per carry in the last loss.) Dobbs should be able to improve on his effort in last week's loss, he was 20 of 39 for 232 passing yards, a touchdown and an interception. The Titans are quite good against the run as well, which should limit Travis Etinne this week. Lawrence and the Jaguars are in uncharted territory and I've been on Jacksonville a few times during this recent run, but I think Tennessee offers great value here in an upset role. While I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Titans in what I believe will be war until the final whistle! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-06-23 | Islanders v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Flames (NON-CONF PUCKLINE GOY) I think this one sets up well for a big Calgary win. The Islanders are fatigued after a 4-2 loss in Edmonton just last night. This is the end of a difficult little three-game Western swing. After this the Isles have three whole nights off before a home-stand. I say the visitors get caught looking ahead and they come out flat here. The Flames won't be feeling the same way. They're off a 3-2 loss at Winnipeg in their latest outing, snapping a two-game win streak. They play with revenge here after falling 4-3 on Long Island back in November, and they also hit the road for five straight after this contest, making tonight's effort that much more important. I look for Calgary to not only win this game, but to do so in comfortable fashion; the play is the Flames on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-06-23 | Blazers +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) Four players average double figures for the Blazers. The public is all over the Pacers here, but I think this one sets up well for the visiting side to not only cover, but to win this game outright. Overall Lillard and the Blazers average 112.8 PPG, and allow 112 PPG. Indiana has been playing decently of late, but off a loss in OT at Philly in its last game, I think a classic letdown is in the cards here. The Pacers have coverd in five straight, but I think a letdown is finally imminent. Overall the Pacers average 115.8 PPG, and allow 116.1. Look for Portland to dig deep here and deliver on the road! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-06-23 | Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 156.5 | Top | 74-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* WMU/Toledo UNDER (MAC TOY) WMU is 4-10, while Toledo is 9-5. The Rockets have won the MAC regular season title in each of the last two seasons, but this year's version seems a step behind. Note that both teams are still looking for its first conference win of the season. The Broncos only average 68.6 PPG, so the last thing they can do here is turn this into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Rockets. WMU is terrible on the road, 0-7 so far. The Rockets come in somewhat complacent after winning 11 straight in this series. Toledo is averaging 84.9 PPG this year, but it won't need to run up the score here to win and control this contest from the ouset. The Rockets are actually off a poor 90-83 loss to Ball State here at home, so I expect them to double down defensively. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-05-23 | Bruins -155 v. Kings | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
8* Bruins (SPECIAL) Two really good teams here, but I think the value does indeed lie with the road favorite. The Bruins are off a 2-1 home win over Pittsburgh, but they play with the added incentive of revnege here, as the Kings are one of the few teams to give them a loss with their current 29-4-1-3 record. LA won 3-2 at Boston in mid-December. LA is off the 3-2 home win over the Stars, but with a date at Vegas up ext, I think it'll come out flat here tonight. The bottom line is, I think the "revenge" factor will be all the motivation that Boston needs to win big tonight; lay the price, the play is the Bruins! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-05-23 | Clippers +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 91-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Clippers (ASSASSIN) I like the Clippers to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. LA is off the 110-100 home loss to the Heat. The Clippers have now lost three straight, which is significant to note in our case here as LA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. With a game at Minnesota tomorrow, the Clippers are going to have to put their full focus on Denver tonight. They also play with the added incentive of revnge here after falling 114-104 to the Nuggets back in November. Denver just had its five-game win streak snapped in a listless 124-111 setback at Minnesota. Cleveland comes to town tomorrow, and I say the Nuggets do get caught looking ahead to that one vs. the red hot Donavan Mitchell. The outright is possible, but the official will be to grab the points with LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-05-23 | Texas State +12.5 v. James Madison | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* Texas State (SUN BELT GOY) These two teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum in this conference, but that's only helped in adding a few points extra onto this Texas State spread than normal. The Bobcats are 7-8 after a tight 55-52 loss to Troy on New Year's Eve. James Madison has been great, it's 11-4 after a 72-66 outright win over Marshall in its last game as 4.5-point dog. But I think the Dukes get caught complacent here now facing their lowly opponent. Texas