Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-29-21 | Swansea City v. Brentford OVER 2 | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2 goals between Swansea City and Brentford at 10 am et on Saturday. We've seen two identical 1-1 scorelines between these two English rivals this season but with a spot in the Premier League hanging in the balance, I'm anticipating a higher-scoring affair on Saturday. the common line of thinking here is that we're in for a very tentative start with so much on the line at Wembley Stadium. I simply have more confidence in Brentford's ability to push the tempo and employ an attacking style than I do in Swansea's chances of playing a ball possession game and keeping this one nil-nil as long as possible. There's plenty of recent history between these two squads. This will be their 10th meeting since 2018, noting that all but one of those contests totaled at least two goals with six of them reaching three goals or more. While Swansea is known for its defending, it has conceded at least a goal in six of its last seven matches entering Saturday's contest. Brentford went through a bit of a scoring lull in the back half of April but has managed eight goals in four matches here in May, including a come-from-behind 3-1 victory over Bournemouth last weekend to earn its spot in the Championship Final. It seems that the times we've seen Brentford get a little too tentative have been in the first leg of aggregate matches - including last July against Swansea, when it dropped a 1-0 decision before answering back with a 3-1 victory in the second leg. In this one-off with promotion to the Premier League on the line (it would be Brentford's first promotion in its long history), I expect to see the Bees go for broke, so to speak. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-28-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Friday. We saw a relatively low-scoring affair in the opener of this series last night as the Mariners cruised to a 5-0 victory. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday, however. Jordan Lyles will take the ball for Texas. The Mariners will be getting their fourth look at the veteran right-hander since last August and they've teed off on him so far, to the tune of 16 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. While Lyles has pitched reasonably well over his last few starts he still checks in sporting an inflated 6.99 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in night starts this season, averaging less than five innings per start. That spells trouble considering the Rangers bullpen has been a mess, entering last night's action with a collective 5.72 ERA and 1.59 WHIP on the road this season. They proceeded to allow three earned runs on five hits over four innings in last night's game. Justus Sheffield will counter for Seattle. Like the Mariners with Lyles, the Rangers will be seeing Sheffield for the fourth time since last August. They've already faced him once this season, scoring five earned runs on 10 hits over five innings in a 10-2 victory on May 9th. Sheffield has really struggled lately, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over his last three starts with the 'over' cashing in all three of those. Like Lyles, he has also struggled at night, recording a 6.00 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 27 innings. Prior to last night's contest, the Mariners bullpen had posted a collective 6.03 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over their last seven games. Expect plenty of offense on the board tonight. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-28-21 | Lynx +7.5 v. Storm | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
WNBA Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Seattle at 10 pm et on Friday. As defending WNBA champions, Seattle is likely to get every opponent's best shot this season. Perhaps even moreso here as Minnesota has been idle since dropping a 12-point decision at home against the Storm back on May 20th. The Lynx were right there in that one until Seattle caught fire in the fourth quarter. Here, I look for Minnesota to do a better job of keeping things close for 40 minutes. Note that the extra time off has given the Lynx a chance to get underrated Napheesa Collier back for this matchup. She was a force at both ends of the floor last season and adds to an already talented Lynx lineup. The extra time off should have also served to get former Las Vegas Aces sharp-shooter Kayla McBride better acclimated in the offense. Seattle has reeled off three straight wins since opening the season with a 1-1 split in a two-game set against the Aces. However, the Storm have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two games (we settled for a 'push' with Seattle in its three-point win over Connecticut earlier this week). With Minnesota desperate to end its three-game slide to open the season, we'll grab the generous helping of points on Friday night. Take Minnesota (10*). | |||||||
05-28-21 | Clippers -2 v. Mavs | Top | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
NBA First Round Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Friday. The Clippers have dug themselves an 0-2 hole heading to Dallas for Game 3 but I don't expect them to panic. No NBA series is really over (for all intents and purposes) until a team goes down 3-0. Here, the Clips are actually set up well as they've gone 22-10 ATS on the road revenging a same-season loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. Better still, they're an incredible 13-2 ATS after losing five or six of their last seven games ATS over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by a whopping 19.1 points on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Mavs have generally been a better team at home off a loss in recent years, going 6-16 ATS the last 22 times they've returned home following a road victory, outscored by an average margin of 6.3 points in that spot. Dallas has now won three straight meetings in this series, noting that it hadn't even managed to take two straight matchups in the previous nine games between these two teams going back to the bubble in Orlando last summer. A quality road team having gone 21-15, outscoring the opposition by 4.3 points on average, I look for the Clippers to come up with an answer in Big D on Friday night. Take Los Angeles (10*). | |||||||
05-28-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -172 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vegas over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Knights seemed to have this series all wrapped up after Game 4 with a 3-1 lead heading back home. However, they botched Game 5 and proceeded to get shut out in Game 6. So now here we are in a seventh and deciding game. I believe it still sets up well for the Knights on home ice. Note that Vegas has gone a perfect 11-0 revenging a road loss against an opponent by three goals or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.6 goals on average in that spot. They're also 11-1 when coming off a road loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average of 2.2 goals. Vegas has been a terrific home team all season, going 22-9 while allowing just 2.2 goals per game. By contrast, Minnesota is just one game over .500 on the road, allowing 3.1 goals per contest. Look for the Knights to defend home ice and advance to face the Avs with a victory on Friday. Take Vegas (10*). | |||||||
05-28-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Vegas at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We saw an opening total of 6.0 in Game 1 of this series and now that we've reached Game 7 we're looking at a total of 5.0 (at the time of writing). It's warranted in my opinion. Note that the 'under' has gone 7-1 with the Knights playing at home off a loss by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last two seasons. Vegas has allowed just 1.1 goals per game with those contests totaling an average of just 3.9 goals. The 'under' is also 19-8 with the Knights playing at home off a loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons with those games averaging a total of 5.1 goals. We've already seen three shutouts in the first six games of this series and I'm anticipating another low-scoring affair with everything on the line on Friday night. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Suns v. Lakers -7 | Top | 95-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Lakers (and the 'over') in Game 2 of this series and we'll come right back with them again in Game 3 as the scene shifts to Staples Center in Los Angeles. Chris Paul is obviously the engine that runs the Suns offense. Yes, Devin Booker is electric and capable of going off on any given night, but without a healthy CP3, the Suns aren't going anywhere. Paul is nursing a shoulder injury he suffered in the opener of this series and was limited to just 22 ineffective minutes in Game 2. Now with only a day off between games, I'm not sure how much he can give the Suns on Thursday night. There's probably a better chance we see him go full throttle in Game 4 as there will be a two-day layoff between games. Regardless, the Suns are not well-positioned to take control of this series here, noting they've gone just 5-5 over their last 10 road games after starting the season 19-7 away from home. Meanwhile, home court has suddenly meant something to the Lakers as they've reeled off five straight victories here at home, not coincidentally the streak has had a lot to do with them getting healthier down the stretch. We saw the Lakers clamp down on the Suns offense in Game 2. We've yet to see them turn in their best effort offensively but I do think it's coming. Why not on Thursday, in a pivotal Game 3 matchup on their home floor. Note that L.A. checks in 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in its last six home matchups against Phoenix. Take Los Angeles (10*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 9 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. I'm expecting plenty of offense as the Orioles and White Sox open their four-game series in Chicago on Thursday night. Bruce Zimmermann will inexplicably get another turn in the rotation for the O's. He's been awful this season and at his absolute worst on the road where he has posted a 6.87 ERA and 1.64 WHIP with the 'over' cashing in three of his four starts. The White Sox success at the plate against left-handed starting pitching has been well-documented. They're 10-3 against lefties this season, averaging a whopping 7.8 runs per game and hitting .292 as a team. With Zimmermann unlikely to work deep into this game (he averages less than five innings per start), that opens the door for a struggling Orioles bullpen that entered yesterday's action having posted a collective 9.52 ERA and 2.38 WHIP over their last seven games. Dylan Cease will counter for Chicago. He's coming off a rocky outing - albeit a tough one - on the road against the Yankees last Sunday. Cease has now failed to last six innings in any of his last three starts. He's averaging five innings per start this season. Behind him is a White Sox 'pen that has also struggled, posting a collective 4.34 ERA and 1.82 WHIP over their last seven games before giving up three more late runs in a 4-0 loss to the Cardinals yesterday. Chicago has five blown saves at home this season. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | 113-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Miami at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in Game 2 of this series (but missed with Miami) on Monday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' as the scene shifts to South Beach for Thursday's Game 3 matchup. With two days off in between games and plenty of familiarity between these two squads (this will be their sixth meeting this season and 12th going back to the bubble in Orlando last year, I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair here. The Heat are going to have to step up their game defensively because their offense just isn't there right now. Something doesn't seem right with Jimmy Butler as he's contributed just 27 points on 8-of-32 shooting in the first two games of this series. While he'll undoubtedly bounce back with a strong performance here on Thursday, I'm not sure it will be enough to spark a true offensive outburst from the Heat. It seems as if Miami has become overly reliant on the three-ball, with minimal success. Note that the Heat have proven to be a strong defensive team at home this season, allowing 108.6 points per game on 45.7% shooting. They've given up just 107.4 points per game when coming off a loss over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 217.5 points. While the 'over' has gone 22-10 the last 32 times the Heat have come off a double-digit loss, those games have averaged a total of 221.9 points - still well south of the total we're dealing with tonight. After consecutive games totaling 215 points or more, the Heat have seen an average final score totaling just 216.9 points over the last three seasons, with a considerable sample size of 30 games. The Bucks are certainly a high-flying offensive team, but as we saw in the opener of this series, they're not unstoppable. This is a virtual must-win for the Heat and I expect them to at the very least offer some resistance. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
NHL First Round Puck-Line Game of the Year. My selection is on Montreal +1.5 goals over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Leafs have cruised to three straight victories in this series to push the Habs to the brink of elimination but I don't expect Montreal to go down without a fight on Thursday. Note that Montreal is an incredible 21-8 when coming off a home loss by two goals or more over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.8 goals on average in that situation. They're also 13-6 when playing on the road after scoring two goals or less in consecutive games over that same stretch, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.5 goals. Meanwhile, the Leafs are just 11-14 after winning three or more consecutive games over the last two seasons. They're also 10-14 when playing their third game in four nights over that stretch, outscored by 0.2 goals on average in that spot. Finally, I'll point out that the Habs have been in a situation where they've been seeking revenge against an opponent for a loss by three or more goals on 11 occasions this season and in that situation they've allowed just 2.1 goals per game while outscoring the opposition by an average of 0.4 goals. Take Montreal +1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Wings v. Dream OVER 163.5 | Top | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
WNBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Atlanta at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'm anticipating a relatively high-scoring affair between the Wings and Dream on Thursday night. Dallas has suffered back-to-back losses since opening the season with a blowout win over the Sparks in Los Angeles. The Wings offense continues to perform at a reasonably high level, however, scoring 94, 97 and 81 points through three games. Arike Ogunbowale is an underappreciated star in the making, having scored 52 points over the last two games. Marina Mabrey has also stepped up over the last two games, pouring in 48 points. Here, the Wings should be able to get rolling once again versus a middle of the pack Atlanta defense. While the Dream check in eighth in offensive rating that's largely due to a slow start to the season. They're coming off back-to-back victories, scoring 83 and 90 points in the process. The return of Tiffany Hayes has sparked the charge and she's coming off a 26-point effort in a win over Chicago. I'm still waiting for the backcourt tandem of Chennedy Carter and rookie Aari McDonald to go off. McDonald is coming off her best performance of the young season having scored nine points in 17 minutes against Chicago. Dallas ranks in the bottom half of the WNBA in terms of defensive rating and I expect the Dream to take advantage and push the pace here. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Padres -120 v. Brewers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
