Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-15-21 | Grizzlies v. Suns -7 | 99-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Memphis at 10:05 pm et on Monday. The Grizzlies are coming off a fourth quarter meltdown in Oklahoma City yesterday as they dropped a 128-122 decision as a big road favorite. Now they're in tough as they play the second half of a back-to-back against what will be a highly-motivated Suns squad coming off a double-digit home loss against the Pacers two nights ago. Memphis ranks second in the league in pace rating over its last five contests and I believe that's precisely what will get it into trouble tonight. Note that the Suns rank fifth in the league on offensive rating at home this season while checking in sixth in defensive rating at home. I certainly don't expect to see the Grizzlies shoot better than 50% from the field again tonight after they knocked down 51% of their shots yesterday. This one has the potential to get away from Memphis as it plays for the fourth time since the All-Star break (in three different cities). It's worth noting that the straight-up winner has gone a perfect 37-0 ATS in all games involving the Suns this season. Take Phoenix (10*). | |||||||
03-15-21 | Oilers v. Flames UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Flames went back to basics against the Canadiens over the last two games and it paid off as they posted consecutive low-scoring victories, 2-1 and 3-1. They'll host the rival Oilers on Monday night and I'm anticipating another relatively low-scoring affair. The Oilers had a couple of offensive explosions against the Senators last week but outside of that, they've had a bit of a tough time offensively, scoring three goals or less in seven of their last nine games overall, including a 2-1 loss in Vancouver on Saturday. Note that the 'under' has gone 11-3 when the Oilers play on the road off a loss over the last two seasons, with those games averaging just 5.2 total goals. Better still, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 when Edmonton plays on the road after scoring one goal or less in its last game over the last two seasons, with those contests averaging just 4.3 total goals. Calgary has been pretty tough defensively on home ice this season, allowing just 2.6 goals per game and 27.2 shots on goal per game. Both numbers represent vast improvements over how they've performed on the road. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-15-21 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 225 | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Brooklyn at 8:05 pm et on Monday. New York turned in a peak offensive performance in Saturday's 119-97 rout of the Thunder in Oklahoma City with R.J. Barrett and Julius Randle going off for a combined 58 points on 20-of-36 shooting. Here, they'll obviously be facing a much tougher test against a Nets squad that while known for their offense, can play some defense as well. Brooklyn held Detroit to an almost unheard of (by today's NBA standards) 95 points on Saturday - the third time it has held an opponent to fewer than 100 points in its last nine games. Here, the Nets catch the Knicks in a favorable spot, with New York having averaged just 103.1 points per game after being involved in three straight games where at least 215 points were scored over the last three seasons. For whatever reason, the Knicks seem to get stronger defensively the longer they stay on the road. Off two consecutive road games this season, New York is allowing just 100.1 points per game. All Knicks road games have totaled an average of only 206.2 points, with the 'under' cashing at a 14-7 clip. The only previous meeting between these two teams this season totaled 225 points and that's likely why we're seeing a considerable bump in the total here (that first matchup saw a closing total of just 216.5 points). Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-15-21 | Capitals v. Sabres UNDER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Sabres are in dire straights right now, having lost 10 consecutive games with no signs of turning things around. On a positive note, they did hold the Penguins to a single goal before giving up a pair of empty-net goals late in Saturday's 3-0 loss. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 8-0 when the Sabres come off a shutout loss over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of just 4.7 goals. The Capitals have won four games in a row and check in having scored exactly five goals in three straight games. That's obviously not a sustainable trend, noting that prior to that stretch the Caps had scored a grand total of nine goals in their last four games. The 'under' has gone an incredible 41-14 when a team that has allowed three goals or more in four straight games faces an opponent coming off three straight games where eight or more total goals were scored. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-15-21 | Bruins v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll call for a relatively low-scoring game between these two rivals on Monday night as the Bruins look to rebound following Saturday's 4-0 drubbing at the hands of the Rangers while the Penguins aim to keep rolling off five straight victories. Note that the previous two meetings between these two teams this season have both stayed 'under' 5.5 goals. The 'under' is 8-1 when the Bruins play on the road off a loss by two goals or more against a division opponent over the last two seasons with those games totaling just 4.9 goals on average. The Pens have been outstanding at home this season, going 11-2 while averaging an impressive 3.9 goals per game. However, they average just 2.4 goals per game when coming off a win by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling just 4.8 total goals on average. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-15-21 | Kings v. Hornets -151 | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Moneyline Game of the Year. My selection is on Charlotte (moneyline) over Sacramento at 7:05 pm et on Monday. It's time to start taking the Hornets seriously as they've moved over the .500 mark thanks to nine wins in their last 14 games. They barely broke a sweat in Saturday's rout of the undermanned Raptors and now wrap up their three-game homestand against the revenge-minded Kings on Monday night. Rather than lay the points with the Hornets here, I'll back them on the moneyline, only due to their tendency to get involved in extremely tight games. Note that Charlotte has wins by 3, 1, 3 and 2 points since February 20th. Sacramento checks in off a 121-106 loss in Atlanta on Saturday. The Kings have not been a good bounce-back team this season, going 6-16 ATS when coming off a loss, outscored by an average margin of 7.2 points in that situation. That's a coaching problem as far as I'm concerned. Under head coach Luke Walton, the Kings have gone 20-35 ATS off an ATS loss, outscored by an average margin of 5.4 points. I mentioned the Kings will be looking for revenge here, that's because they dropped a 127-126 decision at home against the Hornets on February 28th. Keep in mind, Sacramento has been outscored by 3.3 points per game when on the road revenging a home loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. The Hornets went 0-3 straight-up the first three times they were favored this season but that was clearly a product of having a lot of new (and young) faces in the lineup. Since then, they've gone 6-1 SU in their last seven games as a favorite. Realizing the importance of keeping their win streak intact before heading out on a tough road trip, expect to see them improve on that mark tonight. Take Charlotte moneyline (10*). | |||||||
03-14-21 | Cavs v. Hawks -6.5 | Top | 82-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Cleveland at 7:35 pm et on Sunday. The Hawks avoided a possible 'trap' last night, dominating the Kings in a 121-106 victory. The fact that they're playing on back-to-back nights (and for the third time in four nights) is certainly being factored into the line here. I like the make-up of the Hawks rotation right now with Danilo Gallinari and Bogdan Bogdanovic back healthy to contribute off the bench. Cam Reddish remains sidelined but let's face it, he's been a general disappointment in his sophomore season. The Cavs were playing reasonably well prior to the All-Star break but returned with a 34-point loss in New Orleans on Friday. Cleveland remains an awful road team and will face a motivated Hawks squad here after Atlanta dropped a 112-111 decision as eight-point favorites on the road against the Cavs back on February 23rd. Take Atlanta (10*). | |||||||
03-14-21 | Spurs v. 76ers -2.5 | 99-134 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over San Antonio at 6:35 pm et on Sunday. The 76ers have faced some Covid-related adversity out of the All-Star break with Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons sidelined in their first game back - a convincing win in Chicago - before Embiid returned for Friday's rout of the Wizards. Here, the Sixers draw another favorable matchup against the Spurs. San Antonio delivered a blowout victory at home against the Magic on Friday, successfully bouncing back from a loss in Dallas two nights earlier. The fact that the Spurs won that game on Friday without Demar Derozan was impressive but there's a big difference between beating a team like the Magic at home and going out on the road and competing with the red hot 76ers. I simply feel this line will prove too short, even if the 76ers are once again missing key cogs. Take Philadelphia (10*). | |||||||
03-14-21 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 106 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Detroit at 5:05 pm et on Sunday. The Red Wings have been involved in some improbably high-scoring games lately (considering how many low-scoring contests they were involved in during the first month of the season. The 'over' actually checks in 6-1 in the Wings last seven games. I believe we're in line for a low-scoring affair in the Motor City on Sunday, however, with the Hurricanes rolling into town. This is obviously a bit of a tough spot for the Canes from a motivation standpoint. They come in on the heels of seven straight wins and a four-game homestand. That homestand is notable as they average just 1.0 goal per game (you read that right) the last seven times they've gone on the road following four consecutive games at home over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, the Red Wings have averaged just 1.7 goals per game when playing at home revenging a loss where they gave up five goals or more (as is the case here) over the last two seasons. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-14-21 | Ohio State v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 | 88-91 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Ohio State and Illinois at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. Illinois has absolutely lit it up through two games at this tournament, scoring 90 and 82 points in wins over Rutgers and Iowa. It faces a much tougher defensive challenge on Sunday, however, in the form of a streaking Ohio State squad. The Buckeyes limited a terrific Michigan team to 67 points on 35% shooting yesterday, and the Wolverines only got to that number thanks to a desperate late scoring flurry. While Illinois obviously poses a stiff test, the Buckeyes did hold the Illini to 73 points despite allowing them to shoot 52% from the field in a losing effort just last weekend. I certainly don't anticipate Illinois shooting better than 50% today with a Big Ten Championship on the line. Illinois gave up 71 points in yesterday's win but that was the first time it allowed north of 70 points since February 23rd against Michigan State. Don't count on Ohio State shooting better than 50% from three-point range again today. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-14-21 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Wild | 1-4 | Loss | -148 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona +1.5 goals over Minnesota at 2:05 pm et on Sunday. This is a much easier game for the Coyotes to get up for than the Wild - an early Sunday afternoon start in Minnesota. That's because Arizona was blown out 4-0 in the first of this three-game set between these two teams on Friday night. That sets the Wild up poorly here, noting that they've gone 12-19 at home after scoring four or more goals in their previous game over the last three seasons, giving up 3.0 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Coyotes are a solid 12-5 after scoring two goals or less in two straight games over the last two seasons, averaging an impressive 3.3 goals per game in that situation. Additionally, the 'Yotes are 16-6 after losing two or more games in a row over the last two seasons, averaging 3.4 goals per game and outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal in that situation. We'll grab the insurance goal here but hopefully won't need it. Take Arizona +1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
03-13-21 | Capitals v. Flyers -107 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Week. My selection is on Philadelphia over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Capitals have certainly had the Flyers number this past week but I'm willing to go back to the well with Philadelphia here as the situation sets up well for the home side. Note that the Flyers have gone a perfect 7-0 when coming off a home loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.8 goals in that situation. They're also an exceptional 14-3 after losing four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons, averaging 3.9 goals per game and outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that situation. Keep in mind, prior to dropping its last two games against the Caps, Philadelphia had won five consecutive meetings in this series. With the Caps allowing three goals per game on the road this season, I still feel they're vulnerable and look for the Flyers to finally put one over on them on Saturday night. Take Philadelphia (10*). | |||||||