State only averages 65.7 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end by allowing just 65.5. James Madison is averging 89.7 PPG, while allowing 65.3. But I think the Dukes take the foot off the gas here in the second half. Look for Texas State's tough defensive play to keep it in this game late. No outright upset or anything, but a comfortable cover here for Texas State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-04-23 | Grizzlies v. Hornets +8 | Top | 131-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great spot for hungry Charlotte. The Hornets are coming off B2B blowout home losses to the Nets and Lakers, but with a four-game upcoming road-trip, they'll be eager to snap that slide and to also avenge a 130-99 loss to the Grizz back in early November. Note that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. The Grizz have been great. They're 23-13 overall, but note that they're just 8-10 on the road. They're off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, which is significant to note in our case as Memphis just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more SU/ATS wins in a row. And with a game at Orlando tomorrow night, this also sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the visiting side; no outright, but closer than expected, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-04-23 | Devils v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Wings (TOTAL EXPRESS) The Devils are off a 5-4 shootout home loss to Carolina, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair here in Detroit on Wednesday night. The Wings play with revenge here after losing 6-2 at New Jersey in October. That's significant to note here though as Detroit has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a three goals or greater road loss against an opponent. The Wings have won three of their last four and in my opinion, everything points to a much more defensive affair than this O/U line is suggesting tonight; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-04-23 | Villanova v. Georgetown +10 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (DESTRUCTION) I like the 5-10 Hoyas to keep this one close down the stretch vs. 7-7 Villanova. The Wildcats are off a disappointing 68-66 home loss to Marquette as 2.5-point favorites, and with a game at home vs. 12-3 Conference leading Xavier this weekend, not only does this set up as a natural letdwn sport for the visiting side, but also as a "look-ahead" position as well. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game! Georgetown averages 73.8 PPG, despite an 80-51 loss to Butler last time out. Villanova averages 70.3 PPG. Of course, the difference comes on the defensive end, but I think the Hoyas are catching the Wildcats at an opportune time. In a game that I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Boise State (MW GOY) After three straight victories, I think the SJSU comes back down to Earth here in this difficult road venue. San Jose State is coming off a 78-70 win over Colorado State to move to 11-4. Boise State is 10-4, but 0-1 in league play. The Broncos come in as the much more motivated side after B2B losses, including a 74-72 setback to Nevada last time out. Despite the Spartans recent success, they're still averaging just 69.8 PPG, while allowing 65.5. The Broncos though are on a different level in my estimation, as they average 70.7 PPG, while conceding just 59.4. Boise State's schedule has been much more difficult and off the consecutive losses, I look for the Broncos to take out their frustrations on the Spartans and keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer sounds; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* Wizards/Bucks OVER (NON-DIV TOM) Gambling on sports is all about uncovering "great situations." And when you combine that with some strong evidence from the past, that's when you are able to narrow things down and come up with a really strong opinion. THat's the case here. The Wizards are rolling right, winners of five in a row. That includes a 118-95 victory here in Milwaukee two nights ago. Note that the Bucks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Whether Giannis plays or not tonight (he didn't last time for the Bucks), I'm expecting a much more wide-open pace to this one; for all the reasons listed above, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-03-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Capitals | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Sabres PUCK-LINE (BIG-CHALK DESTRUCTION) In what I believe will be a very competitive game, decided in the final moments, or perhaps even in extra time, I'm going to lay the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Buffalo just had its six-game win streak snapped in 3-1 loss at Ottawa last time out. It still leads the league in scoring though with 3.91 GPG. The Sabres are 10-7 on the road and I think they'll give the Capitals everything they can handle tonight in the Nation's capital. Washington has won eight of its last ten, but off the 9-2 home victory over Montreal, I'm expecting a drop-off in concnetration here finally. It's the first matchup of the year between the clubs and all signs point to an all out war; lay the price, the play is Buffalo on the puckline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-02-23 | Heat v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Heat/Clippers (EAST-CONF TOW) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the "under." Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games, but everything points to much more of a defensive affair here. Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four. That includes in its first two road games here. Despite that though, the Heat still only average 109 PPG, which ranks 30th in the league. Off the 126-123 win at Utah, I expect a much more defensive affair here in La La Land. The Clippers have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last, including in their lastest 131-130 loss at Indiana last time out. That was in regulation. 261 points is a lot of points. After this non-conference game, the Clippers have three whole nights off before the start of B2B at Denver and Minnesota. It's a bit of a trap game for the home side. The overall situation points to the "under" as the correct call! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-02-23 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Central Arkansas +10.5 | Top | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Central Arkansas (ASUN GOY) When these two played last February, FGCU won 95-93 in OT and I'm expecting another tighter battle here tonight as well. Florida Gulf Coast is off the 72-65 win over Jacksonville. They average 72.5 PPG, while allowing 66.4. Central Arkansas is only 5-9 after an 82-68 loss to Kennesaw State last time out. Central Arkansas has so far averaged 72.9 PPG, while allowing 80.4. The offense of Central Arkansas will keep it competitive late, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a comfortable ATS cover in my opinion; grab the points, the play is Central Arkansas! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State OVER 52 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 627 h 29 m | Show |
10* OVER Penn State/Utah (BOWL TOY) It's the "Granddaddy of 'Em All," with the Big Ten facing off against the Pac 12. Penn State brings in a great offense led by veteran QB Sean Clifford, who is playing his final game. He's aided by dynamic RB Nicholas Singleton, who is averaging 6.3 yards per carry. The Nittany Lions are going to have to be sharp offensively facing this "on fire" Utah offense, that's posted 110 points over its last two games, including in securing the Pac 12 title over USC. QB Cameron Rising had 300 yards passing and three TD's in that one. This year's Rose Bowl features two awesome QB's and I look for them to be the main story line in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-02-23 | Tulane +2.5 v. USC | Top | 46-45 | Win | 100 | 646 h 18 m | Show |
10* Tulane (BOWL GOY) USC comes in off a tragic 47-24 loss to Utah in the PAC 12 Championship Game and I think it'll just go through the motions here after that disapointment. A trip to the College Football Playoff was on the line, but the Utes managed an impressive second victory of the season over the over-rated Trojans. Listen, I get it, USC can score. The Trojans average 41.1 PPG, which ranks third in the country. The issue is clearly on the defensive end. Overall I think the PAC 12 is a week Conference. Tulane comes in off an impressive 45-28 destruction of UCF to earn the AAC title and finish 11-2. The Green Wave are more motivated and hungry here. They average 35.2 PPG, but they have a superior defense. USC QB Caleb Williams was injured in the loss to Utah, and if he does play in this one, clearly he won't be at 100%; while I do think the outright win is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Green Wave! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Steelers v. Ravens OVER 35 | Top | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* AFC NORTH TOM on the OVER Pitt/Bal. I'm expecting this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Steelers are rolling, as they've won two straight and three of their last four. They're going to have their hands full here though with a Ravens side that plays with revenge after losing 16-14 at Pittsburgh in December (note that Baltimore though has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 14 or less points in.) Baltimore is off a 17-9 win over ATL last week and it's won 3 of its last 4 despite the QB issues with LaMar Jackson. I think the home side opens up the playbook this weekend for Tyler Huntley now. Look for this total sneak "over the number once the final whistle sounds! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Wizards v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | Top | 118-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Bucks (EC TOW) I think this one sets up well as being a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. I think Washington finally has a letdown here after four straight victories. This is the start of two-straight between the clubs here in Milwaukee, and I expect the Bucks to lay the hammer down defensively and take all hopes of a high-scoring shootout for the Wizards off the table. MIlwaukee is 15-2 at home. The Bucks though only average 112.9 PPG, which ranks 17th in the league. Giannis and company get the job done most nights with a trapping defense and that's what I'm expecting here. Look for the home side to slow this one down in an attempt to dictate the action. Overall as I stated off the top, this one sets up great for a lower-scoring battle from a situational stand-point; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Sabres v. Senators -128 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Senators (ASSASSIN) Buffalo has sure been great of late, but after six straight wins, inclding a 4-3 OT victory at league-leading Boston just last night, I finally expect a predictable