MLB National League Game of the Month. My selection is on San Diego over Milwaukee at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. The Padres have bounced back with consecutive wins in this series after dropping Monday's opener and I look for them to wrap up the four-game set with another victory on Thursday afternoon. Ryan Weathers takes the ball for San Diego. He's not going to work deep into the game but that's just fine as the Padres bullpen has been lights out. They entered last night's contest having posted a collective 0.73 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over their last seven games and proceeded to toss four shutout innings in a 2-1 extra innings victory. For Weathers' part, he has made two road starts, not allowing a single earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. The Brewers don't hit left-handers well, having gone 3-6 while averaging just 2.8 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. The Padres will be getting their second look at Brewers starter Adrian Houser this season. He owns an inflated 5.00 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in four home starts this season with the Brewers winning just one of those. Also note that he averages less than five innings per start here at home which spells trouble as the Brewers bullpen entered last night's action having posted a collective 7.32 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over their last seven contests. Take San Diego (10*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Cubs -134 v. Pirates | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Pittsburgh at 12:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the Cubs to complete the sweep of the Pirates in Pittsburgh on Thursday afternoon. Kyle Hendricks will take the ball for Chicago. After a tough start to the season he's seemingly righted the ship over his last several outings, allowing exactly one earned run in three of his last four starts. His last two starts have come on the road where he gave up just two earned runs in 14 2/3 innings of work, lowering his road ERA to 4.42 and his WHIP to 1.47 this season. Working behind Hendricks is a Cubs bullpen that has been lights out lately. They entered last night's game having posted a 0.00 ERA (yes, you read that right) and 0.81 WHIP over their last seven games and proceeded to shut the Pirates out over three scoreless frames in last night's 4-1 victory. In a bit of an odd scheduling quirk, the Cubs will be getting their fourth look at Pirates left-handed starter Tyler Anderson on Thursday afternoon. Note that they've gone 11-3, hitting .288 as a team and averaging over six runs per game against southpaw starters this season. Anderson owns an ugly 7.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over his last three outings. He's averaging 5 2/3 innings per start this season, which opens the door for a Pirates bullpen that has been dreadful lately, posting a collective 5.33 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over their last seven games entering last night's contest. They were extended last night thanks to a very brief outing from starter Will Crowe, allowing one earned run over 7 2/3 innings. Take Chicago (9*). | |||||||
05-27-21 | Phillies v. Marlins -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Philadelphia at 12:10 pm et on Thursday. The Marlins rallied to defeat the Phillies by a 4-2 score last night, continuing a terrific run that has seen them win six of their last eight games overall. I believe they have a bigger advantage than the books are giving them credit for in Thursday's series-finale. Spencer Howard will get his second start of the season for Philadelphia. He struggled as expected in his first, lasting just three innings in an eventual 4-3 loss to the Red Sox last weekend. Howard has now made seven big league starts and has yet to work beyond the fifth inning in any of them. That spells trouble here as the Phillies bullpen entered last night's action having posted a collective 5.96 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over their last seven games and proceeded to blow last night's game allowing three earned runs with a 2-1 lead in the eighth inning. Note that the Marlins will be getting their second look at Howard after knocking him around for three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings in a game played last September. Pablo Lopez will counter for Miami. He's been lights out here at home this season, posting a 0.61 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in five starts. The Marlins have only managed to win two of those five games, but those two victories came in his last two home outings. Behind Lopez is a solid Marlins bullpen that entered last night's game having posted a 3.33 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over their last seven contests and would toss five shutout innings in last night's victory. Take Miami (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -8.5 | 129-141 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Memphis at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. We missed badly with the Jazz in Sunday's outright loss in Game 1 against the Grizzlies but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as they look to bounce back and even the series at a game apiece. I think Utah was caught a little flat-footed emotionally after Donovan Mitchell was a late scratch in Game 1. All indications leading up to the series-opener were that he would be good to go, but that changed on Sunday afternoon. Now Utah is prepared to move forward without Mitchell, although it does once again sound like he'll likely suit up for Game 2 on Wednesday. Just as they have all season, the Grizzlies exceeded expectations and rode the momentum from their play-in tournament victory to a 112-109 win here in Salt Lake City on Sunday. Note that the Jazz have gone 17-5 ATS when playing consecutive home games this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15.5 points. They're also a solid 63-41 ATS the last 104 times they've played at home off an outright loss as a home favorite, as is the case here. Meanwhile, this has been a bit of a tough spot for the Grizzlies defensively, playing on the road after winning four of their last five games as they've given up 120.3 points per game. I expect a big response from the Jazz here, noting that they've gone 31-6 here at home this season, outscoring opponents by 12.8 points on average. Take Utah (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Aces -6 v. Mercury | 85-79 | Push | 0 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the points with the Aces as they look to bounce back from a disappointing home loss against the Sun last time out. Phoenix is also coming off a home loss against Connecticut but will be in tough trying to bounce back against one of the best teams in the league, without one of its best players in Diana Taurasi, who is out indefinitely with a chest injury. The Aces shot a miserable 40.3% from the field in their most recent game with the duo of Liz Cambage and A'ja Wilson scoring just 24 points combined. Expect them to make amends here. Note that the Mercury's only two wins this season have come against Minnesota and Washington, two teams that are missing key players of their own and struggled in the early going this season. Las Vegas will have added motivation here after dropping both matchups with Phoenix last year. The Aces are the better team and I look for them to win this one going away. Take Las Vegas (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Panthers v. Lightning -138 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Florida at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. This one sets up well for the Lightning to close out the Panthers on home ice. Florida took Game 5 by a 4-1 score two nights ago as Tampa Bay just couldn't match the Panthers hunger facing elimination. Here, I look for the Lightning to do everything they can to avoid a return trip to Sunrise, noting that they have a number of key players playing injured and can use all the rest they can get. Tampa Bay checks in 38-12 after losing two of its last three games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.1 goals in that spot. Better still, the Lightning are 36-10 when coming off a loss by two goals or more over that same stretch, outscoring the opposition by 1.1 goals on average. They're also an incredible 18-3 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal in that situation. Tampa Bay owns a decisive 7-3 edge on home ice against the Panthers over the last three seasons and I believe its Game 5 setback will only serve as a minor speedbump on its way to wrapping up this series. Take Tampa Bay (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -2 | Top | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Round 1 Game of the Year. My selection is on New York minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Knicks after they played poorly but still took the Hawks right down to the wire in the opener of this series on Sunday. The fantastic duo of R.J. Barrett and Julius Randle combined to knock down just 12 shots and score only 29 points in Game 1, something I look for them to make amends for here in Game 2. Hawks superstar Trae Young got to the free throw line nine times (and knocked down all nine shots) in Game 1 and now continues to get called out for 'flopping'. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see the Knicks get the benefit of the doubt from the officials a little more here in Game 2. Note that the Hawks are just 5-15 ATS on the road after scoring 105 points or more in four straight games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by 7.9 points on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Knicks have thrived in similar situations to this all season, going 18-8 ATS as a favorite and and incredible 25-6 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3, as is the case here. Better still, they're 17-2 ATS when at home in the latter situation this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 7.9 points. Finally, note that the Knicks have taken four of the last six meetings with Atlanta here at home. I don't believe there's any real intimidation factor at play in this one. Now that the Hawks have earned their split in New York, I look for the Knicks to answer back and send the series back to Atlanta knotted at one game apiece. Take New York (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Braves v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday The Braves got the better of the Red Sox in the opener of this series last night, notching their fourth straight victory and handing Boston its second loss in a row following a four-game winning streak. That was a low-scoring contest with just four total runs scored. I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday, however. Drew Smyly will get the start for Atlanta. He has pitched reasonably well on the road this season, posting a 3.27 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, but his three quality road outings have come against the Nationals (twice) and Brewers - two subpar offensive clubs. In his other road start he was lit up by the Blue Jays, allowing five earned runs in just four innings in a 13-5 loss. Note that Boston checks in 10-5 against left-handed starters this season. Behind Smyly is a Braves bullpen that entered last night's action having posted a collective 4.92 ERA and 1.61 WHIP on the road this season. Nick Pivetta will counter for Boston. He's been a pleasant surprise for the Red Sox, going 5-0 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. He's been at his best here at Fenway Park where he owns a 3.17 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with the Sox winning four of his five starts. However, here he'll face a Braves team that should be quite familiar with him from his days with the N.L. East rival Phillies. Pivetta's last three starts against the Braves have resulted in 17, 11 and 10 total runs. Pivetta generally only works around five innings per start and while the Red Sox bullpen has been solid, it will face a tough challenge against a deep Braves lineup that is seeing the ball well right now. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Royals v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Tampa Bay at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a very low-scoring contest between these two teams last night and I expect more of the same on Wednesday. Left-hander Mike Minor will get the start for Kansas City. He's been a different pitcher on the road compared to at home this season, posting a 3.43 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with the Royals winning all four of his road outings. Note that Minor will have the advantage of facing the Rays for the first time. They check in hitting just .200 as a team against southpaw starters this season. Behind Minor is a Royals bullpen that has really settled down lately, entering last night's action having posted a 3.05 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over their last seven games before tossing two scoreless frames in Monday's victory. Tyler Glasnow will counter for Tampa Bay. He's faced the Royals just once in his career, that start coming back in 2018. Glasnow has been lights out here at Tropicana Field this season, posting a 2.20 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 28 2/3 innings of work. He averages more than six innings per start so the Rays bullpen isn't as big of a concern but on that note, Tampa Bay relievers have been among the best in baseball this season, recording a collective 2.94 ERA and 1.11 WHIP at home this season, blowing just one save. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 230.5 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The 76ers turned in a rather sleepy defensive performance in the opener of this series on Sunday - perhaps not all that surprising given it was an early start against a Wizards squad they've taken care of with relative ease this season. All told, they allowed the Wiz to shoot better than 55% from the field in the series-opener, something I look for the Sixers to make amends for on Wednesday night. On the flip side, Washington pretty much gave Philadelphia whatever it wanted offensively in that contest and ultimately paid the price in a losing effort. While the Wizards are thought of as a defensive doormat, they've actually proven capable of stepping up at times over the course of the season. Prior to Sunday's game, Washington had held four straight opponents to 46.4% or worse shooting. Even on Sunday, it did hold Philadelphia below 50% shooting. Note that the 'under' has gone 32-18 with the 76ers coming in well-rested playing four games or less in the last 10 days over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 221.4 points. The 'under' is also 34-15 the last 49 times the 76ers have come off a game that totaled 235 points or more, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Penguins +100 v. Islanders | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
NHL First Round Elimination Game of the Year. My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 6:35 pm et on Wednesday. Off a 50-shot barrage in a losing effort on Monday I look for the Penguins to finally capitalize on their opportunities and force a seventh and deciding game in this series with a victory in Uniondale on Wednesday. Note that Pittsburgh checks in a perfect 8-0 when coming off consecutive losses against division opponents over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 2.4 goals in that spot. The Pens are also an incredible 23-11 after giving up three goals or more in consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.1 goals on average in that situation. They obviously come into this game with double-revenge off consecutive losses and I'll point to the fact that they've gone 18-5 when revenging a loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 1.1 goals on average in that spot. While the Isles do hold a 7-5 edge against the Pens here on Long Island over the last three seasons, three of those five Pittsburgh victories have come this season. This has had the feel of a seven-game series all the way and I expect it to play out accordingly on Wednesday. Take Pittsburgh (10*). | |||||||