03-13-21 | Blackhawks v. Panthers -157 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida over Chicago at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Blackhawks snapped their two-game skid with a 4-2 win in Dallas on Thursday but I look for them to go back to their losing ways on Saturday as they take on the red hot Panthers. Florida is coming off an improbable comeback win in Columbus on Thursday, rallying from a 4-1 third period deficit to win the game in overtime. Now the Cats are back home where they've gone 10-2-1 this season. The Blackhawks certainly prefer to play an up-tempo style but that plays right into the hands of the Panthers, who rank fifth in the league in goals per game this season. Florida also ranks tops in the league in shots on goal per game which spells trouble for a Blackhawks team that ranks 19th in goals per game allowed and 31st in shots on goal per game allowed. Take Florida (10*). | |||||||
03-13-21 | Bucks v. Wizards +11 | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Milwaukee at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Wizards are 0-2 SU and ATS coming out of the All-Star break and most will expect them to get blown out by the mighty Bucks here, who returned from the break with a rout of the Knicks. I’ll go the other way and grab the points with the Wiz as I see this as a very difficult game for Milwaukee to get up for. Note that the Bucks are just 14-27 ATS on the road after scoring 115 points or more in their last game over the last two seasons. Meanwhile the Wiz are 25-9 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back games over the last three seasons and have been out scored by just 4.3 points per game off a loss by 20+ points over the same period. Take Washington (10*). | |||||||
03-13-21 | Georgetown v. Creighton -7.5 | 73-48 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Creighton minus the points over Georgetown at 6:30 pm et on Saturday. While Georgetown has been a terrific story in the Big East Tournament I expect its magic to run out on Saturday as it runs into a streaking Creighton squad. We've picked our spots wisely with Creighton lately, fading them in their 12-point loss at Villanova on March 3rd and then backing them in last Saturday's 20-point rout of Butler. Credit the Blue Jays for winning a rare low-scoring contest by a 59-56 score against Connecticut yesterday. Here, I look for the Jays offense to once again get rolling and ultimately overwhelm the Hoyas. Georgetown has drew a somewhat favorable schedule this week, first facing an average Marquette squad before upsetting an undermanned Villanova team and then beating Seton Hall in what was virtually a toss-up game. This is a much tougher matchup for Georgetown, noting that it split a pair of meetings with Creighton this season but dropping a 15-point decision the last time they met. Take Creighton (10*). | |||||||
03-13-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State UNDER 128.5 | Top | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Conference Tournament Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Utah State and San Diego State at 6 pm et on Saturday. This has all the makings of one of Saturday's most entertaining games but that certainly doesn't mean we should expect a track meet. Both teams are capable of playing lock down defense although San Diego State is coming off an uncharacteristically high-scoring affair in last night's 77-70 win over Nevada. I expect a return to 'normal' here on Saturday. Utah State had little trouble getting past a good Colorado State team last night, allowing just 50 points in a double-digit victory. The Aggies check in eighth in the country in defensive rating. For their part, the Aztecs rank 11th in defensive rating. When these two teams met back on January 16th they combined to score 123 points. This feels like it could be a 'first to 60 wins' type of game. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-13-21 | Iowa v. Illinois -4 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois minus the points over Iowa at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. Iowa has generally been a 'public' team all season so perhaps it's not surprising that we're dealing with such a short pointspread here on Saturday. Few teams in the country are playing as well as Illinois right now, howver, and I look for the Illini to take care of business and advance to the Big Ten Tournament Championship Game. While Iowa was involved in a hard-fought battle against Wisconsin last night (we won with the 'under'), Illinois had a glorified scrimmage against Rutgers, winning by 22 points. Despite barely breaking a sweat, the Illini still managed to score 90 points, which speaks to just how well they're playing right now. The lone regular season matchup between these two teams was decided by five points with Illinois prevailing. I look for the Illini to improve on that winning margin here today. Take Illinois (10*). | |||||||
03-13-21 | Cincinnati v. Wichita State -170 | 60-59 | Loss | -170 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wichita State (moneyline) over Cincinnati at 3 pm et on Saturday. Short on time so I'll keep my analysis short for this one. The Shockers are the better team and they should take advantage of a Cincinnati squad that 'upset' SMU yesterday with the Mustangs coming off a one month layoff due to Covid. Shockers were nearly upset by South Florida yesterday (and we won with the Bulls) but here I expect them to turn in a much more complete performance. Take Wichita State (moneyline) 10*. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan -6 | 68-67 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Michigan minus the points over Ohio State at 1 pm et on Saturday. It took them a while to get going but once they did, Michigan had little trouble brushing aside Maryland in yesterday's 13-point quarter-final victory. While the Wolverines will face a tougher challenge in Ohio State on Saturday, I expect them to be up for it. The Buckeyes built a big early lead but couldn't hold it in the second half and ultimately needed overtime to get past Purdue yesterday. It has certainly been an uneven stretch for Ohio State as it has won just twice in its last six games overall. I simply feel there's a class difference in this matchup that isn't being properly reflected in the line. After a relatively close matchup in the regular season (Michigan won 92-87) look for the Wolverines to post a convincing victory on Saturday. Take Michigan (10*). | |||||||
03-12-21 | Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. The Pacers went into the All-Star break on a real sour note having lost five of their last six games (0-6 ATS) and will certainly have no trouble getting up for this matchup with Lebron and the Lakers in Los Angeles on Friday night. Note that Indiana has gone a stellar 11-1 ATS, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15.1 points when dropping the cash in six or seven of their last eight games, as is the case here. The Lakers also entered the break as a downtrodden squad having lost back-to-back games and six of their last eight games overall. Having lost their most recent game in Sacramento, the Lakers are set up poorly here, having actually been outscored by an average margin of 1.6 points following a road loss over the last three seasons. Take Indiana (10*). | |||||||
03-12-21 | Sharks v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Ducks have now seen the 'over' cash in three straight games but I look for that streak to come to an end on Friday night. Note that the last 11 times the Ducks have come off three consecutive 'over' results, the 'under' has gone 9-2 with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. The 'under' is also a stellar 10-1 when the Ducks play at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last two seasons, with those games totaling a ridiculously low average of 4.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Sharks notched a win over the Blues last time out but that sets them up poorly here as they average just 1.8 goals per game off a victory this season. The last two meetings in this series have totaled just five and three goals. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-12-21 | Nevada v. San Diego State -8 | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
My selection is on San Diego State minus the points over Nevada at 9:30 pm et on Friday. We're able to back the Aztecs at a bit of a discount here thanks to Nevada's upset win over Boise State yesterday combined with San Diego State's narrow escape against Wyoming. Keep in mind, the Aztecs were favored by double-digits in both regular season matchups with Nevada. Both games were close but I look for the Wolf Pack to run out of gas and ultimately for the Aztecs to pull away for a convincing victory tonight. San Diego State is one of the best defensive teams in the country and that's what it takes to win a tough conference tournament like the Mountain West. Note that the Aztecs allow just 59.6 points per game away from home this season. Compare that with Nevada, which gives up north of 72 ppg away from home. San Diego State is a terrific positive momentum play here, noting that it has outscored opponents by an average margin of 9.7 points off consecutive wins over the last three seasons. Hammering down further, the Aztecs are 13-5 ATS and outscore opponents by 13.3 points per game when playing away from home following three or more wins in a row over the last two seasons. Nevada hasn't fared particularly well in revenge situations, allowing 79.8 points per game when revenging a road loss over the last two seasons. Take San Diego State (10*). | |||||||
03-12-21 | South Florida +9 v. Wichita State | Top | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
AAC Game of the Year. My selection is on South Florida plus the points over Wichita State at 12 noon et on Friday. While it does check in as the one-seed and has already defeated South Florida twice this season, I think Wichita State is going to play a near perfect game to cover this lofty pointspread. I'm just not convinced we'll see that peak level of performance from the Shockers here. I like the fact that South Florida doesn't need to rely on jacking up threes to stay competitive in a game like this with the Bulls ranking in the top-third in the country in percentage of points from two-pointers this season at north of 52%. I also like that the Bulls have a significant advantage on the glass, ranking an impressive 40th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage (they also check in a respectable 110th in defensive rebounding percentage). Wichita State isn't going to overwhelm South Florida with pressure defense either, noting that it ranks 274th in the country in steals per possession. USF shot miserably in both regular season meetings with Wichita State yet still managed to take one of those games down to the wire losing by only five points. Expect another competitive affair today. Take South Florida (10*). | |||||||
03-12-21 | California v. Colorado -13.5 | Top | 58-61 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Pac-12 Tournament Game of the Year. My selection is on Colorado minus the points over California at 11:30 pm et on Thursday. I have no problem laying the points with Colorado here as it looks to avenge a stunning nine-point loss suffered as a nine-point favorite at Cal back on February 13th. Cal staged another upset last night, blowout Stanford out of the water as an 8.5-point underdog. I don't expect history to repeat itself here, however. Note that Cal has been outscored by an average margin of 14.5 points when coming off a win over a conference opponent over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Colorado has outscored opponents by an average margin of 14.1 points as a favorite this season, including a 29-point rout of Cal back on January 14th. The Buffaloes clearly looked past the Bears in their most recent meeting but I don't expect to see them get caught flat-footed again here. Take Colorado (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Suns v. Blazers +4.5 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. The Suns crushed the Blazers by 32 points in Phoenix the last time these two teams met back on February 22nd. This time around, I'm expecting Portland to put up a much tougher fight as it catches the Suns in a favorable situation. Note that Phoenix has inexplicably been outscored by 10.6 points per game on average when playing on the road following a home game over the last three seasons. Further exacerbating things is the fact that the Suns are 0-8 ATS when playing on three or more days' rest over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 10.3 points in that situation. Meanwhile, the Blazers check in 17-6 ATS when revenging a double-digit road loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 2.5 points on average. Looking up at Phoenix in the Western Conference standings, look for the Blazers to take a stand at home on Thursday night. Take Portland (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | UNLV v. Utah State -10 | 53-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah State minus the points over UNLV at 9 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Aggies in what amounts to a road game against UNLV in Mountain West quarter-final action on Thursday night. Note that the Aggies have gone 8-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season, winning those games by a whopping 26.9 points per game. In fact, over the last two seasons, Utah State has outscored opponents by 23 ppg as a double-digit favorite so it is certainly comfortable in this situation. UNLV posted a 28-point rout of Air Force yesterday but prior to that had gone 3-10 ATS over its last 10 games. The Aggies will undoubtedly have their guard up after only managing to