letdown here. Right after New Year's Eve as well. Fatigue is a major issue here for the overachieving Sabres. The Senators are off a 3-2 loss here to surging Detroit, but they're no pushovers this season. They're 9-8-1 at home despite the loss last night. This one favors the home side, who would have gotten a much better nights sleep with no travel; great overall line value here, as Ottawa takes full advantage in my opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Butler v. Georgetown +3.5 | Top | 80-51 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (BIG EAST GOM) The Bulldogs are 8-5, but they're off a 72-52 loss to Providence as 3-point favorites. I think that Butler will once again have it hands full here on the road against Hoyas team looking to rebound off a tight 83-78 loss to DePaul as a 3.5-point underdog. Butler only averages 69.9 PPG, second lowest in the conference. Georgetown is averaging 75.8 PPG, but it's conceding 77.5. That said, the Hoyas catch a break defensively tonight facing this inconsistent Butler offense. This one means more to Georgetown. After a hot start Butler is cooling off; while I do think the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgetown! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Jets -1.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 6-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
10* Jets (CONTRARIAN CRUSHER) This is a HUGE game for both sides. Both need a victory here to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Jets Lost 19-3 to the Jaguars last week and they've lost four in a row. Seattle is off a 24-10 loss at Kansas City, and it's lost three straight. In Mike White's three starts for New York though, the Jets are averaging 21.7 PPG and 420.3 yards. The Jets are great defensively as well, allowing just 18.8 points and 309.3 YPG. I think Geno Smith, who started out the season brilliantly but who has predictably faded over the last few weeks with his performance, will once again have a difficult time moving the ball as well. Seattle concedes a terrible 25.3 PPG. Look for the Jets to take full advantage; lay the short points! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Tulsa v. SMU -7.5 | 67-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
8* SMU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Tulsa is 4-8 and SMU is 5-8. The Golden Hurricanes have lost all their bluster though, as they've lost seven of their last nine games, failing to cover in any of those matchups. Most recently it was an 89-50 defeat to Houston. On the year Tulsa is averaging 67.4 PPG. SMU is trending in the other direction. It's managed two wins in its last three games. Most recently it was an 58-57 loss to Hawaii in the Championship Game fo the Diamond Head Classic. The Mustangs are battling right now and I think they take out their frustrations here on the Mustangs. SMU is averaging 68.2 PPG and I think its much better defensively as well. Or at least, this is a great matchup for it. SMU holds an average marging of victory of nine poitns over the last ten in this series and I expect that trend to continue; lay the points, the play is SMU! AAA Sports | |||||||
01-01-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +3 | 31-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
8* Houston (SITUATIONAL PLAY) With a chance to play spoiler here at home, I like the hungry Texans to give the surging Jaguars everything they can handle. Houston has quietly been getting the job done for bettors over the last month, winining three straight ATS. They went toe-to-toe with Dallas and KC and then beat Tennessee outright 19-14 last week. Davis Mills and company won't be going down without a fight; that said, grab as many points as you can with the Texans! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-31-22 | Mavs v. Spurs UNDER 227 | Top | 126-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mavs/Spurs (ASSASSIN) Anyone that's followed me for any length of time knows that I base my picks on MANY different things. I've always felt that the best way to secure profits over the long-term is to be flexible with your approach. Sometimes it's necessary to completely dissect a game, looking at every tiny factor possible, but other times a more "common sense" approach is the best way to handicap. And that's the case here for this one. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting a more defensive affair here. Dallas is coming off three straight high-scoring home victories (note though that the Mavericks have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.) San Antonio is coming off a 122-115 home win over New York, and it's now seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight (which is significant to note for us, as the Spurs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row.) The overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with the strong O/U ATS stats listed above, makes the "under" the correct call in this on in my opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7 | Top | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 602 h 60 m | Show |