05-26-21 | Orioles v. Twins -185 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Baltimore at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Twins continue to 'make up for lost time' after a miserable start to the season, now having reeled off three straight wins and five victories in their last six games after last night's 7-4 triumph. We won with them last night and we'll go right back to the well in this early start on Wednesday. Jorge Lopez will take the ball for Baltimore. He's been absolutely dreadful in two daytime outings this season, posting a 10.12 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. The fact that he averages just 4 1/3 innings per start is very concerning considering the O's bullpen has been a train wreck lately. Baltimore relievers entered last night's action having recorded a collective 10.17 ERA and 2.22 WHIP over their last seven games and gave up a couple of key runs late in last night's game as well. Michael Pineda will counter for Minnesota. He's quietly been pitching well all season for the Twins, but particularly here at home where he owns a 2.86 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. The Orioles haven't seen him since the 2017 season. Behind Pineda is a Twins bullpen that has been outstanding lately, entering last night's game sporting a 3.00 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over their last seven games and allowed just one earned run in 3 1/3 innings in Tuesday's win. Take Minnesota (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 127-121 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Mavericks took the opener of this series on Saturday but I look for the Clippers to answer back with a convincing victory of their own on Tuesday. Remember, these two teams met in the bubble in Orlando last August as the Clippers prevailed 4-2. In that series, the Clips did a terrific job bouncing back from their two losses, securing victories by eight and 43-point margins (yes, they won the latter contest 154-111). That's pretty much par for the course when it comes to the Clippers as they've been a terrific bounce-back team, having gone 33-19 ATS after a loss over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 10.8 points in that situation. Better still, they're 13-4 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss, as is the case here, over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 12.8 points in that spot. Dallas is an excellent team and certainly has a shot at winning this series, as evidenced by its convincing Game 1 victory, however I expect the Mavs to have a tough time matching the Clips intensity here after accomplishing their goal of earning at least a split in Los Angeles. Take Los Angeles (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 216 | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Mavs did an excellent job of holding down the Clippers in Game 1 of this series on Saturday as they secured a 113-103 victory, just staying a shade 'under' the total. I certainly expect the Clippers to respond with a much better shooting effort here on Tuesday after being held to 11-of-40 shooting from beyond the arc in Game 1. Note that the Clips have averaged 120.6 points per game when coming off a double-digit loss over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 228.4 total points. We've also seen an average total of 229.3 points with the Clips at home revenging a loss where their opponent scored 110 points or more over the last two seasons. Note that these two teams squared off in last year's playoffs in the bubble in Orlando. In that series, which L.A. won 4-2, the Clips came up big offensively off a loss, scoring 130 and 154 points with those two contests totaling 252 and 265 points. Expect another high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 208.5 | Top | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. We saw an incredibly low-scoring game (by today's NBA standards) in the opener of this series on Sunday as the Suns cruised to a 99-90 victory. I certainly expect to see the Lakers punch back on Tuesday night but Phoenix isn't going to roll over and has proven to be an incredibly efficient offensive team here at home this season, averaging 116.1 points per game on better than 49% shooting. Note that the 'over' has gone 23-11 with the Suns coming off two or more consecutive wins this season, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 225.7 points. Better still, the 'over' is 13-4 with the Suns coming off four or more straight victories over the last two seasons with an average total of 232.8 points in that spot. As for the Lakers, they've seen the 'over' cash at a 49-26 clip the last 75 times they've played on the road off a loss against a division opponent. Look for an answer from Lebron and A.D. off an off day on Sunday but the Suns should do their part to help this one 'over' the total as well. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Sun v. Storm -3 | 87-90 | Push | 0 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Connecticut at 10 pm et on Tuesday. Connecticut has exceeded expectations and gotten off to a perfect 5-0 start keyed by consecutive wins over the Mercury and Aces - two of the league's best teams - to open this three-game road trip. I expect the Sun to finally get tripped up on Tuesday night, however, as they face a tall task against the defending champion Storm. Seattle has just one blemish on its record so far this season with that setback coming in the second half of a two-game set against the aforementioned Aces. Note that the Storm swept last year's two-game season series, winning both meetings by double-digits. They've gone 14-8 in the last 22 meetings in this series. The Sun should have the Storm's full attention for this one given their undefeated record. Take Seattle (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair as the streaking Rangers head to Anaheim to face the Angels on Tuesday night. Left-hander Hyeon-Jong Yang will take the ball for the Rangers. He was terrific in his most recent start, allowing just three hits and two earned runs over 5 1/3 innings against the Yankees. Here, he'll face an Angels team that has performed well against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game on .268 hitting. Note that the 'over' has gone 9-3 in the Angels 12 games against southpaw starters. Yang hasn't shown the ability to work deep into ball games which opens the door for a Rangers bullpen that has posted a collective 5.67 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road this season. Texas will be getting its third look at Angels starter Andrew Heaney since the start of last season and it has enjoyed success against him, knocking the left-hander around for 11 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. The Rangers are 12-5 against southpaw starters this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game on .254 hitting. Heaney has postd a 6.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in four home starts this season with the 'over' going a perfect 4-0. Note that Heaney is averaging less than five innings per start this season which means we're likely to see plenty of an Angels bullpen that has posted a 5.00 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, not to mention six blown saves, at home this season. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -186 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This one sets up perfectly for the Hurricanes as they look to rebound on home ice after suffering consecutive overtime losses in Nashville. Note that the Predators are 0-6 off two straight one-goal wins over division opponents over the last three seasons, outscored by a wide average margin of 2.5 goals in that spot. They're also 10-23 when coming off consecutive victories over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals per game in that situation. As we noted at the start of this series, home ice would likely be the ultimate decider and so far it has been with the hosts winning all four games for a 2-2 series through five. With the Canes checking in 22-8 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.4 goals per game, look for them to gain the upper hand on Tuesday night. Take Carolina (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Carolina at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This has turned out to be a very high-scoring series with three of the four games totaling seven goals or more. I expect things to tighten up considerably now that the series is all knotted at two games apiece, however. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Hurricanes playing at home after losing two of their last three games this season with that situation producing an average total of just 3.7 goals. The 'under' is also 10-2 with the Hurricanes at home off a one-goal loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of just 4.3 goals. For the Preds part, the 'under' has gone 11-3 when they play on the road after giving up three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons, with that spot producing an average total of just 4.9 goals. Despite the high-scoring nature of this playoff series, the 'under' remains 8-6 in the last 14 meetings in this series while five of the last seven matchups here in Raleigh have also gone 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-25-21 | Orioles v. Twins -196 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Baltimore at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Twins are doing their best to make up for lost time right now, winners of four of their last five games but still a long way from getting back into contention. I do like their chances of staying hot on Tuesday against the reeling Orioles. Baltimore has lost seven straight games. The O's bullpen was a strength earlier in the season but the wheels have come off lately with their relievers posting a collective 10.17 ERA and 2.22 WHIP over their last seven games. With tonight's starter Dean Kremer averaging just over four innings per start the O's woeful 'pen should be forced into extended duty again. Jose Berrios isn't off to a banner start for the Twins but despite his 5.48 ERA and 1.30 WHIP here at home, Minnesota has still managed to win three of his four outings at Target Field. Interestingly, most of Berrios' struggles have come in the daytime. In three night starts he has posted a sparkling 1.62 ERA and 0.66 WHIP. Berrios has certainly had the O's number over the course of his career, going 5-0 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.15 WHIP against them. Take Minnesota (9*). | |||||||
05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Denver minus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Monday. The Blazers took the opener of this series, which shouldn't have come as a big surprise as they played exceptionally well down the stretch this season and they've been terrific on the road, going 23-14. Here, I expect the Nuggets to bounce back, however, noting that they've gone 25-12 at home this season, outscoring the opposition by an average of six points, and have taken seven of their last 10 home meetings with Portland. The Blazers have now won consecutive games in this series after the Nuggets had taken the previous two. Note that the Nuggets check in 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games when trailing a playoff series, outscoring the opposition by 6.9 points per game. They've also a terrific 13-4 ATS when coming off two more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 9.8 points. All respect to Portland, it was the better team in Game 1, but now it has accomplished its goal of earning at least a split here in Denver. Look for the Blazers to fall short on Monday. Take Denver (10*). | |||||||
05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox -173 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
MLB on ESPN Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago over St. Louis at 8:10 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off disappointing weekend series' with the Cardinals dropping two of three games against the rival Cubs and the White Sox getting swept by the Yankees in the Bronx. Here, I look for the White Sox to bounce back at home as they once again look to tee off on a left-handed starting pitcher. Chicago's success against southpaw starters has been well-documented. It checks in 9-3 against lefties this season, averaging a whopping 8.0 runs per game and hitting just shy of .300 as a team. Cards starter Kwang-Hyun Kim has given up just one earned run in five consecutive starts but he's generally labored through those outings, most recently lasting just 3 1/3 innings in a start against the Padres last Sunday. Now that opposing teams have a little more tape on Kim, we've seen them have some success. To say that the Cards bullpen has been struggling would be an understatement. Note that Kim has posted a 3.86 ERA and an inflated 1.46 WHIP in three road starts this season, averaging less than four innings per start. That's concerning as behind Kim is a Cards bullpen that has recorded a 7.46 ERA and 2.01 WHIP over their last seven contests. Veteran Lance Lynn will counter for Chicago. He's off to a terrific start, having posted a 1.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP through seven starts. Behind Lynn is a White Sox bullpen that has recorded a collective 3.38 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home this season. Take Chicago (10*). | |||||||
05-24-21 | Heat +5 v. Bucks | 98-132 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over Milwaukee at 7:35 pm et on Monday. We won with the Heat in the opener of this series on Saturday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. While the Bucks slogan is 'Fear the Deer', there was really nothing to fear for Miami in Game 1 of this series on Saturday. The Heat were right there for four quarters plus overtime and only fell short thanks to an incredible shot by Khris Middleton in the final second of OT. The fact that they were right there should be encouraging as the Heat certainly didn't play their best game - not by a longshot. So many easy shots - within 4-6 feet of the basket - were missed. Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo just couldn't buy a basket at times, missing a number of layups that could have easiliy been the difference in the game. I expect them to make amends here on Monday. Note that the Heat remain a winning team on the road this season and they'll certainly want to earn a split here in Milwaukee, knowing just how difficult it would be to come back from a 2-0 deficit, needing four wins in five games - a nearly insurmountable task against a team as good as the Bucks. Take Miami (10*). | |||||||
05-24-21 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 222.5 | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Milwaukee at 7:35 pm et on Monday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series on Saturday as the two teams simply didn't knock down their shots in a rather sloppy contest. I'm expecting a sharper offensive effort from both squads here. Watching that game, it was truly incredible how many easy baskets were missed from the 4-6 foot range. When the dust settled, the Bucks shot 43.7% from the field while the Heat checked in at a dreadful 36.4%. Note that the 'over' has gone 18-7 with the Bucks coming off a home win this season with those contests totaling an average of 241.8 points. That's in addition to the fact that the 'over' is 11-3 with the Bucks coming off a straight-up victory but ATS loss, as is the case here, with that situation producing a whopping 244.6 total points on average. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-24-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
NHL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Penguins took one on the chin on Saturday afternoon in Uniondale, suffering a lopsided 4-1 defeat to even the series up at two games apiece. Here, I look for Pittsburgh to answer back on home ice where it has gone 23-7 this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.4 goals. Note that Pittsburgh checks in 9-1 when revenging a road loss by two goals or more this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 2.3 goals in that spot. The Pens are also an incredible 16-2 at home off a loss over the last two seasons, holding a 1.8-goal scoring edge in that situation. This has been an incredibly tightly-contested series in recent years so it's no surprise at all that it's all tied up through four games. However, I do think home ice means something at this stage of the series and like the Pens to defend it here. Take Pittsburgh (10*). | |||||||
05-24-21 | Rockies v. Mets -135 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Colorado at 7:10 pm et on Monday. These two teams appear to be heading in opposite directions with the Rockies coming off a sweep of the D'Backs and the Mets off a losing series against the Marlins. However, most of Colorado's success this season has come at home. The Rockies check in a miserable 2-17 on the road and don't figure to improve on that awful mark here. Austin Gomber was the main piece coming Colorado's way in the Nolan Arenado deal but so far he has disappointed. Gomber has posted an ugly 6.39 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season with Colorado dropping five of his six outings away from Coors Field. He did pitch well in this last two starts with both of those coming against the Padres. Every other opponent he has faced this season has seemingly had his number though. Note that Gomber averages just five innings per start which spells trouble for the Rockies as their bullpen has been awful, posting a 5.46 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the season. David Peterson will counter for New York. The Mets have won two of his three home starts so far this season where he has recorded a 3.95 ERA and an impressive 1.02 WHIP. Like Gomber, he has also struggled to work deep into ball games but the key difference is, the Mets 'pen has been terrific, posting a 3.70 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with those numbers getting much better at home, where they're recorded a 1.66 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 48 2/3 innings. Take New York (10*). | |||||||
05-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
NBA First Round Blowout Game of the Year. My selection is on Utah minus the points over Memphis at 9:35 pm et on Sunday. The Grizzlies did well to take down the eight-seed with consecutive wins in the play-in tournament, including Friday's upset win over the Warriors in San Francisco. Here, however, I look for them to get a bit of a reality check against the well-rested Jazz. Utah has been positively dominant here at home this season, posting a 31-5 record while outscoring opponents by 13.2 points per game. While the Grizzlies were battling it out in a pair of close games against the Spurs and Grizzlies the Jazz were at home resting, and getting healthier with both Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley expected to play in Sunday's playoff-opener. Mitchell obviously gives the Jazz a major boost. Even without him, they still put up gawdy offensive numbers, scoring more than 120 points in four of their final seven games down the stretch. While Memphis has been locked in defensively this will undoubtedly be a difficult challenge against a Jazz squad that averages over 117 points per game and shoots better than 47% from the field at home this season. I'm concerned that the Grizzlies offense might not be able to keep pace here considering they check in having shot 44.4% or worse from the field in each of their last four contests. Take Utah (10*). | |||||||