split two games against UNLV during the regular season with the loss coming in a bit of a hangover spot following a tough home loss against Colorado State. Take Utah State (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -122 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in Tuesday's matchup between these two teams but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Thursday. Note that the Stars are allowing just 2.1 goals per game at home off a home win by two goals or more over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. Dallas' six-goal outburst on Tuesday was uncharacteristic, noting that it has averaged just 2.4 goals per game after losing four or five of its last six games over the last two seasons. As far as the Blackhawks go, virtually all signs point to a high-scoring result as that has been the long-term trend. However, this season they're averaging just 2.4 goals per game on the road. They've scored a grand total of 10 goals in the last six meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Celtics +2.5 v. Nets | 109-121 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston plus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. The Celtics went into the All-Star break riding a four-game winning streak and they come out of it as healthy as they've been all season with Marcus Smart expected to return to the lineup on Thursday night. Note that Boston has been tremendous in an underdog role over the last two seasons, going 23-11 ATS and actually outscoring its opponents by an average margin of 0.8 points. The Celtics have also outscored the opposition by an average margin of 3.1 points when on the road revenging a home loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. With the Nets missing Kevin Durant and Boston chasing them in the Atlantic Division standings this would be an opportune time for the C's to stage an upset. Take Boston (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Capitals v. Flyers -104 | 5-3 | Loss | -104 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Flyers busted out of their slump with a 5-4 victory over the Sabres on Tuesday and now I look for them to keep it rolling as they host the Capitals on Thursday. Note that the Caps defeated the Flyers by a 3-1 score this past Sunday, which actually serves Philadelphia well here. The Flyers have given up just two goals per game when at home revenging a loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 goals. Likewise, they've allowed just 2.3 goals per game after giving up three goals or more in three straight games over the last three seasons. Washington has had a tendency to let down its guard, allowing 3.5 goals per game off a home win over a division opponent over the last two seasons. Take Philadelphia (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Jets v. Maple Leafs -177 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Leafs were rolling at this time last week, riding a four-game winning streak despite missing a number of key cogs due to injury. Since then, they've dropped three games in a row, including Tuesday's 4-3 setback against the Jets in the first of a three-game set here in Toronto. I look for the Leafs to respond favorably on Thursday as they look to get back on the winning side of the ledger. Note that they've allowed just 2.1 goals per game, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of one goal when revenging a loss against an opponent this season. They've also outscored opponents by an average margin of 0.9 goals when playing on home ice after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has allowed a whopping 4.2 goals per game after posting a division win on the road over the last two seasons. Take Toronto (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Rangers v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Bruins are coming off consecutive low-scoring results with a grand total of just three goals scored in regulation time in losses against the Devils and Islanders. I look for a different story to unfold on Thursday as they welcome the Rangers to TD Garden. Note that the Rangers have seen the 'over' go 5-2-1 over their last eight contests. The main reason we're dealing with a reasonably low total here is the fact that three of four meetings between these two teams this season have totaled five goals or less. This one sets up well as a high-scoring affair, however, noting that the 'over' has gone a perfect 7-0 when the Bruins come off consecutive games where four goals or less were scored with those games totaling an average of 7.8 goals. Also note that the Rangers have posted a 9-1 o/u record when coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons with those contests totaling an average of 7.6 goals. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Penguins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
My selection is on Buffalo +1.5 goals over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. This is a tough spot for the Penguins to get up for as they head to Buffalo on the heels of three straight wins on home ice. Note that Pittsburgh is a woeful 0-7 when heading on the road after scoring three or more goals in three straight games over the last two seasons, scoring just 1.4 goals per game in that situation while getting outscored by an average margin of 2.6 goals. The Pens have also been outscored by 0.5 goals per game when coming off consecutive wins by two goals or more over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, Buffalo averages an impressive 3.8 goals per game when coming off a one-goal road loss over the last two seasons (the Sabres are coming off a 5-4 overtime loss in Buffalo on Tuesday). Take Buffalo +1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Mississippi State +3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month. My selection is on Mississippi State plus the points over Kentucky at 12 noon et on Thursday. This looks like a case of undervalued vs. overvalued as Mississippi State has posted a winning ATS record this season while Kentucky checks in seven games below .500 from an ATS perspective. Yes, the Wildcats have owned this series over the years, but if there was ever a time for the Bulldogs to get a win in this series, this would be it. We actually won with Kentucky in its most recent game - a rout of South Carolina this past Saturday. That came at home. Away from home, the Wildcats have gone 4-9 this season, outscored by right around two points per game. Note that Kentucky has gone 0-7 ATS after an ATS win this season, outscored by an average margin of 8.1 points in that situation. Meanwhile, Mississippi State checks in 9-1 ATS coming off a road loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an impressive margin of 12.8 points on average in that situation. Take Mississippi State (10*). | |||||||
03-11-21 | Ball State v. Toledo -8 | 89-91 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toledo minus the points over Ball State at 11 am et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with Toledo in this MAC Tournament matchup as the Rockets and Cardinals play each other for a second straight game. Toledo took the regular season finale between these two teams by 19 points last week, avenging a stunning 81-67 loss as a nine-point favorite on the road earlier this season. Note that Toledo averaged 84.8 points per game and outscored opponents by an average margin of 12 points in conference play this season. The Rockets have been a solid positive momentum play having gone 12-5 ATS, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 9.9 points coming off an ATS win this season. Meanwhile, Ball State suffered a significant drop-off in offensive production away from home during the regular season, averaging just 69.7 points per game. Toledo, on the other hand, held its own, averaging 79.9 ppg away from home. Revenge hasn't really worked in the Cardinals favor in recent years as they've gone 2-10 ATS, outscored by an average margin of 7.7 points when revenging a double-digit loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. Take Toledo (10*). | |||||||
03-10-21 | Kings v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Anaheim at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in this matchup on Monday night as the Kings and Ducks were involved in an uncharacteristically high-scoring affair. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday night, however. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 when the Ducks follow two consecutive games in which they scored four goals or more over the last three seasons. In those games, Anaheim averaged just 1.6 goals with the games reaching an average total of just 4.4 goals. Meanwhile, the Kings have posted a 2-13 o/u mark after scoring five goals or more in their previous contest over the last three seasons, averaging just 2.1 goals per game with those games totaling an average of only 4.4 goals. Keep in mind, prior to Monday's game, the last three meetings in this series had produced no more than four total goals. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-10-21 | Spurs +4.5 v. Mavs | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month. My selection is on San Antonio plus the points over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. I don't think the Spurs are getting nearly enough credit for what they accomplished in the face of what seemed like constant adversity in the first half of the season. San Antonio checks into this game sporting an 18-14 overall record, including a stellar 9-4 record away from home. That's despite missing key cogs due to injuries and otherwise throughout. The Spurs have had plenty of success here in Dallas in recent years, taking three of the last four meetings outright and I like them catching the points here as well. Note that San Antonio has thrived in a revenge role in recent years, going an incredible 42-17 ATS when revenging a loss where their opponent scored 110+ points over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 5.5 points. Meanwhile, Dallas has been as inconsistent as they come from an ATS perspective, and check in 9-20 ATS in 29 home games after posting an ATS win in their last game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of just 0.5 points in that situation. San Antonio is expected to have some bodies back for this one and should be fresh after the All-Star break. I expect Gregg Popovich will have his team ready for this one. Take San Antonio (10*). | |||||||
03-10-21 | Golden Knights -115 v. Wild | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
NHL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over Minnesota at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the Wild in the front half of this two-game set on Monday but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the Knights on Wednesday. Monday's loss snapped Vegas' six-game winning streak but it remains 6-3 on the road this season where it allows only 1.9 goals per game. Note that the Knights are allowing just 1.6 goals per game when playing on the road off a loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. Coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, the Knights have gone 9-1, outscoring opponents by a wide 1.7-goal margin on average. On the flip side, the Wild have given up a whopping 4.3 goals per game when coming off a home win by two goal so more over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that situation. Take Vegas (10*). | |||||||
03-10-21 | San Jose State v. Wyoming -11.5 | Top | 80-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Conference Tournament Blowout Game of the Year. My selection is on Wyoming minus the points over San Jose State at 2 pm et on Wednesday. I suspect most bettors may shy away from a middling 13-10 Wyoming squad laying double-digits in the opening round of the Mountain West Tournament on Wednesday afternoon. We won't hesitate to back the Cowboys, however, as they should be able to take their frustrations out on an awful San Jose State squad. The Spartans have just five wins to their credit this season. Two of those victories came against non-Division I opponents. The other three came against 5-19 Air Force (two wins) and 6-15 New Mexico. This will be their first matchup with Wyoming this season with the Cowboys having won 13 of the last 14 matchups. Credit Wyoming for hanging in there against a tough Mountain West schedule this season, winning the games it should and even staging a few upsets along the way (it posted outright underdog wins against Fresno State, Nevada and UNLV). Note that San Jose State was outscored by a whopping 20.4 points per game away from home during the regular season. Wyoming was far more respectable in that regard, outscored by just 3.7 points per game. In an underdog role, San Jose State has been outscored by 17.9 points per game this season. The Spartans have been an excellent negative momentum fade having gone 7-17 ATS, outscored by an average margin of 21.9 points when playing away from home following two or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons, as is the case here. This is probably the only winnable game for Wyoming in this tournament, and I expect the Cowboys to take full advantage. Take Wyoming (10*). | |||||||
03-10-21 | CS Sacramento v. Northern Colorado -2 | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Colorado minus the points over Sacramento State at 11 am et on Wednesday. I'll lay the short number with Northern Colorado in this early start matchup in Idaho on Wednesday. Both teams are coming off close games last time out with Sacramento State upsetting Montana State 74-73 as a three-point underdog and Northern Colorado falling 60-59 as a 10-point underdog at Weber State. While there's not a lot separating these two teams from an overall record perspective, I do feel that Northern Colorado is the superior squad. The Bears have been a terrific bounce-back team, particularly away from home. They've gone 9-1 ATS when playing away from home off of one or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 9.8 points in that situation. On the flip side, they've averaged 75 points per game and outscored opponents by 9.1 points on average after posting two ATS wins in their last three games, as is the case here. Meanwhile, Sacramento State has been outscored by an average margin of 7.8 points when playing away from home after posting one or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons. Take Northern Colorado (10*). | |||||||