10* Michigan (DEC BOWL 'GOM') TCU messed up in its 31-28 loss at home to TCU. Or did it? It's still in the College Football Playoff, but I think the loss is a precursor to more of a decline here at the end of the month. The Horned Frogs average 40.3 PPG, but they were handled well by the Wildcats' defense, which doesn't bode well facing this aggressive Wolverines unit. Michigan comes in fired up after its 43-22 win over Purdue in the Big Ten Championship game, going on to easily cover the 16 point spread. Michigan averages 40.1 PPG, but as I mentioned above, it's defense is superior in my opinion, and much more battle tested when you look at the level of competition. The win at Ohio State was epic. The Wolverines are well-coached and I expect them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable cover and win; lay the points, the play is the Wolverines! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-31-22 | Predators v. Golden Knights -160 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
8* Knights (BLOWOUT) No need to overthink this one. The Predators are just 6-8-2-0 on the road this year, while the Knights are 10-9 at home. Nashville though enters off an ultra-rare 6-1 win at Anaheim just yesterday, and I think it'll come in with "heavy legs" in the back-to-back scenario. Also, despite yesterday's big offensive outburst, the Preds still only average 2.59 GPG. Vegas will be eager to return to form here after falling 3-2 in a shootout at Anaheim in its most recent outing. But despite the setback, the Knights are still averaging 3.24 GPG. After two straight losses, look for Las Vegas to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to secure a victory here at home against the tired visiting side! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-31-22 | Iowa -2.5 v. Kentucky | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
8* Iowa (WINNER) Why will Iowa win and cover in this game? Its defense was great all year, especially against bad or mediocre QB's. The Hawkeyes held llsix teams to ten points or less this season, which includes a 24-3 win over a good Purdue offense. Additionally, Kentucky's best and most skilled player, Levis, has already opted out and the Wildcats will likely have to turn to Destin Wade, who hasn't even taken a snap on the College level! The difference in this one is Iowa's great defense; lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-31-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee +8 v. Detroit | Top | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Milwaukee enters at 8-5. I'm going to stop short in calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this game coming "right down to the wire." Detroit is 6-8, and 4-0 at home, but I think the Titans'll have their hands full today. The Panthers won't be lacking motivation after starting out 1-4 on the road. They fell 83-61 at Oakland most recently. Detroit is coming off a win over Green Bay, but previous to that it dropped three in a row. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar. Look for the hungry Panthers to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable ATS victory; grab the points, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-30-22 | Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 227.5 | Top | 114-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Bucks (ASSASSIN) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we can expect a very defensive one here in my opinion finally. Minnesota is off the heart-breaking 119-118 loss at New Orleans. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Wolves have seen the total go "under" in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Minnesota returns home for a much more "winnable" game vs. Detroit as well, so I think the visitors get caught "looking ahead" and will simply "go through the motions" at the end of the game. The Bucks only average 112.6 PPG, which ranks 17th. They're off a 119-113 OT home loss to the Bulls, so they'll be eager to double down defensively after that loss of concentration last time out. Look for this non-conference contest to result in a lower-scoring affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
12-30-22 | Buffalo v. Michigan State -15 | Top | 68-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BEST OF BEST) I think the 6-6 Bulls, who are 0-2 on the road, will stumble and fall here after winning five of their last seven. MSU is 4-1 at home already, and it comes in red hot after three straight victories. The Bulls were blown out in both of their road games already this season and everything points to another beatdown here; look for MSU's defense to be the big differnce-maker and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* South Carolina (ASSASSIN) If you want a full review of how each team did throughout the year, there's literally tens of millions of "review" articles out there. ESPN etc. If you simply want to know why I think South Carolina will win this game, then you've come to the right place. I like being succinct with my analysis, as I truly believe the clients who purchase this information, would rather just "get to the point," than read an entire "novel" of why I believe one side or another should win. Both teams finished up strong, but without Notre Dame's best player in this one, Mayer, and its starting QB Pyne, the value here swings to the Gamecocks. South Carolina's offense started to hit its stride at the end of the season, scoring more than 30 points in its final two games. While the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Gamecocks! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-29-22 | Washington v. Texas -3 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texas (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The Longhorns finished 8-4 after beating Kansas and Baylor to end the regular season. Their two best RB's will be out for this one, and that's why this spread is so low. Despite that though, I like the rest of this team to step up and deliver the goods. Quinn Ewers has a big opportunity now to showcase his talents for Texas under center, and I think he'll be a big difference-maker in this Bowl game. The Longhorns defense was great as well, limiting teams to just 21.2 PPG. Washington is 10-2. It closed out the season with a 51-33 win over WSU in the Apple Cup. QB Michael Penix Jr. was decent, but he struggles against aggressive pass-rushing defenses like the Longhorns. The Huskies defense concedes 26.3 PPG as well. Look for TEXAS to do just enough to secure the win and cover! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-29-22 | Cowboys v. Titans +13 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Titans. Dallas came from behind to knock off PHiladelphia at home by a score of 40-34 last weekend, but I think it'll struggle to cover this large spread on the road and on the short week, despite the personel issues that Tennessee has right now. The Cowboys looked terrible defensively last week. The Titans are still in the mix for a playoff spot, sitting at 7-8 and in second place in the AFC SOuth. They've lost five straight games, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses. The Titans lost 19-14 to an improved Texans team last week with Malik Willis under center. I think the rookie benefits from that experience and will be much more efficient this evening though; look for the hungry Titans to play with pride, and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grabe the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-29-22 | Knicks v. Spurs UNDER 229.5 | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knicks/Spurs (BOB) Both of these teams have played to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. New York is coming off a brutal 126-121 loss to Dallas, while San Antonio is coming ff a 130-114 setback to Oklahoma City. The Knicks won't be fooling around today though in my estimation after four straight losses. I believe they'll double down hard on the defensive end to try and snap the slide. The Spurs are just 6-12 at home. Note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS home loss of 15 or more points. This O/U line is elevated now in my opinion. Look for each side to play more aggressive defense tonight, and that'll help in driving this total well "under" the number once the final horn blares! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-29-22 | CS Bakersfield +10.5 v. Cal-Riverside | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
l0* CSU Bakersfield (BIG WEST GOY) UC Riverside won its last game, beating Portland at home, but I think it'll get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent tonight. Cal State won't be lacking for motivation today after falling 56-48 to Fresno State. This is a battle of strengths, as the Highlanders have the better offense, while the Roadrunners have the better defense. But with a tougher game at Long Beach State up next, I think the home side'll get caught looking ahead and ultimately take the foot off the gas in the second half. Look for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is CSU Bakersfield! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-29-22 | Minnesota -10.5 v. Syracuse | 28-20 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Minnesota (BLOWOUT) The Orange are 7-5, but they were terrible down the stretch, losing five of their last six. The main culprit was the offense which failed to score even ten points in setbacks to Florida State and Pitt. The Gophers finished 8-4 and likely benefited in playing in a weak Big Ten West. Despite each team finishing with decent records, neither had a fantastic year. The Orange were downright terrible down the stretch though and I look for the Gophers more balanced attack to be too much for them to handle down the stretch; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-28-22 | Colorado State +6.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Colorado State is 8-5 and New Mexico is 12-0. I'm not calling for an outright upset here, but I do think the stage is set or a much closer/tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Rams look to rebound off a 73-64 loss at USC. They average 76.2 PPG. New Mexico is averaging 84.5 PPG after smoking Prarie View A&M by a score of 94-63. But note that New Mexico is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after a SU/ATS home win in which it score 90 or more points in. Look for the Rams underrated defense to keep this one close down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports | |||||||
12-28-22 | Magic v. Pistons +1.5 | Top | 101-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Pistons (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. Orlando had been the "hottest" team in the league up until last night's blowout home loss to the Lakers, winning ten straight ATS and going 8-2 SU. Now playing the second game of a B2B, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here vs. this desperate Pistons side. Detroit hits the road after this for a five-game road trip, so that puts added importance onto this contest for the home side. The Pistons held the lead in their last game vs. the Clippers for almost the the entire contest, but then allowed LA to tie it up and of course when it went to OT, Detroit failed to cover with the 6.5 points. With a chance to erase that frustrating setback from their memories, here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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