05-23-21 | Oilers -125 v. Jets | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Sunday. Most didn't give the Jets much of a chance of even winning a game in this series let alone stealing the first two contests in Edmonton. But that's precisely what they did and now they return home with a chance to take full control of the series on Sunday night. I don't see it happening, however. Note that the Oilers are a perfect 7-0 when revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 8-1 this season on the road off a loss, outscoring opponents by 2.1 on average in that spot. Meanwhile, in an odd quirk, the Jets have gone a miserable 2-11 off an overtime win over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 2-8 after winning three or more games in a row over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that spot. Ordinarily the Jets would have a big edge playing at home in front of a raucous 'white out' crowd here in the postseason. Due to the pandemic that's simply not the case this year. Note that Winnipeg has gone just 13-15 on home ice this season. Look for the Oilers to get back in the series on Sunday night. Take Edmonton (10*). | |||||||
05-23-21 | Bruins v. Capitals +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -222 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington +1.5 goals over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. This has been a tighter series than the 3-1 advantage for the Bruins would indicate. Facing elimination on Sunday night at home, I certainly expect the Capitals to give Boston all it can handle. Note that this marks the first time the Capitals have lost three games in a row since a four-game losing streak - their longest of the season - back in early February. Note that the Bruins are 2-8 on the road after allowing two goals or less in consecutive games this season, averaging just 2.1 goals and outscored by 0.6 goals on average in that situation. They also check in just 6-9 off a win by three goals or more this season. The Capitals, meanwhile, have allowed just 2.2 goals per game the last 15 times they've been at home facing elmination in a playoff game, outscored by just 0.1 goals in that situation. Washington has averaged a whopping 4.3 goals per game and outscored opponents by 1.2 goals on average after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons. Finally, I'll point out that the Caps are 5-4 in their last nine meetings with the Bruins here on home ice and despite dropping three of the first four games in this series have gone 10-9 in the last 19 meetings overall. Take Washington +1.5 goals (9*). | |||||||
05-23-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -121 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Nashville at 2:35 pm et on Sunday. This series has featured a couple of high-scoring games already but I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday afternoon in a pivotal Game 4 contest. Note that the 'under' has gone 15-4 the last 19 times the Hurricanes have played on the road leading a playoff series with those games totaling an average of just 4.4 goals. The 'under' is also 11-2 with the Predators playing at home having allowed three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 4.8 goals. On the flip side of that, the Preds have posted a 7-24 o/u mark when at home after scoring four goals or more in their last game over the last three seasons, with an average total of 4.9 goals. There's a lot on the line here as the Canes look to push the Preds to the brink of elmination heading back to Carolina while Nashville tries to even the series knowing it will need to still steal a game in Raleigh in order to win the series. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-23-21 | Tigers v. Royals -141 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City over Detroit at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. The Royals have finally been able to regain their footing, winning five of their last eight games overall and have an opportunity to grab a second straight series win here on Sunday against the Tigers. They'll be getting their third look at Tigers starter Casey Mize already this season and they've had some success against him, scoring eight earned runs off of him in just 10 2/3 innings. Mize hasn't been fooling many Royals hitters, having posted a 5:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio against them. Meanwhile, Royals lefty Kris Bubic gets another start after impressing against the Brewers earlier this week, allowing just one hit over six shutout innings. The Royals have now won three of his last four starts going back to last season. Both bullpens have been solid over the last week or so, but it's the Royals relief corps that has been better over the first couple of months of the season, posting a 3.48 ERA in daytime games compared to Detroit's 5.40 mark (entering yesterday's action). Take Kansas City (10*). | |||||||
05-23-21 | Everton v. Manchester City UNDER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
English Premier League Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Everton and Manchester City at 11 am et on Sunday. We won with Everton in its 1-0 victory over Wolverhampton on Wednesday but missed with Man City in its last match - a stunning 3-2 loss against Brighton and Hove after it was handed a red card and forced to play a man down for the game's final 80+ minutes. Here, Man City has little to play for other than to try to get back on track prior to the Champions League Final against Chelsea next Saturday. We're not likely to see Man City's best lineup but it certainly has the depth to put forth a strong effort in its EPL home finale, regardless who it sends to the pitch on Sunday. While Everton still has much to play for as it tries to qualify for the Europa League - even if it is a longshot at this point. The Toffees need to take care of business and likely get all three points here and also receive some help. Their best chance likely comes by keeping this match level for as long as possible and hope for a late breakthrough with Man City shifting its focus to next Saturday. The problem for Everton is it has managed just four goals in its last six matches combined. It has scored more than a single goal just once in its last 14 matches - that coming against a poor Tottenham defense in a 2-2 draw on April 16th. Off a uncharacteristically high-scoring affair against Brighton, look for Man City to settle things down here and regain its positive form heading into the Champions League Final. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-23-21 | Burnley +135 v. Sheffield United | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Burnley over Sheffield United at 11 am et on Sunday. While it hasn't been a banner EPL campaign for either of these outfits, Burnley has had the more positive outcome, avoiding relegation to the Championship. Off consecutive lopsided defeats at the hands of Leeds and Liverpool, I look for Burnley to make amends here in its season finale against last-place Sheffield United. Burnley has had a tendency to 'go for broke' so to speak. Prior to its last two setbacks it had delivered two wins in its previous three matches, scoring seven goals in the process. The Clarets do have the potential to move up to 16th position in the EPL by collecting all three points here and that's at least something to play for on the final day of the regular season. Shieffield United brings awful form into this contest having scored just one tally in its last four matches combined. We successfully faded the Blades on Wednesday as they were dominated throughout in a somewhat flattering 1-0 loss to Newcastle United. Here, another 1-0 setback is the most likely scenario to play out once again. Take Burnley (10*). | |||||||
05-22-21 | Golden Knights v. Wild +109 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Vegas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. Game 3 should have been pretty easy for the Wild to flush as they simply didn't show enough fight after jumping out to an early 2-0 lead and got burned by a superior Golden Knights squad. I do expect to see some push-back from Minnesota in what amounts to a virtual must-win game on Saturday night. Note that the Wild are a perfect 8-0 when coming off consecutive losses this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 17-6 when coming off a home loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals per game in that spot. There's no reason for them to fold the tent here as they know they can skate with the Knights, having taken nine of the last 16 meetings overall including four of the last seven here in Minnesota. While I still have Vegas winning this series, I like the Wild to even things up on Saturday night. Take Minnesota (9*). | |||||||
05-22-21 | Storm -6 v. Wings | Top | 100-97 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
WNBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Saturday. Dallas exploded for 94 points in its season-opening rout of Los Angeles last Friday night but should find the going much tougher as it returns home to host a Seattle squad that already appears to be in midseason form. The Storm are off to a 2-1 start with their lone loss coming in the second of a two-game set against Las Vegas. We should see the Seattle offense go off in this game as it faces a below-average Dallas defense that is missing a number of key cogs including two-way star Allisha Gray on Saturday. Arike Ogunbowale is an all-world talent for the Wings but she can't carry the team all on her own. I believe secondary scoring could be an issue moving forward with Gray sidelined as well as Satou Sabally. Seattle has taken five straight meetings in this series, going 4-1 ATS along the way. That includes a pair of double-digit wins in the bubble last summer. Note that the Storm check in an impressive 23-10 ATS after giving up 75 points or more in their last game over the last three seasons and 20-10 ATS against division opponents over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by more than 10 points per game in the latter situation. Take Seattle (10*). | |||||||
05-22-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
MLB A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. We saw a high-scoring contest between these two teams last night in Dunedin and I expect more of the same on Saturday. As expected, games played here in Dunedin have been generally high-scoring this season with the 'over' cashing at an 11-7 clip and an average total of nearly 11 runs. Shane McClanahan will take the ball for the Rays on Saturday. As opponents get more tape on the left-hander we're starting to see him struggle. Over his last two starts he has allowed seven earned runs on 10 hits over just 9 1/3 innings of work after he had given up only two earned runs in eight innings in his first two big league outings. The Jays are rolling along offensively right now having scored seven runs or more in four of their last five games. Robbie Ray will counter for Toronto. He's made great strides in terms of his command this season, issuing only two walks over his last five starts after handing out nine free passes in his first two outings. However, it seems to have come at the expense of his ability to keep the ball in the park. Ray has been lit up for 10 home runs in his last five starts, spanning 30 1/3 innings. The Rays have exploded offensively of late, scoring seven runs or more in six consecutive games. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-22-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -167 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Credit the Canadiens for staging the Game 1 upset two nights ago, delivering a 2-1 victory despite getting outshot by a 36-30 margin. Even after losing John Tavares to a scary concussion, the Leafs shouldn't be down on themselves heading into Game 2 on Saturday night. They're still 18-11 at home this season and 6-3 in their last nine meetings with the Canadiens here in Toronto. They've been tremendous when revenging a home loss against an opponent this season, going 10-1 while outscoring the opposition by 1.3 goals on average. While the Leafs aren't necessarily known for their ability to overcome adversity, they're actually an impressive 23-11 the last 37 times they've been trailing a playoff series. The Canadiens check in 3-11 off a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last two seasons and 8-16 off a victory this season. Look for the Leafs to answer back in a big way on Saturday. Take Toronto (10*). | |||||||
05-22-21 | Twins v. Indians -162 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland over Minnesota at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Twins took the opener of this series in blowout fashion last night but I look for the Indians to bounce back behind their ace, Shane Bieber on Saturday. Kenta Maeda will take the ball for Minnesota. He's been an absolute train wreck this season and checks in sporting a 6.75 ERA and 1.58 WHIP on the road where the Twins have won just one of his five starts. The Indians will be getting their fourth look at him since last August and most recently tagged him for five earned runs over 5 2/3 innings back on April 27th. As I mentioned, Shane Bieber gets the nod for Cleveland. He's coming off a subpar performance in Seattle last time out but should bounce back here at home where he owns a 2.70 ERA and 1.30 WHIP this season with the Indians winning each of his last two outings here. Cleveland is 8-2 in his 10 career starts against Minnesota but will be looking for some revenge here after the Twins beat them 3-1 at home against Bieber last September. Not only do the Indians have the decisive edge in terms of the starters, they also have a considerable edge in the bullpen where they own one of the best relief corps in baseball so far this season. Indians relievers have posted a collective 2.57 ERA (entering last night's action) this season while the Twins have posted an ERA right around six on the road. Take Cleveland (10*). | |||||||
05-22-21 | Orioles v. Nationals -152 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Baltimore at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. Jon Lester doesn't instill much confidence with most bettors at this stage of his career but he's actually pitched pretty well in three home starts this season, recording a 2.25 ERA and 1.38 WHIP and he draws a favorable matchup against the struggling Orioles here. Baltimore has lost four straight and eight of its last nine games overall. O's starter Bruce Zimmermann continues to struggle at the big league level. He's allowed 10 earned runs over his last three starts, spanning just 13 innings of work. He owns a 5.28 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the road with the O's dropping two of this three starts. Behind Zimmermann is an O's bullpen that started the year strong but has now posted an ERA north of six over their last seven games. By contrast, the Nats' 'pen has posted a 2.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in day games this season. Take Washington (9*). | |||||||
05-22-21 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 226.5 | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Milwaukee at 2:05 pm et on Saturday. These two teams just met last Saturday with Milwaukee cruising to a 122-108 victory. That game stayed 'under' the total but this time around we're dealing with a considerably lower number. I believe it will prove too low. The Bucks can pretty much put up 120 points per game here at home in their sleep. They check in ranked seventh in the league in floor percentage here at home and third in possessions per game. Milwaukee also ranks third in the NBA in total rebounding percentage here at home - a big advantage over a Heat squad that ranks 19th in rebound rate on the road - which should allow it to push the pace here. I do believe Miami can afford itself some extra scoring opportunities in transition here as well given it ranks seventh in the league in steals per defensive play on the road and Milwaukee sits in the bottom half of the league in turnovers per possession at home. The 'under' cashed in three of five games in last year's playoff series although I would take that with a grain of salt as those contests were played in unique circumstances in the bubble in Orlando. While the 'under' went 2-1 in three regular season meetings this year - all three games actually went 'over' the number we're dealing with at the time of writing. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Mariners v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-16 | Win | 103 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Friday. The Mariners offense is coming off a miserable series against the Tigers which included being no-hit for the second time this season. Perhaps a change of scenery will serve them well. They'll be getting their third look at Padres starter Chris Paddack since last August. The last time they faced him here in San Diego they touched him up for six earned runs over just five innings in an 8-3 victory. Note that the 'over' is 11-2 in Paddack's last 13 starts with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5 runs with those games totaling an average of 10.6 runs. Chris Flexen will take the ball for Seattle. The 'over' has cashed at a perfect 8-0 clip in his eight career road starts as an underdog with those contests reaching an average total of 13.0 runs. Both bullpens are solid, but with neither starter showing the ability to work deep into ball games (Flexen averages around 5 2/3 innings per start while Paddack lasts just 4 1/3 innings on average), there's a good chance they get over-extended in this one. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Puck-Line Game of the Week. My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 goals over Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Friday. This series looks like it's over by all accounts after consecutive lopsided victories by the Avs but with the scene shifting to St. Louis for Game 3 I do look for the Blues to put up a fight. Note that Colorado is just 21-30 when playing on the road after scoring four goals or more in its last game over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, St. Louis checks in 11-2 when playing at home off consecutive losses by three goals or more, outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that situation. The Blues have more than held their own here at home against the Avalanche over the last three seasons, taking six of the last eight meetings. We'll grab the insurance goal with St. Louis here as the price warrants such a play, noting the Avs managed just one win by more than a single goal in four tries here in St. Louis this season. Take St. Louis +1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Jets v. Oilers -156 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -156 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