03-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. We were involved in a couple of games involving these teams over the weekend, cashing with the Stars in Saturday's 5-0 victory over Columbus and successfully fading the Blackhawks in Sunday's 6-3 loss to the Lightning. Here, I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair between these division rivals. Note that the Blackhawks are averaging just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. Interestingly, playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games the Blackhawks have played to an average total of just 3.4 goals. The Stars have posted a 3-12 o/u mark when playing at home after losing two of their last three games over the last two seasons with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. This series has been an 'under' bettors dream in recent years with each of the last five matchups, including both this season, totaling three goals or less. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-09-21 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -8 | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Notre Dame minus the points over Wake Forest at 7 pm et on Tuesday. We cashed a ticket fading Wake Forest in its most recent game - a double-digit home loss against Georgia Tech last Friday night. The Demon Deacons have all but packed up the tent for the 2020-21 season, losers of six straight games both SU and ATS. Note that Wake Forest has won just once in 10 tries away from its home court this season, outscored by an average margin of 12.3 points. This is a revenge spot after Notre Dame took the regular season meeting by 21 points but Wake hasn't been anything special in that situation, outscored by an average margin of 6.6 points when revenging a loss over the last two seasons. The Irish managed to pull up their socks and bring an end to their four-game losing streak with a very impressive 10-point victory over a quality Florida State squad on Saturday. That was the type of victory that should produce a positive carry-over effect here. While the Irish went 4-9 on the road during the regular season, they were actually outscored by an average margin of only 2.2 points, winning the majority of the games they should (some in blowout fashion) while losing those where they stepped up in class. This game certainly qualifies as the former and I'm confident we'll see the Irish prevail by a convincing margin. Take Notre Dame (10*). | |||||||
03-09-21 | Panthers -127 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
NHL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Florida over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Panthers delivered a poor performance on Sunday as they dropped a 4-2 decision in Carolina. That was just their first loss in their last three games, however, and they still own an impressive 15-5-4 overall record this season. While the Blue Jackets have generally owned this series, going 24-11 in the last 35 meetings, there's no question the Panthers are a better team this year than we've seen in years' past. The Jackets check in having won just twice in their last eight games. Note that Columbus has averaged only 2.3 goals per game when playing at home after winning two of its last three contests, as is the case here. Meanwhile, we can anticipate a solid offensive showing from the Panthers here as they've averaged a whopping 4.4 goals per game when coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, going a perfect 5-0 in that situation. The Blue Jackets are a nice negative momentum fade here having gone 4-11 when coming off a loss in a division game over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.1 goals on average in that situation. Take Florida (10*). | |||||||
03-09-21 | FC Porto v. Juventus -1 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
Champions League Match of the Month. My selection is on Juventus -1.5 goals over FC Porto at 3 pm et on Tuesday. The reality here is that Juventus needs only 1-0 victory to advance past Porto onto the Champions League quarter-final round, despite suffering a stunning 2-1 road defeat in the first leg of the Round of 16. With that in mind, I don't believe we're see Pirlo's side hold anything back or leave anything to chance on Tuesday. It's interesting to note that the total has been set at 2.5 for this match. I actually do believe Juventus has a good chance at coming away with a clean sheet, noting that it has allowed just six goals in its last 12 matches combined. Porto clearly caught Juventus flat-footed in the first leg of this matchup but the Italian side's late goal served them well, giving them more than a fighting chance of advancing heading into this match at home. We're being offered a very reasonable price to back the superior side with high motivation here. Take Juventus -1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
03-09-21 | Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh -3 | 79-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Miami at 2 pm et on Tuesday. I'll lay the points with the Panthers in this matchup of two teams coming off disappointing ACC campaigns. Miami did end its regular season on a positive note with an 80-76 win over Boston College. Of course, the fact that the Canes needed everything they had in the tank just two in that game over a bottom-feeding Eagles squad wasn't all that encouraging. Note that Miami has lost 13 of 15 games, outscored by an average margin of 9.6 points per game when coming off a conference win over the last three seasons. Pittsburgh ran up against a very tough conference schedule from the start of February on and while it went 2-6 SU it did hold its own against the number, going 4-3-1 ATS. The Panthers will have the best player on the floor in this matchup in Justin Champagnie, who finished as the runner-up for ACC Player of the Year. Take Pittsburgh (10*). | |||||||
03-08-21 | Kings v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -128 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off relatively high-scoring results last time out with the Kings defeating the Blues 4-3 and the Ducks upsetting the Avalanche by a 5-4 score. Here, I look for a return to 'normal' for both teams as they tangle in what figures to be a low-scoring affair on Monday night. Note that the Kings have averaged just two goals per game when on the road after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons. They're averaging an identical two goals per game after scoring four goals or more in a home victory over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Ducks average a miserable 1.9 goals per game as well after recording a one-goal win in their last game over the last two seasons. The last three meetings in this series have totaled just three, four and four total goals, with the latter coming in the lone previous matchup this season. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-08-21 | Canadiens -147 v. Canucks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -147 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NHL North Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Montreal over Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Monday. On paper, the case could be made that both of these teams are 'due' for a letdown on Monday night with the Canadiens coming off a 7-1 victory over Winnipeg and Vancouver fresh off consecutive victories over Toronto. As the line certainly appears to indicate, I believe the Habs are in better position to steady their course and avoid that letdown on Monday. A few quotes from Canucks players lead me to believe they'll be hard-pressed to get back to the level they played at in that two-game sweep of the Leafs. "It's been a tough go, and for our team to keep battling and stick to the process tonight, I think it's huge for our group and give us a lot of confidence," Brock Boeser said. And this from J.T. Miller, "It feels pretty awesome and we know it's in there," he said. "It means a lot to us. We take a lot of pride in beating a team like that at home twice when we really need wins. We talked a lot over the last three weeks or so about playing well but not getting the results. We've shown that we can beat anybody in the league, and we still believe that, even though the record wouldn't necessarily show it. But it feels pretty awesome." While those quotes may be encouraging to some, I believe they might indicate Vancouver is a little high on its horse off those victories, especially given it still has just 11 wins in 28 games this season. Note that Vancouver averages just 2.8 goals per game when coming off a win over the last three seasons, outscored by 0.2 goals per game on average in that situation. Meanwhile, Montreal seems to get a lift heading out on the road following a homestand, having averaged 3.3 goals per game, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals when playing on the road after two consecutive home games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Montreal (10*). | |||||||
03-08-21 | Northern Kentucky -1 v. Oakland | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Horizon League Game of the Year. My selection is on Northern Kentucky minus the points over Oakland at 9:30 pm et on Monday. Given the discrepancy between these two teams overall records, with North Kentucky owning a considerable edge in that regard, it may be a little odd to see the Norse priced near a pk'em in this matchup. I can understand the logic behind it, however, with this game being played on a neutral court and Northern Kentucky having posted a losing record away from home, not to mention the fact that Oakland has been scoring at will lately, putting up 80+ points in five straight and seven of its last nine games overall. With that being said, I like the way this Horizon League Tournament semi-final matchup sets up for the Norse. NKU has outscored opponents by 5.3 points per game on average after winning two of its last three games over the last two seasons. The Norse have also fared well as a positive momentum play coming off a win by six points or less in their last game, outscoring the opposition by 6.7 points on average in that situation over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, Oakland has been outscored by nearly 10 points per game in an underdog role this season. When coming off an ATS win, the Grizzlies have been outscored by an average margin of 8.4 points in their next contest. While this has been a series that has featured plenty of close games, Northern Kentucky has managed to win four of the last five meetings over the last three seasons. Take Northern Kentucky (10*). | |||||||
03-08-21 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -17.5 | Top | 55-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
WCC Game of the Month. My selection is on Gonzaga minus the points over St. Mary's at 9 pm et on Monday. This number may seem fairly high based on the heated rivalry these two teams have been a part of over the years but that rivalry has cooled recently with Gonzaga evolving into an elite National Championship contender and St. Mary's taking a step back. Gonzaga swept the regular season series between these two teams with relative ease, but did only manage to go 1-1 ATS, helping to keep the number in check here. Note that the Zags actually enter this game off back-to-back ATS losses. That's not really a bad thing as the Bulldogs have averaged 90.9 points per game while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 23.3 points when coming off an ATS loss over the last two seasons. They've also been a solid positive momentum play, averaging 90.4 points per game and outscoring opponents by an average margin of 21.4 points after scoring 85+ points in two straight games over the last two seasons. St. Mary's is a long-term loser in an underdog role, going 91-124 ATS and has been outscored by 15.6 points on average when revenging two straight double-digit losses against an opponent, as is the case here. Take Gonzaga (10*). | |||||||
03-07-21 | Devils v. Bruins -1.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston -1.5 goals over New Jersey at 5:05 pm et on Sunday. This is a brutal spot for the reeling Devils, who check in having lost five games in a row with no signs of righting the ship any time soon. Meanwhile, Boston has been playing a rather uneven brand of hockey lately but is coming off an uplifting 5-1 win over the Capitals to earn a 1-1 split in its two-game set on Friday night. Note that the Bruins set up well here as they've outscored opponents by an average margin of 1.8 goals when coming off a win by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last three seasons, allowing a paltry 1.6 goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Devils have an awful track record when coming off a division loss on home ice, allowing 4.6 goals per game in that situation over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.7 goals. Take Boston -1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
03-07-21 | Kevin Harvick -130 v. Chase Elliott | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kevin Harvick over Chase Elliott at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll be playing Kevin Harvick to win this race outright as well but for the purposes of this play we'll back him matched up against Chase Elliott on Sunday. Harvick has been as consistent as they come here at this track in Vegas, finishing no worse than eighth in five of his last six races here going back to 2015. That includes winning this race outright twice over that stretch (in 2015 and 2018). While Harvick has yet to win a race this season, he has three top-10 finishes and two top-5's to his credit already. As for Elliott, he's finished as high as third in this race back in 2017 but has only two top-10 finishes in five tries. Take Harvick (10*). | |||||||
03-07-21 | Lightning -177 v. Blackhawks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Chicago at 2:35 pm et on Sunday. The Lightning haven't been at their best in their last couple of games against the Blackhawks, first needing to rally from a 2-0 third period deficit to secure a 3-2 overtime win on Thursday before dropping a 4-3 shootout decision on Friday. I do look for them to bring their 'A' game on Sunday as they look to come away with five of a possible six points in this three-game set in Chicago. Note that Tampa Bay has allowed just 2.1 goals per game when revenging a loss on the road over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.7 goals in that situation. The Blackhawks haven't fared particularly well when coming off a close victory in recent years, allowing an average of 4.1 goals after a one-goal win over the last three seasons. In general, the Lightning have been a solid bet when coming off a loss of any sort on the road over the last three seasons, going 24-7 in their next game while averaging over four goals per game and outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.6 goals. Take Tampa Bay (10*). | |||||||
03-07-21 | Drake v. Loyola-Chicago -7.5 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Loyola-Chicago minus the points over Drake at 2 pm et on Sunday. I think the fact that Drake scored 71 points in yesterday's thrilling victory over Missouri State, not to mention the fact that it beat Loyola-Chicago 51-50 the last time these two teams met last month is giving Bulldogs backers a big of a false sense of security catching a seemingly generous helping of points in this one. Keep in mind, prior to that one-point win over the Ramblers the Bulldogs had been routed by 27 points against Loyola-Chicago the previous day. A letdown was certainly in order for Loyola as it may have taken a second win for granted against the Bulldogs. Drake isn't the same team it was earlier in the season, not without two of its best players in Roman Penn and ShanQuan Hemphill. Of course those two absences have been factored into this line but worth noting nonetheless. While Drake certainly needs this win a little more to reach the NCAA Tournament, desperation doesn't always lead to victory. Loyola-Chicago has been locked in for weeks, months even as it has its sights set on a MVC Championship and potentially a deep NCAA Tournament run. Note that the Ramblers are an excellent positive momentum play here, having gone 7-1 ATS after an ATS win as a double-digit favorite this season, outscoring the opposition by a wide 17.9-point margin on average. They've got an excellent track record as a favorite this season, going 15-7 ATS, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 16.9 points in those games. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). | |||||||
03-06-21 | Blue Jackets v. Stars -128 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Dallas over Columbus at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Stars on Saturday night as they look to right the ship and shake out of a miserable run in a rematch with the Blue Jackets. Columbus skated to a 3-2 victory in the first of this two-game set on Thursday. That actually puts Dallas in a solid situation here, noting that it has allowed just 2.1 goals on average when revenging a loss against an opponent over the last two seasons. Also note that Columbus is averaging just 2.1 goals per game when playing on the road off a road victory over the last two seasons. The Stars have gone a solid 10-4 under the guidance of head coach Rick Bowness when playing with double-revenge against an opponent, outscoring the opposition by a margin of 1.1 goals. Take Dallas (10*). | |||||||
03-06-21 | Butler v. Creighton -12.5 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on Creighton minus the points over Butler at 5 pm et on Saturday. We won by fading Creighton in its most recent game but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the Blue Jays as they return home for their regular season finale against Butler. The Blue Jays will have revenge on their minds after suffering a narrow loss on the road against Butler earlier this season. It's not as if Creighton needs any extra motivation here after it played worse than the final score indicated in Wednesday's loss at Villanova. That brought an end to a winless two-game road trip for the Blue Jays after they had fallen against Xavier as well. Home cooking should serve them well as they've gone 10-3 in the host role, outscoring the opposition by more than 14 points per game. Note that they're 12-3 ATS when returning home off a game as a road underdog over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of just under 18 points in that situation. Butler checks in a woeful 1-9 on the road this season where it has been outscored by around nine points per game. Take Creighton (10*). | |||||||
03-06-21 | Illinois v. Ohio State -2 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
CBB TV Game of the Year. My selection is on Ohio State minus the points over Illinois at 4 pm et on Saturday. It's easy to make the case for Illinois as the better team in this matchup, especially when you consider current form. The Illini are coming off three straight wins, including back-to-back of the outright underdog variety on the road against Wisconsin and Michigan. The win at Michigan was as dominant as they come as the Illini jumped out to a big early lead and never looked back in a 23-point rout, and it came in front of a national audience. Ohio State checks in down-trodden off three straight losses but two of those could have gone either way and all three came against tough opponents in Michigan, Michigan State and Iowa. Here, the Buckeyes have an opportunity to regain their footing with a win over an elite opponent on their home floor to wrap up the regular season and I look for them to do just that. Note that Ohio State is still 10-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by more than 10 points per game. They already have a feather in their cap in this particular matchup, having defeated Illinois by six points on the road back in mid-January. Interestingly, Illinois has gone 0-6 ATS when revenging an upset loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 9.5 points in that situation. Meanwhile, Ohio State is 18-9 ATS as a home favorite over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by a wide margin of 15.3 points on average. Take Ohio State (10*). | |||||||
03-06-21 | Indiana State +10 v. Loyola-Chicago | 49-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana State plus the points over Loyola-Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with Indiana State on Saturday as it looks to give Loyola-Chicago all it can handle in its MVC Tournament semi-final matchup. The Sycamores got off to a slow start this season but that had a lot to do with a front-loaded conference schedule that saw them face Drake, Missouri State and Loyola-Chicago each twice before the second week of January was over. Indiana State did manage to split its two-game set against Loyola-Chicago, winning the first game by five before dropping the second by 10. Here, I simply feel that the Ramblers will have a tough time extending the margin in a game where possessions will likely be at a minimum (ISU ranks 309th and Loyola ranks 340th in the nation in team possessions per game this season). The Ramblers opponent yesterday, Southern Illinois, wasn't able to knock down enough shots to stay within arm's reach (the Salukis shot 40% from the field and made just 4-of-18 three-point attempts). I do think that the Sycamores can do a better job here today, even after a subpar shooting effort that still resulted in a double-digit win over Evansville yesterday. Take Indiana State (9*). | |||||||
03-06-21 | Georgetown v. Connecticut -9.5 | 82-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Georgetown at 12 noon et on Saturday. I'll keep things simple here and fade Georgetown coming off an outright upset win over Xavier at home on Tuesday night. The Hoyas have been frustratingly inconsistent this season going 9-11 overall, including a 2-5 road record. Connecticut is a solid positive momentum play here coming off three straight double-digit victories but not good enough to suddenly become complacent in this winnable home game to wrap up the regular season. Note that the Huskies current three-game winning streak began with a 13-point win over Georgetown. Note that the SU winner has gone a perfect 15-0 ATS in UConn's last 15 games. Take Connecticut (10*). | |||||||
03-05-21 | Wild -135 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
NHL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Wild are coming off back-to-back losses in Las Vegas earlier this week - not all that surprising as they were certainly in for some regression off six straight victories and the Golden Knights offered a significant test. Here, I look for Minnesota to bounce back as it heads to Glendale to face the Coyotes. Note that Minnesota has gone 8-1 off a loss by four goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.5 goals. Meanwhile, Arizona has been dreadful off a road win against a division opponent (it enters this game off a 3-2 victory in Los Angeles two nights ago), going 1-8 in that situation over the last three seasons, losing those games by an average margin of 2.1 goals. The last five times the Coyotes have returned home following a one-goal road win they've gone winless and have allowed a whopping five goals per game, outscored by an average margin of 2.6 goals. Take Minnesota (10*). | |||||||
03-05-21 | Colorado State v. Nevada +1.5 | Top | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Mountain West Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Nevada plus the points over Colorado State at 9 pm et on Friday. I'll back the Wolf Pack on Friday night as they look to end Colorado State's five-game winning streak and also halt their own losing skid at two games following consecutive losses at Utah State. Colorado State checks in 17-4 on the season but really what have the Rams done lately? Since the start of February they've gone 5-0 with a number of cancellations thrown in the mix. Those five wins came against 6-15 New Mexico, 5-19 Air Force and 12-10 Wyoming (the two victories over Wyoming came by a combined 11 points as both games could have gone either way). Nevada is coming off three straight two-game sets against the likes of UNLV, Boise State and aforementioned Utah State. The Wolf Pack certainly held their own over that stretch, going 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS. Here, Nevada looks to improve to 7-0 ATS over the last three seasons after allowing 75 points or more in its last two games. The last six times that situation has come up the Wolf Pack have outscored the opposition by an average margin of 13.7 points. Nevada has taken the last two meetings between these two teams on this floor and I look for it to make it three straight here on Friday night. Take Nevada (10*). | |||||||
03-05-21 | Monmouth -5 v. Rider | 65-62 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Monmouth minus the points over Rider at 4 pm et on Friday. Monmouth needed overtime to get past Rider in the first game of this back-to-back set but I believe the potential is there for the Hawks to run the Broncs out of the gym on Friday afternoon. Keep in mind, Monmouth ranks an impressive 13th in the nation in pace rating this season. The Hawks haven't necessarily been able to convert that up-tempo play into a ton of offensive success as they shoot just 42.9% as a team, but that's still better than the Broncs 42.5% and Rider checks in ranked T198th in terms of pace rating. I also like the Hawks active defense as they rank 36th in the country in steals per game. By contrast, Rider sits 298th in that category. The Broncs rode an uncharacteristically strong three-point shooting game in keeping close with the Hawks yesterday, nearly doubling their season average in terms of threes made per game. Should their outside shooting cool off today they're ripe for a blowout in my opinion. Take Monmouth (10*). | |||||||
03-04-21 | Texas v. Oklahoma -2 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Oklahoma minus the points over Texas at 9 pm et on Thursday. Texas gained plenty of early season notoriety by getting off to an incredible 10-1 start, including road wins over Kansas and West Virginia. Since then, however, the Longhorns have gone just 2-2 on the road, with the two victories coming against bad Kansas State and Iowa State teams. Oklahoma also got off to a tremendous start this season, only falling on hard times recently, dropping its last three games. That skid started with an embarrassing loss at Kansas State before suffering consecutive setbacks against rival Oklahoma State. The Sooners certainly realize the importance of getting it right here in their regular season finale and know they're going to get Texas' best punch after upsetting the Longhorns by a single point on the road earlier this season. Keep in mind, Oklahoma is 10-2 at home this season, outscoring the opposition by over 15 points per game. After scoring 75 points or more in consecutive games this season, the Sooners have outscored opponents by an average margin of 12.3 points in their next game. Take Oklahoma (10*). | |||||||