NHL First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 9:05 pm et on Friday. This one sets up nicely for the Oilers as they look to bounce back following a disappointing 4-1 loss in Wednesday's series-opener. The Jets limped down the stretch losing nine of their final 12 regular season games including three against these same Oilers but perhaps that played a role in Edmonton taking a win for granted in Game 1. In fact, prior to Wednesday's contest, the Oilers had won six straight meetings with the Jets. Now it's the Oilers with all of the motivation as they look to even up the series before it shifts to Winnipeg for the next two games. Note that the Jets check in a miserable 3-13 after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot. They're also just 6-17 when coming off a road victory by three goals or more over the last three seasons, outscored by 1.2 goals per game in that situation as well. Meanwhile, the Oilers check in 15-4 when coming off two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, averaging 3.8 goals per game while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that spot. They're 7-1 when coming off consecutive losses by two or more goals over the same stretch, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal. Give the Jets all the credit in the world for stealing Game 1 as they were actually outshot by a fairly wide margin but they're a gritty road team, having gone 18-11 away from home this season, and found a way to get the 'W'. However, now that they've accomplished what was likely their goal of earning at least a split in the first two games in Edmonton, look for the Oilers to answer back with a convincing victory of their own on Friday. Take Edmonton (10*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Play-In Tournament Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Memphis and Golden State at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We've seen the defense ramp up during the NBA Play-In Tournament and I expect that to continue on Friday night as the Grizzlies face the Warriors for the fourth time this season - this time with a playoff spot hanging in the balance. All three previous matchups have gone 'under' the total. In fact, eight of 10 meetings between these two teams over the last three season have gone 'under'. You would be hard-pressed to find two teams more locked in defensively right now. The Grizzlies have held six of their last seven opponents to 43.7% shooting or worse. On the flip side, however, Memphis has shot 44.4% or worse from the field itself in each of its last three contests. The Warriors have been even better than the Grizzlies defensively, holding 10 of their last 11 opponents to 46.5% shooting or worse. Memphis has seen the 'under' cash in seven of its last eight contests. Note that the 'under' is an incredible 13-1 with the Grizzlies playing on the road seeking revenge for a road loss by 10 points or more over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of 208.4 points. Meanwhile, the 'under' is a perfect 8-0 the last eight times the Warriors have come off a road loss by three points or less, as is the case here, with those contests reaching an average total of just 213.1 points. With everything to play for on Friday night, I'm expecting a tightly-contested, relatively low-scoring affair. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. First, it's certainly worth pointing out that these two bullpens have been lights out over the last week or so with Detroit's 'pen recording a collective 2.11 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over its last seven games and Kansas City's relief corps having posted a 0.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over that same stretch. Note also that the 'under' has gone 25-10 in Royals starter Mike Minor's last 35 starts with the total set between 8.5 and 10.0 runs, as is the case here, with those games totaling an average of just 7.6 runs. Tigers starter Jose Urena has struggled in his last two outings but both of those came at home. He's been a better pitcher on the road, recording a 2.45 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. The Royals still aren't hitting, averaging just 3.7 runs per game over their last seven contests. Meanwhile, the Tigers check in averaging a paltry 2.7 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. The 'under' has cashed at a 10-2 clip when the Tigers face southpaw starters this season with those games averaging just 7.0 total runs. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 11-3 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Red Sox are coming off a high-scoring come-from-behind victory over the Blue Jays last night while the Phillies were shut out by the Marlins and have now scored one run or less in four of their last seven games. Note that the 'under' has gone 25-11 in Phillies starter Aaron Nola's 36 career starts as a favorite priced at -150 or higher, as is the case here at the time of writing, with those games totaling an average of just 7.0 runs. Nola has faced the Red Sox three times previously, allowing just four earned runs in 22 innings of work with the 'under' cashing in all three of those games. Martin Perez is off to a somewhat surprising strong start for the Red Sox this season. He has recorded a 35.3% hard-hit ball percentage through 39 2/3 innings after turning in an incredible 29.7% hard-hit ball rate last year. Perez hasn't fared particularly well in three previous outings against the Phillies with an ERA north of four and a 1.30 WHIP, however, as I mentioned he's catching them at the right time here. Both bullpens have performed admirably of late, with the Red Sox relief corps entering last night's game sporting a 3.38 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over theirs last seven games and the Phillies 'pen having posted a sparkling 2.02 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over that same stretch. Take the under (9*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies -147 | 11-3 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Red Sox rallied for a wild 8-7 victory over the Blue Jays last night to secure their second straight series win. I look for them to stumble here, however, as they head to Philadelphia to face a Phillies club that will be seeing red after consecutive losses against the Marlins including a 6-0 setback last night. Philadelphia has the right starter on the mound to turn things around tonight as Aaron Nola has posted a perfect 4-0 team record in four home starts this season, recording a 1.40 ERA and 0.90 WHIP along the way. He'll be happy to get back home after going winless in his last two starts, but those came on the road. Note that Nola also has a solid track record against the Red Sox having given up just four earned runs in 22 career innings pitched against them. Martin Perez will counter for the Red Sox. The Phillies just saw him late last September, scoring four earned runs on five hits and six walks over five innings in a 6-5 win right here in Philadelphia. Despite his 2.30 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the road, the Red Sox have only managed to win one of Perez's three road starts and that came against the lowly Twins back in the second week of April. Further supporting the Phillies here is their bullpen, which entered last night's action having posted a stellar 2.02 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over their last seven games. Take Philadelphia (10*). | |||||||
05-21-21 | Dream v. Fever OVER 160.5 | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Indiana at 7 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'over' in the Dream's last game - an 85-77 loss to the Sky. Here, I'll go back to the well with the same play as Atlanta hits the road to face winless Indiana. Note that the 'over' has gone a perfect 6-0 with the Fever coming off a loss by 15 points or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 181.4 points. While the Dream did make positive strides offensively in their last game, scoring 77 points in a losing effort, there's still plenty of room for improvement. Chennedy Carter has been terrific but Atlanta is still waiting for highly-touted draft pick Aari McDonald to come alive. She's been held to a single point in her first two WNBA games but I do expect her to figure it out sooner rather than later. Note that Indiana checks in 10th in the WNBA in defensive rating this season, which should open up some opportunities for the Dream here. On the flip side, I expect Indiana to afford itself plenty of second chance looks here, ranking third in the league in rebounding percentage compared to the Dream's 11th. Last year's two meetings between these teams produced 170 and 192 points. Expect more of the same here. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards UNDER 238 | 115-142 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Indiana and Washington at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. Most are expecting a track meet between these two teams on Thursday night and while that could very well turn out to be the case, I still believe the lofty total will prove too high. Keep in mind, the Wizards actually check into this one off four consecutive 'under' results. Scott Brooks actually has his team playing a bit of defense right now as they've held their last two opponents to worse than 40% shooting from the field. Going back further, six of their last seven opponents have shot 48.1% or worse from the field. Meanwhile, the Pacers check in having shot better than 50% in three straight games - their longest such streak of the season. The last time they accomplished that feat was back in late December and their next game cruised 'under' the total, reaching just 218 points. Lost in the Pacers tremendous offensive production has been their defensive play as they check in having held five of their last seven opponents to 45.7% or worse shooting. This has certainly been a high-scoring series with the 'over' cashing in all three previous meetings this season. However, just as we've seen with the 'under' cashing in three of four 'play-in' games so far, things tend to get a little tighter as the stakes get higher. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-20-21 | Storm v. Lynx UNDER 164.5 | 90-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Minnesota at 8 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in Seattle's season-opening win over Las Vegas before cashing with the Aces in the rematch two nights ago. Here, I'll switch gears and back the 'under' as the Storm head to Minnesota to face the winless Lynx. Seattle has lit it up, scoring 177 points through two games but that was against an up-tempo Aces squad that was game for track meets. Here, I look for the Lynx to employ a different tempo against the Storm, noting that Minnesota checks in with the league's 12th-fastest pace going back to the preseason. The Lynx are clearly missing the services of Maya Moore, among others. They'll soon get Napheesa Collier back to boost their offense but not in time for Thursday's game. Kayla McBride, formerly a fan favorite with the Las Vegas Aces, was a nice offseason addition but she's better in a supporting role. She checks in having scored 33 points through two games. Natalie Achonwa is also expected to remain out on Thursday, leaving the Lynx with minimal scoring depth off the bench. While Seattle has thrived offensively so far this season, it will face a challenge against a Lynx squad looking to avoid an 0-3 start to the season. In Minnesota's lone previous home game it held a good Phoenix offense to 41% shooting overall and just 4-of-20 (20%) made threes. Note that two of the last three meetings between these two teams here in Minnesota have stayed 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-20-21 | Panthers +1.5 v. Lightning | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida +1.5 goals over Tampa Bay at 6:35 pm et on Thursday. While the Lightning certainly have a stangle-hold on this series up 2-0 heading back home, I don't expect the Panthers to simply roll over. They know they can skate with the Lightning here in Tampa, having split four meetings here this season, going 3-1 when factoring in the +1.5 puck-line. Florida has been a quality road team this season, checking in 17-11 while averaging 3.4 goals per game. The Panthers have gone 10-1 when revenging a loss where they scored one goal or less this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that spot. They're also 14-4 after giving up three goals or more in consecutive games and 8-1 after being held to a goal or less in their previous contest this season. Going back over the last two seasons, Florida has averaged a whopping 4.5 goals per game after being held to a goal or less in its previous game. On the flip side, the Panthers have done a good job tightening things up when heading on the road off a home loss over the last two seasons, allowing just 2.6 goals per game in the 26 times that situation has come up. We'll grab the insurance goal here out of respect for the Lightning but certainly expect Florida to show some fight. Take Florida +1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
05-20-21 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Oakland at 3:35 pm et on Thursday. We've already seen 20 runs cross home plate in the first two games of this series and I expect more of the same on Thursday afternoon. Note that the Astros check in averaging 5.4 runs per game in day games this season and north of six runs per contest over the last week. Meanwhile, the A's average 5.0 runs per game in day contests and prior to getting shut down by Zack Greinke last night, they had plated six runs or more in three of their last four games. Here, the A's will get their third look at Astros starter Luis Garcia since last September. Garcia was solid in his first outing against the A's but in his next he didn't record a single out, issuing three walks before allowing a grand slam in the first inning. Note that Garcia owns a 4.61 ERA on the road this season where he averages fewer than five innings per start. That opens the door for an Astros bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a collective 5.30 ERA on the road this season. Cole Irvin has posted solid overall numbers for the A's this season but again, there's some familiarity here as the Astros will face him for the third time this season. They've already touched him up for 12 hits and eight earned runs in 9 2/3 innings of work. Note that the A's bullpen entered last night's game having recorded a collective 7.30 ERA against division opponents this season and a 4.59 ERA here at home. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-20-21 | Giants v. Reds -132 | 19-4 | Loss | -132 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati over San Francisco at 12:35 pm et on Thursday. The Giants have taken the first three games of this series, getting superb pitching from their starters and just enough offense to get by. While I'm not a big fan of backing teams looking to 'avoid the sweep', I do like the way this one sets up for the Reds. Keep in mind, San Francisco's last three victories have just been enough to move it one game over .500 on the road this season. Meanwhile, last night's loss dropped the Reds back to the .500 mark here at home. On a positive note, Cincinnati is averaging north of six runs per game here at home this season. Johnny Cueto gets the start for the Giants on Thursday. He has labored through his last two outings - both resulting in Giants losses at home against San Diego and at Pittsburgh. In those two starts he was tagged for seven earned runs on 16 hits in just 7 1/3 innings of work. Cueto is averaging just over five innings per start this season which opens the door for a bullpen that entered last night's action having posted a 5.17 ERA on the road this season. Tyler Mahle will counter for Cincinnati. The Reds have won each of his last four starts. He's winless in three career outings against the Giants but has never faced them here at home. While Mahle's overall numbers are solid this season, I am expecting some positive regression in one key area. Mahle recorded a 3.0% home run percentage in 47 2/3 innings last season but that number has bumped up to 4.0% this year. His 35.5% fly ball rate is the culprit but I certainly expect him to get that number down, noting that he owns a career 26.0% fly ball rate. Working behind Mahle is a Reds bullpen that has struggled overall this season but has certainly shown signs of turning it around, entering last night's action having posted a collective 2.48 ERA over their last seven games. Take Cincinnati (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Colorado at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'under' in the opener of this series on Monday night and I'll go back to the well with the same play in Game 2 on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' has now cashed in six of the last nine meetings in this series here in Colorado. This one sets up well as another relatively low-scoring affair, noting that the Blues have posted an 0-8 o/u mark when on the road revenging a road loss against an opponent this season, which is obviously the case here following their Game 1 defeat, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.3 goals. The 'under' also checks in 16-6 after the Blues allow four goals or more in a game this season, with that situation producing an average total of 5.1 goals. For Colorado's part, it has seen the 'under' go 34-21 after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last three seasons. With Monday's 'under' result, the Avs have now seen the 'under' cash in five of their last six games overall. While they're known for their offense, they can play some defense as well, especially here at home where they give up just 1.9 goals per game this season. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
MLB Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle over Detroit at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Mariners were no-hit by Spencer Turnbull last night and unfortunately we were along for the ride as we backed them in a 5-0 loss. Here, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play, however, as Seattle hands the ball to highly-touted prospect Logan Gilbert for his second big league start. Gilbert was shaky in his debut against Cleveland last week, laboring through four innings in a 4-2 loss. Nerves were certainly a factor as Gilbert gave up a pair of home runs and also threw two wild pitches in that brief outing. There were positives to take away, however, as he struck out five and didn't issue a single walk. The fact that he 'only' allowed four runs was actually somewhat encouraging considering he didn't induce a single ground ball in the start. Gilbert draws a very manageable opponent here. While the Tigers have taken the first two games in this series they're still just 7-14 on the road this season and 11-19 against right-handed starting pitchers. Tarik Skubal and his winless record will get the start for Detroit on Tuesday. He checks in sporting an ugly 9.00 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in three road starts this season. The Tigers have lost all six of his starts here in 2021 and he's only managed to last an average of 4 2/3 innings. That opens the door for the possibility that we'll see extended work from a weak Tigers bullpen that has posted a collective 6.13 ERA this season including a 7.46 mark on the road. By contrast, the Mariners 'pen entered last night's action having recorded a 3.09 ERA here at home. Take Seattle (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Jets v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Jets aren't the same team they were earlier this season. They ended the season by losing nine of their final 12 games, struggling to find consistent offensive production after losing one of their top guns, Nik Ehlers, to a season-ending injury. While Winnipeg did score nine goals in its final two regular season games, neither contest had any meaning in the playoff race. Prior to that, the Jets had been held to three goals or less in 11 of their last 13 games and two goals or fewer in six of their last eight contests. The Oilers offense is top-heavy as we know with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl shouldering most of the scoring load. Having taken the last six meetings in this series, they'll certainly have Winnipeg's full attention on Wednesday. Note that the Jets have allowed just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road revenging a loss against an opponent this season with those games totaling an average of only 5.3 goals. Note that we've seen just one of the last six meetings in this series total more than six goals with the Oilers allowing two goals or less in all six of those contests. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Central Division First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Carolina at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a relatively high-scoring game to open this series on Monday night as the Hurricanes cruised to a 5-2 victory. The Predators know they don't have the offensive firepower to keep pace in that type of high-scoring environment, however. Keep in mind, they average just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season while the Hurricanes allow only 2.1 goals per game on home ice. We should see a better defensive effort from the Preds here as they've given up just 2.6 goals per game when coming off a loss by three goals or more this season. Meanwhile, the 'Canes have posted an 8-19 o/u record the last 27 times they've been leading a playoff series, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go an incredible 13-1 when Carolina plays at home after losing two of its last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with those games totaling an average of only 4.4 goals. Finally, note that the 'under' is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these two teams here in Raleigh and 7-4 in their last 11 matchups overall. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 223.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Antonio and Memphis at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. The 'over' is a perfect 3-0 in this series this season but as is often the case, I don't think it's as simple as riding that trend to victory again here on Wednesday. These two teams obviously have a lot to play for here as the loser will be done for the season while the winner will advance to face the winner of the late game between the Warriors and Lakers. San Antonio limps into this contest having lost 10 of its last 12 games overall but I think legendary head coach Gregg Popovich will draw a strong defensive effort out of his down-trodden bunch here. Keep in mind, the Spurs have given up an average of just 106.6 points per game when revenging a loss against an opponent by 20 points or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, with those games totaling an average of 218.7 points, well south of tonight's posted total. The Spurs might be catching the Grizzlies at the right time as Memphis' offense lagged a bit down the stretch, held to 111 points or less in nine of its final 13 games. For whatever reason, the Grizzlies were a weaker offensive team at home compared to on the road during the regular season, averaging just 110 points per game here in Memphis, with the 'under' cashing at a 22-14 clip. Note that the 'under' has gone 15-7 in Grizzlies games where the total has been set between 220 and 229.5 this season. The 'under' is also an incredible 12-1 the last 13 times the Grizzlies have been well-rested playing only their second game in the last five days, as is the case here, with those contests totaling an average of 217.1 points. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Sky v. Dream OVER 159 | Top | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
WNBA Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Atlanta at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams turned in 'under' result in their season debuts with the Sky cruising to a 70-56 win over the Washington Mystics and the Dream falling by a 78-67 score against the Connecticut Sun. I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday night in Atlanta, however. Note that the 'over' is still 16-3 in the Sky's last 19 road games with those contests averaging a total of 170.8 points. Better still, the 'over' has gone a perfect 7-0 the last seven times Chicago has played consecutive road contests with those games totaling an average of 171.4 points. Much will be made about who is missing for the Sky in this one as both Allie Quigley and Stefanie Dolson are expected to miss. Keep in mind, both of those usual key contributors struggled in their season-opener, scoring a combined 11 points on a miserable 3-of-17 shooting. Their absence should simply mean more shots for the likes of Candace Parker and Kahleah Copper, who poured in 19 points in Chicago's season-opening win, showing the potential to build off of last year's breakout campaign. Atlanta saw four of five starters scoring in double-figures in its season-opening loss to Connecticut. That was certainly a tough matchup, as is this one, but I do look for improvement from the Dream offensively after they turned the ball over 13 times against the Sun. Highly-touted 2021 draft pick Aari McDonald struggled in her WNBA regular season debut after looking good in limited preseason action, scoring just one point on 0-for-4 shooting against the Sun. Expect the backcourt duo of McDonald and Chennedy Carter to make some noise in this one. Going back to the preseason, it's worth noting that the Sky and Dream check in T3rd and 5th, respectively, in terms of pace rating. The most recent meeting between these two teams resulted in 186 total points last September. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | White Sox v. Twins +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota +1.5 runs over Chicago at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. It could certainly be argued that this game means a little more to the Twins than it does to the White Sox. Minnesota is wrapping up a six-game homestand and needs a victory today to salvage a 3-3 record. Meanwhile, the White Sox are sitting comfortably atop the A.L. Central standings and haven't lost consecutive games since April 15th and 17th. I'll grab the insurance run with the Twins here, as I don't think we'll see Chicago score enough to cover the run-line in this spot. The White Sox have scored four runs or less in six of their last seven games and are without one of their best hitters in Jose Abreu for this series. By contrast, Minnesota has scored four runs or more in four straight games, crossing the plate 20 times over that stretch. Note that Chicago is averaging just 3.9 runs per game in 16 daytime games this season. Meanwhile, Minnesota has gone a miserable 8-16 in day games despite averaging 5.1 runs per game. Expect some positive regression to the mean record-wise in that department for the Twins moving forward. Lucas Giolito gets the start for Chicago on Wednesday. The Twins faced him three times last season and knocked him around for 12 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings of work. Giolito has certainly been off of his game this season, posting a 7.02 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four road starts. Twins starter Matt Shoemaker has been just as shaky although there is reason for encouragement after he worked six innings for the first time since his 2021 debut last time out against Oakland, and two starts back tossed five shutout innings against the Tigers. Shoemaker should bring some confidence to the table against the White Sox having allowed just six earned runs over his last three starts against them, spanning 20 1/3 innings. Chicago does own a slight bullpen edge in this matchup but it's worth noting that the Sox 'pen has compiled a collective ERA north of five in day games this season. Take Minnesota +1.5 runs (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Everton -114 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Everton over Wolverhampton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. Everton's struggles here at home have been well-documented. They own the 15th-best home record in the EPL and haven't collected three points here at Goodison Park since way back on March 1st when they defeated Southampton 1-0. But that's precisely why I like backing the Toffees here as they play their home finale before wrapping up EPL play with a difficult road match against Manchester City on Sunday. While Wolverhampton has virtually nothing to play for at this point, Everton is still trying to keep hope alive when it comes to qualifying for Europe. While it's a longshot, at least it's something to reach for in the final days of the EPL season. I mentioned Everton's 15th-best home record, well, Wolves own the 15th-best away record in the Premier League so this match does provide the Toffees with ample opportunity to end their home streak of futility. Last Saturday we watched Wolves turn in a lifeless performance in a match they should have gotten up for against Tottenham as they were trying to keep their chances of finishing in the top half of the Premier League table alive. Now we might just see an injury-ravaged Wolves squad look ahead to their own home finale against Manchester United on Sunday as they wind down a disappointing campaign. Take Everton (10*). | |||||||
05-19-21 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur -185 | 2-1 | Loss | -185 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tottenham over Aston Villa at 1 pm et on Wednesday. While it's certainly not the finish they were hoping for, Spurs can take stronger hold of sixth place in the EPL table with a victory over Aston Villa - a squad they've absolutely owned taking 12 of the last 13 meetings - on Wednesday. Tottenham cruised to a 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton last time out and has now reeled off three consecutive home victories, outscoring the opposition by an 8-1 margin along the way. Harry Kane has plenty to play for here as he sits even with Mo Salah for the EPL scoring lead. Note that there are expected to be around 10,000 fans in attendance for this match, adding a little extra emotion to an otherwise (relatively) meaningless match near the end of the EPL season. Aston Villa welcomed back Jack Grealish for its last match but still fell by a 3-2 score against Crystal Palace. They've been outscored 6-3 while settling for just a single point (coming by way of a draw with Everton) in their last three matches. With an opportunity to play spoiler against Chelsea coming up back at home on Sunday, there's a good chance Villa could lack some focus here. While the Spurs have proven to be leaky on the back-end at times this season, I'm not convinced Villa can take full advantage, even with Grealish back in the fold. Take Tottenham (9*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
National League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a one-sided game between these two teams to open this series last night, with just seven total runs scored - all coming from the Padres. While I look for San Diego to turn in another fine showing at the plate, I think Colorado can help us along in terms of getting 'over' the low total on Tuesday as well. These same two pitchers, Austin Gomber and Blake Snell, matched up last week in Colorado with the Rockies prevailing by a 3-2 score but I expect a different story to unfold here. Gomber has already logged a lot of innings in his first year with the Rockies and we've seen a strong home-road dichotomy play out. In four road outings, Gomber has posted an ugly 7.56 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, averaging just five innings per start. That opens the door for the Rockies dreadful bullpen to potentially be forced into extended duty on Tuesday, noting that unit entered last night's action sporting a collective 9.39 ERA over their last seven games. Gomber continues to struggle with his command having posted a walk rate north of 12% while also giving up a ton of fly balls, to the tune of a 30.9% fly ball rate - more than 7% higher than the MLB average. Blake Snell has had his own issues with command, also recording an inflated walk rate - a staggering 15.2%! Snell has been terrific here at home, posting a 2.29 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, but averaging less than five innings per start. It's certainly worth noting that the Rockies have gone 6-4 against left-handed starting pitching (compared to 9-23 against righties). Colorado is hitting .282 against southpaw starters this season. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -118 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