03-04-21 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 234.5 | Top | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. Memphis is coming off consecutive offensive explosions away from home, scoring 133 and 125 points in victories over the Rockets and Wizards, respectively. Of course, it will be taking a major step up in class here against one of the league's best defensive teams in the Bucks. Note that Milwaukee will certainly be in a foul mood after suffering a 128-97 loss at home against the Nuggets on Tuesday. That flat spot probably should have been expected given it was coming off consecutive close wins in nationally-televised games against the Pelicans and Clippers. That blowout result sets us up well with the 'under' in this matchup, noting that the Bucks have allowed just 106.6 points per game following an outright loss as a favorite over the last three seasons. Those 50 games totaled an average of just 223.6 points. To take it a step further, Milwaukee has allowed just north of 100 ppg when coming off a double-digit upset loss as a favorite over that same period, with those contests reaching just 216.5 total points on average. With the Grizzlies coming off consecutive road games, their next contest has averaged just north of 215 total points over the last three seasons. Keep in mind, Memphis actually owns a losing record at home compared to a winning mark on the road this season, scoring around three points per game below its season average in the host role. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-04-21 | Flyers v. Penguins +112 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Flyers will likely be a popular play on Thursday night as bettors race to the window to fade the Sidney Crosby-less Penguins coming off Tuesday's 5-2 blowout win in the opener of this three-game set in Pittsburgh. I'll go the other way, however, as the Pens have become accustomed to playing (and succeeding) without Crosby over the years and who's to argue with a dominant 8-1 home record this season? Many had the Flyers pegged as a Stanley Cup contender at the outset of the season and while there's still plenty of time for that to play out, the fact is they've been a fairly large disappointment, barely hanging on to the fourth and final playoff spot in the East Division. The Pens are the team nipping at their heels and here I look for them to stake claim to that position. Note that Philadelphia has been a good negative momentum fade in recent years, allowing a whopping 4.4 goals per game on 14 occasions where they were off a road loss over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that situation. They also have a tendency to get weaker the more they play on the road, having allowed an average of 4.6 goals per game off two consecutive games played away from home over the last two seasons. Take Pittsburgh (10*). | |||||||
03-03-21 | Blues v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Anaheim at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Blues are coming off two straight high-scoring games, including a 5-4 win here in Anaheim two nights ago. I'm expecting a reversal of sorts on Wednesday night as the Ducks look to bring an end to their seven-game losing streak. Note that the 'under' is 11-2 when the Blues come off consecutive games where at least seven goals were scored, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 9-1 when the Ducks look to revenge a one-goal loss against an opponent, with those games reaching an average total of only 3.9 goals. Finally, the Ducks have posted a 4-14 o/u mark following five or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons, with those games averaging exactly five goals. This could certainly be seen as a flat spot for the Blues off back-to-back wild, one-goal road wins while Anaheim needs to ratchet up the intensity and snap their long skid before a tough two-game set in Colorado. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
03-03-21 | Thunder +8 v. Mavs | Top | 78-87 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
PLEASE NOTE: This line has dropped considerably with the news that Luka Doncic is doubtful for the Mavs. While I did personally play the Thunder at +8 well in advance of the Luka news, OKC still warrants a play at the current number as well. NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Oklahoma City plus the points over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Mavs failed to cover the 6.5-7-point spread for us on Monday despite holding a double-digit lead for much of the fourth quarter. Their defensive play continues to be a concern and I expect them to be in for a fight against a scrappy Thunder squad on Wednesday night. Note that Oklahoma City has been a solid road underdog in recent years, going 28-9 ATS in that situation over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of just 3.1 points. It gets even better when the Thunder are coming off a loss as they've gone 18-8 ATS on the road after suffering at least one loss, actually outscoring the opposition by a point per game on average. Meanwhile, similar situations have been dreadful for the Mavs as they're 3-12 at home off a road win over the last two seasons, stunningly outscored by an average of nearly nine points in that situation. Note that these two teams split a pair of meetings last season, with the Mavs owning the scoring margin edge by a total of five points. Take Oklahoma City (10*). | |||||||
03-03-21 | Creighton v. Villanova -4.5 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Villanova minus the points over Creighton at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. We won with Creighton as a home underdog the last time these two teams met but I won't hesitate to go the other way as the Blue Jays and Wildcats renew hostilities on Wednesday night. Creighton ran into a roadblock over the weekend, suffering an eight-point loss at Xavier. That brought an end to its four-game winning streak. Villanova is just 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and coming off a stunning double-digit loss on the road against Butler. That leads me to believe we'll see a peak performance here as it looks to rebound before closing out the regular season with a stop in Providence. Note that the Wildcats have outscored opponents by an average margin of 10.5 points at home seeking revenge against an opponent over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Villanova (10*). | |||||||
03-03-21 | NC State v. Notre Dame -2 | 80-69 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Notre Dame minus the points over N.C. State at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Irish as they look to snap their three-game losing streak and also bring an end to N.C. State's four-game winning streak on Wednesday night. Keep in mind, each of Notre Dame's last three losses came on the road. Note that N.C. State has been outscored by an average margin of 6.3 points as a road underdog of six points or less this season. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has outscored opponents by an average of 5.3 points when coming off at least two losses in a row over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Notre Dame (10*). | |||||||
03-03-21 | Clemson v. Syracuse -2.5 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Clemson at 5 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Orange as a positive momentum play here as they look to build on Monday's two-point win over North Carolina. I like the matchup here, even with Clemson coming in hot off five straight wins. Note that the Tigers are a miserable 2-13 ATS after winning five or six of their last seven games over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of eight points in that situation. Syracuse is an outstanding 12-1 straight-up at home this season and we're dealing with a very reasonable pointspread as it looks to improve to 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Clemson at the Carrier Dome. Take Syracuse (10*). | |||||||
03-02-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 215.5 | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Pacific Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. It's quite surprising that the books haven't sent out a higher total for this one, knowing full well bettors will be itching for action and quick to pull the trigger on the 'over' in this high-profile late night matchup on Tuesday. With all of that being said, I can't help but feel this total has been set too low, and believe both offenses are in line for strong performances in this intriguing Western Conference showdown. Note that the Suns will be playing their third road game in the last five days, a situation that has produced an average total of 234 points over the last two seasons. There have been 11 occasions where the Suns have played on the road after winning four of their last five games over the last three seasons, and those contests have reached an average total of over 231 points. Meanwhile, the Lakers have seen their games average just shy of 223 total points when playing at home off a double-digit home win, as is the case here. The 'under' has cashed in the Suns last two games and the Lakers last three and both teams rank well in most defensive categories. That's why we're seeing such a low total (by today's NBA standards) but I believe it will prove too low. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
03-02-21 | Canucks v. Jets -129 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
NHL North Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg over Vancouver at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Canucks jumped out in front early in last night's game here in Winnipeg and were never really tested from there in an eventual 4-0 victory. That looked an awful lot like a 'throwaway' game for the Jets after they dug themselves that 3-0 first period hole as they offered little push back from there. I certainly expect Winnipeg to respond with a tremendous effort on Tuesday night. Keep in mind, Winnipeg had been playing well entering last night's contest, having won four straight and eight of its last 11 games overall. This has been a tight series with each team taking two games in four meetings so far this season. Look for the Jets to gain the upper hand tonight. Take Winnipeg (10*). | |||||||
03-02-21 | Indiana +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Michigan State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. The Hoosiers picked a bad time to go ice cold, dropping each of their last three games heading into Tuesday night's showdown in East Lansing. I don't expect them to go away quietly, however, and believe they can win this game outright, but will certainly grab the points of insurance. Michigan State had won three games in a row before dropping an 18-point decision at Maryland last time out. Note that the Spartans went to Indiana and defeated the Hoosiers by seven points back on February 20th, but that was their first win in four tries in this series. I simply feel that Michigan State is being asked to lay too many points here given the cracks it has shown defensively down the stretch, and going up against what will be a highly-motivated Indiana squad. Take Indiana (10*). | |||||||
03-01-21 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers +102 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton over Toronto at 10:05 pm et on Monday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Oilers on Monday night after suffering a 4-0 loss against the Leafs on Saturday. In recent years, a loss like Saturday's may have sent the Oilers into a tailspin but they've looked like a different team this year. Note that Edmonton is 20-10 when revenging a loss where they scored a goal or less as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.7 goals. The Oilers are also 23-11 after allowing four goals or more in their last game over the last two seasons. Take Edmonton (10*). | |||||||
03-01-21 | Mavs -6.5 v. Magic | Top | 130-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Monday. Even in a clear letdown spot off Saturday's nationally-televised win over the Nets, I expect the Mavericks to show up and take care of the reeling Magic on Monday night in Orlando. Note that Dallas is 19-6 ATS as a road favorite over the last two seasons, winning those games by an average of nearly nine points. Meanwhile, the Magic have been awful in the home underdog role, going 6-17 ATS over the last two seasons, losing those games by more than 10 points on average. It's also worth noting that Orlando is 0-11 ATS at home when revenging a double-digit loss against an opponent over the last two seasons, losing those games by nearly 12 points on average. That's notable as the Mavs took the first matchup between these two teams this season by 14 points back on January 9th. Take Dallas (10*). | |||||||
03-01-21 | Miami-FL v. Virginia OVER 124 | Top | 51-62 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Virginia at 6 pm et on Monday. There's no question, Virginia is more known for its defensive prowess than its offensive exploits, but the fact is the Cavaliers enter Monday's game riding a three-game 'over' streak and the 'over' has cashed at a 7-3-1 clip when they play at home this season. Miami has lost five games in a row and should throw everything it has at the Cavaliers in this spot. Note that the Hurricanes haven't posted consecutive 'under' results since back on January 19th and 24th. Since then, the 'over' has gone 5-3 in their last eight games. Also note that the 'over' is 16-6 when Virginia plays at home off an upset loss against a conference opponent, with those games reaching an average total of more than 138 points. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4.5 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington minus the points over Minnesota at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Wizards are currently one of the league's hottest teams yet here they are laying only a couple of buckets against a reeling T'Wolves squad. Washington's reputation obviously precedes it but that's just fine with us as we can take advantage with a reasonably short pointspread on Saturday night. Note that the straight-up winner has now covered the spread in each of the Wizards last 20 games. I'm certainly comfortable going against Minnesota here, noting that it has managed to secure just five victories in the last two months (remember, the T'Wolves started the season with consecutive wins but have gone 5-26 SU since). Minnesota hasn't fared well in similar situations this season, going 11-23 ATS as an underdog of six points or less over the last three seasons, losing those games by nearly six points on average. The T'Wolves are also just 7-20 ATS after scoring 110+ points in their last two games over the last two seasons, outscored by an average of nearly 10 points per game in that situation. Maybe the Wiz look past the T'Wolves here, but even with their recent success, I don't think they're at the level where they would afford themselves that type of letdown. Take Washington (10*). | |||||||