MLB A.L. Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Seattle over Detroit at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Mariners suffered a not-so-surprising letdown last night as they couldn't keep the positive momentum building after a series win over the Indians that was capped by a victory against Shane Bieber on Sunday. I do expect them to bounce back on Tuesday as they look to post their fifth win in their last six tries at home against Detroit. Spencer Turnbull will get the start for the Tigers. He pitched well in his most recent start but that was at home against a Royals club that was mired in a deep hitting slump. The Tigers have won two of Turnbull's five starts this season but both came at home with the other coming against the lowly Pirates. In two road outings, Turnbull has posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. In his lone previous start against the Mariners back in 2009, Seattle prevailed by a 7-2 score in Detroit. While the Tigers bullpen has shown some improvement lately, this is still a group capable of blowing up on any given night, entering last night's action sporting a collective 6.19 ERA this season. Justin Dunn will counter for the Mariners. His command issues continue to be a problem, with a walk rate north of 15%, however his stuff is good enough to fool most big league hitters, as evidenced by his .181 opponents batting average (that's on par with his career opponents BA). The Mariners have managed to win each of Dunn's two home starts this season. While he did labor through his last start, that came on the road as a +225 underdog against the Dodgers. I look for Dunn to bounce back here noting that the Tigers check in 10-19 against right-handed starters this season. The Mariners bullpen has generally been solid this season, particularly here at home where it entered last night's game with a collective 3.09 ERA. Take Seattle (10*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Aces +1 v. Storm | 96-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Las Vegas over Seattle at 10 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'over' in Saturday's matchup between these two elite WNBA squads - a game Seattle won by a 97-83 score. The Storm turned in a near-perfect performance in that one, shooting 51% from the field and knocking down 12-of-27 (44%) of their three-point attempts. Here, I look for Las Vegas to answer back and finally exact some revenge after dropping four straight meetings in the series going back to last year's WNBA Finals. The Aces are certainly comfortable playing an up-tempo style, which they should be afforded once again on Tuesday night. Their downfall on Saturday was their inability to knock down outside shots, connecting on just 3-of-12 three-point attempts. Look for more of those shots to start falling on Tuesday as they earn a split in this two-game set in the Pacific Northwest, noting that Seattle is 10-25 ATS when coming off an upset win as a home underdog, outscored by an average margin of 7.4 points. Take Las Vegas (10*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -2 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Washington at 9:10 pm et on Tuesday. I simply feel this is a short line to back the Celtics here at home as they try to make amends for what has been a very disappointing season and earn their way into the playoffs with a victory here on Tuesday night. Boston does check in sporting a 21-15 home record and will have its full compliment of players back in the lineup, with the exception of Jaylen Brown, after missing a number of key starters in its last couple of regular season games. The Wizards have expended a ton of energy just to get to this point and I can't help but feel there's a bit of an exhale here, knowing they have two chances to advance given this is the 7-8 matchup in the East. Note that the Wiz are just 15-21 on the road this season, just 5-13 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3, outscored by an average margin of 5.9 points in that situation this season. They're also just 18-34 ATS on the road following an ATS loss over the last three seasons while Boston checks in 8-1 ATS after losing four of its last five games this season, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 6.0 points per game in that spot. The C's have also won four straight meetings against the Wizards here in Boston. Take Boston (9*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Lightning v. Panthers +119 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
NHL First Round Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Lightning got past the Panthers on a late goal from Brayden Point in Sunday's thrilling series-opener between these in-state rivals. I look for Florida to answer back with a victory on Tuesday night. The Panthers know just how difficult it would be to take four of the next five games should they fall into an 0-2 series hole on Tuesday. After all, Tampa Bay has taken 11 of the last 17 meetings in this series. The Panthers should remain confident here, however, noting that they've held their own against the Bolts this season, going 5-4 in nine meetings. With a win here on Tuesday, the Panthers would even up the series here in Sunrise over the last three seasons at five wins apiece. Note that Tampa Bay checks into this game having gone 0-4 when playing on the road off a one-goal road victory this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.8 goals while allowing 4.8 goals per game in that situation. In fact, the Lightning are just 19-23 when coming off a one-goal win regardless of the location over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Panthers have gone 14-3 after giving up four goals or more in their last game this season, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. They also check in a perfect 8-0 this season after a game where both teams scored at least four goals, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals while averaging 4.3 goals per game in that situation. At 20-9 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal per game, I look for the Panthers to come up with a big effort to even this series on Tuesday night. Take Florida (10*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -133 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. This would be a big spot for the Penguins at the best of times but when you consider they were swept by the Islanders in the opening round of the playoffs just two years ago, perhaps even more importance will be placed on getting the victory here. Sunday's series-opener obviously could have gone either way. Credit the Isles for sticking with it and scoring the overtime winner after coughing up a short-lived 3-2 lead late in the third period. Here, New York finds itself in a difficult spot having gone just 12-17 on the road this season where it averages only 2.1 goals per game. Even worse, the Isles average just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road off a win this season, outscored by 0.6 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Pens own a tremendous 14-1 mark when at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 2.3 goals per game in that situation. Pittsburgh is 15-2 the last 17 times it has played at home following a loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.8 goals per game and averaging 4.2 goals per contest itself in that spot. Take Pittsburgh (9*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Lynx -1.5 v. Liberty | Top | 75-86 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
WNBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Tuesday. New York is off to a perfect 2-0 start to the season but is fortunate to have faced the lowly Indiana Fever twice, and it's worth noting it needed a last-second game-winning shot from Sabrina Ionescu to secure one of those victories. Minnesota suffered a narrow two-point loss in its home-opener against Phoenix but should bounce back here against a weaker opponent. Keep in mind, the Lynx have taken four of their last five meetings with the Liberty, sweeping last year's two matchups by 26 and 30-point margins. Minnesota is a perennial WNBA title contender and should be right there in the conversation this season with the addition of Kayla McBride, who contributed 17 points in the season-opener. Of course the Lynx will be even stronger once they get Napheesa Collier back from quarantine later this week but for now, I believe this is a matchup they can handle with the Liberty missing a number of key players as well. Take Minnesota (10*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Leicester v. Chelsea -128 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chelsea over Leicester City at 3:15 pm et on Tuesday. This is a big match for Chelsea as it looks to put consecutive defeats behind it while also avenging last Saturday's loss to Leicester City in the FA Cup Final. For the Blues, the fact is they had bigger fish to fry in the FA Cup Final, hungry for a top four spot in the EPL, not to mention the Champions League Final coming up a week from Saturday against Manchester City. Chelsea actually controlled proceedings against Leicester City in the FA Cup Final for the most part but simply couldn't break through in a 1-0 defeat. Here, I look for the Blues to come away more fortunate as third-place Leicester City suffers a letdown of sorts following consecutive victories (they defeated Manchester United 2-1 two matches back). There are a critical three points waiting for the winner here with both sides battling for a top-four spot but I like backing the Blues as the superior squad in bounce-back mode. Take Chelsea (10*). | |||||||
05-18-21 | Manchester City -208 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-3 | Loss | -208 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Manchester City over Brighton & Hove Albion at 2 pm et on Tuesday. Manchester City didn't field its 'A' squad but won anyway, in a wild 4-3 affair against Newcastle on Saturday. Here, City is expected to begin ramping up toward its Champions League Final match against Chelsea a week from Saturday and I would anticipate seeing a stronger squad on the pitch in this away match. Ederson is expected back in goal after Scott Carson not surprisingly turned in a rather shaky performance against Newcastle. All indications are that Kevin De Bruyne will return to the starting XI for Wednesday's match as well. Brighton & Hove sits 17th in the EPL table and checks in off a 1-1 draw against 7th-place West Ham on Saturday. The last time these two squads met back in mid-January, Manchester City cruised to a rather uneventful 1-0 victory in a match that was more lopsided than the final score indicated with City controlling 65% of the possession and firing six shots on target compared to Brighton's one. Take Manchester City (9*). | |||||||
05-17-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Monday. I don't expect the Blues to have an easy time keeping pace with the high-flying Avalanche offense in this series and they're well aware of that fact after losing five of eight regular season meetings, including three of four games played here in Denver. I do look for St. Louis to make a concerted effort to muck things up and knock the Avs off stride here in Monday's series-opener but it may come at the expense of their own offensive production. Note that five of the last eight meetings between these two teams here in Colorado have gone 'under' the total. The Avs wrapped up the regular season scoring 11 goals in consecutive victories over the lowly Kings, who were simply playing out the string. Things are obviously going to be a little tougher here. I will note that St. Louis did take the final two regular season matchups between these two including a 4-1 victory on April 26th (we won with the 'under' in that game), which sets us up well here as the Avs have posted a perfect 6-0 'under' record when revenging a loss by two goals or more this season with those contests totaling an average of just 4.0 goals. The Blues check in sporting a 7-19 o/u record when coming off consecutive home wins by two goals or more, as is the case here, with that spot producing an average total of 4.9 goals. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-17-21 | Indians v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
MLB American League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Monday. There are a number of factors that lead me to believe we're in for a high-scoring affair in Anaheim on Monday night. The Indians will certainly be eager to bring an end to their three-game skid and get back on track at the plate. This looks like an ideal spot to do just that against a poor Angels pitching staff. Patrick Sandoval will get the start for Los Angeles on Monday - his first of the season after being used as a long reliever. Sandoval has yet to figure it out at the big league level, posting a career 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. In 7 1/3 innings of relief duty this season he has recorded a 55.0% hard-hit ball percentage and a 92.4 mph exit velocity off opposing bats - both considerably north of the MLB average. He's struggled to keep the ball in the park throughout his career, posting an ugly 5.3% home run rate, which is 1.8% higher than the MLB average. Rookie Sam Hentges will counter for Cleveland. He was never able to perform particularly well at the minor league level and now his struggles have carried over to the big leagues as well. Opponents are hitting .316 off of Hentges in 13 2/3 innings this season and he's posted a 32.6% fly ball rate and 6.4% home run rate. He was bailed out time and time again by the Cubs in his last start but I don't think he'll be so fortunate here. Both teams possess struggling bullpens. The Indians got off to a great start in that department this season but have taken a negative turn lately. Meanwhile, the Angels 'pen has been awful from the drop here in 2021. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-17-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -179 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Central Division First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Monday. Nashville went on an incredible run from the middle of March on to earn a playoff spot but what is its reward? A date with the first-place Hurricanes in the opening round. As I noted in my playoff preview article, home ice is going to mean something in this series as the Hurricanes check in 20-8 in Raleigh this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals. While Nashville went 18-10 on home ice during the regular season, it was just 13-15 on the road, allowing 3.1 goals per game in the process. The Preds have had little recent success here in Raleigh, dropping five of the last six meetings in this series. While Nashville did close out the regular season with consecutive victories over the Canes, those both came at home, and Carolina had essentially already checked out on the regular season. Note that Nashville is now in a poor position, having gone 10-22 when coming off consecutive wins over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals on average in that spot. Here, I expect to see a much different Canes squad, one that will be eager to get this postseason off to a positive start after such a disappointing early exit at the hands of the Bruins last year. While we're being asked to lay a fairly steep price to back Carolina here, I believe it could be even higher. Take Carolina (10*). | |||||||
05-17-21 | Nationals v. Cubs -146 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Washington at 7:40 pm et on Monday. The Nationals secured a series win with a 3-0 shutout victory in Arizona yesterday. I look for them to get tripped up in the opener of a four-game series in Chicago on Monday, however. Jon Lester gets the nod for Washington. While he has posted a 2.25 ERA through three starts this season, I certainly don't believe that is sustainable. Lester has posted a 24.5% fly ball rate yet has inexplicably yet to allow a home run in 16 innings of work. Note that he has posted a home run rate 3.2% or higher in each of the last four seasons. Nearing the end of his career, Lester's strikeout rate continues to decline while his walk rate is on the way up. He has already handed out seven walks in 16 innings this season. Adbert Alzolay will counter for Chicago. Unlike Lester, Alzolay is just getting started. While the fact he has allowed four home runs in his last three starts is concerning, there are also positives to be taken away as he has held opposing hitters to a collective .184 batting average and recorded a 29.3% strikeout rate and 5.7% walk rate - all three marks considerably better than the MLB average. With their bullpen holding up well in the early going this season and the Cubs having posted an 8-3 record against left-handed starters, I'm willing to pay the reasonably lofty price to back them in this spot. Take Chicago (10*). | |||||||