02-27-21 | Louisville v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 80-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Duke minus the points over Louisville at 6 pm et on Saturday. It seems like it's going to take quite an effort to take down the Blue Devils right now as they've won four games in a row both SU and ATS, completely turning their season around following an awful start. Louisville continues to play an uneven brand of basketball, having gone 3-4 SU and ATS over its last seven games. The Cardinals are coming off a double-digit win over Notre Dame last time out, but that was at home. They're just 3-4 on the road, where they've been outscored by more than eight points per game. Note that while Duke is a woeful 7-16 ATS after scoring 80+ points in its last game over the last two seasons, as is the case here, it has still managed to win those games by more than eight points on average. We're dealing with a very reasonable pointspread here. Take Duke (10*). | |||||||
02-27-21 | Blue Jackets +110 v. Predators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Columbus over Nashville at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. The Blue Jackets continue to limp along, coming off three consecutive losses to wrap up a disappointing 1-3 homestand. That stretch started with a win over these same Predators - a rare occurrence in a series Nashville has dominated. With that being said, I like the way this situation sets up for the Jackets on Saturday. Note that Nashville is just 13-22 after winning two of its last three games over the last two seasons, outscored by a goal per game on average in that situation. The Preds are also a miserable 3-10 after playing their last three games on the road, as is the case here, outscored by a wide 1.5-goal margin on average. We have seen Columbus bounce back from bad losses with some consistency under head coach John Tortorella, going 35-26 after losing by two goals or more in their last game. Take Columbus (10*). | |||||||
02-26-21 | Avalanche -169 v. Coyotes | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We missed the mark with the Avalanche two nights ago as they got blown out by the Wild, on home ice no less. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them here, however, as they face a familiar foe in the Coyotes. Note that Colorado has gone 7-3 against Arizona over the last three seasons and breezed past the 'Yotes in last year's playoffs, capped off by consecutive 7-1 victories to close out the series. Colorado is 12-5 when playing on the road off a loss by three goals or more over the last three seasons, averaging just shy of four goals per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Coyotes are a miserable 3-15 when coming off a one-goal victory over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. Take Colorado (10*). | |||||||
02-26-21 | Clippers -6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Non-Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Friday. This is a spot we've gone back to time and time again as the Clippers look to rebound off an ugly loss against these same Grizzlies last night. Note that Los Angeles is 27-10 ATS when coming off a road loss over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of around nine points. Better still, the Clips are 19-9 ATS off an outright upset loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by a wide 14.1-point margin on average. Los Angeles needs to right the ship in this game as the road trip will only get tougher with stops in Milwaukee and Boston up next. Memphis was highly-motivated to show up and show out in last night's game off consecutive losses but may not be able to reach that same level of intensity here. Take Los Angeles (10*). | |||||||
02-26-21 | Indiana State v. Valparaiso +3 | Top | 58-43 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
CBB False Favorite Game of the Month. My selection is on Valparaiso plus the points over Indiana State at 7 pm et on Friday. I like the way this one sets up for Valpo as it comes in battle-tested off three straight games decided by three points or less. The fact it went 1-2 in those three contests should help keep its motivation level high for this one as it hosts Indiana State. Valpo is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series but dropped a double-digit decision against the Sycamores the last time they matched up last February. Here we find the Crusaders 11-3 when having lost four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of nearly two points in that situation. They're also an incredible 70-36 ATS when coming off a road loss, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 3.8 points. Indiana State has certainly been rolling along but might have a tough time keeping the positive momentum building here having not played in the last nine days. Take Valparaiso (10*). | |||||||
02-25-21 | Pelicans v. Bucks -9 | Top | 125-129 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over New Orleans at 9:35 pm et on Thursday. We've been high on the Bucks lately, most recently backing them in their 27-point rout of the T'Wolves on Tuesday. You would think that might have been a tough game for them to get up for but they shook off a sluggish start and ultimately pulled away for a blowout win. Here, I don't think they'll have any difficulty getting up for a nationally-televised game against Zion and the Pelicans, especially after dropping a 131-126 decision in New Orleans back in January. Milwaukee has reeled off three straight wins since an extended slide that saw it drop five games in a row. It has been a tremendous momentum play in recent years, going 12-2 ATS at home after posting consecutive wins by 10+ points over the last two seasons, winning those games by an average margin of nearly 19 points. In the role of home favorite over the last three seasons, the Bucks have gone 57-36 ATS, outscoring opponents by 13 points per contest. The Pelicans are coming off consecutive wins and certainly rolling offensively but figure to struggle here on the road, where they've gone 5-10 SU and 6-9 ATS this season. Take Milwaukee (10*). | |||||||
02-25-21 | Devils v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 109 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New Jersey and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. After seeing a relatively low-scoring game between these two teams two nights ago I look for a reversal of sorts on Thursday as the scene shifts to Buffalo for the rematch. The Devils have been held to three goals or less in four straight games but despite scoring just once in Tuesday's loss, they did manage to fire 42 shots on goal in what was actually a fairly wide-open affair despite only five goals being scored (79 combined shots on goal). Note that the 'over' has gone 23-9 when the Devils come off three losses in their last four games over the last three seasons with those games reaching an average total of 6.9 goals. The 'over' is a perfect 6-0 when the Devils come off a home loss against a divisional opponent over the last two seasons with New Jersey allowing a whopping 4.8 goals per game in that situation and those contests totaling an average of 7.5 goals. While the 'under' has gone 18-8 when the Sabres are coming off five or six losses in their last seven games over the last two seasons, those contests have actually totaled an average of six goals. The total has quite simply been set too low for this one. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
02-24-21 | Wild v. Avalanche -178 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -178 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Colorado over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the Avs as they look to bounce back from a 3-0 loss suffered at the hands of the Golden Knights on Monday (we won with Vegas as our Underdog Game of the Month in that game). The Avs were certainly ripe for a letdown on Monday as they were fresh off their marathon victory over Vegas outdoors at Lake Tahoe two nights earlier. Minnesota is rolling along right now but that actually works against it in this particular spot. Note that the Wild are a miserable 9-24 on the moneyline the last 33 times they've followed consecutive wins by three goals or more. They've also struggled in similar revenge roles such as this, having gone 10-25 on the moneyline when revenging a one-goal loss over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.1 goals in that situation. This has been a tightly-contested series over the years but the Avs have started to turn the tide, taking three of the last four meetings. While we are dealing with a fairly high price here, I believe it could be even higher. Take Colorado (10*). | |||||||
02-24-21 | Florida State v. Miami-FL +11.5 | Top | 88-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Florida State at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. This game sets up well for Miami against an unsuspecting Florida State squad that's coming off three straight wins and already defeated the Hurricanes by 20+ points earlier this season. Miami hasn't been able to recapture that lightning in a bottle it found in a home win over Duke back on February 1st. The Canes followed up that win with relatively close losses against Virginia Tech and Notre Dame before getting their doors blown off by Georgia Tech last time out. I expect them to bounce back in a sense here, noting that they've gone 16-6 ATS in home games off a conference loss over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by around two points per game. Miami is also a long-term ATS winner at 29-15 ATS when coming off three straight losses against conference opponents. Meanwhile, Florida State is 35-54 ATS in road games following three straight wins and has been outscored in those games by 0.6 points on average. Take Miami (10*). | |||||||
02-24-21 | Pistons v. Pelicans OVER 222 | Top | 118-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. Despite the most recent meeting between these two teams in Detroit less than two weeks ago reaching 235 points (we won with the Pistons in that game) we aren't seeing much of an adjustment to the total here. The Pelicans were flat in Detroit in that recent Sunday night contest yet still managed to score 112 points. Here, I'm expecting a much better offensive performance, but the Pistons should be dragged along for the ride as well. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 9-0 the last nine times the Pelicans have followed up an outright underdog win over the last two seasons with those games averaging a whopping 242.8 total points. The 'over' is also an incredible 15-3 when New Orleans plays at home off a win of any sort over the last two seasons with those games reaching an average of 241.8 total points. The Pistons have seen the 'under' cash in each of their last four games, however we saw a similar situation earlier this month where the 'under' had gone 3-1 in their last four games as they went to L.A. to wrap up a road trip and that game totals 264 points. Here, the Pistons will be finishing up a five-game road trip before heading home to host the Kings on Friday. Take the over (10*). | |||||||
02-23-21 | Wolves v. Bucks -10.5 | Top | 112-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. After an extended slump, we've seen an unwinding of the Bucks of sorts in recent days as they've delivered blowout wins over the Thunder and Kings. I look for that trend to continue here as they host the T'Wolves on Tuesday night. Minnesota rallied to nearly upset the Knicks on the road on Sunday night but ultimately fell short and now ride a four-game SU and ATS losing streak. It hasn't proven to be a good bounce-back team in recent years, going 7-17 ATS after dropping the cash in five or six of its last seven games over the last two seasons and 20-34 ATS following an ATS loss over the same period. Meanwhile, the Bucks are an excellent positive momentum play having gone 52-33 ATS after winning two of their last three games over the last three seasons. Despite their recent struggles, they're still a terrific 57-37 ATS at home over the last three seasons. Take Milwaukee (10*). | |||||||
02-22-21 | Wizards v. Lakers UNDER 226 | 127-124 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Monday. We're not surprisingly working with a high total in this one as the Wizards play at a faster pace than any team in the NBA while the Lakers are in bounce-back mode following Saturday night's loss to the Heat - their second loss in a row. I'm not sure we'll see a track meet, however, for a number of reasons. Note that the 'under' has gone 34-15 when the Lakers come off an upset home loss over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of just north of 119 points. Keep in mind, the Lakers rank tops in the league in defensive efficiency this season. With Anthony Davis sidelined, they're going to need to lean on their defense to snap out of their mini-skid. While the Wizards won't be thought of as a defensive juggernaut anytime soon, they do rank in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency away from home this season. They're catching the Lakers at the right time as only five teams have been worse than Los Angeles in terms of offensive efficiency over their last three games. I'm not sure that the Wiz want to awake a sleeping giant in this one by baiting them into a high-scoring affair. Note that Washington's recent 6-4 SU/ATS run has coincided with a 3-7 o/u stretch. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