05-16-21 | Lakers v. Pelicans UNDER 223.5 | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and New Orleans at 9:10 pm et on Sunday. The Lakers turned in an energetic performance yesterday in Indiana, welcoming back both Lebron James and Anthony Davis and pouring in 122 points in a seven-point victory over the Pacers. We missed with the 'under' in that contest but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Sunday. The Pelicans season essentially ended when they lost Zion Williamson to injury and they check into this one having lost three games in a row, also having shot 46.9% or worse from the field in seven consecutive games. In addition to Zion's absence, Brandon Ingram and Lonzo Ball have missed time as well and are unlikely to play in Sunday's regular season finale. Off consecutive subpar defensive efforts against the Rockets and Pacers, I look for the Lakers to make a concerted effort to clamp down on the Pelicans offense here. Keep in mind, the 'under' is 22-12 with the Lakers on the road this season, where they've held opponents to 45.9% shooting. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-16-21 | Rockets v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Atlanta at 7:10 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Hawks in their most recent game - a blowout victory over the Magic on Thursday. Here, I'll switch gears and back the 'under' as Atlanta looks to clamp down on the undermanned, but surging Rockets, and close out the regular season on a positive note. Atlanta is locked in defensively right now, having held its last two opponents to 44.6% and 38.3% shooting. The Hawks have been an underrated defensive team at home all season, in fact, holding the opposition to 45.4% shooting. Here, I don't see much reason for Atlanta to really push the pace, especially against a Rockets squad that has thrived offensively in that sort of environment lately, scoring 120+ points in three consecutive games. In fact, Houston, checks in riding a five-game ATS winning streak, culminating with an outright upset win over the Clippers at home on Friday. Kelly Olynyk has led the charge lately but I look for the Hawks interior defense to put the clamps on him here. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-16-21 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 222.5 | 117-128 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' in Friday's matchup between these two teams. I actually feel we deserved a better fate in that one as the 76ers did exactly what we expected them to do, holding the Magic to under 40% shooting. Unfortunately, Philadelphia went off offensively in that one and ultimately sent the game just a bucket over the total. Here, we're likely to see a number of Philadelphia's stars sit out but I still expect the Sixers to go hard defensively and keep a weak Magic offense at bay. This is a Doc Rivers-coached team after all. Orlando has been woeful offensively on the road, averaging 102.2 points per game on a miserable 42.2% shooting this season. We have seen the Magic continue to play hard defensively, however, holding five straight opponents to under 49% shooting entering this contest. Despite their 18-16 o/u record away from home, they've actually held the opposition to a respectable 46.1% in the visitors role this season. Finally, note that the 'under' has cashed in six of the last nine meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-16-21 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 162.5 | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Connecticut at 7 pm et on Sunday. This total opened right around where I expected it - higher than it should be in my opinion. We won with Connecticut in its season-opening win in Atlanta on Friday. It faces a much tougher test here against a loaded Mercury squad that checks in off an upset win in Minnesota. The Mercury got off to a slow start offensively in that contest, scoring just 33 first half points before putting up 44 in the final 20 minutes. While Phoenix is known for its offensive prowess, it can play some defense as well, led by perhaps the league's toughest defending in Brittney Griner. The Mercury swatted nine blocks and made six steals against a quality Lynx squad on Friday, holding them to 40% shooting in the two-point victory. Meanwhile, the Sun allowed just 67 points on 36% shooting against an admittedly subpar Dream squad. While Connecticut did score 78 points in the victory, it was actually a rather sloppy performance as it turned the ball over 20 times. I would anticipate seeing the Sun do a better job of running their offense here, but likely not with the same level of production (they shot 44% overall and 44% from three-point range against Atlanta) against a tougher opponent here. Note that the 'under' has gone 56-32 the last 88 times the Mercury have come off an outright underdog victory on the road. The 'under' is 32-15 in the Sun's last 47 games as a home favorite of three points or less, as is the case here at the time of writing. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-16-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
NHL West Division First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Vegas at 3 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'under' in the most recent meeting between these two teams but I'll go the other way and back the 'over' in this spot. While the Golden Knights are heavily favored to win this series I don't expect the Wild to back down one bit as the series opens in Las Vegas on Sunday afternoon. Note that Minnesota has actually taken four of the last seven meetings here at T-Mobile Arena and checks in a perfect 7-0, averaging 3.9 goals per game when coming off consecutive losses this season, as is the case here. The 'over' has gone 7-1 with the Wild revenging a home loss against an opponent this season, with that situation producing an average total of 7.3 goals. Interestingly, we've also seen the 'over' go 13-3 with the Knights playing just their second game in the last five days over the last two seasons, with an average total of 7.4 goals in that spot. The Knights have of course been dominant at home this season, skating to a 21-7 record while averaging 3.5 goals per game with the 'over' cashing at a 16-12 clip. After a very brief scoring lull in early April, the Knights went on a tear down the stretch, scoring four goals or more in 11 of their final 16 regular season games. Likewise, the Wild also picked up the pace offensively down the stretch, producing four goals or more in 10 of their last 14 contests. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-16-21 | Mets v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Tampa Bay at 1:10 pm et on Sunday. | |||||||
05-15-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Washington at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. 6's and even 6.5's have been commonplace in Capitals games this season but we're dealing with a lower total here in Saturday's playoff opener against the Bruins. Of course, we just saw these two teams skate to a very low-scoring 2-1 contest earlier this week on this same ice, but that result can essentially be thrown to the wayside as neither team iced a true NHL roster in what was a 'meaningless' game. Prior to that, the 'over' had cashed in four of the last six matchups between these two teams in Washington. The Bruins figured things out offensively down the stretch, displaying amazing consistency, scoring three goals or more in eight straight and 10 of their last 11 games overall prior to Tuesday's 2-1 loss against the Caps. Note that the 'over' has gone 14-7 with the Caps coming off an 'under' result this season, with those games totaling an average of 6.6 goals. We've also seen the 'over' go 15-6 with the Caps coming off a home win over a division opponent over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 6.9 goals. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-15-21 | Cubs -125 v. Tigers | 8-9 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Detroit at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Tigers had won four games in a row entering this series but fell in the opener last night by a 4-2 score and I look for them to suffer another loss on Saturday afternoon. Chicago will hand the ball to Trevor Williams who is off to a rather uneven start this season but has certainly shown glimpses of promise, allowing two earned runs or less in five of his first seven outings. He hasn't shown the ability to work deep into ball games but that's not as big of a concern when you consider the Cubs bullpen has been terrific, posting a collective ERA around 1.50 over their last seven games. On the flip side, the Tigers 'pen has recorded an ERA north of six this season. Tigers starter Jose Urena had a stretch of four straight starts working exactly seven innings but that wasn't a sustainable trend and to no one's surprise he was chased after just 4 1/3 innings last time out against Minnesota. The Cubs offense has been slumbering on this current road trip but certainly has the potential to bust out on any given day. Having allowed 19 hits and issued six walks over his last three starts spanning 18 1/3 innings, I believe the Cubs can get to Urena here and ultimately get into that weak Detroit bullpen to break this game open. Take Chicago (10*). | |||||||
05-15-21 | Aces v. Storm OVER 166 | Top | 83-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
WNBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Las Vegas and Seattle at 3 pm et on Saturday. This has the makings of a highly-entertaining season-opener for these two teams after Seattle swept Las Vegas in last year's WNBA Final. Both teams are at a little less than full strength to open this season, as is the case for most WNBA squads here in 2021. But both are also loaded with talent and return enough key cogs to get the season off to a fluent offensive start here on Saturday. If anything, the absence of C Mercedes Russell for the Storm should help open things up on the interior for Las Vegas. Meanwhile, the Storm are obviously brimming with explosive offensive talent led by Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart. The Storm have scored 84 points or more in four straight meetings and I expect them to surpass that number again here. Meanwhile, the Aces will be eager to gain an ounce of revenge and might just have the best offense in the entire league. Expect a high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
05-15-21 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | 122-115 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Indiana at 1:10 pm et on Saturday. We haven't seen enough of an adjustment made to Pacers totals as they've now seen three of their last six games total 213 points or less. Indiana is injury-ravaged at the moment with lots of question marks around who will be able to play on Saturday afternoon. Regardless, I'm not anticipating a peak performance from the Pacers offense here against a good Lakers defense coming off a rather poor showing against the lowly Rockets last time out. Note that when these two teams last met back in early March, when the Lakers had a healthy Lebron James, we saw just 205 total points in a arrow Los Angeles victory. The Lakers might get some help today with Lebron James, Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder all potentially returning to the floor, but again, I'm not expecting a truly cohesive performance from a team that has been highly-inconsistent down the stretch. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-14-21 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 217 | 97-122 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Philadelphia at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in the 76ers 106-94 loss in Miami last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as Philadelphia looks to take another step toward locking up the number one seed in the Eastern Conference. The 76ers sit one game ahead of the Nets for top spot in the East with just this two-game home set against the lowly Magic remaining. I look for Philadelphia to clamp down defensively in this game after it allowed Miami to get off to a red hot start and cruise, shooting better than 50% from the field last night. Meanwhile, the 76ers haven't shot better than 48.8% from the field since May 5th in Houston. Note that Philadelphia held Orlando to just 92 points in its first meeting this season back on December 31st. That game totaled just 208 points and the Magic obviously had a lot more scoring punch on their roster at the time. Here, we find the Magic having shot 41.8% or worse from the field in five straight games and riding a three-game 'under' streak following last night's drubbing in Atlanta (we won with the Hawks in that game). Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-14-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Friday. We've seen some wild, high-scoring games in so-called 'meaningless' games here in the final stretch of the regular season and with the Leafs and Jets both capable of stuffing the scoresheet most are anticipating a similar result here. I'll go the other way and call for both teams to work on cleaning things up in Friday's regular season finale. All indications are that the goaltending matchup will featuring Jack Campbell and Connor Hellebuyck - the two teams' likely playoff starters as well. Frederik Andersen returned after an extended absence for the Leafs on Wednesday and struggled, allowing four goals in a loss to the Senators. Of course, he wasn't given a great deal of help in that game either. I do look for Toronto to tighten things up here, noting that it checks in having allowed just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season. The Jets have struggled to find offensive consistency since losing Nik Ehlers for the season. While they're coming off a five-goal outburst against the weary Canucks two nights ago, they've scored three goals or less in nine of their last 11 games overall. On a positive note, they have allowed three goals or less in four of their last five games. Note that the 'under' has cashed in four of the last six meetings between these two teams here in Winnipeg. The 'under' checks in 14-7 with the Leafs coming off two wins in their last three games this season, with that situation producing an average total of 5.6 goals and 16-8 with the Leafs having scored three goals or more in consecutive games this season, also resulting in an average total of 5.6 goals. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
05-14-21 | Sun -2.5 v. Dream | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
WNBA Game of the Week. My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Friday. I actually like the prospects of both of these teams but Connecticut is the squad that has legitimate championship aspirations, even if the odds are long on the Sun reaching that pinnacle for the first time in franchise history. The Sun return most of their roster from a year ago - a team that got off to a slow start before eventually rounding into form and going on a deep playoff run. While the Sun won't have Alyssa or Jasmine Thomas for Friday's opener, they do have Jonquel Jones back after she opted-out of the 2020 campaign, and should also have the services of Briann January (for limited minutes at least) after there was some question whether she would be able to start the season due to Covid quarantine. Losing Alyssa Thomas for the season to a torn achilles was obviously a major blow, but I do feel the Sun have the depth to stay competitive, especially if rookie DiJonai Carrington can exceed (or even just meet) expectations following an impressive training camp. Look out for Brionna Jones as well as she took on a bigger role in Jonquel Jones' absence last season and comes off an incredible championship season in the Czech Republic League. Atlanta has the potential to improve considerably following its second consecutive losing season but I'm not sure we're going to see it all work right out of the gate. The Dream will be without Tiffany Hayes and Cheyenne Parker for their opener, which means they'll rely heavily on sophomore guard Chennedy Carter and third-overall draft pick Aari MacDonald. Head coach Nicki Collen bolted for Baylor on short notice, leaving the team under the guidance of interim coach Mike Petersen. With a lot of new pieces to work with, it will likely take some time to figure things out. The potential is there for the Dream to be one of the entertaining teams in the league with a guard-heavy rotation, but on night one of the regular season, I expect them to fall short against a more seasoned Sun squad. Take Connecticut (10*). | |||||||
05-14-21 | Cubs v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Friday. These two teams are both coming off consecutive low-scoring affairs but I look for a different story to unfold as they open their series in Detroit on Friday night. Jake Arrieta will take the ball for Chicago. While this would appear to be a favorable bounce-back spot for him after he allowed seven earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings in his last start in Cincinnati, a closer look shows that the Tigers are actually seeing the ball well right now, having scored at least four runs in seven of their last eight games, and six runs or more in five of those contests. Arrieta is worse than the MLB average in terms of hard-hit ball percentage and exit velocity off opposing bats and has also recorded a poor 35.1% fly ball percentage. In keeping with a trend from the last couple of seasons, Arrieta has posted a home run percentage north of 3% so far this year - in fact he's trending toward his highest home run rate since back in his second big league season in 2011. Speaking of home runs allowed, Tigers starter Tarik Skubal has had an incredibly tough time keeping the ball in the park, recording a 37.8% fly ball percentage and 8.0% home run percentage. Keep in mind, he also posted a 6.7% home run rate in 32 innings of work last season, noting that the MLB average sits at 3.3% going back to the start of last season. The Cubs have crushed left-handed starting pitching this season, posting a 7-3 record and hitting .273 as a team and averaging 6.8 runs per game. Skubal has yet to make it through the sixth inning in any of his five starts this season which opens the door for plenty of work for the Tigers down-trodden bullpen, which entered yesterday's action having posted a collective 6.62 ERA this season. Take the over (10*). |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ricky Tran | $756 |
ProSportsPicks | $632 |
Joseph D'Amico | $510 |
Joey Tron | $450 |
Tom Macrina | $399 |
Nick Parsons | $344 |
Sean Murphy | $306 |
Jack Jones | $303 |
William Burns | $233 |
Dan Kaiser | $220 |