02-22-21 | Golden Knights +123 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-0 | Win | 123 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
NHL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Avs got the better of the Knights in Saturday's marathon game at Lake Tahoe, prevailing by a 3-2 score on the shoulders of a three-point effort from Nathan MacKinnon. Here, I look for the Knights to answer back following consecutive losses against Colorado. Keep in mind, prior to dropping its last two games, Vegas had won five of its last six overall. The Knights can't sit around feeling sorry for themselves as their trip will continue in San Jose and Anaheim as they won't return home until next week. I expect to see a galvanized effort from them here following that rather punchless performance on Saturday (they were outshot 39-29 in that game). The Avs are 2-1 since returning from an extended Covid-related absence but they've scored just six goals in the process. Note that under head coach Peter Deboer, the Knights are 10-1 the last 11 times they've allowed at least three goals in two straight games, outscoring the opposition by an average of 1.7 goals. Take Vegas (10*). | |||||||
02-22-21 | Syracuse +5 v. Duke | Top | 71-85 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
CBB TV Game of the Month. My selection is on Syracuse plus the points over Duke at 7 pm et on Monday. The majority of bettors will likely be on the Blue Devils in this game but we'll go the other way and back the Orange as they look to halt Duke's three-game winning streak. The Orange don't have a good track record on the road this season by any means but they've also faced a very tough slate of opponents. Everyone was down on the Blue Devils after they suffered three straight losses to Miami, North Carolina and Notre Dame earlier this month but since then they've reeled off three straight wins over N.C. State, Wake Forest and Virginia. The win over Virginia came by a single point on Saturday and I think that puts them in a letdown situation here. Syracuse has won three straight games, scoring 70+ points on each occasion. Note that Duke is just 2-8 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Blue Devils are also 7-17 ATS following two straight wins over conference opponents over the last three seasons. This is the game the Orange have no trouble at all getting up for, on a Monday night at Cameron Indoor Stadium in front of an ESPN audience. Take Syracuse (10*). | |||||||
02-21-21 | Jets v. Canucks -110 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vancouver over Winnipeg at 10:05 pm et on Sunday. I like the Canucks to get back at the Jets following Friday night's no-show on home ice. Vancouver had been playing well, seemingly having turned the corner prior to Friday's setback. The Jets have been as uneven as they come this season and I'm just not confident in their ability to follow up Friday's performance with another victory here on Sunday. The oddsmakers have it right installing the Canucks as a favorite by my estimation. Look for Vancouver's best players to show up and guide it to a win to close out this two-game set with Winnipeg. Take Vancouver (10*). | |||||||
02-21-21 | Nets +5.5 v. Clippers | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Clippers in Friday's victory over the red hot Jazz but I won't hesitate to go the other way on Sunday as they find themselves in a much different situation, favored against the surging Nets. I like what I've seen from Brooklyn lately, as it has played a very cohesive brand of basketball, even with Kevin Durant sidelined. There's little reason for the Nets to roll over in this spot as they've had ample time to get down off their pedestal following Thursday's rout of Lebron and the Lakers. The Clips have been inconsistent all season and should get the Nets best shot in this one, especially with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George back in the fold. Take Brooklyn (10*). | |||||||
02-21-21 | Flyers +1.5 v. Bruins | 3-7 | Loss | -157 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia +1.5 goals over Boston at 7:35 pm et on Sunday. With ice conditions likely to be poor again at Lake Tahoe on Sunday, I'll gladly grab the insurance goal in what could very well be a low-scoring affair between the Flyers and Bruins on Sunday. Philadelphia is in bounce-back mode after suffering a shootout loss against the Rangers in its first game back following a string of Covid-related postponements. The Flyers are a better team than they showed in that contest and will certainly be up for this matchup with the Bruins after getting their lunch handed to them in four losses in this series already this season. Take Philadelphia +1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
02-21-21 | South Florida +1.5 v. Temple | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
AAC Game of the Month. My selection is on South Florida plus the points over Temple at 2 pm et on Sunday. South Florida has no business being the underdog in this matchup on the road against Temple on Sunday afternoon. The Bulls will certainly get up for this game on the heels of three consecutive losses with the most recent coming in blowout fashion on the road against in-state rival UCF. Temple has just four wins in 13 games this season and has lost five in a row with the last four coming by a combined 14 points. Those results were somewhat flattering for an Owls team that just isn't very good. Note that Temple ranks T295th in the country in offensive rating and T207th in defensive rating this season. USF hasn't been much better but the Bulls will be good enough to secure the much-needed road win on Sunday afternoon. Take South Florida (10*). | |||||||
02-20-21 | Heat v. Lakers UNDER 213 | Top | 96-94 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
NBA TV Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Los Angeles at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game in last Saturday night's ABC showcase game but I'm confident we'll see a much different type of game unfold this week as the Heat travel to Los Angeles to take on the Lakers. We won with Miami in Thursday's win in Sacramento. This is obviously a tougher matchup, even with the Lakers missing some key cogs. Jimmy Butler admitted yesterday that his team just 'isn't very good' right now. I believe the Heat will have some trouble stringing together quality possessions in this game. Meanwhile, the Lakers are playing without Anthony Davis, obviously striking a major hit at both ends of the floor, but particularly on offense. While we can expect a better performance than we saw on Thursday, it's worth noting that game saw 117 first half points but still didn't come close to toppling the total. I'm anticipating some old school basketball on Saturday. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
02-20-21 | Kings v. Coyotes -160 | 4-2 | Loss | -160 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Kings have now won a season-high three games in a row after pulling out a 3-2 shootout victory in the first game of this two-game set in Glendale on Thursday night. We won with the 'under' in that contest, but here we'll back the favored Coyotes. Credit Arizona for at least earning a point in that game as it fell behind 2-0 early before rallying. The Coyotes are one of those teams that generally flies beneath most bettors' radar but can be a quality team to back in the right situation. I see this as precisely such a situation as they look to regain their footing and start gaining some ground in the West Division with a couple of winnable home games against the Ducks coming up next. Take Arizona (10*). | |||||||
02-20-21 | Vanderbilt v. Alabama -15 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Alabama minus the points over Vanderbilt at 1 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with Alabama on Saturday afternoon as it draws a favorable matchup against Vandy on its home floor. The Crimson Tide remain an underrated Top 10 team as far as I'm concerned. They roll into this game on the heels of a rout of Georgia. Meanwhile, Vandy is coming off a narrow four-point home loss against rival Kentucky on Wednesday night. That came after a somewhat surprising 21-point blowout victory over Mississippi State last Saturday. I simply expect the Commodores to get outmatched here, much like they did in 20-point losses at Davidson and Tennessee earlier this season. Take Alabama (10*). | |||||||
02-19-21 | Jazz v. Clippers +4 | Top | 112-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Non-Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Utah at 10:05 pm et on Friday. We saw plenty of bettors looking to fade the Jazz in the front half of this two-game set in Los Angeles but were ultimately burned as Utah pulled away against the Kawhi Leonard and Paul George-less Clippers. I believe now is the time to back the Clips as they've been an excellent bounce-back team in recent years and whether they have Kawhi or George back on the floor or not, I like them to give the Jazz a run on Friday night. Note that Los Angeles is an impressive 24-11 ATS after a loss over the last two seasons, winning those games by an average margin of 12.5 points. They've also gone 17-7 ATS after giving up 105+ points in three straight games, as is the case here, winning those contests by an average margin of over 10 points. The Jazz found themselves in a similar situation to this back at the end of January as they looked to defeat the Nuggets on the road for a second time in two weeks. After notching a 109-105 victory on January 17th they fell by 11 points in the return trip on January 31st. Similarly, I look for Utah to get tripped up here, noting it was also riding a long winning streak (11 games) entering that contest. Take Los Angeles (10*). | |||||||
02-19-21 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Puck-Line Game of the Week. My selection is on Chicago +1.5 goals over Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Friday. To find the last time the Blackhawks lost a game by two goals or more you would have to go back to the first week of the season, when they were mired in an 0-3 start. Since then, they've gone 9-2-4 overall but still don't seem to be getting the respect they deserve. Ordinarily, it might be tough for a team to get up for a Friday night game in Carolina but that's changing with the Hurricanes becoming one of the NHL's best teams in recent years. I see this as a tough spot for the Canes, playing their fifth game in the last nine nights and while they've won three of their last four overall, they've had to exert plenty of energy, having been outshot in all four of those games, spending a lot of time in their own zone. The 'Hawks have to feel like they're playing with house money right now, having won six of their last seven overall - a stretch that began with a 6-4 win over these same Hurricanes. Note that Chicago is 9-3 against the puck-line after winning three of its last four games over the last two seasons, outscoring its opponents by an average margin of a goal per game. Meanwhile, Carolina is 6-11 against the puck-line after scoring three goals or more in three straight games over the last three seasons - outscored by 0.6 goals per game in that situation. Take Chicago +1.5 goals (10*). | |||||||
02-19-21 | Panthers v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in the Red Wings most recent game - a 2-0 home loss to the Blackhawks on Wednesday. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as the Red Wings host the Panthers. Florida has won consecutive games but has been playing with fire a little bit, giving up seven goals in those two victories and a whopping 13 goals over its last three games overall. Look for the Panthers to make a concerted effort to settle things down here on Friday and the Red Wings should oblige them. Detroit has struggled to score goals all season and a breakout doesn't figure to be anywhere in sight. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 when the Panthers come off consecutive games where both teams scored three or more goals over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 7-1 when the Red Wings revenge a loss versus their opponent this season, with those games reaching an average of 4.5 total goals. Take the under (10*). | |||||||
02-19-21 | Oakland v. Wisc-Milwaukee -1 | 85-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wisconsin-Milwaukee minus the points over Oakland at 6 pm et on Friday. Bettors are obviously not very high on Wisconsin-Milwaukee right now as it checks in having dropped four games in a row. I like the Panthers chances of getting back in the win column on Friday, however, as they face a terrible defensive opponent in Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies snapped their three-game losing skid with a win at Robert Morris last time out but have now allowed five of their last seven opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. They're giving up nearly 84 points per game away from home this season. Note that while the Panthers have lost four games in a row SU they did manage to cover the spread in consecutive losses at Wright State last weekend. They've gone 58-28 ATS following a double-digit loss against a conference opponent and also check in 133-97 ATS after covering the number in two of their last three games. I'm willing to take a flyer on a team that is happy to be home having played just two games on this floor since mid-January. Take Wisconsin-Milwaukee (10*). |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ricky Tran | $756 |
ProSportsPicks | $632 |
Joseph D'Amico | $510 |
Joey Tron | $450 |
Tom Macrina | $399 |
Nick Parsons | $344 |
Sean Murphy | $306 |
Jack Jones | $303 |
William Burns | $233 |
Dan Kaiser | $220 |